PPP Release TX 81616
PPP Release TX 81616
PPP Release TX 81616
plague Trump with 64% of voters thinking he needs to release his returns to only
25% who don't think it's necessary for him to. Even Trump's supporters, by a
43/41 spread, think he should release them. Another issue that has the potential
to cause Trump problems down the road is if he refuses to participate in the
debates as scheduled. 77% of voters think he needs to do that to only 14% who
don't think he needs to and among his own supporters there's an even stronger
sentiment- 82/12- that Trump needs to participate. If Trump is stubborn about
that it could cause the bottom to fall out on his support even further.
We continue to find that Trump voters overwhelmingly buy into his preemptive
claims about the election being rigged. Just 19% of Trump voters grant that if
Clinton wins the election it will be because she got more votes, while 71% say that
it will just be because the election was rigged. More specifically 40% of Trump
voters think that ACORN, which hasn't existed in years, will steal the election for
Clinton to only 20% who don't think it will, and only 20% who are unsure. Some
things Trump says are a step too far even for his support base though. We find
that 'just' 35% of Trump supporters think Barack Obama founded ISIS, to 48%
who don't think he's responsible for that.
Trumps suggestions that the election will be stolen on Hillary Clintons behalf
are getting lapped up by almost all of his supporters, said Dean Debnam,
President of Public Policy Polling. It really exemplifies the cult like aspect of his
support.
Finally we polled on Texas secession. Overall 26% of voters would support
leaving the United States to 59% who want to stay, and 15% who aren't sure
either way. Among Trump voters support for secession goes up to 37%, with only
49% opposed to exiting. If you look at the Presidential race in Texas only among
voters who are opposed to seceding from the United State, Clinton leads Trump
54/41. But that's offset by Trump's 72/20 advantage with the secession crowd. If
Clinton is elected President this fall, the Trump voters really want out- in that
case 61% say they'd support seceding from the United States, to only 29% who
would stick around.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 944 likely voters from August 12th to 14th. The margin of error is +/-3.2%.
80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of
respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet
panel.
Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
Q2
Q3
Q6
Disapprove...................................................... 54%
Q7
Q8
Q5
Favorable........................................................ 36%
Favorable........................................................ 40%
Q4
Q9
Q21 Mode
Phone ............................................................. 80%
Internet ........................................................... 20%
Clinton/Trump
Base
Clinton/Trump
Not
sure
Obama Approval
Base
Not
sure
Clinton Favorability
Approve 42%
88%
5%
10%
Favorable 36%
80%
1%
3%
Disapprove 54%
6%
92%
83%
Unfavorable 59%
10%
99%
92%
5%
4%
7%
10%
0%
5%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
5%
Clinton/Trump
Base
Clinton/Trump
Not
sure
Trump Favorability
Favorable 40%
5%
75%
4%
Unfavorable 53%
91%
16%
74%
4%
9%
22%
Not sure
7%
Base
87%
89%
Gary Johnson
5%
2%
5%
32%
Jill Stein
2%
3%
0%
10%
Evan McMullin
0%
0%
0%
2%
Undecided 10%
7%
6%
57%
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Donald
Clint... Trump
Not
sure
100%
100%
Not sure
100%
Clinton/Trump
6%
Not
sure
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
Clinton/Trump
Base
Base
Not
sure
Obama or Trump
President
Barack Obama 46%
96%
5%
24%
1%
92%
29%
Not sure
3%
3%
46%
6%
Clinton/Trump
Base
Clinton/Trump
Not
sure
Base
89%
43%
62%
7%
41%
14%
4%
16%
24%
76%
81%
57%
16%
11%
20%
8%
8%
23%
Not sure
9%
Clinton/Trump
Base
Clinton/Trump
Not
sure
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
Would support 26%
12%
37%
34%
73%
49%
48%
16%
14%
18%
Base
Base
Not
sure
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
Would support 40%
18%
61%
32%
69%
29%
50%
13%
11%
19%
Clinton/Trump
Clinton/Trump
Not
sure
Clinton/Trump/Nuts/Harambe
Base
Not
sure
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
85%
0%
0%
1%
94%
2%
Deez Nuts
3%
3%
1%
16%
Harambe
2%
1%
2%
9%
Undecided 11%
10%
3%
73%
Not
sure
89%
19%
42%
5%
71%
34%
6%
10%
24%
Not sure
9%
Clinton/Trump
Base
Clinton/Trump
Not
sure
Base
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
Not
sure
9%
40%
5%
6%
35%
33%
61%
20%
38%
86%
48%
62%
8%
17%
5%
30%
40%
57%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Base
Clinton Favorability
Approve 42%
90%
8%
34%
Favorable 36%
76%
6%
30%
Disapprove 54%
5%
90%
54%
Unfavorable 59%
13%
93%
64%
6%
2%
12%
11%
0%
6%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
5%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack Mitt Ro- Someone else /
Base Oba...
mney Don't remem...
Trump Favorability
Favorable 40%
7%
67%
32%
Unfavorable 53%
88%
24%
58%
Not sure
7%
5%
9%
9%
Base
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
Hillary Clinton 38%
85%
7%
19%
5%
78%
26%
Gary Johnson
6%
1%
6%
16%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
1%
10%
Evan McMullin
0%
0%
0%
0%
Undecided 10%
7%
8%
29%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack Mitt Ro- Someone else /
Base Oba...
mney Don't remem...
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Clinton 44%
92%
9%
37%
6%
84%
42%
Not sure
6%
2%
6%
21%
Base
Obama or Trump
President
Barack Obama 46%
95%
11%
37%
4%
83%
41%
Not sure
1%
5%
22%
6%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Base
Base
88%
47%
61%
7%
38%
23%
5%
15%
16%
79%
78%
70%
15%
13%
17%
6%
10%
14%
Not sure
9%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack Mitt Ro- Someone else /
mney Don't remem...
Base Oba...
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
Would support 26%
12%
36%
28%
73%
50%
52%
15%
14%
21%
Base
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
Would support 40%
19%
57%
38%
70%
32%
46%
12%
11%
16%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Base
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
86%
5%
23%
4%
82%
37%
Deez Nuts
3%
4%
1%
11%
Harambe
2%
2%
1%
4%
Undecided 11%
4%
12%
26%
86%
26%
46%
9%
63%
34%
5%
11%
20%
Not sure
9%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack Mitt Ro- Someone else /
mney Don't remem...
Base Oba...
Base
Obama Founded ISIS
Yes/No
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
ACORN will steal the 24%
election for Clinton
11%
37%
13%
8%
31%
30%
64%
21%
38%
86%
51%
60%
6%
17%
10%
25%
42%
49%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Obama Approval
Base
Very
libe...
Clinton Favorability
Approve 42%
89%
81%
58%
19%
2%
Favorable 36%
85%
70%
52%
10%
3%
Disapprove 54%
9%
15%
33%
77%
96%
Unfavorable 59%
14%
21%
41%
86%
95%
2%
4%
9%
3%
1%
1%
9%
7%
4%
1%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
5%
Ideology
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Trump Favorability
Favorable 40%
18%
20%
20%
57%
71%
Unfavorable 53%
78%
78%
72%
35%
18%
4%
2%
8%
7%
11%
Not sure
7%
Base
Base
76%
81%
54%
13%
4%
10%
11%
21%
67%
85%
Gary Johnson
6%
4%
1%
8%
7%
3%
Jill Stein
2%
10%
0%
3%
0%
1%
Evan McMullin
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Undecided 10%
6%
15%
11%
7%
Ideology
Clinton/Trump
Hillary Clinton 44%
89%
86%
64%
17%
5%
11%
13%
26%
77%
90%
Not sure
1%
2%
9%
7%
5%
6%
Base
Base
86%
86%
64%
24%
4%
13%
13%
24%
71%
93%
Not sure
1%
1%
12%
4%
3%
6%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
84%
77%
72%
53%
51%
13%
17%
16%
31%
39%
2%
6%
13%
16%
10%
87%
74%
70%
84%
77%
8%
15%
20%
11%
11%
6%
11%
10%
4%
12%
Not sure
9%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
Would support 26%
21%
21%
16%
30%
41%
68%
67%
63%
57%
46%
11%
12%
21%
13%
13%
Very
libe...
Obama or Trump
President
Ideology
Very
libe...
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
Ideology
Very
libe...
Very
libe...
Base
Very
libe...
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
Would support 40%
27%
26%
28%
45%
67%
70%
64%
58%
40%
23%
4%
10%
14%
14%
10%
Ideology
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Clinton/Trump/Nuts/Harambe
Base
Very
libe...
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
85%
69%
54%
14%
4%
10%
11%
25%
71%
87%
Deez Nuts
3%
4%
3%
6%
1%
Harambe
2%
1%
2%
3%
1%
17%
12%
11%
8%
Undecided 11%
1%
87%
74%
67%
34%
22%
9%
15%
21%
57%
71%
4%
12%
12%
9%
7%
Not sure
9%
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
Ideology
Base
Very
libe...
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
ACORN will steal the 24%
election for Clinton
17%
11%
17%
28%
44%
18%
15%
10%
23%
47%
68%
54%
45%
32%
18%
77%
71%
79%
64%
38%
5%
15%
11%
13%
15%
15%
35%
38%
41%
38%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Obama Approval
Base
Wom...
Man
Clinton Favorability
Approve 42%
48%
35%
Favorable 36%
38%
33%
Disapprove 54%
48%
60%
Unfavorable 59%
54%
65%
4%
5%
8%
2%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
5%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Man
Trump Favorability
Favorable 40%
37%
44%
Unfavorable 53%
54%
51%
9%
5%
Not sure
7%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
Base
43%
33%
41%
48%
Gary Johnson
6%
4%
7%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
3%
Evan McMullin
0%
1%
0%
Undecided 10%
10%
10%
49%
39%
46%
54%
Not sure
5%
7%
6%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Obama or Trump
President
Base
50%
41%
45%
52%
Not sure
5%
7%
Man
6%
67%
61%
21%
28%
11%
11%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Base
Wom...
Man
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
74%
13%
15%
12%
4%
Wom...
Man
Clinton/Trump
Not sure
Wom...
9%
81%
24%
28%
58%
60%
18%
12%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
Base
Wom...
Man
Clinton/Trump/Nuts/Harambe
36%
44%
47%
49%
17%
7%
41%
34%
43%
51%
Deez Nuts
3%
4%
2%
Harambe
2%
1%
2%
Undecided 11%
11%
10%
Gender
Base
Wom...
Gender
Man
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
Base
Wom...
Man
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
51%
52%
20%
29%
37%
41%
36%
43%
12%
7%
44%
28%
Not sure
9%
Party
Gender
Base
Wom...
Man
24%
63%
68%
17%
7%
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Obama Approval
Base
Approve 42%
88%
6%
38%
Disapprove 54%
5%
93%
56%
7%
1%
6%
Not sure
5%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Clinton Favorability
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
79%
3%
28%
Favorable 40%
6%
68%
43%
Unfavorable 59%
11%
96%
66%
Unfavorable 53%
90%
24%
46%
10%
1%
5%
4%
8%
11%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
7%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
Base
86%
4%
27%
4%
80%
41%
Gary Johnson
6%
1%
5%
13%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
1%
5%
Evan McMullin
0%
0%
1%
10%
13%
Undecided 10%
7%
94%
6%
37%
6%
89%
47%
Not sure
0%
5%
16%
6%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Obama or Trump
President
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
92%
9%
43%
4%
86%
48%
Not sure
4%
5%
9%
Independent / Other
Clinton/Trump
Democr- Republicaat
n
6%
89%
50%
53%
8%
37%
28%
3%
13%
19%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
Base
9%
76%
82%
71%
18%
12%
13%
6%
7%
16%
13%
37%
27%
69%
49%
62%
18%
14%
11%
Party
Party
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Clinton/Trump/Nuts/Harambe
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
Would support 40%
22%
57%
38%
64%
32%
51%
14%
11%
10%
87%
4%
22%
6%
86%
41%
6%
Deez Nuts
3%
4%
0%
Harambe
2%
1%
1%
4%
Undecided 11%
2%
9%
27%
Party
Base
Party
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
Base
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
86%
25%
45%
13%
38%
19%
8%
66%
39%
59%
22%
38%
6%
9%
16%
28%
40%
43%
Not sure
9%
Party
Base
Race
Democr- Republicaat
n
Independent / Other
Base
Obama Approval
10%
36%
16%
83%
47%
71%
7%
16%
14%
Approve 42%
62%
24%
95%
39%
Disapprove 54%
27%
74%
3%
60%
12%
3%
2%
2%
Not sure
5%
Race
Base
Race
Clinton Favorability
Base
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
59%
20%
75%
26%
Favorable 40%
21%
55%
10%
29%
Unfavorable 59%
34%
79%
10%
63%
Unfavorable 53%
72%
37%
84%
68%
7%
2%
14%
11%
7%
8%
6%
3%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
7%
Race
Base
Race
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
57%
21%
91%
28%
21%
64%
3%
20%
Gary Johnson
6%
5%
40%
Jill Stein
2%
5%
1%
Evan McMullin
0%
1%
17%
8%
6%
Undecided 10%
Clinton/Trump
Base
68%
25%
97%
38%
27%
69%
3%
40%
Not sure
6%
6%
22%
6%
13%
Race
Race
Base
Base
Trump Tax Returns
Release
Obama or Trump
President
Barack Obama 46%
68%
27%
100%
41%
24%
68%
45%
Not sure
8%
5%
14%
6%
75%
58%
81%
54%
17%
29%
15%
28%
9%
13%
4%
18%
Race
Base
Race
Base
71%
82%
70%
73%
18%
12%
16%
14%
11%
6%
13%
13%
23%
28%
16%
30%
52%
60%
70%
51%
25%
11%
13%
19%
Race
Base
Race
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
32%
46%
32%
24%
50%
44%
62%
55%
18%
10%
6%
22%
Base
Clinton/Trump/Nuts/Harambe
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
Not sure
61%
21%
80%
23%
24%
67%
3%
29%
20%
Deez Nuts
3%
2%
7%
Harambe
2%
4%
1%
4%
Undecided 11%
11%
9%
10%
24%
Race
Base
Race
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
Base
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
62%
40%
81%
60%
14%
32%
12%
18%
26%
51%
10%
32%
43%
33%
57%
45%
11%
9%
10%
8%
43%
35%
31%
37%
Not sure
9%
Race
Base
Age
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Obama Approval
17%
28%
8%
16%
71%
59%
81%
75%
11%
13%
12%
9%
Approve 42%
62%
52%
36%
33%
Disapprove 54%
29%
40%
61%
65%
10%
7%
3%
2%
Not sure
5%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Clinton Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
44%
43%
32%
31%
Favorable 40%
32%
30%
41%
50%
Unfavorable 59%
45%
47%
65%
68%
Unfavorable 53%
65%
62%
50%
42%
11%
10%
3%
1%
2%
8%
8%
7%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
7%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
Base
Clinton/Trump
46%
48%
35%
32%
27%
25%
49%
60%
Gary Johnson
6%
5%
8%
7%
2%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
5%
1%
1%
Evan McMullin
0%
1%
1%
19%
13%
9%
4%
Undecided 10%
66%
56%
39%
33%
33%
36%
54%
63%
Not sure
2%
8%
8%
4%
6%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Obama or Trump
President
Base
70%
57%
40%
35%
26%
35%
55%
61%
Not sure
4%
8%
5%
5%
6%
68%
62%
66%
62%
23%
25%
24%
26%
9%
13%
9%
13%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
14%
17%
15%
10%
9%
12%
7%
8%
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Not sure
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
9%
71%
78%
81%
34%
36%
25%
15%
43%
49%
63%
70%
23%
15%
12%
15%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Clinton/Trump/Nuts/Harambe
36%
45%
39%
40%
43%
43%
50%
51%
21%
13%
10%
9%
45%
46%
36%
31%
26%
35%
50%
61%
8%
5%
2%
Deez Nuts
3%
Harambe
2%
8%
1%
1%
1%
Undecided 11%
13%
12%
11%
7%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
50%
61%
53%
43%
24%
18%
24%
29%
39%
20%
41%
51%
36%
41%
43%
35%
11%
19%
6%
7%
40%
41%
33%
36%
Not sure
9%
Age
Base
Mode
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than ...
35%
16%
19%
26%
57%
76%
69%
57%
9%
8%
13%
16%
Base
Pho... Intern...
Obama Approval
Approve 42%
38%
58%
Disapprove 54%
60%
28%
2%
14%
Not sure
5%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Clinton Favorability
Base
Pho... Intern...
Trump Favorability
Favorable 36%
35%
39%
Favorable 40%
44%
26%
Unfavorable 59%
64%
41%
Unfavorable 53%
50%
61%
1%
20%
6%
13%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
7%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Clinton/Trump/Johnson/Stein/McMullin
Base
36%
49%
50%
20%
Gary Johnson
6%
6%
2%
Jill Stein
2%
2%
2%
Evan McMullin
0%
0%
1%
Undecided 10%
6%
25%
39%
65%
56%
26%
Not sure
5%
9%
6%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Obama or Trump
President
40%
72%
56%
17%
Not sure
4%
10%
Base
Pho... Intern...
Pho... Intern...
Clinton/Trump
6%
62%
75%
26%
18%
12%
7%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Pho... Intern...
Texas Seceding
Support/Oppose
78%
14%
13%
7%
14%
Not sure
Base
9%
73%
23%
35%
64%
41%
13%
23%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Texas Seceding if
Clinton Elected
Support/Oppose
Base
Pho... Intern...
Clinton/Trump/Nuts/Harambe
39%
42%
49%
43%
11%
14%
36%
44%
54%
21%
Deez Nuts
3%
2%
8%
Harambe
2%
1%
6%
Undecided 11%
8%
21%
Mode
Base
Mode
Pho... Intern...
Clinton Presidency
Reasons
Base
Pho... Intern...
ACORN Stealing
Election Yes/No
50%
57%
27%
15%
43%
23%
42%
28%
7%
20%
31%
57%
Not sure
9%
Mode
Base
Pho... Intern...
23%
20%
65%
66%
12%
14%