Bell Curve
Bell Curve
Bell Curve
By Deb Russell
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Definition: The term bell curve is used to describe the mathematical concept called normal
distribution, sometimes referred to as Gaussian distribution. Bell curve refers to the shape that
is created when a line is plotted using the data points for an item that meets the criteria of
normal distribution. The center contains the greatest number of a value and therefore would be
the highest point on the arc of the line. This point is referred to the mean, but in simple terms it is
the highest number of occurences of a element. ( statistical terms, the mode). The important
things to note about a normal distribution is the curve is concentrated in the center and decreases
on either side. This is significant in that the data has less of a tendency to produce unusually
extreme values, called outliers, as compared to other distributions. Also the bell curve signifies
that the data is symetrical and thus we can create reasonable expectations as to the possibility
that an outcome will lie within a range to the left or right of the center, once we can measure the
amount of deviation contained in the data . These are measured in terms of standard deviations. A
bell curve graph depends on two factors, the mean and the standard deviation. The mean
identifies the position of the center and the standard deviation determines the the height and
width of the bell. For example , a large standard deviation creates a bell that is short and wide
while a small standard deviation creates a tall and narrow curve.
To understand the probability factors of a normal distribution you need to understand the
following rules:
1. The total area under the curve is equal to 1 (100%)
2. About 68% of the area under the curve falls within 1 standard deviation.
3. About 95% of the area under the curve falls within 2 standard deviations.
4 About 99.7% of the area under the curve falls within 3 standard devations.
Items 2,3 and 4 are sometimes referred to as the empirical rule or the 68-95-99.7 rule. In terms
of probability, once we determine that the data is normally distributed ( bell curved) and we
calculate the mean and standard deviation, we are able to determine the probability that a single
data point will fall within a given range of possibilities.
A good example of a bell curve or normal distribution is the roll of two dice. The distribution is
centered around the number 7 and the probability decreases as you move away from the center.
Here are the % chance of the various outcomes when you roll two dice.
2 - 2.78 % 8 - 13.89 %
3 - 5.56 % 9 11.11 %
4 - 8.33 % 10- 8.33 %
5 - 11.11% 11- 5.56 %
6 - 13.89% 12- 2.78 %
7 - 16.67%
Normal distributions have many convenient properties, so in many cases, especially in physics
and astronomy, random variates with unknown distributions are often assumed to be normal to
allow for probability calculations. Although this can be a dangerous assumption, it is often a
good approximation due to a surprising result known as the central limit theorem. This theorem
states that the mean of any set of variates with any distribution having a finite mean and variance
tends to the normal distribution. Many common attributes such as test scores, height, etc., follow
roughly normal distributions, with few members at the high and low ends and many in the
middle.
The most common type of distribution for a variable. The term "bell curve"
comes from the fact that the graph used to depict a normal distribution consists
of a bell-shaped line.
The bell curve is also known as a normal distribution. The bell curve is less
commonly referred to as a Gaussian distribution, after German mathematician
and physicist Karl Gauss, who popularized the model in the scientific community
by using it to analyze astronomical data.
By Courtney Taylor
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Data Analysis
This table is a compilation of data from the Student t distribution. Anytime that a t-distribution is
being used, a table such as this one can be consulted to perform calculations. This distribution is
similar to the standard normal distribution, or bell curve, however the table is arranged
differently than the table for the bell curve. The table below provides critical t-values for a
particular area of one tail (listed along the top of the table) and degrees of freedom (listed along
the side of the table). Degrees of freedom range from 1 to 30, with the bottom row of "Large"
referring to several thousand degrees of freedom.
0.40
0.25
0.10
0.05
0.025
0.01
0.005
0.0005
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30