Aermod - DRM - Course Notes
Aermod - DRM - Course Notes
Aermod - DRM - Course Notes
By
Ashok Kumar
Department of Civil Engineering
University of Toledo
Toledo, OH 43606
April 2004
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The author would like to thank Lakes Environmental Inc. for providing a copy of the
software and the Ohio EPA for providing emission inventory and monitoring data.
Mention of products in this report should not be considered as an endorsement.
OVERVIEW
This course emphasizes the basic elements of AERMOD modeling system that are
needed in modeling negotiations and in managing the modeling projects. The course will
cover the structure, input data requirements, theoretical framework, and the output from
the modeling system. New terms introduced by the AERMOD model will be explained.
The course is intended for environmental managers with little or no familiarity of air
quality modeling. The participants can expect to gain familiarity with 1) AERMOD
modeling system, 2) input data, 3) the theory to compute concentrations under different
conditions, and 4) results for air quality assessment studies. The emphasis during the
course will be on the model inputs that affect the modeling results.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1
1.2
1.3
What is a model?
What is air quality modeling?
AERMOD model and its characteristics
4. CONCENTRATION CALCULATIONS
4.1 Concept of plume penetration
4.2 Plume rise
4.3 Estimation of dispersion coefficients
4.4 Concentration predictions in convective layer
4.5 Concentration predictions in stable layer
4.6 Building Downwash
1. INTRODUCTION
Air Quality Modeling is an attempt to predict or simulate the ambient concentrations of
contaminants in the atmosphere. These models are used primarily as a quantitative tool to
correlate cause and effect of concentration levels found in an area. They are also used to
support laws and/or regulations designed to protect air quality. The models have been the
subjects of extensive evaluation to determine their performance under a variety of
meteorological conditions [1, 2, 3, and 4].
The United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has been working on this
topic over the last three decades. They have proposed a number of models to simulate air
quality under different scenarios [5]. One of the most recent proposals is AERMOD
model for industrial sources. AERMOD will become the EPA preferred regulatory model
[6].
1.1 WHAT IS A MODEL?
A model is a way of expressing the relationship between the different variables of a
system in mathematical terms. Models can be as simple as an algebraic equation or they
could involve solutions of coupled partial differential equations using super computers.
Development of a typical model includes identification of system variables, establishing
relationships between variables, model testing and evaluation using real life data and
revising model equations based on evaluation. This process continues till one is satisfied
with the performance of the model in simulating real life results.
1.2 WHAT IS AIR QUALITY MODELING?
Pollutants are continuously released from numerous sources into the atmosphere. The
pollution sources could be point sources (e.g., stacks or vents), area sources (e.g.,
landfills, ponds, storage piles), or volume sources, (e.g.: conveyers, structures with
multiple vents). The dispersion of the pollutants in the atmosphere emitted from these
sources depends on various factors. These factors can be classified into two main
categories.
Source characteristics:
Emission rate of pollutant
Stack height
Exit velocity of the gas
Exit temperature of the gas
Stack diameter
Meteorological Conditions:
Wind velocity
Wind direction
Ambient temperature
Atmospheric stability
Mixing height
Based on the clean air regulations in the United States, states regulate the pollutant
emissions from the various potential sources. All sources are classified as major
or minor sources based on their amount of emissions released per year. The
resulting concentrations of the pollutant emitted from a source must be
estimated for air quality assessments at different locations around the source.
There are two basic approaches to solve air quality problems from stacks and
vents. They are: (i) theoretical approach, and; (ii) experimental approach. Each
approach has its own advantages and disadvantages.
Theoretical studies include analytical/numerical solutions to several appropriate
equations that represent the physics of the pollutant downwind concentrations.
These equations can be very simple or extremely complex depending upon the
desired accuracy and the need for estimating ground level concentrations.
Obviously, without comparison with real life data, the usefulness of theoretical
models is limited. Air quality models that are developed are compared with
available experimental studies to evaluate the performance of the model.
Experimental studies include field studies, wind tunnel studies, and water tank studies.
Field studies are likely to be most accurate of the two approaches, as they
involve direct measurement of pollutant concentrations at strategically located
receptors. The disadvantage of field studies is that they are expensive to conduct
and typically require long lead times. One cannot place any control on Mother
Nature for a certain condition on a given day. Wind tunnel and water tank
studies are physical simulations of actual field study experiments. Again,
scientists have found that it is extremely expensive to simulate exact external
atmospheric conditions in a typical wind tunnel or water tank study. Specifically,
difficulty is faced in satisfying the conditions of similarities (i.e. scaling
requirements) and the limitation of instruments to measure turbulence, mixing
height, atmospheric stability, and other parameters.
The concentrations of the pollutant at desired locations from an industrial source can be
found by establishing monitoring stations. However, the cost of setting up monitoring
stations at all desired locations around a source is high. Generally, for regulatory work a
modeling approach is an acceptable alternative to determine the resulting concentrations
of a pollutant at various locations around the source. This technique of estimating the
atmospheric dispersion of the pollutant and the resulting concentrations at various
locations using the source characteristics and the meteorological conditions is known as
dispersion modeling. The results from the dispersion modeling are also used in the
preparation of health risk assessments.
A number of dispersion models are available in the Support Center for Regulatory Air
Models (SCRAM) section of the United States Environmental Protection Agency (US
EPA) Internet site for different applications depending on the source type, meteorological
conditions, the type of study and other factors. The US EPA has published guidelines on
choosing air quality models [5]. The various dispersion models are broadly classified into
screening models and refined models. Most of the regulatory dispersion models use either
the Gaussian Plume Algorithm or a variation of Gaussian Plume model.
A widely used air quality model is the Industrial Source Complex (ISC) short term
model. The model provides options to model emissions from a wide range of sources that
might be encountered at a typical industrial source complex. The model accepts hourly
meteorological data records to define the conditions for plume rise, transport, diffusion,
and deposition. The model estimates the concentration or deposition value for each
source and receptor combination for each hour of input meteorology, and calculates user
selected short-term averages. For deposition values, either the dry deposition flux, the
wet deposition flux, or the total deposition flux may be estimated. The total deposition
flux is simply the sum of the dry and wet deposition fluxes at a particular receptor
location. The user also has the option of selecting averages for the entire period of input
meteorology.
Gaussian models are practical, effective and used extensively to date. Their advantages
are:
They produce results that match closely with experimental data,
They incorporate turbulence in an ad-hoc manner,
They are simple in their mathematics,
They are quicker than numerical models, and
They do not require super computers.
1.3 AERMOD MODEL AND ITS CHARACTERISTICS
AERMOD uses a Gaussian and a bi-Gaussian approach in its dispersion models [7]. It
generates daily, monthly as well as annual concentrations of pollutants in ambient air. The
model handles a variety of pollutant sources in a wide variety of settings such as rural and
urban as well as flat and complex terrain. It is an updated version of the Industrial Source
Complex (ISCST3) model being proposed by the USEPA for assessing air quality impact
from industrial sources in coming years. One of the major improvements that AERMOD
brings is its ability to characterize the planetary boundary layer (PBL) through both
surface and mixed layer scaling. The AERMOD model contains many new or improved
algorithms when compared to the ISCST3 model. Some of these are:
Dispersion in both the convective and stable boundary layers,
Plume rise and buoyancy,
Bowen Ratio: The ratio of heat energy used for sensible heating to heat energy
used for latent heating. It varies from one place to another place and depends on
the amount of surface moisture. The ratio is relatively high for a dry surface as
compared to a moist surface. This is due to the fact that much of the absorbed
solar radiation is used to vaporize water.
Coriolis Force: A deflective force arising from the rotation of earth on its axis.
Insolation: Incoming solar radiation.
Mechanical Turbulence: Irregular, random motion of air triggered by obstacles
and surface irregularities in the path of air flow.
Meteorology: Scientific study of atmosphere and atmospheric processes.
Turbulence: Irregular, random motions of air.
Albedo: The fraction of the incoming solar radiation reflected and scattered
back to the atmosphere.
Table: Albedo of some common surface type
SEASONS
General
Values
LAND
USE
TYPE
0.03-1.0
Water surface
0.15-0.20
Deciduous forest
Coniferous forest
Swamp
0.05-0.15
Cultivated land
Grassland
0.16-0.26
Urban
Desert shrub land
0.25-0.30
Fresh snow
0.75-0.95
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Winter
0.12
0.10
0.14
0.20
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.50
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.14
0.12
0.16
0.35
0.30
0.14
0.20
0.18
0.60
0.18
0.18
0.20
0.60
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.35
0.30
0.28
0.28
0.45
Complex Terrain: Terrain exceeding the height of the stack being modeled.
DEM Digital Elevation Model. Digital files that contain terrain elevations
typically at a consistent interval across a standard region of the Earths surface.
Dispersion Model: A set of mathematical relationships used to estimate (model)
the dispersion of pollutants in the atmosphere due to advection and
atmospheric/plume turbulence.
Emission Factor: An estimate of the rate at which a pollutant is released to the
atmosphere per unit of activity.
Episode: High increase in pollution levels caused by natural atmospheric
conditions.
Flagpole Receptor: A receptor located above ground level.
Fugitive Dust: Dust discharged to the atmosphere from uncontrolled sources such
as unpaved roads, storage piles and heavy construction operations.
GMT: Greenwich Mean Time, the time at the 0 o meridian.
Inversion Condition: An increase in ambient air temperature with height.
ISCST: Industrial Source Complex Short Term Dispersion Model.
Lee side: The lee side of a building is the side that is sheltered from the wind.
Monin-Obukhov Length: A constant, characteristic length scale for any
particular example of flow. It is negative in unstable conditions (upward heat
flux), positive for stable conditions, and approach infinity as the actual lapse rate
for ambient air reaches the dry adiabatic lapse rate.
MSDS: Material Safety Data Sheet.
NWS: National Weather Service.
Atmosphere Administration.
Regulatory Model: A dispersion model that has been approved for use by the
U.S. EPA, and is listed in the latest edition of Guideline on Air Quality Models.
Screening Technique: It is a relatively simple analysis technique to determine the
air quality impact of a given source in a short time frame. Concentration estimates
from screening techniques are conservative in nature.
Simple Terrain: An area where terrain heights are all lower in elevation than the
top of the stack of the source.
Stagnation: A calm condition lasting more then 36 hours.
Upper Air Data (or soundings): Meteorological data obtained from balloonborne instrumentation that provides information on pressure, temperature,
humidity and wind away from the surface of the earth. Assists in developing
vertical profiles of different meteorological parameter.
U.S. EPA: United States Environmental Protection Agency.
Vertical Potential Temperature Gradient: The change of potential temperature
with height. A positive value indicates a stable atmosphere and means that
potential temperature increases with height.
Wind Profile Exponent: The value used to specify the profile of wind speed with
height according to the power law.
Worst Case: The maximum exposure, dose, or risk that can conceivably happen
in an area due to an emission source.
In the Meteorology pathway the model uses a file of surface boundary layer parameters
and a file of profile variables including wind speed, wind direction, and turbulence
parameters. These meteorological inputs are generated by the meteorological
preprocessor AERMET described later on in the report.
In the Terrain Grid pathway the user may either use the terrain grid input file or may
leave the option. In case the option is used, the user is required to specify the location of
the terrain grid file in UTM coordinates.
Output pathway of this model allows producing the following types of output data: i)
summaries of high values by receptor for each averaging period and source group
combination, ii) summaries of overall maximum values for each averaging period and
source group combination, and iii) concurrent value tables summarized by receptor for
each averaging period and source group combination for each day of data processed.
3.1 AERMET and AERMAP
The module AERMET [8] uses meteorological data and surface characteristics to
calculate boundary layer parameters such as mixing height and friction velocity, needed
by AERMOD. Data must be representative of the meteorology in the modeling domain
irrespective of whether it is on-site or off-site data. National Weather Service (NWS)
hourly surface observations, NWS twice-daily upper air soundings and data from an onsite meteorological measurement program can be processed in AERMET. Hourly surface
data is available in SCRAM format (see www.webmet.com), SAMSON format (visit
www.webmet.com), CD-144, HUSWO, TD-3505, TD-3280 (Fixed Block) and TD-3280
(Variable Block) format (see www.ncdc.gov). Upper air data is available in TD 6201
AERMOD Format (www.webmet.com), SCRAM format (www.webmet.com), NCDC
TD-6201 format, and FSL format (www.ncdc.gov). AERMET processes meteorological
data in three stages. Stage 1 extracts hourly surface data and upper air soundings from
data files and processes the data through quality assessment checks on variables of
interest. Stage 2 processing combines the different sources of data into one file composed
of blocks of 24-hour data. The 24-hour blocks begin with hour 1 and end with hour 24. If
any input data to this stage of processing are physically missing for the hour, then the
appropriate missing value indicator represents the meteorological variables for that hour.
In Stage 3, the boundary layer parameters are estimated for use by dispersion models.
The input file to Stage 3 is the merged data collected in Stage 2. Stage 3 creates the two
output files for AERMOD, the Surface File and the Profile File.
The module AERMAP [9] uses gridded terrain data for the modeling area to calculate a
representative terrain-influence height associated with each receptor location. AERMAP
requires two types of input data files. The first input runstream file that directs the actions
of AERMAP through a set of options defines the receptor locations and specifies the
input and output file names. The second type of input data needed to run AERMAP is the
Digital Elevation Model (DEM) data obtained from the United States Geological Survey
(USGS). During setup processing AERMAP checks all of the sources and receptors
specified to ensure that they lie within the domain, and therefore, within the area covered
by the DEM files. If a receptor is found to lie outside the domain, or if the domain
extends beyond the area covered by the DEM data, AERMAP generates a fatal error
message, and further processing of the data is aborted.
3.2 COORDINATE SYSTEMS
The modeling may be performed using the usual x-y coordinate system or the Universal
Transverse Mercator (UTM) system. A typical x-y coordinate system is not based on a
geographic standard. For example, a facility may refer its coordinate system based on a
local set datum. The main stack may be used as a reference point with coordinates of 0, 0
m. All site measurements (facility buildings and sources) are then related spatially to this
origin.
However, local coordinates do not give an idea of the location of the facility on a map.
Therefore, it is advantageous to consider a geographic coordinate system such as the
Universal Transverse Mercator system. UTM system will precisely give the location of
the facility. The Universal Transverse Mercator coordinate system uses meters as its basic
unit of measurement and is more precise than latitude/longitude in defining a location.
Use the same horizontal datum in defining sources, buildings, and receptors. Defining
some locations based on a NAD27 (North American datum of 1927) while defining
others within a NAD83 (North American datum of 1983) can lead to significant errors in
relative locations.
3.3 TERRAIN
Terrain elevation is defined as the elevation relative to the facility base elevation. Air
quality modeling results are impacted by terrain elevations. The degree of impact
depends on type of terrain.
Two types of terrain used in AERMOD are discussed below:
1. Simple Terrain: Simple terrain is used where the terrain elevations for the surrounding
area are not above the top of the stack being evaluated in the air modeling. The Simple
terrain can be divided into two categories: i) Simple Flat Terrain is used where terrain
elevations are assumed not to exceed stack base elevation. If this option is used, then
terrain height is considered to be 0.0 m, and ii) Simple Elevated Terrain is used where
terrain elevations exceed stack base but are below stack height.
2. Complex Terrain: In this case, the terrain elevations for the surrounding area, defined
as anywhere within 50 km from the stack, are above the top of the stack being evaluated.
AERMAP is the digital terrain pre-processor for the AERMOD model. It analyzes and
prepares digital terrain data for use by AERMOD. AERMAP requires that the digital
terrain data files be in native (non SDTS) USGS 1-degree or 7.5-minute DEM format.
Digital elevation terrain data is available for the U.S. from a number of vendors in several
different formats.
3.4 SURFACE ROUGHNESS
AERMOD allows wind direction dependent surface characteristics to be used in the
processing of the meteorological data. The AERMET procedure uses the area-weighted
average of the land use with 3 km of the site.
Table: Surface Roughness Heights for Land Use Types and Seasons (meters)
SEASONS
LAND USE TYPE
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Winter
Water surface
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
0.0001
Deciduous forest
1.00
1.30
0.80
0.50
Coniferous forest
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.30
Swamp
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.05
Cultivated land
0.03
0.20
0.05
0.01
Grassland
0.05
0.10
0.01
0.001
Urban
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.15
AERMOD incorporates the plume rise equations for the following cases:
1. Convective boundary layer
a. No penetration of the plume
b. Complete penetration of the plume
c. Partial penetration of the plume
2. Stable boundary layer
a. General plume rise equation as a function of downwind distance
b. Final rise of stable plume
c. Plume rise under near neutral condition
d. Plume rise under calm condition
In order to perform these calculations, stability parameter N and penetration parameter Ps
have been introduced.
The figure given below shows the plume rise for calm conditions and crosswind
conditions.
REFERENCES:
1. R. M. Riswadkar and A. Kumar, "Evaluation of the ISC Short Term Model in a
Large-Scale Multiple Source Region for Different Stability Classes", Env.
Monitoring and Assessment, pp 1-14, 1994.
2. A. Kumar, J. Luo and G. Bennett, "Statistical Evaluation of Lower Flammability
Distance (LFD) using Four Hazardous Release Models", Process Safety Progress,
12 (1), pp 1-11, 1993.
3. V.C. Patel and A. Kumar, Evaluation of Three Air Dispersion Models: ISCST2,
ISCLT2, and SCREEN2 for Mercury Emissions in an Urban Area, Env.
Monitoring and Assessment, 53, pp 259-277, 1998.
4. R. J. Paine, R. F. Lee, R.W. Brode, R. B. Wilson, A. J Cimorelli, S.G. Perry, J.C.
Weil, A. Venkatram and W.D. Peters, Model Evaluation Results for AERMOD
(12/17/98 Draft), Prepared for Environmental Protection Agency, Research
Triangle Park, NC, 1998.
5. U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Revision to the Guideline on Air quality
Models: Adoption of a Preferred Long Range Transport Model and Other
Revisions, 40 CFR Part 51, April 15, 2003.
6. U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Availability of Additional Documents
Relevant to Anticipated Revisions to the Guideline on Air Quality Models
Addressing a preferred General Purpose (Flat and Complex Terrain) Dispersion
Model and Other Revisions, Federal Register, Volume 68, Number 173, pp
52934-52935, September 8, 2003.
7. U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Users Guide for AMS/EPA Regulatory
Model AERMOD, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Emissions,
Monitoring, and Analysis Division, pp 1-228, 2002.
8. U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Users Guide for the AERMOD
Meteorological Preprocessor (AERMET): Draft, 1998.
9. U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, User's Guide for the AERMOD Terrain
Preprocessor (AERMAP): Draft, 1998.