Business Valuation
Business Valuation
Business Valuation
6
01
-2
US
AB
LL
SY
STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE
MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS
VALUATION FINAL
STUDY NOTES
Published by :
Directorate of Studies
The Institute of Cost Accountants of India (ICAI)
CMA Bhawan, 12, Sudder Street, Kolkata - 700 016
www.icmai.in
Syllabus Structure
A Strategic Performance Management 50%
B Business Valuation 50%
B A
50% 50%
ASSESSMENT STRATEGY
There will be written examination paper of three hours
OBJECTIVES
To understand the tools for application and measurement of performance for strategic decision making. To develop
and present appropriate strategies taking into consideration the risk profile of the organization.
To gain knowledge of the application of valuation principles and techniques in business environment.
Learning Aims
The syllabus aims to test the students ability to:
Understand the relevance of performance management for strategic decision-making
Develop skill to interpret, evaluate and recommend strategies for decision making to have competitive
advantage.
Application of Econometric tools for performance management
Evaluate the risks associated with strategies of an organization
An easy introduction to the concept of business valuation
A complete overview of the existing business valuation models
An understanding of the importance of various assumptions underlying the valuation models
An easy-to-understand explanation of various business valuation techniques
A discussion on valuation of assets and liabilities, whether tangible or intangible, apparent or contingent.
Note: Subjects related to applicable statutes shall be read with amendments made from time to time.
Section A : Strategic Performance Management 50%
1. Conceptual Framework of Performance Management
2. Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools
3. Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis
4. Enterprise Risk Management
Section B: Business Valuation 50%
5. Business Valuation Basics
6. Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions
7. Fair Value in Accounting Measurement
8. Valuation of Intangibles
SECTION A : STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT [50 MARKS]
Introduction
Performance management is a continuous process of identifying, measuring and developing performance in
organizations by linking each individuals performance and objectives to the organizations overall mission and
goals. Lets consider each of the definitions two main components:
1. Continuous process: Performance management is ongoing. It involves a never-ending process of setting goals
and objectives, observing performance, and giving and receiving ongoing coaching and feedback.
2. Link to mission and goals: Performance management requires managers to ensure that employees activities
and outputs are congruent with the organisations goals and, consequently, help the organisation gain a
competitive business advantage. Performance Management therefore creates a direct link between
employee performance and organizational goals, and makes the employees contribution to the organization
explicit.
Note that many organizations have what is labeled a performance management system. However, we must
distinguish between performance management and performance Appraisal.
In a knowledge economy, organizations rely heavily on their intangible assets to build value. Consequently,
performance management at the individual employee level is essential and the business case for implementing
a system to measure and improve employee performance is strong. Management time and effort to increase
performance not only meets this goal; it also decreases turnover rates. How do we manage performance within the
organization? The most common part of the process, and the one with which we are most familiar, is the process
of the performance appraisal, or evaluation. In this chapter, we will use the phrases performance
evaluation, performance appraisal, and appraisal interchangeably. However, the performance
appraisal process is not the only thing thats done in performance management.
Performance management is the process of identifying, measuring, managing, and developing the
performance of the human resources in an organization. Basically we are trying to figure out how
well employees perform and then to ultimately improve that performance level. When used correctly,
performance management is a systematic analysis and measurement of worker performance
(including communication of that assessment to the individual) that we use to improve performance
over time.
Performance appraisal, on the other hand, is the ongoing process of evaluating employee performance.
Performance appraisals are reviews of employee performance over time, so appraisal is just one piece
of performance management.
The terms performance management and performance appraisal are sometimes used
3. Feedback on the Performance followed by personal counseling and performance facilitation: Feedback and
counseling is given a lot of importance in the performance management process. This is the stage in which
the employee acquires awareness from the appraiser about the areas of improvements and also information
on whether the employee is contributing the expected levels of performance or not. The employee receives
an open and a very transparent feedback and along with this the training and development needs of the
employee is also identified. The appraiser adopts all the possible steps to ensure that the employee meets the
expected outcomes for an organization through effective personal counseling and guidance, mentoring and
representing the employee in training programs which develop the competencies and improve the overall
productivity.
4. Rewarding good performance: This is a very vital component as it will determine the work motivation of an
employee. During this stage, an employee is publicly recognized for good performance and is rewarded. This
stage is very sensitive for an employee as this may have a direct influence on the self esteem and achievement
orientation. Any contributions duly recognized by an organization helps an employee in coping up with the
failures successfully and satisfies the need for affection.
5. Performance Improvement Plans: In this stage, fresh set of goals are established for an employee and new
deadline is provided for accomplishing those objectives. The employee is clearly communicated about the
areas in which the employee is expected to improve and a stipulated deadline is also assigned within which
the employee must show this improvement. This plan is jointly developed by the appraise and the appraiser
and is mutually approved.
6. Potential Appraisal: Potential appraisal forms a basis for both lateral and vertical movement of employees. By
implementing competency mapping and various assessment techniques, potential appraisal is performed.
Potential appraisal provides crucial inputs for succession planning and job rotation.
The concepts of productivity and efficiency have received a great deal of attention in many countries and
organizations and by individuals in recent years. In an organizational context, productivity and efficiency reflects
overall performance. This could lead to increases or decreases in shareholders wealth. Hence, governments,
economists and professionals are concerned with defining and measuring the concepts of productivity and
efficiency.
At a basic level, productivity examines the relationship between input and output in a given production process.
Thus, productivity is expressed in an output versus input formula for measuring production activities. It does not
merely define the volume of output, but output obtained in relation to the resources employed. In this context, the
productivity of the firm can be defined as a ratio as shown in equation 1.
Output(s)
Productivity = .............. (1)
Input(s)
The concept of productivity is closely related with that of efficiency. While the terms productivity and efficiency
are often used interchangeably, efficiency does not have the same precise meaning as does productivity. While
efficiency is also defined in terms of a comparison of two components (inputs and outputs), the highest productivity
level from each input level is recognized as the efficient situation. Further suggest that efficiency reflects the ability
of a firm to obtain maximum output from a given set of inputs. If a firm is obtaining maximum output from a set of
inputs, it is said to be an efficient firm.
Alternative ways of improving the productivity of the firm, for example, are by producing goods and services
with fewer inputs or producing more output from the same quantity of inputs. Thus, increasing productivity implies
either more output is produced with the same amount of inputs or that fewer inputs are required to produce the
same level of output. The highest productivity (efficient point) is achieved when maximum output is obtained for
a particular input level. Hence, productivity growth encompasses changes in efficiency, and increasing efficiency
definitely raises productivity. Consequently, if the productivity growth of an organization is higher than that of its
competitors, or other firms, that firm performs better and is considered to be more efficient.
Financial performance analysis is the process of identifying the financial strengths and weaknesses of the firm
by properly establishing the relationship between the items of balance sheet and profit and loss account. It also
helps in short-term and long term forecasting and growth can be identified with the help of financial performance
analysis. The dictionary meaning of analysis is to resolve or separate a thing in to its element or components parts
for tracing their relation to the things as whole and to each other. The analysis of financial statement is a process of
evaluating the relationship between the component parts of financial statement to obtain a better understanding
of the firms position and performance. This analysis can be undertaken by management of the firm or by parties
outside the firm namely, owners, creditors, investors.
In short, the firm itself as well as various interested groups such as managers, shareholders, creditors, tax authorities,
and others seeks answers to the following important questions:
1. What is the financial position of the firm at a given point of time?
2. How is the Financial Performance of the firm over a given period of time?
T
It
(1 + R)
t =1
t 1
=0 (t = 1,2,3,....., T , r R < 1, 0 < r < 1)
Illustration: Let long-term price = `100 per unit with anticipated inflation @ 5% p.a. for a project involving a new
machinery which is loan-financed as shown in the table below. 90% of sales are realized every year and balance
next year. Rest figures in the table are self-explanatory. The table shows net inflow totaling ` 352 lakhs over 10 years
with investment of ` 1,012 lakhs. Periodicities of these data make R = 16%. It follows in this illustration that different
prices yields different values of R (11th year with balance realization therein are ignored).
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
Output (Units) 6 22 35 35 35 35 28 12 5 213
Inflows
Receipts from trade debtors 540 2,139 3,711 4,059 4,280 4,496 3,877 1,950 882 25,933
Receipts from machinery scrapping 122 122
Total Inflow -- 540 2,139 3,711 4,059 4,280 4,496 3,877 1,950 1,004 26,055
Outflows
Down payment to machinery supplier 150 150
Loan repayments 100 105 112 122 125 140 158 862
Payments to trade creditors 435 1,745 2,934 3,282 3,328 3,409 3,117 1,667 874 20,791
Total Outflow 162 690 2,210 3,601 4,010 4,074 4,192 3,810 1,933 1,021 25,703
Net Inflow (162) (150) (71) 110 49 206 304 67 17 (17) 352
Receipts from issue of equity shares 150 150
Loan (aganist machinery) 862 862
Cash Balance 850 700 629 739 787 993 1,297 1,364 1,381 1,364 1,364
However, financial statements do not reveal all the information related to the financial operations of a firm, but
they furnish some extremely useful information, which highlights two important factors profitability and financial
soundness. Thus analysis of financial statements is an important aid to financial performance analysis. Financial
performance analysis includes analysis and interpretation of financial statements in such a way that it undertakes
full diagnosis of the profitability and financial soundness of the business.
The analysis of financial statements is a process of evaluating the relationship between component parts of
financial statements to obtain a better understanding of the firms position and performance.
The financial performance analysis identifies the financial strengths and weaknesses of the firm by properly
establishing relationships between the items of the balance sheet and profit and loss account. The first task is to
select the information relevant to the decision under consideration from the total information contained in the
financial statements. The second is to arrange the information in a way to highlight significant relationships. The
final is interpretation and drawing of inferences and conclusions. In short, financial performance analysis is the
process of selection, relation, and evaluation.
Areas of Financial Performance Analysis
Financial analysts often assess firms production and productivity performance, profitability performance, liquidity
performance, working capital performance, fixed assets performance, fund flow performance and social
performance. Financial health is measured from the following perspectives:
1. Working capital Analysis
2. Financial structure Analysis
3. Activity Analysis
4. Profitability Analysis
Significance of Financial Performance Analysis
Interest of various related groups is affected by the financial performance of a firm. Therefore, these groups
analyze the financial performance of the firm. The type of analysis varies according to the specific interest of the
party involved.
A. Material used: On the basis of material used financial performance can be analyzed in following two ways:
1. External analysis
This analysis is undertaken by the outsiders of the business namely investors, credit agencies, government
agencies, and other creditors who have no access to the internal records of the company. They mainly
use published financial statements for the analysis and as it serves limited purposes.
2. Internal analysis
This analysis is undertaken by the persons namely executives and employees of the organization or by
the officers appointed by government or court who have access to the books of account and other
information related to the business.
B. Modus operandi: On the basis of modus operandi financial performance can be analyze in the following two
ways:
1. Horizontal Analysis
In this type of analysis financial statements for a number of years are reviewed and analyzed. The current
years figures are compared with the standard or base year and changes are shown usually in the form of
percentage. This analysis helps the management to have an insight into levels and areas of strength and
weaknesses. This analysis is also called Dynamic Analysis as it based on data from various years.
2. Vertical Analysis
In this type of Analysis study is made of quantitative relationship of the various items of financial statements
a particular date. This analysis is useful in comparing the performance of several companies in the same
group, or divisions or departments in the same company. This analysis is not much helpful in proper analysis
of firms financial position because it depends on the data for one period. This analysis is also called Static
Analysis as it based on data from one date or for one accounting period.
For the balance sheet, the common size percentages are referenced to the total assets. The following sample
balance sheet shows both the rupee amounts and the common size ratios:
The above common size statements are prepared in a vertical analysis, referencing each line on the financial
statement to a total value on the statement in a given period.
The ratios in common size statements tend to have less variation than the absolute values themselves, and trends
in the ratios can reveal important changes in the business. Historical comparisons can be made in a time-series
analysis to identify such trends.
Common size statements also can be used to compare the firm to other firms.
Comparisons between Companies (Cross-Sectional Analysis)
Common size financial statements can be used to compare multiple companies at the same point in time. A
common-size analysis is especially useful when comparing companies of different sizes. It often is insightful to
compare a firm to the best performing firm in its industry (benchmarking). A firm also can be compared to its
industry as a whole. To compare to the industry, the ratios are calculated for each firm in the industry and an
average for the industry is calculated. Comparative statements then may be constructed with the company of
interest in one column and the industry averages in another. The result is a quick overview of where the firm stands
in the industry with respect to key items on the financial statements.
Limitation
As with financial statements in general, the interpretation of common size statements is subject to many of the
limitations in the accounting data used to construct them. For example:
Different accounting policies may be used by different firms or within the same firm at different points in time.
Adjustments should be made for such differences.
Different firms may use different accounting calendars, so the accounting periods may not be directly
comparable.
3. Trend Analysis
Trend analysis indicates changes in an item or a group of items over a period of time and helps to drawn the
conclusion regarding the changes in data. In this technique, a base year is chosen and the amount of item
for that year is taken as one hundred for that year. On the basis of that the index numbers for other years are
calculated. It shows the direction in which concern is going.
Supply Chain Management encompasses the planning and management of all activities involved in sourcing,
procurement, conversion and logistics management activities. Importantly, it also includes coordination and
collaboration with channel partners, which can be suppliers, intermediaries, third party service providers, and
customers. In essence, Supply chain Management integrates supply and demand management within and
across companies.
The Supply Chain Management Program integrates topics from manufacturing operations, purchasing,
transportation, and physical distribution into a unified program. The following figure gives clear view of the Supply
Chain Management.
In a typical supply chain, raw materials are procured and items are produced at one or more factories, shipped
to warehouses for intermediate storage, and then shipped to retailers or customers. Consequently, to reduce
cost and improve service levels, effective supply chain strategies must take into account the interactions at the
various levels in the supply chain. The supply chain , which is also referred to as the Logistic Network, consists of
suppliers, manufacturing centers, warehouses, distribution centers, and retail outlets, as well as raw material, work
in- process inventory, and finished product that flow between the facilities.
Thus, we can define the Supply Chain Management as follows:
Supply chain management is a set of approaches utilized to efficiently integrate suppliers, manufactures,
warehouses and stores, so that merchandise is produce and distributed at the right quantities, to the right locations,
and at the right time, in order to minimize system wide costs while satisfying service level requirements.
Objective of Supply Chain Management:
i. Supply chain Management takes into consideration every facility that has an impact on cost and plays a role
in making the product conform to customer requirements: from supplier and manufacturing facilities through
warehouses and distribution centers to retailers and stores.
ii. The supply chain management is to be efficient and cost effective across the entire system; total system wide
costs from transportation and distribution to inventories of raw materials, work in- process and finished goods
1. Plan: This is the strategic portion of SCM. You need a strategy for managing all the resources that go toward
the meeting customer demand for your product and services.
2. Source: Choose the suppliers that will deliver the goods and services you need to create your product.
Develop a set of pricing, delivery and payment processes with suppliers and create metrics for monitoring
and improving the relationships.
3. Make: This is the manufacturing step. Schedule the activities necessary for production, testing, packaging and
preparation for delivery.
4. Deliver: This is the part that many insiders refer to as logistics. Coordinate the receipt of orders from customers,
develop a network of warehouses, pick carriers to get products to customers and set up an invoicing system
to receive payments.
5. Return: The problem part of the supply chain. Create a network for receiving defective and excess products
back from customers and supporting customers who have problems with delivered products.
Development of Supply Chain Management:
The development of chain is the set of activities and processes associated with new product introduction. It
includes the product design phase, the associated capabilities and knowledge that need to be developed
internally, sourcing decisions and production Plans. Specifically, the development chain includes decisions such as
product architecture; what to make internally and what to buy from outside suppliers, that is, make /buy decisions;
supplier selection; early supplier involvement; and strategic partnerships.
The development and supply chains intersect at the production point. It is clear that the characteristics of and
decisions made in the development chain will have an impact on the Supply Chain. Similarly, it is intuitively clear
that the characteristics of the supply chain must have an impact on product design strategy and hence on the
development chain.
To make matters worse, in many organizations, additional chains intersect with both the development and the
supply chains. These may include the reverse logistics chain, that is, the chain associated with returns of products
or components, as well as the spare parts chain. We illustrate how the consideration of these characteristics
leads to the development of frameworks to assist in matching product strategies.
Global optimization is made even more difficult because supply chains need to be designed for, and operated in,
uncertain environments, thus creating sometimes enormous risks to the organization. A variety of factors contribute
to this:
1. Matching Supply and Demand: It is a major challenge:
a. Boeing Aircraft announced a write-down of $ 2.6 billion in October 1997 due to Raw Material Shortages
internal and supplier parts shortages and productivity inefficiencies.
b. Second quarter sales at U.S. surgical Corporation declined 25 percent, resulting in a Loss of $22 million. The
sales and earnings shortfall is attributed to larger than anticipated inventories on the shelves of hospitals.
c. Intel, the worlds largest chip maker, reported a 38 percent decline in quarterly profit Wednesday in the
face of stiff competition from Advanced Micro Devices and a general slowdown in the personal computer
market that caused inventories to swell.
Obviously, this difficulty stems from the fact those months before demand is realized; manufacturers have
to commit themselves to specific production levels. These advance commitments imply huge financial and
supply risks.
2. Inventory and back Order levels fluctuate considerably across the supply chain: Even when customer
demand for specific products does not vary greatly. To illustrate this issue, consider the above figure, which
suggests that in typical supply chain, distributors orders to the factory fluctuate far more than the underlying
retailer demand.
3. Forecasting does not solve the problem: Indeed, we will argue that the first principle of forecasting is that
Forecasts are always wrong. Thus, it is impossible to predict the precise demand for a specific item, even with
the most advanced forecasting technique.
4. Demand is not the only source of uncertainty: Delivery leads times, manufacturing yields, transportation
times, and component availability also can have significant chain impact.
5. Recent trends such as lean manufacturing, outsourcing and off shoring that focus on cost reduction increases
risk significantly.
For example, consider an automotive manufacturer whose parts suppliers are in Canada and Mexico. With little
uncertainty in transportation and a stable supply schedule, parts can be delivered to assembly plants Just In-
Time (JIT) based on fixed production schedules. However, in the event of an unforeseen disaster, such as the
September 11 terrorist attacks, Port strikes, January, 26, 2001 earth quake in the India, state of Gujarat, etc, JIT is
not maintainable.
Parts of CRM:
The complete description of how CRM functions in a company would be too complex, that is why authors only
describe basic division into parts and their characterization. Buttle calls this types of CRM, but other authors incline
to a view by Dohnal that describes this as three parts of CRM application architecture: analytical, operative and
collaborative. In order for any action in CRM to be successful it requires consistent data about customers which
will be accessible to every employee of a company. That is also highly demanding on a technology providing
CRM in a company.
Analytical CRM
The purpose of analytical CRM is customer data analysis, its evaluation, modeling and prediction of customer
behaviour. In real life situation the analytical CRM can for example gather all the data about customers inquiring
a specific product by using data mining (tool for data gathering), what services they purchased right away and
what services they purchased eventually. It can find patterns in their behaviour and propose next steps during up-
selling or cross-selling. It can evaluate efficiency of a marketing campaign, propose prices or even develop and
propose new products. This way analytical CRM serves as some sort of help during decision making, e.g. manuals
for employees working in services concerned with how to react to certain customers behaviour.
Operative CRM
Operative CRM mainly supports the actual contact with customers conducted by front office workers and general
automation of business processes including sales of products, services and marketing. All communication with the
customer is tracked and stored in the database and if necessary it is effectively provided to users (workers). The
advantage of this approach being the possibility to communicate with various employees using various channels
but creating the feeling that customer is being taken care of by just one person. It can also minimize the time that
the worker has to spend typing the information and administrating (the data is shared). This allows the company
to increase the efficiency of their employees work and they are then able to serve more customers.
Collaborative CRM
Collaborative CRM enables all companies along the distribution channel, as well as all departments in a company,
to work together and share information about customers, even speaks about partner relationship management
(PRM). But sometimes we might see a rivalry between departments that undermines efforts of CRM to share relevant
data throughout the whole company (e.g. information from help line can help the marketing department choose
a point on which it will focus during the next campaign). The goal of collaborative CRM then is maximum sharing
of relevant information acquired by all departments with the focus on increasing the quality of services provided
to customers. The ultimate outcome of this process should be an increase in customers utility and his loyalty .
Information technology plays an important role in the concept of CRM. Without its smooth function the modern
CRM would be unimaginable. But it is not only the technology that is important. Company must be willing and able
to adopt the whole philosophy which puts the main focus on the customer. It must adopt the strategy focused on
establishing and supporting long-term relationship with customers. Failure in following this philosophy and strategy
leads to a failure of whole CRM implementation.
An example will demonstrate the entire CRM process and its use. The basis of every CRM system is data about
customers that is stored transparently by all departments in one huge data warehouse. Analytical CRM works with
Customer Profitability
Over the last 10 years, strategic cost management and activity-based costing (ABC) have created a framework
for companies to examine more closely the drivers (or causes) of their costs in order to improve management
decisions and corporate profitability. Companies initially focused on product profitability are now using ABC and
other models to examine further the profitability of distribution channels and customers.
Simultaneously, many companies are exploring the drivers of profit and success through the use of the balanced
scorecard. Whichever model is used initially, determining customer profitability requires a clearer understanding of
the causes of the revenues and the costs. This guideline provides details of company experiences in examining the
causal relationships between the drivers of customer satisfaction and customer revenues as well as in measuring
the profitability and costs of servicing existing customers.
Expanding global competition is one reason behind the increased concern for customer profitability. Companies
worldwide are being pressured to become more customer focused and to increase shareholder value. Customer
profitability analysis is a useful tool in both areas.
Increasing customer Focus
Many companies are convinced that improving corporate profitability requires more customer contact and
closer customer relationships. Further, many marketing professionals have directed recent attention to increasing
customer satisfaction, primarily examining the links between overall satisfaction and revenues. Meanwhile,
accountants have traditionally focused on cost reduction. Customer profitability analysis attempts to bring
together marketing and accounting professionals to analyze, manage, and improve customer profitability.
Companies are attempting to understand better and to satisfy present and future customer demands. However,
the goal is to increase customer satisfaction profitably. The analysis presented here, relying on ABC and other
tools, can direct managerial attention to areas of improvement that can lead to greater customer and corporate
profits. An ABC system is not the only means to measure customer profitability, but merely one of several tools that
can be used.
Since ABC provides a better understanding of the profitability of products and services, companies have started
to use the same approach to understand the profitability of customers. Following an ABC analysis, companies can
examine the customer profitability information and determine how to man- age customer relationships in order
to increase customer satisfaction and the profitability of both individual customers and customer segments. The
ABC analysis often provides information leading to such improved relationships that the profitability of both the
company and its customers is increased.
Companies have been using improved information technology and large databases to help refine marketing
efforts. Marketing tools and IT systems now permit companies to target individual customers and customer groups
with pinpoint accuracy and to determine whether or not a customer spends enough to warrant the marketing
effort. For example, at Federal Express, customers who spend a lot of money but demand little customer service
and marketing investment are treated differently than those who spend just as much but cost more to maintain.
In addition, the company no longer markets aggressively to those customers who spend little and show few signs
of spending more in the future. This change in strategy has substantially reduced costs.
Increasing shareholder value
As the interest in increasing customer satisfaction has grown, so has the interest in increasing shareholder value.
Companies are competing globally not only for customers, labourers, and suppliers, but also for capital. This has
caused companies to concentrate on satisfying investors and lenders through an increase in shareholder value.
Customer satisfaction, loyalty, and value
Recently, many companies have looked to the service profit chain model (see Figure below) to help them
understand the causal relationships between employees and customers and the impact on revenue growth and
firm profitability. Among the relationships that have been documented and measured in this model are:
Customer satisfaction and loyalty;
The value of services and goods delivered to customers;
Employee satisfaction, loyalty, and productivity;
Employee capabilities that aid in delivering outstanding results to customers.
Solution:
Statement showing the customer profitability
Particulars Computation A B C D
Revenue net of discount (a*b) 1,20,000 2,40,000 1,00,000 1,40,000
Less: Costs:
Sales Visits (c*h) 6,300 6,300 10,500 21,000
Order Processing (d*i) 12,000 36,000 30,000 24,000
Product Handling (a*j) 18,000 24,000 30,000 21,000
Delivery (e*f*k) 4,800 11,200 5,000 15,000
Rush Delivery (g*l) -- 6,000 2,000 4,000
Operating Profit 78,900 1,56,500 22,500 55,000
Operating Profit/ Net Revenue 66% 65% 23% 39%
From the above computation we get that C and D are less profitable than A and B. Such an analysis may show the
Pareto curve effect, i.e. , 20% of customer provide 80% of the profit. This 80:20 rule, first observed by Vilfredo Pareto,
may vary, say 70:30 for different firms, and for different items like stock holding , costs, cost drivers in Overhead cost.
Answer:
(d) transformation
Question 17.
_______ is the design of seamless value-added processes across organization boundaries to meet the real needs
of the end customer.
(a) Operations
(b) Supply chain management
(c) Process engineering
(d) Value charting
Answer:
(b) Supply chain management
Question 18.
Which of the following is not an accounting technique to analyse financial performance?
(a) Trend analysis
(b) Common-size financial analysis
(c) Ratio analysis
(d) Time series analysis.
Answer:
(d) Time series analysis
Question 19.
Which of the following is not a component of supply chain management?
(a) Plan;
(b) Deliver;
(c) Organising;
(d) Return.
Answer:
(c) Organising
Question 20.
Supply Chain Management encompasses the planning and management of all activities involved in
(a) sourcing,
(b) procurement,
(c) conversion
(d) logistics management
(e) All of the above.
Answer:
(e) All of the above.
value added concept, revenue growth, cost reduction, asset utilization etc. These financial measures will
provide feedback on whether improved operational performance is being translated into improved financial
performance.
(B) Customer: This perspective captures the ability of the organization to provide quality goods and services, the
effectiveness of their delivery, and overall customer service and satisfaction. Needs and desires of customers
have to be attended properly because customer pay for the organizations cost and provided for its profits.
This perspective typically includes several core or genetic measures that relate to customer loyalty and the
result of the strategy in the targeted segment. They include market share, customer retention, new customer
acquisition, customer satisfaction and customer profitability.
(C) Internal Business Processes: This perspective focuses on the internal business results that lead to financial
success and satisfied customer. To meet organizational objectives and customers expectations, organizations
must identify the key business processes at which they must excel. Key processes are monitored to ensure that
outcomes will be satisfactory. The principal internal business processes include the following:
(a) Innovation processes for exploring the needs of the customers.
(b) Operation processes with a view to providing efficient, consistent and timely delivery of product/ service.
(c) Post service sales processes.
(D) Learning and Growth: This perspective looks at the ability of employees, the quality of information systems, and
the effects of organizational alignment in supporting accomplishment of organizational goals. Processes will
only succeed if adequately skilled and motivated employees, supplied with accurate and timely information,
are driving them. In order to meet changing requirements and customer expectations, employees may be
asked to take on dramatically new responsibilities, and may require skills, capabilities, technologies, and
organizational designs that were not available before. The learning and growth perspective identifies the
infrastructure that the business must build to create long-term growth and improvement. There will be focus on
factors like employee capability, employee productivity, employee satisfaction, employee retention.
These four perspectives provided the framework for BSC as shown in figure below.
FIANNCIAL
To succeed financially what
kinds of financial performance
should we provide to our
investors?
forcing them to develop their own goals to achieve the corporate mission and goals.
It can assist stakeholders in evaluating the firm, if measures are communicated externally.
It helps in focusing the whole organization on the few key things needed to create breakthrough performance.
It helps to integrate various corporate programs like re-engineering, customer service initiatives.
It breaks down strategic measures towards lower levels, so that unit managers, operators and employees can
see what is required at their level to achieve excellent overall performance.
It helps in clarifying and updating budgets.
It helps in identifying and aligning strategic initiatives.
It helps in conduct of periodic performance reviews to learn about and improve strategy.
Limitations: BSC is subject to following limitations
- There is no clear relation between BSC and shareholder value.
- It does not lead to a single aggregate summary of control.
- The measures may give conflicting signals and confuse management.
- It involves substantial shifts in corporate culture.
The companys return on assets, ROA (=net income/assets), can be expressed as:
ROA = (Net Income/Revenue) (Revenue/Assets) = Profit Margin Asset Turnover
And the companys return on equity, ROE (=net income/equity), can be expressed as
ROE = (Net Income/Revenue) (Revenue/Assets) (Assets/Equity) = ROA Equity Multiplier
Both the companys profitability (as measured in terms of profit margin) and efficiency (as measured in terms of
asset turnover) determine its ROA. This ROA, along with the companys financial leverage (as measured in terms
of its equity multiplier), contributes to its ROE. As the companys use of leverage magnifies its ROE, students are
required to examine ROE carefully. The changes in the companys ROE are to be noted and explained through its
profit margin, asset turnover, and equity multiplier over time. The objective is to identify the companys strong area
that can be capitalized upon and/or its weak area that must be improved upon. See Table (below) for a sample
Du Pont analysis for ABC Co.
Table: Du Pont Analysis of ABC Co.
Benching Marking: Traditionally control involves comparison of the actual results with an established standard or
target. The practice of setting targets using external information is known as Bench marking.
Benching marking is the establishment - through data gathering of targets and comparatives, with which
performance is sought to be assessed.
After examining the firms present position, benchmarking may provide a basis for establishing better standards
of performance. It focuses on improvement in key areas and sets targets which are challenging but evidently
achievable. Bench marking implies that there is one best way of doing business and orients the firm accordingly.
It is a catching-up exercise and depends on the accurate information about the comparative company - be it
inside the group or an outside firm.
Benchmark is the continuous process of enlisting the best practices in the world for the process, goals and objectives
leading to world-class levels of achievement.
Types of Benchmarking:
The different types of Benchmarking are:
i. Product Benchmarking (Reverse Engineering)
ii. Competitive Benchmarking
iii. Process Benchmarking
iv. Internal Benchmarking
v. Strategic Benchmarking
vi. Global Benchmarking
i. Product Benchmarking (Reverse Engineering): is an age old practice of product oriented reverse engineering.
Every organization buys its rivals products and tears down to find out how the features and performances etc.,
compare with its products. This could be the starting point for improvement.
ii. Competitive Benchmarking: This has moved beyond product-oriented comparisons to include comparisons of
process with those of competitors. In this type, the process studied may include marketing, finance, HR, R&D
etc.,
iii. Process Benchmarking: is the activity of measuring discrete performance and functionality against organization
through performance in excellent analogous business process e.g. for supply chain management - the best
practice would be that of Mumbai Dubbawallas.
iv. Internal Benchmarking: is an application of process benchmarking, within an organization by comparing the
performance of similar business units or business process.
v. Strategic Benchmarking: differs from operational benchmarking in its scope. It helps to develop a vision of the
changed organizations. It will develop core competencies that will help sustained competitive advantage.
vi. Global Benchmarking: is an extension of Strategic Benchmarking to include benchmarking partners on a
global scale. E.g. Ford Co. of USA benchmarked its A/c payable functions with that of Mazada in Japan and
found to its astonishment that the entire function was managed by 5 persons as against 500 in Ford.
Stage Description
1 Planning -
a) Determination of Benchmarking goal statement,
b) Identification of best performance
c) Establishment of the benchmarking or process improvement team, and
d) Defining the relevant benchmarking measures
2 Collection of Data and Information
3 Analysis of the findings based on the data collected in Stage 2
4 Formulation and implementation of recommendations
5 Constant monitoring and reviewing
Stage 1: Planning
(a) Determination of benchmarking goal statement: This requires identification of areas to be benchmarked,
which uses the following criteria -
Benchmark for Customer Satisfaction Benchmark for improving Bottom line (Profit)
Consistency of product or service Waste and reject levels
Process cycle time Inventory levels
Delivery performance Work-in-progress
Responsiveness to customer requirements Cost of Sales
Adaptability to special needs Sales per employee
b) Identification of best performance: The next step is seeking the best. To arrive at the best is both expensive
and time consuming, so it is better to identify a Company which has recorded performance success in a similar
area.
c) Establishment of the benchmarking or process improvement team: This should include persons who are most
knowledgeable about the internal operations and will be directly affected by changes due to benchmarking.
d) Defining the relevant benchmarking measures: Relevant measures will not be restricted to include the measures
used by the Firm today, but they will be refined into measures that comprehend the true performance
differences. Developing good measurement is key or critical to successful benchmarking.
Stage 2: Collection of data and information: This involves the following steps -
a) Compile information and data on performance. They may include mapping processes.
b) Select and contact partners.
c) Develop a mutual understanding about the procedures to be followed and, if necessary, prepare a
Benchmarking Protocol with partners.
d) Prepare questions and agree terminology and performance measures to be used.
e) Distribute a schedule of questions to each partner.
f) Undertake information and data collection by chosen method for example, interviews, site-visits, telephone
tax and e-mail.
g) Collect the findings to enable analysis.
Stage 3: Analysis of findings:
a) Review the findings and produce tables, charts and graphs to support the analysis
d) Paper Goals: Companies can become pre-occupied with the measures. The goal becomes not to improve
process, but to match the best practices at any cost.
e) Copy-paste attitude: The key element in benchmarking is the adaptation of a best practice to tailor it to a
companys needs and culture. Without that step, a company merely adopts another companys process. This
approach condemns benchmarking to fail leading to a failure of bench marking goals.
Bench Trending and its difference from Benchmarking: Continuous monitoring of specific process performance
with a selected group of benchmarking is a systematic and continuous measurement process of comparing
through measuring an organization business processes against business leaders (role models) anywhere in the
world, to gain information that will help organization take action to improve its performance. The continuous
process of enlisting the best practices in the world for the processes, goals and objectives leading to world class
levels of achievement.
Benchmarking is the process of comparing the cost, time or quality of what one organization does against what
another organization does. The result is often a business case for making changes in order to make improvements.
Benchmarking is a powerful management tool because it overcomes paradigm blindness. Paradigm Blindness
can be summed up as the mode of thinking, the way we do it is the best because this is the way weve always
done it. Bench Marking opens organizations to new methods, ideas and tools to improve their effectiveness. It
helps crack through resistance to change by demonstrating other methods of solving problems than the one
currently employed and demonstrating that they work, because they are being used by others.
a) Identify your problem areas.
b) Identify other industries that have similar processes.
c) Identify organizations that are leaders in these areas.
d) Survey companies for measures and practices
e) Visit the best practice companies to identify leading edge practices.
f) Implement new and improved business practices.
The application of statistical techniques to measure and evaluate the quality of a product, service, or process is
termed as SQC.
Two Basic Categories:
I. Statistical Process Control (SPC):
- the application of statistical techniques to determine whether a process is functioning as desired
II. Acceptance Sampling:
- the application of statistical techniques to determine whether a population of items should be accepted
or rejected based on inspection of a sample of those items.
Quality Measurement: Attributes vs. Variables Attributes:
Characteristics that are measured as either acceptable or not acceptable, thus have only discrete, binary,
or integer values.
Variables:
Characteristics that are measured on a continuous scale.
Statistical Process Control (SPC) Methods
The underlying statistical sampling distribution is the binomial distribution, but can be approximated by the normal
distribution with:
mean = u = np (Note - add the bars above the means used in all the equations in this section)
Standard deviation of p: sigmap = square root of (p(1 -p ) / n)
where p = historical population proportion defective and n = sample size
Control Limits:
UCL = u + z sigmap LCL = u - z sigma p
z is the number of standard deviations from the mean. It is set based how certain you wish to be that when a limit
is exceeded it is due to a change in the process proportion defective rather than due to sample variability. For
example:
If z = 1 if p has not changed you will still exceed the limits in 32% of the samples (68% confident that mean has
changed if the limits are exceeded.
z = 2 - limits will be exceeded in 4.5 (95.5 % confidence that mean has changed)
z = 3 - limits will be exceeded in .03 (99.7% confidence)
c-Charts for Number of Defects Per Unit
c-chart: a statistical control chart that plots movement in the number of defects per unit.
Procedure:
1.3 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
1. randomly select one item and count the number of defects in that item
2. plot the number of defects on a control chart
3. compare with UCL and LCL to determine if process is out of control
The underlying sampling distribution is the Poisson distribution, but can be approximated by the normal distribution
with:
mean = c
standard deviation = square root of c
where c is the historical average number of defects/unit Control Limits:
UCL = c + z c
LCL = c - z c
Control Charts for Variables
Two charts are used together: R-chart (range chart) and X bar chart (average chart)
Both the process variability (measured by the R-chart) and the process average (measured by the X bar chart)
must be in control before the process can be said to be in control.
Process variability must be in control before the X bar chart can be developed because a measure of process
variability is required to determine the -chart control limits.
Acceptance Sampling
Goal: To accept or reject a batch of items. Frequently used to test incoming materials from suppliers or other parts
of the organization prior to entry into the production process.
Used to determine whether to accept or reject a batch of products. Measures number of defects in a sample.
Based on the number of defects in the sample the batch is either accepted or rejected. An acceptance level c is
specified. If the number of defects in the sample is c the batch is accepted, otherwise it is rejected and subjected
to 100% inspection.
Management Information System is a systematic process of providing relevant information in right time in right
format to all levels of users in the organization for effective decision making. MIS is also defined to be system of
collection, processing, retrieving and transmission of data to meet the information requirement of different levels
of managers in an organization.
According to CIMA-
MIS is a set of procedures designed to provide managers at different levels in the organization with information for
decision making, and for control of those parts of the business for which they are responsible.
MIS comprises of three elements viz., management, information and system. The concept of MIS is better understood
if each element of the term MIS is defined separately.
Management: A manager may be required to perform following activities in an organisation:
(i) Determination of organisational objectives and developing plans to achieve them.
(ii) Securing and organising human beings and physical resources so as to achieve the laid down objectives.
(iii) Exercising adequate controls over the functions performed at the lower level.
(iv) Monitoring the results to ensure that accomplishments are proceeding according to plans.
Thus, management comprises of the processes or activities that describe what managers do while working in
their organisation. They in fact plan, organise, initiate, and control operations. In other words, management refers
to a set of functions and processes designed to initiate and co-ordinate group efforts in an organised setting
directed towards promotion of certain interests, preserving certain values and pursuing certain goals. It involves
mobilisation, combination, allocation and utilisation of physical, human and other needed resources in a judicious
manner by employing appropriate skills, approaches and techniques.
Information: Information is data that have been organised into a meaningful and useful context. It has been
defined by Davis and Olson - Information is data that has been processed into a form that is meaningful to the
recipient and is of real or perceived value in current or progressive decision. For example, data regarding sales
by various salesmen can be merged to provide information regarding total sales through sales personnel. This
information is of vital importance to a marketing manager who is trying to plan for future sales.
Data is the input, information is the output. Data-analysis or information-processing converts data into information.
Therefore, quality of data influences quality of information based on which management makes business decisions
and translates these into actions through appropriate processes. Today, Information & Communication Technology
(ICT) also partakes in various processes with interfacial digital devices and local & global networks. Some of these
are stated below:
Bar Coding & Decoding (used in inventory management).
Programmable Logic Controller or PLC (used for monitoring work-flow and machine conditions).
General Pocket Radio system or GPRS (used in LAN for controlling fleet of mobile equipments. Sometimes
vehicles are provided with sensors for recording work load, fuel stock, etc).
Face Recognition System or FRS (used for recording attendance of employees by recognizing faces
photographed in the system).
Computer Aided Designing or CAD and Digital Surveying.
Computer Aided Manufacturing or CAM.
e-Commerce (used in online bidding, ordering, invoicing, banking, etc), etc.
Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) : Integrated information has achieved a different dimension with the
advent of ERP systems by the end of 20th century. Several data (financial and non-financial) including those
downloaded online or offline from the above systems, can be integrated into ERP system. Let us take the
following examples
a) Online invoicing and inventory records are facilitated by e-Commerce and Bar Coding & Decoding.
b) Order fulfillment in both Purchasing and Selling can be monitored on integration of purchase orders and
sales orders with goods receipts and issues in inventory records for stores and finished goods. Likewise,
indents for stores and finished goods can be tracked against respective orders.
c) FRS can used to migrate attendance data into Pay Roll system for calculation of employee-wise wages &
salary including overtime and for updating leave records.
d) Plenty of data downloaded from PLC and GPR systems can be built-up in integrated information (e.g.
work completed, work-in-progress, equipment running hours, power or fuel & lubricant consumptions,
vehicle trips, breakdowns, machine conditions in terms of temperature, stress, vibrations, noise level, etc).
Thus, 21st century is rightly called the beginning of information-age.
System: System may be defined as a composite entity consisting of a number of elements which are interdependent
and interacting, operating together for the accomplishment of an objective. One can find many examples of a
system. Human body is a system, consisting of various parts such as head, heart, hands, legs and so on. The various
body parts are related by means of connecting networks of blood vessels and nerves. This system has a main goal
which we may call living. Thus, a system can be described by specifying its parts, the way in which they are
related, and the goals which they are expected to achieve. A business is also a system where economic resources
such as people, money, material, machines, etc. are transformed by various organisation processes (such as
production, marketing, finance, etc.) into goods and services.
Thus, MIS can be defined as a network of information that supports management decision making. The role of MIS
is to recognise information as a resource and then use it for effective and timely achievement of organisational
objectives.
Potential impact of computers and MIS on different levels of management
The potential impact of computers on top level management may be quite significant. An important factor which
may account for this change is the fast development in the area of computer science. It is believed that in
future computers would be able to provide simulation models to assist top management in planning their work
activities. For example, with the help of a computer it may be possible in future to develop a financial model by
using simulation technique, which will facilitate executives to test the impact of ideas and strategies formulated
on future profitability and in determining the needs for funds and physical resources. By carrying sensitivity analysis
with the support of computers, it may be possible to study and measure the effect of variation of individual factors
to determine final results. Also, the availability of a new class of experts will facilitate effective communication
with computers. Such experts may also play a useful role in the development and processing of models. In brief,
potential impact of computers would be more in the area of planning and decision making.
Futurists believe that top management will realise the significance of techniques like simulation, sensitivity analysis
level managers to keep track of elementary activities and transactions of the organisations such as sales, receipts,
cash deposits, flow of materials etc. Their purpose is to answer routine questions and to track flow of transactions.
Thus, the primary concern of these systems is to collect, validate, and record transactional data describing the
acquisition or disbursement of corporate resources.
Thus, each type of information system serves the requirements of a particular level in the organisation, providing
the needed basis for decision making.
Relational
ROLAP works directly with relational databases. The base data and the dimension tables are stored as relational
tables and new tables are created to hold the aggregated information. Depends on a specialized schema design.
This methodology relies on manipulating the data stored in the relational database to give the appearance of
traditional OLAPs slicing and dicing functionality. In essence, each action of slicing and dicing is equivalent to
adding a WHERE clause in the SQL statement. ROLAP tools do not use pre-calculated data cubes but instead
pose the query to the standard relational database and its tables in order to bring back the data required to
answer the question. ROLAP tools feature the ability to ask any question because the methodology does not limit
to the contents of a cube. ROLAP also has the ability to drill down to the lowest level of detail in the database.
Hybrid
There is no clear agreement across the industry as to what constitutes Hybrid OLAP, except that a database will
divide data between relational and specialized storage. For example, for some vendors, a HOLAP database will
use relational tables to hold the larger quantities of detailed data, and use specialized storage for at least some
aspects of the smaller quantities of more-aggregate or less- detailed data. HOLAP addresses the shortcomings
of MOLAP and ROLAP by combining the capabilities of both approaches. HOLAP tools can utilize both pre-
calculated cubes and relational data sources.
Comparison
Each type has certain benefits, although there is disagreement about the specifics of the benefits between
providers.
Some MOLAP implementations are prone to database explosion, a phenomenon causing vast amounts of
storage space to be used by MOLAP databases when certain common conditions are met: high number of
dimensions, pre-calculated results and sparse multidimensional data.
MOLAP generally delivers better performance due to specialized indexing and storage optimizations.
MOLAP also needs less storage space compared to ROLAP because the specialized storage typically includes
compression techniques.
ROLAP is generally more scalable. However, large volume pre-processing is difficult to implement efficiently so
it is frequently skipped. ROLAP query performance can therefore suffer tremendously.
Since ROLAP relies more on the database to perform calculations, it has more limitations in the specialized
functions it can use.
HOLAP encompasses a range of solutions that attempt to mix the best of ROLAP and MOLAP. It can generally
pre-process swiftly, scale well, and offer good function support.
Other types
The following acronyms are also sometimes used, although they are not as widespread as the ones above:
WOLAP - Web-based OLAP
DOLAP - Desktop OLAP
RTOLAP - Real-Time OLAP
Appendix: Econometrics Basic Concepts
Endogenous Variable and Exogenous Variable:
They are the observable variables and usually there are more variables than the number of equations in the model.
Some of the variables are supposed to be determined by forces completely outside the model and their values
are assumed to be given. Such variables area called Exogenous Variables. Variables like government policy,
population etc. are the example of exogenous variables. It is treated like a parameter in solving the equations of
a model.
of these equations are called structural parameters. The number of such equations in a model is equal to the no.
of endogenous or jointly dependent variables.
Reduced form equations are those equations, which express the endogenous variables only in terms of the
predetermined variables and the stochastic disturbances. Reduced form equations can be obtained in 2 ways -
1. Express the endogenous variables directly as functions of the predetermined variables.
2. Solve the structural system of endogenous variables in terms of predetermined variables, the structural
parameters and disturbances.
2.7 TOOLS TO IMPROVE PRODUCTIVITY AND PROFITABILITY - MRP I, MRP II AND ERP
Projected Available Balance - The number of items projected to be in inventory at the end of each period
(opening balance plus receipts minus issues),
Planned Order Release - The order quantities required to ensure that the projected available balance does
not drop below zero at any preset safety level.
The benefits of MRP are that a detailed forecast of the inventory position is produced period by period which,
together with the planned order release entries, enables future production to be planned more accurately and
better control to be maintained of inventory.
Benefits of MRP
The benefits of a successful MRP system include:
Significantly decreased inventory levels and corresponding decreases in inventory carrying costs.
Fewer stock shortage, which cause production interruptions and time-consuming schedule juggling by
managers.
Increased effectiveness of production supervisors and less production chaos.
Better customer service - an increased ability to meet delivery schedules and to set delivery dates earlier and
more reliably.
Greater responsiveness to change. MRP gives manufacturing a better feel for the effects of economic swings
and changes in woodcut demand can be translated into schedule changes quickly.
Closer coordination of the marketing, engineering, and finance activities with the manufacturing activities.
MRP - II
An ERP system is not only the integration of various functional systems/processes in the organization, but has few
more characteristics as stated below to qualify as a full-fledged ERP solution:
Flexibility - An ERP system is flexible enough to respond fast to the changing needs of the organization. The
Client Server technology enables ERP to run across various databases at the back-end using Open database
connectivity.
Modular and Open - ERP system has the open architecture i.e. any modules can be interfaced or detached
without affecting the use of rest of the modules. It should support multiple hardware platforms as well as third
party add-on solutions.
Comprehensive - It supports various organizational functions and is suitable for wide range of business
organizations.
Beyond the company - It is not confined to the organizational boundaries rather it is extended to the external
business entities connected to the organization with online connectivity.
Best business practice - It has inbuilt best business practices applicable worldwide and imposes its own
strategies and logics over existing culture and processes of the organization.
Features of ERP
Some of the major features of an ERP are:
It provides multi-platform, multi-facility, multi-mode of manufacturing, multi-currency and multi-lingual facilities.
It supports strategic and business planning activities, operational planning and execution activities, material
and resource planning.
It has end-to-end supply chain management to optimize the overall demand and supply.
It facilitates integrated information systems covering all functional areas like manufacturing, procurement,
sales, distribution, payables, receivables, human resources, inventory, finance etc.
It enhances customer services through increased efficiency in core activities thus augmenting the corporate
image.
It bridges the information gap across organization.
ERP is the solution for better project management.
It allows introduction of latest technologies like Electronic funds transfer, Electronic data Interchange, Internet,
Intranet, E-commerce etc.
It eliminates business problems like material shortages, productivity, customer service, cash management,
quality and prompt delivery.
It provides intelligent business tools like Decision support system, Executive information system, data mining etc.
Evaluation of ERP Package and Its Applications
Evaluation of the right ERP package is considered as more crucial step. Evaluation and selection involves:
Checking whether all functional aspects of the business are duly covered.
Checking whether all the business functions and processes are fully integrated.
Checking whether all the latest Information Technology (IT) trends are covered.
Checking whether the vendor has customizing and implementing capabilities.
Checking whether the business can absorb both the capital investment in hardware and software and
maintenance costs.
Checking whether the return on investment is optimum.
Total Productive Management (TPM) provides a system for coordinating all the various improvement activities
for the company so that they contribute to the achievement of corporate objective. Starting with a corporate
vision and broad goals, these activities are developed into supporting objectives, or targets, throughout the
organisation. The targets are specifically and quantitatively defined. This Study Note emphasizes how to improve the
competitiveness of products and services in quality, price, cost and customer responsiveness, thereby increasing
the profitability, market share, and return on investment in human, material, capital, and technology resources.
TPM originated as an extension of Total Quality Management (TQM) principles to operations whereby each
machine operator is sufficiently trained and motivated to operate and maintain the machine in question.
Operators working in groups, report to groups supervisors or engineer in-charge. Being trained in maintenance,
an operator can himself diagnose many problems and solve these with maintenance kits at his disposal. Complex
problems are intimated to maintenance team for solution.
TPM approach establishes some kind of bondage between machine and its operator who is made to feel like
owning the machine. It drives an operator to ensure machine availability, efficiency and reliability. The approach
reduces wastes of different forms like idleness due to breakdown, stock-out of some of regular spares, additional
manpower otherwise required for storing some of the regular spares and for regular machine inspection & general
maintenance. Thus, TPM favors lean manufacturing.
[Notes : (1) Lean manufacturing or lean enterprise refer to right manpower size in manufacturing or enterprise.
These are brought about through multi-skilling, clustered jobs, empowerment, reward system (including merit-
based promotions), flatter organization and often by re-engineering of processes (2) Average age of employees
is an indicator which is also used as a KPI. This often rouse organizational conflicts which are being addressed
through golden hand-shakes or voluntary retirement schemes (3) Technology, plant layout, ergonomics, working
methods, control systems, etc also have influences on productivity and size of manpower].
Total Productive Maintenance (TPM)
Originated in Japan in 1971 as a method for improved machine availability through better utilization of maintenance
and production resources.
Whereas in most production settings the operator is not viewed as a member of the maintenance team, in TPM
the machine operator is trained to perform many of the day-to-day tasks of simple maintenance and fault-finding.
Teams are created that include a technical expert (often an engineer or maintenance technician) as well as
operators. In this setting the operators are enabled to understand the machinery and identify potential problems,
righting them before they can impact production and by so doing, decrease downtime and reduce costs of
production.
TPM is a critical adjunct to lean manufacturing. If machine uptime is not predictable and if process capability is not
sustained, the process must keep extra stocks to buffer against this uncertainty and flow through the process will be
interrupted. Unreliable uptime is caused by breakdowns or badly performed maintenance. Correct maintenance
will allow uptime to improve and speed production through a given area allowing a machine to run at its designed
capacity of production.
One way to think of TPM is deterioration prevention: deterioration is what happens naturally to anything that
is not taken care of. For this reason many people refer to TPM as total productive manufacturing or total
process management. TPM is a proactive approach that essentially aims to identify issues as soon as possible and
plan to prevent any issues before occurrence. One motto is zero error, zero work-related accident, and zero loss
TPM is a management process developed for improving productivity by making processes more reliable and less
wasteful.TPM is an extension of TQM (Total Quality Management). The objective of TPM is to maintain the plant or
equipment in good condition without interfering with the daily process. To achieve this objective, preventive and
predictive maintenance is required. By following the philosophy of TPM we can minimize the unexpected failure
The use of Cost Deployment is quite rare, but can be very useful in identifying the priority for selective TPM
deployment.
Steps to Start TPM
The Steps are
Identify the key people
Management should learn the philosophy.
Management must promote the philosophy.
Training for all the employees.
Identify the areas where improvement are needed.
Make an implementation plan.
Form an autonomous group.
Benefits
With the adoption of TPM at the enterprise level, your organisation would benefit from the following aspect:
A set of new management goals will be developed by the Management, using the skills and training provided
during the implementation of the TPM
Team bonding and better accountability
Improved quality and total cost competitiveness
Productivity and quality team training for problem solving
Earlier detection of factors critical to maintaining equipment uptime
Measure impact of defects, sub-optimal performance, and downtime using OEE (Overall Equipment
Effectiveness)
Motivated people function better all the time
Quality is considered a by-product of the manufacturing system i.e., each individual process has some variation
that will lead to the production of some defective units. If the resulting defective rate is too high, compared to the
established quality standards, quality inspectors will identify and send them for rework. The approach is expensive
and does not guarantee the desired quality, because quality maintaining and ensuring itself cannot be inspected
into a product. This approach assigns the responsibility for quality to quality control managers.
A more unlighted approach to quality emphasizes building quality into the product by studying and improving
activities that affect quality, from marketing through design to manufacturing. This new approach is referred to as
Total Quality Management (TQM). It is an active approach encompassing a company-wide operating philosophy
and system for continuous improvement of quality. It demands cooperation from everyone in the company, from
the top management down to workers.
The principles of TQM are as follows:
a) Customer Focus
b) Managerial Leadership
c) Belief in continuous improvement.
The current thinking of TQM is moving from Quality of product and service to Quality of people to embrace also
Stage Description
1 Identification of customers/customer groups.
2 Identification of customer expectations
3 Identification of customer decision-making requirements and product utilities
4 Identification of perceived problems in decision making process and product utilities
5 Comparison with other organizations and Benchmarking
6 Customer Feedback
7 Identification of improvement opportunities
8 Quality Improvement Process through - a) Determination of new strategies, b) Elimination of deficiencies,
and c) Identifying solutions.
1. Stage 1: Identification of customers / customer groups: Through a team approach (a technique called Multi -
Voting), the firm should identify major customer groups. This helps in generating priorities in the identification of
customers and critical issues in the provision of decision - support information.
2. Stage 2: Identifying customer expectations: Once the major customer groups are identified, their expectations
are listed. The question to be answered is - What does the customer expect from the Firm?
3. Stage 3: Identifying customer decision-making requirements and product utilities: By identifying the need
to stay close to the customers and follow their suggestions, a decision - support system can be developed,
incorporating both financial and non-financial information, which seeks to satisfy used requirements. Hence,
the Firm finds out the answer to - What are the customers decision-making requirements and product utilities?
The answer is sought by listing out managerial perceptions and not by actual interaction with the customers.
4. Stage 4: Identifying perceived problems in decision-making process and product utilities: Using participative
processes such as brainstorming and multi-voting, the firm seeks to list out its perception of problem areas
and shortcomings in meeting customer requirements. This will list out areas of weakness where the greatest
impact could be achieved through the implementation of improvements. The firm identifies the answer to the
question - What problem areas do we perceive in the decision-making process?
5. Stage 5: Comparison with other Firms and benchmarking: Detailed and systematic internal deliberations allow
the Firm to develop a clear idea of their own strengths and weaknesses and of the areas of most significant
deficiency. Benchmarking exercise allows the Firm to see how other Companies are coping with similar
problems and opportunities.
6. Stage 6: Customer Feedback: Stages 1 to 5 provide a information base developed without reference to the
customer. This is rectified at Stage 6 with a survey of representative customers, which embraces their views on
perceived problem areas. Interaction with the customers and obtaining their views helps the Firm in correcting
its own perceptions and refining its process.
7. Stage 7 & 8: Identification of improvement opportunities and implementation of Quality Improvement Process:
The outcomes of the customer survey, benchmarking and internal analysis, provides the inputs for stages 7
and 8. i.e., the identification of improvement opportunities and the implementation of a formal improvement
process. This is done through a six-step process called PRAISE, for short.
1. SEIRI: The literal meaning of the Japanese word SEIRI is to straighten and contain. It can be understood as
discard unnecessary things i.e., get rid of waste and put things in such a way as to have quick access. This is
how straighten and contain can be interpreted.
2. SEITON: While SEIRI helps us to decide what are the items needed, SEITON helps to decide the way things
are to be placed so that our working is smooth. SEITON involves safety and productivity.
3. SEISO: The literal meaning of the word SEISO is clean up. It means take up the job of cleaning. Such cleaning
is not restricted merely to the machines, table, kitchen cabinet etc., i.e., whichever we have taken up. It
should be extended to the entire surroundings.
4. SEIKETSU: Seiri, Seiton and Seiso are easy to do once, but it is very difficult to maintain. To maintain, we have to
standardize the system. Seiketsu is nothing but standardization. In five, S means ensuring whatever cleanliness
and orderliness have been achieved through Seiri, Seiton and Seiso, they are maintained. We should keep a
strict control over the situation.
5. SHITSUKE: Shitsuke means discipline. Discipline is following a system, which calls for changing from our present
unsystematic way of adherence to set procedures. Systems function in an orderly manner.
Different types of Quality Costs
Quality costs can be analyzed under two major categories.
a) Costs of quality assurance incurred by the manufacturer.
b) Costs of quality assurance at the users end which are called user quality costs.
Internal Quality Costs
There is a measure of all costs directly associated with the achievement of complete conformance to product
quality requirements. These are not just the cost of quality management or inspection function. Specifically quality
costs are the sum total of
a) Prevention Costs - (Quality Engineering, Quality planning).
b) Appraisal Costs - Cost of appraising product for conformance to requirements.
c) Failure Costs - Costs incurred by failure to conform to requirements.
User Quality Costs:
In this approach an attempt is made to determine the costs incurred by the user when the purchased materials
or equipment has problems. Such non - quality costs can be broadly grouped under seven categories as given
below:
Quality Circle:
Quality Circle is a small group of 6 to 12 employees doing similar work who voluntarily meet together on a regular
basis to identify improvements in their respective work areas using proven techniques for analysing and solving
work related problems coming in the way of achieving and sustaining excellence leading to mutual up liftmen of
employees as well as the organisation. It is a way of capturing the creative and innovative power that lies within
the work force.
Attributes of Quality Circle Concept:
The concept of Quality Circle is primarily based upon recognition of the value of the worker as a human being, as
someone who willingly activates on his job, his wisdom, intelligence, experience, attitude and feelings. It is based
upon the human resource management considered as one of the key factors in the improvement of product
quality & productivity. Quality Circle concept has three major attributes:
a. Quality Circle is a form of participation management.
b. Quality Circle is a human resource development technique.
c. Quality Circle is a problem solving technique.
Objectives of Quality Circles:
The objectives of Quality Circles are multi-faced.
a) Change in Attitude.
From I dont care to I do care
Continuous improvement in quality of work life through humanisation of work.
b) Self Development
Bring out Hidden Potential of people People get to learn additional skills.
c) Development of Team Spirit
Individual Vs Team - I could not do but we did it Eliminate inter departmental conflicts.
d) Improved Organisational Culture
Positive working environment.
Total involvement of people at all levels.
Higher motivational level.
Participate Management process.
Zero Defects and Rights First Time - Philip Crosby
Philip Crosby prompted the phrases, Zero Defects does not mean mistakes never happen, rather than there is no
allowable number of errors built into a product or process and that it is to be got right first time. He believes that
management should take prime responsibility for quality and worker only follow their managers example.
His four absolute quality management:
a) Quality is conformance to requirements
b) Quality prevention is preferable to quality inspection
c) Zero defects is quality performance standard.
d) Quality is measured in monetary terms - the price of non- conformance.
Steps to quality improvement:
a) Committed to quality.
b) Creation of quality improvement teams representing all the departments.
c) Measure processes to determine current and potential quality issues.
d) Calculate cost of (poor) quality.
e) Raise quality awareness of all employees.
f) Take action to correct quality issues.
g) Monitor progress of quality improvement.
h) Train supervisions in quality improvement.
i) Hold Zero Defects days.
j) Encourage employees to create their own quality improvement goals.
k) Encourage employee communication with management about obstacles quality.
l) Recognize participants effort.
m) Create quality councils.
n) Do it all over again - quality improvements does not end.
Quality improvement steps conceptualized by Philip Crosby
The following are the ten steps of Quality improvement, as per Philip Crosby:
a) Management is committed to quality and this is clear to all.
b) Create quality improvement teams, with representatives from all departments.
c) Measure processes to determine current & potential quality issues.
d) Calculate the cost of poor quality.
e) Raise quality awareness of all employees.
f) Take action to correct quality issues.
g) Monitor progress of quality improvement-Establish a zero-defect committee.
h) Train supervisors in Quality improvement.
i) Encourage employees to create their own quality improvement goals.
j) Recognize participants efforts.
PLAN:
Establish the objectives and processes necessary to deliver results in accordance, with the specifications.
DO:
Implement the processes.
CHECK:
Monitor and evaluate the processes and results as agent objectives and specifications and report the out come.
ACT:
Apply actions to the outcome for necessary improvement. That means reviewing all steps (plan, Do, Check, Act)
and modifying the process to improve it before its next implementation.
Illustration 1:
A company manufactures a single product, which requires two components. The company purchases one f the
components from two suppliers: X Limited and Y Limited. The price quoted by X Limited is `180 per hundred units
of the component and it is found that on an average 3 per cent of the total receipt from this supplier is defective.
The corresponding quotation from Y Limited is `174 per hundred units, but the defective would go up to 5 per cent.
If the defectives are not detected, they are utilized in production causing a damage of `180 per 100 units of the
component.
The company intends to introduce a system of inspection for the components on receipt. The inspection cost is
estimated at `24 per 100 units of the component. Such as inspection will be able to detect only 90 per cent of the
defective components received. No payment will be made for components found to be defective in inspection.
Required:
(i) Advise whether inspection at the point of receipt is justified ?
(ii) Which of the two suppliers should be asked to supply? (Assume total requirement is 10,000 units of the
component.)
Solution:
Estimated defectives if not inspected
X Ltd. = 10,000 3/100 = 300 Y Ltd. = 10,000 5/100 = 500
Calculation of Cost per 100 units of good components (in `)
Illustration 2:
TQ Ltd. implemented a quality improvement program and had the following results: (` 000)
(ii) Cost reduction was effected by 7.58% (i.e. 29.25% - 21.67%) of sales, which is an increase in profit by `4,55,000
(i.e. `17,55,000- `13,00,000).
Illustration 3:
Carlon Ltd. makes and sells a single product, the unit specifications are as follows:
Carlon Ltd. requires to fulfill orders for 5,000 product units per period. There is no stock of product units at the
beginning or end of the period under review. The stock level of material X remains unchanged throughout the
period.
Carlon Ltd. is planning to implement a Quality Management Program (QMP). The following additional information
regarding costs and revenues are given as of now and after implementation of quality management program.
9 Sundry costs of administration, selling and distribution total `6,00,000 per 9 Reduction by 10% of the
period. existing
10 Prevention program costs `2,00,000. 10 Increase to `6,00,000
The total quality management program will have a reduction in machine run time required per product unit to
0.5 hr.
Required:
(a) Prepare summaries showing the calculation of (i) Total production units (pre-inspection), (ii) Purchase of
materials X (square meters), (iii) Gross machine hours.
In each case, the figures are required for the situation both before and after the implementation of the quality
management program so that orders for 5,000 product units can be fulfilled.
(b) Prepare Profit and Loss account for Carlon Ltd. for the period showing the profit earned both before and after
the implementation of the total quality program.
Solution:
(a)
12.5 7.5
Add: Down grading at inspection 5,250 ; 5,125 750 416
87.5 92.5
(b) Profit and Loss Account showing profit earned before and the implementation of QMP (`)
Short Questions & Answers
Choose the correct answer:
Q.1. Benchmarking is:
(a) The analytical tool to identify high cost activities based on the Pareto Analysis;
(b) The search for industries best practices that lead to superior performance;
(c) The simulation of cost reduction schemes that help to build commitment and improvement of actions;
(d) The process of marketing and redesigning the way a typical company works;
(e) The framework that earmarks a linkage with suppliers and customers.
Answer:
(b) The search for industries best practices that lead to superior performance.
Q.2. Consultant/s who contributed to the concept of TQM (Total Quality Management):
(a) W. Edwards Deming;
(b) Joseph Juran;
(c) A. V. Feigenbaum;
(d) All of the above.
Answer:
(d) All of the above
Q.3. Which of the following does not form part of Benchmarking process?
(a) Redesign;
(b) Planning;
(c) Analysis;
(d) Integration;
(e) Action.
Answer:
(a) Redesign
Q.4. Which one of the following is not a measure related to Balanced Score Card?
(a) Financial;
(b) Customer satisfaction;
(c) Internal processes;
(d) Gap analysis;
(e) Innovation.
Answer:
(d) Gap analysis
Q.5. Benchmarking Focuses on:
(a) Production;
(b) Best practices;
(c) Best performance;
(d) Supply chain management;
(e) Profit.
Answer:
(b) Best practices
Q.6. The Balanced Scoreboard is about:-
(a) Creating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning;
(b) Translating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning;
(c) Translating the Vision, Coordinating, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and Learning;
(d) Creating the Vision, Coordinating, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and Learning;
(e) Creating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning.
Answer:
(b) Translating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning.
Q.7. Total Quality Management emphasises:
(a) the responsibility of the Quality Control staff to identify and solve all quality-related problems
(b) a commitment to quality that goes beyond internal company issues to suppliers and customers
(c) a system where strong managers are the only decision makers
(d) a process where mostly statisticians get involved
Answer:
(b) a commitment to quality that goes beyond internal company issues to suppliers and customers
Q.8. A successful TQM program incorporates all of the following except :
(a) continuous improvement
(b) employment involvement
(c) benchmarking
(d) centralized decision making authority
Answer:
proportion
Q.15. Information is ________ that have been organised into a meaningful and useful context.
Answer:
data
Q.16. MOLAP is a _____________ online analytical processing.
Answer:
multi-dimensional
Q.17. The Balanced Scorecard is a management system not a _________ system.
Answer:
measurement
Q.18. ____________ Benchtrending which is used to identify technological trends and steps initiated to bridge the
gaps in current performance levels.
Answer:
Operations or Process
Q.19. ________________ is thus used for scheduling, inventory management and capacity management.
Answer:
Materials Requirement Planning
Q.20. Match the following:
Answer:
(i) D.
(ii) A.
(iii) E.
(iv) B.
(v) C.
In the table at `1 price the market demand is 135 units (i.e., demand of A+B+C+D+E (35+30+25+20+15=135 units).
Similarly at `2 price the market demand is 100 units, at `3, `4 and `5 prices the market demand is 80, 65, 45 units
respectively.
Demand Curve: As there is inverse relationship between price and demand the individual demand curve slopes
downwards from left to right.
In the Diagram DD is the Demand Curve. It slopes downwards from left to right.
Derived Demand:
The commodities, which are not needed for direct consumption but are demanded to help in the production of
other commodities which have direct demand, are said to have derived demand. For example, the demand for
raw materials, labour, machines, etc., has a derived demand.
Determinants of demand or factors on which demand depends:
The quantity demanded per unit of time of a commodity X by a consumer denoted by Dx mainly depends on:
(i) Price of the commodity (P)
(ii) Prices of substitutes (Ps)
Substitutes are those goods which can be used in place of each other. For example: Tea and Coffee.
(iii) Price of complements (Pc)
Complementary goods are those goods which are related to each other in such a way that an increase (or
decrease) in demand for one leads to an increase (or decrease) in the demand of the other. For example:
Pen and ink, petrol and car etc.
iv) Income of household (I)
v) Tastes and preferences of the households (T), and
vi) The amount annually spent on advertisement of the product and sales promotion (A)
Mathematically,
Dx = f (P, Ps, Pc, I, T, A)
Law of Demand:
The Law of Demand simply expresses the relation between quantity of a commodity demanded and its price.
The law states that demand varies inversely with price, not necessarily proportionately. If the price falls, demand
will extend, and vice versa. The law of demand indicates this inverse relationship between price and quantity
demanded. Other things remaining same, higher will be demanded at a lower price and lower will be demanded
at a higher price - Prof. Benham.
The exceptions of Law of Demand:
1. Giffen Paradox: According to the Law of demand when the price rises demand decreases and vice-versa.
But, according to Sir Robert Giffen even though the price, for necessary goods rise, the demand for them will
not decrease. These goods are called Giffen goods.
(i) The maximum quantity of a commodity a consumer will purchase at a particular price.
(ii) The maximum price for a particular quantity.
Notes:
i. If the relation between the quantity demanded (x) and the price per unit (p) is a linear relation of the form
X = a - bp
ii. Where a, bare positive constants, the demand curve is a straight line.
iii. The equation of straight line in slope form is y = mx + c. If the slope is negative the equation becomes
Y = c - mx
iv. The slope of the demand curve is always negative.
INCOME DEMAND
Income demand explains the relationship between the income and demand. Various quantities of goods that
would be purchased by the consumer at different levels of income is called income demand. Other things
remaining the same, when the income increases the demand for the commodities will also increase. Thus, direct
relationship existed between income and demand. This can be explained with the help of the following table.
In the table at `100/- income per unit, the consumer purchased 50 units of a commodity, at `300/- he purchased
150 units of commodity.
Diagrammatic Representation: In case of the superior goods the income demand curve is upward rising from left
to right as shown in the given figure.
In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis income are shown. ID is the income demand curve.
When the income increases from OY to OY1 the demand for superior goods is also increases from OM to OM1
Inferior goods: In case of inferior goods when the income increases, the demands for inferior goods decrease. For
example: If the income of the people increases, they purchase superior quality of food grains like wheat & rice
instead of inferior food grains. So, the income demand curve for inferior goods slopes downwards from left to right
as shown under.
In the diagram on the X axis demand for tea and on the Y-axis price of coffee are shown. DD is the demand
curve for substitutes. When the price of coffee increases from OP to OP1 the demand for its substitute i.e., tea will
increase from OM to OM1.
Complementary goods: In the case of complementary goods, if the price of a commodity decreases the demand
for its complementary goods will increase. For example car and petrol if the price of petrol decreases the demand
for cars will increase. So, the demand curve for complementary goods is falling from left to right.
In the diagram on the X axis demand for cars and on the Y-axis price of petrol are shown. DD is the demand
curve for complementary goods. When the price of petrol increases from OP to OP1, the demand for cars will
decrease from OM to OM1
EXPANSION, CONTRACTION OF DEMAND:
Expansion or contraction of demand indicates the change in quantity demanded due to change in the factors
except price. Now factors other than price include change in income, change in price of a substitute or
complementary goods or change in habits, change in taste, technological changes etc.
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND:
The Quantitative responsiveness of demand to the change in the price called Elasticity of Demand. The rate of
change in demand to a change in price is called elasticity of demand. If the change in the demand is more than
the change in the price it is called elastic demand. If the change in the demand is less than the change in the
price it is called inelastic demand.
Definition:
The elasticity of demand in a market is great or small according to the amount demanded increases much or
little for a given fall in the price and diminishes with much or little for a given rise in price. Marshall. Elasticity is
the degree of change in demand as a result of change in price. Samuelson.
The elasticity of demand explains the relationship between proportionate change in demand to a proportionate
change in price.
Proportionate change in Demand
Elasticity of demand =
Proportionate change in Price
(or)
Percentage change in Demand
Ed =
Percentage change in Price
Change in Quantity Demanded
Quantity demanded at original price
Ed =
Change in Price
Original Price
Dx Dp p Dx
Ed = =
x p x Dp
Types of Price Elasticity of Demand: The price elasticity of demand is of 5 types.
1. Perfectly elastic demand.
2. Perfectly inelastic demand
3. Relatively elastic demand
4. Relatively inelastic demand
5. Unitary elastic demand
1. Perfectly Elastic Demand: A small change in the price brings an infinite change in the demand is known as
perfectly elastic demand. The perfectly elastic demand curve is a line parallel to the X-axis as shown in the
following diagram. (Ed= a)
In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis Price are shown. DD is the perfectly inelastic demand
curve. Even though price increases from OP to OP1, the demand remains the same at OM.
3. Relatively Elastic Demand: If the proportionate change in the demand is more that the proportionate change
in the price, it is called relatively elastic demand. Here the elasticity of demand is more than one (Ed >1)
In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis Price are shown. DD is the demand curve. When the
price is decreased from OP to OP1, the demand has increased from OM to OM1. Here the change in the demand
(MM1) is more than the change in the price (PP1). So the demand is elastic.
4. Relatively Inelastic demand: If the proportionate change in the price is more than the proportionate change in
the demand, it is called relatively inelastic demand. The demand is less elastic (Ed<1)
In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis Price are shown. DD is the demand curve. When the price
is decreased from OP to OP1, the demand has increased from OM to OM1. The change in the price (PP1) is more
than the change in the demand (MM1). So, the demand is less elastic.
5. Unitary Elastic demand: If the proportionate change in the demand and the proportionate change in the price
are equal, it is called unitary elastic demand. (Ed = 1)
In the diagram DD is the demand curve. It is a rectangular hyperbola. When the price is decreased from OP to
OP1, the demand has increased from OM to OM1. Here, the change in the price (PP1) and the change in the
demand (MM1) are equal.
Summary of the characteristics of various types of price elasticity of demand:
If the percentage change in the demand for commodity X is more than the percentage change in the price of
Y, then the cross elasticity of demand is greater than one (Ed>1). If the percentage change in the demand for
commodity X is less then percentage change in the price of commodity Y, then the cross elasticity of demand is
less than one (Ed<1). If the percentage change in the demand for commodity X is equal to percentage change
in the price of commodity Y, then the cross elasticity of demand is equal to one (Ed=1).
Measurement of Elasticity of Demand:
The elasticity of demand can be measured by using 3 methods.
1. Percentage method,
2. Total outlay (or) Expenditure method
3. Diagrammatic method:
(a) Point method
(b) Arc method
1. Percentage method: With this method the elasticity of demand can be measured by comparing the
percentage change in the price and percentage change in demand.
Percentage change in Demand
Ed =
Percentage change in Price
2. Total outlay (or) Expenditure method:
Total outlay = Price per unit x Quantity bought
= Price per unit x Quantity demanded
= Total revenue
If the demand is inelastic, i.e., if the elasticity of demand is <1, the total outlay falls with fall in price and rises
with increase in price.
If the demand is unit elastic, the total outlay remains unchanged with the change in price, i.e., for a fall in
price, the demand increases proportionately and for a rise in price the demand decreases proportionately.
If the demand is elastic, i.e., elasticity of demand is > 1 the total outlay increases with fall in price and decreases
with rise in price because the quantity demanded changes in greater proportion than the change in price.
3. Diagrammatic Method: The elasticity computed at a single point on the demand curve for an infinitesimal
change in price is called point elasticity. The elasticity between two separate points of demand curve is called
arc elasticity.
a) Point Elasticity: In this method the elasticity of demand at a particular point on the demand curve can
be calculated. The point elasticity of demand is equal to distance between the points on X-axis divided
by the distance between point on Y-axis. This can be explained in the following. In the diagram, on X-axis
demand and on Y-axis price are shown. K is the price demand curve. At that point we can know the
elasticity of demand by the following formula.
Point elasticity of demand can be found out:
Marginal Quantity Demanded dx / x dx / x
= =
Average Quantity Demanded dp / p dp / p
KT Lower Segment
Point Elasticity =
KT Upper Segment
Dq p
Ed =
Dp q
After application of this formula if we get the result more than one, it is elastic demand. If the result is less than one,
it is inelastic demand and if the result is equal to one then it is unitary elastic demand.
Thus point elasticity is defined as the proportionate change in quantity demanded resulting from a very small
change in the price of commodity. It also expressed:
dQ p
Ed =
dp Q
dQ
Where Edp is Point Price Elasticity of demand, is the first order derivative of demand equation and P is the
dp Q
ratio of price to quantity. Point elasticity can be calculated with the help of Differential calculus.
b) Arc Elasticity: In arc elasticity we calculate the elasticity of demand between two points on the demand
curve.
In the diagram on X-axis the demand and ON Y-axis the price are taken. K and R are the two points on the
demand curve. We can measure the elasticity of demand between these points by using the following formula.
Change in Demand Change in Price
Arc Elasticity of Demand =
1st demand + 2nd demand 1st Price + 2nd Price
MM1 PP1
In diagram Arc elasticity of demand =
OM + OM1 OP + OP1
Dq P1 +P2
Ed =
Dp Q + Q
1 2
After application of the above formula if we get result more than one then it is elastic demand, if the result is less
than one then it is inelastic demand and if the result is equal to one then it is unitary demand.
Methods of Forecasting: Demand forecasting is not a speculation. It cannot be hundred per cent correct. But
it gives a reliable information and estimation of future demand. It is based on mathematical law of probability.
Demand Forecasting methods can be broadly categorized into two types
(1) Opinion Survey Methods or Qualitative Techniques and
(2) Statistical Methods or Quantitative Techniques.
1. Opinion Survey Methods or Qualitative Techniques:
Opinion Survey Methods are also called as Qualitative Techniques. These are based on subjective assessment.
When available data is irrelevant, then researcher requires primary data. Consumer plays a dominant role in
creating demand for a product. If the businessman wants to know the expected demand in future, he has
to get the information based on consumers opinions. Opinion survey methods are most popular in Demand
Forecasting. Managerial decisions that are taken after analyzing opinions, made a favourable impact on
sales progress.
The opinion survey methods further classified into three types:
a. 100% Enumerator Survey: This is the most direct method of forecasting demand in the short-run. Customers
will be asked questions like what they are planning to buy for the forthcoming time period-usually a year.
But it is observed fact that complete 100% enumerator survey will not be possible and at the same time a
number of biases may creep into the surveys. It is very expensive, when it compared with other methods.
b. Delphi Method: Delphi method is a group process and aims at achieving consensuses of the members.
Herein experts in the field of marketing research and demand forecasting are engaged in
analyzing economic conditions
carrying out sample surveys of market
conducting opinion polls
Based on the above, demand forecast is worked out in following steps:
i) Co-coordinator sends out a set of questions in writing to all the experts co-opted on the panel who are
requested to write back a brief prediction.
ii) Written predictions of experts are collated, edited and summarized together by the Co-coordinator.
iii) Based on the summary, Co-coordinator designs a new set of questions and gives them to the same experts
who answer back again in writing.
iv) Co-coordinator repeats the process of collating, editing and summarizing the responses.
v) Steps 3 and 4 are repeated by the Co-coordinator to experts with diverse backgrounds until consensus is
reached.
If there is divergence of opinions and hence conclusions, Co-ordinator has to sort it out through mutual
discussions. Co-ordinator has to have the necessary experience and background as he plays a key role in
designing structured questionnaires and synthesising the data.
Direct interaction among experts is avoided nor their identity is disclosed. Procedures also neither avoid inter-
personnel conflicts nor are strong-willed experts able to dominate the group. This method is also used for
technology forecasting.
Sales Force Opinion Survey or Collective Opinion: Salesman is expected to estimate expected sales in their
respective territories and zones. The rational of this method is that salesmen, being the closest to the customers
are likely to have the most intimate feel of the market i.e., customer response to the product of the firm. This
method is based on historical data and consumers opinion. This method is known as the Collective Opinion
Method as it takes advantages of the collective wisdom of salesman, managerial economist, marketing
manager and personnel relating to sales department.
Y = na + b X
XY = a X + b X 2
f) Regression Analysis: Regression equation establishes the relationship between dependent variable and
independent variable, assuming the relationship to be linear. For some commodities independent variable
may be only one. But for some products independent variables may more than two. In such a case,
multiple regression analysis can be used.
Hence, demand for any product can be estimated at a given value of price.
Simple Regression Equation:
This equation will be form of Y = a + bx, for
Independent variable : x
Dependent variable : y
Multiple-Regression Model:
The equation in the case of multiple regression
Y = a + b1x1 + b2x2 + .+ bnxn
Independent variables: x1, x2 ,xn
Dependent variable : y
Limitations:
1. It is difficult to find out inter-dependence relationship between the variables.
2. Sometimes it may be difficult to identify dependent and independent variable.
3. Indicators are based on historical data. But the relationship cannot be established for the future.
g) Simultaneous Equation: Establishing relation between two variables with the help of equation, we can
estimate demand for a product. These equations are mathematical linear equations to arrive the results.
Example 1: 4a + 3b = 15
3a + 4b = 20
By solving these equations we can find the values of a, b.
Limitations:
1. It is difficult to find out an appropriate equation and relationship between variables.
2. For new products it not suitable, as no past data are available.
3. A few indicators always correctly indicate changes in another variable.
h) Barometric Method: Based on index numbers i.e., economic indicators like Wholesale Price Index (WPI),
Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimations will be made. It is also known as leading indicators forecasting. The
researcher should try to understand and establish relationship between products and indices.
Limitations:
1. It is difficult to find out an appropriate indicator.
2. For new products it is not suitable, as no past data are available.
MARKET
Definitions: According to Lift Witch, Perfect competition is a market in which there are many firms selling identical
products with no firm large enough relative to there are many firms selling identical products with no firm large
enough relative to the entire market to be able to influence market price.
Mrs. Joan Robinson has defined perfect competition as, it prevails when the demand for the output of the each
product is perfectly elastic.
Features:
1. There must be Large number of Buyers and sellers.
2. In perfect competition, the goods produced by different firms are homogenious or identical.
3. In perfect competition there is free entry and exit of the firms into the industry.
4. The buyers and the sellers must have the knowledge with regard to the prices of various commodities at
different supply and demand forces.
5. The factors must be mobilized from those places where they are getting less remuneration to those places
where they will get maximum remuneration.
6. All commodities are identical in perfect competition. So the prices of the commodities are also uniform.
7. In order to maintain the uniform price level in perfect competition we should not include the transport cost in
the price level.
8. There is a difference between firm and industry under perfect competition. Firm is a production unit and
where as industry is a group of firms.
Price determination: Generally price is determined by demand and supply forces. The price is determined at that
point where the demand and supply both are equal under perfect competition. The following table explains the
price determination under perfect competition.
In the above table if the price of the commodity is ` 5/- then there is a demand for 200 commodities and supply is
600 commodities. If the price is 1 rupee then there is a demand for 600 commodities and supply reduced to 200
commodities. In the table at ` 3/- price level, there is a demand for 400 commodities and the supply is also 400
commodities. Therefore the price is determined as ` 3/-
Diagrammatic Explanation: The price and output determination under perfect competition can be explained with
the help of following diagram.
In the diagram DD is the demand curve SS is the supply curve. In the diagram we find supply remains constant.
SS is the supply curve. Demand has increased from DD to D1D1. This increased demand curve and supply curve
both are equal at point E1. The equilibrium point has changed from E to E1. Therefore the price and output have
changed OP to OP1 and from OM to OM1 respectively. When the demand decreases from DD to D2D2 then supply
curve and decreased demand curve both are equal at point E2. Therefore the price has decreased from OP to
OP2 and the output also decreased from OM to OM2
Price determination when demand remains constant and supply changes:
If demand is constant, the equilibrium price rise if supply decreases and if supply increases the equilibrium price will
fall. This can be explained with the help of diagram.
In the diagram DD is the demand curve SS is the supply curve.
In the diagram when the supply increased from SS to S1S1 then the demand curve and increased supply curve
both intersect at point E1. So the output has increased from OP to OP1. If the supply reduces from SS to S2S2 then
the decreased supply curve and the demand curve both are equal point E2. So the output is decreased from OM
to OM2 and the price has increased from OP to OP2.
Price determination when both demand and supply are changed:
Under perfect competition if the demand and supply both are changing in the same direction and in the same
rate, then the price may not change. This can be shown in the diagram.
In the diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis the price are determined. DD is the demand curve and SS is
the supply curve. The demand and supply are equal at point E and at the point the price is OP and output is OM.
Suppose the demand and supply both have increased from DD to D1D1 and SS to S1S1 respectively. Now both are
equal at point E1 and at that point the price remains constant. In the same way if demand and supply both have
decreased from DD to D2D2 and from SS to S2S2 respectively.
MC AC
Q
P
S F
R AR
MR
O M Output
In the diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis the costs, Revenue and price are taken. In this diagram MC is the
marginal cost curve and AC is the Average cost curve. AR and MR are Average revenue and marginal revenue
curves respectively. Under monopoly the output is determined at that point where MC = MR. In the diagram both
MC and MR are equal at point E. So the output is determined on AR line. In this diagram the price is OP or OM.
The difference between AR and AC is the amount of abnormal profit for one unit. Therefore OR is the unit profit.
If we deduct the total cost from the total revenue, we can get the total profit. So OPQM OSRM = PQRS = Profit.
In the above manner the Monopolist gets maximum profits at OP price level and at OM level of output. Beyond
or below OM level of output will reduce the amount of profit.
Diagram (A)
In the diagram (A) the cost curves are increasing MC and MR are equal at point E therefore OPQM is the total
revenue and OSRM is the total cost. So PQRS is the total amount of profit.
Diagram (B)
In the diagram (B) the MC and MR equal at point R and the total profit is PQRS. In this diagram MC is constant and
therefore it is parallel to X-axis.
Diagram (C)
In the diagram (C) the cost curves are falling MC curve cuts the MR curve at point E. Therefore the point E is an
equilibrium point. OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is the total cost. Therefore PQRS is the total amount of
profit.
Monopoly price and elasticity of demand: The concept of elasticity of demand is more useful in price determination
under Monopoly. The main motive of the Monopolist is to get maximum profits. In order to get maximum profits
the Monopolist fixes more price in the case of those goods in which there is in elastic demand and less price in
the case of those goods in which the demand is elastic one. Therefore monopolist generally fixes the price on the
basis of elasticity of demand.
Q AR = MR
AC
S
O M Out Put
In the above diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis Cost, Revenue and price are determined. Under perfect
competition the average and marginal revenue curves are equal and parallel to X-axis due to uniform price level.
In this diagram SMC curve is equal to MR curve at point Q. So at that point the output is determined as OM and
the price as OP. The firm is in equilibrium position at point Q when the SMC curve is at rising stage. In this diagram
OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is the total cost. If we deduct the total cost from the total revenue then we
get the total profit. Therefore OPQM OSRM = PQRS (profit).
Equilibrium of the firm under perfect competition: In the short period the firm can get abnormal profits or losses. The
following diagram explains how the firm can get abnormal profits and reaches the equilibrium position.
Cost / Revenue
MC
AC
R
S
P MR = AR
Q
O M Out Put
In the diagram on X-axis output and on Y-axis costs, revenue and price are shown. At point Q. SMC and MR are
equal and therefore Q is an equilibrium point. At this equilibrium point SAC is more than AR. In this diagram the
output is determined as OM and the price as OP. OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is the total cost. Here the
total cost is more than the total revenue. So the firms incur the losses PQRS are the losses.
Long Run Equilibrium: In the long run the firm does not get abnormal profits or losses because of free entry and
exit under perfect competition. In the long run both AC and AR become equal and therefore the firm gets only
normal profits. This can be explained with the help of following diagram.
In the diagram on X-axis output and on Y-axis costs, revenue and price are determined. At equilibrium point i.e. at
QLAC and AR both are equal. OPQM is the total revenue and also total cost. Therefore the firm is getting normal
profits in the long run.
Equilibrium of the industry under perfect competition: In order to obtain the equilibrium position of the industry
under perfect competition the following conditions are essential.
1. The industry gets an equilibrium position where MC=MR.
2. All firms in the industry get only normal profits.
3. At equilibrium point the MC, AC, MR and AR are equal.
4. Number of the firms is constant.
5. Possible only in long period.
Diagrammatic Explanation: In the case of the firm there are some possibilities of getting abnormal profits or losses in
the short period. But in the case of industry as a whole there is no possibility of getting abnormal profits. The industry
gets only normal profits. This can be explained with the help of following diagram.
In the diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis costs, revenues and price are shown. The MC and MR become
equal at point Q. At that point the MC, MR, AC and AR are equal. The output is determined as OM and the price
as OP. OPQM is the total revenue and also total cost. So there are no abnormal profits. The industry is getting only
normal profits.
Importance:
1. There are certain services such as Railways etc., which cannot be provided profitably unless the price
discrimination is allowed to take place: uniform price for such services will lead to low incomes or losses to the
entrepreneur.
2. If the welfare of the country is required in certain cases the price discrimination is desirable. For example if the
doctor charges more fee from rich and less fee from poor, then the public welfare will be increased.
3. With help of price discrimination the government can reduce the inequalities of income and wealth to some
extent.
4. If the monopolist fixes higher price in the case of inelastic demand goods and lower price for the elastic
demand goods and then the demand and production will not be effected badly.
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PERFECT COMPETITION AND MONOPOLY:
Perfect competition and monopoly are the two extreme concepts. There are some difference between perfect
competition and monopoly. Perfect competition is that one where there are large number of sellers who are
producing similar products and where the activity of single seller or buyer may not influence the entire market
price. Monopoly is said to be existed when one firm is the sole producer of the product where there are no close
substitutes to it.
In perfect competition there are large number of buyers and sellers and also homogeneous products in this
competition. There is free entry and exit and also have perfect market information. These factors of production
can be freely mobilized. There is a uniform price level. In this competition the transport cost should be included in
the price level. There is difference between firm and industry under perfect competition.
In monopoly market there is only single producer and there are no close substitute products. In monopoly there
is no difference between firm and industry. The new firm has no right to enter the market. The monopolist has
the controlling power either the price or output. Therefore the revenue curves fall down from left to right, if the
production is increased.
Differences:
The following are some of the differences between perfect competition and monopoly.
1. In perfect competition there is large number of buyers and sellers who are producing homogeneous products
therefore the activity of single seller may not influence the market price but in monopoly there is single seller.
He controls the entire supply of the commodities. In this there is no competition.
2. In perfect competition the revenue curves are parallel to X-axis and where as in monopoly the revenue curves
are falling down from left to right. We can know the nature of revenue curves with the help of following
diagrams.
3. In perfect competition because of uniform price level the average revenue and marginal revenue are equal
and they are parallel to X-axis but in monopoly the average cost and the marginal revenue curves fall down
from left to right. If the monopolist wants to sell more he must reduce the price level and if he wants to fix more
price he must reduce the output.
4. Under perfect competition the price is determined at that point where the demand and supply both are
equal. In this competition both price and output are determined at equilibrium point. But in monopoly only
the output is determined that level where MC=MR.
5. In perfect competition there is a free entry & exit. The new firms may enter the market when the existing firms
are getting abnormal profits and leave the market when they are getting losses. But in monopoly the other
firms have no freedom to enter the market.
In perfect competition the firm gets an equilibrium position where the marginal cost is at raising stage, if the
marginal cost curve fall down there is no possibility of equilibrium between MC and MR. In monopoly market
the firm may get an equilibrium position where the MC curve is at raising stage, constant or at falling stage.
6. In perfect competition there is a difference between firm and Industry. Firm is a production unit and where as
industry is a group of firms. But under monopoly market, there is no difference between the firm and Industry
and both is same.
7. In the short period under perfect competition the firm may get abnormal profits. But in the long run normal
profits because of free entry, exit the firm. But in monopoly the firm may get abnormal profits in short period
and in long period the firm may get normal profits, because of no free entry.
Features:
1. Existence of large number of firms: In monopolist competition there are large number of firms in the market.
The output of each firm is very much less in the total output. Because of large number of firms each firm acts
independently without bothering about the reaction of rivals.
2. Product differentiation: Product differentiation is another feature of monopolistic competition. Under this
monopolist competition products are not homogeneous like in perfect competition and they are not remote
substitutes as in monopoly. These products may be close substitutes. For example Colgate tooth paste, close-
up etc., product differentiation can be brought about in several ways. The firms may bring about product
differentiation by offering supplementary services to the customers or by differentiation the quality of the
goods or through advertisements.
3. Free entry and Exit: There is a free entry and exit of the firms in monopolistic competition. The new firms may
enter the market or the existence firms may leave the market.
4. Excess capacity: Under monopolistic competition the firms produce the goods upto that level where the
average cost is at falling stage. The firms do not produce the output upto that level where the long run
average cost is at minimum level. In monopolist competition the amount of output that is produced by the firm
is less than the ideal output. This is called excess capacity.
5. Selling costs: The costs on advertisements are commonly called selling costs. According to E.H.Chamberlin
selling cost is that cost which shifts the demand curve towards right side. Therefore the selling costs are useful
for the increase of demand. The producer spends on selling costs upto that situation where the additional
revenue becomes zero. Through publicity and propaganda the firm will popularize the quality of the products.
With the help of advertisements the firms may change the tastes of the customers. In a real sense the selling
costs will not promote the welfare of the customers.
Short run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition
With regard to abnormal profits short run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition is similar to that of
a monopoly firm. In order to maximize its profits and for attainment of equilibrium position, the firm must produce
the goods upto that level where the marginal cost will become equal to marginal revenue. This can be explained
with the help of following diagram.
P Cost / Revenue
SAC
SMC
S
SAR
E
SMR
O M Output
ABNORMAL PROFIT
In this diagram SAR is the short run average revenue curve and also demand line. SMR is the short run marginal
revenue curve. SAC is the short run average cost curve and SMC is the short run marginal cost curve, SMC & SMR
are equal at point E. Therefore the equilibrium level of output is OM and the price is OP. OPQM is the total revenue
and OSRM is the total cost. Therefore QR is the amount of abnormal profit per one unit. PQRS is the total amount
of profit.
In the short period it is possible that some firms may get abnormal profits like in the above manner and some other
firms may get normal profits or losses like in the following manner:
Cost / Revenue
SAC
SMC
P Q
SAR
E
SMR
O M Output
NORMAL PROFIT
In this diagram, the firm is getting only normal profits which are included in the cost of production. The equilibrium
output is OM. At OM output level the price is OP which is also equal to average cost. In the diagram OPQM is the
total revenue and total cost. So, the firm is getting only normal profits.
Cost / Revenue
LAC
LMC
R
S
P Q
LAR
LMR
O M Output
LOSSES
In this diagram, the firm is getting losses. In this diagram at OM output level the price is OP but the unit cost that is
average cost is OS. Therefore the firm is getting PS or QR amount of loss. OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is
the total cost. So PQRS is the total amount of loss.
LOSSES
In this diagram LAC is the long run average cost curve and LMC is the long run average cost curve andLMC is th
long run marginal revenue curve and LAR is the long run average revenue curve. The LMC and LMR are equal at
point E. So the output is determined as OM and the price is OP. In the diagram average cost is equal to average
revenue. So the firm is getting only normal profits in the long run. These normal profits are included in the cost of
production.
Difference between perfect competition and Monopolistic competition:
Under perfect competition especially in the long period the firm gets an equilibrium position at that level that the
AC is minimum and where as in Monopolistic competition the firm gets an equilibrium position at point Q where the
LAC curve is at falling stage. Therefore in monopolistic competition there is an excess capacity.
PRICE DETERMINATION UNDER OLIGOPOLY:
The term oligopoly is derived from two Greek words Oligos means a few and pollein which means to sell.
Therefore oligopoly refers to that form of imperfect competition where there will be few sellers are producing either
homogeneous products or products which are close substitutes. Oligopoly may also be referred as Competition
among the few.
Features:
1. Interdependence: In Oligopoly market there is an element of interdependence of the firms. The price and
output decisions of one firm will affect the other firms.
2. Indeterminate demand curve: No firm in oligopoly can forecast with fair degree of certainty about the nature
and position of its demand curve. The firm cannot make an estimation of sales of its products if it reduces its
price.
3. Element of Monopoly: In oligopoly market where there are only few firms monopoly element may be prevailed
in the market. Each firm controls a large share of the market.
4. Importance of selling costs: Indeterminate demand leads to making of advertisements to make the average
revenue more favourable.
5. Price rigidity: The price will be kept unchanged due to fear of realization and the price will tend to inflexible.
The reasons for price rigidity are:
a) The firms know the ultimate outcome of price change.
b) Revised prices further lead to irritation among the consumers.
c) To discourage any new firm entering in the field of production.
In this diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis costs, Revenue and Price are determined. The demand curve
DD1 has a kink at point K. It is the average revenue curve. The point K divides the demand curve into two parts. DK
part of demand curve is elastic one and where as KD1 part of the demand curve is less elastic.
There is price rigidity at point K because of several reasons. If the particular firm rises its prices the other firms do not
follow. Therefore the demand for the particular products will be reduced; on the other hand if the particular firm
reduces their prices, other firms follow the price. Therefore no firm has to desire to increase or decrease the price
level. So there is price rigidity in oligopoly market. The marginal cost becomes equal to marginal revenue at point
E. Therefore the output is determined as OM and the price as OP.
PRICE DETERMINATION UNDER DUOPOLY:
As early as in 1838, a French economist Cournot analyzed a special case of competitive business behaviour with
only two firms in an Industry. The assumptions are quite strict but considering the time at which this formulation
was developed, they cannot be faulted with too much. It is assumed that each member in this two firm industry
produces a homogeneous product, treats the rivals output as given and maximizes profit. We shall illustrate the
equilibrium price-volume combination for each firm by taking simple example. The rival firms output behaviour
with respect to one firms output is called conjectural variation. Cournot assumed a zero conjectural variation.
Based on these assumptions, Cournots model tells us that each will be supplying exactly equal quantities of the
product and the price charged will be same.
1. Edgeworths model duopoly pricing:
Edgeworth based his model on the same assumptions of cournot except that each seller takes his rivals
supply constant. Instead Edgeworth assumes that each seller takes the price of his rival constant. According to
Edgeworth, there will not be any price stability under duopoly. The price continually varies between competitive
and monopolistic levels. According to him, duopoly situation is indeterminate and unstable equilibrium.
2. Chamberlins Model:
Chamberlins contribution to the theory of oligopoly consists in his suggestion that a stable equilibrium can be
reached with the monopoly price being changed by all firms, if firms recognize their interdependence and act so
as to maximize the industry profit.
Chamberlin rejects the assumption of independent action by competitors. He recognizer the mutual dependence
of the two sellers put forth a stable equilibrium model. His situation is based on the assumption that each seller
is intelligent enough to understand the importance of mutual agreement between the two and that sharing
monopoly profits is to best advantage of both.
1. Firm A Maximizing output OXm and sell it at the monopoly price Pm.
2. Firm B is having Quantity XmB at which Bs MR = MC = 0
3. Total industry output is OB.
4. DD is demand curve.
5. e equilibrium price.
Under chamberlin model the market demand is a straight line with negative slope, and production is assumed
costless for simplicity.
1
Prove that the Slope of Average Cost Curve is (MC AC)
x
Proof:
Let cost be C and units be x.
c
Then Average cost (say, y) =
x
To find out the slope, the average cost should be differentiated w.r.to. x.
dc dx
x - c
dy dx dx
=
dx x2
dc
-c x
= dx
x2
1 dc 1 c
= -
x dx x x
1 dc c
= -
x dx x
1
= (MC - AC)
x
4) Total Revenue (TR) = Quantity sold selling price per unit of the commodity = R = px where p is the price per
unit and x the number of units sold.
Total Revenue
5) Average Revenue (AR) =
Quantity Sold dR
6) Marginal Revenue (MR) = Differential Coefficient of total Revenue w.r.t quantity =
dx
7) Profit (P) = Total Revenue (TR) Total cost (TC)
8) For maximum Profit: Marginal Revenue (MR) = Marginal Cost (MC)
Profit = R C
Marginal profit is the first derivative of profit function.
dR
i.e. where p = profit and x = quantity and marginal profit =
dx
9) Price Elasticity of Demand.
Price Elasticity of demand is the degree of responsiveness of the demand for a commodity to a change in its
price.
Change in quantity demanded dx
Quantity demanded at original price x dp dp
Price elasticity of demand =
Change in price
= dp = p
p
=1
Original price p
Where x is the quantity demanded at original price and p is the original price per unit.
It may further be noted that if the price increases, quantity demanded will decrease i.e., Corresponding to
dx
any change in price, quantity demanded changes in the opposite direction i.e., dp is always negative. But
we take only numerical value and hence ignore the sign.
dp dp dx x
Price elasticity of demand is denoted by Ep =
p
p
=
dp
p
(numerically)
AR
Show that elasticity of demand = AR MR
, where AR and MR are average and marginal revenue
respectively at any output.
Proof:
R px
Total Revenue, (say R) = px, AR = x
= x
=p
d d dp
MR = dx
(R) = dx
(px) = p + x dx
dx dx
AR p -p p dp dp dx p
Now, = = = =
x =
= |Ep|(proved)
AR - MR dp dp x dp x
p -p - x x p
dx dx
10) If marginal revenue function is given, total revenue function can be found out in the following manner.
Here Total Revenue = R & Marginal Revenue = MR
dR
We have MR = dx
MRdx = dR
dR = MRdx
integrating with respect to x
dR = MR dr
Consumers surplus =
0
f(x)dx - x 0p0
Producers surplus = x 0p0 -
0
f(x)dx
x1 x
(i) If and 2 are < 0, then the commodies are complementary
p2 p1
x1 x
(ii) If and 2 are > 0, then the commodities are said to be substitutes or competitive.
p2 p1
x1 x 2
(iii) If > 0 (or)<0 <0 or >0,they are said to be unrelated that means no relationship can be
p2 p1
established.
Illustration 1:
The cost (c) of a firm is given by the function c = 4x3 + 9x + 11x + 27. Find the Average Cost, Marginal Cost, Average
Variable Cost, and Average Fixed Cost x being the output.
Solution:
C = Total Cost = 4x3 + 9x2 + 11x + 27
27
Average Cost = 4x2 + 9x + 11 + x
dc
Marginal Cost = dx
= 12x + 18x + 11
2
Illustration 2:
The Average Cost of a firm is given by the function Average Cost = x3 + 12x 11x, find the Total Cost, Average
Variable Cost & Marginal cost.
Solution:
Average Cost = x3 + 12x2 11x
Total Cost (C) = x4 + 12x3 11x2
dc
Marginal Cost = = 4x3 + 36x2 22x
dx
Illustration 3:
The cost function of a firm is given by c = x3 - 4x + 7x, find at what level of output Average Cost is minimum and
what level will it be.
Solution:
Total Cost = x3 4x2 + 7x
Average Cost = x2 4x + 7
dy d2 y
In order that average cost is minimum dx
= 0 and the value of dx2
dy
i.e. dx
= 2x 4 = 0
or, x 2 = 0
.
..x=2
d2 y d dy d
Again, = = (2 x 4)
dx2 dx dx dx
dy
2
= dx2
= 2 which is positive so the function will have minimum values.
Minimum:
Average Cost = x2 4x 7
= 4 (4 x 2) + 7
= 11 8 = 3
Illustration 4:
50
The Average Cost function (AC) for a certain commodity is given by AC = 2x 1 + x in terms of output x, find the
output for which (i) Average cost is increasing (ii) Average cost is decreasing (iii) Find the total cost (iv) Marginal Cost.
Solution:
In order to a function is said to be increasing (or) decreasing its derivation must be zero.
dy
dx
= 2 50x2 = 0, Where y = AC = 2x - 1 + 50/x.
50
=> 2 x2
=0
=> 2x2 50 = 0
=> x2 25 = 0
.
. . x = + 5
When x > 5 it is increasing
When x < 5 it is decreasing
50
Total Cost = (2x 1 + x
) x = 2x2 x + 50
dy
Marginal Cost = dx
(2x2 x + 50) = 4x 1
Illustration 5:
1
The Cost function of a particular firm c = 3 x3 5x + 75x +10, find at which level, i) The Marginal Cost attains its
minimum ii) What is the marginal cost of this level?
Illustration 6:
The cost function c for the commodity q is given by C = q3 4q + 6q find Average Variable Cost and also find
the value of q for which average variable cost is minimum.
Solution:
C = q3 4q2 + 6q
=> 2q 4 = 0
. 4
. . q = 2
=2
2
dC
= 2 > 0, positive
dq2
.
. . Average Cost is minimum at q = 2
Illustration 7:
1
The cost function c of a firm = 3 x3 x + 5x + 3, find the level at which the marginal cost and the average variable
cost attain their respective minimum.
Solution:
1
C= 3
x3 x + 5x + 3
dc 1
Marginal Cost = dx
= 3 3x2 2x + 5
= x2 2x + 5 (y say)
dy
dx
= 2x 2 = 0
.
..x=1
d2 y
= 2, which is positive
dx2
.
. . Marginal cost is minimum value at x = 1
1
Average Variable Cost = 3
x2 x + 5 (y say)
d 2
dx
{Average Variable Cost} = 3
x1=0
2
=> 3 x = 1
. 3
. . x = 2
d2 y 2
dx2
= 3
, positive
. 3
. . Average Variable Cost is minimum at output x = 2
Illustration 8:
1
Cost = 300x 10x + 3
x3, Calculate
(i) Output at which Marginal Cost is minimum
(ii) Output at which Average Cost is minimum
(iii) Output at which Marginal Cost = Average Cost.
Solution:
1
(i) Cost = 300x 10x + 3
x3
dc
Marginal Cost = dx
= 300 20x + x2 (say, y)
In order that MC is minimum first derivate must be equal to zero and 2nd derivate must be positive.
. dy
. . dx = 2x 20 => 2x = 20
x = 10
d2 y
dx2 = 2, which is positive. It is minimum at x = 10.
1
(ii) Average Cost = 300 10x + 3
x2 (y say)
dy 2
dx = 10 + 3
x=0
=> x = 30/2 = 15
d2 y 2
dx2 = 3 > 0,
.
. . Average Cost is minimum of output at x = 15
(iii) Output at which Marginal Cost = Average Cost
1
300 20x +x = 300 10x + 3
x2
1
20x + 10x + x2 3
x2 = 0
2
10x + 3
x2 = 0
30x + 2x
3
=0
2x2 30x = 0
2x (x 15) = 0
X 15 = 0
.
. . x = 15
Illustration 9:
3 15
Cost Function C = 5
x+ 4
, find
Solution:
x 2200x 3 3
R = (2200 3x) 2 = 2
2
x2 = 1100x 2
x2
dR
MR = = 1100 3x
dx
Illustration 11:
Given C = x3 10x + 9x; R = 12x + 11x 4. Find the total profit and hence marginal profits.
Solution:
C = x3 10x2 + 9x
R = 12x2 + 11x 4
Total Profit = R C = 12x2 + 11x 4 x3 + 10x2 9x
= x3 + 22x2 + 2x 4
= (x3 22x2 2x + 4) (Say P)
dp
Marginal Profit = (3x2 44x 2)
dx
Illustration 12:
A manufacturer can sell x items (x > 0) at a price of (330 x) each; the cost of producing x items is
`x + 10x + 12. How many items should he sell to make the maximum profit? Also determine the maximum profit.
Solution:
Given price (P) = 330 x
Cost (C) = x2 + 10x + 12
Output = x > 0
Revenue (R) = Px = 330x x2
Profit = R C = 330x x2 x2 + 10x 12
= 320x 2x2 12 (say y)
In order that maximum profit is attained
dy
dx = 0, and
d2 y
dx2 = Positive
dy
dx = 320 4x = 0
4x = -320
x = 80
d2 y
dx2 = 4, which is negative.
3W2 = 1200
W2 = 400
W = 20
dE 6w
dw
= 400
. dE 6 (20) 6
. . dw at w = 20 = 400 = 20 < 0
.
. . Maximum efficiency at w = 20.
Illustration 14:
x
A firm assumes a cost function c(x) = x ( 10 + 200), x is a monthly output in thousands of units. Its revenue function is
2200 3x
given by R (x) = ( 2
)x Find i) If the firm decides to produce 10,000units per month, the firms cost and Marginal
cost. ii) If the firm decides to produce Marginal cost of 320, the level of output per month, and cost of the firm. iii)
The marginal revenue function. iv) If a decision is taken to produce 10,000 units each month, the total revenue
and marginal revenue of the firm. v) If the firm produces with a marginal revenue of 1040, the firms monthly output
and monthly revenue. vi) The firms profit function and marginal profit function. vii) The output required per month
to make the marginal profit=0, and find the profit at this level of output. viii) Find the marginal revenue and the
marginal cost at the output obtained in (vii) and comment upon the result.
Solution:
x x
C = x ( 10 +200)= 10 + 200x
X = 000 units p.m.
2200 3x 2200x 3x
R=( 2
)x = 2
i) if firms output 10,000 units per month.
100
Cost = 10 ( +200)= 2100
10
dR x x 1
dx
= 15 [ e 5 + xe 5 ( 5 )]
Illustration 17:
150
P = q + 2 4 represents the demand function for a product where p is the price per unit per q units; determine
the marginal revenue function.
Solution:
150
P= q + 2
4
150q
Revenue (R) = q + 2
4q
dR q + 2(150)150q 2q
MR = dq
= 4
(q + 2)
150q 300 300q 300 150q
= 4= 4
(q + 2) (q + 2)
Illustration 18:
A manufacturer can sell x items per month, at price P = 300 2x. Manufacturers cost of production ` Y of x items
is given by Y = 2x + 1000. Find no. of items to be produced to yield maximum profit per month
Solution:
Units = x
Price = 300 2x
Revenue (R) = Px = 300x 2x2
Cost (C) = 2x + 1000
Profit (z) = 300x 2x2 2x 1000
2x2 + 298x 1000
dz
dx
= 4x + 298 = 0
4x = 298
298
x= 4
= 74.5
dz
dx
= 4 which is Negative
dz
dx
= <0
Profit is maximum at x = 74.5 units
Illustration 19:
The price (P) per unit at which company can sell all that it produces is given by the function P(x) = 300 4x. The cost
function is 500 + 28x, where x is the number of units, find x, so that profit is maximum.
Solution:
P = 300 4x
R = P(x) = 300x 4x2
C = 500 + 28x
Profit (`) = R C
Profit = 300x 4x2 500 28x
= 4x2 + 272x 500
dz
dx
= 8x + 272 = 0
8x = 272
272
X= 8
= 34
dz
dx
= 8, which is Negative
Profit is maximum at x = 34 units.
Illustration 20:
If n be the no. of workers employed the average cost of production is given by
3
C = 24n + 2(n 4)
Show that n = 4 will make C minimum.
Solution:
3 3
C = 24n + 2(n 4)
= 24n + 2
(n 4)1
dc dc
if, dn
= 0, then Cost is minimum, dn
= Positive
dc 3
dn
= 24 + 2
1 x (n 4)2 = 0
3
24 (n 4)2 = 0
2
(n 4)-2 = 16
1
(n 4)2
= 16
(n 4)2 .16 = 1
1
(n 4)2 = 16
1
n4= 4
1 1
n= 4
+4=44
dc 3
dn
=0+ 2
2 (n 4)3
= 3 (n 4)3
17
= 3 ( 4 4)3
3
= which is Positive
( 14 )3
Hence condition is satisfied and cost will be minimum at n = 4.
P = 2530 5x
X2 = 2500
.
. . x = 2500 = 50
d2 p
dx2
= 2, which is Negative
.
. . Maximum profit is at x = 50 units
Price 2530 5 x 50 = 2280
Illustration 23:
Find the Elasticity of Demand for the following:
10
(i) P= (x + 2)2
4
(ii) P= (2x + 1)2
(iii) x . pn = K, where n, k are constant.
Solution:
10
(i) P= (x + 2)2
= 10 (x + 2)-2
Differentiating w.r.to x
dp
dx
= 10(2)(x + 2)3 = 20 (x + 2)3
p 10
x
= x(x + 2)2
dx p
Elasticity of demand |Ep| = dp
x
dx 1 (x + 2)3
dp
= 20(x + 2)3 = 20
dx p (x + 2)3 10
dp
x
= 20
x(x + 2)2
(x + 2)
= 2x
4
(ii) P = (2x + 1)2
= 4 (2x + 1)2
dp 8
dx
= 4 2 (2x + 1)3 =
(2x + 1)3
dp 8
dx
=
(2x + 1)3
dx (2x + 1)3
dp
=
8
p 4
x
=
x(2x + 1)2
(2x + 1)3 4 (2x + 1)
Elasticity of demand = |Ep|= 8
x(2x + 1)2
= 2x
(iii) xp = k
n
k
or, x = pn
x k
or, p
= pn p
x k
or, p
= pn+1
p pn+1
or, x
= k
... (1)
Again, x.pn = k
Differentiate both sides w.r.to x.
dp
x.npn1 + pn = 0
dx
dp
or, dx
. xnpn1 = pn
dp pn
or, dx
= x.n.pn1
dp p -4 q (24 q )
|Ep|= =
dq q q
2 (p 24) = q
2 (20 24) = q
40 + 48 = q
q =8
.
. . q = 64
Illustration 25:
The Demand function is x = 100 + 4p + 10p, where x is demand for the commodity at price p compute marginal
quantity demand, average quantity demand and hence elasticity of demand, at p = 4.
Solution:
X = 100 + 4p + 10P2
dx
Marginal quantity demand =
dq
dx
= 4 + 20P (1)
dq
x 100
Average Quantity demand = = + 4 +10p (2)
p p
dx x 4 + 20p (4 + 20p)p
Ep = = 100
=
dq p + 10p + 4 100+10p2+4p
p
at P = 4
(4 + 80)4 28
= =
100+160+16 23
Illustration 26:
Find an expression for price elasticity in the case of following demand functions and evaluate it at the price
P = 20
(i) 12Q + 7P = 216
(ii) Q = 2500 8P 2P
64
(iii) Q =
p6
5p
(iv) Q =
(1 3p)2
Solution:
(i) 7P = 216 12Q
21612Q 1
P= = (216 12Q)
7 7
dp 1 12 dQ 7
= 12 = = =
dQ 7 7 dp 12
p 1 216
= 12
Q 7 Q
7 216
Ep = 12
12 Q
1 216 12Q
Ep =
12 Q
At p = 20, Q is
Ep at P = 20
76
1 216 12 12
Ep =
12 76
12
1 140 12 140 35
= = =
12 76 76 19
= 125 8 40 = 77
Q 1
=
p 77
1 8
Ep = 88 =
77 7
64 dQ 64 6
(iii) Q = , =
p6 dp p7
Q 64 p p7
= => =
p p7 Q 64
5p
(iv) Q = = 5p (1 3p)2
(1 3p)2
dQ (1 3P)2 .5 5P (2)(1 3P)3
=
dp (1 3P)4
5(1 3P)2 + 30P (1 3P) 5(1 3P)+ 30P
= =
(1 3P)4 (1 3P)3
Q 5 p (1 3P)2
= = =
p (1 3P)2 Q 5
5(1 3P)+ 30P (1 3P)2
Ep =
(1 3P)3 5
5 15P + 30P 1 3P + 6P 1 + 3P
= = =
5(1 3P) 1 3P 1 3P
1 + 60 61
= =
1 60 59
Illustration 27:
The total revenue from sale of x units is given by the equation R = 100x 2x, calculate the point price elasticity of
demand, when marginal revenue is 20.
Solution:
R = 100x 2x2
100 4x = 20
4x = 80
X = 20
Illustration 28:
Prove that the elasticity of demand for the following is constant x = 3(p-2), Where P and X are the price & quantity
demanded respectively.
Solution:
dx p
Ep =
dp x
Differentiate w.r.to x
dp
1 = 3 (2 . p3)
dx
dp
1 = 6p3 .
dx
dp p3
=
dx 6
dx 6
= Equation (1)
dp p3
x 3
Now =
p p3
p p3
= Equation (2)
x 3
From equations (1) & (2)
dx p
Ep =
dp x
6 p3
=
p3 3
= 2 (proved)
Illustration 29:
The total cost (C) and the total revenue (R) of a firm are given C (x) = x3 + 60x + 8x; R(x) = 3x3 - 3x + 656x, x being
output determine, the output for which the firm gets maximum profit. Also obtain the maximum profit.
Solution:
C = x3 + 60x2 + 8x
R = 3x3 3x2 + 656x
Profit = 3x3 3x2 + 656x x3 60x2 8x
= 2x3 63x2 + 648x = (p)
Derivative w.r.to x
dp
= 6x2 126x + 648 = 0
dx
x2 21x + 108 = 0
x2 9x 12x + 108 = 0
x(x 9) 12 (x 9) = 0
(x 12) (x 9) = 0
x = 12 or 9
d2 p
= 2x 21
dx2
at x = 9
d2 p
= 18 21 = 3 < 0
dx2
.
. . P is maximum at x = 9
at x = 12
d2 p
= 24 21= 3 > 0
dx2
.
. . P is minimum at x = 12
P = 2x3 63x2 + 648x
at x = 9
Profit P = 2(9)3 63(9)2 + 648(9)
7292 63 x 81 648 x 9 = 2187
MR = 8 3x
dc
MC = = 6x2 2x + 3
dx
Profit maximum at MC = MR
6x2 2x + 3 = 8 3x
6x2 + x 5 = 0
6x2 + 6x 5x 5 = 0
6x (x + 1) 5 (x + 1) = 0
(x + 1) (6x 5) = 0
X = 1
5
or 6x 5 = 0 = .
6
5
x=
6
. 5
. . Most Profitable output of the firm is .
6
Illustration 32:
A company is planning to market a new model of a doll. Rather than setting the selling price of the doll based only
on production cost estimation management polls the retailers of the doll to see how many dolls they will buy for
various prices. From this survey, it is determined at the unit demand function (the relationship between the amount
x each retailer would buy and the price he would pay) is x = 30000 1500P. The fixed cost of the production of
the dolls are found to be `28,000 and cost of Material & labour to produce each doll is estimated to be ` 8 per unit.
What price should the company charge retailer in order to obtain a maximum profit? Also find the maximum profit.
Solution:
x = 30000 1500P
x 30000 = 1500P
. 30000 x
. . P =
1500
30000x x2
Revenue =
1500
C = 8x + 28000
30000x x2
Profit (y) = 8x 28000
1500
dy 1
= (30000 2x) 8 = 0
dx 1500
= 30000 2x 12000 = 0
2x = 18000
18000
x= = 9000
2
2
dy
= 2, which is Negative
dx2
30000 9000 90002
Profit = 72000 28000
1500
810000
180000 72000 28000
15
= 180000 54000 72000 28000 = 26000
Illustration 33:
Assume that for a closed economy E = C + I + G; Where E= total expenditure on consumption goods, I = Exp. on
Investment goods and G = Govt. Spending. For equilibrium, we must have E = Y, Y being total income received.
For a certain Economy, it is given that C = 15 + 0.9Y, where I = 20 + 0.05Y and G = 25. Find the equilibrium values of
Y, C and I. How will these change, if there is no Government spending.
Solution:
E = 15 + 0.9Y + 20 + 0.05Y +25
E = 60 + 0.95Y = (1)
As given E = Y = 60 + 0.95Y
0.05Y = 60
. 60
. . Y = 0.50 = 1200
C = 15 + 0.9 x 1200 = 1095
I = 20 + 0.05 x 1200 = 80
When there is no government spending.
Illustration 34:
A demand function of an item is P = 8/(x+1) 2 and supply function is P = (x+3)/2, determine the equilibrium price
and consumers surplus.
Solution:
Equilibrium price = Demand = Supply
8 x+3
= 2=
x+1 2
8 2 (x + 1) x+3
= =
x+1 2
= (8 2x 2)2 = (x + 3) (x +1)
16 4x 4 = x2 + 4x + 3
x2 8x + 9 = 0
x2 + 8x 9 = 0
x2 x + 9x 9 = 0
x (x 1) + 9 (x 1) = 0
(x 1) ( x + 9) = 0
x = 1, x = 9
1+3 4
Price = = =2
2 2
Illustration 35:
The demand function for a particular brand of pocket calculator is stated below, P = 75 0.3Q 0.05Q, Find the
consumers surplus at a quantity of 15 calculators.
Solution:
Price = 75 0.30 (15) 0.05 (152)
= 75 4.5 0.05 (225)
= 75 15.75 = 59.25
Consumers surplus
15
= 0 (75 0.3Q 0.05Q2)dQ (59.25 15)
15 0.3Q2 0.5Q2
= 75Q 2
2
(59.75 15)
0
8
= 32 24
3
1
= 5 /
3
16
= 32 3
80
16
= 32 3
2
= 26 /
3
Illustration 37:
The demand function is Y = 85 4x x, y is the price and x is the quantity demand. Find the consumers surplus
for Y = 64.
Solution:
Quantity is 85 4x x = 64
x 4x + 21 = 0
x + 4x 21 = 0
x + 7x 3x 21 = 0
x (x + 7) 3 (x + 7) = 0
(x - 3) (x + 7) = 0
x = 3 or x = 7, not acceptable
= 255 18 9 192
= 36
Illustration 38:
Find whether the following commodities are complementary or competitive (or) substitutes, where P1, P2 and X1 X2
are prices and quantities respectively of the two commodities.
1.7 0.8 0.5 2
(i) x1 = P1 . P2 ; x2 = P1 . P2
4x3 16
(ii) x1 = 2 ; x2 = 2
P 1 P2 P1 P2
8 1.2 0.2 0.6
x1 = P1 . P2 ;
(iii) x2 = P1 . P2
(v)
x1 = 1 2P1 + P2 ; x2 = 5 2 P1 3P2
0.6 0.1
P2 P1
(vi)
x1 = 1.5
; x2 = 0.1
P1 P2
Solution:
1.7 0.8 0.5 2
(i) x1 = P1 .P2 ; x2 = P1 . P2
Differentiate partially x1 w.r.to p2
x1 1.7 0.2
p1 P1
= (0.8) P2
0.8
= 1.7 0.2 which is greater than zero
P 1 P2
4x3 16
(ii) x1 = 2 ; x2 = 2
P 1 P2 P1 P2
Again partially differentiating x2 w.r.to p1
x2 16
= which is also less than zero
p1 2
P1 . P2
2
p1 P2
= (0.2) P1
0.6
(0.2) P2
= which is greater than zero
0.8
P1
p1 P2
= (0.2) P1 = 0.8 which is also greater than zero.
P1
x1
= 1, which is greater than zero.
p2
Similarly, differentiating partially x2 w.r.to p1
x2
= 2, which is less than zero.
p1
Therefore, the relationship between the commodities cannot be established.
0.6 0.1
P2 P1
(vi) x1 = 1.5
; x2 = 0.1
P1 P2
Differentiating partially x1 w.r.to p2
x1 1 0.4
= (0.6) P2
p2 P1
1.5
(0.6)
= 1.5 0.4 which is greater than zero.
P 1 . P2
Similarly, differentiating partially x2 w.r.to p1
x2 1 1
= .
p1 P1
0.1 0.9
P1
Illustration 39:
1. K ltd. sells output in a perfectly competive market. The avarage variable cost function K Ltd is
AVC = 300 40Q + 2Q2
K ltd has an obligation to pay ` 500 irrespective of the output produced.
What is the price below which K Ltd has to shut down its operation in the short run?
Solution:
A firm has to shut down its operation, if the price is less than average variable cost.
Under perfect competition
P = MR
i.e. Price is equal to marginal revenue. The firm will continue its operation under the short run so long as price is
atleast equal to average variable cost.
Thus the equilibrium price which the firm will shut down is the minimum AVC i.e. the average variable cost .
AVC = 300 40Q + 2Q2
d(AVC)
AVC is minimum where =0
dQ
d(AVC)
i.e. = - 40 + 4Q = 0
dQ
i.e. Q = 10 units.
when the firm is producing 10 units,
AVC = 300 40Q + 2Q2
= 300 40(10) + 2 (10)2
= 300 400 + 200 = 100
If the price falls before `100 the firm has to shut down its operation in short run.
Illustration 40:
J ltd is operating in a perfectly competative market. The price elastacity of demand and supply of the product
estimated to be 3 and 2 respectively. The equlibrium price of the product is `100. If the government imposes a
specific tax of `10 per unit, what will be the new equilbrium price?
Solution:
Distribution of tax buden between buyers and sellers is in ratio of elasticity of supply to elasticity of demand .
2
Thus tax burden borne by the buyer = ` 10 = ` 4.
5
If the tax burden borne by buyer is ` 4, new equlilibrium price will be 100 + 4 = ` 104
Illustration 41:
The total cost function for a monopolist is given by TC = 900 + 40 Q2. The demand function for the good produced
by the monopolist is given by 2Q = 48 0.08 P. What will be the profit maximising price?
Solution:
Demand function is given by
2Q = 48 0.08 P
or , 2Q 48 = 0.08 P
or, 48 2Q = 0.08 P
or, P = 600 25Q
TR = PQ
= 600Q 25Q2
TC is given by,
TC = 900 + 40 Q2
The first order condition for profit maximisation is MR = MC
TR = 600Q 25Q2
dTR
MR = = 600 - 50Q
dQ
d(TC)
MC = = 80Q
dQ
For maximising profit
MR = MC
i.e. 600 50Q = 80Q
Q =
600 4.6units
130 =
Equlibreium Price =
P = 600 25 Q = 600 25(4.6)
= 600 115
= ` 485
i.e. profit maximising price is ` 485
Illustration 42:
S Ltd. a monopolist aims at profit maximisation. The fixed cost of the firm is ` 200 and the average variable cost of
the firm is constant at ` 30 per unit. S Ltd. sells goods in West Bengal and Kerala. The estimated demand function
for the goods in west bengal and Kerala are:
Pw = 40 2.5 Qw
Pk = 120 10 Qk
If price discrimination is practiced by S ltd., what will be the profit maximising output?
Solution:
When price discrimination is practiced profit maximising condition is
Illustration 43:
The total cost function of a monopolist is given by
C = 50 + 40x = 50 + 40 (x1 + x2)
The total demand is given by
P = 100 2x
The demand function of the segmented market are
P1 = 80 2.5x1
P2 = 180 10 x2
If the price discrimination is practised by the monopolist, what will be the equilibrium output in each segment and
what will be the price?
Prove that the market with the higher elasticity will have the lower price.
Solution:
The firm aims at the maximisation of profit .
= R1 + R2 + C
= 80 x1 2.5x12
= 180x2 10x22
C = 50 + 40x
= 50 + 40(x1+x2)
dc dc dc 40 ................(3)
MC = = =
dx1 dx2 dx =
Equating (1) & (3)
80 5x1 = 40
x = 8
and, equating (2) & (3)
180 20x2 = 40
x2 = 7
Total output = 8 + 7 = 15 units
P1 = 80 2.5x1 = ` 60
P2 = 180 x2 = ` 110
Now P1 = 80 2.5x1
x1 = 32 0.4 P1
dx1
= 0.4
dp1
60
then e1 = 0.4 =3
8
dx2 p2
Similarly e2 = = 1.57
dp2 x2
Illustration 44:
6,000 pen drives of 2 GB to be sold in a perfectly competitive market to earn `1,06,000 profit, whereas in a monopoly
market only 1,200 units are required to be sold to earn the same profit. The fixed costs for the period are `74,000.
The contribution per unit in the monopoly market is as high as three-fourths its variable cost.
Determine the target selling price per unit under each market condition.
Solution:
Calculation of selling price (`)
Illustration 45:
C Ltd. is about to introduction a new product with the following estimates:
Price per unit (in rupees) 30.00 31.50 33.00 34.50 36.00 37.50 39.00
Demand (in thousand units) 400 380 360 340 315 280 240
Costs:
Judging from the estimates, determine the tentative price of the new product to earn maximum profit.
Solution:
Statement for Determining Tentative Price of the New Product, from estimates, to earn maximum profit
Illustration 46:
H M Ltd. Manufactures an alloy product 'Incop' by using iron and Copper. The metals pass through two plants, X
and Y. The company gives you the following details for the manufacture of one unit of Incop:
(i) Find out the minimum price to be fixed for the alloy, when the alloy is new to the market. Briefly explain this
pricing strategy.
(ii) After the alloy is well established in the market. What should be the minimum selling price? Why?
Solution:
Calculation of Total cost for manufacture of one unit of 'Incop' alloy product
(`)
Materials
Iron (10 kg. `5) 50
Copper (5 Kg. `8) 40 90
Wages
X (3 hours `15) 45
Y (5 hours `12) 60 105
Variable overhead production
X (3 hours `8) 24
Y (5 hours `5) 25 49
Variable overhead Selling 20
Total variable cost 264
Add: Fixed overhead
X (`8 3 hours) 24
Y (`5 5 hours) 25 49
Total Cost 313
(i) If pricing strategy is to penetrate the market, the minimum price for a new product should be the variable
cost i.e. `264. In some circumstances, it can also be sold below the variable cost, if it is expected to quickly
penetrate the market and later absorb a price increase. Total variable cost is the penetration price.
(ii) When the alloy is well established, the minimum selling price will be the total cost - including the fixed cost i.e.
` 313 per unit. Long-run costs should cover at least the total cost.
Illustration 47:
C. Ltd., an Indian company, has entered into an agreement of strategic alliance with Z Inc. of United States of
America for the manufacture of personal computers in India. Broadly, the terms of agreement are:
(i) Z will provide C with kits in a dismantled condition. These will be used in the manufacture of the personal
computer in India. On values basis, the supply, in terms of the FOB price will be 50% thereof.
(ii) C will procure the balance of materials in India.
Solution:
Working Notes:
(1) FOB price of dismantled kit
FOB price of dismantled kit (in $) = 510
FOB price of dismantled kit (in `) ($510 `47.059) = 24,000
(2) Cost of a dismantled kit to Z Inc.
If `120 is the S.P. of kit to Z Inc. then its C.P. is `100
If `24,000 is the S.P. then C.P. is = 24,000 100/120 = `20,000
(3) Cost of local procurements
140% of the cost of supplies made by Zinc. = 140% `10,000* = `14,000
*Being 50% of cost of a dismantled kit to Z Inc.
(4) Landed cost of dismantled kit (`)
3.2 MARKET FACTORS AFFECTING PRICING DECISIONS
The traditional economic theories of pricing, based on demand and supply are of little use to businessmen in
setting prices for their goods. The traditional economists rarely considered the influence exercised by middlemen,
rival producers change in Government economic policies, taxation, etc., all of which are really important in price
determination.
Under marginal principle of MC = MR, price and output are determined on the basic assumption of profit
maximization. Some economists Hall and Hitch of the Oxford University - rejected the assumption of profit
maximization as unrealistic and inapplicable to actual business conditions. In their empirical study of actual
business behaviour, Hall and Hitch found that business firms are either ignorant of the concepts of MR and MC
or they do not actually calculate MR and MC. Naturally, they do not determine price and output at the point
of equality of MR and MC. Besides, business firms are afraid of charging high prices in the short period much
above their average costs of production, lest their price policy, resulting in supernormal profits, attract potential
competitors to enter the industry and compete away the profits in the long run. High prices and high profit margins
may attract public and Government reaction and possible intervention. In other words, in real life, firms would like
to avoid entry of rivals and sharing of the market and for this, they would be prepared to forgo supernormal profits
in the short period. Often, firms will be interested in getting a large share of the market rather than maximum profit.
Sometimes, business firms are influenced by consideration of charging the right price with a just profit margin.
Factors influencing Price of a Product:
Generally, marketers consider the following factors in setting price:
1. Target customers: Price of product depends on the capacity of buyers to buy at various prices, in other words,
influence of price elasticity of demand will be examined.
2. Cost of the product: Pricing is primarily based on, how much it costs to produce and market the product, i.e.,
both the production and distribution cost.
3. Competition: Severe competition may indicate a lower price than when there is monopoly or little competition.
A firm can only sell its product at the market price and nothing above it. In the long run, for an efficient firm,
the sales price is just equal to the average cost. Normal profit is made. There is no excess profit.
(b) Monopoly:
Monopolies are almost always nationalized enterprises for which the criterion of maximization of profit is
not justifiable. In reality, a firm enjoys monopoly position only because it has succeeded in eliminating or
absorbing its competitors. It is therefore probable that, initially, it was better organized and more efficient.
The technical advantages which benefit large firms in certain branches of industry can also neutralize,
at least partly, the harmful effects of a monopoly. Finally, any defacto monopoly must be prepared
to defend itself, on the one hand, against the emergence of substitute competitors and, on the other,
against the competition of substitute products, which imposes a limitation on its profit realization.
In general, to prevent the entry of new firms, a monopolist must set entry-preventing prices, i.e., it should
hold prices at a level which will tend to discourage new firms from entering that particular branch of
industry. This presupposes an implicit estimation of production costs of possible competitors, and of the
profits which will be required to attract them.
On the contrary, in order to fight the competition of substitute products, a monopoly must establish its
price policy on the basis of a demand curve which will actually take those products into account. When
the uses of goods produced by a monopoly are many, the degree of monopoly can vary enormously
from one use to another. In case of coal, for instance, sales range from the industrial market- in which the
fuel oil competition is extremely active to blast furnace coke market in which coal enjoys a technical
monopoly.
So profit maximization demands that management collect more detailed econometric data in the
environment of monopoly, than in that of perfect competition.
(c) Temporary Monopoly:
This situation occurs more frequently. A firm invents a new product and places it on the market. For quite
some time the demand will remain low, as consumers are not yet aware of the product. The firm will
enjoy a de facto monopoly under the protection of its patents. Then, as the product enters into common
usage, demand develops rapidly. Additional firms try to enter the market. They develop new production
methods. Gradually, prices and production techniques tend to stabilize. So at the end, the market evolves
towards an ordinary competitive one.
A firm which invents a new product must determine a strategy relating to prices and production which
leads to a maximum effective income. Following J. Dean, we may consider two extreme cases: that of
skimming of demand and that of creating a demand market.
(d) Skimming Price Policy:
When the product is new but with a high degree of consumer acceptability, the firm may decide to
charge a high mark up and, therefore, charge a high price. The system of charging high prices for new
products is known as price skimming for the object is to skim the cream from the market. There are many
reasons for adopting a high mark-up and, therefore, high initial price:
i) The demand for the new product is relatively inelastic. The high prices will not stop the new consumers
from demanding the product. The new product, novelty, commands a better price. Above all, in the
initial stage, cross elasticity of demand is low.
ii) If life of the product promises to be a short one, the management may fix a high price so that it can
get as much profit as possible and, in as short a period as possible.
iii) Such an initially high price is also suitable if the firm can divide the market into different segments based
on different elasticities. The firm can introduce a cheaper model in the market with lower elasticity.
iv) High initial price may also be needed in those cases where there is heavy investment of capital and
when the costs of introducing a new product are high. The initial price of a transistor radio was ` 500 or
more (now ` 50 or even less).
Risk management has become the most important topic for banks in the recent years. Addressing risk management
in the context of current challenges is a complex matter and a function of appropriate policies, procedures and
culture. Risk management will be successful if the word risk is understood well and clearly.
Overview
Risk is perceived as probable adverse impact of an action. It has two components or factors viz. probability of
adverse impact of a threat and its impact of resource losses. Both these factors are taken together in assessing
risk. The probability factor is due to uncertainty (ignorance) of operation of the threat.
An enterprise may have internal and external threats. Changes in technology, demand, regulations as well as
competition are potential external threats. Stock-out of critical spares, labour unrest, unbalanced or bottlenecked
production capacity, etc are potential internal threats. Other common risks are catastrophe, war, riots, accidents,
etc (These are insurable and normally included in commercial contracts as forced measure situations). More the
time horizon considered, more is the risk. Some risks are statistically predictable
Strategies for managing risks involve analysis of strength, weakness, opportunity and threat (acronym SWOT). Such
analysis develop scenarios (options) for achieving the objectives. The best option is selected. In such selection,
pains in not bearing the risk is weighed against gains in bearing risk.
Risk is managed through one of the alternative strategies mentioned below :
risk avoidance e.g. avoiding rough weather in sailing.
risk minimization e.g. fire prevention arrangement.
risk sharing e.g. insurance, limited liability companies, diversification, outsourcing.
risk bearing i.e. accepting risk with preparations for contingencies. While above three strategies mitigates
losses, risk bearing alone gives rise to profits.
ISO has a specific series of standards for risk management. It is noteworthy that too much stress on risk management
may delay projects. Therefore, it is advisable to follow standard procedures for assessing risks as a part of planning,
using scientific techniques like analysis of industry history, business forecasting, scenario development, cause-
effect analysis, testing of hypothesis, etc.
Risk
According to Dowd (2005), Risk refers to the chance of financial losses due to random changes in underlying risk
factors.
A risk is a random event that may possibly occur and, if it did occur, would have a negative impact on the goals
of the organization. It is the probability of incurring loss due to unexpected and unfavorable movement of certain
parameters.
Risk is composed of three elements the scenario, its probability of occurrence, and the size of its impact if it did
occur (either a fixed value or a distribution). Risk is thus measured by volatility.
An opportunity is also a random variable which is the other side of the coin! But it has a positive impact on the
goals of the organization.
In the corporate world, accepting risks is necessary to obtain a competitive advantage and generate profit.
Introducing new product or expanding production facilities involves both return and risk. When a company is
exposed to an event that can cause a shortfall in a targeted financial measure or value, this is financial risk.
Types of RISK
Systematic Risk: Systematic risk refers to that part of total risk which causes the movement in individual stock price
due to changes in general stock market index. Systematic risk arises out of external and uncontrollable factors.
The price of individual security reflects the fluctuations and changes of general market. Systematic risk refers to
that portion of variation in return caused by factors that affect the price of all securities. The effect in systematic
risk causes the prices of all individual shares/bonds to move in the same direction. This movement is generally due
to the response to economic, social and political changes. The systematic risk cannot be avoided. It relates to
economic trends which affect the whole market. When the stock market is bullish, prices of all stocks indicate rising
trend and in the bearish market, the prices of all stocks will be falling. The systematic risk cannot be eliminated by
diversification of portfolio, because every share is influenced by the general market trend.
Unsystematic Risk: Unsystematic risk is that portion of total risk which results from known and controllable factors.
Unsystematic risk refers to that portion of the risk which is caused due to factors unique or related to a firm or
industry. The unsystematic risk is the change in the price of stocks due to the factors which are particular to the
stock. For example, if excise duty or customs duty on viscose fibre increases, the price of stocks of synthetic yarn
industry declines. The unsystematic risk can be eliminated or reduced by diversification of portfolio. Unsystematic
risks are those that are unique to a particular company or a particular investment, resulting downward movement
in the performance of one company can be offset by an uptrend movement in another and so much of this
unsystematic risk can be eliminated through diversification on the part of the shareholders when they hold a
portfolio of shares. The systematic risk attached to each of the security is same irrespective of any number of
securities in the portfolio. The total risk of portfolio is reduced, with increase in number of stocks, as a result of
decrease in the unsystematic risk distributed over number of stocks in the portfolio.
Market Risk: The market risk arises due to changes in demand and supply, expectations of the investors, information
flow, investors risk perception etc. Variations in price sparked off due to real social, political and economic events
are referred to as market risk.
Interest Rate Risk: The return on investment depends on the market rate of interest, which changes from time to
time. The cost of corporate debt depends on the interest rates prevailing, maturity periods, creditworthiness of
the borrowers, monetary and credit policy of the central bank, riskiness of the investments, expectations of the
investors etc. The uncertainty of future market values and the size of future incomes, caused by fluctuations in the
general level of interest are known as interest rate risk. Generally, price of securities tend to move inversely with
changes in the rate of interest.
Purchasing Power Risk: Uncertainties of purchasing power is referred to as risk due to inflation. If investment is
considered as consumption sacrificed, then a person, purchasing securities, foregoes the opportunity to buy some
goods or services for so long as he continues to hold the securities. In case, the prices of goods and services,
increases during this period, the investor actually loses purchasing power. The investors expected return will change
due to change in real value of returns. The risk in prices due to inflation will cause to rise in cost of production and
reduction in profit due to lower margins. The supply of money, monetary and fiscal policy of the Government will
cause the changes in inflation. The investors expectations will also change with the changes in levels of purchasing
power. The purchasing power risk is inherent in all securities, which is uncontrollable by the individual investors.
Default Risk: The default risk arises due to the default in meeting the financial obligations as and when due for
payment. The non-payment of interest and principal amounts in time will increase the risk of insolvency and
bankruptcy costs. The default risk or insolvency risk will cause a sudden dip in companys stock prices.
Liquidity Risk: It is that portion of an assets total variability of return which results from price discounts given or sales
commissions paid in order to sell the asset without delay. It is a situation wherein it may not be possible to sell the
asset. Assets are disposed off at great inconvenience and cost in terms of money and time. Any asset that can be
bought or sold quickly is said to be liquid. Failure to realize with minimum discount to its value of an asset is called
liquidity risk.
Callability Risk: It is that portion of securitys total variability of returns that derives from the possibility that the issue
may be called or redeemed before maturity. Callability risk commands a risk premium that comes in the form of a
slightly higher average rate of return. This additional return should increase as the risk increases.
(c) Setting right, at the earliest opportunity, deviations from plans, whenever they occur.
(d) Ensuring that the objective of the planned event is achieved by alternative means, when the means chosen
proves wrong, and
(e) In case the expected event is frustrated, making the damage minimal.
Risk Measurement
Evaluation of the likelihood and extent or magnitude of a risk is known as Risk Measurement. In other words, it can
be defined as a real valued function numerically representing an individual decision makers risk ordering on a
given set of alternatives. It quantified the amount of perceived risk. It provides fundamental support to decision
making within the insurance industry.
Risk Pooling
One of the forms of risk management mostly practiced by insurance companies is Risk Pool. Under this system,
insurance companies come together to form a pool, which can provide protection to insurance companies
against catastrophic risks such as floods, earthquakes etc. The term is also used to describe the pooling of similar
risks that underlies the concept of insurance. While risk pooling is necessary for insurance to work, not all risks can
be effectively pooled. In particular, it is difficult to pool dissimilar risks in a voluntary insurance market, unless there
is a subsidy available to encourage participation.
Risk pooling is an important concept in supply chain management. Risk pooling suggests that demand variability
is reduced if one aggregates demand across locations because as demand is aggregated across different
locations, it becomes more likely that high demand from one customer will be offset by low demand from another.
This reduction in variability allows a decrease in safety stock and therefore reduces average inventory.
The three critical points to risk pooling are:
(1) Centralized inventory saves safety stock and average inventory in the system.
(2) When demands from markets are negatively correlated, the higher the coefficient of variation, the greater the
benefit obtained from centralized systems i.e., the greater the benefit from risk pooling.
(3) The benefits from risk pooling depend directly on the relative market behaviour. If we compare two markets
and when demand from both markets is more or less than the average demand, we say that the demands from
the market are positively correlated. Thus the benefits derived from risk pooling decreases as the correlation
between demands from the two markets becomes more positive.
The basis for the concept of risk pooling is to share or reduce risks that no single member could absorb on their
own. Hence, risk pooling reduces a person or fims exposure to financial loss by spreading the risk among many
members or companies. Actuarial concepts used in risk pooling include:
(A) Statistical variation.
(B) The law of averages.
(C) The law of large numbers.
(D) The laws of probability.
Risk Reduction through Diversification
The important principle to consider that in an efficient capital market, investors should not hold all their eggs in one
basket; they should hold a well-diversified portfolio. In order to diversify risk for the creation of an efficient portfolio
(one that allows the firm to achieve the maximum return for a given level of risk or to minimize risk for a given
level of return), the concept of correlation must be understood. Correlation is a statistical measure that indicates
the relationship, if any, between series of numbers representing anything from cash flows to test data. If the two-
series move together, they are positively correlated; if the series move in opposite directions, they are negatively
correlated. The existence of perfectly correlated (especially negatively correlated) projects is quite rare. In order
to diversify project risk and thereby reduce the firms overall risk, the projects that are best combined or added to
use such distributions, the risk manager must be reasonably confident that the distribution of the firms losses is
similar to the theoretical distribution chosen.
Three theoretical probability distributions that are widely used in risk management are: the binomial, normal, and
poisson.
Probability of Ruin
Ruin theory also known as collective risk theory, was actually developed by the insurance industry for studying the
insurers vulnerability to insolvency using mathematical modeling. It is based on the derivation of many ruin-related
measures and quantities and specifically includes the probability of ultimate ruin. This can be also related to the
sphere of applied probability as the techniques used in the ruin theory as fundamentally arising out of stochastic
processes. Many problems in ruin theory relate to real-life actuarial studies but the mathematical aspects of ruin
theory have really been of interest to actuarial scientists and other business research people.
Normally an insurers surplus has been computed as the net of two opposing cash flows, namely, cash inflow of
premium income collected continuously at the rate of c and the cash outflow due to a series of insurance claims
that are mutually independent and identically distributed with a common distribution function P(y). The path
of the series of claims is assumed to respond to a Poisson process with intensity ratewhich would mean that
the number of claims received N(t) at a time frame of t is controlled by a Poisson distribution with a mean t .
Therefore, the insurers surplus at any time t is represented by the following-formula:
N(t)
X(t) = x + ct - Yi
i =0
where, the business of the insurer starts with an initial level of surplus capital. X(0) = x under probability measure as
explained in the previous paragraph.
Towards the end of the 20th century, Garbur and Shiu introduced the concept of the expected discounted
penalty function derived from the probability of ultimate ruin. This concept was utilized to gauge the behaviour of
insurers surplus using the following formula:
x T
m(x) = E [e KT ]
where, is the discounting force of interest, K is a general penalty function representing the economic costs of
the insurer at the time of ruin and the expectation relates to the probability measure. Quite a few ruin-related
quantities fall into the category of the expected discounted penalty function.
In short, this theory of the probability of ruin is applied in the case of risk of insolvency of a company with diversified
business activity. For the purpose of study, resources between diversified activities are allowed to be transferred
and are limited by costs of transaction. Terminal insolvency happens when capital transfers between the business
lines are not able to compensate the negative positions. Actuarial calculations are involved in the determination
of ultimate ruin as discussed.
Risk Analysis - Risk Mapping and Key Risk Indicator
Risk analysis is a procedure to identify threats & vulnerabilities, analyze them to ascertain the exposures, and
highlight how the impact can be eliminated or reduced. In other words, risk analysis refers to the uncertainty
of forecasted future cash flows streams, variance of portfolio/stock returns, statistical analysis to determine the
probability of a projects success or failure, and possible future economic states. Risk analysts often work in tandem
with forecasting professionals to minimize future negative unforseen effects.
Risk Mapping
Risk mapping is the first step in operational risk measurement, since it requires identifying all potential risks to which
the bank is exposed and then pointing out those on which attention and monitoring should be focused given their
current or potential future relevance for the bank. while the risk mapping process is sometimes identified with the
usual classification of operational risks in a simple frequency/ severity matrix, what is really needed to map banks
internal processes in order to understand what could go wrong, where, and why, to set the basis for assessing
potential frequency and the severity of potential operational events, and to define a set of indicators that can
anticipate problems based on the evolution of the external and internal environments. Careful risk mapping is an
This risk map depicts likelihood or frequency on the vertical axis, and impact or significance on the horizontal axis.
In this configuration, similar to that of a mathematical distribution curve, likelihood increases as you move up the
vertical axis, and impact increases from left to right.
The points on the profile represent risks that have been categorized into four impact categories and six likelihood
categories. The categories simplify the prioritization process by forcing placement of each risk into a particular
box showing its position relative to the others. The stepped line is the Critical Issue Tolerance Boundary. Scenarios
or risks above this boundary are considered intolerable and require immediate attention, while risks below the
boundary do not require immediate attention.
The methodologies used to develop risk maps are as varied as the different risk map types. We will summarize one
such process.
Risk Mapping Process
The risk mapping process is part of a systematic, comprehensive methodology to identify, prioritize, and quantify
(at a macro level) risks to an organization. This example of the mapping process is taken from the Zurich IC process
(See Notes at the end of this paragraph). Other methods of capturing information include structured interviews,
surveys (written and electronic) or a combination of these. Individual client characteristics and needs dictate the
appropriate method of data collection.
[Note : Operational risks are classified in Zurich IC2 as (1) People risk (human errors, accidents & personal injuries,
frauds, etc) (2) Process risk (faulty business process, incorrect working method, etc) (3) Relationship risk (loopholes
in contracts rousing disputes/ damages, statutory violations entailing penalties, etc) (4) Technology risk (obsolete
plant, unreliable machineries, software bugs/ virus, etc) (5) External risk (disaster, riots, wars, etc). It is possible for
any of the above risks to migrate into the other. We will see later Basel Accord scheme which also offers another
method of risk classification. Suffice here to note that such classification can be linked to Zurich IC2 classification].
We will describe the facilitation risk profiling process by highlighting the major elements. These include the workshop,
scope, team composition, time horizon, scenario development and categorization, tolerance boundary, profile
development, action plan, process and technology transfer, and quantification and modeling.
Scope
The scope of the exercise is determined at the beginning of the analysis to specify the areas of the business
considered. The scope provides the parameters for the analysis. Scope is often defined as identifying, prioritizing,
and understanding risks and impediments to achieving corporate and strategic objectives. The scope can be
as broad or as narrow as desired; however, a balance exists between the breadth of scope and the value of
information derived from the risk mapping process. For example, the value of one risk map for a multi-billion dollar
firm would be significantly less than one risk map for each division or business unit of that company. We will address
different scope options later in this article.
Benefits of Risk Mapping
Promotes awareness of significant risks through priority ranking, facilitating the efficient planning of resources.
Enables the delivery of solutions and services across the entire risk management value chain.
Serves as a powerful aid to strategic business planning.
Aids the development of an action plan for the effective management of significant risks.
Assigns clear responsibilities to individuals for the management of particular risk areas.
Provides an opportunity to leverage risk management as a competitive advantage.
Facilitates the development of a strategic approach to insurance programme design.
Supports the design of the clients risk financing and insurance programmes, through the development of
effective/optimal retention levels and scope of coverage etc.
Key Risk Indicator
Key risk indicators come out as the result of the mapping process and should be used to provide anticipatory
signals that can be useful for both operational risk prevention and measurement. In particular, they should provide
early warning signals to anticipate the most critical operational events, and they may also be partly derived from
the experience of audit departments defining potential risk scores for different business units as a tool for defining
priorities in their audit action plan.
1. The definition of the operational events that should be captured by the data base.
2. The minimum threshold of loss to be recorded
3. The classification criteria that should be applied to operational events
Corporate Risk Management works to ensure the safety of the business, guarding it from risk of injury or financial
loss. It helps to optimize risk taking of an organization.
Enterprise Risk Management
The Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) is defined as a process, effected by an entitys board of directors,
management and other personnel, applied in strategy setting and across the enterprise, designed to identify
potential events that may affect the entity, and mange risk to be within its risk appetite, to provide reasonable
assurance regarding the achievement of entity objectives.
From the above definition, ERM is:
(a) A process, ongoing and following through an entity.
(b) Effected by people at every level of an organization.
(c) Applied in strategy-setting.
(d) Applied across the enterprise, at every level and unit, and includes taking an entity-level portfolio view of risk.
(e) Designed to identify potential events affecting the entity and manage risk within its risk appetite.
(f) Able to provide reasonable assurance to an entitys management and board.
(g) Geared to the achievement of objectives in one or more separate but overlapping categories.
ERM is about designing and implementing capabilities for managing the risks that matter. The greater the gaps in
the current state and the desired future state of the organizations risk management capabilities, the greater the
need for ERM infrastructure to facilitate the advancement of risk management capabilities overtime. ERM is about
establishing the oversight, control and discipline to drive continuous improvement of an entitys risk management
capabilities in a changing operating environment.
ERM deals with risk and opportunities affecting value creation or preservation. ERM is a comprehensive and
integrated approach to addressing corporate risk. ERM enables management to effectively deal with uncertainty
and associated risk and opportunity, enhancing the capacity to build value. In ERM, a risk is defined as a possible
event or circumstance that can have negative influences on the enterprise in question. Its impact can be on the
very existence, the resources (human and capital), the products and services, or the customers of the enterprise,
as well as external impacts on society, markets or the environment.
Need for Implementation of ERM
ERM needs to be implemented for the following reasons:
(a) Reduce unacceptable performance variability.
(b) Align and integrate varying views of risk management.
(c) Build confidence of investment community and stakeholders.
(d) Enhance corporate governance.
(e) Successfully respond to a changing business environment.
(f) Align strategy and corporate culture.
Traditional risk management approaches are focused on protecting the tangible assets reported on a companys
Balance Sheet and the related contractual rights and obligations. The emphasis of ERM, however, is on enhancing
business strategy. The scope and application of ERM is much broader than protecting physical and financial
assets. With an ERM approach, the scope of risk management is enterprise-wide and the application of risk
management is targeted to enhancing as well as protecting the unique combination of tangible and intangible
assets comprising the organizations business model.
Risk Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) metric helps banks/FIIs to make better decisions when approving,
structuring, and pricing deals.
Risk Retention
This denotes acceptance of the loss or benefit arising out of a risk when it takes place. In short, it is also termed as
self insurance. This strategy is viable when the risks are small enough to be transferred at a cost that may be higher
than the loss arising out of the risk itself. On the other hand, the risk can be so big that it cannot be transferred or
insured. Such risks will have to be phased out when the eventuality occurs. War is an example as also are Acts of
God such as earthquakes and floods. The reasons for risk retention can be cited as follows:
(1) Non-insurable business risks are borne for appropriate returns. It is well known a proverb that no risk, no gain.
If everything is predictable to mathematical precision, profits would not have arisen. But business is not a blind
speculation. It involves vision to foresee future situations, strategies for keeping ahead of competition (in some
way or the other) and finally, leadership for translating envisioned strategies into actions and results.
(2) Sometimes, such risks are so small that they are ignored and/or phased out when they surface.
(3) This method is also useful when the probability of occurrence is very low and a reserve built within the system
over a period can take care of such losses arising out of risk retention. This is normally resorted to in businesses
against credit risks that are inherent due to marketing on credit basis.
(4) In some cases, the subject, who is susceptible to risk, also becomes fully aware of the nature of risk.
In these situations, there is a certain amount of preparedness in the system due to risk retention.
Certain guidelines relating to risk retention should be followed:
(1) Determine the risk retention level through proper estimation of risk using sales projections, cash flows, contracts,
liquidated damages, and guarantees.
(2) Though there is no precise formula for estimation of risks to be retained, statistical averages of such losses over
a period of time give an indication to estimate such losses. For instance, bad debts occurring over a period of
time are taken into consideration as an estimate to create a reserve for doubtful debts.
(3) It is also necessary to ascertain the capacity for funding a loss arising out of retained risk that is the measure for
transferring the risk beyond that level.
Risk retention as an exercise and a strategy is attempted mainly in the case of operational risk in business.
Risk Reduction
Risk reduction or optimization aims at reduction in the severity of laws or the probability that laws may not be
passed. While risks can be helpful or harmful, optimization leads to a balance between negative risk and the
advantages of the operation. Risk reduction can also be termed as mitigation that would include all measures
taken to reduce the effect of the hazard itself as well as the vulnerable conditions leading to the hazard. Risk
reduction also includes steps to mitigate physical, economic, and social vulnerability.
The mitigation carried out is such that there should be an ultimate reduction in the loss due to a hazard. Sometimes
certain steps taken to mitigate a hazard may turn out to be more damaging, as in the case of certain fire suppression
systems. The cost of such steps is so prohibitive that the losses cannot be reduced intrinsically. Outsourcing can
be considered an act of risk reduction if the vendor has the expertise and a higher capability in mitigating risk.
For example, demolition of an old, risky, high-rise building could be outsourced to an expert vendor who could
implode the building without causing any damage to the environment or people.
Risk mitigation also implies a certain extent of preparedness on the part of the risk bearer because he is aware of the
risk. This helps identify the parameters that lead to the disaster and mitigate parameters ahead of the eventuality,
thus reducing the risk. Studies based on HAZOP are known to help factories develop sufficient preparedness in
case of a hazard or explosion. It is sometimes known as failsafe activity. For example, the introduction of a
rupture disc in the pressure equipment as a failsafe against excessive pressure buildup. The rupture disc saves the
equipment when the actual risk takes place by blowing out the contents or by reducing the pressure.
Having assigned and aggregated the risk, Banks were required to hold capital equal to 8 per cent of the risk
weighted value of assets. Additional rules applied to contingent obligations, such as letters of credit or derivatives.
Market Risk - Recognition of the Need for Capital - Amendment of Basel I In 1996
With banks increasingly taking market risks, in the early 1990s, the Basel Committee decided to update the 1988
accord to include bank capital requirements for market risk. This would have implications for non-bank securities
firms. Any capital requirements the Basel Committee adopted for banks market risk where to be incorporated
into future updates of Europes Capital Adequacy Directive (CAD) and thereby apply to Britains non-bank
securities firms. If the same framework were extended to non-bank securities firms outside Europe, then market risk
capital requirements for banks, and, securities firms could be harmonized globally. In 1991, the Basel Committee
entered discussions with the International Organization of Securities Commissions ( TOSCO) to jointly develop such
a framework. The two organizations formed a technical committee, and work commenced in January 1992.
Commercial Banks & Securities Firms - Universal Banks
Glass Steagal Act revocation in 1999 by USA: Historically, capital requirements for banks and securities firms had
served different purposes.
Banks
Banks were primarily exposed to credit risk. They often held illiquid portfolios of loans supported by deposits. Such
loans could be liquidated rapidly only at fire sale prices. This placed banks at risk of runs. If depositors feared
that a bank might fail, they would withdraw their deposits. Forced to liquidate its loan portfolio, the bank would
succumb to staggering losses on those sales.
Though Deposit insurance and lender-of-last-resort provisions implemented eliminated the risk of bank runs, they
introduced a new problem. Depositors no longer had an incentive to consider a banks financial viability before
depositing funds. Without such marketplace discipline, regulators were forced to intervene often at huge cost to
the exchequer. One solution was to impose minimum capital requirements on banks. Because of the high cost of
liquidating a bank, such requirements were generally based upon the value of a bank as a going concern.
Securities Firms
The primary objective behind stipulation of capital requirements for securities firms was to protect clients who
might have funds or securities on deposit with a firm. Securities firms were primarily exposed to market risk. They
held liquid portfolios of marketable securities supported by secured financing such as repos. A troubled firms
portfolio could be unwound quickly at market prices. For this reason, capital requirements were based upon the
liquidation value of a firm.
Capital for Banks & Securities Firms
In a nutshell, banks entailed systemic risk. It was thought then that Securities firms did not. Regulators would strive to
keep a troubled bank afloat but would gladly unwind a troubled securities firm. Banks needed long-term capital
in the form of equity or long-term subordinated debt. Securities firms could operate with more transient capital,
including short-term subordinated debt.
Segregation of Banking Book & Trading Book for Holding Capital
In April 1993, the Basel Committee released a package of proposed amendments to the 1988 accord. This included
a document proposing minimum capital requirements for banks market risk.
Banks would be required to identify a trading book and hold capital for market risk under trading book and
organization-wide foreign exchange exposures.
Capital charges for the trading book would be based upon a crude value-at-risk (VaR) measure broadly
consistent with a 10-day 95 per cent VaR metric. Similar to a VaR measure used by Europes CAD, this partially
recognized hedging effects but ignored diversification effects.
Later VaR measure was changed modestly from the 1993 proposal, still reflecting a 10-day 95 per cent VaR
metric. Market risk capital requirements were set equal to the greater of either the previous days VaR, or the
average VaR over the previous six days, multiplied by 3.
Under the new Basel II regulatory capital requirement, interest rate risk in the trading book continues to carry a
minimum capital charge (Pillar 1 of Basel II). What is new is that interest rate risk in the banking book needs to be
assessed in the review of capital adequacy (Pillar 2 of Basel II).
To calculate the minimum regulatory capital requirements, banks must differentiate between interest rate risks in
the trading book (Pillar I capital) and interest rate risks in the banking book (pillar II capital).
Chart: Three-Pillar Architecture of Basel II
The above chart explains various approaches for calculating Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 risk capital under Basel II regime. For
market risk, Banks have to report capital requirement for interest rate risk, equity position risk and foreign exchange
risk (including Gold) to the regulator. Similarly, for credit risk, Banks in India currently follow the standardized
approach and they report risk weighted assets for various credit exposures depending upon their external rating
positions and hence compute capital requirement for credit risk. Better the rating of the borrower (hence lower
the risk), lower is the risk weights assigned by the regulator (here RBI). For example, where a AAA corporate rated
by CRISIL will attract a risk weight of only 20%, a relative higher risky BBB corporate loan exposure will have to be
weighed 100% to estimate risk weighted assets. Finally, all these risk weights need to be added and multiplied by
9% to estimate minimum capital requirement for taking credit risk.
Amount of loan Risk-weight 9% = the capital required to be held against any given loan.
Similarly, for retail loans (e.g. residential housing loans, personal loans etc.) risk weights are different for different
sizes of exposures depending on the availability of collateral margins (risk weights are less for higher margin, better
collateral and smaller loan size).
Banks also use various credit conversion factors (CCFs) to convert their off balance sheet exposures (e.g. CCF=50%
for credit guarantees; CCF=20% for cash credit etc.) into on balance sheet to estimate risk capital. Similarly,
standard supervisory haircuts are used to take into account the benefit of eligible collaterals (like gold, bonds,
NSC, KVP etc.) that reduces their credit risk exposures.
Under the Foundation Internal Rating Based Approach (FIRB), banks are allowed to develop their own empirical
model to estimate the PD (Probability of Default) for individual clients or groups of clients. The other important
risk parameters like EAD and LGD will be supplied by the regulator. Banks can use this approach only subject to
approval from their local regulators.
Under Advanced IRB (AIRB) approach, banks are supposed to use their own quantitative models to estimate PD
(Probability of Default), EAD (Exposure at Default), LGD (Loss Given Default) and other parameters required for
calculating the RWA (Risk-Weighted Asset). Then total required capital is calculated as a fixed percentage of the
estimated RWA.
Basel - 1(1988 and amended in 1996) Based on Basel- II (to be in place by 2006 in G-10 countries and in
Methodology for Capital Adequacy. India in 2008)- Basel Il based on 3 pillars.
Basel - 11 (to be in place by 2006 in G-10.
1. Capital adequacy based on Risk Weighted Assets 1. Capital adequacy based on Risk Weighted As- sets)
2. Not risk sensitive. Prescriptive. 2. Risk sensitive.
3. All credit exposures carried risk weight of 100 per 3. Credit exposures carry risk weights based on credit
cent - except for some sovereign expo- sures and qualities.
mortgages.
4. Risk Capital = Credit exposure * Risk Weights * 8 per 4. Risk capital: Similar to Basel I. But efficient Banks can
cent can have lesser Capital than others. have lesser capital than others.
Basel III:
Reserve Bank of India in May 02, 2012 has released its final guidelines on implementation of Basel III capital
regulation in India. These guidelines would become effective from January 1, 2013 in a phased manner. The
Basel III capital ratios will be fully implemented as on March 31, 2018. This entails higher global minimum capital
standards for banks. Implementation of Basel III is essential for restoring confidence in the regulatory framework for
banks and to ensure safe and stable global banking system.
The Basel III framework sets out the following:
Higher and better equity capital
Better risk coverage
Introduction of a leverage ratio
Measures to promote the build-up of capital for periods of stress
Introduction of new liquidity standards
A key element of new definition is the greater focus on common equity (paid up equity capital, reserves,
retained earnings etc.). In addition to raising the quality of the capital base, banks need to ensure that all material
risks are captured in the capital framework. What counts as core capital may impact the Indian banking sectors
competitiveness significantly.
As per the RBIs new Basel III capital regulation, common equity (or core Tier I) should be at least 5.5% (1% higher
than the original Basel III rule) & minimum Tier I capital should be at least 7% of total risk weighted assets. There
should be predominance of common equity and Tier I regulatory capital. Common equity 78.57% of Tier I capital
& total Tier I capital should be at least 77.58% of total minimum capital (as per RBIs Basel III circular).
Basel III regulation expects that Banks for its survival in future must understand the importance of people perception
The major issue arising in the present times, for both management academics and practitioners, relates to the
principles which determine corporate successes and failures that is why some organization prosper and grow while
other collapse. The often unexpected collapse of large companies during the early 1990s and more recently in 2002
has lead analysts to look for ways of predicting company failure. Corporate failures are common in competitive
business environment where market discipline ensures the survival of fittest. Moreover, mismanagement also leads
to corporate failure. Predicting corporate failure is based on the premise that there are identifiable patterns or
symptoms consistent for all failed firms.
Definition
According to Altman (1993), there is no unique definition of corporate failure. Corporate failure refers to companies
ceasing operations following its inability to make profit or bring in enough revenue to cover its expenses. This can
occur as a result of poor management skills, inability to compete or even insufficient marketing.
Symptoms of Corporate Failure
There are three classic symptoms of corporate failure. These are namely:
1. Low profitability
2. High gearing
3. Low liquidity
Each of these three symptoms may be indicated by trends in the companys accounts. Symptoms are interrelated.
The classic path to corporate failure starts with the company experiencing low profitability. This may be indicated
by trends in the ratios for:
Profit margin
Return on Capital Expenditure
Return on Net Assets
A downward trend in profitability will raise the issue of whether and for how long the company can tolerate a
return on capital that is below its cost of capital. If profitability problems become preoccupying, the failing of the
company may seek additional funds and working capital by increasing its borrowings, whether in the form of short
term or long-term debt. This increases the companys gearing, since the higher the proportion of borrowed funds,
the higher the gearing within the capital structure. The increased debt burden may then aggravate the situation,
particularly if the causes of the decreasing profitability have not been resolved.
The worsening profit situation must be used to finance an increased burden of interest and capital repayments.
In the case of a publicly quoted company, this means that fewer and fewer funds will be available to finance
dividend payments. It may become impossible to obtain external credit or to raise further equity funds.
Confidence in the company as an investment may wither away leaving the share price to collapse. If the company
is sound, for instance, but ineptly managed, the best that can be hoped for is a takeover bid for what may be now
a significantly undervalued investment.
At this point, a company may not be really failing but unfortunately, more often rescue attempts are not mounted.
This may be because the companys management does not recognize the seriousness of the situation, or is by
now too heavily committed or too frightened to admit the truth to its stakeholders, when refinancing is attempted
profits fail to cover payments leading to a cash flow crisis.
What are the causes of corporate failure, and can they be avoided? Numerous studies reveal the alarmingly high
failure rate of business initiatives, and corporate survival rates have recently declined across the major European
economies. This article examines the range of explanations for failure, before considering whether failure can
sometimes even be good.
After addressing growth strategies in the last Henley Manager Update, well now review recent writing on corporate
failures. What are the causes of company failure and how can these be stopped? In what ways can companies
learn from failure? Of course, not all failures in business actually lead to the failure of the business. There are,
though, many examples in recent times of growth strategies that failed. Unilever, for example, embarked upon
its well-publicised Path to Growth strategy in 2000. Since then, it has not only failed to grow profitably but has
also seen its European sales decline. Part of the problem was in not being quicker to address emerging market
trends, such as the one for low-carb diets. Similarly, Volkswagen embarked on a burst of growth in the late 90s
by acquiring other well- known automobile brands, only to find these began competing against each other as
competition intensified by the middle of this decade.
Corporate Distress Analysis Causes
1. Technological Causes
Traditional methods of doing work have been turned upside down by the development of new technology. If
within an industry, there is failure to exploit information technology and new production technology, the firms can
face serious problems and ultimately fail.
By using new technology, cost of production can be reduced and if an organization continues to use the old
technology and its competitors start using the new technology; this can be detrimental to that organization.
Due to high cost of production, it will have to sell its products at higher prices than its competitors and this will
consequently reduced its sales and the organization can serious problems.
This situation was seen in the case of Mittal Steel Company taking over Arcelor Steel Company. Arcelor Steel
Company was using its old technology to make steel while Mittal Steel Company was using the new technology
and as a result, Mittal Steel Company was able to sell steel at lower price than Arcelor Steel Company due to
its low cost of production. Arcelor Steel Company was approaching corporate failure and luckily, Mittal Steel
Company merged with Arcelor Steel Company and became Arcelor Mittal Steel Company, thus preventing
Arcelor from failure.
2. Working Capital Problems
Organizations also face liquidity problems when they are in financial distress. Poor liquidity becomes apparent
through the changes in the working capital of the organization as they have insufficient funds to manage their
daily expenses.
financial deterioration and finally corporate collapse. Financial distresses include the following reasons also low
and declining profitability, investment Appraisal, Research and Development and technical insolvency amongst
others.
A firm may fail, as its returns are negative or low. A firm that consistently reports operating losses probably
experiences a decline in market value. If the firm fails to earn are turn greater than its cost of capital, it can be
viewed as having failed. Falling profits have an obvious link with both financial and bankruptcy as the firm finds it
is not generating enough money to meet its obligations as they fall due.
Another cause that will lead the company to fail is the investment appraisal. Many organizations run into difficulties
as they fail to appraise investment projects carefully. The long-term nature of many projects means that outcomes
are difficult to forecast and probabilities are usually subjective. Big project gone wrong is a common cause of
decline. For example, the acquisition of a loser company, this has happen in the case for the failure of Parmalat
Co Ltd of Italy, which made the acquisition of several losses making company where Inappropriate evaluation of
the acquired company, its strengths and weaknesses.
Causes of Sickness for a Project
Prevention is better than cure is the proverb that reflects the need for knowing the likely causes of industrial
sickness so that one can plan to avoid the same, Just as human beings fall sick by two ways, viz.. either born sick
or acquiring sickness during growth, an industry can either run into trouble even during the implementation stage
itself or develop sickness during its lifetime.
The causes of sickness can be categorized into two viz., internal causes and external causes. Internal causes are
those that are internal to the organization over which the management of the organization has control. Sickness
due to internal causes can be avoided if the management is shrewd enough to identify the causes and eliminate
them at their initial stage itself. External causes are those that are external to the organization over which the
management of the organization has little control. Governments plans and actions, failure of monsoon which
affects agriculture and allied industries. emergence of strong competitors etc.. are some of the external factors.
Though sickness may be caused either by internal or external factors, sometimes, the management may be able
to revamp its organization, plan suitable strategies and take on the external factors to reduce their impact.
The areas/stages in which these causes may exist and their effects can be studied under the following heads.
Project formulation.
Project implementation.
Production.
Marketing.
Finance.
General and personnel administration.
Project Formulation: Most of sickness is attributed to ill-conceived projects. A project that may, prima- facie present
a rosy picture may have many hidden pitfalls. Irrational, hasty, over-optimistic decisions may result in choosing
projects that may have inherent weaknesses. A project that has an inherent weakness is very unlikely to be a
successful project. The existence of a few players in the chosen field who are doing well, is not always a sound
proof that the project will be a success. The existing players may have their own special advantages due to which
they could have overcome the hurdles and pitfalls that are present in the project.
A thorough investigation of the project during the identification and formulation stage is the sine- qua-non of any
project proposal. Think before you act is the proverb that is worth practising, Any amount of time and efforts
spent at this stage is worth it as any hasty decision made at this stage will be very costly.
External factors play a major role in project formulation stage. The present stage of and the future course of the
external environment are to be carefully studied for their influence on the project.
The increase in cost of production may be due to external factors like increase in the cost of raw materials,
increase in the cost of consumables, power, etc., or due to internal factors like improper choice of raw material/
raw material-source, wrong choice of production process etc.
Decrease in quantity of production may be due to defects/under performance of plant and machinery, defects
in production process etc,,
Defects in quality of products may be due to defects in raw material used, or due to unsatisfactory performance of
machinery or due to ineffective supervision. Inspite of the raw material, machinery and supervision being good, the
advent of new technology may bring in product-obsolescence and the product may loose customer preference.
Lack of proper planning of product mix and lack of co-ordination between production and marketing departments
may lead to piling up of inventory, which will only add to the cost of the product.
The Models to Predict Corporate Failure
Several techniques have been developed to help predict why companies fail. However, these are not accurate
and do not guarantee that the prediction will turn out to be true. These models are The Z-Score, Argenti Model,
and the VK model amongst others.
Beaver was one of the first researchers to study the prediction of bankruptcy using financial statement data.
The established practice for failure prediction is therefore a model based on financial ratio analysis. Published
financial reports contain a great deal of information about the company performance and prospects. Therefore,
ratio analysis is not preferred for financial accounts interpretation however; it has also played a central role in the
development of bankruptcy prediction models.
(i) The Altman Model: Z-Score
Edward I. Altman developed a Multivariate Model of Corporate Distress Prediction on the basis of Multiple
Discriminant Analysis (MDA). In his study, Altman selected 33 failed and 33 non-failed firms, of which 22 Accounting
and Non-accounting Ratios, which had been deemed to be the predictors of Corporate Distress, were taken into
consideration. Of the 22 Accounting Ratios, Prof. Altman selected 5 ratios which had been deemed as the best
predictors of Corporate Distress Prediction. The purposes of these five selected ratios are as follows:
(i) To measure liquidity position of the firms.
(ii) To measure reinvestment of earnings of the firms.
(iii) To measure profitability of the firms.
(iv) To measure financial leverage condition of the firms.
(v) To measure sales-generating ability of firms Assets.
In 1968, the following Discriminant Function was developed by Altman:
Z = 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Where
Z = Overall Index of Multiple Index Function
And the five variables are
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets (a liquidity measure)
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets (a measure of reinvestment of earnings)
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets (a profitability measure)
X4 = Market Value of Equity & Preference to Book Value of Total Debt (a measure of leverage)
X5 = Sales to Total Assets (a measure of sales-generating ability of the firms assets)
12. Physical risk arising out of Social, Political, Economic and Legal Environments are often identified:
(a) Through the performance of lead indicators;
(b) Through the performance of lagging indicators;
(c) Through the performance of lead and lag indicators;
13. The concept of is the process of identification of separate risks and put them all together in a single basket, so
that the monitoring, combining, integrating or diversifying risk can be implemented:
(a) Physical risk
(b) Financial risk
(c) Pooling risk
(d) Business risk
(e) Sharing risk
Answer:
(c) Pooling risk
14. _________________refers to the uncertainty of market volumes in the future and the quantum of future income
caused by the variations in the interest rates:
(a) Market risk;
(b) Physical risk;
(c) Interest rate risk;
(d) Pooling risk;
(e) Exchange risk;
Answer:
(c) Interest rate risk
15. ______________ is the uncertainty of the purchasing power of the monies to be received, in the future:
(a) Purchasing power risk;
(b) Market risk;
(c) Physical risk;
(d) Interest rate risk;
(e) Exchange risk.
Answer:
(a) Purchasing power risk
17. ________________ is the process of identifying, quantifying and prioritizing the risks that may interfere with the
achievement of your organizational objectives.
Answer:
Risk mapping
18. The Z-Score model is a quantitative model developed by _______________ to predict bankruptcy or financial
distress of a business.
Answer:
Edward Altman
19. As per Altman, if the calculated value of Z-score is greater than ____________, it is predicted that the firm
belongs to non-bankrupt class
Answer:
2.99
Answer:
A4
B5
C1
D2
E3
Illustration 1.
From the information given below relating to Bad Past Ltd., calculate Altmans Z-score and comment:
Working capital
Total assets = 25%
Re tained earnings
= 30%
Total assets
Earnings before int erest & taxes
= 15%
Total assets
Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = 25%
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = 30%
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = 15%
X4 = Market Value of Equity Shares to Book Value of Total Debt =150%
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = 2 times
Hence, Z-score = (1.225%) + (1.430%) + (3.315%) + (0.6150%) + (12)
= 0.30 + 0.42 + 0.495 + 0.90 + 2.00 = 4.115
Note : As the calculated value of Z-score is much higher than 2.99, it can be strongly predicted that the company
is a non-bankrupt company.
Illustration 2.
From the information given below relating to Unfortunate Ltd., calculate Altmans Z-score and comment:
Working capital
Total assets = 0.45
Re tained earnings
= 0.25
Total assets
Earnings before int erest & taxes
= 0.30
Total assets
Market value of equity
Book value of total debt = 2.50
Sales
= 3 times
Total Assets
Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction:
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Illustration 3.
Using Altmans Multiple Discriminant Function, calculate Z-score of S & Co. Ltd., where the five accounting ratios
are as follows and comment about its financial position:
Working Capital to Total Assets=0.250
Retained Earnings to Total Assets = 50%
EBIT to Total Assets = 19%
Book Value of Equity to Book Value of Total Debt= 1.65
Sales to Total Assets = 3 times
Solution:
As the Book Value of Equity to Book Value of Total Debt is given in the problem in place of Market Value of Equity
to Book Value of Total Debt, the value of Z-score is to be computed as per Altmans 1983 Model of Corporate
Distress Prediction instead of Altmans 1968 Model of Corporate Distress Prediction that we followed earlier.
As per Altmans Model (1983) of Corporate Distress Prediction,
Z=0.717 X1 + 0.847 X2 + 3.107 X3 + 0.420 X4 + 0.998X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = 0.250
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = 0.50
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = 0.19
X4 = Book Value of Equity Shares to Book Value of Total Debt = 1.65
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = 3 times
Hence, Z-score = (0.717 x 0.25) + (0.847 x 0.50) + (3.107 x 0.19) + (0.420 x 1.65) + (0.998 x 3)
= 0.17925 + 0.4235 + 0.59033 + 0.693 + 2.994 = 4.88
Note: As the calculated value of Z-score is much higher than 2.9, it can be strongly predicted that the company is
a non-bankrupt company (i.e., non-failed company).
Illustration 4.
From the information provided relating to a company, calculate Altmans Z-score and comment on the financial
condition of the company:
Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:
` 1, 00, 000
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = ` 5, 00, 000 = 0.20
` 1, 50, 000
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = ` 5, 00, 000 = 0.30
` 4, 50, 000
X4 = Market Value of Equity and Preference Shares to Book Value of Total Debt = ` 3, 00, 000 = 1.50
` 10, 00, 000
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = ` 5, 00, 000 = 2 times
Hence, Z-score = (1.2 x 0.20) + (1.4 x 0.20) + (3.3 x 0.30) + (0.6 x 1.50) + (1 x 2)
= 0.24 + 0.28+0.99 + 0.90 + 2 = 4.41
Notes:
1. Calculation of Working Capital
Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
Here, Working Capital = ` (2,00,000-1,00,000) = ` 1,00,000
2. Calculation of Total Assets
Total Assets = Fixed Assets + Current Assets
Here, Total Assets = ` (3,00,000 +2,00,000) = ` 5,00,000
Illustration 5.
Using Altmans Model, compute the value of Z from the provided data (Balance Sheet extract):
Liabilities ` Assets `
Share Capital (@ `10 each) 2,00,000 Fixed Assets 4,20,000
Reserves & Surplus 60,000 Inventory 1,80,000
10% Debentures 3,00,000 Book Debts 70,000
Sundry Creditors 80,000 Loans & Advances 20,000
Outstanding Expenses 60,000 Cash at Bank 10,000
7,00,000 7,00,000
Additional Information:
(i) Market value per share ` 12.50.
(ii) Operating Profit (20% on sales) ` 1,40,000.
Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:
` 1, 40, 000
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = ` 7, 00, 000 = 0.20
` 60, 000
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = = 0.0857
` 7, 00, 000
` 7, 00, 000
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = ` 7, 00, 000 = 1 times
Hence, Z-score = (1.2 x 0.20) + (1.4 x 0.0857) + (3.3 x 0.20) + (0.6 x 0.568) + (1 x 1)
= 0.24 + 0.11998 + 0.66 + 0.3408+1 = 2.36078
Notes:
1. Calculation of Working Capital
Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
Here, Working Capital = (Inventory + Book Debts + Loans & Advances+ Cash at Bank) - (Sundry Creditors
+Outstanding Expenses)
= `(1,80,000 + 70,000 +20,000+10,000)-(80,000 + 60,000)
= `1,40,000
2. Calculation of Total Assets
Total Assets = Fixed Assets + Current Assets
Here, Total Assets = ` [4,20,000 + (1,80,000 + 70,000 + 20,000+10,000)] = ` 7,00,000
3. Calculation of Retained Earnings
Retained Earnings = Reserves &Surplus = `60,000
4. Calculation of Earnings before Interest & Tax (EBIT)
EBIT=Operating Profit = `1,40,000
5. Calculation of Market Value of Equity
Market Value of Equity Shares = 20,000 shares x `12.50 = `2,50,000
6. Calculation of Book Value of Total Debts
Book Value of Total Debts = Long-term Debts + Current Liabilities
Here, Book Value of Total Debts = 10% Debentures + (Sundry Creditors + Outstanding Expenses)
= `[3,00,000 + (80,000 + 60,000)] = `4,40,000
7. Calculation of Sales
Here, Operating Profit = 20% on Sales = `1,40,000
Hence, Sales = 100/20 `1,40,000 = `7,00,000
As the calculated value of Z-score lies between 1.81 and 2.99, which is marked as Grey Area, it is predicted that
the company consists of both bankrupt and non-bankrupt elements (i.e., a mixture of failed & non-failed elements)
and, therefore, requires further investigation to determine its conclusive solvency status.
Illustration 6.
Following is the extract of a Balance Sheet of a company as on 31 March, 2014:
Liabilities ` Assets `
Equity Share Capital (` 100) 4,00,000 Fixed Assets 10,00,000
Reserves & Surplus 2,25,000 Trade Investment 2,00,000
12% Debentures 3,00,000 Stock 1,25,000
10% Bank Loan 2,00,000 Debtors 75,000
Current Liabilities 3,00,000 Preliminary Expenses 25,000
14,25,000 14,25,000
Additional Information
(i) Net sales for 2013-14 were ` 20,00,000.
(ii) Price-Earnings Ratio is ` 10.
(iii) Dividend Pay-out Ratio is 50%.
(iv) Dividend per Share in 2013-14 is ` 20.
(v) Corporate Tax Rate is 50%.
Using Altmans Model, calculate the Z-score of the company and interpret the result.
Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z = 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:
Therefore, Z-score = {1.2 x (-) 0.07143} + (1.4 x 0.1429) + (3.3 x 0.2686) + (0.6 x 2) + (1 x 1.4286)
= - 0.0857 + 0.2001+ 0.8864+ 1.2+1.4286 = 3.6294
Notes:
1. Calculation of Working Capital
Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
Here, Working Capital = (Stock + Debtors) - Current Liabilities
= ` [(1,25,000 + 75,000) - 3,00,000]
= (` 1,00,000)
` 4,00,000
Here, number of equity shares = = 4,000.
` 100
Particulars `
Earnings available to equity shareholders = 4,000 x ` 40 1,60,000
Add: Corporate tax added back 50/ 50 x 1,60,000 1,60,000
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 3,20,000
Add: Interest on loan added back:
On Debentures (12% on ` 3,00,000) = ` 36,000
On Bank Loan (10% on ` 2,00,000) = ` 20,000 56,000
Earnings before Interest & Tax (EBIT) 3,76,000
Hence, Market Value per Equity Share (MPS) = Price Earnings Ratio x EPS = 10 x ` 40 = ` 400
Market Value of Equity Shares = 4,000 shares x ` 400 = ` 16,00,000
6. Calculation of Book Value of Total Debts
Book Value of Total Debts = Long-term Debts + Current Liabilities
Here, Book Value of Total Debts = 12% Debentures +10% Bank Loan + Current Liabilities
= ` (3,00,000 + 2,00,000 + 3,00,000) = ` 8,00,000.
As the calculated value of Z-score is much more greater than 2.99, it can be strongly predicted that the company
is a non-bankrupt company (i.e., non-failed company).
Illustration 7.
Balance Sheet (extract) of Q Ltd. as on 31 March 2014.
Additional Information:
(i) Depreciation written off ` 8 crores.
(ii) Preliminary Expenses written off ` 1.60 crores.
(iii) Net Loss ` 25.60 crores.
Ascertain the stage of sickness.
Solution:
The NCAER Study on Corporate Distress Prediction prescribed the following three parameters for predicting the
stage of Corporate Sickness:
(i) Cash profit position (a profitability measure)
(ii) Net working capital position (a liquidity measure)
(iii) Net worth position (a solvency measure)
In the given case, we need to judge the above-mentioned parameters to ascertain the stage of sickness of the
company.
(i) Cash profit = Net profit + (Non-cash expenses/losses debited to Profit & Loss A/c) (Non-cash incomes/Gains
credited to Profit & Loss A/c)
Here, Cash Profit = Net Profit + Depreciation Written Off + Preliminary Expenses Written Off
= ` [(25.60) + 8+ 1.60] = (` 16 crores)
(ii) Net Working Capital = Current Assets Current Liabilities
= ` [57.60 - 78.40] = (` 20.80 crores)
(iii) Net Worth = Share Capital + Reserves & Surplus - Miscellaneous Expenditure - Profit & Loss A/c (Dr.)
Here, Net Worth = Equity Share Capital - Profit & Loss A/c (Dr.)
= ` [20.80 - 40.00] = (` 19.20 crores)
Prediction about Corporate Sickness: As per NCAER Research Study, out of mentioned three parameters, if any
one parameter becomes negative in case of a firm, it can be predicted that the firm has a tendency towards
sickness. In the given company, all the three parameters [as calculated under (a), (b) and (c)] show negative
value. Therefore, it can strongly be predicted that the company is a sick company and its stage of sickness is fully
sick. Immediate necessary drastic revival measures are essentially required for the survival of the company.
Valuation is not an objective exercise, and any preconceptions and biases that an analyst brings to the process
will find their way into value. Damodaran (2002, p.9)
Simply defined, a business valuation is an activity conducted towards rendering an estimate or opinion as to the
fair market value of a business interest at a given point in time. Generally, when valuing a business, a notional
transaction is assumed, that is, one which has not been subjected to the bargaining process. Like accounting,
valuation is an art rather than an exact science, and a properly conducted valuation is nothing more than an
expression of informed opinion, which is based on fact of past financial performance and judgmental estimation
for future. By their very nature, valuations are not precise. Consequently, valuation estimates and opinions are
generally stated as a range of values.
Business valuation is no precise science. There is no universal legal framework which dictates how the valuation
should be performed. Therefore, it is no right way to estimate the value of a company, its equity shares or an
identified cash generation unit.
Examples of when a business valuation may be required include any or more of the following instances:
Mergers and acquisitions;
Business restructuring;
Initial public offering and listing of equity shares in stock exchanges;
Shareholders disputes settlement;
Purchase / sale of a business interest and step up acquisitions;
Non-arms length transaction;
Disgruntled minority shareholders actions;
Damage claims;
Estate planning;
Deemed disposition at death
Value
In order to understand valuation, first we need to understand value. It is often the most complicated and
misunderstood phenomenon. Value is a subjective term as what is a specific measured value to one person
may not be the same for other. It is easy to understand the concept of value with the help of value of a property
because all of us are well versed with it. But it is not easy to value this well-known asset.
A property might be more valuable to one person in comparison to another, because that person values certain
features of the property higher than the other person. Alternatively, the property might have a higher utility to
one person than to another. There may be many forces, which influences the value of a property, e. g., location,
environmental and physical characteristics of the property, social standards, economic trends like GDP, per capita
income, inflation etc. and government regulations.
The US Appraisal Foundation defines market value as, The most probable price which a property should bring
in a competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, the buyer and seller each acting
prudently and knowledgeably, and non-happening assuming the price is not affected by undue stimulus.
However, the concepts of open market, fair sale, action with prudence, knowledge and non-happening of undue
stimulus are all subjective and most often, unrealistic assumptions.
There may be substantial gap between subjective valuations and fluctuations of the free market. Thus, the
value of a property does not always correspond to its price. As a result, despite rigorous efforts by time series
econometricians the forces of supply and demand cannot be scientifically predicted.
In a nutshell, value is the typical price a product fetches in an unregulated market. There are different types
of values which are used in different ways of everyday business. These are original value, book or carrying value,
depreciated or written down value, sale value, purchase value, replacement value, market value, economic
value, residual value, scrap value etc. What investors buy is the future benefits and not the past. The point to be
carefully noted that there is nothing called the correct value or the right value. It all depends upon the type of
value which is being measured, the purpose of valuation, the methods adopted and the assumptions made. The
valuation which seems to be base today may be criticised and rejected tomorrow based on variations in the
subjective conditions that we have discussed.
Distinction between Price and Value
The price may be understood as the amount of money or other consideration asked for or given in exchange for
something else. The price is therefore, an outcome of a transaction whereas the value may not necessarily require
the arrival of a transaction. The value exists even if some assets become unable to generate cash flows today but
can generate in future on the happening of some events.
Experts are of the opinion that valuation must be differentiated from price. While the fair value of an asset is
based on the assessment of intrinsic value accruing from fundamentals on a stand-alone basis, varying return
expectation and underlying strategic aspects for different bidders could influence the price. A purchase and sale
would be possible only when two parties while forming different views as to the value of an asset, are eventually
able to reach agreement on the same price. It would be better appreciated by recognition of the fact that
Government can only realise what a buyer is willing to pay for the PSU, as the purchase price ultimately agreed
reflects its value to the buyer.
Another notable point is that valuation is a subjective figure arrived at by the bidder by leveraging his strengths with
the potential of the company. Depending on the level of business synergy with the target company, perception
of specific value realization and varying assessment regarding productivity, capex, etc., this figure may vary from
bidder to bidder.
The oil reserve of an identified basin owned by a a hydrocarbon exploration company may not have any value
when the oil price is say ` 70 per barrel and the extraction cost of that oil is ` 110. However, when the price reaches
to ` 130 and is expected to prevail around this figure, it may have significant value.
Another example reaffirms that price and value is not same. A lawyer is having some question regarding a
professional assignment having remuneration of ` 2,50,000. He browses through some pages of a book at a
bookshop and buys it for ` 40,000. He has an idea in his mind that the book is essential for earning professional
services fees of ` 2,50,000 and expected contribution from the book would be around ` 80,000. At this stage the
value / worth of that book is ` 80,000. However, after reading the book he feels that the book is not useful for his
assignment. If the same book cannot be returned to the shop, its disposal value would be negligible.
of capital. In other words, successful companies are maximising shareholders value even if they do not explicitly
say so. In doing so they are also benefiting, not damaging, the other stakeholders interests. Shareholders value
implies a stock market where company shares are widely held by the public. Information about a Company is less
easily available in countries such as Germany and Japan, where shareholdings are concentrated in the hands of
promoters and financial institutions. Share prices may not reflect values as closely as they do in more efficient stock
markets. There is less incentive for managers to strive to create shareholder value.
Furthermore, the spectre of a hostile takeover does not loom as powerfully as it does in the USA. The USA has a
huge market for mergers and acquisitions (M&A) that is partly driven by perceived weaknesses in the current
management. Elsewhere, managers may not be as concerned that inefficiency may lead to a takeover.
[A hostile takeover is the acquisition of one company (called the target company) by another (called the acquirer)
that is accomplished by going directly to the company's shareholders or fighting to replace management to get
the acquisition approved.]
Purpose of Business Valuation
Principles of Valuation
Like other areas of finance, valuation is also based on some basic foundations which we refer to as principles. We
find six principles of valuation that provide basic ground work for different techniques of valuation we will refer to
in the next part. Principles of valuation are:
Principle of Substitution,
Principle of Alternative,
Principle of Time Value of Money,
Principle of Expectation,
Principle of Risk & Return, and
Principle of Reasonableness and Reconciliation of value.
(i) Principle of Substitution
If business A can be replicated at X amount then that business is worth X amount. If a similar business B is
available at a price less than X amount, then business A has worth less than X amount. This principle ensures
that understanding of market is important and forced comparison would lead to flawed valuation. This simply
indicates that risk-averse investor will not pay more for a business if another desirable substitute exists either by
creating new or by buying. Yet at the same no two businesses can be considered as exactly equal. Selection of
the nearest comparable transaction for validation of the valuation done for any given asset is, therefore, very
critical and equally challenging.
(ii) Principle of Alternatives
No single decision maker is confined to one transaction. Each party to the transaction has alternatives to fulfilling
the transaction for a different price and with different party. Since no single transaction could be a perfect
substitute to another transaction one may consider paying some premium or deduct some amount by way of
adjustment if the investment meets strategic interest.
When someone is buying a business it should be kept in mind that the same should not be bought at any cost as
if no alternative exists. In stock market and auction market in most of the cases bidders bid simply because of the
fact that others are bidding and that simply raises the price. This Case is simply explained as near miss situation
where one realizes that price is far greater than value.
(iii) Principle of Time Value of Money
This is the most basic and frequently used tool used in corporate finance as well as valuation. It suggests that value
can be measured by calculating present value of future cash flows discounted at the appropriate discount rate.
Such discount rate may be weighted average cost of capital invested / to be invested, or risk equated rate in
addition to the risk free return. In certain cases of valuation, it can be estimated rate of inflation in the economy.
Investment opportunities may offer differing cash flows, business and earnings growth prospects and risk profile.
Principle of time value of money helps us to discriminate those opportunities and to select the best subject to given
parameter.
(iv) Principle of Expectation
Cash flows are based on the expectations about the performance in future and not the past. In case of mature
companies, we may conservatively assume that growth from today or after some certain period would be
constant. The difficult part is not only to determine or estimate the extent and direction of business growth but also
estimated price(s) of product and / or services as well as various elements of cost of goods sold keeping in view
the general condition of the business ecosystem in future years. These assumptions will have significant impact on
valuation.
information. In practice many stock brokerage firms publish bi-yearly follow up valuation updates for large listed
companies after publishing a detailed research based valuation.
Information about the state of the economy and the level of interest affects all valuation in an economy. When
analysts change their valuation, they will undoubtedly be asked to justify the change and in some cases the fact
that valuation change over time is viewed as a problem. The best response may be the one that John Maynard
Keynes gave when he was criticized for changing his position on a major economic issue: When the facts change
I change my mind and what do you do, sir?
Myth 4: A good valuation provides a precise estimate of value.
The truth remains that there is no concept of precise valuation. The recompense of valuation is greatest when
valuation is least precise.
Myth 5: To make money on valuation, you have to assume that markets are inefficient.
If a market is efficient then market price is the best estimate of value. However, it has been empirically tested
that no single market is efficient for estimating price. It is recognised that market makes mistakes but finding those
mistakes requires a combination of skill and knowledge. This view of markets generally leads to the following
conclusions:
If something looks good to be true, a stock looks obviously undervalued or overvalued is properly not true.
When the value from an analysis is significantly different from the market price, start-off with the presumption
that the market is correct; then valuer has to convince himself that this is not the case before valuer to conclude
that something is over or undervalued. The higher standard may lead you to be more cautious in following
through on valuation but given the difficulty of beating the market this is not an undesirable outcome.
Myth 6: The product of valuation (i.e., value) matters and not the valuation
Valuation models focus exclusively on the outcome. That is the value of the company and whether it is over or
undervalued. In most of the cases valuable internal points are missed out that can be obtained from the process
of valuation and can answer some of the most fundamental questions, e.g.,
What is the appropriate price to pay for high growth?
What is a brand name worth?
How important is to return and project?
What is the effect of profit margin on value?
Myth 7: How much a business is worth depends on what the valuation is used for?
The value of a business is its fair market value, that is what a willing buyer will pay to a willing seller when each is
fully informed and under no pressure to transact.
Standard of Value
Standard of value is nothing but a definition of the type of value being sought. Important at the stage is to refer
the definition of standard of value as per the International glossary of business valuation terms which is The
identification of the type of value being utilised in a specific engagement; for example, fair market value, fair
value, investment value. This definition is inclusive but not exhaustive. Standard of value can be taken depending
upon the purpose of the valuation. The standard of value depends upon time of engagement which gives the
purpose of valuation. Five most common standard of value which are used practice are;
Fair market value,
Investment value,
Intrinsic value,
Fair value, and
Market value.
International Glossary of Business Value Terms (IGBVT) defines three types of liquidation value:
Liquidation value: The net amount that would be realised if the business is terminated and the assets are sold
piecemeal. Liquidation can either be orderly or forced.
Force Liquidation value: Liquidation value at which the asset or assets are sold as quickly as possible such as at an
auction.
Orderly Liquidation value: Liquidation value at which the assets are sold over a reasonable period of time to
maximise value to be realised from assets and payments to be made.
Now we describe the five most common Standard of Value
(1) Fair Market Value (FMV)
FMV is the most widely used standard of value in business valuation. The AICPA of USA, while issuing Statement on
Standards for Valuation Services, has adopted IGBVT. It defines FMV as
The price expressed in terms of cash equivalents, at which property would change hands between a hypothetical
willing and able buyer and a hypothetical willing and able seller, acting at arms length in an open and unrestricted
market, when neither is under compulsion to buy or sell and when both have reasonable knowledge of the relevant
facts.
Following example makes FMV simple.
Mr. A owns 20% of a business and the balance 80% is owned by the other people. Here Mr. A has what is called a
minority interest in the business. The question is whether worth of Mr. A will be taken as proportionate value of the
business under FMV standard of value. Lets assume business is worth ` 200 million.
The 20% interest in the business would be worth less than `40 million. In the open market willing and able buyers
pay perhaps 15% of the total value for a 20% interest because they are subject to control of the 80% owners. That
means there will be discount known as DLOC, i. e., called as discount for lack of control. It does necessarily mean
the minority owner of 20% of the company will have to depend upon the managerial capability of the controlling
shareholder and have to leave his asset at his disposal. He is taking a risk of probable lower return than market
rate and hence the new buyer will look for a discount. If it is a case of closely held company, then there would be
further discount on account of what is called as DLOM or discount for lack of marketability. This discount is counted
to cover the fact that it will be difficult to sell the minority shares of closely held companies.
If a business is marketable, then FMV seems to be the appropriate standard of value. If a closely held business
cannot be compared with a listed company FMV may not be the appropriate standard. The issue is not whether
it can be used or not. Rather the issue is whether it can be determined or not.
(2) Investment Value
IGBVT defines Investment value as the value to a particular investor based on his / her investment requirements
and expectations. Simply stated, it gives the value of an asset or business to a specific unique investor and,
therefore, considers the investors specific knowledge about the business, own capabilities, expectation of risks
and return and other associated factors. Synergies are considered to a specific purchaser. For these reasons
investment value may result in higher value than FMV. Some of the factors which may cause difference between
FMV and investment value are:
Estimates of future cash flows or earnings;
Perception of risk;
Tax advantages;
Synergy to other products;
Other strategic advantages and so on.
An example makes the concept of investment value clear.
they could fetch in the market or what is to be paid on transfer of liability that is the exit price (Sale price). This
does not require the entity intention or its ability to sell assets or transfer liability at the measurement date. As far
FASB price shall not be adjusted for transaction costs as they are not an attribute of the assets or liability. A willing
buyer may like to pay more because of his strategic intent of using the same set of assets post acquisition with his
own plan and he is confident generate more value than what it can by the present management in the given
condition.
Further a fair value measurement assumes the highest and best use of the asset from the perspective of market
participant without considering how the company is going to use it. This also requires considering that the use
of the asset physically possible, financially feasible and legally permissible. The word Exchanged under IFRS
definition can have both situations Exit price as well as entry price (Purchase price).
Market participants in an orderly transaction
The focus in SFAS is on a market-based measurement. The standard refers to orderly transaction between market
participants:
Are willing to transact without acting under any pressure or influence.
Are independent.
Are knowledgeable having full understanding about the asset or liability and is capable to settle the transaction.
Reliable to transact.
The orderly transaction is not forced and not done in a hurry. If the market is not active and prices are not reflective
on an orderly transaction, then an adjustment may be required to arrive at fair value. The unique feature is that the
standard creates a hierarchy of inputs for fair value measurement from most to least reliable.
Level 1 input or evidence for valuation that is based on unadjusted quoted market price in active market for similar
assets. It may be considered for determination of value of an asset, say equity shares of an unlisted company
because the features of its listed peers are almost equivalent to its own.
Level 2 input is based on observed market data, which is directly not comparable vis--vis the asset to be valued
and needs some adjustment to give effect of dissimilarities. For example, between two similar pharmaceutical
companies the listed one has a successfully tried-out drug under patenting, which may yield more income
generation in future but for that rest of the present features are similar.. Accordingly the future earnings forecast
has to be adjusted before arriving at the cash flow stream to be discounted.
Level 3 evidence is based on unobservable input which could be internal models or an estimate of the
management. This is the subject intense debate. It should be kept in mind that fair value measurement requires
significant judgement. The standard has sufficient discloser requirements to counter any manipulation. The investor
can always assess the assumptions and accordingly they may modify decision of investment.
Difference between Fair Value and Fair Market Value
There is no authoritative clarification either under US-GAAP or IFRS about the difference between fair value and
FMV except that these terms are consistent in accounting. This seems to be the reality. However, a few differences
may be traced out as stated below:
Fair value has a hierarchy of inputs for valuation but FMV does not have it.
Fair value considers highest and best use of an asset from the perspective of market participants. This may
result in maximising the value as against consensus value under FMV.
DOLM adjustments may require in certain cases under fair value but adjustment for DOLC is doubtful.
Fair value disregard blockage discount (a decline in the value resulting from the size of position).
The opinion of FASB is clear that when a quoted price is available in the active market it should not be further
reduced for blockage discount. Because the quoted price is without any regard to the intent of the firm to transact
at that price. Without the blockage discount comparability will improve.
An assumption regarding the most likely set of transaction of circumstances that may be applicable to the
subject valuation for example going concern, liquidation etc.
There are two premise of value, going concern and liquidation. Impact of premise can easily be observed in case
of a loss making company or a company with a poor track record of profit. Going concern is generally taken as
a premise of value. Liquidation is also considered to be another premise. If it offers negative valuation, one may
conclude that business has either no value or very little value.
IGBVT defines going concern as an ongoing operating business enterprise. In other words, the valuer assumes
that the entity will continue with business operations for generating returns against investment. IGBVT further
defines going concern value as the value of a business enterprise that is expected to continue to operate into
the future. The intangible elements of going concern value result from factors such as having a trained work force,
an operational plan and the necessary licenses, system and procedures in place.
Going concern value should not be considered as a standard of value. This should be referred as premise of
value. While resolving litigation in a one court case on valuation, the learned Justice rejected standard of value
described as going concern and ruled that the standard to be used in the valuation of a business was FMV. The
going concern is an attribute of the standard of value like the liquidation.
General Premises of Value
Apart from going concern and liquidation there are four general premises of value.
(1) Value in exchange: This premise contemplates value assuming exchange of an asset representing a business
interest or a property. Some sort of hypothetical transaction is assumed in the valuation. The FMV or market
value and the fair value standard to a very limited exchange can be categorised under value in exchange
premise.
(2) Value in use: This premise contemplates value assuming that assets are engaged in produce in income.
(3) Value in place: This premise contemplates value assuming that assets are ready for use but not engaged for
producing income.
(4) Value to the specific holder: This premise contemplates the value in the hands of a particular buyer or holder
of the assets. Marketability is not the criteria in this place. The investment value falls under the premise of value
and in certain cases even fair value.
Following example distinguishes between values in exchange and value to the specific holder.
Ms. P is an actress in Bollywood and runs a film production company along with her spouse who is not a film star.
Ps film has always been a success because of her style of storytelling and she has established a big reputation in
the film industry. The success of the company is largely depended on her reputation. Of late P has developed a
close relationship with an actor of her company and wants divorce from her spouse.
If the valuation is to be performed for divorce under value in exchange premise, then personal goodwill need to
be separated as only assets of the enterprise could be sold to a hypothetical buyer. Reputation, skills personal
goodwill of P cannot be distinguished from the individual. However, if we change premise of value to value to
specific holder then this goodwill of P should also be considered.
The selection of premise of value mainly depends upon court cases decided in the past and / or specific
circumstances of the cases under consideration as for example the said divorce.
The following sub-section describes, in broad terms, different investment philosophies and the roles played by
valuation in each one.
(1) Fundamental Analysis: The underlying theme in fundamental analysis is that the true value of the firm can be
related to its operational and financial characteristics, particularly related to its growth prospects, risk profile
and cash flows. Any deviation from this true value is a sign that a stock is under or overvalued.
(2) Activist Investors: Activist investors take positions in firms that have a reputation for poor management and
then use their equity holdings to push for change in the way the company is run. Their focus is not so much
on what the company is worth today but what its value would be if it were managed well. Investors like
Carl Icahn, Michael Price and Kirk Kerkorian have prided themselves on their capacity to not only pinpoint
badly managed firms but to also create enough pressure to get management to change its ways. How can
valuation skills help in this pursuit? To begin with, these investors have to ensure that there is additional value
that can be generated by changing management. In other words, they have to separate how much of a
firms poor stock price performance has to do with bad management and how much of it is a function of
external factors. The former are fixable but the latter are not.
They then have to consider the effects of changing management on value. This will require an understanding
of how value will change as a firm changes its investment, financing, operating and dividend policies as well as
execution methodologies. These are some of the managerial functions as leadership level. As a consequence,
they have to not only know the businesses that the firm operates in but also have an understanding of the
interplay between corporate finance decisions and value. Certain investors through secondary market
generally concentrate on a few businesses they understand well, and attempt to acquire undervalued
firms, which in other words is called Value Investment. Warren Buffett, the second richest man and the most
cerebral investor of the world at all times, follows this major investment policy of value investment. Often, value
investors with large shareholding wield influence on the management of these firms and can change financial
and investment policy.
(3) Chartists: Chartists believe that prices are driven as much by investor psychology as by any underlying financial
variables. The information available from trading measures like price movements with short and longer term
trends, trading volume and short sales, relationship between movements in prices vis--vis trading volumes,
etc. give collective indications of investor psychology and future price movements. The assumptions here
are that prices move in predictable patterns, that there are not enough marginal investors taking advantage
of these patterns to eliminate them, and that the average investor in the market is driven more by emotion than
by rational analysis. At times there is another group of very short term traders, called Noise Traders who make
big volume transactions based on some information about the company to their advantage or following one
or two major players in the market who deals with certain motives of his / their own. While valuation does not
play much of a role in charting, there are ways in which an enterprising chartist can incorporate it into analysis.
For instance, valuation can be used to determine support and resistance lines on price charts.
The methodology applied by such chartists for predicting the value of a stock in near term future is also called
Technical Valuation
(4) Information Traders: Prices move on information about the firm and the industry sector to which it belongs.
Information traders attempt to trade in advance of new information or shortly after it is revealed to financial
markets. They at times have their own channels of gathering large value impacting information which becomes
a public information shortly after his using the same at the market place for trading. The other underlying
assumption is that these traders can anticipate information announcements and gauge the market reaction
to them better than the average investor in the market.
For an information trader, the focus is on the relationship between information and changes in value, rather
than on value, per se. Thus an information trader may buy an overvalued firm if he believes that the next
information announcement is going to cause the price to go up, because it contains better than expected
news. If there is a relationship between how undervalued or overvalued a company is, and how its stock price
reacts to new information, then valuation could play a role in investing for an information trader as his / her sole
objective is to make profit through buying and selling after a short interval when price increases.
One of the examples of this is that many times one can observe prices of many stocks are moving in positive
direction a few days before the finance minister declares his budget proposal for the next fiscal year. This
happens because of the anticipation of market players that certain provision(s) will be there which will impact
the entity or the sector. That is why one can observe market volatilities a few days before and after the
budget declaration. Irrespective of the type of information at times such information would include insider
information and views held by the directors of the entity. If this would be happen then no investor can earn
above average return using any information whether publicly available or not.
Equity (Securities) Research
Loxicon defines Research as Scientific or Scholarly Investigation. Types of Security Researchers popularly known as
Analysts.
What a Researcher/ Analyst does with what objective?
to Seeks to develop, and communicate to investors insights regarding (i) Value (ii) Risks and (iii) Volatility and
(iv) Resource Allocation
Assist investors to decide whether to (i) buy, (ii) hold, (iii) sell, (iv) sell short, or (v) avoid the security
William Peter Hamilton developed on Dows Principles and developed the theory in 1922 as is known today Dows
Theory. Dows Theory is the most oldest and published method for identifying major trends
Dow view about behaviour of the Stock Market.
As a barometer of business condition rather than basis for forecasting stock prices
Majority of stocks follow the underlying trend of the stock market more of time
Constructed two indices Industrial and Rail Road
Certain assumptions for these theories are:
Market discount every thing
Market has three movements Primary, Secondary and Minor
Primary movements can be Bullish and Bearish
Price-Volume Relationship provides background
Price action determines trend
Averages must be confirmed Industrial and Rail Road Indices
Method of Research
Fundamental Futuristic analyses of all attributes for valuation
Technical Evaluation by analysing the statistics generated out of market activities including past trends (price &
Volume)
Critical assumption:
Market discounts every factor Fundamental, Economic, Geographical, Psychological etc.
Price moves in trends Once a trend is formed future movements are likely to be in same direction
Market value is a reflection of supply and demand
History tends to repeat itself Market participants tend to provide same reactions to similar kind of stimulants
and dampeners.
Advantages
Easy and quick to prepare using software
Quick to understand and appreciate
Valuation Process
The valuation process comprise of five broad steps:
(a) Understanding the business
This includes evaluating industry prospects, competitive position of the company in the industrial environment,
corporate strategies - its planning and execution, overall economic environment where the company operates,
the technological edge etc.
(b) Forecasting Company Performance
This can be achieved by doing economic forecasting and studying companys financial information. Two
approaches to economic forecasting are top-down forecasting and bottom-up forecasting. In top-down
forecasting analysts use macroeconomic forecasts to develop industry forecasts and then make individual
company and asset forecast consistent with the industry forecasts. In bottom-up forecasting analysts aggregate
individual company forecasts with industry forecasts and finally aggregate it with macroeconomic forecasts.
While evaluating financial information of a company, the analyst can consider both qualitative and quantitative
factors. This involves careful scrutiny and interpretation of financial statements, and other financial/accounting
disclosures.
(c) Selecting the appropriate valuation model
While selecting a valuation model an analyst can use different perspectives. One of the widely used methods is
determining the intrinsic value, which is fully dependent on the quality of information and the inherent assumptions.
There are other value measures. We know that a company has one value if dissolved today and other if it continues
operation.
One of the popular notions of value finding is the going concern assumption, which says that the company will
maintain its business activities into the foreseeable future. Two broad types of going concern valuation models are
absolute valuation models and relative valuation models.
An absolute valuation model is a model that specifies an assets intrinsic value. This model specifies a value of a
company at a particular point of time and is compared with the existing market prices for decision making. Present
value or discounted cash flow approach is the most popular type of absolute model approach. Present value
models based on dividends are called dividend discount models and those based on free cash flow concept,
are called free cash flow to equity and free cash flow to firm models. When a company is valued on the basis of
market value of the assets or resources it controls we call it asset based valuation approach.
The second main type of going concern valuation is relative valuation model. Here we specify an assets value
relative to that of another asset. The basic notion of relative valuation model is that similar assets should sell at
similar prices. We usually denote this using price multiples. Popular relative price multiples are Price to Earnings
(P/E), Price to Book Value (P/BV), Price to Sales etc. The approach of relative valuation as applied to equity
valuation is often called method of comparables.
The prime decision on selecting the valuation model is based on the following three broad criteria:
(1) The valuation model should be consistent with the characteristics of the company being valued;
(2) The valuation model should be appropriate given the availability and the quality of data; and
(3) The valuation model should be consistent with the purpose of valuation, including the analysts own perspective.
(d) Converting forecasts to valuation
Analysts play a vital role of collecting, organising, analysing, communicating and monitoring the corporate
information which they have used in the valuation analysis. They help clients achieve their investment objective
and contribute to efficient functioning of the capital markets.
(e) Communicating the information - preparation of research report.
(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) The _____________ can value the companys flexibility to alter its initial operating strategy in order to
capitalize on favourable future growth opportunities or to react so as to mitigate losses. (Real option
technique approach / DCF approach)
(ii) Business is supposed to have a value for its performances _________. (done in past /expected in future)
(iii) Relative valuation approach is also known as ____________ approach. (market/income)
(iv) is one in which security prices fully reflect the available information. (Efficient Market/Stock
Market)
(v) Key to income based approach of valuation is ---------------------(capitalization rate/ internal rate of return)
(vi) If a firm defers taxes, the taxes paid in the current period will be at a rate------------------than the marginal
tax rate. (lower / higher)
(vii) The value of an asset must equal the ----------------------- of its future cash flows.(Present value/ expected
value)
(viii) A Valuation is an objective search for--------------------value.(Fair/ True)
(ix) ----------------------- measures the variation of distribution for the expected returns. (Standard deviation/
Regression)
(x) Production capacity is a ______________variable for valuation. (operational / financial)
Answer:
(i) Real option technique approach
(ii) Expected in future
(iii) Market
(iv) Efficient Market
(v) Capitalization rate
(vi) Lower
Answer:
(i) (B) Price of one share is independent of the price of other shares in the market
(ii) (B) Relative valuation
(iii) (D) Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
(iv) (A) Value
(v) (D) The stock is a good buy
Valuation of a company is associated with a lot of difficulties and insecurities. It is impossible to estimate the object
value of a company only by counting, since the numbers are not the only factor to consider. To facilitate the business
valuation process there are a number of helpful models. According to theory the business valuation procedure
should consist of several phases to provide a reliable value. These phases are business analysis, accounting and
financial analysis, operational and financial due diligence, impacts of changing business environment, forecasting
and valuation itself. Forecasting is the most precarious part of the valuation process since it is based on assumption
and discretion about a companys future economic performance. The insecurity connected with forecasting
can be reduced to a certain extent by accurate analyzing of external and internal factors, which may affect the
companys future development. The value of the company varies depending on which valuation model that has
been applied and how input variables have been estimated.
The valuation models commonly described may be classified as follows:
(I) Asset-based approach
The asset-based approach has many other common names such as the asset accumulation method, the net
asset value method, the adjusted book value method and the asset build-up method. The purpose of the model is
to study and revaluate the companys assets and liabilities obtaining the substance value which also is the equity.
The substance value is thus estimated as assets minus liabilities. To be useful, the substance value must be positive,
if liabilities are bigger than assets there is no use of the method.
The basic idea is that the companys value could be determined by looking at the Balance Sheet. Unfortunately,
the values on the balance sheet cannot be used because the book value seldom is the same as the real value,
except for the case of liabilities that is often accounted in real value. The problem is when following the principles
of accounting, assets often are depreciated over their life expectancy and when the asset-based approach is
applied the real value for these assets must be determined. In this case, the real value is equivalent to the fair
market value that is value of the asset on a free market or present value of the future earnings from the asset or a
group of assets.
Two methods are used here:
(a) The Liquidation Value, which is the sum as estimated sale values of the assets owned by a company.
(b) Replacement Cost: The current cost of replacing all the assets of a company at times for specific purposes
professional valuers also consider depreciated replacement cost of the asset(s).
This approach is commonly used by property and investment companies, to cross check for asset based trading
companies such as hotels and property developers, underperforming trading companies with strong asset base
(market value vs. existing use), and to work out break up valuations.
Valuation, and Contingent Claim Valuation. Within each of these approaches; there are various techniques
for determining the fair market value of a business. Valuation models fall broadly into four variance based
respectively on assets, earning, dividend and discounted cash flows. For all these the typically Capital Asset
Pricing Model is used to calculate a discount rate. Each method has its advantages and disadvantages
and are not appropriate in all circumstances. It is often not wise to depend on a single method. Calculating
a range of value using different appropriate types of valuation can provide valuable benchmarks for the
project or entity valuation being considered.
Distinction between Equity Value and Enterprise Value
Equity and Enterprise Value: There is an important distinction between equity value and enterprise value.
The equity value of a company is the value of the shareholders claims in the company. The value of a share
is arrived at by dividing the value of the companys equity as accounted in the balance sheet by the total
number of shares outstanding as on the date of valuation. In other words, it represents the all-inclusive value of the
company, determined using any method, less all its liabilities. When a company is publicly traded, the value of
the equity equals the market capitalization of the company, which may or may not represent at any point of time
the fair value of the equity. It quite often it is observed that market has under-priced the equity of a listed entity
because of many business ecosystem related reasons, market sentiments, or lack of information, etc., which may
not affect a particular company.
The enterprise value of a company denotes the value of the entire company to all its claimholders. Enterprise
value = Equity value + market value of all debts + minority interest + pension and other similar Employees benefits
related provisions + other claims.
Distinction between Fundamental Valuation and Relative Valuation
Fundamental valuations are calculated based on a companys fundamental economic parameters relevant to
the company and its future, are also referred to as standalone valuations.
On the other hand, Relative valuations or relative multiples apply a relation of a specific financial or operational
characteristic from a similar company or the industry to the company being valued. They express the value of a
company as a multiple of a specific statistic like financial variables, e. g. Sales, EBIDTA, etc.
Fundamental basis for Valuations
The different bases that can be used in valuations are:
1. Cash flows: the cash flow to equity shareholders, i.e., dividends or to both equity shareholders and lenders
called free cash flow (FCF)
2. Returns: The difference between the companys capital and the cost of capital.
3. Operational Variables: Production capacity, subscriber base as in case of telecom companies, etc.
DCF method is an easy method of valuation. To understand and evaluate the other two methods of valuation it is
important to understand the DCF method first. In this section, we will consider the basis of this approach.
Basis for Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
This approach has its foundation in the present value rule, where the value of any asset is the present value of
expected future cash flows that the asset generates. To use discounted cash flow valuation, one needs to estimate
to estimate the life of the group of assets from which the income flow will be generated
to estimate the cash flows during the life of the asset
to estimate the discount rate to apply to these cash flows to get present value
where,
n = Life of the asset
CF = Cash flow in period t
r = Discount rate reflecting the weighted average cost of capital employed added with the risk premium depending
upon the riskiness of the estimated cash flows.
The cash flows will vary from asset to asset for example dividends for stocks, coupons (interest) and the face
value for bonds and after-tax cash flows for a real project. The discount rate will be a function of the riskiness of
the estimated cash flows. Discount rate will be high for riskier assets and low for safer assets. For example rate of
discount on zero coupon bond is zero and for corporate bonds it is the interest rate that reflects the default risk.
In discounted cash flow valuation, the intrinsic value of an asset is calculated based on fundamentals. DCF
technique perceives that markets are inefficient and make mistakes in assessing value. It also makes an assumption
about how and when these inefficiencies will get corrected. Here the word asset represents collectively all the
assets of the business or the company which is being valued.
Discounted Cash Flow Models Classification and underlying approaches
There are three distinct ways in which we can categorise discounted cash flow models. First, we differentiate
between valuing a business as a going concern as opposed to a collection of assets. In the second, we draw a
distinction between valuing the equity in a business and valuing the business itself. In the third, we lay out three
different and equivalent ways of doing discounted cash flow valuation the expected cash flow approach, a
value based upon excess returns and adjusted present value.
(a) Going Concern versus Asset Valuation
The value of an asset in the discounted cash flow framework is the present value of the expected cash flows on
that asset. Extending this proposition to valuing a business, it can be argued that the value of a business is the
sum of the values of the individual assets owned by the business. While this may be technically right, there is a key
difference between valuing a collection of assets and a business. A business or a company is an on-going entity
with assets that it already owns and assets it expects to invest in the future along with all other resources required
to operate the assets to generate earnings. Those are management and execution man power, and intangibles
like brand and corporate, image, channel partners, etc.
A financial balance sheet provides a good framework to draw out the differences between valuing a business as
a going concern and valuing it as a collection of assets. In a going concern valuation, we have to make our best
judgments not only on existing investments but also on expected future investments and their profitability, besides
maintenance investments to be made to carry on the existing business. While this may seem to be foolhardy, a large
proportion of the market value of growth companies comes from their growth assets. In an asset-based valuation
method, we focus primarily on the assets in place and estimate the value of each asset separately. Adding the
asset values together yields the value of the business. For companies with lucrative growth opportunities, asset-
based valuations will yield lower values than going concern valuations.
(b) Equity Valuation versus Firm Valuation
There are two ways in which we can approach discounted cash flow valuation. The first is to value the entire
business, with both assets-in-place and growth assets; this is often termed firm or enterprise valuation.
The cash flows before debt payments and after reinvestment needs are called free cash flows to the firm, and
the discount rate that reflects the composite cost of financing from all sources of capital is called the weighted
average cost of capital.
The second way is to just value the equity stake in the business, and this is called equity valuation.
The cash flows after debt payments and reinvestment needs are called free cash flows to equity, and the discount
rate that reflects just the cost of equity financing is the cost of equity.
(c) Variations on DCF Models
The model that we have presented in this section, where expected cash flows are discounted back at a risk-
adjusted discount rate, is the most commonly used discounted cash flow approach but there are two widely used
variants. In the first, we separate the cash flows into excess return cash flows and normal return cash flows. Earning
the risk-adjusted required return, which is otherwise, is called cost of capital or equity is considered a normal return
cash flow but any cash flows above or below this number are categorised as excess returns. Excess returns can
therefore be either positive or negative. With the excess return valuation framework, the value of a business can
be written as the sum of two components:
Value of business = Capital invested in firm today + Present value of excess return cash flows from both existing
and future projects
If we make the assumption that the accounting measure of capital invested (book value of capital) is a good
measure of capital invested in assets today, this approach implies that firms that earn positive excess return cash
flows will trade at market values higher than their book values and that the reverse will be true for firms that earn
negative excess return cash flows.
In the second variation, called the adjusted present value (APV) approach, is separated the effects on value of
debt financing from the value of the assets of a business. In general, using debt to fund a firms operations creates
tax benefits because interest expenses are tax deductible on the positive side and increases bankruptcy risk and
expected bankruptcy costs on the negative side. In the APV approach, the value of a firm can be written as
follows:
Value of business = Value of business with 100% equity financing + Present value of Expected Tax Benefits of Debt
Expected Bankruptcy Costs
In contrast to the conventional approach, where the effects of debt financing are captured in the discount rate,
the APV approach attempts to estimate the expected money value of debt related benefits and costs separately
from the value of the operating assets.
While proponents of each approach like to claim that their approach is the best and most precise, we will argue
that the three approaches yield the same estimates of value, if consistent assumptions are considered for creating
the valuation model.
Inputs to Discounted Cash Flow Models
There are three inputs that are required to value any asset in this model - the expected cash flow, the timing of the
cash flow and the discount rate that is appropriate given the riskiness of these cash flows.
(a) Discount Rates
In valuation, the valuer begins with the fundamental notion that the discount rate used on a cash flow should
reflect its riskiness. In case of higher risk, cash flows to be discounted with higher discount rates. There are two ways
of viewing risk. The first is purely in terms of the likelihood that an entity will default on a commitment to make a
payment, such as interest or principal due, and this is called default risk. When looking at debt, the cost of debt is
the rate that reflects this default risk.
The second way of viewing risk is in terms of the variation of actual returns around expected returns. The actual
returns on a risky investment can be very different from expected returns. The greater the variation, the greater
the risk. When looking at equity, the valuer tends to use measures of risk based upon return variance. There are
some basic points on which these models agree. The first is that risk in an investment has to be perceived through
the eyes of the marginal investor in that investment, and this marginal investor is assumed to be well diversified
across multiple investments. Therefore, the risk in an investment that should determine discount rates is the non-
diversifiable or market risk of that investment. The second is that the expected return on any investment can be
obtained starting with the expected return on a riskless investment, and adding to it a premium to reflect the
amount of market risk in that investment. This expected return yields the cost of equity.
that they are valuing and ask searching questions about the sustainability of cash flows and risk. Discounted cash
flow valuation is tailor made for those who buy into the Warren Buffett adage that what we are buying are not
stocks but the underlying businesses. In addition, discounted cash flow valuations are inherently contrarian in the
sense that it forces analysts to look for the fundamentals that drive value rather than what market perceptions
are. Consequently, if stock prices rise (fall) disproportionately relative to the underlying earnings and cash flows,
discounted cash flows models are likely to find stocks to be overvalued (undervalued).
Discounted cash flow valuation is based upon expected future cash flows and discount rates. Given these
informational requirements, this approach is easiest to use for assets and / or business entities.
whose cash flows are currently positive and can be estimated with some reliability for future periods,
and where a proxy for risk that can be used to obtain discount rates is available.
Limitations of DCF Valuation
This technique requires lot of information. The inputs and information are difficult to estimate and also can be valuer.
This technique cannot differentiate between over and undervalued stocks. It is difficult to apply this technique in
the following scenarios:
Negative earnings firms: For such firms, estimating future cash flows is difficult to do, since there is a strong
probability of insolvency and failure. DCF does not work well since under this technique the firm is valued as a
going concern which provides positive cash flows to its investors.
Cyclical Firms: For such firms earnings follow cyclical trends. Discounting smoothes the cash flows.
It is very difficult to predict the timing and duration of the economic situation. The effect of cyclical situation
on these firms is neither avoidable nor separable. Therefore, there are economic biases in valuations of these
firms.
Firms with un/under utilised assets: DCF valuation reflects the value of all assets that produce cash flows. If a
firm has assets that are un/under utilised that do not produce any cash flows, the values of these assets will
not be reflected in the value obtained from discounting expected future cash flows. But, the values of these
assets can always be obtained externally, and added on to the value obtained from discounted cash flow
valuation.
Firms with patents or product options: Firms often have unutilized patents or license that do not produce any
current cash flows and are not expected to produce cash flows in the near future, but, nevertheless, these
are valuable and with changing business ecosystem those may be used to general income. If values of such
patents are ignored then value obtained from discounting expected cash flows to the firm will understate the
true value of the firm.
Firms in the process of restructuring: Firms in the process of restructuring often sell, acquire other assets, and/
or change their capital structure dividend policy business model operating structure etc. Some of them also
change their status from private to public. Each of these changes makes estimating of future cash flows more
difficult and affects the riskiness of the firm. Using historical data for such firms may give a misleading picture
of the firms value. In case of business restructuring through acquisitions and if there is synergy then its value
is to be estimated after considering the value addition to be generated from such synergy. This will require
assumptions about the synergy and its effect on cash flows.
Private Firms: The measurement of risk to be used in estimating discount rates is a challenge since securities in
private firms are not traded, this is not possible. One solution is to look at the riskiness of comparable firms, which
are publicly traded. The other is to relate the measure of risk to accounting variables, which are available for
the private firm. But identifying a firm with comparable attributes is quite a difficult task.
Applicability:
Since DCF valuation, done right, is based upon an assets fundamentals, it is less exposed to market moods and
perceptions. DCF valuation takes into account the underlying characteristics of the firm, and understands the
business of firm. It clearly identifies the assumptions made while paying a given price for an asset. It works best for
Working Capital
Year 0 1 2 . Yn
Revenue
Less: Costs of goods and / or services sold
Less: Depreciation of tangible / intangible assets Non-cash item
Add: Other Income
Profit/ (Loss) from asset sales
Taxable income
Tax
Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) Adjustment for
Add: Depreciation non-cash item
(c) Calculate the PV of equity cash flows by using cost of equity (Ke) as discounting rate. Cost of equity can
be calculated using CAPM approach.
(2) CAPM Approach: Ke = RF + (RM RF)
Ke = Required rate of return
RF = Risk free rate
= Beta coefficient
RM = Expected return for common stocks in the market
(RM RF) = Equity risk premium (ERP)
(ii) Dividend payout ratio is constant over time and is not affected by the shifting growth rates.
P
=0 DPS0 (1+ gn ) + DPS H ( ga gn )
r - gn r - gn
t-n1 t-n2
EPS0 (1+ ga )t IIa DPSt EPSn (1+ gn ) IIn
P0 = (1+ r)t
(1+ r) t + 2
(r - gn )(1+ r)n
t=1 t=n1+1
The other problem with using multiples based upon comparable firms is that it builds in errors in the form of over
valuation or under valuation that the market might be making in valuing these firms. If, for instance, we find a
company to be undervalued because its equity share trades at 15 times of its earnings and comparable companys
trade at 25 times earnings, we may still lose on the investment if the entire sector is overvalued. In relative valuation,
all that we can claim is that a stock looks cheap or expensive relative to the group we compared it to, rather than
make an absolute judgment about value. Ultimately, relative valuation judgments depend upon how well we
have picked the comparable companies and how good a job the market has done in pricing them.
Steps in Relative Valuation:
(1) Search and select the comparable companies: The first part of the process is the selection of a group of
comparable companies, that is, companies whose business operations are as similar as possible to those of
the subject company. This requires a thorough understanding of the subject for example:
How does it create value?
What drives its financial performance?
Who are its customers and suppliers?
With whom and how does it compete?
What risks does it face?
and so forth. Comparability is established by matching key business attributes of the subject with those of
another group of firms. The similar step in the used car analogy is to match attributes such as make, model,
year, engine size, mileage, options, and so on. List of salient characteristics could be prepared and then
companies can be inspected one by one. A systematic selection procedure should be designed prior to the
inspection to guard against biases.
(2) Selection of Multiples: The next step is to select certain multiples to be calculated based on market participants
views of the relevant metrics. The most commonly used multiples of enterprise value are value/revenue, value/
EBIT, and value/EBITDA. Different multiples are used for enterprise value or equity value. For instance, the
market-multiple approach is sometimes used to estimate a subject companys equity value rather than its
enterprise value. In such instances the multiples computed from comparable companies are derived from
stock prices or market capitalization rather than enterprise values. Sometimes some industry specific multiples
also can be used that relate value to, say, sales per square foot or to subscriber base or patents, and so on if
data is available.
Note: Enterprise Value = Equity Share Price in Market + All Loans Cash and Cash Equivalent. However, there
is a need for adjusting this value if there is in any critical finding from due diligence prompting for adjustment,
e. g. riskiness in terms of achieving growth in future or major probability of any major contingent liability being
payable.
(3) Selection of comparables and size of sample: Next step is to form of sample of comparables. The question is
How big should be the size of a sample? As with most statistical exercises, the easy answer is that more is better
as the estimates are more reliable in larger samples. Unfortunately, in a desire to create a large sample we
may have to reduce the degree of comparability. A pragmatic response to this difficulty is to examine more
than one set of comparables, ranging from a small set of closely matched companies to larger sets of loosely
matched companies, and see what the effect is on indicated value. Selection of samples should not based
on the multiples themselves or financial measures that directly affect the multiples. That is, we should not look
at a set of comparables and decide to exclude companies with low EBIT multiples. This generates bias.
(4) Computation of Multiples: Computing multiples requires a calculation of enterprise value on the one hand and
one or more operating metrics e.g EBIT, EBITDA etc. on the other. Enterprise value is generally computed as the
market value of sum of the market values of debt and equity securities outstanding, including hybrid securities,
which is sometimes referred to as MVIC (Market Value of Invested Capital). In practice, we sometimes assume
that the market value of debt equals its book value. This may not always be an acceptable approximation.
Therefore we may have to actually price the options or the conversion features of the securities to obtain
The technique for applying a valuation multiple is identical to that of applying a price-per-square- foot multiple
to value real estate, or a price per pound to a purchase of fish. If you are studying a firm with a cash flow of ` 5
Crores and you believe it should be valued at a cash flow multiple of 10, you will determine that the firm is worth
`50 Crores.
Sources of Multiples:
Multiples can be derived either by using fundamentals or by comparables. In discounted cash flow valuation,
the value of a firm is determined by its expected cash flows. Other things remaining equal, higher cash flows,
lower risk and higher growth should yield higher value. Thus, multiples can be derived from CF techniques and
by comparing across firms or time, and make explicit or implicit assumptions about how firms are similar or vary
on fundamentals. This approach requires the same information. Its primary advantage is to show the relationship
between multiples and firm characteristics. For instance, what will happen to price-earnings ratios as growth rates
decrease? What is the relationship between price-book value ratios and return on equity?
E1
P0 =
k
P0 1
=
E1 k
Where:
E1 = expected earnings for next year
E1 = D1 under no growth
k = Required rate of return
D1 = Dividend
Illustration 1.
E0 = ` 2.50 g = 0 k = 12.5%
P0 = D/k = ` 2.50/0.125 = ` 20.00
P/E = l/k= 1/0.125 = 8
(iii) P/E Ratio with Constant Growth :
D1 E1 (1 b )
P0
= =
k g k (b ROE )
P0 1 b
=
E1 k (b ROE )
Where:
b = retention ratio
ROE = Return on Equity
b = 60%, ROE = 15%, (1 b) = 40%
E 1 =
` 2.50 [1 + (0.6)(0.15)] - ` 2.73
D 1 =
` 2.73(1 0.6) = ` 1.09
k = 12.5%,
g = 9%
P 0 = 1.09/ (0.125 0.09) = ` 31.14
PE = 31.14/2.73 = 11.4 or PE = (1 0.60)/(0.125 0.09) = 11.4
The PE ratio is an increasing function of the payout ratio and the growth rate, and a decreasing function
of the riskiness of the firm. Other things held equal, higher growth firms will have higher PE ratios than lower
growth firms. Higher risk firms will have lower PE ratios than lower risk firms. Firms with lower reinvestment
needs will have higher PE ratios than firms with higher reinvestment rates.
(iv) PE for a High Growth Firm: The price-earnings ratio for a high growth firm can also be related to fundamentals.
In the special case of the two-stage dividend discount model, this relationship can be made explicit fairly
simply. When a firm is expected to be in high growth for the next n years and stable growth thereafter, the
dividend discount model can be written as follows :
(1+ g)n
EPS0 Payout ratio (1+ g) 1
( ) EPS0 + Payout ratio (1+ g)n (1+ gn )
n
1 + r
P0 +
r g ( r g )(1+ r )
n
n
Where,
EPS = Earnings per share in year 0 (current year)
g = Growth rate
Payout = Payout ratio
The value of a stock in a two-stage dividend discount model is the sum of two present values:
The present value of dividends during the high growth phase - this is the first term in the equation
above.
- It is the present value of a growing annuity. There is no constraint on the growth rate. In fact, this
equation will yield the present value of a growing annuity even if g > r...
- the denominator will become negative but so will the numerator)
The present value of the terminal price... this is the second term in the equation. The PE ratio for
- a high growth firm is a function of the same three variables that determine the PE ratio.
- stable growth firm, though you have to estimate the parameters twice, once for the high growth
phase and once for the stable growth phase.
Illustration 2.
Estimate the PE ratio for a firm which has the following characteristics:
(1.25 )
5
0.2 (1.25 ) 1
(1.115 )5
+ 0.5 (1.25 ) (1.08 )= 28.75
5
P /=
E
( 0.115 0.25 ) ( 0.115 0.08 )(1.115 )
5
For a firm with these characteristics, 28.75 times earnings is a fair price to pay. In fact, if valued this firm using a
dividend discount model, would get the identical value per share.
Illustration 3.
Estimating a Fundamental PE ratio for Infosys:
The following is an estimation of the appropriate PE ratio for Infosys in July 2000. The assumptions are summarized
below:
The current payout ratio of 36% is used for the entire high growth period. After year 5, the payout ratio is estimated
based upon the expected growth rate of 5% and a return on equity of 15% (based upon industry averages):
Stable period payout ratio = 1- Growth rate/ Return on equity = 1 5% / 15% = 66.67%.
The price-earnings ratio can be estimated based upon these inputs:
(1.1363 )5
0.36 (1.1363 ) 1
(1.1085 )5 0.67 (1.1363 )5 (1.05 )
P/E
= + = 17.79
( 0.1085 0.1363 ) ( 0.10 0.05 )(1.1085 )
5
Based upon its fundamentals, you would expect Infosys to be trading at 17.79 times earnings.
A company generates revenue by selling its products and services, while incurring expenses like salaries, cost
of goods sold (COGS), selling and general administrative expenses (SGA), research and development (R&D). To
produce revenue a firm not only incurs operating expenses, but it also must invest money in real estate, buildings
and equipment, and in incremental working capital to support growth and sustain its business activities. Also, the
company must pay income taxes on its earnings. The amount of cash that is left over after the payment of these
investments and taxes is known as Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF).
This cash flow represents the return to all providers of capital, whether debt or equity. It can be used to pay off
debt, repurchase shares, pay dividends or be retained for future growth opportunities. It is the hard cash that is
available to pay the companys various claim holders, especially the shareholders.
FCFF = Net Operating Profit - Taxes - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital or
FCFF = Net Income + Non Cash Charges + Interest (1-T) - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital
A positive value would indicate that the firm has cash left after expenses. A negative value, on the other hand,
would indicate that the firm has not generated enough revenue to cover its costs and investment activities.
FCFF can be calculated from the statement of cash flows as follows:
FCFF=Cash Flow from operations + After-tax interest expense - Capital expenditures
Free Cash Flows to Equity (FCFE) Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) is a measure of how much cash can be paid to the equity shareholders of the
company after all expenses, reinvestment and debt repayment. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) represents the
cash flow a company generates after necessary expenses and expenditures and after satisfying the claims of
debt holders. It can be calculated from Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) as follows:
FCFE = FCFF - After-tax interest expense + Net borrowing
If the company borrows more in a year than it repays it will have additional funds that could be distributed to
shareholders, which is why net borrowing is added to FCFF in order to determine FCFE.
Once the free cash flows are estimated from the right perspective, the value of the firm is the sum of the present
values of the free cash flows for a planning period plus the present value of the cash flows beyond the planning
horizon (i.e., the terminal value), i.e.,
T
FCF1 FCFt +1 1
= +
(1+ k ) k g (1+ k )T
t
t =1
Where,
g = growth
t = time
k = cost of equity
If free cash flow is positive then the company has done a good job of managing its cash. If free cash flow is
negative then the company may have to look for other sources of funding such as issuing additional shares or
debt financing. If a company has a negative free cash flow and has to issue more equity shares, this will dilute the
profits per share. If the company chooses to seek debt financing, there will be additional interest expense as a
result and the net income of the company will suffer. Free cash flow is one indicator of the ability of a company
to return profits to shareholders through debt reduction, increasing dividends, or stock buybacks. All of these
scenarios result in an increased shareholder yield and a better return on your investment.
To find the value of a firm, debt holders and/or contributors of debt and equity capital, would discount FCFF by
weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Similarly, the equity shareholders would discount FCFE by cost of
equity.
There are two major approaches to determine cost of equity. An equilibrium model - either CAPM or Arbitrage
Pricing Theory (APT) and the Government security (bond) yield plus risk premium method.
Illustration 4.
Earnings per share: ` 3.15
Capital Expenditure per share: `3.15
Depreciation per share: `2.78
Change in working capital per share: `0.50
Debt financing ratio : 25%
Earnings, Capital expenditure, Depreciation, Working Capital are all expected to grow at 6% per year. The beta
for stock is 0.90. Treasury bond rate is 7.5%. A premium of 5.50% is used for market.
Calculate value of stock.
Solution:
Estimating value
Long term bond rate 7.5%
Cost of equity = 7.5% + (0.90 5.50%) = 12.45%
Expected growth rate 6%
Base year FCFE = Earning per share (Capital Exp. Dep.)(1 Debt Ratio) Change in working capital (1 Debt Ratio)
= 3.15 (3.15 2.78) (1 0.25) 0.50 (1 0.25) = 2.49
Illustration 6.
If in the above example if interest of `1,000 is given and the company resorts to net borrowing of `5,000 in the year,
we can find FCFE as follows:
We first find Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) for the given data:
(II) FCFE model two stage and three stage FCFE model
(a) Two stage FCFE model :
The value of any stock is the present value of the FCFE per year for the extra ordinary growth period plus
the present value of the terminal price at the end of the period.
Value = PV of FCFE + PV of Terminal price
t =n
Where
FCFEt = FCFE in year t
Pn = Price at the end of extra ordinary growth period
r = Required rate of return to equity investors in high growth period calculated using CAPM
Pn = FCFEn+1 ( rn gn )
gn = Growth rate after the terminal year forever
rn = Required rate of return to equity investors in stable-growth period.
(b) Three stage FCFE model - E model
E-model is designed to value firms that are expected to go through three stages of growth: an initial phase
of high growth rates, a transition period where growth rate declines and a steady state where growth is
stable.
=t n1=t n2
FCFE FCFEt Pn2
0 P =
t
+ +
(1+ r ) (1+ r ) (1+ r )
t t n2
=t 1 =t n1 +1
Where
P 0 = Value of stock today
FCFEt = FCFE in year t
t = Cost of equity
Pn2 = Terminal price at the end of transition period
FCFE2 +1
=
( r gn )
n1 = End of the initial high growth period
n2 = End of transition period
Situations when FCFE models and dividend discount valuation models provide similar as well as dissimilar results
FCFE model is alternative to dividend discounting model. But at times both provide similar results: When result
obtained from FCFE and Dividend discount model may be same:
(i) Where dividends are equal to FCFE.
(ii) Where FCFE is greater than dividends but excess cash (FCFE- dividends) is invested in projects with NPV = 0
(Investments are fairly priced)
When results from FCFE and Dividend discounting models are different:
(i) When FCFE is greater than dividends and excess cash earns below market interest rates or is invested in
negative NPV value projects, the value from FCFE will be greater than the value from discount model.
(ii) When dividends are greater than FCFE, the firm will have to issue either new stock or new debt to pay their
dividends- with attendant costs.
(iii) Paying too much of dividend can lead to capital rationing constraints when good projects are rejected,
resulting in loss of wealth.
Conclusion:
The dividend model uses a strict definition of cash flows to equity, i.e. expected dividends on stock, while FCFE
model uses an expensive definition of cash flows to equity as the residual cash flows after meeting all financial
obligations and investment needs.
When the firms have dividends that are different from FCFE, the values from two models will be different. In valuing
firms for takeover or where there is reasonable chance of changing corporate control, the value from the FCFE
provides the better value.
S P B
Ko= Ke + Kp + Kd (1 T )
V V V
Where V is the total market value of firm, S, P and B indicate the market values of Equity, preference share and
Debt respectively. K0, Ke, Kp and Kd respectively are the weighted average cost of capital, cost of equity capital,
cost of preference capital and cost of debt and t is the tax rate applicable to the firm. If the acquirer who is
valuing the firm intends to change the capital structure of the target company, then suitable adjustments for the
discount rate must be made.
For this Bharat Forge example, the available information is that Ke as 12.5%, Kd as 8% and T tax rate as 33.6%.
Moreover we know that D/E is 1/9 i.e. Wd = 1/10 = 0.10 and We = 9/10 = 0.90.
Therefore WACC = 0.90.125+0.10.08(1-0.336) = 11.8% approx. This would be the discount rate that would be
used to find PV of free cash flow.
Step III
Calculate the Present Value of Cash Flows for the explicit forecast period
One of the premises of this approach is that the firm is a going concern. The implication of this assumption is
that the cash flows in perpetuity need to be discounted to value the firm. This is however, impossible in practice.
Hence, the cash flows are explicitly computed for a finite period of time known as explicit forecast period and the
continuing value of the firm at the end of such period is computed known as Terminal Value. The forecast period is
set in such a way that the company reaches a stable phase / steady state at the end of forecast period and the
growth rate remains constant in perpetuity.
For the Bharat Forge, we have 10 year forecasts, and therefore we find the total PV summing the 10 individual
years PV (See Table 1) to get `23910 mln.
For the Bharat Forge example we have, FCF applicable for the terminal year as `6.762 mln. Substituting in the
above formula we get,
6726 (1.02 ) 1
PV of TV as = `25879 mln. [We have assumed g = 2%]
0.118 0.02 ( )
10
1 + 0.118
Step V
Determination of the Value of the firm
Add PV of the free cash flows (as arrived at in Step III) and the Terminal Value (as arrived at in Step IV). For Bharat
Forge we get `49789 mln.
Step VI
Subtract the Value of the debt
Subtract the Value of the debt and preference share capital and other obligations assumed by the acquirer to
arrive at the value of equity.
The debt of Bharat Forge is given as `3236 mln. This value need to be subtracted to find the value of equity.
Therefore we have, Value of Equity = `(49789-3236) = `46553 mln. We also have the information that number of O/s
shares = 37.7 mln. Therefore, intrinsic value of 1 equity share of Bharat Forge = 46553/37.7 = `1235 approx.
It should be noted that the final price paid by the acquirer might be much higher than the estimate arrived at by
the DCF method. The target companys value can be thought of as
Value of Buyer = Value of Seller + Value added by the Buyer by +Benefits from Synergies + Strategic Considerations
+ Change in the value to a buyer if the target firm is acquired by the competitor + Control Premium if applicable.
However, final payment will always depend on negotiation skills of both the parties.
Note = Negotiation is a method by which people settle differences. It is a process by which compromise or
agreement is reached while avoiding argument and dispute.
Enterprise Valuation:
Valuation of an enterprise includes takes of all equity, preference shareholders and debt holders. The value of
the firm is obtained by discounting expected cash flows to the firm, i.e., the residual cash flows after meeting all
operating expenses, reinvestment needs and taxes, but prior to any payments to either debt or equity holders, at
their respective cost of equity culminating to weighted average cost of capital, which is the cost of the different
components of financing used by the firm, weighted by their market value proportions.
t =n
CF to Firm
Value of Firm =
(1+ WACC)
t
t =1
Where,
Illustration 7.
Effects of mismatching cash flows and discount rates
Assuming the cost of equity is 13.625% and the firm can borrow long term at 10%. (The tax rate for the firm is 30%)
The current market value of equity is 1,073 and the value of debt outstanding is 800.
The cost of equity is given as an input and is 13.625%, and the after-tax cost of debt is 5%. Cost of Debt = Pre-tax
rate (1 tax rate) = 10% (1 0.3) = 7%
Given the market values of equity and debt, the cost of capital can be estimated.
WACC = Cost of Equity (Equity / (Debt + Equity)) + Cost of Debt (Debt / (Debt + Equity))
= 13.625% (1073/1873) + 7% (800/1873) = 10.79%
Method 1: Discount CF to Equity at Cost of Equity to get value of equity
We discount cash flows to equity at the cost of equity:
PV of Equity = 50/1.13625 + 60/1.136252 + 68/1.136253 + 76.2/1.136254 + (83.49+1603)/1.136255 = 1073
Method 2: Discount CF to Firm at Cost of Capital to get value of firm
PV of Firm = 90/1.0994 + 100/1.09942 + 108/1.09943 + 116.2/1.09944 + (123.49+2363)/1.09945 = 1873
PV of Equity = PV of Firm - Market Value of Debt = 1873 - 800 = 1073
The value of equity is 1073 under both approaches.
Error 1: Discount Cash Flows to Equity at Cost of Capital to Get Too High a Value for Equity
PV of equity = 50/1.0994 + 60/1.09942 + 68/1.09943 + 76.2/1.09944 + (83.49 + 1,603)/1.09945 = 1,248
Error 2: Discount Cash Flows to Firm at Cost of Equity to Get Too Low a Value for the Firm
PV of firm = 90/1.13625 + 100/1.136252 + 108/1.136253 + 116.2/1.136254 + (123.49+2,363)/1.136255 = 1,613
PV of equity = PV of firm Market value of debt = 1,612.86 800 = 813
Sustainable cash flow is the cash flow adjusted for economic depreciation. Economic depreciation is the annual
amount of charge (or sinking fund) on the cash flows of the firm that is required for replacing the asset after its
useful life is over and with discount factor of WACC of the firm. For Example, if an asset available with the firm
is valued at `5,00,000 but after 10 years of its useful life the replacement can be done only at `7,00,000 the
economic depreciation would be based on replacement cost of `7 lakh instead of `5 lakh. And if the WACC is
12 % the amount each year must be based on such that the present value at 12 % for 10 years equals `7,00,000.
Relative Value of Growth
The firms management often faces the dilemma as to how to provide increased value to the shareholders. Two
common strategies available to them are increase the revenue by increased marketing and sale promotion effort,
and to increase the productivity by undertaking cost cutting exercises wherever possible. Undoubtedly, both are
desirable and increase value to the shareholders. Given the constraint of time with the top management it is hard
to imagine if management can be focus on both the strategies of value addition simultaneously and with equal
vigor.
Relative value of growth (RVG) is one parameter that helps resolve this dilemma.
Nathaniel Mass (2005) defined RVG as:
Where,
Value of 1% Growth (VG) = Value of the Firm with 1% Extra Revenue Current Value of the Firm
Where,
Operating Cash Flow = Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization + After-tax Interest + R&D Expenses
Non-recurring Expenses/Income
t=
EVA t=
EVA
Firm Value = Capital Invested Assets in Place + +
t,Assets in place t, Future Pr oject
Where:
Economic Value Added for all years = Net Operating Profit after Taxes WACC Capital Employed
Or, (Return on Capital Invested WACC) x Capital Invested
Terminal EVA= EVA / (WACC Net sales growth rate).
WACC = Cost of capital means the fair rate of return to invested capital, which goes to all claimholders. It is
computed by multiplying Capital invested with WACC.
Return on Capital = Operating Income (1 tax rate) / Capital Invested
NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Tax
NOPLAT = Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes.
It means total operating profit for a firm with adjustments made for taxes. It is used in variant of the FCF and used
in mergers of acquisitions.
NOPLAT is very similar to NOPAT, except its (net income + after tax interest expenses + Deferred taxes)
Capital Invested for all years = Total equity + Interest bearing liabilities + Convertibles - Total interest bearing
financial assets.
Capital Invested for terminal year = (NOPLAT Gross capital expenditure Change in working capital + Increase
in non-interest bearing liabilities Total depreciation)/(Net sales growthNOPLAT).
Illustration 8.
Consider a firm that has assets in place in which it has capital invested of `100 crores. Assume the following further
facts about the firm:
1. The after-tax operating income on assets in place is `15 crores. This return on capital of 15% is expected to be
sustained in the future, and the company has a cost of capital of 10%.
2. At the beginning of each of the next 5 years, the firm is expected to make investments of `10 crores each.
These investments are also expected to earn 15% as a return on capital, and the cost of capital is expected
to remain 10%.
3. After year 5, the company will continue to make investments and earnings will grow 5% a year, but the new
investments will have a return on capital of only 10%, which is also the cost of capital.
4. All assets and investments are expected to have infinite lives. Thus, the assets in place and the investments
made in the first five years will make 15% a year in perpetuity, with no growth.
This firm can be valued using an economic value added approach as follows:
( 0.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 2 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `4.55 crore
1
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 3 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `4.13 crore
2
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 4 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `3.76 crore
3
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 5 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `3.42 crore
4
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
Value of Firm `170.85 crore
t=
EVA t=
EVA
Firm Value = Capital Invested Assets in Place + +
t,Assets in place t, Future Pr oject
n
Income
(1+ WACC)
t =1
(2) Earnings Capitalisation Method: The capitalization method simply says that value is a function of the elements
of a companys income, the risk associated with that income (reflected in the discount rate), and the incomes
expected rate of future annual growth.
In valuation, the value of a firm is the present value of the expected cash flows from the assets of the firm. The net
present value of a project does not capture the values of the options to delay, expand or abandon a project.
When comparing across investments, the traditional approach of picking the investment with the highest return
or net present value may short-change investments that offer a firm more flexibility in operations and investing.
A financing model that focuses on minimising the current cost of capital does not consider the value of financial
flexibility that comes from having excess debt capacity. In a similar vein, firms that hold back on returning cash to
their stockholders and accumulate large cash balances might also be guided by the desire for financing flexibility.
The value of equity, obtained from a discounted cash flow valuation model, does not measure the option to
control, and if necessary, liquidate the firm that equity investors possess, and it ignores other options that might
be owned by the firm, including patents, licenses and rights to natural reserves. In light of these options that seem
to be everywhere, these options should be considered when analyzing corporate decisions. We should try to
quantitatively estimate the value of these options, and build them into the decision process.
The value of an asset may not be greater than the present value of expected cash flows if the cash flows are
contingent on the occurrence or non-occurrence of an event. As a simple example, consider an undeveloped
oil reserve belonging to Exxon, the renowned crude oil exploring company. It can be valued based upon
expectations of oil prices in the future, but this estimate would miss the non-exclusive facts that the oil company will
develop this reserve if oil prices go up and will not if oil prices decline or the oil company will develop this reserve
if development costs go down because of technological improvement and will not if development costs remain
high. Such undeveloped reserves are real options and should be valued as such, rather than with traditional
discounted cash flow models.
Contingent Claim Valuations (CCV) is a revolutionary development in valuation techniques, to recognise the
value of assets whose cash flows are contingent on a future event occurring. Typical examples would be the
development of a pharmaceutical drug, an unknown oil field, or the development of a new product, innovation
or service, with huge risk and uncertainty.
Earnings Valuations have some difficulty dealing with these firms having unused assets, or where the value of the
assets cannot be easily linked to future cash flows.
CCV techniques sometimes use option valuation theory to value the underlying options present in many of these
assets. Discounted cash flows techniques tend to understate the value of these assets, or punish them with higher
discounting rates (higher WACC).
Real Options Valuations tend to value these underlying options as a set of managerial rights to wait, grow, expand,
use flexible operating processes or even abandon a project or the use of the asset even after the investment
has been made. This technique removes a huge dysfunction that currently exists, between project investment
decision making, and managerial flexibility.
Valuation of intangibles and Brands which employ methodologies to value intangible assets that are identifiable,
separable and capable of systematic valuation. Brand valuations are an example. There are three main
approaches to value intangibles namely:
(1) Cost
(2) Market Value
(3) Economic Value
Key benefits of carrying out earnings based valuation and/or contingent valuations are:
(1) They allow firms that are going concerns to value their ability to generate free cash flows in the near and far
term;
(2) They make an estimate of the WACC and the ability of these future free cash flows to create wealth;
(3) They estimate the terminal value of the company and therefore capture the effect of the companys intangible
assets like branding, intellectual capital etc;
(4) They permit the owners an intelligent and economically way of transiting from the business; and/or
(5) Provide for effective succession planning.
Valuation of Warrants
A warrant is an option issued by a company to buy a stated number of shares of stock at a specified price.
Warrants are generally distributed with debt, or preferred stock, to induce investors to buy those securities at lower
cost. A detachable warrant is one that can be detached and traded separately from the underlying security.
Most warrants are detachable.
A convertible security is a debenture or preferred stock that can be converted into common stock at the owners
discretion. A warrant, on the other hand, is similar to a long-term right, in that it is merely an option to purchase
common stock at a stated price. When a convertible is exercised, it is exchanged directly for common stock;
however, with a warrant, both money and the warrant are exchanged for the common stock.
The minimum price of a warrant is equal to zero until the price of the stock rises above the warrants exercise price.
After that, the warrants minimum price takes on positive values. The degree to which the warrant price rises with
increases in the common stock price depends upon the exercise ratio. In addition, investors are willing to pay a
Illustration 9.
Shyam Ltd. has announced issue of warrants on 1:1 basis for its equity share holders. The current price of the stock
`10 and warrants are convertible at an exercise price of `11.71 per share. Warrants are detachable and are
trading at `3. What is the minimum price of the warrant? What is the warrant premium? Now had the current price
been `16.375, what is the minimum price and warrant premium? (Consider warrants are tradable at `9.75)
Minimum Price = (Market Price of Common Stock Exercise Price) Exchange Ratio = (`10.00 11.71) 1.0 = `1.71
Thus, the minimum price on this warrant is considered to be zero, because things simply do not sell for negative
prices.
Warrant premium = Market price of warrant - Minimum price of warrant = `3 - 0 = `3
Minimum price = (Market price of common stock - Exercise price) (Exercise ratio)
=
(`16.375 - 11.71) x 1.0
=
`4.665
Warrant premium = Market price of warrant - Minimum price of warrant = `9.75 - 4.665 = `5.085
Valuation of Preference Shares
Preferred stock is an element of shareholder equity that has characteristics of both equity and debt. A preferred
share carries additional rights above and beyond those conferred by common stock. Preferred shareholders
may have an advantage over common stock shareholders in dissolution, bankruptcy or liquidation, for instance.
Preferred shares also generally have a dividend requirement, which makes them appear similar to debt. The
dividend structure usually has rights attached to it, such as whether the dividends are cumulative or whether the
shares participate in enterprise earnings. The dividend rate may or may not be fixed or tied to some type of index
that controls the movement of the rate, either up or down.
Since preference shares generally pay a constant dividend over its life time the value of a share of preferred stock
is derived from the following formula:
Value of preferred share = Dividend / Required rate of return
The process of determining the value of preferred stock is not entirely different from common stock, except the
risk is assessed based on the individual characteristics of the preferred shares and their impact on the income or
cash flow.
Characteristics of Preferred Stock
When comparing characteristics of preferred shares to characteristics of similar securities look at the following:
An important characteristic of preferred shares is its dividend. The variations could be of the following types:
Of all types are preference shares, it is the convertible preference share which are quite popular with equity
investors. These are preferred issues that the holders can exchange for a predetermined number of the companys
common stock. This exchange can occur at any time the investor chooses regardless of the current market price
of the common stock, depending upon the terms of the issue. It is a one way deal so one cannot convert the
common stock back to preferred stock.
Following formulae on convertible preference shares are used to find the conversion value, conversion premium
etc. These are similar to the ones we learnt in the chapter of Bond Markets.
Illustration 10.
Amit Ltd. is issuing 5% `25 par preference shares that would be convertible after three years to equity shares at `27.
If the current market price of equity shares is `13.25, what is the conversion value and conversion premium? The
convertibles are trading at `17.75 in the market? Assume expected return as 8%.
Conversion value = (Conversion ratio) x (Market value per share of the common stock)
= (0.9259) (`13.25) = `12.27
Now let us find the value as straight preferred stock = 1.25/8 = `15.63
Solution:
The weighted-average cost of capital for ABC Ltd is
WACC = 0.30(7.0%) (1 - 0.35) + 0.20(6.8%) + 0.50(11.0%) = 8.225%
The firm value is
Firm value = FCFF0 (1 + g) / (WACC - g)
Firm value = 28(1.04) / (0.08225 - 0.04) = 29.12/0.04225 = `689.23 million
The value of equity is the firm value minus the value of debt minus the value of preferred stock:
Equity = 689.23 - 145 - 65 = `479.23 million. Dividing this by the number of shares gives the estimated value per share
of `479.23 million/8 million shares = `59.90. The estimated value for the stock is greater than the market price of
`32.50, so the stock appears to be undervalued.
Illustration 12.
Sandip Corporation is considering for going public but is unsure of a fair offering price for the company. Before
hiring an investment banker to assist in making the public offering, managers at Sandip have decided to make their
own estimate of the firms common stock value. The firms CFO has gathered data for performing the valuation
using the free cash flow valuation model. The firms weighted average cost of capital is 12 percent, and it has `
14,00,000 of debt at market value and `5,00,000 of preferred stock at its assumed market value. The estimated free
cash flows over the next five years, 2009 through 2013, are given below. Beyond 2013 to infinity, the firm expects its
free cash flow to grow by 4 percent annually.
(a) Estimate the value of Sandip Corporations entire company by using the free cash flow approach.
(b) Using (a), along with the data provided above, to find Sandip Corporations equity share value.
(c) If the firm plans to issue 2,00,000 shares of equity, what is its estimated value per shares ?
Solution:
(a) The total value of the firm equals
(b) Of this amount, `1.4 million is debt and `0.5 million is preferred stock, so the equity value is `21,88,547.
(c) With 2,00,000 shares, the price per share would be `10.94.
Illustration: 13
True Value Ltd. (TVL) is planning to raise funds through issue of common stock for the first time. However, the
management of the company is not sure about the value of the company and, therefore, they attempted to
study similar companies in the same line which are comparable to True value in most of the aspects.
From the following information, you are required to compute the value of TVL using the comparable firms approach.
(` in crore)
Company True value Ltd. (`) Jewel-value Ltd. (`) Real value Ltd. (`) Unique value Ltd. (`)
Sales 250 190 210 270
Profit after tax 40 30 44 50
Book value 100 96 110 128
Market value 230 290 440
TVL feels that 50% weightage should be given to earnings in the valuation process; sales and book value may be
given equal weightages.
Particular Jewel-value Ltd. Real value Ltd. Unique value Ltd. Average
Prices/Sales ratio* 1.21 1.38 1.63 1.41
Price/Earnings ratio** 7.67 6.59 8.80 7.69
Price/Book value ratio*** 2.40 2.64 3.44 2.83
Applying the multiples calculated as above, the value of TVL can be calculated as follows:
By applying the weightage to the P/S ratio, P/E ratio and P/BV ratio we get:
[(352.50 x 1)+(307.60 x 2)+(283.00 x 1)]/(1+2+1)= 312.675, i.e. `312.675 crores is the value.
Alternative:
` (352.50 0.25 + 307.60 0.50 + 283.00 0.25) = ` 312.675 crore.
Working Notes:
Market Value
*Price/Sales Ratio =
Sales
Market Value
**Price/Earnings Ratio =
Pr ofit after tax
Market Value
***Price/Book value ratio =
Book Value
Illustration: 14
ABC Ltd. requires an initial investment of `12 lakh for its new store for which `4 lakh would come from borrowing
at an interest rate of 8%. The interest is paid for 5 years and the entire principal with interest is repaid at the end of
the sixth year. The interest expenses are tax deductible at a rate of 36%, but the principal payments are not. The
cash flows to the firm are expected to be `80,000 initially. These cash flows are expected to grow at a rate of 30%
for the first 4 years and at 75% from the fifth year. Estimate the free cash flow to equity.
Solution:
Free cash flow to equity = (Net operating income - Interest) + Depreciation and amortization - Capital expenditure
- Change in working capital - Principal repayments + Proceeds from new debt issues.
or
FCFE = FCFF + Borrowing - Interest (1 -t) - Principal repaid
Illustration: 15
Alpha India Ltd. is trying to buy Beta India Ltd. Beta India Ltd., is a small biotechnology firm that develops products
that are licensed to major pharmaceutical firms. The development costs are expected to generate negative cash
flows of `10 lakh during the first year of the forecast period. Licensing fee is expected to generate positive cash
flows of `5, 10, 15 and 20 lakh during 2-5 years respectively. Due to the emergence of competitive products cash
flows are expected to grow annually at a modest 5% after the fifth year. The discount rate for the first five years is
estimated to be 15% and then drop to 8% beyond the fifth year. Calculate the value of the firm.
Solution:
Cash Flowt +1
Terminal Valuet =
r gstable
Illustration 16.
From the given financial statement of ABC Ltd find the following free cash flows viz. Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
and Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE).
Statement of Cash Flows ABC Ltd (` Million) 31.3.2016
Operating Activities
Net Income 285
Adjustments
Depreciation 180
Income taxes Paid (190)
Change in Working Capital
Solution:
Free cash flow to the firm is given by the formula:
FCFF = NI + Non Cash Charges + Interest (1-T) - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital
FCFF = 285 + 180+ 130(1 0.40) 349* (39 + 44 22 23)
*Net Investment in 2016 = Change in Gross Fixed Assets = (2850 2501) = 349 FCFF = 285 + 180 + 78 349 38 = `156
million
Free cash flow to equity is given by:
FCFE = FCFF - Interest (1 -T) + Net borrowing
And we know that:
FCFF = NI + Non Cash Charges + Interest (1-T) - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital
Therefore:
FCFE = NI + Non Cash Charges - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital + Net Borrowing
FCFE = 285 + 180 349 (39 + 44 22 23) + (10 + 40)
FCFE = 285 + 180 349 38 + 50 = `128 million
Or directly from FCFF as follows:
FCFE = FCFF - Interest (1 - Tax rate) + Net borrowing
FCFE = 156 130(1 0.40) + (10 + 40)
FCFE = 156 78 + 50 = `128 million
Illustration 18.
Given below is the Balance Sheet of Khan Ltd. as on 31.3.2016:
You are required to work out the value of the Companys, shares on the basis of Net Assets method and Profit-
earning capacity (Capitalisation) method and arrive at the fair price of the shares, by considering the following
information:
(i) Profit for the current year `64 lakhs includes `4 lakhs extraordinary income and `1 lakh income from investments
of surplus funds; such surplus funds are unlikely to recur.
(ii) In subsequent years, additional advertisement expenses of `5 lakhs are expected to be incurred each year.
(iii) Market values of Land and Building & Plant and Machinery have been ascertained at `96 lakhs and `100 lakhs
respectively. This will entail additional depreciation of `6 lakhs each year.
(iv) Effective Income-tax rate is 30%.
(v) The capitalization rate applicable to similar business is 16%.
Solution:
Net Assets Method:
` (in Lakh)
Profit before tax 64
Less: Extraordinary income 4
Less: Investment income not likely to recur 1
Less: Additional expenses for forthcoming years - Advertisement 5
Less: Depreciation 6
Expected Earnings Before Taxes 48
Less: Income taxes @30% 14.4
Future Maintainable Profits 33.6
Subtracting external liabilities we get Net Value of Business. Value of share would be Net Value of Business divided
by number of shares = ( `210 lakhs - `30 lakhs) /10 lakhs = `18.00.
Illustration 20.
If in the above problem, the following different situations are observed:
Free Cash Flows given for: Year 1: `2.5 million; Year 2: `2.9 million, Year 3: `3.4 million; Year 4 onwards: Growth of
5%
Tax shields are available each year on interest of `1.50 million for years 1 to 3. With all other information remaining
the same, find the value per equity share?
Solution:
FCF1 = `2.5 million, FCF2 = `2.9 million and FCF3 = `3.4 million;
g = 5%;
= 1.5; RF = 5%; RPM = 6%;
Wd = 30%; T = 40%; Kd = 8%
WACC was calculated as 11.24%.
The terminal value after year 3 can be calculated as
= FCF3(1+g) / (WACC g)
= 3.4(1.05)/(0.1124-0.05)
= `57.21 million
Tax shields in years 1 through 3 are:
TS1 = TS2 = TS3 = Interest x T
= 1,500,000 x 0.40 = 6,00,000
Free Cash Flows for years 1 to 3 and terminal value for year 4-end: (FCF = FCF1+ TS1 and so on)
Since the interest tax shields have been taken into account, the cash flows would have to be discounted with
WACC where we do not apply tax for debt parties,
i.e., K = Wd Kd + We Ke = 0.30(8%) + 0.70(14%) = 12.20%
The present value of the FCFs, the tax shields, and the terminal value gives us the value of the firm:
3.1 3.5 4.0 57.21
VFirm = + + + ` 48.88 million
=
1.122 (1.122 )2 (1.122 )3 (1.122 )4
Illustration 21.
The free cash flow of S Ltd is projected to grow at a compound annual average rate of 35% for the next 5 years.
Growth is then expected to slow down to a normal 5% annual growth rate. The current years cash flow of S Ltd is `4
lakh. S Ltds cost of capital during the high growth period is 18% and 12% beyond the fifth year, as growth stabilizes.
Calculate the value of the S Ltd.
Solution:
Present Value of Cash Flows during the Forecast Period
PV1-t = {[FCFE0 x (1 + gt )t]/(1 + WACC)t
= [(4 x 1.35)/1.18] + [{4 x (1.35)2}/(1.18)2] + [{4 x (1.35)3} / (1.18)3] + [{4 x (1.35)4} / (1.18)4] + [{4 x(1.35)5} / (1.18)5]
= 5.4 / 1.18 +7.29/(1.18)2 +9.84/(1.18)3 + 13.29/(1.18)4+17.93/(1.18)5
= 4.58 + 5.24 + 5.99 + 6.85 + 7.84
= `30.50 lakh
Calculation of Terminal Value
Where Pn = FCFEn x(1 + g)/(ke -g)
= (17.93 x 1.05) / 0.12-0.05
= 18.83/0.07
= `269 lakh
PV of Terminal Price = 269 / (1.18)5 = 117.58
P0, FCFE = PV1-5 + PVT
= 30.50 + 117.58 = `148.08 lakh.
Illustration 22.
A task has been assigned to a research analyst in a mutual fund to find out at what price the fund should subscribe
to an IPO issue (through Book Building) of a transformer company X Ltd. The following details of the company from
31.3.13 Annual Report are available:
To calculate future cash flows, the following projections for the financial year ended 31.3.2014 till 31.3.2018 is
available:
Amount in lakhs
It is given that revenues would grow at 0% after the explicit forecast period. X Ltd. total assets of `219.98 lakhs
are financed with equity of `208.66 lakhs and balance debts sourced at 8% p.a. Assume risk free rate of 7.5%,
risk premium of 7.5% and beta of stock as 1.07. The firm falls in the 35% tax bracket. The company including the
shares floated in this issue would have issued a total of 1.02 lakhs shares. Find out the intrinsic value of share using
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis. If the price band announced by X Ltd. stands at `345 - `365, should this fund
subscribe to this book built issue and at which end of the price band?
Solution:
Calculation of Cost of Equity = R +(Rm - Rf ) = 7.5 + 1.07 x 7.5 = 15.53%
Cost of Debt = 8%
WACC = (208.66/219.98) x 0.1553 + (11.32/219.98) x 0.08 x (1-0.35) = 15%
Discount rate = 15%
Calculation of Future Free Cash Flows for the Explicit Period of 5 Years:
75.98 (1+ 0% )
*
(15% 0% )
Since the intrinsic value of share is `399 approximately and the price band is from `345 to `365, there is a scope for
appreciation. Hence the fund can subscribe to these shares at the upper band of `365.
Illustration 23.
An unlisted company RS Ltd., manufacturing electrical equipments is currently in the expansion mode and is
expected to be a good investment keeping in mind the expected sales and profits over the next 5 years. The
projection statement of free cash flows is given below for the period 2009-2013. The shares are likely to be listed
after an initial public offer (IPO) shortly.
(` Crores)
Valuation of Business
Illustration 24.
P Ltd is considering buying the business of Q Ltd the final accounts of which for the last 3 years were as follows:
Profit and Loss Accounts for the 3 years ended 31st Dec. (Figures in `)
P Ltd wishes the offer to be based upon trading cash flows rather than book profits. Trading Cash Flow means Cash
received from Debtors less Cash Paid to Creditors and for Business Expenses excluding Depreciation, together with
an allowance for average annual expenditure on Fixed Assets of `15,000 per year.
The actual expenditure on Fixed Assets is to be ignored, as is any cash receipt or payment out on the issue or
redemption of Shares or Debentures.
P Ltd wishes the Trading Cash Flow to be calculated for each of the years 2014, 2015 and 2016 and for these to be
combined using weights of 25% for 2014, 35% for 2015 and 40% for 2016 to give an Average Annual Trading Cash
Flow.
P Ltd considers that the Average Annual Cash Flow should show a return of 10% on its investment.
Solution:
Illustration 25.
Shah Ltd had earned a PAT of `48 Lakhs for the year just ended. It wants you to ascertain the value of its business,
based on the following information.
(i) Tax Rate for the year just ended was 36%. Future Tax rate is estimated at 34%.
(ii) The Companys Equity Shares are quoted at `120 at the Balance Sheet date. The Company had an Equity
Capital of `100 Lakhs, divided into Shares of `50 each.
(iii) Profits for the year have been calculated after considering the following in the P & L Account:-
Subsidy `2 Lakhs received from Government towards fulfillment of certain social obligations.
The Government has withdrawn this subsidy and hence, this amount will not be received in future.
Interest `8 Lakhs on Term Loan. The final instalment of this Term Loan was fully settled in the last year.
Managerial Remuneration `15 Lakhs. The Shareholders have approved an increase of `6 Lakhs in the
overall Managerial Remuneration, from the next year onwards.
Loss on sale of Fixed Assets and Investments amounting to `8 Lakhs. (Ignore Tax Effect thereon)
Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits
Particulars ` Lakhs
Profit after Tax for the year just ended 48,00,000
Add: Tax Expense (Tax is 36%, So PAT = 64%, Hence, Tax = 48,00,000 36/64) 27,00,000
Profit before Tax for the year just ended 75,00,000
Add/ (Less): Adjustments in respect of Non-Recurring items
Subsidy Income not received in future (2,00,000)
Interest on Term Loan not payable in future, hence saved 8,00,000
Additional Managerial Remuneration (6,00,000)
Loss on Sale of Fixed Assets and Investments (non-recurring) 8,00,000
Future Maintainable Profits before Tax 83,00,000
Less: Tax Expense at 34% 28,22,000
Future Maintainable Profits after Tax Equity Earnings 54,78,000
Particulars ` Lakhs
(a) Profit after Tax for the year just ended `48 Lakhs
(b) Number of Equity Shares (`100 Lakhs `50 per Share) 2 Lakhs
(c) Earnings Per Share (EPS) = PAT Number of Equity Shares `24
(d) Market Price per Share on Balance Sheet Date `120
(e) Price Earnings Ratio = MPS EPS 5
(f) Capitalization Rate = 1 PE Ratio 20%
(g) Value of Business = Future Maintainable Profits Capitalization Rate = `54.78 Lakhs 20% `273.90 Lakhs
Illustration 26.
Shiva Ltd. gives the following information-
Profits After Tax for the period = `100 Lakhs; Expected Compound Growth Rate = 8% p.a
Cash Flows After Taxes for the period = `125 Lakhs; Expected Compound Growth Rate = 7% p.a.
Current Market Price per Equity Share = `900; Equity Share Capital = `1,00,00,000 into Shares of `100 each.
Compute the value of Shiva Ltd by projecting its PAT /CFAT for an eight year period. Use 10% Discount Rate for your
calculations. Also calculate the value of the business by capitalizing the current PAT/ CFAT.
Solution:
1. Discounted Value of Future PAT and CFAT (` Lakhs)
Particulars ` Lakhs
(a) Discounted Value of future PAT of 8 years `737.23 Lakhs
(b) Discounted Value of future CFAT of 8 years `884.77 Lakhs
(c) Capitalization of current PAT at 11.11% `900.09 Lakhs
(d) Capitalization of current CFAT at 11.11% `1,125.11 Lakhs
(e) Simple Average of all of the above = (a+b+c+d) 4 `911.80 Lakhs
Illustration 27.
Kolkata Ltd and Mumbai Ltd have agreed that Kolkata Ltd will take over the business of Mumbai Ltd with effect
from 31st December 2013. It is agreed that:
(i) 10,00,000 shareholders of Mumbai Ltd will receive Shares of Kolkata Ltd. The Swap ratio is determined on the
basis of 26 week average market prices of Shares of both the Companies. Average Prices have been worked
out at `50 and `25 for the shares of Kolkata Ltd and Mumbai Ltd respectively.
(ii) In addition to (1) above, the shareholders of Mumbai Ltd will be paid in cash based on the projected synergy
that will arise on the absorption of the business of Mumbai Ltd by Kolkata Ltd. 50% of the projected benefits will
be paid to the share holders of Mumbai Ltd.
The following projections have been agreed upon by the management of both the Companies.
The benefit is estimated to grow at the rate of 2% from 2018 onwards. It has been further agreed that a discount
rate of 20% should be used to calculate the cash that the holders of each share of Mumbai Ltd will receive.
Calculate the cash that holder of each share of Mumbai Ltd will receive.
Calculate the total purchase consideration.
(Discounting Rate 20%: 1 year-0.833, 2 year 0.694, 3 year 0.579, 4 year 0.482, 5 year -0.402, 6 year - 0.335)
Solution:
1. Present Value of Synergy Benefits
Illustration 28.
XY Ltd. which is specialised in manufacturing garments is planning for expansion to handle a new contract which it
expects to obtain. An investment bank has approached the company and asked whether the Co. had considered
Venture Capital Financing. In 2011, the company borrowed `100 lakhs on which interest is paid at 10% p.a. The
company shares are unquoted and it has decided to take your advice in regard to the calculation of value of the
company that could be used in negotiations using the following available information.
Companys forecast turnover for the year 31st March 2015 is `2,000 lakhs which is mainly dependent on the ability
to obtain the new contract the chance of which is 60%, turnover for the following year is dependent to some
extent on the outcome of the year to 31st March 2015.
Following are the estimated turnovers and probabilities:
Operating costs inclusive of depreciation are expected to be 40% and 35% of the turnover respectively for the
years 31st March 2015 and 2016. Tax is to be paid at 30%. It is assumed that profits after interest and taxes are free
cash flows. Growth in earnings is expected to be 40% for the years 2017, 2018 and 2019 which will fall to 10% each
year after that. Industry average cost of equity (net of tax) is 15%.
Illustration 29.
You are the director of Ram Company. One of the projects you are considering is the acquisition of Shyam
Company. Shyam, the owner of Shyam Company, is willing to consider selling his company to Ram Company,
only if he is offered and all-cash purchase price of `5 million. The project estimates that the purchase of Shyam
Company will generate the following profit after-tax cash flow:
If you decide to go ahead with this acquisition, it will be funded with Rams standard mix of debt and equity,
at the firms weighted average (after-tax) cost of capital of 9 percent. Rams tax rate is 30 percent. Should you
recommend acquiring Shyam Company to your CEO?
Solution:
Since the value of Shyam Company, is `74, 45,175 a figure greater than minimum desired amount of `50 lakhs to
be paid to Shyam Company, Ram Company can consider buying Shyam Company.
Illustration 30.
Idea Ltd was incorporated on 1st April, 2016 for the purpose of acquiring P Ltd, Q Ltd and R Ltd. The summarised
Balance Sheets of the Companies as at 31st March 2016 are given below (` 000s)-
Particulars `
Profit Before Interest and Tax of Idea Ltd (given) 25,00,000
Less: Interest Expense
Interest on Term Loans [10% (`3,50,000 + `2,00,000 + `2,00,000)] (75,000)
Interest on Debentures [12% `75,25,000] (9,03,000)
Particulars `
From Equity Share Capital [from (a) above] 8,53,608
From 12% Debentures [ `31,50,000 12%] 3,78,000
Total Income received from Idea Ltd 12,31,608
Less: Profit After Tax of Q Ltd before takeover 5,80,000
Increase in the earnings of Q Ltd on takeover by Idea Ltd 6,51,608
Illustration 31.
X Ltd and Y Ltd, two private Companies, decide to amalgamate their business into a new Holding Company Z Ltd.,
which was incorporated on 1st Nov 2015 with an Authorized Capital of `40,00,000 in Equity Share of `10 each. The
new Company plans to commence operation on 1st Jan 2016.
From the information given below, and assuming that all transactions are completed by 30th June 2016, you are
required to
Show the computation of the number of shares to be issued to the former shareholders of X Ltd & Y Ltd.
Calculate the Cash Flow available to Z Ltd , based on the information available to you.
Information:
(i) Z Ltd will acquire the whole of Equity Share Capital of X Ltd and Y Ltd by issuing its own shares fully paid.
(ii) The number of shares to be issued is to be calculated by multiplying the future annual maintainable profits
available to the Equity Shareholders in each of the two Companies by the agreed Price Earning Ratios.
(iii) The following information is relevant.
(iv) Shares in the Holding Company are to be issued to the shareholders in Subsidiary Companies at a premium of
20% and thereafter these shares will be marketed on the Stock Exchange.
(v) It is expected that the Group Profits of the new Company in 2016 will be at least `4,50,000 but that will be
required as additional Working Capital to facilitate expansion. Accordingly, it is planned to make a further
issue of 37,500 Equity shares to the public for Cash at a premium of 30% on 1st May 2016. The new shares will
not rank for interest / dividend to be paid on 30th June 2016.
(vi) Out of the proceeds of the Public Issue, Z Ltd will advance `2,50,000 to X Ltd and `2,00,000 to Y Ltd on 1st May
2016 for Working Capital. These advances will carry interest @ 15% p.a to be paid monthly.
(vii) Preliminary Expenses are estimated at `8,000 and Administrative Expenses for the half-year ended 30th June
2016 at `16,000 but this expenditure will be covered by temporary overdraft facility. It is estimated that Bank
Overdraft cost will be `1,600 in the first six months.
1
Ke =
P E ratio
Number of Shares to be exchanged in Z Ltd at `12 per share (including premium of `2 each) 87,500 32,000
Particulars `
Issued Share Capital [87,500 + 32,000 = 1,19,500 Shares of `10] 11,95,000
Securities Premium 1,19,500 `2 per Share 2,39,000
Total Purchase Consideration 14,34,000
Receipts ` Payments `
To Proceeds of Public Issue 3,75,000 By Payments:
37,500 shares at `10 each Preliminary Expenses 8,000
Share Premium at 30% 1,12,500 Administration Expenses 16,000
To Interest received on Advances: Advance to X Ltd 2,50,000
From X Ltd (2,50,000 15% x 2/12) 6,250 Advance to Y Ltd 2,00,000
From Y Ltd (2,00,000 15% x 2/12) 5,000 Bank Interest 1,600
To Dividends Received: By Dividends Payable:
From X Ltd (10,00,000 5%) 50,000 `11,95,000 4% 47,800
From Y Ltd (4,00,000 4.40%) 17,600 By Balance c/d (balancing figure) 42,950
Total 5,66,350 Total 5,66,350
Illustration 32.
Tridev Ltd is in the business of making sports equipment. The Company operates from Thailand. To globalise its
operations Tridev has identified Try Toys Ltd, an Indian Company, as a potential takeover candidate. After due
diligence of Try Toys Ltd, the following information is available :-
(a) Cash Flow Forecasts (` in Crores)
Year 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Try Toys Ltd 24 21 15 16 15 12 10 8 6 3
Tridev Ltd 108 70 55 60 52 44 32 30 20 16
(b) The Net Worth of Try Toys Ltd (in Lakh `) after considering certain adjustments suggested by the due diligence
team reds as under
Tangible 750
Inventories 145
Receivables 75 970
Less: Creditors 165
Bank Loans 250 (415)
Represented by Equity Shares of `1000 each 555
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cash Flows 18 24 36 44 60 80 96 100 140 200
You are required to advise the management the maximum price which they can pay per share of Try Toys Ltd., if
a discount factor of 15% is considered appropriate.
Solution:
1. Computation of Operational Synergy expected to arise out of merger (` Lakhs):
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cash Flow after merger 1,800 2,400 3,600 4,400 6,000 8,000 9,600 10,000 14,000 20,000
Cash Flow without merger 1,600 2,000 3,000 3,200 4,400 5,200 6,000 5,500 7,000 10,800
Synergy Effect 200 400 600 1,200 1,600 2,800 3,600 4,500 7,000 9,200
Particulars ` Lakhs
Value as per discounted Cash Flow from Operations 10,647
Add: Cash to be collected immediately by disposal of assets:
Sundry Fixed Assets 50
Inventories and receivables 150 200
Less: Sundry Creditors 165
Retrenchment Compensation 90
Bank loan 250
Investment to be made on takeover 150
Present value of investment at the end of year 2 (`50 lakhs 0.756) 38 693
Maximum Amount to be quoted 10,154
Difference in Valuation had there been no merger = (10,6475,338) = ` 5,309 Lakhs
Illustration 33.
The Directors of a Public Limited Company are considering the acquisition of the entire Share Capital of an existing
Company Subhash Ltd engaged in a line of business suited to them. The Directors feel that acquisition of Subhash
Ltd will not create any further risk to their business interest. The following is the Balance Sheet of Subhash Ltd as at
31.3.2016
Subhash Ltds financial records for the past five years were as under (`)
Particulars `
Capital 4,00,000
Reserve 3,00,000
Appreciation in Stock (3,20,000 2,00,000) 1,20,000
Less: Reduction in Fixed Assets (6,00,000 5,40,000) (60,000)
Less: Reduction Debtors (3,40,000 1%) (3,400)
Total Value 7,56,600
38,385.90
= =` 7,80,201.22
0.0492
Step 7: P/E Ratio Model: Comparable companies have P/E Ratio of 8, but Subhash Ltd is much smaller.
If P/E Ratio is taken at 6, the valuation will be 80,000 6 = `4,80,000
If P/E Ratio is taken at 8, maximum possible value will be (`80,000 8) = `6,40,000
Answer:
(i) True
(ii) False
(iii) True
(iv) False
(v) True
(vi) False.
(vii) False
(viii) True
(ix) True
(x) True
(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) In DCF valuation, the value of an asset is present value of cash flows on the asset, (actual/
expected)
(ii) A ratio that presents willingness of the stock market to pay for one rupee of earning per share is called
__________. (Price to Earnings Ratio/Earnings to Price Ratio/price to Net Profit Ratio)
(iii) CAPM helps in determining __________ of return. (actual rate/required rate)
(iv) If capitalization rate is reduced by growth rate, the Cash Flows should also be reduced by _____________.
(capital expenditure/dividend payment)
(v) For firms with negative FCFE and positive FCFF the present value of ______________ is the suitable model of
valuation of equity. (FCFE/FCFF).
Answer:
(i) expected
(ii) Price to Earnings Ratio
(iii) Required rate
(iv) Capital expenditure
(v) FCFF
(vi) Opportunity cost
(vii) Perfect
(viii) Future
(ix) Risky
(c) In each of the questions given below one out of the four options is correct. Indicate the correct answer:
(i) If a company has a P/E ratio of 20 and a ROE (Return on Equity) of 15% then the Market to Book Value Ratio
is-
(A) 3 times
(B) 3%
(C) Cannot be calculated from the given information
(D) None of the above
(ii) If an all equity firm has Cash from Operating Activities amounting to `60 lakhs, Depreciation `30 lakhs,
increase in non-cash working capital `25 lakhs and Capital expenditure `20 lakhs, its Free Cash Flows to
Equity amounts to (in `lakhs)
(A) 90 lakhs
(B) 45 lakhs
(C) 40 lakhs
(D) 65 lakhs
(iii) Assume that in a Stock Market, the CAPM is working. A company has presently beta of 0.84 and its going
to finance its new project through debt. This would increase its Debt/Equity Ratio to 1.56 from the existing
1.26. Due to increased Debt/Equity Ratio, the Companys beta would
(A) Increase
(B) Decrease
(C) Remain unchanged
(D) Nothing can be concluded
Answer:
(i) (A) 3 times
(ii) (C)40 lakhs [60 -20 = 40] [Dep. and WC change already adjusted in Cash Flows and no adjustment for cost
of Debt Capital, the firm being all equity.]
(iii) (C)Remain unchanged (Because as per CAPM, the company specific risk has no impact on the systematic
risk).
(iv) (C)It forces an investor to think about the underlying features of the firm and understand its business,
(v) (B)discounted
In Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation, the value of an asset is the present value of the expected cash
flows on the asset.
(vi) (C)18.8%
Valuation of Inventory Important for different types of merchandising and manufacturing companies
An inventory valuation allows a company to provide a monetary value for items that make up their inventory.
Inventories are usually the one of the top three current assets of manufacturing and / or trading business, and
proper measurement of them is necessary to assure accurate financial statements. If inventory is not properly
measured, expenses and revenues cannot be properly matched, funds deployed in working capital as well as its
cycle and costs cannot be properly measured and a company could make poor business decisions.
The inventory valuation involves two major aspects:
The costs of the purchased and / or fully and partly manufactured / processed inventory have to be determined
and
Such costs are retained in the inventory accounts of the company until the product is sold.
A single company may conduct merchandising, service, and / or manufacturing activities. For convenience, we
shall assume that each company described here conducts only one type of business. If a company does conduct
more than one type of activities, it will use the accounting method appropriate for each type.
Retail stores, wholesalers, distributors, and similar companies that sell tangible goods are merchandising companies.
A merchandising company substantially sells goods in the same physical form as that in which it acquires them.
Its cost of sales is therefore the acquisition cost of the goods that are sold. On the balance sheet, a current asset,
Merchandise Inventory, shows the cost of goods that have been acquired but not yet sold as of the balance sheet
date.
A manufacturing company converts raw materials and purchased parts into finished goods. Its cost of sales
includes the conversion costs as well as the raw material and parts costs of the goods that it sells. A manufacturing
company has three types of inventory accounts: Materials, Work in Process, and Finished Goods.
Since both merchandising and manufacturing companies sell tangible goods, their income statements sometimes
use the term cost of goods sold rather than cost of sales. We shall use the two terms interchangeably for
merchandising and manufacturing companies, but use only cost of sales for service organisations.
Service organisations furnish intangible services rather than tangible goods. They include hotels, telecom services,
beauty parlours and other personal services organisations, hospitals and other health care organisations,
educational organisations, banks and other financial institutions, and governmental units. Service organizations
may have materials inventories-for example, the pipes and fittings of a plumbing company. Professional service
firms, such as law, consulting, accounting, and architectural firms, may have intangible inventories consisting of
costs that have been incurred on behalf of clients but that have not yet been billed to clients. These inventories,
often called jobs in progress or unbilled costs, correspond to work in process inventories in a manufacturing
company. Service organisations do not have finished goods inventories.
Costs of Inventories
Cost of inventory can be classified as
(a) Costs of purchase,
(b) Costs of conversion, and
(c) Other costs incurred in bringing the inventories to their present location and condition.
List of disclosure requirements in the Balance Sheet (BS) / Statement of Financial Position (SOFP)
The financial statements should disclose
Accounting policies adopted for measuring inventories and the cost flow assumption (i.e., cost formula) used,
Total carrying amount as well as amounts classified as appropriate to the entity,
Carrying amount of any inventories carried at fair value less costs to sell,
We shall explain these methods with an example from a merchandising company, but the same principles apply
to a manufacturing company. In our illustration, we assume the following for a year:
Specific Identification
Specific identification method is common practice with certain big-ticket items such as automobiles and with
unique items such as paintings, expensive jewellery, custom-made furniture; and bar codes and scanners is
making it feasible with lower cost items. In many cases, however, when a substantial number of physically similar
items are sold, this method can be unsatisfactory because the cost of goods sold depends on what specific items
happen to be sold.
Illustration 1.
In the above Example, 150 units were sold. If the merchant selected the 100 units with a unit cost of `8 and 50 of
the units having a unit cost of `9, the cost of goods sold would be
(100 `8) + (50 `9) = `1, 250. If the 150 units with the highest cost were selected, the cost of goods sold would be
(80 `10) + (60 `9) + (10 `8) = `1, 420.
Average cost
The average cost method, the average cost of the goods available for sale is calculated, and the units in both
cost of goods sold and ending inventory are costed at this average cost. In the periodic inventory method, this
average is computed for the whole period. It is a weighted average. Each unit cost is weighted by the number
of units with that cost. In the perpetual inventory method, a new average unit cost is sometimes calculated after
each purchase. In either case, the average cost is representative of the cost of all of the items that were available
for sale during the period.
Weighted Average Cost is a method of calculating Ending Inventory cost. It is also known as WAVCOs.
It takes Cost of Goods Available for Sale and divides it by the number of units available for sale (number of goods
from Beginning Inventory + Purchases/production). This gives a Weighted Average Cost per Unit. A physical count
is then performed on the ending inventory to determine the number of goods left. Finally, this quantity is multiplied
by Weighted Average Cost per Unit to give an estimate of ending inventory cost. The cost of goods sold valuation
is the amount of goods sold times the Weighted Average Cost per Unit. The sum of these two amounts (less a
rounding error) equals the total actual cost of all purchases and beginning inventory.
Moving-Average (Unit) Cost is a method of calculating Ending Inventory cost.
Assume that both Beginning Inventory and beginning inventory cost are known. From them the Cost per Unit of
Beginning Inventory can be calculated. During the year, multiple purchases are made. Each time, purchase costs
are added to beginning inventory cost to get Cost of Current Inventory. Similarly, the number of units bought is
added to beginning inventory to get Current Goods Available for Sale. After each purchase, Cost of Current
Inventory is divided by Current Goods Available for Sale to get Current Cost per Unit on Goods.
Also during the year, multiple sales happen. The Current Goods Available for Sale is deducted by the amount of
goods sold, and the Cost of Current Inventory is deducted by the amount of goods sold times the latest (before
this sale) Current Cost per Unit on Goods. This deducted amount is added to Cost of Goods Sold.
At the end of the year, the last Cost per Unit on Goods, along with a physical count, is used to determine ending
inventory cost.
Illustration 2.
Assuming the periodic inventory method, the 240 units available for sale have a total cost of ` 2, 140; hence, the
average cost is ` 2,140 / 240 = `8.917. The calculations cost of goods sold and ending inventory are as follows:
LIFO (1) cost of goods sold does not reflect the usual physical flow of merchandise and (2) the ending inventory
may be costed at amounts prevailing several months or years ago, which in an era of repaid inflation are far
below current costs.
(Note that LIFO is not permitted under international accounting standards.)
Changes in Inventory
In a year when the physical size of the inventory increases above the amount on hand at the beginning of the
year, with LIFO the inventory account is increased by the additional quantity valued at the costs existing during
that year. During a period of growth, the inventory account will therefore consist of a number of layers, a new
layer being added each year. If subsequently the physical inventory should decrease in size, these layers are, in
effect, stripped off, taking the most recently added layer first in accordance with the basic LIFO rule. This process
can have a peculiar effect on the income statement. If inventory is decreased to the extent that several LIFO
layers are stripped off, then inventory items will be moving into cost of goods sold at costs established several
years previously. If there has been constant inflation during the interim, such a decrease in inventory can result in
a significant increase in reported income. Some people assert that in a recession, some companies deliberately
eat into their LIFO inventories in order to increase reported income in a lean year. Careful readers of financial
statements are not fooled by this practice, since the profit effect of reducing LIFO inventories must be disclosed in
the notes to the financial statements.
LIFO Reserve
Companies that use LIFO for determining their balance sheet valuation of inventory nevertheless keep their
detailed inventory records on a FIFO or average cost basis. The inventory amounts on these other bases usually
will be higher than the LIFO valuation shown on the balance sheet. At the end of each accounting period, the
difference between the LIFO valuation and the FIFO or average cost valuation is determined. (This is a complex
calculation that is covered in advanced accounting texts.) This difference is sometimes called the LIFO reserve.
The terminology is unfortunate because reserve suggests something set aside or saved for some special future
purpose. The LIFO reserve is nothing more than the mathematical difference between two inventory amounts, one
based on LIFO and the other one based on a different method of valuing inventory. LIFO companies disclose their
LIFO reserve in the notes for their financial statement.
Particulars `
Opening Stock 50,000
Purchases less returns (360000-10000) 3,50,000
Freight Inwards 10,000
4,10,000
Less: net sales (450000-11250) 4,38,750
(28,750)
Add: gross profits (438750x 20%) 87,750
Closing stock 59,000
Illustration 4.
Oil Company is a bulk distributor of high octane petrol. A periodic inventory of petrol on hand is taken when the
books are closed at the end of each month. The following summary of information is available for the month of
June, 2016.
Sales ` 9,45,000
General Administrative cost ` 25,000
Opening stock 100000 litres @ ` 3per litre ` 3,00,000
Solution:
Statement showing value of closing stock or inventory on 30th June, 2016 under FIFO, weighted and LIFO methods
of pricing of issues [quantity of closing stock (100000 + 30000) litres.]
Illustration 5.
Closing Stock Valuation of Budgeted Raw Material Purchases
Solution:
Consumption
Quarter Day Production per day qty. of RM per unit of production Kg.
1st 65 x 100 x 2 13000
2nd 60 x 110 x 2 13200
3rd 55 x 120 x 2 13200
4th 60 x 105 x 2 12600
Total consumption for the year 52000
We know that:
Consumption = opening stock + purchases-closing stock
Purchases = consumption + closing stock-opening stock
= 52000 = 2000-4000 or, 50000Kg.
(a) Purchases:
(b) Closing quarterly Stock by weighted and value:
1st Quarter (FIFO method) Quantity Kg. Rate (`) value (`)
Opening Stock 4000 1 4000
Purchase 15000 1 15000
total 19000 19000
less: consumption 13000 1 13000
closing stock 6000 1 6000
2nd quarter opening stock 6000 1 6000
purchase 25000 1.05 26250
total 31000 32250
less: consumption 13200 13560*
closing stock 17800 18690
*6000 @ `1.00 = 6000
7200 @ `1.05 = 7560
13200 13560
3rd quarter opening stock 17800 1.05 18690
purchase 10000 1.125 11250
total 27800 29940
less: consumption 13200 1.05 13860
closing stock 14600 16080
Illustration 6.
The XYZ Machineries Ltd. requests you to ascertain the amount at which the inventory should be included in the
financial statement for the year 2015-16. The value of inventory as shown in the books is `12, 50,000.
To determine the net realisable value of the inventory (on a test check basis), you had selected several items
whose book value was ` 3, 50,000. You ascertain that except for items (a) to (b) mentioned below, the cost was in
excess of the realisable value by ` 29,532.
The following items require special treatment.
(a) One machine (cost ` 1, 30,000) can now fetch ` 1, 15,000. It was priced at ` 70,000 and was written down to
the same figure at the end of 2015-16.
(b) A pump (cost ` 50,000) was expected to realise ` 35,000. A special commission would have to be paid to the
broker.
(c) 6 units of product No. 15,710 were in stock valued each at ` 5,520; the selling price was ` 4,500 per unit; selling
expenses are 10% of the selling price.
Taking into consideration only the above mentioned items requiring special treatment, compute the value of their
inventory as at 31st March, 2016 you would consider reasonable.
Solution:
Book value of selected items is given. From the given information, realisable value of remaining selected items will
have to be found. Then the value of inventory (net realisable value) for all the items to be included in the financial
statements of the company for the year 2015-16 is to be determined.
Working showing Realisable Value of Selected Items
It is given in the question that except for the items (a) to (b) the cost was in excess of realisable value by ` 29,532.
In order to find out the realisable value of remaining items, this amount should be deducted from the book value
of selected items.
The realisable value of remaining selected items will be: ` 1,96,880 - `29,532 = ` 1,67,348. Percentage of the cost in
excess of realisable value to the book value of selected items = (29,532/1,96,880)100 = 15%
Working showing the Inventory Valuation (on Net Realisable Value Basis) (as on 31-03-2016)
` `
Value of all the items as shown in the books 1250000
Less: Book value of special items 350000
Book value of the remaining items 900000
Less: Cost of excess of realisable value by 15% i.e. (9,00,000 x 15%) 135000
765000
Add: Realisable value of remaining selected items 167348
932348
Add: Realisable value of selected items:
One machine `115000
One pump (` 35,000 less 15% brokerage) 29750
6 units of product No. 15,710 (6 x 4,500 less 10% selling expenses) 24300 169050
Value of all items of inventory (as on 31-3-16) 1101398
7.2 VALUATION OF INVESTMENTS - BONDS AND SHARES
Enterprisers hold investments
Enterprises hold investments for diverse reasons. For some enterprises, investment activity is a significant element of
operations and assessment of the performance of the enterprise may largely, or solely, depend on the reported
results of this activity. Some hold investments as a store of surplus funds and some hold trade investments in order
to cement a trading relationship or establish a trading advantage.
Enterprises, for which investment activity is a significant element of operations, such as insurance companies and
some banks, are often subject to regulatory control. The Preface to Financial Reporting Standards provides that
Financial Reporting Standards do not override local regulations governing the issue of financial statements.
Some investments are represented by certificates or similar documents; others are not. Then nature of an investment
may be that of a debt, other than a short or long-term trade debt, representing a monetary amount owing to
the holder and usually bearing interest; alternatively it may be a stake in an enterprises results, such as an equity
share. Most investments represent financial rights, but some are tangible such as certain investments in land or
buildings and direct investments in gold, diamonds or other marketable commodities.
For some investments, like listed debentures of companies, an active market exists from which a market value can
be established. For such investments, market value is an indicator of fair value. For other investments, an active
market does not exist and other means are used to determine fair value.
Classification of Investments
An enterprise that distinguishes between current and long-term assets in its financial statements should present
current investments as current assets and long-term investments as non-current assets.
Enterprises that do not distinguish between current and non-current investments in their balance sheets should
nevertheless make a distinction for measurement purposes and determine the carrying amount for investments.
Current investments are included in current assets. The fact that a marketable investment has been retained for a
considerable period does not necessarily preclude its classification as current. The declared intention and purpose
of holding the investment is important as per Ind AS 32 Financial Instruments.
Investments held primarily to protect, facilitate or further existing business or trading relations, often called trade
investments, are not made with the intention that they will be available as additional cash resources and are thus
classified as long-term. Other investments, such as investment properties, are intended to be held for a number
of years to generate income and capital gain. They are therefore classified as long-term assets even though they
may be marketable.
on sale of inventories before the sale was assured. Each investment is dispensable by the business - for example an
equity investment could be sold and the proceeds re-invested in a bank deposit account without detriment to the
business - and therefore it is appropriate to report it at market value. Supporters of market value also argue that
reporting investments at historical cost allows management to recognise income at its discretion, since selected
investments can be sold and immediately repurchased and the resulting profit reported in income, although such
transactions have not changed the enterprises economic position.
Valuation of Investments on the basis of their classification
Investments classified as long-term assets should be carried in the balance sheet at either:
(a) cost;
(b) revalued amounts; or
(c) in the case of marketable equity securities, the lower of cost and market value determined on a portfolio basis.
If revalued amounts are used, a policy for the frequency of revaluations should be adopted and an entire category
of long-term investments should be revalued at the same time. The carrying amount of all long-term investments
should be reduced to recognise a decline other than temporary in the value of the investments, such reduction
being determined and made for each investment individually.
Non-current investments with the intention for holding till maturity are usually carried at cost. However, when
there is a decline, other than temporary, in the value, the carrying amount is reduced to recognise the decline.
Indicators of the value of an investment may be obtained by reference to its fair value, the investees assets and
results and the expected cash flows from the investment. Risk and the type and extent of the investors stake in
the investee are also taken into account. Restrictions on distributions by the investee or on disposal by the investor
may affect the value attributed to the investment.
Reductions for other than a temporary decline in the carrying amounts of long-term investments are charged in
the income statement unless they offset a previous revaluation.
Reductions in carrying amount may be reversed when there is a rise in the value of the investment, or if the reasons
for the reduction no longer exist. However, in some countries reductions in the carrying amount are not reversed.
Note: Fair Value is defined as a sale price agreed to by a willing buyer and seller, assuming both parties enters the
transaction freely.
Recognise carrying amount in relation to disposals of Investments
On disposal of an investment the difference between net disposal proceeds and the carrying amount should be
recognised as income or expense. If the investment was a current asset carried on a portfolio basis at the lower
of cost and market value, the profit or loss on sale should be based on cost. If the investment was previously
revalued, or was carried at market value and an increase in carrying amount transferred to revaluation surplus,
the enterprise should adopt a policy either of crediting the amount of any remaining related revaluation surplus
to income or of transferring it to retained earnings. This policy should be applied consistently in accordance with
Financial Reporting Standard.
Any reduction to market value of current investments carried at the lower of cost and market value on a portfolio
basis is made against the cost of the portfolio in aggregate; individual investments continue to be recorded at
cost. Accordingly the profit or loss on sale of an individual investment is based on cost; however the aggregate
reduction to market value of the portfolio needs to be assessed.
When disposing of part of an enterprises holding of a particular investment, a carrying amount must be allocated
to the part sold. This carrying amount is usually determined from the average carrying amount of the total holding
of the investment.
Reclassification of Investments
For long-term investments re-classified as current investments, transfers should be made at:
Illustration 7.
X Ltd. has the following portfolio of investment on 31st March 2016
Compute the value of investment for balance sheet purpose assuming that the fall in value of investment Z Ltd. is
temporary and that of W Ltd. is permanent.
Solution:
Current investment (at lower of cost or market value, individually) (` In thousand)
Interest, dividend and rental receivables in connection with an investment are generally regarded as income,
being the return on the investment. However, in some circumstances, such inflows represent a recovery of cost
and do not from part of income. This happens when the inflows relate to a period prior to the date of acquisition
of investment. Such inflows will be deducted from the cost of acquisition.
Illustration 8.
Navaratna Ltd. furnishes the following particulars about their investment in shares of Samay Ltd. for the year 2015-16
Balance of shares held on 1st April 2015 ` 262000 (10000 shares of ` 10 each)
Purchased 2000 shares on 1st July 2016 ` 60000
Sold 500 shares on 1st August 2015 @ ` 35 per share cum dividend ` 17500
Navaratna Ltd. declared final dividend for 2014-15 on 1st September 20%
2015. Received 1:5 bonus shares on 1st February, 2016.
Brokerage for each transaction is 2%. Find out cost of shares held by Navaratna Ltd. as on 31st March 2016.
Solution:
Statement of cost
Dividend received from Samay Ltd. during 2015-16 (11500 `10) 20% 23,000
Less: Dividend deducted from cost of investment 4,000
19,000
Add: Dividend included in sales proceeds of 500 shares (receved by the new buyer) 1,000
Dividend receved to be shown in Profit & Loss A/c 20,000
Profit on sale of investment:
Sale proceds of 500 shares (net of brokerage) 17,150
Less: Dividend for 2014-15 included above (to be considered as income) 1000
Less: cost of sales (on average cost basis) 13300
Profit on sales 2850
Bond
A company needing millions of dollars may be unable to borrow so large an amount from a single lender. To gain
access to more investor, the company may issue bonds. Each bond is, in effect, a long term note payable that
bears interest. Bonds are debts to the company for the amounts borrowed from the investors.
TYPE OF BONDS
1. Registered Bond
2. Coupon Bonds
3. Term Bonds
4. Serial Bonds
5. Unsecured Bonds, called debentures are backed only by good faith of the borrower.
These bonds again can be of secured and unsecured nature, depending upon the attachment of any asset(s) as
a security against the bond for repayment, in the event the issuing entity fails to pay in normal course.
Valuation of Share
Basic Definitions
Common Stock - Ownership shares in a publicly held corporation with par voting rights. There can be other equity
shares without voting right or reduced voting rights, for example one vote for every 10 shares held. In India shares
with no or disproportionate voting rights are being issued. At times these are also called Class B or Class C shares.
Secondary Market - market in which already issued securities are traded by investors.
Dividend - Periodic cash distribution from the firm to the share holders.
P/E Ratio - Price per share divided by earnings per share.
Book Value - Net worth per share of the firm according to the balance sheet.
Liquidation Value - Net proceeds that would be realised by selling the firms assets and paying off its creditors.
Market Value Balance Sheet - Financial statement that uses market value of assets and liabilities.
Expected Return - The percentage yield that an investor forecasts from a specific investment over a set period of
time. Sometimes called the market capitalization rate.
Payout Ratio - Fraction of earnings paid out as dividends expressed in terms of (Dividend + Dividend Distribution
Tax) / Profit after Tax
Plowback Ratio - Fraction of earnings retained by the firm.
Present Value of Growth Opportunities (PVGO) - Net present value of a firms future investments. Sustainable
Growth Rate - Steady rate at which a firm can grow: plowback ratio X return on equity.
By computing the present value of growth opportunities, a company can determine what the new addition or
expansion project will add to the value of the existing firm. Even further, an appropriate purchase price can be
determined by using the present value model.
By deducting the purchase price from the present value of growth opportunities, one will be left with the net
present value of growth opportunities.
Basics of Company Analysis and Stock Selection
It should be remembered that good companies are not necessarily good investments. As an investor we are
interested in comparing the intrinsic value of a stock to its market value. A prudent investor should bear in mind
that the stock of a great company may be overpriced, while the stock of a lesser company may be a superior
investment since it is undervalued.
What are growth companies and growth stocks? Companies that consistently experience above-average
increases in sales and earnings have traditionally been thought of as growth companies. Financial theorists define
a growth company as one with management and opportunities that yield rates of return greater than the firms
required rate of return.
Growth stocks do not necessarily refer to shares in growth companies. A growth stock has a higher rate of return
than other stocks with similar risk or which have a higher growth potential in comparison to its peers in the same
sector or the indexed rate of return say return from NIFTY 50. Superior risk-adjusted rate of return occurs because
of market under-valuation compared to other stocks. Studies indicate that growth companies have generally not
been growth stocks.
Defensive companies future earnings are more likely to withstand an economic downturn, due to low business risk
and not excessive financial risk. Defensive stocks returns are not as susceptible to changes in the market, as they
represent stocks with low systematic risk.
Cyclical companies sales and earnings heavily influenced by aggregate business activity, due to high business
risk and sometimes high financial risk as well. Cyclical stocks experience high returns is up markets, low returns in
down markets. They are stocks with high betas.
Speculative companies invest in assets involving great risk, but with the possibility of great gain as they have very
high business risk. Speculative stocks have the potential for great percentage gains and losses. They may be firms
whose current price-earnings ratios are very high.
Growth stocks will have positive earnings surprises and above-average risk adjusted rates of return because the
stocks are undervalued. Value stocks appear to be undervalued for reasons besides earnings growth potential.
They usually have low P/E ratio or low ratios of price to book value.
Theory of Valuation
The value of a financial asset is the present value of its expected future cash flows. The inputs required for valuation
are:
(a) The stream of expected future returns, or cash flows,
The growth rate can be estimated from past growth in earnings and dividends, using the sustainable growth
model. The discount rate would consider the systematic risk of the investment (beta).
Valuation with Temporary Supernormal Growth:
If you expect a company to experience rapid growth for some period of time:
(a) Find the present value of each dividend during the supernormal growth period separately.
Look at the relationship between the current market price and expected earnings per share over the next year.
The ratio is the earnings multiplier, and is a measure of the prevailing attitude of investors regarding a stocks value.
Using the P/E approach to valuation:
1. Estimate earnings for next year
2. Estimate the P/E ratio (Earnings Multiplier)
3. Multiply expected earnings by the expected P/E ratio to get expected price
V = E1 x (P/E)
Illustration 9.
If Modern Electronics is selling for `100 per share today and is expected to sell for `110 one year from now, what is
the expected return if the dividend one year from now is forecasted to be `5.00?
Solution:
Expected Return = r = (5 + 110 100) / 100 = 0.15
The formula can be broken into two parts:
Dividend Yield + Capital Appreciation
Expected Return = r = (Div1 / P0) + [(P1 P0) / P0]
Here P1 P0 represents capital appreciation
Capitalisation Rate can be estimated using the perpetuity formula, given minor algebraic manipulation.
Capitalisation Rate = P0 = [Div1 / (r - g)]
r = (Div1 / P0) + g
Dividend Yield = Div1 / P0
Return on Equity = ROE = EPS / Book Value per share
Dividend Discount Model - Computation of todays stock price which states that share value equals the present
value of all expected future dividends.
i =n
P0 = [Divi / (1+r)i]
i =1
i = the time horizon of the investment.
PV = `75.
If we forecast no growth, and plan to hold out stock indefinitely, we will then value the stock as PERPETUITY.
Perpetuity = P0 = (Div1/ r)
= EPS1/r = [Assumes all earnings are paid to shareholders]
Constant Growth DDM - A version of the dividend growth model in which dividends grow at a constant rate
(Gordon Growth Model).
Illustration 11.
(Continued of Illustration 18.)
If the same stock is selling for `100 in the stock market, what might the market be assuming about the growth in
dividends?
Solution:
100 = 3 / (0.12 - g)
g = 0.09
The market is assuming the dividend will grow at 9% per year, indefinitely.
If a firm elects to pay a lower dividend, and reinvest the funds, the stock price may increase because future
dividends may be higher.
Growth can be derived from applying the return on equity to the percentage of earnings plowed back into
operations.
g = return on equity x plowback ratio
Illustration 12.
ABC company forecasts to pay a `5.00 dividend next year, which represents 100% of its earnings. This will provide
investors with a 12% expected return. Instead, we decide to plow back 40% of the earnings at the firms current
return on equity of 20%. What is the value of the stock before and after the plowback decision?
Solution:
No Growth
P0 = (5 / 0.12)
= `41.67
With Growth
g = 0.2 x 0.4 = 0.08
P0 = [3 / (0.12 0.08)]
= ` 75
If the company did not plowback some earnings, the stock price would remain at `41.67. With the plowback, the
price rose to `75.00.
The difference between these two numbers (75.00-41.67= 33.33) is called the Present Value of Growth Opportunities
(PVGO).
Free Cash Flows (FCF) should be the theoretical basis for all PV calculations.
FCF is a more accurate measurement of PV than either Div or EPS.
The market price does not always reflect the PV of FCF.
When valuing a business for purchase, always use FCF.
Valuing a Business
The value of a business is usually computed as the discounted value of FCF out to a valuation horizon (H).
The valuation horizon is sometimes called the terminal value and is calculated like PVGO
PVi
PV (horizon value) =
(1+ r)i
Illustration 13.
Given the cash flows for Modern Manufacturing Division, calculate the PV of near term cash flows, PV (horizon
value), and the total value of the firm. r = 10% and g = 6%.
Year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Asset Value 10.00 12.00 14.40 17.28 20.74 23.43 26.47 28.05 29.73 31.51
Earnings 1.20 1.44 1.73 2.07 2.49 2.81 3.18 3.36 3.57 3.78
Investment 2.00 2.40 2.88 3.46 2.69 3.04 1.59 1.68 1.78 1.89
Free Cash Flow -.80 -.96 -1.15 -1.39 -.20 -.23 1.59 1.68 1.79 1.89
EPS growth (%) 20 20 20 20 20 13 13 6 6 6
Solution:
1 1.59
PV
= (horizon value ) = 6 22.4
(1.1) 0.10 0.06
`12,50,000
Dividend per share = = `25
50,000
2.5
Value per share = = `138.90
0.18
2. Profit/ Dividend record: The Profit record after tax and interest but before dividends over the last five years have
been as follows:
Particulars ` `
Land and Building (at revalued amount) 6,10,000
Plant and Machinery (at revalued amount) 2,88,000
Motor Vehicles (at revalued amount) 1,02,000
Stock in trade (at Balance Sheet Value) 1,33,000
Sundry Debtors (at Balance Sheet Value) 1,45,000
Cash at Bank (at Balance Sheet Value) 15,000
Total Assets 12,93,000
Less: Outside Liabilities
Secured Loans (1,50,000)
Sundry creditors (1,35,000)
Provision for Taxation (45,000) 3,30,000
Net Tangible Assets 9,63,000
Number or Equity Shares 20,000
Value per Equity Share (`9,63,000 20,000) 48.15
a. Actual Dividend Rate of the Company = Average Dividend Paid Up Capital = `30,000 `2,00,000 15.00%
b. Average Industry Dividend Rate = (17% +16.70% +17%) 3 16.90%
c. Value per Equity Share = (Face Value x Actual Yield )/ Industry Dividend Rate = (`10 x 15.00%) 16.90% 8.88
Note:
Also, PAT for the year ending on the B/s date i.e 2015 can be taken as a Future Earning Capacity i.e at `85,000.
Hence, EPS = `4 .25 and Value per share = `4.25 x 9.22 times = `39.19.
Higher weightage is give to the near future years than far further future years.
4. Projected Earnings Capitalization Method
Note: The valuation under PE Multiple and Earnings Capitalization Method (at 10.85%) is effectively the same. The
difference is due to rounding off aspect in calculations.
5. Discounted Cash Flow Method
Note:
Cash Flows of Year 2020 `1,50,000 are assumed to continue till perpetuity. Hence, it is divided by the Industry
Normal Rate of Return, to estimate the cash flows till perpetuity. These are discounted to the present value, to
ascertain the total discounted cash flows.
Cash Flows of year 2019 is not in tune with the other years. This may be because of Capital Expenditure
proposed during the year. In the absence of information of Capital Expenditure, no adjustment has been
made.
6. Summary of Value per Share
Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Equity Earnings
Note:
Sundry Debtors as per B/s reflects the net balance after deducting 5% provision. Since Net Debtors of `2,99,250
reflect 95% of the Total Debtors Amount, Provision = `2,99,250 x 5/95 = `15,750.
Simple Average is taken due to fluctuating / oscillating trend of profits.
Particulars ` `
Freehold Property (Capitalization of Rental Value of `50,400 at 8%) 6,30,000
Plant & Machinery 1,50,000
Stock 2,70,000
Sundry Debtors [ `2,99,250 (100% - Provision at 5%) 3,15,000
Bank [Balance 345 + Investment Sale 375 Debenture Redemption 225] 4,95,000
Total Assets 18,60,000
Less: Outside Liabilities (excluding Equity Shareholders Funds)
Sundry Creditors [`2,39,250 + Unaccounted Claim of `8,250] 2,47,500
Preference Shareholders [Share Capital + Dividend Due] 1,59,000
Additional Tax Liability due to unaccounted claim & provision w/back 3,750 (4,10,250)
Net Worth of Equity Share Holders on B/s date 14,49,750
Note:
Since Normal Return is 12% on the Net Assets available to Equity Shares (given), Future Maintainable Equity
Earnings should be compared with the Expected Equity Earnings. Hence, Net Worth of Equity Shareholders (i.e
after deducting Preference Shareholders dues) is considered.
Goodwill in the Balance Sheet should not be considered for computing net worth for Goodwill computation.
Redemption value of debentures = face Value `3,00,000 25% Discount = `2,25,000
3.Computation of Super profits and Goodwill
Particulars `
Future Maintainable Equity Earnings 2,35,000
Less: Normal Earnings = Normal Return x Capital Employed =12% x 14,49,750 (1,73,970)
Super Profit i.e., Excess Earnings available for Equity Shareholders 61,030
Goodwill at 4 years purchase of Super Profits = `61,030 x 4 years 2,44,120
Note: Alternatively, Average Capital Employed can be considered as Proxy for Future Capital Employed to
determine normal earnings.
4. Valuation of Shares
Particulars `
a. Net Worth attributable to Equity Holders (calculated above) 14,49,750
b. Goodwill 2,44,120
c. Total Net Assets of Equity Shareholders 16,93,870
d. Number of Equity Shares 4,500 shares
e. Value per Equity Share `376.42
The face value of the Government Securities is `2,00,000. The current Year profit reported in the Balance Sheet
includes income from such Government Securities. Stock in Trade reported in Balance Sheet is taken at 90% of
Market value.
The shares of the Company are not quoted on the Stock Exchange. A provision exists in the Articles of Association
of the Company that in cases where any existing shareholder desires to transfer his holdings to another person, it
should be done at a fair market value to be fixed by the Statutory Auditor of the Company. One of the shareholders
desiring to transfer his holdings to X, an outsider, refers the matter of determination of the fair market value of
shares to you, as the Statutory Auditor.
Indicate how you will proceed to determine such a value, based on the following additional information:
1. The Companys prospects in the near future appear good.
2. Land value is understated by `4,00,000. Buildings have suffered a further depreciation of `2,00,000.
3. Market Value of Plant and Machinery is `5,40,000.
4. Companies doing similar business as that of Govinda Ltd show a market return of 12% on Capital Employed.
5. Profits over the prior 3 years period have been increasing at the rate of `50,000 per annum.
6. It has always been the Companys practice to value stock at market prices.
Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits
Particulars `
Profit as per Profit & Loss Account 4,80,000
Less: Investment Income (`2,00,000 x 6%) (12,000)
Net Adjusted Profit Before Tax 4,68,000
Less: Tax Provision at 50% (See Note) (2,34,000)
Adjusted Profit after Tax 2,34,000
Note:
Tax Rate = Tax Provision as per books Profit as per books = `2,40,000 `4,80,000 = 50%.
It is assumed that 90% of Market Value is lower than cost of stock. Since the Company has been valuing its
stock at market prices, it is assumed that no further adjustment is considered necessary in this case.
We are informed that the profits (assumed as PBT) of the last 3 years have been increasing at `50,000 per annum.
Presuming the trend of `50,000 increase in PBT to continue, profit after tax will increase by `25,000 [`50,000 50%],
and the expected profit of the next three years and their average will be
Particulars ` `
Land & Buildings- Book Value 3,20,000
Add: Increase in Value of Land 4,00,000
Less: Decrease in Value of Building (2,00,000) 5,20,000
Plant & Machinery 5,40,000
Book Debts 3,80,000
Stock in Trade (at Market Value) i.e. `4,50,000 x 100/90 5,00,000
Cash and Bank Balances 80,000
Total Assets 20,20,000
Less: External Liabilities
Trade Creditors 2,10,000
Provision for Taxation 2,40,000 (4,50,000)
Less: Preference Capital (3,00,000)
Capital Employed as at 31st March (year-end) 12,70,000
Note: Stock is taken at Realizable Value, i. e., Market Value. In the B/s, it has been taken at 90% only.
Particulars `
a. Capitalised Value of Future Maintainable Profits i.e `2,39,667 12% 19,97,225
b. Capital Employed on Balance Sheet Date 12,70,000
c. Excess attributed to Goodwill (a-b) 7,27,225
Particulars `
a. Capital Employed on Balance Sheet date 12,70,000
b. Goodwill as calculated above 7,27,225
c. Non- Trade Investments at Cost 2,00,000
d. Net Assets available to Equity Shareholders (a+b+c) 21,97,225
e. Number of Equity Shares 5,000 Shares
f. Value per Equity Share based on Net Assets (d e) `439.45
Assuming Equity Shares are valued at Par if yielding 12% Return on Total Capital Employed, value per share is
Particulars `
Future Maintainable Profit for Equity Shareholders (as computed above) 2,39,667
Add: Non- trade Income (after Tax) (2,00,000 x 6% x 50%) 6,000
Total Equity Earnings 2,45,667
Total Value Attributable to Equity Shareholders (computed above) 21,97,225
Actual Yield on Equity Capital Employed (245667 2197225) 11.18%
Value per Share = Par Value x Actual Yield Expected Yield = `100 x 11.18% 12% `93.17
Particulars `
a. Value per Share under Net Assets method 439.45
b. Value per Share under Yield method 93.17
c. Fair Value per Share = (`439.45 + `93.17)2 266.31
Illustration 18.
The Summarized Balance Sheet of Amway Private Ltd as on 31.03.2016 is as under-
Particulars `
Goodwill 2,00,700
Leasehold Property (1,60,000 Less Amortization for 10 years 10,000 x 10) 60,000
Plant and Machinery (at Balance Sheet value) 2,25,000
Investments at Cost (Assuming to be Trade Investments) 4,00,000
Stocks at Cost (82,500 6,000 Valueless stock) 76,500
Sundry Debtors (40,500 + Reversal of Reserve 4,500) 45,000
Balance at Bank 1,57,000
Sundry Creditors (49,750 + Expense Creditors 3,750) (53,500)
Bank Loan (1,00,000)
Preference Capital (2,00,000)
Equity Capital Employed 8,10,700
No. of Equity Shares 50,000
Value per Share `16.214
Illustration 19.
Following are the information of two companies for the year ended 31st March, 2016:
Assume the Market expectation is 18% and 80% of the Profits are distributed.
(i) What is the rate you would pay to the Equity Shares of each Company?
(a) If you are buying a small lot.
(b) If you are buying controlling interest shares.
(ii) If you plan to Invest only in preference shares which companys preference shares would you prefer?
(iii) Would your rates be different for buying small tot, if the company A retains 30% and company B 10% of the
profits?
[Note: A control premium is an amount that a buyer is sometimes willing to pay over the current market price of a
publicly traded company in order to acquire a controlling share in that company.]
Solution:
(I) (a) Buying a small lot of equity shares: If the purpose of valuation is to provide data base to aid a decision of
buying a small (non-controlling) position of the equity of the companies, dividend capitalisation method is most
appropriate. Under this method, value of equity share is given by:
Company A : 2.4
` 100 = ` 13.33
18
2.08
Company B: ` 100 = ` 11.56
18
(b) Buying controlling Interest equity shares: If the purpose of valuation is to provide data base to aid a decision
of buying controlling interest in the company, EPS capitalisation method is most appropriate. Under this method,
value of equity is given by:
2.6
Company B: ` 100 = ` 14.44
18
(ii) Preference Dividend coverage ratios of both companies are to be compared to make such decision.
Preference dividend coverage ratio is given by:
3,00,000
Company A: ` = 5 times
60,000
3,00,000
Company B: ` = 7.5 times
40,000
If we are planning to invest only in preference shares, we would prefer shares of B Company as there is more
coverage for preference dividend.
(iii) Yes, the rates will be different for buying a small lot of equity shares, if the company A retains 30% and
company B 10% of profits.
The new rates will be calculated as follows:
2.1
Company A: ` 100 = `11.67
18
2.34
Company B: ` 100 = `13.00
18
Working Notes:
1. Computation of earning per share and dividend per share (companies distribute 80% of profits)
Illustration 20.
The Balance Sheet of Ganguram Industries Ltd as at 31st December 2015 was as under
Land and Buildings are worth `4,00,000. Managerial remuneration is likely to go up by `20,000 p.a. Income-Tax may
be provided at 50%. Equity Shares of Companies in the same industry with a dividend rate of 10% are quoted at
par. Ignore Goodwill value depreciation adjustment for revaluation and the need of transfer to General Reserve.
Find the most appropriate value of an Equity Share assuming that-
1. Controlling interest is transferred;
2. Only a few shares are to be transferred.
Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits
Notes:
It is assumed that the Profits given in the Question are Profits before Tax.
Since Profits show an increasing trend, weighted average is more appropriate. Hence, more weights are
assigned to the profits of the most recent years.
Instead of assigning weights, Linear Trend Equation may be formed and the future profits for some years (say
3-5 years) estimated on the basis of the equation, and average of such profits be taken for determining Profits
available for Equity Shareholders.
2. Valuation of Shares under Earnings Capitalization Method
Particulars `
Future Maintainable Profits for Equity Shareholders 1,21,000
Capitalized Value of Equity (Maintainable Profit Normal Return) i.e. 1,21,000 10% 12,10,000
Add: Notional Call on Party Paid Shares (`5 x 40,000 Shares) 2,00,000
Total Value of Equity 14,10,000
Total Number of Equity Shares
a. Fully Paid Share = `3,00,000 `10 = 30,000 Shares; 70,000 shares
b. Partly Paid Shares = `2,00,000 `5 = 40,000 Shares
Value per Fully Paid Share [Adjusted Equity Value Total No. of Shares] `20.14
Value per Partly Paid Share [`20.14 - `5 unpaid] `15.14
Note:
1. Unpaid amount on partly paid-up shares is assumed to be called in the near future. In the absence of specific
information, additional income on Notional Calls, is ignored.
2. Normal Rate Return is assumed to Post Tax Expectation.
3.Valuation of Shares under Net Asset Method
Particulars `
Buildings (Revalued Amount) 4,00,000
Plant & Machinery 4,00,000
Sundry Debtors 2,10,000
Stock in Trade 2,50,000
Cash and Bank 40,000
Total Assets 13,00,000
Less: External Liabilities - Sundry Creditors 2,00,000
Net Assets 11,00,000
Less: Preference Share Capital 1,00,000
Note:
When small shareholders acquire shares based on dividend expectation, shares are to be valued only on basis
of paid up value of shares since, generally, dividends are declared only on the paid up value of shares and not
on the notional full value of shares. Here, merely reducing the value of a fully paid share by unpaid amount is not
appropriate. Students should carefully observe the distinction in valuation principles between majority acquisition
and small lot buying.
Illustration 21.
The following is the Balance Sheet of N Ltd. as on 31st March, 2016:
Balance Sheet
Further information:
(i) Return on capital employed is 20% in similar businesses.
(ii) Fixed assets are worth 30% more than book value. Stock is overvalued by `1,00,000, Debtors are to be reduced
by `20,000. Trade investments, which constitute 10% of the total investments, are to be valued at 10% below
cost.
(iii) Trade investments were purchased on 1.4.2015. 50% of non-Trade Investments were purchased on 1.4.2014
and the rest on 1.4.2013. Non-Trade Investments yielded 15% return on cost.
(iv) In 2013-2014 new machinery costing `2,00,000 was purchased, but wrongly charged to revenue. This amount
should be adjusted taking depreciation at 10% on reducing value method.
(v) In 2014-2015 furniture with a book value of `1,00,000 was sold for `60,000.
(vi) For calculating goodwill two years purchase of super profits based on simple average profits of last four years
are to be considered. Profits of last four years are as under: 2012-2013 `16,00,000, -2013-2014 `18,00.000, 2014-
2015 `21,00,000, 2015-2016 `22,00,000.
(vii) Additional depreciation provision at the rate of 10% on the additional value of Plant and Machinery alone
may be considered for arriving at average profit.
Find out the intrinsic value of the equity share. Income-tax and Dividend tax are not to be considered.
Solution:
Calculation of intrinsic value of equity shares of N Ltd.
1. Calculation of Goodwill
(i) Capital employed
Fixed Assets ` `
Building 24,00,000
Machinery (`22,00,000 + `1,45,800) 23,45,800
Furniture 10,00,000
Vehicles 18,00,000
75,45,800
(v) Goodwill
2 years purchase of super profit ` 1,05,368 x 2 = ` 2,10,736
` `
Goodwill as calculated in 1(v) above 2,10,736
Sundry fixed assets 98,09,540
Trade and Non-trade investments 15,84,000
Debtors 17,80,000
Stock 10,00,000
Bank balance 3,20,000
1,47,04,276
Less: Outside liabilities
Bank loan 12,00,000
Bills payable 6,00,000
Creditors 31,00,000 49,00,000
Preference share capital 20,00,000
Net assets for equity shareholders 78,04,276
` 78,04,276
= = ` 19.51
4,00,000
Note :
1. Depreciation on the overall increased value of assets (worth 30% more than book value) has not been
considered. Depreciation on the additional value of only plant and machinery has been considered taking
depreciation at 10% on reducing value method while calculating average adjusted profit.
2. Loss on sale of furniture has been taken as non-recurring or extraordinary item.
3. It has been assumed that preference dividend has been paid till date.
Illustration 22.
The Capital Structure of M/s XYZ Ltd., on 31st March, 2016 was as follows:
`
Equity Capital (18,000 Shares of `100 each) 18,00,000
12% Preference Capital 5,000 Shares of `100 each 5,00,000
12% Secured Debentures 5,00,000
Reserves 5,00,000
Profit earned before Interest and Taxes during the year 7,20,000
Tax Rate 40%
Solution:
` 5,00,000
Debt Equity Ratio = = 0.179
` 28,00,000
Actual yield
Paid up value of share
Expected yield
9.37
= 100 = ` 58.56
16
* When interest and fixed dividend coverage is lower than the prescribed norm, the riskiness of equity investors
is high. They should claim additional risk premium over and above the normal rate of return. Hence, the
additional risk premium of 1% has been added.
** The debt equity ratio is lower than the prescribed ratio that means outside funds (Debts) are lower as compared
to shareholders funds. Therefore, the risk is less for equity shareholders. Therefore, no risk premium is required to
be added in this case.
Intangible Assets
Intangible assets include a wide array of assets ranging from intellectual property rights like brand, patents and
trademarks to goodwill. The accounting standards vary across intangible assets.
In case of specifically identifiable intangibles, the cost associated with obtaining of intangibles like patents,
copyrights, trademarks, etc. can be identified
In accordance with the provisions of Ind AS 38 recognition of an item as an intangible asset requires an entity to
demonstrate that the item meets:
(a) the definition of an intangible asset as stated in paragraphs 8 to 17 of Ind AS 38 Intangible assets; and
(b) the recognition criteria as stated in paragraphs
An intangible asset shall be recognised if, and only if:
Patents
A patent gives the holder the exclusive right to produce, use and sell a product or process without interference or
infringement from others.
Cost of patent: If purchased from an inventor, the cost will include the purchase price plus any legal fees to
successfully protect the patent. If any additional legal fees occur after the acquisition of a patent to successfully
defend the right of the patent should also be capitalized. The cost of a patent should be amortized over the legal
life or the useful life, whichever is shorter.
If a patent becomes worthless, the net value of the patent should be written-off as an expense or loss.
If a patent is internally developed, no cost can be capitalized. All the research and development (R&D) costs
should be expensed.
Patents and Trademarks are valued differently depending on whether they are generated internally or acquired.
When patents and trademarks are generated from internal research, the costs incurred in developing the assets
are expensed in that period, even though the asset might have a life of several accounting periods unless the
conditions prescribed under the aforesaid provisions of Ind AS 38 are satisfied. Thus, recognition of the costs of an
internally developed intangible asset in balance sheet of a company is conditional and restrictive. In contrast,
when an asset is acquired from an external party, including through merger and acquisition route, it is recognised
as an asset.
Intangible assets have to be amortized over their respective expected lives.
Copyrights
Copyright is a government granted right to authors, sculptors, painters, and other artists for their creations. A
copyright is granted for the life of the creator plus 70 years. It gives the creator and heirs an exclusive right to
reproduce and sell the artistic work or published work.
Cost of Copyright: If purchased, the cost includes the purchase price plus any legal fees. If developed by the
owner (the creator), no cost can be assigned and capitalized.
Amortization is by Straight-line method or a unit-of-production method.
Trademarks & Trade Names
Trademarks and trade names refer to a word, a phrase, or a symbol that distinguishes a product or an enterprise
from another (i.e., company names such as IBM, Microsoft, Intel, and XEROX).
Cost is similar to that of copyrights. The owner should register at the Patent Office for 10 years life. The registration
can be renewed every 10 years for unlimited times.
Amortization is over the shorter of the useful or legal life, not to exceed 40 years.
Leaseholds
By signing a contract, the lessee acquires an exclusive right to use the property. Leasehold improvements denote
the improvements made to the leased property.
Incorporation Costs
Organization costs refer to costs associated with the formation of a corporation including fees to underwriters (for
stock issuance), legal fees, promotional expenditures, etc.
Franchise & License
A franchise is a contractual agreement under which the franchiser grants the franchisee the right to sell certain
products or service or to use certain trade names or trademarks.
A license is a contractual agreement between a governmental body and a private enterprise to use public
property to provide services.
Costs should be capitalized.
Amortization is done over the shorter of the contractual life or the useful life, not to exceed 40 years.
When central or state government permits any entity to use some national property for commercial use, a
Concessional Right agreement is entered upon against certain capital fees without or without usage based fees.
For example, when radio spectrum is granted to telecom companies or any sea shore is licensed to a private
company for developing and running ports. The one-time initial fee paid upon signing the contract is recognised
as an intangible asset, and the recurring payment against usage is considered as a revenue expenditure.
Research and Development (R&D)
R&D related expenditures are expensed and disclosed, if they are incurred for internal use.
Costs of R&D performed under contracts are capitalized as inventory. Income from these contracts can be
recognized based on percentage-of completion or complete contract method as discussed for the long-term
construction contracts.
R&D expenditures include salaries of personnel involved in R&D, costs of materials used, equipments, facilities and
intangibles used in R&D activities. If equipment has an alternative usage, only the depreciation expense will be
included in the R&D expense.
Purchased R&D and Earnings Quality
When acquiring another company, the purchase price is allocated to tangible assets, intangibles (developed
technology) and in-process R&D. The remaining will be the goodwill. The in-process R&D is expensed.
The more the purchase price is assigned to the in-process R&D, the lesser will be the amount assigned to goodwill.
This strategy can reduce future goodwill amortization expense and increase future earnings.
Computer Software Costs
If the software is to be sold, most of the costs need to be expensed. Costs include designing, coding, testing,
documentation and preparation of training materials. All these costs should be expensed as R & D expenses.
Costs occurred after technological feasibility of the product is established (i.e., the costs of design to suit the needs
of customers) should be capitalized as an intangible asset.
Costs occurred after the software is ready for general release and production: These costs should be product
costs.
Goodwill Goodwill Creation
When a business is able to earn profits at a rate higher than that at which a similar business earns, the former
business is said to possess goodwill. Goodwill is, therefore, an invisible asset by the possession of which a business
can enjoy super earning. Since it is invisible the goodwill is called an in tangible asset. But since its existence can
be felt through superior earning power it is a real asset.
should also be deducted. The profit as obtained after the above adjustments is to be compared with the
reasonable return on the average capital employed, calculated at the rate of return earned by similar businesses.
If the former exceeds the latter the balance represents the super profit.
A few years purchase of the super profit is taken as the value of goodwill.
Annuity Method: Under this method the basis is super profit. Let us take an example:
Suppose the super profit of a concern has been calculated at `50000 and it has been considered reasonable
that 5 years purchase of the super profit approximates the value of goodwill. The contention behind this is that,
the purchaser of the business can expect to enjoy super profit of `50000 per year for the next 5 years. If this is
the contention it is not reasonable that he should pay ` (50000 5) or `250000. He should pay an amount which
will give him an annuity of `50000 over the next 5 years at the current rate of interest. This is what is known as the
annuity method of valuation of goodwill. Once the super profit is ascertained, the present value and hence the
value of goodwill can be ascertained by the following formula:-
V=a/i[1-(1+i)^-n)] ,or,
V=a/i[1-1/(1+i)^n]
Where,
V = the present value of the annuity or the value of goodwill in this case
Capitalization Method:
Capitalization of Average Profit: Under this method the average annual profit is to be ascertained after providing
for reasonable management remuneration. This profit should be capitalized at the rate of reasonable return to find
out the total value of business. Now the value of goodwill will be the total value of business minus its net assets. If,
however, the net asset is greater there will be no goodwill, rather there is negative goodwill.
Capitalization of Super Profit: Under this method the average super profit is capitalised at a certain rate of interest
and this capitalized amount becomes the value of goodwill.
(a) Patents: jurisdictional coverage, status of registrations, breadth of patent claims, alternatives to the patented
invention, risks of infringement and invalidity, and the possibility of blocking patents.
(b) Trade Secrets: the reasonableness and effectiveness of measures taken to ensure secrecy; the possibility that
the secret could be legitimately discovered by competitors through independent research; and if potentially
patentable, the potential benefits, costs and risk of patenting versus holding the trade secret as a trade secret.
(c) Copyrights: whether the copyright is for the original work, or for a particular derivative of it.
(d) Trademarks: Ability to be extended to related products or services without infringing on the trademarks of
others, the nature and status of any registrations, the possibility of abandonment due to non-use, and the
possibility that a mark might have become generic.
Capital employed in the business at market values at the beginning of 2014-2015 was `73,20,000, which included
the cost of goodwill. The normal annual return on Average Capital employed in the line of business engaged by
R Ltd. is 12 %.
The balance in the General Reserve account on 1st April, 2013 was `20 lakhs.
The goodwill shown on 31.3.2014 was purchased on 1.4.2014 for `20,00,000 on which date the balance in the Profit
and Loss Account was `2,40,000. Find out the average capital employed each year.
Goodwill is to be valued at 5 years purchase of super profits (Simple average method). Also find out the total value
of the business as on 31.3.2016.
Solution:
Note:
(i) Since goodwill has been paid for, it is taken as part of capital employed. Capital employed at the end of each
year is shown.
(ii) Assumed that the building and machinery figure as revalued is after considering depreciation.
Maintainable profit has to be found out after making adjustments as given below:
Solution:
Computation of Average Capital employed
(` in Lakhs)
Illustration 25.
Negotiation is going on for transfer of A Ltd. on the basis of Balance Sheet and the additional information as given
below:
Balance Sheet of A Ltd.
As on 31st March 2016
Profit before tax for 2015-16 amounted to `6,00,000 including `10,000 as interest on investment. However, an
additional amount of `50,000 p.a. shall be required to be spent for smooth running of the business.
Market value of land & building and plant & machinery are estimated at `9,00,000 and `10,00,000 respectively. In
order to match the above figures further depreciation to the extent of `40,000 should be taken into consideration.
Income tax rate may be taken at 30%. Return on capital at the rate of 20% before tax may be considered as
normal for this business for the present stage.
For the purpose of determining the rate of return, profit for this year after the aforesaid adjustments may be taken
as expected average profit. Similarly, average trading capital employed is also to be considered on the basis of
position in this year.
It has been agreed that a three years purchase of supper profit shall be taken as the value of goodwill for the
purpose of the deal.
You are requested to calculate the value of the goodwill for the company.
Valuation of goodwill
Super profits 81,660
Goodwill at 3 years purchase of super profits 2,44,980
Note:
1. It has been assumed that additional depreciation arising out of revaluation of assets is not deductible for
calculating provision for taxation.
2. Since tax rate is 30% and normal pre-tax rate being 20% the after tax normal rate of return will be 14%.
Illustration 26.
Marico Ltd. acquired 100% of Sun Ltd. for ` 2,000 (lacs). As on the date of acquisition, the net assets of Marico Ltd.
were:
(` in lacs)
Solution:
(i) If brand value is ignored
Illustration 27.
Given below is the Balance Sheet of Sandip Ltd as on 31.03.2016 (` Lakhs)
Year Profit Before Tax Provision for Gratuity required Gratuity Paid Loss of uninsured stock
2012 42.00 2.20 -- --
2013 39.00 2.30 1.67 0.62
2014 44.00 2.50 0.32 --
2015 42.00 2.60 1.42 --
2016 37.00 2.70 0.12 --
2. Past Tax rate is 51% while Expected Tax Rate is 45%.
3. The Company wants to switch over towards maintaining gratuity provision on actuarial calculation rather than
accounting on payment basis. The Companys Non- Trade Investments fetched 11%.
Find out value of Goodwill. It may be assumed that Super Profit, if any, is maintainable for 5 years. 18% should be
the appropriate discount factor. Normal Rate of Return may be taken as 15%.
Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits (` Lakhs)
Note: Since Profits show an oscillating trend, Simple Average Profit shall be more appropriate than Weighted
Average or Trend Equation Methods.
2. Computation of Average Capital Employed
Particulars ` Lakhs
Total of Assets as per Balance Sheet 103.20
Less: Non- Trade Investments and Sundry Creditors (12.00 +8.20) (20.20)
Closing Capital Employed 83.00
Less: 50% of Profit After Tax earned in 2016 as per Books
PAT = PBT less Tax at 51% = 37.00 Less 51% thereon = `18.13 Lakhs 18.13
50% of the above PAT for the year (9.07)
Average Capital Employed 73.93
3. Computation of Goodwill
(a) Capitalization Method:
(` Lakhs)
Expected Capital (Future Maintainable Profit NRR) =`20.82 Lakhs 15% 138.80
Less: Closing Capital Employed Less Proposed Dividend = 83.00-10.00 73.00
Goodwill using Capitalization Method 65.80
(` Lakhs)
Future Maintainable Profit 20.82
Less: Normal Profit at 15% Average Capital Employed (15% of `73.93 Lakhs) 11.09
Super Profits 9.73
Goodwill at 5 years purchase of Super Profits 48.65
Note: Alternatively Normal Profit can be computed based on Closing Capital Employed
(c) Annuity Method:
(` Lakhs)
Super Profits 9.73
Annuity Factor for 5 years at 18% 3.127
Goodwill using Annuity Method 30.43
Illustration 28.
The following are the summarized Balance Sheets of two Companies, R Ltd and S Ltd as on 31.03.2016
Solution:
1. Computation of Capital Employed
Note: Equity Capital Employed and Equity Earnings are considered for purpose of determining Goodwill, since
Goodwill is monetary value of residual business advantage, which includes, among many things, advantages of
gearing as well.
2. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits
3. Computation of Goodwill
Illustration 29.
On the basis of the following information, calculate the value of goodwill of Gee Ltd. at three years purchase of
super profits, if any, earned by the company in the previous four completed accounting years.
Balance Sheet of Gee Ltd. as at 31st March, 2016
The profits before tax of the four years have been as follows:
The rate of income tax for the accounting year 2011-12 was 40%. Thereafter it has been 38% for all the years so far.
But for the accounting year 2015-2016 it will be 35%.
In the accounting year 2011-2012, the company earned an extraordinary income of `1 crore due to a special
foreign contract. In August, 2012 there was an earthquake due to which the company lost property worth ` 50
lakhs and the insurance policy did not cover the loss due to earthquake or riots.
9% Non-trading investments appearing in the above mentioned Balance Sheet were purchased at par by the
company on 1st April, 2013.
` in lakhs
2,885
` 11,540 lakhs
Average trading profit before tax =
4
Less: Additional remuneration to directors 50
Less: Income tax @ 35% (approx.) 992 (Approx)
1,843
(3) Valuation of goodwill on super profits basis
employed as no trend is being observed in the previous years profits. The average capital employed cannot be
calculated in the absence of details about profits for the year ended 31st March, 2016. Since the current years
profit has not been given in the question, goodwill has been calculated on the basis of capital employed as on
31st March, 2016.
Illustration 30.
The following Balance Sheet of X Ltd. is given:
Balance Sheet of X Ltd. as on 31st March, 2016
In 1993 when the company commenced operation the paid up capital was same. The Loss/Profit for each of the
last 5 years was - years 2011-2012 - Loss (`5,50,000); 2012-2013 `9,82,000; 2013-2014 `11,70,000; 2014-2015 `14,50,000;
2015-2016 `17,00,000;
Although income-tax has so far been paid @ 40% and the above profits have been arrived at on the basis of such
tax rate, it has been decided that with effect from the year 2015-2016 the Income-tax rate of 45% should be taken
into consideration. 10% dividend in 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 and 15% dividend in 2014-2015 and 2015-2016 have
been paid. Market price of shares of the company on 31st March, 2016 is `125. With effect from 1st April, 2016
Managing Directors remuneration has been approved by the Government to be `8,00,000 in place of `6,00,000.
The company has been able to secure a contract for supply of materials at advantageous prices. The advantage
has been valued at `4,00,000 per annum for the next five years.
Ascertain goodwill at 3 years purchase of super profit (for calculation of future maintainable profit weighted
average is to be taken).
Solution:
(I) Future Maintainable Profit
24,12,000
100
Weighted average annual profit before tax = ` 14,47,200
60
Less: Increase in Managing Directors remuneration 2,00,000
22,12,000
Add: Saving in cost of materials 4,00,000
26,12,000
Less: Taxation @ 45% 11,75,400
Future maintainable profit 14,36,600
` `
Assets:
Land and Buildings 32,00,000
Plant and Machinery 28,00,000
Stock 32,00,000
Sundry Debtors 20,00,000
1,12,00,000
Less: Outside liabilities:
Bank overdraft 18,60,000
Creditors 21,10,000
Provision for taxation 5,10,000 44,80,000
Capital employed at the end of the year 67,20,000
Add: Dividend @ 15% paid during the year 7,50,000
74,70,000
Less: Half of the profit (after tax) for the year i.e. ` 17,00,000 x 8,50,000
66,20,000
10 + 10 + 15 + 15
Average dividend for the last 4 years = 12.5%
4
12.5
Normal rate of return = 100 = 10%
125
`
Future maintainable profit 14,36,600
Less: Normal profit 6,62,000
Super profit 7,74,600
Goodwill at 3 years purchase of super profits (`7,74,600 x 3) 23,23,800
Illustration 31.
Given below is the Balance Sheet as on 31st March of Khan Limited for the past three years. (Amount in ` 000s)
Equity and Liability 2013 2014 2015 Assets 2013 2014 2015
(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital 500 600 700 Fixed Assets
(b) Reserve & Surplus (i) Tangible Assets:
(i) General Reserve 100 150 150 Gross Block 1,500 1,700 1,900
(ii) Profit & Loss Account 100 150 --- Less: Depreciation 400 500 650
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: Net Block 1,100 1,200 1,250
Long Term Borrowings (2) Current Assets:
- 12% Debentures 400 600 700 (a) Inventories 250 450 500
(3) Current Liabilities: (b) Trade Receivables
(a) Short Term Borrowings Sundry Debtors 200 350 400
- Bank O/D 200 250 300 (c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 25 120 100
(b) Trade Payables
Sundry Creditors 100 200 400
(c) Short Term Provision
Provision for Taxation 100 50 ---
Proposed Dividend 75 120 ---
Total 1,575 2,120 2,250 Total 1,575 2,120 2,250
The Company is going to sell its losing division for `5,00,000. This division caused cash loss to the extent of
`1,00,00 in 2014-15.
It has planned to buy a running factory for `7,50,000. This new addition is expected to produce 20% return
before charging depreciation and interest.
Excess amount required of the acquisition of the new factory will be taken at 16%p.a. from an Industrial Bank.
The Company decided to calculate Goodwill considering the following
1. The Company decided to calculate Goodwill on the basis of excess cash earnings for 5 years.
2. 10% Discount Rate shall be used.
3. Goodwill will be calculated by taking cash return on capital employed. For this purpose, Weighted Average
Cash Return may be computed for the years 2013 2014, 20142015 and 2015 2016 where as Capital
Employed on 31.03.2015 may be taken up with suitable changes for replacements.
4. The industry, to which the Company belongs, returns cash at 4% of the investment.
Present Value of `1 at 10% for 5 years is 3.7908. You are asked to Value its Goodwill.
Solution:
Particulars ` 000s
Cash Earnings for Financial Year 2014-15 50
Add: Cash Loss pertaining to Division sold 100
Add: Cash earnings from New Division (`7,50,000 x 20%) 150
Less : Interest on Loan from Industrial Bank (7,50,000 5,00,000) x 16% (40)
Projected Cash Earnings 260
5. Computation of Excess Cash Earning and Goodwill
Particulars ` 000s
Future Maintainable Cash Earnings 150
Less: Normal Rate of Cash Return at 4% of Capital Employed (`850 4%) 34
Excess Cash Earnings (Future Maintainable Cash Earnings NRR) 116
Goodwill = Excess Cash Earnings x Annuity Factor for 5 years at 10% = `1,16,000 3.7908 440
Illustration 32.
Given (a) Future maintainable Profit before Interest = `125 Lakhs; (b) Normal Rate of Return on Long Term Funds
is 19% and on Equity Funds is 24%; (c) Long Term Funds of the Company is `320 Lakhs of which Equity Funds is `210
Lakhs; (d) Interest on Loan Fund is 18%. Find out leverage effect on Goodwill if tax rate = 30%.
Solution:
1. Long Term Loan Funds = Total Long term Funds Less Equity Funds = 320 210 = `110 Lakhs.
Interest at 18% thereon = `110 Lakhs 18% = `19.80 Lakhs.
2. Computation of Future Maintainable Profit (` Lakhs)
Illustration 33.
Super Cars Ltd., is engaged in the business of manufacture of electric Passenger Cars. The Company requires
you to determine the value of its goodwill also showing the leverage effect on goodwill. Its Balance Sheet is as on
31.03.2016 is as under
Additional Information:
1. The closing exchange rate for the U.S. dollar was INR 48. Income from Non- trade Investments was a loss for the
year ended 31.03.2016 owing to write down of cost of acquisition by 4%. There was no other transaction under
Non-trade Investments during the year.
2. Current Year Depreciation changed on Historical Cost was `100 Lakhs. Current Cost of Fixed Assets is determined
at `2,000 Lakhs.
3. While Current Cost of Closing Stock is `367 Lakhs, that of the Opening Stock was `200 lakhs against its Historical
Cost of `148 Lakhs. The Market Value of Non- Trade Investments at the yearend was `300 lakhs. The Overseas
debtors made settlements in U.S.$ only.
4. The Industry Average rate of return on current cost of capital employed is 12% on long term debt and 15%
on equity. The opening balance in General Reserve was `150 Lakhs. While prevailing tax rate is 30% such is
expected to decline by 5%.
Using the above information you are required to arrive at value of the goodwill of the company under equity and
long-term fund approached and also show the leverage effect on goodwill.
Solution:
1. Computation of Additional Depreciation Required
Particulars ` Lakhs
Calculation of Depreciation Rate:
Book Value as on 31.03.2016 1,000
Add: Depreciation for 2015-16 100
Book Value as on 1.4.2015 1,100
Therefore, Depreciation Rate = Current Depreciation Opening bal.= 1001,100 9.09%
Calculation of Extra Depreciation on Sundry Fixed Assets:
Current Cost of Sundry Fixed Assets as on 1.4.2015 2,000
Note: It is assumed that the Company charges WDV method of depreciation Alternatively, Depreciation Rate can
be determined based on SLM i.e. on Gross Value. [`100/1500= 6.67%]
2. Computation of Foreign Exchange Gain
Particulars (` Lakhs)
Profits for the year 2015-16:
Increase in Reserves [`500 Lakhs - `150 Lakhs] 350.00
Proposed Dividend 140.00 490.00
Particulars ` `
Fixed Assets (1,000 + Revaluation Gain 1,000 Addl. Depreciation `81.80) 1,918.20
Investments Trade 90.00
Overseas Debtors ($ 10.00 Lakhs x ` 48) 480.00
Indian Debtors 400.00
Stock in Trade at Current Cost 367.00
Cash and Bank Balances 300.00
Current Cost of Total Assets 3,555.20
Less: Outside Liabilities:
Note: Since the Proxy Capital Employed is based on Closing Balances, proposed dividend is treated as a liability.
This is because, such funds will not stand invested in the business in the future, but distributed in the immediate
future. Adjustments for Exchange Rate differences are assumed to be tax deductible.
5. Computation of Goodwill using different approaches
Illustration 34.
The following is the extract from the Balance Sheets of Popular Ltd.:
Additional information:
(i) Replacement values of Fixed assets were `1,100 lakhs on 31.3.15 and `1,250 lakhs on 31.3.2016 respectively.
(ii) Rate of depreciation adopted on Fixed Assets was 5% p.a.
(iii) 50% of the stock is to be valued at 120% of its book value,
(iv) 50% of investments were trade investments.
(v) Debtors on 31st March, 2016 included foreign debtors of $35,000 recorded in the books at `35 per U.S. Dollar.
The closing exchange rate was $1= `39.
(vi) Creditors on 31st March, 2016 included foreign creditors of $60,000 recorded in the books at $1 = `33. The
closing exchange rate was $1 = `39.
(vii) Profits for the year 2015-16 included `60 lakhs of government subsidy which was not likely to recur.
(viii)`125 lakhs of Research and Development expenditure was written off to the Profit and Loss Account in the
current year. This expenditure was not likely to recur.
(ix) Future maintainable profits (pre-tax) are likely to be higher by 10%.
(x) Tax rate during 2015-16 was 50%, effective future tax rate will be 40%.
(xi) Normal rate of return expected is 15%.
One of the directors of the company Sherjahan, fears that the company does not enjoy a goodwill in the prevalent
market circumstances.
Critically examine this and establish whether Popular Ltd. has or has not any goodwill.
If your answers were positive on the existence of goodwill, show the leverage effect it has on the companys result.
Industry average return was 12% on long-term funds and 15% on equity funds.
Solution:
1. Future Maintainable Profit
Particulars ` in Lakhs
Increase in General Reserve 25
Increase in Profit and Loss Account 30
Proposed Dividends 125
Profit After Tax 180
180 360
Pre-Tax Profit =
1 0.5
Less: Non-Trading investment income (10% of `125) 12.50
Subsidy 60.00
Exchange Loss on creditors [$ 0.6 lakhs x (` 39 - `33)] 3.60
Additional Depredation on increase in value of Fixed Assets (current year) 30.00 106.10
5
1250-650 = 1250 650 = 600 i.e.,
100
253.90
Particulars ` in Lakhs
As on 31.3.15 As on 31.3.16
Replacement Cost of Fixed Assets 1100.00 1250.00
Trade Investment (50%) 125.00 125.00
Current cost of stock
120 286.00
130 + 130
100
120 330.00
150 + 150
100
Debtors 170.00 111.40
Cash-at-Bank 46.00 43.00
Total (A) 1727.00 1859.40
Less: Outside Liabilities
18% term loan 180.00 165.00
Sundry creditors 35.00 48.60
Provision for tax 11.00 13.00
Total (B) 226.00 226.60
Capital employed (A B) 1501.00 1632.80
3. Valuation of Goodwill
(i) According to Capitalisation of Future Maintainable Profit Method
` in lakhs
253.64 1690.93
Capitalised value of Future Maintainable=
Profit 100
15
Less: Average capital employed 1566.90
Value of Goodwill 124.03
Or
` in lakhs
Future Maintainable Profit 253.64
Less: Normal Profit @15% on average capital employed (1566.90 x 15%) 235.03
Super Profit 18.61
Capitalised value of super profit i.e., Goodwill 124.06
` in lakhs ` in lakhs
Future Maintainable Profit on equity fund 253.64
Future Maintainable Profit on Long-term Trading Capital employed
Future Maintainable Profit After Tax 253.64
50 14.85 268.49
Add: Interest on Long-term Loan (Term Loan) (After considering Tax) 165 18% = 29.7
100
Average capital employed (Equity approach) 1,566.90
Add 18% Term Loan (180+165)/2 172.50
Average capital employed (Long-term Fund approach) 1739.40
Value of Goodwill
253.64 1690.93
Capitalised value of Future Maintainable Profit = 100
15
Less: Average capital employed 1566.90
Value of Goodwill 124.03
(B) Long-Term Fund Approach
2237.42
Capitalised value of Future Maintainable Profit = 268.49 100
12
Less: Average capital employed 1739.40
Value of Goodwill 498.02
Comments on Leverage effect of Goodwill:
Adverse Leverage effect on goodwill is 373.99 lakhs (i.e., `498.02 - 124.03). In other words, Leverage Ratio of
Popular Ltd. is low as compared to industry for which its goodwill value has been reduced when calculated with
reference to equity fund as compared to the value arrived at with reference to long term fund.
` in lakhs
(1) Stock adjustment
(i) Excess current cost of dosing stock over its Historical cost (330 300) 30.00
(ii) Excess current cost of opening stock over its Historical cost (286-260) 26.00
(iii) Difference [(i ii)] 4.00
(2) Debtors adjustment
(i) Value of foreign exchange debtors at the dosing exchange rate ($35,000 x 39) 13.65
(ii) Value of foreign exchange debtors at the original exchange rate ($35,000x35) 12.25
(iii) Difference [(i ii)] 1.40
(3) Creditors adjustment
(i) Value of foreign exchange creditors at the dosing exchange rate ($60,000 x 39) 23.40
(ii) Value of foreign exchange creditors at the original exchange rate ($60,000 x 33) 19.80
(iii) Difference [(i ii)] 3.60
Brand
Brands are strategic assets. The key to survival of companies is their brands in the modern world of complex and
competitive business environment. According to American Marketing association, brand means a name, term,
sign, symbol or design or group of sellers and to differentiate them from those of competitors. For example, the
logo and name Airtel, together represent the Brand of Airtel Ltd., a telecom company. Name Bata is by itself
a brand as their name itself, written in a particular style, is their corporate logo. At times name of a product is
considered as a brand name, e. g., Maggi. It conveys the noodles product of Nestle. Nestle as a company has its
own separate corporate brand logo of two small birds sitting on a small nest.
Corporate Branding represents the Brand of a corporate house, e. g., Reliance Industries Ltd. has their corporate
brand name as RIL with the image of a Lamp drawn in a particular style. Over and above this brand all their
products have separate brand name, e. g., Vimal is the brand name of their suiting and shirting cloths.
Thus corporate branding can be taken to mean strategic exercise by managerial decision making of creating,
developing, maintaining, conveying to market and monitoring the identity, image and ownership of a product
etc. Brand comprises an important item in that they greatly determine the corporate market value of a firm.
Brand achieves a significant value in commercial operation through the tangible and intangible elements. Brand
is that intangible assets which is acquired from outside source while acquiring business or may also be nurtured
internally by a company, which are known as home grown brands. By assigning a brand name to the product, the
manufacturer distinguishes it from rival products and helps the customer to identify it while going in for it.
Necessity of branding of products has increased enormously due to influence of various factors like growth of
competition, increasing importance of advertising etc, attracting customer loyalty to a corporate house and its
products, e. g., Tata Group, standing for unflinching quality and ethics. A powerful brand creates lasting impact
on the consumers and it is almost impossible to change his / her preference even if cheaper and alternative
products are available in the market, e. g., Zillet safety razors and baldes. Brands have major influence on takeover
decisions as the premium paid on takeover is almost always in respect of the strong brand portfolio of the acquired
company and of its long term effect on the profit of the acquiring company in the post acquisition period.
Brands Asset
An asset is having following characteristics;
(i) there must exist some specific right to future benefits or service potentials;
(ii) rights over asset must accrue to specific individual or firm;
(iii) there must be legally enforceable claim to the rights or services over the asset;
(iv) asset must arise out of past transaction or event or long standing business use, practice and marking of
products and corporate houses by one name and representing Logo for it.
Based on above characteristics, brands are considered as an asset. The sole purpose of establishing brand names
is to incur future benefit increased sale to loyal customers increased sale price of the brand itself or the business
that owns the brand. For example, if any healthcare products company wants to purchase Dettol as a product,
from Reckit Benckiser including its manufacturing facilities, the buyer will have to pay huge money for the brand
Dettol in addition to net fair value of assets and liabilities, because of acquiring the Dettol brand which by the
name itself indicates large volume of profit earning abilities
The companies with valuable brand register those names with the Patent Registration authority and are legally
entitled to sole ownership and use of them. International brands held by MNCs like Pepsi or Coca Cola are
registered in every country their operated their business. Brands are created through marketing efforts over time.
They are the result of several past transactions and events.
Objectives of corporate branding
Important objectives of corporate branding are as follows;
Corporate Identity: Brands help corporate houses to create and maintain identity for them in the market. This is
chiefly facilitated by brand popularity and the eventual customer loyalty attached to the brands.
Total Quality Management (TQM): By building brand image, it is possible for a body corporate to adopt and
practice TQM. Brands help in building lasting relationship between the brand owner and the brand user.
Customer Preference: Interaction between a specified group of products and services and a specified group of
loyal customers creates a psychological lasting impression in the mind of those customers. Branding gives them
advantage of status fulfilment.
Market Strength: By building strong brands, firms can enlarge and strengthen their market base. This would also
facilitate programmes, designed to achieve maximum market share.
Market Segmentation: By creating strong brand values, companies classify market into more strategic areas on
a homogeneous pattern of efficient operations. It enables firms to focus on target group of customers to meet
competition.
Quality, Governance and Ethical Values: A corporate house wants to convey through their brand about their
longstanding pursuit for quality, governance and ethical values.
determines the value from sellers point of view, the actual value is determined on the basis of expected
benefit to be derived by the purchaser by purchasing the brand.
(iv) Present Value Model:
According to present value model, the value of a brand is the sum total of present value of future estimated
flow of brand revenues for the entire economic life of brand plus the residual value attached to the brand.
The model is also called Discounted Cash Flow model which has wisely been used by considering the year
wise revenue attributable to the brand over a period of 5,8 or 10 years. The discounting rate is the weighted
average cost of capital. The residual value is estimated on the basis of a perpetual income, assuming that
such revenue is constant or increased at a constant rate.
Rt Re sidual value
Brand value
= +
(1+ r ) (1+ r )
t N
Where, Rt = Anticipated revenue in year t, attributable to the brand
r = Discounting rate
Residual value beyond year N
Brands supported by strong customer loyalty, may be visualised as a kind of an annuity. Great care must be taken
to estimate as much correctly as possible, the future cash flow likely to be generated from a strongly positioned
specific brand. A realistic present value of a particular brand having strong loyalty of customers can be obtained
from summation of discounted values of the expected future incomes from it.
DCF model for evaluating brand values has got three sources of failure; (i) anticipation of cash flow; (ii) choice of
period and (iii) discounting rate.
Illustration 35.
The following data is given to you regarding a company having a share in branded portion as well as unbranded
portion;
Illustration 36.
RS Ltd. furnishes the following information relating to the previous three years, and requests you to compute the
value of the brand of the Company
[` in Lakhs]
Inflation was 9% for 2015 and 15% for 2016. If the capitalization factor considering internal and external value
drivers to the brand is 14, determine the brand value. Assume an all inclusive future tax rate of 35%.
Solution:
(` in Lakhs)
Illustration 37.
The following financial share data pertaining to TECHNO LTD an IT company is made available to you:
You are required to calculate the Brand Value for Techno Ltd.
Solution:
TECHNO LTD.
Computation of Brand Value
(Amount in ` Crores)
Illustration 38.
From the following information determine the Possible Value of Brand as per Potential Earning Model
(` Lakhs)
CASE B ---
Particulars ` Lakhs
Profit Before Tax 15.00
Less: Income Tax (3.00)
Profit After Tax 12.00
Less: Normal Return Tangible Assets (6.00)
Less: Normal Return from Other Intangible Assets (`10 Lakhs x 25%) (2.50)
Brand Earnings 3.50
Capitalization factor 25%
Therefore, Value of Brand (`3.50 Lakhs 25%) 14 Lakhs
Illustration 39.
Sanju Ltd. has hired a Marketing Consultancy Firm for doing market research and provide data relating to Tyre
industry for the next 10 years. The following were the observations and projections made by the consultancy firm ---
1. The Tyre Industry in the target area i.e. Whole of India, is expected to grow at 5% p. a. for the next 3 years, and
thereafter at 7% p. a. over the subsequent seven years.
2. The market size in terms of unencumbered basic sales of Tyres was estimated at `8,000 Lakhs in the last year,
dominated by medium and large players. This includes roughly 9.0% of fake brands and locally manufactured
Tyres. Market share of this segment is expected to increase by 0.5%.
3. Cheap Chinese imports accounts for 40% of the business (but 60% of the volume). This is expected to increase
by 0.25% over the next decade.
4. The other large players account for roughly 35% of the business value, which is expected to go down by 0.5%
over the next ten years, due to expansion of Sanju Ltd.s product portfolio.
5. The Company is in the process of business re-engineering, which will start yielding results in 2 years time, and
increase its profitability by 3% from its existing 12%.
If the appropriate discount rate is 15% what is the Brand Value of Sanju Ltd., under Market Oriented Approach?
Solution:
(a) Current Market share = 100 Fake Brands 9% - Chinese Imports 40% - Other Domestic Brands 35% = 16%
(b) Increase or Decrease in Market Share: Chinese Imports 0.25% + Local Brands 0.5% - Other Players 0.5% = 0.25%
increase other products market share. Hence, market share is expected to fall by 0.25% every year over the
decade, from the current levels of 16%. Therefore, next year it will be 15.75%, the year after 15.50% etc.
Year Market Size (` Lakhs) Market Share Market Share Expected Discount Discounted
of Sanju Ltd. ` Lakhs Profit (` Lakhs) Factor at 15% Cash Flow
1 8,000.00 + 5% = 8,400.00 15.75% 1,323.00 @ 12% = 158.76 0.870 138.12
2 8,400.00 + 5% = 8,820.00 15.50% 1,367.10 @ 12% = 164.05 0.756 124.02
3 8,820.00 + 5% = 9,261.00 15.25% 1,412.30 @ 15% = 211.84 0.658 139.39
4 9,261.00 + 7% = 9,909.27 15.00% 1,486.39 @ 15% = 222.96 0.572 127.53
5 9,909.27 +7% = 10,602.92 14.75% 1,563.93 @ 15% = 234.59 0.497 116.59
6 10,602.92 +7% = 11,345.12 14.50% 1,645.04 @ 15% = 246.75 0.432 106.60
7 11,345.12 +7% = 12,139.28 14.25% 1,729.85 @ 15% = 259.48 0.376 97.56
8 12,139.28 +7% = 12,989.03 14.00% 1,818.46 @ 15% = 272.77 0.327 89.20
9 12,989.03 +7% = 13,898.26 13.75% 1,911.01 @ 15% = 286.65 0.284 81.41
10 13,898.26 +7% =14,871.14 13.50% 2,007.60 @ 15% = 301.14 0.247 74.38
Brand Value 1094.80
Brand Value of Sanju Ltd under Market Oriented Approach is `1094.80 Lakhs.
Introduction
The past few decades have witnessed a global transition from manufacturing to service based economies.
The fundamental difference between the two lies in the very nature of their assets. In the former, the physical
assets like plant, machinery, material etc. are of utmost importance. In contrast, in the latter, knowledge and
attitudes of the employees assume greater significance. For instance, in the case of an IT firm, the value of its
physical assets is negligible when compared with the value of the knowledge, experience, development and
application skills of its personnel. Similarly, in hospitals, academic institutions, consulting firms, etc., the total worth
of the organisation depends mainly on the skills of its employees and the services they render. Hence, the success
of these organizations is contingent on the quality of their Human Resource its knowledge, skills, competence,
motivation and understanding of the organisational culture.
In knowledge driven economies, therefore, it is imperative that the human resources be recognized as an integral
part of the total worth of an organisation. However, in order to estimate and project the worth of the human capital,
it is necessary that some method of quantifying the worth of the knowledge, motivation, skills, and contribution of
the human element as well as that of the organisational processes, like recruitment, selection, training etc., which
are used to build and support these human aspects, is developed. Human Resource Accounting (HRA) denotes
just this process of quantification/measurement of the Human Resource.
Human resource management activities include attraction, selection, acquisition, utilization retention, development
and utilization for next higher level of value additions. In the past, these activities were evaluated in behavioral
and statistical terms. Behavioral measures were the reactions of various groups of what individuals have learned
or of how their behaviors have changed on the job. Statistical Measures were ratios, percentages, measures of
central tendency and variability, and measures of correlation.
Today, because of rising costs, there is a need to evaluate HR management activities in economic terms. This
requires gathering information from Accounting, Finance, Economics and Behavioral Science.
Definition of Human Resource Accounting (HRA)
There are no generally accepted accounting procedures for employee valuation. The first major attempt at
employee valuation was made by R.G. Barry Corporation of Columbus, Ohio in their 1971 annual report, to enable
the company to report accurate estimates of the worth of the organizations human assets.
Finally, in an era where performance is closely linked to rewards and, therefore, the performance of all groups,
departments, and functions needs to be quantified to the extent possible, HRA helps in measuring the performance
of the HR function as such.
Cost Based Model
Historical Cost Model: This model was first introduced by R. Likert at R.G. Barry Corporation in Columbus, Ohio (USA)
in 1967. Under this model, The actual cost of recruiting, selecting, hiring, placing and developing the employees
of an organisation are capitalized and amortized over the expected useful life of the asset concerned. The sum
of are the cost as mentioned above for all the employees of the enterprise is taken to represent the total value
of human resources. If the assets are liquidated permanently, losses are recorded and if the asset has longer life
than estimated, are made in the amortized value. If an employees leaves the firm before the expiry of expected
service life of the employees the net asset value to that extent is charged to current revenue.
The model is simple and easy to understand and to be consistent with the matching principle. But it fails to
provide reasonable value to human assets. It only capitalize only recruiting training, development, placement
and inducting cost but ignores the future expected costs to incurred for their maintenance. Secondly estimation
of the number of years over which the capitalized expenditure is to be taken and is likely to be largely subjective.
It is difficult to calculate the rate which total expenditure on human resources is to be amortized. Lastly value of
human resource increase but through this treatment capital cost decrease through amortization.
The Replacement Cost Approach
Value to an organisation of an individuals services is reflected by the amount that the organisation would
have to pay to replace these services. This method consists of estimating the cost of replacing a firms existing
human resources; these costs will include costs of recruiting, selecting, hiring, training, placing and developing
new compliance of the existing employee. Falmhotz has offered two different concepts of replacement cost
individual and replacement cost refers to the cost that would have been incurred to replace an individual by a
substitute who can provide the some kind of services as that of the individual replacement. On the other hand,
positional replacement cost represents cost of replacing the set services of any individual in a defined position in an
organisation. The replacement cost approach incorporates the current value of the companys human resources.
It takes into account fluctuation of the job market and general rise in price level. This method is regarded as a
good surrogate for the economic value of the asset in the sense that market consideration is essential in reaching
a final figure. But it is difficult to find replacement of the excising human resources in actual practice.
Opportunity Cost Approach:
This model proposed by J.S. Hekimian and C.H. Jones in 1967. These methods are used to value employees
processing certain skills and thus are rate in availability. Under this method it is assumed that opportunity cost as
the best means to value HRs. According to this approach, the opportunity cost of on employee is determined by
using comparative bidding method. Under this method the investment centre managers will be for rare (scarce)
employees they need to recruit. In other words, employees who are not consider, are not included in the human
asset base of the organisation. This model provides for more optimal allocation of human resource and sets a
quantitative base for planning, Developing and evaluation human resources of the organisation. However, this
approach adopts discriminating attitude. Since it takes into account only scarce HRs.
Illustration 40.
A company has a capital base of `1 crore and has a earned profits to the tune of `11,00,000. The return on
investment (ROI) of the particular industry to which the company belongs is 12.5%. If acquired by a company, it is
expected that profits will increase by `250,000 over and above the target profit.
Determine the amount of maximum bid price for that particular exceptive and the maximum salary that could be
offered to him.
Case Study
Human Resources Valuation
Extracted from Infosys Annual Report, 2007
The dichotomy in accounting between human and non-human capital is fundamental. The latter is recognized
as an asset and is, therefore, recorded in the books and reported in the financial statements, whereas the former
is ignored by accountants. The definition of wealth as a source of income inevitably leads to the recognition of
human capital as one of the several forms of wealth such as money, securities and physical capital.
We have used the Lev & Schwartz model to compute the value of human resources. The evaluation is based on
the present value of future earnings of employees and on the following assumptions:
Employee compensation includes all direct and indirect benefits earned both in India and abroad.
The incremental earnings based on group/age have been considered.
The future earnings have been discounted at the cost of capital of 14.97% (previous year 12.96%).
Value-added in ` Crore
2007 % 2006 %
Income 13,893 9,521
Less: Operating expenses excluding personnel costs
Software development expenses 1,187 812
Selling and marketing expenses 371 231
General and administration expenses 834 587
2,392 1,630
Value-added from operations 11,501 7,891
Other income (including exceptional items) 378 139
Total value-added 11,879 8,030
Distribution of value-added
Human resources:
Salaries and bonus 7,112 59.9 4,801 59.8
Providers of capital:
Dividend 654 5.5 1,238 15.4
Minority interest 11 0.1 21 0.3
Interest -- -- -- --
665 5.6 1,259 15.7
Taxes:
Income taxes 386 3.2 313 3.9
Illustration 41.
From the following data in respect of an employer kindly calculate the total value of Human Capital under Lev
and Schwarts Model
Distribution of Employees
Retirement age is 55 years. Apply discount factor of 15%. In calculation of total value of Human factor the lowest
value of each class should be taken Annuity factor @ 15%.
Solution:
VALUATION IN RESPECT OF UNSKILLED EMPLOYEES
1. Age Group 30-39: (assuming that all 100 employees are just 30 years old)
2. Age Group 40-49: (assuming that all 50 employees are just 40 years old)
2. Age Group 40-49: (assuming that all 30 employees are just 40 years old)
3.Age Group 50-54: (assuming that all 20 employees are just 50 years old)
2.Age Group 40-49: (assuming that all 20 employees are just 40 years old)
3. Age Group 50-54 : (assuming that all 10 employees are just 50 years old)
Illustration 42.
A company has a capital base of `3 crore and has earned profits of `33 Lakhs. Return on investment of the
particular industry to which the company belongs is 12.5%. If the services of a particular executive are acquired by
the company, it is expected that the profits will increase by `7.5 lakhs over and above the target profit. Determine
the amount of maximum bid price for that particular executive and the maximum salary that could be offered to
him.
Particulars `
Capital Base 3,00,00,000
Actual profit 33,00,000
Target profit (`3Cr 12.5%) 37,50,000
Solution:
1. Maximum Salary Payable:
Particulars ` Lakhs
Capital Base 300.00
Target Profits (= Capital Base x 12.50%) 37.50
Add: Extra Profits due to induction of the Executive 7.50
Total Profits of the Company (anticipated after induction of the Executive) 45.00
Less: Current Profits 33.00
Incremental Profit 12.00
Maximum Salary = Incremental Profit due to introduction = `12.00 Lakhs per annum.
2. Maximum Bid Price:
= Value of Salary Payable in perpetuity
= Maximum Salary Payable Desired Rate of Return on Investment
= `12 Lakh 12.5% = `96 Lakhs.
VALUE ADDED
Value Added is the wealth created by a Firm, through the combined effort of (1) Capital (2) Management and
(3) Employees. This wealth concept arises due to the input - output exchange between a Firm and components of
its external environment. Value Added = Sale Value of Outputs Less Cost of Bought in goods, utilities and services.
Economic Value Added (EVA) an aid to Valuation
It is a performance metric that calculates the creation of shareholder value. It distinguishes itself from traditional
financial performance metrics such as net profit and EPS. EVA is the calculation of what profits remain after the
cost of companys capital, comprising of both debt and equity, are deducted from operating profit.
The value of a firm is the sum of the capital invested and the present value of the economic value added. The
present value of the economic value added by an asset over its life is the net present value of that asset. The value
of a firm can be written as the sum of three components, the capital invested in assets in place, the present value
of the economic value added by these assets, and the expected present value of the economic value that will
be added by future investments. It can be calculated as:
t=
EVA t=
EVA
Firm Value = Capital Invested Assets in Place + +
t,Assets in place t, Future Pr oject
Where:
Economic Value Added for all years = (Return on Capital Invested WACC) (Capital Invested)
Terminal EVA= EVA / (WACC Net sales growth rate).
WACC = Cost of capital means the fair rate of return to invested capital, which goes to all claimholders. It is
computed by multiplying Capital invested with WACC.
Return on Capital = Operating Income (1 tax rate) / Capital Invested
NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Tax
NOPLAT = Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes.
It means total operating profit for a firm with adjustments made for taxes. It is used in variant of the FCF and used
in mergers of acquisitions.
NOPLAT is very similar to NOPAT, except its (net income + after tax interest expenses + Deferred taxes)
Capital Invested for all years = Total equity + Interest bearing liabilities + Convertibles - Total interest bearing
financial assets.
Capital Invested for terminal year = (NOPLAT Gross capital expenditure Change in working capital + Increase
in non-interest bearing liabilities Total depreciation) / (Net sales growth NOPLAT).
Illustration 43.
Consider a firm that has assets in place in which it has capital invested of `100 crores. Assume the following further
facts about the firm:
1. The after-tax operating income on assets in place is `15 crores. This return on capital of 15% is expected to be
sustained in the future, and the company has a cost of capital of 10%.
2. At the beginning of each of the next 5 years, the firm is expected to make investments of `10 crores each.
These investments are also expected to earn 15% as a return on capital, and the cost of capital is expected
to remain 10%.
3. After year 5, the company will continue to make investments and earnings will grow 5% a year, but the new
investments will have a return on capital of only 10%, which is also the cost of capital.
4. All assets and investments are expected to have infinite lives. Thus, the assets in place and the investments
made in the first five years will make 15% a year in perpetuity, with no growth.
This firm can be valued using an economic value added approach as follows:
Calculate EVA
Solution:
Economic Value Added = (Return on operating capital weighted average cost of capital) Operating capital.
Working Note 1
Calculation of Return on operating capital
NOPAT = `
Profit before tax 2,00,000
+ Interest Expense 60,000
- Non operating income 10,000
Operating EBIT 2,50,000
Less: economic taxes @ 40% 1,00,000
NOPAT 1,50,000
Working Note 2
Calculation of Operating Capital
`
Equity Share capital 5,00,000
Reserve and surplus 6,00,000
13% preference share capital 2,00,000
20% debenture 3,00,000
Total 16,00,000
Less: Non operating assets 1,00,000
Operating Capital 15,00,000
1,50,000
ROOC = 100 =
10%
15,00,000
Illustration: 45
Following is the Profit and Loss Account and Balance Sheet for M/s Henry Ltd.
(` in lakhs)
2015 2016
Turnover 652 760
Pre-tax accounting profit 134 168
Taxation 46 58
Profit after tax 88 110
Dividends 30 36
Retained earnings 58 74
Balance Sheet extracts are as follows: (` in lakhs)
2015 2016
Fixed Assets 240 312
Net current assets 260 320
Total 500 632
Equity Share holders funds 390 472
Medium and long-term bank loan 110 160
Solution:
Calculation of ROOC: (` in lakhs)
Calculation of WACC:
Since EVA has declined in Year 2014 by 99.56 Lakhs this can be attributed as reason for non-satisfaction.
Illustration: 46
(a) Explain the concept of market value added (MVA). How is EVA connected with MVA?
(b) From the following information concerning Nebula Ltd., prepare a statement showing computation of EVA for
the year ended 31st March 2016:
` `
Sales 20,00,000
Cost of goods sold 12,00,000
Gross Profit 8,00,000
Expenses:
General 2,00,000
Office and administration 2,50,000
Selling and distribution 64,000 5,14,000
Profit before interest and tax (PBIT) 2,86,000
Interest 36,000 36,000
Profit before tax (PBT) 2,50,000
Tax 40% 1,00,000
Profit after tax 1,50,000
EBIT 2,86,000
Less: Tax (40%) 1,14,400
NOPAT 1,71,600
Calculation of Operating Capital
Equity Share Capital 2,40,000
+ Reserve & Surplus 1,60,000
+ Term Loans 2,40,000
Operating Capital 6,40,000
1,71,600
ROOC = 100 = 26.81%
6, 40, 000
Calculation of WACC
36, 000
Kd = (1 0.40) = 3.38%
6, 40, 000
12%
Ke = 4,00,000 = 7.50%
6, 40, 000
Illustration: 47
Following is the information collected for a company, provided to you:
BALANCE SHEET OF XYZ LTD AS AT 31st MARCH
(` in Crores)
Particular 2016
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES:
SHAREHOLDERS FUNDS
Share capital 36.37
STATEMENT OF PROFIT AND LOSS OF XYZ LTD. FOR THE YEAR ENDING ON 31st MARCH . (` in Crores)
Particulars 2016
Revenue from operations 295.00
Less: Excise Duty 26.39
268.61
Other Operating Income 0.30
Other Income 0.13
TOTAL Revenue 269.04
If the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 15% then you are required to calculate EVA for the year 2015-
16.
Solution:
EVA = NOPAT Capital Employed x Cost of Capital
Liabilities may be defined as currently existing obligation which a business enterprise intends to meet at some
time in future. Such obligations arise from legal or managerial considerations and impose restrictions on the use of
assets by the enterprise for its own purposes. Accounting Board of USA defines liabilities as economic obligations
of an enterprise that are recognised and measured in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles.
Liabilities also include certain deferred credits that are not obligations but that are recognised and measured in
conformity with generally accepted accounting principles.
Actual liabilities valuation can be done on the basis of true and fair financial position of the business entity. Valuation
should be properly disclose, otherwise it can make disturb to show actual financial health of the company. More
clearly under valuation or over valuation of liabilities may not only affect the operating result and financial position
of the current period but will also affect these for the next accounting period.
Determinants of Liabilities Valuation
(a) The obligation must, of course, exist at the present time. That is, it must arise out of some past transaction or
event. It may arise from the acquisition of goods or services, from losses already sustained for which the firm is
liable, or from the expectation of losses for which the firm has obligation itself.
(b) Equitable obligations or duties should be included if they are based on the necessity of making future payment
to maintain good business relationship or if they are in accordance with normal business practice.
(c) There should be little or no discretion to avoid the future sacrifice. It is necessary that the amount of the
obligation be known with certainty so long as a future sacrifice is probable.
(d) There should be a determinable maturity value or the expectation that payment of an amount determined by
reasonable estimation will be required at some specific time in the future, even through the exact thing is not
known at present. The time of payment may be extended by the substitution of new liabilities, or the obligation
may be terminated by their conversion into stockholder equities.
(e) Normally, the payee would be known or be identifiable either specifically or as a group. However, so long the
payee becomes identifiable by the settlement date, it is not necessary that the payer knows the identity of
payee or that the creditor professes the claim or has knowledge of it at the present time.
The valuation of liabilities is part of the process of measuring both capital and income, and is important to such
problems as capital maintenance and the ascertainment of a firms financial position. According to Borton, the
requirements for an accurate measurement of the financial position and financial structure should determine
the basis for liability valuation. Their valuation should be consistent with the valuation of assets and expenses. The
need for consistency arises from the objectives of liability valuation, which are similar to those to asset valuation.
Probably the most important of these objectives is the desire to record expenses and financial losses in the process
of measuring income. However, the valuation of liabilities should also assist investors and creditors in understanding
the financial position.
Liabilities may be values (i) at their discounted net values in accordance with the manner of valuing assets in
economics; (ii) in accordance with accounting conventions, they may be recorded at their historic value, that
is, the valuation attached to the contractual basis by which they were created. There is no difference between
the two methods of valuation as regards liabilities which are payable immediately and it is only as the maturity
date of liabilities, that makes the difference. While accounting conventions dicate that the valuation of liabilities
should be based on the sum which is payable, it is accounting practice to make a distinction between current
and long-term liabilities. As regard current liabilities there is little difference between the discounted net value
and the contractual value of liabilities. In this connection, current liabilities are defined as those which will mature
during the course of accounting period. The gap between the two methods of valuation is significant as regard
long term liabilities. Long term liabilities are valued on the basis of their historical value, that is, by reference to the
contract from which they originated, and hence, during periods of inflation or where the interest payable is less
than the current market rate of interest, the accounting valuation will certainly be overstated by comparison with
the discounted net value.
Different Processes involved in Liabilities Valuation
There is different process of valuation of liabilities which are discussed below:
Historical Cost: The value of liabilities are recorded at the amount of proceeds received in exchange for the
Liabilities
As a practical guide, the FASB says to record an actual liability if a (a) it is probable that the business has suffered
a loss and (b) it amount can be reasonably estimated. If both of these conditions are met, the FASB reasons that
the obligation has passed from contingent to real, even if its amount is estimated.
(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) Intangible assets are treated as assets. (Fictitious/Fixed)
(ii) is a measure of value of which tells whether a company is able to generate returns that exceed
the costs of capital employed. (Economic Value Added/Market Value Added/ Enterprise Value Added)
(iii) If a bond of a company is trading at a premium in the market then its yield-to-maturity will be ______________
its current yield. (more than / less than / same as)
(iv) Net Operating Profit After Taxes (Capital Employed x the Cost of Capital) is called______________ .(Book
Value Added/Market Value Added/ Economic Value Added)
Answer:
(i) Fixed
(ii) Economic Value Added
(iii) less than
(iv) Economic Value Added
(v) Within
(vi) normally
(vii) destroying
(viii) lower is
(ix) Intangible, Intangible
(x) Directly
(c) In each of the questions given below one out of the four options is correct. Indicate the correct answer:
(i) Which is not a, human capital related intangible asset?
(A) Trained workforce
(B) Employment agreements
(C) Union contracts
(D) Design patent
(ii) X Ltd. has `100 crores worth of common equity on its balance sheet comprising of 50 lakhs shares. The
companys Market Value Added (MVA) is `24 crores. What is companys stock price?
(A) `230
(B) `238
(C) `248
(D) `264
(iii) A firms current assets and current liabilities are 1600 and 1000 respectively. How much can it borrow on a
short-term basis without reducing the current ratio below 1.25?
(A) `1,000
(B) `1,200
(C) `1,400
(D) `1,600
(iv) Identify which of the following is not a financial liability
(A) X Ltd. has 1 lakh `10 ordinary shares issued
(B) X Ltd. has 1 lakh 8% `10 redeemable preference shares issued
(C) X Ltd. has `2,00,000 of 6% bonds issued
(D) Both (A) and (B)
(v) An investment is risk free when actual returns are always--------------the expected returns.
(A) equal to
(B) less than
(C) more than
(D) depends upon circumstances
Answer:
(i) (D) Design Patent
(ii) (C) `248
`(100+24) crores / 50 lakhs shares
= `248
(iii) (B)`1400
Amount of borrowing be x. (Current Asset will increase because borrowing will increase the cash amount)
1600 + X
= 1.25
1000 + X
Or, X = 1400
(iv) (A) X Ltd. has 1 lakh `10 ordinary shares issued
A share is an indivisible unit of capital, expressing the proprietary relationship between the company and the
shareholder.
(v) (A) Equal to
Business Strategy: A business strategy typically is a document that clearly articulates the direction that a business
will pursue and the steps it will take to achieve its goals. In a standard business plan, the business strategy results
from goals established to support the stated mission of the business. A typical business strategy is developed in
three steps: analyses, integration and implementation. Analyses include PESTEL, SWOT and Risks. The former calls
for analyses of contemporary business ecosystem covering Product, Economy, Society, Technology, Environment
and Legal.
Strategies for entering to a new business
An organization can enter into a new or unrelated business in any of the following three forms:
(a) Acquisition
(b) Internal start-up
(c) Joint Ventures or strategic partnerships
Corporate Restructuring
Restructuring of business is an integral part of the new economic paradigm. As controls and restrictions give
way to competition and free trade, restructuring and reorganization become essential. Restructuring usually
involves major organizational change such as shift and /or medication in corporate strategies to meet increased
competition or changed market conditions. This is also required by way of a measure to prepare for and mitigating
forthcoming threats, risks and challenges as well as make best use of emerging opportunities.
This activity can take place internally in the form of new investments in plant and machinery, research and
development at product and process levels. It can also take place externally through mergers and acquisitions
(M&A) by which a firm may acquire another firm or by which joint venture with other firms. At times there may be
a need to demerge an existing activity, division or desubsidiarising a subsidiary from the group held by a parent
company.
This restructuring process has been mergers, acquisitions, takeovers, collaborations, consolidation, diversification,
demergers etc. Domestic firms have taken steps to consolidate their position to face increasing competitive
pressures and MNCs have taken this opportunity to enter Indian corporate sector.
A. Expansion
Amalgamation: This involves fusion of one or more companies where the companies lose their individual
identity and a new company comes into existence to take over the business of companies being liquidated.
The merger of Brooke Bond India Ltd. and Lipton India Ltd. resulted in formation of a new company Brooke
Bond Lipton India Ltd.
Absorption: This involves fusion of a small company with a large company where the smaller company ceases
to exist after the merger. The merger of Tata Oil Mills Ltd. (TOMCO) with Hindustan Lever Ltd. (HLL) is an example
of absorption.
Tender offer: This involves making a public offer for acquiring the shares of a target company with a view to
acquire management control in that company. Takeover by Tata Tea of Consolidated Coffee Ltd. (CCL) is
an example of tender offer where more than 50% of shareholders of CCL sold their holding to Tata Tea at the
offered price which was more than the investment price.
Asset acquisition: This involves buying assets of another company. The assets may be tangible assets like
manufacturing units or intangible like brands. Hindustan Lever Limited buying brands of Lakme is an example
of asset acquisition. In this process only working assets are taken over leaving behind all liabilities and human
resources to the selling company.
Joint venture: This involves two companies coming whose ownership is changed. DCM group and DAEWOO
MOTORS entered into a joint venture to form DAEWOO Ltd. for manufacturing automobiles in India.
B. Contraction
There are generally the following types of DEMERGER:
Spinoff: This type of demerger involves division of company into wholly owned subsidiary of parent company
by distribution of all its shares of subsidiary company on Pro-rata basis. By this way, both the companies i.e.
holding as well as subsidiary company exist and carry on business. For example, Kotak, Mahindra Finance
Ltd. formed a subsidiary called Kotak Mahindra Capital Corporation, by spinning off its investment banking
division. At time demerger also takes place by one company selling one of its line of activities and / or group
of assets including brand if required.
Split ups: This type of demerger involves the division of parent company into two or more separate companies
where parent company ceases to exist after the demerger.
Equity carve out: This is similar to spin offs, except that same part of shareholding of this subsidiary company is
offered to public through a public issue and the parent company continues to enjoy control over the subsidiary
company by holding controlling interest in it. This is also called unleashing of values.
Promoters of a company can also dilute their holding in a listed company through Offer for Sale following the
a monopoly or a near monopoly. In common parlance when a large FMCG company acquires and merges
with it a logistics management company by way of a cost reduction measure, essentially it is considered as a
part of horizontal merger. It may or may not decide to take business from any other third party
(b) Vertical merger: It means the merger of two companies which are in different field altogether, the coming
together of two concerns may give rise to a situation similar to a monopoly. Under this group the examples
could of an upstream company merging with downstream company, e. g., merger of a crude oil exploration
company with an oil refining company.
(c) Reverse merger : Where, in order to avail benefit to carry forward of losses which are available according to
tax law only to the company which had incurred them, the profit making company is merged with companies
having accumulated losses.
(d) Conglomerate merger: Such mergers involved firms engaged in unrelated type of business operations. In other
words, the business activities of acquirer and the target are not related to each other horizontally or vertically,
i.e. producing the same or competitive products nor vertically having relationship of buyer and supplier.
(e) Co-generic merger: In these mergers, the acquirer and the target companies are related through basic
technologies, production processes or market. The acquired company represents an extension of product
line, market participants or technologies of the acquirer. When a smart phone manufacturing company takes
over a company manufacturing Tabs, it will be a considered as a co-generic merger as product groups are
essentially same except the voice part.
Amalgamation
Amalgamation is an arrangement or reconstruction. It is a legal process by which two or more companies are
to be absorbed or blended with another. As a result, the amalgamating company loses its existence and its
shareholders become shareholders of a new company or the amalgamated company. In case of amalgamation
a new company may came into existence or an old company may survive while amalgamating company may
lose its existence. There may be amalgamation by transfer of one or more undertakings to a new company or
transfer of one or more undertaking to an existing company. Amalgamation signifies the transfers of all or some
part of assets and liabilities of one or more than one existing company or two or more companies to a new
company.
Types of Amalgamation
The Accounting Standard, AS-14, issued by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India has defined the term
amalgamation by classifying (i) Amalgamation in the nature of merger, and (ii) Amalgamation in the nature of
purchase.
(a) Amalgamation in the nature of merger: As per AS-14, an amalgamation is called in the nature of merger if it
satisfies all the following condition:
All the assets and liabilities of the transferor company should become, after amalgamation; the assets and
liabilities of the other company.
Shareholders holding not less than 90% of the face value of the equity shares of the transferor company
(other than the equity shares already held therein, immediately before the amalgamation, by the
transferee company or its subsidiaries or their nominees) become equity shareholders of the transferee
company by virtue of the amalgamation.
The consideration for the amalgamation receivable by those equity shareholders of the transferor
company who agree to become equity shareholders of the transferee company is discharged by the
transferee company wholly by the issue of equity share in the transferee company, except that cash may
be paid in respect of any fractional shares.
The business of the transferor company is intended to be carried on, after the amalgamation, by the
transferee company.
No adjustment is intended to be made in the book values of the assets and liabilities of the transferor
Thus, demerger also occur due to reasons almost the same as mergers i.e. the desire to perform better and
strengthen efficiency, maximisation of synergy benefits business interest and longevity and to curb losses, wastage
and competition. Undertakings demerge to delineate businesses and fix responsibility, liability and management
so as to ensure improved results from each of the demerged unit.
Demerged Company, according to Section (19AA) of Income Tax Act, 1961 means the company whose
undertaking is transferred, pursuant to a demerger to a resulting company.
Resulting company, according to Section2(47A) of Income Tax Act,1961 means one or more company, (including a
wholly owned subsidiary thereof) to which the undertaking of the demerged company is transferred in a demerger,
and the resulting company in consideration of such transfer of undertaking issues shares to the shareholders of
the demerged company and include any authority or body or local authority or public sector company or a
company established, constituted or formed as a result of demerger.
Reverse Merger
Normally, a small company merges with large company or a sick company with healthy company. However, in
some cases, reverse merger is done. When a healthy company merges with a sick or a small company is called
reverse merger. This may be for various reasons. Some reasons for a reverse merger are:
The transferee company is a sick company and has carry forward losses and Transferor Company is profit making
company. If Transferor Company merges with the sick transferee company, it gets advantage of setting-off
carry forward losses without any conditions. If sick company merges with healthy company, many restrictions are
applicable for allowing set off, the most important one is change of ownership at entity level.
In such cases, it is provided that on the date of merger, name of Transferee Company will be changed to that of
Transferor Company. Thus, outside people even may not know that the transferor company with which they are
dealing after merger is not the same as earlier one. One such approved in Shiva Texyarn Ltd.
Forces that drive M & A Activities
The major forces which drive M&A activities since the early 1990s have been identified as the following:
(i) Rapid pace of technological change;
(ii) Low costs of communication and transportation;
(iii) Globalization and global markets;
(iv) Nature of competition in terms of forms, sources and intensity;
(v) Emergence of new types of industries;
(vi) Regulation in some industries and sectors;
(vii) Liberalization in some industries and sectors;
(viii)Maximisation of synergy benefits, deriving benefits of scale, larger market share, expansion of complimentary
product basket, extending benefits of corporate brand, etc.
(ix) Growing inequalities in incomes and wealth.
Merger activity generally comes in waves, and is most common when shares are overvalued. The late 1990s saw
fevered activity. Then the pace slowed in most industries, particularly after September 11, 2001. It picked up again
in mid-2003 as companies that weathered the global recession sought bargains among their battered brethren.
By the start of 2006, a mergers and acquisitions boom was in full swing, provoking a nationalist backlash in some
European countries. The future of the merger wave now depends on how deep the downturn in private equity
proves to be.
Possible causes of different types of Merger
An extensive appraisal of each merger scheme is done to patterns the causes of mergers. These hypothesized
causes (motives) as defined in the mergers schemes and explanatory statement framed by the companies at the
from the proposed merger. Any investor who wants to reduce risk by diversifying between two companies, say,
ABC Company and PQR Company, may simply buy the stocks of these two companies and merge them into
a portfolio. The merger of these companies is not necessary for him to enjoy the benefits of diversification. As a
matter of fact, his home-made diversification give him far greater flexibility. He can contribute the stocks of ABC
Company and PQR Company in any proportion he likes as he is not confronted with a fixed proportion that result
from the merger.
Thus, Diversification into new areas and new products can also be a motive for a firm to merge another with it.
A firm operating in North India, if merges with another firm operating primarily in South India, can definitely cover
broader economic areas. Individually these firms could serve only a limited area. Moreover, products diversification
resulting from merger can also help the new firm fighting the cyclical/ seasonal fluctuations. For example, firm
A has a product line with a particular cyclical variations and firm B deals in product line with counter cyclical
variations. Individually, the earnings of the two firms may fluctuate in line with the cyclical variations. However, if
they merge, the cyclically prone earnings of firm A would be set off by the counter cyclically prone earnings of
firm B. Smoothing out the earnings of a firm over the different phases of a cycle tends to reduce the risk associated
with the firm.
Through the diversification effects, merger can produce benefits to all firms by reducing the variability of firms
earnings. If firm As income generally rises when Bs income generally falls, and vice-a versa, the fluctuation of one
will tend to set off the fluctuations of the other, thus producing a relatively level pattern of combined earnings.
Indeed, there will be some diversification effect as long as the two firms earnings are not perfectly correlated
(both rising and falling together). This reduction in overall risk is particularly likely if the merged firms are in different
lines of business.
A firm wants to diversify to achieve:
Sales and growth with stability or lesser volatility in long run,
Favourable growth developments,
Favourable competition shifts,
Benefits from technological changes, etc.
(a) External and Internal Growth: A company may expand and/or diversify its markets internally or externally. If the
company cannot grow internally due to lack of physical and managerial resources, it can grow externally by
combining its operations with other companies through mergers and acquisitions. Mergers and acquisitions
may help to accelerate the pace of a companys growth in a convenient and inexpensive manner.
For example, RPG Group had a turnover of only ` 80 crores in 1979. This has increased to about ` 5600 crores
in 1996. This phenomenal growth was due to the acquisitions of several companies by the RPG Group. Some
of the companies acquired are Asian Cables, Ceat, Calcutta Electricity Supply, etc. This kind of strategies to
achieve growth is termed as inorganic growth strategy.
(b) Market Share: A merger can increase the market share of the merged firm. The increased concentration or
market share improves the profitability of the firm due to economies of scale.
The acquisition of Universal Luggage by Blow Plast is an example of limiting competition to increase market
power. Before the merger, the two companies were competing fiercely with each other leading to a severe
price war and increased marketing costs. As a result of the merger, Blow Plast has obtained a strong hold
on the market and now operates under near monopoly situation. Yet another example is the acquisition of
Tomco by Hindustan Lever. Hindustan Lever at the time of merger was expected to control one-third of three
million ton soaps and detergents markets and thus, substantially reduce the threat of competition.
(c) Purchase of assets at bargain price: Mergers may be explained by the opportunity to acquire assets, particularly
land, mined rights, plant and equipment at lower cost than would be incurred if they were purchased or
constructed at current market prices. If market prices of many stocks have been considerably below the
replacement cost of the assets they represent, expanding firm considering constructing plants developing
mines, or buying equipment.
Thus, vertical merger may take place to integrate forward or backward. Forward integration is where company
merges to come close to its customers. A holiday tour operator might acquire chain of travel agents and use
them to promote his own holiday rather than those of rival tour operators. So forward or downstream vertical
integration involves takeover of customer business.
Tata Teas acquisition of consolidated coffee which produces coffee beans and Asian Coffee, which
possesses coffee beans, was also backward integration which helped reduce exchange inefficiencies by
eliminating market transactions. The merger of Samtel Electron services (SED) with Samtel Color Ltd. (SCL)
entailed backward integration of SED which manufactures electronic components required to make picture
tubes with SCL, a leading maker of color picture tube.
Mergers & Acquisitions have gained importance in recent time
Merger - Its the most talked about term today creating lot of excitement and speculative activity in the markets.
But before Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) activity speeds up, it has to actually pass through a long chain of
procedures (both legal and financial), which at times delays the deal.
With the liberalization of the Indian economy in 1991, restrictions on Mergers and Acquisitions have been lowered.
The process has further been simplified in the Companies Act, 2013 and also by introducing several business friendly
regulatory provisions by RBI and FEMA, FDI for outbound and inbound M&As involving off-shore companies. The
numbers of Mergers and Acquisitions have increased many times in the last decade compared to the slack period
of 1970-80s when legal hurdles trimmed the M&A growth. To put things in perspective, from 15 mergers in 1998,
the number crossed to over 280 in FY01. With a downturn in the capital markets, valuations have come down to
historic lows. Its high time that the consolidation game speeds up.
In simple terms, a merger means blending of two or more existing undertakings into one, consequent to which each
undertaking would lose their separate identity. The most common reasons for mergers are, operating synergies,
market expansion, diversification, growth, consolidation of production capacities and tax savings. However, these
are just some of the illustrations and not the exhaustive benefits.
Again, before the idea of Merger and Acquisition crystallizes, the firm needs to understand its own capabilities and
industry position. It also needs to know the same about the other firms it seeks to tie up with, to get a real benefit
from a merger.
Globalization has increased the competitive pressure in the markets. In a highly challenging environment a strong
reason for merger and acquisition is a desire to survive. Thus apart from growth, the survival factor has off late,
spurred the merger and acquisition activity worldwide.
The present study gives some insight as to why the companies are going for merger and acquisition and what
are the legal, tax and financial aspects governing them. The study also deals with other aspects such as types of
merger, motives, reasons, and successful consolidation in merger, recent trend in merger and acquisition activity.
Lastly few case studies involving the merger and acquisition have been taken.
Mergers, acquisitions and restructuring have become a major force in the financial and economic environment
all over the world. Essentially an American phenomenon till the middle of 1970s, they have become a dominant
global business theme at present. On Indian scene too corporate are seriously making at mergers, acquisitions
which has become order of the day.
Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and corporate restructuring are a big part of the corporate finance world. Every
day, Wall Street investment bankers arrange M&A transactions, which bring separate companies together to form
larger ones. When theyre not creating big companies from smaller ones, corporate finance deals do the reverse
and break up companies through spin-offs, carve-outs or tracking stocks.
Not surprisingly, these actions often make the news. Deals can be worth hundreds of millions, or even billions, of
dollars. They can dictate the fortunes of the companies involved for years to come. For a CEO, leading an M&A
can represent the highlight of a whole career. And it is no wonder we hear about so many of these transactions;
they happen all the time. Next time you flip open the newspapers business section, odds are good that at least
one headline will announce some kind of M&A transaction.
Gains Pains
(i) Financial Returns/Profitability (i) Expenses / Drain on Profitability
(ii) Aligned Org Structure. (ii) Time and resource required to manager / transition.
(iii) New approaches to conducting work. (iii) Reduced work productivity and quality.
(iv) Motivated and capable talent. (iv) Unintended consequences for employees attitudes and
behaviour.
(v) Desired culture. (v) Culture clash.
(vi) Cost Savings. (vi) Concerns of stakeholders.
Investors in a company that are aiming to take over another one must determine whether the purchase will be
beneficial to them. In order to do so, they must ask themselves how much the company being acquired is really
worth.
Naturally, both sides of an M&A deal will have different ideas about the worth of a target company: its seller will
tend to value the company at as high of a price as possible, while the buyer will try to get the lowest price that
he can.
There are, however, many legitimate ways to value companies. The most common method is to look at comparable
companies in an industry, but deal makers employ a variety of other methods and tools when assessing a target
company. Here are just a few of them:
1. Comparative Ratios - The following are two examples of the many comparative metrics on which acquiring
companies may base their offers:
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) - With the use of this ratio, an acquiring company makes an offer that is
a multiple of the earnings of the target company. Looking at the P/E for all the stocks within the same
industry group will give the acquiring company good guidance for what the targets P/E multiple should
be.
Enterprise-Value-to-Sales Ratio (EV/Sales) - With this ratio, the acquiring company makes an offer as a
multiple of the revenues, again, while being aware of the price-to-sales ratio of other companies in the
industry.
2. Replacement Cost - In a few cases, acquisitions are based on the cost of replacing the target company. For
simplicitys sake, suppose the value of a company is simply the sum of all its equipment and staffing costs.
The acquiring company can literally order the target to sell at that price, or it will create a competitor for
the same cost. Naturally, it takes a long time to assemble good management, acquire property and get the
right equipment. This method of establishing a price certainly wouldnt make much sense in a service industry
where the key assets - people and ideas - are hard to value and develop.
3. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - A key valuation tool in M&A, discounted cash flow analysis determines a
companys current value according to its estimated future cash flows. Forecasted free cash flows (net income
+ depreciation/amortization - capital expenditures - change in working capital) are discounted to a present
value using the companys weighted average costs of capital (WACC). Admittedly, DCF is tricky to get right,
but few tools can rival this valuation method.
Synergy: The Premium for Potential Success
For the most part, acquiring companies nearly always pay a substantial premium on the stock market value of
the companies they buy. The justification for doing so nearly always boils down to the notion of synergy; a merger
benefits shareholders when a companys post-merger share price increases by the value of potential synergy.
Lets face it; it would be highly unlikely for rational owners to sell if they would benefit more by not selling. That
means buyers will need to pay a premium if they hope to acquire the company, regardless of what pre-merger
valuation tells them. For sellers, that premium represents their companys future prospects. For buyers, the premium
represents part of the post-merger synergy they expect can be achieved. The following equation offers a good
way to think about synergy and how to determine whether a deal makes sense. The equation solves for the
minimum required synergy:
Aspect Earnings Per share (EPS) Market Price per share (MPS) Book Value per share (BVS)
Computation MPS of Selling Co. BVS of Selling Co.
MPS of Buying Co. BVS of Buying Co.
While the target company always gains, the acquirer gains when synergy accrues from combined operations,
and loses under the other two theories. The total value becomes positive under synergy, becomes zero under the
second, and becomes negative under the third.
Motives of for Mergers and Acquisitions
Mergers and acquisitions are strategic decisions leading to the maximization of a companys growth by enhancing
its production and marketing operations. They have become popular in the recent times because of the enhanced
competition, breaking of trade barriers, free flow of capital across countries and globalization of business as a
number of economies are being deregulated and integrated with other economies. A number of motives are
attributed for the occurrence of mergers and acquisitions.
(i) Synergies through Consolidation: Synergy implies a situation where the combined firm is more valuable than
the sum of the individual combining firms. It is defined as two plus two equal to five (2 + 2 = 5) phenomenon.
Synergy refers to benefits other than those related to economies of scale. Operating economies are one form
of synergy benefits. But apart from operating economies, synergy may also arise from enhanced managerial
capabilities, creativity, innovativeness, R&D and market coverage capacity due to the complementary
nature of resources and skills and a widened horizon of opportunities.
An undervalued firm will be a target for acquisition by other firms. However, the fundamental motive for the
acquiring firm to takeover a target firm may be the desire to increase the wealth of the shareholders of the
acquiring firm. This is possible only if the value of the new firm is expected to be more than the sum of individual
value of the target firm and the acquiring firm. For example, if A Ltd. and B Ltd. decide to merge into AB Ltd. then
the merger is beneficial if
V (AB) > V (A) +V (B)
Where
V (AB) = Value of the merged entity
V (A) = Independent value of company A
V (B) = Independent value of company B
Igor Ansoff (1998) classified four different types of synergies. These are :
(a) Operating synergy: The key to the existence of synergy is that the target firm controls a specialized resource
that becomes more valuable when combined with the bidding firms resources. The sources of synergy of
specialized resources will vary depending upon the merger. In case of horizontal merger, the synergy comes
from some form of economies of scale which reduce the cost or from increase market power which increases
profit margins and sales. There are several ways in which the merger may generate operating economies.
The firm might be able to reduce the cost of production by eliminating some fixed costs. The research and
development expenditures will also be substantially reduced in the new set up by eliminating similar research
efforts and repetition of work already done by the target firm. The management expenses may also come
down substantially as a result of corporate reconstruction. Certain major examples are Tata Indica deriving
technology advantage from Jaguar Land Rover acquisition as well as using the same distribution channel in
western countries for selling exported Indica cars and imported JLR cars through its own channel.R&D benefits
getting generated due to SunPharma acquiring Ranbaxy will be for mutual advantage besides cost savings
from convergence.
The selling, marketing and advertisement department can be streamlined. The marketing economies may
be produced through savings in advertising (by reducing the need to attract each others customers), and
also from the advantage of offering a more complete product line (if the merged firms produce different
but complementary goods), since a wider product line may provide larger sales per unit of sales efforts and
per sales person. When a firm having strength in one functional area acquires another firm with strength in a
different functional area, synergy may be gained by exploiting the strength in these areas. A firm with a good
distribution network may acquire a firm with a promising product line, and thereby can gain by combining
these two strength. The argument is that both firms will be better off after the merger. A major saving may arise
from the consolidation of departments involved with financial activities e.g., accounting, credit monitoring,
billing, purchasing etc.
Thus, when two firms combine their resources and efforts, they will be able to produce better results than
they were producing as separate entities because of saving various types of operating costs. These resultant
economies are known as synergistic operating economies.
In a vertical merger, a firm may either combine with its supplier of input (backward integration) and/or with
its customers (forward integration). Such merger facilitates better coordination and administration of
the different stages of business stages of business operations-purchasing, manufacturing and marketing
eliminates the need for bargaining (with suppliers and/or customers), and minimizes uncertainty of supply of
inputs and demand for product and saves costs of communication.
An example of a merger resulting in operating economies is the merger of Sundaram Clayton Ltd. (SCL) with
TVS-Suzuki Ltd. (TSL).By this merger, TSL became the second largest producer of two wheelers after Bajaj. The
main objective motivation for the takeover was TSLs need to tide over its different market situation through
increased volume of production. It needed a large manufacturing base to reduce its production costs. Large
amount of funds would have been required for creating additional production capacity. SCL also needed to
upgrade its technology and increase its production. SCLs and TCLs plants were closely located which added
to their advantages. The combined company has also been enabled to share the common R&D facilities.
(b) Financial synergy: Financial synergy refers to increase in the value of the firm that accrues to the combined
firm from financial factors. There are many ways in which a merger can result into financial synergy and benefit.
A merger may help in:
Eliminating financial constraint
Deployment surplus cash
Enhancing debt capacity
Lowering the financial costs
Better credit worthiness
Financial Constraint: A company may be constrained to grow through internal development due to shortage
of funds. The company can grow externally by acquiring another company by the exchange of shares and
thus, release the financing constraint.
Deployment of Surplus Cash: A different situation may be faced by a cash rich company. It may not have
enough internal opportunities to invest its surplus cash. It may either distribute its surplus cash to its shareholders
or use it to acquire some other company. The shareholders may not really benefit much if surplus cash is
It is evident that numerous parties other than the bidder and biddee will be affected by an acquisition. A variety
of stakeholders in the company will be involved in some way, for example: employees, suppliers, customers,
environmental and health agencies, the government (through taxation and grants) and indeed, any person or
institution whose activities may be directly affected by the entitys operations.
Failure to discuss takeover plans with some of these stakeholder groups, especially employee representatives and
government, can lead to prolonged and expensive confrontations. The interests of the local community need to
be recognised also as localised protests can commercially sound proposal.
Illustration 1.
The risk-free rate = 5.5%
The market price of risk = 7%
The companys beta = 1.2
Cost of equity = 5.5% + 7% (1.2) = 13.9%
The Dividend Growth Model:
Cost of equity = Expected Dividend yield + expected growth rate.
Bond Yield Plus Equity Risk Adjustment:
Cost of equity = Bond yield + spread over bond yields.
Cost of Debt:
Cost of debt should be on after-tax basis, as interest is tax deductible. Therefore, the cost of debt is given by:
The after-tax cost of DEBT = Kd (1-T) Where T = Tax rate.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital:
The financial proportions of debt and equity are used as guide.
Illustration 2.
Cost of debt 8%
Tax rate = 40%
Capital structure: Debt: 40% and Equity: 60%
Weighted average cost of capital = 13.9%(0.60) + 8%(1-0.40)(0.40) = 10.26%
The provisions of Accounting Standard (AS-14) on Accounting for Amalgamations need to be referred to in this
context.
Methods of Payment:
The two main methods of financing an acquisition are cash and share exchange.
(1) Cash: This method is generally considered suitable for relatively small acquisitions. It has two advantages: (i)
the buyer retains total control as the shareholders in the selling company are completely bought out, and (ii)
the value of the bid is known and the process is simple.
Company A Company B
Market price per share ` 75 `15
No. of shares 1,00,000 60,000
Market Value of the company ` 75,00,000 ` 9,00,000
Illustration 4.
Suppose Company A wished to offer shares in Company A to the shareholders of Company B instead of cash:
Amount to be paid to shareholders of Company B = `12,00,000
Market price of shares of Company A = `75
No. of shares to be offered = `12,00,000/ ` 75
=
16,000
Now, shareholders of Company B will own part of Company A, and will benefit from any future gains of the
merged enterprise.
Their share in the merged enterprise = 16,000 / (1,00,000 + 16,000)
= 13.8%
Further, now suppose that the benefits of the merger has been identified by Company A to have a present value
of `4,00,000
The value of the merged entity = ` 75,00,000 + (` 9,00,000 + ` 4,00,000)
=
` 88,00,000
True cost of merger to the shareholders of Company A:
Company A Company B
Proportion of ownership in merged enterprise 86.2% 13.8%
Market Value: Total = ` 88,00,000 75,85,600 12,14,400
No. of shares currently in issue 100,000 60,000
Market price per share `75.86 `20.24
The above gives the value of shares in the company before the merger is completed, based on estimates of what
the company will be worth after the merger.
The valuation of each company also recognizes the split of the expected benefits which will accrue to the
combined entity once the merger has taken place.
The true cost can be calculated as given below:
Shareholder Value Analysis (SVA) focuses on the creation of economic value for Shareholders, as measured by
share price performance and flow of funds.
Shareholder Value is used to link management strategy and decision to the creating of value for shareholders.
Solution:
(i) Purchase price premium = Offer price for Target company stock/Target company Market price per share =
90/60 = 1.5
(ii) Exchange ratio = Price per share offered for Target Company/Market Price per share for the acquiring
company = 90/50 = 1.8
Acquiring company issues 1.8 shares of stock for each of Target Companys stock.
(iii) New shares issued by acquiring company = shares of Target Company x Exchange ratio = 20,000 1.8 = 36,000.
(iv) Post-merger EPS of the combined companies = Combined earning/ total number of share.
Combined earnings = (2,50,000 + 72,500) = `3,22,500
Total shares outstanding of the new entity
= 1,10,000 + 36,000 = 1,46,000
= `3,22,500 1,46,000 = `2.209
(v) Pre-merger EPS of the acquiring company
= earnings / Number of shares
= 2,50,000 / 1,10,000 = `2.273
(vi) Pre-merger P/E = Pre-merger market price per share / Pre-merger earnings per share
= 50/2.273 = 22.00
(vii) Post-merger share price = Post-merger EPS x Pre-merger P/E
= 2.209 22.00 = `48.60 (as compared to `50 Pre-merger)
(viii)Post-merger Equity Ownership Distribution
Target Company = Number of new shares / Total number of shares
= 36,000/ 1,46,000 = 0.2466 or 24.66%
Acquiring company = 100 24.66 = 75.34%
Comment The acquisition results in a `1.40 reduction in the market price of the acquiring company due to a
0.064 decline in the EPS of the combined companies. Whether the acquisition is a poor decision depends upon
what happens to the earnings would have in the absence of the acquisition, the acquisition may contribute to the
market value of the acquiring company.
Illustration 7.
R Ltd is intending to acquire S Ltd. (by merger) and the following information are available in respect of both the
companies.
14 2
Exchange Ratio = = i. e. for every 3 shares of S Ltd. 2 shares of R Ltd.
21 3
14
Total No. of shares of R Ltd. Issued = 30,000 = 20,000 shares
21
Total number of shares of R Ltd. After merger = 50,000 + 20,000 = 70,000
Total earning of R Ltd after merger = 2,50,000 + 90,000 = 3,40,000 [Remember no synergy given]
` 3,40,000
The new EPS of R Ltd. After merger = = `4.86
70,000
(iii) Calculation of exchange ratio to ensure S Ltd to earn the same before the merger took place: Both acquiring
and acquired firm can maintain their EPS only if the merger takes place based on respective EPS.
Exchange Ratio based on EPS = 3/5 = 0.6
Total shares of R Ltd. receivable by S Ltd. shareholders = 0.6 30,000 = 18,000
Total No. of shares of R LTD after merger = 50,000 + 18,000 = 68,000
EPS after merger = Total Earnings / Total no. of shares = [`2,50,000 + `90,000] / 68,000 = `5.00
Total earnings after merger of S Ltd. = `5 18,000 = `90,000
Illustration 8.
A Ltd. is considering the acquisition of B Ltd. with stock. Relevant financial information is given below.
Illustration 9.
A Ltd. is considering takeover of B Ltd. and C Ltd. The financial data for the three companies are as follows:
Calculate:
(i) Price earnings ratios
(ii) Earnings per share of A Ltd. after the acquisition of B Ltd. and C Ltd. separately. Will you recommend the
merger of either/both of the companies? Justify your answer.
Solution :
(i) Calculation of Price Earnings ratios
Analysis: After merger of C Ltd. with A Ltds. EPS is higher than A Ltd. (`2.08). Hence merger with only C Ltd. is
suggested to increase the value to the shareholders of A Ltd.
Illustration 10.
XYZ Ltd. is considering merger with ABC Ltd. XYZ Ltd.s shares are currently traded at `25. It has 2,00,000 shares
outstanding and its profits after taxes (PAT) amount to `4,00,000. ABC Ltd. has 1,00,000 shares outstanding. Its
current market price is `12.50 and its PAT are `1,00,000. The merger will be effected by means of a stock swap
(exchange). ABC Ltd. has agreed to a plan under which XYZ Ltd. will offer the current market value of ABC Ltd.s
shares:
(i) What is the pre-merger earnings per share (EPS) and P/E ratios of both the companies?
(ii) If ABC Ltd.s P/E ratio is 8, what is its current market price? What is the exchange ratio? What will XYZ Ltd.s post-
merger EPS be?
(iii) What must the exchange ratio be for XYZ Ltd.s that pre and post-merger EPS to be the same?
Solution :
(i) Pre-merger EPS and P/E ratios of XYZ Ltd. and ABC Ltd.
Illustration 11.
Company X is contemplating the purchase of Company Y, Company X has 3,00,000 shares having a market price
of `30 per share, while Company Y has 2,00,000 shares selling at `20 per share. The EPS are `4.00 and `2.25 for
Company X and Y respectively. Managements of both companies are discussing two alternative proposals for
exchange of shares as indicated below:
(a) in proportion to the relative earnings per share of two Companies.
(b) 0.5 share of Company X for one share of company Y (0.5 : 1).
You are required:
(i) to calculate the Earnings Per Share (EPS) after merger under two alternatives; and
(ii) to show the impact on EPS for the shareholders of two companies under both alternatives.
Solution:
Working Notes:
Computation of total earnings after merger
(i) (a) Calculation of EPS when exchange ratio is in proportion to relative EPS of two companies
Company X 3,00,000
Company Y (2,00,000 2.25/4) 1,12,500
Total number of shares after merger 4,12,500
Company X
EPS before merger = `4
EPS after merger = `16,50,000/4,12,500 shares = `4
Company Y
EPS before merger = `2.25
EPS after merger
2.25 2.25
= EPS before merger / Share Exchange ratio on EPS basis = = = `4
2.25 / 4 0.5625
(`)
EPS before merger 4.000
EPS after merger 4.125
Increase in EPS 0.125
(`)
Equivalent EPS before merger (2.25/0.5) 4.500
EPS after merger 4.125
Decrease in EPS 0.375
Illustration 12.
The following information is provided in relation to the acquiring firm Mark limited and the target Mask Limited
Required:
(i) What is the swap ratio in terms of current market prices?
(ii) What is the EPS of Mark Limited after acquisition?
(iii) What is the expected market price per share of Mark Limited after acquisition assuming that P/E ratio of Mark
limited remains unchanged?
(iv) Determine the market value of the merged firm.
(v) Calculate gain/loss for shareholders of the two independent companies after acquisition.
Solution:
(i) Calculation of Swap ratio:
EPSAB =
(
EA + EB )
S + S (ER )
A B A
200 + 40 240
Therefore, EPS of Mark Limited after acquisition = = = `10.91
20 + 10 0.2 22
(iii) Expected market price per share of Mark Limited with the same P/E of 10 will be
= EPS P/E = `10.91 10 = `109.10
(iv) Market Value of the merged firm
= Total number of outstanding shares x market price
= (20 + 2) lacs `109.10 = ` 2400.2 lacs
(v) Gain / Loss accruing to the shareholders of both companies
Illustration 13.
ABC Ltd. run and managed by an efficient team that insists on reinvesting 60% of its earnings in projects that
provide an ROE (return of equity) of 10%, despite the fact that the firms capitalization rate (K) is 15%. The firms
current years earning is `10 per share.
At what price the stock of ABC Ltd. sell? What is the present value of growth opportunities? Why would such a firm
be a takeover target?
Solution:
Dividend growth rate G = ROE b
Where, b = 1 payout ratio G = 10% 0.60 = 6%
10 0.4 4
Stock price of ABC Ltd. = = = `44.44
0.15 0.06 0.09
Illustration 14.
XY Ltd., a retail florist, is for sale at an asking price of `62,00,000. You have been contacted for a potential buyer
who has asked you to give him opinion as to whether the asking price is reasonable. The potential buyer has only
limited information about XY Ltd. And potential buyer does not know that annual gross sales of XY Ltd. is about
`82,00,000 and that last years tax return reported an annual profit of `8,40,000 before tax. You have collected the
following information from the financial details of several retail florists that were up for sale in the past:
Table 1
Firm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
(P/S) ratio 2.35 1.76 1.32 1.17 1.09 1.01 0.96 0.85 0.72 0.68
(P/E) Multiple 5.65 6.29 5.31 4.60 3.95 3.25 3.10 2.96 2.90 2.75
Solution:
Average P/S ratio of Industry = 0.55 Coefficient of variation of P/S ratio = 0.65
Average P/E ratio of Industry = 3.29 Coefficient of variation of P/E ratio = 1.52
The coefficient of variation of P/S ratio is much lower than the coefficient of variation of P/E ratio.
From this we can infer that there is a wider dispersion in case of P/E ratio than in case of P/S ratio.
Therefore, while defining the market, it is preferable to take P/S as guiding factor.
Asking price of XY Ltd. `62,00,000
Annual sales of XY Ltd. `82,00,000
Asking P/S ratio of XY Ltd. = 62,00,000/82,00,000 = 0.76
P/S ratio of XY Ltd. 0.76 is much higher than industry average 0.55, it is far below than the maximum P/S ratio of
2.35. The ratio of XY Ltd. is lying between 8th and 9th highest of the top ten players of the industry. In other words,
XY Ltd. would need to be among the 22%* (8.5/38 100) most desirable florist business to justify the asking price of
`62,00,000 with annual gross sales of `82,00,000. If the sales are likely to hold in the coming years, the price may be
(0.85 + 0.72)/2 `82 Lakhs = `64.37 Lakhs.
Provided the buyer believes that XY Ltd. is a superior retail florist (among the top quartile), and the future sales are
not likely to fall, the asking price of `62 lakhs appears to be reasonable. However, the buyer should make sure that
the florists accounts reflect a true and fair view of the business before he arrives at a final decision.
Note: 22% = (Average of 8th and 9th year No. of Firms) 100
8 + 9 8.5
i.e. 38 100 = 100 = 22% Approx.
2 38
Illustration 15.
Following are the financial statement for A Ltd. and B Ltd. for the current financial year. Both the firm operate in
the same industry:
Balance Sheet (`)
Income-Statements (`)
Additional Information
Number of equity shares 10,000, 8,000
Dividend payment ratio (D/P) 40%, 60%
Market price per share (MPS) ` 400, ` 150
Assume that the two firms are in the process of negotiating a merger through an exchange of equity shares. You
have been asked to assist in establishing equitable exchange terms, and are required to
(i) Decompose the share prices of both the companies into EPS and P/E components, and also segregate their
EPS figures into return on equity (ROE) and book value/intrinsic value per share (BVPS) components.
(ii) Estimate future EPS growth rates for each firm.
(iii) Based on expected operating synergies, A Ltd. estimates that the intrinsic value of Bs equity share would be
MPSB `150
(a) Market Price based = = 0.375 : 1 (lower limit)
MPSA ` 400
` 200
(b) Intrinsic value based = = 0.5 : 1 (upper limit)
` 400
Since A Ltd. has a higher EPS, ROE, P/E ratio, and even higher EPS growth expectations, the negotiated terms
would be expected to be closer to the lower limit, based on the existing share prices.
(iv) Calculation of Post-merger EPS and other effects
Illustration 16.
Illustrate two main methods of financing an acquisition referred to in Accounting Standard - 14 (AS-14)
Solution:
Accounting for Amalgamations
The provisions of Accounting Standard (AS-14) on Accounting for Amalgamations issued by the Institute of
Chartered accountants of India need to be referred to in this context.
The two main methods of financing an acquisition are cash and share exchange:
Method I - Cash: This method is generally considered suitable for relatively small acquisitions. It has two advantages:
(i) the buyer retains total control as the shareholders in the selling company are completely bought out, and (ii) the
value of the bid is known and the process is simple.
Let us consider 2 Companies A & B whose figures are stated below:
The above gives the value of shares in the company before the merger is completed, based on estimates of what
the company will be worth after the merger.
The valuation of each company also recognizes the split of the expected benefits which will accrue to the
combined entity once the merger has taken place.
The true cost can be calculated as given below:
Particulars `
60,000 shares in Company B @ `20.24 12,14,400
Less : Current market value 9,00,000
Benefits being paid to shareholders of Company B 3,14,400
Illustration 17.
Fat Ltd. wants to acquire Lean Ltd., the balance sheet of Lean Ltd. as on 31.03.2016 is as follows:
Liabilities ` Assets `
(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) 60,000 Equity Shares of `10 each 6,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets:
(b) Reserve & Surplus Plant and Equipment 11,00,000
(i) Retained Earnings 2,00,000 (2) Current Assets:
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (a) Inventories 1,70,000
Long Term Borrowings - 12% Debenture 2,00,000 (b) Trade Receivables
Additional information:
(i) Shareholders of Lean Ltd. will get one share in Fat Ltd. for every two shares. External liabilities are expected
to be settled at `3,00,000. Shares of Fat Ltd. would be issued at its current price of `15 per share. Debenture
holders will get 13% convertible debentures in the purchasing companies for the same amount. Debtors and
inventories are expected to release `1,80,000.
(ii) Fat Ltd. has decided to operate the business of Lean Ltd. as a separate division. The division is likely to give
cash flow (after tax) to the extent of `3,00,000 per year for 6 years. Fat Ltd. has planned that after 6 year this
division would be damaged and disposed off for `1,00,000.
(iii) Companys cost of capital is 14%
Make a report to the managing director advising him about the financial feasibility of the acquisition.
Note: Present value of `1 for six years @ 14% interest : 0.8772, 0.7695, 0.6750, 0.5921 and 0.4556.
Solution :
Cost of Acquisition `
4,50,000
Equity share 60,000 `15
2
13% convertible debenture 2,00,000
Cash (Payment for external liabilities Realisation of Cash from Debtors and inventories
Cash of Lean Ltd.) i.e., (` 3,00,000 1,80,000 20,000) 1,00,000
Calculation of NPV
Since the NPV is positive it is suggested to acquire Lean Ltd. to maximize the value of shareholders of both the
companies.
Firm After tax earnings No. of Eq. sh. Market price per share
A ` 10,00,000 2,00,000 ` 75
B ` 3,00,000 50,000 ` 60
(i) If the merger goes through by exchange of equity shares and the exchange ratio is set according to the
current market price, what is the new earnings per share of firm A.
(ii) Firm B wants to be sure that their earnings per share is not diminished by the merger. What exchange ratio is
relevant to achieve the objective?
Solution :
(i) Exchange ratio = 75 : 60
60 50,000
No. of shares to be issued by A Ltd. = 40,000 shares.
75
Total number of shares = 2,00,000 + 40,000 = 2,40,000 shares
Total after tax earnings = `(10,00,000 + 3,00,000) = `13,00,000
`13,00,000
Earnings per share = = `5.42
2,40,000
(ii) Calculations of exchange ratio which would not diminish the EPS of B Ltd.:
Current EPS of
10,00,000
A Ltd.
= = `5
2,00,000
` 3,00,000
B Ltd.
= = `6
50,000
6
Exchange ratio = = 1.20 : 1
5
No. of shares to be issued by A Ltd. to B Ltd.
6
= 50,000 shares =
60,000 shares
5
Total number of shares of A Ltd. after acquisition = 2,00,000 + 60,000 = 2,60,000 shares
` (10,00,000 + 3,00,000 )
EPS (after merger) = = `5
2,60,000 shares
Illustration 19.
The following information is provided relating to the acquiring company X Ltd. and the target company Y Ltd.
X Ltd. Y Ltd.
No. of shares (F.V. ` 10 each) 10.00 lakhs 7.5 lakhs
Market capitalization 500.00 lakhs 750.00 lakhs
P/E ratio (times) 10 5
Reserve and surplus 300.00 lakhs 165.00 lakhs
Promoters holding (No. of shares) 4.75 lakhs 5.00 lakhs
Board of directors of both the companies have decided to give a fair deal to the shareholders and accordingly for
swap ratio the weights are decided as 40%, 25% and 35% respectively for Earnings, Book value and Market price
of share of each company:
(i) Calculate the swap ratio and also calculate Promoters holding percentage after acquisition.
(ii) What is the EPS of X Ltd. after acquisition of Y Ltd?
(iii) What is the expected market price per share and market capitalization of X Ltd. after acquisition, assuming P/E
ratio of firm X Ltd. remains unchanged.
(iv) Calculate free float market capitalization of the merged fair.
Solution :
Calculation of swap ratio
X Ltd. Y Ltd.
Market capitalization 500 lakh 750 lakhs
No. of shares 10 lakhs 7.5 lakhs
Market price per share ` 50 ` 100
P/E ratio 10 5
EPS (MPS P/E Ratio) `5 ` 20
Profit (No. of shares x EPS) ` 50 lakhs ` 150 lakhs
Share Capital ` 100 lakhs ` 75 lakhs
Reserve and surplus ` 300 lakhs ` 165 lakhs
Total (Share Capital + Reserve and Surplus) ` 400 lakhs ` 240 lakhs
Book value per share (Total No. of shares) ` 40 ` 32
(i) Calculation of swap ratio
EPS 5 : 20 i.e., 1 : 4 i.e., 4 40% = 1.6
Book value 40 : 30 i.e., 1 : 0.8 i.e., 0.8 25% = 0.2
Market price 50 : 100 i.e., 1 : 2 i.e., 2 35% = 0.7
Total =
2.5
Swap ratio is for every one share of Y Ltd. to issue 2.5 shares of X Ltd. Hence total no. of shares to be issued =
7.5 lakhs 2.5 = 18.75 lakh shares.
Promoters holding = 4.75 lakh shares + (5 2.5) lakh shares = 17.25 lakh shares
17.25
So parameters holding percentage = 100 = 60%
28.75
Total no. of shares = 10 lakhs + 18.75 lakhs = 28.75 lakhs
Illustration 20.
The following information is relating to Fortune India Ltd. having two division Pharma division and FMCG division.
Paid up share capital of Fortune India Ltd. is consisting of 3,000 lakhs equity shares of Re. 1 each. Fortune India Ltd.
decided to de-merge Pharma Division as Fortune Pharma Ltd. w.e.f. 1.4.2016. Details of Fortune India Ltd. as on
31.3.2016 and of Fortune Pharma Ltd. as on 1.4.2016 are given below:
Particulars Fortune Pharma Ltd. (`) in lakh Fortune India Ltd. (`) in lakh
Outside Liabilities
Secured Loans 400 3,000
Unsecured Loan 2,400 800
Current Liabilities & Provision 1,300 21,200
Assets
Fixed Assets 7,740 20,400
Investments 7,600 12,300
Current Assets 8,800 30,200
Loan & Advances 900 7,300
Deferred tax / Misc. exp. 60 (200)
Board of directors of the company have decided to issue necessary equity shares of Fortune Pharma Ltd. of `1
each, without any consideration to the shareholders of Fortune India Ltd. For that purpose following points are to
be considered:
Transfer of Liabilities and Assets at Book value.
Estimated profit for the year 2016-17 is `11,400 lakh for Fortune India Ltd. and `1,470 lakh for Fortune Pharma
Ltd.
Estimated Market price of Fortune Pharma Ltd. is `24.50 per share.
Average P/E ratio of FMCG sector is 42 and Pharma sector is 25, which is to be expected for both the companies.
Calculate :
(i) The Ratio in which shares of Fortune Pharma are to be issued to the shareholders of Fortune India Ltd.
(ii) Expected Market price of Fortune India Ltd.
(iii) Book value per share of both the Cos after demerger.
Solution :
Shareholders fund
Fortune India Ltd. Fortune Pharma Ltd. Fortune India (FMCG) Ltd.
Assets 70,000 25,100 44,900
(i) Calculation of shares of Fortune Pharma Ltd. to be issued to shareholders of Fortune India Ltd. :
Hence, Ratio is 1 shares of Fortune Pharma Ltd. for 2 shares of Fortune India Ltd.
(ii) Expected market price of Fortune India Ltd.
Illustration 21.
The chief executive of a Company thinks that shareholders always look for the earnings per share. Therefore, he
considers maximization of the earning per share(EPS) as his Companys objective. His companys current net profit
is `80 lakhs and EPS is `4. The current market price is `42. He wants to buy another firm which has current income of
`15.75 lakhs, EPS of `10.50 and the market price per share of `85. What is the maximum exchange ratio which the
chief executive should offer so that he could keep EPS at the current level? If the chief executive borrows funds
at 15 per cent rate of interest and buys out the other Company by paying cash, how much should he offer to
maintain his EPS? Assume a tax rate of 50%.
Solution:
(Amount in `)
80,00,000 + 15,75,000
=4
20,00,000 + x
95,75,000 = 80,00,000 + 4x
or, 4x = 95,75,000 80,00,000
or, X = 15,75,000/4 = 3,93,750 shares
Share exchange ratio = 3,93,750 shares / 1,50,000 = 2.625
The acquiring company can offer its 2.625 shares against the companys 1 share.
If funds borrowed @ 15% interest and buys out the target company by paying cash, and maintain the same level
of EPS as before.
Illustration 22.
Reliable Industries Ltd. (RIL) is considering a takeover of Sunflower Industries Ltd. (SIL). The particulars of 2 companies
are given below:
Required:
(i) What is the market value of each company before merger?
(ii) Assuming that the management of RIL estimates that the shareholders of SIL will accept an offer of one share
of RIL for four shares of SIL. If there are no synergic effects, what is the market value of the post-merger RIL?
What is the new price for share? Are the shareholders of RIL better or worse off than they were before the
merger?
(iii) Due to synergic effects, the management of RIL estimates that the earnings will increase by 20%.
What is the new post-merger EPS and price per share? Will the shareholders be better off or worse off than before
the merger?
Solution:
(i) Market value of companies before merger
(ii) Post merger effect on RIL
Particulars `
Post merger earnings ` (20,00,000 + 10,00,000) 30,00,000
1 12,50,000
Equity shares 10,00,000 + 10,00,000
4
As exchange ratio is 1 : 4
EPS : 2.4
P/E ratio 10.00
Market price per share (`) (EPS P/E ratio) i.e., 10 2.4 24
Total Market Value (MPS No. of Eq. Shares) i.e., (12,50,000 24) 3,00,00,000
Particulars `
Post Merger Market value of the firm 3,00,00,000
Less : Pre-Merger market value
RIL 2,00,00,000
SIl 50,00,000 `2,50,00,000
`50,00,000
Thus the shareholders of both the Co. have gained from merger
(iii) Post Merger Earnings
Increase in earning by 20%
Illustration 23.
The following information is provided related to the acquiring firm Sun Ltd. and the target firm Moon Ltd.:
Required:
(i) What is the swap ratio based on current market price?
(ii) What is the EPS of Sun Ltd. after acquisition?
(iii) What is the expected market price per share of Sun Ltd. after acquisition, assuming P/E ratio of Sun Ltd.
adversely affected by 10%?
(iv) Determine the market value of the merged firm.
(v) Calculate gain/loss for shareholders of the two independent companies after acquisition.
Solution :
EPS before acquisition
Sun Ltd. = `2000 lakhs / 200 lakh = `10
Moon Ltd. = `4000 lakhs / 1000 lakh = `4
Market price of shares before acquisition
Sun Ltd. = `10 10 = `100
Moon Ltd. = `4 5 = `20
(i) Swap ratio based on current market price
` 20
= 0.2 i. e., 1 share of Sun Ltd. for 5 shares of Moon Ltd.
`100
Number of shares to be issued = 1000 lakhs 0.20 lakh = 200 lakhs
(ii) EPS after acquisitions
` 2,000lakhs + ` 4,000lakhs
= = `15
` 200lakhs + ` 200 lakhs
(iii) Expected market price per shares of Sun Ltd. after an acquisition assuming P/E ratio of Sun Ltd. is adversely
affected by 10%.
EPS of Sun Ltd. = `15
P/E of Sun Ltd. = 10 10% of 10 = 9 times
Market price per share of Sun Ltd. = EPS P/E ratio
= 15 9
=
`135
(iv) Market value of merged firm
= `135 400 lakhs shares = `54,000 lakhs
(v) Gain from the Merger
Post merger market value of merged firm = ` 54,000 lakhs
Less : Pre merger market value
Sun Ltd. 200 lakhs ` 100 = 20,000 crores Moon Ltd.
1000 lakhs ` 20 = 20,000 crores = ` 40,000 lakhs
Gain from merger = ` 14,000 lakhs
Gain to shareholders of Sun Ltd. and Moon Ltd.
Illustration 24.
The Shareholders of A Co. have voted in favour of a buyout offer from B Co. Information about each firm is given
here below. Moreover, A Co.s shareholders will receive one share of B Co. Stock for every three shares they hold
in A Co.
(Amount in `)
` lakhs
Sources :
Share capital
20 lakhs equity shares of ` 10 each fully paid 200
10 lakhs equity shares of `10 each, ` 5 paid 50
Loans 100
Total 350
Uses :
Fixed Assets (Net) 150
Net Current Assets 200
Total 350
An independent firm of merchant bankers engaged for the negotiation have produced the following estimates of
cash flows from the business of XY Ltd. :
It is the recommendation of the merchant banker that the business of XY Ltd. may be valued on the basis of the
average of (a) Aggregate of discounted cash flows at 8% and (b) Net assets value.
Present value factors at 8% for years
1 5 : 0.93 0.86 0.79 0.74 0.68
`(570 + 430)
`500
2
Value of XY Ltd. based on future cash flow capitalization
(105 0.93) + (120 0.86) + (125 0.79) + (120 0.74) + (300 0.68) ` 592.40 lakhs
Value of XY Ltd. based on net assets (350 100) ` 250 lakhs
592.40 + 250
Average value ` 421.20 lakhs
2
421.2lakhs
(ii) No. Of shares in AB Ltd. To be issued 84,240 (Approx)
500
84,240 20
Distribution to fully paid shareholders 67,392
25
84,240 5
Distribution to partly paid shareholders 16,848
25
Illustration 26.
X Ltd. is considering the proposal to acquire Y Ltd. and their financial information is given below:
X Ltd. intend to pay `70,00,000 in cash for Y Ltd., if Y Ltds market price reflects only its value as a separate entity.
Calculate the cost of merger:
(i) When merger is financed by cash.
(ii) When merger is financed by stock and X Ltd. agrees to exchange 2,50,000 shares in exchange of shares in Y
Ltd.
Solution :
(i) Cost of merger (when merger is financed by cash)
= Cash True / Intrinsic value of Y Ltd.
2,50,000 1
= = 0.33 i. e.
(5,00,000 + 2,50,000) 3
1
= (204,00,000 ) 54,00,000 = `14,00,000
3
The cost of merger i.e., (2,50,000 30) ` 54,00,000 `21,00,000 is much higher than the true cost of merger i.e.,
`14,00,000. So with this proposal the shareholders of Y Ltd. will get benefited.
Notes:
(1) When the cost of merger is calculated on the cash consideration, then cost of merger is unaffected by the
merger gains.
(2) When merger is based on the exchange of shares, then the cost of merger depends on the gains, which has
to be shared with the shareholder of Y Ltd.
Illustration 27.
Two firms RAJJAN and REKHA Corporation operate independently and have the following financial statements:
Solution:
(i) Value of the Firms before the Merger
Calculation of Free Cash Flow to each of the Firm
Free cash flow to RAJJAN = EBIT (1 tax rate)
= 2,00,000 (1 0.4) = `1,20,000
Free cash flow to REKHA = EBIT (1 tax rate)
= 1,60,000 (1 0.4) = `96,000
Value of the two firms independently
Value of RAJJAN = [1,20,000 (1.06)] / (0.10 0.06) = `31,80,000
Value of REKHA = [96,000 (1.08)] / (0.12 0.08) = `25,92,000
In the absence of synergy the combined firm value is:
Combined Firm Value with No Synergy = 31,80,000 + 25,92,000 = `57,72,000
(ii) Value of the Firm with Synergy
On combining the two firm the cost of goods sold is reduced firm 70% to 65% of revenues. The revenue of the
combined firm = 8,00,000 + 4,00,000 = `12,00,000
Cost of goods sold = 65% of revenues
= 0.65 12,00,000 = `7,80,000
Weighted average cost of capital for the combined firm
= 10% [31,80,000 / 57,72,000] + 12% [ 25,92,000 / 57,72,000]
= 0.0551 + 0.0539 = 0.109
Or 11% approximately
Weighted average expected growth rate for the combined firm
= 6% [31,80,000 / 57,72,000] + 8% [ 25,92,000 / 57,72,000]
= 0.033 + 0.0359 = 0.0689
Or 7% approximately
Required:
(i) The number of equity shares to be issued by Q Ltd. for acquisition of R Ltd.
(ii) What is the EPS of Q Ltd. after the acquisition?
(iii) Determine the equivalent earnings per share of R Ltd.
(iv) What is the expected market price per share of Q Ltd. after the acquisition, assuming its PE multiple remains
unchanged?
(v) Determine the market value of the merged firm.
Solution:
(i) The number of shares to be issued by Q Ltd.:
The Exchange ratio is 0.5
So, new Shares = 1,80,000 0.5 = 90,000 shares.
(ii) EPS of Q Ltd. after acquisition:
(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) involves splitting up of a large company such as a conglomerate comprising of different
divisions, into separate companies. (Amalgamation/Demerger)
(ii) Recent acquisition shows that the price paid for an acquired company is almost invariably higher than
its book value and the difference is incorporated under conventional accounting practice as .
(capital reserve/goodwill)
(iii) A theory of Mergers and Acquisitions that explains the result of the winners curse, causing a bidder to
overpay is called ______________. (Synergy/Hubris/Agency)
(iv) In the Approach, the key relationships are computed for a group of similar companies
or transactions as a basis for valuation of companies involved in a merger or takeover. (Comparable
companies/Industry/Real Option)
(v) Premium paid by target company to buy-back its shares from a potential acquirer is called _____________
(Green Shoe Option/Green Bid/Greenmail)
(vi) A theory that explains why the total value from the combinations resulted from a merger is a greater that
the sum of the values of the component companies operating independently is known as _____________
theory, (synergy/hubris/agency)
(vii) Post merger control and the --------------------are two of the most important issues in agreeing on the terms of
merger. (calculated price/negotiated price)
(viii) A method under which the value of an asset is based on calculating the costs avoided by the acquiring
company when obtaining a pre-existing and fully functional asset is known as -------------------- Method.(Sunk
Cost/ Marginal Cost/Avoided Cost/Incurred Cost)
(ix) A type of merger ......................., takes place when two companies in unrelated lines of business with
nothing in common join hands. (Vertical Integration / Horizontal Integration / Conglomerate)
(x) ................................is the present value of expected future cash flows that will result from the combined
operations and additional benefits expected to accrue. (Discount Cash Flow Value/Synergy Value/Value
Gap/Purchase Price)
Answer:
(c) In each of the questions given below one out of the four options is correct. Indicate the correct answer:
(i) If value of A Ltd. is 50, B Ltd. is 20 and on merger their combined value is 90 and A Ltd. receives premium on
merger 12, the synergy for merger is (all amounts are in `Lakhs)
(A) 8
(B) 20
(C) 32
(D) 38
(ii) P intends to acquire R (by merger) based on market price of the shares.
The following information is available of the two companies.
P R
No. of Equity shares 10,00,000 6,00,000
Earnings after tax (`) 50,00,000 18,00,000
Market value per share `30 `25
New EPS of P after merger?
(A) `4.00
(B) `4.05
(C) `4.60
(D) `4.53
(iii) Which one of the following is not a measure taken by a target firm to avoid acquisition?
(A) Poison Puts
(B) Poison Calls
(C) Golden Parachute
(D) Flip Over Pill
(iv) A Ltd. acquires B Ltd. by exchange of shares. EPS of A Ltd. and B Ltd. shares are `50 and `40 respectively. No.
of shares of A Ltd. and B Ltd. are 80,000 and 50,000 respectively. What No. of shares A Ltd. requires to issue
to B Ltd. in order to ensure that EPS of A Ltd. would remain same after merger? (Assume that earnings of the
merged company would be equal to the aggregate of the earnings of the companies before merger)