Well Log Estimates and Condence Intervals B Yusing Articial Neural Networks
Well Log Estimates and Condence Intervals B Yusing Articial Neural Networks
Well Log Estimates and Condence Intervals B Yusing Articial Neural Networks
Summary
Estimation of petrophysical properties of rocks from seismic attributes plays a very important role in dening
reservoir models for reservoir characterization and simulation. How ever,some degree of uncertainty is alw ays
related to such propert yestimates. This w orkpresents
a nonlinear analysis technique, based on articial neural
netw orks,for dealing with the problem of seismic-guide
w ell log estimation and its related uncertainties. Field
data examples demonstrate the potential of the method.
Introduction
Eac htime the neural netw orkis trained and then used
to compute an estimate, an independent sample of the
model space is obtained. After a representativ e amount
of sim ulations,histograms for each point in the v olume
can be computed.
Although, strictly speaking, a very large amount of simulations are required (whic hmakes the procedure very
expensive from a computational poin tof view), an approximate study can be performed by using a moderate
amount of simulations.
The obtained distributions can be considered to be normal. In this manner, a mean value estimate and its standard deviation are computed, from which a relativ e error,
or condence interval, can be obtained.
It is important to notice that this analysis only provides
information about the consistency of the estimation but
not about its bias. In fact, the bias of the estimation can
be only veried at the training locations, where the actual
w ell log information is known. Nevertheless, estimates
for the bias across the whole volume can be computed by
using the biases measured at wells and the same articial
neural netw ork tec hnique described before.
Well B
Well C
1620
20
40
1640
60
1660
80
100
1680
120
1700
260
270
280
290
300
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320
330
340
50
1640
40
30
1660
20
1680
10
1700
260
270
280
290
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310
320
330
340
50
40
1660
30
1680
20
10
1700
260
270
280
290
300
310
320
330
340
It can be seen from the gure how the estimated curves Although very expensive from a computational point
adjust to the actual curves. The correlation coecients
of view, the computation of condence intervals proobtained for the actual and estimated SP curves at wells
vides useful information for interpreting the resulting
A, B and C, were 0:92, 0:83 and 0:72, respectiv ely.
w ell log estimates.
Notice also from gure 4 that the largest relativ e error
values occur at the borders of the section. This suggests
that the estimation technique performs better when inter- Acknowledgments
polating than when extrapolating. This proves the fact
that the a vailabilit y of enough ewll data is of critical im- We thank PDVSA-Intevep for permission to publish this
w ork and Alejandro Valenciano for providing the seismic
portance for the success of the method.
and well log data.
Well A
Well B
1600
1600
1610
1610
1610
1620
1620
1620
1630
1630
1630
1640
1640
1640
1650
1650
1650
1660
1660
1660
1670
1670
1670
1680
1680
1680
1690
1690
1690
1700
150
100
50
1700
150
100
50
References
Well C
1600
1700
150
100
50
Conclusions
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