SPE 38866 Analysis of Commingled Gas Reservoirs With Variable Bottom-Hole Flowing Pressure and Non-Darcy Flow
SPE 38866 Analysis of Commingled Gas Reservoirs With Variable Bottom-Hole Flowing Pressure and Non-Darcy Flow
SPE 38866 Analysis of Commingled Gas Reservoirs With Variable Bottom-Hole Flowing Pressure and Non-Darcy Flow
Abstract
This paper presents an extension of the Layered Stabilized
Flow Model (LSFM) previously presented by the authors for
commingled gas wells1. The LSFM gives a method for
reserve estimation and production forecasts. The extension in
this paper takes into account bottom-hole flowing pressure
(pwf) variations and non-Darcy flow. Simulator verifications
and field examples are given.
The LSFM couples a material balance equation and the
stabilized gas flow equation, including non-Darcy flow, for
each layer of the commingled well. The method is simple and
lends itself to spread-sheet applications. Only the flow rate
and the pwf (or at least the surface pressure) history need to be
known, along with the initial reservoir pressure and gas
properties. The LSFM parameters are determined by historymatching the wells production rate over a selected
calibration period.
The method shows excellent results for moderate to high
permeability reservoirs, even with long shut-ins and
considerable variation in pwf. (The model accounts for backflow between layers during shut-in periods.) The results of
several simulated and field cases are reported.
The results of the LSFM provide estimates of OGIP and
the two flow equation parameters for each layer. These values
can then be used for forecasting.
Introduction
Decline curve analysis is sometimes a very practical tool
for reserve estimation and performance prediction. It started
as a rate forecasting technique by extrapolating the
q = J p p wf ....................................................... (1)
The equivalent relationship for a gas well is
( )] ...................................... (2)
q g = J g m( p ) m p wf
m( p) = 2
p
p
dp . ................................................ (3)
z
p p Gp
= 1
. ........................................... (4)
z zi
G
This equation can be replaced with the form suggested by
Ramagost and Farshad15 for high pressured reservoirs.
The second equation is the stabilized flow equation for
gas16 reservoirs. Since Jg in Eq. 2 depends on rate (non-Darcy
flow), a more convenient form is the following:
( )
m ( p ) m p wf = aq g + bq g2 ........................... (5)
The stabilized flow equation has two parameters (a and b) to
account for Darcy and non-Darcy (inertial effects) flow,
respectively. The equations that relate these parameters to
reservoir and gas properties are shown in the appendix.
In addition to these two equations, the relation between
the gas flow rate and cumulative gas production is given by
t
G p = q g (t ) dt ...................................................... (6)
0
qT (t ) =
SPE 38866
nlayer
q (t ) .................................................... (7)
gi
i =1
e1 =
1
N
1
e2 =
N
j =1
Data Model
.................................... (8)
Data
Data Model
Data ........................... (9)
j =1
N
SPE 38866ANALYSIS OF COMMINGLED GAS RESERVOIRS WITH VARIABLE BOTTOM-HOLE FLOWING PRESSURE AND NON-DARCY FLOW
SPE 38866
psia.
We used the monthly production rate for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th year
as the calibration period and used the rest of the production
history for comparison. Fig. 9 shows the comparison between
the actual and model forecast. Fig. 10 shows the individual
layers production rate as calculated form the known pwf
history. The individual layers parameters (OGIP, a, and b)
are given in Table 7.
Discussion
The need for analyzing production data for gas wells
producing at variable pwf arises from the fact that many gas
wells are placed on constant rate production until they reach
some minimum pwf after which they produce at almost
constant pwf. Using conventional decline curve analysis
methods would not allow analyzing the constant rate
production part of the data because the rate is simply not
declining. Also, many modern gas wells are monitored
electronically and we can have accurate production rate and
pressure data. The model proposed in this work allows us to
make use of these data and to better analyze and forecast the
reserves and production of these wells.
Compared to the empirical decline curve equations, this
model is based on a more fundamental basis. It accounts for
real gas properties, non-Darcy flow, and the variations in pwf.
The proposed model was programmed as an Excel
Spread-Sheet program. This way, we made use of the
graphics capabilities of Excel as well as its optimization
routine. It was also programmed in a way to allow selection of
non-contiguous calibration periods. This feature allows to
ignore the inaccurate data points and periods of the
production data dominated by transient effects (e.g. after long
shut-ins).
As this work shows, the LSFM gives very reliable answers
for commingled systems if stabilized flow prevails in all the
layers. Therefore, the model is recommended to analyze
moderate to high permeability reservoirs (above 0.1 md). If
the model is used to analyze production data in extremely
tight reservoirs (maybe less than 0.01 md), the results may
not be reliable because the production data may be dominated
by transient effects.
The LSFM gives the OGIP and forecasts the production
by layer. This information may be important to characterize
the individual layers and to evaluate the relative importance
of the layers to production. It can be also used to report
production by layer. The parameters a and b can be used to
solve for any parameter that appears in Eqs A-1 or A-2 of the
appendix (e.g. reservoir permeability and skin factor) if other
parameters are known. This derived information can be used
to plan stimulation treatments for instance.
The engineer should also use information from well logs
and geological studies to help checking the model answers.
Production Logging (PLT) may also aid in calibrating and/or
checking the model results.
SPE 38866ANALYSIS OF COMMINGLED GAS RESERVOIRS WITH VARIABLE BOTTOM-HOLE FLOWING PRESSURE AND NON-DARCY FLOW
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Appendix
The parameters a and b can be solved for any two reservoir
properties such as effective permeability and skin factor if
other reservoir parameters are known and if the reservoir
layers can be approximated by regular shapes with known
shape factor, CA. Although this is often difficult to achieve,
we present the equations for the sake of completeness16.
a=
10.06 A 3
1,422T
.
log
+ s
1151
kgh
C A rw2 4
................................................................................ (A-1)
b=
1,422T D
....................................................... (A-2)
kg h
D=
2.715 10 15 k M p sc
( )
h g p wf rw Tsc
............................ (A-3)
= 188
. 1010 k 1.47 0.53 . .............................. (A-4)
SPE 38866ANALYSIS OF COMMINGLED GAS RESERVOIRS WITH VARIABLE BOTTOM-HOLE FLOWING PRESSURE AND NON-DARCY FLOW
40
30
0.18
3000
150
0.7
5.E-06
0.25
23
1.942
Production Constraint
(Qg OR pwf)
Qg
Qg
pwf
Qg
pwf
pwf
pwf
0 - 10
10 - 30
30 - 50
50 - 500
500 - 650
650 - 900
900 - 1000
Qg
(Mscf/D)
pwf
(psia)
500
200
-300
----
--2000
-1000
1500
1000
0.7
176
2500
4.855
Average Rate, Mscf/D
1000
1000
800
800
600
600
400
400
pwf, psia
1604
1361
1352
1153
1216
1071
1197
1107
80
50
0.1
2500
150
0.7
3.E-06
20 x 2
6.089
Table 5: Comparison Between Actual and Model Calculation of OGIP for Two-Layer
Simulation Cases 3 and 4 (Bscf)
Layer 1
Layer 2
Actual
Case 2
Case 3
3.045
3.045
3.070
2.932
3.204
2.976
SPE 38866
Production Constraint
(Qg OR pwf)
Qg
(Mscf/D)
pwf
(psia)
Qg
Qg
Qg
Qg
pwf
pwf
1000
0
100
200
---
----1000
500
0 - 730
730 - 1095
1095 - 1460
1460 - 1825
1825 - 3650
3650 - 7300
OGIP
(Bscf)
1.351
99.623
3.631
396.673
a
2
(psi /cp/Mscf/D)
1,270,081
49,474
274,500
11,430
b
2
2
(psi /cp/(Mscf/D) )
0
0
0
0
0.619
0.140
46,669
227,729
0
0
1,000
950
900
[m (p )-m (p wf )]/q g
850
800
750
700
650
600
550
500
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Time (Days)
Fig. 1 - Variation of the a coefficient with time for Simulation Case 1 showing the effect of variable pwf on the value
of a (Single-Layer Case).
SPE 38866ANALYSIS OF COMMINGLED GAS RESERVOIRS WITH VARIABLE BOTTOM-HOLE FLOWING PRESSURE AND NON-DARCY FLOW
1,600
2,500
Actual Rates
Model Rates
Calibration Period
BHP
1,400
2,000
1,000
1,500
800
1,000
history forecast
600
p wf (psia)
q g (Mscf/D)
1,200
Calibration Period
400
500
200
0
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
0
8,000
Time (Days)
Fig. 2 - Comparison between model forecast and actual performance for Simulation Case 3 (Two-Layer Case).
2,000
2,500
Actual Rates
Model Rates
Calibration Period
BHP
1,800
1,600
2,000
1,500
history
1,000
Calibration Period
(psia)
1,200
q (Mscf/D)
1,400
800
1,000
600
400
500
200
0
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
0
8,000
Time (Days)
Fig. 3 - Comparison between model forecast and actual performance for Simulation Case 4 showing a shut-in
rd
period during the 3 year (Two-Layer Case).
10
SPE 38866
1,800
Actual (Layer 1)
1,600
Actual (Layer 2)
Model (Layer 1)
1,400
Model (Layer 2)
q g (Mscf/D)
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
-200
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Time (Days)
3,000
Actual Rates
Model Rates
1,200
Calibration Period
2,500
BHP
1,000
2,000
800
1,500
Calibration Period
600
p wf (psia)
q g (Mscf/D)
history forecast
1,000
400
500
200
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
140
Time (Days)
Fig. 5 - Comparison between model forecast and actual performance for Field Case 1 (Single-Layer Case).
SPE 38866
11
25,000
3,000
Actual Rates
Model Rates
Calibration Period
BHP
20,000
2,500
15,000
2,000
10,000
1,500
p wf (psia)
q g (Mscf/D)
history forecast
Calibration Period
5,000
1,000
0
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
500
3,000
Time (Days)
1,200
1,200
Actual Rates
Model Rates
Calibration Period
1,000
1,000
BHP
800
800
600
600
Calibration Period
400
p wf (psia)
q g (Mscf/D)
history forecast
400
200
200
0
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
0
3,000
Time (Days)
Fig. 7 - Comparison between model forecast and actual performance for Field Case 3 (Single-Layer Case).
12
SPE 38866
100,000
4,500
Actual Rates
Model Rates
Calibration Period
BHP
90,000
80,000
history forecast
60,000
3,500
50,000
40,000
p wf (psia)
q g (Mscf/D)
70,000
4,000
3,000
Calibration Period
30,000
20,000
2,500
10,000
0
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,000
3,000
2,500
Time (Days)
Fig. 8 - Comparison between model forecast and actual performance for Field Case 4 (Single-Layer Case).
350
350
Actual Rates
Model Rates
Calibration Period
300
300
BHP
250
history forecast
200
200
150
150
100
p wf (psia)
q g (Mscf/D)
250
100
Calibration Period
50
50
0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
0
14,000
Time (Days)
Fig. 9 - Comparison between model forecast and actual performance for Field Case 5 (Two-Layer Case).
SPE 38866ANALYSIS OF COMMINGLED GAS RESERVOIRS WITH VARIABLE BOTTOM-HOLE FLOWING PRESSURE AND NON-DARCY FLOW 13
250
Layer 1 (OGIP=0.62 Bscf)
Layer 2 (OGIP=0.15 Bscf)
q g (Mscf/D)
200
150
100
50
0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Time (Days)
Fig. 10 - Model forecast for the two layers of Field Case 5 (Two-Layer Case).
12,000
14,000