My Maid Is Now A Millionaire: July 2016 Volume 7, No. 13
My Maid Is Now A Millionaire: July 2016 Volume 7, No. 13
My Maid Is Now A Millionaire: July 2016 Volume 7, No. 13
B MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
July 2016
Volume 7, No. 13
Stocks Update
Page 1 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
By Mike Vias
Were now halfway into 2016 and so much has happened in our market so far, especially with our SAM Stocks.
Thus, I would like to give you an update on how each of them have been fairing this year from their recently
released 1st quarter earnings. So that in doing so, you will be given assurance in your investments.
For this issue, Id like to focus on our first two SAM Stocks (alphabetically), Ayala Corporation and Ayala Land
Inc.
AC
Ayala Corporations income during the 1st quarter of 2016 grew 14.6 percent as compared to the same period
last year to P5.78 billion caused by an 11 percent growth in earnings contribution of its subsidiaries. Among its major
subsidiaries, Ayala Land, Globe, and Manila Water all reported earnings that were in line with analyst estimates.
Globes core income in the 1st quarter of 2016 reached P4.2 billion. This remains the same from the same
quarter in 2015. As for BPI, it booked P5 billion in profits during
the 1st quarter. This is up 1 percent amidst a lackluster growth in
net interest income, which increased 6 percent compared to the 1st
quarter of 2015 to P10 billion. This marks the slowest year-on-year
growth rate over the last 12 quarters. For Manila Water, 1st quarter
2016 net income increased to 1.48 billion, a growth of 3.3 percent
as compared to the same period year last. Such growth was caused
by the increase in revenues to P4.21 billion, driven by the continued expansion of the non-East zone subsidiaries.
For IMI, core income is estimated by analysts to reach $7.1 million, a 4.4 percent increase compared to the same
period in 2015. Furthermore, AC energy posted an income of P250 million in the 1st quarter of 2016 reversing a loss
in the same period last year amounting to P13 million. The growth came from the improved efficiency in GN Power
Mariveles, SLTEC unit 1, North Luzon Energy, and Northwing. This 2016, the company is eyeing a recurring net
income of P2 billion of AC Energy, driven by the better efficiency of GN Power Mariveles, the full-year contribution
of SLTEC unit 1 and the start of operations of SLTEC unit 2.
All in all, ACs fundamentals remain solid and earnings growth positive.
ALI
ALIs 1st quarter 2016 net income went up by 14.2 percent to P4.71 billion caused by higher revenues and
improved revenues. Its operating revenues increased by 7.7 percent to P26.66 billion while its earnings before
interest and taxes (EBIT) increased to 32.3 percent because of better cost management. Its growth in revenues was
backed by residential and office units for sale, shopping centers, and office leasing. Although its hotel and resorts
segment had a minor setback in revenues because of the closure of Hotel
InterContinental Manila at the end of 2015.
On the other hand, the companys residential and office for sale
segments remains very strong despite concerns of possible downturn.
Revenues from residential development increased by 13.5 percent while
revenues from office for sale jumped by 32.6 percent due to higher project
completion. At the same time, demand seems to be healthy with take-up
sales growing by 5.6 percent to P24.7 billion and book sales rebounding to
a 7.1 percent growth from a 2.3 percent decline during 2015. For 2016, ALI aims to launch between P70 billion and
P80 billion worth of residential and office projects. However, they say that they have the capability to scale up if
Page 2 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
Heres our SAM and Mutual Fund Tables (as of July 4, 2016 closing).
STOCK
Current Price
Target Price
Action to Take
AC
850.00
798.26
918.00
Stop buying
ALI
38.95
33.33
41.67
Stop buying
BDO
114.50
100.00
115.00
CEB
98.75
116.52
134.00
FGEN
24.85
28.43
32.70
Continue buying
GTCAP
1,473.00
1,330.43
1530.00
MBT
89.00
80.00
92.00
MEG
4.65
4.85
5.58
Continue buying
UBP
65.20
64.15
77.00
Stop buying
Stop buying
Mike Vias is an Investment Trainer of COL Financial Group, Inc. He is a Certified Securities Representative
and Certified Investment Solicitor.
Page 3 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE
TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
BUY BELOW
PRICE
TARGET
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
AC
Jul-13
603.50
850.00
40.85%
654.80
753.00
24.77%
Aug-13
598.50
850.00
42.02%
602.40
753.00
25.81%
Sep-13
580.00
850.00
46.55%
602.40
753.00
29.83%
Oct-13
601.50
850.00
41.31%
602.40
753.00
25.19%
Nov-13
569.50
850.00
49.25%
602.40
753.00
32.22%
Dec-13
555.00
850.00
53.15%
602.40
753.00
35.68%
Jan-14
525.00
850.00
61.90%
599.13
689.00
31.24%
Feb-14
538.50
850.00
57.85%
599.13
689.00
27.95%
Mar-14
574.00
850.00
48.08%
599.13
689.00
20.03%
Apr-14
590.00
850.00
44.07%
599.13
689.00
16.78%
Aug-14
704.00
850.00
20.74%
709.00
816.00
15.91%
Oct-14
688.00
850.00
23.55%
709.00
816.00
18.60%
Nov-14
690.00
850.00
23.19%
709.00
816.00
18.26%
Dec-14
689.00
850.00
23.37%
709.00
816.00
18.43%
Feb-15
730.00
850.00
16.44%
743.48
855.00
17.12%
Mar-15
732.00
850.00
16.12%
743.48
855.00
16.80%
Apr-15
800.00
850.00
6.25%
762.61
877.00
9.63%
Jun-15
772.50
850.00
10.03%
762.61
877.00
13.53%
Sep-15
755.00
850.00
12.58%
734.78
845.00
11.92%
Dec-15
725.00
850.00
17.24%
734.78
845.00
16.55%
Jan-16
660.00
850.00
28.79%
695.65
800.00
21.21%
Feb-16
685.00
850.00
24.09%
798.26
918.00
34.01%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
30.30%
ALI
Jan-16
31.40
38.95
24.04%
33.34
41.67
32.71%
Feb-16
31.00
38.95
25.65%
33.34
41.67
34.42%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
24.04%
BDO
Sep-15
101.90
114.50
12.37%
102.60
118.00
15.80%
Nov-15
101.40
114.50
12.92%
102.60
118.00
16.37%
Dec-15
100.20
114.50
14.27%
102.60
118.00
17.76%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
13.19%
Legend:
n Continue Buying
n Stop Buying
Page 4 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
STOCK
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE
TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
BUY BELOW
PRICE
TARGET
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
CEB
Nov-14
76.70
98.75
28.75%
78.26
90.00
17.34%
Dec-14
85.00
98.75
16.18%
130.43
150.00
76.47%
Jan-15
94.70
98.75
4.28%
124.80
156.00
64.73%
Feb-15
92.30
98.75
6.99%
124.80
156.00
69.01%
Mar-15
88.50
98.75
11.58%
124.80
156.00
76.27%
Apr-15
84.40
98.75
17.00%
124.80
156.00
84.83%
May-15
84.30
98.75
17.14%
124.80
156.00
85.05%
Jun-15
83.65
98.75
18.05%
124.80
156.00
86.49%
Jul-15
90.40
98.75
9.24%
124.80
156.00
72.57%
Aug-15
97.00
98.75
1.80%
124.80
156.00
60.82%
Sep-15
87.00
98.75
13.51%
124.80
156.00
79.31%
Oct-15
85.75
98.75
15.16%
112.00
140.00
63.27%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
13.31%
FGEN
Feb-15
29.00
24.85
-14.31%
32.43
37.30
28.62%
Mar-15
30.50
24.85
-18.52%
32.43
37.30
22.30%
Apr-15
29.40
24.85
-15.48%
31.30
36.00
22.45%
May-15
27.55
24.85
-9.80%
31.30
36.00
30.67%
Jun-15
25.30
24.85
-1.78%
28.80
36.00
42.29%
Jul-15
26.00
24.85
-4.42%
28.80
36.00
38.46%
Aug-15
26.75
24.85
-7.10%
28.56
35.70
33.46%
Sep-15
23.80
24.85
4.41%
28.56
35.70
50.00%
Oct-15
24.00
24.85
3.54%
27.28
34.10
42.08%
Nov-15
25.20
24.85
-1.39%
27.28
34.10
35.32%
Dec-15
22.00
24.85
12.95%
27.28
34.10
55.00%
Jan-15
22.15
24.85
12.19%
28.43
32.70
47.63%
Feb-16
18.40
24.85
35.05%
28.43
32.70
77.72%
Mar-16
20.90
24.85
18.90%
28.43
32.70
56.46%
Apr-16
21.75
24.85
14.25%
29.30
33.70
54.94%
May-16
19.52
24.85
27.31%
29.30
33.70
72.64%
Jun-16
22.50
24.85
10.44%
29.30
33.70
49.78%
Jul-16
24.85
24.85
0.00%
29.30
33.70
35.61%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
3.68%
GTCAP
Sep-15
1,270.00
1,473.00
15.98%
1226.09
1,410.00
11.02%
Dec-15
1,223.00
1,473.00
20.44%
1226.09
1,410.00
15.29%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
18.21%
Legend:
n Continue Buying
n Stop Buying
Page 5 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
STOCK
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE
TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
BUY BELOW
PRICE
TARGET
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
MBT
Jun-11
50.06
89.00
77.77%
78.88
93.60
86.96%
Jul-11
55.69
89.00
59.83%
78.88
93.60
68.09%
Aug-11
52.85
89.00
68.40%
78.88
93.60
77.11%
Sep-11
50.40
89.00
76.59%
78.88
93.60
85.71%
Oct-11
48.34
89.00
84.13%
78.88
93.60
93.65%
Nov-11
50.33
89.00
76.83%
78.88
93.60
85.97%
Dec-11
47.60
89.00
86.97%
78.88
93.60
96.64%
Jan-12
49.42
89.00
80.09%
83.07
108.00
118.54%
Feb-12
55.23
89.00
61.14%
83.07
108.00
95.55%
Mar-12
61.60
89.00
44.48%
93.91
108.00
75.32%
Apr-12
60.20
89.00
47.84%
93.91
108.00
79.40%
May-12
62.13
89.00
43.26%
93.91
108.00
73.84%
Jun-12
60.55
89.00
46.99%
93.91
108.00
78.36%
Sep-12
65.38
89.00
36.13%
93.91
108.00
65.19%
Oct-12
65.10
89.00
36.71%
104.35
120.00
84.33%
Nov-12
67.24
89.00
32.37%
104.35
120.00
78.48%
Jan-13
72.38
89.00
22.96%
113.04
130.00
79.61%
Feb-13
78.75
89.00
13.02%
129.57
149.00
89.21%
Mar-13
81.90
89.00
8.67%
129.57
149.00
81.93%
Apr-13
82.81
89.00
7.47%
129.57
149.00
79.93%
Jun-13
84.70
89.00
5.08%
129.57
149.00
75.91%
Jul-13
78.89
89.00
12.82%
129.57
149.00
88.87%
Aug-13
77.00
89.00
15.58%
119.20
149.00
93.51%
Sep-13
84.65
89.00
5.14%
91.68
114.60
35.38%
Oct-13
86.95
89.00
2.36%
91.68
114.60
31.80%
Nov-13
80.55
89.00
10.49%
91.68
114.60
42.27%
Dec-13
73.20
89.00
21.58%
91.68
114.60
56.56%
Jan-14
73.75
89.00
20.68%
86.96
100.00
35.59%
Feb-14
79.55
89.00
11.88%
86.96
100.00
25.71%
Mar-14
81.40
89.00
9.34%
86.96
100.00
22.85%
Apr-14
79.70
89.00
11.67%
86.00
100.00
25.47%
May-14
83.50
89.00
6.59%
86.00
100.00
19.76%
Jun-14
85.15
89.00
4.52%
86.00
100.00
17.44%
Aug-14
85.75
89.00
3.79%
96.50
111.00
29.45%
Sep-14
88.00
89.00
1.14%
96.50
111.00
26.14%
Oct-14
83.65
89.00
6.40%
96.50
111.00
32.70%
Nov-14
82.50
89.00
7.88%
96.50
111.00
34.55%
Dec-14
82.95
89.00
7.29%
92.17
106.00
27.79%
Jan-15
88.00
89.00
1.14%
92.17
106.00
20.45%
Feb-15
94.75
89.00
-6.07%
97.39
112.00
18.21%
Jun-15
87.55
89.00
1.66%
86.09
99.00
13.08%
Jan-15
71.00
89.00
25.35%
80.00
92.00
29.58%
Feb-15
72.80
89.00
22.25%
80.00
92.00
26.37%
ESTIMATE GAIN/LOSS
28.52%
Page 6 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
STOCK
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
DATE
BOUGHT
PRICE
BOUGHT
PRICE
TODAY
ESTIMATED
RETURN
BUY BELOW
PRICE
TARGET
PRICE
EXPECTED
GROWTH
MEG
May-13
4.23
4.65
9.93%
4.16
4.78
13.00%
Jun-13
3.67
4.65
26.70%
4.16
4.78
30.25%
Jul-13
3.15
4.65
47.62%
4.16
4.78
51.75%
Aug-13
3.40
4.65
36.76%
4.23
4.87
43.24%
Sep-13
3.21
4.65
44.86%
4.23
4.87
51.71%
Oct-13
3.64
4.65
27.75%
4.23
4.87
33.79%
Nov-13
3.58
4.65
29.89%
4.23
4.87
36.03%
Dec-13
3.23
4.65
43.96%
4.23
4.87
50.77%
Jan-14
3.36
4.65
38.39%
3.95
4.54
35.12%
Feb-14
3.78
4.65
23.02%
4.77
5.48
44.97%
Apr-14
4.43
4.65
4.97%
4.77
5.48
23.70%
May-14
4.65
4.65
0.00%
4.77
5.48
17.85%
Jun-14
4.51
4.65
3.10%
4.77
5.48
21.51%
Jul-14
4.47
4.65
4.03%
4.77
5.48
22.60%
Aug-14
4.26
4.65
9.15%
4.98
5.73
34.51%
Sep-14
4.30
4.65
8.14%
4.98
5.73
33.26%
Feb-15
5.09
4.65
-8.64%
5.10
5.86
15.13%
Jun-15
4.71
4.65
-1.27%
5.10
5.86
24.42%
Sep-15
4.29
4.65
8.39%
5.10
5.86
36.60%
Oct-15
4.47
4.65
4.03%
5.07
5.83
30.43%
Dec-15
4.20
4.65
10.71%
5.07
5.83
38.81%
Jan-16
3.58
4.65
29.89%
4.85
5.58
55.87%
Feb-16
3.44
4.65
35.17%
4.85
5.58
62.21%
Mar-16
4.14
4.65
12.32%
4.85
5.58
34.78%
Apr-16
3.96
4.65
17.42%
4.85
5.58
40.91%
May-16
3.64
4.65
27.75%
4.85
5.58
53.30%
Jun-16
4.50
4.65
3.33%
4.85
5.58
24.00%
Jul-16
4.65
4.65
0.00%
4.85
5.58
20.00%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
10.58%
UBP
May-16
59.00
65.20
10.51%
64.17
77.00
30.51%
ESTIMATE GAIN/
LOSS
10.51%
FUND
NAVPS WHEN
BOUGHT
(01/12/16)
CURRENT NAVPS
(06/29/16)
ESTIMATED RETURN
ACTION TO TAKE
Philequity Fund
31.0639
37.1484
19.59%
Continue buying
4.2155
5.1819
22.92%
Continue buying
4.7707
5.4201
13.61%
Continue buying
3.4805
4.2387
21.78%
Continue buying
Page 78 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
STOCK
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS
Note: The percentage returns cannot be compared between the two tables below. The All Time Winners table does
not take into consideration a cost-averaging method. The percentage return is only from a buy-and-hold strategy.
The 2015 Table however integrates a cost-averaging method throughout the months it was under the Buy-Below.
STOCKS
STOCK
SYMBOL
TIME
RECOMMENDED
ESTIMATED
TIME
HELD
PRICE
RANGE
ESTIMATED
RETURN
Aboitiz Power
AP
16 Months
P36.40 to P43.40
21.32%
Lafarge Republic
Inc.
LRI
20 Months
P11.50 to P10.20
5.88%
Meralco
MER
8 Months
P258.00 to P281
5.73%
STOCK
SYMBOL
TIME
RECOMMENDED
ESTIMATED
TIME
HELD
PRICE
RANGE
ESTIMATED
RETURN
Ayala Land
ALI
9 Months
P15.09 to P21.65
35%
BPI
10 Months
P68.45 to P91.00
34.29%
Ayala Corporation
AC
2 Months
P440.00 to
P520.00
17.65%
SM Prime Holdings
SMPH
10 Months
P12.48 to P17.00
27.75%
Meralco
MER
3 Months
P268.00 to
P377.00
28.05%
First Phlippine
Holdings
FPH
25 Months
P63.18 to P95.20
32.92%%
JG Summit Holdings
JGS
February 12 to October
2013
18 Months
P25.75 to P43.50
39.96%
D&L Industries
DNL
14 Months
P6.45 to P10.00
44%
Banco De Oro
BDO
16 Months
P89.60 to P93.00
24%%
Aboitiz Power
AP
16 Months
P36.40 to P43.40
21.32%
(Disclaimer: Past performance doesnt guarantee that youll have the exact same results in the future. After
all, your earnings all depend on the markets performance.)
Page 8 of 8
THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS THIS IS FOR THE EXCLUSIVE USE OF TRULYRICH CLUB MEMBERS