Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                

Business Valuation

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 431
At a glance
Powered by AI
The key takeaways are that the document discusses the syllabus for the CMA exam paper on Strategic Performance Management and Business Valuation. It covers topics such as performance management frameworks, evaluation tools, economic efficiency analysis, risk management, business valuation basics and techniques.

The main topics covered in the syllabus include strategic performance management, concepts of performance, evaluation tools like balanced scorecard, benchmarking, quality control methods, and economic efficiency analysis. It also covers business valuation, mergers and acquisitions, fair value accounting and valuation of intangibles.

Some of the performance evaluation and improvement tools discussed are balanced scorecard, DuPont analysis, benchmarking, six sigma, statistical quality control, PDCA cycle, management information systems and online analytical processing tools.

FINAL : PAPER - 20

6
01
-2
US
AB
LL
SY

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE
MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS
VALUATION FINAL

STUDY NOTES

The Institute of Cost Accountants of India


CMA Bhawan, 12, Sudder Street, Kolkata - 700 016
First Edition : August 2016

Published by :
Directorate of Studies
The Institute of Cost Accountants of India (ICAI)
CMA Bhawan, 12, Sudder Street, Kolkata - 700 016
www.icmai.in

Copyright of these Study Notes is reserved by the Institute of Cost


Accountants of India and prior permission from the Institute is necessary
for reproduction of the whole or any part thereof.
Syllabus - 2016
PAPER 20: STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION

Syllabus Structure
A Strategic Performance Management 50%
B Business Valuation 50%

B A
50% 50%

ASSESSMENT STRATEGY
There will be written examination paper of three hours

OBJECTIVES
To understand the tools for application and measurement of performance for strategic decision making. To develop
and present appropriate strategies taking into consideration the risk profile of the organization.
To gain knowledge of the application of valuation principles and techniques in business environment.

Learning Aims
The syllabus aims to test the students ability to:
 Understand the relevance of performance management for strategic decision-making
Develop skill to interpret, evaluate and recommend strategies for decision making to have competitive
advantage.
 Application of Econometric tools for performance management
 Evaluate the risks associated with strategies of an organization
An easy introduction to the concept of business valuation
A complete overview of the existing business valuation models
An understanding of the importance of various assumptions underlying the valuation models
An easy-to-understand explanation of various business valuation techniques
A discussion on valuation of assets and liabilities, whether tangible or intangible, apparent or contingent.

Skill set required


Level C: Requiring skill levels of knowledge, comprehension, application, analysis, synthesis and evaluation.

Note: Subjects related to applicable statutes shall be read with amendments made from time to time.
Section A : Strategic Performance Management 50%
1. Conceptual Framework of Performance Management
2. Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools
3. Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis
4. Enterprise Risk Management
Section B: Business Valuation 50%
5. Business Valuation Basics
6. Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions
7. Fair Value in Accounting Measurement
8. Valuation of Intangibles
SECTION A : STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT [50 MARKS]

1. Conceptual Framework of Performance Management


(a) Performance Management - Concept, components
(b) Performance, Productivity and Efficiency
(c) Financial Performance Analysis
(d) Supply Chain Management (SCM)
(e) Customer Relationship Management (CRM) & Customer Profitability Analysis

(2) Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools


(a) Balanced Score Card
(b) Du-Pont-Analysis
(c) Bench Marking & Bench Trending
(d) Six Sigma
(e) Statistical Quality Control (SQC)
(f) Plan-Do-Check-Action (PDCA)
(g) Management Information System
(h) Online Analytical Processing Tools
(i) Tools to Improve Productivity and Profitability - MRP I, MRP II and ERP
(j) Total Productivity Management
(k) total Quality Management

(3) Economic of the - Analysis


(a) Profit - maximization under different market structure
(b) Market factors affecting Pricing decisions

(4) Enterprise Risk Management
(a) Risk Management
(i) Risk Management - Introduction and Objectives
(ii) Risk Measurement - Pooling, Diversification, Total Loss Distribution, Ruin Probability
(iii) Risk Analysis - Risk Mapping and Risk Indicators

(b) Corporate Risk Management
(i) Enterprise Risk Management
(ii) Risk Retention or Reduction
(iii) Value at Risk (VAR)
(iv) Introduction to Capital Adequacy Norms in Banking Industry

(c) Corporate Failure
(i) Corporate Distress Analysis - Causes
(ii) Corporate Distress Prediction Models: Edward Altmans Model, NCAER Models

SECTION B : BUSINESS VALUATION [50 MARKS]

(5) Business Valuation Basics


(a) Meaning of Value, Valuation and Business Valuation
(b) Principles of Valuation, Valuation Bias, Types of Values
(c) Role of Business Valuation in Corporate Finance and Business Acquisitions

(6) Valuation Models


(a) Non-Discounted Cash Flow Method - Accounting Based, Earnings Based, Cash Flow Based
(b) Discounted Cash Flow Method
(c) Other Methods of Valuation
(7) Valuation of Assets and Liabilities
(a) Valuation of Inventory
(b) Valuation of Investments - Bonds and Shares
(c) Valuation of Intangibles - Copy Rights, Goodwill, Brand
(d) Valuation of Human Resources
(e) Value Added, Economic Value Added, Market Value Added
(f) Valuation of Liabilities

(8) Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions


(a) Meaning of Business Mergers and Acquisitions and Types
(b) Application of Valuation Models for Business Mergers and Acquisitions
(c) Determination of Exchange Ratio (Swap) or Purchase Consideration
(d) Synergistic Benefits and Distribution of Synergy Gains
(e) Recognition of Interest of various Stakeholders
(f) Selection of Appropriate Cost of Capital for Valuation
(g) Impact of Merger on Value of Share
Contents
SECTION A - STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT
Study Note 1 : Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

1.1 Performance Management - Concepts, Components 1


1.2 Performance, Productivity and Efficiency 4
1.3 Financial Performance Analysis 6
1.4 Supply Chain Management 12
1.5 Customer Relationship Management 15
1.6 Customer Profitability Analysis 21

Study Note 2 : Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

2.1 Balanced Score Card 29


2.2 Du Pont Analysis 32
2.3 Benchmarking & Benchtrending 33
2.4 Statistical Quality Control (SQC) 36
2.5 Management Information System 39
2.6 On-Line Analytical Processing Tools 42
2.7 Tools to Improve Productivity and Provitability - MRP I, MRP II and ERP 46
2.8 Total Productivity Management (TPM) 52
2.9 Total Quality Management (TQM) 54

Study Note 3 : Economic Efficiency of the Firm - Performance Analysis

3.1 Profit Maximization under Different Market Structure 69


3.2 Market Factors affecting Pricing Decisions 130

Study Note 4 : Enterprise Risk Management

4.1 Risk Management 139


4.2 Corporate Risk Management 150
4.3 Corporate Failure 161
Section B BUSINESS VALUATION
Study Note 5 : Business Valuation Basics

5.1 Basis for Valuation - Introduction 181


5.2 Principles and Techniques of Valuation 187
5.3 Role of Valuation 198

Study Note 6 : Valuation Models

6.1 Valuation Models - Introduction 207


6.2 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation 210
6.3 Relative Valuation 216
6.4 Free Cash Flow Valuation 223
6.5 Valuation of Firm - Other Valuation Basis 229
6.6 Contingent Claim Valuation 235

Study Note 7 : Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

7.1 Valuation of Inventories 269


7.2 Valuation of Investments - Bonds and Shares 278
7.3 Valuation of Intangibles - Copyrights, Goodwill and Brands 310
7.4 Valuation of Human Resources 346
7.5 Value Added, Economic Value Added, Market Value Added 355
7.6 Valuation of Liabilities 364

Study Note 8 : Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

8.1 Meaning of Business Mergers and Acquisitions and Types 369


8.2 Application of Valuation Model for Business Mergers and Acquisitions 381
8.3 Determination of Exchange Ratio (Swap) or Purchase Consideration 382
8.4 Synergistic benefits and distribution of synergy gains 383
8.5 Recognition of Interest of various stakeholders 385
8.6 Selection of Appropriate Cost of Capital for Valuation 386
8.7 Forms of Consideration and terms of Acquisitions 386
8.8 Impact of Merger on value of share 388
Section A
Strategic Performance Management
(Syllabus - 2016)
Study Note - 1
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK OF PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT

This Study Note includes

1.1 Performance Management - Concepts, Components


1.2 Performance, Productivity and Efficiency
1.3 Financial Performance Analysis
1.4 Supply Chain Management
1.5 Customer Relationship Management
1.6 Customer Profitability Analysis

1.1 PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT - CONCEPTS, COMPONENTS

Introduction
Performance management is a continuous process of identifying, measuring and developing performance in
organizations by linking each individuals performance and objectives to the organizations overall mission and
goals. Lets consider each of the definitions two main components:
1. Continuous process: Performance management is ongoing. It involves a never-ending process of setting goals
and objectives, observing performance, and giving and receiving ongoing coaching and feedback.
2. Link to mission and goals: Performance management requires managers to ensure that employees activities
and outputs are congruent with the organisations goals and, consequently, help the organisation gain a
competitive business advantage. Performance Management therefore creates a direct link between
employee performance and organizational goals, and makes the employees contribution to the organization
explicit.
Note that many organizations have what is labeled a performance management system. However, we must
distinguish between performance management and performance Appraisal.
In a knowledge economy, organizations rely heavily on their intangible assets to build value. Consequently,
performance management at the individual employee level is essential and the business case for implementing
a system to measure and improve employee performance is strong. Management time and effort to increase
performance not only meets this goal; it also decreases turnover rates. How do we manage performance within the
organization? The most common part of the process, and the one with which we are most familiar, is the process
of the performance appraisal, or evaluation. In this chapter, we will use the phrases performance
evaluation, performance appraisal, and appraisal interchangeably. However, the performance
appraisal process is not the only thing thats done in performance management.
Performance management is the process of identifying, measuring, managing, and developing the
performance of the human resources in an organization. Basically we are trying to figure out how
well employees perform and then to ultimately improve that performance level. When used correctly,
performance management is a systematic analysis and measurement of worker performance
(including communication of that assessment to the individual) that we use to improve performance
over time.
Performance appraisal, on the other hand, is the ongoing process of evaluating employee performance.
Performance appraisals are reviews of employee performance over time, so appraisal is just one piece
of performance management.
The terms performance management and performance appraisal are sometimes used

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 1


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

synonymously, but they are different. Performance management is a comprehensive, continuous


and flexible approach to the management of organisations, teams and individuals which involves the
maximum amount of dialogue between those concerned. Performance appraisal is a more limited
approach which involves managers making top-down assessments and rating the performance of
their subordinates at an annual performance appraisal meeting.

Performance appraisal Performance management


Top-down assessment Joint process through dialogue
Annual appraisal meeting Continuous review with one or more formal reviews
Use of ratings Ratings less common
Monolithic system Flexible process
Focus on quantified objectives Focus on values and behaviors as well as objectives
Often linked to pay Less likely to be directly linked to pay
Bureaucratic - complex paperwork Documentation kept to a minimum
Owned by the HR department Owned by line managers

Performance Management - Concept


Performance management focuses mainly on the achievement of results. It differentiates the aspects, such as
being engaged and producing results- which means, being busy should not necessarily be indicating that the
results are being produced. There may be times when employees seem to be very busy but in terms of their
performance, the results are in contrast to what has been expected. Systematic performance appraisal provides
much assistance in assessing the potentials of the employees. Thus, performance management directs and leads
the business to the overall achievement with the assessment of employees effectiveness by the implementation
of performance appraisals at regular intervals.

The Performance Management Cycle

The Performance Management Cycle

Components of Performance Management:


1. Performance Planning: Performance planning is the first crucial component of any performance management
process which forms the basis of performance appraisals. Performance planning is jointly done by the appraiser
and the reviewer in the beginning of a performance session. During this period, the employees decide upon
the targets and the key performance areas which can be performed over a year within the performance
budget, which is finalized after a mutual agreement between the reporting officer and the employee.
Organizations using Balance Score Card (BSC), drill Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) down the hierarchy so
that each employee is responsible for definite results (called Key Result Areas or KRAs). Let us consider the
following example:

2 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


An iron ore mining company excavates iron-ore, crushes over-sized lumps and washes a part of it for higher
grade. Thus, there are three grades viz. sized ore (washed & unwashed) and fines, each serving a distinct
group of customers. Companys machineries comprise mobile equipments (drills, excavators, loaders, dumpers
and dozers), stationery crusher, washing plant and conveyor system connecting crusher, washing plant and
stockyard.
KPIs for Managing Director of the above company may include the following :
(a) Grade-wise production of iron ore in tonnages for the year in question
(b) Output per man-shift (OMS)
(c) Equipment utilization %
(d) Cost per ton of each grade for the year in question
(e) Average sales revenue per ton for each grade for the year in question
(f) Order fulfillment % for sales and purchases
(g) Inventory ceiling for iron ore, spares and consumables (each in quantity & value)
(h) Ceiling values of debtors and creditors
(i) Statutory compliance in terms of payment of dues, return filing, etc (Number of show causes received
may be used for measuring non-compliance. In such cases, response times may also be included as KPI).
(j) Time limits for resolving complaints of customers, suppliers, employees, etc.
(k) Development of mining in new areas within the lease (in terms of iron ore reserve targeted, additional
machinery & manpower, Government clearances, time-schedule, etc)
Above KPIs are drilled-down (cascaded down) through next level to bottom most level. For example
General Manager (Operations) is responsible for KPIs (a) to (d) as its KRAs. He drills KPIs (a) & (b) down
to Mines Manager and KPI (c) to Equipment Manager. Said Managers in turn drill respective KPIs down
to Supervisors under them, each with a definite share.
General Manager (Marketing) is responsible for KPIs (e) and parts of (f) & (g) relating to sales & iron-ore
respectively. He distributes these among subordinates in next level.
General Manager (Finance) is responsible for KPIs (h) & (i).
Likewise, the rest of the KPIs are drilled down.
Note the following:
a) Above drilling down exercise presupposes standards and/ or budgets for identifying KRAs of each
employee at each level. For instance, KPI (d) above is primarily attributed to functionaries in Operations
for Mining, Maintenance, Purchase & Stores, etc. It is also attributed to other functionaries e.g. Human
Resource Dept (HRD) for wages rates and employee discipline [Employee discipline affects KPI (b)].
b) It may be difficult for a large organization to implement KRAs for grass-root employees specially when
they are unionized. In such cases, negotiation with union is an important task of HRD. Often, drilling down
is restricted to Supervisory levels whereby each Supervisor is made responsible for the group of employees
supervised.
2. Performance Appraisal and Reviewing: The appraisals are normally performed twice in a year in an
organization in the form of mid reviews and annual reviews which is held at the end of the financial year. In
this process, the appraise first offers the self filled up ratings in the self appraisal form and also describes his/her
achievements over a period of time in quantifiable terms. After the self appraisal, the final ratings are provided
by the appraiser for the quantifiable and measurable achievements of the employee being appraised. The
entire process of review seeks an active participation of both the employee and the appraiser for analyzing
the causes of loopholes in the performance and how it can be overcome.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 3


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

3. Feedback on the Performance followed by personal counseling and performance facilitation: Feedback and
counseling is given a lot of importance in the performance management process. This is the stage in which
the employee acquires awareness from the appraiser about the areas of improvements and also information
on whether the employee is contributing the expected levels of performance or not. The employee receives
an open and a very transparent feedback and along with this the training and development needs of the
employee is also identified. The appraiser adopts all the possible steps to ensure that the employee meets the
expected outcomes for an organization through effective personal counseling and guidance, mentoring and
representing the employee in training programs which develop the competencies and improve the overall
productivity.
4. Rewarding good performance: This is a very vital component as it will determine the work motivation of an
employee. During this stage, an employee is publicly recognized for good performance and is rewarded. This
stage is very sensitive for an employee as this may have a direct influence on the self esteem and achievement
orientation. Any contributions duly recognized by an organization helps an employee in coping up with the
failures successfully and satisfies the need for affection.
5. Performance Improvement Plans: In this stage, fresh set of goals are established for an employee and new
deadline is provided for accomplishing those objectives. The employee is clearly communicated about the
areas in which the employee is expected to improve and a stipulated deadline is also assigned within which
the employee must show this improvement. This plan is jointly developed by the appraise and the appraiser
and is mutually approved.
6. Potential Appraisal: Potential appraisal forms a basis for both lateral and vertical movement of employees. By
implementing competency mapping and various assessment techniques, potential appraisal is performed.
Potential appraisal provides crucial inputs for succession planning and job rotation.

1.2 PERFORMANCE, PRODUCTIVITY AND EFFICIENCY

The concepts of productivity and efficiency have received a great deal of attention in many countries and
organizations and by individuals in recent years. In an organizational context, productivity and efficiency reflects
overall performance. This could lead to increases or decreases in shareholders wealth. Hence, governments,
economists and professionals are concerned with defining and measuring the concepts of productivity and
efficiency.
At a basic level, productivity examines the relationship between input and output in a given production process.
Thus, productivity is expressed in an output versus input formula for measuring production activities. It does not
merely define the volume of output, but output obtained in relation to the resources employed. In this context, the
productivity of the firm can be defined as a ratio as shown in equation 1.
Output(s)
Productivity = .............. (1)
Input(s)

The concept of productivity is closely related with that of efficiency. While the terms productivity and efficiency
are often used interchangeably, efficiency does not have the same precise meaning as does productivity. While
efficiency is also defined in terms of a comparison of two components (inputs and outputs), the highest productivity
level from each input level is recognized as the efficient situation. Further suggest that efficiency reflects the ability
of a firm to obtain maximum output from a given set of inputs. If a firm is obtaining maximum output from a set of
inputs, it is said to be an efficient firm.
Alternative ways of improving the productivity of the firm, for example, are by producing goods and services
with fewer inputs or producing more output from the same quantity of inputs. Thus, increasing productivity implies
either more output is produced with the same amount of inputs or that fewer inputs are required to produce the
same level of output. The highest productivity (efficient point) is achieved when maximum output is obtained for
a particular input level. Hence, productivity growth encompasses changes in efficiency, and increasing efficiency
definitely raises productivity. Consequently, if the productivity growth of an organization is higher than that of its
competitors, or other firms, that firm performs better and is considered to be more efficient.

4 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


On the other hand, performance is much bigger and more inclusive. In the business sector it is about improving all
the factors that increase the profitfactors that reduce expenditure, increase income, and result in more output
per unit input.
In the public sector it is about how you maximise the quality, scope and timeliness (waiting times) of your service
delivery while minimising the inputs that are required. Ultimately, performance is about maximising the amount of
output energy from a system.
Hence, Performance will be product of efficiency, utilisation and productivity.
Efficiency
Efficiency consists of two main components; technical efficiency and allocative efficiency. Generally, the term
efficiency refers to technical efficiency. As discussed in the previous section, technical efficiency occurs if a firm
obtains maximum output from a set of inputs.
Allocative efficiency occurs when a firm chooses the optimal combination of inputs, given the level of prices and
the production technology. When a firm fails to choose the optimal combination of inputs at a given level of prices,
it is said to be allocatively inefficient, though, it may be technically efficient. Technical efficiency and allocative
efficiency combine to provide overall efficiency. When a firm achieves maximum output from a particular input
level, with utilization of inputs at least cost, it is considered to be an overall efficient firm.
To illustrate the above, let us consider a ferro-alloy plant manufacturing ferro-chrome with chrome ore, coke and
limestone as chief inputs. Suppose it can produce 6,000 tons of ferro-chrome of a specific grade in a day with least
cost per ton, if 15,000 tons of domestic ore and 3,300 tons of imported coke of appropriate grades are available at
agreed prices (assume requisite limestone is sourced from captive mines). Let us consider the following scenarios:
If inputs as above are available, any adverse deviation in output is attributable to technical inefficiency.
Suppose, on a particular day imported coke is out of stock and 3,500 tons of domestic coke is purchased as
a cheaper substitute though with lower yield. This is an allocative inefficiency resulting in higher cost per ton
of ferro-chrome [Note: Higher quantity of domestic coke is required for compensating lower yield, entailing
adverse cost. Rush purchases further add to cost].
Suppose, there is a breakdown of machinery in limestone mines on a day. This would limit ferro-chrome
production, if sufficient stock of limestone was not built up. Breakdown could be due to technical inefficiency
in preventing it or due to allocative inefficiency in not having requisite spares for machine maintenance. Short
production could also be due to insufficient limestone stock which is again an allocative failure.
Improving productivity and efficiency is one of the main goals considered in organizations in recent years, because
productivity gains provide overall information about the firms performance. When considering efficiency analysis
in financial institutions, Berger and Humphrey stress that it is important to determine their efficiency because
they are in a competitive environment and their strength is vital for solvency. Further, efficiency analysis not only
has important ramifications for institutions themselves, as evident in their competitiveness and solvency, it is also
important for other interested parties, such as regulatory authorities and the general public. Although the basic
concepts of productivity and efficiency are clearly discernible measures that have been presented in the literature
are diverse. The selection of the appropriate measurement depends on the purpose of the study.
Measurement of Productivity and Efficiency
Basically, for a single firm that produces one output using a single input, the ratio of output to input is a measure
of the productivity level. In this case, productivity is relatively easy to measure. However, in the case of many
outputs and many inputs in a production process, the measurement of an output- input ratio is difficult. Hence,
many different approaches have been applied by many researchers to the measurement of productivity and
efficiency changes in various types of institutions, and levels of DMUs (Decision Making Units) as well. Further,
different approaches to productivity measurement give different numeric answers. Therefore, it is essential to
select appropriate measurements for productivity and efficiency to avoid measurement bias in the results.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 5


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Partial Factor Productivity and Total Factor Productivity

Fig: Approaches to the measurement of Productivity and Efficiency


The above summarizes the various approaches to the measurement of productivity and efficiency identified from
the literature. In general, productivity and efficiency can be measured on a Partial factor or Total factor basis.
Partial Factor Productivity (PFP) refers to the change in output owing to the change in the quantity of one input,
whereas Total Factor Productivity (TFP) refers to the change in output owing to changes in the quantity of more
than one input. Examples of PFP are material yield, output per man-hours, etc. A comprehensive example of TFP is
Return On Investment (ROI) or overall profitability index which can be broken up into several parts through product
profitability and capital turnover rate.
In general, in an industrial context, goods and services are produced by a combination of many factors or inputs.
The output of goods and services cannot be used as a measure of the productivity of any one of the inputs.
The output is only a measure of the joint power of inputs to achieve results. This is the main disadvantage of
measuring productivity and efficiency using the PFP approach. To overcome this shortcoming of PFP, TFP has
been developed. TFP measures overall productivity and efficiency by considering all inputs and all outputs in the
production process. With full technical efficiency, producing maximum potential output from the allocated inputs.

1.3 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS

Financial performance analysis is the process of identifying the financial strengths and weaknesses of the firm
by properly establishing the relationship between the items of balance sheet and profit and loss account. It also
helps in short-term and long term forecasting and growth can be identified with the help of financial performance
analysis. The dictionary meaning of analysis is to resolve or separate a thing in to its element or components parts
for tracing their relation to the things as whole and to each other. The analysis of financial statement is a process of
evaluating the relationship between the component parts of financial statement to obtain a better understanding
of the firms position and performance. This analysis can be undertaken by management of the firm or by parties
outside the firm namely, owners, creditors, investors.
In short, the firm itself as well as various interested groups such as managers, shareholders, creditors, tax authorities,
and others seeks answers to the following important questions:
1. What is the financial position of the firm at a given point of time?
2. How is the Financial Performance of the firm over a given period of time?

6 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


These questions can be answered with the help of financial analysis of a firm. Financial analysis involves the use of
financial statements. A financial statement is an organized collection of data according to logical and consistent
accounting procedures. Its purpose is to convey an understanding of some financial aspects of a business firm. It
may show a position at a moment of time as in the case of a Balance Sheet, or may reveal a series of activities
over a given period of time, as in the case of an Income Statement. Thus, the term financial statements generally
refers to three basic statements: Balance Sheet, Income Statement & Cash-Flow Statement.
Balance Sheet shows the financial position (condition) of the firm at a given point of time. It provides a snapshot
and may be regarded as a static picture. Balance sheet is a summary of a firms financial position on a given
date that shows Total assets = Total liabilities + Owners equity.
Income Statement (referred to in India as the profit and loss statement) reflects the performance of the firm over a
period of time. Income statement is a summary of a firms revenues and expenses over a specified period, ending
with net income or loss for the period.
Cash-Flow Statement depicts cash accrual for the period under consideration. It can be prepared either by direct
method of receipts & payments or by indirect method of adjusting increase or decrease in liabilities & non-cash
assets to profit or loss. Direct method is simple and easier to understand while indirect method is more informative
(since it combines Balance-Sheet & Income Statement). Indirect method is widely adopted for management
information, besides compliances under various Statutes [Indian Companies Act, SEBI rules, FEMA guidelines for
share valuation against Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), etc].
For capital projects extending over a number of years (as for modernization, expansion, diversification, etc), year-
wise estimation of cash-flows helps management in planning for sourcing of funds through share issue, public
deposit (including debentures) and bank loans (long-term or short-term). Cash-flow projections are also helpful
for replacement of long-term liability (either on installment basis or on redemption basis). These apart, cash-flow
analysis is an useful tool for measuring profitability of a project, share valuation and life cycle costing. We will
elaborate the last point as follows:
Discounting series of future net cash-flows at a given rate (usually interest rate), we get present value (PV)
of the series. Such PV is comparable with investment. For example, a machinery of different makes with
acceptable technical considerations may be screened on the basis of PV [one having highest Present Gain
(=PV-Investment Cost) and fulfilling gain target is preferred]. PV is also adopted in income-based valuation of
shares if fresh issue is desirable for financing the project (Note: Share valuation may be necessary for justifying
share premium for different statutory purposes).
Discounting future cash-flows at a rate that breaks even inflows and outflows, we get Internal Rate of Return
(IRR) which is comparable with normal rate of return on investment. IRR is also useful in long-term price bidding
against tenders that involve capital outlay and periodical revenues (See the illustration given below).
IRR technique can be formulated with net cash-flows over a period (T) discounted at internal rate (R). R below
minimum expected rate of return (r) is rejected. If It = net cash - flow in any year t, mathematical expression for
IRR-based DCF is as follows :

T
It
(1 + R)
t =1
t 1
=0 (t = 1,2,3,....., T , r R < 1, 0 < r < 1)

Illustration: Let long-term price = `100 per unit with anticipated inflation @ 5% p.a. for a project involving a new
machinery which is loan-financed as shown in the table below. 90% of sales are realized every year and balance
next year. Rest figures in the table are self-explanatory. The table shows net inflow totaling ` 352 lakhs over 10 years
with investment of ` 1,012 lakhs. Periodicities of these data make R = 16%. It follows in this illustration that different
prices yields different values of R (11th year with balance realization therein are ignored).

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 7


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Discounted Cash-Flow Model For Long-Run Pricing (Figures in lakhs)

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total
Output (Units) 6 22 35 35 35 35 28 12 5 213
Inflows
Receipts from trade debtors 540 2,139 3,711 4,059 4,280 4,496 3,877 1,950 882 25,933
Receipts from machinery scrapping 122 122
Total Inflow -- 540 2,139 3,711 4,059 4,280 4,496 3,877 1,950 1,004 26,055
Outflows
Down payment to machinery supplier 150 150
Loan repayments 100 105 112 122 125 140 158 862
Payments to trade creditors 435 1,745 2,934 3,282 3,328 3,409 3,117 1,667 874 20,791

Interest payments 70 65 58 48 45 30 12 328


Other payments (including salaries and taxes) 12 85 295 497 558 576 613 523 266 147 3,572

Total Outflow 162 690 2,210 3,601 4,010 4,074 4,192 3,810 1,933 1,021 25,703
Net Inflow (162) (150) (71) 110 49 206 304 67 17 (17) 352
Receipts from issue of equity shares 150 150
Loan (aganist machinery) 862 862
Cash Balance 850 700 629 739 787 993 1,297 1,364 1,381 1,364 1,364

However, financial statements do not reveal all the information related to the financial operations of a firm, but
they furnish some extremely useful information, which highlights two important factors profitability and financial
soundness. Thus analysis of financial statements is an important aid to financial performance analysis. Financial
performance analysis includes analysis and interpretation of financial statements in such a way that it undertakes
full diagnosis of the profitability and financial soundness of the business.
The analysis of financial statements is a process of evaluating the relationship between component parts of
financial statements to obtain a better understanding of the firms position and performance.
The financial performance analysis identifies the financial strengths and weaknesses of the firm by properly
establishing relationships between the items of the balance sheet and profit and loss account. The first task is to
select the information relevant to the decision under consideration from the total information contained in the
financial statements. The second is to arrange the information in a way to highlight significant relationships. The
final is interpretation and drawing of inferences and conclusions. In short, financial performance analysis is the
process of selection, relation, and evaluation.
Areas of Financial Performance Analysis
Financial analysts often assess firms production and productivity performance, profitability performance, liquidity
performance, working capital performance, fixed assets performance, fund flow performance and social
performance. Financial health is measured from the following perspectives:
1. Working capital Analysis
2. Financial structure Analysis
3. Activity Analysis
4. Profitability Analysis
Significance of Financial Performance Analysis
Interest of various related groups is affected by the financial performance of a firm. Therefore, these groups
analyze the financial performance of the firm. The type of analysis varies according to the specific interest of the
party involved.

8 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Trade creditors: interested in the liquidity of the firm (appraisal of firms liquidity)
Bond holders: interested in the cash-flow ability of the firm (appraisal of firms capital structure, the major sources
and uses of funds, profitability over time, and projection of future profitability)
Investors: interested in present and expected future earnings as well as stability of these earnings (appraisal of
firms profitability and financial condition)
Management: interested in internal control, better financial condition and better performance (appraisal of firms
present financial condition, evaluation of opportunities in relation to this current position, return on investment
provided by various assets of the company, etc).
Types of Financial Performance Analysis
Financial performance analysis can be classified into different categories on the basis of material used and modes
operandi as under:

A. Material used: On the basis of material used financial performance can be analyzed in following two ways:
1. External analysis
This analysis is undertaken by the outsiders of the business namely investors, credit agencies, government
agencies, and other creditors who have no access to the internal records of the company. They mainly
use published financial statements for the analysis and as it serves limited purposes.
2. Internal analysis
This analysis is undertaken by the persons namely executives and employees of the organization or by
the officers appointed by government or court who have access to the books of account and other
information related to the business.
B. Modus operandi: On the basis of modus operandi financial performance can be analyze in the following two
ways:
1. Horizontal Analysis
In this type of analysis financial statements for a number of years are reviewed and analyzed. The current
years figures are compared with the standard or base year and changes are shown usually in the form of
percentage. This analysis helps the management to have an insight into levels and areas of strength and
weaknesses. This analysis is also called Dynamic Analysis as it based on data from various years.
2. Vertical Analysis
In this type of Analysis study is made of quantitative relationship of the various items of financial statements
a particular date. This analysis is useful in comparing the performance of several companies in the same
group, or divisions or departments in the same company. This analysis is not much helpful in proper analysis
of firms financial position because it depends on the data for one period. This analysis is also called Static
Analysis as it based on data from one date or for one accounting period.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 9


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Techniques/Tools of Financial Performance Analysis


An analysis of financial performance can be possible through the use of one or more tools / techniques of financial
analysis:
ACCOUNTING TECHNIQUES
It is also known as financial techniques. Various accounting techniques such as Comparative Financial Analysis,
Common-size Financial Analysis, Trend Analysis, Fund Flow Analysis, Cash Flow Analysis, CVP Analysis, Ratio Analysis,
Value Added Analysis
1.3 FINANCIAL etc. may be ANALYSIS
PERFORMANCE used for the purpose of financial analysis. Some of the important techniques
which are suitable for the financial analysis are discussed hereunder:
1. Ratio Analysis
In order to evaluate financial condition and performance of a firm, the financial analyst needs certain tools to be
applied on various financial aspects. One of the widely used and powerful tools is ratio or index. Ratios express
the numerical relationship between two or more things. This relationship can be expressed as percentages
(25% of revenue), fraction (one-fourth of revenue), or proportion of numbers (1:4). Accounting ratios are used
to describe significant relationships, which exist between figures shown on a balance sheet, in a profit and
loss account, in a budgetary control system or in any other part of the accounting organization. Ratio analysis
plays an important role in determining the financial strengths and weaknesses of a company relative to that of
other companies in the same industry. The analysis also reveals whether the companys financial position has
been improving or deteriorating over time. Ratios can be classified into four broad groups on the basis of items
used: (1) Liquidity Ratio, (ii) Capital Structure/Leverage Ratios, (iii) Profitability Ratios, and (iv) Activity Ratios.
2. Common-Size Financial Analysis
Common-size statement is also known as component percentage statement or vertical statement. In this
technique net revenue, total assets or total liabilities is taken as 100 per cent and the percentage of individual
items are calculated likewise. It highlights the relative change in each group of expenses, assets and liabilities.
Common Size Financial Statements
Common size ratios are used to compare financial statements of different-size companies or of the same company
over different periods. By expressing the items in proportion to some size-related measure, standardized financial
statements can be created, revealing trends and providing insight into how the different companies compare.
The common size ratio for each line on the financial statement is calculated as follows:
Common Size Ratio = Item of Interest/ Reference Item
For example, if the item of interest is inventory and it is referenced to total assets (as it normally would be), the
common size ratio would be:
Common Size Ratio for Inventory = Inventory/Total Assets
The ratios often are expressed as percentages of the reference amount. Common size statements usually are
prepared for the income statement and balance sheet, expressing information as follows:
Income statement items - expressed as a percentage of total revenue.
Balance sheet items - expressed as a percentage of total assets
The following example income statement shows both the rupee amounts and the common size ratios

Income Statement Common Size Income Statement


Revenue 70,134 100%
Cost of Goods Sold 44,221 63.1%
Gross Profit 25,913 36.9%
SG&A Expense 13,531 19.3%

10 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Operating Income 12,382 17.7%
Interest Expense 2,862 4.1%
Provision for Taxes 3,766 5.4%
Net Income 5,754 8.2%

For the balance sheet, the common size percentages are referenced to the total assets. The following sample
balance sheet shows both the rupee amounts and the common size ratios:

Common Size Balance Sheet


Balance Sheet Common-Size Balance Sheet
ASSETS
Cash & Marketable Securities 6,029 15.1%
Accounts Receivable 14,378 36.0%
Inventory 17,136 42.9%
Total Current Assets 37,543 93.9%
Property, Plant & Equipment 2,442 6.1%
Total Assets 39,985 100%
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Current Liabilities 14,251 35.6%
Long-Term Debt 12,624 31.6%
Total Liabilities 26,875 67.2%
Shareholders Equity 13,110 32.8%
Total Liabilities & Equity 39,985 100%

The above common size statements are prepared in a vertical analysis, referencing each line on the financial
statement to a total value on the statement in a given period.
The ratios in common size statements tend to have less variation than the absolute values themselves, and trends
in the ratios can reveal important changes in the business. Historical comparisons can be made in a time-series
analysis to identify such trends.
Common size statements also can be used to compare the firm to other firms.
Comparisons between Companies (Cross-Sectional Analysis)
Common size financial statements can be used to compare multiple companies at the same point in time. A
common-size analysis is especially useful when comparing companies of different sizes. It often is insightful to
compare a firm to the best performing firm in its industry (benchmarking). A firm also can be compared to its
industry as a whole. To compare to the industry, the ratios are calculated for each firm in the industry and an
average for the industry is calculated. Comparative statements then may be constructed with the company of
interest in one column and the industry averages in another. The result is a quick overview of where the firm stands
in the industry with respect to key items on the financial statements.
Limitation
As with financial statements in general, the interpretation of common size statements is subject to many of the
limitations in the accounting data used to construct them. For example:
Different accounting policies may be used by different firms or within the same firm at different points in time.
Adjustments should be made for such differences.
Different firms may use different accounting calendars, so the accounting periods may not be directly
comparable.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 11


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

3. Trend Analysis
Trend analysis indicates changes in an item or a group of items over a period of time and helps to drawn the
conclusion regarding the changes in data. In this technique, a base year is chosen and the amount of item
for that year is taken as one hundred for that year. On the basis of that the index numbers for other years are
calculated. It shows the direction in which concern is going.

1.4 SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT

Supply Chain Management encompasses the planning and management of all activities involved in sourcing,
procurement, conversion and logistics management activities. Importantly, it also includes coordination and
collaboration with channel partners, which can be suppliers, intermediaries, third party service providers, and
customers. In essence, Supply chain Management integrates supply and demand management within and
across companies.
The Supply Chain Management Program integrates topics from manufacturing operations, purchasing,
transportation, and physical distribution into a unified program. The following figure gives clear view of the Supply
Chain Management.

In a typical supply chain, raw materials are procured and items are produced at one or more factories, shipped
to warehouses for intermediate storage, and then shipped to retailers or customers. Consequently, to reduce
cost and improve service levels, effective supply chain strategies must take into account the interactions at the
various levels in the supply chain. The supply chain , which is also referred to as the Logistic Network, consists of
suppliers, manufacturing centers, warehouses, distribution centers, and retail outlets, as well as raw material, work
in- process inventory, and finished product that flow between the facilities.
Thus, we can define the Supply Chain Management as follows:
Supply chain management is a set of approaches utilized to efficiently integrate suppliers, manufactures,
warehouses and stores, so that merchandise is produce and distributed at the right quantities, to the right locations,
and at the right time, in order to minimize system wide costs while satisfying service level requirements.
Objective of Supply Chain Management:
i. Supply chain Management takes into consideration every facility that has an impact on cost and plays a role
in making the product conform to customer requirements: from supplier and manufacturing facilities through
warehouses and distribution centers to retailers and stores.
ii. The supply chain management is to be efficient and cost effective across the entire system; total system wide
costs from transportation and distribution to inventories of raw materials, work in- process and finished goods

12 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


are to be minimized.
iii. Finally, supply chain management revolves around efficient integration of suppliers, manufacturers, warehouses
and stores; it encompasses the firms activities at many levels, from the strategic level through the tactical to
the operational level.
Component of Supply Chain Management:
There are five basic components of Supply Chain Management. These are showing in the diagram:

1. Plan: This is the strategic portion of SCM. You need a strategy for managing all the resources that go toward
the meeting customer demand for your product and services.
2. Source: Choose the suppliers that will deliver the goods and services you need to create your product.
Develop a set of pricing, delivery and payment processes with suppliers and create metrics for monitoring
and improving the relationships.
3. Make: This is the manufacturing step. Schedule the activities necessary for production, testing, packaging and
preparation for delivery.
4. Deliver: This is the part that many insiders refer to as logistics. Coordinate the receipt of orders from customers,
develop a network of warehouses, pick carriers to get products to customers and set up an invoicing system
to receive payments.
5. Return: The problem part of the supply chain. Create a network for receiving defective and excess products
back from customers and supporting customers who have problems with delivered products.
Development of Supply Chain Management:
The development of chain is the set of activities and processes associated with new product introduction. It
includes the product design phase, the associated capabilities and knowledge that need to be developed
internally, sourcing decisions and production Plans. Specifically, the development chain includes decisions such as
product architecture; what to make internally and what to buy from outside suppliers, that is, make /buy decisions;
supplier selection; early supplier involvement; and strategic partnerships.
The development and supply chains intersect at the production point. It is clear that the characteristics of and
decisions made in the development chain will have an impact on the Supply Chain. Similarly, it is intuitively clear
that the characteristics of the supply chain must have an impact on product design strategy and hence on the
development chain.
To make matters worse, in many organizations, additional chains intersect with both the development and the
supply chains. These may include the reverse logistics chain, that is, the chain associated with returns of products
or components, as well as the spare parts chain. We illustrate how the consideration of these characteristics
leads to the development of frameworks to assist in matching product strategies.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 13


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Global optimization is made even more difficult because supply chains need to be designed for, and operated in,
uncertain environments, thus creating sometimes enormous risks to the organization. A variety of factors contribute
to this:
1. Matching Supply and Demand: It is a major challenge:
a. Boeing Aircraft announced a write-down of $ 2.6 billion in October 1997 due to Raw Material Shortages
internal and supplier parts shortages and productivity inefficiencies.
b. Second quarter sales at U.S. surgical Corporation declined 25 percent, resulting in a Loss of $22 million. The
sales and earnings shortfall is attributed to larger than anticipated inventories on the shelves of hospitals.
c. Intel, the worlds largest chip maker, reported a 38 percent decline in quarterly profit Wednesday in the
face of stiff competition from Advanced Micro Devices and a general slowdown in the personal computer
market that caused inventories to swell.
Obviously, this difficulty stems from the fact those months before demand is realized; manufacturers have
to commit themselves to specific production levels. These advance commitments imply huge financial and
supply risks.
2. Inventory and back Order levels fluctuate considerably across the supply chain: Even when customer
demand for specific products does not vary greatly. To illustrate this issue, consider the above figure, which
suggests that in typical supply chain, distributors orders to the factory fluctuate far more than the underlying
retailer demand.
3. Forecasting does not solve the problem: Indeed, we will argue that the first principle of forecasting is that
Forecasts are always wrong. Thus, it is impossible to predict the precise demand for a specific item, even with
the most advanced forecasting technique.
4. Demand is not the only source of uncertainty: Delivery leads times, manufacturing yields, transportation
times, and component availability also can have significant chain impact.
5. Recent trends such as lean manufacturing, outsourcing and off shoring that focus on cost reduction increases
risk significantly.
For example, consider an automotive manufacturer whose parts suppliers are in Canada and Mexico. With little
uncertainty in transportation and a stable supply schedule, parts can be delivered to assembly plants Just In-
Time (JIT) based on fixed production schedules. However, in the event of an unforeseen disaster, such as the
September 11 terrorist attacks, Port strikes, January, 26, 2001 earth quake in the India, state of Gujarat, etc, JIT is
not maintainable.

14 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Although, uncertainty and risk cannot be eliminated, we will explore a variety of examples that illustrate how
product design, network modeling, information technology, procurement and inventory strategies are used to
minimize uncertainty, and to build flexibility and redundancy in the supply chain in order to reduce risks.

1.5 CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP MANAGEMENT

Definition of Customer Relationship Management (CRM)


What is Customer Relationship Management (CRM)? There are as many definitions for CRM as there are opinions as
to what is going to happen in the stock market the next day. At its basic core, CRM entails initiatives that surround
the customer side of the business. An example is initiatives wrapped around the customers in an effort to increase
sales, improve customer service, add market share, enhance customer loyalty and reduce operating costs of
sales and service. At its more formal definition, CRM is a business strategy comprised of process, organizational
and technical change whereby a company seeks to better manage its enterprise around its customer behaviors.
It entails acquiring and deploying knowledge about customers and using this information across the various
customers touch points to increase revenue and achieve cost reduction through operational efficiencies.
The adoption of CRM is being fuelled by a recognition that long-term relationships with customers are one of the
most important assets of an organisation.
It entails all aspects of interaction that a company has with its customer, whether it is sales or service- related. CRM
is often thought of as a business strategy that enables businesses to:
Understand the customer
Retain customers through better customer experience
Attract new customer
Win new clients and contracts
Increase profitably
Decrease customer management costs
CRM is an integrated approach to identifying, acquiring and retaining customers. By enabling organizations to
manage and coordinate customer interactions across multiple channels, departments, lines of business and
geographies, CRM helps organizations maximize the value of every customer interaction and drive superior
corporate performance.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 15


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Parts of CRM:

The complete description of how CRM functions in a company would be too complex, that is why authors only
describe basic division into parts and their characterization. Buttle calls this types of CRM, but other authors incline
to a view by Dohnal that describes this as three parts of CRM application architecture: analytical, operative and
collaborative. In order for any action in CRM to be successful it requires consistent data about customers which
will be accessible to every employee of a company. That is also highly demanding on a technology providing
CRM in a company.
Analytical CRM
The purpose of analytical CRM is customer data analysis, its evaluation, modeling and prediction of customer
behaviour. In real life situation the analytical CRM can for example gather all the data about customers inquiring
a specific product by using data mining (tool for data gathering), what services they purchased right away and
what services they purchased eventually. It can find patterns in their behaviour and propose next steps during up-
selling or cross-selling. It can evaluate efficiency of a marketing campaign, propose prices or even develop and
propose new products. This way analytical CRM serves as some sort of help during decision making, e.g. manuals
for employees working in services concerned with how to react to certain customers behaviour.
Operative CRM
Operative CRM mainly supports the actual contact with customers conducted by front office workers and general
automation of business processes including sales of products, services and marketing. All communication with the
customer is tracked and stored in the database and if necessary it is effectively provided to users (workers). The
advantage of this approach being the possibility to communicate with various employees using various channels
but creating the feeling that customer is being taken care of by just one person. It can also minimize the time that
the worker has to spend typing the information and administrating (the data is shared). This allows the company
to increase the efficiency of their employees work and they are then able to serve more customers.
Collaborative CRM
Collaborative CRM enables all companies along the distribution channel, as well as all departments in a company,
to work together and share information about customers, even speaks about partner relationship management
(PRM). But sometimes we might see a rivalry between departments that undermines efforts of CRM to share relevant
data throughout the whole company (e.g. information from help line can help the marketing department choose
a point on which it will focus during the next campaign). The goal of collaborative CRM then is maximum sharing
of relevant information acquired by all departments with the focus on increasing the quality of services provided
to customers. The ultimate outcome of this process should be an increase in customers utility and his loyalty .
Information technology plays an important role in the concept of CRM. Without its smooth function the modern
CRM would be unimaginable. But it is not only the technology that is important. Company must be willing and able
to adopt the whole philosophy which puts the main focus on the customer. It must adopt the strategy focused on
establishing and supporting long-term relationship with customers. Failure in following this philosophy and strategy
leads to a failure of whole CRM implementation.
An example will demonstrate the entire CRM process and its use. The basis of every CRM system is data about
customers that is stored transparently by all departments in one huge data warehouse. Analytical CRM works with

16 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


this data. It processes this data and automatically performs basic tasks, analyses patterns of customers behavior
and makes predictions. It transforms the data into information. The information is sent to operative component
where front office workers put it into use. It allows that information to be used for efficient and personalized
interaction with clients. These three steps are observed by back office workers which influence them and are
influenced by them (e.g. creation of a new suitable product). Information from operative CRM is readily available
to any employee through collaborative CRM. Customer sees this system as an activity geared up to him and
reacts to it. This reaction then influences the whole process which thanks to this input continues to work. All this
illustrates the diagram below.
Technological aspects and principles of CRM

Collaborative Operative Analytical Data


CRM CRM CRM warehouse
CRM

Customer Back Office

Objectives for using CRM applications


Objectives of using CRM Applications, defined in the following line:
I. To support the customer services
II. To increase the effectiveness of direct sales force.
III. To support of business to business activities.
IV. To support of business to consumer activities.
V. To manage the call center.
VI. To operate the In- bound call centre.
VII. To operate the Out - bound call centre.
VIII. To operate the Full automated(i.e. no CRM involvement, lights out)
Objectives of CRM Applications showing

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 17


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Advantages and benefits of CRM


Certainly a benefit for each company is to achieve better economic results thanks to achieving higher value from
every interaction with a customer. Competition is very sharp in current market. Companies must take care of a
customer in every area of their specialization by using various communication channels. Customer expects perfect
services whether he calls a help line, asks a dealer, browses a web site or personally visits a store. It is necessary to
assure him in a feeling that he communicates with the same company whatever form of communication, time or
place he chooses. According to Matuinsk the basic advantages and benefits of CRM are these:
satisfied customer does not consider leaving
product development can be defined according to current customer needs
a rapid increase in quality of products and services
the ability to sell more products
optimization of communication costs
proper selection of marketing tools (communication)
trouble-free run of business processes
greater number of individual contacts with customers
more time for customer
differentiation from com petition
real time access to information
fast and reliable predictions
communication between marketing, sales and services
increase in effectiveness of teamwork
increase in staff motivation
Advantages and benefits are almost endless. Unfortunately some negatives exist. One of them is the fact that
proper implementation and running of CRM is very difficult (technology, people employees, initial money
investment etc.), another one is the safety of information that companies keep about their customers, sharing
information with third party and its overall protection. The entire operating principle of CRM (gathering information,
recording calls, analyzing all clients activities etc.) is invasion of privacy of customers.
For effective relationship management it is necessary for a company to not only hold onto their perspective but
also try to understand why it is beneficial for a customer to establish a long term relation. Customer always cares
primarily about satisfaction of his needs. If a company wants to establish mutual long-term relationship it must offer
him something extra, some reward that will give him the desired value. The success rate of company being able
to satisfy this desired value represents the quality of CRM. One hundred percent success rate is rarely achieved.
However if the success rate in rewarding is acceptable then the customer continues in the relationship (makes
further purchases).
Definition of CRM Risks
An overwhelming 91 percent of the respondents indicated that risk management is either a very important (55
percent) or moderately important (36 percent) aspect to their CRM projects. Why is it so important? Look at some
of the impacts that a CRM initiative may have on an organization:
Increased expectations from senior management to increase revenues, reduce costs, increase market
share and increase business flexibility may put tremendous pressure on the organization and may potentially
compromise the internal control structure
Increased complexity of managing multiple channels, technologies, customer relationships and customer
definitions

18 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Vital and confidential customer information may be transmitted and shared across new networks, systems and
platforms
Significant changes to the organization, attitudes and beliefs, placing heavy reliance on the organizations
employees for the successful adoption of the solution.
These factors introduce many risks to the organization, for instance, the potential disruption of vital operations;
violations to customer privacy and confidentiality; ineffective, inconsistent or inefficient processes; lack of internal
business controls; poor customer service; incorrectly targeted sales and marketing efforts, non acceptance of
new systems and processes; and security breaches.
However, since CRM is still an evolving area and the type of CRM projects can vary so vastly between organizations
(e.g., data mining, sales force automation, web-enabling sales, call center consolidation), there are many different
definitions of CRM risks. When survey respondents were asked their definition of CRM risks, the definitions ranged
from customer dissatisfaction, data corruption, privacy, legal, loss of competitive advantage and business benefits
as listed below:
Definition of Risks Impacting a CRM Solution
Customer dissatisfaction/loss of customers (27 percent)
CRM risks can be very simply defined to be the risk of losing customers to competitors better business
practices and strategies and the consequent loss of customer satisfaction and relationship continuance.
Inadequate understanding of CRM and wrong system implementation will cause customer dissatisfaction.
Data integrity is compromised/security (15 percent)
Customer data is mismanaged or misused in a way that corrupts data or erodes customer satisfaction or
Opinion.
CRM risks are those that damage customers privacy and confidentiality.
Inability to meet objectives/ benefits not realized (13 percent)
The main risk that the implementation of the CRM may cause is the high expectation generated by the
potential tool versus the actual possibility of attaining functionality.
The implemented solution does not meet the expectation and organization objectives.
Risks to the business in general (13 percent)
CRM risks are risks to the business (especially in sales, service and marketing areas) in terms of financial risk,
operational risk, commercial risk and profitability risk, arising from failure to adopt the right processes and
technologies.
CRM risks amount to the overall operational impact that the new CRM system will bring about to the entire
organization.
Events and circumstances that could affect the implementation (12 percent)
Any event, action or circumstance that inhibits the achievement of the business objectives related to the
Customer and his interactions with the business.
CRM risks are events or circumstances hindering the successful and/or timely completion of the CRM project.
Loss of competitive advantage (6 percent)
CRM risks are risks emanating from customer service and competitive advantage of the overall goal of the
organization.
The biggest CRM risk is the loss of competitive advantage.
Legal considerations (4 percent)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 19


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

CRM risks of an engagement could result in legal problems.


With CRM, the organization runs the risk of negative profile/impaired credibility leading to public criticism
and erosion of statutory role.
Lack of controls (4 percent)
The risk involves the ability to identify any control weaknesses.
The risk of reintroducing or not controlling traditional, manual-based controls for lack of incorporating
appropriate controls or mitigating the risk in redefined or automated CRM processes.
Negative impact on business reputation (2 percent)
These are risks that affect the reputation of the bank such as fraud or rumors from customers that can cause
a run on the bank.
One risk is the negative impact on revenue and organization image.
Loss of market share (2 percent)
It is the risk that poor customer service will result in loss of market share.
CRM risk is not knowing exactly the expectation levels of customers and ultimately losing market share.
Acceptance of CRM within the organization (2 percent)
The risk here is the inability of the organizational structure to support the CRM system.
Acceptance of the system and added value to the business are key CRM risks.
But regardless of the definition used to describe CRM risks, one thing is apparent: risk management is considered
an important aspect of the success of CRM projects.
Determining Risk Tolerances
Now that risk management has been established as important to organizations, which risks should be tolerated?
The methods and approaches to determining the organizations tolerance to CRM risks are as varied as the
organizations themselves. When asked how they determine their risk tolerances, 32 percent of organizations
indicated informal methods such as arbitrarily assigning risks a high, medium or low rating based on common sense
or their intuition. Surprisingly, 22 percent of the organizations did not determine or calculate their risk tolerance. And
on the other side of the spectrum, 14 percent of the organizations use statistical analysis methods. The statistical
analysis methods also varied significantly, but some of the more common methods include:
Ratio of potential losses to the potential plus actual sales revenues generated
Grade of impact multiplied by the number of times of one action
Risks multiplied by the costs to prevent the risks
Cost of total risks divided by the total revenue
Probability multiplied by impact by timescale to equal risk priority
Multiplying a factor of the probability of the risk happening and the qualitative estimate of the damage it will
cause
Proper weighting of the qualitative impact that risks will create for the organization
Other methods for determining risk tolerances include determining the maximum acceptable financial risk,
scenario analysis, customer responses/feedback and benchmarking.
Those organizations that had determined their risk tolerance were asked to identify the risks that would have the
most significant impact on their organization. Most survey respondents indicated traditional risk areas such as
security, trust, privacy and internal controls as illustrated in figure below.

20 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Conclusion
Definitions of customer relationship management have gradually changed as CRM was becoming more tangible
and sizeable strategic management. They evolved from the original focus on technical aspect to current
orientation of the whole company on a philosophy of establishing effective long-term relationship with customers.
The authors see a big analogy of this approach to the way how business has been done in past millennium.
Nowadays the advanced CRM systems allow even global companies to apply the knowledge of an individual
customer locally which enables them to get to him as close as possible. The progress subsequently allows small and
medium enterprises to get these procedures and know-how of large companies. Thanks to this progress it should
even be possible that micro companies can adapt the advantages of CRM systems. The authors perceive this as
a final piece of a circle and logical coming to the system that always has had and always will work.

1.6 CUSTOMER PROFITABILITY ANALYSIS

Customer Profitability
Over the last 10 years, strategic cost management and activity-based costing (ABC) have created a framework
for companies to examine more closely the drivers (or causes) of their costs in order to improve management
decisions and corporate profitability. Companies initially focused on product profitability are now using ABC and
other models to examine further the profitability of distribution channels and customers.
Simultaneously, many companies are exploring the drivers of profit and success through the use of the balanced
scorecard. Whichever model is used initially, determining customer profitability requires a clearer understanding of
the causes of the revenues and the costs. This guideline provides details of company experiences in examining the
causal relationships between the drivers of customer satisfaction and customer revenues as well as in measuring
the profitability and costs of servicing existing customers.
Expanding global competition is one reason behind the increased concern for customer profitability. Companies
worldwide are being pressured to become more customer focused and to increase shareholder value. Customer
profitability analysis is a useful tool in both areas.
Increasing customer Focus
Many companies are convinced that improving corporate profitability requires more customer contact and
closer customer relationships. Further, many marketing professionals have directed recent attention to increasing
customer satisfaction, primarily examining the links between overall satisfaction and revenues. Meanwhile,
accountants have traditionally focused on cost reduction. Customer profitability analysis attempts to bring

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 21


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

together marketing and accounting professionals to analyze, manage, and improve customer profitability.
Companies are attempting to understand better and to satisfy present and future customer demands. However,
the goal is to increase customer satisfaction profitably. The analysis presented here, relying on ABC and other
tools, can direct managerial attention to areas of improvement that can lead to greater customer and corporate
profits. An ABC system is not the only means to measure customer profitability, but merely one of several tools that
can be used.
Since ABC provides a better understanding of the profitability of products and services, companies have started
to use the same approach to understand the profitability of customers. Following an ABC analysis, companies can
examine the customer profitability information and determine how to man- age customer relationships in order
to increase customer satisfaction and the profitability of both individual customers and customer segments. The
ABC analysis often provides information leading to such improved relationships that the profitability of both the
company and its customers is increased.
Companies have been using improved information technology and large databases to help refine marketing
efforts. Marketing tools and IT systems now permit companies to target individual customers and customer groups
with pinpoint accuracy and to determine whether or not a customer spends enough to warrant the marketing
effort. For example, at Federal Express, customers who spend a lot of money but demand little customer service
and marketing investment are treated differently than those who spend just as much but cost more to maintain.
In addition, the company no longer markets aggressively to those customers who spend little and show few signs
of spending more in the future. This change in strategy has substantially reduced costs.
Increasing shareholder value
As the interest in increasing customer satisfaction has grown, so has the interest in increasing shareholder value.
Companies are competing globally not only for customers, labourers, and suppliers, but also for capital. This has
caused companies to concentrate on satisfying investors and lenders through an increase in shareholder value.
Customer satisfaction, loyalty, and value
Recently, many companies have looked to the service profit chain model (see Figure below) to help them
understand the causal relationships between employees and customers and the impact on revenue growth and
firm profitability. Among the relationships that have been documented and measured in this model are:
Customer satisfaction and loyalty;
The value of services and goods delivered to customers;
Employee satisfaction, loyalty, and productivity;
Employee capabilities that aid in delivering outstanding results to customers.

22 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Analyzing Customer Profitability
Typically traditional cost accounting is not able to identify product and service costs or distribution and delivery
costs for individual customers. ABC can help identify customer activities and track those costs that are allocated
to specific customers. This can provide management with unique information about customers and customer
segments. The benefit includes:
protecting existing highly profitable customers;
reprising expensive services, based on cost-to-serve;
discounting to gain business with low cost- to-serve customers;
negotiating win-win relationships that lower service costs to co-operative customers;
conceding permanent loss customers to competitors; and
attempting to capture high-profit customers from competitors.
Customer profitability analysis has become an important new management accounting tool based on recognition
that each customer is different and that each dollar/pound of revenue does not contribute equally to the firms
profitability. Customers utilize company resources differently; thus customer costs vary from one customer to
another. The following issues should be considered when analyzing customer profitability:
How to develop reliable customer revenue and customer cost information;
How to recognize future downstream costs of customers;
How to incorporate a multi-period horizon in the analysis; and
How to recognize different drivers of customer costs.
This requires a broader examination of the costs associated with customer service. For example, post- sale customer
service costs must be included in any analysis of customer costs. Some customers require substantially more post-
sale service than others. In addition, future environmental liabilities related to the sales of current products are
additional downstream costs that must be included. With managements increased focus on customers, this
analysis can provide forward- looking information about individual customers and customer segments and more
broadly examine both the revenues and Costs related to customer transactions. Revenues can vary among
customers due to variations in volume levels, and differences in price structures, products and services.
Costs can also vary depending on how customers use the companys resources such as marketing, distribution,
and customer service. Unless a complete analysis of the benefits and costs of customer relationships is undertaken,
companies will unknowingly continue to service unprofitable customers. Only after a thorough analysis of the costs
and benefits.
Can a firm decide which customers to service and strategically price its products and services.
There are many costs that are often hidden within the production, support, marketing, and general administrative
areas. To better understand customer profitability these costs should be examined and assigned appropriately
using ABC methods. These currently hidden customer costs may include items such as:
Inventory carrying costs;
Stocking and handling costs;
Quality control and inspection costs;
Customer order processing;
Order picking and order fulfillment;
Billing, collection and payment processing costs;
Accounts receivable and carrying costs;
Customer service costs;
Wholesale service and quality assurance costs; and
Selling and marketing costs.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 23


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

An example is given following:


1. Information on four customers using same products:

Sl. No. Particulars A B C D


a. No. of units sold 60,000 80,000 1,00,000 70,000
b. Selling price net(`) 2 3 1 2
c. No. of sales visits 3 3 5 10
d. No. of purchase order 20 60 50 40
e. No. of deliveries 12 16 25 15
f. Kilometers per journey 20 35 10 50
g. No. of rush deliveries -- 3 1 2
2. Costs of each activity (`):

h. Sales Visit 2,100 Per visit


i. Order Placing 600 Per order
j. Product Handling 0.3 Per item
k. Normal delivery Cost 20 Per kilometer
l. Rushed Delivery Cost 2,000 Per delivery

Solution:
Statement showing the customer profitability

Particulars Computation A B C D
Revenue net of discount (a*b) 1,20,000 2,40,000 1,00,000 1,40,000
Less: Costs:
Sales Visits (c*h) 6,300 6,300 10,500 21,000
Order Processing (d*i) 12,000 36,000 30,000 24,000
Product Handling (a*j) 18,000 24,000 30,000 21,000
Delivery (e*f*k) 4,800 11,200 5,000 15,000
Rush Delivery (g*l) -- 6,000 2,000 4,000
Operating Profit 78,900 1,56,500 22,500 55,000
Operating Profit/ Net Revenue 66% 65% 23% 39%

From the above computation we get that C and D are less profitable than A and B. Such an analysis may show the
Pareto curve effect, i.e. , 20% of customer provide 80% of the profit. This 80:20 rule, first observed by Vilfredo Pareto,
may vary, say 70:30 for different firms, and for different items like stock holding , costs, cost drivers in Overhead cost.

24 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


The curve shows that the last 80% of customers do not all generate profit. The last 50% actually reduce the total
Profit. There is no point in serving these customers as the situation stands, but it may be foolish just to refuse to serve
them. Instead, it may be better to turn them into profitable customers if this is possible, e.g. introducing a third party
wholesaler into the supply chain which might result in the improvement of the product range and service to the
small customers who were not so profitable to the firm.

Short Questions & Answers

Fill in the blanks:


Question 1.
The ______________________ System is directed by managers and supervisors but requires active participation by
employees.
Answer:
Performance Management System
Question 2.
While ________________ is defined in terms of a comparison of two components (inputs and outputs), the highest
_____________ level from each input level is recognized as the efficient situation.
Answer:
efficiency, productivity
Question 3.
The _______________ ratios are used to compare financial statements of different-size companies or of the same
company over different periods.
Answer:
Common size
Question 4.
An index number is a statistical measure of __________________ in a variable arranged in the form of a series and
using a base for making comparison
Answer:
fluctuations
Question 5.
Efficiency consists of two main component ______________ efficiency and _________________ efficiency
Answer:
technical, allocative
Question 6.
The ratio of output to ________ is a measure of the productivity level.
Answer:
input
Question 7.
_________________ refers to the change in output owing to the change in the quantity of one input.
Answer:
Partial Factor Productivity

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 25


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Choose the correct answer:


Question 8.
Performance will be product of:
(a) efficiency and utilisation;
(b) utilisation and productivity;
(c) efficiency and productivity;
(d) efficiency, utilisation and productivity.
Answer:
(d) efficiency, utilisation and productivity.
Question 9.
The purpose of supply chain management is
(a) provide customer satisfaction;
(b) improve quality of a product;
(c) integrating supply and demand management;
(d) increase production.
Answer:
(c) integrating supply and demand management
Question 10.
The major decision areas in supply chain management are
(a) location, production, distribution, inventory;
(b) planning, production, distribution, inventory;
(c) location, production, scheduling, inventory;
(d) location, production, distribution, marketing.
Answer:
(a) location, production, distribution, inventory.
Question 11.
The supply chain concept originated in what discipline?
(a) marketing;
(b) operations;
(c) logistics;
(d) production.
Answer:
(a) marketing
Question 12.
Which of the following is not one of the Customer Relationship Management (CRM) business drivers?

26 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


(a) Inventory control
(b) Increase revenues
(c) Define information needs and flows
(d) Automation/productivity/efficiency
Answer:
(c) Define information needs and flows
Question 13.
What is operational CRM?
(a) Supports traditional transactional processing
(b) Supports day-to-day front-office operations
(c) Supports operations that deal directly with the customers
(d) All of the above
Answer:
(d) All of the above
Question 14.
Customer Relationship Management is about:
(a) Acquiring the right customer
(b) Instituting the best processes
(c) Motivating employees
(d) All of the above
Answer:
(d) All of the above
Question 15.
Process of managing information about customers to maximize loyalty is said to be
(a) company relationship management
(b) supplier management
(c) retailers management
(d) customer relationship management
Answer:
(d) customer relationship management
Question 16.
A supply chain is made up of a series of processes that involve an input, a _______, and an output.
(a) shipment
(b) supplier
(c) customer
(d) transformation

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 27


Conceptual Framework of Performance Management

Answer:
(d) transformation
Question 17.
_______ is the design of seamless value-added processes across organization boundaries to meet the real needs
of the end customer.
(a) Operations
(b) Supply chain management
(c) Process engineering
(d) Value charting
Answer:
(b) Supply chain management
Question 18.
Which of the following is not an accounting technique to analyse financial performance?
(a) Trend analysis
(b) Common-size financial analysis
(c) Ratio analysis
(d) Time series analysis.
Answer:
(d) Time series analysis
Question 19.
Which of the following is not a component of supply chain management?
(a) Plan;
(b) Deliver;
(c) Organising;
(d) Return.
Answer:
(c) Organising
Question 20.
Supply Chain Management encompasses the planning and management of all activities involved in
(a) sourcing,
(b) procurement,
(c) conversion
(d) logistics management
(e) All of the above.
Answer:
(e) All of the above.

28 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Study Note - 2
PERFORMANCE EVALUATION & IMPROVEMENT TOOLS

This Study Note includes

2.1 Balanced Score Card


2.2 Du Pont Analysis
2.3 Benchmarking & Benchtrending
2.4 Statistical Quality Control (SQC)
2.5 Management Information System
2.6 On-Line Analytical Processing Tools
2.7 Tools to Improve Productivity and Profitability - MRP I, MRP II and ERP
2.8 Total Productivity Management (TPM)
2.9 Total Quality Management (TQM)

2.1 BALANCED SCORE CARD

Definition and Meaning of Balanced Score Card (BSC)


Balanced Score Card (BSC) is a performance management and strategy development methodology that helps
executives translate on organizations mission statement and overall business strategy into specific, qualifiable
goals and monitors the organizations performance in terms of these goals. BSC also aligns budgets to strategy
and helps in developing an enterprise performance management system. It is a set of financial and non-financial
measures relating to companys critical success factors. As a management tool it helps companies to assess
overall performance, improve operational processes and enable management to develop better plans for
improvements. It offers managers a balanced view of their organization upon which they can base real change.
The BSC translates an organizations mission and strategy into a comprehensive set of performance measures
that provides the framework for implementing its strategy. The BSC does not focus solely on achieving financial
objectives. It is an approach, which provides information to management to assist in strategic policy formulation
and achievement. It emphasizes the need to provide the user with a set of information, which addresses all
relevant areas of performance in an objective and unbiased manner. It allows managers to look at business from
four different perspectives by seeking to provide answers to the following four basic questions:
(1) How do customers see us ? (Customer perspective)
(2) What must we excel at ? (Internal business perspective)
(3) Can we continue to improve and create value ? (Learning and growth perspective)
(4) How do we look to shareholders ? (Financial perspective)
The aim of scorecard is to provide a comprehensive framework for translating companys strategic objectives into
a coherent set of performance measures.
Four Perspectives of BSC
The objectives and measures view organizational performance from four perspectives - (a) Financial, (b) Customers,
(c) Internal Business Process, and (d) Learning and Growth.
(A) Financial: The financial perspective serves as the focus for the objectives and measures for the objectives and
measures in the other scorecard perspectives. This perspective is concerned for profit of the enterprises. Under
this perspective the focus will be on financial measures like operating profit, ROI, residual income, economic

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 29


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

value added concept, revenue growth, cost reduction, asset utilization etc. These financial measures will
provide feedback on whether improved operational performance is being translated into improved financial
performance.
(B) Customer: This perspective captures the ability of the organization to provide quality goods and services, the
effectiveness of their delivery, and overall customer service and satisfaction. Needs and desires of customers
have to be attended properly because customer pay for the organizations cost and provided for its profits.
This perspective typically includes several core or genetic measures that relate to customer loyalty and the
result of the strategy in the targeted segment. They include market share, customer retention, new customer
acquisition, customer satisfaction and customer profitability.
(C) Internal Business Processes: This perspective focuses on the internal business results that lead to financial
success and satisfied customer. To meet organizational objectives and customers expectations, organizations
must identify the key business processes at which they must excel. Key processes are monitored to ensure that
outcomes will be satisfactory. The principal internal business processes include the following:
(a) Innovation processes for exploring the needs of the customers.
(b) Operation processes with a view to providing efficient, consistent and timely delivery of product/ service.
(c) Post service sales processes.
(D) Learning and Growth: This perspective looks at the ability of employees, the quality of information systems, and
the effects of organizational alignment in supporting accomplishment of organizational goals. Processes will
only succeed if adequately skilled and motivated employees, supplied with accurate and timely information,
are driving them. In order to meet changing requirements and customer expectations, employees may be
asked to take on dramatically new responsibilities, and may require skills, capabilities, technologies, and
organizational designs that were not available before. The learning and growth perspective identifies the
infrastructure that the business must build to create long-term growth and improvement. There will be focus on
factors like employee capability, employee productivity, employee satisfaction, employee retention.
These four perspectives provided the framework for BSC as shown in figure below.

FIANNCIAL
To succeed financially what
kinds of financial performance
should we provide to our
investors?

CUSTOMER INTERNAL BUSINESS PROCESSES


VISION,
To achieve our vision, To satisfy our shareholders
MISSION AND
how should we be seen and customers at what
STRATEGY
by customers? business must we excel?

LEARNING AND GROWTH


To achieve our vision, how
will we sustain our ability to
change and improve?

30 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Steps in Developing BSC
The steps in the process of developing a BSC are:
- Identify the key outcomes to the success of the organization.
- Identify the process that leads to these outcomes.
- Develop key performance indicators for these processes.
- Develop reliable data capture and measurement systems.
- Develop a mechanism for reporting these to the relevant managers and staff.
- Enact improvement programs to ensure that performance improves.
Types of Information Required for BSC
BSC emphasizes that financial and non-financial measures must be part of the information system for employees
at all levels of the organization. BSC can be used to improve strategic performance in several ways:
The process of developing activity measures will make individuals and divisions more aware of how their work
fits in with the strategy of the business.
Individuals and divisions should receive regular reports of their performance against BSC measures relevant to
their area of work. This will help them moderate their own performance.
Senior management should receive regular information on the organizations overall accomplish-ments
against BSC measures to ensure that strategy is being followed.
Outside stakeholders may also have access to BSC measures help them form a more full impression of the
organizations value.
The large volume of data gathering manipulation and reporting caused by BSC should be put into computerised
form. The manner of information display is usually in readily understandable graphs. It is now generally accepted
that performance measures should be an integral part of modern internal reporting system. The performance
indicators should:
- be linked with corporate strategy
- mirror both internal and external concerns
- include financial and non-financial dimensions
- be both leading and lagging indicators of performance.
Information required for Performance Measurement under BSC
The main types of information required by the managers to implement the balanced scorecard approach to
performance measurement are:
Customer Perspective - How do customer see us ? - Price, quality, delivery, customer support etc.
Internal Perspective- Where we must excel at ? - Efficiency of manufacturing process, sales penetration, new
production introduction, skilled manpower etc.
Learning and Growth Perspective - Can we continue to improve and create value ? - Technology leadership, cost
leadership, market leadership, research and development, cost reduction, etc.
Financial Perspective - How do we look to the shareholders? - Sales, cost of sales, return on capital employed,
profitability, prosperity etc.
Benefits and Limitations of BSC
Benefits: An organization can derive the following benefits by implementation of BSC:
It avoids management reliance on short-term financial measures.
It can successfully communicate corporate strategy to the functional heads and organizations subunits and

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 31


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

forcing them to develop their own goals to achieve the corporate mission and goals.
It can assist stakeholders in evaluating the firm, if measures are communicated externally.
It helps in focusing the whole organization on the few key things needed to create breakthrough performance.
It helps to integrate various corporate programs like re-engineering, customer service initiatives.
It breaks down strategic measures towards lower levels, so that unit managers, operators and employees can
see what is required at their level to achieve excellent overall performance.
It helps in clarifying and updating budgets.
It helps in identifying and aligning strategic initiatives.
It helps in conduct of periodic performance reviews to learn about and improve strategy.
Limitations: BSC is subject to following limitations
- There is no clear relation between BSC and shareholder value.
- It does not lead to a single aggregate summary of control.
- The measures may give conflicting signals and confuse management.
- It involves substantial shifts in corporate culture.

2.2 DU PONT ANALYSIS

The companys return on assets, ROA (=net income/assets), can be expressed as:
ROA = (Net Income/Revenue) (Revenue/Assets) = Profit Margin Asset Turnover
And the companys return on equity, ROE (=net income/equity), can be expressed as
ROE = (Net Income/Revenue) (Revenue/Assets) (Assets/Equity) = ROA Equity Multiplier
Both the companys profitability (as measured in terms of profit margin) and efficiency (as measured in terms of
asset turnover) determine its ROA. This ROA, along with the companys financial leverage (as measured in terms
of its equity multiplier), contributes to its ROE. As the companys use of leverage magnifies its ROE, students are
required to examine ROE carefully. The changes in the companys ROE are to be noted and explained through its
profit margin, asset turnover, and equity multiplier over time. The objective is to identify the companys strong area
that can be capitalized upon and/or its weak area that must be improved upon. See Table (below) for a sample
Du Pont analysis for ABC Co.
Table: Du Pont Analysis of ABC Co.

Item / Ratio 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 Evaluation


Net Income, ` in million (from Income 6,068 6,945 5,157 3,566
statements)
Revenue, `in million (from Income statements) 26,273 25,070 20,847 16,202
Assets, ` in million (from balance sheets) 31,471 28,880 23,735 17,504
Equity, ` in million (from balance sheets) 23,377 19,295 16,872 12,140
Profit Margin % (Net Income/Revenue) 23.1 27.7 24.7 22.0 Drop in profitability during 2015-16
Asset Turnover (Revenue/Assets) 0.835 0.868 0.878 0.926 Lower efficiency since 2012-13
Return on Assets % (Profit Margin Asset Turnover) 19.3 24 21.7 20.4 Drop in ROA during 2015-16
Equity Multiplier (Assets/Equity) 1.35 1.50 1.41 1.44 Decrease in leverage during
2015-16
Return on Equity % (ROA Equity Multiplier) 26.0 36.0 30.6 29.4 Sharp decline in ROE during
2015-16

32 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION



2.3 BENCHMARKING & BENCHTRENDING

Benching Marking: Traditionally control involves comparison of the actual results with an established standard or
target. The practice of setting targets using external information is known as Bench marking.
Benching marking is the establishment - through data gathering of targets and comparatives, with which
performance is sought to be assessed.
After examining the firms present position, benchmarking may provide a basis for establishing better standards
of performance. It focuses on improvement in key areas and sets targets which are challenging but evidently
achievable. Bench marking implies that there is one best way of doing business and orients the firm accordingly.
It is a catching-up exercise and depends on the accurate information about the comparative company - be it
inside the group or an outside firm.
Benchmark is the continuous process of enlisting the best practices in the world for the process, goals and objectives
leading to world-class levels of achievement.
Types of Benchmarking:
The different types of Benchmarking are:
i. Product Benchmarking (Reverse Engineering)
ii. Competitive Benchmarking
iii. Process Benchmarking
iv. Internal Benchmarking
v. Strategic Benchmarking
vi. Global Benchmarking

i. Product Benchmarking (Reverse Engineering): is an age old practice of product oriented reverse engineering.
Every organization buys its rivals products and tears down to find out how the features and performances etc.,
compare with its products. This could be the starting point for improvement.
ii. Competitive Benchmarking: This has moved beyond product-oriented comparisons to include comparisons of
process with those of competitors. In this type, the process studied may include marketing, finance, HR, R&D
etc.,
iii. Process Benchmarking: is the activity of measuring discrete performance and functionality against organization
through performance in excellent analogous business process e.g. for supply chain management - the best
practice would be that of Mumbai Dubbawallas.
iv. Internal Benchmarking: is an application of process benchmarking, within an organization by comparing the
performance of similar business units or business process.
v. Strategic Benchmarking: differs from operational benchmarking in its scope. It helps to develop a vision of the
changed organizations. It will develop core competencies that will help sustained competitive advantage.
vi. Global Benchmarking: is an extension of Strategic Benchmarking to include benchmarking partners on a
global scale. E.g. Ford Co. of USA benchmarked its A/c payable functions with that of Mazada in Japan and
found to its astonishment that the entire function was managed by 5 persons as against 500 in Ford.

The stages in the process of Bench Marking


The process of benchmarking involves the following stages:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 33


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

Stage Description
1 Planning -
a) Determination of Benchmarking goal statement,
b) Identification of best performance
c) Establishment of the benchmarking or process improvement team, and
d) Defining the relevant benchmarking measures
2 Collection of Data and Information
3 Analysis of the findings based on the data collected in Stage 2
4 Formulation and implementation of recommendations
5 Constant monitoring and reviewing


Stage 1: Planning
(a) Determination of benchmarking goal statement: This requires identification of areas to be benchmarked,
which uses the following criteria -

Benchmark for Customer Satisfaction Benchmark for improving Bottom line (Profit)
Consistency of product or service Waste and reject levels
Process cycle time Inventory levels
Delivery performance Work-in-progress
Responsiveness to customer requirements Cost of Sales
Adaptability to special needs Sales per employee

b) Identification of best performance: The next step is seeking the best. To arrive at the best is both expensive
and time consuming, so it is better to identify a Company which has recorded performance success in a similar
area.
c) Establishment of the benchmarking or process improvement team: This should include persons who are most
knowledgeable about the internal operations and will be directly affected by changes due to benchmarking.
d) Defining the relevant benchmarking measures: Relevant measures will not be restricted to include the measures
used by the Firm today, but they will be refined into measures that comprehend the true performance
differences. Developing good measurement is key or critical to successful benchmarking.
Stage 2: Collection of data and information: This involves the following steps -
a) Compile information and data on performance. They may include mapping processes.
b) Select and contact partners.
c) Develop a mutual understanding about the procedures to be followed and, if necessary, prepare a
Benchmarking Protocol with partners.
d) Prepare questions and agree terminology and performance measures to be used.
e) Distribute a schedule of questions to each partner.
f) Undertake information and data collection by chosen method for example, interviews, site-visits, telephone
tax and e-mail.
g) Collect the findings to enable analysis.
Stage 3: Analysis of findings:
a) Review the findings and produce tables, charts and graphs to support the analysis

34 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


b) Identify gaps in performance between out Firm and better performers.
c) Seek explanations for the gaps in performance. The performance gaps can be positive, negative or zero.
d) Ensure that comparisons are meaningful and credible
e) Communicate the findings to those who are affected.
f) Identify realistic opportunities for improvements. The negative performance gap indicates an undesirable
competitive position and provides a basis for performance improvement. If there is no gap it may indicate
a neutral position relative to the performance being benchmarked. The zero position should be analysed for
identifying means to transform its performance to a level of superiority or positive gap.
Stage 4: Recommendations:

Making recommendations Implementing recommendations


Deciding the feasibility of making the improvements in the light Implement the action plans
of conditions that apply within own Firm
Agreement on the improvements that are likely to be feasible Monitor performance
Producing a report on the Benchmarking in which the Reward and communicate success.
recommendations are included
Obtaining the support of owners/management for making the Keep owners/management formed of
changes needed. progress
Developing action plan(s) for implementation.

Stage 5: Monitoring and reviewing: This involves -


a) Evaluating the benchmarking process undertaken and the results of the improvements against objectives and
success criteria plus overall efficiency and effectiveness.
b) Documenting the lessons learnt and make them available to others.
c) Periodically re-considering the benchmarks for continuous improvement.
Pre-requisites of Bench Marking
a) Commitment: Senior Managers should support benchmarking fully and must be omitted to continuous
improvements.
b) Clarity of Objectives: The objectives should be clearly defined at the preliminary stage. Benchmarking teams
have a clear picture of their Firms performance before approaching others for comparisons.
c) Appropriate Scope: The scope of the work should be appropriate in the light of the objectives, resources, time
available and the experience level of those involved.
d) Resources: Sufficient resources must be available to complete projects within the required time scale.
e) Skills: Benchmarking teams should have appropriate skills and competencies.
f) Communication: Stakeholders, and also staff and their representatives, are to be kept informed of the reasons
for benchmarking.
Difficulties in implementation of Bench Marking
a) Time consuming: Benchmarking is time consuming and at times difficult. It has significant requirement of staff
time and Company resources. Companies may waste time in benchmarking non-critical functions.
b) Lack of management Support: Benchmarking implementation requires the direct involvement of all managers.
The drive to be best in the industry or world cannot be delegated.
c) Resistance from employees: It is likely that their maybe resistance from employees.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 35


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

d) Paper Goals: Companies can become pre-occupied with the measures. The goal becomes not to improve
process, but to match the best practices at any cost.
e) Copy-paste attitude: The key element in benchmarking is the adaptation of a best practice to tailor it to a
companys needs and culture. Without that step, a company merely adopts another companys process. This
approach condemns benchmarking to fail leading to a failure of bench marking goals.

Bench Trending and its difference from Benchmarking: Continuous monitoring of specific process performance
with a selected group of benchmarking is a systematic and continuous measurement process of comparing
through measuring an organization business processes against business leaders (role models) anywhere in the
world, to gain information that will help organization take action to improve its performance. The continuous
process of enlisting the best practices in the world for the processes, goals and objectives leading to world class
levels of achievement.
Benchmarking is the process of comparing the cost, time or quality of what one organization does against what
another organization does. The result is often a business case for making changes in order to make improvements.
Benchmarking is a powerful management tool because it overcomes paradigm blindness. Paradigm Blindness
can be summed up as the mode of thinking, the way we do it is the best because this is the way weve always
done it. Bench Marking opens organizations to new methods, ideas and tools to improve their effectiveness. It
helps crack through resistance to change by demonstrating other methods of solving problems than the one
currently employed and demonstrating that they work, because they are being used by others.
a) Identify your problem areas.
b) Identify other industries that have similar processes.
c) Identify organizations that are leaders in these areas.
d) Survey companies for measures and practices
e) Visit the best practice companies to identify leading edge practices.
f) Implement new and improved business practices.

2.4 STATISTICAL QUALITY CONTROL C)

The application of statistical techniques to measure and evaluate the quality of a product, service, or process is
termed as SQC.
Two Basic Categories:
I. Statistical Process Control (SPC):
- the application of statistical techniques to determine whether a process is functioning as desired
II. Acceptance Sampling:
- the application of statistical techniques to determine whether a population of items should be accepted
or rejected based on inspection of a sample of those items.
Quality Measurement: Attributes vs. Variables Attributes:
Characteristics that are measured as either acceptable or not acceptable, thus have only discrete, binary,
or integer values.
Variables:
Characteristics that are measured on a continuous scale.
Statistical Process Control (SPC) Methods

36 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Statistical process control (SPC) monitors specified quality characteristics of a product or service so as:
To detect whether the process has changed in a way that will affect product quality and
To measure the current quality of products or services
Control is maintained through the use of control charts. The charts have upper and lower control limits and the
process is in control if sample measurements are between the limits.
Control chart for Attributes
P Charts - measures proportion defective.
C Charts - measures the number of defects/unit.
Control chart for Variables
X bar and R charts are used together - control a process by ensuring that the sample average and range
remain within limits for both.
Basic Procedure
1. An upper control limit (UCL) and a lower control limit (LCL) are set for the process.
2. A random sample of the product or service is taken, and the specified quality characteristic is measured.
3. If the average of the sample of the quality characteristic is higher than the upper control limit or lowers
than the lower control limit, the process is considered to be out of control.

Control Charts for Attributes


p - Charts for Proportion Defective
p-chart: a statistical control chart that plots movement in the sample proportion defective (p) over time
Procedure:
1. take a random sample and inspect each item.
2. determine the sample proportion defective by dividing the number of defective items by the sample size.
3. plot the sample proportion defective on the control chart and compare with UCL and LCL to determine if
process is out of control.

The underlying statistical sampling distribution is the binomial distribution, but can be approximated by the normal
distribution with:
mean = u = np (Note - add the bars above the means used in all the equations in this section)
Standard deviation of p: sigmap = square root of (p(1 -p ) / n)
where p = historical population proportion defective and n = sample size
Control Limits:
UCL = u + z sigmap LCL = u - z sigma p
z is the number of standard deviations from the mean. It is set based how certain you wish to be that when a limit
is exceeded it is due to a change in the process proportion defective rather than due to sample variability. For
example:
If z = 1 if p has not changed you will still exceed the limits in 32% of the samples (68% confident that mean has
changed if the limits are exceeded.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 37


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

z = 2 - limits will be exceeded in 4.5 (95.5 % confidence that mean has changed)
z = 3 - limits will be exceeded in .03 (99.7% confidence)
c-Charts for Number of Defects Per Unit
c-chart: a statistical control chart that plots movement in the number of defects per unit.

Procedure:
1.3 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
1. randomly select one item and count the number of defects in that item
2. plot the number of defects on a control chart
3. compare with UCL and LCL to determine if process is out of control

The underlying sampling distribution is the Poisson distribution, but can be approximated by the normal distribution
with:
mean = c
standard deviation = square root of c
where c is the historical average number of defects/unit Control Limits:
UCL = c + z c
LCL = c - z c
Control Charts for Variables
Two charts are used together: R-chart (range chart) and X bar chart (average chart)
Both the process variability (measured by the R-chart) and the process average (measured by the X bar chart)
must be in control before the process can be said to be in control.
Process variability must be in control before the X bar chart can be developed because a measure of process
variability is required to determine the -chart control limits.

R-Chart for Process Variability:


UCLR = D4(R)
LCLR = D3(R)
Where is the average of past R values, and D3 and D4 are constants based on the sample size
Chart for Process Average:
UCLR = X bar + A2(R)
LCL = X bar - A2(R)
Where X bar is the average of several past values, and A2 is a constant based on the sample size
Other Types of Attribute-Sampling Plans
Double Sampling Plan
Specifies two sample sizes (n1 and n2) and two acceptance levels (c1 and c2)
1. if the first sample passes (actual defects c1), the lot is acceptable
2. if the first sample fails and actual defects > c2, the lot is rejected

38 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


3. if first sample fails but c1 < actual defects c2, the second sample is taken and judged on the combined
number of defectives found.

Acceptance Sampling
Goal: To accept or reject a batch of items. Frequently used to test incoming materials from suppliers or other parts
of the organization prior to entry into the production process.
Used to determine whether to accept or reject a batch of products. Measures number of defects in a sample.
Based on the number of defects in the sample the batch is either accepted or rejected. An acceptance level c is
specified. If the number of defects in the sample is c the batch is accepted, otherwise it is rejected and subjected
to 100% inspection.

2.5 MANAGEMENT INFORMATION SYSTEM

Management Information System is a systematic process of providing relevant information in right time in right
format to all levels of users in the organization for effective decision making. MIS is also defined to be system of
collection, processing, retrieving and transmission of data to meet the information requirement of different levels
of managers in an organization.
According to CIMA-
MIS is a set of procedures designed to provide managers at different levels in the organization with information for
decision making, and for control of those parts of the business for which they are responsible.
MIS comprises of three elements viz., management, information and system. The concept of MIS is better understood
if each element of the term MIS is defined separately.
Management: A manager may be required to perform following activities in an organisation:
(i) Determination of organisational objectives and developing plans to achieve them.
(ii) Securing and organising human beings and physical resources so as to achieve the laid down objectives.
(iii) Exercising adequate controls over the functions performed at the lower level.
(iv) Monitoring the results to ensure that accomplishments are proceeding according to plans.
Thus, management comprises of the processes or activities that describe what managers do while working in
their organisation. They in fact plan, organise, initiate, and control operations. In other words, management refers
to a set of functions and processes designed to initiate and co-ordinate group efforts in an organised setting
directed towards promotion of certain interests, preserving certain values and pursuing certain goals. It involves
mobilisation, combination, allocation and utilisation of physical, human and other needed resources in a judicious
manner by employing appropriate skills, approaches and techniques.
Information: Information is data that have been organised into a meaningful and useful context. It has been
defined by Davis and Olson - Information is data that has been processed into a form that is meaningful to the
recipient and is of real or perceived value in current or progressive decision. For example, data regarding sales
by various salesmen can be merged to provide information regarding total sales through sales personnel. This
information is of vital importance to a marketing manager who is trying to plan for future sales.
Data is the input, information is the output. Data-analysis or information-processing converts data into information.
Therefore, quality of data influences quality of information based on which management makes business decisions
and translates these into actions through appropriate processes. Today, Information & Communication Technology
(ICT) also partakes in various processes with interfacial digital devices and local & global networks. Some of these
are stated below:
Bar Coding & Decoding (used in inventory management).

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 39


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

Programmable Logic Controller or PLC (used for monitoring work-flow and machine conditions).
General Pocket Radio system or GPRS (used in LAN for controlling fleet of mobile equipments. Sometimes
vehicles are provided with sensors for recording work load, fuel stock, etc).
Face Recognition System or FRS (used for recording attendance of employees by recognizing faces
photographed in the system).
Computer Aided Designing or CAD and Digital Surveying.
Computer Aided Manufacturing or CAM.
e-Commerce (used in online bidding, ordering, invoicing, banking, etc), etc.
Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) : Integrated information has achieved a different dimension with the
advent of ERP systems by the end of 20th century. Several data (financial and non-financial) including those
downloaded online or offline from the above systems, can be integrated into ERP system. Let us take the
following examples
a) Online invoicing and inventory records are facilitated by e-Commerce and Bar Coding & Decoding.
b) Order fulfillment in both Purchasing and Selling can be monitored on integration of purchase orders and
sales orders with goods receipts and issues in inventory records for stores and finished goods. Likewise,
indents for stores and finished goods can be tracked against respective orders.
c) FRS can used to migrate attendance data into Pay Roll system for calculation of employee-wise wages &
salary including overtime and for updating leave records.
d) Plenty of data downloaded from PLC and GPR systems can be built-up in integrated information (e.g.
work completed, work-in-progress, equipment running hours, power or fuel & lubricant consumptions,
vehicle trips, breakdowns, machine conditions in terms of temperature, stress, vibrations, noise level, etc).
Thus, 21st century is rightly called the beginning of information-age.
System: System may be defined as a composite entity consisting of a number of elements which are interdependent
and interacting, operating together for the accomplishment of an objective. One can find many examples of a
system. Human body is a system, consisting of various parts such as head, heart, hands, legs and so on. The various
body parts are related by means of connecting networks of blood vessels and nerves. This system has a main goal
which we may call living. Thus, a system can be described by specifying its parts, the way in which they are
related, and the goals which they are expected to achieve. A business is also a system where economic resources
such as people, money, material, machines, etc. are transformed by various organisation processes (such as
production, marketing, finance, etc.) into goods and services.
Thus, MIS can be defined as a network of information that supports management decision making. The role of MIS
is to recognise information as a resource and then use it for effective and timely achievement of organisational
objectives.
Potential impact of computers and MIS on different levels of management
The potential impact of computers on top level management may be quite significant. An important factor which
may account for this change is the fast development in the area of computer science. It is believed that in
future computers would be able to provide simulation models to assist top management in planning their work
activities. For example, with the help of a computer it may be possible in future to develop a financial model by
using simulation technique, which will facilitate executives to test the impact of ideas and strategies formulated
on future profitability and in determining the needs for funds and physical resources. By carrying sensitivity analysis
with the support of computers, it may be possible to study and measure the effect of variation of individual factors
to determine final results. Also, the availability of a new class of experts will facilitate effective communication
with computers. Such experts may also play a useful role in the development and processing of models. In brief,
potential impact of computers would be more in the area of planning and decision making.
Futurists believe that top management will realise the significance of techniques like simulation, sensitivity analysis

40 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


and management science. The application of these techniques to business problems with the help of computers
would generate accurate, reliable, timely and comprehensive information to top management. Such information
will be quite useful for the purpose of managerial planning and decision making. Computerised MIS will also
influence in the development, evaluation and implementation of a solution to a problem under decision making
process.
Potential impact of Computers and MIS on middle management level will also be significant. It will bring a marked
change in the process of their decision making. At this level, most of the decisions will be programmed and thus will
be made by the computer, thereby drastically reducing the requirement of middle level managers. For example,
in the case of inventory control system; computer will carry records of all items in respect of their purchase, issue
and balance. The reorder level, reorder quantity etc. for each item of material will also be stored in computer
after its predetermination. Under such a system, as soon as the consumption level of a particular item of material
will touch reorder level, computer will inform for its purchase immediately. The futurists also foresee the computer
and the erosion of middle management as the vehicles for a major shift to recentralisation. The new information
technology will enable management to view an operation as a single entity whose effectiveness can only be
optimised by making decisions that take into account the entity and not the individual parts.
The impact of Computers and MIS today at supervisory management level is maximum. At this level managers
are responsible for routine, day-to-day decisions and activities of the organisation which do not require much
judgement and discretion. In a way, supervisory managers job is directed more towards control functions,
which are highly receptive to computerisation. For control, such managers are provided with accurate, timely,
comprehensive and suitable reports. A higher percentage of information requirements of executives is met out at
this level.
Potential impact of Computers and MIS on supervisory level will completely revolutionise the working at this level.
Most of the controls in future will be operated with the help of computers. Even the need of supervisory managers
for controlling the operations will be substantially reduced. Most of the operations/activities now performed
manually will be either fully or partially automated.
Objectives of MIS
To provide the managers at all levels with timely and accurate information for control of business activities
To highlight the critical factors in the operation of the business for appropriate decision making
To develop a systematic and regular process of communication within the organization on performance
in different functional areas
To use the tools and techniques available under the system for programmed decision making
To provide best services to customers
To gain competitive advantage
To provide information support for business planning for future
Strategic-level information systems help senior management to tackle and address strategic issues and long-term
trends, both within the firm and external environment. Their principal concern is matching changes in the external
environment with existing organisational capability - What will be the cost- trends, where will our firm fit in, what
products should be made etc ? In other words, these systems are designed to provide top-management with
information that assists them in making long range planning decisions for the organization.
Tactical-level information systems serve middle level managers and help in taking decisions for a period of 2-3
years. The managers are typically concerned with planning, controlling and use summaries of transactions to
aid their decision- making. In other words, these systems provide middle-level managers with the information
they need to monitor and control operations and to allocate resources more effectively. In tactical systems,
transactions data are summarized, aggregated, or analysed. Their purpose is not to support the execution of
operational tasks but to help the manager control these operations.
Operational-level information systems are typically transaction processing systems and help in the operational

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 41


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

level managers to keep track of elementary activities and transactions of the organisations such as sales, receipts,
cash deposits, flow of materials etc. Their purpose is to answer routine questions and to track flow of transactions.
Thus, the primary concern of these systems is to collect, validate, and record transactional data describing the
acquisition or disbursement of corporate resources.
Thus, each type of information system serves the requirements of a particular level in the organisation, providing
the needed basis for decision making.

2.6 ON-LINE ANALYTICAL PROCESSING TOOLS

On-Line Analytical Processing (OLAP)


On-Line Analytical Processing (OLAP) is a category of software technology that enables analysts, managers and
executives to gain insight into data through fast, consistent, interactive access to a wide variety of possible views
of information that has been transformed from raw data to reflect the real dimensionality of the enterprise as
understood by the user.
OLAP functionality is characterized by dynamic multi-dimensional analysis of consolidated enterprise data
supporting end user analytical and navigational activities including:
calculations and modeling applied across dimensions, through hierarchies and/or across members
trend analysis over sequential time periods
slicing subsets for on-screen viewing
drill-down to deeper levels of consolidation
reach-through to underlying detail data
rotation to new dimensional comparisons in the viewing area
OLAP is implemented in a multi-user client/server mode and offers consistently rapid response to queries, regardless
of database size and complexity. OLAP helps the user synthesize enterprise information through comparative,
personalized viewing, as well as through analysis of historical and projected data in various what-if data model
scenarios. This is achieved through use of an OLAP Server.
OLAP Server
An OLAP server is a high-capacity, multi-user data manipulation engine specifically designed to support and
operate on multi-dimensional data structures. A multi- dimensional structure is arranged so that every data item is
located and accessed based on the intersection of the dimension members which define that item. The design
of the server and the structure of the data are optimized for rapid ad-hoc information retrieval in any orientation,
as well as for fast, flexible calculation and transformation of raw data based on formulaic relationships. The OLAP
Server may either physically stage the processed multi-dimensional information to deliver consistent and rapid
response times to end users, or it may populate its data structures in real-time from relational or other databases,
or offer a choice of both. Given the current state of technology and the end user requirement for consistent and
rapid response times, staging the multi-dimensional data in the OLAP Server is often the preferred method.
Executives of business have to make crucial decision for the future of their enterprise. The plethora of business data
(customers, products, etc) lead us to store them in a place and then to retrieve the suitable information according
to some rules. Databases solved one part of the problem that is the data storage. To retrieve the appropriate
information from the business data a variety of tools, using different techniques, exist that performs simple or
complex tasks involving mathematical and statistical operations. These tools are lying under the notion of Decision
Support Systems (DSS) technology.
The core of any OLAP system is an OLAP cube (also called a multidimensional cube or a hypercube). It consists of
numeric facts called measures which are categorized by dimensions. The measures are placed at the intersections
of the hypercube, which is spanned by the dimensions as a Vector space. The usual interface to manipulate an

42 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


OLAP cube is a matrix interface like Pivot tables in a spreadsheet program, which performs projection operations
along the dimensions, such as aggregation or averaging.
The cube metadata is typically created from a star schema or snowflake schema of tables in a relational database.
Measures are derived from the records in the fact table and dimensions are derived from the dimension tables.
Each measure can be thought of as having a set of labels, or meta-data associated with it. A dimension is what
describes these labels; it provides information about the measure.
A simple example would be a cube that contains a stores sales as a measure, and Date/Time as a dimension.
Each Sale has a Date/Time label that describes more about that sale.
Any number of dimensions can be added to the structure such as Store, Cashier, or Customer by adding a foreign
key column to the fact table. This allows an analyst to view the measures along any combination of the dimensions.
Multidimensional databases
Multidimensional structure is defined as a variation of the relational model that uses multidimensional structures
to organize data and express the relationships between data. The structure is broken into cubes and the cubes
are able to store and access data within the confines of each cube. Each cell within a multidimensional structure
contains aggregated data related to elements along each of its dimensions. Even when data is manipulated it
remains easy to access and continues to constitute a compact database format. The data still remains interrelated.
Multidimensional structure is quite popular for analytical databases that use online analytical processing (OLAP)
applications (OBrien & Marakas, 2009). Analytical databases use these databases because of their ability to
deliver answers to complex business queries swiftly. Data can be viewed from different angles, which gives a
broader perspective of a problem unlike other models.
Aggregations
It has been claimed that for complex queries OLAP cubes can produce an answer in around 0.1% of the time
required for the same query on OLTP relational data. The most important mechanism in OLAP which allows it to
achieve such performance is the use of aggregations. Aggregations are built from the fact table by changing
the granularity on specific dimensions and aggregating up data along these dimensions. The number of possible
aggregations is determined by every possible combination of dimension granularities.
The combination of all possible aggregations and the base data contains the answers to every query which can
be answered from the data.
Because usually there are many aggregations that can be calculated, often only a predetermined number are
fully calculated; the remainders are solved on demand. The problem of deciding which aggregations (views)
to calculate is known as the view selection problem. View selection can be constrained by the total size of the
selected set of aggregations, the time to update them from changes in the base data, or both. The objective
of view selection is typically to minimize the average time to answer OLAP queries, although some studies also
minimize the update time. View selection is NP-Complete. Many approaches to the problem have been explored,
including greedy algorithms, randomized search, genetic algorithms and A* search algorithm.
Types
OLAP systems have been traditionally categorized using the following taxonomy.
Multidimensional
MOLAP is a multi-dimensional online analytical processing.MOLAP is the classic form of OLAP and is sometimes
referred to as just OLAP. MOLAP stores this data in an optimized multi-dimensional array storage, rather than in
a relational database. Therefore it requires the pre-computation and storage of information in the cube - the
operation known as processing. MOLAP tools generally utilize a pre- calculated data set referred to as a data
cube. The data cube contains all the possible answers to a given range of questions. MOLAP tools have a very fast
response time and the ability to quickly write back data into the data set.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 43


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

Relational
ROLAP works directly with relational databases. The base data and the dimension tables are stored as relational
tables and new tables are created to hold the aggregated information. Depends on a specialized schema design.
This methodology relies on manipulating the data stored in the relational database to give the appearance of
traditional OLAPs slicing and dicing functionality. In essence, each action of slicing and dicing is equivalent to
adding a WHERE clause in the SQL statement. ROLAP tools do not use pre-calculated data cubes but instead
pose the query to the standard relational database and its tables in order to bring back the data required to
answer the question. ROLAP tools feature the ability to ask any question because the methodology does not limit
to the contents of a cube. ROLAP also has the ability to drill down to the lowest level of detail in the database.
Hybrid
There is no clear agreement across the industry as to what constitutes Hybrid OLAP, except that a database will
divide data between relational and specialized storage. For example, for some vendors, a HOLAP database will
use relational tables to hold the larger quantities of detailed data, and use specialized storage for at least some
aspects of the smaller quantities of more-aggregate or less- detailed data. HOLAP addresses the shortcomings
of MOLAP and ROLAP by combining the capabilities of both approaches. HOLAP tools can utilize both pre-
calculated cubes and relational data sources.
Comparison
Each type has certain benefits, although there is disagreement about the specifics of the benefits between
providers.
Some MOLAP implementations are prone to database explosion, a phenomenon causing vast amounts of
storage space to be used by MOLAP databases when certain common conditions are met: high number of
dimensions, pre-calculated results and sparse multidimensional data.
MOLAP generally delivers better performance due to specialized indexing and storage optimizations.
MOLAP also needs less storage space compared to ROLAP because the specialized storage typically includes
compression techniques.
ROLAP is generally more scalable. However, large volume pre-processing is difficult to implement efficiently so
it is frequently skipped. ROLAP query performance can therefore suffer tremendously.
Since ROLAP relies more on the database to perform calculations, it has more limitations in the specialized
functions it can use.
HOLAP encompasses a range of solutions that attempt to mix the best of ROLAP and MOLAP. It can generally
pre-process swiftly, scale well, and offer good function support.
Other types
The following acronyms are also sometimes used, although they are not as widespread as the ones above:
WOLAP - Web-based OLAP
DOLAP - Desktop OLAP
RTOLAP - Real-Time OLAP
Appendix: Econometrics Basic Concepts
Endogenous Variable and Exogenous Variable:
They are the observable variables and usually there are more variables than the number of equations in the model.
Some of the variables are supposed to be determined by forces completely outside the model and their values
are assumed to be given. Such variables area called Exogenous Variables. Variables like government policy,
population etc. are the example of exogenous variables. It is treated like a parameter in solving the equations of
a model.

44 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


The variable whose values are determined by the system when parameters disturbances and exogenous variables
are given are called Endogenous Variables. Endogenous variables cannot affect the value of exogenous
variables. But the values of exogenous variables influence the value of endogenous variables.
Type 1 Error
The decision to accept or reject the null hypothesis H0 is made on the basis of information supplied by the sample
observations. It is possible the conclusion drawn on the basis of a particular sample may not be true in aspect of
population. When the test procedure rejects a hypothesis when it ought to have been accepted, it is called type
1 error.
Null Hypothesis
It implies a neutral or non-committal attitude of the statistician in testing the hypothesis. It is a hypothesis of absence
of relationship or absence of difference between sample static and population parameters.
0 = 0 is the null hypothesis.
Level of Significance
The validity of a hypothesis H0 is against the alternative hypothesis H1 is tested at a certain level. The Level of
Significance determines the confidence within which a statistician accepts a null hypothesis. 5% is the level of
significance and 95% is the level of confidence.
R2 (R Square) and R2 (R Bar Square)
R Square is the Measure of Goodness of Fit: It Measures How Well the Regression Line Fits the Observed Data. R2
Lies Between 0 And 1
i.e. 0<R2>1
When there is Inclusion of Additional Explanatory Variables in the Function it can never reduce R2 and will Usually
Increase it. To correct for this Defect, we adjust R2 by taking into Account the Degree of Freedom, which Clearly
Decrease as New Independent Variable, Known as (R Bar Square). It is also known as Loss of Degree of Freedom.
Type 2 Error
When the test leads to acceptance of a false hypothesis, it is called type 2 error.
Critical Region
While Accepting or Rejecting a Null Hypothesis at a Given Level of Significance the Region of Rejection is called
as Critical Region Whereas the Other Region is Called as Region of Acceptance.
Problem of Identification
Problem of Identification implies out whether Numerical Estimates of the Parameters of the structural Equation
can be obtained from the Estimated Reduced form of Coefficient. If this is possible then we say that the equation
is identified. Identification Problem arises only for those Equations, which have coefficients which have to be
Estimated Statistically.
Order Condition and Rank Condition
Order Condition: For an Equation to be Identified the Total No. of Variables Excluded from it but included in other
Equations of the Model Must be ateast as Great as the no of Equations of the System Minus One.
Rank Condition: In a System of G Equations any Particular Equation is identified if and only if it is possible to
construct at least one Non-Zero Determinant of Order (G-1) from the Co-Efficient of the Variables Excluded from
that Particular Equation but Contained in the other Equations of the Model.
Structural form and Reduced form of Simultaneous Equation Model
The equations appearing in a simultaneous equation model are called structural or behavioral equations. They
describe the structure or behaviour of the economy or a producing firm in an econometric model. The parameters

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 45


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

of these equations are called structural parameters. The number of such equations in a model is equal to the no.
of endogenous or jointly dependent variables.
Reduced form equations are those equations, which express the endogenous variables only in terms of the
predetermined variables and the stochastic disturbances. Reduced form equations can be obtained in 2 ways -
1. Express the endogenous variables directly as functions of the predetermined variables.
2. Solve the structural system of endogenous variables in terms of predetermined variables, the structural
parameters and disturbances.

2.7 TOOLS TO IMPROVE PRODUCTIVITY AND PROFITABILITY - MRP I, MRP II AND ERP

MATERIALS REQUIREMENT PLANNING (MRP or MRP I):


MRP is a technique which aims at to ensure that material resources - raw materials bought-in components and
in-house sub-assembles - are made available just before they are needed by the next stage of production or
despatch. It is basically a system which controls system of inventory so that up-to-date records of the status of
a large number of items in inventory can be kept. An MRP system works out outputs from the master production
schedule, orders for external components, sales demand forecast, inventory or stock records and Bill of Materials.
MRP takes care of the timely phasing of requirements, planned order releases, generation of component level
requirements and rescheduling capability. The ability of the MRP system is to deliver what is required in correct
place at the correct time will be dependent on the quality of the information which is put into the computer
model. The core data requirements for operating an MRP system are: (a) Master production schedule, (b) Bill of
material file, (c) Inventory file, (d) Routings file, and (e) Master parts file.
Aims of MRP
The aims of MRP are to use of computers in order to:
Determine for final products what should be produced and at what time.
Calculate the required production of sub-assemblies.
Determine the requirements for material based on an up-to-date Bill of Materials (BOM).
Calculate inventories, work-in-progress, batch sizes and manufacturing and packaging lead times.
Generally control inventory by ordering bought-in components and raw material in relation to the orders
received or forecast rather than the more usual practice of ordering from stock-level indicators.
Objectives of MRP
The basic objective of MRP are as follows:
It determines the quality and timing of finished goods demanded.
It determines time phased requirements of the demand for materials, components and sub-assemblies over a
specified planning time horizon.
It computes the inventories, work-in-progress batch sizes and manufacturing and packing lead times.
It controls inventory by ordering components and materials in relation to orders received rather than ordering
them from stock level point of view.
Features of MRP
The notable features of MRP system include:
Material requirements for each assembly and sub-assembly are determined on the basis of master production
schedule, thus termed as backward technique.
Updating of material requirements is done regularly to take stock of the charges in production schedule on

46 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


account of receipt of new orders, cancellation of orders, machine breakdown, unanticipated scrap, vendor
delivery problems etc.
The order points for each assembly and sub-assembly are determined in advance on the basis of delivery
date and lead time. The materials are made available when needed and not prior to their use. This aspect of
MRP had helped to reduce investments.
Very little safety stocks are maintained under MRP system. Under EOQ model, the safety stocks are maintained
to protect the manufacturing operations against future uncertainties.
Constant check is being exercised to see that the items have been ordered and received in time. The delay
is expedited by resorting to emergency measures. Forward planning to forecast the future demand is also
made.
Data Requirements for MRP
MRP originated in the early 1960s as a computerised approach for co-ordinating the planning, acquisition and
production of materials. Important requirements for the operation of a MRP system are as follows:
Master Production Schedule - It specifies the quantity of each finished unit of products to be produced along
with the time at which each unit will be required.
Bill of Material File- This file specifies the sub-assemblies, components and materials requirement for each item
of finished goods.
Inventory File - It maintains details of items in hand fo^ each sub-assemblies, components and materials
required.
Routing File - This file specifies the sequence of operations required to manufacture components, sub-
assemblies and finished goods.
Master Parts File - It contains information about the production time of sub-assemblies and components
produced internally and lead time for externally procured items.
Prerequisites for Successful Operation of MRP
The prerequisites for successful operation of MRP are as follows:
The latest production and purchasing schedules prepared should be strictly adhered to day to day change
from predetermined schedules will cause chaos.
Raw materials, sub-assemblies and components required for production should be pre-determined in
quantifiable terms. Standard should be set for the consumption quantity, quality, mix and yield of raw materials
for every unit of finished product.
Work-force must be appraised of the system and the need for absolute adherence to the schedules prepared.
Necessary internal control system should be developed to ensure total adherence to the schedule.
Accuracy of the data supplied is vital to the MRP system.
Method of Operation of MRP
MRP systems consolidate the firm and predicted production targets. They then calculate what materials are needed
assuming a fixed relation of products, raw materials and manufacturing lead times. Finally, they compare the
required raw materials and components with the available, ordered and committed raw materials or components
to determine what materials and components have to be bought in from suppliers.
The information provided by a MRP system includes the following:
Gross Requirements - The demand for the components or assembly, comprising firm customer orders and
forecasts,
Scheduled Receipts - The expected delivery dates and quantities of shop or purchase orders already put in
hand.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 47


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

Projected Available Balance - The number of items projected to be in inventory at the end of each period
(opening balance plus receipts minus issues),
Planned Order Release - The order quantities required to ensure that the projected available balance does
not drop below zero at any preset safety level.
The benefits of MRP are that a detailed forecast of the inventory position is produced period by period which,
together with the planned order release entries, enables future production to be planned more accurately and
better control to be maintained of inventory.
Benefits of MRP
The benefits of a successful MRP system include:
Significantly decreased inventory levels and corresponding decreases in inventory carrying costs.
Fewer stock shortage, which cause production interruptions and time-consuming schedule juggling by
managers.
Increased effectiveness of production supervisors and less production chaos.
Better customer service - an increased ability to meet delivery schedules and to set delivery dates earlier and
more reliably.
Greater responsiveness to change. MRP gives manufacturing a better feel for the effects of economic swings
and changes in woodcut demand can be translated into schedule changes quickly.
Closer coordination of the marketing, engineering, and finance activities with the manufacturing activities.

MANUFACTURING RESOURCE PLANNING (MRP II)


Operating System of MRP II
MRP II utilizes software applications for coordinating manufacturing processes, from product planning, parts
purchasing, inventory control to product distribution. MRP II is a method for the effective planning of all the
resources of a manufacturing company. It also addresses operational planning in units and its financial planning.
MRP II is made up of a variety of functions, each linked together: business planning, sales and operations planning,
demand management, production planning, master scheduling, material requirement planning, capacity
requirement planning, and the execution support systems for capacity and material. Output from these systems
is integrated with financial reports such as the business plan, purchase commitment report, shipping budget,
inventory projections etc.
MRP-II AND ITS INTERFACES

MRP - II

Production interface Accounting interface Marketing interface

Essential Elements of MRP II


The essential elements of MRP II system are as follows:
Demand Forecast - which takes into account firm orders and sales forecasts.
Production Planning - which converts the demand forecast into a broad statement of output requirements
and the necessary production program.
Resource Planning - which determines the manufacturing resources (materials and bought-in components
etc.) required to meet the production program.

48 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Rough-cut Capacity Planning - which is used to test the feasibility of meeting the production program, taking
into account the capacity available.
Master Production Schedule - which is prepared on the basis of the information obtained from the demand
forecasting, production planning, resource planning and rough-cut capacity planning processes.
Bills of Material - it is storage of basic data for defining products, i.e., lists of the components and material
required to produce the end-product or assembly.
Materials Requirement Planning - which determines component and material requirements on the basis of
information from the master production schedules and the purchasing and inventory control function,
Detailed Material and Capacity Plans - which set out the detailed schedules for providing material and
capacity as derived from the material requirement plans and detailed capacity planning - only if capacity is
available is the plan allowed to proceed.
Shop and Purchase Order Release - which activate production and purchasing.
Shop-floor Control - which monitors production against the plan and feeds back which enables the master
production schedule and capacity and material plans to be updated.
Purchase and Inventory Control - which monitors purchasing against the material plans and feeds back to
the master production schedules and material plans to enable updating to take place as required, Inventory
control are also maintained on the basis of shop-floor usage.

ENTERPRISE RESOURCE PLANNING (ERP)


Operating System of ERP
ERP means the techniques and concepts for integrated management of business as a whole from the view point
of the effective use of management resources to improve the efficiency of enterprise management. ERP provides
integrated business software modules to support functional units of an enterprise. It has a process oriented
approach in the sense that it focuses on core processes like order fulfillment, materials procurement, balance
sheet preparation etc. and attempts to integrate various functions of an enterprise involved the execution of
these processes. ERP owes its origin to two earlier planning systems: MRP and MRP II. The strength of ERP lies in its
ability to go beyond the fulfillment of needs of specific departments or functions and address the needs of an
enterprise as a whole. The process-oriented perspective of ERP breaks departmental barriers in the integration,
transmission and processing of data which may be accused by any department as and when needed.
Before the emergence of ERP, only the stand-alone informations are sufficient for different types of functions. The
main reason for the growth of ERP are that it enabled improved business performance, supported business growth
requirements, provide flexible, integrated, real-time decision support and eliminated limitations in legacy systems.
ERP uses multi-module application software for improving the performance of the internal business processes. ERP
software systems may include application modules for supporting marketing, finance, production, purchases,
stores, accounting and human resources.
ERP systems provide firms with transaction-processing modules that are integrated with other activities of the firm
such as production planning and human resources. With ERP systems, much information is gathered at the source
and placed directly into the computer. As a result, information is available on-line to others and in real-time.
ERP systems provide integration across multiple locations and functional areas. ERP systems permit organizational
standardization across different locations. ERP system brings with time-tested and successful business practices
that will help the organization to become more competitive. ERP system put all the information into the same
underlying database, eliminating many information asymmetries, redundancies and duplication. ERP also
facilitates communication and collaboration with outside organizations like suppliers, customers, logistic agents,
insurance companies, market enquiries, service outlets, warehouses, retail and wholesale outlets etc.
Characteristics of ERP

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 49


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

An ERP system is not only the integration of various functional systems/processes in the organization, but has few
more characteristics as stated below to qualify as a full-fledged ERP solution:
Flexibility - An ERP system is flexible enough to respond fast to the changing needs of the organization. The
Client Server technology enables ERP to run across various databases at the back-end using Open database
connectivity.
Modular and Open - ERP system has the open architecture i.e. any modules can be interfaced or detached
without affecting the use of rest of the modules. It should support multiple hardware platforms as well as third
party add-on solutions.
Comprehensive - It supports various organizational functions and is suitable for wide range of business
organizations.
Beyond the company - It is not confined to the organizational boundaries rather it is extended to the external
business entities connected to the organization with online connectivity.
Best business practice - It has inbuilt best business practices applicable worldwide and imposes its own
strategies and logics over existing culture and processes of the organization.
Features of ERP
Some of the major features of an ERP are:
It provides multi-platform, multi-facility, multi-mode of manufacturing, multi-currency and multi-lingual facilities.
It supports strategic and business planning activities, operational planning and execution activities, material
and resource planning.
It has end-to-end supply chain management to optimize the overall demand and supply.
It facilitates integrated information systems covering all functional areas like manufacturing, procurement,
sales, distribution, payables, receivables, human resources, inventory, finance etc.
It enhances customer services through increased efficiency in core activities thus augmenting the corporate
image.
It bridges the information gap across organization.
ERP is the solution for better project management.
It allows introduction of latest technologies like Electronic funds transfer, Electronic data Interchange, Internet,
Intranet, E-commerce etc.
It eliminates business problems like material shortages, productivity, customer service, cash management,
quality and prompt delivery.
It provides intelligent business tools like Decision support system, Executive information system, data mining etc.
Evaluation of ERP Package and Its Applications
Evaluation of the right ERP package is considered as more crucial step. Evaluation and selection involves:
Checking whether all functional aspects of the business are duly covered.
Checking whether all the business functions and processes are fully integrated.
Checking whether all the latest Information Technology (IT) trends are covered.
Checking whether the vendor has customizing and implementing capabilities.
Checking whether the business can absorb both the capital investment in hardware and software and
maintenance costs.
Checking whether the return on investment is optimum.

50 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Investment required in ERP is very high and an inappropriate selection of ERP could prove to be a nightmare for
the company. Meticulous planning is therefore required in the selection process.
Benefits from ERP
Benefits from ERP is of two kinds, tangible and intangible. Tangible benefits are those benefits which can be
quantified in monetary terms and intangible benefits cannot be quantified in monetary terms but they do have a
very positive and significant business impact.
Tangible Benefits
- Lowering the cost of products and services purchased
- Significant paper and postage cost reductions
- Improve the productivity of process and personnel
- Inventory reduction
- Lead time reduction
- Reduced stock obsolescence
- Faster product/service lookup and ordering saving time and money
- Automated ordering and payment, lowering payment processing and paper costs
Intangible Benefits
- Can reach more vendors, producing more competitive bids
- Accurate and faster access to data for timely decisions
- Saves enormous time and effort in data entry
- More controls thereby lowering the risk of misutilization of resources
- Facilitates strategic planning
- Uniform reporting according to global standards
- Improved customer response
- Increases organizational transparency and responsibility
Reasons for Failure of ERP
An organization cannot reap desired benefits from ERP system under the following circumstances:
- Lack of effective project management
- Inability to resolve issues and make decisions in timely manner
- Resources not available when needed
- Perceived or real lack of executive support
- Software fails to meet business needs
- Under estimated levels of Change Management
- Improper communication
- Insufficient end user training
- Failure in gap analysis
- Failure to identify future business needs
- Technological obsolescence

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 51


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

- Failure to make available user-friendly checklist/guidelines.

2.8 TOTAL PRODUCTIVITY MANAGEMENT (TPM)

Total Productive Management (TPM) provides a system for coordinating all the various improvement activities
for the company so that they contribute to the achievement of corporate objective. Starting with a corporate
vision and broad goals, these activities are developed into supporting objectives, or targets, throughout the
organisation. The targets are specifically and quantitatively defined. This Study Note emphasizes how to improve the
competitiveness of products and services in quality, price, cost and customer responsiveness, thereby increasing
the profitability, market share, and return on investment in human, material, capital, and technology resources.
TPM originated as an extension of Total Quality Management (TQM) principles to operations whereby each
machine operator is sufficiently trained and motivated to operate and maintain the machine in question.
Operators working in groups, report to groups supervisors or engineer in-charge. Being trained in maintenance,
an operator can himself diagnose many problems and solve these with maintenance kits at his disposal. Complex
problems are intimated to maintenance team for solution.
TPM approach establishes some kind of bondage between machine and its operator who is made to feel like
owning the machine. It drives an operator to ensure machine availability, efficiency and reliability. The approach
reduces wastes of different forms like idleness due to breakdown, stock-out of some of regular spares, additional
manpower otherwise required for storing some of the regular spares and for regular machine inspection & general
maintenance. Thus, TPM favors lean manufacturing.
[Notes : (1) Lean manufacturing or lean enterprise refer to right manpower size in manufacturing or enterprise.
These are brought about through multi-skilling, clustered jobs, empowerment, reward system (including merit-
based promotions), flatter organization and often by re-engineering of processes (2) Average age of employees
is an indicator which is also used as a KPI. This often rouse organizational conflicts which are being addressed
through golden hand-shakes or voluntary retirement schemes (3) Technology, plant layout, ergonomics, working
methods, control systems, etc also have influences on productivity and size of manpower].
Total Productive Maintenance (TPM)
Originated in Japan in 1971 as a method for improved machine availability through better utilization of maintenance
and production resources.
Whereas in most production settings the operator is not viewed as a member of the maintenance team, in TPM
the machine operator is trained to perform many of the day-to-day tasks of simple maintenance and fault-finding.
Teams are created that include a technical expert (often an engineer or maintenance technician) as well as
operators. In this setting the operators are enabled to understand the machinery and identify potential problems,
righting them before they can impact production and by so doing, decrease downtime and reduce costs of
production.
TPM is a critical adjunct to lean manufacturing. If machine uptime is not predictable and if process capability is not
sustained, the process must keep extra stocks to buffer against this uncertainty and flow through the process will be
interrupted. Unreliable uptime is caused by breakdowns or badly performed maintenance. Correct maintenance
will allow uptime to improve and speed production through a given area allowing a machine to run at its designed
capacity of production.
One way to think of TPM is deterioration prevention: deterioration is what happens naturally to anything that
is not taken care of. For this reason many people refer to TPM as total productive manufacturing or total
process management. TPM is a proactive approach that essentially aims to identify issues as soon as possible and
plan to prevent any issues before occurrence. One motto is zero error, zero work-related accident, and zero loss
TPM is a management process developed for improving productivity by making processes more reliable and less
wasteful.TPM is an extension of TQM (Total Quality Management). The objective of TPM is to maintain the plant or
equipment in good condition without interfering with the daily process. To achieve this objective, preventive and
predictive maintenance is required. By following the philosophy of TPM we can minimize the unexpected failure

52 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


of the equipment.
To implement TPM the production unit and maintenance unit should work jointly. Original goal of total productive
management:
Continuously improve all operational conditions, within a production system; by stimulating the daily awareness
of all employees (by Seiichi Nakajima, Japan, JIPM)
TPM focuses primarily on manufacturing (although its benefits are applicable to virtually any process) and is the
first methodology Toyota used to improve its global position (1950s). After TPM, the focus was stretched, and also
suppliers and customers were involved (Supply Chain), this next methodology was called lean manufacturing. This
sheet gives an overview of TPM in its original form.
An accurate and practical implementation of TPM, will increase productivity within the total organization, where:
(i) a clear business culture is designed to continuously improve the efficiency of the total production system
(ii) a standardized and systematic approach is used, where all losses are prevented and/or known.
(iii) all departments, influencing productivity, will be involved to move from a reactive to a predictive mindset.
(iv) a transparent multidisciplinary organization in reaching zero losses.
(v) steps are taken as a journey, not as a quick menu.
Finally TPM will provide practical and transparent ingredients to reach operational excellence.
Goals
TPM has basically 3 goals - Zero Product Defects, Zero Equipment Unplanned Failures and Zero Accidents. It sets
out to achieve these goals by Gap Analysis of previous historical records of Product Defects, Equipment Failures
and Accidents. The Gap Analysis may be done with techniques like Fishbone diagram, Cause-Effect Analysis,
Why-Why analysis, etc. Based on such analysis, investigation may be undertaken to discover latent problems
underlying the gaps.
Many companies struggle to implement TPM due to 2 main reasons. First is having insufficient knowledge and
skills especially in understanding the linkages between the 8 Pillar-Activities in TPM.[1] It does not help in that
most TPM books are long on the theories but scanty on the implementation details. The second reason is that
TPM requires more time, resources and efforts than most of these companies believe they can afford. A typical
TPM implementation requires company-wide participation and full results can only be seen after 3 years and
sometimes 5 years. The main reason for this long duration is due to the basic involvement and training required for
Autonomous Maintenance participation where operators participate in the restoring the equipment to its original
capability and condition and then improving the equipment.
An effective Fast-Track TPM Implementation Approach has been successful in a Paper Mill and Electronics
Industries and documented. It circumvented this problem by assigning Project Teams to do Autonomous
Maintenance for the AM Steps of 1) Initial Cleaning and 2) Eliminating Sources of Contamination and Improving
Equipment Accessibility. Production Operators take over the Autonomous Maintenance after the AM Step 3 (Initial
Maintenance Standards) has been established. This has been proven to reduce TPM implementation time by
about 50%.
TPM success measurement - A set of performance metrics which is considered to fit well in a lean manufacturing/
TPM environment is overall equipment effectiveness, or OEE. For advanced TPM world class practitioners, the
OEE cannot be converted to costs using Target Costing Management (TCM) OEE measurements are used as
a guide to the potential improvement that can be made to an equipment. and by identifying which of the 6
losses is the greater, then the techniques applicable to that type of loss. Consistent application of the applicable
improvement techniques to the sources of major losses will positively impact the performance of that equipment.
Using a criticality analysis across the factory should identify which equipments should be improved first, also to gain
the quickest overall factory performance.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 53


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

The use of Cost Deployment is quite rare, but can be very useful in identifying the priority for selective TPM
deployment.
Steps to Start TPM
The Steps are
Identify the key people
Management should learn the philosophy.
Management must promote the philosophy.
Training for all the employees.
Identify the areas where improvement are needed.
Make an implementation plan.
Form an autonomous group.
Benefits
With the adoption of TPM at the enterprise level, your organisation would benefit from the following aspect:
A set of new management goals will be developed by the Management, using the skills and training provided
during the implementation of the TPM
Team bonding and better accountability
Improved quality and total cost competitiveness
Productivity and quality team training for problem solving
Earlier detection of factors critical to maintaining equipment uptime
Measure impact of defects, sub-optimal performance, and downtime using OEE (Overall Equipment
Effectiveness)
Motivated people function better all the time

2.9 TOTAL QUALITY MANAGEMENT (TQM)

Quality is considered a by-product of the manufacturing system i.e., each individual process has some variation
that will lead to the production of some defective units. If the resulting defective rate is too high, compared to the
established quality standards, quality inspectors will identify and send them for rework. The approach is expensive
and does not guarantee the desired quality, because quality maintaining and ensuring itself cannot be inspected
into a product. This approach assigns the responsibility for quality to quality control managers.
A more unlighted approach to quality emphasizes building quality into the product by studying and improving
activities that affect quality, from marketing through design to manufacturing. This new approach is referred to as
Total Quality Management (TQM). It is an active approach encompassing a company-wide operating philosophy
and system for continuous improvement of quality. It demands cooperation from everyone in the company, from
the top management down to workers.
The principles of TQM are as follows:
a) Customer Focus
b) Managerial Leadership
c) Belief in continuous improvement.
The current thinking of TQM is moving from Quality of product and service to Quality of people to embrace also

54 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Quality of environment. ISO 14000 standard supports this.
TQM seeks to increase customer satisfaction by finding the factors that limit current performance. The TQM
approach highlights the need for a customer-oriented approach to management reporting, eliminating some or
more of traditional reporting practices.
The emphasis of TQM is to design and build quality in the product, rather than allow defectives and then inspect
and rectify them. The focus is on the causes rather than the symptoms of poor quality.
The three core concepts of TQM are -
a) Quality Control (QC): It is concerned with the past and deals with data obtained from previous production,
which allow action to be taken to stop the production of defective units.
b) Quality Assurance (QA): It deals with the present and focuses to create and operate appropriate systems to
prevent defects from occurring.
c) Quality Management (QM): It concerned with the future and manages people in a process of continuous
improvement to the products and services offered by the firm.
The various stages/steps to be taken in the implementation of TQM

Stage Description
1 Identification of customers/customer groups.
2 Identification of customer expectations
3 Identification of customer decision-making requirements and product utilities
4 Identification of perceived problems in decision making process and product utilities
5 Comparison with other organizations and Benchmarking
6 Customer Feedback
7 Identification of improvement opportunities
8 Quality Improvement Process through - a) Determination of new strategies, b) Elimination of deficiencies,
and c) Identifying solutions.

1. Stage 1: Identification of customers / customer groups: Through a team approach (a technique called Multi -
Voting), the firm should identify major customer groups. This helps in generating priorities in the identification of
customers and critical issues in the provision of decision - support information.
2. Stage 2: Identifying customer expectations: Once the major customer groups are identified, their expectations
are listed. The question to be answered is - What does the customer expect from the Firm?
3. Stage 3: Identifying customer decision-making requirements and product utilities: By identifying the need
to stay close to the customers and follow their suggestions, a decision - support system can be developed,
incorporating both financial and non-financial information, which seeks to satisfy used requirements. Hence,
the Firm finds out the answer to - What are the customers decision-making requirements and product utilities?
The answer is sought by listing out managerial perceptions and not by actual interaction with the customers.
4. Stage 4: Identifying perceived problems in decision-making process and product utilities: Using participative
processes such as brainstorming and multi-voting, the firm seeks to list out its perception of problem areas
and shortcomings in meeting customer requirements. This will list out areas of weakness where the greatest
impact could be achieved through the implementation of improvements. The firm identifies the answer to the
question - What problem areas do we perceive in the decision-making process?
5. Stage 5: Comparison with other Firms and benchmarking: Detailed and systematic internal deliberations allow
the Firm to develop a clear idea of their own strengths and weaknesses and of the areas of most significant
deficiency. Benchmarking exercise allows the Firm to see how other Companies are coping with similar
problems and opportunities.
6. Stage 6: Customer Feedback: Stages 1 to 5 provide a information base developed without reference to the

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 55


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

customer. This is rectified at Stage 6 with a survey of representative customers, which embraces their views on
perceived problem areas. Interaction with the customers and obtaining their views helps the Firm in correcting
its own perceptions and refining its process.
7. Stage 7 & 8: Identification of improvement opportunities and implementation of Quality Improvement Process:
The outcomes of the customer survey, benchmarking and internal analysis, provides the inputs for stages 7
and 8. i.e., the identification of improvement opportunities and the implementation of a formal improvement
process. This is done through a six-step process called PRAISE, for short.

Various Quality Tools


Control Charts
Control charts as a means of maintaining a process in statistical control were pioneered by Dr. W.A. Shewhart, an
engineer in the Bell Telephone Laboratories, USA with a view to eliminate abnormal variations in process output by
distinguishing variations due to special causes from those due to common causes.
Understanding variation is at the heart of much quality work. If you can control variation then you can deliver
consistent products and services. If you can reduce variation, then you can deliver higher quality and hence sell
more, at higher prices. There are two types of measurement which you can measure and plot on a Control Chart.
Variables answer the question how much? and are measured in quantitative units, for example weight,
voltage or time.
Attributes answer the question how many? and are measured as a count, for example the number of defects
in a batch of products
The Histogram is a common tool used for showing the distribution of a set of measures and often appears in a bell-
shaped Normal or Gaussian graph, where the majority of measures are clustered around the centre. What the
Histogram does not show, however, is the way in which those measurements changed over time.
Six Sigma Methodologies
Six Sigma has two key methodologies: DMAIC and DMADV, both inspired by W. Edwards Demings Plan-Do-Check-
Act Cycle: DMAIC is used to improve an existing business process, and DMADV is used to create new product or
process designs for predictable, defect-free performance.
DMAIC
Basic methodology consists of the following five (5) steps:
Define the process improvement goals that are consistent with customer demands and enterprise strategy.
Measure the current process and collect relevant data for future comparison.
Analyze to verify relationship and causality of factors. Determine what the relationship is, and attempt to
ensure that all factors have been considered.
Improve or optimize the process based upon the analysis using techniques like Design of Experiments.
Control to ensure that any variances are corrected before they result in defects. Set up pilot runs to establish
process capability, transition to production and thereafter continuously measure the process and institute
control mechanisms.
DMIADV
Basic methodology consists of the following five steps:
Define the goals of the design activity that are consistent with customer demands and enterprise strategy.
Measure and identify CTQs (critical to qualities), product capabilities, production process capability, and risk
assessments.
Analyze to develop and design alternatives, create high-level design and evaluate design capability to select

56 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


the best design.
Design details, optimize the design, and plan for design verification. This phase may require simulations.
Verify the design, set up pilot runs, implement production process and handover to process owners.
Some people have used DMAICR (Realize). Others contend that focusing on the financial gains realized through Six
Sigma is counter-productive and that said financial gains are simply byproducts of a good process improvement.
Key roles required for successful implementation of Six Sigma
Six Sigma identifies several key roles for its successful implementation:
a) Executive Leadership includes CEO and other key top management team members. They are responsible for
setting up a vision for Six Sigma implementation. They also empower the other role holders with the freedom
and resources to explore new ideas for breakthrough improvements.
b) Champions are responsible for the Six Sigma implementation across the organization in an integrated manner.
The Executive Leadership draws them from the upper management. Champions also act as mentors to Black
Belts. At GE this level of certification is now called Quality Leader.
c) Master Black Belts, identified by champions, act as in-house expert coaches for the organization on Six Sigma.
They devote 100% of their time to Six Sigma. They assist champions and guide Black Belts and Green Belts.
Apart from the usual rigour of statistics, their time is spent on ensuring integrated deployment of Six Sigma
across various functions and departments.
d) Experts this level of skill is used primarily within Aerospace and Defense Business Sectors. Experts work across
company boundaries, improving services, processes, and products for their suppliers, their entire campuses,
and for their customers. Raytheon Incorporated was one of the first companies to introduce Experts to their
organizations. At Raytheon, Experts work not only across multiple sites, but across business divisions, incorporating
lessons learned throughout the company.
e) Black Belts operate under Master Black Belts to apply Six Sigma methodology to specific projects. They devote
100% of their time to Six Sigma. They primarily focus on Six Sigma project execution, whereas Champions and
Master Black Belts focus on identifying projects/functions for Six Sigma.
f) Green Belts are the employees who take up Six Sigma implementation along with their other job responsibilities.
They operate under the guidance of Black Belts and support them in achieving the overall results.
g) Yellow Belts are employees who have been trained in Six Sigma techniques as part of a corporate-wide
initiative, but have not completed a Six Sigma project and are not expected to actively engage in quality
improvement activities.
Six Sigma process in Quality Control Process
Six Sigma is a set of practices originally developed by Motorola to systematically improve processes by eliminating
defects. A defect is defined as non-conformity of a product or service to its specifications.
While the particulars of the methodology were originally formulated by Bill Smith at Motorola in 1986, Six Sigma was
heavily inspired by six preceding decades of quality improvement methodologies such as quality control, TQM,
and Zero Defects. Like its predecessors, Six Sigma asserts the following:
a) Continuous efforts to reduce variation in process outputs is key to business success
b) Manufacturing and business processes can be measured, analyzed, improved and controlled
c) Succeeding at achieving sustained quality improvement requires commitment from the entire organization,
particularly from top-level management.
The term Six Sigma refers to the ability of highly capable processes to produce output within specification. In
particular, processes that operate with six sigma quality produce at defect levels below 3.4 defects per (one)
million opportunities (DPMO). Six Sigmas implicit goal is to improve all processes to that level of quality or better.
5 Ss concept in Quality Management
The Five Ss are:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 57


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

SEIRI - Organization or re-organization.


SEITON - Neatness
SEISO - Cleaning
SEIKETSU - Standardization
SHITSUKE - Discipline

1. SEIRI: The literal meaning of the Japanese word SEIRI is to straighten and contain. It can be understood as
discard unnecessary things i.e., get rid of waste and put things in such a way as to have quick access. This is
how straighten and contain can be interpreted.
2. SEITON: While SEIRI helps us to decide what are the items needed, SEITON helps to decide the way things
are to be placed so that our working is smooth. SEITON involves safety and productivity.
3. SEISO: The literal meaning of the word SEISO is clean up. It means take up the job of cleaning. Such cleaning
is not restricted merely to the machines, table, kitchen cabinet etc., i.e., whichever we have taken up. It
should be extended to the entire surroundings.
4. SEIKETSU: Seiri, Seiton and Seiso are easy to do once, but it is very difficult to maintain. To maintain, we have to
standardize the system. Seiketsu is nothing but standardization. In five, S means ensuring whatever cleanliness
and orderliness have been achieved through Seiri, Seiton and Seiso, they are maintained. We should keep a
strict control over the situation.
5. SHITSUKE: Shitsuke means discipline. Discipline is following a system, which calls for changing from our present
unsystematic way of adherence to set procedures. Systems function in an orderly manner.
Different types of Quality Costs
Quality costs can be analyzed under two major categories.
a) Costs of quality assurance incurred by the manufacturer.
b) Costs of quality assurance at the users end which are called user quality costs.
Internal Quality Costs
There is a measure of all costs directly associated with the achievement of complete conformance to product
quality requirements. These are not just the cost of quality management or inspection function. Specifically quality
costs are the sum total of
a) Prevention Costs - (Quality Engineering, Quality planning).
b) Appraisal Costs - Cost of appraising product for conformance to requirements.
c) Failure Costs - Costs incurred by failure to conform to requirements.
User Quality Costs:
In this approach an attempt is made to determine the costs incurred by the user when the purchased materials
or equipment has problems. Such non - quality costs can be broadly grouped under seven categories as given
below:

Category of user Quality Cost Example Categories of User Quality Costs


Cost of repairs 1A Parts and material for failed items and any associated
items which also must be replaced.
1B Labour for replacing the failed items and Sociated items.

58 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Cost of effectiveness loss 2A Idle direct labour before and during a shutdown and
during startup of a process
2B Extra defective product made before, during the
immediately after process shutdown.
Cost of maintaining extra capacity 3A Equipment parts and materials
because of expected failure
3B Direct and indirect labour
Cost of damages caused by a failed item 4A Injuries to personnel
4B Training new personnel when a replacement is required.
Lost income 5A Profit on production lost during downtime of failed item


Quality Circle:
Quality Circle is a small group of 6 to 12 employees doing similar work who voluntarily meet together on a regular
basis to identify improvements in their respective work areas using proven techniques for analysing and solving
work related problems coming in the way of achieving and sustaining excellence leading to mutual up liftmen of
employees as well as the organisation. It is a way of capturing the creative and innovative power that lies within
the work force.
Attributes of Quality Circle Concept:
The concept of Quality Circle is primarily based upon recognition of the value of the worker as a human being, as
someone who willingly activates on his job, his wisdom, intelligence, experience, attitude and feelings. It is based
upon the human resource management considered as one of the key factors in the improvement of product
quality & productivity. Quality Circle concept has three major attributes:
a. Quality Circle is a form of participation management.
b. Quality Circle is a human resource development technique.
c. Quality Circle is a problem solving technique.
Objectives of Quality Circles:
The objectives of Quality Circles are multi-faced.
a) Change in Attitude.
From I dont care to I do care
Continuous improvement in quality of work life through humanisation of work.
b) Self Development
Bring out Hidden Potential of people People get to learn additional skills.
c) Development of Team Spirit
Individual Vs Team - I could not do but we did it Eliminate inter departmental conflicts.
d) Improved Organisational Culture
Positive working environment.
Total involvement of people at all levels.
Higher motivational level.
Participate Management process.
Zero Defects and Rights First Time - Philip Crosby

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 59


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

Philip Crosby prompted the phrases, Zero Defects does not mean mistakes never happen, rather than there is no
allowable number of errors built into a product or process and that it is to be got right first time. He believes that
management should take prime responsibility for quality and worker only follow their managers example.
His four absolute quality management:
a) Quality is conformance to requirements
b) Quality prevention is preferable to quality inspection
c) Zero defects is quality performance standard.
d) Quality is measured in monetary terms - the price of non- conformance.
Steps to quality improvement:
a) Committed to quality.
b) Creation of quality improvement teams representing all the departments.
c) Measure processes to determine current and potential quality issues.
d) Calculate cost of (poor) quality.
e) Raise quality awareness of all employees.
f) Take action to correct quality issues.
g) Monitor progress of quality improvement.
h) Train supervisions in quality improvement.
i) Hold Zero Defects days.
j) Encourage employees to create their own quality improvement goals.
k) Encourage employee communication with management about obstacles quality.
l) Recognize participants effort.
m) Create quality councils.
n) Do it all over again - quality improvements does not end.
Quality improvement steps conceptualized by Philip Crosby
The following are the ten steps of Quality improvement, as per Philip Crosby:
a) Management is committed to quality and this is clear to all.
b) Create quality improvement teams, with representatives from all departments.
c) Measure processes to determine current & potential quality issues.
d) Calculate the cost of poor quality.
e) Raise quality awareness of all employees.
f) Take action to correct quality issues.
g) Monitor progress of quality improvement-Establish a zero-defect committee.
h) Train supervisors in Quality improvement.
i) Encourage employees to create their own quality improvement goals.
j) Recognize participants efforts.

60 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Shewhart Cycle or Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA)
Shewhart Cycle or PDCA or Deming Cycle or Deming wheel or PDSA is explained as follows:

PLAN:
Establish the objectives and processes necessary to deliver results in accordance, with the specifications.
DO:
Implement the processes.
CHECK:
Monitor and evaluate the processes and results as agent objectives and specifications and report the out come.
ACT:
Apply actions to the outcome for necessary improvement. That means reviewing all steps (plan, Do, Check, Act)
and modifying the process to improve it before its next implementation.

Illustration 1:
A company manufactures a single product, which requires two components. The company purchases one f the
components from two suppliers: X Limited and Y Limited. The price quoted by X Limited is `180 per hundred units
of the component and it is found that on an average 3 per cent of the total receipt from this supplier is defective.
The corresponding quotation from Y Limited is `174 per hundred units, but the defective would go up to 5 per cent.
If the defectives are not detected, they are utilized in production causing a damage of `180 per 100 units of the
component.
The company intends to introduce a system of inspection for the components on receipt. The inspection cost is
estimated at `24 per 100 units of the component. Such as inspection will be able to detect only 90 per cent of the
defective components received. No payment will be made for components found to be defective in inspection.
Required:
(i) Advise whether inspection at the point of receipt is justified ?
(ii) Which of the two suppliers should be asked to supply? (Assume total requirement is 10,000 units of the
component.)
Solution:
Estimated defectives if not inspected
X Ltd. = 10,000 3/100 = 300 Y Ltd. = 10,000 5/100 = 500
Calculation of Cost per 100 units of good components (in `)

Particulars X Ltd. Y Ltd.


Purchase price 18,000 17,400

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 61


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

Production damage 540 900


Total cost 18,540 18,300
Good components 9,700 9,500
Cost per 100 good components 191.13 192.63

Estimated defectives if inspection is done at the point of receipt


(Units)

Particulars X Ltd. Y Ltd.


Defectives not detected 30 50
Defectives detected 270 450
Components paid for 9,730 9,550

Calculation of cost per 100 units of good components (`)

Particulars X Ltd. Y Ltd.


Purchase cost 17,514 16,617
Inspection cost 2,400 2,400
Production damage 54 90
Total cost 19,968 19,107
Good components 9,700 9,500
Cost per 100 good components (`) 205.86 201.13

Illustration 2:
TQ Ltd. implemented a quality improvement program and had the following results: (` 000)

Particulars 2011 2012


Sales 6,000 6,000
Scrap 600 300
Rework 500 400
Production inspection 200 240
Product warranty 300 150
Quality trainin 75 150
Materials inspection 80 60

You are required to:


(i) Classify the quality costs as prevention, appraisal, internal failure and external failure and express each class
as a percentage of sales.
(ii) Compute the amount of increase in profits due to quality improvement.
Solution:
(i) Classification of quality costs (` 000)

Particular 2011 % of Sales 2012 % of Sales


Sales 6000 6000
(a) Prevention Costs: Quality training 75 1.25 150 2.50

62 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


(b) Appraisal Costs:
Product inspection 200 240
Material inspection 80 60
280 4.67 300 5.00
(c) Internal failure costs:
Scrap 600 300
Rework 500 400
1,100 18.33 700 11.67
(d) External failure Costs: Product warranty 300 5.00 150 2.50
Total quality costs (a+ b + c +d) 1,755 29.25 1,300 21.67

(ii) Cost reduction was effected by 7.58% (i.e. 29.25% - 21.67%) of sales, which is an increase in profit by `4,55,000
(i.e. `17,55,000- `13,00,000).

Illustration 3:
Carlon Ltd. makes and sells a single product, the unit specifications are as follows:

Direct material X 8 sq. meter at `40 per square meter


Machine time 0.6 Running hours
Machine cost per gross hour ` 400
Selling price `1,000

Carlon Ltd. requires to fulfill orders for 5,000 product units per period. There is no stock of product units at the
beginning or end of the period under review. The stock level of material X remains unchanged throughout the
period.
Carlon Ltd. is planning to implement a Quality Management Program (QMP). The following additional information
regarding costs and revenues are given as of now and after implementation of quality management program.

Before the implementation of QMP After the implementation


1 5% of incoming material from suppliers scrapped due to poor receipt and 1 Reduced to 3%
storage organization.
2 4% of Material X input to the machine process is wasted due to processing 2 Reduced to 2.5%
problems.
3 Inspection and storage of Material X costs `1 per square meter purchased, 3 No change in the unit rate
4 Inspection during the production cycle, calibration checks on inspection 4 Reduction of 40% of the
equipment vendor rating and other checks cost `2,50,000 per period. existing cost
5 Production quantity is increased to allow for the down grading of 12.5% of 5 Reduction to 7.5%
the production units at the final inspection stage. Down graded units are
sold as seconds at a discount of 30% of the standard selling price
6 Production quantity is increased to allow for return from customers (these 6 Reduction to 2.5%
are replaced free of charge) due to specification failure and account for
5% of units actually delivered to customer.
7 Product liability and other claims by customers is estimated at 3% of sales 7 Reduction to 1%
revenue from standard product sale.
8 Machine idle time is 20% of gross machine hours used (i.e. running hour = 8 Reduction to 12.5%
80% of gross/hrs.).

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 63


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

9 Sundry costs of administration, selling and distribution total `6,00,000 per 9 Reduction by 10% of the
period. existing
10 Prevention program costs `2,00,000. 10 Increase to `6,00,000
The total quality management program will have a reduction in machine run time required per product unit to
0.5 hr.
Required:
(a) Prepare summaries showing the calculation of (i) Total production units (pre-inspection), (ii) Purchase of
materials X (square meters), (iii) Gross machine hours.
In each case, the figures are required for the situation both before and after the implementation of the quality
management program so that orders for 5,000 product units can be fulfilled.
(b) Prepare Profit and Loss account for Carlon Ltd. for the period showing the profit earned both before and after
the implementation of the total quality program.
Solution:
(a)

Particulars Before implementation After implementation


of QMP of QMP
(i) Calculation of Total production (pre-inspection) (Units) (Units)
Sales required to fulfill orders 5,000 5,000
Add: Specification losses (@ 5%); (@ 2.5%) 250 125
5,250 5,125

12.5 7.5
Add: Down grading at inspection 5,250 ; 5,125 750 416
87.5 92.5

Total production before inspection 6,000 5,541


(ii) Calculation of purchase of Material X (Sq. Meters) (Sq. Meters)
Material required (6,000 units 8); (5,541 units 8) 48,000 44,328

4 2.5 2,000 1,137


Add: Processing loss 48,000 ; 44,328
96 97.5
50,000 45,465
Add: Scrapped material (50,000 5/95); (45,465 3/97) 2,632 1,406
Total material required to purchase 52,632 46,871
(iii) Calculation of Gross Machine Hours (Machine Hrs.) (Machine Hrs.)
Machine hrs. required for total production (6,000 0.6); (5,541 0.5) 3,600 2,771
Add: Idle Time (3,600 20/80); (2,771 12.5/87.5) 900 396
Total gross machine hours required 4,500 3,167

(b) Profit and Loss Account showing profit earned before and the implementation of QMP (`)

Particulars Before implementation of QMP After implementation of QMP


Sales (5,000 units `1,000) 50,00,000 (5,000 units `1,000) 50,00,000
Sales downgraded (750 units `700) 5,25,000 (416 units `700) 2,91,200
(a) 55,25,000 52,91,200

64 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Costs:
Materials (52,632 S. M. `40) 21,05,280 (46,871 S. M. `40) 18,74,840
Inspection & storage (52,632 S. M. `1) 52,632 (46,871 S. M. `1) 46,871
Machine Cost (4,500 hrs. `400) 18,00,000 (3,167 hrs. `400) 12,66,800
Inspection & other cost (Actual) 2,50,000 (`2,50,000 60/100) 1,50,000
Product Liability (`50,00,000 3/100) 1,50,000 (`50,00,000 1/100) 50,000
S&D and Admn. Costs (Actual) 6,00,000 (`6,00,000 90/100) 5,40,000
Preventive program cost 2,00,000 6,00,000
(b) 51,57,912 45,28,511
Net profit (a) (b) 3,67,088 7,62,689


Short Questions & Answers
Choose the correct answer:
Q.1. Benchmarking is:
(a) The analytical tool to identify high cost activities based on the Pareto Analysis;
(b) The search for industries best practices that lead to superior performance;
(c) The simulation of cost reduction schemes that help to build commitment and improvement of actions;
(d) The process of marketing and redesigning the way a typical company works;
(e) The framework that earmarks a linkage with suppliers and customers.
Answer:
(b) The search for industries best practices that lead to superior performance.
Q.2. Consultant/s who contributed to the concept of TQM (Total Quality Management):
(a) W. Edwards Deming;
(b) Joseph Juran;
(c) A. V. Feigenbaum;
(d) All of the above.
Answer:
(d) All of the above
Q.3. Which of the following does not form part of Benchmarking process?
(a) Redesign;
(b) Planning;
(c) Analysis;
(d) Integration;
(e) Action.
Answer:
(a) Redesign
Q.4. Which one of the following is not a measure related to Balanced Score Card?

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 65


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

(a) Financial;
(b) Customer satisfaction;
(c) Internal processes;
(d) Gap analysis;
(e) Innovation.
Answer:
(d) Gap analysis
Q.5. Benchmarking Focuses on:
(a) Production;
(b) Best practices;
(c) Best performance;
(d) Supply chain management;
(e) Profit.
Answer:
(b) Best practices
Q.6. The Balanced Scoreboard is about:-
(a) Creating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning;
(b) Translating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning;
(c) Translating the Vision, Coordinating, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and Learning;
(d) Creating the Vision, Coordinating, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and Learning;
(e) Creating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning.
Answer:
(b) Translating the Vision, Communicating and Linking, Business Planning and Target Setting, Feedback and
Learning.
Q.7. Total Quality Management emphasises:
(a) the responsibility of the Quality Control staff to identify and solve all quality-related problems
(b) a commitment to quality that goes beyond internal company issues to suppliers and customers
(c) a system where strong managers are the only decision makers
(d) a process where mostly statisticians get involved
Answer:
(b) a commitment to quality that goes beyond internal company issues to suppliers and customers
Q.8. A successful TQM program incorporates all of the following except :
(a) continuous improvement
(b) employment involvement
(c) benchmarking
(d) centralized decision making authority

66 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Answer:
(d) centralized decision making authority
Q.9. The six sigma DMAIC process consist of:
(a) define, measure, analyze, improve, control;
(b) define, manage, analyze, improve, control;
(c) define, measure, analyze, improve, co-ordination;
(d) deliver, measure, analyze, improve, control.
Answer:
(a) define, measure, analyze, improve, control.

State if each of the following statements is True or False:


Q.10. The BSC (Balanced Scorecard) puts more stress on financial parameters than on non-financial parameters
since its objective is the growth of the organization.
Answer:
False.
Q.11. Balance Score Card is a performance measurement tool for controlling individual productivity.
Answer:
False. The correct statement is - Balanced Score Card is not a performance measurement tool.
Q.12. ROA (return on assets), can be expressed as Profit Margin Asset Turnover
Answer:
True.
Q.13. Expand the following:
(i) MRP
(ii) MRP-II
(iii) ERP
(iv) BSC
(v) TQM
Answer:
(i) Material Requirement Planning
(ii) Manufacturing Resources Planning
(iii) Enterprise Resource Planning
(iv) Balanced Score Card
(v) Total Quality Management

Fill in the blanks:


Q.14. P Charts measures _______________ defective in Statistical Process Control (SPC) Methods.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 67


Performance Evaluation & Improvement Tools

Answer:
proportion
Q.15. Information is ________ that have been organised into a meaningful and useful context.
Answer:
data
Q.16. MOLAP is a _____________ online analytical processing.
Answer:
multi-dimensional
Q.17. The Balanced Scorecard is a management system not a _________ system.
Answer:
measurement
Q.18. ____________ Benchtrending which is used to identify technological trends and steps initiated to bridge the
gaps in current performance levels.
Answer:
Operations or Process
Q.19. ________________ is thus used for scheduling, inventory management and capacity management.
Answer:
Materials Requirement Planning
Q.20. Match the following:

(i) PDCA A. Kaplan & Norton


(ii) Balanced Scorecard B. ROLAP
(iii) Total Productivity Management C. help senior management
(iv) Online analytical processing D. Plan, Do, Check, Act
(v) Strategic-level information systems E. zero product defects

Answer:
(i) D.
(ii) A.
(iii) E.
(iv) B.
(v) C.

68 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Study Note - 3
ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY OF THE FIRM - PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS

This Study Note includes

3.1 Profit Maximization under Different Market Structure


3.2 Market Factors affecting Pricing Decisions

3.1 PROFIT MAXIMIZATION UNDER DIFFERENT MARKET STRUCTURE

Concepts of Market and Demand


The concept of demand seeks to establish the relationship between the quantity demanded of a commodity and
its price. The demand for anything at a given price is the amount of it which will be bought per unit of time at a
given price. Thus, the demand for any commodity always involves two things:
i) Price, and
ii) Unit of time.
Demand has no significance unless related to both these factors. Unit of time may be a day, a week, a month, etc.
The Statement that demand for Sugar is 1 kg at `50 per kg carries no meaning unless we state explicitly the period
for which this quantity is demanded. Desire or need becomes a demand only when it is backed by willingness
and ability to pay. The quantity demanded by an individual purchaser at a given price is known as individual
demand where as the total quantity demanded by all the buyers are known as total demand or market demand.
Demand Schedule: The demand schedule explains the relationship between price and demand. Demand
schedules are two types.
a) Individual Demand Schedule,
b) Market Demand Schedule
Individual Demand Schedule: Various quantities of commodity that would be purchased by an individual consumer
at different prices is called individual demand schedule.

Price (in `) Demand (in units)


5 1
4 2
3 3
2 4
1 5
In the table at `5 price the consumer is demanding 1 unit of commodity at `4 price the demand is 2 units, at 3, 2
and 1 rupee price the demand is 3, 4 and 5 units respectively.
Market Demand Schedule: Various quantities of goods that would be purchased by all the consumers in the
market is called market demand schedule.

Price (in `) Demand of Market Demand (in units)


A B C D E
1 35 30 25 20 15 135
2 30 25 20 20 10 105
3 25 20 15 20 0 80
4 20 15 10 20 0 65
5 15 10 0 20 0 45

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 69


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

In the table at `1 price the market demand is 135 units (i.e., demand of A+B+C+D+E (35+30+25+20+15=135 units).
Similarly at `2 price the market demand is 100 units, at `3, `4 and `5 prices the market demand is 80, 65, 45 units
respectively.
Demand Curve: As there is inverse relationship between price and demand the individual demand curve slopes
downwards from left to right.

In the Diagram DD is the Demand Curve. It slopes downwards from left to right.
Derived Demand:
The commodities, which are not needed for direct consumption but are demanded to help in the production of
other commodities which have direct demand, are said to have derived demand. For example, the demand for
raw materials, labour, machines, etc., has a derived demand.
Determinants of demand or factors on which demand depends:
The quantity demanded per unit of time of a commodity X by a consumer denoted by Dx mainly depends on:
(i) Price of the commodity (P)
(ii) Prices of substitutes (Ps)
Substitutes are those goods which can be used in place of each other. For example: Tea and Coffee.
(iii) Price of complements (Pc)
Complementary goods are those goods which are related to each other in such a way that an increase (or
decrease) in demand for one leads to an increase (or decrease) in the demand of the other. For example:
Pen and ink, petrol and car etc.
iv) Income of household (I)
v) Tastes and preferences of the households (T), and
vi) The amount annually spent on advertisement of the product and sales promotion (A)

Mathematically,
Dx = f (P, Ps, Pc, I, T, A)
Law of Demand:
The Law of Demand simply expresses the relation between quantity of a commodity demanded and its price.
The law states that demand varies inversely with price, not necessarily proportionately. If the price falls, demand
will extend, and vice versa. The law of demand indicates this inverse relationship between price and quantity
demanded. Other things remaining same, higher will be demanded at a lower price and lower will be demanded
at a higher price - Prof. Benham.
The exceptions of Law of Demand:
1. Giffen Paradox: According to the Law of demand when the price rises demand decreases and vice-versa.
But, according to Sir Robert Giffen even though the price, for necessary goods rise, the demand for them will
not decrease. These goods are called Giffen goods.

70 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


2. Prestigious goods: The law of demand will not operate in case of prestige goods like diamonds, cars etc.
The demand for these goods does not decrease with the rise in the price as these goods are attached with
prestige.
3. Speculative Business: The law of demand do not operate in case of the speculative business. If people think
that the prices of goods increase in the future, now they will buy more units of that commodity. This is against
to the law of demand. This is another limitation to the law of demand.
4. Trade cycles: The law of demand do not operate in periods of trade cycles. During the prosperity period
people may buy more goods at higher prices. In periods of depression, people buy fewer goods even though
the prices are less.
5. Ignorance of the consumers: The law of demand is not applicable in case of the ignorant consumers. By
ignorance people think that high priced goods are qualitative goods. Therefore the consumers may buy the
goods even at high prices.
Demand Function and Demand Curve:
Other factors remaining constant the quantity demanded (x), for any commodity is a function of its price (p) per
unit, i.e.,
x = f (p)
This is called the demand function, the graph between the quantity demanded on x-axis and price on y-axis is a
down ward sloping (falling) curve (called demand curve) having negative slope, showing that the demand is a
decreasing function of price.
The demand curve concentrates exclusively on the price-quantity relationship. The relationship between quantity
demanded and other factors which influence demand is not shown by demand curve. The demand curve shows:

(i) The maximum quantity of a commodity a consumer will purchase at a particular price.
(ii) The maximum price for a particular quantity.
Notes:
i. If the relation between the quantity demanded (x) and the price per unit (p) is a linear relation of the form
X = a - bp
ii. Where a, bare positive constants, the demand curve is a straight line.
iii. The equation of straight line in slope form is y = mx + c. If the slope is negative the equation becomes
Y = c - mx
iv. The slope of the demand curve is always negative.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 71


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

INCOME DEMAND
Income demand explains the relationship between the income and demand. Various quantities of goods that
would be purchased by the consumer at different levels of income is called income demand. Other things
remaining the same, when the income increases the demand for the commodities will also increase. Thus, direct
relationship existed between income and demand. This can be explained with the help of the following table.

Income (in `) Demand (In units)


100 50
200 100
300 150

In the table at `100/- income per unit, the consumer purchased 50 units of a commodity, at `300/- he purchased
150 units of commodity.
Diagrammatic Representation: In case of the superior goods the income demand curve is upward rising from left
to right as shown in the given figure.

In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis income are shown. ID is the income demand curve.
When the income increases from OY to OY1 the demand for superior goods is also increases from OM to OM1
Inferior goods: In case of inferior goods when the income increases, the demands for inferior goods decrease. For
example: If the income of the people increases, they purchase superior quality of food grains like wheat & rice
instead of inferior food grains. So, the income demand curve for inferior goods slopes downwards from left to right
as shown under.

72 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis income are shown. ID is the income demand curve. If the
income, increases from OY to OY1, the demand for inferior goods is decreased from OM to OM1
CROSS DEMAND
The change in the demand for one commodity due to the changes in the prices of related goods like substitutes
and complementary goods is called cross demand.
Substitutes: In the case of substitutes, if the price of one commodity increases, the demand for its substitutes will
increase. For example if the price of coffee increases the demand for its substitute i.e., teas demand will increase.
So, the demand curve for substitutes will be an upward sloping from left to right as it is shown in the following
diagram.

In the diagram on the X axis demand for tea and on the Y-axis price of coffee are shown. DD is the demand
curve for substitutes. When the price of coffee increases from OP to OP1 the demand for its substitute i.e., tea will
increase from OM to OM1.
Complementary goods: In the case of complementary goods, if the price of a commodity decreases the demand
for its complementary goods will increase. For example car and petrol if the price of petrol decreases the demand
for cars will increase. So, the demand curve for complementary goods is falling from left to right.

In the diagram on the X axis demand for cars and on the Y-axis price of petrol are shown. DD is the demand
curve for complementary goods. When the price of petrol increases from OP to OP1, the demand for cars will
decrease from OM to OM1
EXPANSION, CONTRACTION OF DEMAND:
Expansion or contraction of demand indicates the change in quantity demanded due to change in the factors
except price. Now factors other than price include change in income, change in price of a substitute or
complementary goods or change in habits, change in taste, technological changes etc.
ELASTICITY OF DEMAND:
The Quantitative responsiveness of demand to the change in the price called Elasticity of Demand. The rate of
change in demand to a change in price is called elasticity of demand. If the change in the demand is more than
the change in the price it is called elastic demand. If the change in the demand is less than the change in the
price it is called inelastic demand.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 73


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Definition:
The elasticity of demand in a market is great or small according to the amount demanded increases much or
little for a given fall in the price and diminishes with much or little for a given rise in price. Marshall. Elasticity is
the degree of change in demand as a result of change in price. Samuelson.
The elasticity of demand explains the relationship between proportionate change in demand to a proportionate
change in price.
Proportionate change in Demand
Elasticity of demand =
Proportionate change in Price

Types of Elasticity of Demand: Elasticity of demand is of 3 types:


1. Price elasticity of demand
2. Income elasticity of demand.
3. Cross elasticity of demand
PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND:
Price Elasticity of Demand (Ed) explains the proportionate or percentage change in demand to a proportionate
or percentage change in price.
Proportionate change in Demand
Ed =
Proportionate change in Price

(or)
Percentage change in Demand
Ed =
Percentage change in Price
Change in Quantity Demanded
Quantity demanded at original price
Ed =
Change in Price
Original Price
Dx Dp p Dx
Ed = =
x p x Dp
Types of Price Elasticity of Demand: The price elasticity of demand is of 5 types.
1. Perfectly elastic demand.
2. Perfectly inelastic demand
3. Relatively elastic demand
4. Relatively inelastic demand
5. Unitary elastic demand
1. Perfectly Elastic Demand: A small change in the price brings an infinite change in the demand is known as
perfectly elastic demand. The perfectly elastic demand curve is a line parallel to the X-axis as shown in the
following diagram. (Ed= a)

74 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis Price are shown. DD is the perfectly elastic demand
curve. At OP price level the demand increases to OM1 to OM. This shows any amount is demanded at a given
price.
2. Perfectly Inelastic demand: If a change in price does not bring any change in demand, it is called perfectly
inelastic demand. In the case of perfectly inelastic demand, the demand curve is parallel to Y axis (Ed= 0)

In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis Price are shown. DD is the perfectly inelastic demand
curve. Even though price increases from OP to OP1, the demand remains the same at OM.
3. Relatively Elastic Demand: If the proportionate change in the demand is more that the proportionate change
in the price, it is called relatively elastic demand. Here the elasticity of demand is more than one (Ed >1)

In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis Price are shown. DD is the demand curve. When the
price is decreased from OP to OP1, the demand has increased from OM to OM1. Here the change in the demand
(MM1) is more than the change in the price (PP1). So the demand is elastic.
4. Relatively Inelastic demand: If the proportionate change in the price is more than the proportionate change in
the demand, it is called relatively inelastic demand. The demand is less elastic (Ed<1)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 75


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

In the diagram on the X axis demand and on the Y-axis Price are shown. DD is the demand curve. When the price
is decreased from OP to OP1, the demand has increased from OM to OM1. The change in the price (PP1) is more
than the change in the demand (MM1). So, the demand is less elastic.
5. Unitary Elastic demand: If the proportionate change in the demand and the proportionate change in the price
are equal, it is called unitary elastic demand. (Ed = 1)

In the diagram DD is the demand curve. It is a rectangular hyperbola. When the price is decreased from OP to
OP1, the demand has increased from OM to OM1. Here, the change in the price (PP1) and the change in the
demand (MM1) are equal.
Summary of the characteristics of various types of price elasticity of demand:

Type Numerical Expression Description Shape of Curve


1. Perfectly Elastic a Infinite Horizontal
2. Perfectly Inelastic 0 Zero Vertical
3. Unity Elasticity 1 One Rectangular Hyperbola
4. Relatively Elastic >1 More than one Flat
5. Relatively Inelastic <1 Less than one steep

INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND:


The income elasticity of demand explains the proportionate change in income and proportionate change in
demand. The rate of change in the demand due to the change in the income is called income elasticity of
demand.
Proportionate change in Demand
Income elasticity of demand =
Proportionate change in Income

Types of income elasticity of demand:


1. Zero income elasticity of demand: If the change in the income fails to bring any change in demand, it is called
zero income elasticity of demand. (Ey=0).
2. Negative income elasticity of demand: If the demand decreases with the increase in the income is called
negative income elasticity of demand.
3. Unitary income elasticity of demand: If the proportionate change in the demand is equal to proportionate
change in the income, it is called unitary income elasticity of demand (Ey=1)
4. Income elasticity of demand is greater than one: If the proportionate change in the demand is more than the
proportionate change in income, it is called relatively income elastic of demand (Ey>1).
5. Income elasticity of demand is less than one: If the proportionate change in the demand is less than the
proportionate change in the income, it is called relatively income inelastic demand (Ey<1).

76 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


CROSS ELASTICITY OF DEMAND:
The rate of change in the demand for one commodity due to the change in the price of its substitutes and
complementary goods is called cross elasticity of demand.

Percentage change in the Demand for commodity X


Cross Elasticity of Demand =
Percentage change in the Price of Y

If the percentage change in the demand for commodity X is more than the percentage change in the price of
Y, then the cross elasticity of demand is greater than one (Ed>1). If the percentage change in the demand for
commodity X is less then percentage change in the price of commodity Y, then the cross elasticity of demand is
less than one (Ed<1). If the percentage change in the demand for commodity X is equal to percentage change
in the price of commodity Y, then the cross elasticity of demand is equal to one (Ed=1).
Measurement of Elasticity of Demand:
The elasticity of demand can be measured by using 3 methods.
1. Percentage method,
2. Total outlay (or) Expenditure method
3. Diagrammatic method:
(a) Point method
(b) Arc method
1. Percentage method: With this method the elasticity of demand can be measured by comparing the
percentage change in the price and percentage change in demand.
Percentage change in Demand
Ed =
Percentage change in Price
2. Total outlay (or) Expenditure method:
Total outlay = Price per unit x Quantity bought
= Price per unit x Quantity demanded
= Total revenue
If the demand is inelastic, i.e., if the elasticity of demand is <1, the total outlay falls with fall in price and rises
with increase in price.
If the demand is unit elastic, the total outlay remains unchanged with the change in price, i.e., for a fall in
price, the demand increases proportionately and for a rise in price the demand decreases proportionately.
If the demand is elastic, i.e., elasticity of demand is > 1 the total outlay increases with fall in price and decreases
with rise in price because the quantity demanded changes in greater proportion than the change in price.
3. Diagrammatic Method: The elasticity computed at a single point on the demand curve for an infinitesimal
change in price is called point elasticity. The elasticity between two separate points of demand curve is called
arc elasticity.
a) Point Elasticity: In this method the elasticity of demand at a particular point on the demand curve can
be calculated. The point elasticity of demand is equal to distance between the points on X-axis divided
by the distance between point on Y-axis. This can be explained in the following. In the diagram, on X-axis
demand and on Y-axis price are shown. K is the price demand curve. At that point we can know the
elasticity of demand by the following formula.
Point elasticity of demand can be found out:
Marginal Quantity Demanded dx / x dx / x
= =
Average Quantity Demanded dp / p dp / p

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 77


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

KT Lower Segment
Point Elasticity =
KT Upper Segment
Dq p
Ed =
Dp q

After application of this formula if we get the result more than one, it is elastic demand. If the result is less than one,
it is inelastic demand and if the result is equal to one then it is unitary elastic demand.
Thus point elasticity is defined as the proportionate change in quantity demanded resulting from a very small
change in the price of commodity. It also expressed:
dQ p
Ed =
dp Q
dQ
Where Edp is Point Price Elasticity of demand, is the first order derivative of demand equation and P is the
dp Q

ratio of price to quantity. Point elasticity can be calculated with the help of Differential calculus.

b) Arc Elasticity: In arc elasticity we calculate the elasticity of demand between two points on the demand
curve.

In the diagram on X-axis the demand and ON Y-axis the price are taken. K and R are the two points on the
demand curve. We can measure the elasticity of demand between these points by using the following formula.
Change in Demand Change in Price
Arc Elasticity of Demand =
1st demand + 2nd demand 1st Price + 2nd Price
MM1 PP1
In diagram Arc elasticity of demand =
OM + OM1 OP + OP1
Dq P1 +P2
Ed =
Dp Q + Q
1 2

After application of the above formula if we get result more than one then it is elastic demand, if the result is less
than one then it is inelastic demand and if the result is equal to one then it is unitary demand.

78 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Consumers Surplus:
In the words of Marshall, The excess of the price which he (i.e., consumer) would be willing to pay rather than go
without the thing over that which he actually does pay is the economic measure of this surplus satisfaction . It
may be called Consumers Surplus. To use Hicks words It is the difference between the marginal valuation of a
unit and the price which is actually paid for it.
In short, consumers surplus is what we are prepared to pay minus what we actually pay. As will be clear from
the following section, the consumers surplus is measured by the difference between total utility and the amount
spent.
Producers Surplus:
It is the difference between the amount that a producer of a good receives and the minimum amount that he or
she would be willing to accept for the good. The difference, or surplus amount, is the benefit that the producer
receives for selling the good in the market.
Demand Forecasting:
Expecting future demand for a product is called Demand Forecasting. This estimate is made considering
various factors like controllable and non-controllable and present and anticipated market conditions. Accurate
forecasting is essential for a firm to enable it to produce the required quantities at the right time and arrange well in
advance for the various factors of production viz., material, money, men, management, machinery etc. Demand
forecasting is not a speculation. It cannot be hundred per cent correct. But it gives a reliable information and
estimation of future demand. It is based on mathematical law of probability. Business planning is based on
forecasting of sales or demand. Most of the business decisions depend on the basis of expected sales in future.
The success of business is also influenced by the accuracy of forecasted reports. A firm can maximise profits
only when it produces on the basis on the demand for its products. There will be no problem of over and under
production if the figure of sales forecasts or demand forecasts is accurate. As it will reduce or have control over
costs, the profits will certainly go up. Hence, the importance of forecasting is more or less depends upon the
nature of business.
Factors involved in Demand Forecasting:
1. Time factor: Forecasting may be done for short-term or long-term. Short-term forecasting is generally taken for
one year while long-term forecasting covering a period of more than 1 year.
2. Level factor: Demand forecasting may be undertaken at three different levels.
a. Macro level: It is concerned with business conditions over the whole economy.
b. Industry level: Prepared by different industries.
c. Firm-level: Firm-level forecasting is the most important from managerial view point.
3. General or specific purpose factor: The firm may find either general or specific forecasting or both useful
according to its requirement.
4. Product: Forecasting varies type of product i.e., new product or existing product or well established product.
5. Nature of the product: Goods can be classified into
(i) consumer goods and (ii) producer goods.
Demand for a product will be mainly dependent on nature of the product. Forecasting methods for producer
goods and consumer goods will be different accordingly.
6. Competition: While making forecasting, market situation and the product position in particular market should
be analyzed.
7. Consumer Behaviour: What people think about the future, their own personal prospects and about products
and brands are vital factors for firm and industry.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 79


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Methods of Forecasting: Demand forecasting is not a speculation. It cannot be hundred per cent correct. But
it gives a reliable information and estimation of future demand. It is based on mathematical law of probability.
Demand Forecasting methods can be broadly categorized into two types
(1) Opinion Survey Methods or Qualitative Techniques and
(2) Statistical Methods or Quantitative Techniques.
1. Opinion Survey Methods or Qualitative Techniques:
Opinion Survey Methods are also called as Qualitative Techniques. These are based on subjective assessment.
When available data is irrelevant, then researcher requires primary data. Consumer plays a dominant role in
creating demand for a product. If the businessman wants to know the expected demand in future, he has
to get the information based on consumers opinions. Opinion survey methods are most popular in Demand
Forecasting. Managerial decisions that are taken after analyzing opinions, made a favourable impact on
sales progress.
The opinion survey methods further classified into three types:
a. 100% Enumerator Survey: This is the most direct method of forecasting demand in the short-run. Customers
will be asked questions like what they are planning to buy for the forthcoming time period-usually a year.
But it is observed fact that complete 100% enumerator survey will not be possible and at the same time a
number of biases may creep into the surveys. It is very expensive, when it compared with other methods.
b. Delphi Method: Delphi method is a group process and aims at achieving consensuses of the members.
Herein experts in the field of marketing research and demand forecasting are engaged in
analyzing economic conditions
carrying out sample surveys of market
conducting opinion polls
Based on the above, demand forecast is worked out in following steps:
i) Co-coordinator sends out a set of questions in writing to all the experts co-opted on the panel who are
requested to write back a brief prediction.
ii) Written predictions of experts are collated, edited and summarized together by the Co-coordinator.
iii) Based on the summary, Co-coordinator designs a new set of questions and gives them to the same experts
who answer back again in writing.
iv) Co-coordinator repeats the process of collating, editing and summarizing the responses.
v) Steps 3 and 4 are repeated by the Co-coordinator to experts with diverse backgrounds until consensus is
reached.
If there is divergence of opinions and hence conclusions, Co-ordinator has to sort it out through mutual
discussions. Co-ordinator has to have the necessary experience and background as he plays a key role in
designing structured questionnaires and synthesising the data.
Direct interaction among experts is avoided nor their identity is disclosed. Procedures also neither avoid inter-
personnel conflicts nor are strong-willed experts able to dominate the group. This method is also used for
technology forecasting.
Sales Force Opinion Survey or Collective Opinion: Salesman is expected to estimate expected sales in their
respective territories and zones. The rational of this method is that salesmen, being the closest to the customers
are likely to have the most intimate feel of the market i.e., customer response to the product of the firm. This
method is based on historical data and consumers opinion. This method is known as the Collective Opinion
Method as it takes advantages of the collective wisdom of salesman, managerial economist, marketing
manager and personnel relating to sales department.

80 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Opinion Survey Methods are purely based on data collected from consumers opinions which are
always volatile. So decisions made with the help of opinion survey methods may not be successful in
future. Hence, statistical analysis should be considered for expecting future, because past experience
may represent future performance.
2. Statistical Methods or Quantitative Techniques:
a) Simple Average Method
Among the quantitative techniques for demand analysis, simple Average Method is the first one that
comes to ones mind. Herein, we take simple average of all past periods - simple monthly average of
all consumption figures collected every month for the last twelve months or simple quarterly average of
consumption figures collected for several quarters in the immediate past. Thus,
Sum of Demands of all periods
Simple Average =
Number of periods

b) Moving Average Method


Method of Simple Average is faulted on account of the fact that all past periods are given same importance
whereas it is justifiable to accord higher importance to recent past periods. Moving Average Method takes
a fixed number of periods and after the elapse of each period, data for the oldest time period is discarded
and the most recent past period is included. Whatever the period selected, it must be kept constant - it
may be three, four or twenty periods by once it decided, we must continue with same number of periods.
Sum of Demands of Chosen periods
Moving Average =
Number of Chosen periods

c) Weighted Moving Average


In Moving Average Method, weighted given to the selected number of periods is same. This has been
refined to include the Weighted Moving Average which allows varying weightages for demands in old
periods. Depending upon the age of the period, with-age can be varied:
Weighted Moving Average = W1D1 + W2D2 + ............+ Wn Dn
where W1, W2 ........Wn are the weightages for the different periods in percentages so that
W1+W2+ ......................................+Wn = 1
This method has the advantage that it allows forecaster to compensate for some known trend in demand
or seasonality of demand by carefully fitting appropriate co-efficient of weighted to those periods. The
weightages have to be decided by the forecast analysts and this decision is critical to the accuracy of
demand forecast.
d) Time Series: Trend analysis or Time series relating to sales represent the past pattern of effective demand
for a particular product. The most popular method of analysis of time series is to project the trend of the
time series. This method is very simple and inexpensive. The basic assumption is that the trend will persist
in future also.
e) Linear Trend: Linear trend is appropriate when the time series reveal a rising trend in sales, in other words
there is direct relation between sales and time.
Mathematically:
Y = a + bx
Y = annual sales
a = constant, intercept value on the graph
b = trend or slope or a constant rate of increase

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 81


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

x = time or unit or no. of years


by the method of Least Squares for above equation to find out the value of a and b are

Y = na + b X
XY = a X + b X 2

f) Regression Analysis: Regression equation establishes the relationship between dependent variable and
independent variable, assuming the relationship to be linear. For some commodities independent variable
may be only one. But for some products independent variables may more than two. In such a case,
multiple regression analysis can be used.
Hence, demand for any product can be estimated at a given value of price.
Simple Regression Equation:
This equation will be form of Y = a + bx, for
Independent variable : x
Dependent variable : y
Multiple-Regression Model:
The equation in the case of multiple regression
Y = a + b1x1 + b2x2 + .+ bnxn
Independent variables: x1, x2 ,xn
Dependent variable : y
Limitations:
1. It is difficult to find out inter-dependence relationship between the variables.
2. Sometimes it may be difficult to identify dependent and independent variable.
3. Indicators are based on historical data. But the relationship cannot be established for the future.
g) Simultaneous Equation: Establishing relation between two variables with the help of equation, we can
estimate demand for a product. These equations are mathematical linear equations to arrive the results.
Example 1: 4a + 3b = 15
3a + 4b = 20
By solving these equations we can find the values of a, b.
Limitations:
1. It is difficult to find out an appropriate equation and relationship between variables.
2. For new products it not suitable, as no past data are available.
3. A few indicators always correctly indicate changes in another variable.
h) Barometric Method: Based on index numbers i.e., economic indicators like Wholesale Price Index (WPI),
Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimations will be made. It is also known as leading indicators forecasting. The
researcher should try to understand and establish relationship between products and indices.
Limitations:
1. It is difficult to find out an appropriate indicator.
2. For new products it is not suitable, as no past data are available.

82 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


3. A few indicators always correctly indicate changes in another variable.
4. Indicators are based on historical data. But the relationship cannot be established for the future.
Conclusion: It is not very easy to estimate demand for a product. Customers opinions are always volatile
or changeable. One should not use a mathematical formula without having knowledge of consumer
preference and changing styles, attitudes. It does not present an eternal truth. Though statistical or
quantitative techniques are essential in clarifying relationships and provide techniques of analysis, yet
they are no substitute for judgemental analysis or qualitative techniques. What is needed is some common
sense mean between guessing and too much mathematics.
MARKET
Market for a commodity may be local, regional, national or international. In common parlance Market refers to
a place or locality where commodities are bought and sold. In an economic sense, a market is a system by which
buyers and sellers bargain for the price of a product and transactions will take place in that system. Market does
not limited to a particular place and personal contact between buyers and sellers is also not necessary.
Market means the whole of any region which buyers and sellers are in such free intercourse with each other, that
the price of the same goods tend to equally easily and quickly. Prof. Cournot
The word market has been generalized so as to mean any body of persons who are in intimate business relations
and carry on extensive transactions in any commodity. Jevons
Elements of Markets:
1. Sellers and buyer agree to transact at a particular price of a product.
2. Nature of the commodity is known to both parties
3. Price of the product is determined under conditions of the market
4. Competition is depend on the increase in the buyers and seller
5. If there is increase in number buyers, price will increase and it is treated as Sellers market
6. If there is increase in number sellers, price will decrease, it is treated as buyers market
7. Free communication between the buyers and sellers.
8. Size of the market is not restricted; it may certain city, a region a country or even the entire world.
9. Product is homogenous in case of perfect competition, and the product may be differentiated in case of
other markets
Markets can be classified into two broad categories:

MARKET

Perfect Competition Imperfect Competition

Monopolistic Monopoly Oligopoly Duopoly


Competition

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 83


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

PRICE DETERMINATION UNDER PERFECT COMPETITION


Market is a place where buying and selling transactions are under taken. Here it has no reference to a particular
place only. Buying and selling transactions may take place from distinct places. On the basis of competition the
markets can be classified into two.

Definitions: According to Lift Witch, Perfect competition is a market in which there are many firms selling identical
products with no firm large enough relative to there are many firms selling identical products with no firm large
enough relative to the entire market to be able to influence market price.
Mrs. Joan Robinson has defined perfect competition as, it prevails when the demand for the output of the each
product is perfectly elastic.

Features:
1. There must be Large number of Buyers and sellers.
2. In perfect competition, the goods produced by different firms are homogenious or identical.
3. In perfect competition there is free entry and exit of the firms into the industry.
4. The buyers and the sellers must have the knowledge with regard to the prices of various commodities at
different supply and demand forces.
5. The factors must be mobilized from those places where they are getting less remuneration to those places
where they will get maximum remuneration.
6. All commodities are identical in perfect competition. So the prices of the commodities are also uniform.
7. In order to maintain the uniform price level in perfect competition we should not include the transport cost in
the price level.
8. There is a difference between firm and industry under perfect competition. Firm is a production unit and
where as industry is a group of firms.

Price determination: Generally price is determined by demand and supply forces. The price is determined at that
point where the demand and supply both are equal under perfect competition. The following table explains the
price determination under perfect competition.

Price Demand Supply


5.00 200 600
4.00 300 500
3.00 400 400
2.00 500 300
1.00 600 200

In the above table if the price of the commodity is ` 5/- then there is a demand for 200 commodities and supply is
600 commodities. If the price is 1 rupee then there is a demand for 600 commodities and supply reduced to 200
commodities. In the table at ` 3/- price level, there is a demand for 400 commodities and the supply is also 400
commodities. Therefore the price is determined as ` 3/-
Diagrammatic Explanation: The price and output determination under perfect competition can be explained with
the help of following diagram.

84 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


In the diagram on X-axis output and on Y axis the price are determined. DD is the demand curve as SS is the supply
curve. Both demand and supply are equal at point E. So, the price is determined as OP and output as OM.

Price determination when demand changes and supply remains constant:


Under perfect competition, if supply being constant the equilibrium price will rise when the demand increases and
if the demand decreases then the price will fall down. This can be shown in the diagram.

In the diagram DD is the demand curve SS is the supply curve. In the diagram we find supply remains constant.
SS is the supply curve. Demand has increased from DD to D1D1. This increased demand curve and supply curve
both are equal at point E1. The equilibrium point has changed from E to E1. Therefore the price and output have
changed OP to OP1 and from OM to OM1 respectively. When the demand decreases from DD to D2D2 then supply
curve and decreased demand curve both are equal at point E2. Therefore the price has decreased from OP to
OP2 and the output also decreased from OM to OM2
Price determination when demand remains constant and supply changes:
If demand is constant, the equilibrium price rise if supply decreases and if supply increases the equilibrium price will
fall. This can be explained with the help of diagram.
In the diagram DD is the demand curve SS is the supply curve.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 85


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

In the diagram when the supply increased from SS to S1S1 then the demand curve and increased supply curve
both intersect at point E1. So the output has increased from OP to OP1. If the supply reduces from SS to S2S2 then
the decreased supply curve and the demand curve both are equal point E2. So the output is decreased from OM
to OM2 and the price has increased from OP to OP2.
Price determination when both demand and supply are changed:
Under perfect competition if the demand and supply both are changing in the same direction and in the same
rate, then the price may not change. This can be shown in the diagram.

In the diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis the price are determined. DD is the demand curve and SS is
the supply curve. The demand and supply are equal at point E and at the point the price is OP and output is OM.
Suppose the demand and supply both have increased from DD to D1D1 and SS to S1S1 respectively. Now both are
equal at point E1 and at that point the price remains constant. In the same way if demand and supply both have
decreased from DD to D2D2 and from SS to S2S2 respectively.

PRICE DETERMINATION UNDER MONOPOLY:


Mono means single and poly means seller. Therefore monopoly means single seller. In economics, monopoly
is said to exist when a firm is the single producer or seller of a product where there are no close substitutes for it.
According to M.C. Connel, Pure or absolute Monopoly exists when a single firm is the sole producer of a product
for which there are no close substitutes.
Features:
1. Single producer: Under monopoly there is only one producer or seller. He controls the entire supply of the
commodities. Monopoly may be an individual or a partnership or a joint stock company or a state. There is no
competition in monopoly market.
2. No close substitutes: there are no close substitutes in monopoly market. There are no other firms produce the
similar and nearer commodities for the product of monopoly.
3. No difference between Firm and Industry: Under Monopoly market there is no difference between firm and
industry. There is only one firm and other firms should not produce the similar products which are produced
by the monopoly firm. Therefore the firm and industry both are same under monopoly market.
4. No free entry: The monopoly firm can get abnormal profits in the short run as well as in the long run because
of strong restrictions on the entry of new firms. If the new firms have freedom to enter the market then the
abnormal profits will disappear but in monopoly there is no free entry and therefore the Monopoly firm may
get abnormal profits in long run also.
5. Monopolist controls only price (or) output: Under monopoly the producer has controlling power on only price
or output. He has no controlling power on both price and output simultaneously.
6. Revenue curve falls down from left to right: In monopoly market the revenue curves are falling down from left
to right. If the monopolist wants to sell more he must reduce the price level and if he wants to fix more price
he must reduce the output.

86 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


PRICE AND OUTPUT DETERMINATION:
The following conditions are essential for the determination of price and output under Monopoly.
1. The main aim of the Monopolist is to get the maximum profits. He must produce the goods to that extent where
MC becomes equal to MR. At that level he will get the equilibrium position and maximum profits.
2. If the monopolist increases the supply of commodities then the average revenue and marginal revenue curves
fall down from left to right. If he wants to sell more output he must reduce the price level and therefore the
revenue curves are falling with the increase of output.
3. Under monopoly the AR is equal to the price, so AR is the demand line.
4. Under monopoly the MR falls more rapidly than the AR
5. The monopoly on AR line which is more than MR and AC. The differences between AC and AR are the amount
of abnormal profits.
Diagrammatic Explanation: We can explain the price and output determination under monopoly with the help of
following diagram.
Cost / Revenue

MC AC

Q
P

S F
R AR

MR

O M Output

In the diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis the costs, Revenue and price are taken. In this diagram MC is the
marginal cost curve and AC is the Average cost curve. AR and MR are Average revenue and marginal revenue
curves respectively. Under monopoly the output is determined at that point where MC = MR. In the diagram both
MC and MR are equal at point E. So the output is determined on AR line. In this diagram the price is OP or OM.
The difference between AR and AC is the amount of abnormal profit for one unit. Therefore OR is the unit profit.
If we deduct the total cost from the total revenue, we can get the total profit. So OPQM OSRM = PQRS = Profit.
In the above manner the Monopolist gets maximum profits at OP price level and at OM level of output. Beyond
or below OM level of output will reduce the amount of profit.

PRICE DETERMINATION WHEN COSTS ARE INCREASING, COSNTANT AND DIMINISHING


There is a difference between perfect competition and Monopoly. In perfect competition at equilibrium point,
the cost curves are at increasing stage, but in Monopoly the cost curves may increase or constant or decrease at
equilibrium level. These things can be explained with the help of following diagrams.

Diagram (A)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 87


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

In the diagram (A) the cost curves are increasing MC and MR are equal at point E therefore OPQM is the total
revenue and OSRM is the total cost. So PQRS is the total amount of profit.

Diagram (B)

In the diagram (B) the MC and MR equal at point R and the total profit is PQRS. In this diagram MC is constant and
therefore it is parallel to X-axis.

Diagram (C)
In the diagram (C) the cost curves are falling MC curve cuts the MR curve at point E. Therefore the point E is an
equilibrium point. OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is the total cost. Therefore PQRS is the total amount of
profit.
Monopoly price and elasticity of demand: The concept of elasticity of demand is more useful in price determination
under Monopoly. The main motive of the Monopolist is to get maximum profits. In order to get maximum profits
the Monopolist fixes more price in the case of those goods in which there is in elastic demand and less price in
the case of those goods in which the demand is elastic one. Therefore monopolist generally fixes the price on the
basis of elasticity of demand.

EQUILIBRIUM OF THE FIRM AND INDUSTRY UNDER PERFECT COMPETITION:


On the basis of competition the markets can be classified into perfect competition and imperfect competition.
According to Left Witch, perfect competition is a market in which there are many firms selling identical products
with no firm is large enough relative to the entire market to be able to influence the market price.
According to Mrs. Joan Robinson, perfect competition prevails when the demand for the output of the each
producer is perfectly elastic.
In perfect competition there are large number of buyers and sellers and homogeneous products. In this competition
there is a free entry and exit and also perfect market information. The inputs can be freely mobilized. There is a
uniform price level. In this competition the transport costs should not be included in the price level.

88 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


There is difference between firm and industry under perfect competition. Firm is a production unit and where as
industry is a group of firms. Equilibrium is a balancing position or resting point.
A firm can get an equilibrium position where it has no desire to increase or decrease its output. At that condition if
the firm increase or decrease its output then it will get lesser profits. A consumer is in equilibrium position where he
attains maximum satisfaction. The producer gets an equilibrium position if he gets maximum production with the
available resources.

P Cost / Revenue SMC

Q AR = MR

AC
S

O M Out Put

In the above diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis Cost, Revenue and price are determined. Under perfect
competition the average and marginal revenue curves are equal and parallel to X-axis due to uniform price level.
In this diagram SMC curve is equal to MR curve at point Q. So at that point the output is determined as OM and
the price as OP. The firm is in equilibrium position at point Q when the SMC curve is at rising stage. In this diagram
OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is the total cost. If we deduct the total cost from the total revenue then we
get the total profit. Therefore OPQM OSRM = PQRS (profit).

Equilibrium of the firm under perfect competition: In the short period the firm can get abnormal profits or losses. The
following diagram explains how the firm can get abnormal profits and reaches the equilibrium position.
Cost / Revenue

MC

AC

R
S

P MR = AR
Q

O M Out Put

In the diagram on X-axis output and on Y-axis costs, revenue and price are shown. At point Q. SMC and MR are
equal and therefore Q is an equilibrium point. At this equilibrium point SAC is more than AR. In this diagram the
output is determined as OM and the price as OP. OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is the total cost. Here the
total cost is more than the total revenue. So the firms incur the losses PQRS are the losses.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 89


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Long Run Equilibrium: In the long run the firm does not get abnormal profits or losses because of free entry and
exit under perfect competition. In the long run both AC and AR become equal and therefore the firm gets only
normal profits. This can be explained with the help of following diagram.

In the diagram on X-axis output and on Y-axis costs, revenue and price are determined. At equilibrium point i.e. at
QLAC and AR both are equal. OPQM is the total revenue and also total cost. Therefore the firm is getting normal
profits in the long run.
Equilibrium of the industry under perfect competition: In order to obtain the equilibrium position of the industry
under perfect competition the following conditions are essential.
1. The industry gets an equilibrium position where MC=MR.
2. All firms in the industry get only normal profits.
3. At equilibrium point the MC, AC, MR and AR are equal.
4. Number of the firms is constant.
5. Possible only in long period.
Diagrammatic Explanation: In the case of the firm there are some possibilities of getting abnormal profits or losses in
the short period. But in the case of industry as a whole there is no possibility of getting abnormal profits. The industry
gets only normal profits. This can be explained with the help of following diagram.

In the diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis costs, revenues and price are shown. The MC and MR become
equal at point Q. At that point the MC, MR, AC and AR are equal. The output is determined as OM and the price
as OP. OPQM is the total revenue and also total cost. So there are no abnormal profits. The industry is getting only
normal profits.

90 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


PRICE DISCRIMINATION UNDER MONOPOLY:
Price discrimination means the practice of selling the same commodities at different prices to different buyers.
Mrs. Joan Robbinson has defined the price discrimination as, The act of selling the same article produced under
single control at different prices to different buyers. This price discrimination is possible only under monopoly.
Kinds of Price Discrimination:
1. Personal discrimination: In this case the Monopolist will charge different prices from different customers on the
basis of the ability to pay. For example a doctor may charge more fee from a rich patient and less fee from a
poor patient for the same services rendered.
2. Place (or) Local Discrimination: In this discrimination different prices are charged from different places. The
monopolist charges lower price at one place and higher price at another place. Dumping is the best example
for local discrimination. In this case the monopolist sells his output with lower price in the foreign market and
with higher price in the domestic market.
3. Trade (or) Use discrimination: In this the monopolist will charge different prices for different types of uses of the
same commodity. For example electricity will be sold at cheaper rate for agricultural purpose and higher price
for industrial purpose.
Conditions for Price discriminations: The price discrimination is possible if the following conditions are satisfied:
1. More than one Market: There must be two or more than two separate markets otherwise the price discrimination
is not possible. Different markets must be essential for charging different prices from different persons.
2. Different elasticity: The elasticity of demand in each market must be different. It means that if one market is
less elastic than the other it should be elastic. If the elasticity of demand is equal in all markets there will be no
scope for price discrimination.
Price and output determination under discriminating monopoly: The main aim of the price discrimination under
monopoly is to get maximum profits. The following conditions are essential for getting of maximum profits.
1. The monopolist must fix more price in the case of inelastic demand and lower price in the case of elastic
demand.
2. All the marginal revenues in different market must be equal to marginal cost.

Degrees of Price Discrimination:


Prof. A.C.Pigou has distinguished the degrees of price discrimination into 3 on the bassis of the degree or extent
or price discrimination.
Under the first type of price discrimination the monopolist will not allow any consumer surplus to the consumers. This
type of price discrimination is called perfect price discrimination.
Second degree of price discrimination occurs where the monopolist is able to get a part of consumer surplus but
not entire consumer surplus.
In this third degree of price discrimination the monopolist divide the customer into two or more classes or groups or
market and are divided on the basis of elasticity of demand. This type of discrimination is the most common one.

Importance:
1. There are certain services such as Railways etc., which cannot be provided profitably unless the price
discrimination is allowed to take place: uniform price for such services will lead to low incomes or losses to the
entrepreneur.
2. If the welfare of the country is required in certain cases the price discrimination is desirable. For example if the
doctor charges more fee from rich and less fee from poor, then the public welfare will be increased.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 91


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

3. With help of price discrimination the government can reduce the inequalities of income and wealth to some
extent.
4. If the monopolist fixes higher price in the case of inelastic demand goods and lower price for the elastic
demand goods and then the demand and production will not be effected badly.
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PERFECT COMPETITION AND MONOPOLY:
Perfect competition and monopoly are the two extreme concepts. There are some difference between perfect
competition and monopoly. Perfect competition is that one where there are large number of sellers who are
producing similar products and where the activity of single seller or buyer may not influence the entire market
price. Monopoly is said to be existed when one firm is the sole producer of the product where there are no close
substitutes to it.
In perfect competition there are large number of buyers and sellers and also homogeneous products in this
competition. There is free entry and exit and also have perfect market information. These factors of production
can be freely mobilized. There is a uniform price level. In this competition the transport cost should be included in
the price level. There is difference between firm and industry under perfect competition.
In monopoly market there is only single producer and there are no close substitute products. In monopoly there
is no difference between firm and industry. The new firm has no right to enter the market. The monopolist has
the controlling power either the price or output. Therefore the revenue curves fall down from left to right, if the
production is increased.
Differences:
The following are some of the differences between perfect competition and monopoly.
1. In perfect competition there is large number of buyers and sellers who are producing homogeneous products
therefore the activity of single seller may not influence the market price but in monopoly there is single seller.
He controls the entire supply of the commodities. In this there is no competition.
2. In perfect competition the revenue curves are parallel to X-axis and where as in monopoly the revenue curves
are falling down from left to right. We can know the nature of revenue curves with the help of following
diagrams.
3. In perfect competition because of uniform price level the average revenue and marginal revenue are equal
and they are parallel to X-axis but in monopoly the average cost and the marginal revenue curves fall down
from left to right. If the monopolist wants to sell more he must reduce the price level and if he wants to fix more
price he must reduce the output.
4. Under perfect competition the price is determined at that point where the demand and supply both are
equal. In this competition both price and output are determined at equilibrium point. But in monopoly only
the output is determined that level where MC=MR.
5. In perfect competition there is a free entry & exit. The new firms may enter the market when the existing firms
are getting abnormal profits and leave the market when they are getting losses. But in monopoly the other
firms have no freedom to enter the market.
In perfect competition the firm gets an equilibrium position where the marginal cost is at raising stage, if the
marginal cost curve fall down there is no possibility of equilibrium between MC and MR. In monopoly market
the firm may get an equilibrium position where the MC curve is at raising stage, constant or at falling stage.
6. In perfect competition there is a difference between firm and Industry. Firm is a production unit and where as
industry is a group of firms. But under monopoly market, there is no difference between the firm and Industry
and both is same.
7. In the short period under perfect competition the firm may get abnormal profits. But in the long run normal
profits because of free entry, exit the firm. But in monopoly the firm may get abnormal profits in short period
and in long period the firm may get normal profits, because of no free entry.

92 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


8. The average cost becomes minimum at equilibrium point under perfect competition. In the case of monopoly
AC curve is falling at equilibrium point i.e., point R.
9. In perfect competition the output is more when the price is less and where as in monopoly the output is less
and price is more.
10. In perfect competition there is no price discrimination. Fixing of different prices to different customers for the
same article is said to be price discrimination. The price discrimination is not possible under perfect competition.
But in monopoly market there is a possible for price discrimination. Monopolist can fix different prices to different
customers for the same commodities.

MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION (IMPERFECT COMPETITION)


Prof. E.H Chambeline of Harvard University is the founder and the builder of Monopolist competition. It is also
sometimes referred as group equilibrium. According to Joe. S.Bain, Monopolistc competition is found in the
industry where there is a large number of small seller selling differentiated but close substitute products.
Monopolistic competition is the midway of perfect competition and monopoly. There are some elements of
competition and monopoly in this monopolistic competition.

Features:
1. Existence of large number of firms: In monopolist competition there are large number of firms in the market.
The output of each firm is very much less in the total output. Because of large number of firms each firm acts
independently without bothering about the reaction of rivals.
2. Product differentiation: Product differentiation is another feature of monopolistic competition. Under this
monopolist competition products are not homogeneous like in perfect competition and they are not remote
substitutes as in monopoly. These products may be close substitutes. For example Colgate tooth paste, close-
up etc., product differentiation can be brought about in several ways. The firms may bring about product
differentiation by offering supplementary services to the customers or by differentiation the quality of the
goods or through advertisements.
3. Free entry and Exit: There is a free entry and exit of the firms in monopolistic competition. The new firms may
enter the market or the existence firms may leave the market.
4. Excess capacity: Under monopolistic competition the firms produce the goods upto that level where the
average cost is at falling stage. The firms do not produce the output upto that level where the long run
average cost is at minimum level. In monopolist competition the amount of output that is produced by the firm
is less than the ideal output. This is called excess capacity.
5. Selling costs: The costs on advertisements are commonly called selling costs. According to E.H.Chamberlin
selling cost is that cost which shifts the demand curve towards right side. Therefore the selling costs are useful
for the increase of demand. The producer spends on selling costs upto that situation where the additional
revenue becomes zero. Through publicity and propaganda the firm will popularize the quality of the products.
With the help of advertisements the firms may change the tastes of the customers. In a real sense the selling
costs will not promote the welfare of the customers.
Short run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition
With regard to abnormal profits short run equilibrium of the firm under monopolistic competition is similar to that of
a monopoly firm. In order to maximize its profits and for attainment of equilibrium position, the firm must produce
the goods upto that level where the marginal cost will become equal to marginal revenue. This can be explained
with the help of following diagram.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 93


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

P Cost / Revenue
SAC
SMC

S
SAR
E

SMR

O M Output
ABNORMAL PROFIT
In this diagram SAR is the short run average revenue curve and also demand line. SMR is the short run marginal
revenue curve. SAC is the short run average cost curve and SMC is the short run marginal cost curve, SMC & SMR
are equal at point E. Therefore the equilibrium level of output is OM and the price is OP. OPQM is the total revenue
and OSRM is the total cost. Therefore QR is the amount of abnormal profit per one unit. PQRS is the total amount
of profit.
In the short period it is possible that some firms may get abnormal profits like in the above manner and some other
firms may get normal profits or losses like in the following manner:
Cost / Revenue

SAC

SMC

P Q

SAR
E

SMR

O M Output

NORMAL PROFIT
In this diagram, the firm is getting only normal profits which are included in the cost of production. The equilibrium
output is OM. At OM output level the price is OP which is also equal to average cost. In the diagram OPQM is the
total revenue and total cost. So, the firm is getting only normal profits.
Cost / Revenue

LAC
LMC

R
S

P Q
LAR

LMR

O M Output

LOSSES
In this diagram, the firm is getting losses. In this diagram at OM output level the price is OP but the unit cost that is
average cost is OS. Therefore the firm is getting PS or QR amount of loss. OPQM is the total revenue and OSRM is
the total cost. So PQRS is the total amount of loss.

94 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Long Run Equilibrium:
Under monopolistic competition there is a free entry & exit. If the existing firms and getting profits then the new firms
may enter the market and if the firms are getting losses then the firms have freedom to leave the market. Therefore
in the long run the firms get only normal profits. We can know these things with the help of following diagram.

LOSSES
In this diagram LAC is the long run average cost curve and LMC is the long run average cost curve andLMC is th
long run marginal revenue curve and LAR is the long run average revenue curve. The LMC and LMR are equal at
point E. So the output is determined as OM and the price is OP. In the diagram average cost is equal to average
revenue. So the firm is getting only normal profits in the long run. These normal profits are included in the cost of
production.
Difference between perfect competition and Monopolistic competition:
Under perfect competition especially in the long period the firm gets an equilibrium position at that level that the
AC is minimum and where as in Monopolistic competition the firm gets an equilibrium position at point Q where the
LAC curve is at falling stage. Therefore in monopolistic competition there is an excess capacity.
PRICE DETERMINATION UNDER OLIGOPOLY:
The term oligopoly is derived from two Greek words Oligos means a few and pollein which means to sell.
Therefore oligopoly refers to that form of imperfect competition where there will be few sellers are producing either
homogeneous products or products which are close substitutes. Oligopoly may also be referred as Competition
among the few.
Features:
1. Interdependence: In Oligopoly market there is an element of interdependence of the firms. The price and
output decisions of one firm will affect the other firms.
2. Indeterminate demand curve: No firm in oligopoly can forecast with fair degree of certainty about the nature
and position of its demand curve. The firm cannot make an estimation of sales of its products if it reduces its
price.
3. Element of Monopoly: In oligopoly market where there are only few firms monopoly element may be prevailed
in the market. Each firm controls a large share of the market.
4. Importance of selling costs: Indeterminate demand leads to making of advertisements to make the average
revenue more favourable.
5. Price rigidity: The price will be kept unchanged due to fear of realization and the price will tend to inflexible.
The reasons for price rigidity are:
a) The firms know the ultimate outcome of price change.
b) Revised prices further lead to irritation among the consumers.
c) To discourage any new firm entering in the field of production.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 95


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

PRICE DETERMINATION UNDER OLIGOPOLY:


Price can be determined in three ways under oligopoly:
1. Independent pricing; 2. Pricing under collusion; 3. Price Leadership
1. Independent pricing: If there is a product differentiation under oligopoly each firm can act as a monopoly and
fixes the price independently. Therefore the firm may determine its price in that way where it gets maximum
profits. If there is no product differentiation, it is difficult to know the price determination in accurate manner
the firm may compete each other and finally they may fix the common reasonable price which cannot be
changed. But this policy independent pricing cannot with stand in the market.
2. Pricing Under collusion: Most of the firms have the opinion that independent price determination leads to
uncertainly. To avoid this defect there is a tendency among the oligopoly firm to act collectively by collusion.
In this method these firms may make cartle arrangement. The centralized cartle determines the output
produce by different firms and the price is also determined which is the most acceptable by all firms. The firms
may agree to share the market even though they are producing homogeneous products.
3. Price leadership: If the other firms follow the price which is determined by one firm in oligopoly then we can
say that there is a dominant firm or the firm with low costs or well established old firm may take this leadership
and fixes the price.
Diagrammatic Explanation: The price & output determination under oligopoly can be explained with the help of
following diagram:
The popular method with regard to price and output determination is the method of kinked demand curve.

In this diagram on X-axis the output and on Y-axis costs, Revenue and Price are determined. The demand curve
DD1 has a kink at point K. It is the average revenue curve. The point K divides the demand curve into two parts. DK
part of demand curve is elastic one and where as KD1 part of the demand curve is less elastic.
There is price rigidity at point K because of several reasons. If the particular firm rises its prices the other firms do not
follow. Therefore the demand for the particular products will be reduced; on the other hand if the particular firm
reduces their prices, other firms follow the price. Therefore no firm has to desire to increase or decrease the price
level. So there is price rigidity in oligopoly market. The marginal cost becomes equal to marginal revenue at point
E. Therefore the output is determined as OM and the price as OP.
PRICE DETERMINATION UNDER DUOPOLY:
As early as in 1838, a French economist Cournot analyzed a special case of competitive business behaviour with
only two firms in an Industry. The assumptions are quite strict but considering the time at which this formulation
was developed, they cannot be faulted with too much. It is assumed that each member in this two firm industry
produces a homogeneous product, treats the rivals output as given and maximizes profit. We shall illustrate the
equilibrium price-volume combination for each firm by taking simple example. The rival firms output behaviour
with respect to one firms output is called conjectural variation. Cournot assumed a zero conjectural variation.

96 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Assumptions:
1. There are two firms, each owning an artesian mineral water well.
2. Both the firms operate their wells at zero marginal cost
3. Both of them face and demand curve with constant negative slope.
4. Each seller acts on the assumption that his competitor will not reach to his decision to change his output and
price.
Suppose, the total industry demand function was:
P = 100 0.5Q
Since the entire output is shared by just two firms, this can well be written as
P = 100-0.5 (Q1 + Q2)
Firm number 1 for example has a constant cost function represented by
C1 = 5Q1
Firm number II is having an increasing cost function C-2 = 0.5 Q22
Firm Is Profit = Total Revenue Total costs
= PQ1 5Q1
= [100 0.5 (Q1 + Q2) Q1 5Q1]
= 95 Q1 0.5 Q12 0.5 Q1Q2
The solution of duopoly equilibrium crucially depends on the nature of the reaction function of each duopolist. The
equilibrium is reached when the values of Q1 and Q2 are such that each firm maximizes its profit, given the output
of the other and neither desire to alter the respective output. However, for a common solution, both the firms must
achieve maximum profits and at the same time have no incentive for changing respective output levels. Such a
solution is obtained at the intersection point of the two linear reaction functions.
Duopoly means two sellers. There are different kinds of Duopoly.
1. Cournots Solution
2. Edgeworth Model
3. Chamberlins Model
1. Curnots Solution:
A.A. counrnot, a French economist was found solution to duopoly pricing in 1838. His model is based on the
following assumptions:
1. Total output must be sold out.
2. The two sellers produce and sell a homogeneous product.
3. The number of buyers is large.
4. Each seller knows the demand curve for his product
5. The cost of production is assumed to be zero
6. Each rivals plans of output.
7. Each supplier takes the supply of his rival to be constant.
8. Each accepts the market demand for his product.
9. Each seller aims at maximum revenue Curnot assumed that there are two firms each owning a mineral well,
and operating with zero costs. They sell output in a market with a straight line demand curve. Each firm acts
on the assumption that its competition will not change its output, and decides its own output so as to maximize
profit.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 97


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Based on these assumptions, Cournots model tells us that each will be supplying exactly equal quantities of the
product and the price charged will be same.
1. Edgeworths model duopoly pricing:
Edgeworth based his model on the same assumptions of cournot except that each seller takes his rivals
supply constant. Instead Edgeworth assumes that each seller takes the price of his rival constant. According to
Edgeworth, there will not be any price stability under duopoly. The price continually varies between competitive
and monopolistic levels. According to him, duopoly situation is indeterminate and unstable equilibrium.
2. Chamberlins Model:
Chamberlins contribution to the theory of oligopoly consists in his suggestion that a stable equilibrium can be
reached with the monopoly price being changed by all firms, if firms recognize their interdependence and act so
as to maximize the industry profit.
Chamberlin rejects the assumption of independent action by competitors. He recognizer the mutual dependence
of the two sellers put forth a stable equilibrium model. His situation is based on the assumption that each seller
is intelligent enough to understand the importance of mutual agreement between the two and that sharing
monopoly profits is to best advantage of both.

1. Firm A Maximizing output OXm and sell it at the monopoly price Pm.
2. Firm B is having Quantity XmB at which Bs MR = MC = 0
3. Total industry output is OB.
4. DD is demand curve.
5. e equilibrium price.
Under chamberlin model the market demand is a straight line with negative slope, and production is assumed
costless for simplicity.

98 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


TECHNIQUES AND APPLICATIONS OF ECONOMICS
In all this, economics for managerial decision making, we have discussed demand, elasticity of demand, price
determination under various markets etc. Further we have also discussed total cost, average cost, marginal cost,
marginal revenue etc. Profit maximization, revenue maximization and cost minimization can be made using the
following economic techniques, which are useful in taking several managerial decisions.
Problems are worked out and given as illustrations in the following pages relating to all the above concepts for
better understanding. Before those illustrations are worked out, the following terminology should be understood
by anybody to go further.
1) Total Cost (TC) = Fixed Cost (FC) + Variable Cost (VC)
Variable Cost is directly proportional to the number of units produced.
.
. . Total Cost = F + kx = C (Say)
Where F is the fixed cost and k the constant of proportionality
Total Cost (c) is expressed as a function of output (x) produced i.e. c = f(x) or c = f(q) or f(u).
Total cost (c) = f(x) + k [k is constant]
Total Cost c f(x) + k
2) Average Cost (AC) = = =
Total number of units produced (Quantity) x x
f(x)
Average Variable Cost (AVC) = as k is fixed cost.
k x
Average fixed cost (AFC) =
x
3) Marginal Cost (MC) = Differential Coefficient of total cost w.r.t quantity
dc
=
dc dx
Marginal cost = = f1(x) because ks derivative is 0
dx
CASE:
d c
(i) When average cost goes upward, > 0, i.e. MC > AC.
dx x

d c
(ii) When the average cost curve reaches a minimum point i.e. constant = 0
dx x
i.e. MC = AC.
d c
(iii) When AC is falling downwards > 0, i.e. MC < AC.
dx x

1
Prove that the Slope of Average Cost Curve is (MC AC)
x

Proof:
Let cost be C and units be x.
c
Then Average cost (say, y) =
x
To find out the slope, the average cost should be differentiated w.r.to. x.
dc dx
x - c
dy dx dx
=
dx x2

dc
-c x
= dx
x2
1 dc 1 c
= -
x dx x x

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 99


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

1 dc c
= -
x dx x

1
= (MC - AC)
x
4) Total Revenue (TR) = Quantity sold selling price per unit of the commodity = R = px where p is the price per
unit and x the number of units sold.
Total Revenue
5) Average Revenue (AR) =
Quantity Sold dR
6) Marginal Revenue (MR) = Differential Coefficient of total Revenue w.r.t quantity =
dx
7) Profit (P) = Total Revenue (TR) Total cost (TC)
8) For maximum Profit: Marginal Revenue (MR) = Marginal Cost (MC)
Profit = R C
Marginal profit is the first derivative of profit function.
dR
i.e. where p = profit and x = quantity and marginal profit =
dx
9) Price Elasticity of Demand.
Price Elasticity of demand is the degree of responsiveness of the demand for a commodity to a change in its
price.
Change in quantity demanded dx
Quantity demanded at original price x dp dp
Price elasticity of demand =
Change in price
= dp = p
p
=1
Original price p

Where x is the quantity demanded at original price and p is the original price per unit.
It may further be noted that if the price increases, quantity demanded will decrease i.e., Corresponding to
dx
any change in price, quantity demanded changes in the opposite direction i.e., dp is always negative. But
we take only numerical value and hence ignore the sign.
dp dp dx x
Price elasticity of demand is denoted by Ep =
p
p
=
dp
p
(numerically)

AR
Show that elasticity of demand = AR MR
, where AR and MR are average and marginal revenue
respectively at any output.
Proof:
R px
Total Revenue, (say R) = px, AR = x
= x
=p
d d dp
MR = dx
(R) = dx
(px) = p + x dx
dx dx
AR p -p p dp dp dx p
Now, = = = =
x =
= |Ep|(proved)
AR - MR dp dp x dp x
p -p - x x p
dx dx

10) If marginal revenue function is given, total revenue function can be found out in the following manner.
Here Total Revenue = R & Marginal Revenue = MR
dR
We have MR = dx
MRdx = dR
dR = MRdx
integrating with respect to x
dR = MR dr

100 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


R = MR dx + k,
To find out total cost, when marginal cost is given
Here Total Cost = C, Marginal Cost = MC
dc
MC = dx
dc = MC dx
Integrating with respect to x
dc = MC dx
c = MC dx + k
11) Consumers surplus
Let y = price; f(x) = demand
i.e. y = f(x)
where x0, p0 refers to actuals.
x0


Consumers surplus =

0
f(x)dx - x 0p0

12) Producers surplus


x0


Producers surplus = x 0p0 -
0
f(x)dx

13) Cross demand


If x1 = p1; x2 = p2 be the two demand functions of the commodities A & B, then the following results would
emerge.

x1 x
(i) If and 2 are < 0, then the commodies are complementary
p2 p1

x1 x
(ii) If and 2 are > 0, then the commodities are said to be substitutes or competitive.
p2 p1

x1 x 2
(iii) If > 0 (or)<0 <0 or >0,they are said to be unrelated that means no relationship can be
p2 p1
established.
Illustration 1:
The cost (c) of a firm is given by the function c = 4x3 + 9x + 11x + 27. Find the Average Cost, Marginal Cost, Average
Variable Cost, and Average Fixed Cost x being the output.
Solution:
C = Total Cost = 4x3 + 9x2 + 11x + 27
27
Average Cost = 4x2 + 9x + 11 + x
dc
Marginal Cost = dx
= 12x + 18x + 11
2

Average Variable Cost = 4x2 + 9x + 11


27
Average fixed Cost = x

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 101


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Illustration 2:
The Average Cost of a firm is given by the function Average Cost = x3 + 12x 11x, find the Total Cost, Average
Variable Cost & Marginal cost.
Solution:
Average Cost = x3 + 12x2 11x
Total Cost (C) = x4 + 12x3 11x2
dc
Marginal Cost = = 4x3 + 36x2 22x
dx
Illustration 3:
The cost function of a firm is given by c = x3 - 4x + 7x, find at what level of output Average Cost is minimum and
what level will it be.
Solution:
Total Cost = x3 4x2 + 7x
Average Cost = x2 4x + 7
dy d2 y
In order that average cost is minimum dx
= 0 and the value of dx2
dy
i.e. dx
= 2x 4 = 0
or, x 2 = 0
.
..x=2
d2 y d dy d
Again, = = (2 x 4)
dx2 dx dx dx
dy
2

= dx2
= 2 which is positive so the function will have minimum values.
Minimum:
Average Cost = x2 4x 7
= 4 (4 x 2) + 7
= 11 8 = 3
Illustration 4:
50
The Average Cost function (AC) for a certain commodity is given by AC = 2x 1 + x in terms of output x, find the
output for which (i) Average cost is increasing (ii) Average cost is decreasing (iii) Find the total cost (iv) Marginal Cost.
Solution:
In order to a function is said to be increasing (or) decreasing its derivation must be zero.
dy
dx
= 2 50x2 = 0, Where y = AC = 2x - 1 + 50/x.
50
=> 2 x2
=0
=> 2x2 50 = 0
=> x2 25 = 0
.
. . x = + 5
When x > 5 it is increasing
When x < 5 it is decreasing
50
Total Cost = (2x 1 + x
) x = 2x2 x + 50
dy
Marginal Cost = dx
(2x2 x + 50) = 4x 1

Illustration 5:
1
The Cost function of a particular firm c = 3 x3 5x + 75x +10, find at which level, i) The Marginal Cost attains its
minimum ii) What is the marginal cost of this level?

102 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
1
c= 3
x3 5x + 75x +10
dc
Marginal Cost = dx
1
= 3
(3x2) 5 (2x) + 75
= x2 10x + 75 (y say)
In order that the MC to be at minimum its 2nd derivative value must be positive
dy
dx
= 2x 10 = 0
or 2x = 10
x=5
d2 y
dx2
= 2, which is positive when x = 5 MC is minimum
.
. . Minimum Marginal Cost = 52 10 x 5 + 75
= 25 50 + 75 = 50

Illustration 6:
The cost function c for the commodity q is given by C = q3 4q + 6q find Average Variable Cost and also find
the value of q for which average variable cost is minimum.
Solution:
C = q3 4q2 + 6q

Average Variable Cost = q2 4q + 6 (y say)


d
=> dq
(q2 4q + 6) = 0

=> 2q 4 = 0
. 4
. . q = 2
=2
2
dC
= 2 > 0, positive
dq2

.
. . Average Cost is minimum at q = 2
Illustration 7:
1
The cost function c of a firm = 3 x3 x + 5x + 3, find the level at which the marginal cost and the average variable
cost attain their respective minimum.
Solution:
1
C= 3
x3 x + 5x + 3
dc 1
Marginal Cost = dx
= 3 3x2 2x + 5
= x2 2x + 5 (y say)
dy
dx
= 2x 2 = 0
.
..x=1
d2 y
= 2, which is positive
dx2
.
. . Marginal cost is minimum value at x = 1
1
Average Variable Cost = 3
x2 x + 5 (y say)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 103


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

d 2
dx
{Average Variable Cost} = 3
x1=0

2
=> 3 x = 1
. 3
. . x = 2
d2 y 2
dx2
= 3
, positive
. 3
. . Average Variable Cost is minimum at output x = 2
Illustration 8:
1
Cost = 300x 10x + 3
x3, Calculate
(i) Output at which Marginal Cost is minimum
(ii) Output at which Average Cost is minimum
(iii) Output at which Marginal Cost = Average Cost.

Solution:
1
(i) Cost = 300x 10x + 3
x3
dc
Marginal Cost = dx
= 300 20x + x2 (say, y)
In order that MC is minimum first derivate must be equal to zero and 2nd derivate must be positive.
. dy
. . dx = 2x 20 => 2x = 20
x = 10
d2 y
dx2 = 2, which is positive. It is minimum at x = 10.
1
(ii) Average Cost = 300 10x + 3
x2 (y say)
dy 2
dx = 10 + 3
x=0
=> x = 30/2 = 15
d2 y 2
dx2 = 3 > 0,
.
. . Average Cost is minimum of output at x = 15
(iii) Output at which Marginal Cost = Average Cost
1
300 20x +x = 300 10x + 3
x2
1
20x + 10x + x2 3
x2 = 0
2
10x + 3
x2 = 0
30x + 2x
3
=0
2x2 30x = 0
2x (x 15) = 0
X 15 = 0
.
. . x = 15
Illustration 9:
3 15
Cost Function C = 5
x+ 4
, find

(i) Cost when output is 5 units


(ii) Average Cost of 10 units
(iii) Marginal cost.

104 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
3 15
C = 5
x+ 4
i) Cost when output is 5 units
3 15 15
= 5
x5+ 4
=3+ 4
= 6.75
ii) Average Cost of 10 units
3 15
Average Cost = 5+ 4x
3 15 3 15
= 5
+ 10 4
= 5
+ 40
3 3 24+15 39
= 5 8
+ = 40
= 40
= 0.975
dc
iii) Marginal Cost = dx
3
= 5
= 0.6
Illustration 10:
x
The Revenue function of a firm given by R = (2200 3x) 2 , find the firms marginal revenue function.

Solution:
x 2200x 3 3
R = (2200 3x) 2 = 2
2
x2 = 1100x 2
x2
dR
MR = = 1100 3x
dx
Illustration 11:
Given C = x3 10x + 9x; R = 12x + 11x 4. Find the total profit and hence marginal profits.
Solution:
C = x3 10x2 + 9x
R = 12x2 + 11x 4
Total Profit = R C = 12x2 + 11x 4 x3 + 10x2 9x
= x3 + 22x2 + 2x 4
= (x3 22x2 2x + 4) (Say P)

dp
Marginal Profit = (3x2 44x 2)
dx
Illustration 12:
A manufacturer can sell x items (x > 0) at a price of (330 x) each; the cost of producing x items is
`x + 10x + 12. How many items should he sell to make the maximum profit? Also determine the maximum profit.
Solution:
Given price (P) = 330 x
Cost (C) = x2 + 10x + 12
Output = x > 0
Revenue (R) = Px = 330x x2
Profit = R C = 330x x2 x2 + 10x 12
= 320x 2x2 12 (say y)
In order that maximum profit is attained

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 105


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis


dy
dx = 0, and
d2 y
dx2 = Positive
dy
dx = 320 4x = 0
4x = -320
x = 80
d2 y
dx2 = 4, which is negative.

Therefore profit is maximum at x = 80 units


Maximum profit = 320 (80) 2(80)2 12
= 12,788
Illustration 13:
The efficiency (E) of a small manufacturing concern depends on the number of workers (W) and is given by 10E =
W3
40
+ 30W 392, find the strength of the worker, which give maximum efficiency.
Solution:
W3
Given 10E = 40
+ 30W 392
W3 392
Efficiency (E) = 400
+ 3W 10
dE 1
dW
= 400
x 3W + 3 = 0
2

3W2 = 1200
W2 = 400
W = 20
dE 6w
dw
= 400
. dE 6 (20) 6

. . dw at w = 20 = 400 = 20 < 0
.
. . Maximum efficiency at w = 20.
Illustration 14:
x
A firm assumes a cost function c(x) = x ( 10 + 200), x is a monthly output in thousands of units. Its revenue function is
2200 3x
given by R (x) = ( 2
)x Find i) If the firm decides to produce 10,000units per month, the firms cost and Marginal
cost. ii) If the firm decides to produce Marginal cost of 320, the level of output per month, and cost of the firm. iii)
The marginal revenue function. iv) If a decision is taken to produce 10,000 units each month, the total revenue
and marginal revenue of the firm. v) If the firm produces with a marginal revenue of 1040, the firms monthly output
and monthly revenue. vi) The firms profit function and marginal profit function. vii) The output required per month
to make the marginal profit=0, and find the profit at this level of output. viii) Find the marginal revenue and the
marginal cost at the output obtained in (vii) and comment upon the result.
Solution:
x x
C = x ( 10 +200)= 10 + 200x
X = 000 units p.m.
2200 3x 2200x 3x
R=( 2
)x = 2
i) if firms output 10,000 units per month.
100
Cost = 10 ( +200)= 2100
10

106 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION



dc 3x2
MC = dx
= 10
+ 200
3(100)
Marginal Cost (at x = 10) = 10
+ 200 = 230
ii) i.e., MC = 320
3x2
10
+ 200 = 320
3x2 + 2000 = 3,200
3x2 = 1200
x2 = 400
.
. . 400 = 20
. (20)3
. . Total cost = 10
+ 200 20 = 4,800
iii) Marginal Revenue
dR 2200 6x
= MR = dx
=
2 2
= 1100 3x
iv) Total revenue at x = 10
2200 10 3(100) 22000 300 21700
is = =
2 2 2
= 10,850
Marginal Revenue = 1100 3 x 10 = 1070
v) Given, MR = 1040
i.e. 1100 3x = 1040
3x = 60
x = 20
2200 20 3 400
Monthly Revenue =
2 2
= 22000 600 = 21400
2200x 3x x
vi) Profit = R C = 200x
2 2 10
x3 3x2
Profit + 900x (say p)
10 2
dp 3x2 6x
Marginal Profit = dx
= + 900
10 2
vii) MP = 0 (given)
3x2
3x + 900 = 0
10
-3x2 30x + 9000 = 0
x2 + 10x 3000 = 0
x2 + 60x 50x 3000 = 0
x (x + 60) 50 (x + 60) = 0
x (x-50) (x + 60) = 0
.
. . x = 50 or x = 60
2200x 3x x
Profit = R C = 200x
2 2 10
Profit, at output x = 50
= 28750

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 107


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

viii) Marginal cost at x = 50


3x 3(2500)
= + 200 = + 200 = 950
2 10
Marginal Revenue = at x = 50
1100 3x = 1100 3 x 50 = 950
Profit will be maximum at MC = MR
Illustration 15:
A radio manufacturer produces x sets per week at total cost of ` x + 78x + 2500. He is a monopolist and the
(600 P)
demand function for his product is x = , when the price is p per set show that maximum net revenue is
8
obtained when 29 sets are produced per week what is the monopoly price.
Solution:
Cost (C) = x2 + 78x + 2500
Demand (D) X = (600 P) / 8
8x = 600 P
.
. . P = 600 8x
Total Revenue per x sets
Price x i.e., 600x 8x2
Maximum revenue is obtains at MC = MR
dc
Marginal Cost = dx
= 2x + 78 (i)
dr
Marginal Revenue = dx
= 600 16x (ii)
Equation (i) & (ii)
2x +78 = 600 16x
or, 18x = 522
. 522
. . x = 18 = 29
Monopoly price 600 8x
600 8 29
= 600 232 = 368
Illustration 16:
x
The demand function for a particular commodity is y = 15 e 5 , where y is the price per unit and x is the no. of
units demanded, determine the price and quantity for which revenue is maximum.
Solution:
x

Demand function y = 15 e 5
x

Total Revenue (TR) = yx =15e 5 .x
x

=15xe 5
dR
In order that Revenue is maximum dx
=0
dR
And dx
= negative
x

R = 15xe 5

dR x x 1

dx
= 15 [ e 5 + xe 5 ( 5 )]

108 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


x
x xe 5
= 15 [e 5 5
]

x x

Now 15e 5 [1 5 ] = 0
x
or, 1 =0
5
x
or, 1 =
5
.
. . x = 5

d2 R x ex/5 ex/5
dx2
= 15 25
ex/25 5
5

x 2ex/5
= 15 25
ex/25 5

d2 R 1 2 1
dx2 at x = 5 = 15 5e
5e
= ve = 5e
<0

Illustration 17:
150
P = q + 2 4 represents the demand function for a product where p is the price per unit per q units; determine
the marginal revenue function.
Solution:
150
P= q + 2
4
150q
Revenue (R) = q + 2
4q
dR q + 2(150)150q 2q
MR = dq
= 4
(q + 2)
150q 300 300q 300 150q
= 4= 4
(q + 2) (q + 2)

Illustration 18:
A manufacturer can sell x items per month, at price P = 300 2x. Manufacturers cost of production ` Y of x items
is given by Y = 2x + 1000. Find no. of items to be produced to yield maximum profit per month
Solution:
Units = x
Price = 300 2x
Revenue (R) = Px = 300x 2x2
Cost (C) = 2x + 1000
Profit (z) = 300x 2x2 2x 1000
2x2 + 298x 1000
dz
dx
= 4x + 298 = 0
4x = 298
298
x= 4
= 74.5
dz
dx
= 4 which is Negative
dz
dx
= <0
Profit is maximum at x = 74.5 units

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 109


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Illustration 19:
The price (P) per unit at which company can sell all that it produces is given by the function P(x) = 300 4x. The cost
function is 500 + 28x, where x is the number of units, find x, so that profit is maximum.
Solution:
P = 300 4x
R = P(x) = 300x 4x2
C = 500 + 28x
Profit (`) = R C
Profit = 300x 4x2 500 28x
= 4x2 + 272x 500
dz
dx
= 8x + 272 = 0
8x = 272
272
X= 8
= 34
dz
dx
= 8, which is Negative
Profit is maximum at x = 34 units.

Illustration 20:
If n be the no. of workers employed the average cost of production is given by
3
C = 24n + 2(n 4)
Show that n = 4 will make C minimum.
Solution:
3 3
C = 24n + 2(n 4)
= 24n + 2
(n 4)1
dc dc
if, dn
= 0, then Cost is minimum, dn
= Positive
dc 3
dn
= 24 + 2
1 x (n 4)2 = 0
3
24 (n 4)2 = 0
2
(n 4)-2 = 16
1
(n 4)2
= 16
(n 4)2 .16 = 1
1
(n 4)2 = 16
1
n4= 4
1 1
n= 4
+4=44
dc 3
dn
=0+ 2
2 (n 4)3
= 3 (n 4)3
17
= 3 ( 4 4)3
3
= which is Positive
( 14 )3
Hence condition is satisfied and cost will be minimum at n = 4.

110 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 21:
A firm has revenue function given by R = 8D, where R = Gross Revenue and D= Quantity sold,
D 2
production cost function is given by C = 15000 + 60 . Find the total profit function and the number of units to
900
be sold to get the maximum profit.
Solution:
R = 8D
D 2
C = 15000 + 60
900
D 2
Profit (P) = 8D 15000 60
900
To find number of units to get the maximum profit
dp d2 p
dD
= 0 and dD2
should be ve
dp 60.2D
dD
=8 810000
=0
120D
8 810000
=0
120D
8 810000
=0
. 27000 8
. . D = 4
= 54000

d2 p 4
dD2
= 27000
which is ve
P is maximum at D = 54000.
Illustration 22:
x3
The total cost function of a firm C = 3 5x + 28x + 10, where C is total cost and x is the output. A tax @`2 per unit
of output is imposed and the producer adds it to his cost. If the demand function is given by P = 2530 - 5x, where
`P is the price per unit of output, find the profit maximising output and the price at the level.
Solution:
x3
Given (C) = 3
5x + 28x + 10 + 2x

P = 2530 5x

Revenue = xp = 2530x 5x2


x3
Profit = 2530x 5x2 + 5x2 28x 10 3
2x
x3
= + 2502x 10 2x
3
x3
= 10 + 2500x
3
dp 3x2
dx
= + 2500 = 0
3

X2 = 2500
.
. . x = 2500 = 50
d2 p
dx2
= 2, which is Negative
.
. . Maximum profit is at x = 50 units
Price 2530 5 x 50 = 2280

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 111


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Illustration 23:
Find the Elasticity of Demand for the following:
10
(i) P= (x + 2)2
4
(ii) P= (2x + 1)2
(iii) x . pn = K, where n, k are constant.
Solution:
10
(i) P= (x + 2)2
= 10 (x + 2)-2

Differentiating w.r.to x
dp
dx
= 10(2)(x + 2)3 = 20 (x + 2)3
p 10
x
= x(x + 2)2
dx p
Elasticity of demand |Ep| = dp
x
dx 1 (x + 2)3
dp
= 20(x + 2)3 = 20
dx p (x + 2)3 10
dp
x
= 20
x(x + 2)2
(x + 2)
= 2x

4
(ii) P = (2x + 1)2
= 4 (2x + 1)2
dp 8
dx
= 4 2 (2x + 1)3 =
(2x + 1)3
dp 8
dx
=
(2x + 1)3
dx (2x + 1)3
dp
=
8
p 4
x
=
x(2x + 1)2
(2x + 1)3 4 (2x + 1)
Elasticity of demand = |Ep|= 8
x(2x + 1)2
= 2x
(iii) xp = k
n

k
or, x = pn
x k
or, p
= pn p
x k
or, p
= pn+1
p pn+1
or, x
= k
... (1)

Again, x.pn = k
Differentiate both sides w.r.to x.
dp
x.npn1 + pn = 0
dx
dp
or, dx
. xnpn1 = pn
dp pn
or, dx
= x.n.pn1

112 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


dx x.n.pn1 xn
or, dp
= pn
= p
... (2)
xn pn+1
Now, |Ep|= p
k
xnpn
= k
Illustration 24:
The Demand curve for x is given by the equation P = 24 q , where P and q denote price and quantity
respectively. Find the point price elasticity for P = `20.
Solution:
1
Demand P = 24 q
2
dp 1 1 1
= =
dq 2 2 q 4 q
dq
=4 q
dp
p 24 2 q 24 21 8 24 4 20
= = = =
64 64 64
q q

dp p -4 q (24 q )
|Ep|= =
dq q q

When p = 20, then q,


1
P 24 = q
2

2 (p 24) = q

2 (20 24) = q

40 + 48 = q

q =8
.
. . q = 64
Illustration 25:
The Demand function is x = 100 + 4p + 10p, where x is demand for the commodity at price p compute marginal
quantity demand, average quantity demand and hence elasticity of demand, at p = 4.
Solution:
X = 100 + 4p + 10P2
dx
Marginal quantity demand =
dq
dx
= 4 + 20P (1)
dq
x 100
Average Quantity demand = = + 4 +10p (2)
p p
dx x 4 + 20p (4 + 20p)p
Ep = = 100
=
dq p + 10p + 4 100+10p2+4p
p

at P = 4
(4 + 80)4 28
= =
100+160+16 23

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 113


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Illustration 26:
Find an expression for price elasticity in the case of following demand functions and evaluate it at the price
P = 20
(i) 12Q + 7P = 216
(ii) Q = 2500 8P 2P
64
(iii) Q =
p6
5p
(iv) Q =
(1 3p)2
Solution:
(i) 7P = 216 12Q
21612Q 1
P= = (216 12Q)
7 7
dp 1 12 dQ 7
= 12 = = =
dQ 7 7 dp 12
p 1 216
= 12
Q 7 Q
7 216
Ep = 12
12 Q
1 216 12Q
Ep =
12 Q

At p = 20, Q is

12Q = 216 (7 x 20) = 216 140 = 76


76 1
Q= =6
12 3

Ep at P = 20
76
1 216 12 12
Ep =
12 76
12

1 140 12 140 35
= = =
12 76 76 19

(ii) Q = 2,500 8p 2p2



At p = 20,
dQ
= 8 4p = 8 80 = 88
dp
Q 2500
= 8 2P
p p

= 125 8 40 = 77
Q 1
=
p 77
1 8
Ep = 88 =
77 7

64 dQ 64 6
(iii) Q = , =
p6 dp p7
Q 64 p p7
= => =
p p7 Q 64

114 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


64 6 p7
Ep = =6
p7 64

5p
(iv) Q = = 5p (1 3p)2
(1 3p)2
dQ (1 3P)2 .5 5P (2)(1 3P)3
=
dp (1 3P)4
5(1 3P)2 + 30P (1 3P) 5(1 3P)+ 30P
= =
(1 3P)4 (1 3P)3
Q 5 p (1 3P)2
= = =
p (1 3P)2 Q 5
5(1 3P)+ 30P (1 3P)2
Ep =
(1 3P)3 5
5 15P + 30P 1 3P + 6P 1 + 3P
= = =
5(1 3P) 1 3P 1 3P
1 + 60 61
= =
1 60 59

Illustration 27:
The total revenue from sale of x units is given by the equation R = 100x 2x, calculate the point price elasticity of
demand, when marginal revenue is 20.
Solution:

R = 100x 2x2

Price (P) = 100 2x


dR
MR = = 100 4x
dx
p 100
= 2
x x
dp dx 1
=2= =
dx dp 2
1 100
Ep = 2
2 x
50
= 1
x
50
= 1
20
5
= 1
2
52 3
=
2 2
MR = 20, x is .....

100 4x = 20

4x = 80

X = 20
Illustration 28:
Prove that the elasticity of demand for the following is constant x = 3(p-2), Where P and X are the price & quantity
demanded respectively.

Solution:
dx p
Ep =
dp x

Differentiate w.r.to x

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 115


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

dp
1 = 3 (2 . p3)
dx
dp
1 = 6p3 .
dx
dp p3
=
dx 6
dx 6
= Equation (1)
dp p3
x 3
Now =
p p3
p p3
= Equation (2)
x 3
From equations (1) & (2)
dx p
Ep =
dp x
6 p3
=
p3 3

= 2 (proved)
Illustration 29:
The total cost (C) and the total revenue (R) of a firm are given C (x) = x3 + 60x + 8x; R(x) = 3x3 - 3x + 656x, x being
output determine, the output for which the firm gets maximum profit. Also obtain the maximum profit.
Solution:
C = x3 + 60x2 + 8x
R = 3x3 3x2 + 656x
Profit = 3x3 3x2 + 656x x3 60x2 8x
= 2x3 63x2 + 648x = (p)
Derivative w.r.to x
dp
= 6x2 126x + 648 = 0
dx
x2 21x + 108 = 0
x2 9x 12x + 108 = 0
x(x 9) 12 (x 9) = 0
(x 12) (x 9) = 0
x = 12 or 9
d2 p
= 2x 21
dx2
at x = 9
d2 p
= 18 21 = 3 < 0
dx2
.
. . P is maximum at x = 9
at x = 12
d2 p
= 24 21= 3 > 0
dx2
.
. . P is minimum at x = 12
P = 2x3 63x2 + 648x
at x = 9
Profit P = 2(9)3 63(9)2 + 648(9)
7292 63 x 81 648 x 9 = 2187

116 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 30 :
A monopolist has demand curve x = 106 2p and average cost curve (AC) = 5 + x/50. The total revenue is (R) = xp,
determine the most profitable output and maximum profit.
Solution:
x = 106 2p => x 106 = 2p
x 106 106 x
P= =
2 2
106x x2
R=
2
x2
Total Cost = 5x +
50
106x x2 x2
Profit = 5x
2 50
dp (106 2x) 2x
= 5 =0
dx 2 50
dp 2x
= 53 x 5 =0
dx 50
1
48 = x 1 +
25
1200
X=
26
d2 p 26
= <0
dx2 25
. 1200
. . P is maximum at x =
26
Illustration 31:
The total cost function of a manufacturing firm is given by C = 2x3 x + 3x + 5 and the Marginal Revenue = 8 3x,
X = output, determine the most profitable output of the firm.
Solution:
C = 2x3 x2 + 3x + 5

MR = 8 3x
dc
MC = = 6x2 2x + 3
dx
Profit maximum at MC = MR

6x2 2x + 3 = 8 3x

6x2 + x 5 = 0

6x2 + 6x 5x 5 = 0

6x (x + 1) 5 (x + 1) = 0

(x + 1) (6x 5) = 0

X = 1
5
or 6x 5 = 0 = .
6
5
x=
6
. 5
. . Most Profitable output of the firm is .
6

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 117


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Illustration 32:
A company is planning to market a new model of a doll. Rather than setting the selling price of the doll based only
on production cost estimation management polls the retailers of the doll to see how many dolls they will buy for
various prices. From this survey, it is determined at the unit demand function (the relationship between the amount
x each retailer would buy and the price he would pay) is x = 30000 1500P. The fixed cost of the production of
the dolls are found to be `28,000 and cost of Material & labour to produce each doll is estimated to be ` 8 per unit.
What price should the company charge retailer in order to obtain a maximum profit? Also find the maximum profit.
Solution:
x = 30000 1500P
x 30000 = 1500P
. 30000 x
. . P =
1500
30000x x2
Revenue =
1500

C = 8x + 28000
30000x x2
Profit (y) = 8x 28000
1500
dy 1
= (30000 2x) 8 = 0
dx 1500

= 30000 2x 12000 = 0
2x = 18000
18000
x= = 9000
2
2
dy
= 2, which is Negative
dx2
30000 9000 90002
Profit = 72000 28000
1500
810000
180000 72000 28000
15
= 180000 54000 72000 28000 = 26000
Illustration 33:
Assume that for a closed economy E = C + I + G; Where E= total expenditure on consumption goods, I = Exp. on
Investment goods and G = Govt. Spending. For equilibrium, we must have E = Y, Y being total income received.
For a certain Economy, it is given that C = 15 + 0.9Y, where I = 20 + 0.05Y and G = 25. Find the equilibrium values of
Y, C and I. How will these change, if there is no Government spending.
Solution:
E = 15 + 0.9Y + 20 + 0.05Y +25
E = 60 + 0.95Y = (1)
As given E = Y = 60 + 0.95Y
0.05Y = 60
. 60
. . Y = 0.50 = 1200
C = 15 + 0.9 x 1200 = 1095
I = 20 + 0.05 x 1200 = 80
When there is no government spending.

118 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Y = 35 + 0.95Y
or, 0.05Y = 35
. 35
. . Y = = 700
0.05
C = 15 + 630 = 645
I = 20 + 35 = 55

Illustration 34:
A demand function of an item is P = 8/(x+1) 2 and supply function is P = (x+3)/2, determine the equilibrium price
and consumers surplus.
Solution:
Equilibrium price = Demand = Supply
8 x+3
= 2=
x+1 2
8 2 (x + 1) x+3
= =
x+1 2

= (8 2x 2)2 = (x + 3) (x +1)
16 4x 4 = x2 + 4x + 3
x2 8x + 9 = 0
x2 + 8x 9 = 0
x2 x + 9x 9 = 0
x (x 1) + 9 (x 1) = 0
(x 1) ( x + 9) = 0
x = 1, x = 9
1+3 4
Price = = =2
2 2

Consumers surplus = Consumer willing to pay Consumer actually paid


1
8
= 2 dx [2 1]
0 (x +1)
1
= 0 [8 log (x + 1) 2x] 2
= [8.log 2 2] 2
= 8 log 2 4

Illustration 35:
The demand function for a particular brand of pocket calculator is stated below, P = 75 0.3Q 0.05Q, Find the
consumers surplus at a quantity of 15 calculators.
Solution:
Price = 75 0.30 (15) 0.05 (152)
= 75 4.5 0.05 (225)
= 75 15.75 = 59.25
Consumers surplus
15
= 0 (75 0.3Q 0.05Q2)dQ (59.25 15)
15 0.3Q2 0.5Q2
= 75Q 2
2
(59.75 15)
0

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 119


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

= [(1125 33.75 56.25) 0] 888.75


= 1035 888.75
= 146.25
Illustration 36:
The demand and supply function under perfect competition are Y = 16 x and Y = 2(x + 2) respectively. Find the
market price, consumers surplus and producers surplus.
Solution:
Under perfect competition market price is: demand = supply i.e.
16 x2 2x2 4 = 0
3x2 + 12 = 0
3x2 = 12
x2 = 12/3
12
x = 3 = 2 units
2
Consumers surplus = 0 (16 x) dx (12 2)
2 x3
= 16x 3
0

8
= 32 24
3
1
= 5 /
3

Producers surplus = Producer actually received Producers willing to receive


2
= (2 x 12) 0 2 (x + 2)dx
2 2x3
= 24 3
+ 4x
0

16
= 32 3
80
16
= 32 3
2
= 26 /
3

Illustration 37:
The demand function is Y = 85 4x x, y is the price and x is the quantity demand. Find the consumers surplus
for Y = 64.
Solution:
Quantity is 85 4x x = 64
x 4x + 21 = 0
x + 4x 21 = 0
x + 7x 3x 21 = 0
x (x + 7) 3 (x + 7) = 0
(x - 3) (x + 7) = 0
x = 3 or x = 7, not acceptable

120 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


3
Consumers surplus = 0 (85 4x x) dx (3 64)
3 4x3 x3
= 85x 2
2
192
0

= 255 18 9 192
= 36
Illustration 38:
Find whether the following commodities are complementary or competitive (or) substitutes, where P1, P2 and X1 X2
are prices and quantities respectively of the two commodities.
1.7 0.8 0.5 2
(i) x1 = P1 . P2 ; x2 = P1 . P2
4x3 16
(ii) x1 = 2 ; x2 = 2
P 1 P2 P1 P2
8 1.2 0.2 0.6
x1 = P1 . P2 ;
(iii) x2 = P1 . P2

1.1 0.3 0.2 0.6


x1 = P1 . P2 ;
(iv) x2 = P1 . P2

(v)
x1 = 1 2P1 + P2 ; x2 = 5 2 P1 3P2
0.6 0.1
P2 P1
(vi)
x1 = 1.5
; x2 = 0.1
P1 P2
Solution:
1.7 0.8 0.5 2
(i) x1 = P1 .P2 ; x2 = P1 . P2
Differentiate partially x1 w.r.to p2
x1 1.7 0.2

p1 P1
= (0.8) P2
0.8
= 1.7 0.2 which is greater than zero
P 1 P2

Again differentiating partially x2 w.r.to p1



x2 1 0.5
= 0.2 (0.5) P1
p1 p2
0.5
= 0.2 0.5 which is greater than zero
P 2 . P1

Hence the commodities are substitutes.

4x3 16
(ii) x1 = 2 ; x2 = 2
P 1 P2 P1 P2

Partially differentiating x1 w.r.to p2


x1 4
= which is less than zero
p2 2
P 1 . P2
2


Again partially differentiating x2 w.r.to p1

x2 16
= which is also less than zero
p1 2
P1 . P2
2

Therefore, commodities are complementary.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 121


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

8 1.2 0.2 0.6


(iii) x1 = P1 . P2 ; x2 = P1 . P2
Differentiating partially x1 w.r.to p2
x1 0.8 0.2
= P1 (1.2) P2 which is greater than zero
p2

Similarly differentiating partially x2 w.r.to p1

x2 0.6 0.8

p1 P2
= (0.2) P1
0.6
(0.2) P2
= which is greater than zero
0.8
P1

Therefore the commodities are substitutes.

1.1 0.3 0.2 0.6


x1 = P1 . P2 ;
(iv) x2 = P1 . P2
Differentiate partially x1 w.r.to p2
-1.1
x1 P1 (0.3) (0.3)
= = which is greater than zero.
p2 P2
0.7 1.1 0.7
P 1 . P2

Similarly differentiate partially x2 w.r.to p1

x2 0.6 0.8 (0.2) P2
0.6

p1 P2
= (0.2) P1 = 0.8 which is also greater than zero.
P1

Therefore, the commodities are substitutes.


(v) x1 = 1 2P1 + P2 ; x2 = 5 2 P1 3P2
Differentiating partially x1 w.r.to p2

x1
= 1, which is greater than zero.
p2

Similarly, differentiating partially x2 w.r.to p1

x2
= 2, which is less than zero.
p1
Therefore, the relationship between the commodities cannot be established.
0.6 0.1
P2 P1
(vi) x1 = 1.5
; x2 = 0.1
P1 P2
Differentiating partially x1 w.r.to p2
x1 1 0.4
= (0.6) P2
p2 P1
1.5


(0.6)
= 1.5 0.4 which is greater than zero.
P 1 . P2

Similarly, differentiating partially x2 w.r.to p1
x2 1 1
= .
p1 P1
0.1 0.9
P1

122 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


0.1
= 0.1 0.9 which is greater than zero.
P 2 . P1

Therefore, the commodities are substitutes.

Illustration 39:
1. K ltd. sells output in a perfectly competive market. The avarage variable cost function K Ltd is
AVC = 300 40Q + 2Q2

K ltd has an obligation to pay ` 500 irrespective of the output produced.
What is the price below which K Ltd has to shut down its operation in the short run?
Solution:
A firm has to shut down its operation, if the price is less than average variable cost.
Under perfect competition
P = MR
i.e. Price is equal to marginal revenue. The firm will continue its operation under the short run so long as price is
atleast equal to average variable cost.
Thus the equilibrium price which the firm will shut down is the minimum AVC i.e. the average variable cost .
AVC = 300 40Q + 2Q2
d(AVC)
AVC is minimum where =0

dQ

d(AVC)
i.e. = - 40 + 4Q = 0
dQ

i.e. Q = 10 units.
when the firm is producing 10 units,
AVC = 300 40Q + 2Q2
= 300 40(10) + 2 (10)2

= 300 400 + 200 = 100
If the price falls before `100 the firm has to shut down its operation in short run.

Illustration 40:
J ltd is operating in a perfectly competative market. The price elastacity of demand and supply of the product
estimated to be 3 and 2 respectively. The equlibrium price of the product is `100. If the government imposes a
specific tax of `10 per unit, what will be the new equilbrium price?

Solution:
Distribution of tax buden between buyers and sellers is in ratio of elasticity of supply to elasticity of demand .
2
Thus tax burden borne by the buyer = ` 10 = ` 4.
5

If the tax burden borne by buyer is ` 4, new equlilibrium price will be 100 + 4 = ` 104

Illustration 41:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 123


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

The total cost function for a monopolist is given by TC = 900 + 40 Q2. The demand function for the good produced
by the monopolist is given by 2Q = 48 0.08 P. What will be the profit maximising price?

Solution:
Demand function is given by
2Q = 48 0.08 P
or , 2Q 48 = 0.08 P
or, 48 2Q = 0.08 P
or, P = 600 25Q
TR = PQ
= 600Q 25Q2

TC is given by,
TC = 900 + 40 Q2
The first order condition for profit maximisation is MR = MC
TR = 600Q 25Q2
dTR
MR = = 600 - 50Q

dQ

d(TC)
MC = = 80Q
dQ

For maximising profit
MR = MC
i.e. 600 50Q = 80Q
Q =
600 4.6units
130 =
Equlibreium Price =
P = 600 25 Q = 600 25(4.6)
= 600 115
= ` 485
i.e. profit maximising price is ` 485

Illustration 42:
S Ltd. a monopolist aims at profit maximisation. The fixed cost of the firm is ` 200 and the average variable cost of
the firm is constant at ` 30 per unit. S Ltd. sells goods in West Bengal and Kerala. The estimated demand function
for the goods in west bengal and Kerala are:
Pw = 40 2.5 Qw
Pk = 120 10 Qk
If price discrimination is practiced by S ltd., what will be the profit maximising output?

Solution:
When price discrimination is practiced profit maximising condition is

124 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


MRw = MC..... (1)
MRk = MC...... (2)
Now, Pw = 40 2.5 Qw
TRw = 40 Qw 2.5 Qw2
MRw = 40 5Qw
and Pk = 120 10 Qk
TRk = 120Qk 10Qk2
MRk = 120 20 Qk
Since average variable cost is constant at ` 30 per unit ,then
MC = 30
40 5Qw = 30
Qw = 2 units
& 120 20 Qk = 30
i.e. Qk =
90 = 4.5 units
20
Thus profit maximising output in west bengal will be 2 units and in kerala will be 4.5 units.
Thus profit maximising output for the monopolist = 2 + 4.5 = 6.5 units.

Illustration 43:
The total cost function of a monopolist is given by
C = 50 + 40x = 50 + 40 (x1 + x2)
The total demand is given by
P = 100 2x
The demand function of the segmented market are
P1 = 80 2.5x1
P2 = 180 10 x2
If the price discrimination is practised by the monopolist, what will be the equilibrium output in each segment and
what will be the price?
Prove that the market with the higher elasticity will have the lower price.
Solution:


The firm aims at the maximisation of profit .
= R1 + R2 + C

R1 = P1x1 = (80 2.5x1)x1

= 80 x1 2.5x12

MR1 = 80 5x1 .........................(1)

R2 = P2x2 = (180 10x2) x2

= 180x2 10x22

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 125


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

MR2 = 180 20x2 ...............................(2)

C = 50 + 40x

= 50 + 40(x1+x2)

dc dc dc 40 ................(3)
MC = = =
dx1 dx2 dx =


Equating (1) & (3)
80 5x1 = 40
x = 8
and, equating (2) & (3)
180 20x2 = 40
x2 = 7
Total output = 8 + 7 = 15 units

P1 = 80 2.5x1 = ` 60

P2 = 180 x2 = ` 110

The elasticities are


dx1 p1
|e1| =
dp1 x1


Now P1 = 80 2.5x1

x1 = 32 0.4 P1
dx1
= 0.4
dp1
60
then e1 = 0.4 =3
8

dx2 p2
Similarly e2 = = 1.57
dp2 x2

Thus e1 > e2 and accordingly p1<p2


i.e. market with the higher elasticity will have the lower price.

Illustration 44:
6,000 pen drives of 2 GB to be sold in a perfectly competitive market to earn `1,06,000 profit, whereas in a monopoly
market only 1,200 units are required to be sold to earn the same profit. The fixed costs for the period are `74,000.
The contribution per unit in the monopoly market is as high as three-fourths its variable cost.
Determine the target selling price per unit under each market condition.

Solution:
Calculation of selling price (`)

126 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Units Perfect competition 6,000 Monopoly 1,200
Contribution (1,06,000 + 74,000) 1,80,000 1,80,000
Contribution p. u. 30 150
Variable cost p. u. (150 ) - 200
Variable Cost p. u. 200 -
Selling price p. u. 230 350

Illustration 45:
C Ltd. is about to introduction a new product with the following estimates:

Price per unit (in rupees) 30.00 31.50 33.00 34.50 36.00 37.50 39.00
Demand (in thousand units) 400 380 360 340 315 280 240

Costs:

Direct materials `12 p. u. Selling expenses 10% on ale


Direct labour `3 p. u. Fixed production overheads `14,40,000
Variable overhead `3 p. u. Administration expenses `10,80,000

Judging from the estimates, determine the tentative price of the new product to earn maximum profit.

Solution:
Statement for Determining Tentative Price of the New Product, from estimates, to earn maximum profit

Price p. u. (`) Demand Sales revenue Variable costs Contribution


(`18 p. u. + 10% of selling price) (in lakhs of unit) (in ` Lakhs) (in ` Lakhs) (in ` Lakhs)
(a) (b) (c) (d) (c) - (d)
30.00 4.00 120.00 84.00 36.00
31.50 3.80 119.70 80.37 39.33
33.00 3.60 118.80 76.68 42.12
34.50 3.40 117.30 72.93 44.37
36.00 3.15 113.40 68.04 45.36
37.50 2.80 105.00 60.90 44.10
39.00 2.40 93.60 52.56 41.04
The tentative price of the new product should be `36 per unit. At this price the profit of C Ltd. is maximum, the
maximum profit of the concern comes to `20,16,000.
Working Notes:
Maximum Profit = Maximum contribution - (Fixed production overhead + Administration expenses)
= `45,36,000 -(`14,40,000+ `10,80,000) = `45,36,000 `25,20,000
= `20,16,000

Illustration 46:
H M Ltd. Manufactures an alloy product 'Incop' by using iron and Copper. The metals pass through two plants, X

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 127


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

and Y. The company gives you the following details for the manufacture of one unit of Incop:

Materials Iron : 10 kgs. @ `5 per kg. Copper : 5 kg. @ `8 per kg.


Wages 3 hours @ `15 per hour in Plant X 5 hours @ `12 per hour in Plant Y
Overhead recovery On the basis of direct labour hours
Fixed overhead `8 per hour in Plant X `5 per hour in Plant Y
Variable overhead `8 per hour in Plant X `5 per hour in Plant Y
Selling overhead (fully variable) `20 per unit

(i) Find out the minimum price to be fixed for the alloy, when the alloy is new to the market. Briefly explain this
pricing strategy.
(ii) After the alloy is well established in the market. What should be the minimum selling price? Why?

Solution:
Calculation of Total cost for manufacture of one unit of 'Incop' alloy product
(`)

Materials
Iron (10 kg. `5) 50
Copper (5 Kg. `8) 40 90
Wages
X (3 hours `15) 45
Y (5 hours `12) 60 105
Variable overhead production
X (3 hours `8) 24
Y (5 hours `5) 25 49
Variable overhead Selling 20
Total variable cost 264
Add: Fixed overhead
X (`8 3 hours) 24
Y (`5 5 hours) 25 49
Total Cost 313
(i) If pricing strategy is to penetrate the market, the minimum price for a new product should be the variable
cost i.e. `264. In some circumstances, it can also be sold below the variable cost, if it is expected to quickly
penetrate the market and later absorb a price increase. Total variable cost is the penetration price.
(ii) When the alloy is well established, the minimum selling price will be the total cost - including the fixed cost i.e.
` 313 per unit. Long-run costs should cover at least the total cost.

Illustration 47:
C. Ltd., an Indian company, has entered into an agreement of strategic alliance with Z Inc. of United States of
America for the manufacture of personal computers in India. Broadly, the terms of agreement are:
(i) Z will provide C with kits in a dismantled condition. These will be used in the manufacture of the personal
computer in India. On values basis, the supply, in terms of the FOB price will be 50% thereof.
(ii) C will procure the balance of materials in India.

128 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(iii) Z will provide to C with designs and drawings in regard to the materials and supplies to be procedure in India.
For this, C will pay Z a technology fee of `3 crores.
(iv) Z will also be entitled to a royalty at 10% of the selling price of the computer fixed for sales in India as reduced
by the cost of standard items procured in India and also the cost of imported kits from Z.
(v) C will furnish to Z detailed quarterly returns.
Other information available:
(i) FOB price agreed $510. Exchange rate to be adopted $1 = `47.059
[Note - In making calculations, the final sum may be rounded to the next rupee].
(ii) Insurance and freight `500 per imported kit;
(iii) Customs duty leviable is 150% of the CIF prices; but as a concession, the actual rate leviable has been fixed at
30% of CIF;
(iv) The technology agreement expires with the production of 2,00,000 computers;
(v) The quoted price on kits includes a 20% margin of profits on cost to Z;
(vi) The estimated cost of materials and supplies to be obtained in India will be 140% of the cost of supplies made
by Z.
(vii) 48% of the value in rupees of the locally procured goods represent cost of the standard items.
(viii) Cost of assembly and other overheads in India will be `2,000 per personal computer.
Required - Calculate the selling price of a personal computer in India bearing in mind that C has targeted a profit
of 20% to itself on the selling price.

Solution:
Working Notes:
(1) FOB price of dismantled kit
FOB price of dismantled kit (in $) = 510
FOB price of dismantled kit (in `) ($510 `47.059) = 24,000
(2) Cost of a dismantled kit to Z Inc.
If `120 is the S.P. of kit to Z Inc. then its C.P. is `100
If `24,000 is the S.P. then C.P. is = 24,000 100/120 = `20,000
(3) Cost of local procurements
140% of the cost of supplies made by Zinc. = 140% `10,000* = `14,000
*Being 50% of cost of a dismantled kit to Z Inc.
(4) Landed cost of dismantled kit (`)

FOB price (50% `24,000) 12,000


Add: Insurance and freight 500
CIF price 12,500
Add: Customs duty (30% `12,500) 3,750
Landed cost of a dismantled kit 16,250

(5) Cost of the standard items procured locally


48% of the cost of locally procured goods = `14,000 48/100 = `6,720
(6) Royalty payment per computer:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 129


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Let x = Selling price per unit of personal computer


y = Royalty paid per computer
Since 20% is the margin of profit on S.P. it means a margin of 25% on C.P.,
Therefore we have:
x = 1.25 (`32,250 + `150+ y) and
y = 10% [x-(`6,720 + `16,250)]
On solving the above equations we get
x = `43,000
y = `2003.43 or `2,000 (approx.)

Statement Showing the Selling Price of a Personal Computer in India (`)


Landed cost of a dismantled kit 16,250
Cost of local procurement 14,000
Cost of assembly and other overheads per computer 2,000
Total cost of manufacture 32,250
Technology fee per computer (`3,00,00,000/2,00,000 computer) 150
Royalty payment per unit 2,000
Total cost 34,400
Profit (20% on selling price or 25% on total cost) 8,600
Selling price per computer 43,000


3.2 MARKET FACTORS AFFECTING PRICING DECISIONS

The traditional economic theories of pricing, based on demand and supply are of little use to businessmen in
setting prices for their goods. The traditional economists rarely considered the influence exercised by middlemen,
rival producers change in Government economic policies, taxation, etc., all of which are really important in price
determination.
Under marginal principle of MC = MR, price and output are determined on the basic assumption of profit
maximization. Some economists Hall and Hitch of the Oxford University - rejected the assumption of profit
maximization as unrealistic and inapplicable to actual business conditions. In their empirical study of actual
business behaviour, Hall and Hitch found that business firms are either ignorant of the concepts of MR and MC
or they do not actually calculate MR and MC. Naturally, they do not determine price and output at the point
of equality of MR and MC. Besides, business firms are afraid of charging high prices in the short period much
above their average costs of production, lest their price policy, resulting in supernormal profits, attract potential
competitors to enter the industry and compete away the profits in the long run. High prices and high profit margins
may attract public and Government reaction and possible intervention. In other words, in real life, firms would like
to avoid entry of rivals and sharing of the market and for this, they would be prepared to forgo supernormal profits
in the short period. Often, firms will be interested in getting a large share of the market rather than maximum profit.
Sometimes, business firms are influenced by consideration of charging the right price with a just profit margin.
Factors influencing Price of a Product:
Generally, marketers consider the following factors in setting price:
1. Target customers: Price of product depends on the capacity of buyers to buy at various prices, in other words,
influence of price elasticity of demand will be examined.
2. Cost of the product: Pricing is primarily based on, how much it costs to produce and market the product, i.e.,
both the production and distribution cost.
3. Competition: Severe competition may indicate a lower price than when there is monopoly or little competition.

130 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


4. The law: Government authorities place numerous restrictions on pricing activities.
5. Social responsibility: Pricing affects many parties, including employees, shareholders and the public at large.
These should be considered in pricing.
6. Market position of the firm: The position of the market may also influence the pricing decision of the firm. It is
only why the different producers of identical products sell their products at different prices.
7. Distribution channel policy: The prices of products will also depend upon the policy regarding distribution
channel. The longer the channel, the higher would be the distribution costs and consequently higher the
prices.
8. Price elasticity of Demand: Price elasticity refers to consequential change in demand due to change in price
of the commodity. It is the relative responsiveness to the changes in price. As there an inverse relationship
between price and demand for product, the demand will increase with fall in price.
9. Economic environment: In recession, prices are reduced to a sizeable extent to maintain the level of turnover.
On the other hand, prices are charged higher in boom period to cover the increasing cost of production and
distribution.
There are different types of methods of pricing. The main pricing practices can be classified into following broad
categories:
(1) Competition Oriented Pricing:
(a) Going Rate Pricing:
Another method of pricing adopted by small firms which are price followers is known as going rate
pricing. Under this system, a firm sets its price according to the general pricing structure in the industry
or according to the price set by the price leader. In a sense, each firm has monopoly power over its
produce and it can, if it chooses, fix a monopoly price and face all the consequences of monopoly. In
practice, however, it prefers the easier and more practical method of choosing price going in the market.
It will change its price only when other firms do the same. Such a price policy is useful and safe to a firm
under certain circumstances. For instance, the firm may not have an accurate idea of its costs or it may
like to play safe and not provoke the larger firm to go for cut- throat competition. Besides, it is difficult for
each firm to calculate the full implication of change in costs and prices and it is much better to follow the
same pattern of pricing adopted by others. Even a large firm may be satisfied with going rate pricing lest
a change in price by it unnecessarily disturbs the whole market. No firm would like to spoil the common
market by reducing the price.
(b) Trade Association Pricing:
To avoid uncertainties of pricing decision and the downward pressure on prices which competition exerts,
firms frequently come to the express or implied agreements to maintain prices at a similar level. Though
express (or, overt) agreements are generally declared as illegal, the firms can easily and safely enter into
an implied (or, tacit) collusion. Individual firms, however, may frequently find it worthwhile to break out of
any such agreements, but this leads to the following possible alternatives:
(i) The price-cut may spark off a price war between the firms which will go on until one or all firms give up
the struggle; or
(ii) If the firm breaking out of the collusion is able to keep its rivals in the dark about the price- cut, it can
gain out of the price-cut only when either the original customers of this firm are unaware or are in some
way loyal to this firm. But such situations are generally rare.
(c) Customary Pricing:
There are certain goods whose prices tend to be fixed more or less in the minds of consumers-these are
known as the Charm prices. Change in costs of production if the change is moderate will not affect
the price, as the firms will not and cannot change the price. Accordingly, a rise in cost of production
may probably lead to reduction in quality of the product but not to a rise in price. Likewise, a fall in cost
of production may not be accompanied by a decline in price. Pricing in this case may be known as
customary pricing.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 131


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

(d) Price Leadership:


If often happens that in an industry there is one or many big firms whose cost of production is low and
they dominate the industry. In such a situation, the small firms will not like to enter into price war with these
big firms. The former may, therefore, follow the price fixed by the leader. For example, Cadbury may be
accepted as a leader in the chocolate industry, Hindustan Lever in the soap industry, and so on. Small firms
may change the price only when there is a general change in the cost of production and the price leader
has recognized and adjusted his price on that basis. In fact, the price leadership pattern is adopted as a
strategy of co-existence each firm catering to its market.
It is not necessary that the price charged by small firms must equal that charged by the price- leader. There
might be some difference in their prices (though it cannot be significant) but any change in the price is
always in the same direction for both the price-leader and the followers, and is generally in the same
proportion too. As a result, both will have their own markets to cater, thus avoiding diversion of customers.
(e) Sealed bid Pricing:
This method is more popular in tenders and contracts. Each contracting firm quotes its price in a sealed
cover called tender. All the tenders are opened on a scheduled date and the person, who quotes the
lowest price, other things remaining the same, is awarded the contract.
(2) Demand Oriented Pricing:
(a) Differential Pricing or Price Discrimination
There are many bases on which the open price discrimination is practiced. These are discussed below:
- Time Price Differentials: It is a general practice to use the expression the demand for a product or
service, but it is important to note that demand also has a time dimension. The demand may shift in
fairly short-time intervals. For example, demand for telephone facilities is more in the day time rather
than at night.
- Use Price differentials: Different buyers have different uses of a product or a service. For example
railways can be used for long-haul or short-haul freight traffic. Railways can also be used for transporting
different types of commodities. Electricity can similarly, be used for industrial or residential purposes.
- Quality price Differentials: If the product caters to that group of consumers who are concerned about
its quality, then the quality becomes a significant determinant of demand elasticity. The seller has,
therefore, to create differences in quality to sell his product. It must be emphasized here that the
differences in quality basically depend upon the buyers understanding of the quality. Sellers use many
devices to create quality differences.
- Quantity Differentials: When the seller discriminates on the basis of the quantity of purchase, it is
known as quantity differentials. Quantity discounts are price concessions based on the size of the lot
purchased at one time and delivered at one location. These discounts are thus related to size of a
single purchase. The size of the lot purchased is measured in terms of either physical units or monetary
units. Sometimes, discounts are according to the trade status, i.e., wholesaler, retailer, jobber, etc.
(b) Perceived Value Pricing:
Perceived value pricing refers to fixing the price on the basis of a buyers perception of the value of the
product.
(3) Pricing based on other Economic Considerations:
(a) Administered Pricing:
Administered prices are the prices which are fixed and enforced by the Government. The term administered
prices was introduced by Keynes.
Characteristics of administered prices:

132 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


1. They are fixed by Government
2. They are statutory i.e., legally enforced by the Government
3. They are regulatory in nature
4. They are meant as corrective measure
5. They are the outcome of the price policy of the Government.
(b) Dual Pricing:
Dual pricing is a system in which there are two prices for the same commodity at the same time one is
a controlled price fixed by the Government and the other is a free market price based on conditions of
demand and supply. The controlled price is fixed price while the free market price is a fluctuating price.
Generally, the Government fixed the prices of a commodity say, sugar at a level which will cover the
cost of production and permit a reasonable margin of profit. But this controlled price is obviously lower
than the free market price because of the existence of excess of demand over supply. The controlled
price is mainly for the benefit of lower income groups and it many often be fixed so low that the producers
may incur a small margin of loss. The producers are compelled to sell part of their output at the controlled
rate to the weaker sections of the community but are permitted to sell the surplus stocks in the market
at the free market price which is much higher. This enables the producers to make up their loss in the
controlled market or increase their volume of profit. Besides, the general consumers are given a chance
to satisfy their demand fully from the market.
(c) Shadow Pricing:
The producer has to decide two questions 1) how much of each product should be produced to maximize
profits? 2) What price is worth paying for additional quantities of a scarce resource? To decide the second
question What price is worth paying for additional quantity of a scarce resource, very often shadow
prices are used. Shadow prices are not prices obtained by observing the real world. Shadow prices
are imputed values. The shadow price shows the marginal contribution of the factors of production
employed. It is calculated by using the simplex method. These imputed values show the increase in profit
which would result if an additional unit of that scarce factor is used. The imputed value is the reduction in
contribution if that scarce factor is removed.
(d) Multiple Product Pricing:
Now-a-days, multiple production is a common phenomenon. Almost all firms have more than one product
in their line of production. Pricing of products under those conditions is known as multi- product pricing.
The major problem in pricing of multiple products is that each product has a separate demand curve.
But all of them are produced under one organisation by interchangeable production facilities, they
have only one inseparable marginal cost curve. Hence marginal rule of pricing cannot be applied. E.W.
Clemens suggests a solution to this problem as third degree price discrimination under monopoly. As
a discriminating monopoly tries to maximize its revenue in all its markets so does a multi-product firm in
respect of each of its products.
Even the most specialized firms produce a commodity in multiple models, styles and sizes, each so much
differentiated from the other that each model or size, may be considered a different product.
For example:
Refrigerators 165 liters, 200 liters, 250 liters, single door model, two door model, bottom racks, top racks
models etc.
Television sets 14 inches, 20 inches, 21 inches, 25 inches, 27 inches, color - black & white, remote model,
without remote model, flat screen model, digital sound two speakers, four speakers, home theater
systems etc.
(4) Pricing Policies Based on Market Conditions:
(a) Perfect Competition:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 133


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

A firm can only sell its product at the market price and nothing above it. In the long run, for an efficient firm,
the sales price is just equal to the average cost. Normal profit is made. There is no excess profit.
(b) Monopoly:
Monopolies are almost always nationalized enterprises for which the criterion of maximization of profit is
not justifiable. In reality, a firm enjoys monopoly position only because it has succeeded in eliminating or
absorbing its competitors. It is therefore probable that, initially, it was better organized and more efficient.
The technical advantages which benefit large firms in certain branches of industry can also neutralize,
at least partly, the harmful effects of a monopoly. Finally, any defacto monopoly must be prepared
to defend itself, on the one hand, against the emergence of substitute competitors and, on the other,
against the competition of substitute products, which imposes a limitation on its profit realization.
In general, to prevent the entry of new firms, a monopolist must set entry-preventing prices, i.e., it should
hold prices at a level which will tend to discourage new firms from entering that particular branch of
industry. This presupposes an implicit estimation of production costs of possible competitors, and of the
profits which will be required to attract them.
On the contrary, in order to fight the competition of substitute products, a monopoly must establish its
price policy on the basis of a demand curve which will actually take those products into account. When
the uses of goods produced by a monopoly are many, the degree of monopoly can vary enormously
from one use to another. In case of coal, for instance, sales range from the industrial market- in which the
fuel oil competition is extremely active to blast furnace coke market in which coal enjoys a technical
monopoly.
So profit maximization demands that management collect more detailed econometric data in the
environment of monopoly, than in that of perfect competition.
(c) Temporary Monopoly:
This situation occurs more frequently. A firm invents a new product and places it on the market. For quite
some time the demand will remain low, as consumers are not yet aware of the product. The firm will
enjoy a de facto monopoly under the protection of its patents. Then, as the product enters into common
usage, demand develops rapidly. Additional firms try to enter the market. They develop new production
methods. Gradually, prices and production techniques tend to stabilize. So at the end, the market evolves
towards an ordinary competitive one.
A firm which invents a new product must determine a strategy relating to prices and production which
leads to a maximum effective income. Following J. Dean, we may consider two extreme cases: that of
skimming of demand and that of creating a demand market.
(d) Skimming Price Policy:
When the product is new but with a high degree of consumer acceptability, the firm may decide to
charge a high mark up and, therefore, charge a high price. The system of charging high prices for new
products is known as price skimming for the object is to skim the cream from the market. There are many
reasons for adopting a high mark-up and, therefore, high initial price:
i) The demand for the new product is relatively inelastic. The high prices will not stop the new consumers
from demanding the product. The new product, novelty, commands a better price. Above all, in the
initial stage, cross elasticity of demand is low.
ii) If life of the product promises to be a short one, the management may fix a high price so that it can
get as much profit as possible and, in as short a period as possible.
iii) Such an initially high price is also suitable if the firm can divide the market into different segments based
on different elasticities. The firm can introduce a cheaper model in the market with lower elasticity.
iv) High initial price may also be needed in those cases where there is heavy investment of capital and
when the costs of introducing a new product are high. The initial price of a transistor radio was ` 500 or
more (now ` 50 or even less).

134 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(e) Duopoly:
This is the case where there are only two firms in an industry. Each duopolist can choose his production
in such a way as to maximize his income for a given value of output. Each duopolist has no interest in
modifying his behaviour as long as the other does not modify this.
If both duopolists attempt to take one anothers reactions into account, the problem is no longer
predetermined. Duopoly is often characterized by instability. Duopolists eliminate their competitors through
price wars or through agreements. Duopolists can as sure themselves by cooperating, a total income
greater than the sum of the revenues that each can insure for himself by non- cooperative behaviour.
(f) Oligopoly:
In oligopolistic situations, entrepreneurs attempt to avoid price wars which are ruinous for the industry.
Being aware of the fact that their rivals can do the same, they refrain from seeking to increase their share
of the market through price cuts. As a result, oligopoly can attain a certain stability characterized by: a)
the price leadership of a firm, b) the reduction of hidden prices, and c) competition in fields other than
that of price (like promotion, packaging, etc.).
Now, about the lowering of hidden prices. It can assume various forms. It is contingent upon the customer,
upon the size of the order, upon the geographical area and the existence of inferior brands. This policy has
the advantage that it precedes adjustments of official prices and in this way contributes to the stability of
oligopolists.
Finally, non-price competition is a substitute for price competition. It is much less dangerous because its
effects are felt in the long run. So the possibilities of reactions from competition are more limited.
(g) Monopolistic competition:
In this type of market, price policies are extremely varied because of product differentiation. Each firm is
faced with a separate demand curve and a market price.
The Role of Demand in Pricing Decisions:
How a business firms buyers respond to a change in price is an important consideration, for the eventual effect
on sales volume and revenue is determined by the degree of buyers demand sensitivity to price changes.
However, price setters of ten miss the following four points:
1. Market Vs Firm Elasticity:
Price elasticity of demand is a measure of the degree to which buyers are sensitive to price changes. In
any market characterized by several functionally substitutable products, there are actually two demand
schedules: 1) demand for the general product (primary demand) and 2) demand for the firms specific
offering (secondary demand). In general, secondary demand is found to be more price elastic. But a seller
may sometimes mistake relatively inelastic market or primary demand as elastic secondary demand.
2. Demand for buyers Output:
The Market for buyers products may actually be price-elastic. So a reduction in price by a firm would raise
demand for its product. Hence, manufacturers selling to such buyers, and whose product represents a
significant portion of these buyers product costs may curtail sales opportunities by eliminating discounts or
low margin products.
3. Likelihood of Competitive Entry:
K.B. Monroe has pointed out that an emphasis on high-price strategies may encourage the entry of
competitors when entry barriers are minor and when demand is actually price-elastic. Moreover, high
prices or rapidly increasing prices may force buyers to reconsider their need and, perhaps, actively seek
out competitive substitutes.
4. Demand Consequences of a Product Line:
Most firms sell a wide variety of products requiring a variety of different marketing strategies. Within a
product line there are usually some products that are functional substitutes for each other and some
products that are functionally complementary. For example, a photographic product line includes such
items like cameras, films, flash bulbs, projectors, screens and other accessories. Because of the demand
interrelationships and because there are usually several price-market targets, the product line pricing
problem throws a major challenge before the marketing executives.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 135


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

Short Questions & Answers:


Q.1. The necessary condition for equilibrium position of a firm is:
A. MC > MR;
B. MC > Price;
C. MC = MR;
D. MC is falling;
E. MC = AC.
Answer:
E. MC = AC
Q.2. At the point of equilibrium of firm (under perfect competition):
A. MC curve must be rising;
B. MC curve must be falling;
C. MR curve must be rising;
D. None of these.
Answer:
A. MC curve must be rising
Q.3. Normal profit is:
A. Part of total cost;
B. Part of economic profit;
C. Total revenue minus total cost;
D. Total revenue minus implicit cost.
Answer:
A. Part of total cost
Q.4. Economic profit is:
A. Part of total cost;
B. Total revenue minus total cost;
C. Total revenue minus explicit cost;
D. Total variable cost minus total fixed cost.
Answer:
B. Total revenue minus total cost
Q.5. The basic goal of a firm is to:
A. Maximize revenues;
B. Maximize welfare of its employees;
C. Maximize profit;
D. Maximize output.
Answer:
C. Maximize profit
Q.6. A firm earns economic profit when total profit exceeds:

136 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


A. Normal profit;
B. Implicit costs;
C. Explicit costs;
D. Variable costs.
Answer:
A. Normal profit
Q.7. A firms total revenue is equal to:
A. Total quantity produced times marginal cost;
B. Total quantity produced times market price;
C. Marginal revenue times total quantity produced;
D. Market price divided by total quantity produced.
Answer:
B. Total quantity produced times market price.
Q.8. A firms marginal revenue is defined as:
A. The ratio of total revenue to total quantity produced;
B. The additional output produced by lowering price;
C. The additional revenue received due to technical innovation;
D. The additional revenue received when selling one more unit of output.
Answer:
D. The additional revenue received when selling one more unit of output.
Q.9. In order to maximize profits, a firm should produce at the output level for which:
A. Average cost is minimized;
B. Marginal revenue equals marginal cost;
C. Marginal cost is minimized;
D. Price minus average cost is as large as possible.
Answer:
B. Marginal revenue equals marginal cost.
Q.10. If a firm is a price taker, its marginal revenue is:
A. Equal to market price;
B. Less than market price;
C. Greater than market price;
D. A multiple of market price that may be either greater than or less than one.
Answer:
A. Equal to market price.
Q.11. Which of the following is a characteristic of a perfectly competitive market?
A. Firms are price setters;
B. There are few sellers in the market;
C. Firms can exit and enter the market freely;
D. All of these.
Answer:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 137


Economic Efficiency of the firm - Performance Analysis

C. Firms can exit and enter the market freely


Q.12. Which of the following is NOT a financial objective of pricing?
A. Corporate growth;
B. Return on investment;
C. Profit maximization;
D. None of these
Answer:
A. Corporate growth

State if the following statements are true or false:


Q.13. A monopoly is a market structure in which there is not only one producer/seller for a product.
Answer:
False.
Q.14. A perfectly competitive firm produces the profit- maximizing quantity of output that equates marginal
revenue and marginal cost.
Answer:
True.
Q.15. A monopolist can sell more of his output only at a lower price and can reduce the sale at a high price.
Answer:
False.
Q.16. In Monopolistic competition, pricing policies are extremely varied because of product differentiation.
Answer:
True.

Fill in the blanks:


Q.17. ______________ Price Policy is the system of charging high prices for new products to skim the cream from
the market.
Answer:
Skimming
Q.18. Dual pricing is a system in which there are ______________ prices for the same commodity at the same time.
Answer:
two
Q.19. The term administered prices was introduced by_________________.
Answer:
Keynes
Q.20. Sealed bid pricing method is more popular in ___________ and ________________.
Answer:
tenders, contracts

138 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Study Note - 4
ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT

This Study Note includes

4.1 Risk Management


4.2 Corporate Risk Management
4.3 Corporate Failure

4.1 RISK MANAGEMENT

Risk management has become the most important topic for banks in the recent years. Addressing risk management
in the context of current challenges is a complex matter and a function of appropriate policies, procedures and
culture. Risk management will be successful if the word risk is understood well and clearly.
Overview
Risk is perceived as probable adverse impact of an action. It has two components or factors viz. probability of
adverse impact of a threat and its impact of resource losses. Both these factors are taken together in assessing
risk. The probability factor is due to uncertainty (ignorance) of operation of the threat.
An enterprise may have internal and external threats. Changes in technology, demand, regulations as well as
competition are potential external threats. Stock-out of critical spares, labour unrest, unbalanced or bottlenecked
production capacity, etc are potential internal threats. Other common risks are catastrophe, war, riots, accidents,
etc (These are insurable and normally included in commercial contracts as forced measure situations). More the
time horizon considered, more is the risk. Some risks are statistically predictable
Strategies for managing risks involve analysis of strength, weakness, opportunity and threat (acronym SWOT). Such
analysis develop scenarios (options) for achieving the objectives. The best option is selected. In such selection,
pains in not bearing the risk is weighed against gains in bearing risk.
Risk is managed through one of the alternative strategies mentioned below :
risk avoidance e.g. avoiding rough weather in sailing.
risk minimization e.g. fire prevention arrangement.
risk sharing e.g. insurance, limited liability companies, diversification, outsourcing.
risk bearing i.e. accepting risk with preparations for contingencies. While above three strategies mitigates
losses, risk bearing alone gives rise to profits.
ISO has a specific series of standards for risk management. It is noteworthy that too much stress on risk management
may delay projects. Therefore, it is advisable to follow standard procedures for assessing risks as a part of planning,
using scientific techniques like analysis of industry history, business forecasting, scenario development, cause-
effect analysis, testing of hypothesis, etc.
Risk
According to Dowd (2005), Risk refers to the chance of financial losses due to random changes in underlying risk
factors.
A risk is a random event that may possibly occur and, if it did occur, would have a negative impact on the goals
of the organization. It is the probability of incurring loss due to unexpected and unfavorable movement of certain
parameters.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 139


Enterprise Risk Management

Risk is composed of three elements the scenario, its probability of occurrence, and the size of its impact if it did
occur (either a fixed value or a distribution). Risk is thus measured by volatility.
An opportunity is also a random variable which is the other side of the coin! But it has a positive impact on the
goals of the organization.
In the corporate world, accepting risks is necessary to obtain a competitive advantage and generate profit.
Introducing new product or expanding production facilities involves both return and risk. When a company is
exposed to an event that can cause a shortfall in a targeted financial measure or value, this is financial risk.
Types of RISK

Risk can be of the following types:


Political Risk: Political risk is defined as the possibility of a multinational company being significantly affected by
political events in a host country or a change in the political relationships between a host country and one or
more other countries. Political risk is the unwanted consequences of political activities that will have effect on the
value of the firm. The multinational companies which are making foreign direct investment must assess the political
risk, before any such investments are made. The political component in country risk can be subdivided into two
categories, internal political risk and external political risk. Internal political risk arises due to internal conflicts such
as racial/religious riots, rebellions, rural/separatist insurgency or political turmoil. Such activities tend to destabilize
the state, which will in turn result in delays or defaults in the repayment of loans. External political risk is exposure
to loss as a result of acts such as war or occupation by foreign powers, while a war may cause a delay in the
repayment of debts. Occupation of foreign power may result in default, as the new power may not reorganize
the debt obligations of the former Government. The possibility of such political upheaval needs to be carefully
evaluated by the lender before releasing funds to a foreign state.
Country Risk: The country risk is defined as exposure to a loss in offshore lending, caused by events in a particular
country, events which are, at least to some extent, under control of the Government but definitely not under the
control of a private enterprise or individual. Country risk is a broad concept encompassing sovereign, political as
well as other forms of risks like economic, social and external risks. Since country risk is the sum total of a number
of different types of risk, assessing country risk would mean the evaluation of each of these risks that contribute
towards it. The country risk is an all embracing term incorporating all types of risks a lender encounters in offshore
lending. Country risk means with reference foreign funding the possibility that a borrower will be unwilling or unable
to service its debt in a timely fashion - the risk from cross-border lending that arises from events to some degree
under the control of the Government of the borrowing country. Country risk is inherent with dealing of state
(sovereign risk) or any overseas business. The assessment of country risk, involves both qualitative and quantitative
analysis of political, social, economic and natural conditions in the country in which the borrower operates.
Economic Risk: Economic risk is concerned with the general economic climate within the country. Some of the
factors which reflect the economic climate of a country are:
(a) level of affluence enjoyed by the country.

140 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(b) the growth rate of income.
(c) the nations propensity to save/invest.
(d) the stability of prices (inflation).
(e) characteristics of the labour force.
(f) level of sophistication of the financial system.
(g) level of foreign debt outstanding.
(h) major income earners (exports) and their sensitivity to overall global economic changes.
(i) extent of dependence on major export items.
(j) trends in balance of payments.
(k) level of imports
(l) level of reserve and credit standing, and
(m) fluctuations of exchange rate and controls on foreign exchange.
Social Risk: Social risk refers to the possibilities of loss due to factors such as religious fanaticism, ethnic polarization,
dissatisfaction among the people as a result of wide disparity in income distribution, or regionalism. These
sociological problems eventually lead to riot and revolutions resulting in loss of lives and property. An economy
plagued by riots and revolutions will undoubtedly face problems in repaying its debts.
External Risk: The external risk component of country risk arises due to situations outside the country. For instance, if
the borrower nation is situated beside a country which is at war, the country risk ratios of the prospective borrower
will be higher than what will be the case if its neighbour is at peace. This difference in the risk rating is attributable
to external risk. Although the borrower nation may not be directly involved in the conflict, the chance of spillover
may exist.
Exchange Risk: Since the liability of the borrower of the foreign currency financing remains in the currency in
which the borrower obtains loan, so at the time of repayment the rupee liability is determined on the basis of
the exchange rate prevailing on the date of repayment. The exchange rate fluctuates widely with the passage
of time, so the borrower is subject to exposure to exchange rate fluctuations on the outstanding principal of the
foreign currency financing. Further if the borrowing is made at a floating rate of interest, there can be substantial
variations in the rate of interest with the passage of time, depends on the variations in the LIBOR.
Business Risk: A companys business risk is determined by how it invest its funds i.e., the type of projects which
it undertakes, while financial risk is determined by how it finances these investments. A companys competitive
position, the industries in which it operates, the companys market share, the rate of growth of the market and the
stage of maturity all influence business risk. Business risk relates to volatility of revenues and profits of a particular
company due to its market conditions, product mix, input availability, competitive market condition, labour supply
etc. The business risk may be due to external factors or internal conditions of a particular business firm. External
business risk arises due to change in operating conditions caused by conditions thrust upon the firm which are
beyond its control - such as business cycles, Governmental controls etc. Internal business risk is associated with the
efficiency with which a firm conducts its operations within the broader environment imposed upon it.
Financial Risk: Financial risk is primarily influenced by the level of financial gearing, interest cover, operating
leverage, and cash flow adequacy. The financial risk depends on the method of financing adopted by the
company. Financial risk is associated with the capital structure of a firm. A firm with no debt financing has no
financial risk. The extent of financial risk depends on the leverage of the firms capital structure. A highly geared
firm may face the problems like high cost of equity and debt funds, cash flow problems in servicing off debt
obligations, constraints on management control, fall in profits available to equity holders etc. The financial risk will
also arise due to short-term liquidity problems, shortage of working capital, inefficiency in collection of receivables,
bad debts, funds tied in excess inventories, long operating cycle etc.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 141


Enterprise Risk Management

Systematic Risk: Systematic risk refers to that part of total risk which causes the movement in individual stock price
due to changes in general stock market index. Systematic risk arises out of external and uncontrollable factors.
The price of individual security reflects the fluctuations and changes of general market. Systematic risk refers to
that portion of variation in return caused by factors that affect the price of all securities. The effect in systematic
risk causes the prices of all individual shares/bonds to move in the same direction. This movement is generally due
to the response to economic, social and political changes. The systematic risk cannot be avoided. It relates to
economic trends which affect the whole market. When the stock market is bullish, prices of all stocks indicate rising
trend and in the bearish market, the prices of all stocks will be falling. The systematic risk cannot be eliminated by
diversification of portfolio, because every share is influenced by the general market trend.
Unsystematic Risk: Unsystematic risk is that portion of total risk which results from known and controllable factors.
Unsystematic risk refers to that portion of the risk which is caused due to factors unique or related to a firm or
industry. The unsystematic risk is the change in the price of stocks due to the factors which are particular to the
stock. For example, if excise duty or customs duty on viscose fibre increases, the price of stocks of synthetic yarn
industry declines. The unsystematic risk can be eliminated or reduced by diversification of portfolio. Unsystematic
risks are those that are unique to a particular company or a particular investment, resulting downward movement
in the performance of one company can be offset by an uptrend movement in another and so much of this
unsystematic risk can be eliminated through diversification on the part of the shareholders when they hold a
portfolio of shares. The systematic risk attached to each of the security is same irrespective of any number of
securities in the portfolio. The total risk of portfolio is reduced, with increase in number of stocks, as a result of
decrease in the unsystematic risk distributed over number of stocks in the portfolio.
Market Risk: The market risk arises due to changes in demand and supply, expectations of the investors, information
flow, investors risk perception etc. Variations in price sparked off due to real social, political and economic events
are referred to as market risk.
Interest Rate Risk: The return on investment depends on the market rate of interest, which changes from time to
time. The cost of corporate debt depends on the interest rates prevailing, maturity periods, creditworthiness of
the borrowers, monetary and credit policy of the central bank, riskiness of the investments, expectations of the
investors etc. The uncertainty of future market values and the size of future incomes, caused by fluctuations in the
general level of interest are known as interest rate risk. Generally, price of securities tend to move inversely with
changes in the rate of interest.
Purchasing Power Risk: Uncertainties of purchasing power is referred to as risk due to inflation. If investment is
considered as consumption sacrificed, then a person, purchasing securities, foregoes the opportunity to buy some
goods or services for so long as he continues to hold the securities. In case, the prices of goods and services,
increases during this period, the investor actually loses purchasing power. The investors expected return will change
due to change in real value of returns. The risk in prices due to inflation will cause to rise in cost of production and
reduction in profit due to lower margins. The supply of money, monetary and fiscal policy of the Government will
cause the changes in inflation. The investors expectations will also change with the changes in levels of purchasing
power. The purchasing power risk is inherent in all securities, which is uncontrollable by the individual investors.
Default Risk: The default risk arises due to the default in meeting the financial obligations as and when due for
payment. The non-payment of interest and principal amounts in time will increase the risk of insolvency and
bankruptcy costs. The default risk or insolvency risk will cause a sudden dip in companys stock prices.
Liquidity Risk: It is that portion of an assets total variability of return which results from price discounts given or sales
commissions paid in order to sell the asset without delay. It is a situation wherein it may not be possible to sell the
asset. Assets are disposed off at great inconvenience and cost in terms of money and time. Any asset that can be
bought or sold quickly is said to be liquid. Failure to realize with minimum discount to its value of an asset is called
liquidity risk.
Callability Risk: It is that portion of securitys total variability of returns that derives from the possibility that the issue
may be called or redeemed before maturity. Callability risk commands a risk premium that comes in the form of a
slightly higher average rate of return. This additional return should increase as the risk increases.

142 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Convertibility Risk: It is that portion of the total variability of return from a convertible bond or a convertible preferred
stock that reflects the possibility that the investment may be converted into the issuers common stock at a time or
under terms harmful to the investors best interests.
Industry Risk: It is that portion of an investments total variability of return caused by events that affect the products
and firms that make upon industry, the stage of the industrys life cycle, international tariffs and/or quotas on the
product produced by an industry.
Currency Risk: These are associated with international investments not denominated in the home currency of the
portfolio managers beneficiaries. These risks involve the international payment of cash. Currency risks on a global
basis may be close to unsystematic, meaning that they are uncorrelated across economies and are not priced.
Operational Risk: Operational risk arises primarily due to deviation from planned normal functioning of system,
procedures, technology, human failure, omission or commission of errors. It also arises due to inherent fault in the
systems, procedures and technologies that affect the revenue of the organization adversely. As the activities
of the organization change due to globalization and integration, new factors are continuously influencing and
increasing the operational risk.
Definition of Risk Management
Risk management is the process of measuring or assessing risk and developing strategies to manage it. Risk
management is a systematic approach in identifying, analyzing and controlling areas or events with a potential
for causing unwanted change. It is through risk management that risks to any specific program are assessed
and systematically managed to reduce risk to an acceptable level. Risk management is the act or practice of
controlling risk. It includes risk planning, assessing risk areas, developing risk handling options, monitoring risks to
determine how risks have changed and documenting overall risk management program.
According to Deventer, Imai & Mesler (2005), it is the discipline which makes us appreciate the risks and returns
from various portfolio and transaction-level strategies. At portfolio level, CEO, Chief Risk Officer (CRO), RMD, ALCO
manages the risks in a Banking Institution. At transaction level, Trader, Swap dealer, loan officers manages the risk.
The risks from individual transactions might be diversified away at the portfolio or institution level.
Risk management is a systematic approach to setting the best course of action under uncertainty by identifying,
assessing, understanding, acting on and communicating risk issues. A Key ingredient of the risk measurement
process is the accuracy and quality of master data that goes into the computation of different aspects of risk.
It is no surprise therefore that Master Data Management is a key area. Risk management is first and foremost a
science and then an art. Given the appetite for risk, if one uses accurate and relevant data, reliable financial
models and best analytical tools, one can minimize risk and make the odds work in ones favour.
Risk Management process needs to identify measure and manage various risks so that comparison of risks and
returns is possible to set corporate strategies. Risk Management is the identification and evaluation of risks to an
organization including risks to its existence, profits and reputation (solvency) and the acceptance, elimination,
controlling or mitigation of the risks and the effects of the risks.
Risk Management framework need a common metric to rank return and potential losses from different portfolios
and risk categories.
Integrated risk management is a continuous, proactive and systematic process to understand, manage and
communicate risk from an organization-wide perspective. It is about making strategic decisions that contribute to
the achievement of an organizations overall corporate objectives.
Objectives of Risk Management
Risk management basically has the following objectives:
(a) Anticipating the uncertainty and the degree of uncertainty of the events not happening the way they are
planned.
(b) Channelizing events to happen the way they are planned.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 143


Enterprise Risk Management

(c) Setting right, at the earliest opportunity, deviations from plans, whenever they occur.
(d) Ensuring that the objective of the planned event is achieved by alternative means, when the means chosen
proves wrong, and
(e) In case the expected event is frustrated, making the damage minimal.
Risk Measurement
Evaluation of the likelihood and extent or magnitude of a risk is known as Risk Measurement. In other words, it can
be defined as a real valued function numerically representing an individual decision makers risk ordering on a
given set of alternatives. It quantified the amount of perceived risk. It provides fundamental support to decision
making within the insurance industry.
Risk Pooling
One of the forms of risk management mostly practiced by insurance companies is Risk Pool. Under this system,
insurance companies come together to form a pool, which can provide protection to insurance companies
against catastrophic risks such as floods, earthquakes etc. The term is also used to describe the pooling of similar
risks that underlies the concept of insurance. While risk pooling is necessary for insurance to work, not all risks can
be effectively pooled. In particular, it is difficult to pool dissimilar risks in a voluntary insurance market, unless there
is a subsidy available to encourage participation.
Risk pooling is an important concept in supply chain management. Risk pooling suggests that demand variability
is reduced if one aggregates demand across locations because as demand is aggregated across different
locations, it becomes more likely that high demand from one customer will be offset by low demand from another.
This reduction in variability allows a decrease in safety stock and therefore reduces average inventory.
The three critical points to risk pooling are:
(1) Centralized inventory saves safety stock and average inventory in the system.
(2) When demands from markets are negatively correlated, the higher the coefficient of variation, the greater the
benefit obtained from centralized systems i.e., the greater the benefit from risk pooling.
(3) The benefits from risk pooling depend directly on the relative market behaviour. If we compare two markets
and when demand from both markets is more or less than the average demand, we say that the demands from
the market are positively correlated. Thus the benefits derived from risk pooling decreases as the correlation
between demands from the two markets becomes more positive.
The basis for the concept of risk pooling is to share or reduce risks that no single member could absorb on their
own. Hence, risk pooling reduces a person or fims exposure to financial loss by spreading the risk among many
members or companies. Actuarial concepts used in risk pooling include:
(A) Statistical variation.
(B) The law of averages.
(C) The law of large numbers.
(D) The laws of probability.
Risk Reduction through Diversification
The important principle to consider that in an efficient capital market, investors should not hold all their eggs in one
basket; they should hold a well-diversified portfolio. In order to diversify risk for the creation of an efficient portfolio
(one that allows the firm to achieve the maximum return for a given level of risk or to minimize risk for a given
level of return), the concept of correlation must be understood. Correlation is a statistical measure that indicates
the relationship, if any, between series of numbers representing anything from cash flows to test data. If the two-
series move together, they are positively correlated; if the series move in opposite directions, they are negatively
correlated. The existence of perfectly correlated (especially negatively correlated) projects is quite rare. In order
to diversify project risk and thereby reduce the firms overall risk, the projects that are best combined or added to

144 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


the existing portfolio of projects are those that have a negative (or low positive) correlation with existing projects.

Reduction of Risk through Diversification


By combining negatively correlated projects, the overall variability of returns or risk can be reduced. It shows
that a portfolio is containing the negatively corrected projects A and B, both having the same expected return,
E, also has the return E, but less risk (i.e., less variability of return) than either of the projects taken separately. This
type of risk is sometimes described as diversifiable or alpha risk. The creation of a portfolio by combining two
perfectly correlated projects cannot reduce the portfolios overall risk below the risk of the least risky project,
while the creation of a portfolio combining two projects that are perfectly negatively correlated can reduce
the portfolios total risk to a level below that of either of the component projects, which in certain situations
may be zero. Combining projects with correlations falling between perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation
coefficient of +1) and perfect negative correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of -1), can therefore reduce the
overall risk of a portfolio.
Benefits of Diversification
The gains in risk reduction from portfolio diversification depend inversely upon the extent to which the returns on
securities in a portfolio are positively correlated. Ideally the securities should display negative correlation. This
implies that if a pair of securities has a negative correlation of returns, then in circumstances where one of the
securities is performing badly the other is likely to be doing well and vice versa in reverse circumstances. Therefore
the average return on holding the two securities is likely to be much safer than investing in one of them alone.
Total Loss Distribution
Probability distributions can be very useful tools for evaluating the expected frequency and/or severity of losses due
to identified risks. In risk management, two types of probability distribution are used: empirical and theoretical. To
form an empirical probability distribution, the risk manager actually observes the events that occur, as explained in
the previous section. To create a theoretical probability distribution, a mathematical formula is used. To effectively

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 145


Enterprise Risk Management

use such distributions, the risk manager must be reasonably confident that the distribution of the firms losses is
similar to the theoretical distribution chosen.
Three theoretical probability distributions that are widely used in risk management are: the binomial, normal, and
poisson.
Probability of Ruin
Ruin theory also known as collective risk theory, was actually developed by the insurance industry for studying the
insurers vulnerability to insolvency using mathematical modeling. It is based on the derivation of many ruin-related
measures and quantities and specifically includes the probability of ultimate ruin. This can be also related to the
sphere of applied probability as the techniques used in the ruin theory as fundamentally arising out of stochastic
processes. Many problems in ruin theory relate to real-life actuarial studies but the mathematical aspects of ruin
theory have really been of interest to actuarial scientists and other business research people.
Normally an insurers surplus has been computed as the net of two opposing cash flows, namely, cash inflow of
premium income collected continuously at the rate of c and the cash outflow due to a series of insurance claims
that are mutually independent and identically distributed with a common distribution function P(y). The path
of the series of claims is assumed to respond to a Poisson process with intensity ratewhich would mean that
the number of claims received N(t) at a time frame of t is controlled by a Poisson distribution with a mean t .
Therefore, the insurers surplus at any time t is represented by the following-formula:
N(t)
X(t) = x + ct - Yi
i =0
where, the business of the insurer starts with an initial level of surplus capital. X(0) = x under probability measure as
explained in the previous paragraph.
Towards the end of the 20th century, Garbur and Shiu introduced the concept of the expected discounted
penalty function derived from the probability of ultimate ruin. This concept was utilized to gauge the behaviour of
insurers surplus using the following formula:
x T
m(x) = E [e KT ]
where, is the discounting force of interest, K is a general penalty function representing the economic costs of
the insurer at the time of ruin and the expectation relates to the probability measure. Quite a few ruin-related
quantities fall into the category of the expected discounted penalty function.
In short, this theory of the probability of ruin is applied in the case of risk of insolvency of a company with diversified
business activity. For the purpose of study, resources between diversified activities are allowed to be transferred
and are limited by costs of transaction. Terminal insolvency happens when capital transfers between the business
lines are not able to compensate the negative positions. Actuarial calculations are involved in the determination
of ultimate ruin as discussed.
Risk Analysis - Risk Mapping and Key Risk Indicator
Risk analysis is a procedure to identify threats & vulnerabilities, analyze them to ascertain the exposures, and
highlight how the impact can be eliminated or reduced. In other words, risk analysis refers to the uncertainty
of forecasted future cash flows streams, variance of portfolio/stock returns, statistical analysis to determine the
probability of a projects success or failure, and possible future economic states. Risk analysts often work in tandem
with forecasting professionals to minimize future negative unforseen effects.
Risk Mapping
Risk mapping is the first step in operational risk measurement, since it requires identifying all potential risks to which
the bank is exposed and then pointing out those on which attention and monitoring should be focused given their
current or potential future relevance for the bank. while the risk mapping process is sometimes identified with the
usual classification of operational risks in a simple frequency/ severity matrix, what is really needed to map banks
internal processes in order to understand what could go wrong, where, and why, to set the basis for assessing
potential frequency and the severity of potential operational events, and to define a set of indicators that can
anticipate problems based on the evolution of the external and internal environments. Careful risk mapping is an

146 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


important as a first step for operational risk measurement as it is for the audit process, when potential pitfalls have
to be identified in advance and properly eliminated or at least monitored. risk mapping should start from process
mapping and from identifying critical risks in each process phase, linked either to key people, to systems, to
interdependencies with external players, or to any other resource involved in the process. Subsequently, potential
effects of errors, failures or improper behavior should be analyzed. This may also lead to identifying priorities in
terms of control actions. Of course, special care should be given to high-severity risks, even if they appear unlikely
to occur.
Risks are unanticipated events that may affect the organizations ability to meet its key objectives. These could
consist of unfavorable situations or missed opportunities. As such, a clear and effective understanding of the major
risks is a key driver for organizational success.
Risk mapping is the process of identifying, quantifying and prioritizing the risks that may interfere with the
achievement of your organizational objectives.
Its aim is to arrive at a clear set of action plans that improve risk management controls, in areas where these are
necessary and help the management of the organizations direct resources.
Risk Mapping Defined
A risk map is a graphical depiction of a select number of a companys risks designed to (1) illustrate the impact
or significance of risk on one axis, and (2) the likelihood or frequency on the other axis. Many types and variations
of risk maps exist. For example, the axes can vary (impact and likelihood on different axes), the scales can vary,
and some are even three-dimensional. The following example in the below Figure 1illustrates a typical risk map.

This risk map depicts likelihood or frequency on the vertical axis, and impact or significance on the horizontal axis.
In this configuration, similar to that of a mathematical distribution curve, likelihood increases as you move up the
vertical axis, and impact increases from left to right.
The points on the profile represent risks that have been categorized into four impact categories and six likelihood
categories. The categories simplify the prioritization process by forcing placement of each risk into a particular
box showing its position relative to the others. The stepped line is the Critical Issue Tolerance Boundary. Scenarios
or risks above this boundary are considered intolerable and require immediate attention, while risks below the
boundary do not require immediate attention.
The methodologies used to develop risk maps are as varied as the different risk map types. We will summarize one
such process.
Risk Mapping Process
The risk mapping process is part of a systematic, comprehensive methodology to identify, prioritize, and quantify
(at a macro level) risks to an organization. This example of the mapping process is taken from the Zurich IC process

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 147


Enterprise Risk Management

(See Notes at the end of this paragraph). Other methods of capturing information include structured interviews,
surveys (written and electronic) or a combination of these. Individual client characteristics and needs dictate the
appropriate method of data collection.
[Note : Operational risks are classified in Zurich IC2 as (1) People risk (human errors, accidents & personal injuries,
frauds, etc) (2) Process risk (faulty business process, incorrect working method, etc) (3) Relationship risk (loopholes
in contracts rousing disputes/ damages, statutory violations entailing penalties, etc) (4) Technology risk (obsolete
plant, unreliable machineries, software bugs/ virus, etc) (5) External risk (disaster, riots, wars, etc). It is possible for
any of the above risks to migrate into the other. We will see later Basel Accord scheme which also offers another
method of risk classification. Suffice here to note that such classification can be linked to Zurich IC2 classification].
We will describe the facilitation risk profiling process by highlighting the major elements. These include the workshop,
scope, team composition, time horizon, scenario development and categorization, tolerance boundary, profile
development, action plan, process and technology transfer, and quantification and modeling.
Scope
The scope of the exercise is determined at the beginning of the analysis to specify the areas of the business
considered. The scope provides the parameters for the analysis. Scope is often defined as identifying, prioritizing,
and understanding risks and impediments to achieving corporate and strategic objectives. The scope can be
as broad or as narrow as desired; however, a balance exists between the breadth of scope and the value of
information derived from the risk mapping process. For example, the value of one risk map for a multi-billion dollar
firm would be significantly less than one risk map for each division or business unit of that company. We will address
different scope options later in this article.
Benefits of Risk Mapping
Promotes awareness of significant risks through priority ranking, facilitating the efficient planning of resources.
Enables the delivery of solutions and services across the entire risk management value chain.
Serves as a powerful aid to strategic business planning.
Aids the development of an action plan for the effective management of significant risks.
Assigns clear responsibilities to individuals for the management of particular risk areas.
Provides an opportunity to leverage risk management as a competitive advantage.
Facilitates the development of a strategic approach to insurance programme design.
Supports the design of the clients risk financing and insurance programmes, through the development of
effective/optimal retention levels and scope of coverage etc.
Key Risk Indicator
Key risk indicators come out as the result of the mapping process and should be used to provide anticipatory
signals that can be useful for both operational risk prevention and measurement. In particular, they should provide
early warning signals to anticipate the most critical operational events, and they may also be partly derived from
the experience of audit departments defining potential risk scores for different business units as a tool for defining
priorities in their audit action plan.

1. The definition of the operational events that should be captured by the data base.
2. The minimum threshold of loss to be recorded
3. The classification criteria that should be applied to operational events

148 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


4. The way in which loss should be recorded
5. The architecture of the loss collection process
6. The policies concerning operational events internal disclosure.
A manufacturing enterprise may assess risks of operational losses by reviewing its competitiveness in regard to
technology adopted, competitors strengths, etc. Key indicators should build up early signals of deficiencies
through information system interfacing between enterprises changing environment and its adaptive organization.
Such indicators may include the following :
Market performance, customers feedback/complaints & competitors performance
Orders-in-hand and inventory
Input-output performance
Cycle-times (e.g. work cycle times of different activities in value-chain, order-to-delivery cycles in purchases &
sales, etc)
Suppliers performance (in terms of delivery & quality compliance)
Plant utilization (% usage of different machineries)
Cost per unit of product/ service.
Financial ratios (ROI, product profitability, capital turnover rate, liquidity ratio, debt-equity ratio, etc).
For banks, they should first decide whether to adopt a stricter definition of operational losses or whether also
to record other kinds of events that might be relevant for internal operational risk management purposes. One
example is represented by credit losses deriving from operational errors (e.g. missing documentation, making it
impossible to take advantage of collateral in a case of default, or human error in handling a loan review process,
resulting in missing the chance to take appropriate actions to reduce exposure with a borrower that will eventually
default). According to Basel Committee 2006a those losses are already taken into consideration under credit
risk MRCR, and hence, correctly, they should be excluded from the operational risk loss data base to prevent
double counting. Yet measuring the frequency and severity of these events may be useful for internal purposes, to
understand the relevance of the phenomenon and to support remedial actions.
The second issue is to whether also to record the so-called near misses, i.e. those events that might have provoked
operational losses even if they (luckily) did not. an example of a near miss is a mistake in recording a trading deal
that generated an accidental gain instead of loss. while the severity of such events is clearly zero, their frequency
and type may be relevant for providing further data about what could have happened and as useful signals to
business line managers who should take these events as a relevant warning signal. Cases of operational error
implying faulty profit allocation across business units (e.g. due to an incorrect internal deal transcription, which did
not affect overall bank profit) could be placed in this category. A bank may therefore adopt a broader definition
of operational event than Basel II suggests, while it should still use a subset of data only when estimating AMA-
compliant operational risk capita
The threshold over which losses should be recorded ( with potential exception of near misses) is a particularly
critical choice for risk quantification. Intuitively, if the threshold were too high, only a relatively limited number of
medium- to high-impact events would be recorded, provided a weaker base for estimating the frequency and
severity of all operational events. A lower threshold allows one to model operational risk severity and frequency
better but also implies higher collection costs. moreover, lower threshold require greater effort to enforce the rules
of the loss collection process at the bankwide level. in fact, larger operational losses cannot clearly be either
hidden or forgotten. yet, as the threshold decreases, the risk of incomplete reporting of operational loss in some
business units increases, and great care is required to avoid alterations of data quality( with the likely effect of
underestimating frequency and overestimating average severity of losses).

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 149


Enterprise Risk Management

4.2 CORPORATE RISK MANAGEMENT

Corporate Risk Management works to ensure the safety of the business, guarding it from risk of injury or financial
loss. It helps to optimize risk taking of an organization.
Enterprise Risk Management
The Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) is defined as a process, effected by an entitys board of directors,
management and other personnel, applied in strategy setting and across the enterprise, designed to identify
potential events that may affect the entity, and mange risk to be within its risk appetite, to provide reasonable
assurance regarding the achievement of entity objectives.
From the above definition, ERM is:
(a) A process, ongoing and following through an entity.
(b) Effected by people at every level of an organization.
(c) Applied in strategy-setting.
(d) Applied across the enterprise, at every level and unit, and includes taking an entity-level portfolio view of risk.
(e) Designed to identify potential events affecting the entity and manage risk within its risk appetite.
(f) Able to provide reasonable assurance to an entitys management and board.
(g) Geared to the achievement of objectives in one or more separate but overlapping categories.
ERM is about designing and implementing capabilities for managing the risks that matter. The greater the gaps in
the current state and the desired future state of the organizations risk management capabilities, the greater the
need for ERM infrastructure to facilitate the advancement of risk management capabilities overtime. ERM is about
establishing the oversight, control and discipline to drive continuous improvement of an entitys risk management
capabilities in a changing operating environment.
ERM deals with risk and opportunities affecting value creation or preservation. ERM is a comprehensive and
integrated approach to addressing corporate risk. ERM enables management to effectively deal with uncertainty
and associated risk and opportunity, enhancing the capacity to build value. In ERM, a risk is defined as a possible
event or circumstance that can have negative influences on the enterprise in question. Its impact can be on the
very existence, the resources (human and capital), the products and services, or the customers of the enterprise,
as well as external impacts on society, markets or the environment.
Need for Implementation of ERM
ERM needs to be implemented for the following reasons:
(a) Reduce unacceptable performance variability.
(b) Align and integrate varying views of risk management.
(c) Build confidence of investment community and stakeholders.
(d) Enhance corporate governance.
(e) Successfully respond to a changing business environment.
(f) Align strategy and corporate culture.
Traditional risk management approaches are focused on protecting the tangible assets reported on a companys
Balance Sheet and the related contractual rights and obligations. The emphasis of ERM, however, is on enhancing
business strategy. The scope and application of ERM is much broader than protecting physical and financial
assets. With an ERM approach, the scope of risk management is enterprise-wide and the application of risk
management is targeted to enhancing as well as protecting the unique combination of tangible and intangible
assets comprising the organizations business model.

150 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


ERM Process: Developing a More Risk Aware Culture
Establishing a Risk culture has become a fundamental building block of good enterprise risk management
(ERM) practices. Managements actions, as well as consistent, ongoing communication around ethics and risk
management, are the first steps in instilling such a culture.
Essence of ERM
For monitoring the performance of an organization with respect to corporate objectives, it is imperative to form
control mechanisms that enable the identification of risks and which meet the predefined objectives. The COSO
framework is based on 2004 publication on Enterprise Risk Management Integrated framework is a very standard
and popular framework through which companies should be regulated and measured.
COSO ERM Framework
The ERM framework by the Commission of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO) provides
a more disciplined and consistent standard against which to implement and assess a companys ERM program.
ERM provides a more holistic approach that enables the alignment of the organizations strategies and operational
and compliance processes across the entire company for managing all the key business risks and opportunities
with the goal of maximizing value for the entire enterprise.
ERM is a process-based approach where the various components interact as part of an on-going, iterative process.
COSO represents these relationships in a three dimensional cube:
Objectives which are what the company wants to achieve whether strategic, operations, reporting and/or
compliance.
Internal Environment components which represent what is needed to achieve the objectives. This is also called risk
culture of an organization
Entity Level which represent the various units of the company.
Many have measured ERMs value in qualitative, softer terms enhanced risk identification and prioritization, a
common risk language, improved risk and controls optimization, better risk monitoring and reporting, and stronger
risk governance and culture.
Similarly, estimating earnings variability can be feasibly undertaken both before and after ERM risk mitigation
activities to demonstrate the impact and value of the ERM program. Applying a risk lens and risk metrics to a
business opportunity is also likely to result in improved investment decisions. ERM can assist in identifying areas of
the business that would benefit from investment.
Chart: Enterprise Risk Management Framework of COSO

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 151


Enterprise Risk Management

Risk Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) metric helps banks/FIIs to make better decisions when approving,
structuring, and pricing deals.
Risk Retention
This denotes acceptance of the loss or benefit arising out of a risk when it takes place. In short, it is also termed as
self insurance. This strategy is viable when the risks are small enough to be transferred at a cost that may be higher
than the loss arising out of the risk itself. On the other hand, the risk can be so big that it cannot be transferred or
insured. Such risks will have to be phased out when the eventuality occurs. War is an example as also are Acts of
God such as earthquakes and floods. The reasons for risk retention can be cited as follows:
(1) Non-insurable business risks are borne for appropriate returns. It is well known a proverb that no risk, no gain.
If everything is predictable to mathematical precision, profits would not have arisen. But business is not a blind
speculation. It involves vision to foresee future situations, strategies for keeping ahead of competition (in some
way or the other) and finally, leadership for translating envisioned strategies into actions and results.
(2) Sometimes, such risks are so small that they are ignored and/or phased out when they surface.
(3) This method is also useful when the probability of occurrence is very low and a reserve built within the system
over a period can take care of such losses arising out of risk retention. This is normally resorted to in businesses
against credit risks that are inherent due to marketing on credit basis.
(4) In some cases, the subject, who is susceptible to risk, also becomes fully aware of the nature of risk.
In these situations, there is a certain amount of preparedness in the system due to risk retention.
Certain guidelines relating to risk retention should be followed:
(1) Determine the risk retention level through proper estimation of risk using sales projections, cash flows, contracts,
liquidated damages, and guarantees.
(2) Though there is no precise formula for estimation of risks to be retained, statistical averages of such losses over
a period of time give an indication to estimate such losses. For instance, bad debts occurring over a period of
time are taken into consideration as an estimate to create a reserve for doubtful debts.
(3) It is also necessary to ascertain the capacity for funding a loss arising out of retained risk that is the measure for
transferring the risk beyond that level.
Risk retention as an exercise and a strategy is attempted mainly in the case of operational risk in business.
Risk Reduction
Risk reduction or optimization aims at reduction in the severity of laws or the probability that laws may not be
passed. While risks can be helpful or harmful, optimization leads to a balance between negative risk and the
advantages of the operation. Risk reduction can also be termed as mitigation that would include all measures
taken to reduce the effect of the hazard itself as well as the vulnerable conditions leading to the hazard. Risk
reduction also includes steps to mitigate physical, economic, and social vulnerability.
The mitigation carried out is such that there should be an ultimate reduction in the loss due to a hazard. Sometimes
certain steps taken to mitigate a hazard may turn out to be more damaging, as in the case of certain fire suppression
systems. The cost of such steps is so prohibitive that the losses cannot be reduced intrinsically. Outsourcing can
be considered an act of risk reduction if the vendor has the expertise and a higher capability in mitigating risk.
For example, demolition of an old, risky, high-rise building could be outsourced to an expert vendor who could
implode the building without causing any damage to the environment or people.
Risk mitigation also implies a certain extent of preparedness on the part of the risk bearer because he is aware of the
risk. This helps identify the parameters that lead to the disaster and mitigate parameters ahead of the eventuality,
thus reducing the risk. Studies based on HAZOP are known to help factories develop sufficient preparedness in
case of a hazard or explosion. It is sometimes known as failsafe activity. For example, the introduction of a
rupture disc in the pressure equipment as a failsafe against excessive pressure buildup. The rupture disc saves the
equipment when the actual risk takes place by blowing out the contents or by reducing the pressure.

152 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


In case of physical disasters, detailed disaster management preparedness is a plan for mitigation. These mitigation
measures can be either structural or non-structural and can also be described as passive or active. The passive
approach can be code of conduct and training to personnel who may have to face a risk while active measures
actually rely on providing incentives for disaster reduction.
Mitigation embraces all measures taken to reduce both the effect of the hazard itself and the conditions vulnerable
to it, in order to reduce the scale of a future disaster and its impacts. Mitigation also includes measures aimed at
reducing physical, economic, and social vulnerability. Therefore, mitigation may incorporate community-related
issues such as land ownership distribution. Depending on their purpose, mitigation measures can be categorized
as structural or non-structural.
Both structural and non-structural mitigation measures may be termed either passive or active. Active measures
are those that rely on providing incentives for disaster reduction. They are often more effective than passive
measures, which are based on laws and controls. For example, while codes and land use planning may provide
a legal context for mitigation, they are ineffective unless rigorously enforced. Instead, measures that provide
incentives such as Government grants or subsidies, reduction in insurance premiums for safer construction and
provision of Government technical advice are more effective. Structural mitigation measures relate to those
activities and decision making systems that provide the context within which disaster management and planning
operates. They are organized and include measures such as preparation of preparedness plans, training and
education, public education, evacuation planning, institution building, warning systems, and land use planning.
The existence of a disaster-preparedness plan is the foremost step of importance. Distraught officials have at
hand a set of instructions that they can follow to issue directions to their subordinates and affected people. This
speeds up the rescue and relief operations and boosts the morale of victims. Disaster plans are also useful for pre-
disaster operations, when warnings have been issued. Time, which might otherwise be lost in consultations with
senior officers and getting formal approval, is saved. Response plans are formulated by different agencies that
need to co-ordinate during emergencies. For example, the electricity board would be responsible for preparing
an action plan, which would be used following a disaster event to restore full services quickly. A Contingency
Action Plan (CAP) already exists at the national level that lists out in detail the actions to be taken in various levels
of Government at the time of calamity. There is, however, a need to carry out a comprehensive revision of CAP
followed by clear-cut operational guidelines. Recently, a high power committee has been established to prepare
a disaster management plant at central/state and district levels.
Mitigation strategy
The plans recognize the fact that effective community involvement and public awareness can largely minimize
the impact or disasters. The community-based mitigation strategy strengthens and stabilizes the efforts of the
administration. The focus is on community capacity building including formation of Community Emergency
Response Teams (CERT).
Mitigation strategy also focuses on micro-risk assessment and vulnerability analysis including hazard mapping,
applied research and technology transfer to improve the quality of forecast and disseminate warnings quickly. It
also highlights the need for a disaster management legislation and relief and rehabilitation policy that would define
specific roles and responsibilities as well as set-up permanent administrative structures and institutional mechanisms
for disaster management. The importance of land use planning and regulations for sustainable development,
which include development and implementation of building codes, serve as a guideline to managing disaster.
Structural and non- structural measures, given in the mitigation strategy document, are used to avoid damages
during disasters.
Training strategy
Training of the key community and social functionaries is an essential element for the successful execution of a
Disaster Management Action Plan. The DMAP cannot be fully operationalized without keeping in mind a training
strategy, manuals for warning and evacuation, and the roles of the Emergency Operations Center (EOC), and
District Control Room (DCR). The manuals list the tasks to be undertaken by the responsible branch authority.
Information on important contact persons and emergency officials is also provided in the manual. The state and
the district plans specify guidelines for the community as well as NGOs and local community based organizations
in the advent of any disaster.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 153


Enterprise Risk Management

Community-based preparedness strategy


For calculated response in case of a disaster, a plan for community preparedness is essential. The plan must
incorporate the following points:
Clearly perceived vision of hazards and developed hazard profile of the community and its neighbourhoods.
Assessment of risk and its vulnerability.
Identification of individual and community resources.
Must be clear and simple, specific in details, define duties and responsibilities of each member, ear-mark
various escape roots, and locate shelter sites.
Written as a simple concise checklist so that one does not have to refer to it in depth when emergency arises.
The Panchayat/local body/local community forms resilient focal communities or target groups.
This, however, is possible only with the concerted efforts and conscious policy at top level of administration.
Geographic Information System (GIS)
Disaster planning involves predicting the risk of natural hazard and possible impact. The use of GIS can be
successfully made in communication, risk and vulnerability assessment, study of loss patterns, and searches. Hazard
maps could be created for cities, districts, states or even for the entire country. Such maps prove helpful for analysis
and determination of hazard zones and for the likely effects during disasters. The maps can be successfully used
in establishing response priorities, developing actions plans, quickly assessing disaster location, carrying out search
and rescue operations effectively, and zoning operations accordingly to risk magnitudes, population details, and
assets at risk. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and remote sensing facilitate record-keeping and obtainment
of status or ongoing works that are the most critical task for disaster management.
Value at Risk
Value at Risk (VaR) is one of the popular methods of measuring financial risks. There are different types of VaR
long-term VaR, marginal VaR, factor VaR, and shock VaR. VaR is also defined as the threshold value such that
the probability of a portfolio making a market to a market loss over a specific time horizon exceeds this value. For
example, if a portfolio stock has a one day 3 per cent VaR of `10 million, there is 0.03 probability that the portfolio
may face a reduction in value by more than `10 million over a specific time period. This is on assuming that normal
market operations and there is no trading. A loss which exceeds VaR threshold is known as VaR break. VaR
has applications in financial risk management, risk measurement, control and reporting. It can also be used in
calculating regulatory capital.
VaR essentially identifies the boundary between normal days and extreme occurrences. The probability level is
specified as 1 minus probability of a VaR Break. Normally VaR parameters are 1 per cent and 5 per cent probabilities
and 1 day and 2 week horizons. While VaR represents loss, a negative VaR would indicate that a portfolio has a
high probability for making profits.
There are two types of VaRone is applied primarily in risk management and the other in risk measurement. For
a manager who is managing financial risk, VaR is essentially a system and not just a number as it runs periodically
and is compared with the movement of computed prices in opening positions over the particular time horizon.
An interesting application of VaR is the governance of endowments, trusts and pension plans. VaR utilized for this
purpose is to monitor risk.
VaR has the advantage of a structured methodology for critically analysing a risk that is available as part of
management function. Daily publication of a number on time and with particular statistical data enables an
organization to maintain a high objective standard. However, robust backup systems and assumptions regarding
default need to be established. A quotation runs thus, risk taking institution that does not compute VaR might
escape disaster but an institution that cannot compute VaR will not according to Aaaron Brown.
Another advantage of VaR is that it differentiates risks into two regimes, that is, normal days and extreme
occurrences. Inside the VaR limit, application of the conventional statistical methods is reliable. Out VaR limit risk

154 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


should be analyzed with stress testing on the basis of data available on the long-term and in the broad market.
Distribution losses beyond VaR point are both impossible and useless. As such the finance manager should
concentrate on developing plans to limit the loss if possible or to survive the loss.
VaR as a risk measurement is usually reported with other risk measurements such as standard deviation, expected
shortfall, partial derivatives of portfolio value, etc.
Application of VaR is to segregate extreme occurrences in a systematic way. They can be studied over the long-
term in a qualitative manner on the basis of day-to-day movement of prices, both quantitatively and qualitatively.
As VaR can at best be utilized to define risk as a market to market loss on a fixed portfolio over a fixed time horizon
in normal markets, it is not useful in abnormal situations.
There has been criticism against VaR. It is said that this concept has led to excessive risk taking and leveraging by
financial institutions. Again VaR is not sub-additive which means that VaR of a combined portfolio can be larger
than the sum of the VaRs of its components.
Introduction to Capital Adequacy Norms in Banking Industry [Evolution of Basel Regime]
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, after an extensive consultation process, redrafted its recommendations
for credit institutions regulatory capital requirements (Basel I) issued in 1988. The revision was motivated by the wish
to adequately reflect current developments in banking and to strengthen the stability of the international financial
system. On November 15, 2005, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision presented the revised version of the
Basel II Capital Accords framework agreement, initially released under the title International Convergence of
Capital Measurement and Capital Requirements on June 26, 2004. The major difference between this document
and the Basel I framework, which merely imposed minimum capital requirements on credit institutions, is that Basel
II foresees also a supervisory reviewing process (Pillar 2) and broader disclosure obligations (Pillar 3).
Basel-I
As on date the provisions of Basel Accord of 1988 has undergone a number of changes made year after year.
Though Basel II accord has become operational some of the covenants of Basel I (1988) are still relevant. Under
the 1988 accord, Banks and security firms have been given different treatment. In the ensuing paragraphs we will
focus on these developments.
The Basel Accord (BASEL I)
In 1988, the Basel Committee published a set of minimal capital requirements for banks. These became law in G-10
countries in 1992, with Japanese banks being permitted an extended transition period. The requirements have
come to be known as the 1988 Basel Accord.
What is a Bank for the purpose of Basel accord: To understand the scope of the 1988 accord, we need to clarify
what we mean by `bank. This is because, some jurisdictions distinguished between banks and securities firms, and
the Basel accord (Basel I) applied only to the former.
Commercial Banks and Universal Banks - Glass Steagal Act, USA (1933-1999)
Under its Glass-Steagal Act, the United States had quite some time back made a distinction between commercial
banks and securities firms (investment banks or broker-dealers). Following World War II, Japan adopted a similar
legal distinction. The United Kingdom also distinguished between banks and securities firms, although this was
more a matter of custom than law. By comparison, Germany had a tradition of universal banking, which made
no distinction between banks and securities firms. Under German law, securities firms were banks and a single
regulatory authority oversaw banks. France and the Scandinavian countries had similar regimes. The USA revoked
the Glass Steagal Act in 1999.
Exclusive Focus on Credit Risk during 1988-1998
The 1988 Basel Accord -Basel I- primarily addressed banking in the sense of deposit taking and lending (commercial
banking under US law), so its focus was credit risk. Under this dispensation, bank assets were assigned `risk weights.
Generally, G-10 government debt was weighted 0 per cent, G-10 bank debt was weighted 20 per cent, and other
debt was weighted 100 per cent. Following this the Government of India Securities were assigned zero risk weight.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 155


Enterprise Risk Management

Having assigned and aggregated the risk, Banks were required to hold capital equal to 8 per cent of the risk
weighted value of assets. Additional rules applied to contingent obligations, such as letters of credit or derivatives.
Market Risk - Recognition of the Need for Capital - Amendment of Basel I In 1996
With banks increasingly taking market risks, in the early 1990s, the Basel Committee decided to update the 1988
accord to include bank capital requirements for market risk. This would have implications for non-bank securities
firms. Any capital requirements the Basel Committee adopted for banks market risk where to be incorporated
into future updates of Europes Capital Adequacy Directive (CAD) and thereby apply to Britains non-bank
securities firms. If the same framework were extended to non-bank securities firms outside Europe, then market risk
capital requirements for banks, and, securities firms could be harmonized globally. In 1991, the Basel Committee
entered discussions with the International Organization of Securities Commissions ( TOSCO) to jointly develop such
a framework. The two organizations formed a technical committee, and work commenced in January 1992.
Commercial Banks & Securities Firms - Universal Banks
Glass Steagal Act revocation in 1999 by USA: Historically, capital requirements for banks and securities firms had
served different purposes.
Banks
Banks were primarily exposed to credit risk. They often held illiquid portfolios of loans supported by deposits. Such
loans could be liquidated rapidly only at fire sale prices. This placed banks at risk of runs. If depositors feared
that a bank might fail, they would withdraw their deposits. Forced to liquidate its loan portfolio, the bank would
succumb to staggering losses on those sales.
Though Deposit insurance and lender-of-last-resort provisions implemented eliminated the risk of bank runs, they
introduced a new problem. Depositors no longer had an incentive to consider a banks financial viability before
depositing funds. Without such marketplace discipline, regulators were forced to intervene often at huge cost to
the exchequer. One solution was to impose minimum capital requirements on banks. Because of the high cost of
liquidating a bank, such requirements were generally based upon the value of a bank as a going concern.
Securities Firms
The primary objective behind stipulation of capital requirements for securities firms was to protect clients who
might have funds or securities on deposit with a firm. Securities firms were primarily exposed to market risk. They
held liquid portfolios of marketable securities supported by secured financing such as repos. A troubled firms
portfolio could be unwound quickly at market prices. For this reason, capital requirements were based upon the
liquidation value of a firm.
Capital for Banks & Securities Firms
In a nutshell, banks entailed systemic risk. It was thought then that Securities firms did not. Regulators would strive to
keep a troubled bank afloat but would gladly unwind a troubled securities firm. Banks needed long-term capital
in the form of equity or long-term subordinated debt. Securities firms could operate with more transient capital,
including short-term subordinated debt.
Segregation of Banking Book & Trading Book for Holding Capital
In April 1993, the Basel Committee released a package of proposed amendments to the 1988 accord. This included
a document proposing minimum capital requirements for banks market risk.
Banks would be required to identify a trading book and hold capital for market risk under trading book and
organization-wide foreign exchange exposures.
Capital charges for the trading book would be based upon a crude value-at-risk (VaR) measure broadly
consistent with a 10-day 95 per cent VaR metric. Similar to a VaR measure used by Europes CAD, this partially
recognized hedging effects but ignored diversification effects.
Later VaR measure was changed modestly from the 1993 proposal, still reflecting a 10-day 95 per cent VaR
metric. Market risk capital requirements were set equal to the greater of either the previous days VaR, or the
average VaR over the previous six days, multiplied by 3.

156 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Banks to have independent risk management function and satisfy the regulator regarding its risk management
practices.
The Basel Committees new proposal was adopted in 1996 as an amendment to the 1988 accord. It is known as
the 1996 amendment. It went into effect in 1998.
The Basel Committee published a set of minimal capital requirements for banks and distinguished between banks
and securities firms. Bank assets were assigned `risk weights. The primary purpose of capital requirements for
securities firms was to protect clients who might have funds or securities on deposit with a firm.
Basel II:
Broadly speaking, the objectives of Basel II are to encourage better and more systematic risk management
practices, especially in the area of credit risk, and to provide improved measures of capital adequacy for the
benefit of supervisors and the marketplace more generally.
The introduction of Basel II has incentivized many of the best practices banks, both internationally and in the Indian
economy to adopt better risk management techniques and to reconsider the analyses that must be carried out
to evaluate their performance relative to market expectations and relative to competitors.
Under Basel II regime, banks need to implement sound processes and systems to ensure that they are adequately
capitalized at all times in view of all material risks. It has to ensure that Regulatory Capital requirements are more in
line with Economic Capital requirements of banks and by this, make capital allocation of banks more risk sensitive.
The Basel Committee replaced the 1988 accord (amended in 1996 and adopted in 1998) in April 2006. This has
been dubbed Basel 11. It includes more sophisticated treatment of credit risk. Basel II also addressed `Operational
risk, among other things.
Chart: Basel II Structure

Under the new Basel II regulatory capital requirement, interest rate risk in the trading book continues to carry a
minimum capital charge (Pillar 1 of Basel II). What is new is that interest rate risk in the banking book needs to be
assessed in the review of capital adequacy (Pillar 2 of Basel II).

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 157


Enterprise Risk Management

To calculate the minimum regulatory capital requirements, banks must differentiate between interest rate risks in
the trading book (Pillar I capital) and interest rate risks in the banking book (pillar II capital).
Chart: Three-Pillar Architecture of Basel II

The above chart explains various approaches for calculating Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 risk capital under Basel II regime. For
market risk, Banks have to report capital requirement for interest rate risk, equity position risk and foreign exchange
risk (including Gold) to the regulator. Similarly, for credit risk, Banks in India currently follow the standardized
approach and they report risk weighted assets for various credit exposures depending upon their external rating
positions and hence compute capital requirement for credit risk. Better the rating of the borrower (hence lower
the risk), lower is the risk weights assigned by the regulator (here RBI). For example, where a AAA corporate rated
by CRISIL will attract a risk weight of only 20%, a relative higher risky BBB corporate loan exposure will have to be
weighed 100% to estimate risk weighted assets. Finally, all these risk weights need to be added and multiplied by
9% to estimate minimum capital requirement for taking credit risk.
Amount of loan Risk-weight 9% = the capital required to be held against any given loan.
Similarly, for retail loans (e.g. residential housing loans, personal loans etc.) risk weights are different for different
sizes of exposures depending on the availability of collateral margins (risk weights are less for higher margin, better
collateral and smaller loan size).
Banks also use various credit conversion factors (CCFs) to convert their off balance sheet exposures (e.g. CCF=50%
for credit guarantees; CCF=20% for cash credit etc.) into on balance sheet to estimate risk capital. Similarly,
standard supervisory haircuts are used to take into account the benefit of eligible collaterals (like gold, bonds,
NSC, KVP etc.) that reduces their credit risk exposures.
Under the Foundation Internal Rating Based Approach (FIRB), banks are allowed to develop their own empirical
model to estimate the PD (Probability of Default) for individual clients or groups of clients. The other important
risk parameters like EAD and LGD will be supplied by the regulator. Banks can use this approach only subject to
approval from their local regulators.
Under Advanced IRB (AIRB) approach, banks are supposed to use their own quantitative models to estimate PD
(Probability of Default), EAD (Exposure at Default), LGD (Loss Given Default) and other parameters required for
calculating the RWA (Risk-Weighted Asset). Then total required capital is calculated as a fixed percentage of the
estimated RWA.

158 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


For measuring market risk, Banks in India generally follows the standardized method that has been prescribed by
the regulator. However, for advanced approaches, Banks can use internal VaR models coupled with stress testing
exercises to estimate market risk capital charge.
For operational risk capital estimation, there are three approaches: Basic Indicator Approach (BIA), The
Standardized Approach (TSA) and Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA). Under BIA, the capital charge
is derived as a fixed multiple (alpha=15%) of three years average gross income of Banks. Under TSA, different
business lines are assigned individual gross activity measures and the regulators determine the appropriate fixed
multiple (beta) to calculate the regulatory capital requirement. The exposure indicator is gross income of various
business lines of the Bank. The beta values range from 12% to 18%. Many Banks of India have already adopted BIA
as well as TSA. Under the advanced measurement (AMA) banks have to use their internally defined risk parameters
based on their historical internal loss data on Frauds, Business disruption & system failures, Execution, Delivery and
Process, Transaction processing risk, Employment practices, Business Practices etc. Loss history represents the
inherent operational risks and the state of the controls at a point in time. Loss data to be categorized according
to an event-driven taxonomy that enables banks to have a risk profile for each event. Finally Banks can use Value
at Risk (VaR) models to estimate figure for unexpected loss and operational risk capital subject to the regulatory
review and approval. Some banks in India have applied for AMA. Involvement of Board of directors and senior
management is a must for adopting AMA in a Bank.
As per existing Basel II rules, banks need to maintain minimum regulatory capital at 9% of the risk- weighted assets
(internationally 8%). Out of this, not less than 50% should be Tier 1 capital. Capital Risk Weighted Assets Ratio
EligibleTier I & Tier II Capital
(CRAR) =
Risk Weighted Assets
Major elements of Tier I Capital are retained earnings, paid-up equity capital, statutory reserves and other disclosed
free reserves & some innovative capital instruments that are eligible for inclusion in Tier I Capital which also comply
with the regulatory requirements (e.g. most junior claims, permanency, quality issue etc.). Elements of Tier II capital
are revaluation reserves, hybrid debt instruments, subordinated debt instruments and general provisions and loss
reserves.
These prudential norms have been stipulated by RBI in India. For details, please refer to the Master Circular -
Prudential Guidelines on Capital Adequacy and Market Discipline- New Capital Adequacy Framework (NCAF) of
RBI issued in July 2, 2012.
The first component of Pillar 2 is the internal capital adequacy assessment process (ICAAP). Under ICAAP, credit
institutions must have effective systems and processes in place to determine the amount, composition and
distribution of internal capital on an ongoing basis and to hold capital commensurate with the required level.
The second component of Pillar 2 is the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP). The purpose of SREP
is to evaluate banks risk profile, to assess qualitative aspects (management, strategy, internal processes), and
to impose supervisory measures if necessary. Under the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP), the
supervisors would conduct a detailed examination of the ICAAP of the banks, and if warranted, could prescribe a
higher capital requirement, over and above the minimum capital envisaged in Pillar 1.
Pillar 3 is about market discipline as it mainly addresses the disclosure requirements by Banks to complement the
minimum capital requirements (Pillar I) and the supervisory review process (Pillar II). The purpose of Pillar 3 is to ensure
greater transparency in terms of banks activities and risk strategies, as well as to enhance comparability across
credit institutions-which are all in the interests of market participants. Pillar 3 recognizes the fact that apart from
regulators, banks are also monitored by markets. It is based on the premise that markets would be quite responsive
to disclosures - the banks would be duly rewarded or penalized, in tune with the nature of disclosures, by the
market forces. Pillar 3 do not entail additional capital requirements but are limited to mandating the publication
of key data, the disclosure of which neither weakens banks competitive positions nor violates banking secrecy.
Comparison between Basel I and Basel II
Introduction: In the previous paragraphs we have given the highlights of Basel] and Basel fl. In this chapter we
compare the two for better understanding.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 159


Enterprise Risk Management

Comparison between Basel I and Basel II

Basel - 1(1988 and amended in 1996) Based on Basel- II (to be in place by 2006 in G-10 countries and in
Methodology for Capital Adequacy. India in 2008)- Basel Il based on 3 pillars.
Basel - 11 (to be in place by 2006 in G-10.
1. Capital adequacy based on Risk Weighted Assets 1. Capital adequacy based on Risk Weighted As- sets)
2. Not risk sensitive. Prescriptive. 2. Risk sensitive.
3. All credit exposures carried risk weight of 100 per 3. Credit exposures carry risk weights based on credit
cent - except for some sovereign expo- sures and qualities.
mortgages.

4. Risk Capital = Credit exposure * Risk Weights * 8 per 4. Risk capital: Similar to Basel I. But efficient Banks can
cent can have lesser Capital than others. have lesser capital than others.

Implications were Implications are


Every bank had to maintain same 8 per cent Banks with good quality assets have incentives
capital. Thus Banks with good quality assets had because they can manage with lower capital
no incentives. As a result credit quality had to be
Better quality assets requires lesser capital
lowered to increase returns
Risk pricing can be done by banks based on credit
Low rated exposures were subsidized by high rated
risk perception
exposures
Provision exists for economic pricing by banks
No provision for economic pricing by banks

Basel III:
Reserve Bank of India in May 02, 2012 has released its final guidelines on implementation of Basel III capital
regulation in India. These guidelines would become effective from January 1, 2013 in a phased manner. The
Basel III capital ratios will be fully implemented as on March 31, 2018. This entails higher global minimum capital
standards for banks. Implementation of Basel III is essential for restoring confidence in the regulatory framework for
banks and to ensure safe and stable global banking system.
The Basel III framework sets out the following:
Higher and better equity capital
Better risk coverage
Introduction of a leverage ratio
Measures to promote the build-up of capital for periods of stress
Introduction of new liquidity standards
A key element of new definition is the greater focus on common equity (paid up equity capital, reserves,
retained earnings etc.). In addition to raising the quality of the capital base, banks need to ensure that all material
risks are captured in the capital framework. What counts as core capital may impact the Indian banking sectors
competitiveness significantly.
As per the RBIs new Basel III capital regulation, common equity (or core Tier I) should be at least 5.5% (1% higher
than the original Basel III rule) & minimum Tier I capital should be at least 7% of total risk weighted assets. There
should be predominance of common equity and Tier I regulatory capital. Common equity 78.57% of Tier I capital
& total Tier I capital should be at least 77.58% of total minimum capital (as per RBIs Basel III circular).
Basel III regulation expects that Banks for its survival in future must understand the importance of people perception

160 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


about a Banks liquidity condition (short term as well as long term) besides internal management of liquidity. It
emphasized that banks liquid assets should be sufficient enough to cover net cash outflow. Two liquidity standards/
ratios are proposed:
(i) Liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) which is the ratio of Liquid assets to net cash outflow for short term (30 days)
liquidity management and
(ii) Net stable funding ratio (NSFR) for long term structural liquidity mismatches.
The regulator expects that LCR should be more than 100 percent and it will act as an indicator of short term (30
days) resilience of a bank under a stress situation. LCR will require banks to have sufficient high-quality liquid assets
to withstand a stressed funding requirement. As a long term liquidity measure, bank should ensure that their Net
Stable Funding Ratio (i.e. the ratio of available stable fund to required stable fund is >100%. The NSFR aims to limit
over reliance on wholesale funding during times of buoyant market liquidity and encourages better assessment of
liquidity risk across all on and off balance sheet items.
Basel III also wants to ensure that banks leverage ratio (Tier I capital divided by all on & off balance sheet items)
should be at least greater than 3%. Unlike debt equity ratio, it is just the reverse ratio that indicates bank solvency. It
must be calculated as an average over the quarter. Minimum leverage ratio should be at least 3% during parallel
run (January 1, 2013-January 1, 2017). Bank level disclosure of leverage ratio is proposed to start from January 1,
2015.
Basel III urges banks to maintain high credit ratings to ensure greater solvency and to avoid costs of raising
additional capital under unavoidable market conditions. It expects that bank should create buffer in good time
so that it can be used in bad time. The regulator may take Credit to GDP ratio as a measure of balancing factor
and calibrating measure.

4.3 CORPORATE FAILURE

The major issue arising in the present times, for both management academics and practitioners, relates to the
principles which determine corporate successes and failures that is why some organization prosper and grow while
other collapse. The often unexpected collapse of large companies during the early 1990s and more recently in 2002
has lead analysts to look for ways of predicting company failure. Corporate failures are common in competitive
business environment where market discipline ensures the survival of fittest. Moreover, mismanagement also leads
to corporate failure. Predicting corporate failure is based on the premise that there are identifiable patterns or
symptoms consistent for all failed firms.
Definition
According to Altman (1993), there is no unique definition of corporate failure. Corporate failure refers to companies
ceasing operations following its inability to make profit or bring in enough revenue to cover its expenses. This can
occur as a result of poor management skills, inability to compete or even insufficient marketing.
Symptoms of Corporate Failure
There are three classic symptoms of corporate failure. These are namely:
1. Low profitability
2. High gearing
3. Low liquidity
Each of these three symptoms may be indicated by trends in the companys accounts. Symptoms are interrelated.
The classic path to corporate failure starts with the company experiencing low profitability. This may be indicated
by trends in the ratios for:
Profit margin
Return on Capital Expenditure
Return on Net Assets

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 161


Enterprise Risk Management

A downward trend in profitability will raise the issue of whether and for how long the company can tolerate a
return on capital that is below its cost of capital. If profitability problems become preoccupying, the failing of the
company may seek additional funds and working capital by increasing its borrowings, whether in the form of short
term or long-term debt. This increases the companys gearing, since the higher the proportion of borrowed funds,
the higher the gearing within the capital structure. The increased debt burden may then aggravate the situation,
particularly if the causes of the decreasing profitability have not been resolved.
The worsening profit situation must be used to finance an increased burden of interest and capital repayments.
In the case of a publicly quoted company, this means that fewer and fewer funds will be available to finance
dividend payments. It may become impossible to obtain external credit or to raise further equity funds.
Confidence in the company as an investment may wither away leaving the share price to collapse. If the company
is sound, for instance, but ineptly managed, the best that can be hoped for is a takeover bid for what may be now
a significantly undervalued investment.
At this point, a company may not be really failing but unfortunately, more often rescue attempts are not mounted.
This may be because the companys management does not recognize the seriousness of the situation, or is by
now too heavily committed or too frightened to admit the truth to its stakeholders, when refinancing is attempted
profits fail to cover payments leading to a cash flow crisis.
What are the causes of corporate failure, and can they be avoided? Numerous studies reveal the alarmingly high
failure rate of business initiatives, and corporate survival rates have recently declined across the major European
economies. This article examines the range of explanations for failure, before considering whether failure can
sometimes even be good.
After addressing growth strategies in the last Henley Manager Update, well now review recent writing on corporate
failures. What are the causes of company failure and how can these be stopped? In what ways can companies
learn from failure? Of course, not all failures in business actually lead to the failure of the business. There are,
though, many examples in recent times of growth strategies that failed. Unilever, for example, embarked upon
its well-publicised Path to Growth strategy in 2000. Since then, it has not only failed to grow profitably but has
also seen its European sales decline. Part of the problem was in not being quicker to address emerging market
trends, such as the one for low-carb diets. Similarly, Volkswagen embarked on a burst of growth in the late 90s
by acquiring other well- known automobile brands, only to find these began competing against each other as
competition intensified by the middle of this decade.
Corporate Distress Analysis Causes
1. Technological Causes
Traditional methods of doing work have been turned upside down by the development of new technology. If
within an industry, there is failure to exploit information technology and new production technology, the firms can
face serious problems and ultimately fail.
By using new technology, cost of production can be reduced and if an organization continues to use the old
technology and its competitors start using the new technology; this can be detrimental to that organization.
Due to high cost of production, it will have to sell its products at higher prices than its competitors and this will
consequently reduced its sales and the organization can serious problems.
This situation was seen in the case of Mittal Steel Company taking over Arcelor Steel Company. Arcelor Steel
Company was using its old technology to make steel while Mittal Steel Company was using the new technology
and as a result, Mittal Steel Company was able to sell steel at lower price than Arcelor Steel Company due to
its low cost of production. Arcelor Steel Company was approaching corporate failure and luckily, Mittal Steel
Company merged with Arcelor Steel Company and became Arcelor Mittal Steel Company, thus preventing
Arcelor from failure.
2. Working Capital Problems
Organizations also face liquidity problems when they are in financial distress. Poor liquidity becomes apparent
through the changes in the working capital of the organization as they have insufficient funds to manage their
daily expenses.

162 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Businesses, which rely only on one large customer or a few major customers, can face severe problems and this
can be detrimental to the businesses. Losing such a customer can cause big problems and have negative impact
on the cash flows of the businesses.
Besides, if such a customer becomes bankrupt, the situation can even become worst, as the firms will not be able
to recover these debts.
3. Economic Distress
A turndown in an economy can lead to corporate failures across a number of businesses. The level of activity will
be reduced, thus affecting negatively the performance of firms in several industries. This cannot be avoided by
businesses.
The recent economic crisis in the USA led to many cases of corporate failures. One of them is the insurance AIG
insurance company. It is facing serious problems and it might close its door in the near future.
4. Mismanagement
Inadequate internal management control or lack of managerial skills and experience is the cause of the majority
of company failures. Some managers may lack strategic capability that is to recognize strengths, weaknesses,
opportunities and threats of a given business environment. These managers tend to take poor decisions, which
may have bad consequences afterwards.
Furthermore, managers of different department may not have the ability to work closely together. There are
dispersed department objectives, each department will work for their own benefits not towards the goal of the
company. This will bring failure in the company. One example can be WorldCom, where the finance and legal
functions were scattered over several states and communication between these departments were poor.
5. Over-expansion and Diversification
Research has shown that dominant CEO is driven by the ultimate need to succeed for their own personal benefits.
They neglect the objective set for the company and work for their self-interest. They want to achieve rapid growth
of the company to increase their status and pay level. They may do so by acquisition and expansion.
The situation of over expansion may arise to the point that little focus is given to the core business and this can be
harmful as the business may become fragment and unfocused. In addition, the companies may not understand
the new business field. Enron and WorldCom can be an example for this situation where the managers did not
understand how growing overcapacity would influence its investment and therefore did not comprehend the risks
associated with it.
6. Fraud by Management
Management fraud is another factor responsible for corporate collapse. Ambitious managers may be influenced
by personal greed. They manipulate financial statements and accounting reports. Managers are only interested
in their pay checks and would make large increase in executive pay despite the fact that the company is facing
poor financial situation. Dishonest managers will attempt to tamper and falsify business records in order to fool
shareholders about the true financial situation of the company. These fraudulent acts or misconduct could indicate
a serious lack of control. These frauds can lead to serious consequences: loss of revenue, damage to credibility of
the company, increased in operating expenses and decrease in operational efficiency.
7. Poorly Structured board
Board of Directors is handpicked by CEO to be docile and they are encouraged by executive pay and generous
benefits. These directors often lack the necessary competence and may not control business matters properly.
These directors are often intimated by dominant CEO and do not have any say in decision making. Example Enron
and WorldCom where poorly structured board was a contributor towards their failure.
8. Financial Distress
Firms that become financially distressed are found to be under- performing relative to the other companies in their
industry. Corporate failure is a process rooted in the management defects, resulting in poor decisions, leading to

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 163


Enterprise Risk Management

financial deterioration and finally corporate collapse. Financial distresses include the following reasons also low
and declining profitability, investment Appraisal, Research and Development and technical insolvency amongst
others.
A firm may fail, as its returns are negative or low. A firm that consistently reports operating losses probably
experiences a decline in market value. If the firm fails to earn are turn greater than its cost of capital, it can be
viewed as having failed. Falling profits have an obvious link with both financial and bankruptcy as the firm finds it
is not generating enough money to meet its obligations as they fall due.
Another cause that will lead the company to fail is the investment appraisal. Many organizations run into difficulties
as they fail to appraise investment projects carefully. The long-term nature of many projects means that outcomes
are difficult to forecast and probabilities are usually subjective. Big project gone wrong is a common cause of
decline. For example, the acquisition of a loser company, this has happen in the case for the failure of Parmalat
Co Ltd of Italy, which made the acquisition of several losses making company where Inappropriate evaluation of
the acquired company, its strengths and weaknesses.
Causes of Sickness for a Project
Prevention is better than cure is the proverb that reflects the need for knowing the likely causes of industrial
sickness so that one can plan to avoid the same, Just as human beings fall sick by two ways, viz.. either born sick
or acquiring sickness during growth, an industry can either run into trouble even during the implementation stage
itself or develop sickness during its lifetime.
The causes of sickness can be categorized into two viz., internal causes and external causes. Internal causes are
those that are internal to the organization over which the management of the organization has control. Sickness
due to internal causes can be avoided if the management is shrewd enough to identify the causes and eliminate
them at their initial stage itself. External causes are those that are external to the organization over which the
management of the organization has little control. Governments plans and actions, failure of monsoon which
affects agriculture and allied industries. emergence of strong competitors etc.. are some of the external factors.
Though sickness may be caused either by internal or external factors, sometimes, the management may be able
to revamp its organization, plan suitable strategies and take on the external factors to reduce their impact.
The areas/stages in which these causes may exist and their effects can be studied under the following heads.
Project formulation.
Project implementation.
Production.
Marketing.
Finance.
General and personnel administration.
Project Formulation: Most of sickness is attributed to ill-conceived projects. A project that may, prima- facie present
a rosy picture may have many hidden pitfalls. Irrational, hasty, over-optimistic decisions may result in choosing
projects that may have inherent weaknesses. A project that has an inherent weakness is very unlikely to be a
successful project. The existence of a few players in the chosen field who are doing well, is not always a sound
proof that the project will be a success. The existing players may have their own special advantages due to which
they could have overcome the hurdles and pitfalls that are present in the project.
A thorough investigation of the project during the identification and formulation stage is the sine- qua-non of any
project proposal. Think before you act is the proverb that is worth practising, Any amount of time and efforts
spent at this stage is worth it as any hasty decision made at this stage will be very costly.
External factors play a major role in project formulation stage. The present stage of and the future course of the
external environment are to be carefully studied for their influence on the project.

164 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Project Implementation: Delayed implementation gives a project a difficult start. Unduly long time taken for project
implementation results in time-overrun which is invariably followed by cost-overrun, Cost-overrun has the ill effect
of affecting the financial viability of the project since a project that is viable at a capital cost of say ` 100.00 lakhs
may prove to be unviable when the cost raises to say ` 150.00 lakhs due to cost-overrun. The problem of Cost-
Overrun will get more compounded if the finance necessary to meet the increased cost can not be arranged in
time. Any delay in arranging for the finance needed to meet the cost overrun will only further tend to increase the
cost and this may land the project in trouble leading eventually to the death of the project and the project may
not take off.
The following are some of the problem areas in implementation stage.
The promoters may not be in a position to bring in funds to the required extent in time. In general. Banks/
Financial institutions, of late, insist that the promoters shall bring in their capital contribution to the project
upfront before release of loan. Any delay in bringing the stipulated capital by the promoters will delay the
drawal of loan, which will lead to delay in implementation,
The loan disbursement may be delayed if the promoters are not able to comply with major terms and conditions
of the loan agreement, For example, the loan agreement, iwer-alia, may stipulate that collateral security to
cover, say 25% of the loan amount shall be offered, The value of the property that the promoters offer as
collateral security to the bank/financial institution may be short of the requirement. Or, when the value of the
property meets the requirement, there may be other impediments like legal hurdles for clear, unencumbered
title to the property etc.
The cost of different components of project-cost may increase due to price escalation. The cost provided for
some of the elements of project-cost might have been underestimated. It is also likely that some elements
which are essential might have been left out. These factors lead to cost- overrun which may delay the project
implementation,
There may be delay in getting power connection, water connection, approval from local bodies. Approval
from pollution control authorities etc., which may postpone project implementation/ commencement of
production.
When more than one institution are involved in funding a project, there may be delay in tying up the financial
arrangements with the different institutions. This is more so when term loan and working capital loan are
provided by two different institutions. The institution that is to lend working capital loan may wish to see that
the project comes through successfully and reaches a ready-to- start stage before committing sanction of
working capital finance. There is likelihood of the capital investment on the project having been fully made
and the project waiting for sanction/release of working capital finance to commence commercial operations.
Any delay in release of working capital finance due to procedural- formalities involved will harm the project
heavily, as the capital investment will be lying idle, without earning any return.
Rethinking of the project during the course of implementation, like changes in production process, use of
alternate raw material, changes in technology etc., may hold up project implementation.
Over spending on travel, entertainment and non-productive assets like guest houses, compound walls, staff
quarters etc., may result in cost-overrun, which in turn may delay project implementation.
Adverse foreign currency exchange rale fluctuations may affect projects involving imported plant and
machinery and may result in cost-overrun. This is an external factor over which the management has no control.
However, a prudent management can guard against adverse foreign currency movement by entering into
forward contracts etc.,
Production: The major aspects of production that may lead to sickness are
Increase in the cost of product ion.
Decrease in the quantity of production.
Quality of product not meeting the standards/customer expectation.
Producing more quantity than can be sold, leading to accumulation of stock.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 165


Enterprise Risk Management

The increase in cost of production may be due to external factors like increase in the cost of raw materials,
increase in the cost of consumables, power, etc., or due to internal factors like improper choice of raw material/
raw material-source, wrong choice of production process etc.
Decrease in quantity of production may be due to defects/under performance of plant and machinery, defects
in production process etc,,
Defects in quality of products may be due to defects in raw material used, or due to unsatisfactory performance of
machinery or due to ineffective supervision. Inspite of the raw material, machinery and supervision being good, the
advent of new technology may bring in product-obsolescence and the product may loose customer preference.
Lack of proper planning of product mix and lack of co-ordination between production and marketing departments
may lead to piling up of inventory, which will only add to the cost of the product.
The Models to Predict Corporate Failure
Several techniques have been developed to help predict why companies fail. However, these are not accurate
and do not guarantee that the prediction will turn out to be true. These models are The Z-Score, Argenti Model,
and the VK model amongst others.
Beaver was one of the first researchers to study the prediction of bankruptcy using financial statement data.
The established practice for failure prediction is therefore a model based on financial ratio analysis. Published
financial reports contain a great deal of information about the company performance and prospects. Therefore,
ratio analysis is not preferred for financial accounts interpretation however; it has also played a central role in the
development of bankruptcy prediction models.
(i) The Altman Model: Z-Score
Edward I. Altman developed a Multivariate Model of Corporate Distress Prediction on the basis of Multiple
Discriminant Analysis (MDA). In his study, Altman selected 33 failed and 33 non-failed firms, of which 22 Accounting
and Non-accounting Ratios, which had been deemed to be the predictors of Corporate Distress, were taken into
consideration. Of the 22 Accounting Ratios, Prof. Altman selected 5 ratios which had been deemed as the best
predictors of Corporate Distress Prediction. The purposes of these five selected ratios are as follows:
(i) To measure liquidity position of the firms.
(ii) To measure reinvestment of earnings of the firms.
(iii) To measure profitability of the firms.
(iv) To measure financial leverage condition of the firms.
(v) To measure sales-generating ability of firms Assets.
In 1968, the following Discriminant Function was developed by Altman:
Z = 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Where
Z = Overall Index of Multiple Index Function
And the five variables are
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets (a liquidity measure)
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets (a measure of reinvestment of earnings)
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets (a profitability measure)
X4 = Market Value of Equity & Preference to Book Value of Total Debt (a measure of leverage)
X5 = Sales to Total Assets (a measure of sales-generating ability of the firms assets)

166 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Analysis of Value of Z-score
(i) If the calculated value of Z-score is greater than 2.99, it is predicted that the firm belongs to non-bankrupt class
(i.e., non-failed firm).
(ii) If the calculated value of Z-score is smaller than 1.81, it is predicted that the firm belongs to bankrupt class (i.e.,
failed firm).
(iii) If the calculated value of Z-score of a firm falls between 1.81 and 2.99 (referred to as Grey Area), it is predicted
that the firm consists of both bankrupt and non-bankrupt class (i.e., mixture of failed and non-failed elements)
and, therefore, requires further investigation to determine its solvency status.
As per Altmans Multivariate Model of Distress Prediction
(i) If Z > 2.99: Non-failed or non-distressed firm.
(ii) If Z < 1.81: Failed or distressed firm.
(iii) If Z 1.81 but 2.99: Mixture of failed and non-failed elements which requires further investigation to determine
its solvency status.
In 1983, Altman developed a revised Z-score model for privately held firms. Credit analysis, private placement
dealers, accounting auditors, and firms themselves are concerned that the original model is only applicable to
publicly traded entities (since X4 requires stock price data). The revised Z-scores substitute the book value of
equity for the market value in X4. The new Z-score model ratios are listed below:
X1 = Working capital / total assets
X2 = Retained earnings / total assets
X3 = EBIT / total assets
X4 = Book value of Equity/total liabilities
X5 = Sales / total assets
A change in the weight factor is also calculated. The revised Z-Score formula follows:
Z = 0.717(X1)+0.847(X2)+3.107(X3)+0.420(X4)+0.998(X5)
Zones of Discrimination:
Z > 2.9 Safe Zone
1.23 < Z < 2.9 Grey Zone
Z < 1.23 Distress Zone
Z-score estimated for manufacturers, industrials, non-manufacturers & emerging markets
X1 = (Current Assets Current Liabilities) / Total Assets
X2 = Retained Earnings / Total Assets
X3 = Earnings before Interest and Taxes / Total Assets
X4 = Book Value of Equity / Total Liabilities
Z-Score bankruptcy model: Z = 6.56X1 + 3.26X2 + 6.72X3 + 1.05X4
Zones of discriminations:
Z > 2.60 Safe Zone
1.1 < Z < 2.60 Grey Zone
Z < 1.1 Distress Zone

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 167


Enterprise Risk Management

(ii) NCAER Model


According to NCAER, an industrial undertaking may be financially viable, if its three elements are proved to be
positive. The NCAER Study on Corporate Distress Prediction prescribed the following three elements/ parameters
for predicting the stages of corporate sickness:
(i) Cash profit position (a profitability measure).
(ii) Net working capital position (a liquidity measure).
(iii) Net worth position (a solvency measure).
In a firm, if any of the above three elements/parameters are found to be negative, it may be considered that
the firm has a tendency of becoming sick. If any two of the above three elements/parameters are found to be
negative in a firm, it may be considered that the firm possesses incipient sickness. If all the above three elements/
parameters are found to be negative in a firm, it may be considered that the firm is fully sick.

SHORT QUESTIONS & ANSWERS


MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTIONS & ANSWERS:
1. Financial risks do not include:
(a) trade cycles;
(b) interest rate risk;
(c) inflation rate risk;
(d) exchange risk.
Answer:
(a) trade cycles

2. Risk Management techniques do not include:


(a) risk avoidance;
(b) risk premium;
(c) risk retention;
(d) risk transfer.
Answer:
(b) risk premium
3. Project risk does not include:
(a) Institutional risk;
(b) Turbulence;
(c) Completion risk;
(d) Uncertainty.
Answer:
(d) Uncertainty

168 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


4. Risk is defined as:
(a) A variation from the actual;
(b) A variation from the expected;
(c) A possible event;
(d) A possible uncertainty.
Answer:
(a) A variation from the actual

5. Risk Management Strategies are:


(a) Avoid Risk, Reduce Risk, Retain Risk, Combine Risk;
(b) Transfer Risk, Share Risk and Hedge Risk;
(c) Both (a) and (b);
(d) None of the above.
Answer:
(c) Both (a) and (b)

6. Unsystematic Risk relates to:


(a) Market Risk;
(b) Beta;
(c) Inherent Risk;
(d) Interest Rate Risk.
Answer:
(c) Inherent Risk

7. Variability in return on investment in the market is referred to as:


(a) Market Risk;
(b) Physical Risk;
(c) Pooling Risk;
(d) Business Risk.
Answer:
(a) Market Risk

8. Types of risks do not include:


(a) Business risks;
(b) Market risks;
(c) Interest rate risks;

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 169


Enterprise Risk Management

(d) Default risks;


(e) Uncertainty.
Answer:
(e) Uncertainty

9. Physical Risk includes:


(a) Natural calamities: fire, tsunami, floods, earthquake, etc.;
(b) Factory accidents due to fire, mishandling of equipment, breakdown and explosions;
(c) Occupational hazards;
(d) Both b and c;
(e) All the above.
Answer:
(e) All the above

10. Business Risk which is inherent to a business due to:


(a) Its nature and susceptibility to environment, e.g., change of fashion, business cycles;
(b) Its nature and susceptibility to environment, e.g., conflicts like war, insurgency;
(c) Its nature and susceptibility to environment, e.g., cross border terrorism, technological obsolescence, etc.;
(d) All of the above;
(e) None of the above.
Answer:
(d) All of the above

11. Financial Risk arises out of:


(a) The nature of financial transactions;
(b) Conduct of business and investment;
(c) Both (a) and (b);
(d) Increased competition;
(e) None of the above.
Answer:
(c) Both (a) and (b)

12. Physical risk arising out of Social, Political, Economic and Legal Environments are often identified:
(a) Through the performance of lead indicators;
(b) Through the performance of lagging indicators;
(c) Through the performance of lead and lag indicators;

170 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(d) Through the performance of the government;
(e) None of the above.
Answer:
(a) Through the performance of lead indicators.

13. The concept of is the process of identification of separate risks and put them all together in a single basket, so
that the monitoring, combining, integrating or diversifying risk can be implemented:
(a) Physical risk
(b) Financial risk
(c) Pooling risk
(d) Business risk
(e) Sharing risk
Answer:
(c) Pooling risk

14. _________________refers to the uncertainty of market volumes in the future and the quantum of future income
caused by the variations in the interest rates:
(a) Market risk;
(b) Physical risk;
(c) Interest rate risk;
(d) Pooling risk;
(e) Exchange risk;
Answer:
(c) Interest rate risk

15. ______________ is the uncertainty of the purchasing power of the monies to be received, in the future:
(a) Purchasing power risk;
(b) Market risk;
(c) Physical risk;
(d) Interest rate risk;
(e) Exchange risk.
Answer:
(a) Purchasing power risk

Fill in the blanks:


16. ________________ is a comprehensive and integrated approach to addressing corporate risk.
Answer:
Enterprise Risk Management

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 171


Enterprise Risk Management

17. ________________ is the process of identifying, quantifying and prioritizing the risks that may interfere with the
achievement of your organizational objectives.
Answer:
Risk mapping

18. The Z-Score model is a quantitative model developed by _______________ to predict bankruptcy or financial
distress of a business.
Answer:
Edward Altman

19. As per Altman, if the calculated value of Z-score is greater than ____________, it is predicted that the firm
belongs to non-bankrupt class
Answer:
2.99

20. Match the following:

A. Risk pooling 1. quantification of the amount of perceived risk


B. Risk Avoidance 2. involves identifying both systematic and unsystematic risks
C. Risk Measurement 3. adopted when risk cannot be avoided, reduced or transferred
D. Risk Diversification 4. mostly practiced by insurance companies
E. Risk Retention 5. complete elimination of exposure to loss due to a specific risk

Answer:
A4
B5
C1
D2
E3

Illustration 1.
From the information given below relating to Bad Past Ltd., calculate Altmans Z-score and comment:

Working capital
Total assets = 25%

Re tained earnings
= 30%
Total assets
Earnings before int erest & taxes
= 15%
Total assets

172 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Market value of equity
Book value of total debt = 150%

Sales
Total assets = 2 times

Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = 25%
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = 30%
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = 15%
X4 = Market Value of Equity Shares to Book Value of Total Debt =150%
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = 2 times
Hence, Z-score = (1.225%) + (1.430%) + (3.315%) + (0.6150%) + (12)
= 0.30 + 0.42 + 0.495 + 0.90 + 2.00 = 4.115
Note : As the calculated value of Z-score is much higher than 2.99, it can be strongly predicted that the company
is a non-bankrupt company.

Illustration 2.
From the information given below relating to Unfortunate Ltd., calculate Altmans Z-score and comment:

Working capital
Total assets = 0.45

Re tained earnings
= 0.25
Total assets
Earnings before int erest & taxes
= 0.30
Total assets
Market value of equity
Book value of total debt = 2.50

Sales
= 3 times
Total Assets

Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction:
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 173


Enterprise Risk Management

Here, the five variables are as follows:


X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = 0.45
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = 0.25
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = 0.30
X4 = Market Value of Equity Shares to Book Value of Total Debt= 2.50
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = 3 times
Hence, Z-score = (1.2 x 0.45) + (1.4 x 0.25) + (3.3 x 0.30)+(0.6 x 2.50) + (1 x 3) = 0.54 + 0.35 + 0.99 + 1.50 + 3 = 6.38
Note: As the calculated value of Z-score is much higher than 2.99, it can be strongly predicted that the company
is a non-bankrupt company (i.e., non-failed company).

Illustration 3.
Using Altmans Multiple Discriminant Function, calculate Z-score of S & Co. Ltd., where the five accounting ratios
are as follows and comment about its financial position:
Working Capital to Total Assets=0.250
Retained Earnings to Total Assets = 50%
EBIT to Total Assets = 19%
Book Value of Equity to Book Value of Total Debt= 1.65
Sales to Total Assets = 3 times

Solution:
As the Book Value of Equity to Book Value of Total Debt is given in the problem in place of Market Value of Equity
to Book Value of Total Debt, the value of Z-score is to be computed as per Altmans 1983 Model of Corporate
Distress Prediction instead of Altmans 1968 Model of Corporate Distress Prediction that we followed earlier.
As per Altmans Model (1983) of Corporate Distress Prediction,
Z=0.717 X1 + 0.847 X2 + 3.107 X3 + 0.420 X4 + 0.998X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = 0.250
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = 0.50
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = 0.19
X4 = Book Value of Equity Shares to Book Value of Total Debt = 1.65
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = 3 times
Hence, Z-score = (0.717 x 0.25) + (0.847 x 0.50) + (3.107 x 0.19) + (0.420 x 1.65) + (0.998 x 3)
= 0.17925 + 0.4235 + 0.59033 + 0.693 + 2.994 = 4.88
Note: As the calculated value of Z-score is much higher than 2.9, it can be strongly predicted that the company is
a non-bankrupt company (i.e., non-failed company).
Illustration 4.
From the information provided relating to a company, calculate Altmans Z-score and comment on the financial
condition of the company:

174 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Particulars `
Equity Share Capital (of ` 10 each) 2,00,000
12% Preference Share Capital (of ` 100 each) 1,00,000
Fixed Assets 3,00,000
Current Assets 2,00,000
Fictitious Assets 25,000
Current Liabilities 1,00,000
10% Debentures 2,00,000
General Reserve 75,000
Profit & Loss A/c (Cr.) 50,000
Sales 10,00,000
Earnings before Tax 1,30,000
Interest on Debentures 20,000
Market Value of each Equity Share 15
Market Value of each Preference Share 150

Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:

X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets =


` 1, 00, 000 = 0.20
` 5, 00, 000

` 1, 00, 000
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = ` 5, 00, 000 = 0.20

` 1, 50, 000
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = ` 5, 00, 000 = 0.30

` 4, 50, 000
X4 = Market Value of Equity and Preference Shares to Book Value of Total Debt = ` 3, 00, 000 = 1.50

` 10, 00, 000
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = ` 5, 00, 000 = 2 times

Hence, Z-score = (1.2 x 0.20) + (1.4 x 0.20) + (3.3 x 0.30) + (0.6 x 1.50) + (1 x 2)
= 0.24 + 0.28+0.99 + 0.90 + 2 = 4.41
Notes:
1. Calculation of Working Capital
Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
Here, Working Capital = ` (2,00,000-1,00,000) = ` 1,00,000
2. Calculation of Total Assets
Total Assets = Fixed Assets + Current Assets
Here, Total Assets = ` (3,00,000 +2,00,000) = ` 5,00,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 175


Enterprise Risk Management

3. Calculation of Retained Earnings


Retained Earnings=Reserves & Surplus - Miscellaneous Expenditure
= General Reserve + Profit & Loss A/c (Cr.) - Fictitious Assets = ` (75,000 + 50,000 - 25,000) = ` 1,00,000
4. Calculation of Earnings before interest & Tax (EBIT)
EBIT = EBT+ Interest on Debts
Here, EBIT = ` (1,30,000 + 20,000) = ` 1,50,000
5. Calculation of Market Value of Equity & Preference Shares

Market Value of Equity Shares 20,000 shares x `15 ` 3,00,000


Market Value of Preference Shares 1,000 shares x `150 ` 1,50,000
` 4,50,000

6. Calculation of Book Value of Total Debts


Book Value of Total Debts = Long-term Debts + Current Liabilities
Here, Book Value of Total Debts =10% Debentures + Current Liabilities = ` (2,00,000 + 1,00,000) = `3,00,000
As the calculated value of Z-score is much higher than 2.99, it can be strongly predicted that the company is
a non-bankrupt company (i.e., non-failed company).

Illustration 5.
Using Altmans Model, compute the value of Z from the provided data (Balance Sheet extract):

Liabilities ` Assets `
Share Capital (@ `10 each) 2,00,000 Fixed Assets 4,20,000
Reserves & Surplus 60,000 Inventory 1,80,000
10% Debentures 3,00,000 Book Debts 70,000
Sundry Creditors 80,000 Loans & Advances 20,000
Outstanding Expenses 60,000 Cash at Bank 10,000
7,00,000 7,00,000
Additional Information:
(i) Market value per share ` 12.50.
(ii) Operating Profit (20% on sales) ` 1,40,000.

Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z= 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:

` 1, 40, 000
X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = ` 7, 00, 000 = 0.20

` 60, 000
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = = 0.0857
` 7, 00, 000

176 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


` 1, 40, 000
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = ` 7, 00, 000 = 0.20

2, 50, 000
X4 = Market Value of Equity and Preference Shares to Book Value of Total Debt = = 0.568
4, 40, 000

` 7, 00, 000
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = ` 7, 00, 000 = 1 times

Hence, Z-score = (1.2 x 0.20) + (1.4 x 0.0857) + (3.3 x 0.20) + (0.6 x 0.568) + (1 x 1)
= 0.24 + 0.11998 + 0.66 + 0.3408+1 = 2.36078
Notes:
1. Calculation of Working Capital
Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
Here, Working Capital = (Inventory + Book Debts + Loans & Advances+ Cash at Bank) - (Sundry Creditors
+Outstanding Expenses)
= `(1,80,000 + 70,000 +20,000+10,000)-(80,000 + 60,000)
= `1,40,000
2. Calculation of Total Assets
Total Assets = Fixed Assets + Current Assets
Here, Total Assets = ` [4,20,000 + (1,80,000 + 70,000 + 20,000+10,000)] = ` 7,00,000
3. Calculation of Retained Earnings
Retained Earnings = Reserves &Surplus = `60,000
4. Calculation of Earnings before Interest & Tax (EBIT)
EBIT=Operating Profit = `1,40,000
5. Calculation of Market Value of Equity
Market Value of Equity Shares = 20,000 shares x `12.50 = `2,50,000
6. Calculation of Book Value of Total Debts
Book Value of Total Debts = Long-term Debts + Current Liabilities
Here, Book Value of Total Debts = 10% Debentures + (Sundry Creditors + Outstanding Expenses)
= `[3,00,000 + (80,000 + 60,000)] = `4,40,000
7. Calculation of Sales
Here, Operating Profit = 20% on Sales = `1,40,000
Hence, Sales = 100/20 `1,40,000 = `7,00,000
As the calculated value of Z-score lies between 1.81 and 2.99, which is marked as Grey Area, it is predicted that
the company consists of both bankrupt and non-bankrupt elements (i.e., a mixture of failed & non-failed elements)
and, therefore, requires further investigation to determine its conclusive solvency status.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 177


Enterprise Risk Management

Illustration 6.
Following is the extract of a Balance Sheet of a company as on 31 March, 2014:

Liabilities ` Assets `
Equity Share Capital (` 100) 4,00,000 Fixed Assets 10,00,000
Reserves & Surplus 2,25,000 Trade Investment 2,00,000
12% Debentures 3,00,000 Stock 1,25,000
10% Bank Loan 2,00,000 Debtors 75,000
Current Liabilities 3,00,000 Preliminary Expenses 25,000
14,25,000 14,25,000

Additional Information
(i) Net sales for 2013-14 were ` 20,00,000.
(ii) Price-Earnings Ratio is ` 10.
(iii) Dividend Pay-out Ratio is 50%.
(iv) Dividend per Share in 2013-14 is ` 20.
(v) Corporate Tax Rate is 50%.
Using Altmans Model, calculate the Z-score of the company and interpret the result.

Solution:
As per Altmans Model (1968) of Corporate Distress Prediction
Z = 1.2 X1 +1.4 X2 + 3.3 X3 + 0.6 X4 + 1.0 X5
Here, the five variables are as follows:

(1, 00, 000)


X1 = Working Capital to Total Assets = = (0.07143)
14, 00, 000
2,00,000
X2 = Retained Earnings to Total Assets = = 0.1429
14,00,000
3,76,000
X3 = EBIT to Total Assets = = 0.2686
14,00,000
16,00,000
X4 = Market Value of Equity and Preference Shares to Book Value of Total Debt = = 2.00
8,00,00
20,00,000
X5 = Sales to Total Assets = = 1.4286 times
14,00,000

Therefore, Z-score = {1.2 x (-) 0.07143} + (1.4 x 0.1429) + (3.3 x 0.2686) + (0.6 x 2) + (1 x 1.4286)
= - 0.0857 + 0.2001+ 0.8864+ 1.2+1.4286 = 3.6294
Notes:
1. Calculation of Working Capital
Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities
Here, Working Capital = (Stock + Debtors) - Current Liabilities
= ` [(1,25,000 + 75,000) - 3,00,000]
= (` 1,00,000)

178 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


2. Calculation of Total Assets
Total Assets = Fixed Assets + lnvestments + Current Assets
Here, Total Assets = ` [10,00,000 + 2,00,000 + (1,25,000 + 75,000)] = ` 14,00,000
3. Calculation of Retained Earnings
Retained Earnings = Reserves & Surplus - Preliminary Expenses = ` (2,25,000 - 25,000) = ` 2,00,000
4. Calculation of Earnings before Interest & Tax (EBIT)
Dividend per share (DPS)
Dividend Payout Ratio =
Earnings per share (EPS)
Here dividend payout ratio = 50% and DPS in 2013 - 14 = ` 20.
DPS 20
Hence, EPS = = = Rs. 40.
Dividend payout ratio 50%

` 4,00,000
Here, number of equity shares = = 4,000.
` 100

Particulars `
Earnings available to equity shareholders = 4,000 x ` 40 1,60,000
Add: Corporate tax added back 50/ 50 x 1,60,000 1,60,000
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 3,20,000
Add: Interest on loan added back:
On Debentures (12% on ` 3,00,000) = ` 36,000
On Bank Loan (10% on ` 2,00,000) = ` 20,000 56,000
Earnings before Interest & Tax (EBIT) 3,76,000

5. Calculation of Market Value of Equity Shares


Market value per equity shares (MPS)
Price Earnings Ratio =
Earnings per share (EPS)
Here, Price Earnings Ratio = 10 and EPS in 2013 - 14 = ` 40

Hence, Market Value per Equity Share (MPS) = Price Earnings Ratio x EPS = 10 x ` 40 = ` 400
Market Value of Equity Shares = 4,000 shares x ` 400 = ` 16,00,000
6. Calculation of Book Value of Total Debts
Book Value of Total Debts = Long-term Debts + Current Liabilities
Here, Book Value of Total Debts = 12% Debentures +10% Bank Loan + Current Liabilities
= ` (3,00,000 + 2,00,000 + 3,00,000) = ` 8,00,000.
As the calculated value of Z-score is much more greater than 2.99, it can be strongly predicted that the company
is a non-bankrupt company (i.e., non-failed company).

Illustration 7.
Balance Sheet (extract) of Q Ltd. as on 31 March 2014.

Liabilities ` in Crores Assets ` in Crores


Equity Shares 20.80 Fixed Assets 105.60

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 179


Enterprise Risk Management

Long-term Liabilities Current 104.00 Current Assets 57.60


Liabilities 78.40 Profit & Loss A/c 40.00
203.20 203.20

Additional Information:
(i) Depreciation written off ` 8 crores.
(ii) Preliminary Expenses written off ` 1.60 crores.
(iii) Net Loss ` 25.60 crores.
Ascertain the stage of sickness.

Solution:
The NCAER Study on Corporate Distress Prediction prescribed the following three parameters for predicting the
stage of Corporate Sickness:
(i) Cash profit position (a profitability measure)
(ii) Net working capital position (a liquidity measure)
(iii) Net worth position (a solvency measure)
In the given case, we need to judge the above-mentioned parameters to ascertain the stage of sickness of the
company.
(i) Cash profit = Net profit + (Non-cash expenses/losses debited to Profit & Loss A/c) (Non-cash incomes/Gains
credited to Profit & Loss A/c)
Here, Cash Profit = Net Profit + Depreciation Written Off + Preliminary Expenses Written Off
= ` [(25.60) + 8+ 1.60] = (` 16 crores)
(ii) Net Working Capital = Current Assets Current Liabilities
= ` [57.60 - 78.40] = (` 20.80 crores)
(iii) Net Worth = Share Capital + Reserves & Surplus - Miscellaneous Expenditure - Profit & Loss A/c (Dr.)
Here, Net Worth = Equity Share Capital - Profit & Loss A/c (Dr.)
= ` [20.80 - 40.00] = (` 19.20 crores)

Prediction about Corporate Sickness: As per NCAER Research Study, out of mentioned three parameters, if any
one parameter becomes negative in case of a firm, it can be predicted that the firm has a tendency towards
sickness. In the given company, all the three parameters [as calculated under (a), (b) and (c)] show negative
value. Therefore, it can strongly be predicted that the company is a sick company and its stage of sickness is fully
sick. Immediate necessary drastic revival measures are essentially required for the survival of the company.

180 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Section B
Business Valuation
(Syllabus - 2016)
Study Note - 5
BUSINESS VALUATION BASICS

This Study Note includes

5.1 Basis for Valuation - Introduction


5.2 Principles and Techniques of Valuation
5.3 Role of Valuation

5.1 BASIS FOR VALUATION - INTRODUCTION

Valuation is not an objective exercise, and any preconceptions and biases that an analyst brings to the process
will find their way into value. Damodaran (2002, p.9)
Simply defined, a business valuation is an activity conducted towards rendering an estimate or opinion as to the
fair market value of a business interest at a given point in time. Generally, when valuing a business, a notional
transaction is assumed, that is, one which has not been subjected to the bargaining process. Like accounting,
valuation is an art rather than an exact science, and a properly conducted valuation is nothing more than an
expression of informed opinion, which is based on fact of past financial performance and judgmental estimation
for future. By their very nature, valuations are not precise. Consequently, valuation estimates and opinions are
generally stated as a range of values.
Business valuation is no precise science. There is no universal legal framework which dictates how the valuation
should be performed. Therefore, it is no right way to estimate the value of a company, its equity shares or an
identified cash generation unit.
Examples of when a business valuation may be required include any or more of the following instances:
Mergers and acquisitions;
Business restructuring;
Initial public offering and listing of equity shares in stock exchanges;
Shareholders disputes settlement;
Purchase / sale of a business interest and step up acquisitions;
Non-arms length transaction;
Disgruntled minority shareholders actions;
Damage claims;
Estate planning;
Deemed disposition at death
Value
In order to understand valuation, first we need to understand value. It is often the most complicated and
misunderstood phenomenon. Value is a subjective term as what is a specific measured value to one person
may not be the same for other. It is easy to understand the concept of value with the help of value of a property
because all of us are well versed with it. But it is not easy to value this well-known asset.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 181


Business Valuation Basics

A property might be more valuable to one person in comparison to another, because that person values certain
features of the property higher than the other person. Alternatively, the property might have a higher utility to
one person than to another. There may be many forces, which influences the value of a property, e. g., location,
environmental and physical characteristics of the property, social standards, economic trends like GDP, per capita
income, inflation etc. and government regulations.
The US Appraisal Foundation defines market value as, The most probable price which a property should bring
in a competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, the buyer and seller each acting
prudently and knowledgeably, and non-happening assuming the price is not affected by undue stimulus.
However, the concepts of open market, fair sale, action with prudence, knowledge and non-happening of undue
stimulus are all subjective and most often, unrealistic assumptions.
There may be substantial gap between subjective valuations and fluctuations of the free market. Thus, the
value of a property does not always correspond to its price. As a result, despite rigorous efforts by time series
econometricians the forces of supply and demand cannot be scientifically predicted.
In a nutshell, value is the typical price a product fetches in an unregulated market. There are different types
of values which are used in different ways of everyday business. These are original value, book or carrying value,
depreciated or written down value, sale value, purchase value, replacement value, market value, economic
value, residual value, scrap value etc. What investors buy is the future benefits and not the past. The point to be
carefully noted that there is nothing called the correct value or the right value. It all depends upon the type of
value which is being measured, the purpose of valuation, the methods adopted and the assumptions made. The
valuation which seems to be base today may be criticised and rejected tomorrow based on variations in the
subjective conditions that we have discussed.
Distinction between Price and Value
The price may be understood as the amount of money or other consideration asked for or given in exchange for
something else. The price is therefore, an outcome of a transaction whereas the value may not necessarily require
the arrival of a transaction. The value exists even if some assets become unable to generate cash flows today but
can generate in future on the happening of some events.
Experts are of the opinion that valuation must be differentiated from price. While the fair value of an asset is
based on the assessment of intrinsic value accruing from fundamentals on a stand-alone basis, varying return
expectation and underlying strategic aspects for different bidders could influence the price. A purchase and sale
would be possible only when two parties while forming different views as to the value of an asset, are eventually
able to reach agreement on the same price. It would be better appreciated by recognition of the fact that
Government can only realise what a buyer is willing to pay for the PSU, as the purchase price ultimately agreed
reflects its value to the buyer.
Another notable point is that valuation is a subjective figure arrived at by the bidder by leveraging his strengths with
the potential of the company. Depending on the level of business synergy with the target company, perception
of specific value realization and varying assessment regarding productivity, capex, etc., this figure may vary from
bidder to bidder.
The oil reserve of an identified basin owned by a a hydrocarbon exploration company may not have any value
when the oil price is say ` 70 per barrel and the extraction cost of that oil is ` 110. However, when the price reaches
to ` 130 and is expected to prevail around this figure, it may have significant value.
Another example reaffirms that price and value is not same. A lawyer is having some question regarding a
professional assignment having remuneration of ` 2,50,000. He browses through some pages of a book at a
bookshop and buys it for ` 40,000. He has an idea in his mind that the book is essential for earning professional
services fees of ` 2,50,000 and expected contribution from the book would be around ` 80,000. At this stage the
value / worth of that book is ` 80,000. However, after reading the book he feels that the book is not useful for his
assignment. If the same book cannot be returned to the shop, its disposal value would be negligible.

182 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Valuation
Knowing what an asset is worth and what determines that value is a pre-requisite for intelligent decision making.
Valuation is an essential prerequisite in choosing investments for a portfolio, in deciding on the appropriate price
to pay or receive in a takeover, and in making investment, financing and dividend choices while running a
business. The basic premise of a valuation exercise is that the valuer can make reasonable estimates of value for
most assets. The same fundamental principles determine the values of all types of assets, real as well as financial.
Some assets are easier to value than others as the details of valuation vary from asset to asset and the uncertainty
associated with value estimates is different for different assets. However, the core principles remain the same.
The value of any asset must equal the present value of its future cash flows, discounted at a rate that reflects its
inherent risk. Since neither the future cash flows nor the appropriate discount rate can be known with certainty,
valuation is always estimation. Several valuation methods are used to value a business but not a single method
can be vouched to predict the exact price at which an entity can be sold.
Valuing a business is a pivotal function while acquiring a company as the buyer will be willing to pay the price
depending on the synergy value that will result when the companies are combined. The more the synergy value
a particular acquisition can generate, the higher the price an acquirer will be willing to pay.
In case of equity shares valuation is used for
1. stock selection,
2. concluding market expectation,
3. evaluating corporate events,
4. setting up an opinion,
5. evaluating business strategies,
as a communication among management, shareholders and analysts, appraisal etc.
Business Valuation
The art of valuation as an exercise is not just a discipline for finance professionals and investors. Used properly, it
can be a powerful, perhaps the most powerful, way that managers can run their companies in an increasingly
competitive world. By integrating accounting and performance measures with strategic thinking and day-to-
day operations, managers can learn to take decisions that enhance their businesses and add real value. As
knowledge capital becomes increasingly important, traditional financial measures such as earnings and book
value are accounting for less and less of a companys actual market price. Investors are paying great attention to
non-financial factors in their efforts to assess the value of corporations.
In the USA, the importance of shareholders value is almost universally accepted in business. The concept is
here defined as being not only the market value added (MVA) this is the difference between the stock market
capitalization of a company and the capital that has been invested in it but also growth in employment and high
productivity. Although share prices fluctuate, over time they tend to reflect the underlying value of a company.
American CEOs and senior managers are expected to focus on creating shareholders value in their corporations.
This is not true in case of Europe and Asia. In these regions, corporations are seen as having other obligations
to their communities. Governments often define and regulate a companys duties towards its stakeholders.
Stakeholders include employees, customers, suppliers, the state, lenders, investors and the general public of the
society as a whole. Critics condemn the shareholders value approach as harmful to society as a whole. Rights
and obligations of stakeholders are given greater weight. Supporters of the stakeholder system have argued that
focusing on shareholders value may hurt the interests of other stakeholders, in particular the employees of the
company.
However, there remains possibilities of counter argument that most successful companies in any given market
would tend to enjoy better productivity, better Market Value Added (MVA) and employ more people than their
competitors. MVA is the difference between market value of its equity and debt and its economics book value

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 183


Business Valuation Basics

of capital. In other words, successful companies are maximising shareholders value even if they do not explicitly
say so. In doing so they are also benefiting, not damaging, the other stakeholders interests. Shareholders value
implies a stock market where company shares are widely held by the public. Information about a Company is less
easily available in countries such as Germany and Japan, where shareholdings are concentrated in the hands of
promoters and financial institutions. Share prices may not reflect values as closely as they do in more efficient stock
markets. There is less incentive for managers to strive to create shareholder value.
Furthermore, the spectre of a hostile takeover does not loom as powerfully as it does in the USA. The USA has a
huge market for mergers and acquisitions (M&A) that is partly driven by perceived weaknesses in the current
management. Elsewhere, managers may not be as concerned that inefficiency may lead to a takeover.
[A hostile takeover is the acquisition of one company (called the target company) by another (called the acquirer)
that is accomplished by going directly to the company's shareholders or fighting to replace management to get
the acquisition approved.]
Purpose of Business Valuation

Purpose of Valuation Examples


Valuation for Purchase and sale of an entity or an independent Cash Generating Unit or Division,
transactions M&A, reverse merger, recapitalisation, capital restructuring, Equity participation by an
external investor like Private Equity and Venture Capital Funds, Leverage Buy Out (LBO),
Management by Objective (MBO), Management Buy In, Disinvestment by Joint Venture
Partner or a Promoter, IPO, ESOPs, buy back of shares, project planning and so on
Valuation for court Bankruptcy, contractual disputes, ownership disputes, dissenting and oppressive
cases shareholder cases, divorce cases, intellectual property disputes and others.
Valuation for Fair value accounting, tax issues
compliances
Valuation for Estate planning, personal financial planning, M&A planning, strategic planning
planning

The list is inclusive and not exhaustive.


Different approaches to Business Valuation
Analysts use a wide spectrum of models, ranging from the simple to the sophisticated. These models often make
very different assumptions about the fundamentals that determine value, but they do share some common
characteristics and can be classified in broader terms. There are several advantages to such a classification as
such classified items make it is easier to understand where individual models fit in to the big picture, why they
provide different results and when they have fundamental errors in logic.
In general terms, there are three approaches to valuation. The first, discounted cash flow valuation, relates the
value of an asset to the present value of expected future cash flows on that asset. The second, relative valuation,
estimates the value of an asset by looking at the pricing of comparable assets relative to a common financial
variable like future earnings, cash flows, book value or sales. The third, contingent claim valuation uses option pricing
models to measure the value of assets that share option characteristics. While they can yield different estimates
of value, one of the objectives of discussing valuation models is to explain the reasons for such differences, and to
help in picking the right model to use for a specific task.
These three methods, however, does not consider another method and that is explored value through auction
bidding or public tendering. One may argue that this is not a process for valuation as such since the bidders will
conduct their own valuation exercise before putting up their respective bids.
Stakeholders of Valuation
For whom do we value? The fundamental role of valuation is to offer a base for negotiation between buyer and
seller. It has a great repercussion that can affect the whole financial and strategic dynamics of decision for which
the valuation is being conducted. However, an inclusive list of entities that are presumed to be affected by wrong

184 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


or improper valuation will help understanding the role of valuation.
Shareholders who provide capital to the business;
The company itself they may become a takeover target or the prospective acquirer of the target company
or may merge with another company;
Financial experts who help in financial decision making;
The buyers of property and business who help in creating orderly market;
Banks and otherswho provide loan by taking the property or financial assets like equity shares as a collateral;
Mutual funds and Hedge funds, Private Equity Players, Venture Capitalists, etc. who heavily invest in listed
and unlisted companies and / or securities;
Insurance companies who provide risk mitigating products and invest in insecurities
Governments who buy products and services and deposit money with banks, mutual funds and others and
/ or participate in equity capital as a co-investor or qcquirer.
Whole economy a robust banking system is the necessary for the economy to move.
Global financial crisis (GFC) has reminded us the crucial significance of the issue of valuation. Fair value accounting
has been blamed as one of the main reasons behind GFC.
With the increase in cross border flow of capital in the form of foreign direct investments (FDI), acquisitions and
M&A transactions, the subject of valuation has become a global issue. Following entities may require valuation
to be carried out; (i) buyer or seller (ii) lender (iii) intermediary like agent, broker etc., (iv) regulatory authorities
such as tax authorities, (v) revenue authorities and (vi) general public. Value can also be estimated, assessed
or determined by professional valuers. Global /corporate investors have become highly demanding and are
extremely focused on maximising corporate value. The list of investors includes high net worth individuals, pension
and hedge funds and investment companies. They no longer remain passive investors but are keen followers of a
companys strategies and actions aimed at maximising and protecting the value of their investments. Valuation
should be done of all assets and liabilities to know what we own and what we owe. Assets must include both
tangibles as well as intangibles. Liabilities include both apparent and contingent.
Key Areas of Valuation
Globalisation has enhanced IT capabilities, all pervasive role of the media and financial analysts and growing
awareness of investors have rendered the situation more complex. Mergers, acquisitions, disinvestments and
corporate takeovers have become the order of the day across the globe and are a regular feature today.
Mentioned below are certain major areas of decision making where valuation plays a key role.
Valuation of equity share in the primary, secondary as well as derivative market;
Private placement of equity shares;
Corporate restructuring and turnaround;
Secured lending including project finance;
Securitization and other debt instruments;
Implementation of Basel-III recommendation;
Portfolio management - Mutual fund, hedge fund and professional investors like PE, VC and Angels;
Long term and medium term investment decisions, M&A, takeovers, divestiture, disinvestment, capital
budgeting, private equity investment, venture capital investment, strategic investors, financial investors and
others;
Dividend decision and buy back of shares;
Borrowing decisions, including by keeping equity shares as collaterals;

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 185


Business Valuation Basics

Financial risk management decisions;


Court case related decisions;
Tax related valuation including transfer pricing;
Development projects valuation;
Intangible assets;
Financial reporting valuation;
Equity research;
Forensic accounting and financial fraud investigation;
Dissolution of firm, partner buyout and admission;
Insurance product valuation;
Estate planning and financial planning;
Corporate planning;
Property valuation;
Value based performance measurement;
Credit rating;
Fairness and solvency opinion; and
Charitable donation.
Apart from the above, there could be reasons like divorce etc. which could often be treated as occasions for
valuation. However, we will consider it beyond the scope of our study.
Valuer
There are different types of providers of valuation services. Like International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)
for accounting, and reporting, there is no single consistent valuation standard applicable across the world. In USA,
UK, Canada and other developed countries the valuation service provide there exist professional institutes that
provide necessary education training for valuation services and the profession is regulated to a large extent. In
India, valuation profession is yet to be regulated; there is no specified qualification for performing valuation. As of
today, the profession is fragmented and may be considered at its developing phase. This probably could be the
reason, why there is lack of clarity, consistency, transparency and quality in valuation reports.
Several Cost & Management Accountant firms are providing valuation services. With the introduction of fair value
accounting under Indian Accounting Standards (Ind AS), the professional service field of valuation practice is
bound to grow. It is relevant to mention here that India has adopted a new set of standards called Ind AS with the
objective to converge towards IFRS.
Merchant bankers, venture capitalists and private equity investors perform valuation usually as a part of a
transaction. Banks, financial institutions, and investment banking consulting and advisory services professionals
also participate in valuations of their companies or segments of their companies or for their investment activities.
Large brokerage houses have their own stock analysts team who perform valuation on a regular basis and use this
information for publishing research reports and advising clients. Services of valuation are really broad based and
should not be confused with that of actuaries who render much specialised services.
In todays financial world, equity and business valuation services as a profession has become a commodity.
Any and every professional provides these services. It is therefore, absolutely essential that quality differentials
are maintained with absolutely dispassionate and independent involvement in valuation activities, so that the
provided valuation of any asset and expert opinion on the same can be relied upon for informed judgement and
business decisions.

186 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


5.2 PRINCIPLES AND TECHNIQUES OF VALUATION

Principles of Valuation
Like other areas of finance, valuation is also based on some basic foundations which we refer to as principles. We
find six principles of valuation that provide basic ground work for different techniques of valuation we will refer to
in the next part. Principles of valuation are:
Principle of Substitution,
Principle of Alternative,
Principle of Time Value of Money,
Principle of Expectation,
Principle of Risk & Return, and
Principle of Reasonableness and Reconciliation of value.
(i) Principle of Substitution
If business A can be replicated at X amount then that business is worth X amount. If a similar business B is
available at a price less than X amount, then business A has worth less than X amount. This principle ensures
that understanding of market is important and forced comparison would lead to flawed valuation. This simply
indicates that risk-averse investor will not pay more for a business if another desirable substitute exists either by
creating new or by buying. Yet at the same no two businesses can be considered as exactly equal. Selection of
the nearest comparable transaction for validation of the valuation done for any given asset is, therefore, very
critical and equally challenging.
(ii) Principle of Alternatives
No single decision maker is confined to one transaction. Each party to the transaction has alternatives to fulfilling
the transaction for a different price and with different party. Since no single transaction could be a perfect
substitute to another transaction one may consider paying some premium or deduct some amount by way of
adjustment if the investment meets strategic interest.
When someone is buying a business it should be kept in mind that the same should not be bought at any cost as
if no alternative exists. In stock market and auction market in most of the cases bidders bid simply because of the
fact that others are bidding and that simply raises the price. This Case is simply explained as near miss situation
where one realizes that price is far greater than value.
(iii) Principle of Time Value of Money
This is the most basic and frequently used tool used in corporate finance as well as valuation. It suggests that value
can be measured by calculating present value of future cash flows discounted at the appropriate discount rate.
Such discount rate may be weighted average cost of capital invested / to be invested, or risk equated rate in
addition to the risk free return. In certain cases of valuation, it can be estimated rate of inflation in the economy.
Investment opportunities may offer differing cash flows, business and earnings growth prospects and risk profile.
Principle of time value of money helps us to discriminate those opportunities and to select the best subject to given
parameter.
(iv) Principle of Expectation
Cash flows are based on the expectations about the performance in future and not the past. In case of mature
companies, we may conservatively assume that growth from today or after some certain period would be
constant. The difficult part is not only to determine or estimate the extent and direction of business growth but also
estimated price(s) of product and / or services as well as various elements of cost of goods sold keeping in view
the general condition of the business ecosystem in future years. These assumptions will have significant impact on
valuation.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 187


Business Valuation Basics

(v) Principle of Risk & Return


Harry Markowitz, the father of modern finance was first to quantify risk and used the same in portfolio decision
making. Based on risk- return criteria he suggested ways to identify optimal portfolio.
Markowitz has made two important assumptions. First, an investor is risk averse. Second, an investor would prefer
higher amount of wealth than the lower one. The reason is higher wealth leads to possibility of higher consumption.
Given two possible portfolios with similar risk profile, the one with higher expected return will be preferred. These
two assumptions are most integral part of valuation exercise.
(vi) Principle of Reasonableness & Reconciliation
In valuation exercise we need to deal with large number of uncertainties and we have to go for assumptions.
This sixth principle suggests how far these assumptions are reasonable and it reconciles different values obtained
under different approaches.
In valuation we should be careful about:
Inconsistency in judgement and assumptions;
Conceptual flaws;
Projection modelling and formula errors;
A valuation without reasonable check and reconciliation exercise is not complete and would be difficult to
defend. It is pertinent to note Revenue Ruling 59-60 of USA that offers seven factors which must be considered in
any valuation exercise.
The nature of the business and the history of the enterprise from its inception;
Economic outlook in general and condition of the outlook of the specific industry in particular;
The book value of the stock and financial condition of the business;
The earnings and dividend paying capacity of the company;
Whether the business is having any intangible assets;
Sales of the stock and the size of the block of stock to be valued; and
The market price of stocks of companies engaged in similar business having their respective stocks actively
traded in a free and open market or an exchange or over the counter.
Valuation Bias
A valuation specialist starts valuing a firm with certain assumptions and certain preconceived conditions about
how the business ecosystem related to the company and sector to which it belongs, will shape up. All too often,
views on a company are formed before the specialist starts inserting the numbers, determined using those
assumptions, into the financial / econometric models that is used. Not surprisingly, conclusions tend to reflect
his / her preconceived conditions, biases both about the company and assumptions. A reviewer will begin by
considering the sources of bias in valuation and then move on to evaluate how biases manifest in the valuation
and to what extent it has been impacted. The reviewer then closes with a discussion of how best to minimise or at
least deal with bias in valuations.
Sources of Valuation Bias
The bias in valuation starts with the companies that is chosen to be valued. These choices are almost never
random, and how valuers are made can start laying the foundation for bias. It may be that the valuer has read
some news item or research based data points, good or bad, in the press or any other published literature about
the company and its related business sector or heard from an expert that it was under or overvalued. Thus, valuers
already begin with a perception about the company that they are about to value. Valuer add to the bias when we
collect the information they need to value the firm. The annual report and other financial statements include not
only operating results and financial state of affar is but also management discussions and analysis of performance,

188 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


guidance for near future outlook and various risk factors for the sector in general and the entity in particular. All
these often put the best possible revolve on the numbers, with many larger companies. It is easy to access what
other analysts following the stock think about these companies.
In many valuations, there are institutional factors that add to this already substantial bias. For instance, it is an
acknowledged fact that equity research analysts are more likely to issue buy rather than sell recommendations, i. e.,
that they are more likely to find firms to be undervalued than overvalued. This can be traced partly to the difficulties
analysts face in obtaining access and collecting information on firms that they have issued sell recommendations
on, and partly to pressure that they face from portfolio managers, some of whom might have large positions in the
stock, and from their own firms investment banking arm which have other profitable relationships with the firms
under valuation exercise.
The reward and punishment structure associated with finding companies to be under and overvalued is also a
contributor to bias. An analyst whose compensation is dependent upon whether he / she finds a firm is under
or overvalued will be biased in his / her conclusions. This should explain why acquisition valuations are so often
biased upwards. The analysis of the deal, which is usually done by the acquiring firms investment banker, who also
happens to be responsible for carrying the deal to its successful conclusion, can come to one of two conclusions.
One is to find that the deal is seriously overpriced and recommends rejection, in which case the analyst receives
the eternal gratitude of the stockholders of the acquiring firm but little else. The other is to find that the deal makes
sense, no matter what the price is and to reap large financial windfall gain from getting the deal done.
Perceptions (bias) about Companies are manifested in Business Valuation
There are three ways in which an analysts views, perceptions on a company and most likely human biases that
creep in can manifest themselves in value. The first is in the inputs that are used in the valuation. When analysts
values companies, they constantly make assumptions to move on. These assumptions can be optimistic or
pessimistic. For a company with high operating margins now, one can either assume that competition will drive
the margins down to industry averages very quickly (pessimistic) or that the company will be able to maintain its
margins for an extended period (optimistic). The chosen path will reflect prior biases of the analyst. It should come
as no surprise that at the end of a day the value that is arrived at is reflective of the optimistic or pessimistic choices
made along the way.
There are two more important factors. The first one is the PESETL* analysis done prior to develop the financial
model, to help conducting predictive analysis of business environment for the sector under which the concerned
business falls, that will influence assumptions and estimation of financial variables. And the second one is due
diligence conducted to estimate how the internal factors and directional changes that have been planned will
affect operational and financial performance of the company in future. Many research scholars have pointed out
that a large number of M&A transactions have either failed or not generated the predicted results, as considered
in valuation model, due to wrong assumptions, which again could have been free from bias and more accurately
considered if findings from due diligence would have been more bearing with facts.
*Note: PESTEL analysis means analyses of Political, Economic, Societal, Environmental and Legal aspects of business
ecosystem that prevailed at the time of conducting the valuation exercise and will shape up in future which will
influence market conditions, operations and financial factors related to the business entity which or whose equity
shares are being valued.
The second is in what is called post-valuation tinkering, where analysts revisit assumptions after a valuation in
an attempt to get a value closer to what they had expected to obtain starting off. Thus, an analyst who values
a company at `150 per share, when the market price is `250, may revise his growth rates upwards and his risk
downwards to come up with a higher value, if he /she believed that the company was undervalued to begin with.
The third is to leave the value as is but attribute the difference between the estimated value and the value he /
she thinks is the right one to a qualitative factor such as synergy related savings or strategic considerations. This is
a common device in acquisition valuation where analysts are often called upon to justify the unjustifiable. In fact,
the use of premiums and discounts, where the estimated value is augmented or reduced, provides a window
on the bias in the process. The use of premiums control and synergy are good examples of commonplace in
acquisition valuations, where the bias is towards pushing value upwards to justify high acquisition prices to use of
discounts illiquidity and minority discounts.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 189


Business Valuation Basics

Process to Minimize Valuation Bias


Bias cannot be regulated or legislated out of existence. Analysts are human beings and both knowingly and
unknowingly bring their biases to the table. However, there are ways and means by which we can mitigate the
effects of bias on valuation:
(i) Reduce institutional pressures: A significant portion of bias can be attributed to institutional factors. Equity
research analysts in the 1990s, for instance, in addition to dealing with all of the standard sources of bias
had to grapple with the demand from their employers that they bring in investment banking business.
Institutions that want honest sell-side equity research should protect their equity research analysts who issue
sell recommendations on companies, not only from irate companies but also from their own sales people and
portfolio managers.
(ii) De-link valuations from reward/punishment: Any valuation process where the reward or punishment
is conditional to the outcome of the valuation will result in biased valuations. In other words, if we want
acquisition valuations to be unbiased, we have to separate the deal analysis from the deal making to reduce
bias.
(iii) No pre-commitments: Decision makers should avoid taking strong public positions on the value of a firm before
the valuation is complete. An acquiring firm that comes up with a price prior to the valuation of a target firm
has put analysts in an untenable position, where they are called upon to justify this price. In far too many cases,
the decision on whether a firm is under or overvalued precedes the actual valuation, leading to seriously
biased analyses. Therefore, analysts should both the independent and dispassionate without any direct and
indirect link to the purpose and objective for which the valuation statement will be used.
(iv) Self-Awareness: The best antidote to bias is awareness. An analyst who is aware of the biases he or she brings
to the valuation process can either actively try to confront these biases when making input choices or open
the process up to more objective points of view about a companys future. For this purpose, they have to
also validate the inferences drawn from findings of PESTEL analysis and due diligence exercise without any
preconceived notion or perception. Otherwise bias will creep into their assumptions and estimations of
numbers to be used as inputs for the valuation model.
(v) Honest reporting: In Bayesian statistics, analysts are required to reveal their priors (biases) before they present
their results from an analysis. Thus, an environmentalist will have to reveal that he or she strongly believes that
there is a hole in the ozone layer before presenting empirical evidence to that effect. The person reviewing
the study can then factor that bias while looking at the conclusions. Valuations would be much more useful if
analysts revealed their biases up front.
While we cannot eliminate bias in valuations, we can try to minimize its impact by designing valuation processes
that are more protected from overt outside influences and by report our biases with our estimated values.
Uncertainties in Business Valuation
Starting early in life, peoples are taught that if they do things right, they will get the right answers. In other words,
the precision of the answer is used as a measure of the quality of the process that yielded the answer. While this
may be appropriate in mathematics or physics, it is a poor measure of quality in valuation. Barring a very small
subset of assets, there will always be uncertainty associated with valuations, and even the best valuations come
with a substantial margin for error. In this section, we examine the sources of uncertainty and the consequences
for valuation.
The value of a business is not a static figure. It depends on change in purpose or circumstances. There are number
of uncertainties involved in the valuation process which if not handled appropriately, would lead to an absurd
value. Valuer may design complex financial models with several inputs to handle uncertainties but that does not
mean that the value derived is reasonable or the process is sound. What valuer need to understand is the impact
of each input on the value. Giving attention to following factors is crucial:
The macro economic factors.
The business.

190 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Its growth potential in the industry in which it operates.
How is the business positioned?
Who are the competitors?
What is the quality and stability of the companys management?
The principles and methods of valuation are well settled and they are more or less the same across the classes
of transactions. What changes in the course of deriving value is the selection of approaches and methods. Seller
would like to get as much as possible and buyer would like to pay as little as possible. Somewhere between these
two the deal takes place. Could it be mentioned that value is the price at which the deal takes place? What if
there is no buyer or there is no intention to sell. Could it be concluded that the object or business is worth nothing?
The answer is No. There is a bigger fool theory which says any price can be justified if a buyer is ready to pay
the price. It might be you who is the last buyer ready to pay the any price. The theory makes us understand that
every price cannot be value and vice versa. We need to differentiate between value and price.
Misconceptions about Valuation
There are many areas in valuation where remains the scope for disagreement, including how to estimate true
value and how long it will take prices to adjust to true value. But asset prices cannot be justified merely by using
the argument that other investors are willing to pay higher price in future. Like all analytical disciplines, valuation
has developed its own Myths.
Myth 1: A valuation is an Objective search for true value.
There will hardly be any valuation exercise which can remain cent percent free from bias of the valuation team
members or valuer. However, the question is how much and in which direction. Understandably all ethically sound
professional valuers, worth the name, will make all possible efforts to objectively conduct the exercise to find out
the near actual value with certainty equivalent approach. However, the direction in magnitude of whatever little
or more impact of bias creeps into the assumptions and tool selection is directly proportional to who pays for the
asset being valued and how much professional fee is being paid to the valuer.
Myth 2: Since valuation models are quantitative, valuation is better.
However, ones understanding of a valuation model is inversely proportional to the number of inputs required for
the model. Moreover, simpler valuation models work out much better than complex ones.
It seems obvious that making a model more complete and complex should yield better valuation. But it is not
necessarily so. As models become more complex the number of inputs needed to value a firm tends to increase.
Problems are compounded when models become too complex to become black boxes. When a valuation fails
the blame gets attached to the model rather than the analyst. Valuer often complains It was not my fault. The
model did it.
The following three points are common and important in all valuation works:
Principle of parsimony, which essentially states that you do not use more inputs than what is actually needed.
There should be trade-off between additional benefit arising from more inputs and cost arising from input errors
and using more number of inputs.
The models or tools adopted do not value companies but the valuer does.
All information inputs and data points considered to frame the assumptions are a time of excessive information.
Identifying the minimum relevant information is almost as important as the valuation models and techniques that
a valuer uses to value a firm.
Myth 3: A well-researched and well done valuation tends to be timeless
The value obtained in any valuation model is affected by firm-specific as well as market related information. As a
consequence, the value will change as new information is revealed. Given the constant flow of information into
financial markets, a valuation done on a firm quickly becomes dated and has to be updated to reflect correct

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 191


Business Valuation Basics

information. In practice many stock brokerage firms publish bi-yearly follow up valuation updates for large listed
companies after publishing a detailed research based valuation.
Information about the state of the economy and the level of interest affects all valuation in an economy. When
analysts change their valuation, they will undoubtedly be asked to justify the change and in some cases the fact
that valuation change over time is viewed as a problem. The best response may be the one that John Maynard
Keynes gave when he was criticized for changing his position on a major economic issue: When the facts change
I change my mind and what do you do, sir?
Myth 4: A good valuation provides a precise estimate of value.
The truth remains that there is no concept of precise valuation. The recompense of valuation is greatest when
valuation is least precise.
Myth 5: To make money on valuation, you have to assume that markets are inefficient.
If a market is efficient then market price is the best estimate of value. However, it has been empirically tested
that no single market is efficient for estimating price. It is recognised that market makes mistakes but finding those
mistakes requires a combination of skill and knowledge. This view of markets generally leads to the following
conclusions:
If something looks good to be true, a stock looks obviously undervalued or overvalued is properly not true.
When the value from an analysis is significantly different from the market price, start-off with the presumption
that the market is correct; then valuer has to convince himself that this is not the case before valuer to conclude
that something is over or undervalued. The higher standard may lead you to be more cautious in following
through on valuation but given the difficulty of beating the market this is not an undesirable outcome.
Myth 6: The product of valuation (i.e., value) matters and not the valuation
Valuation models focus exclusively on the outcome. That is the value of the company and whether it is over or
undervalued. In most of the cases valuable internal points are missed out that can be obtained from the process
of valuation and can answer some of the most fundamental questions, e.g.,
What is the appropriate price to pay for high growth?
What is a brand name worth?
How important is to return and project?
What is the effect of profit margin on value?
Myth 7: How much a business is worth depends on what the valuation is used for?
The value of a business is its fair market value, that is what a willing buyer will pay to a willing seller when each is
fully informed and under no pressure to transact.
Standard of Value
Standard of value is nothing but a definition of the type of value being sought. Important at the stage is to refer
the definition of standard of value as per the International glossary of business valuation terms which is The
identification of the type of value being utilised in a specific engagement; for example, fair market value, fair
value, investment value. This definition is inclusive but not exhaustive. Standard of value can be taken depending
upon the purpose of the valuation. The standard of value depends upon time of engagement which gives the
purpose of valuation. Five most common standard of value which are used practice are;
Fair market value,
Investment value,
Intrinsic value,
Fair value, and
Market value.

192 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Choice of appropriate standard of value may be dictated by circumstances, objective, contract and operation
of law or other factors. Pertinent questions to be answered before choosing an appropriate standard of value are;
What is being valued?
What is the purpose of valuation?
Does the property or business changes hands or does controlling power to manage the asset is being handed
over to the person paying for the value since such a transfer will be at a premium?
Who are the buyer and seller?
We will describe each of those five standards of values. But to begin with we introduce book value.
Book Value
Book value is an accounting concept and implies historical assets less outside liabilities. It is rarely used in valuation.
The book value per share is simply the networth of the company, which is equal to paid up equity capital plus
reserves and surplus, divided by the number of outstanding equity shares. For example, if the net worth of Zenith
Limited is ` 37 million and the number of outstanding equity shares of Zenith is 2 million, the book value per share
works out to ` 18.50, i. e., ` 37 million divided by 2 million shares .
How relevant and useful is the book value per share as a measure of investment value? The book value per
share is firmly rooted in financial accounting and hence can be established relatively easily and the same is
automatically attested by the statutory auditors. Due to this, its proponents argue that it represents an objective,
measure of value. A closer examination, however, quickly revels that what is regarded as objective is based on
accounting conventions and policies, which are characterised by a great deal of subjectively and arbitrariness,
unless otherwise mitigated by the mandatory accounting standards, and disclosure requirements to be followed.
An allied and a more powerful criticism against the book value measure is that the historical balance sheet figure
on which it is based are often very diverged for current economic value. Numbers in financial statements really
reflect earning power and hence the book value per share cannot be regarded as a proxy for true investment
value.
Liquidation Value
This method assesses the value of a business by gauging its value if were to cease operations and sell its individual
assets. Under this approach, the business owner would receive no compensation for business goodwill, band value
for the entity and its products, which are not recognised in financial statements, and other intangible assets such
as the companys name, location, customer base, or accumulated experience. This method is divided into forced
liquidations say in case of bankruptcy and orderly liquidations. Values are typically figured higher in the latter
instances. Asset-based lenders and banks tend to favour this method, because they view the liquidation value of
a companys tangible assets to be the only valuable collateral to the loan. But it is unpopular with most business
owners because of the lack of consideration given to goodwill, brand values and other intangible assets.
XY
The liquidation value per share is equal to:
Z
X : Value realized from liquidating all the assets of the firm.
Y : Amount to be paid to all the creditors and preference shareholders.
Z : Number of outstanding equity shares.
To illustrate lets assume that M Limited would realise ` 40 million from the liquidation of its assets and pay ` 20 million
to its creditors and preference shareholders in full and final settlement of their claims. If the number of equity share
of M Limited is 2 million, the liquidation per share works out to (` 40 million ` 20 million) / 2 million = ` 10 per share.
When the liquidation value appears more realistic than the book value, there are two serious problems in applying
it:-
(I) It is very difficult to estimate what amount should be realised from the liquidation of various assets.
(II) the liquidation value does not reflect earning capacity.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 193


Business Valuation Basics

International Glossary of Business Value Terms (IGBVT) defines three types of liquidation value:
Liquidation value: The net amount that would be realised if the business is terminated and the assets are sold
piecemeal. Liquidation can either be orderly or forced.
Force Liquidation value: Liquidation value at which the asset or assets are sold as quickly as possible such as at an
auction.
Orderly Liquidation value: Liquidation value at which the assets are sold over a reasonable period of time to
maximise value to be realised from assets and payments to be made.
Now we describe the five most common Standard of Value
(1) Fair Market Value (FMV)
FMV is the most widely used standard of value in business valuation. The AICPA of USA, while issuing Statement on
Standards for Valuation Services, has adopted IGBVT. It defines FMV as
The price expressed in terms of cash equivalents, at which property would change hands between a hypothetical
willing and able buyer and a hypothetical willing and able seller, acting at arms length in an open and unrestricted
market, when neither is under compulsion to buy or sell and when both have reasonable knowledge of the relevant
facts.
Following example makes FMV simple.
Mr. A owns 20% of a business and the balance 80% is owned by the other people. Here Mr. A has what is called a
minority interest in the business. The question is whether worth of Mr. A will be taken as proportionate value of the
business under FMV standard of value. Lets assume business is worth ` 200 million.
The 20% interest in the business would be worth less than `40 million. In the open market willing and able buyers
pay perhaps 15% of the total value for a 20% interest because they are subject to control of the 80% owners. That
means there will be discount known as DLOC, i. e., called as discount for lack of control. It does necessarily mean
the minority owner of 20% of the company will have to depend upon the managerial capability of the controlling
shareholder and have to leave his asset at his disposal. He is taking a risk of probable lower return than market
rate and hence the new buyer will look for a discount. If it is a case of closely held company, then there would be
further discount on account of what is called as DLOM or discount for lack of marketability. This discount is counted
to cover the fact that it will be difficult to sell the minority shares of closely held companies.
If a business is marketable, then FMV seems to be the appropriate standard of value. If a closely held business
cannot be compared with a listed company FMV may not be the appropriate standard. The issue is not whether
it can be used or not. Rather the issue is whether it can be determined or not.
(2) Investment Value
IGBVT defines Investment value as the value to a particular investor based on his / her investment requirements
and expectations. Simply stated, it gives the value of an asset or business to a specific unique investor and,
therefore, considers the investors specific knowledge about the business, own capabilities, expectation of risks
and return and other associated factors. Synergies are considered to a specific purchaser. For these reasons
investment value may result in higher value than FMV. Some of the factors which may cause difference between
FMV and investment value are:
Estimates of future cash flows or earnings;
Perception of risk;
Tax advantages;
Synergy to other products;
Other strategic advantages and so on.
An example makes the concept of investment value clear.

194 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Mr. A owns 20% of a business and the balance 80% is owned by the other people. Whether, worth of Mr. As share
will be taken as proportionate value of the business, if intrinsic value is used as standard of value. Even it can be
more than the proportionate value if this 20% acquisition meets some strategic interest of the investor. The question
of DOLM need not necessarily come as the investor is looking for long term strategic investment. In case of small
business, the investment value should be the definition of value as only an investor with specific knowledge of the
business would be interested in buying the business. Under this one values the business in the hands of specific
investor.
(3) Intrinsic Value or Fundamental Value
Intrinsic or fundamental value is used when an investor wants true or real value on the basis of an analysis of
fundamentals without considering the prevailing price in the market. It is true economic worth of a share, business
or property.
IGBVT defines intrinsic value as the value that an investor considers, on the basis of an evaluation or available
facts to be the true or real value that will become the market value when other investors reach the same
conclusion. Graham & Dodd has defined the intrinsic value as the value which is justified by assets, earnings,
dividends definite prospects and factor of management. There are four major components of intrinsic value of
a going concern:
Level of normal earning power and profitability in the employment of assets as distinguished from the reported
earnings which may be and frequently are, distorted by transient influences;
Dividends actually paid or the capacity to pay such dividends currently and in the future;
A realistic expectation about the trend line growth of earning power; and
Stability and predictability of those quantitative and qualitative projections of the future economic value of
the enterprise.
Intrinsic value and investment value may seem like similar concepts but they are different. The first represents an
estimate of value based on the expected cash flow of the business and not of the investor. The second represents
an estimate of value based on expected cash flow in the hands of a specific investor.
(4) Fair Value
The fair value as standard of value is understood differently in the two situations mentioned below:
(i) In legal matters
(ii) In financial reporting purpose
Financial Accounting Standard Board is the accounting standards setting body for US-GAAP (Generally Accepted
Accounting Principle) reporting has issued SFAS (Statement of Financial Accounting Standard) No. 157 - Fair Value
Measurements. This is also known as mark to market standard. These establish a frame work for measurements of
fair value and require discloser about measurement but it does not require fair value accounting for any position.
Its guidance is relevant only when accounting standard require or permit position to be accounted for at fair
value.
The standard provides the single authoritative definition of fair value for the US-GAAP reporting. The definition of
fair value reads as The price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly
transaction between market participants at the measurement date. International Financial Reporting Standard
(IFRS) which for the timing does not have a single authority definition of fair value. The guidance on measuring fair
value is scattered throughout IFRSs and they are also not consistent. A general definition of fair value under IFRS
reads as the amount for which an asset could be exchanged or a liability settled between knowledgeable, willing
parties in an arms length transaction.
Exit Price Vs Entry Price:
An exit notion where an organisation can get out of the assets and the liability position through orderly transaction
with market participants at the measurement date. Simply stated, this standard requires valuing assets on what

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 195


Business Valuation Basics

they could fetch in the market or what is to be paid on transfer of liability that is the exit price (Sale price). This
does not require the entity intention or its ability to sell assets or transfer liability at the measurement date. As far
FASB price shall not be adjusted for transaction costs as they are not an attribute of the assets or liability. A willing
buyer may like to pay more because of his strategic intent of using the same set of assets post acquisition with his
own plan and he is confident generate more value than what it can by the present management in the given
condition.
Further a fair value measurement assumes the highest and best use of the asset from the perspective of market
participant without considering how the company is going to use it. This also requires considering that the use
of the asset physically possible, financially feasible and legally permissible. The word Exchanged under IFRS
definition can have both situations Exit price as well as entry price (Purchase price).
Market participants in an orderly transaction
The focus in SFAS is on a market-based measurement. The standard refers to orderly transaction between market
participants:
Are willing to transact without acting under any pressure or influence.
Are independent.
Are knowledgeable having full understanding about the asset or liability and is capable to settle the transaction.
Reliable to transact.
The orderly transaction is not forced and not done in a hurry. If the market is not active and prices are not reflective
on an orderly transaction, then an adjustment may be required to arrive at fair value. The unique feature is that the
standard creates a hierarchy of inputs for fair value measurement from most to least reliable.
Level 1 input or evidence for valuation that is based on unadjusted quoted market price in active market for similar
assets. It may be considered for determination of value of an asset, say equity shares of an unlisted company
because the features of its listed peers are almost equivalent to its own.
Level 2 input is based on observed market data, which is directly not comparable vis--vis the asset to be valued
and needs some adjustment to give effect of dissimilarities. For example, between two similar pharmaceutical
companies the listed one has a successfully tried-out drug under patenting, which may yield more income
generation in future but for that rest of the present features are similar.. Accordingly the future earnings forecast
has to be adjusted before arriving at the cash flow stream to be discounted.
Level 3 evidence is based on unobservable input which could be internal models or an estimate of the
management. This is the subject intense debate. It should be kept in mind that fair value measurement requires
significant judgement. The standard has sufficient discloser requirements to counter any manipulation. The investor
can always assess the assumptions and accordingly they may modify decision of investment.
Difference between Fair Value and Fair Market Value
There is no authoritative clarification either under US-GAAP or IFRS about the difference between fair value and
FMV except that these terms are consistent in accounting. This seems to be the reality. However, a few differences
may be traced out as stated below:
Fair value has a hierarchy of inputs for valuation but FMV does not have it.
Fair value considers highest and best use of an asset from the perspective of market participants. This may
result in maximising the value as against consensus value under FMV.
DOLM adjustments may require in certain cases under fair value but adjustment for DOLC is doubtful.
Fair value disregard blockage discount (a decline in the value resulting from the size of position).
The opinion of FASB is clear that when a quoted price is available in the active market it should not be further
reduced for blockage discount. Because the quoted price is without any regard to the intent of the firm to transact
at that price. Without the blockage discount comparability will improve.

196 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Note: Hierarchy for inputs used in measuring fair value that maximizes the use of observable inputs and minimizes
the use of unobservable inputs by requiring that the observable inputs be used when available.
Blockage discount: The difference between the market value of a security and its sale price when transacted under
a block trade. Each blockage discount is negotiated by the involved institutional investors, which incorporates
such factors as market liquidity and the size of the trade.
(5) Market value
Market value standard is generally used in realised valuation. Definition of the term market value is taken from
IVS1, propounded by IVS committee the leading property valuation standard setting body.
Market value is the estimated amount for which a property should exchange on the date of valuation between
a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arms length transaction after proper marketing wherein the parties had
each acted knowledgeably, prudently and without any compulsion.
Highlights of the definition include;
Estimated amount: The determination of highest and best use or most probable use is the first step in estimating
market value. This considers physical possibilities, financial feasibility and highest possible value to the property.
Exchange: Exchange means an estimated amount rather than a predetermined or actual sale price. It also
assumes simultaneous exchange. It however, is not depended of actual price on the date of valuation. Intact
it is an estimate of the price.
On the date: Price is time specific and excludes past or future date market circumstances.
Willing buyer is motivated but not compelled to buy.
Willing seller is motivated to sell at whatever price is available in the current market but not over eager and
not acting under any compulsion.
Proper marketing: The asset should be exposed to market in the most appropriate manner to effects its disposal
at the reasonably obtainable best price.
Acted knowledgeably and prudently: Buyer and seller should reasonably be informed about the nature and
characteristic of the asset, its actual and potential use and the state of the market.
Without compulsion: The transaction should not be forced or coerced.
Another definition of market value can be taken from uniform standard of professional appraisal practice (USPAP)
(2008-2009) which is the property valuation standard setting body in the USA. The USPAP defines market value as
a type of value stated as an opinion, that presume the transfer of a property, meaning is the write of ownership
or a bundle of such rights, as of a certain date under specific conditions set forth in the definition of the term
identified by the appraiser as applicable in an appraisal.
Forming an opinion of market value is the purpose of many real property appraisal assignments. Particularly
when clients intended use more than one intended users, the conditions included in the market value definitions
established market perspective for development of the opinion. Conditions may vary from one definition to other
but generally fall into three categories.
The relationship, knowledge and motivation of the parties, i.e., seller and buyer;
The terms of sell and mode of settlement, e.g., cash, cash equivalent or other terms; and
The condition of sale i.e., expose in a comparative market for a reasonable time prior to sale.
The most important part in property valuation is to define the market value by quoting authority.
Premise of Value
Premise of value represents the general concept under which standard of value falls. IGBVT defines standard of
value as:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 197


Business Valuation Basics

An assumption regarding the most likely set of transaction of circumstances that may be applicable to the
subject valuation for example going concern, liquidation etc.
There are two premise of value, going concern and liquidation. Impact of premise can easily be observed in case
of a loss making company or a company with a poor track record of profit. Going concern is generally taken as
a premise of value. Liquidation is also considered to be another premise. If it offers negative valuation, one may
conclude that business has either no value or very little value.
IGBVT defines going concern as an ongoing operating business enterprise. In other words, the valuer assumes
that the entity will continue with business operations for generating returns against investment. IGBVT further
defines going concern value as the value of a business enterprise that is expected to continue to operate into
the future. The intangible elements of going concern value result from factors such as having a trained work force,
an operational plan and the necessary licenses, system and procedures in place.
Going concern value should not be considered as a standard of value. This should be referred as premise of
value. While resolving litigation in a one court case on valuation, the learned Justice rejected standard of value
described as going concern and ruled that the standard to be used in the valuation of a business was FMV. The
going concern is an attribute of the standard of value like the liquidation.
General Premises of Value
Apart from going concern and liquidation there are four general premises of value.
(1) Value in exchange: This premise contemplates value assuming exchange of an asset representing a business
interest or a property. Some sort of hypothetical transaction is assumed in the valuation. The FMV or market
value and the fair value standard to a very limited exchange can be categorised under value in exchange
premise.
(2) Value in use: This premise contemplates value assuming that assets are engaged in produce in income.
(3) Value in place: This premise contemplates value assuming that assets are ready for use but not engaged for
producing income.
(4) Value to the specific holder: This premise contemplates the value in the hands of a particular buyer or holder
of the assets. Marketability is not the criteria in this place. The investment value falls under the premise of value
and in certain cases even fair value.
Following example distinguishes between values in exchange and value to the specific holder.
Ms. P is an actress in Bollywood and runs a film production company along with her spouse who is not a film star.
Ps film has always been a success because of her style of storytelling and she has established a big reputation in
the film industry. The success of the company is largely depended on her reputation. Of late P has developed a
close relationship with an actor of her company and wants divorce from her spouse.
If the valuation is to be performed for divorce under value in exchange premise, then personal goodwill need to
be separated as only assets of the enterprise could be sold to a hypothetical buyer. Reputation, skills personal
goodwill of P cannot be distinguished from the individual. However, if we change premise of value to value to
specific holder then this goodwill of P should also be considered.
The selection of premise of value mainly depends upon court cases decided in the past and / or specific
circumstances of the cases under consideration as for example the said divorce.

5.3 ROLE OF VALUATION

Role of Valuation in Business Acquisition


Valuation should play a central part of acquisition analysis. The bidding firm or individual has to decide on a fair
value for the target firm before making a bid, and the target firm has to determine a reasonable value for itself
before deciding to accept or reject the offer.

198 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


There are special factors to consider in takeover valuation. First, there is synergy, the increase in value that many
managers foresee as occurring after mergers because the combined firm is able to accomplish things that the
individual firms could not.
When a large FMCG manufacturing company runs its own logistics operations, many operating synergies help
saving costs. The most important of which is not paying for the profit of the external service provider while taking
contracts from others at times of spare capacity. Accordingly, in an assumed takeover bid by a FMCG Company
of such a logistics entity, additional benefits that will be generated, due to consolidation post takeover, should
be considered as a strategic element with consequential cost savings while valuing the business to be taken over
The effects of synergy on the combined value of the two firms, viz., the target plus the bidding firm have to be
considered before a decision is made on the bid. Second, the value of control, which measures the effects on
value of changing management and restructuring the target firm, will have to be taken into account in deciding
on a fair price. This is of particular concern in hostile takeovers.
As we noted earlier, there is possibility of a significant problem with bias in takeover valuations. Target firms may be
over-optimistic in estimating value, especially when the takeover is hostile, and they are trying to convince their
stockholders that the offer price is too low. Similarly, if the bidding firm has decided, for strategic reasons, to do an
acquisition, there may be strong pressure on the analyst to come up with an estimate of value that backs up the
acquisition.
Role of Valuation in Corporate Finance
There is a role for valuation at every stage of a firms life cycle. For small private businesses thinking about expanding,
valuation plays a key role when they approach venture capital (VC) and private equity (PE) investors for more
capital. The share of a firm that a venture capitalist will demand in exchange for a capital infusion will depend
upon the value estimates for the firm.
In the present context of India when thousands of start-ups are vying for VC and PE investors, valuation as a
professional service has assumed critical importance. The business and / or its share capital is to be valued both
at the entry and exit point keeping in view future earning potentials. News items can be read every morning in
financial newspapers about such valuation issues like that of Snapdeal, Flipkart, Zomato, etc.
As the companies get larger and decide to go public through initial public offer for PE or VC firms to exit, valuations
determine the prices at which they are offered to the market in the public offering. At times it is found that PEs
tend to retain some portion of their holdings even after handing over controlling rights and major part of their
earlier holdings. Once established, decisions on where to invest, how much to borrow and how much to return to
the owners will be all decisions that are affected by valuation. If the objective in corporate finance is to maximize
firm value, the relationship between financial decisions, corporate strategy and firm value has to be delineated.
Role of Valuation in Legal and Tax Purposes
Mundane though it may seem, most valuations, especially of private companies, are done for legal or tax reasons.
A partnership has to be valued, whenever a new partner is taken on or an old one retires, and businesses that are
jointly owned have to be valued when the owners decide to break up. Businesses have to be valued for estate
tax purposes when the owner dies and for divorce proceedings when couples break up. While the principles
of valuation may not be different when valuing a business for legal proceedings, the objective often becomes
providing a valuation that the court will accept rather than the right valuation.
Role of Valuation in Portfolio Management
The role that valuation plays in portfolio management is determined in large part by the investment philosophy of
the investor and to what extent he / she is ready to take risks. Valuation plays a minimal role in portfolio management
for a passive investor, whereas it plays a larger role for an active investor. Even among active investors, the nature
and the role of valuation is different for different types of active investments. Market timers use valuation much
less than investors who pick stocks, and the focus is on market valuation rather than on firm- specific valuation.
Among security selectors, valuation plays a central role in portfolio management for fundamental analysts, and a
peripheral role for technical analysts.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 199


Business Valuation Basics

The following sub-section describes, in broad terms, different investment philosophies and the roles played by
valuation in each one.
(1) Fundamental Analysis: The underlying theme in fundamental analysis is that the true value of the firm can be
related to its operational and financial characteristics, particularly related to its growth prospects, risk profile
and cash flows. Any deviation from this true value is a sign that a stock is under or overvalued.
(2) Activist Investors: Activist investors take positions in firms that have a reputation for poor management and
then use their equity holdings to push for change in the way the company is run. Their focus is not so much
on what the company is worth today but what its value would be if it were managed well. Investors like
Carl Icahn, Michael Price and Kirk Kerkorian have prided themselves on their capacity to not only pinpoint
badly managed firms but to also create enough pressure to get management to change its ways. How can
valuation skills help in this pursuit? To begin with, these investors have to ensure that there is additional value
that can be generated by changing management. In other words, they have to separate how much of a
firms poor stock price performance has to do with bad management and how much of it is a function of
external factors. The former are fixable but the latter are not.
They then have to consider the effects of changing management on value. This will require an understanding
of how value will change as a firm changes its investment, financing, operating and dividend policies as well as
execution methodologies. These are some of the managerial functions as leadership level. As a consequence,
they have to not only know the businesses that the firm operates in but also have an understanding of the
interplay between corporate finance decisions and value. Certain investors through secondary market
generally concentrate on a few businesses they understand well, and attempt to acquire undervalued
firms, which in other words is called Value Investment. Warren Buffett, the second richest man and the most
cerebral investor of the world at all times, follows this major investment policy of value investment. Often, value
investors with large shareholding wield influence on the management of these firms and can change financial
and investment policy.
(3) Chartists: Chartists believe that prices are driven as much by investor psychology as by any underlying financial
variables. The information available from trading measures like price movements with short and longer term
trends, trading volume and short sales, relationship between movements in prices vis--vis trading volumes,
etc. give collective indications of investor psychology and future price movements. The assumptions here
are that prices move in predictable patterns, that there are not enough marginal investors taking advantage
of these patterns to eliminate them, and that the average investor in the market is driven more by emotion than
by rational analysis. At times there is another group of very short term traders, called Noise Traders who make
big volume transactions based on some information about the company to their advantage or following one
or two major players in the market who deals with certain motives of his / their own. While valuation does not
play much of a role in charting, there are ways in which an enterprising chartist can incorporate it into analysis.
For instance, valuation can be used to determine support and resistance lines on price charts.
The methodology applied by such chartists for predicting the value of a stock in near term future is also called
Technical Valuation
(4) Information Traders: Prices move on information about the firm and the industry sector to which it belongs.
Information traders attempt to trade in advance of new information or shortly after it is revealed to financial
markets. They at times have their own channels of gathering large value impacting information which becomes
a public information shortly after his using the same at the market place for trading. The other underlying
assumption is that these traders can anticipate information announcements and gauge the market reaction
to them better than the average investor in the market.
For an information trader, the focus is on the relationship between information and changes in value, rather
than on value, per se. Thus an information trader may buy an overvalued firm if he believes that the next
information announcement is going to cause the price to go up, because it contains better than expected
news. If there is a relationship between how undervalued or overvalued a company is, and how its stock price
reacts to new information, then valuation could play a role in investing for an information trader as his / her sole
objective is to make profit through buying and selling after a short interval when price increases.

200 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(5) Market Timers: Market timers note, with some legitimacy, that the pay-off to calling turns in markets is much
greater than the returns from stock picking. They argue that it is easier to predict market movements than to
select stocks and that these predictions can be based upon factors that are observable. However, timing
the market is a very risky proposition particularly from the perspective of buying and selling within a short time
frame. This needs continuous watch on the market and analyses of intra-day price movements and volume of
trading so that the investor can hit the appropriate time to buy at lower and sell at higher price points
(6) Efficient Marketers: Efficient marketers believe that the market price at any point in time represents the best
estimate of the true value of the firm, and that any attempt to exploit perceived market efficiencies will cost
more than it will make in excess profits.
They assume that:
Markets aggregate information quickly and accurately,
Marginal investors promptly exploit any inefficiencies, and
Any inefficiencies in the market are caused by friction, such as transactions costs, and cannot exploited.
For efficient marketers, valuation is a useful exercise to determine why a stock sells for the price that it does.
Since the underlying assumption is that the market price is the best estimate of the true value of the company,
the objective becomes determining what assumptions about growth and risk are implied in this market price,
rather than on finding under or overvalued firms.
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
The purpose of any stock market of the world is to bring together those people who have funds to invest with those
who need funds to undertake investments. Entities which seek to raise equity are asking investor for a permanent
investment. Investors may not be incorrect to invest unless they are convinced that they would be able to realize
their investments at a fair price at any time in the future.
For these to happen stock market must price shares efficiently. Efficient pricing means incorporating into the share
price, determined and or decided for trading, impacts of all factors that could possibly effect. In an efficient
market, investors can buy and sell share at a fair price and entities can raise funds at a cost that reflects the risk of
the investment they are seeking to undertake.
A considerable body of financial theory has been building a hypothesis that in an efficient market, prices fully
and instantaneously reflect all available information. The efficient market hypothesis is, therefore, concerned with
information and pricing efficiency.
Three levels or forms of efficiency have been defined. These are depended on the amount of information available
to the participants in the market.
(1) Weak form: Weak form efficiency implies that current share price reflects all the information which could be
gleaned from a study of past share prices. If this holds, then no investor can earn above average return by
developing trading rules based on historical process or return information. This form of the hypothesis can
be related to the activities of chartists, analysts whose belief in share prices can be charted and a pattern
identified that can be used to predict future prices.
(2) Semi-strong form: Semi-strong form efficiency implies that the current share price reflects all other published
information. If they are sold, then no investors can be expected to earn above average return from trading
rules based on any publicly available information. This form of the hypothesis can be related to fundamental
analysis, in which estimates of future prices are based on the analysis all known information.
(3) Strong form: Strong from efficiency implies that the current share prices incorporates all information, including
unpublished information. In other words, the proponents of EMH is of the firm belief that market discounts the
effect of any information either in positive or negative direction immediately upon the same being known
to any or more of the market participants. Thus the value of equity price gets reset through the next trading
transaction.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 201


Business Valuation Basics

One of the examples of this is that many times one can observe prices of many stocks are moving in positive
direction a few days before the finance minister declares his budget proposal for the next fiscal year. This
happens because of the anticipation of market players that certain provision(s) will be there which will impact
the entity or the sector. That is why one can observe market volatilities a few days before and after the
budget declaration. Irrespective of the type of information at times such information would include insider
information and views held by the directors of the entity. If this would be happen then no investor can earn
above average return using any information whether publicly available or not.
Equity (Securities) Research
Loxicon defines Research as Scientific or Scholarly Investigation. Types of Security Researchers popularly known as
Analysts.
What a Researcher/ Analyst does with what objective?
to Seeks to develop, and communicate to investors insights regarding (i) Value (ii) Risks and (iii) Volatility and
(iv) Resource Allocation
Assist investors to decide whether to (i) buy, (ii) hold, (iii) sell, (iv) sell short, or (v) avoid the security
William Peter Hamilton developed on Dows Principles and developed the theory in 1922 as is known today Dows
Theory. Dows Theory is the most oldest and published method for identifying major trends
Dow view about behaviour of the Stock Market.
As a barometer of business condition rather than basis for forecasting stock prices
Majority of stocks follow the underlying trend of the stock market more of time
Constructed two indices Industrial and Rail Road
Certain assumptions for these theories are:
Market discount every thing
Market has three movements Primary, Secondary and Minor
Primary movements can be Bullish and Bearish
Price-Volume Relationship provides background
Price action determines trend
Averages must be confirmed Industrial and Rail Road Indices
Method of Research
Fundamental Futuristic analyses of all attributes for valuation
Technical Evaluation by analysing the statistics generated out of market activities including past trends (price &
Volume)
Critical assumption:
Market discounts every factor Fundamental, Economic, Geographical, Psychological etc.
Price moves in trends Once a trend is formed future movements are likely to be in same direction
Market value is a reflection of supply and demand
History tends to repeat itself Market participants tend to provide same reactions to similar kind of stimulants
and dampeners.
Advantages
Easy and quick to prepare using software
Quick to understand and appreciate

202 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Does not require any financial statements
Does not wait for intrinsic value to be reflected in financials
Criticisms and Challenges
Subjective Cannot consider futuristic data
Rely on efficient market hypothesis
Completely disregards fundamentals of the company
Cannot be used to make consistent decisions
Signals, trends and oscillations can change even before a trend is formed
Time horizon can be too small that of a week and even a day
Common Valuation Errors (VE)
VE 1 : When the valuation report does not expressly include valuation purpose.
VE 2 : When the valuation report does not define the standard of value.
VE 3 : When the valuation report does not consider the premise of value.
VE 4 : When the valuation report treats going concern as the standard of value.
Common Sequential Steps in Business Valuation
Step 1 : Determine the purpose of valuation.
Step 2 : Define the standard of value.
Step 3 : Select premise of value.
Step 4 : Carry out historical analysis.
Step 5 : Carry out environment scan.
Step 6 : Select appropriate valuation approaches.
Step 7 : Select appropriate methods.
Step 8 : Calculate value.
Step 9 : Carry out reconciliation and reasonableness check.
Step 10 : Value conclusion.

Valuation Process
The valuation process comprise of five broad steps:
(a) Understanding the business
This includes evaluating industry prospects, competitive position of the company in the industrial environment,
corporate strategies - its planning and execution, overall economic environment where the company operates,
the technological edge etc.
(b) Forecasting Company Performance
This can be achieved by doing economic forecasting and studying companys financial information. Two
approaches to economic forecasting are top-down forecasting and bottom-up forecasting. In top-down
forecasting analysts use macroeconomic forecasts to develop industry forecasts and then make individual
company and asset forecast consistent with the industry forecasts. In bottom-up forecasting analysts aggregate
individual company forecasts with industry forecasts and finally aggregate it with macroeconomic forecasts.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 203


Business Valuation Basics

While evaluating financial information of a company, the analyst can consider both qualitative and quantitative
factors. This involves careful scrutiny and interpretation of financial statements, and other financial/accounting
disclosures.
(c) Selecting the appropriate valuation model
While selecting a valuation model an analyst can use different perspectives. One of the widely used methods is
determining the intrinsic value, which is fully dependent on the quality of information and the inherent assumptions.
There are other value measures. We know that a company has one value if dissolved today and other if it continues
operation.
One of the popular notions of value finding is the going concern assumption, which says that the company will
maintain its business activities into the foreseeable future. Two broad types of going concern valuation models are
absolute valuation models and relative valuation models.
An absolute valuation model is a model that specifies an assets intrinsic value. This model specifies a value of a
company at a particular point of time and is compared with the existing market prices for decision making. Present
value or discounted cash flow approach is the most popular type of absolute model approach. Present value
models based on dividends are called dividend discount models and those based on free cash flow concept,
are called free cash flow to equity and free cash flow to firm models. When a company is valued on the basis of
market value of the assets or resources it controls we call it asset based valuation approach.
The second main type of going concern valuation is relative valuation model. Here we specify an assets value
relative to that of another asset. The basic notion of relative valuation model is that similar assets should sell at
similar prices. We usually denote this using price multiples. Popular relative price multiples are Price to Earnings
(P/E), Price to Book Value (P/BV), Price to Sales etc. The approach of relative valuation as applied to equity
valuation is often called method of comparables.
The prime decision on selecting the valuation model is based on the following three broad criteria:
(1) The valuation model should be consistent with the characteristics of the company being valued;
(2) The valuation model should be appropriate given the availability and the quality of data; and
(3) The valuation model should be consistent with the purpose of valuation, including the analysts own perspective.
(d) Converting forecasts to valuation
Analysts play a vital role of collecting, organising, analysing, communicating and monitoring the corporate
information which they have used in the valuation analysis. They help clients achieve their investment objective
and contribute to efficient functioning of the capital markets.
(e) Communicating the information - preparation of research report.

SHORT QUESTION AND ANSWER:


(a) State whether the following statements are true or false:
(i) Valuation is not an objective exercise, and any preconceptions and biases that an analyst brings to
the process will find their way into value.
(ii) The Value may be defined as the amount of money or other consideration asked for or given in
exchange for something else.
(iii) Discounted cash flow valuation, relates the value of an asset to the present value of expected future
cash flows on that asset
(iv) One of the consequences of Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is that the market will always have
equilibrium price of a companys share as determined by its fundamentals.
(v) The method of capitalization of earnings for valuation of a business assumes constant earnings for infinite
time.
(vi) The value of a firms equity is equal to value of the firm less the value of non- equity claims.
(vii) Point estimation of the value of a business is the only right way to determine its value.

204 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(viii) A lower discount would be applied to the cash flows of the government bonds, as compared to shares
of a company.
(ix) Book value is an accounting concept and implies historical assets less outside liabilities.
(x) There are two premise of value, going concern and liquidation.
Answer:
(i) True
(ii) False
(iii) True
(iv) False
(v) True
(vi) True
(vii) False
(viii) True
(ix) True
(x) True

(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) The _____________ can value the companys flexibility to alter its initial operating strategy in order to
capitalize on favourable future growth opportunities or to react so as to mitigate losses. (Real option
technique approach / DCF approach)
(ii) Business is supposed to have a value for its performances _________. (done in past /expected in future)
(iii) Relative valuation approach is also known as ____________ approach. (market/income)
(iv) is one in which security prices fully reflect the available information. (Efficient Market/Stock
Market)
(v) Key to income based approach of valuation is ---------------------(capitalization rate/ internal rate of return)
(vi) If a firm defers taxes, the taxes paid in the current period will be at a rate------------------than the marginal
tax rate. (lower / higher)
(vii) The value of an asset must equal the ----------------------- of its future cash flows.(Present value/ expected
value)
(viii) A Valuation is an objective search for--------------------value.(Fair/ True)
(ix) ----------------------- measures the variation of distribution for the expected returns. (Standard deviation/
Regression)
(x) Production capacity is a ______________variable for valuation. (operational / financial)

Answer:
(i) Real option technique approach
(ii) Expected in future
(iii) Market
(iv) Efficient Market
(v) Capitalization rate
(vi) Lower

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 205


Business Valuation Basics

(vii) Present value


(viii) True
(ix) Standard deviation
(x) Operational
(c) In each of the questions given below one out of the four options is correct. Indicate the correct answer:
(i) Which one of the following statements is not true about Efficient market?
(A) Share prices behave randomly and do not show any systematic pattern in the behavior
(B) Price of one share is independent of the price of other shares in the market
(C) Share prices fully reflect all available information
(D) None can earn abnormally high profits on a constant basis
(ii) The value of an asset by looking at the pricing of Comparable assets relative to a common variable
like earnings, cash flows, book value or sale, is..
(A) Discounted cash flow valuation
(B) Relative valuation
(C) Contingent claim valuation
(D) Free cash flow valuation
(iii) Which of the one is not the principles of Valuation
(A) Principles of Substitution
(B) Principle of Time Value of Money
(C) Principle of Risk & Return
(D) Discounted cash flow Valuation
(iv) .. is the Typical price a product fetches in an unregulated market
(A) Value
(B) Price
(C) Valuer
(D) Mutual fund
(v) If the expected rate of return on a stock exceeds the required rate
(A) The stock is experiencing super normal growth
(B) The stock should be sold
(C) The company is not probably trying to maximize price per share
(D) The stock is a good buy

Answer:
(i) (B) Price of one share is independent of the price of other shares in the market
(ii) (B) Relative valuation
(iii) (D) Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
(iv) (A) Value
(v) (D) The stock is a good buy

206 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Study Note - 6
VALUATION MODELS

This Study Note includes

6.1 Valuation Models - Introduction


6.2 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
6.3 Relative Valuation
6.4 Free Cash Flow Valuation
6.5 Valuation of Firm - Other Valuation Basis
6.6 Contingent Claim Valuation

6.1 VALUATION MODELS - INTRODUCTION

Valuation of a company is associated with a lot of difficulties and insecurities. It is impossible to estimate the object
value of a company only by counting, since the numbers are not the only factor to consider. To facilitate the business
valuation process there are a number of helpful models. According to theory the business valuation procedure
should consist of several phases to provide a reliable value. These phases are business analysis, accounting and
financial analysis, operational and financial due diligence, impacts of changing business environment, forecasting
and valuation itself. Forecasting is the most precarious part of the valuation process since it is based on assumption
and discretion about a companys future economic performance. The insecurity connected with forecasting
can be reduced to a certain extent by accurate analyzing of external and internal factors, which may affect the
companys future development. The value of the company varies depending on which valuation model that has
been applied and how input variables have been estimated.
The valuation models commonly described may be classified as follows:
(I) Asset-based approach
The asset-based approach has many other common names such as the asset accumulation method, the net
asset value method, the adjusted book value method and the asset build-up method. The purpose of the model is
to study and revaluate the companys assets and liabilities obtaining the substance value which also is the equity.
The substance value is thus estimated as assets minus liabilities. To be useful, the substance value must be positive,
if liabilities are bigger than assets there is no use of the method.
The basic idea is that the companys value could be determined by looking at the Balance Sheet. Unfortunately,
the values on the balance sheet cannot be used because the book value seldom is the same as the real value,
except for the case of liabilities that is often accounted in real value. The problem is when following the principles
of accounting, assets often are depreciated over their life expectancy and when the asset-based approach is
applied the real value for these assets must be determined. In this case, the real value is equivalent to the fair
market value that is value of the asset on a free market or present value of the future earnings from the asset or a
group of assets.
Two methods are used here:
(a) The Liquidation Value, which is the sum as estimated sale values of the assets owned by a company.
(b) Replacement Cost: The current cost of replacing all the assets of a company at times for specific purposes
professional valuers also consider depreciated replacement cost of the asset(s).
This approach is commonly used by property and investment companies, to cross check for asset based trading
companies such as hotels and property developers, underperforming trading companies with strong asset base
(market value vs. existing use), and to work out break up valuations.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 207


Valuation Models

(II) Income-based approach


The income approach is commonly called Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). It is accepted as an appropriate method
by business appraisers. This approach constitutes estimation of the business value by calculating the present value
of all the future benefit flows which the company are expected to generate.
Mathematically it can be expressed as the following formula: PV = FV / (1 + i)n
Where,
PV = Present Value of FV = Future Value
i = discount rate reflecting the risks of the estimated future value
n = raised to the nth power, where n is the number of compounding periods Source:
As formula shows, according to the income-based approach to determine a business value the appraiser must
always make an estimation of the elements below:-
Estimation of business life expectancy;
Estimation of future income flows that a business will generate during its life expectancy; and
Estimation of discount rate in order to calculate the present value of the estimated income flows.
There are several models of income approach depending on which type of income flows that will be discounted.
The common benefit flows that are usually used in the income-based approach are dividends, free cash flows
and residual income. The dividends and cash flow are two measures which refer to direct payment flows from a
company to shareholders and the residual income measure has focus on return which is derived from companys
book value and based on accrual accounting. The differences among the models are in how the calculation is
done and what factors about the company are highlighted in the process.
(III) Market-based approach
The market approach determines company value by comparing one or more aspects of the subject company to
the similar aspects of other companies which have an established market value.
Different Valuation Models
Wide ranges of models are used in valuation ranging from the simple to the sophisticated. In general terms, there
are three approaches to valuation.
(1) Discounted cash flow valuation: It relates to the value of an asset to the present value of expected future cash
flows from that asset or group of assets.
(2) Relative valuation: It estimates the value of an asset by looking at the pricing of comparable assets relative to
a common variable such as earnings, cash flows, book value or sales. The profit multiples used are (a) Earnings
before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), (b) Earning before interest and tax (EBIT), (c)
Profits before tax (PBT) and (d) Profit after tax (PAT).
(3) Contingent Claim valuation: It uses option pricing models to measure the value of assets that have share option
characteristics. Some of these assets are traded financial assets like warrants, and some of these options are
not traded and are based on real assets. Projects, patents and oil reserves are examples. The latter are often
called real options.
The outcomes form each of this approach may be different because these make different assumptions. In this
module, different valuation approaches would be discussed and reason for differences in different models will be
explored in this study note. Lesson on how to choose the right model to use for a specific task would be shared.
Factors that affect formation of Valuation
Internal Factor
(i) Rate of dividend declared

208 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(ii) Market / Current values of assets and liabilities
(iii) Goodwill, product and corporate brand images,
(iv) Market for the products and services
(v) Value generation abilities of human resources and Industrial relations with employees
(vi) Nature of plant and machinery and status or technology used,
(vii) Expansion and diversification policies of the company
(viii)Reputation of Management, and so on.
External Factor
(i) Competition,
(ii) Relations with Government and Regulatory Agencies and changes in related policies and regulations,
(iii) Technological development,
(iv) Impacts of changing policies of government regarding direct and indirect taxation,
(v) Import Export policy and volatilities in foreign exchange rates and inputs prices,
(vi) Stability of countrys economy and rate of growth,
(vii) Coupling effects from business environment changes in overseas countries through effects of globailisation,
(viii)Stability of government in power and so on.
Three Elements of Business Valuation
Business valuation refers to the process and set of procedures used to determine the economic value of an
owners interest in a business.
The three elements of Business Valuation are:
(1) Economic Conditions
As we see in Portfolio Management Theory, wherein we adopt the Economy-Industry-Company (E-I-C)
approach, in Business Valuation too, a study and understanding of the national, regional and local economic
conditions existing at the time of valuation, as well as the conditions of the industry in which the subject
business operates, is important. For instance, while valuing a company involved in sugar manufacture in India
in January 2016 the present conditions and forecasts of Indian economy, industries and agriculture; prices of
sugar in overseas market are to be understood before the prospects of Indian sugar industry and that of a
particular company are evaluated.
(2) Normalization of Financial Statements
This is the second element that needs to be understood for the following purposes:
(a) Comparability adjustments: to facilitate comparison with other organisations operating within the same
industry.
(b) Non-operating adjustments: Non-operating assets need to be excluded.
(c) Non-recurring adjustments: Items of expenditure or income which are of the non-recurring type are to be
excluded to provide comparison between various periods.
(d) Discretionary adjustments: Wherever discretionary expenditure had been booked by a company, they
are scrutinised to be adjusted to arrive at a fair market value.
(3) Valuation Approach
There are three common approaches to business valuation - Discounted Cash Flow Valuation, Relative

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 209


Valuation Models

Valuation, and Contingent Claim Valuation. Within each of these approaches; there are various techniques
for determining the fair market value of a business. Valuation models fall broadly into four variance based
respectively on assets, earning, dividend and discounted cash flows. For all these the typically Capital Asset
Pricing Model is used to calculate a discount rate. Each method has its advantages and disadvantages
and are not appropriate in all circumstances. It is often not wise to depend on a single method. Calculating
a range of value using different appropriate types of valuation can provide valuable benchmarks for the
project or entity valuation being considered.
Distinction between Equity Value and Enterprise Value
Equity and Enterprise Value: There is an important distinction between equity value and enterprise value.
The equity value of a company is the value of the shareholders claims in the company. The value of a share
is arrived at by dividing the value of the companys equity as accounted in the balance sheet by the total
number of shares outstanding as on the date of valuation. In other words, it represents the all-inclusive value of the
company, determined using any method, less all its liabilities. When a company is publicly traded, the value of
the equity equals the market capitalization of the company, which may or may not represent at any point of time
the fair value of the equity. It quite often it is observed that market has under-priced the equity of a listed entity
because of many business ecosystem related reasons, market sentiments, or lack of information, etc., which may
not affect a particular company.
The enterprise value of a company denotes the value of the entire company to all its claimholders. Enterprise
value = Equity value + market value of all debts + minority interest + pension and other similar Employees benefits
related provisions + other claims.
Distinction between Fundamental Valuation and Relative Valuation
Fundamental valuations are calculated based on a companys fundamental economic parameters relevant to
the company and its future, are also referred to as standalone valuations.
On the other hand, Relative valuations or relative multiples apply a relation of a specific financial or operational
characteristic from a similar company or the industry to the company being valued. They express the value of a
company as a multiple of a specific statistic like financial variables, e. g. Sales, EBIDTA, etc.
Fundamental basis for Valuations
The different bases that can be used in valuations are:
1. Cash flows: the cash flow to equity shareholders, i.e., dividends or to both equity shareholders and lenders
called free cash flow (FCF)
2. Returns: The difference between the companys capital and the cost of capital.
3. Operational Variables: Production capacity, subscriber base as in case of telecom companies, etc.

6.2 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF) VALUATION

DCF method is an easy method of valuation. To understand and evaluate the other two methods of valuation it is
important to understand the DCF method first. In this section, we will consider the basis of this approach.
Basis for Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
This approach has its foundation in the present value rule, where the value of any asset is the present value of
expected future cash flows that the asset generates. To use discounted cash flow valuation, one needs to estimate
to estimate the life of the group of assets from which the income flow will be generated
to estimate the cash flows during the life of the asset
to estimate the discount rate to apply to these cash flows to get present value

210 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


t=n
CFt
Value =
(1+ r )
t
t=1

where,
n = Life of the asset
CF = Cash flow in period t
r = Discount rate reflecting the weighted average cost of capital employed added with the risk premium depending
upon the riskiness of the estimated cash flows.
The cash flows will vary from asset to asset for example dividends for stocks, coupons (interest) and the face
value for bonds and after-tax cash flows for a real project. The discount rate will be a function of the riskiness of
the estimated cash flows. Discount rate will be high for riskier assets and low for safer assets. For example rate of
discount on zero coupon bond is zero and for corporate bonds it is the interest rate that reflects the default risk.
In discounted cash flow valuation, the intrinsic value of an asset is calculated based on fundamentals. DCF
technique perceives that markets are inefficient and make mistakes in assessing value. It also makes an assumption
about how and when these inefficiencies will get corrected. Here the word asset represents collectively all the
assets of the business or the company which is being valued.
Discounted Cash Flow Models Classification and underlying approaches
There are three distinct ways in which we can categorise discounted cash flow models. First, we differentiate
between valuing a business as a going concern as opposed to a collection of assets. In the second, we draw a
distinction between valuing the equity in a business and valuing the business itself. In the third, we lay out three
different and equivalent ways of doing discounted cash flow valuation the expected cash flow approach, a
value based upon excess returns and adjusted present value.
(a) Going Concern versus Asset Valuation
The value of an asset in the discounted cash flow framework is the present value of the expected cash flows on
that asset. Extending this proposition to valuing a business, it can be argued that the value of a business is the
sum of the values of the individual assets owned by the business. While this may be technically right, there is a key
difference between valuing a collection of assets and a business. A business or a company is an on-going entity
with assets that it already owns and assets it expects to invest in the future along with all other resources required
to operate the assets to generate earnings. Those are management and execution man power, and intangibles
like brand and corporate, image, channel partners, etc.
A financial balance sheet provides a good framework to draw out the differences between valuing a business as
a going concern and valuing it as a collection of assets. In a going concern valuation, we have to make our best
judgments not only on existing investments but also on expected future investments and their profitability, besides
maintenance investments to be made to carry on the existing business. While this may seem to be foolhardy, a large
proportion of the market value of growth companies comes from their growth assets. In an asset-based valuation
method, we focus primarily on the assets in place and estimate the value of each asset separately. Adding the
asset values together yields the value of the business. For companies with lucrative growth opportunities, asset-
based valuations will yield lower values than going concern valuations.
(b) Equity Valuation versus Firm Valuation
There are two ways in which we can approach discounted cash flow valuation. The first is to value the entire
business, with both assets-in-place and growth assets; this is often termed firm or enterprise valuation.
The cash flows before debt payments and after reinvestment needs are called free cash flows to the firm, and
the discount rate that reflects the composite cost of financing from all sources of capital is called the weighted
average cost of capital.
The second way is to just value the equity stake in the business, and this is called equity valuation.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 211


Valuation Models

The cash flows after debt payments and reinvestment needs are called free cash flows to equity, and the discount
rate that reflects just the cost of equity financing is the cost of equity.
(c) Variations on DCF Models
The model that we have presented in this section, where expected cash flows are discounted back at a risk-
adjusted discount rate, is the most commonly used discounted cash flow approach but there are two widely used
variants. In the first, we separate the cash flows into excess return cash flows and normal return cash flows. Earning
the risk-adjusted required return, which is otherwise, is called cost of capital or equity is considered a normal return
cash flow but any cash flows above or below this number are categorised as excess returns. Excess returns can
therefore be either positive or negative. With the excess return valuation framework, the value of a business can
be written as the sum of two components:
Value of business = Capital invested in firm today + Present value of excess return cash flows from both existing
and future projects
If we make the assumption that the accounting measure of capital invested (book value of capital) is a good
measure of capital invested in assets today, this approach implies that firms that earn positive excess return cash
flows will trade at market values higher than their book values and that the reverse will be true for firms that earn
negative excess return cash flows.
In the second variation, called the adjusted present value (APV) approach, is separated the effects on value of
debt financing from the value of the assets of a business. In general, using debt to fund a firms operations creates
tax benefits because interest expenses are tax deductible on the positive side and increases bankruptcy risk and
expected bankruptcy costs on the negative side. In the APV approach, the value of a firm can be written as
follows:
Value of business = Value of business with 100% equity financing + Present value of Expected Tax Benefits of Debt
Expected Bankruptcy Costs
In contrast to the conventional approach, where the effects of debt financing are captured in the discount rate,
the APV approach attempts to estimate the expected money value of debt related benefits and costs separately
from the value of the operating assets.
While proponents of each approach like to claim that their approach is the best and most precise, we will argue
that the three approaches yield the same estimates of value, if consistent assumptions are considered for creating
the valuation model.
Inputs to Discounted Cash Flow Models
There are three inputs that are required to value any asset in this model - the expected cash flow, the timing of the
cash flow and the discount rate that is appropriate given the riskiness of these cash flows.
(a) Discount Rates
In valuation, the valuer begins with the fundamental notion that the discount rate used on a cash flow should
reflect its riskiness. In case of higher risk, cash flows to be discounted with higher discount rates. There are two ways
of viewing risk. The first is purely in terms of the likelihood that an entity will default on a commitment to make a
payment, such as interest or principal due, and this is called default risk. When looking at debt, the cost of debt is
the rate that reflects this default risk.
The second way of viewing risk is in terms of the variation of actual returns around expected returns. The actual
returns on a risky investment can be very different from expected returns. The greater the variation, the greater
the risk. When looking at equity, the valuer tends to use measures of risk based upon return variance. There are
some basic points on which these models agree. The first is that risk in an investment has to be perceived through
the eyes of the marginal investor in that investment, and this marginal investor is assumed to be well diversified
across multiple investments. Therefore, the risk in an investment that should determine discount rates is the non-
diversifiable or market risk of that investment. The second is that the expected return on any investment can be
obtained starting with the expected return on a riskless investment, and adding to it a premium to reflect the
amount of market risk in that investment. This expected return yields the cost of equity.

212 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


The cost of capital can be obtained by taking an average of the cost of equity, estimated as above, and the
after-tax cost of borrowing, based upon default risk, and weighting by the proportions used by each. One can
argue whether the weights used, when valuing an on-going business, should be based upon the market values
of debt and equity. While there are some analysts who use book value weights. Doing so they violate a basic
principle of valuation. The principle directs that, one should be indifferent between buying and selling an asset.
(b) Expected Cash Flows
In the strictest sense, the only cash flow an equity investor gets out of a publicly traded firm is the dividend models
that use the dividends as cash flows are called dividend discount models. A broader definition of cash flows
to equity would be the cash flows left over after the cash flow claims of non- equity investors in the firm have
been met. Those are interest and principal payments to various types of lender, lease rent against financial and
operating assets. Until recently preferred dividends on preference share capital used to be also deducted. But
with the introduction of Ind AS in India as a measure toward convergence to International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS), preference shares, other than with compulsory convertible clause, will also have to be considered
as borrowed capital. After such deductions free cash flow will be determined after further deducting, after enough
of reinvestments into the firm to sustain the projected growth in cash flows, by way of additional working capital
margin and maintenance capital expenditure. This is the free cash flow to equity (FCFE), and models that use
these cash flows are called FCFE discount models.
The cash flow to the firm is the cumulated cash flows to all claimholders in the firm. One way to obtain this cash flow
is to add the free cash flows to equity to the cash flows to lenders (debt) and preferred stockholders. A far simpler
way of obtaining the same number is to estimate the cash flows prior to debt and preferred dividend payments,
by subtracting from the after-tax profit the net investment needs to sustain growth. This cash flow is called the free
cash flow to the firm (FCFF) and the models that use these cash flows are called FCFF models.
(c) Expected Growth
While estimating the expected growth in cash flows in the future, analysts confront with uncertainty most directly.
There are three generic ways of estimating growth. One is to look at a companys past and use the historical
growth rate posted by that company. The peril is that past growth may provide little indication of future growth.
The second is to obtain estimates of growth from more informed sources. For some analysts, this translates into
using the estimates provided by a companys management whereas for others it takes the form of using consensus
estimates of growth made by others who follow the firm. The bias associated with both these sources should raise
questions about the resulting valuations.
Taking inputs to estimate future growth from Due Diligence of immediate past few years performance and PESTEL
Analysis in the context of the business environment.
In this concept
P -Political
E Economic
S Societal
T Technical
E Environmental
L Legal including regulatory
Findings from these analyses will not only help projecting growth rate in foreseeable future and in perpetuity but
also help projecting cost of production, pricing of products and services and cost of capital.
Advantages and Disadvantages of Discounted Cash flow Valuation
Advantages: As per one school of thoughts majority of corporate finance experts believe discounted cash flow
valuation is the only way to approach valuation, but the benefits may be more nuanced that they are willing to
admit. On the plus side, discounted cash flow valuation, done right, requires analysts to understand the businesses

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 213


Valuation Models

that they are valuing and ask searching questions about the sustainability of cash flows and risk. Discounted cash
flow valuation is tailor made for those who buy into the Warren Buffett adage that what we are buying are not
stocks but the underlying businesses. In addition, discounted cash flow valuations are inherently contrarian in the
sense that it forces analysts to look for the fundamentals that drive value rather than what market perceptions
are. Consequently, if stock prices rise (fall) disproportionately relative to the underlying earnings and cash flows,
discounted cash flows models are likely to find stocks to be overvalued (undervalued).
Discounted cash flow valuation is based upon expected future cash flows and discount rates. Given these
informational requirements, this approach is easiest to use for assets and / or business entities.
whose cash flows are currently positive and can be estimated with some reliability for future periods,
and where a proxy for risk that can be used to obtain discount rates is available.
Limitations of DCF Valuation
This technique requires lot of information. The inputs and information are difficult to estimate and also can be valuer.
This technique cannot differentiate between over and undervalued stocks. It is difficult to apply this technique in
the following scenarios:
Negative earnings firms: For such firms, estimating future cash flows is difficult to do, since there is a strong
probability of insolvency and failure. DCF does not work well since under this technique the firm is valued as a
going concern which provides positive cash flows to its investors.
Cyclical Firms: For such firms earnings follow cyclical trends. Discounting smoothes the cash flows.
It is very difficult to predict the timing and duration of the economic situation. The effect of cyclical situation
on these firms is neither avoidable nor separable. Therefore, there are economic biases in valuations of these
firms.
Firms with un/under utilised assets: DCF valuation reflects the value of all assets that produce cash flows. If a
firm has assets that are un/under utilised that do not produce any cash flows, the values of these assets will
not be reflected in the value obtained from discounting expected future cash flows. But, the values of these
assets can always be obtained externally, and added on to the value obtained from discounted cash flow
valuation.
Firms with patents or product options: Firms often have unutilized patents or license that do not produce any
current cash flows and are not expected to produce cash flows in the near future, but, nevertheless, these
are valuable and with changing business ecosystem those may be used to general income. If values of such
patents are ignored then value obtained from discounting expected cash flows to the firm will understate the
true value of the firm.
Firms in the process of restructuring: Firms in the process of restructuring often sell, acquire other assets, and/
or change their capital structure dividend policy business model operating structure etc. Some of them also
change their status from private to public. Each of these changes makes estimating of future cash flows more
difficult and affects the riskiness of the firm. Using historical data for such firms may give a misleading picture
of the firms value. In case of business restructuring through acquisitions and if there is synergy then its value
is to be estimated after considering the value addition to be generated from such synergy. This will require
assumptions about the synergy and its effect on cash flows.
Private Firms: The measurement of risk to be used in estimating discount rates is a challenge since securities in
private firms are not traded, this is not possible. One solution is to look at the riskiness of comparable firms, which
are publicly traded. The other is to relate the measure of risk to accounting variables, which are available for
the private firm. But identifying a firm with comparable attributes is quite a difficult task.
Applicability:
Since DCF valuation, done right, is based upon an assets fundamentals, it is less exposed to market moods and
perceptions. DCF valuation takes into account the underlying characteristics of the firm, and understands the
business of firm. It clearly identifies the assumptions made while paying a given price for an asset. It works best for

214 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


investors who either have a long time horizon or have are potential acquirer of the whole firm. In long term period
there is correction in market for price to revert to true value and when he is a potential acquirer he is capable
of providing the catalyst needed to move price to value.
Steps in DCF Equity Valuation:
(1) Estimate the Free cash flow to equity:
(a) Forecast earnings for the future.
(b) Adjust earnings (net income) to get free cash flow to equity:
Free Cash Flow to Equity = Net Income - (Capital Expenditure Depreciation) Working capital Accruals
+ (New debt issued - Debt Repayment)
Following table shows how to calculate free cash flows:

Working Capital
Year 0 1 2 . Yn
Revenue
Less: Costs of goods and / or services sold
Less: Depreciation of tangible / intangible assets Non-cash item
Add: Other Income
Profit/ (Loss) from asset sales
Taxable income
Tax
Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) Adjustment for
Add: Depreciation non-cash item

Profit/ (Loss) from asset sales


Operating cash flow and other income
Change in working capital
Capital Expenditure Capital items
Salvage value of assets
Free cash flow

(c) Calculate the PV of equity cash flows by using cost of equity (Ke) as discounting rate. Cost of equity can
be calculated using CAPM approach.
(2) CAPM Approach: Ke = RF + (RM RF)
Ke = Required rate of return
RF = Risk free rate
= Beta coefficient
RM = Expected return for common stocks in the market
(RM RF) = Equity risk premium (ERP)

H model as modification to the exciting mode


This model is based on the assumptions that:
(i) Equity growth rate starts at a high initial rate (ga) declines linearly over extra-ordinary growth period (which is
assumed to last 2 H periods) to a stable growth rate (gn).

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 215


Valuation Models

(ii) Dividend payout ratio is constant over time and is not affected by the shifting growth rates.

P
=0 DPS0 (1+ gn ) + DPS H ( ga gn )

r - gn r - gn

Stable growth Extra ordinary growth


1.3 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
Where P0 = Value of firm now per share
DPSt = Dividend per share in year t
r = Required return to equity investor
ga = Growth rate initially
gn = Growth rate at the end of 2H years applied for ever after that.
Limitations:
(i) Growth rate is assumed to follow a structure laid out in the model deviations from the structure can cause
problem.
(ii) Assumptions of payout ratio remain constant.
Three Stage Discount Model
This model assumes on initial period of stable high growth, second period of declining growth and a third period
of stable low growth that lasts forever.

t-n1 t-n2
EPS0 (1+ ga )t IIa DPSt EPSn (1+ gn ) IIn
P0 = (1+ r)t
(1+ r) t + 2

(r - gn )(1+ r)n
t=1 t=n1+1

High Growth Transition Stable Growth

EPS1 : Earnings per share in year t


DPS1 : Dividends per share in year t
ga : Growth rate in high-growth phase ( lasts n1 years)
gn : Growth rate in stable growth phase
IIa : Payout ratio in high growth phase
IIn : Payout ratio in stable growth phase.

6.3 RELATIVE VALUATION

Key Components of Relative Valuation


In relative valuation, the value of an asset is derived from the pricing of comparable assets, standardised using a
common variable. Included in this description are two key components of relative valuation. The first is the notion
of comparable or similar assets. From a valuation standpoint, this would imply assets with similar cash flows, risk
and growth potential. In practice, it is usually taken to mean other companies that are in the same business as the

216 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


company being valued. The other is a standardized price. After all, the price per share of a company is in some
sense arbitrary since it is a function of the number of shares outstanding; a two for one stock split would halve the
price. Dividing the price or market value by some measure that is related to that value will yield a standardised
price. When valuing stocks, this essentially translates into using multiples where we divide the market value by
EBIDTA, book value or revenues to arrive at an estimate of standardised value. We can then compare these
numbers across companies.
The simplest and most direct applications of relative valuations are with real assets where it is easy to find similar
assets or even identical ones.
Harking back to the earlier discussion of discounted cash flow valuation, it has been argued that discounted cash
flow valuation was a search albeit unfulfilled for intrinsic value. In relative valuation, the valuer will given up on
estimating intrinsic value and essentially put trust in markets getting it right, at least on average.
Variations of Relative Valuation
In relative valuation, the value of an asset is based upon how similar assets are priced. In practice, there are three
variations of relative valuation, with the differences primarily in how one define comparable firms and control for
differences across firms:
(a) Direct comparison: In this approach, analysts try to find one or two companies that look almost exactly like
the company they are trying to value and estimate the value based upon how these similar companies are
priced. The key part in this analysis is identifying these similar companies and getting their market values.
(b) Peer Group Average: In the second, analysts compare how their company is priced (using a multiple) with
how the peer group is priced (using the average for that multiple). Thus, a stock is considered cheap if it trades
at 12 times EBIDTA and the average price earnings ratio for the sector is 15. Implicit in this approach is the
assumption that while companies may vary widely across a sector, the average for the sector is representative
for a typical company.
(c) Peer group average adjusted for differences: Recognising that there can be wide differences between the
company being valued and other companies in the comparable firm group, analysts sometimes try to control
for differences between companies. In many cases, the control is subjective. A company with higher expected
growth than the industry will trade at a higher multiple of earnings than the industry average. But how much
higher is left unspecified. In a few cases, analysts explicitly try to control for differences between companies
by either adjusting the multiple being used or by using statistical techniques. As an example of the former,
consider PEG ratios. These ratios are computed by dividing PE ratios by expected growth rates, thus controlling
at least in theory for differences in growth and allowing analysts to compare companies with different growth
rates.
Advantages and Limitations of Relative Valuation
The allure of multiples is that they are simple and easy to relate to. They can be used to obtain estimates of value
quickly for firms and assets, and are particularly useful when there are a large number of comparable firms being
traded on financial markets, and the market is, on average, pricing these firms correctly. In fact, relative valuation
is tailor made for analysts and portfolio managers who not only have to find undervalued equities in any market,
no matter how overvalued, but also get judged on a relative basis. An analyst who picks stocks based on their
PE ratios, relative to the sectors they operate in, will always find undervalued stocks in any market; if entire sectors
are overvalued and his stocks decline, he will still look good on a relative basis since his stocks will decline less than
comparable stocks assuming that the relative valuation is right.
By the same token, they are also easy to misuse and manipulate, especially when comparable firms are used.
Given that no two firms are exactly similar in terms of risk and growth, the definition of comparable firms is a
subjective one. Consequently, a biased analyst can choose a group of comparable firms to confirm his or her
biases about a firms value. While this potential for bias exists with discounted cash flow valuation as well, the
analyst in DCF valuation is forced to be much more explicit about the assumptions which determine the final
value. With multiples, these assumptions are often left unstated.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 217


Valuation Models

The other problem with using multiples based upon comparable firms is that it builds in errors in the form of over
valuation or under valuation that the market might be making in valuing these firms. If, for instance, we find a
company to be undervalued because its equity share trades at 15 times of its earnings and comparable companys
trade at 25 times earnings, we may still lose on the investment if the entire sector is overvalued. In relative valuation,
all that we can claim is that a stock looks cheap or expensive relative to the group we compared it to, rather than
make an absolute judgment about value. Ultimately, relative valuation judgments depend upon how well we
have picked the comparable companies and how good a job the market has done in pricing them.
Steps in Relative Valuation:
(1) Search and select the comparable companies: The first part of the process is the selection of a group of
comparable companies, that is, companies whose business operations are as similar as possible to those of
the subject company. This requires a thorough understanding of the subject for example:
How does it create value?
What drives its financial performance?
Who are its customers and suppliers?
With whom and how does it compete?
What risks does it face?
and so forth. Comparability is established by matching key business attributes of the subject with those of
another group of firms. The similar step in the used car analogy is to match attributes such as make, model,
year, engine size, mileage, options, and so on. List of salient characteristics could be prepared and then
companies can be inspected one by one. A systematic selection procedure should be designed prior to the
inspection to guard against biases.
(2) Selection of Multiples: The next step is to select certain multiples to be calculated based on market participants
views of the relevant metrics. The most commonly used multiples of enterprise value are value/revenue, value/
EBIT, and value/EBITDA. Different multiples are used for enterprise value or equity value. For instance, the
market-multiple approach is sometimes used to estimate a subject companys equity value rather than its
enterprise value. In such instances the multiples computed from comparable companies are derived from
stock prices or market capitalization rather than enterprise values. Sometimes some industry specific multiples
also can be used that relate value to, say, sales per square foot or to subscriber base or patents, and so on if
data is available.
Note: Enterprise Value = Equity Share Price in Market + All Loans Cash and Cash Equivalent. However, there
is a need for adjusting this value if there is in any critical finding from due diligence prompting for adjustment,
e. g. riskiness in terms of achieving growth in future or major probability of any major contingent liability being
payable.
(3) Selection of comparables and size of sample: Next step is to form of sample of comparables. The question is
How big should be the size of a sample? As with most statistical exercises, the easy answer is that more is better
as the estimates are more reliable in larger samples. Unfortunately, in a desire to create a large sample we
may have to reduce the degree of comparability. A pragmatic response to this difficulty is to examine more
than one set of comparables, ranging from a small set of closely matched companies to larger sets of loosely
matched companies, and see what the effect is on indicated value. Selection of samples should not based
on the multiples themselves or financial measures that directly affect the multiples. That is, we should not look
at a set of comparables and decide to exclude companies with low EBIT multiples. This generates bias.
(4) Computation of Multiples: Computing multiples requires a calculation of enterprise value on the one hand and
one or more operating metrics e.g EBIT, EBITDA etc. on the other. Enterprise value is generally computed as the
market value of sum of the market values of debt and equity securities outstanding, including hybrid securities,
which is sometimes referred to as MVIC (Market Value of Invested Capital). In practice, we sometimes assume
that the market value of debt equals its book value. This may not always be an acceptable approximation.
Therefore we may have to actually price the options or the conversion features of the securities to obtain

218 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


reliable estimates of MVIC. For obtaining operating metrics it will often be necessary to adjust or normalise
financial or other data to preserve and enhance comparability within the sample.
For example, the choice of LIFO (last in, first out) versus FIFO (first in, first out) accounting for inventory affects
a companys cost of goods sold, which in turns affects EBIT . The extent they affect sales, operating profit, or
cash flow, should be eliminated before multiples are computed. Nonrecurring items might include results from
discontinued operations, extraordinary gains or losses, should also be adjusted.
Multiples themselves may be computed based on historic data or forecasts. Commonly last twelve months
data is considered in case of historic method. Multiples can also be computed based on forecasts of operating
metrics that may be generated using the analysts best judgment or expert opinions in trade publications or
equity analyst reports.
After computation, it is be multiples have to be applied to the subject. The multiples will differ in the comparable
companies within the sample. Therefore, simple means and medians of multiples can be used. Another
alternative is to aggregate the MVICs and operating metrics for a sample of comparable companies and
then compute a multiple based on the aggregates. This is in effect a value-weighted average of the sample.
Whether this is appropriate depends on circumstances, but it is at least questionable in different sample size.
Sometimes the minimum and maximum are used in conjunction with a mean or median to establish a range
around a central point estimate.
(5) Apply and conclude: The concluded multiple is applied to the subject company by computing the product
of the multiple and the indicated operating metric. The subject companys operating metric may have to be
normalized for LIFO vs. FIFO; extraordinary nonrecurring items etc to ensure consistency with the sample of firms
that generated the multiple. Further adjustments may be required after the multiple is applied.
(a) Adjustment for excess cash: If the subject has non operating assets such as excess cash, the amount of
excess cash must be added to the value obtained from the multiple to arrive at enterprise value.
(b) Adjustment for operating control: The control premium should be included in the bidders assessment of the
subject enterprise value, in case the acquirer is taking over controlling shares and / or operational control
of the target company. However, if the multiples are derived from observed stock prices for comparable
companies, they probably lack any control premium since the shares being traded represent minority
interests rather than controlling interests; On the other hand, if the multiples are derived from a sample of
M&A transactions, and if those deals were for controlling interests, then a premium is already built into the
concluded multiples. In general, whether an adjustment for control is indicated depends on what type of
purpose of analysis and type of sample. How the adjustment should be made depends on the availability
of reliable data on the incremental value of control.
(c) Adjustment for illiquidity: In general, an asset that is readily saleable is worth more than an otherwise
identical asset that is not saleable. In case of valuation of a minority interest in a private company, or
restricted shares of stock that may not be sold during a stipulated period, the concluded values derived
from standard market multiples will need to be further adjusted (discounted) for illiquidity, also known
as lack of marketability. The Comparables are traded the subject is not. The estimation of the size of
discount is subjective depending on the source, degree, and duration of the illiquidity.
Examples of adjustments to Comparables Data
Inventory accounting (LIFO vs. FIFO)
Extraordinary items (e.g., litigation settlements)
Non-recurring items (e.g., discontinued operations, asset sales)
Owners compensation
Capitalization of intangibles (from prior acquisitions)
Non-operating assets (e.g., excess cash, idle land)
Construction in progress etc.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 219


Valuation Models

Variation on Relative Valuation


In relative valuation, the value of an asset is based upon how similar assets are priced. In practice, there are three
variations on relative valuation, with the differences primarily in how we define comparable firms and control for
differences across firms:
(a) Direct comparison: In this approach, analysts try to find one or two companies that look almost exactly like
the company they are trying to value and estimate the value based upon how these similar companies are
priced. The key part in this analysis is identifying these similar companies and getting their market values.
(b) Peer Group Average: In the second, analysts compare how their company is priced using a multiple with
how the peer group is priced using the average for that multiple. Thus, a stock is considered cheap if it trade
at 12 times earnings and the average price earnings ratio for the sector is 15. Implicit in this approach is the
assumption that while companies may vary widely across a sector, the average for the sector is representative
for a typical company.
(c) Peer group average adjusted for differences: Recognising that there can be wide differences between the
company being valued and other companies in the comparable firm group, analysts sometimes try to control
for differences between companies. In many cases, the control is subjective: a company with higher expected
growth than the industry will trade at a higher multiple of earnings than the industry average but how much
higher is left unspecified. In a few cases, analysts explicitly try to control for differences between companies
by either adjusting the multiple being used or by using statistical techniques. As an example of the former,
consider PEG ratios. These ratios are computed by dividing PE ratios by expected growth rates, thus controlling
at least in theory for differences in growth and allowing analysts to compare companies with different growth
rates.
Valuation Multiplies
A valuation multiple is the ratio of firm value or equity value to some aspect of the firms economic activity, such
as cash flow, sales, or EBITDA. The table below lists the most common multiples used to value firms, together with
the terminology that is used to describe the multiple.
Multiples Used in Finance

Quantity X Multiple Terminology = Value


Cash Flow X Firm Value / Cash Flow of Firm Cash flow multiple = Value of Firm
EBITDA X Firm Value / EBITDA of Firm EBITDA multiple = Value of Firm
Sales X Firm Value / Sales Value of Firm Sales multiple = Value of Firm
Customers X Firm Value / Customers Customer multiple = Value of Firm
Earnings X Price per Share / Earnings Price-earnings ratio = Share Price

The technique for applying a valuation multiple is identical to that of applying a price-per-square- foot multiple
to value real estate, or a price per pound to a purchase of fish. If you are studying a firm with a cash flow of ` 5
Crores and you believe it should be valued at a cash flow multiple of 10, you will determine that the firm is worth
`50 Crores.
Sources of Multiples:
Multiples can be derived either by using fundamentals or by comparables. In discounted cash flow valuation,
the value of a firm is determined by its expected cash flows. Other things remaining equal, higher cash flows,
lower risk and higher growth should yield higher value. Thus, multiples can be derived from CF techniques and
by comparing across firms or time, and make explicit or implicit assumptions about how firms are similar or vary
on fundamentals. This approach requires the same information. Its primary advantage is to show the relationship
between multiples and firm characteristics. For instance, what will happen to price-earnings ratios as growth rates
decrease? What is the relationship between price-book value ratios and return on equity?

220 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Under comparable method, a firm is valued as how similar firms are priced by the market, or in some cases, with
how the firm was valued in prior periods. Thus, comparison can be cross sectional or long term time series. While
doing cross sectional comparisons, finding exactly similar firms is difficult some adjustments need to be made to
control for differences across firms on growth, risk and cash flow measures. Controlling can be either done by using
industry averages or by using multivariate models which allows for controlling of variables. In time series comparisons
assumptions have to be made that fundamentals of the firm have not changed. Comparing multiples across time
can also be complicated by changes in the interest rates over time and the behaviour of the overall market. For
instance, as interest rates fall below historical norms and the overall market increases, you would expect most
companies to trade at much higher multiples of earnings and book value than they have historically.
Description of Multiples:
(1) Earnings Multiples: This is the most common method of valuing multiples.
(i) Price Earnings Ratio (P/E): The price-earnings multiple (PE) is the most widely of all multiples. It is very simple
to calculate. It is widely used in pricing of initial public offerings and making judgments on relative value.
The price earnings ratio is the ratio of the market price per share to the earnings per share :
PE = Market Price per share / Earnings per share
To get to the heart of price earnings multiples, an equity DCF model can be used. Restated in terms of the
PE ratio, we find that the PE ratio for a stable growth firm can be written in terms of three variables:
(a) The expected growth rate in earnings per share
(b) The riskiness of the equity, which determines the cost of equity and
(c) The efficiency with which the firm generates growth, which is measured by how much the firm can pay
out or afford to pay out after reinvested to create the growth.
(ii) Price to Earnings with no expected growth:

E1
P0 =
k
P0 1
=
E1 k
Where:
E1 = expected earnings for next year
E1 = D1 under no growth
k = Required rate of return
D1 = Dividend
Illustration 1.
E0 = ` 2.50 g = 0 k = 12.5%
P0 = D/k = ` 2.50/0.125 = ` 20.00
P/E = l/k= 1/0.125 = 8
(iii) P/E Ratio with Constant Growth :

D1 E1 (1 b )
P0
= =
k g k (b ROE )
P0 1 b
=
E1 k (b ROE )

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 221


Valuation Models

Where:
b = retention ratio
ROE = Return on Equity
b = 60%, ROE = 15%, (1 b) = 40%
E 1 =
` 2.50 [1 + (0.6)(0.15)] - ` 2.73
D 1 =
` 2.73(1 0.6) = ` 1.09
k = 12.5%,
g = 9%
P 0 = 1.09/ (0.125 0.09) = ` 31.14
PE = 31.14/2.73 = 11.4 or PE = (1 0.60)/(0.125 0.09) = 11.4
The PE ratio is an increasing function of the payout ratio and the growth rate, and a decreasing function
of the riskiness of the firm. Other things held equal, higher growth firms will have higher PE ratios than lower
growth firms. Higher risk firms will have lower PE ratios than lower risk firms. Firms with lower reinvestment
needs will have higher PE ratios than firms with higher reinvestment rates.
(iv) PE for a High Growth Firm: The price-earnings ratio for a high growth firm can also be related to fundamentals.
In the special case of the two-stage dividend discount model, this relationship can be made explicit fairly
simply. When a firm is expected to be in high growth for the next n years and stable growth thereafter, the
dividend discount model can be written as follows :
(1+ g)n
EPS0 Payout ratio (1+ g) 1
( ) EPS0 + Payout ratio (1+ g)n (1+ gn )
n
1 + r
P0 +
r g ( r g )(1+ r )
n
n
Where,
EPS = Earnings per share in year 0 (current year)
g = Growth rate
Payout = Payout ratio
The value of a stock in a two-stage dividend discount model is the sum of two present values:
The present value of dividends during the high growth phase - this is the first term in the equation
above.
- It is the present value of a growing annuity. There is no constraint on the growth rate. In fact, this
equation will yield the present value of a growing annuity even if g > r...
- the denominator will become negative but so will the numerator)
The present value of the terminal price... this is the second term in the equation. The PE ratio for
- a high growth firm is a function of the same three variables that determine the PE ratio.
- stable growth firm, though you have to estimate the parameters twice, once for the high growth
phase and once for the stable growth phase.
Illustration 2.
Estimate the PE ratio for a firm which has the following characteristics:

High Growth Phase Stable Growth Phase


Expected Growth Rate 25% 8%
Payout- Ratio 20% 50%
Beta 1.00 1.00
Number of years 5 yrs forever

222 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Risk free rate = T. Bond Rate = 6%
Required rate of return = 6% + 1(5.5%) = 11.5%

(1.25 )
5

0.2 (1.25 ) 1
(1.115 )5
+ 0.5 (1.25 ) (1.08 )= 28.75
5

P /=
E
( 0.115 0.25 ) ( 0.115 0.08 )(1.115 )
5

For a firm with these characteristics, 28.75 times earnings is a fair price to pay. In fact, if valued this firm using a
dividend discount model, would get the identical value per share.

Illustration 3.
Estimating a Fundamental PE ratio for Infosys:
The following is an estimation of the appropriate PE ratio for Infosys in July 2000. The assumptions are summarized
below:

High Growth Phase Stable Growth


Length 5 years forever after year 5
Cost of Equity 10.85% 10.00%
Expected Growth Rate 13.63% 66.67%
Payout Ratio 36.00% 66.67%

The current payout ratio of 36% is used for the entire high growth period. After year 5, the payout ratio is estimated
based upon the expected growth rate of 5% and a return on equity of 15% (based upon industry averages):
Stable period payout ratio = 1- Growth rate/ Return on equity = 1 5% / 15% = 66.67%.
The price-earnings ratio can be estimated based upon these inputs:

(1.1363 )5
0.36 (1.1363 ) 1
(1.1085 )5 0.67 (1.1363 )5 (1.05 )
P/E
= + = 17.79
( 0.1085 0.1363 ) ( 0.10 0.05 )(1.1085 )
5

Based upon its fundamentals, you would expect Infosys to be trading at 17.79 times earnings.

6.4 FREE CASH FLOW VALUATION

Estimation of Free Cash Flow


Estimation of cash flows is an important step of a valuation process and the nature of cash flows that would
be used in the calculation would depend on the perspective of the investor doing the analysis. Free cash flow
concept focuses on the cash generated from operations in excess of that needed for reinvestment. Analysts
frequently value firms based on the present value of expected future free cash flow. If a firm is not expected to
generate free cash flow in the future, it is unlikely to be valuable.
Free cash flow valuation defines the value of the firm to be the present value of its expected future cash flows
discounted at the companys cost of capital. Free cash flow available to the firm (FCFF) represents cash flow
available to both debt and equity holders. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is what remains after debt holders have
received their contractually obligated payments namely interest.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 223


Valuation Models

A company generates revenue by selling its products and services, while incurring expenses like salaries, cost
of goods sold (COGS), selling and general administrative expenses (SGA), research and development (R&D). To
produce revenue a firm not only incurs operating expenses, but it also must invest money in real estate, buildings
and equipment, and in incremental working capital to support growth and sustain its business activities. Also, the
company must pay income taxes on its earnings. The amount of cash that is left over after the payment of these
investments and taxes is known as Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF).
This cash flow represents the return to all providers of capital, whether debt or equity. It can be used to pay off
debt, repurchase shares, pay dividends or be retained for future growth opportunities. It is the hard cash that is
available to pay the companys various claim holders, especially the shareholders.
FCFF = Net Operating Profit - Taxes - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital or
FCFF = Net Income + Non Cash Charges + Interest (1-T) - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital
A positive value would indicate that the firm has cash left after expenses. A negative value, on the other hand,
would indicate that the firm has not generated enough revenue to cover its costs and investment activities.
FCFF can be calculated from the statement of cash flows as follows:
FCFF=Cash Flow from operations + After-tax interest expense - Capital expenditures
Free Cash Flows to Equity (FCFE) Model
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) is a measure of how much cash can be paid to the equity shareholders of the
company after all expenses, reinvestment and debt repayment. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) represents the
cash flow a company generates after necessary expenses and expenditures and after satisfying the claims of
debt holders. It can be calculated from Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) as follows:
FCFE = FCFF - After-tax interest expense + Net borrowing
If the company borrows more in a year than it repays it will have additional funds that could be distributed to
shareholders, which is why net borrowing is added to FCFF in order to determine FCFE.
Once the free cash flows are estimated from the right perspective, the value of the firm is the sum of the present
values of the free cash flows for a planning period plus the present value of the cash flows beyond the planning
horizon (i.e., the terminal value), i.e.,
T
FCF1 FCFt +1 1
= +
(1+ k ) k g (1+ k )T
t
t =1

Where,
g = growth
t = time
k = cost of equity
If free cash flow is positive then the company has done a good job of managing its cash. If free cash flow is
negative then the company may have to look for other sources of funding such as issuing additional shares or
debt financing. If a company has a negative free cash flow and has to issue more equity shares, this will dilute the
profits per share. If the company chooses to seek debt financing, there will be additional interest expense as a
result and the net income of the company will suffer. Free cash flow is one indicator of the ability of a company
to return profits to shareholders through debt reduction, increasing dividends, or stock buybacks. All of these
scenarios result in an increased shareholder yield and a better return on your investment.
To find the value of a firm, debt holders and/or contributors of debt and equity capital, would discount FCFF by
weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Similarly, the equity shareholders would discount FCFE by cost of
equity.
There are two major approaches to determine cost of equity. An equilibrium model - either CAPM or Arbitrage
Pricing Theory (APT) and the Government security (bond) yield plus risk premium method.

224 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


The FCFE is the residual cash flows left after meeting interest and principal payments providing for capital
expenditures to both sustain existing operating company and add new assets for future growth fund required
to finance incremental working capital.
FCFE = Net Income + Depreciation Capital spending Working capital Principal repayments + New Debt
Issues.
In a special case where capital expenditures and working capital are expected to be financed at the target debt
equity ratio and principal repayments are made from new debt issues.
FCFE = Net Income - (1 - d ) (Capital Exp. Depreciation) + (1 - d ) ( Working capital).
Dividends different from FCFE
The FCFE is a measure of what a firm can afford to payout as dividends, which is again dependent upon cash flow
management needs arising out of the following
(a) Desire for stability,
(b) Future investment needs for sustenance and growth related capital expenditure and working capital,
(c) Tax factors,
(d) Signalling prerogatives like increase in dividends is viewed as positive signals and decreases as negative signal.
FCFE Models:
(I) The stable-growth FCFE Model:
The value of equity, under the stable-growth model, is a function of expected FCFE in the next period, the stable
growth rate, and the required rate of return.
FCFE1
P0 =
r gn

P0 = Value of stock today
FCFE = Expected FCFE next year r
r = Cost of equity of the firm
gn = Growth rate in FCFE for the firm forever.

Illustration 4.
Earnings per share: ` 3.15
Capital Expenditure per share: `3.15
Depreciation per share: `2.78
Change in working capital per share: `0.50
Debt financing ratio : 25%
Earnings, Capital expenditure, Depreciation, Working Capital are all expected to grow at 6% per year. The beta
for stock is 0.90. Treasury bond rate is 7.5%. A premium of 5.50% is used for market.
Calculate value of stock.
Solution:
Estimating value
Long term bond rate 7.5%
Cost of equity = 7.5% + (0.90 5.50%) = 12.45%
Expected growth rate 6%
Base year FCFE = Earning per share (Capital Exp. Dep.)(1 Debt Ratio) Change in working capital (1 Debt Ratio)
= 3.15 (3.15 2.78) (1 0.25) 0.50 (1 0.25) = 2.49

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 225


Valuation Models

Value per share = 2.49 1.06 / (0.1245 0.06) = `41.


Illustration 5.
Assume that the following details are given for a company:
Sales - `1,00,000; Costs - `75,000; Depreciation - `20,000; Tax - 35%; Change in Net Working Capital - `1,000; Change
in Capital Spending - `10,000
The Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) for the given data can be calculated as follows:

Sales - Costs - Depreciation `5,000


Less: Tax `1,750
PAT `3,250
Add: Depreciation `20,000
Less: Change in Net Working Capital `1,000
Less: Change in Capital Spending `10,000
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) `12,250

Illustration 6.
If in the above example if interest of `1,000 is given and the company resorts to net borrowing of `5,000 in the year,
we can find FCFE as follows:
We first find Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) for the given data:

Sales - Costs - Depreciation `4,000


Less: Tax `1,400
PAT `2,600
Add: Depreciation `20,000
Less: Change in Net Working Capital ` 1,000
Less: Change in Capital Spending `10,000
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) `11,600
Less: After tax Interest Expense i.e. I x (1-T) `650
Add: Net Borrowing `5,000
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) `15,950

(II) FCFE model two stage and three stage FCFE model
(a) Two stage FCFE model :
The value of any stock is the present value of the FCFE per year for the extra ordinary growth period plus
the present value of the terminal price at the end of the period.
Value = PV of FCFE + PV of Terminal price
t =n

FCFE (1+ r ) + Pn (1+ r )


t n
=
1
t =1

Where
FCFEt = FCFE in year t
Pn = Price at the end of extra ordinary growth period
r = Required rate of return to equity investors in high growth period calculated using CAPM

226 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


The terminal price is generally calculated using the infinite growth rate model

Pn = FCFEn+1 ( rn gn )
gn = Growth rate after the terminal year forever
rn = Required rate of return to equity investors in stable-growth period.
(b) Three stage FCFE model - E model
E-model is designed to value firms that are expected to go through three stages of growth: an initial phase
of high growth rates, a transition period where growth rate declines and a steady state where growth is
stable.
=t n1=t n2
FCFE FCFEt Pn2
0 P =
t
+ +
(1+ r ) (1+ r ) (1+ r )
t t n2
=t 1 =t n1 +1

Where
P 0 = Value of stock today
FCFEt = FCFE in year t
t = Cost of equity
Pn2 = Terminal price at the end of transition period
FCFE2 +1
=
( r gn )

n1 = End of the initial high growth period
n2 = End of transition period

Situations when FCFE models and dividend discount valuation models provide similar as well as dissimilar results
FCFE model is alternative to dividend discounting model. But at times both provide similar results: When result
obtained from FCFE and Dividend discount model may be same:
(i) Where dividends are equal to FCFE.
(ii) Where FCFE is greater than dividends but excess cash (FCFE- dividends) is invested in projects with NPV = 0
(Investments are fairly priced)
When results from FCFE and Dividend discounting models are different:
(i) When FCFE is greater than dividends and excess cash earns below market interest rates or is invested in
negative NPV value projects, the value from FCFE will be greater than the value from discount model.
(ii) When dividends are greater than FCFE, the firm will have to issue either new stock or new debt to pay their
dividends- with attendant costs.
(iii) Paying too much of dividend can lead to capital rationing constraints when good projects are rejected,
resulting in loss of wealth.
Conclusion:
The dividend model uses a strict definition of cash flows to equity, i.e. expected dividends on stock, while FCFE
model uses an expensive definition of cash flows to equity as the residual cash flows after meeting all financial
obligations and investment needs.
When the firms have dividends that are different from FCFE, the values from two models will be different. In valuing
firms for takeover or where there is reasonable chance of changing corporate control, the value from the FCFE
provides the better value.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 227


Valuation Models

The Discounted Cash Flow Analysis


Discounted cash flow valuation is based upon the notion that the value of an asset or group of assets, e. g., an
operating division or a company, is the present value of the expected operating cash flows from that asset,
discounted at a rate considering weighted average cost of capital (WACC) plus a factor to take care of the
riskiness of those cash flows. The nature of the cash flows will depend upon the asset, the dividends for an equity
share, coupons and redemption value for bonds and the post-tax cash flows for a project. The approach is based
on time value concept where the value of any asset is the present value of its expected future cash flows. An
acquirer would need to follow the steps given below and first find the intrinsic value of share. As we illustrate the
method let us find the intrinsic value of popular auto ancillary company Bharat Forge Ltd.
Step I
Estimate free cash flows for the explicit forecast period
The free cash flows represent the cash flow available to all the suppliers of the capital to the firm. These include
equity holders, the preference investors and the providers of debt to the firm.
Free Cash Flow = Gross Cash Flow of the firm - Tax - Investments - Change in NWC + Depreciation + Non-Cash
Charges
Note that financing is not incorporated in the cash flows. Suitable adjustments for the specific financing have to
be made in the discount rate.
Step II
Estimate a suitable Discount Rate for the Acquisition
The second step involves computation of the cost of capital to the firm. The cost of capital is the rate to be used
for discounting the free cash flows to their present values. The cost of capital is to be computed as the weighted
average of the costs of all sources of capital, which are based on the market value of each of the components
of the capital.

S P B
Ko= Ke + Kp + Kd (1 T )
V V V
Where V is the total market value of firm, S, P and B indicate the market values of Equity, preference share and
Debt respectively. K0, Ke, Kp and Kd respectively are the weighted average cost of capital, cost of equity capital,
cost of preference capital and cost of debt and t is the tax rate applicable to the firm. If the acquirer who is
valuing the firm intends to change the capital structure of the target company, then suitable adjustments for the
discount rate must be made.
For this Bharat Forge example, the available information is that Ke as 12.5%, Kd as 8% and T tax rate as 33.6%.
Moreover we know that D/E is 1/9 i.e. Wd = 1/10 = 0.10 and We = 9/10 = 0.90.
Therefore WACC = 0.90.125+0.10.08(1-0.336) = 11.8% approx. This would be the discount rate that would be
used to find PV of free cash flow.
Step III
Calculate the Present Value of Cash Flows for the explicit forecast period
One of the premises of this approach is that the firm is a going concern. The implication of this assumption is
that the cash flows in perpetuity need to be discounted to value the firm. This is however, impossible in practice.
Hence, the cash flows are explicitly computed for a finite period of time known as explicit forecast period and the
continuing value of the firm at the end of such period is computed known as Terminal Value. The forecast period is
set in such a way that the company reaches a stable phase / steady state at the end of forecast period and the
growth rate remains constant in perpetuity.
For the Bharat Forge, we have 10 year forecasts, and therefore we find the total PV summing the 10 individual
years PV (See Table 1) to get `23910 mln.

228 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Step IV
Estimate the Terminal Value
The terminal value is the present value of the cash flows occurring after the forecast period.
CFt (1+ g) where CF is the Cash flow in the last year, g is the constant growth rate and k is the discount rate.
TV = t
kg

For the Bharat Forge example we have, FCF applicable for the terminal year as `6.762 mln. Substituting in the
above formula we get,

6726 (1.02 ) 1
PV of TV as = `25879 mln. [We have assumed g = 2%]
0.118 0.02 ( )
10
1 + 0.118

Step V
Determination of the Value of the firm
Add PV of the free cash flows (as arrived at in Step III) and the Terminal Value (as arrived at in Step IV). For Bharat
Forge we get `49789 mln.
Step VI
Subtract the Value of the debt
Subtract the Value of the debt and preference share capital and other obligations assumed by the acquirer to
arrive at the value of equity.
The debt of Bharat Forge is given as `3236 mln. This value need to be subtracted to find the value of equity.
Therefore we have, Value of Equity = `(49789-3236) = `46553 mln. We also have the information that number of O/s
shares = 37.7 mln. Therefore, intrinsic value of 1 equity share of Bharat Forge = 46553/37.7 = `1235 approx.
It should be noted that the final price paid by the acquirer might be much higher than the estimate arrived at by
the DCF method. The target companys value can be thought of as
Value of Buyer = Value of Seller + Value added by the Buyer by +Benefits from Synergies + Strategic Considerations
+ Change in the value to a buyer if the target firm is acquired by the competitor + Control Premium if applicable.
However, final payment will always depend on negotiation skills of both the parties.
Note = Negotiation is a method by which people settle differences. It is a process by which compromise or
agreement is reached while avoiding argument and dispute.

6.5 VALUATION OF A FIRM - OTHER VALUATION BASIS

Enterprise Valuation:
Valuation of an enterprise includes takes of all equity, preference shareholders and debt holders. The value of
the firm is obtained by discounting expected cash flows to the firm, i.e., the residual cash flows after meeting all
operating expenses, reinvestment needs and taxes, but prior to any payments to either debt or equity holders, at
their respective cost of equity culminating to weighted average cost of capital, which is the cost of the different
components of financing used by the firm, weighted by their market value proportions.
t =n
CF to Firm
Value of Firm =
(1+ WACC)
t
t =1

Where,

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 229


Valuation Models

CF to Firm = Expected Cash flows to Firm in period t


And WACC = Weighted average cost of capital
Valuation of firm in pieces (Adjusted Present value):
Valuation is done in pieces beginning with its operations and adding the effects on value of debt and other
non-equity claims. The value of the firm can also be obtained by valuing each claim on the firm separately. In
this approach, first equity is valued assuming that it was financed only with equity. Then the value taken away by
debt is considered by considering the present value of the tax benefits that flow from debt and the expected
bankruptcy costs.
Value of firm = Value of all-equity financed firm + PV of tax benefits + Expected Bankruptcy Costs Piece or Adjusted
PV approach allows different cash flows to the firm to be discounted at different rates, given their riskiness. Following
example shows the equivalence of equity and firm valuation.

Illustration 7.
Effects of mismatching cash flows and discount rates

Year Cash flow to Equity Interest (1 t) Cash flow to Firm


1 50 40 90
2 60 40 100
3 68 40 108
4 76.2 40 116.2
5 83.49 40 123.49
Terminal Value 1603.008 2363.008

Assuming the cost of equity is 13.625% and the firm can borrow long term at 10%. (The tax rate for the firm is 30%)
The current market value of equity is 1,073 and the value of debt outstanding is 800.
The cost of equity is given as an input and is 13.625%, and the after-tax cost of debt is 5%. Cost of Debt = Pre-tax
rate (1 tax rate) = 10% (1 0.3) = 7%
Given the market values of equity and debt, the cost of capital can be estimated.
WACC = Cost of Equity (Equity / (Debt + Equity)) + Cost of Debt (Debt / (Debt + Equity))
= 13.625% (1073/1873) + 7% (800/1873) = 10.79%
Method 1: Discount CF to Equity at Cost of Equity to get value of equity
We discount cash flows to equity at the cost of equity:
PV of Equity = 50/1.13625 + 60/1.136252 + 68/1.136253 + 76.2/1.136254 + (83.49+1603)/1.136255 = 1073
Method 2: Discount CF to Firm at Cost of Capital to get value of firm
PV of Firm = 90/1.0994 + 100/1.09942 + 108/1.09943 + 116.2/1.09944 + (123.49+2363)/1.09945 = 1873
PV of Equity = PV of Firm - Market Value of Debt = 1873 - 800 = 1073
The value of equity is 1073 under both approaches.
Error 1: Discount Cash Flows to Equity at Cost of Capital to Get Too High a Value for Equity
PV of equity = 50/1.0994 + 60/1.09942 + 68/1.09943 + 76.2/1.09944 + (83.49 + 1,603)/1.09945 = 1,248
Error 2: Discount Cash Flows to Firm at Cost of Equity to Get Too Low a Value for the Firm
PV of firm = 90/1.13625 + 100/1.136252 + 108/1.136253 + 116.2/1.136254 + (123.49+2,363)/1.136255 = 1,613
PV of equity = PV of firm Market value of debt = 1,612.86 800 = 813

230 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Note:
(1) The common mistake that is made is that the cash flows to equity are discounted at cost of capital (WACC)
which gives very high value of equity and when cash flows to firm are discounted at cost of equity the firm
is understated. In our example the value of equity increases by 175 over its true value (1073). When the cash
flows to the firm are erroneously discounted at the cost of equity, the value of the firm is understated by 260.
This is predominantly because cost of equity is higher than cost of borrowed funds.
(2) Cash flows for equity are after interest and cash flows for the firm are before. If the cash flows that are discounted
are before interest expenses and principal payments, they are usually cash flows to the firm.
Cash Value Added (CVA)
Cash value added (CVA) is the excess of cash generated over and above the requirement of cash. It is a cash
flow based measure of value that includes only the cash items.
Cash Value Added is given by:
Cash value added (CVA) = Operating Cash Flow (OCF) Operating Cash Flow Demand (OFCD)
The operating cash flow is computed for the essential strategic investment and excludes non-strategic investment.
Operating cash flow is computed by adding earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization
(EBITDA) and the increase in working capital, and subtracting from that non-strategic investment.
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) = EBITDA + Increase in Working Capital Non-strategic Investment
It is clear that investment in working capital is regarded as essential and strategic, if the same is planned and not
due to market forces like increase in receivables due to non-payment by customer.
From OCF is subtracted the operating cash flow demand (OFCD) representing the opportunity cost of capital
demanded by the investors for the strategic investment. It measures the requirement of investors not in percentage
terms but in actual cash flow terms. The difference of OCF and OFCD is the cash value added.
Not being a market-based determinant it can be computed at strategic business unit level. The emphasis is on
cash and not on accounting earnings such as EBIT or net profit of the strategic unit being evaluated.

Cash Flow Return on Investment (CFROI)


Developed by Holt Value Associates, cash flow return on investment (CFROI) is a cash flow based corporate
performance measure. Boston Consulting Group (BCG) uses it as performance measure and defines it as ratio of
sustainable cash flow in a year to the cash invested on the assets of the firm.

Sustainable Cash Flow


Cash Flow Return on Investment (CFROI) =
Cash Invested

Sustainable cash flow is the cash flow adjusted for economic depreciation. Economic depreciation is the annual
amount of charge (or sinking fund) on the cash flows of the firm that is required for replacing the asset after its
useful life is over and with discount factor of WACC of the firm. For Example, if an asset available with the firm
is valued at `5,00,000 but after 10 years of its useful life the replacement can be done only at `7,00,000 the
economic depreciation would be based on replacement cost of `7 lakh instead of `5 lakh. And if the WACC is
12 % the amount each year must be based on such that the present value at 12 % for 10 years equals `7,00,000.
Relative Value of Growth
The firms management often faces the dilemma as to how to provide increased value to the shareholders. Two
common strategies available to them are increase the revenue by increased marketing and sale promotion effort,
and to increase the productivity by undertaking cost cutting exercises wherever possible. Undoubtedly, both are
desirable and increase value to the shareholders. Given the constraint of time with the top management it is hard
to imagine if management can be focus on both the strategies of value addition simultaneously and with equal
vigor.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 231


Valuation Models

Relative value of growth (RVG) is one parameter that helps resolve this dilemma.
Nathaniel Mass (2005) defined RVG as:

Value of 1% Growth (VG)


Relative Value of Growth (RVG) =
Value of 1% improvement inMargin (VM)

Where,
Value of 1% Growth (VG) = Value of the Firm with 1% Extra Revenue Current Value of the Firm

Current Cash Flow


=
Current Value of the Firm
WAC ( g + 1% )

Value of improvement in Margin by 1% (VM)

Post Tax Increase in Cash Flow


=
WACC g
Current Cash Flow 1% (1 T )
=
WACC g

Here g = Expected rate of growth


Relative value of growth compares what is achievable by an increase in revenue as compared to increase in
profitability. The higher the value of RVG the more desirable it is. It compares the contribution of increase in
revenue to that of strategy of cost cutting. With an RVG greater than one, the increase in the value would be
higher if the firm focuses on increased revenue than if the focus is on cost cutting to improve margins. It is a
measure of how increased revenue, which implies increased market share, impact shareholders value creation.
Growth in revenue outweighs cost cutting measures. If RVG is less than one, cost cutting is more effective in value
creation than the increase in revenue. Such a situation would signify the maturity of the market where only way to
improve value is cost cutting.
Understanding the RVG would help strike a good balance between marketing and production activities. It is useful
for making investment decisions, establishing long term focus and formulation of corporate strategy. The limitation
of RVG includes its inability to value intangibles besides being a relative measure ignoring the increase in value in
absolute terms.
Economic Margin
Economic margin, as a measure of corporate performance, was developed by Daniel J Obrycki and Rafael
Resendes (1996). It focuses on economic profit. The approach makes adjustments for differences in capital
structure, age and life of the assets, mix of the assets, and investment needed to generate earnings.
Economic margin framework is not only a performance metric but also encompasses valuation based on four
main value drives profitability, competition, growth, and cost of capital.
It is measured as follows:

Operating Cash Flow Capital Charge


Economic Margin:
Invested Capital

Where,
Operating Cash Flow = Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization + After-tax Interest + R&D Expenses
Non-recurring Expenses/Income

232 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Invested capital = Total Assets + Accumulated Depreciation + Gross Plant Inflation adjustment + Capitalized R&D
Non-debt Current Liabilities
The basic difference and premise of economic margin based valuation is that it emphasizes that firms with high
excess returns are expected to attract greater competition leading to a shorter competitive advantage period,
thus discarding the perpetual cash flow computed to arrive at the terminal value. It states that competition would
compete away excess returns.
It is used for finding competition-adjusted performance. The numerator of economic margin like EVA (discussed
later) based on economic profit. Unlike EVA, economic margin adds depreciation to the EBIT. Like CFROI the
economic margin based on gross assets and helps avoid growth disincentive and not on net assets. However,
unlike CFROI the cash flows are unlevered.

Economic Value Added (EVA) an aid to Valuation


It is a performance metric that calculates the creation of shareholder value. It distinguishes itself from traditional
financial performance metrics such as net profit and EPS. EVA is the calculation of what profits remain after the
cost of companys capital-both debt and equity-are deducted from operating profit.
The value of a firm is the sum of the capital invested and the present value of the economic value added. The
present value of the economic value added by an asset over its life is the net present value of that asset. The value
of a firm can be written as the sum of three components, the capital invested in assets in place, the present value
of the economic value added by these assets, and the expected present value of the economic value that will
be added by future investments. It can be calculated as:

t=
EVA t=
EVA
Firm Value = Capital Invested Assets in Place + +
t,Assets in place t, Future Pr oject

(1+ WACC) (1+ WACC)


t t
=t 1 =t 1

Where:
Economic Value Added for all years = Net Operating Profit after Taxes WACC Capital Employed
Or, (Return on Capital Invested WACC) x Capital Invested
Terminal EVA= EVA / (WACC Net sales growth rate).
WACC = Cost of capital means the fair rate of return to invested capital, which goes to all claimholders. It is
computed by multiplying Capital invested with WACC.
Return on Capital = Operating Income (1 tax rate) / Capital Invested
NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Tax
NOPLAT = Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes.
It means total operating profit for a firm with adjustments made for taxes. It is used in variant of the FCF and used
in mergers of acquisitions.
NOPLAT is very similar to NOPAT, except its (net income + after tax interest expenses + Deferred taxes)
Capital Invested for all years = Total equity + Interest bearing liabilities + Convertibles - Total interest bearing
financial assets.
Capital Invested for terminal year = (NOPLAT Gross capital expenditure Change in working capital + Increase
in non-interest bearing liabilities Total depreciation)/(Net sales growthNOPLAT).

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 233


Valuation Models

Illustration 8.
Consider a firm that has assets in place in which it has capital invested of `100 crores. Assume the following further
facts about the firm:
1. The after-tax operating income on assets in place is `15 crores. This return on capital of 15% is expected to be
sustained in the future, and the company has a cost of capital of 10%.
2. At the beginning of each of the next 5 years, the firm is expected to make investments of `10 crores each.
These investments are also expected to earn 15% as a return on capital, and the cost of capital is expected
to remain 10%.
3. After year 5, the company will continue to make investments and earnings will grow 5% a year, but the new
investments will have a return on capital of only 10%, which is also the cost of capital.
4. All assets and investments are expected to have infinite lives. Thus, the assets in place and the investments
made in the first five years will make 15% a year in perpetuity, with no growth.
This firm can be valued using an economic value added approach as follows:

Capital Invested in Assets in Place `100 crores


+ EVA from Assets in Place ( 0.15 0.10 )(100 ) `50 crore
0.10

+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 1 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `5 crore

( 0.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 2 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `4.55 crore
1
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 3 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `4.13 crore
2
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 4 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `3.76 crore
3
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 5 ( 0.15 0.10 )(10 ) `3.42 crore
4
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
Value of Firm `170.85 crore

t=
EVA t=
EVA
Firm Value = Capital Invested Assets in Place + +
t,Assets in place t, Future Pr oject

(1+ WACC) (1+ WACC)


t t
=t 1 =t 1

Thus, `170.85 crores = `100 crores + `50 corres + `20.85 crores

234 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Limitations of EVA Method of Firm Valuation
(1) Needs calculation of invested capital for every year which depends on valuation issues.
(2) Economic profits as excess returns are fairly subjective, depending on the valuation of invested capital.
(3) Economic profit framework may provide date inducing illusionary accuracy of the quantified business plan.
Income/ Earnings Capitalisation Approach:
There are two main income approaches of valuation. The first, the discounted future income method, involves
forecasting a companys income streams (e.g., earnings or cash flow) on a year-by-year basis, and then
converting these results into their present worth today based on the investors required annual rate of return for
taking the associated risk. The second, the capitalisation of earnings method, looks at the actual past results of
the company as an indicator of its expected future results. There are a variety of potential income streams that
might be used to determine value in the discounted future income method and capitalisation method such as a
companys net profit (after- tax), pre-tax profit, cash flow, dividends and so forth. It then converts these earnings
into an estimate of value using a capitalization rate.
(1) Discounted future income method: Value of a business is the present value of all of its anticipated future
income streams. This method looks to the future by making annual forecasts of a companys earnings and
cash flows and then uses present value techniques to convert these estimates into a value of the business
today. In this method higher discount rate is used for higher uncertainty. It is assumed that growth rate will
be constant after a period of 5-7 years since it is difficult to reliably predict beyond five or seven years in a
forecast. The term income is used generically. It is calculated as:

n
Income
(1+ WACC)
t =1

(2) Earnings Capitalisation Method: The capitalization method simply says that value is a function of the elements
of a companys income, the risk associated with that income (reflected in the discount rate), and the incomes
expected rate of future annual growth.

Income Stream for the Coming Year


Firm Value =
(D g )
Where, D is the discount rate which is WACC and g is the growth rate.

6.6 CONTINGENT CLAIM VALUATION

In valuation, the value of a firm is the present value of the expected cash flows from the assets of the firm. The net
present value of a project does not capture the values of the options to delay, expand or abandon a project.
When comparing across investments, the traditional approach of picking the investment with the highest return
or net present value may short-change investments that offer a firm more flexibility in operations and investing.
A financing model that focuses on minimising the current cost of capital does not consider the value of financial
flexibility that comes from having excess debt capacity. In a similar vein, firms that hold back on returning cash to
their stockholders and accumulate large cash balances might also be guided by the desire for financing flexibility.
The value of equity, obtained from a discounted cash flow valuation model, does not measure the option to
control, and if necessary, liquidate the firm that equity investors possess, and it ignores other options that might
be owned by the firm, including patents, licenses and rights to natural reserves. In light of these options that seem
to be everywhere, these options should be considered when analyzing corporate decisions. We should try to
quantitatively estimate the value of these options, and build them into the decision process.
The value of an asset may not be greater than the present value of expected cash flows if the cash flows are
contingent on the occurrence or non-occurrence of an event. As a simple example, consider an undeveloped
oil reserve belonging to Exxon, the renowned crude oil exploring company. It can be valued based upon

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 235


Valuation Models

expectations of oil prices in the future, but this estimate would miss the non-exclusive facts that the oil company will
develop this reserve if oil prices go up and will not if oil prices decline or the oil company will develop this reserve
if development costs go down because of technological improvement and will not if development costs remain
high. Such undeveloped reserves are real options and should be valued as such, rather than with traditional
discounted cash flow models.
Contingent Claim Valuations (CCV) is a revolutionary development in valuation techniques, to recognise the
value of assets whose cash flows are contingent on a future event occurring. Typical examples would be the
development of a pharmaceutical drug, an unknown oil field, or the development of a new product, innovation
or service, with huge risk and uncertainty.
Earnings Valuations have some difficulty dealing with these firms having unused assets, or where the value of the
assets cannot be easily linked to future cash flows.
CCV techniques sometimes use option valuation theory to value the underlying options present in many of these
assets. Discounted cash flows techniques tend to understate the value of these assets, or punish them with higher
discounting rates (higher WACC).
Real Options Valuations tend to value these underlying options as a set of managerial rights to wait, grow, expand,
use flexible operating processes or even abandon a project or the use of the asset even after the investment
has been made. This technique removes a huge dysfunction that currently exists, between project investment
decision making, and managerial flexibility.
Valuation of intangibles and Brands which employ methodologies to value intangible assets that are identifiable,
separable and capable of systematic valuation. Brand valuations are an example. There are three main
approaches to value intangibles namely:
(1) Cost
(2) Market Value
(3) Economic Value
Key benefits of carrying out earnings based valuation and/or contingent valuations are:
(1) They allow firms that are going concerns to value their ability to generate free cash flows in the near and far
term;
(2) They make an estimate of the WACC and the ability of these future free cash flows to create wealth;
(3) They estimate the terminal value of the company and therefore capture the effect of the companys intangible
assets like branding, intellectual capital etc;
(4) They permit the owners an intelligent and economically way of transiting from the business; and/or
(5) Provide for effective succession planning.
Valuation of Warrants
A warrant is an option issued by a company to buy a stated number of shares of stock at a specified price.
Warrants are generally distributed with debt, or preferred stock, to induce investors to buy those securities at lower
cost. A detachable warrant is one that can be detached and traded separately from the underlying security.
Most warrants are detachable.
A convertible security is a debenture or preferred stock that can be converted into common stock at the owners
discretion. A warrant, on the other hand, is similar to a long-term right, in that it is merely an option to purchase
common stock at a stated price. When a convertible is exercised, it is exchanged directly for common stock;
however, with a warrant, both money and the warrant are exchanged for the common stock.
The minimum price of a warrant is equal to zero until the price of the stock rises above the warrants exercise price.
After that, the warrants minimum price takes on positive values. The degree to which the warrant price rises with
increases in the common stock price depends upon the exercise ratio. In addition, investors are willing to pay a

236 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


premium for warrants because only a small loss is possible, in that the warrant price is less than that of the common
stock and has large return possibilities.
Several factors affect the size of the warrant premium including:
(1) The stock price/exercise price-ratio. As the ratio of the stock price to the exercise price climbs, the warrant
premium falls, because the leverage ability of the warrant declines.
(2) The time left to the warrant expiration date. As the expiration date approaches the size of the warrant premium
shrinks.
(3) Investors expectations concerning the capital gains potential of the stock. If investors feel favourably about
the stock, the warrant premium is larger.
(4) The degree of price volatility on the underlying common stock. The more volatile the common stock, the
higher the warrant premium.

Illustration 9.
Shyam Ltd. has announced issue of warrants on 1:1 basis for its equity share holders. The current price of the stock
`10 and warrants are convertible at an exercise price of `11.71 per share. Warrants are detachable and are
trading at `3. What is the minimum price of the warrant? What is the warrant premium? Now had the current price
been `16.375, what is the minimum price and warrant premium? (Consider warrants are tradable at `9.75)
Minimum Price = (Market Price of Common Stock Exercise Price) Exchange Ratio = (`10.00 11.71) 1.0 = `1.71
Thus, the minimum price on this warrant is considered to be zero, because things simply do not sell for negative
prices.
Warrant premium = Market price of warrant - Minimum price of warrant = `3 - 0 = `3
Minimum price = (Market price of common stock - Exercise price) (Exercise ratio)
=
(`16.375 - 11.71) x 1.0
=
`4.665
Warrant premium = Market price of warrant - Minimum price of warrant = `9.75 - 4.665 = `5.085
Valuation of Preference Shares
Preferred stock is an element of shareholder equity that has characteristics of both equity and debt. A preferred
share carries additional rights above and beyond those conferred by common stock. Preferred shareholders
may have an advantage over common stock shareholders in dissolution, bankruptcy or liquidation, for instance.
Preferred shares also generally have a dividend requirement, which makes them appear similar to debt. The
dividend structure usually has rights attached to it, such as whether the dividends are cumulative or whether the
shares participate in enterprise earnings. The dividend rate may or may not be fixed or tied to some type of index
that controls the movement of the rate, either up or down.
Since preference shares generally pay a constant dividend over its life time the value of a share of preferred stock
is derived from the following formula:
Value of preferred share = Dividend / Required rate of return
The process of determining the value of preferred stock is not entirely different from common stock, except the
risk is assessed based on the individual characteristics of the preferred shares and their impact on the income or
cash flow.
Characteristics of Preferred Stock
When comparing characteristics of preferred shares to characteristics of similar securities look at the following:
An important characteristic of preferred shares is its dividend. The variations could be of the following types:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 237


Valuation Models

Whether the dividends accrue if they are not paid on time,


Whether they cumulative or non-cumulative preference shares.
Whether the preference shares holders have the right
to participate in earnings or value over and above the stated rate decided
Whether the preferred shares are participating vs. non-participating.
Another characteristic is a preferred share would generally entail a distribution upon liquidation before the equity
shareholders. If the preferred shares have a fixed term, and if they can be bought back by the company at a
specified price, time or interval, decides whether they are Redeemable or Irredeemable ones. At times preferred
shares come with voting rights. At some other times facility of put options are granted where, the preferred holder
make the company repurchase the shares for a fixed price (usually par value). Also there are preference shares
that are converted for common stock, or into some other stock or debt instrument, which are known by convertible
preference shares or non-convertible shares. However, most of these varities are not seen to be used in India.
Remember, each specific characteristic affects value based on the advantage or disadvantage associated with
it. The table below highlights them:

Characteristic Increases value Decreases value


Convertible vs. non-convertible Convertible Non-convertible
Cumulative or non-cumulative Cumulative Non-cumulative
Participating vs. non-participating Participating Non-participating
Put option Yes No
Redeemable vs. nonredeemable Call price high Call price low
Voting vs. nonvoting Voting Nonvoting

Of all types are preference shares, it is the convertible preference share which are quite popular with equity
investors. These are preferred issues that the holders can exchange for a predetermined number of the companys
common stock. This exchange can occur at any time the investor chooses regardless of the current market price
of the common stock, depending upon the terms of the issue. It is a one way deal so one cannot convert the
common stock back to preferred stock.
Following formulae on convertible preference shares are used to find the conversion value, conversion premium
etc. These are similar to the ones we learnt in the chapter of Bond Markets.

Par value of convertible security


Conversion Ratio =
conversion price
Conversion value = (Conversion ratio) x (Market value per share of the common stock)
Straight value of preferred stock = Dividend / Expected Return

Market price of Higher of the security



Conversion Pr emium ( in
= absolute terms ) the Convertible value and conversion
preferred stock value

Illustration 10.
Amit Ltd. is issuing 5% `25 par preference shares that would be convertible after three years to equity shares at `27.
If the current market price of equity shares is `13.25, what is the conversion value and conversion premium? The
convertibles are trading at `17.75 in the market? Assume expected return as 8%.

238 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:

Par value of conversion security


Conversion ratio = = 25/ 27 = 0.9259
conversion price

Conversion value = (Conversion ratio) x (Market value per share of the common stock)
= (0.9259) (`13.25) = `12.27
Now let us find the value as straight preferred stock = 1.25/8 = `15.63

Market price of Higher of the security



Conversion Pr emium ( in
= absolute terms ) the Convertible value and conversion
preferred stock value

= `17.75 - `15.63 = `2.12.
lllustration 11.
ABC Ltd Company currently sells for `32.50 per share. In an attempt to determine if ABC Ltd is fairly priced, an
analyst has assembled the following information.
The before-tax required rates of return on ABC Ltd debt, preferred stock, and common stock are 7.0 percent,
6.8 percent, and 11.0 percent, respectively.
The companys target capital structure is 30 percent debt, 20 percent preferred stock, and 50 percent
common stock.
The market value of the companys debt is `145 million and its preferred stock is valued at `65 million.
ABC Ltds FCFF for the year just ended is `28 million. FCFF is expected to grow at a constant rate of 4 percent
for the foreseeable future.
The tax rate is 35 percent.
ABC Ltd has 8 million outstanding common shares.
What is ABC Ltds estimated value per share? Is ABC Ltds stock under priced?

Solution:
The weighted-average cost of capital for ABC Ltd is
WACC = 0.30(7.0%) (1 - 0.35) + 0.20(6.8%) + 0.50(11.0%) = 8.225%
The firm value is
Firm value = FCFF0 (1 + g) / (WACC - g)
Firm value = 28(1.04) / (0.08225 - 0.04) = 29.12/0.04225 = `689.23 million
The value of equity is the firm value minus the value of debt minus the value of preferred stock:
Equity = 689.23 - 145 - 65 = `479.23 million. Dividing this by the number of shares gives the estimated value per share
of `479.23 million/8 million shares = `59.90. The estimated value for the stock is greater than the market price of
`32.50, so the stock appears to be undervalued.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 239


Valuation Models

Illustration 12.
Sandip Corporation is considering for going public but is unsure of a fair offering price for the company. Before
hiring an investment banker to assist in making the public offering, managers at Sandip have decided to make their
own estimate of the firms common stock value. The firms CFO has gathered data for performing the valuation
using the free cash flow valuation model. The firms weighted average cost of capital is 12 percent, and it has `
14,00,000 of debt at market value and `5,00,000 of preferred stock at its assumed market value. The estimated free
cash flows over the next five years, 2009 through 2013, are given below. Beyond 2013 to infinity, the firm expects its
free cash flow to grow by 4 percent annually.

Year Free Cash Flow


2012 ` 2,50,000
2013 ` 2,90,000
2014 ` 3,20,000
2015 ` 3,60,000
2016 ` 4,00,000

(a) Estimate the value of Sandip Corporations entire company by using the free cash flow approach.
(b) Using (a), along with the data provided above, to find Sandip Corporations equity share value.
(c) If the firm plans to issue 2,00,000 shares of equity, what is its estimated value per shares ?
Solution:
(a) The total value of the firm equals

2,50,000 2,90,000 3,20,000 3,60,000 1 4,00,000


+ + + + 40,88,547
=
1.12 1.122 1.123 1.124 1.124 0.12 0.04

(b) Of this amount, `1.4 million is debt and `0.5 million is preferred stock, so the equity value is `21,88,547.
(c) With 2,00,000 shares, the price per share would be `10.94.

Illustration: 13
True Value Ltd. (TVL) is planning to raise funds through issue of common stock for the first time. However, the
management of the company is not sure about the value of the company and, therefore, they attempted to
study similar companies in the same line which are comparable to True value in most of the aspects.
From the following information, you are required to compute the value of TVL using the comparable firms approach.
(` in crore)

Company True value Ltd. (`) Jewel-value Ltd. (`) Real value Ltd. (`) Unique value Ltd. (`)
Sales 250 190 210 270
Profit after tax 40 30 44 50
Book value 100 96 110 128
Market value 230 290 440

TVL feels that 50% weightage should be given to earnings in the valuation process; sales and book value may be
given equal weightages.

240 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
The valuation multiples of the comparable firms are as follows:

Particular Jewel-value Ltd. Real value Ltd. Unique value Ltd. Average
Prices/Sales ratio* 1.21 1.38 1.63 1.41
Price/Earnings ratio** 7.67 6.59 8.80 7.69
Price/Book value ratio*** 2.40 2.64 3.44 2.83

Applying the multiples calculated as above, the value of TVL can be calculated as follows:

Particular Multiple Average Parameter (` cr.) Value (` cr.)


Prices/Sales 1.41 250 352.50
Price/Earnings 7.69 40 307.60
Price/Book value 2.83 100 283.00

By applying the weightage to the P/S ratio, P/E ratio and P/BV ratio we get:
[(352.50 x 1)+(307.60 x 2)+(283.00 x 1)]/(1+2+1)= 312.675, i.e. `312.675 crores is the value.

Alternative:
` (352.50 0.25 + 307.60 0.50 + 283.00 0.25) = ` 312.675 crore.
Working Notes:

Market Value
*Price/Sales Ratio =
Sales

Market Value
**Price/Earnings Ratio =
Pr ofit after tax

Market Value
***Price/Book value ratio =
Book Value

Illustration: 14
ABC Ltd. requires an initial investment of `12 lakh for its new store for which `4 lakh would come from borrowing
at an interest rate of 8%. The interest is paid for 5 years and the entire principal with interest is repaid at the end of
the sixth year. The interest expenses are tax deductible at a rate of 36%, but the principal payments are not. The
cash flows to the firm are expected to be `80,000 initially. These cash flows are expected to grow at a rate of 30%
for the first 4 years and at 75% from the fifth year. Estimate the free cash flow to equity.
Solution:
Free cash flow to equity = (Net operating income - Interest) + Depreciation and amortization - Capital expenditure
- Change in working capital - Principal repayments + Proceeds from new debt issues.
or
FCFE = FCFF + Borrowing - Interest (1 -t) - Principal repaid

Year FCFF Borrowing Interest (1 t) Principal repaid FCFE


0 (12,00,000) 4,00,000 (8,00,000)
1 80,000 20,480 59,520

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 241


Valuation Models

2 1,04,000 20,480 83,520


3 1,35,200 20,480 1,14,720
4 1,75,760 20,480 1,55,280
5 3,07,580 20,480 2,87,100
6 5,38,265 20,480 4,00,000 1,17,785


Illustration: 15
Alpha India Ltd. is trying to buy Beta India Ltd. Beta India Ltd., is a small biotechnology firm that develops products
that are licensed to major pharmaceutical firms. The development costs are expected to generate negative cash
flows of `10 lakh during the first year of the forecast period. Licensing fee is expected to generate positive cash
flows of `5, 10, 15 and 20 lakh during 2-5 years respectively. Due to the emergence of competitive products cash
flows are expected to grow annually at a modest 5% after the fifth year. The discount rate for the first five years is
estimated to be 15% and then drop to 8% beyond the fifth year. Calculate the value of the firm.
Solution:

Year Cash Flows Discount rate @15% Present value


1 (10) 1.15 (8.69)
2 5 1.323 3.779
3 10 1.521 6.575
4 15 1.749 8.576
5 20 2.011 9.945

Total sum of present value = 20.185

Cash Flowt +1
Terminal Valuet =
r gstable

Cash Flowt+1 = Cash flowt (1 + g)


= 20(1+0.05) = 21 lakh
Terminal Value = 21/(0.08 0.05)
=
`700 lakh.
Present value of terminal value = 700/2.011 = 348.08
Value of the firm = `20.185 + `348.08 = `368.265 lakh

Illustration 16.
From the given financial statement of ABC Ltd find the following free cash flows viz. Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF)
and Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE).

Balance Sheet of ABC Ltd (` in Millions)


31.3.2015 31.3.2016
Asset:
Current Assets
Cash 210 248

242 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Account Receivable 474 513
Inventory 520 564
Total Current Assets 1204 1325
Gross Fixed Assets 2501 2850
Accumulated Depreciation (604) (784)
Net Fixed Assets 1897 2066
Total Assets 3101 3391
Equity & Liabilities:
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 295 317
Notes Payable 300 310
Accrued Taxes and expenses 76 99
Total Current Liabilities 671 726
Long Term Debt 1010 1050
Share Capital 50 50
Additional paid in Capital 300 300
Retained Earnings 1070 1265
Total Shareholders Equity 1420 1615
Total Liabilities 3101 3391

Statement of Income ABC Ltd (` Million) 31.3.2016

Total revenues 2215


Operating Costs and Expenses 1430
EBITDA 785
Depreciation 180
EBIT 605
Interest Expense 130
PBT 475
Tax (@40%) 190
Net Income 285
Dividends 90
Transfer to Retained Earnings 195


Statement of Cash Flows ABC Ltd (` Million) 31.3.2016

Operating Activities
Net Income 285
Adjustments
Depreciation 180
Income taxes Paid (190)
Change in Working Capital

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 243


Valuation Models

Account Receivable (39)


Inventories (44)
Accounts Payable 22
Accrued taxes & expenses 23
Cash provided by Operating Activities 427
Investing Activities
Purchases of fixed assets 349
Cash used for Investing Activities 349
Financing Activities
Notes Payable (10)
Long Term Debt (40)
Dividends 90
Cash used for Financing Activities 40
Cash and Equivalents Increase 38
Cash - beginning of the year 210
Cash - end of the year 248
Additional disclosures
Interest Paid 130

Solution:
Free cash flow to the firm is given by the formula:
FCFF = NI + Non Cash Charges + Interest (1-T) - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital
FCFF = 285 + 180+ 130(1 0.40) 349* (39 + 44 22 23)
*Net Investment in 2016 = Change in Gross Fixed Assets = (2850 2501) = 349 FCFF = 285 + 180 + 78 349 38 = `156
million
Free cash flow to equity is given by:
FCFE = FCFF - Interest (1 -T) + Net borrowing
And we know that:
FCFF = NI + Non Cash Charges + Interest (1-T) - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital
Therefore:
FCFE = NI + Non Cash Charges - Net Investment - Net Change in Working Capital + Net Borrowing
FCFE = 285 + 180 349 (39 + 44 22 23) + (10 + 40)
FCFE = 285 + 180 349 38 + 50 = `128 million
Or directly from FCFF as follows:
FCFE = FCFF - Interest (1 - Tax rate) + Net borrowing
FCFE = 156 130(1 0.40) + (10 + 40)
FCFE = 156 78 + 50 = `128 million

244 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 17.
ABC Ltd has FCFF of `170 Crores and FCFE of `130 Crores. ABC Ltds WACC is 13% and its cost of equity is 15%. FCFF
is expected to grow forever at 7% and FCFE is expected to grow forever at 7.5%. ABC Ltd has debt outstanding at
`1500 Crores. Find the value of ABC Ltd using FCFF approach and FCFE approach.
Solution:
FCFF Approach: (discount rate = WACC)
The firm value is the present value of FCFF discounted at the weighted-average cost of capital (WACC):
= FCFFt /(k-g) = 170 x 1.07 / (0.13 - 0.07) = `3031.67 Crores
The market value of equity is the value of the firm minus the value of debt:
Equity = 3031.67 - 1500 = `1531.67 Crores
FCFE Approach: (discount rate = Cost of Equity)
Using the FCFE valuation approach, the present value of FCFE, discounted at Cost of equity
= FCFEt/(k-g) = 130 x 1.075/(0.15 - 0.075) = `1863.33 Crores

Illustration 18.
Given below is the Balance Sheet of Khan Ltd. as on 31.3.2016:

Equity and Liability ` (in Lakh) Assets ` (in Lakh)


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 100 (i) Tangible Assets:
(b) Reserve & Surplus Land and Building 40
General Reserve 40 Plant and Machinery 80
(2) Current Liabilities: (b) Non-Current Investments 10
(a) Trade Payables (2) Current Assets:
Sundry Creditors 30 (a) Inventories 20
(b) Trade Receivables
Sundry Debtors 15
(c) Cash & Cash Equivalents 5
Total 170 Total 170

You are required to work out the value of the Companys, shares on the basis of Net Assets method and Profit-
earning capacity (Capitalisation) method and arrive at the fair price of the shares, by considering the following
information:
(i) Profit for the current year `64 lakhs includes `4 lakhs extraordinary income and `1 lakh income from investments
of surplus funds; such surplus funds are unlikely to recur.
(ii) In subsequent years, additional advertisement expenses of `5 lakhs are expected to be incurred each year.
(iii) Market values of Land and Building & Plant and Machinery have been ascertained at `96 lakhs and `100 lakhs
respectively. This will entail additional depreciation of `6 lakhs each year.
(iv) Effective Income-tax rate is 30%.
(v) The capitalization rate applicable to similar business is 16%.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 245


Valuation Models

Solution:
Net Assets Method:

Assets ` (in Lakh)


Land and Building 96
Plant and Machinery 100
Investments 10
Stocks 20
Debtors 15
Cash at Bank 5
Total Assets 246
Less: Creditors 30
Net Assets 216

Value per Share


Number of shares = 100 lakhs /10 = 10 lakhs
Value per share = Net Assets / No. of shares = `216 lakhs /10 lakhs = `21.60
Profit Earning Capacity Method:

` (in Lakh)
Profit before tax 64
Less: Extraordinary income 4
Less: Investment income not likely to recur 1
Less: Additional expenses for forthcoming years - Advertisement 5
Less: Depreciation 6
Expected Earnings Before Taxes 48
Less: Income taxes @30% 14.4
Future Maintainable Profits 33.6

Future Maintainable Pr ofit 33.6


Value of Business = = = ` 210 lakhs
Capitalization Factor 0.16

Subtracting external liabilities we get Net Value of Business. Value of share would be Net Value of Business divided
by number of shares = ( `210 lakhs - `30 lakhs) /10 lakhs = `18.00.

Fair Price of share `


Value as per Net Assets Method 21.6
Value as per Profit earning capacity (Capitalization) method 18.0

Fair Price = Average of the two = `19.80 per Share


Illustration 19.
A company manufacturing, needle roller bearings, is financed by debt and equity to the extent of 3:7, with total
debts of `10.82 million. The companys debt is valued at 8%. The beta of the companys equity is known to be 1.5.
The company generates a free cash flow `2 million with the known growth projection of 5% to perpetuity. If it is
known that the market risk premium is 6% and the risk free rate is 5%, what is the value of each equity share for the
1 million shareholders of the company? Assume that the company is in the 40% tax bracket.

246 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
It is given that:
FCF1 = 2.00(1.05) = `2.1 million; g = 5%;
=1.5; RF = 5%; (RM RF) = 6%; = RPM
Wd = 30%; T = 40%; Kd = 8%
Ke = RF + RPM() = 5% + 6%(1.5) = 14%,
WACC = Wd Kd (l-T) + We Ke
= 0.30(8%)(0.60) + 0.70(14%)
= 11.24%
FCF (1+ g) 2.1
Value of firm == = ` 33.65 million
WACC g 0.1124 0.05
Value of Equity Shares = VFirm Vdebt = 33.65 10.82 = ` 22.83 million
Price = 22.83 million /1 million shares = `22.83 / share

Illustration 20.
If in the above problem, the following different situations are observed:
Free Cash Flows given for: Year 1: `2.5 million; Year 2: `2.9 million, Year 3: `3.4 million; Year 4 onwards: Growth of
5%
Tax shields are available each year on interest of `1.50 million for years 1 to 3. With all other information remaining
the same, find the value per equity share?

Solution:
FCF1 = `2.5 million, FCF2 = `2.9 million and FCF3 = `3.4 million;
g = 5%;
= 1.5; RF = 5%; RPM = 6%;
Wd = 30%; T = 40%; Kd = 8%
WACC was calculated as 11.24%.
The terminal value after year 3 can be calculated as
= FCF3(1+g) / (WACC g)
= 3.4(1.05)/(0.1124-0.05)
= `57.21 million
Tax shields in years 1 through 3 are:
TS1 = TS2 = TS3 = Interest x T
= 1,500,000 x 0.40 = 6,00,000
Free Cash Flows for years 1 to 3 and terminal value for year 4-end: (FCF = FCF1+ TS1 and so on)

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4-end


3.1 million 3.5 million 4.0 million 57.21 million

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 247


Valuation Models

Since the interest tax shields have been taken into account, the cash flows would have to be discounted with
WACC where we do not apply tax for debt parties,
i.e., K = Wd Kd + We Ke = 0.30(8%) + 0.70(14%) = 12.20%
The present value of the FCFs, the tax shields, and the terminal value gives us the value of the firm:
3.1 3.5 4.0 57.21
VFirm = + + + ` 48.88 million
=
1.122 (1.122 )2 (1.122 )3 (1.122 )4

Equity value = VFirm - Vdebt


= 48.88 million -10.82 million
= 38.06 million
or ` 38.06 per share since there are 1 million shares outstanding.

Illustration 21.
The free cash flow of S Ltd is projected to grow at a compound annual average rate of 35% for the next 5 years.
Growth is then expected to slow down to a normal 5% annual growth rate. The current years cash flow of S Ltd is `4
lakh. S Ltds cost of capital during the high growth period is 18% and 12% beyond the fifth year, as growth stabilizes.
Calculate the value of the S Ltd.

Solution:
Present Value of Cash Flows during the Forecast Period
PV1-t = {[FCFE0 x (1 + gt )t]/(1 + WACC)t
= [(4 x 1.35)/1.18] + [{4 x (1.35)2}/(1.18)2] + [{4 x (1.35)3} / (1.18)3] + [{4 x (1.35)4} / (1.18)4] + [{4 x(1.35)5} / (1.18)5]
= 5.4 / 1.18 +7.29/(1.18)2 +9.84/(1.18)3 + 13.29/(1.18)4+17.93/(1.18)5
= 4.58 + 5.24 + 5.99 + 6.85 + 7.84
= `30.50 lakh
Calculation of Terminal Value
Where Pn = FCFEn x(1 + g)/(ke -g)
= (17.93 x 1.05) / 0.12-0.05
= 18.83/0.07
= `269 lakh
PV of Terminal Price = 269 / (1.18)5 = 117.58
P0, FCFE = PV1-5 + PVT
= 30.50 + 117.58 = `148.08 lakh.

Illustration 22.
A task has been assigned to a research analyst in a mutual fund to find out at what price the fund should subscribe
to an IPO issue (through Book Building) of a transformer company X Ltd. The following details of the company from
31.3.13 Annual Report are available:

248 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Particulars 31.03.13
Revenues 248.79
Operating expenses 214.41
EBIDTA 34.38
Other Income 3.84
Interest expense 1.00
Preliminary Expenses W/O 0.00
Depreciation 1.92
Profit before taxes 35.30
Income taxes 12.35
Tax at the rate of 35%
Net profit 22.95

To calculate future cash flows, the following projections for the financial year ended 31.3.2014 till 31.3.2018 is
available:
Amount in lakhs

FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18


Revenue growth 55% 50% 28% 20% 14%
Operating exp/ Income 87% 87% 87% 88% 88%
Other Income 2.50 2.20 2.50 2.50 2.50
Interest expense 2.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00
Preliminary Expenses W/O 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Depreciation 2.60 3.50 4.10 3.90 3.70
Capital spending 2.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 2.00
Incremental Working capital 2.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 2.00

It is given that revenues would grow at 0% after the explicit forecast period. X Ltd. total assets of `219.98 lakhs
are financed with equity of `208.66 lakhs and balance debts sourced at 8% p.a. Assume risk free rate of 7.5%,
risk premium of 7.5% and beta of stock as 1.07. The firm falls in the 35% tax bracket. The company including the
shares floated in this issue would have issued a total of 1.02 lakhs shares. Find out the intrinsic value of share using
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis. If the price band announced by X Ltd. stands at `345 - `365, should this fund
subscribe to this book built issue and at which end of the price band?
Solution:
Calculation of Cost of Equity = R +(Rm - Rf ) = 7.5 + 1.07 x 7.5 = 15.53%
Cost of Debt = 8%
WACC = (208.66/219.98) x 0.1553 + (11.32/219.98) x 0.08 x (1-0.35) = 15%
Discount rate = 15%
Calculation of Future Free Cash Flows for the Explicit Period of 5 Years:

Particulars 31.03.14E 31.03.15E 31.03.16E 31.03.17E 31.03.18E


Revenues 385.63 578.45 740.41 888.49 1012.88
Operating expenses 335.50 503.25 644.16 781.87 891.33
EBIDTA 50.13 75.20 96.25 106.62 121.55
Other Income 2.50 2.20 2.50 2.50 2.50

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 249


Valuation Models

Interest expense 2.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00


Preliminary Expenses W/O 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Depreciation 2.60 3.50 4.10 3.90 3.70
Profit before taxes 48.03 70.90 91.65 102.22 117.35
Income taxes 16.81 24.81 32.08 35.78 41.07
Net Profit 31.22 46.08 59.57 66.45 76.28
Add Depreciation 2.60 3.50 4.10 3.90 3.70
Less capital spending 2.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 2.00
Less Incremental working capital 2.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 2.00
Free cash flow to the firm 29.82 39.58 53.67 66.35 75.98

Calculation of Value of Firm: [Amount in lakhs]

Year Cash flows Disc. Factor @ 15% PV of cash flows


2013-14 29.82 0.870 25.93
2014-15 39.58 0.756 29.93
2015-16 53.67 0.658 35.29
2016-17 66.35 0.572 37.95
2017-18 75.98 0.497 37.76
Terminal Value* (g=0%) 506.50 0.497 251.73
Value of Firm 418.59
Value of Debt 11.32
Equity Value 407.27
Equity shares outstanding 1.02
Share price in ` 399.28

75.98 (1+ 0% )
*
(15% 0% )
Since the intrinsic value of share is `399 approximately and the price band is from `345 to `365, there is a scope for
appreciation. Hence the fund can subscribe to these shares at the upper band of `365.

Illustration 23.
An unlisted company RS Ltd., manufacturing electrical equipments is currently in the expansion mode and is
expected to be a good investment keeping in mind the expected sales and profits over the next 5 years. The
projection statement of free cash flows is given below for the period 2009-2013. The shares are likely to be listed
after an initial public offer (IPO) shortly.
(` Crores)

Particulars 31.03.12 31.03.13 31.03.14 31.03.15 31.03.16


Income 99.58 121.48 151.91 189.76 231.40
Expenditure 87.63 106.30 132.16 164.14 199.00
Operating profit (PBDIT) 11.95 15.18 19.75 25.62 32.40
-Depreciation 3.23 9.29 9.63 9.63 9.31

250 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


-Interest 0.85 0.67 0.39 0.12 0.00
PBT 7.87 5.22 9.73 15.87 23.08
-Provisions for taxation 2.59 1.72 3.21 5.23 7.61
Net profit 5.28 3.50 6.52 10.64 15.47
Add: Depreciation 3.23 9.29 9.63 9.63 9.31
Less: capital spending 14.58 30.30 1.71 0.00 0.00
Less: Incremental working capital 17.09 22.59 12.59 12.00 12.00
Free cash flow to the firm -23.16 -40.10 1.85 8.27 12.78
This is a company with similar risk characteristics that of RS Ltd. which is listed and whose average beta is 0.85.
The risk free rate and the market risk premium are 7% and the company is funded with 93% equity and 7% debt,
whose cost is 9.25%. A 5% growth is projected beyond 5 years till perpetuity. The firm falls in the 33% tax bracket.
The total of 1.06 Crores shares would be outstanding. Find out the intrinsic value of share using Discounted Cash
Flow Analysis.
Solution:
Calculation of Cost of Equity = Rf + (Rm - Rf ) = 7 + 0.85 x 7 = 12.95%
Cost of Debt = 9.25%
WACC = 0.93 x 0.1295 + 0.07 x 0.0925 x (1-0.33) = 12.48%
Discount rate = 12.48%
Calculation of Value of Firm: [ ` in Crores]

Year Cash flows Disc. Factor @ 12.48% PV of Cash flows


2011-12 -23.16 0.889 -20.59
2012-13 -40.10 0.790 -31.68
2013-14 1.85 0.703 1.30
2014-15 8.27 0.625 5.17
2015-16 12.78 0.555 7.09
Terminal Value* (g = 5%) 179.40 0.555 99.57
Total PV 60.86
No. of shares outstanding in Crs 1.06
Fair Value of Share in ` 57.41
12.78 (1+ 5% )
*
(12.48% 5% )
The intrinsic value of share is `57 approximately.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 251


Valuation Models

Valuation of Business

Illustration 24.
P Ltd is considering buying the business of Q Ltd the final accounts of which for the last 3 years were as follows:
Profit and Loss Accounts for the 3 years ended 31st Dec. (Figures in `)

Particulars 2014 2015 2016


Sales 2,00,000 1,90,000 2,24,000
Material Consumed 1,00,000 95,000 1,12,000
Business Expenses 80,000 80,000 82,000
Depreciation 12,000 13,000 14,000
Net Profit 8,000 2,000 16,000

Balance Sheet as at 31st Dec. (Figures in `)

Particulars 2013 2014 2015 2016


Fixed Assets (at Cost) 1,00,000 1,20,000 1,40,000 1,80,000
Less: Depreciation 70,000 82,000 95,000 1,09,000
30,000 38,000 45,000 71,000
Stock in Trade 16,000 17,000 18,500 21,000
Sundry Debtors 21,000 24,000 26,000 28,000
Cash in hand and Bank 32,000 11,000 28,000 13,200
Prepaid Expenses 1,000 500 2,000 1,000
Total Assets 1,00,000 90,500 1,19,500 1,34,200

Equity Capital 50,000 50,000 70,000 70,000


Share premium -- -- 5,000 5,000
General Reserve 16,000 24,000 26,000 42,000
Debentures 20,000 -- -- --
Sundry Creditors 11,000 13,000 14,000 14,000
Accrued Expenses 3,000 3,500 4,500 3,200
Total Liabilities 1,00,000 90,500 1,19,500 1,34,200

P Ltd wishes the offer to be based upon trading cash flows rather than book profits. Trading Cash Flow means Cash
received from Debtors less Cash Paid to Creditors and for Business Expenses excluding Depreciation, together with
an allowance for average annual expenditure on Fixed Assets of `15,000 per year.
The actual expenditure on Fixed Assets is to be ignored, as is any cash receipt or payment out on the issue or
redemption of Shares or Debentures.
P Ltd wishes the Trading Cash Flow to be calculated for each of the years 2014, 2015 and 2016 and for these to be
combined using weights of 25% for 2014, 35% for 2015 and 40% for 2016 to give an Average Annual Trading Cash
Flow.
P Ltd considers that the Average Annual Cash Flow should show a return of 10% on its investment.

252 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


You are required to calculate:
(a) Trading Cash Flow for each of the years 2014, 2015 & 2016,
(b) Weighted Average Annual Trading Cash Flow, and
(c) Price which P Ltd should offer for the business.

Solution:

Particulars 2014 2015 2016


Net Profit as per Profit & Loss A/c 8,000 2,000 16,000
Add: Depreciation 12,000 13,000 14,000
Operating Cash Flows before Working Capital Changes 20,000 15,000 30,000
Adjustment for Working Capital Changes
(a) Change in Stock (1,000) (1,500) (2,500)
(b) Change in Debtors (3,000) (2,000) (2,000)
(c) Prepaid Expenses 500 (1,500) 1,000
(d) Sundry Creditors 2,000 1,000 --
(e) Accrued Expenses 500 1,000 (1,300)
Cash Generated from Operations 19,000 12,000 25,200
Less: Allowance for Expenditure on Fixed Assets (15,000) (15,000) (15,000)
Trading Cash Flow 4,000 (3,000) 10,200
Weights 25% 35% 40%
Weighted Trading Cash Flow 1,000 (1,050) 4,080
Weighted Average Cash Flow 4,030
Capitalization Rate 10%
Value of Business 40,300

Illustration 25.
Shah Ltd had earned a PAT of `48 Lakhs for the year just ended. It wants you to ascertain the value of its business,
based on the following information.
(i) Tax Rate for the year just ended was 36%. Future Tax rate is estimated at 34%.
(ii) The Companys Equity Shares are quoted at `120 at the Balance Sheet date. The Company had an Equity
Capital of `100 Lakhs, divided into Shares of `50 each.
(iii) Profits for the year have been calculated after considering the following in the P & L Account:-
Subsidy `2 Lakhs received from Government towards fulfillment of certain social obligations.
The Government has withdrawn this subsidy and hence, this amount will not be received in future.
Interest `8 Lakhs on Term Loan. The final instalment of this Term Loan was fully settled in the last year.
Managerial Remuneration `15 Lakhs. The Shareholders have approved an increase of `6 Lakhs in the
overall Managerial Remuneration, from the next year onwards.
Loss on sale of Fixed Assets and Investments amounting to `8 Lakhs. (Ignore Tax Effect thereon)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 253


Valuation Models

Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits

Particulars ` Lakhs
Profit after Tax for the year just ended 48,00,000
Add: Tax Expense (Tax is 36%, So PAT = 64%, Hence, Tax = 48,00,000 36/64) 27,00,000
Profit before Tax for the year just ended 75,00,000
Add/ (Less): Adjustments in respect of Non-Recurring items
Subsidy Income not received in future (2,00,000)
Interest on Term Loan not payable in future, hence saved 8,00,000
Additional Managerial Remuneration (6,00,000)
Loss on Sale of Fixed Assets and Investments (non-recurring) 8,00,000
Future Maintainable Profits before Tax 83,00,000
Less: Tax Expense at 34% 28,22,000
Future Maintainable Profits after Tax Equity Earnings 54,78,000

2. Computation of Capitalization Rate and Value of Business

Particulars ` Lakhs
(a) Profit after Tax for the year just ended `48 Lakhs
(b) Number of Equity Shares (`100 Lakhs `50 per Share) 2 Lakhs
(c) Earnings Per Share (EPS) = PAT Number of Equity Shares `24
(d) Market Price per Share on Balance Sheet Date `120
(e) Price Earnings Ratio = MPS EPS 5
(f) Capitalization Rate = 1 PE Ratio 20%
(g) Value of Business = Future Maintainable Profits Capitalization Rate = `54.78 Lakhs 20% `273.90 Lakhs

Illustration 26.
Shiva Ltd. gives the following information-
Profits After Tax for the period = `100 Lakhs; Expected Compound Growth Rate = 8% p.a
Cash Flows After Taxes for the period = `125 Lakhs; Expected Compound Growth Rate = 7% p.a.
Current Market Price per Equity Share = `900; Equity Share Capital = `1,00,00,000 into Shares of `100 each.
Compute the value of Shiva Ltd by projecting its PAT /CFAT for an eight year period. Use 10% Discount Rate for your
calculations. Also calculate the value of the business by capitalizing the current PAT/ CFAT.
Solution:
1. Discounted Value of Future PAT and CFAT (` Lakhs)

Year PVIF at 10% PAT Discounted PAT CFAT Discounted CFAT


1 0.9091 100.00 + 8% = 108.00 98.18 125.00 + 7% = 133.75 121.59
2 0.8264 108.00 + 8% = 116.64 96.39 133.75 + 7% = 143.11 118.27
3 0.7513 116.64 + 8% =125.97 94.64 143.11 + 7% = 153.13 115.04
4 0.6830 125.97 + 8% = 136.05 92.92 153.13 + 7% = 163.85 111.91
5 0.6209 136.05 + 8% = 146.93 91.23 163.85 + 7% = 175.32 108.86

254 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


6 0.5645 146.93 + 8% = 158.69 89.58 175.32 + 7% =187.59 105.90
7 0.5132 158.69 + 8% = 171.38 87.95 187.59 + 7% = 200.72 103.01
8 0.4665 171.38 + 8% = 185.09 86.34 200.72 + 7% = 214.78 100.19
Total Value of Business 737.23 884.77

2. Capitalization of current PAT /CFAT (` Lakhs)

Particulars PAT CFAT


(a) PAT/CFAT for the period `100.00 Lakhs `125.00 Lakhs
(b) Earnings per Share = PAT Number of Equity Shares `100 per share `100 per share
(c) Market Price per share `900 per share `900 per share
(d) P/E Ratio = MPS EPS 9 9
(e) Capitalization Rate = 1 PE Ratio 11.11% 11.11%
(f) Value of Business = PAT or CFAT Capitalization Rate `900.09 Lakhs `1,125.11 Lakhs

3. Summary of Value of Business under different methods

Particulars ` Lakhs
(a) Discounted Value of future PAT of 8 years `737.23 Lakhs
(b) Discounted Value of future CFAT of 8 years `884.77 Lakhs
(c) Capitalization of current PAT at 11.11% `900.09 Lakhs
(d) Capitalization of current CFAT at 11.11% `1,125.11 Lakhs
(e) Simple Average of all of the above = (a+b+c+d) 4 `911.80 Lakhs

Illustration 27.
Kolkata Ltd and Mumbai Ltd have agreed that Kolkata Ltd will take over the business of Mumbai Ltd with effect
from 31st December 2013. It is agreed that:
(i) 10,00,000 shareholders of Mumbai Ltd will receive Shares of Kolkata Ltd. The Swap ratio is determined on the
basis of 26 week average market prices of Shares of both the Companies. Average Prices have been worked
out at `50 and `25 for the shares of Kolkata Ltd and Mumbai Ltd respectively.
(ii) In addition to (1) above, the shareholders of Mumbai Ltd will be paid in cash based on the projected synergy
that will arise on the absorption of the business of Mumbai Ltd by Kolkata Ltd. 50% of the projected benefits will
be paid to the share holders of Mumbai Ltd.
The following projections have been agreed upon by the management of both the Companies.

Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


Benefit (in ` Lakhs) 50 75 90 100 105

The benefit is estimated to grow at the rate of 2% from 2018 onwards. It has been further agreed that a discount
rate of 20% should be used to calculate the cash that the holders of each share of Mumbai Ltd will receive.
Calculate the cash that holder of each share of Mumbai Ltd will receive.
Calculate the total purchase consideration.
(Discounting Rate 20%: 1 year-0.833, 2 year 0.694, 3 year 0.579, 4 year 0.482, 5 year -0.402, 6 year - 0.335)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 255


Valuation Models

Solution:
1. Present Value of Synergy Benefits

Year Computation PV= ` Lakhs


2014 50 0.833 41.65
2015 75 0.694 52.05
2016 90 0.579 52.11
2017 100 0.482 48.20
2018 105 0.402 42.21
2019 onwards (Terminal value Note) (105 102% 18%) 0.402 239.19
Total 475.41

50% on the Synergy Benefits = 475.41 50% = `237.705 Lakhs


Cash for every share held in Mumbai Ltd = 237.705 10 = `23.77
Note: For every increasing cash flow at constant growth rate i.e. Perpetual Cash Flows is as under
2. Total Purchase Consideration for the business

(a) Equity share (25/50 10,00,000 `50) `250.00 Lakhs


(b) Cash = 50% of Synergy Benefits `237.70 Lakhs
Total `487.70 Lakhs

Illustration 28.
XY Ltd. which is specialised in manufacturing garments is planning for expansion to handle a new contract which it
expects to obtain. An investment bank has approached the company and asked whether the Co. had considered
Venture Capital Financing. In 2011, the company borrowed `100 lakhs on which interest is paid at 10% p.a. The
company shares are unquoted and it has decided to take your advice in regard to the calculation of value of the
company that could be used in negotiations using the following available information.

Year 2015 Year 2016


Turnover (` Lakhs) Probability Turnover (` Lakhs) Probability
2,000 0.6 2,500 0.7
3,000 0.3
1,500 0.3 2,000 0.5
1,800 0.5
1,200 0.1 1,500 0.6
1,200 0.4

Companys forecast turnover for the year 31st March 2015 is `2,000 lakhs which is mainly dependent on the ability
to obtain the new contract the chance of which is 60%, turnover for the following year is dependent to some
extent on the outcome of the year to 31st March 2015.
Following are the estimated turnovers and probabilities:
Operating costs inclusive of depreciation are expected to be 40% and 35% of the turnover respectively for the
years 31st March 2015 and 2016. Tax is to be paid at 30%. It is assumed that profits after interest and taxes are free
cash flows. Growth in earnings is expected to be 40% for the years 2017, 2018 and 2019 which will fall to 10% each
year after that. Industry average cost of equity (net of tax) is 15%.

256 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
We need to find the value of the company today, for which we need to find the future cash flows and discount
them at the expected rate of return (given as 15%). In the given problem since it is given that profit after interest
and taxes can be taken as cash flows, we find the same for the year ending 2015 onwards as below:
Expected turnover for the year 2015 = 0:6*1200 + 0.3*1500 + 0.1*1200 = `1770 lakhs Joint probability for the turnover
in year 2016 would be as follows:

Year 2016 - Turnover 2500 3000 2000 1800 1500 1200


Joint Probability 0.42 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.06 0.04
Expected Turnover -2016 (Weighted average) `2,298 lakhs

Cash flow table:

Particular 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 to end


Turnover 1,770 2,298
Operational Costs 708 804
Interest 10 10
Profit Before Tax 1,052 1,484
Tax 316 445
Cash Flows = PAT with the given growth rate 736 1,039 1,455 2,037 2,852 62,744
PV factor @15% 0.870 0.756 0.658 0.572 0.497 0.497
PV@15% 640 785 957 1165 1417 31181*

Constant growth from 2020:


Value = D/k = (2852 1.1/(0.15 - 0.10)) 0.497 = `31181 lakhs
Total value of company = Sum of last row = `36145 lakhs

Illustration 29.
You are the director of Ram Company. One of the projects you are considering is the acquisition of Shyam
Company. Shyam, the owner of Shyam Company, is willing to consider selling his company to Ram Company,
only if he is offered and all-cash purchase price of `5 million. The project estimates that the purchase of Shyam
Company will generate the following profit after-tax cash flow:

Year Cash Flow (`)


1 1,000,000
2 1,500,000
3 2,000,000
4 2,500,000
5 3,000,000

If you decide to go ahead with this acquisition, it will be funded with Rams standard mix of debt and equity,
at the firms weighted average (after-tax) cost of capital of 9 percent. Rams tax rate is 30 percent. Should you
recommend acquiring Shyam Company to your CEO?

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 257


Valuation Models

Solution:

Year Cash Flow (`) PV Factor @ 9% PV of cash flow


1 1,000,000 0.917 9,17,431
2 1,500,000 0.842 12,62,520
3 2,000,000 0.772 15,44,367
4 2,500,000 0.708 17,71,063
5 3,000,000 0.650 19,49,794
Total value of the project 74,45,175

Since the value of Shyam Company, is `74, 45,175 a figure greater than minimum desired amount of `50 lakhs to
be paid to Shyam Company, Ram Company can consider buying Shyam Company.

Illustration 30.
Idea Ltd was incorporated on 1st April, 2016 for the purpose of acquiring P Ltd, Q Ltd and R Ltd. The summarised
Balance Sheets of the Companies as at 31st March 2016 are given below (` 000s)-

Liabilities P Ltd Q Ltd R Ltd Assets P Ltd Q Ltd R Ltd


Equity Shares (`10) 20,00,000 25,00,000 12,50,000 Fixed Assets - Goodwill -- 3,00,000 --
Reserves & Surplus 7,50,000 5,50,000 3,00,000 Land & Buildings 5,00,000 4,00,000 3,00,000
10% Term Loan 3,50,000 2,00,000 2,00,000 Plant & Equipment 20,00,000 16,00,000 12,00,000
Current Liabilities 7,00,000 4,50,000 4,75,000 Other Fixed Assets 3,00,000 8,00,000 2,25,000
Current Assets - Stocks 4,00,000 2,50,000 2,00,000
Debtors 5,00,000 3,00,000 2,50,000
Cash & Bank 1,00,000 50,000 50,000
Total 38,00,000 37,00,000 22,25,000 Total 38,00,000 37,00,000 22,25,000

Other relevant particulars


1. Average Annual Profits before interest: P Ltd - `4, 50,000; Q Ltd - `6, 00,000; and R Ltd - `2,50,000
2. Tangible Fixed Assets have been valued by professionals at 31st March 2016 as-

Particulars P Ltd Q Ltd R Ltd


Land & Buildings ` 8,00,000 ` 9,00,000 `5,00,000
Plant & Equipments `16,00,000 `14,00,000 `12,00,000
Other Fixed Assets `1,75,000 ` 9,00,000 `3,25,000
3. The Directors of Idea Ltd in their negotiations agreed to the following-
(a) The recorded value of Goodwill is to be ignored;
(b) Professional valuations are to be accepted in respect of Fixed Assets.
(c) Current Assets are to be accepted at their reported amounts.
(d) Valuation Adjustments are to be made by individual Companies before completion of acquisition.
(e) Idea Ltd will issue 12% debentures at par in amount equal to the Net Assets of each acquired Company.
(f) Idea Ltd will issue Equity Shares of `10 each at par for the capitalized value of the Average Profits of each
acquired company in excess of Net Assets (The capitalization rate is 10%)
Calculate amounts of Debentures and Equity Shares to be issued by Idea Ltd to Shareholders of P Ltd,
Q Ltd, and R Ltd.

258 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Calculate the effect of the scheme on Q Ltd profitability, if Idea Ltd earns a Net Profit of `25,00,000 before
interest for the year ended 31st March 2016.
Solution:
1. Computation of Average Adjusted Profits

Particulars P Ltd Q Ltd R Ltd


Average PBIT `4,50,000 `6,00,000 `2,50,000
Less: Term Loan Interest (10% on Loan Amount) `35,000 `20,000 `20,000
Profit After Tax (ignoring taxation) `4,15,000 `5,80,000 `2,30,000

2. Computation of Net Assets (`)

Particulars P Ltd Q Ltd R Ltd


Land & Building 8,00,000 9,00,000 5,00,000
Plant & Equipments 16,00,000 14,00,000 12,00,000
Other Fixed Assets 1,75,000 9,00,000 3,25,000
Stock 4,00,000 2,50,000 2,00,000
Debtors 5,00,000 3,00,000 2,50,000
Cash 1,00,000 50,000 50,000
Total Assets 35,75,000 38,00,000 25,25,000
Less: Outside Liabilities:
Term Loans (3,50,000) (2,00,000) (2,00,000)
Current Liabilities (7,00,000) (4,50,000) (4,75,000)
Net Assets 25,25,000 31,50,000 18,50,000

3. Computation of Consideration Payable by Idea Ltd

Particulars P Ltd Q Ltd R Ltd Total


Consideration in 12% Debentures
= Net Assets ( Consideration in Debentures) (A) 25,25,000 31,50,000 18,50,000 75,25,000
Consideration in Shares
= Capitalised Value Less Net Assets
Average Profit as per WN 1 above 4,15,000 5,80,000 2,30,000
Capitalised value at 10% 41,50,000 58,00,000 23,00,000
Less: Net Assets as per WN 2 above 25,25,000 31,50,000 18,50,000
Consideration in Shares (B) 16,25,000 26,50,000 4,50,000 47,25,000
Total Consideration (A+B) 41,50,000 58,00,000 23,00,000 1,22,50,000

4. Effect of the scheme in Q Ltd


(a) Profit Receivable by Shareholders of Q Ltd:

Particulars `
Profit Before Interest and Tax of Idea Ltd (given) 25,00,000
Less: Interest Expense
Interest on Term Loans [10% (`3,50,000 + `2,00,000 + `2,00,000)] (75,000)
Interest on Debentures [12% `75,25,000] (9,03,000)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 259


Valuation Models

Profit After Tax of Idea Ltd 15,22,000


Profit accruing to shareholders of Q Ltd [`15,22,000 26,50,000 47,25,000] 8,53,608

(b) Additional Income received by Q Ltd:

Particulars `
From Equity Share Capital [from (a) above] 8,53,608
From 12% Debentures [ `31,50,000 12%] 3,78,000
Total Income received from Idea Ltd 12,31,608
Less: Profit After Tax of Q Ltd before takeover 5,80,000
Increase in the earnings of Q Ltd on takeover by Idea Ltd 6,51,608

Illustration 31.
X Ltd and Y Ltd, two private Companies, decide to amalgamate their business into a new Holding Company Z Ltd.,
which was incorporated on 1st Nov 2015 with an Authorized Capital of `40,00,000 in Equity Share of `10 each. The
new Company plans to commence operation on 1st Jan 2016.
From the information given below, and assuming that all transactions are completed by 30th June 2016, you are
required to
Show the computation of the number of shares to be issued to the former shareholders of X Ltd & Y Ltd.
Calculate the Cash Flow available to Z Ltd , based on the information available to you.
Information:
(i) Z Ltd will acquire the whole of Equity Share Capital of X Ltd and Y Ltd by issuing its own shares fully paid.
(ii) The number of shares to be issued is to be calculated by multiplying the future annual maintainable profits
available to the Equity Shareholders in each of the two Companies by the agreed Price Earning Ratios.
(iii) The following information is relevant.

Particulars X Ltd Y Ltd


Equity Shares of `10 each fully paid 10,00,000 4,00,000
8% Cumulative Preference Shares -- 1,00,000
10% Debentures 2,00,000 --
Future annual maintainable pre-tax profits (before interest/ dividends) 2,30,000 1,12,000
Price Earning Ratio 10 times 8 times

(iv) Shares in the Holding Company are to be issued to the shareholders in Subsidiary Companies at a premium of
20% and thereafter these shares will be marketed on the Stock Exchange.
(v) It is expected that the Group Profits of the new Company in 2016 will be at least `4,50,000 but that will be
required as additional Working Capital to facilitate expansion. Accordingly, it is planned to make a further
issue of 37,500 Equity shares to the public for Cash at a premium of 30% on 1st May 2016. The new shares will
not rank for interest / dividend to be paid on 30th June 2016.
(vi) Out of the proceeds of the Public Issue, Z Ltd will advance `2,50,000 to X Ltd and `2,00,000 to Y Ltd on 1st May
2016 for Working Capital. These advances will carry interest @ 15% p.a to be paid monthly.
(vii) Preliminary Expenses are estimated at `8,000 and Administrative Expenses for the half-year ended 30th June
2016 at `16,000 but this expenditure will be covered by temporary overdraft facility. It is estimated that Bank
Overdraft cost will be `1,600 in the first six months.

260 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(viii)A provision for `7,500 should be made for Directors Fee for the half year.
(ix) On 30th June 2016, it is planned to pay interim dividend as: Per share X Ltd 5% , Y Ltd - 4.40%, Z Ltd - 4%
(x) Income tax 50%. (Say)
Solution:
1. Computation of number of Shares to be issued

Particulars X Ltd Y Ltd


Future Maintainable EBIT 2,30,000 1,12,000
Less: Debenture Interest (20,000) --
Profit Before Tax 2,10,000 1,12,000
Less: Income Tax at 50% (1,05,000) (56,000)
Profit After Tax 1,05,000 56,000
Less: Preference Dividend -- (8,000)
Profit to Equity Shareholders 1,05,000 48,000
PE Ratio 10 8
10,50,000 3,84,000
Pr ofit to Equity shareholders
Capitalized Earnings =
1
PE ratio

1
Ke =
P E ratio

Number of Shares to be exchanged in Z Ltd at `12 per share (including premium of `2 each) 87,500 32,000

2. Computation of Total Purchase Consideration

Particulars `
Issued Share Capital [87,500 + 32,000 = 1,19,500 Shares of `10] 11,95,000
Securities Premium 1,19,500 `2 per Share 2,39,000
Total Purchase Consideration 14,34,000

3. Cash Flow Analysis

Receipts ` Payments `
To Proceeds of Public Issue 3,75,000 By Payments:
37,500 shares at `10 each Preliminary Expenses 8,000
Share Premium at 30% 1,12,500 Administration Expenses 16,000
To Interest received on Advances: Advance to X Ltd 2,50,000
From X Ltd (2,50,000 15% x 2/12) 6,250 Advance to Y Ltd 2,00,000
From Y Ltd (2,00,000 15% x 2/12) 5,000 Bank Interest 1,600
To Dividends Received: By Dividends Payable:
From X Ltd (10,00,000 5%) 50,000 `11,95,000 4% 47,800
From Y Ltd (4,00,000 4.40%) 17,600 By Balance c/d (balancing figure) 42,950
Total 5,66,350 Total 5,66,350

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 261


Valuation Models

Illustration 32.
Tridev Ltd is in the business of making sports equipment. The Company operates from Thailand. To globalise its
operations Tridev has identified Try Toys Ltd, an Indian Company, as a potential takeover candidate. After due
diligence of Try Toys Ltd, the following information is available :-
(a) Cash Flow Forecasts (` in Crores)

Year 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Try Toys Ltd 24 21 15 16 15 12 10 8 6 3
Tridev Ltd 108 70 55 60 52 44 32 30 20 16

(b) The Net Worth of Try Toys Ltd (in Lakh `) after considering certain adjustments suggested by the due diligence
team reds as under

Tangible 750
Inventories 145
Receivables 75 970
Less: Creditors 165
Bank Loans 250 (415)
Represented by Equity Shares of `1000 each 555

Talks for the takeover have crystallized on the following


(i) Tridev Ltd will not be able to use Machinery worth `75 Lakhs which will be disposed off by them subsequent to
take over. The expected realization will be `50 Lakhs.
(ii) The inventories and receivables are agreed for takeover at values of `100 and `50 Lakhs respectively, which is
the price they will realize on disposal.
(iii) The liabilities of Try Toys Ltd will be discharged in full on take over along with an employee settlement of `90
Lakhs for the employees who are not interested in continuing under the new management.
(iv) Tridev Ltd will invest a sum of `150 Lakhs for upgrading the Plant of Try Toys Ltd on takeover. A further sum of
`50 Lakhs will also be incurred in the second year to revamp the machine shop floor of Try Toys Ltd.
(v) The anticipated cash flow (in ` Crore) post takeover are as follows-

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cash Flows 18 24 36 44 60 80 96 100 140 200

You are required to advise the management the maximum price which they can pay per share of Try Toys Ltd., if
a discount factor of 15% is considered appropriate.

Solution:
1. Computation of Operational Synergy expected to arise out of merger (` Lakhs):

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cash Flow after merger 1,800 2,400 3,600 4,400 6,000 8,000 9,600 10,000 14,000 20,000
Cash Flow without merger 1,600 2,000 3,000 3,200 4,400 5,200 6,000 5,500 7,000 10,800
Synergy Effect 200 400 600 1,200 1,600 2,800 3,600 4,500 7,000 9,200

262 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


2. Valuation of Try Toys Ltd (` Lakhs) :

Year Discount Factor Without considering merger Considering Merger


Cash Flows Discounted Cash Flow Cash Flows Discounted Cash Flow
1 0.870 300 261.00 200 174.00
2 0.756 600 453.60 400 302.40
3 0.657 800 525.60 600 394.20
4 0.572 1,000 572.00 1,200 686.40
5 0.497 1,200 596.40 1,600 795.20
6 0.432 1,500 648.00 2,800 1,209.60
7 0.376 1,600 601.60 3,600 1,353.60
8 0.327 1,500 490.50 4,500 1,471.50
9 0.284 2,100 596.40 7,000 1,988.00
10 0.247 2,400 592.80 9,200 2,272.40
5337.90 10,647.30
Total (Round off) 5338.00 10,647.00

3. Computation of Maximum Value to be quoted

Particulars ` Lakhs
Value as per discounted Cash Flow from Operations 10,647
Add: Cash to be collected immediately by disposal of assets:
Sundry Fixed Assets 50
Inventories and receivables 150 200
Less: Sundry Creditors 165
Retrenchment Compensation 90
Bank loan 250
Investment to be made on takeover 150
Present value of investment at the end of year 2 (`50 lakhs 0.756) 38 693
Maximum Amount to be quoted 10,154
Difference in Valuation had there been no merger = (10,6475,338) = ` 5,309 Lakhs

Illustration 33.
The Directors of a Public Limited Company are considering the acquisition of the entire Share Capital of an existing
Company Subhash Ltd engaged in a line of business suited to them. The Directors feel that acquisition of Subhash
Ltd will not create any further risk to their business interest. The following is the Balance Sheet of Subhash Ltd as at
31.3.2016

Equity and Liability ` Assets `


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
4,000 Equity Share Capital of `100 each 4,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets: (Cost 6,00,000
Less Depreciation)
(b) Reserve & Surplus (2) Current Assets:
General Reserve 3,00,000 (a) Inventories (Stock & WIP) 2,00,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 263


Valuation Models

(2) Current Liabilities: (b) Trade Receivables


(a) Short Term Borrowings Sundry Debtors 3,40,000
Bank O/D 2,40,000 (c) Cash & Cash Equivalents 1,00,000
(b) Trade Payables
Sundry Creditors 3,00,000
Total 12,40,000 Total 12,40,000

Subhash Ltds financial records for the past five years were as under (`)

Particulars 2015-16 2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12


Profits before Extra Ordinary Items 80,000 74,000 70,000 60,000 62,000
Adj: Extra Ordinary Item 3,500 4,000 (6,000) (8,000) 1,000
Profit after Extra Ordinary Items 83,500 78,000 64,000 52,000 61,000
Less: Dividends 48,000 40,000 40,000 32,000 32,000
Net balance 35,500 38,000 24,000 20,000 29,000
The following additional information is available:
(i) There were no change in the Issued Share Capital of Subhash Ltd during this period.
(ii) The estimated values of Subhash Ltds assets on 31.3.2016 are (`)

Particulars Replacement Cost Realizable Value


Fixed Assets 8,00,000 5,40,000
Stock and WIP 3,00,000 3,20,000
(iii) It is anticipated that 1% of the may prove difficult to be realised.
(iv) The cost of capital of Chandra Ltd is 10%.
(v) The current Return on Investment of Public Limited Co. is 10% Quoted Companies with business activities and
activities as Subhash Ltd have a PE ratio approximating to 8, although these companies tend to be larger than
Subhash.
Required: Estimate the value of the total Equity Capital of Subhash Ltd as on 31.3.2016 using each of the following
bases (a) Balance Sheet Value (b) Replacement Cost; (c) Realizable Value; (d) Gordons Dividend Growth
Model and (e) PE Ratio Model.
Solution:
Valuation of Equity Capital of Subhash Ltd under various methods
1. Balance Sheet Value = Capital `4,00,000 + Reserves `3,00,000 = `7,00,000
2. Replacement Value = Capital + Reserves + Appreciation in Fixed Assets and Stock
= 4,00,000 + 3,00,000 + (8,00,000 6,00,000)+(3,00,000 -2,00,000) = `10,00,000
3. Realizable value = Capital + Reserves + Change in Fixed Assets, Stock and Debtors

Particulars `
Capital 4,00,000
Reserve 3,00,000
Appreciation in Stock (3,20,000 2,00,000) 1,20,000
Less: Reduction in Fixed Assets (6,00,000 5,40,000) (60,000)
Less: Reduction Debtors (3,40,000 1%) (3,400)
Total Value 7,56,600

264 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Note: It is assumed that the estimated Bad Debts are not relevant to Balance Sheet Value and Replacement
Value.
4. Gordons Dividend Growth Model is given by the rule: P = [E (1-b)] [(k-br)], where
P = Price Per Share; E = Earnings Per Share; b = retention Ratio; k = Cost of Capital; br = g = Growth rate and r
= Rate of Return on Investment. The calculation is made as under
Step 1: Average Profit Retained and Profit earned:
Profit Retained: 35,500 + 38,000 +24,000 +20,000 +29,00 = `1,46,500
Profit Earned: 83,500 + 78,000 + 64,000 + 52,000 + 61,000 = `3,38,500
Step 2: Calculation of b = `1,46,500 3,38,500 = 0.433 (approx)
Step 3: Calculation of r = year ended 31.3.2016
Where, Avg. Investment = (Capital + Reserve of Profit Retained)

Pr ofit before extra ordinary items


Or, r = 100
Capital + Re serve 1 of Profit Retained
2
80,000
r =
4,00,000 + 3,00,000 1 35,500
2
80,000
= 100 11.73%
=
6,82,250
Step 4: Calculation of br = g = Return x Retention Ratio
= 11.73% x 0.433
= 5.08%
Step 5: Avg Profit = `(3,38,500 5) = `67,700
E (1 b ) 67,700 (1 0.433 )
Step 6: Market Value = =
Ke b.r 0.10 0.0508

38,385.90
= =` 7,80,201.22
0.0492

Step 7: P/E Ratio Model: Comparable companies have P/E Ratio of 8, but Subhash Ltd is much smaller.
If P/E Ratio is taken at 6, the valuation will be 80,000 6 = `4,80,000
If P/E Ratio is taken at 8, maximum possible value will be (`80,000 8) = `6,40,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 265


Valuation Models

Short Question and Answer:


(a) State whether the following statements are true or false:
(i) According to basic valuation model, the value of a financial asset is present value of its expected future
cash flows.
(ii) Expected future yield is very low for a Stock with very high P/E ratio.
(iii) Relative valuation is much more likely to reflect market perceptions and mood than DCF valuation.
(iv) Industrial groups are inherently less conservative than investors in allocating resources.
(v) The CAPM assumes perfect market competition.
(vi) Under discounted cash flow model of asset valuation, estimated cash flows during life of the asset are not
required.
(vii) If expected rate of return is more than required rate, stock should be sold.
(viii) Intrinsic value of a share decreases after a bonus issue.
(ix) As per Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), the only relevant risk to price a security is Systematic Risk and
not both Systematic as well as Unsystematic Risk.
(x) Under Asset based valuation approach individual assets are valued and aggregated in the process of
finding the enterprise value.

Answer:
(i) True
(ii) False
(iii) True
(iv) False
(v) True
(vi) False.
(vii) False
(viii) True
(ix) True
(x) True

(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) In DCF valuation, the value of an asset is present value of cash flows on the asset, (actual/
expected)
(ii) A ratio that presents willingness of the stock market to pay for one rupee of earning per share is called
__________. (Price to Earnings Ratio/Earnings to Price Ratio/price to Net Profit Ratio)
(iii) CAPM helps in determining __________ of return. (actual rate/required rate)
(iv) If capitalization rate is reduced by growth rate, the Cash Flows should also be reduced by _____________.
(capital expenditure/dividend payment)
(v) For firms with negative FCFE and positive FCFF the present value of ______________ is the suitable model of
valuation of equity. (FCFE/FCFF).

266 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(vi) The required rate of return may also be called ______________of capital.(cost / opportunity cost)
(vii) The CAPM model assumes _____________market competition, (perfect imperfect)
(viii)DCF analysis requires the revenue and expenses of...........(past/future)
(ix) Under DCF valuation technique, higher rates of discount will be used for ....................project. (safe / risky)

Answer:
(i) expected
(ii) Price to Earnings Ratio
(iii) Required rate
(iv) Capital expenditure
(v) FCFF
(vi) Opportunity cost
(vii) Perfect
(viii) Future
(ix) Risky

(c) In each of the questions given below one out of the four options is correct. Indicate the correct answer:
(i) If a company has a P/E ratio of 20 and a ROE (Return on Equity) of 15% then the Market to Book Value Ratio
is-
(A) 3 times
(B) 3%
(C) Cannot be calculated from the given information
(D) None of the above
(ii) If an all equity firm has Cash from Operating Activities amounting to `60 lakhs, Depreciation `30 lakhs,
increase in non-cash working capital `25 lakhs and Capital expenditure `20 lakhs, its Free Cash Flows to
Equity amounts to (in `lakhs)
(A) 90 lakhs
(B) 45 lakhs
(C) 40 lakhs
(D) 65 lakhs
(iii) Assume that in a Stock Market, the CAPM is working. A company has presently beta of 0.84 and its going
to finance its new project through debt. This would increase its Debt/Equity Ratio to 1.56 from the existing
1.26. Due to increased Debt/Equity Ratio, the Companys beta would
(A) Increase
(B) Decrease
(C) Remain unchanged
(D) Nothing can be concluded

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 267


Valuation Models

(iv) Which one is the advantage of DCF valuation


(A) It is not based upon an assets fundamentals
(B) It is not the right way to think about what an investor would get when buying an asset
(C) It forces an investor to think about the underlying features of the firm and understand its business
(D) All of these
(v) Estimated fair value of an asset is based on the .................. value of operating cash flows.
(A) current
(B) discounted
(C) future
(D) none of these
(vi) X Ltds share beta factor is 1.40. The risk free rate of interest on government securities is 9%. The expected rate
of return on the company equity shares is 16%. The cost of equity capital based on CAPM is-
(A) 15.8%
(B) 16%
(C) 18.8%
(D) 9%

Answer:
(i) (A) 3 times
(ii) (C)40 lakhs [60 -20 = 40] [Dep. and WC change already adjusted in Cash Flows and no adjustment for cost
of Debt Capital, the firm being all equity.]
(iii) (C)Remain unchanged (Because as per CAPM, the company specific risk has no impact on the systematic
risk).
(iv) (C)It forces an investor to think about the underlying features of the firm and understand its business,
(v) (B)discounted
In Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation, the value of an asset is the present value of the expected cash
flows on the asset.
(vi) (C)18.8%

268 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Study Note - 7
VALUATION OF ASSETS AND LIABILITIES

This Study Note includes

7.1 Valuation of Inventories


7.2 Valuation of Investments - Bonds and Shares
7.3 Valuation of Intangibles - Copyrights, Goodwill and Brands
7.4 Valuation of Human Resources
7.5 Value Added, Economic Value Added, Market Value Added
7.6 Valuation of Liabilities

7.1 VALUATION OF INVENTORIES

Valuation of Inventory Important for different types of merchandising and manufacturing companies
An inventory valuation allows a company to provide a monetary value for items that make up their inventory.
Inventories are usually the one of the top three current assets of manufacturing and / or trading business, and
proper measurement of them is necessary to assure accurate financial statements. If inventory is not properly
measured, expenses and revenues cannot be properly matched, funds deployed in working capital as well as its
cycle and costs cannot be properly measured and a company could make poor business decisions.
The inventory valuation involves two major aspects:
The costs of the purchased and / or fully and partly manufactured / processed inventory have to be determined
and
Such costs are retained in the inventory accounts of the company until the product is sold.
A single company may conduct merchandising, service, and / or manufacturing activities. For convenience, we
shall assume that each company described here conducts only one type of business. If a company does conduct
more than one type of activities, it will use the accounting method appropriate for each type.
Retail stores, wholesalers, distributors, and similar companies that sell tangible goods are merchandising companies.
A merchandising company substantially sells goods in the same physical form as that in which it acquires them.
Its cost of sales is therefore the acquisition cost of the goods that are sold. On the balance sheet, a current asset,
Merchandise Inventory, shows the cost of goods that have been acquired but not yet sold as of the balance sheet
date.
A manufacturing company converts raw materials and purchased parts into finished goods. Its cost of sales
includes the conversion costs as well as the raw material and parts costs of the goods that it sells. A manufacturing
company has three types of inventory accounts: Materials, Work in Process, and Finished Goods.
Since both merchandising and manufacturing companies sell tangible goods, their income statements sometimes
use the term cost of goods sold rather than cost of sales. We shall use the two terms interchangeably for
merchandising and manufacturing companies, but use only cost of sales for service organisations.
Service organisations furnish intangible services rather than tangible goods. They include hotels, telecom services,
beauty parlours and other personal services organisations, hospitals and other health care organisations,
educational organisations, banks and other financial institutions, and governmental units. Service organizations
may have materials inventories-for example, the pipes and fittings of a plumbing company. Professional service
firms, such as law, consulting, accounting, and architectural firms, may have intangible inventories consisting of
costs that have been incurred on behalf of clients but that have not yet been billed to clients. These inventories,

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 269


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

often called jobs in progress or unbilled costs, correspond to work in process inventories in a manufacturing
company. Service organisations do not have finished goods inventories.
Costs of Inventories
Cost of inventory can be classified as
(a) Costs of purchase,
(b) Costs of conversion, and
(c) Other costs incurred in bringing the inventories to their present location and condition.

(a) Costs of Purchase


The costs of purchase includes
Purchase price, inclusive of government levies,
Import duties and import related expenses if procured from overseas sources,
All logistics costs, including warehousing and stock keeping expenses,
Handling costs directly pertaining to the acquisition of the goods
(b) Costs of Conversion of Inventory
Cost of conversion of inventory includes costs directly attributable to the units of production, for example, direct
labour. The conversion costs could also include variable and fixed manufacturing overhead incurred in converting
raw materials into finished goods. Fixed overhead costs remain constant irrespective of the units of production.
Variable costs are those costs that vary directly with the volume of production. Allocation of overhead to the cost
of conversion is based on the normal capacity of the facility or in proportion to actual quantity manufactured
vs. quantity in stock, as is appropriate. Normal capacity is the production that is normally achieved on average
over a number of periods.
(c) Other Costs in Valuing Inventories
Valuing inventories include those costs that are incurred in bringing inventories to their present location and
condition in other cost. For example cost for designing a product on the basis of specific customer needs or
transport costs to an interim position for certain logistics activity prior to acceptance and actual passing of property
to the goods to the customer.
Costs that are excluded from inventory valuation
Certain costs are excluded in valuing inventory are:
(a) Abnormal amounts of wasted materials, labour, or other production costs
(b) Storage costs unless they are essential to the production process
(c) Administrative overheads that do not contribute to bringing inventories to their present location and condition
(d) Selling costs.

List of disclosure requirements in the Balance Sheet (BS) / Statement of Financial Position (SOFP)
The financial statements should disclose
Accounting policies adopted for measuring inventories and the cost flow assumption (i.e., cost formula) used,
Total carrying amount as well as amounts classified as appropriate to the entity,
Carrying amount of any inventories carried at fair value less costs to sell,

270 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Amount of inventory recognised as expense during the period,
Amount of any write-down of inventories recognised as an expense in the period,
Amount of any reversal of a write-down to net realizable value and the circumstances that led to such reversal,
Circumstances requiring a reversal of the write-down, and
Carrying amounts of inventories pledged as security for liabilities.

TECHNIQUES OF MEASUREMENT OF COSTS (To be deleted FIFO/LIFO)


Several acceptable methods of handling those are
(i) Specific identification,
(ii) Average cost,
(iii) Weighted average cost Moving weighted average or period end weighted average
(iii) First-in, first-out (FIFO), and
(iv) Last-in, first-out (LIFO).

We shall explain these methods with an example from a merchandising company, but the same principles apply
to a manufacturing company. In our illustration, we assume the following for a year:

Units Unit Cost (`) Total Cost (`)


Inventory, January 1 100 8 800
Purchased June 1 60 9 540
Purchased October 1 80 10 800
Goods available for sale 240 8.917 2140
Goods sold during the year 150 ? ?
Ending inventory ? ? ?

Specific Identification
Specific identification method is common practice with certain big-ticket items such as automobiles and with
unique items such as paintings, expensive jewellery, custom-made furniture; and bar codes and scanners is
making it feasible with lower cost items. In many cases, however, when a substantial number of physically similar
items are sold, this method can be unsatisfactory because the cost of goods sold depends on what specific items
happen to be sold.
Illustration 1.
In the above Example, 150 units were sold. If the merchant selected the 100 units with a unit cost of `8 and 50 of
the units having a unit cost of `9, the cost of goods sold would be
(100 `8) + (50 `9) = `1, 250. If the 150 units with the highest cost were selected, the cost of goods sold would be
(80 `10) + (60 `9) + (10 `8) = `1, 420.
Average cost
The average cost method, the average cost of the goods available for sale is calculated, and the units in both
cost of goods sold and ending inventory are costed at this average cost. In the periodic inventory method, this
average is computed for the whole period. It is a weighted average. Each unit cost is weighted by the number
of units with that cost. In the perpetual inventory method, a new average unit cost is sometimes calculated after
each purchase. In either case, the average cost is representative of the cost of all of the items that were available
for sale during the period.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 271


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Weighted Average Cost is a method of calculating Ending Inventory cost. It is also known as WAVCOs.
It takes Cost of Goods Available for Sale and divides it by the number of units available for sale (number of goods
from Beginning Inventory + Purchases/production). This gives a Weighted Average Cost per Unit. A physical count
is then performed on the ending inventory to determine the number of goods left. Finally, this quantity is multiplied
by Weighted Average Cost per Unit to give an estimate of ending inventory cost. The cost of goods sold valuation
is the amount of goods sold times the Weighted Average Cost per Unit. The sum of these two amounts (less a
rounding error) equals the total actual cost of all purchases and beginning inventory.
Moving-Average (Unit) Cost is a method of calculating Ending Inventory cost.
Assume that both Beginning Inventory and beginning inventory cost are known. From them the Cost per Unit of
Beginning Inventory can be calculated. During the year, multiple purchases are made. Each time, purchase costs
are added to beginning inventory cost to get Cost of Current Inventory. Similarly, the number of units bought is
added to beginning inventory to get Current Goods Available for Sale. After each purchase, Cost of Current
Inventory is divided by Current Goods Available for Sale to get Current Cost per Unit on Goods.
Also during the year, multiple sales happen. The Current Goods Available for Sale is deducted by the amount of
goods sold, and the Cost of Current Inventory is deducted by the amount of goods sold times the latest (before
this sale) Current Cost per Unit on Goods. This deducted amount is added to Cost of Goods Sold.
At the end of the year, the last Cost per Unit on Goods, along with a physical count, is used to determine ending
inventory cost.

Illustration 2.
Assuming the periodic inventory method, the 240 units available for sale have a total cost of ` 2, 140; hence, the
average cost is ` 2,140 / 240 = `8.917. The calculations cost of goods sold and ending inventory are as follows:

Units Units (`) Cost Total (`)


Cost of Goods sold 150 8.917 1338
Ending Inventory 90 8.917 802
240 2140

First-in, First-Out (FIFO)


The FIFO method assumes that the oldest goods, in terms of date of receipt and entry to stock are first issued to
production or sold first and that the most recently purchased goods are in the ending inventory. In the illustration,
for the 150 units sold, it is assumed that the 100 units in beginning inventory were sold first and that the other 50 units
sold were from the purchase made on June 1.

Units Units Cost (`) Cost Total (`)


Cost of Goods Sold:
From beginning inventory 100 8 800
From purchase of June 50 9 450
Cost of Goods Sold 150 1250
Ending Inventory:
From Purchase of June 1 10 9 90
From purchase of October 1 80 10 800
Ending Inventory 90 890

272 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


For the moment, it is sufficient to note that with FIFO (1) cost of goods sold is likely to approximate the physical flow of
the goods because most companies sell their oldest merchandise first and (2) the ending inventory approximates
the current cost of the goods, since it is costed at the amounts of most recent purchases.

Last-In, First Out


The LIFO method is the reverse of FIFO. Cost of goods issued to production or sold is based on the cost of the most
recent purchases, and ending inventory is costed at the cost of the oldest units available.

Units Units Cost (`) Cost Total (`)


Cost of Goods Sold:
From purchase of October 1 80 10 800
From Purchase of June 1 60 9 540
From beginning inventory 10 8 80
Cost of Goods Sold 150 1420
Ending Inventory:
From beginning inventory 90 8 720

LIFO (1) cost of goods sold does not reflect the usual physical flow of merchandise and (2) the ending inventory
may be costed at amounts prevailing several months or years ago, which in an era of repaid inflation are far
below current costs.
(Note that LIFO is not permitted under international accounting standards.)
Changes in Inventory
In a year when the physical size of the inventory increases above the amount on hand at the beginning of the
year, with LIFO the inventory account is increased by the additional quantity valued at the costs existing during
that year. During a period of growth, the inventory account will therefore consist of a number of layers, a new
layer being added each year. If subsequently the physical inventory should decrease in size, these layers are, in
effect, stripped off, taking the most recently added layer first in accordance with the basic LIFO rule. This process
can have a peculiar effect on the income statement. If inventory is decreased to the extent that several LIFO
layers are stripped off, then inventory items will be moving into cost of goods sold at costs established several
years previously. If there has been constant inflation during the interim, such a decrease in inventory can result in
a significant increase in reported income. Some people assert that in a recession, some companies deliberately
eat into their LIFO inventories in order to increase reported income in a lean year. Careful readers of financial
statements are not fooled by this practice, since the profit effect of reducing LIFO inventories must be disclosed in
the notes to the financial statements.
LIFO Reserve
Companies that use LIFO for determining their balance sheet valuation of inventory nevertheless keep their
detailed inventory records on a FIFO or average cost basis. The inventory amounts on these other bases usually
will be higher than the LIFO valuation shown on the balance sheet. At the end of each accounting period, the
difference between the LIFO valuation and the FIFO or average cost valuation is determined. (This is a complex
calculation that is covered in advanced accounting texts.) This difference is sometimes called the LIFO reserve.
The terminology is unfortunate because reserve suggests something set aside or saved for some special future
purpose. The LIFO reserve is nothing more than the mathematical difference between two inventory amounts, one
based on LIFO and the other one based on a different method of valuing inventory. LIFO companies disclose their
LIFO reserve in the notes for their financial statement.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 273


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Income Tax Considerations


FIFO, average cost, and LIFO are all permitted for inventory, valuation as well as income computation. Once a
method is chosen, a company cannot change it without seeking permission from the Internal Revenue Service
(IRS). If a company chooses the LIFO method for tax purposes, it must also use LIFO in its published financial
statements. This LIFO conformity rule is the only significant instance in which the IRS requires use of the same
accounting method for income tax and book (financial reporting) purposes.
In periods of inflation, LIFO results in lower income than FIFO or average costs, and thus results in lower income
taxes. If the physical size of inventory remains constant or grows, LIFO reduces taxable income indefinitely. Only if
LIFO layers are stripped off in future years might taxable income under LIFO exceed taxable income under FIFO;
and even in that case, LIFO will have postponed some income tax payments. These tax advantages of LIFO in
periods of rising prices can improve a companys cash flow and therefore lead many companies to select the LIFO
method regardless of the conceptual pros and cons of the various alternatives.
Illustration 3.
ABC Stores is a departmental store, which sell goods on retail basis. It makes a gross profit of 20% on net sales. The
following figures for the year-end are available:

Opening Stock ` 50,000


Purchases ` 3,60,000
Purchase Returns ` 10,000
Freight Inwards ` 10,000
Gross Sales ` 4,50,000
Sales Returns ` 11,250
Carriage Outwards ` 5,000

Calculate the estimated cost of the inventory on the closing date.


Solution:
Calculation of Cost for closing stock

Particulars `
Opening Stock 50,000
Purchases less returns (360000-10000) 3,50,000
Freight Inwards 10,000
4,10,000
Less: net sales (450000-11250) 4,38,750
(28,750)
Add: gross profits (438750x 20%) 87,750
Closing stock 59,000

Illustration 4.
Oil Company is a bulk distributor of high octane petrol. A periodic inventory of petrol on hand is taken when the
books are closed at the end of each month. The following summary of information is available for the month of
June, 2016.
Sales ` 9,45,000
General Administrative cost ` 25,000
Opening stock 100000 litres @ ` 3per litre ` 3,00,000

274 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Purchases (including freight):
June 1-2,00,000 litres @ ` 2.85 per litre
June 30-1,00,000 litre @ ` 3.03 per litre
Closing stock on June 30-1,30,000 litres
Compute the following data by FIFO, Weighted average and LIFO methods of inventory costing on June 30.

Solution:
Statement showing value of closing stock or inventory on 30th June, 2016 under FIFO, weighted and LIFO methods
of pricing of issues [quantity of closing stock (100000 + 30000) litres.]

Particulars FIFO Weighted Average LIFO


(1) First-in-First out Method:*
100000litres @ `3.03 per litres 3,03,000
30000 litres @ `2.85 per litres 85,500
(2) Weighted Average Method:**
100000 litres @ `3.03 per litres 3,03,000
30000 litres @ `2.90 per litres 87,000
(3) Last-in First out Method:***
100000 litres @ `3.00 per litres 3,00,000
30000 litres @ `2.85 per litres 85,500
Value of Closing Stock 3,88,500 3,90,000 3,85,500
* Under FIFO method old lots are exhausted and new lots are kept in hand on 30.6.2016.
** Under Weighted Average method, the Weighted Average rate is to be calculated or follows:
100000 Litres `3 + 200000 litres `2.85 = ` 2.90 (100000+200000) litres
*** Under LIFO method, new lots are exhausted except purchased on 30.06.16 and old lots are kept in hand on
30.06.16

Illustration 5.
Closing Stock Valuation of Budgeted Raw Material Purchases

Quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th


Working Days 65 60 55 60
Production (units per working day) 100 110 120 105
Raw Material Purchase (% by weight of annual total) 30% 50% 20%
Budgeted purchase price (` Per kg.) 1.00 1.05 1.125
Quantity of raw material per unit of production: 2kg
Budgeted opening stock of raw material: 4000kg (cost `4000)
Budgeted closing stock of raw material: 2000kg
Issues are priced on FIFO basis.
Calculate the following budgeted figures:
Quarterly and annual purchases of raw material, by weight and value.
Closing quarterly stock by weighted and value.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 275


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Solution:

Consumption
Quarter Day Production per day qty. of RM per unit of production Kg.
1st 65 x 100 x 2 13000
2nd 60 x 110 x 2 13200
3rd 55 x 120 x 2 13200
4th 60 x 105 x 2 12600
Total consumption for the year 52000

We know that:
Consumption = opening stock + purchases-closing stock
Purchases = consumption + closing stock-opening stock
= 52000 = 2000-4000 or, 50000Kg.
(a) Purchases:

Quarter Kg. Purchase Price Value (`)


1 50000 30% i.e. 15000 1.00 15000
2 50000 50% i.e. 25000 1.05 26250
3 50000 20% i.e. 10000 1.125 11250
52500


(b) Closing quarterly Stock by weighted and value:

1st Quarter (FIFO method) Quantity Kg. Rate (`) value (`)
Opening Stock 4000 1 4000
Purchase 15000 1 15000
total 19000 19000
less: consumption 13000 1 13000
closing stock 6000 1 6000
2nd quarter opening stock 6000 1 6000
purchase 25000 1.05 26250
total 31000 32250
less: consumption 13200 13560*
closing stock 17800 18690
*6000 @ `1.00 = 6000
7200 @ `1.05 = 7560
13200 13560
3rd quarter opening stock 17800 1.05 18690
purchase 10000 1.125 11250
total 27800 29940
less: consumption 13200 1.05 13860
closing stock 14600 16080

276 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


4th quarter opening stock 14600 16080
purchase nil nil
total 14600 14600
less: consumption 12600 13830*
closing stock 2000 2250
* 4600 (i.e 17800-13200) @ `1.05 4830
8000 @ ` 1.125 9000
12600 13830

Illustration 6.
The XYZ Machineries Ltd. requests you to ascertain the amount at which the inventory should be included in the
financial statement for the year 2015-16. The value of inventory as shown in the books is `12, 50,000.
To determine the net realisable value of the inventory (on a test check basis), you had selected several items
whose book value was ` 3, 50,000. You ascertain that except for items (a) to (b) mentioned below, the cost was in
excess of the realisable value by ` 29,532.
The following items require special treatment.
(a) One machine (cost ` 1, 30,000) can now fetch ` 1, 15,000. It was priced at ` 70,000 and was written down to
the same figure at the end of 2015-16.
(b) A pump (cost ` 50,000) was expected to realise ` 35,000. A special commission would have to be paid to the
broker.
(c) 6 units of product No. 15,710 were in stock valued each at ` 5,520; the selling price was ` 4,500 per unit; selling
expenses are 10% of the selling price.
Taking into consideration only the above mentioned items requiring special treatment, compute the value of their
inventory as at 31st March, 2016 you would consider reasonable.
Solution:
Book value of selected items is given. From the given information, realisable value of remaining selected items will
have to be found. Then the value of inventory (net realisable value) for all the items to be included in the financial
statements of the company for the year 2015-16 is to be determined.
Working showing Realisable Value of Selected Items

Book value of selected items ` 350000


Less: Book value of items (a) to (c)
(a) One machine ` 70000
(b) One pump ` 50000
(c) 6 units of product No. 15,710@ ` 5,520 33120 153120
Remaining book value 196880

It is given in the question that except for the items (a) to (b) the cost was in excess of realisable value by ` 29,532.
In order to find out the realisable value of remaining items, this amount should be deducted from the book value
of selected items.
The realisable value of remaining selected items will be: ` 1,96,880 - `29,532 = ` 1,67,348. Percentage of the cost in
excess of realisable value to the book value of selected items = (29,532/1,96,880)100 = 15%
Working showing the Inventory Valuation (on Net Realisable Value Basis) (as on 31-03-2016)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 277


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

` `
Value of all the items as shown in the books 1250000
Less: Book value of special items 350000
Book value of the remaining items 900000
Less: Cost of excess of realisable value by 15% i.e. (9,00,000 x 15%) 135000
765000
Add: Realisable value of remaining selected items 167348
932348
Add: Realisable value of selected items:
One machine `115000
One pump (` 35,000 less 15% brokerage) 29750
6 units of product No. 15,710 (6 x 4,500 less 10% selling expenses) 24300 169050
Value of all items of inventory (as on 31-3-16) 1101398


7.2 VALUATION OF INVESTMENTS - BONDS AND SHARES

Enterprisers hold investments
Enterprises hold investments for diverse reasons. For some enterprises, investment activity is a significant element of
operations and assessment of the performance of the enterprise may largely, or solely, depend on the reported
results of this activity. Some hold investments as a store of surplus funds and some hold trade investments in order
to cement a trading relationship or establish a trading advantage.
Enterprises, for which investment activity is a significant element of operations, such as insurance companies and
some banks, are often subject to regulatory control. The Preface to Financial Reporting Standards provides that
Financial Reporting Standards do not override local regulations governing the issue of financial statements.
Some investments are represented by certificates or similar documents; others are not. Then nature of an investment
may be that of a debt, other than a short or long-term trade debt, representing a monetary amount owing to
the holder and usually bearing interest; alternatively it may be a stake in an enterprises results, such as an equity
share. Most investments represent financial rights, but some are tangible such as certain investments in land or
buildings and direct investments in gold, diamonds or other marketable commodities.
For some investments, like listed debentures of companies, an active market exists from which a market value can
be established. For such investments, market value is an indicator of fair value. For other investments, an active
market does not exist and other means are used to determine fair value.
Classification of Investments
An enterprise that distinguishes between current and long-term assets in its financial statements should present
current investments as current assets and long-term investments as non-current assets.
Enterprises that do not distinguish between current and non-current investments in their balance sheets should
nevertheless make a distinction for measurement purposes and determine the carrying amount for investments.
Current investments are included in current assets. The fact that a marketable investment has been retained for a
considerable period does not necessarily preclude its classification as current. The declared intention and purpose
of holding the investment is important as per Ind AS 32 Financial Instruments.
Investments held primarily to protect, facilitate or further existing business or trading relations, often called trade
investments, are not made with the intention that they will be available as additional cash resources and are thus
classified as long-term. Other investments, such as investment properties, are intended to be held for a number
of years to generate income and capital gain. They are therefore classified as long-term assets even though they
may be marketable.

278 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Some enterprises choose not to distinguish between current and long-term assets, and others may be required
by regulations to adopt a balance sheet format that makes no distinction. Many such enterprises operate in the
financial field, such as banks and insurance companies. Large Corporates also park their temporary surplus cash in
liquid financial instruments for easy encashment if needed. Although such enterprises do not intend to realise their
assets in current operations, they usually regard many of their investments as being available for the purposes of
their current operations as liquid assets if required to manage mismatches in cash flows.
However, such enterprises may have investments properly regarded as long-term assets, for example a bank may
hold shares in a leasing company or a corporate holding equity shares in one of its operating subsidiaries which
are intended to be held till the subsidiary in existence or till not divested or demerged.
Many such enterprises, therefore, analyse their investments and attribute carrying amounts to them according to
whether their characteristics are those of current investments or non-current investments.
Cost of investments
The cost of an investment includes acquisition charges such as brokerages, fees, duties and bank fees. If an
investment is acquired, or partly acquired, by the issue of shares or other securities, the acquisition cost is the fair
value of the securities issued and not their nominal or par value. If an investment is acquired in exchange, or part
exchange, for another asset, the acquisition cost of the investment is determined by reference to the fair value of
the asset given up. It may be appropriate to consider the fair value of the investment acquired if it is more clearly
evident.
Interest, royalties, dividends and rentals receivable in connection with an investment are generally regarded as
income, being the return on the investment. However, in some circumstances, such inflows represent a recovery
of cost and do not form part of income. For example, when unpaid interest has accrued before the acquisition
of an interest-bearing investment and is therefore included in the price paid for the investment, the subsequent
receipt of interest is allocated between pre-acquisition and post-acquisition periods; the pre-acquisition portion
is deducted from cost. When dividends on equity securities are declared from pre-acquisition profits a similar
treatment applies. If it is difficult to make such an allocation except on an arbitrary basis, the cost of an investment
is normally reduced by dividends receivable only if they clearly represent a recovery of part of cost.
The difference between the acquisition cost and redemption value of an investment in debt securities (the discount
or premium on acquisition) is usually amortised by the investor over the period from acquisition to its maturity so
that a constant yield is earned on the investment. The amortised discount or premium is credited or changed
to income as though it were interest and added to or subtracted from the carrying amount of the security. The
resulting carrying amount is then regarded as cost.
Carrying amounts of Investments
Investments classified as current assets should be carried in the balance sheet at either:
(a) market value; or
(b) the lower of cost and market value.
If current investments are carried at the lower of cost and market value, the carrying amount should be determined
either on an aggregate portfolio basis, in total or by category of investment, or on an individual investment basis.
Opinions differ on the appropriate carrying amount for current investments. Some maintain that, for financial
statements prepared under the historical cost convention, the general rule of lower of cost and net realisable
value is applicable to investments; and since most current investments are marketable, the carrying amount is the
lower of cost and market value. Supporters of this method of determining carrying amount claim that it provides a
prudent balance sheet amount and does not result in recognising unrealised gains in income.
Others argue that, since current investments are a readily realisable store of wealth, or a cash substitute, it is
appropriate to value them at fair value, usually market value. The enterprise is not concerned with the cost of
such items but with the cash it could raise by disposing of them. Investments are distinguished from inventories
because they can generally be sold without effort, whereas it would normally be inappropriate to recognise profit

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 279


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

on sale of inventories before the sale was assured. Each investment is dispensable by the business - for example an
equity investment could be sold and the proceeds re-invested in a bank deposit account without detriment to the
business - and therefore it is appropriate to report it at market value. Supporters of market value also argue that
reporting investments at historical cost allows management to recognise income at its discretion, since selected
investments can be sold and immediately repurchased and the resulting profit reported in income, although such
transactions have not changed the enterprises economic position.
Valuation of Investments on the basis of their classification
Investments classified as long-term assets should be carried in the balance sheet at either:
(a) cost;
(b) revalued amounts; or
(c) in the case of marketable equity securities, the lower of cost and market value determined on a portfolio basis.
If revalued amounts are used, a policy for the frequency of revaluations should be adopted and an entire category
of long-term investments should be revalued at the same time. The carrying amount of all long-term investments
should be reduced to recognise a decline other than temporary in the value of the investments, such reduction
being determined and made for each investment individually.
Non-current investments with the intention for holding till maturity are usually carried at cost. However, when
there is a decline, other than temporary, in the value, the carrying amount is reduced to recognise the decline.
Indicators of the value of an investment may be obtained by reference to its fair value, the investees assets and
results and the expected cash flows from the investment. Risk and the type and extent of the investors stake in
the investee are also taken into account. Restrictions on distributions by the investee or on disposal by the investor
may affect the value attributed to the investment.
Reductions for other than a temporary decline in the carrying amounts of long-term investments are charged in
the income statement unless they offset a previous revaluation.
Reductions in carrying amount may be reversed when there is a rise in the value of the investment, or if the reasons
for the reduction no longer exist. However, in some countries reductions in the carrying amount are not reversed.
Note: Fair Value is defined as a sale price agreed to by a willing buyer and seller, assuming both parties enters the
transaction freely.
Recognise carrying amount in relation to disposals of Investments
On disposal of an investment the difference between net disposal proceeds and the carrying amount should be
recognised as income or expense. If the investment was a current asset carried on a portfolio basis at the lower
of cost and market value, the profit or loss on sale should be based on cost. If the investment was previously
revalued, or was carried at market value and an increase in carrying amount transferred to revaluation surplus,
the enterprise should adopt a policy either of crediting the amount of any remaining related revaluation surplus
to income or of transferring it to retained earnings. This policy should be applied consistently in accordance with
Financial Reporting Standard.
Any reduction to market value of current investments carried at the lower of cost and market value on a portfolio
basis is made against the cost of the portfolio in aggregate; individual investments continue to be recorded at
cost. Accordingly the profit or loss on sale of an individual investment is based on cost; however the aggregate
reduction to market value of the portfolio needs to be assessed.
When disposing of part of an enterprises holding of a particular investment, a carrying amount must be allocated
to the part sold. This carrying amount is usually determined from the average carrying amount of the total holding
of the investment.
Reclassification of Investments
For long-term investments re-classified as current investments, transfers should be made at:

280 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


the lower of cost and carrying amount, if current investments are carried at the lower of cost and market
value. If the investment was previously revalued, any remaining related revaluation surplus should be reversed
on the transfer; and
carrying amount if current investments are carried at market value. If changes in market value of current
investments are included in income any remaining related revaluation surplus should be transferred to income.
Investments re-classified from current to long-term should each be transferred at the lower of cost and market
value or at market value if they were previously stated at that value.
If current investments are carried at the lower of cost and market value, any reductions to market value and any
reversals of such reductions are included in the income statement along with profits and losses on disposals.
Any reductions in carrying amount for other than a temporary decline in value of long-term investments, and
reversals of such reductions, and profits and losses on disposal of long-term investments are included in income.
Specialised Investment Enterprises
Specialised investment enterprises which are prohibited from distributing profits on the disposal of investments may
exclude from income changes in value of investments, whether realised or not, provided they carry their investments
at fair value. Such enterprises should include in the financial statements a summary of all the movements in value
of their investments for the period.
In certain countries, there are specialised investment enterprises whose main business is the holding of a portfolio
of marketable securities as an investment vehicle for their individual shareholders. These enterprises carrying their
investments at fair value, usually market value, because this is the most appropriate basis in the circumstances.
They regard realised profits and losses on their investments as being the same in substance as unrealized gains and
losses and therefore account for them in the same way. They disclose a summary of all the movements in the value
of their investments for the period.
The constitutions of these enterprises prohibit the distribution as dividends of profits on disposal of investments
and require a distinction to be drawn between income arising from interest and dividends and the gains or losses
arising on the disposal of the investments. Hence these enterprises exclude from income all changes in value of
investments whether or not they are realised.

Illustration 7.
X Ltd. has the following portfolio of investment on 31st March 2016

Current investment Cost Market Value


Shares of A Ltd. 250 265
Units of UTI 160 160
Shares of C Ltd. 125 100
535 525
Long term investment
Shares of Y Ltd. (subsidiary) 200 210
Shares of Z Ltd. 150 130
Shares of W Ltd. (subsidiary) 80 10
430 350

Compute the value of investment for balance sheet purpose assuming that the fall in value of investment Z Ltd. is
temporary and that of W Ltd. is permanent.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 281


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Solution:
Current investment (at lower of cost or market value, individually) (` In thousand)

Shares of A Ltd. 250


Units of UTI 160
Shares of C Ltd. 100 510
Long term investments
Shares of Y Ltd. 200
Shares of Z Ltd 150
Shares of W Ltd. 80
430
Less: Provision for permanent diminution 70 360
Total: (510 + 360) 870

Interest, dividend and rental receivables in connection with an investment are generally regarded as income,
being the return on the investment. However, in some circumstances, such inflows represent a recovery of cost
and do not from part of income. This happens when the inflows relate to a period prior to the date of acquisition
of investment. Such inflows will be deducted from the cost of acquisition.
Illustration 8.
Navaratna Ltd. furnishes the following particulars about their investment in shares of Samay Ltd. for the year 2015-16

Balance of shares held on 1st April 2015 ` 262000 (10000 shares of ` 10 each)
Purchased 2000 shares on 1st July 2016 ` 60000
Sold 500 shares on 1st August 2015 @ ` 35 per share cum dividend ` 17500
Navaratna Ltd. declared final dividend for 2014-15 on 1st September 20%
2015. Received 1:5 bonus shares on 1st February, 2016.

Brokerage for each transaction is 2%. Find out cost of shares held by Navaratna Ltd. as on 31st March 2016.
Solution:
Statement of cost

Date Particulars Amount (`) Amount (`)


1-4-15 Balance (10000 shares ) 2,62,000
1-7-15 Purchased (2000 shares):
Cost (cum-div) 60,000
Add brokerage 1,200
61,200
Less: Dividend for 2014-15 4,000
57200
1-8-15 Sold (500 shares cum div)
Sale proceeds 17,500
Less: brokerage 2% 350
17,150
Less: Dividend for 2014-15 1,000

282 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Cost of sales (500 319200/12,000) (13300)
1-2-16 Bonus shares (1:5) i.e. (11,500 1/5) Nil
Cost of Investment 3,05,900

** Cost of investment a 305900


* Cost of sales is computed on average cost basis.
** Bonus shares are free and hence nothing is shown in amount column.
Treatment of dividend received:

Dividend received from Samay Ltd. during 2015-16 (11500 `10) 20% 23,000
Less: Dividend deducted from cost of investment 4,000
19,000
Add: Dividend included in sales proceeds of 500 shares (receved by the new buyer) 1,000
Dividend receved to be shown in Profit & Loss A/c 20,000
Profit on sale of investment:
Sale proceds of 500 shares (net of brokerage) 17,150
Less: Dividend for 2014-15 included above (to be considered as income) 1000
Less: cost of sales (on average cost basis) 13300
Profit on sales 2850

Bond
A company needing millions of dollars may be unable to borrow so large an amount from a single lender. To gain
access to more investor, the company may issue bonds. Each bond is, in effect, a long term note payable that
bears interest. Bonds are debts to the company for the amounts borrowed from the investors.
TYPE OF BONDS
1. Registered Bond
2. Coupon Bonds
3. Term Bonds
4. Serial Bonds
5. Unsecured Bonds, called debentures are backed only by good faith of the borrower.
These bonds again can be of secured and unsecured nature, depending upon the attachment of any asset(s) as
a security against the bond for repayment, in the event the issuing entity fails to pay in normal course.
Valuation of Share
Basic Definitions
Common Stock - Ownership shares in a publicly held corporation with par voting rights. There can be other equity
shares without voting right or reduced voting rights, for example one vote for every 10 shares held. In India shares
with no or disproportionate voting rights are being issued. At times these are also called Class B or Class C shares.
Secondary Market - market in which already issued securities are traded by investors.
Dividend - Periodic cash distribution from the firm to the share holders.
P/E Ratio - Price per share divided by earnings per share.
Book Value - Net worth per share of the firm according to the balance sheet.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 283


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Liquidation Value - Net proceeds that would be realised by selling the firms assets and paying off its creditors.
Market Value Balance Sheet - Financial statement that uses market value of assets and liabilities.
Expected Return - The percentage yield that an investor forecasts from a specific investment over a set period of
time. Sometimes called the market capitalization rate.
Payout Ratio - Fraction of earnings paid out as dividends expressed in terms of (Dividend + Dividend Distribution
Tax) / Profit after Tax
Plowback Ratio - Fraction of earnings retained by the firm.
Present Value of Growth Opportunities (PVGO) - Net present value of a firms future investments. Sustainable
Growth Rate - Steady rate at which a firm can grow: plowback ratio X return on equity.
By computing the present value of growth opportunities, a company can determine what the new addition or
expansion project will add to the value of the existing firm. Even further, an appropriate purchase price can be
determined by using the present value model.
By deducting the purchase price from the present value of growth opportunities, one will be left with the net
present value of growth opportunities.
Basics of Company Analysis and Stock Selection
It should be remembered that good companies are not necessarily good investments. As an investor we are
interested in comparing the intrinsic value of a stock to its market value. A prudent investor should bear in mind
that the stock of a great company may be overpriced, while the stock of a lesser company may be a superior
investment since it is undervalued.
What are growth companies and growth stocks? Companies that consistently experience above-average
increases in sales and earnings have traditionally been thought of as growth companies. Financial theorists define
a growth company as one with management and opportunities that yield rates of return greater than the firms
required rate of return.
Growth stocks do not necessarily refer to shares in growth companies. A growth stock has a higher rate of return
than other stocks with similar risk or which have a higher growth potential in comparison to its peers in the same
sector or the indexed rate of return say return from NIFTY 50. Superior risk-adjusted rate of return occurs because
of market under-valuation compared to other stocks. Studies indicate that growth companies have generally not
been growth stocks.
Defensive companies future earnings are more likely to withstand an economic downturn, due to low business risk
and not excessive financial risk. Defensive stocks returns are not as susceptible to changes in the market, as they
represent stocks with low systematic risk.
Cyclical companies sales and earnings heavily influenced by aggregate business activity, due to high business
risk and sometimes high financial risk as well. Cyclical stocks experience high returns is up markets, low returns in
down markets. They are stocks with high betas.
Speculative companies invest in assets involving great risk, but with the possibility of great gain as they have very
high business risk. Speculative stocks have the potential for great percentage gains and losses. They may be firms
whose current price-earnings ratios are very high.
Growth stocks will have positive earnings surprises and above-average risk adjusted rates of return because the
stocks are undervalued. Value stocks appear to be undervalued for reasons besides earnings growth potential.
They usually have low P/E ratio or low ratios of price to book value.
Theory of Valuation
The value of a financial asset is the present value of its expected future cash flows. The inputs required for valuation
are:
(a) The stream of expected future returns, or cash flows,

284 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


(b) The required rate of return on the investment.
Stream of Expected Returns (Cash Flows):
Depending on the investment, returns can be in the form of:
Earnings
Dividends
Interest payments
Capital appreciation
The time period and growth rate of returns are important. This essentially means when the cash flows from the
investment will be received.
Capital Asset Pricing Model
A technique that can be used to estimate the cost of equity is the capital asset pricing model approach. The
capital asset pricing model explain the behaviour of security prices and provides a mechanism whereby investors
could assess the impact of a proposed security investment on their overall portfolio risk and return. CAPM formally
describes the risk-required return trade off for securities. The capital asset pricing model describes the relationship
between the required rate of return, or the cost of equity capital and the non-diversifiable or relevant risk of the
firm.
Required Rate of Return:
This is determined by the risk of an investment and available returns in the market. Therefore, this is determined by:
(i) The real risk-free rate of return, plus
(ii) The expected rate of inflation, plus
(iii) A risk premium to compensate for the uncertainty of returns
Sources of uncertainty, and therefore risk premiums, vary by the type of investment.
Investment Decision Process:
Once the expected (intrinsic) value is calculated, the investment decision is rather straightforward and intuitive:
If Estimated Value > Market Price, buy
If Estimated Value < Market Price, do not buy
The particulars of the valuation process vary by type of investment.
Valuation of Alternative Investments
We will consider the valuation of two important types of investments:
(a) The valuation of bonds
(b) The valuation of common stock
Valuation of Bonds
The cash flows for Bond are typically fixed:
(a) Interest payments, for example, every six months equal to one-half of: (Coupon rate x Face value).
(b) The payment of principal (Face or par value) at maturity.
Discount at the required rate of return to find the bonds value. The process made relatively easy with a financial
calculator or spreadsheet software. For this the discounting rate will be different from what is used for equity shares.
One of the options for discounting could be the Corporate Bond Yield or GSec Bond Yield of equivalent tenure
published by agencies like Reuter.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 285


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Approaches to Common Stock Valuation


There are a number of methods when it comes to common stock valuation. They are given below:
1. Discounted Cash Flow Techniques:
Present value of Dividends (DDM)
Present value of Operating Cash Flow
Present value of Free Cash Flow
2. Relative valuation techniques:
Price-earnings ratio (P/E)
Price-cash flow ratios (P/CF)
Price-book value ratios (P/BV)
Price-sales ratio (P/S)
Sales to EBIDTA Ratio
Market Value to EBIDTA Ratio
Discounted Cash Flow Techniques
This is based on the basic valuation model: the value of a financial asset is the present value of its expected future
cash flows:
Vj = CFt/(1+k)t
The different discounted cash flow techniques consider different cash flows and also different appropriate discount
rates.
Dividend Discount Models:
Simplifying assumptions help in estimating present value of future dividends:
Vj = Dt/(1+k)t
Can also assume various dividends for a finite period of time with a reselling price, and simply calculate the
combined present value of the dividends.
Alternative dividend assumptions:
Constant Growth Model:
Assumes dividends started at D0 (last years dividend) and will grow at a constant growth rate
Growth will continue for an infinite period of time
The required return (k) is greater than the constant rate of growth (g)
V = D1/(k-g)
where D1 = D0(1+g)

The growth rate can be estimated from past growth in earnings and dividends, using the sustainable growth
model. The discount rate would consider the systematic risk of the investment (beta).
Valuation with Temporary Supernormal Growth:
If you expect a company to experience rapid growth for some period of time:
(a) Find the present value of each dividend during the supernormal growth period separately.

286 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


(b) Find the present value of the remaining dividends when constant growth can be assumed.
(c) Find the present value of the remaining dividends by finding the present value of the estimate obtained in step 2.
Present Value of Operating Cash Flows:
Another discounted cash flow approach is to discount operating cash flows. Operating cash flows are pre-interest
cash flows, so the required rate of return would be adjusted to incorporate the required returns of all investors (use
the WACC)
VFj = OCFt/(1+WACCj)t
If we further assume a growth rate of gOCF for operating cash flows, we can value the firm as:
VFj = OCFt/(WACCj gOCF)
Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity:
A third discounted cash flow technique is to consider the free cash flows of a firm available to equity as the cash
flow stream to be discounted. Since this is an equity stream, the appropriate discount rate is the required return
on equity:
VSj = FCFt/(1+kj)t
Once again, if we want constant growth in free cash flows, this expression reduces to the following:
VSj = FCFt/(kj gFCF)

Relative Valuation Techniques:


These techniques assume that prices should have stable and consistent relationships to various firm variables
across groups of firms:
(a) Price-Earnings Ratio
(b) Price-Cash Flow Ratio
(c) Price-Book Value Ratio
(d) Price-Sales Ratio
Price Earnings Ratio:
The Price-Earnings ratio, popularly known as P/E ratio, is affected by two variables:
1. Required rate of return on its equity (k)
2. Expected growth rate of dividends (g)
D1 / E
P / E1
k-g

Look at the relationship between the current market price and expected earnings per share over the next year.
The ratio is the earnings multiplier, and is a measure of the prevailing attitude of investors regarding a stocks value.
Using the P/E approach to valuation:
1. Estimate earnings for next year
2. Estimate the P/E ratio (Earnings Multiplier)
3. Multiply expected earnings by the expected P/E ratio to get expected price
V = E1 x (P/E)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 287


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Price - Cash Flow Ratio:


Cash flows can also be used in this approach, and are often considered less susceptible to unwarranted adjustment.
The steps are similar to using the P/E ratio.
V = CF1 (P/CF)
Price-Book Value Ratio:
Book values can also be used as a measure of relative value. The steps to obtaining valuation estimates are again
similar to using the P/E ratio.
V = BV1 (P/BV)
Price-Sales Ratio:
Finally, sales can be used in relation to stock price. There are some drawbacks, in that sales do not necessarily
produce profit and positive cash flows. The advantage is that sales are also less susceptible to unwarranted
adjustment. However, assumptions for determination of projected sales needs to be with an approach toward
near certainty. The steps are similar to using the P/E ratio.
V = S1 x (P/S)
Examples:
Expected Return = r = (Div1 + P1 P0) / P0

Illustration 9.
If Modern Electronics is selling for `100 per share today and is expected to sell for `110 one year from now, what is
the expected return if the dividend one year from now is forecasted to be `5.00?
Solution:
Expected Return = r = (5 + 110 100) / 100 = 0.15
The formula can be broken into two parts:
Dividend Yield + Capital Appreciation
Expected Return = r = (Div1 / P0) + [(P1 P0) / P0]
Here P1 P0 represents capital appreciation

Capitalisation Rate can be estimated using the perpetuity formula, given minor algebraic manipulation.
Capitalisation Rate = P0 = [Div1 / (r - g)]
r = (Div1 / P0) + g
Dividend Yield = Div1 / P0
Return on Equity = ROE = EPS / Book Value per share
Dividend Discount Model - Computation of todays stock price which states that share value equals the present
value of all expected future dividends.
i =n
P0 = [Divi / (1+r)i]
i =1
i = the time horizon of the investment.

288 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 10.
Current forecasts are for XYZ Company to pay dividends of `3, `3.24, and `3.50 over the next three years,
respectively. At the end of three years you anticipate selling your stock at a market price of `94.48. What is the
price of the stock given a 12% expected return?
Solution:

3.00 3.24 3.50 + 94.48


PV = 1
+ 2
+ 3
(1+ 0.12) (1+ 0.12) (1+ 0.12)

PV = `75.
If we forecast no growth, and plan to hold out stock indefinitely, we will then value the stock as PERPETUITY.

Perpetuity = P0 = (Div1/ r)
= EPS1/r = [Assumes all earnings are paid to shareholders]

Constant Growth DDM - A version of the dividend growth model in which dividends grow at a constant rate
(Gordon Growth Model).

Illustration 11.
(Continued of Illustration 18.)
If the same stock is selling for `100 in the stock market, what might the market be assuming about the growth in
dividends?
Solution:
100 = 3 / (0.12 - g)
g = 0.09
The market is assuming the dividend will grow at 9% per year, indefinitely.
If a firm elects to pay a lower dividend, and reinvest the funds, the stock price may increase because future
dividends may be higher.
Growth can be derived from applying the return on equity to the percentage of earnings plowed back into
operations.
g = return on equity x plowback ratio

Illustration 12.
ABC company forecasts to pay a `5.00 dividend next year, which represents 100% of its earnings. This will provide
investors with a 12% expected return. Instead, we decide to plow back 40% of the earnings at the firms current
return on equity of 20%. What is the value of the stock before and after the plowback decision?
Solution:
No Growth
P0 = (5 / 0.12)
= `41.67

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 289


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

With Growth
g = 0.2 x 0.4 = 0.08
P0 = [3 / (0.12 0.08)]
= ` 75
If the company did not plowback some earnings, the stock price would remain at `41.67. With the plowback, the
price rose to `75.00.
The difference between these two numbers (75.00-41.67= 33.33) is called the Present Value of Growth Opportunities
(PVGO).
Free Cash Flows (FCF) should be the theoretical basis for all PV calculations.
FCF is a more accurate measurement of PV than either Div or EPS.
The market price does not always reflect the PV of FCF.
When valuing a business for purchase, always use FCF.
Valuing a Business
The value of a business is usually computed as the discounted value of FCF out to a valuation horizon (H).
The valuation horizon is sometimes called the terminal value and is calculated like PVGO

FCF1 PV2 FCFi PVi


PV = + + .... + +
(1+ r)1 (1+ r)2 (1+ r)i (1+ r)i

PV (free cash flows)

FCF1 FCF2 FCFi


1
+ 2
+ .... +
(1+ r) (1+ r) (1+ r)i

PVi
PV (horizon value) =
(1+ r)i
Illustration 13.
Given the cash flows for Modern Manufacturing Division, calculate the PV of near term cash flows, PV (horizon
value), and the total value of the firm. r = 10% and g = 6%.

Year
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Asset Value 10.00 12.00 14.40 17.28 20.74 23.43 26.47 28.05 29.73 31.51
Earnings 1.20 1.44 1.73 2.07 2.49 2.81 3.18 3.36 3.57 3.78
Investment 2.00 2.40 2.88 3.46 2.69 3.04 1.59 1.68 1.78 1.89
Free Cash Flow -.80 -.96 -1.15 -1.39 -.20 -.23 1.59 1.68 1.79 1.89
EPS growth (%) 20 20 20 20 20 13 13 6 6 6

Solution:

1 1.59
PV
= (horizon value ) = 6 22.4
(1.1) 0.10 0.06

290 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


0.80 0.96 1.15 1.39 0.20 0.23
PV (FCF ) =
3.6
=
1.10 (1.1) 2
(1.1) (1.1) (1.1) (1.1)
3 4 5 6

PV (business) = PV(FCF) + PV(horizon value)


= - 3.6 + 22.4
= `18.8
SHARES
Illustration 14.
Z Ltd. has an issued and paid-up capital of 50,000 shares of `100 each. The company declared a dividend of
`12.50 lakhs during the last five years and expects to maintain the same level of dividends in the future. The control
and ownership of the company is lying in the few hands of Directors and their family members. The average
dividend yield for listed companies in the same line of business is 18%.
Calculate the value of 3,000 shares in the company.
Solution:

`12,50,000
Dividend per share = = `25
50,000

Dividend yield = 18%

2.5
Value per share = = `138.90
0.18

Value of 3,000 shares = 3,000 shares `138.90 = `4,16,700.


Illustration 15.
The Directors of Kamdhenu Private Ltd are planning to sell the Company. For this purpose they want you to put a
value on the equity share of the Company using the methods which a prospective purchaser might apply.
The following information should be considered in valuing the shares under each method, commenting briefly on
each method adopted
1. Balance Sheet as on 31st March 2015

Equity and Liability ` Assets `


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets: (Tangible):
Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 2,00,000 Land and Building 5,00,000
(b) Reserve & Surplus Plant and Machinery 2,75,000
Revenue Reserve 5,95,000 Motor Vehicles 55,000
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (b) Other Non-Current Assets
Long Term Borrowings Preliminary Expenses 2,000
Secured Loan against Land & Building 1,50,000 (2) Current Assets:
(3) Current Liabilities: (a) Inventories 1,33,000
(a) Trade Payables Sundry Creditors 1,35,000 (b) Trade Receivables
(b) Short Term Provision Sundry Debtors 1,45,000
Provision for Taxation 45,000 (c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 15,000
Total 11,25,000 Total 11,25,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 291


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

2. Profit/ Dividend record: The Profit record after tax and interest but before dividends over the last five years have
been as follows:

Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


Profit `80,000 `75,000 `95,000 `80,000 `85,000
The average dividend has been `30,000 (gross) for the last ten years.
3. The operating budget shows that estimated after tax profit for the next year will be `85,000 and thereafter it is
estimated that this will increase by 5% p.a over the next four years.
4. In the light of recent developments in the field of financial reporting, the Company has had its Fixed Assets
valued by an independent expert whose report discloses the following values Land & Building - `6,10,000, Plant
& Machinery- `2,88,000, Motor Vehicles - `1,02,000.
5. A study of three public companies in the same market as Kamdhenu Private Ltd shows that the average dividend
yield and price earning ratio of these over last three years have been -

Year Abhilasha Ltd Ninder Ltd Sanju Ltd


Dividend Yield % P/E Ratio Dividend Yield % P/E Ratio Dividend Yield % P/E Ratio
2009 17.00 8.00 17.00 8.50 16.50 9.00
2010 17.00 8.00 15.00 9.00 17.00 10.00
2011 17.00 9.00 18.00 10.00 17.50 11.50
Average 17.00 8.33 16.70 9.17 17.00 10.17
6. One of the Directors has indicated that after tax cost of capital is now 17%. The estimated net cash flow of
the Company after taking into consideration taxation and capital expenditure over next five years in order to
achieve/ and as a result of, the five years profit plan, are as follows:

Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


CF (`) 1,00,000 1,20,000 1,40,000 10,000 1,50,000
Another Director is of the view that profitability be measured at 12 % on Tangible Capital and 17 % on Intangible
Capital.
Solution:
1. Net Assets Method

Particulars ` `
Land and Building (at revalued amount) 6,10,000
Plant and Machinery (at revalued amount) 2,88,000
Motor Vehicles (at revalued amount) 1,02,000
Stock in trade (at Balance Sheet Value) 1,33,000
Sundry Debtors (at Balance Sheet Value) 1,45,000
Cash at Bank (at Balance Sheet Value) 15,000
Total Assets 12,93,000
Less: Outside Liabilities
Secured Loans (1,50,000)
Sundry creditors (1,35,000)
Provision for Taxation (45,000) 3,30,000
Net Tangible Assets 9,63,000
Number or Equity Shares 20,000
Value per Equity Share (`9,63,000 20,000) 48.15

292 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


2. Dividend Yield Method

a. Actual Dividend Rate of the Company = Average Dividend Paid Up Capital = `30,000 `2,00,000 15.00%
b. Average Industry Dividend Rate = (17% +16.70% +17%) 3 16.90%
c. Value per Equity Share = (Face Value x Actual Yield )/ Industry Dividend Rate = (`10 x 15.00%) 16.90% 8.88

3. PE Multiple Method (based on Projected Earnings)


Note: Industry Average PE Ratio = (8.33 + 9.17 +10.17)/3 = 9.22 times

Year Profit after Tax Weights* Product


2016 `85,000 5 4,25,000
2017 85,000 x 1.05 = `89,250 4 3,57,000
2018 89,250 x 1.05 = `93,713 3 2,81,139
2019 93,713 x 1.05 = `98,399 2 1,96,798
2020 98,399 x 1.05 = `1,03,319 1 1,03,319
Total `4,69,681 15 13,63,256
a. Average Profits (Simple/ Weighted) 4,69,681 5 = `93,936 13,63,256 15 = `90,884
b. Number of Equity Share 20,000 shares 20,000 shares
c. Projected Earnings per Share `4.70 `4.54
d. Value per Share (on PE Multiple) = Co EPS x `4.70 9.22 times = `43.33 `4.54 9.22 = `41.86
Industry average PE Ratio

Note:
Also, PAT for the year ending on the B/s date i.e 2015 can be taken as a Future Earning Capacity i.e at `85,000.
Hence, EPS = `4 .25 and Value per share = `4.25 x 9.22 times = `39.19.
Higher weightage is give to the near future years than far further future years.
4. Projected Earnings Capitalization Method

Particulars Simple Average Weighted Average


a. Projected Earnings (PAT) of the Company `93,936 `90,884
b. Normal Rate of Return of the Industry = 1 PE Ratio (19.22) = 10.85% (19.22) = 10.85%
c. Capitalized Value of Projected Earnings (a b) `8,65,770 `8,37,641
d. Value per share = (c 20,000 Shares) `43.29 `41.88

Note: The valuation under PE Multiple and Earnings Capitalization Method (at 10.85%) is effectively the same. The
difference is due to rounding off aspect in calculations.
5. Discounted Cash Flow Method

Year PVF at 17.5% Cash Flows Present Value


2016 0.85 `1,00,000 `85,000
2017 0.72 `1,20,000 `86,400
2018 0.62 `1,40,000 `86,800
2019 0.52 `10,000 `5,200
2020 0.45 `1,50,000 `67,500
2021 onwards (See Note below) 0.45 `1,50,000 10.85% = `13,82,488 `6,22,120
Present Value of Future Cash Flows till perpetuity `9,53,020
Value per Share [`9,53,020 20,000 shares] `47.65

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 293


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Note:
Cash Flows of Year 2020 `1,50,000 are assumed to continue till perpetuity. Hence, it is divided by the Industry
Normal Rate of Return, to estimate the cash flows till perpetuity. These are discounted to the present value, to
ascertain the total discounted cash flows.
Cash Flows of year 2019 is not in tune with the other years. This may be because of Capital Expenditure
proposed during the year. In the absence of information of Capital Expenditure, no adjustment has been
made.
6. Summary of Value per Share

Method Value per Share Remarks


1. Net Assets Method `48.15 Reports the Fair Values of assets available to Equity
Shareholders. Provides basis for negotiating prices
2.Dividend Yield Method `8.88 Suitable only for purchase of small lots and not for
acquisition of controlling interest.
3. Earnings Yield (PE Multiple)
(a) On Simple Average `43.33 Recognizes market / industry expectations and the
(b) On Weighted Average `41.86 Companys future performance. However, weighted
average
(c ) On B/s Year Profits `39.19 Based calculations are more appropriate.
4. Earnings Capitalization Method
(a) On Simple Average `43.29 Only a variant of the PE Multiple method. Weighted
Average
(b) On Weighted Average `41.88 Based calculations are more appropriate.
5. Discounted Cash Flows `47.65 Most suited for acquisition of controlling interest.

Illustration 16.
The Balance Sheet of Shyam Traders Ltd as on 31.12.2014 is as follow

Equity and Liability ` Assets `


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (`100 each) (a) Fixed Assets
(i) 4,500 Equity Shares 4,50,000 (i) Tangible Assets:
(ii) 1,500 6% Preference Shares 1,50,000 Freehold Properties 3,75,000
(b) Reserve & Surplus Plant and Machinery 1,50,000
P & L Account 7,50,000 (ii) Intangible Assets:
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: Goodwill 1,50,000
Long Term Borrowings - 5% Debenture 3,00,000 (b) Non-Current Investments
(3) Current Liabilities: Quoted (Return 10% on cost) 3,00,000
(a) Trade Payables Sundry Creditors 2,39,250 (2) Current Assets:
(a) Inventories 2,70,000
(b) Trade Receivables
Sundry Debtors 2,99,250
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 3,45,000
Total 18,89,250 Total 18,89,250

294 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Profits for the three years 2012, 2013, 2014 after charging the debenture interest but before providing for Preference
Dividend, were `2,20,500, `3,22,500 and `2,40,000 respectively.
Preference Shares are payable on Liquidation.
The purchaser wants to acquire all the 4,500 Equity Shares.
The price for Equity Shares is to be based on the following assumptions
(a) Normal return of 12% on Net Asset (at revised valuation) attributable to Equity Shares.
(b) Goodwill to be calculated at 4 times the adjusted average super profits of the 3 years referred above.
(c) Debentures will be redeemed at a discount of 25% prior to the sale of the business; and in order to provide fund
for this purpose, investments will be sold out.
(d) Value of Freehold Property is agreed to be ascertained on the basis 8% return. The current rental value is
`50,400.

(e) A claim of `8,250 was omitted to be provided in the year 2014.


(f) Market Value of Quoted Investments was `3,75,000.
(g) Non-recurring profits are to be eliminated. 10% of the profits for 2013 referred to above arose from a transaction
of non- recurring nature.
(h) A Provision of 5% on Sundry Debtors was made in 2014 is no longer required (the provision when made was
taken into account for purpose of Income Tax at 50%)
Prepare a valuation for the Companys Shares (from the point of view of the purchaser) after taking into account
the revised values and valuation of goodwill based on 4 years purchase of super profits based on the average
profits of the three years.

Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Equity Earnings

Particulars 2012 2013 2014


Profit After Tax 2,20,500 3,22,500 2,40,000
Less: Non- recurring Expenditure (10% x 3,22,500) -- (32,250) --
Claims unaccounted, now accounted -- -- (8,250)
Add: Provision for Bad Debts not required (2,99,250 x 5/95) -- -- 15,750
Less: Tax Provision at 50% on the above (15,750 -8,250) x 50% -- -- (3,750)
Adjusted Profits after Tax 2,20,500 2,90,250 2,43,750
Average Profits (2,20,500 +2,90,250+2,43,750)3 2,51,500
Add: Interest on Debentures (No Longer Payable) (`3,00,000 x 5% x 50%) (after tax) 7,500
Less: Income from Investments (No Longer receivable) (`3,00,000 x 10% x 50%) (after tax) (15,000)
Future Maintainable Profits before Preference Dividend 2,44,000
Less: Preference Dividend (9,000)
Future Maintainable Equity Earnings 2,35,000

Note:
Sundry Debtors as per B/s reflects the net balance after deducting 5% provision. Since Net Debtors of `2,99,250
reflect 95% of the Total Debtors Amount, Provision = `2,99,250 x 5/95 = `15,750.
Simple Average is taken due to fluctuating / oscillating trend of profits.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 295


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

2. Computation of Capital Employed

Particulars ` `
Freehold Property (Capitalization of Rental Value of `50,400 at 8%) 6,30,000
Plant & Machinery 1,50,000
Stock 2,70,000
Sundry Debtors [ `2,99,250 (100% - Provision at 5%) 3,15,000
Bank [Balance 345 + Investment Sale 375 Debenture Redemption 225] 4,95,000
Total Assets 18,60,000
Less: Outside Liabilities (excluding Equity Shareholders Funds)
Sundry Creditors [`2,39,250 + Unaccounted Claim of `8,250] 2,47,500
Preference Shareholders [Share Capital + Dividend Due] 1,59,000
Additional Tax Liability due to unaccounted claim & provision w/back 3,750 (4,10,250)
Net Worth of Equity Share Holders on B/s date 14,49,750

Note:
Since Normal Return is 12% on the Net Assets available to Equity Shares (given), Future Maintainable Equity
Earnings should be compared with the Expected Equity Earnings. Hence, Net Worth of Equity Shareholders (i.e
after deducting Preference Shareholders dues) is considered.
Goodwill in the Balance Sheet should not be considered for computing net worth for Goodwill computation.
Redemption value of debentures = face Value `3,00,000 25% Discount = `2,25,000
3.Computation of Super profits and Goodwill

Particulars `
Future Maintainable Equity Earnings 2,35,000
Less: Normal Earnings = Normal Return x Capital Employed =12% x 14,49,750 (1,73,970)
Super Profit i.e., Excess Earnings available for Equity Shareholders 61,030
Goodwill at 4 years purchase of Super Profits = `61,030 x 4 years 2,44,120

Note: Alternatively, Average Capital Employed can be considered as Proxy for Future Capital Employed to
determine normal earnings.
4. Valuation of Shares

Particulars `
a. Net Worth attributable to Equity Holders (calculated above) 14,49,750
b. Goodwill 2,44,120
c. Total Net Assets of Equity Shareholders 16,93,870
d. Number of Equity Shares 4,500 shares
e. Value per Equity Share `376.42

296 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 17.

The Balance Sheet of Govinda Ltd as at 31st March is given below-

Equity and Liability ` Assets `


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) 5,000 Equity Shares of `100 each 5,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets:
(ii) 3,000 12% Preference Shares of `100 3,00,000 Land and Building 3,20,000
(b) Reserve & Surplus Plant and Machinery 4,60,000
(9,40,000 Acc Depn
4,80,000)
(i) General Reserve 3,00,000 (b) Non-Current Investments
(ii) P&L Account (1,20,000 b/f 3,60,000 6% Govt. Securities (at cost) 1,60,000
+4,80,000 CY Profit 2,40,000
Prov for Tax)
(2) Current Liabilities: (c) Other Non-Current Assets
(a) Trade Payables Sundry Creditors 2,10,000 Preliminary Expenses 60,000
(b) Short Term Provision (2) Current Assets:
(i) Provision for Taxation 2,40,000 (a) Inventories 4,50,000
(b) Trade Receivables
Book Debts 3,80,000
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 80,000
Total 19,10,000 Total 19,10,000

The face value of the Government Securities is `2,00,000. The current Year profit reported in the Balance Sheet
includes income from such Government Securities. Stock in Trade reported in Balance Sheet is taken at 90% of
Market value.
The shares of the Company are not quoted on the Stock Exchange. A provision exists in the Articles of Association
of the Company that in cases where any existing shareholder desires to transfer his holdings to another person, it
should be done at a fair market value to be fixed by the Statutory Auditor of the Company. One of the shareholders
desiring to transfer his holdings to X, an outsider, refers the matter of determination of the fair market value of
shares to you, as the Statutory Auditor.

Indicate how you will proceed to determine such a value, based on the following additional information:
1. The Companys prospects in the near future appear good.
2. Land value is understated by `4,00,000. Buildings have suffered a further depreciation of `2,00,000.
3. Market Value of Plant and Machinery is `5,40,000.
4. Companies doing similar business as that of Govinda Ltd show a market return of 12% on Capital Employed.
5. Profits over the prior 3 years period have been increasing at the rate of `50,000 per annum.
6. It has always been the Companys practice to value stock at market prices.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 297


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits

Particulars `
Profit as per Profit & Loss Account 4,80,000
Less: Investment Income (`2,00,000 x 6%) (12,000)
Net Adjusted Profit Before Tax 4,68,000
Less: Tax Provision at 50% (See Note) (2,34,000)
Adjusted Profit after Tax 2,34,000

Note:
Tax Rate = Tax Provision as per books Profit as per books = `2,40,000 `4,80,000 = 50%.
It is assumed that 90% of Market Value is lower than cost of stock. Since the Company has been valuing its
stock at market prices, it is assumed that no further adjustment is considered necessary in this case.
We are informed that the profits (assumed as PBT) of the last 3 years have been increasing at `50,000 per annum.
Presuming the trend of `50,000 increase in PBT to continue, profit after tax will increase by `25,000 [`50,000 50%],
and the expected profit of the next three years and their average will be

Future Year Expected PAT Weights Weight PAT


Year 1 2,34,000 +25,000 = 2,59,000 3 `7,77,000
Year 2 2,59,000 + 25,000 = 2,84,000 2 `5,68,000
Year 3 2,84,000 +25,000 = 3,09,000 1 `3,09,000
Total 6 `16,54,000
Weighted Average Profits = `16,54,000 6 `2,75,667
Less: Preference Dividend (`3,00,000 x 12%) (`36,000)
Equity Earnings `2,39,667

2. Computation of Proxy Trading Capital Employed (based on Closing Capital Employed)

Particulars ` `
Land & Buildings- Book Value 3,20,000
Add: Increase in Value of Land 4,00,000
Less: Decrease in Value of Building (2,00,000) 5,20,000
Plant & Machinery 5,40,000
Book Debts 3,80,000
Stock in Trade (at Market Value) i.e. `4,50,000 x 100/90 5,00,000
Cash and Bank Balances 80,000
Total Assets 20,20,000
Less: External Liabilities
Trade Creditors 2,10,000
Provision for Taxation 2,40,000 (4,50,000)
Less: Preference Capital (3,00,000)
Capital Employed as at 31st March (year-end) 12,70,000

Note: Stock is taken at Realizable Value, i. e., Market Value. In the B/s, it has been taken at 90% only.

298 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


3. Computation of Goodwill

Particulars `
a. Capitalised Value of Future Maintainable Profits i.e `2,39,667 12% 19,97,225
b. Capital Employed on Balance Sheet Date 12,70,000
c. Excess attributed to Goodwill (a-b) 7,27,225

4. Computation of value per Share on Net Assets Basis

Particulars `
a. Capital Employed on Balance Sheet date 12,70,000
b. Goodwill as calculated above 7,27,225
c. Non- Trade Investments at Cost 2,00,000
d. Net Assets available to Equity Shareholders (a+b+c) 21,97,225
e. Number of Equity Shares 5,000 Shares
f. Value per Equity Share based on Net Assets (d e) `439.45

Assuming Equity Shares are valued at Par if yielding 12% Return on Total Capital Employed, value per share is

Particulars `
Future Maintainable Profit for Equity Shareholders (as computed above) 2,39,667
Add: Non- trade Income (after Tax) (2,00,000 x 6% x 50%) 6,000
Total Equity Earnings 2,45,667
Total Value Attributable to Equity Shareholders (computed above) 21,97,225
Actual Yield on Equity Capital Employed (245667 2197225) 11.18%
Value per Share = Par Value x Actual Yield Expected Yield = `100 x 11.18% 12% `93.17

6. Summary of Value per Share under different methods

Particulars `
a. Value per Share under Net Assets method 439.45
b. Value per Share under Yield method 93.17
c. Fair Value per Share = (`439.45 + `93.17)2 266.31

Illustration 18.
The Summarized Balance Sheet of Amway Private Ltd as on 31.03.2016 is as under-

Equity and Liability ` Assets `


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) Equity Share of ` 10 each 5,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets:
(ii) 9% Preference Shares of `10 2,00,000 Leasehold Properties 90,000
each fully paid up (1,60,000 Depn 70,000)
(b) Reserve & Surplus Plant and Machinery 2,25,000
(2,50,000 Depn 25,000)
(i) General Reserve 1,00,000 (ii) Intangible Assets:
(ii) P&L Account 2,20,250 Goodwill 1,75,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 299


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

(2) Current Liabilities: (b) Non-Current Investments 4,00,000


(a) Short Term Borrowings - Bank Loan 1,00,000 (2) Current Assets:
(b) Trade Payables Sundry Creditors 49,750 (a) Inventories 82,500
(b) Trade Receivables
Sundry Debtors 40,500
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,57,000
Total 11,70,000 Total 11,70,000
A holder of 10,000 of the Equity Shares in the company has agreed to sell these shares at a value based on the
above Balance Sheet, but subject to adjustment of the valuation of the following:
1. The leasehold property was acquired on 01.04.2006 and at the Balance Sheet date the lease has a further six
years to run. The cost should be written off over the term of the lease by equal annual charges. To date `7,000
per annum had been written off.
2. In 2013-14, goods costing `6,000 were purchased and have been included since that date at cost in the Stock
lists. The goods were valueless on the Balance Sheet date.
3. An expense Creditor `3,750 of the current year has been omitted from being recorded in the books.
4. A General Reserve of 10% on total Debtors, after specific provision for Doubtful Debts, has been made for the
First time in the current year accounts.
5. Goodwill is to be valued at three years purchase of the average Profits, after the above adjustments, of three
years 2013-14; 2014-15; and 2015-16, such profits being those available for dividend for Equity shareholders.
6. The profits of the company as shown by the accounts before appropriations and before providing for
preference dividends were as follows 2013-14 `80,400; 2014-15 `92,900; 2015-16 `89,650.
You are required to compute the total consideration due to the Vending Shareholder.
Solution:
1. Future Maintainable Profits

Particulars 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16


Profits as given 80,400 92,900 89,650
Add: Lease Charges debited in P&L A/c 7,000 7,000 7,000
Less: Equal Lease Amortization (1,60,000 16 Years) (10,000) (10,000) (10,000)
Less: Obsolete and Valueless Closing Stock (assuming it lost value on B/S date) (6,000)
Less: Unrecorded Expense (3,750)
Add: General Reserve on Total Debtors (40,500 x 10% 90%) 4,500
Adjusted Profits 77,400 89,900 81,400
Average Adjusted Operating Profits = (77,400 + 89,900 +81,400)3 82,900
Less: Preference Dividends (8% of `2,00,000) (16,000)
Equity Earnings = Future Maintainable Earnings 66,900
Goodwill = 3 x Average Profit `66,900 2,00,700
Notes:
1. In the absence of tax rates, tax effects are ignored on the above adjustments.
2. Loss in value of stock is assumed to have taken place during the last financial year.
3. General Reserve on Bad Debts has been reversed, assuming the same will not be provided in the future.
Alternatively, if it is assumed that it will be continued in the future, the same may be added back to the
Average Profits.

300 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


2. Capital Employed (based on Closing Balance Sheet)

Particulars `
Goodwill 2,00,700
Leasehold Property (1,60,000 Less Amortization for 10 years 10,000 x 10) 60,000
Plant and Machinery (at Balance Sheet value) 2,25,000
Investments at Cost (Assuming to be Trade Investments) 4,00,000
Stocks at Cost (82,500 6,000 Valueless stock) 76,500
Sundry Debtors (40,500 + Reversal of Reserve 4,500) 45,000
Balance at Bank 1,57,000
Sundry Creditors (49,750 + Expense Creditors 3,750) (53,500)
Bank Loan (1,00,000)
Preference Capital (2,00,000)
Equity Capital Employed 8,10,700
No. of Equity Shares 50,000
Value per Share `16.214

Illustration 19.
Following are the information of two companies for the year ended 31st March, 2016:

Particulars Company A Company B


Equity Shares of ` 10 each 8,00,000 10,00,000
10% Pref. Shares of ` 10 each 6,00,000 4,00,000
Profit after tax 3,00,000 3,00,000

Assume the Market expectation is 18% and 80% of the Profits are distributed.
(i) What is the rate you would pay to the Equity Shares of each Company?
(a) If you are buying a small lot.
(b) If you are buying controlling interest shares.
(ii) If you plan to Invest only in preference shares which companys preference shares would you prefer?
(iii) Would your rates be different for buying small tot, if the company A retains 30% and company B 10% of the
profits?
[Note: A control premium is an amount that a buyer is sometimes willing to pay over the current market price of a
publicly traded company in order to acquire a controlling share in that company.]
Solution:
(I) (a) Buying a small lot of equity shares: If the purpose of valuation is to provide data base to aid a decision of
buying a small (non-controlling) position of the equity of the companies, dividend capitalisation method is most
appropriate. Under this method, value of equity share is given by:

Dividend per share


100
Market capitalisation rate

Company A : 2.4
` 100 = ` 13.33
18

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 301


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

2.08
Company B: ` 100 = ` 11.56
18
(b) Buying controlling Interest equity shares: If the purpose of valuation is to provide data base to aid a decision
of buying controlling interest in the company, EPS capitalisation method is most appropriate. Under this method,
value of equity is given by:

Earning per share(EPS)


100
Market capitalisation rate
3
Company A: ` 100 = ` 16.67
18

2.6
Company B: ` 100 = ` 14.44
18
(ii) Preference Dividend coverage ratios of both companies are to be compared to make such decision.
Preference dividend coverage ratio is given by:

Pr ofit after tax


100
Pr eference Dividend

3,00,000
Company A: ` = 5 times
60,000

3,00,000
Company B: ` = 7.5 times
40,000
If we are planning to invest only in preference shares, we would prefer shares of B Company as there is more
coverage for preference dividend.
(iii) Yes, the rates will be different for buying a small lot of equity shares, if the company A retains 30% and
company B 10% of profits.
The new rates will be calculated as follows:

2.1
Company A: ` 100 = `11.67
18

2.34
Company B: ` 100 = `13.00
18
Working Notes:
1. Computation of earning per share and dividend per share (companies distribute 80% of profits)

Particulars Company A Company B


Profit after tax 3,00,000 3,00,000
Less: Preference dividend 60,000 40,000
Earnings available to equity shareholders (A) 2,40,000 2,60,000
Number of Equity Shares (B) 80,000 1,00,000
Earning per share (A/B) 3.0 2.60
Retained earnings 20% 48,000 52,000
Dividend declared 80% (C) 1,92,000 2,08,000
Dividend per share (C/B) 2.40 2.08

302 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


2. Computation of dividend per share (Company A retains 30% and Company B 10% of profits)

Earnings available for Equity Shareholders 2,40,000 2,60,000


Number of Equity Shares 80,000 1,00,000
Retained Earnings 72,000 26,000
Dividend Distribution 1,68,000 2,34,000
Dividend per share 2.10 2.34

Illustration 20.
The Balance Sheet of Ganguram Industries Ltd as at 31st December 2015 was as under

Equity and Liability ` Assets `


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) Equity Share of ` 10 each (i) Tangible Assets:
`10 paid up per share 3,00,000 Building 2,00,000
`5 paid up per share 2,00,000 Plant and Machinery 4,00,000
(ii) 9% Preference Shares Capital (`100) 1,00,000 (2) Current Assets:
(b) Reserve & Surplus 3,00,000 (a) Inventories 2,50,000
(2) Current Liabilities: (b) Trade Receivables
(a) Trade Payables Sundry Creditors 2,00,000 Sundry Debtors 2,10,000
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 40,000
Total 11,00,000 Total 11,00,000

Profit and Dividend in the last several years were as under:

Year Profit Equity Dividend


2013 `2,20,000 12%
2014 `2,50,000 15%
2015 `3,20,000 18%

Land and Buildings are worth `4,00,000. Managerial remuneration is likely to go up by `20,000 p.a. Income-Tax may
be provided at 50%. Equity Shares of Companies in the same industry with a dividend rate of 10% are quoted at
par. Ignore Goodwill value depreciation adjustment for revaluation and the need of transfer to General Reserve.
Find the most appropriate value of an Equity Share assuming that-
1. Controlling interest is transferred;
2. Only a few shares are to be transferred.
Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits

Year PBT Weights Product (`)


2013 `2,20,000 1 2,20,000
2014 `2,50,000 2 5,00,000
2015 `3,20,000 3 9,60,000
Total 6 16,80,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 303


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Weighted Average Profits (`16,80,000 6) 2,80,000


Less: Additional Managerial Remuneration payable (20,000)
Net Adjusted Profits before Tax 2,60,000
Less: Tax Expense at 50% (1,30,000)
Net Adjusted Profits after Tax, but before Preference Dividend 1,30,000
Less: Preference Dividend (`1,00,000 x 9%) (9,000)
Future Maintainable PAT available for Equity Shareholders 1,21,000

Notes:
It is assumed that the Profits given in the Question are Profits before Tax.
Since Profits show an increasing trend, weighted average is more appropriate. Hence, more weights are
assigned to the profits of the most recent years.
Instead of assigning weights, Linear Trend Equation may be formed and the future profits for some years (say
3-5 years) estimated on the basis of the equation, and average of such profits be taken for determining Profits
available for Equity Shareholders.
2. Valuation of Shares under Earnings Capitalization Method

Particulars `
Future Maintainable Profits for Equity Shareholders 1,21,000
Capitalized Value of Equity (Maintainable Profit Normal Return) i.e. 1,21,000 10% 12,10,000
Add: Notional Call on Party Paid Shares (`5 x 40,000 Shares) 2,00,000
Total Value of Equity 14,10,000
Total Number of Equity Shares
a. Fully Paid Share = `3,00,000 `10 = 30,000 Shares; 70,000 shares
b. Partly Paid Shares = `2,00,000 `5 = 40,000 Shares
Value per Fully Paid Share [Adjusted Equity Value Total No. of Shares] `20.14
Value per Partly Paid Share [`20.14 - `5 unpaid] `15.14

Note:
1. Unpaid amount on partly paid-up shares is assumed to be called in the near future. In the absence of specific
information, additional income on Notional Calls, is ignored.
2. Normal Rate Return is assumed to Post Tax Expectation.
3.Valuation of Shares under Net Asset Method

Particulars `
Buildings (Revalued Amount) 4,00,000
Plant & Machinery 4,00,000
Sundry Debtors 2,10,000
Stock in Trade 2,50,000
Cash and Bank 40,000
Total Assets 13,00,000
Less: External Liabilities - Sundry Creditors 2,00,000
Net Assets 11,00,000
Less: Preference Share Capital 1,00,000

304 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Net Assets Attributable to Equity Shareholders 10,00,000
Add: Notional Call on Shares 2,00,000
Adjusted Net Assets Attributable to Equity Shareholders 12,00,000
Number of Equity Shares (Fully Paid + Partly Paid) as calculated above 70,000 Shares
Value per Fully Paid Share (`12,00,000 70,000) `17.14
Value per Partly Paid Share (`17.14 Notional Call of `5) `12.14

4. Summary of value per Share for Controlling Acquisition

Particulars Fully Paid Share Partly Paid Share


a. Earnings Capitalization Method `20.14 `15.14
b. Net Assets Method `17.14 `12.14
c. Fair Value (Average of the above) (20.14 + 17.14)2 = `18.64 (15.14 + 12.14)2 = `13.64

5. Computation of Value per Share for Small Lot Acquisition

Year Dividend Rate Weights Product


2013 12% 1 12%
2014 15% 2 30%
2015 18% 3 54%
Total 6 96%
Weighted Average Dividend Rate (96% 6) 16%
Value per Share for Small Lot Acquisition = (Paid Up Value per Share x Companys Dividend
Rate)Market Dividend Rate
For Fully Paid Up Share: (`10x 16%)10% `16.00
For Partly Paid Up Share: (`5 x 16%)10% `8.00

Note:
When small shareholders acquire shares based on dividend expectation, shares are to be valued only on basis
of paid up value of shares since, generally, dividends are declared only on the paid up value of shares and not
on the notional full value of shares. Here, merely reducing the value of a fully paid share by unpaid amount is not
appropriate. Students should carefully observe the distinction in valuation principles between majority acquisition
and small lot buying.

Illustration 21.
The following is the Balance Sheet of N Ltd. as on 31st March, 2016:
Balance Sheet

Equity and Liability ` Assets `


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) 4,00,000 Equity Share of ` 10 each 40,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets:
(ii) 13.5% Redeemable Preference 20,00,000 Building 24,00,000
Shares of `100 each fully paid up

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 305


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

(b) Reserve & Surplus Machinery 22,00,000


(i) General Reserve 16,00,000 Furniture 10,00,000
(ii) P&L Account 3,20,000 Vehicles 18,00,000
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (ii) Intangible Assets:
Long Term Borrowings Goodwill 4,00,000
Secured Loan against Fixed Assets 12,00,000 (b) Non-Current Investments 16,00,000
(3) Current Liabilities: (c) Other Non-Current Assets
(a) Trade Payables Preliminary Expenses 2,00,000
Sundry Creditors 6,00,000 (2) Current Assets:
Bills Payable 31,00,000 (a) Inventories 11,00,000
(b) Trade Receivables
Sundry Debtors 18,00,000
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 3,20,000
Total 1,28,20,000 Total 1,28,20,000

Further information:
(i) Return on capital employed is 20% in similar businesses.
(ii) Fixed assets are worth 30% more than book value. Stock is overvalued by `1,00,000, Debtors are to be reduced
by `20,000. Trade investments, which constitute 10% of the total investments, are to be valued at 10% below
cost.
(iii) Trade investments were purchased on 1.4.2015. 50% of non-Trade Investments were purchased on 1.4.2014
and the rest on 1.4.2013. Non-Trade Investments yielded 15% return on cost.
(iv) In 2013-2014 new machinery costing `2,00,000 was purchased, but wrongly charged to revenue. This amount
should be adjusted taking depreciation at 10% on reducing value method.
(v) In 2014-2015 furniture with a book value of `1,00,000 was sold for `60,000.
(vi) For calculating goodwill two years purchase of super profits based on simple average profits of last four years
are to be considered. Profits of last four years are as under: 2012-2013 `16,00,000, -2013-2014 `18,00.000, 2014-
2015 `21,00,000, 2015-2016 `22,00,000.
(vii) Additional depreciation provision at the rate of 10% on the additional value of Plant and Machinery alone
may be considered for arriving at average profit.
Find out the intrinsic value of the equity share. Income-tax and Dividend tax are not to be considered.
Solution:
Calculation of intrinsic value of equity shares of N Ltd.
1. Calculation of Goodwill
(i) Capital employed

Fixed Assets ` `
Building 24,00,000
Machinery (`22,00,000 + `1,45,800) 23,45,800
Furniture 10,00,000
Vehicles 18,00,000
75,45,800

306 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Add: 30% increase 22,63,740
98,09,540
Trade investments (`16,00,000 x 10% x 90%) 1,44,000
Debtors (`18,00,000 - `20,000) 17,80,000
Stock (`11,00,000 `1,00,000) 10,00,000
Bank balance 3,20,000 1,30,53,540
Less: Outside liabilities
Bank Loan 12,00,000
Bills payable 6,00,000
Creditors 31,00,000 49,00,000
Capital employed 81,53,540

(ii) Future maintainable profit


Calculation of average profit

2012-13 (`) 2013-14 (`) 2014-15 (`) 2015-16 (`)


Profit given 16,00,000 18,00,000 21,00,000 22,00,000
Add: Capital expenditure of machinery charged to revenue -- 2,00,000 -- --
Loss on sale of furniture -- -- 40,000 --
16,00,000 20,00,000 21,40,000 22,00,000
Less: Depreciation on machinery 20,000 18,000 16,200
Income from non-trade investments 1,08,000 2,16,000 2,16,000
Reduction in value of stock 1,00,000
Bad debts Adjusted profit 20,000
Adjusted profit 16,00,000 18,72,000 19,06,000 18,47,800

Total adjusted profit for four years (2012-2013 to 2015-2016) 72,25,800


Average profit (`72,25,800/4) 18,06,450
Less: Depreciation at 10% on additional value of machinery (22,00,000 + 1,45,800) x 30/100 i.e. ` 7,03,740 70,374
Adjusted average profit 17,36,076

(iii) Normal Profit


(20% on capital employed i.e. 20% on ` 81,53,540) = `16,30,708

(iv) Super profit


Expected profit - normal profit (`17,36,076 ` 16,30,708) = ` 1,05,368

(v) Goodwill
2 years purchase of super profit ` 1,05,368 x 2 = ` 2,10,736

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 307


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

2. Net assets available to equity shareholders

` `
Goodwill as calculated in 1(v) above 2,10,736
Sundry fixed assets 98,09,540
Trade and Non-trade investments 15,84,000
Debtors 17,80,000
Stock 10,00,000
Bank balance 3,20,000
1,47,04,276
Less: Outside liabilities
Bank loan 12,00,000
Bills payable 6,00,000
Creditors 31,00,000 49,00,000
Preference share capital 20,00,000
Net assets for equity shareholders 78,04,276

3. Valuation of equity shares

Net assetsavailable to equity shareholders


Value of equity share =
Number of equity shares

` 78,04,276
= = ` 19.51
4,00,000

Note :
1. Depreciation on the overall increased value of assets (worth 30% more than book value) has not been
considered. Depreciation on the additional value of only plant and machinery has been considered taking
depreciation at 10% on reducing value method while calculating average adjusted profit.
2. Loss on sale of furniture has been taken as non-recurring or extraordinary item.
3. It has been assumed that preference dividend has been paid till date.

Illustration 22.
The Capital Structure of M/s XYZ Ltd., on 31st March, 2016 was as follows:

`
Equity Capital (18,000 Shares of `100 each) 18,00,000
12% Preference Capital 5,000 Shares of `100 each 5,00,000
12% Secured Debentures 5,00,000
Reserves 5,00,000
Profit earned before Interest and Taxes during the year 7,20,000
Tax Rate 40%

Generally the return on equity shares of this type of Industry is 15%.


Subject to:
(a) The profit after tax covers Fixed Interest and Fixed Dividends at least 4 times.

308 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


(b) The Debt Equity ratio is at least 2;
(c) Yield on shares is calculated at 60% of distributed profits and 10% of undistributed profits;
The Company has been paying regularly an Equity dividend of 15%.
The risk premium for Dividends is generally assumed at 1%.
Find out the value of Equity shares of the Company.

Solution:

Calculation of profit after tax (PAT) ` `


Profit before interest & tax (PBIT) 7,20,000
Less: Debenture interest (` 5,00,000 x 12/100) 60,000
Profit before tax (PBT) 6,60,000
Loss: Tax @ 40% 2,64,000
Profit after tax (PAT) 3,96,000
Less: Preference dividend 60,000
Equity dividend 2,70,000 3,30,000
Retained earnings (undistributed profit) 66,000

Calculation of Interest and Fixed Dividend Coverage

PAT + Debenture interest


=
Debenture interest + Pr eference dividend
` 3,96,000 + 60,000
=
` 60,000 + 60,000
` 4,56,000
= = 3.8 times
` 1,20,000

Calculation of Debt Equity Ratio


Debt Equity Ratio

Debt (long term loans )


=
Equity ( shareholder 's funds )
Debentures
=
Pr eference share capital + Equity share capital + Re serves
` 5,00,000
=
` 5,00,000 + 18,00,000 + 5,00,000

` 5,00,000
Debt Equity Ratio = = 0.179
` 28,00,000

The ratio is less than the prescribed ratio.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 309


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Calculation of Yield on Equity Shares


Yield on equity shares is calculated at 60% of distributed profits and 10% of undistributed profits:

60% of distributed profits (60% of `2,70,000) 1,62,000


10% of undistributed profits (10% of `66,000) 6,600
1,68,600

Yield on shares ` 1,68,600


Yield on shares = 100
= = 100 9.37%
Equity share capital ` 18,00,000

Calculation of Expected Yield on Equity Shares

Normal return expected 15%


Add: Risk premium for low interest and fixed dividend coverage (3.8 < 4) 1%*
Risk for debt equity ratio not required Nil **
16%

Value of an Equity Share

Actual yield
Paid up value of share
Expected yield
9.37
= 100 = ` 58.56
16

* When interest and fixed dividend coverage is lower than the prescribed norm, the riskiness of equity investors
is high. They should claim additional risk premium over and above the normal rate of return. Hence, the
additional risk premium of 1% has been added.
** The debt equity ratio is lower than the prescribed ratio that means outside funds (Debts) are lower as compared
to shareholders funds. Therefore, the risk is less for equity shareholders. Therefore, no risk premium is required to
be added in this case.

7.3 VALUATION OF INTANGIBLES - COPYRIGHT, GOODWILL AND BRANDS

Intangible Assets
Intangible assets include a wide array of assets ranging from intellectual property rights like brand, patents and
trademarks to goodwill. The accounting standards vary across intangible assets.
In case of specifically identifiable intangibles, the cost associated with obtaining of intangibles like patents,
copyrights, trademarks, etc. can be identified
In accordance with the provisions of Ind AS 38 recognition of an item as an intangible asset requires an entity to
demonstrate that the item meets:
(a) the definition of an intangible asset as stated in paragraphs 8 to 17 of Ind AS 38 Intangible assets; and
(b) the recognition criteria as stated in paragraphs
An intangible asset shall be recognised if, and only if:

310 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


(c) it is probable that the expected future economic benefits that are attributable to the asset will flow to the
entity; and
(d) the cost of the asset can be measured reliably.
An entity shall assess the probability of expected future economic benefits using reasonable and supportable
assumptions that represent managements best estimate of the set of economic conditions that will exist over the
useful life of the asset.
An entity uses judgement to assess the degree of certainty attached to the flow of future economic benefits that
are attributable to the use of the asset on the basis of the evidence available at the time of initial recognition,
giving greater weight to external evidence.
An intangible asset shall be measured initially at cost.

Patents
A patent gives the holder the exclusive right to produce, use and sell a product or process without interference or
infringement from others.
Cost of patent: If purchased from an inventor, the cost will include the purchase price plus any legal fees to
successfully protect the patent. If any additional legal fees occur after the acquisition of a patent to successfully
defend the right of the patent should also be capitalized. The cost of a patent should be amortized over the legal
life or the useful life, whichever is shorter.
If a patent becomes worthless, the net value of the patent should be written-off as an expense or loss.
If a patent is internally developed, no cost can be capitalized. All the research and development (R&D) costs
should be expensed.
Patents and Trademarks are valued differently depending on whether they are generated internally or acquired.
When patents and trademarks are generated from internal research, the costs incurred in developing the assets
are expensed in that period, even though the asset might have a life of several accounting periods unless the
conditions prescribed under the aforesaid provisions of Ind AS 38 are satisfied. Thus, recognition of the costs of an
internally developed intangible asset in balance sheet of a company is conditional and restrictive. In contrast,
when an asset is acquired from an external party, including through merger and acquisition route, it is recognised
as an asset.
Intangible assets have to be amortized over their respective expected lives.
Copyrights
Copyright is a government granted right to authors, sculptors, painters, and other artists for their creations. A
copyright is granted for the life of the creator plus 70 years. It gives the creator and heirs an exclusive right to
reproduce and sell the artistic work or published work.
Cost of Copyright: If purchased, the cost includes the purchase price plus any legal fees. If developed by the
owner (the creator), no cost can be assigned and capitalized.
Amortization is by Straight-line method or a unit-of-production method.
Trademarks & Trade Names
Trademarks and trade names refer to a word, a phrase, or a symbol that distinguishes a product or an enterprise
from another (i.e., company names such as IBM, Microsoft, Intel, and XEROX).
Cost is similar to that of copyrights. The owner should register at the Patent Office for 10 years life. The registration
can be renewed every 10 years for unlimited times.
Amortization is over the shorter of the useful or legal life, not to exceed 40 years.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 311


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Leaseholds
By signing a contract, the lessee acquires an exclusive right to use the property. Leasehold improvements denote
the improvements made to the leased property.
Incorporation Costs
Organization costs refer to costs associated with the formation of a corporation including fees to underwriters (for
stock issuance), legal fees, promotional expenditures, etc.
Franchise & License
A franchise is a contractual agreement under which the franchiser grants the franchisee the right to sell certain
products or service or to use certain trade names or trademarks.
A license is a contractual agreement between a governmental body and a private enterprise to use public
property to provide services.
Costs should be capitalized.
Amortization is done over the shorter of the contractual life or the useful life, not to exceed 40 years.
When central or state government permits any entity to use some national property for commercial use, a
Concessional Right agreement is entered upon against certain capital fees without or without usage based fees.
For example, when radio spectrum is granted to telecom companies or any sea shore is licensed to a private
company for developing and running ports. The one-time initial fee paid upon signing the contract is recognised
as an intangible asset, and the recurring payment against usage is considered as a revenue expenditure.
Research and Development (R&D)
R&D related expenditures are expensed and disclosed, if they are incurred for internal use.
Costs of R&D performed under contracts are capitalized as inventory. Income from these contracts can be
recognized based on percentage-of completion or complete contract method as discussed for the long-term
construction contracts.
R&D expenditures include salaries of personnel involved in R&D, costs of materials used, equipments, facilities and
intangibles used in R&D activities. If equipment has an alternative usage, only the depreciation expense will be
included in the R&D expense.
Purchased R&D and Earnings Quality
When acquiring another company, the purchase price is allocated to tangible assets, intangibles (developed
technology) and in-process R&D. The remaining will be the goodwill. The in-process R&D is expensed.
The more the purchase price is assigned to the in-process R&D, the lesser will be the amount assigned to goodwill.
This strategy can reduce future goodwill amortization expense and increase future earnings.
Computer Software Costs
If the software is to be sold, most of the costs need to be expensed. Costs include designing, coding, testing,
documentation and preparation of training materials. All these costs should be expensed as R & D expenses.
Costs occurred after technological feasibility of the product is established (i.e., the costs of design to suit the needs
of customers) should be capitalized as an intangible asset.
Costs occurred after the software is ready for general release and production: These costs should be product
costs.
Goodwill Goodwill Creation
When a business is able to earn profits at a rate higher than that at which a similar business earns, the former
business is said to possess goodwill. Goodwill is, therefore, an invisible asset by the possession of which a business
can enjoy super earning. Since it is invisible the goodwill is called an in tangible asset. But since its existence can
be felt through superior earning power it is a real asset.

312 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


There are several causes for which a business may have goodwill and some of them are:
Possession of a large number of profitable contracts;
Suitable nature of the business;
Exclusive franchise;
Protected valuable patents and trademarks;
Suitable location of the business;
Ideal window dressing;
Government patronage;
Reputability, respectability and reliability of the proprietor or partners or trustees;
Special ability and skill of the persons in management, etc.
In case of transfer of business, separation of the partners from the business due to retirement, death, etc, assessment
of the value of the business for any reason, goodwill may have to be valued.
Valuation of Goodwill
There are various methods for valuation of goodwill of a business of which the following are of common use:
Few years Purchase of Average Profits Method: Under this method goodwill is valued on the basis of an agreed
number of years purchase of the average maintainable profit. The word maintainable indicates several
adjustments in respect of the factors which might have influenced abnormally the profits of the years over which
the average is taken. If in any year there is an exceptional opportunity or an exceptional expense or absence of
expense, the profit for the year has to be so adjusted as to get it free from such exceptional influences.
Sometimes instead of the simple average of the adjusted profits as discussed above, weighted average is taken
into consideration. Weights are given to each years profit on the consideration how each years profit is likely to
influence the future profit trend.
Super Profits Method: Under this method average super profit is ascertained. Goodwill is calculated at a few years
purchase of the super profit of the concern. The number of years to be taken for consideration depends upon the
nature of the business, the steady or fluctuating nature of the profit and also the nature of goodwill.
First, ascertain the average capital employed during the year. For this purpose, take the total of the closing real
assets of the concern as revalued (excluding the non-trading assets and goodwill already appearing in the
balance sheet unless such goodwill represented the payment to the vendor).
In order to find out the average capital employed it is necessary to deduct from the above the current liabilities
and 50% of the profits for the year after tax. The profit should also be excluding non-operating income, if any. The
average capital employed in this way excludes the long term loans, debentures and preference shares.
The idea of capital employed is not suitable for the purpose of valuation of goodwill of an individual company
where valuation is to be done to the advantage of the equity shareholders. In this case, from the above total
assets we deduct the current liabilities, long term loans, preference capital, etc, also 50% of the profit for the year
after excluding non-operating income and after charging interest on long term loans and debentures, preference
dividend, etc.
The average capital employed is the mean of the opening and closing capitals. As we have taken the closing net
assets which include the profits for the year it is necessary to deduct 50% of the profit in order to get the capital at
the middle of the year. If, however, the closing net assets are after the payment of dividend or after setting aside
a portion of the profit to proposed dividend account, necessary adjustments must be done so that the average
capital ascertained includes only 50% of the profit after tax.
Now we calculate the normal average annual trading profit after tax, but before charging interest on debentures
and long term loans and also preference dividend. From this average profit reasonable managerial remuneration

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 313


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

should also be deducted. The profit as obtained after the above adjustments is to be compared with the
reasonable return on the average capital employed, calculated at the rate of return earned by similar businesses.
If the former exceeds the latter the balance represents the super profit.

A few years purchase of the super profit is taken as the value of goodwill.

Annuity Method: Under this method the basis is super profit. Let us take an example:

Suppose the super profit of a concern has been calculated at `50000 and it has been considered reasonable
that 5 years purchase of the super profit approximates the value of goodwill. The contention behind this is that,
the purchaser of the business can expect to enjoy super profit of `50000 per year for the next 5 years. If this is
the contention it is not reasonable that he should pay ` (50000 5) or `250000. He should pay an amount which
will give him an annuity of `50000 over the next 5 years at the current rate of interest. This is what is known as the
annuity method of valuation of goodwill. Once the super profit is ascertained, the present value and hence the
value of goodwill can be ascertained by the following formula:-

V=a/i[1-(1+i)^-n)] ,or,

V=a/i[1-1/(1+i)^n]

Where,

V = the present value of the annuity or the value of goodwill in this case

a = the annuity or the annual super profit in this case

n = the number of years the annuity would be enjoyed

i = the rate of interest per rupee per year

Capitalization Method:

Capitalization of Average Profit: Under this method the average annual profit is to be ascertained after providing
for reasonable management remuneration. This profit should be capitalized at the rate of reasonable return to find
out the total value of business. Now the value of goodwill will be the total value of business minus its net assets. If,
however, the net asset is greater there will be no goodwill, rather there is negative goodwill.

Capitalization of Super Profit: Under this method the average super profit is capitalised at a certain rate of interest
and this capitalized amount becomes the value of goodwill.

Issues in Valuation of Intangibles:

Certain issues relating to some of the intangibles are given below:

(a) Patents: jurisdictional coverage, status of registrations, breadth of patent claims, alternatives to the patented
invention, risks of infringement and invalidity, and the possibility of blocking patents.

(b) Trade Secrets: the reasonableness and effectiveness of measures taken to ensure secrecy; the possibility that
the secret could be legitimately discovered by competitors through independent research; and if potentially
patentable, the potential benefits, costs and risk of patenting versus holding the trade secret as a trade secret.

(c) Copyrights: whether the copyright is for the original work, or for a particular derivative of it.

(d) Trademarks: Ability to be extended to related products or services without infringing on the trademarks of
others, the nature and status of any registrations, the possibility of abandonment due to non-use, and the
possibility that a mark might have become generic.

314 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 23.
The Balance Sheets of R Ltd. for the years ended on 31.3.2014, 31.3.2015 and 31.3.2016 are as follows:

Liabilities 31.3.2014 31.3.2015 31.3.2016


3,20,000 Equity Shares of `10 each fully paid 32,00,000 32,00,000 32,00,000
General Reserve 24,00,000 28,00,000 32,00,000
Profit and Loss Account 2,80,000 3,20,000 4,80,000
Creditors 12,00,000 16,00,000 20,00,000
Total 70,80,000 79,20,000 88,80,000
Assets 31.3.2014 31.3.2015 31.3.2016
Goodwill 20,00,000 16,00,000 12,00,000
Building and Machinery (Less: Depreciation) 28,00,000 32,00,000 32,00,000
Stock 20,00,000 24,00,000 28,00,000
Debtors 40,000 3,20,000 8,80,000
Bank Balance 2,40,000 4,00,000 8,00,000
Total 70,80,000 79,20,000 88,80,000

Actual valuation were as under:

Particulars 31.3.2011 31.3.2012 31.3.2013


Building and Machinery 36,00,000 40,00,000 44,00,000
Stock 24,00,000 28,00,000 32,00,000
Net Profit (including opening balance) after writing off depreciation and 8,40,000 12,40,000 16,40,000
goodwill, tax provision and transfer to General Reserve

Capital employed in the business at market values at the beginning of 2014-2015 was `73,20,000, which included
the cost of goodwill. The normal annual return on Average Capital employed in the line of business engaged by
R Ltd. is 12 %.

The balance in the General Reserve account on 1st April, 2013 was `20 lakhs.

The goodwill shown on 31.3.2014 was purchased on 1.4.2014 for `20,00,000 on which date the balance in the Profit
and Loss Account was `2,40,000. Find out the average capital employed each year.
Goodwill is to be valued at 5 years purchase of super profits (Simple average method). Also find out the total value
of the business as on 31.3.2016.
Solution:
Note:
(i) Since goodwill has been paid for, it is taken as part of capital employed. Capital employed at the end of each
year is shown.
(ii) Assumed that the building and machinery figure as revalued is after considering depreciation.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 315


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

31.3.2014 (`) 31.3.2015 (`) 31.3.2016 (`)


Goodwill 20,00,000 16,00,000 12,00,000
Building and Machinery (revalued) 36,00,000 40,00,000 44,00,000
Stock (revalued) 24,00,000 28,00,000 32,00,000
Debtors 40,000 3,20,000 8,80,000
Bank Balance 2,40,000 4,00,000 8,00,000
Total Assets 82,80,000 91,20,000 1,04,80,000
Less: Creditors 12,00,000 16,00,000 20,00,000
Closing Capital 70,80,000 75,20,000 84,80,000
Opening Capital 73,20,000 70,80,000 75,20,000
Total 1,44,00,000 1,46,00,000 1,60,00,000
Average Capital 72,00,000 73,00,000 80,00,000

Maintainable profit has to be found out after making adjustments as given below:

31.3.2014 (`) 31.3.2015 (`) 31.3.2016 (`)


Net Profit as given 8,40,000 12,40,000 16,40,000
Less: Opening Balance 2,40,000 2,80,000 3,20,000
6,00,000 9,60,000 13,20,000
Add: Under valuation of closing stock 4,00,000 4,00,000 4,00,000
10,00,000 13,60,000 17,20,000
Less: Adjustment for valuation in opening stock 4,00,000 4,00,000
10,00,000 9,60,000 13,20,000
Add: Goodwill written-off 4,00,000 4,00,000
10,00,000 13,60,000 17,20,000
Add: Transfer to Reserves 4,00,000 4,00,000 4,00,000
14,00,000 17,60,000 21,20,000
Less: 121/2% Normal Return 9,00,000 9,12,500 10,00,000
Super Profit 5,00,000 8,47,500 11,20,000

Average super profits = (`5,00,000 + `8,47,500 + `11,20,000) / 3 = 24,67,500/3 = `8,22,500


Goodwill = 5 years purchase = `8,22,500 x 5 = `41,12,500.

Total Net Assets (31/3/2016) `84,80,000


Less: Goodwill `12,00,000
`72,80,000
Add: Goodwill `41,12,500
Value of Business `1,13,92,500

316 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 24.
Find out the average capital employed of ND Ltd. From its Balance Sheet as at 31st March, 2016:

Equity and Liability ` in Lakh Assets ` in Lakh


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 50.00 (i) Tangible Assets:
(ii)9% Preference Shares fully paid up 10.00 Land and Building 25.00
(b) Reserve & Surplus Plant and Machinery 80.25
(i) General Reserve 12.00 Furniture and Fixtures 5.50
(ii) Profit & Loss Account 20.00 Vehicles 5.00
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (b) Non-Current Investments 10.00
Long Term Borrowings (c) Other Non-Current Assets
(i) 16% Debentures 5.00 Preliminary Expenses 0.50
(ii) 16% Term Loam 18.00 (2) Current Assets:
(iii) Cash Credit 13.30 (a) Inventories 6.75
(3) Current Liabilities: (b) Trade Receivables
(a) Trade Payables - Sundry Creditors 2.70 Sundry Debtors 4.90
(b) Short Term Provision (c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 10.40
Provision for Taxation (Net) 6.40
Proposed Dividend
Equity Shares 10.00
Preference Shares 0.90
Total 148.30 Total 148.30

Non-trade investments were 20% of the total investments.


Balances as on 1.4.2015 to the following accounts were:
Profit and Loss account `8.70 lakhs, General reserve `6.50 lakhs.

Solution:
Computation of Average Capital employed
(` in Lakhs)

Total Assets as per Balance Sheet 148.30


Less: Preliminary Expenses 0.50
Non-trade investments (20% of ` 10 lakhs) 2.00
145.80
Less: Outside Liabilities:
16% Debentures 5.00
16% Term Loan 18.00
Cash Credit 13.30
Sundry Creditors 2.70

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 317


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Provision for Taxation 6.40 45.40


Closing Capital Employed 100.40
Capital Employed as on 31.03.2016
Less: of profit earned:
Increase in reserve balance 5.50
Increase in Profit & Loss A/c 11.30
Proposed Dividend 10.90
Profit earned during the year 27.70
50% of Profit earned during the year i.e. 27.70 x 13.85
Average capital employed 86.55

Illustration 25.
Negotiation is going on for transfer of A Ltd. on the basis of Balance Sheet and the additional information as given
below:
Balance Sheet of A Ltd.
As on 31st March 2016

Equity and Liability ` in Lakh Assets ` in Lakh


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 10,00,000 (i) Tangible Land and Building 3,00,000
(b) Reserve & Surplus 4,00,000 Plant and Machinery 8,00,000
(2) Current Liabilities: (ii) Intangible - Goodwill 1,00,000
(a) Trade Payables - Sundry Creditors 3,00,000 (b) Non-Current Investments 1,00,000
(2) Current Assets:
(a) Inventories 2,00,000
(b) Trade Receivables Debtors 1,50,000
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 50,000
Total 17,00,000 Total 17,00,000

Profit before tax for 2015-16 amounted to `6,00,000 including `10,000 as interest on investment. However, an
additional amount of `50,000 p.a. shall be required to be spent for smooth running of the business.
Market value of land & building and plant & machinery are estimated at `9,00,000 and `10,00,000 respectively. In
order to match the above figures further depreciation to the extent of `40,000 should be taken into consideration.
Income tax rate may be taken at 30%. Return on capital at the rate of 20% before tax may be considered as
normal for this business for the present stage.
For the purpose of determining the rate of return, profit for this year after the aforesaid adjustments may be taken
as expected average profit. Similarly, average trading capital employed is also to be considered on the basis of
position in this year.
It has been agreed that a three years purchase of supper profit shall be taken as the value of goodwill for the
purpose of the deal.
You are requested to calculate the value of the goodwill for the company.

318 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
Valuation of goodwill

Capital employed on 31st March, 2016 (Amount in `)


Land & Building 9,00,000
Plant & machinery 10,00,000
Stock 2,00,000
Debtors 1,50,000
Cash & bank 50,000
Less: Sundry creditors 3,00,000
20,00,000
Average maintainable trading profit for the year ending 31st March, 2016
Net profit before tax 6,00,000
Less: Additional depreciation 40,000
Less: additional recurring expenses 50,000
Less: Non-operating income (interest on investment) 10,000 1,00,000
5,00,000
Less: Provision for taxation @30% of ` 540000 1,62,000
3,38,000
Average trading capital employed
Closing capital employed 20,00,000
Less: 50% of average maintainable trading profit after tax 1,69,000
18,31,000
Super Profit
Average maintainable operating profit 3,38,000
Less: Normal profit 14% of capital employed ` 1831000 2,56,000

Valuation of goodwill
Super profits 81,660
Goodwill at 3 years purchase of super profits 2,44,980

Note:
1. It has been assumed that additional depreciation arising out of revaluation of assets is not deductible for
calculating provision for taxation.
2. Since tax rate is 30% and normal pre-tax rate being 20% the after tax normal rate of return will be 14%.

Illustration 26.
Marico Ltd. acquired 100% of Sun Ltd. for ` 2,000 (lacs). As on the date of acquisition, the net assets of Marico Ltd.
were:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 319


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

(` in lacs)

Tangible fixed assets 500


Brand (valued by management) 120
Net current assets 380
Compute goodwill on acquisition under the following situation:
(i) Ignore brand value.
(ii) Consider brand value.

Solution:
(i) If brand value is ignored

Purchase consideration 2000


Less: net assets acquired (500+380) 880
Goodwill 1120

(ii) If brand value is considered

Purchase consideration 2000


Less: Net assets acquired (500 + 120 + 380) 1000
Goodwill 1000
In first case above goodwill includes brand, in second case brand has been recognized separately.
In India no company has so far attempted to recognize brand separately from goodwill on acquisition. This is
because of two reasons:
(a) Difficulty in measuring brand; and
(b) Absence of statutory or regulatory requirement to recognize brand separately from goodwill.
But with the growing importance of brand both nationally and internationally, many multinational companies
started recognizing brand separately.

Illustration 27.
Given below is the Balance Sheet of Sandip Ltd as on 31.03.2016 (` Lakhs)

Equity and Liability ` in lakhs Assets ` in lakhs


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets 72.00
Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 50.00 (b) Non-Current Investments (Non Trade) 12.00
(b) Reserve & Surplus (2) Current Assets:
(ii) Reserve 32.00 (a) Inventories 7.80
(ii) P&L Account 3.00 (b) Trade Receivables Sundry Debtors 6.20
(2) Current Liabilities: (c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 5.20
(a) Trade Payables - Sundry Creditors 8.20
(b) Short Term Provision - Proposed 10.00
Dividend
Total 103.20 Total 103.20

320 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Other Information:
1. Profit Before Tax and Other relevant information: (` Lakhs)

Year Profit Before Tax Provision for Gratuity required Gratuity Paid Loss of uninsured stock
2012 42.00 2.20 -- --
2013 39.00 2.30 1.67 0.62
2014 44.00 2.50 0.32 --
2015 42.00 2.60 1.42 --
2016 37.00 2.70 0.12 --
2. Past Tax rate is 51% while Expected Tax Rate is 45%.
3. The Company wants to switch over towards maintaining gratuity provision on actuarial calculation rather than
accounting on payment basis. The Companys Non- Trade Investments fetched 11%.
Find out value of Goodwill. It may be assumed that Super Profit, if any, is maintainable for 5 years. 18% should be
the appropriate discount factor. Normal Rate of Return may be taken as 15%.
Solution:
1. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits (` Lakhs)

Particulars 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016


Profit Before Tax 42.00 39.00 44.00 42.00 37.00
Less: Provision for Gratuity (2.20) (2.30) (2.50) (2.60) (2.70)
Add: Gratuity Paid 1.67 0.32 1.42 0.12
Add: Abnormal Loss 0.62
Adjusted Profits 39.80 38.99 41.82 40.82 34.42
Simple Average Profit (See Note below) (39.80 + 38.99 + 41.82 + 40.82 + 34.42)5 39.17
Less : Income from Non-Trade Investments at 11% of `12 Lakhs (1.32)
Adjusted Profit before Tax = Future Maintainable PBT 37.85
Less : Tax Expense at 45% (17.03)
Adjusted Profit After Tax = Future Maintainable PAT 20.82

Note: Since Profits show an oscillating trend, Simple Average Profit shall be more appropriate than Weighted
Average or Trend Equation Methods.
2. Computation of Average Capital Employed

Particulars ` Lakhs
Total of Assets as per Balance Sheet 103.20
Less: Non- Trade Investments and Sundry Creditors (12.00 +8.20) (20.20)
Closing Capital Employed 83.00
Less: 50% of Profit After Tax earned in 2016 as per Books
PAT = PBT less Tax at 51% = 37.00 Less 51% thereon = `18.13 Lakhs 18.13
50% of the above PAT for the year (9.07)
Average Capital Employed 73.93

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 321


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

3. Computation of Goodwill
(a) Capitalization Method:

(` Lakhs)
Expected Capital (Future Maintainable Profit NRR) =`20.82 Lakhs 15% 138.80
Less: Closing Capital Employed Less Proposed Dividend = 83.00-10.00 73.00
Goodwill using Capitalization Method 65.80

(b) Super Profit Method:

(` Lakhs)
Future Maintainable Profit 20.82
Less: Normal Profit at 15% Average Capital Employed (15% of `73.93 Lakhs) 11.09
Super Profits 9.73
Goodwill at 5 years purchase of Super Profits 48.65

Note: Alternatively Normal Profit can be computed based on Closing Capital Employed
(c) Annuity Method:

(` Lakhs)
Super Profits 9.73
Annuity Factor for 5 years at 18% 3.127
Goodwill using Annuity Method 30.43

Note and Assumptions:


1. Under Capitalization Method, Closing Capital is considered, whereas under Super Profit Method, Average
Capital Employed is considered for calculating Normal Profits.
2. Discount Rate and Normal Rate of Return given above are after tax rates.

Illustration 28.
The following are the summarized Balance Sheets of two Companies, R Ltd and S Ltd as on 31.03.2016

Equity and Liability R Ltd S Ltd Assets R Ltd S Ltd


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
Equity Share Capital of `10 15,00,000 10,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets: 17,00,000 14,00,000
each
(b) Reserve & Surplus (i) Intangible Assets:
Reserve 3,00,000 2,00,000 Goodwill 2,00,000 1,00,000
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (2) Current Assets: 8,00,000 6,00,000
Long Term Borrowings
- 10% Debentures 6,00,000 4,00,000
(3) Current Liabilities:
Trade Payables
- Sundry Creditors 3,00,000 5,00,000

322 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Total 27,00,000 21,00,000 Total 27,00,000 21,00,000
Additional Information:
1. Assets are to be revalued as follows

Particulars R Ltd S Ltd


Revaluation of Tangible Block 21,00,000 12,00,000
Revaluation of Current Assets 10,00,000 4,00,000
2. Average Annual Profits for three years before charging Debenture Interest = R Ltd `4,50,000; S Ltd `3,10,000.
3. Goodwill is to be valued at three years purchase of Average Super Profits for three years. Such average is to
be calculated after adjustment of depreciation at 10% on the amount of increase/decrease on revaluation
of fixed assets. In the case of S Ltd, claim of `10,000 which was omitted, is to be adjusted against its average
profit. Income tax is to be ignored.
4. Normal profit on Capital Employed is to be taken at 12%, capital employed being considered on the basis of
net revalued amount of tangible assets.
Ascertain the value of Goodwill of R Ltd and S Ltd.

Solution:
1. Computation of Capital Employed

Particulars R Ltd S Ltd


Revaluation of Tangible Block 21,00,000 12,00,000
Revaluation of Current Assets 10,00,000 4,00,000
Creditors (3,00,000) (5,00,000)
10% Debentures (6,00,000) (4,00,000)
Claim/ Expenses not recorded -- (10,000)
Equity Capital Employed 22,00,000 6,90,000
Normal Profits (12% Capital Employed) 2,64,000 82,800

Note: Equity Capital Employed and Equity Earnings are considered for purpose of determining Goodwill, since
Goodwill is monetary value of residual business advantage, which includes, among many things, advantages of
gearing as well.
2. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits

Particulars R Ltd S Ltd


Average Profits as Given 4,50,000 3,10,000
Less: Interest on Debentures [6,00,000 x 10%/4,00,000 x 10%] (60,000) (40,000)
Less: Claim / Expenses not recorded -- (10,000)
Less: Depreciation on Increase in Value of Fixed Assets [(21L 17L) x 10%] (40,000) --
Add: Depreciation on Decrease in value of Fixed Assets [(14 L- 12L) x 10%] -- 20,000
Equity Earnings = Future Maintainable Profits 3,50,000 2,80,000

3. Computation of Goodwill

Particulars R Ltd S Ltd


Future Maintainable Profits 3,50,000 2,80,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 323


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Less: Normal Profits (2,64,000) (82,800)


Super Profits 86,000 1,97,200
Goodwill (Super Profits 3 years) 2,58,000 5,91,600

Illustration 29.
On the basis of the following information, calculate the value of goodwill of Gee Ltd. at three years purchase of
super profits, if any, earned by the company in the previous four completed accounting years.
Balance Sheet of Gee Ltd. as at 31st March, 2016

Equity and Liability ` in Lakhs Assets ` in Lakhs


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 50,000 (i) Tangible Assets:
(b) Reserve & Surplus Land and Building 1,850
(i) Capital Reserve 260 Plant and Machinery 3,760
(ii) General Reserve 2,543 Furniture and Fixtures 1,015
(iii) Surplus i.e., credit balance of Profit 477 (i) Intangible Assets:
and Loss (appropriation) A/c
(2) Current Liabilities: Goodwill 310
(a) Trade Payables - Sundry Creditors 568 Patent and Trade Marks 32
(b) Short Term Provision (b) Non-Current Investments
Provision for Taxation (Net) 750 9% Non Trade Investment 600
Proposed Dividend (2014 - 2015) 22 (c) Other Non-Current Assets
Preliminary Expenses 20
(2) Current Assets:
(a) Inventories 873
(b) Trade Receivables
Sundry Debtors 614
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 546
Total 9,620 Total 9,620

The profits before tax of the four years have been as follows:

Year ended 31st March Profit before tax ` in lakhs


2012 3,190
2013 2,500
2014 3,108
2015 2,900

The rate of income tax for the accounting year 2011-12 was 40%. Thereafter it has been 38% for all the years so far.
But for the accounting year 2015-2016 it will be 35%.
In the accounting year 2011-2012, the company earned an extraordinary income of `1 crore due to a special
foreign contract. In August, 2012 there was an earthquake due to which the company lost property worth ` 50
lakhs and the insurance policy did not cover the loss due to earthquake or riots.
9% Non-trading investments appearing in the above mentioned Balance Sheet were purchased at par by the
company on 1st April, 2013.

324 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


The normal rate of return for the industry in which the company is engaged is 20%. Also note that the companys
shareholders, in their general meeting have passed a resolution sanctioning the directors an additional remuneration
of `50 lakhs every year beginning from the accounting year 2015-2016.
Solution:
(1) Capital employed as on 31st March, 2016 Refer to Note)

Particulars ` in lakhs ` in lakhs


Land and Buildings 1,850
Plant and Machinery 3,760
Furniture and Fixtures 1,015
Patents and Trade Marks 32
Stock 873
Debtors 614
Cash and Cash Equivalents 546
8,690
Less: Trade creditors 568
Provision for taxation (net) 22 590
8100
(2) Future maintainable profit (` in lakhs)

2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015


Profit before tax 3,190 2,500 3,108 2,900
Less: Extra-ordinary income due to foreign control 100
Add: Loss due to earthquake 50
Less: Income from non-trading investment 54 54
3,090 2,550 3,054 2,846
As there is no trend, simple average profits will be considered for calculation of goodwill.
Total adjusted trading profits for the last four years = ` (3,090 + 2,550 + 3,054 + 2,846) = `11,540 lakhs

` in lakhs
2,885
` 11,540 lakhs
Average trading profit before tax =
4
Less: Additional remuneration to directors 50
Less: Income tax @ 35% (approx.) 992 (Approx)
1,843
(3) Valuation of goodwill on super profits basis

Future maintainable profits 1,843


Less: Normal profits (20% of ` 8,100 lakhs) 1,620
Super Profits 223
Goodwill at 3 years purchase of super profits = 3 ` 223 lakhs = ` 669 lakhs
Note:
In the above solution, goodwill has been calculated on the basis of closing capital employed (i.e. on 3st March,
2016). Goodwill should be calculated on the basis of average capital employed and not actual capital

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 325


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

employed as no trend is being observed in the previous years profits. The average capital employed cannot be
calculated in the absence of details about profits for the year ended 31st March, 2016. Since the current years
profit has not been given in the question, goodwill has been calculated on the basis of capital employed as on
31st March, 2016.
Illustration 30.
The following Balance Sheet of X Ltd. is given:
Balance Sheet of X Ltd. as on 31st March, 2016

Equity and Liability ` in lakhs Assets ` in lakhs


(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 50,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets
(b) Reserve & Surplus Land and Building 32,00,000
P&L Appropriation Account 21,20,000 Plant and Machinery 28,00,000
(2) Current Liabilities: (ii) Intangible Assets:
(a) Short Term Borrowings - Bank O/D 18,60,000 Goodwill 4,00,000
(b) Trade Payables - Sundry Creditors 21,10,000 (2) Current Assets:
(c) Short Term Provision - Provision for 5,10,000 (a) Inventories 32,00,000
Taxation
(b)Trade Receivables Sundry Debtors 20,00,000
Total 1,16,00,000 Total 1,16,00,000

In 1993 when the company commenced operation the paid up capital was same. The Loss/Profit for each of the
last 5 years was - years 2011-2012 - Loss (`5,50,000); 2012-2013 `9,82,000; 2013-2014 `11,70,000; 2014-2015 `14,50,000;
2015-2016 `17,00,000;
Although income-tax has so far been paid @ 40% and the above profits have been arrived at on the basis of such
tax rate, it has been decided that with effect from the year 2015-2016 the Income-tax rate of 45% should be taken
into consideration. 10% dividend in 2012-2013 and 2013-2014 and 15% dividend in 2014-2015 and 2015-2016 have
been paid. Market price of shares of the company on 31st March, 2016 is `125. With effect from 1st April, 2016
Managing Directors remuneration has been approved by the Government to be `8,00,000 in place of `6,00,000.
The company has been able to secure a contract for supply of materials at advantageous prices. The advantage
has been valued at `4,00,000 per annum for the next five years.
Ascertain goodwill at 3 years purchase of super profit (for calculation of future maintainable profit weighted
average is to be taken).

Solution:
(I) Future Maintainable Profit

Year Profit (P) ` Weight (W) Product (PW) `


2012-2013 9,82,000 1 9,82,000
2013-2014 11,70,000 2 23,40,000
2014-2015 14,50,000 3 43,50,000
2015-2016 17,00,000 4 68,00,000
10 1,44,72,000

326 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Weighted average annual profit (after tax) =
PW =` 1,44,72,000 = ` 14,47,200
W 10

24,12,000
100
Weighted average annual profit before tax = ` 14,47,200
60
Less: Increase in Managing Directors remuneration 2,00,000
22,12,000
Add: Saving in cost of materials 4,00,000
26,12,000
Less: Taxation @ 45% 11,75,400
Future maintainable profit 14,36,600

(ii) Average Capital Employed

` `
Assets:
Land and Buildings 32,00,000
Plant and Machinery 28,00,000
Stock 32,00,000
Sundry Debtors 20,00,000
1,12,00,000
Less: Outside liabilities:
Bank overdraft 18,60,000
Creditors 21,10,000
Provision for taxation 5,10,000 44,80,000
Capital employed at the end of the year 67,20,000
Add: Dividend @ 15% paid during the year 7,50,000
74,70,000
Less: Half of the profit (after tax) for the year i.e. ` 17,00,000 x 8,50,000
66,20,000

(iii) Normal Profit

10 + 10 + 15 + 15
Average dividend for the last 4 years = 12.5%
4

Market price of share = `125

12.5
Normal rate of return = 100 = 10%
125

Normal profit (10% of `66,20,000) = ` 6,62,000


(iv) Valuation of goodwill

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 327


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

`
Future maintainable profit 14,36,600
Less: Normal profit 6,62,000
Super profit 7,74,600
Goodwill at 3 years purchase of super profits (`7,74,600 x 3) 23,23,800

Illustration 31.
Given below is the Balance Sheet as on 31st March of Khan Limited for the past three years. (Amount in ` 000s)

Equity and Liability 2013 2014 2015 Assets 2013 2014 2015
(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital 500 600 700 Fixed Assets
(b) Reserve & Surplus (i) Tangible Assets:
(i) General Reserve 100 150 150 Gross Block 1,500 1,700 1,900
(ii) Profit & Loss Account 100 150 --- Less: Depreciation 400 500 650
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: Net Block 1,100 1,200 1,250
Long Term Borrowings (2) Current Assets:
- 12% Debentures 400 600 700 (a) Inventories 250 450 500
(3) Current Liabilities: (b) Trade Receivables
(a) Short Term Borrowings Sundry Debtors 200 350 400
- Bank O/D 200 250 300 (c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 25 120 100
(b) Trade Payables
Sundry Creditors 100 200 400
(c) Short Term Provision
Provision for Taxation 100 50 ---
Proposed Dividend 75 120 ---
Total 1,575 2,120 2,250 Total 1,575 2,120 2,250

The Company is going to sell its losing division for `5,00,000. This division caused cash loss to the extent of
`1,00,00 in 2014-15.
It has planned to buy a running factory for `7,50,000. This new addition is expected to produce 20% return
before charging depreciation and interest.
Excess amount required of the acquisition of the new factory will be taken at 16%p.a. from an Industrial Bank.
The Company decided to calculate Goodwill considering the following
1. The Company decided to calculate Goodwill on the basis of excess cash earnings for 5 years.
2. 10% Discount Rate shall be used.
3. Goodwill will be calculated by taking cash return on capital employed. For this purpose, Weighted Average
Cash Return may be computed for the years 2013 2014, 20142015 and 2015 2016 where as Capital
Employed on 31.03.2015 may be taken up with suitable changes for replacements.
4. The industry, to which the Company belongs, returns cash at 4% of the investment.
Present Value of `1 at 10% for 5 years is 3.7908. You are asked to Value its Goodwill.

Solution:

328 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


1. Computation of Cash Earnings for the past years (` 000s)

Particulars 2013-14 2014-15


Retained Earnings (Closing Less Opening) 50 (150)
Add: Appropriation to General Reserve (Closing Less Opening) 50 --
Proposed Dividend 120 --
Provision for Tax made during the year 50 --
Current Year Profit / (Loss) 270 (150)
Add: Depreciation (Closing Accumulated Depreciation Less Opening) 100 150
Operating Profit Before Working Capital Changes 370 --
Adjustment for Working Capital Items:
Stock (200) (50)
Sundry Debtors (150) (50)
Creditors 100 200
Previous Year Tax Liability Paid in Current Year (100) (50)
Cash Generated from Operating Activities 20 50

2. Computation of Projected Cash Earnings

Particulars ` 000s
Cash Earnings for Financial Year 2014-15 50
Add: Cash Loss pertaining to Division sold 100
Add: Cash earnings from New Division (`7,50,000 x 20%) 150
Less : Interest on Loan from Industrial Bank (7,50,000 5,00,000) x 16% (40)
Projected Cash Earnings 260

3. Computation of Average Maintainable Profits (`000s)

Year Cash Earnings Weights Product


2013-2014 20 1 20
2014-2015 50 2 100
2015-2016 260 3 780
Total 6 900
Weighted Average 900 6 150

4. Computation of Capital Employed

Particulars ` 000s ` 000s


Total Assets as at 31.03.2015 2,250
Less: Debentures (700)
Bank Overdraft (300)
Sundry Creditors (400) 850
Sale of Old Division:
Sale Consideration 500
Less: Net Assets Transferred (assumed to be taken at Book Value) (500) Nil
Purchase of New Division:
Cost of Purchase 750

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 329


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Less: Cash Outflow (500)


Bank Borrowings (250) Nil
Capital Employed on Replacement 850


5. Computation of Excess Cash Earning and Goodwill

Particulars ` 000s
Future Maintainable Cash Earnings 150
Less: Normal Rate of Cash Return at 4% of Capital Employed (`850 4%) 34
Excess Cash Earnings (Future Maintainable Cash Earnings NRR) 116
Goodwill = Excess Cash Earnings x Annuity Factor for 5 years at 10% = `1,16,000 3.7908 440

Illustration 32.
Given (a) Future maintainable Profit before Interest = `125 Lakhs; (b) Normal Rate of Return on Long Term Funds
is 19% and on Equity Funds is 24%; (c) Long Term Funds of the Company is `320 Lakhs of which Equity Funds is `210
Lakhs; (d) Interest on Loan Fund is 18%. Find out leverage effect on Goodwill if tax rate = 30%.
Solution:
1. Long Term Loan Funds = Total Long term Funds Less Equity Funds = 320 210 = `110 Lakhs.
Interest at 18% thereon = `110 Lakhs 18% = `19.80 Lakhs.
2. Computation of Future Maintainable Profit (` Lakhs)

Particulars Owners Funds Total Funds


Profit Before Interest 125.00 125.00
Less: Interest on Long Loans 19.80 N.A
Future maintainable Profit before Tax 105.20 125.00
Less: Tax Expense at 30% 31.56 37.50
Future Maintainable Profits after Tax 73.64 87.50

3. Computation of Goodwill under different approaches (` Lakhs)

Particulars Owners Funds Total Funds


(a) Future Maintainable Profits after Tax 73.64 87.50
(b) Normal Rate of Return 24% 19%
(c ) Normal Capital Employed = (ab) 306.83 460.52
(d) Actual Capital Employed (given) 210.00 320.00
(e) Goodwill = (c d) 96.83 140.52

Hence, Leverage Effect on Goodwill = `140.52 - `96.83 = `43.69 Lakhs

Illustration 33.
Super Cars Ltd., is engaged in the business of manufacture of electric Passenger Cars. The Company requires
you to determine the value of its goodwill also showing the leverage effect on goodwill. Its Balance Sheet is as on
31.03.2016 is as under

330 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Equity and Liability (` Lakhs) Assets (` Lakhs)
(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
Equity Share Capital of ` 10 each 1,500 (i) Tangible Assets:
(b) Reserve & Surplus Gross 1,500
(i) General Reserve 500 Less: Depreciation 500 1,000
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (b) Non-Current Investments
Long Term Borrowings Trade 300
- 12% Term Loan from Bank 500 Non-Trade 90
(3) Current Liabilities: (2) Current Assets:
(a) Trade Payables - Sundry Creditors 210 (a) Inventories 350
(b) Short Term Provision (b) Trade Receivables
(i) Provision for Taxation 10 Overseas Debtors (1$ = `42) 420
(ii) Proposed Dividend 140 Sundry Debtors 400
(c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 300
Total 2,860 Total 2,860

Additional Information:
1. The closing exchange rate for the U.S. dollar was INR 48. Income from Non- trade Investments was a loss for the
year ended 31.03.2016 owing to write down of cost of acquisition by 4%. There was no other transaction under
Non-trade Investments during the year.
2. Current Year Depreciation changed on Historical Cost was `100 Lakhs. Current Cost of Fixed Assets is determined
at `2,000 Lakhs.
3. While Current Cost of Closing Stock is `367 Lakhs, that of the Opening Stock was `200 lakhs against its Historical
Cost of `148 Lakhs. The Market Value of Non- Trade Investments at the yearend was `300 lakhs. The Overseas
debtors made settlements in U.S.$ only.
4. The Industry Average rate of return on current cost of capital employed is 12% on long term debt and 15%
on equity. The opening balance in General Reserve was `150 Lakhs. While prevailing tax rate is 30% such is
expected to decline by 5%.
Using the above information you are required to arrive at value of the goodwill of the company under equity and
long-term fund approached and also show the leverage effect on goodwill.

Solution:
1. Computation of Additional Depreciation Required

Particulars ` Lakhs
Calculation of Depreciation Rate:
Book Value as on 31.03.2016 1,000
Add: Depreciation for 2015-16 100
Book Value as on 1.4.2015 1,100
Therefore, Depreciation Rate = Current Depreciation Opening bal.= 1001,100 9.09%
Calculation of Extra Depreciation on Sundry Fixed Assets:
Current Cost of Sundry Fixed Assets as on 1.4.2015 2,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 331


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Depreciation on Current Cost of Fixed Assets = `2,000 x9.09% 181.80


Less: Depreciation already provided in the books (100.00)
Extra Depreciation to be provided 81.80

Note: It is assumed that the Company charges WDV method of depreciation Alternatively, Depreciation Rate can
be determined based on SLM i.e. on Gross Value. [`100/1500= 6.67%]
2. Computation of Foreign Exchange Gain

Dollar Value of Debtors (`420.00 Lakhs `42.00) $10.00 Lakhs


Exchange Gain [$10.00 Lakhs (`48.00 42.00)] `60 Lakhs
Adjustment in Provision for Tax [ 30% of `60.00 Lakhs] (Additional Provision) `18 Lakhs
3. Computation of Future Maintainable Profits

Particulars (` Lakhs)
Profits for the year 2015-16:
Increase in Reserves [`500 Lakhs - `150 Lakhs] 350.00
Proposed Dividend 140.00 490.00

` 490.00 lakhs 210.00


Add back: Tax = Tax Rate of 30%)]
100% Tax Rate of 30%
Profit Before tax 700.00
Add: Forex Gain on Foreign Currency Debtors (See WN 2) 60.00
Add: Loss from Non- Trade Investments (`300 Lakhs 4/96) 12.50
Less: Extra Depreciation Required (See WN 1) (81.80)
Add: Adjustment for Current Cost of Closing Stock (`367 - `350) 17.00
Less: Adjustment for Current Cost of Opening Stock (`200 - `148) (52.00)
Future Maintainable Profit Before Tax 655.70
Less: Future Tax Expense at 25% (`655.70 25%) (163.93)
Future maintainable Profit After Tax 491.77
Add: Interest on Long Term Loan (after considering tax) `500 12% (100% 25%) 45.00
Future Maintainable Profit After Tax Before Interest 536.77
Therefore, Future Maintainable Profit on:
(a) Long Term Capital Employed (including Long term Loans) is `536.77 Lakhs
(b) Net Worth (Shareholders Funds) is `491.77 Lakhs
4. Computation of Capital Employed

Particulars ` `
Fixed Assets (1,000 + Revaluation Gain 1,000 Addl. Depreciation `81.80) 1,918.20
Investments Trade 90.00
Overseas Debtors ($ 10.00 Lakhs x ` 48) 480.00
Indian Debtors 400.00
Stock in Trade at Current Cost 367.00
Cash and Bank Balances 300.00
Current Cost of Total Assets 3,555.20
Less: Outside Liabilities:

332 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Sundry Creditors 210.00
Provision for Taxation [ 10.00 + Additional for Exchange Rate Difference 18.00] 28.00
Proposed Dividend (See Note) 140.00 (378.00)
Capital Employed (Total Long Term Funds) 3,177.20
Less: 12% Term Loan 500.00
Equity Capital Employed 2,677.20

Note: Since the Proxy Capital Employed is based on Closing Balances, proposed dividend is treated as a liability.
This is because, such funds will not stand invested in the business in the future, but distributed in the immediate
future. Adjustments for Exchange Rate differences are assumed to be tax deductible.
5. Computation of Goodwill using different approaches

Particulars Owners funds Total Funds


a. Future Maintainable Profits 491.77 536.77
b. Normal Rate of Return 15% 12%
c. Capitalized Value of Future Maintainable Profits (a b) 3,278.47 4,473.08
d. Capital Employed 2,677.20 3,177.20
e. Goodwill (c-d) 601.27 1,295.88

6. Leverage Effect on Goodwill


Goodwill computed using Equity Fund Concept (`601.27 Lakhs), is low when compared to the Goodwill as
computed using Total Long Term Funds Concept (`1,295.88 Lakhs)
Leverage Effect on Goodwill = `1,295.88 - `601.27 = `694.61

Illustration 34.
The following is the extract from the Balance Sheets of Popular Ltd.:

Equity and Liability As at As at Assets As at As at


31/03/15 31/03/16 31/03/15 31/03/16
(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-Current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets 550 650
Equity Share Capital of ` 500 500 (b) Non-Current Investments
10 each
(b) Reserve & Surplus 10% Investment 250 250
(i) General Reserve 400 425 (2) Current Assets:
(ii) Profit & Loss Account 50 80 (a) Inventories 260 300
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (b) Trade Receivables
Long Term Borrowings Sundry Debtors 170 110
(i) 18% Debentures 180 165 (c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 46 43
(3) Current Liabilities:
(a) Trade Payables - Sundry 35 45
Creditors
(b) Short Term Provision
Provision for Taxation 11 13

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 333


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Proposed Dividend 100 125


Total 1,276 1,353 Total 1,276 1,353

Additional information:
(i) Replacement values of Fixed assets were `1,100 lakhs on 31.3.15 and `1,250 lakhs on 31.3.2016 respectively.
(ii) Rate of depreciation adopted on Fixed Assets was 5% p.a.
(iii) 50% of the stock is to be valued at 120% of its book value,
(iv) 50% of investments were trade investments.
(v) Debtors on 31st March, 2016 included foreign debtors of $35,000 recorded in the books at `35 per U.S. Dollar.
The closing exchange rate was $1= `39.
(vi) Creditors on 31st March, 2016 included foreign creditors of $60,000 recorded in the books at $1 = `33. The
closing exchange rate was $1 = `39.
(vii) Profits for the year 2015-16 included `60 lakhs of government subsidy which was not likely to recur.
(viii)`125 lakhs of Research and Development expenditure was written off to the Profit and Loss Account in the
current year. This expenditure was not likely to recur.
(ix) Future maintainable profits (pre-tax) are likely to be higher by 10%.
(x) Tax rate during 2015-16 was 50%, effective future tax rate will be 40%.
(xi) Normal rate of return expected is 15%.
One of the directors of the company Sherjahan, fears that the company does not enjoy a goodwill in the prevalent
market circumstances.
Critically examine this and establish whether Popular Ltd. has or has not any goodwill.
If your answers were positive on the existence of goodwill, show the leverage effect it has on the companys result.
Industry average return was 12% on long-term funds and 15% on equity funds.
Solution:
1. Future Maintainable Profit
Particulars ` in Lakhs
Increase in General Reserve 25
Increase in Profit and Loss Account 30
Proposed Dividends 125
Profit After Tax 180

180 360
Pre-Tax Profit =
1 0.5
Less: Non-Trading investment income (10% of `125) 12.50
Subsidy 60.00
Exchange Loss on creditors [$ 0.6 lakhs x (` 39 - `33)] 3.60
Additional Depredation on increase in value of Fixed Assets (current year) 30.00 106.10

5
1250-650 = 1250 650 = 600 i.e.,
100
253.90

334 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Add: Exchange Gain on Debtors [$ 0.35 lakhs x (`39 - `35)] 1.40
Research and development expenses written off 125.00
Stock Adjustment (30-26) 4.00 130.40
384.30
Add: Expected increase of 10% 38.43
Future Maintainable Profit before Tax 422.73
Less: Tax @ 40% (40% of `422.73) 169.09
Future Maintainable Profit 253.64
2. Calculation of Capital employed (CE)

Particulars ` in Lakhs
As on 31.3.15 As on 31.3.16
Replacement Cost of Fixed Assets 1100.00 1250.00
Trade Investment (50%) 125.00 125.00
Current cost of stock

120 286.00
130 + 130
100

120 330.00
150 + 150
100
Debtors 170.00 111.40
Cash-at-Bank 46.00 43.00
Total (A) 1727.00 1859.40
Less: Outside Liabilities
18% term loan 180.00 165.00
Sundry creditors 35.00 48.60
Provision for tax 11.00 13.00
Total (B) 226.00 226.60
Capital employed (A B) 1501.00 1632.80

Average Capital employed at current value = CE as on 31.03.2015 + CE as on 31.03.2016


2

1501+ 1632.80 = 1566.90 Lakhs*


=
2
* Average capital employed can also be calculated in the following manner:

Closing capital employed as on 31.3.2016 `1,632.80 lakhs


Less: of actual post tax profit for 2013-2016 `90.00 lakhs
Average capital employed `1,542.80 lakhs

3. Valuation of Goodwill
(i) According to Capitalisation of Future Maintainable Profit Method

` in lakhs

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 335


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

253.64 1690.93
Capitalised value of Future Maintainable=
Profit 100
15
Less: Average capital employed 1566.90
Value of Goodwill 124.03

Or

(ii) According to Capitalisation of Super Profit Method

` in lakhs
Future Maintainable Profit 253.64
Less: Normal Profit @15% on average capital employed (1566.90 x 15%) 235.03
Super Profit 18.61
Capitalised value of super profit i.e., Goodwill 124.06

Goodwill exists; hence directors fear is not valid.


Leverage Effect on Goodwill

` in lakhs ` in lakhs
Future Maintainable Profit on equity fund 253.64
Future Maintainable Profit on Long-term Trading Capital employed
Future Maintainable Profit After Tax 253.64

50 14.85 268.49
Add: Interest on Long-term Loan (Term Loan) (After considering Tax) 165 18% = 29.7
100
Average capital employed (Equity approach) 1,566.90
Add 18% Term Loan (180+165)/2 172.50
Average capital employed (Long-term Fund approach) 1739.40

Value of Goodwill

(A) Equity Approach ` in lakhs ` in lakhs

253.64 1690.93
Capitalised value of Future Maintainable Profit = 100
15
Less: Average capital employed 1566.90
Value of Goodwill 124.03
(B) Long-Term Fund Approach
2237.42
Capitalised value of Future Maintainable Profit = 268.49 100
12
Less: Average capital employed 1739.40
Value of Goodwill 498.02
Comments on Leverage effect of Goodwill:
Adverse Leverage effect on goodwill is 373.99 lakhs (i.e., `498.02 - 124.03). In other words, Leverage Ratio of
Popular Ltd. is low as compared to industry for which its goodwill value has been reduced when calculated with
reference to equity fund as compared to the value arrived at with reference to long term fund.

336 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Working Notes:

` in lakhs
(1) Stock adjustment
(i) Excess current cost of dosing stock over its Historical cost (330 300) 30.00
(ii) Excess current cost of opening stock over its Historical cost (286-260) 26.00
(iii) Difference [(i ii)] 4.00
(2) Debtors adjustment
(i) Value of foreign exchange debtors at the dosing exchange rate ($35,000 x 39) 13.65
(ii) Value of foreign exchange debtors at the original exchange rate ($35,000x35) 12.25
(iii) Difference [(i ii)] 1.40
(3) Creditors adjustment
(i) Value of foreign exchange creditors at the dosing exchange rate ($60,000 x 39) 23.40
(ii) Value of foreign exchange creditors at the original exchange rate ($60,000 x 33) 19.80
(iii) Difference [(i ii)] 3.60

Brand
Brands are strategic assets. The key to survival of companies is their brands in the modern world of complex and
competitive business environment. According to American Marketing association, brand means a name, term,
sign, symbol or design or group of sellers and to differentiate them from those of competitors. For example, the
logo and name Airtel, together represent the Brand of Airtel Ltd., a telecom company. Name Bata is by itself
a brand as their name itself, written in a particular style, is their corporate logo. At times name of a product is
considered as a brand name, e. g., Maggi. It conveys the noodles product of Nestle. Nestle as a company has its
own separate corporate brand logo of two small birds sitting on a small nest.
Corporate Branding represents the Brand of a corporate house, e. g., Reliance Industries Ltd. has their corporate
brand name as RIL with the image of a Lamp drawn in a particular style. Over and above this brand all their
products have separate brand name, e. g., Vimal is the brand name of their suiting and shirting cloths.
Thus corporate branding can be taken to mean strategic exercise by managerial decision making of creating,
developing, maintaining, conveying to market and monitoring the identity, image and ownership of a product
etc. Brand comprises an important item in that they greatly determine the corporate market value of a firm.
Brand achieves a significant value in commercial operation through the tangible and intangible elements. Brand
is that intangible assets which is acquired from outside source while acquiring business or may also be nurtured
internally by a company, which are known as home grown brands. By assigning a brand name to the product, the
manufacturer distinguishes it from rival products and helps the customer to identify it while going in for it.
Necessity of branding of products has increased enormously due to influence of various factors like growth of
competition, increasing importance of advertising etc, attracting customer loyalty to a corporate house and its
products, e. g., Tata Group, standing for unflinching quality and ethics. A powerful brand creates lasting impact
on the consumers and it is almost impossible to change his / her preference even if cheaper and alternative
products are available in the market, e. g., Zillet safety razors and baldes. Brands have major influence on takeover
decisions as the premium paid on takeover is almost always in respect of the strong brand portfolio of the acquired
company and of its long term effect on the profit of the acquiring company in the post acquisition period.
Brands Asset
An asset is having following characteristics;
(i) there must exist some specific right to future benefits or service potentials;
(ii) rights over asset must accrue to specific individual or firm;

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 337


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

(iii) there must be legally enforceable claim to the rights or services over the asset;
(iv) asset must arise out of past transaction or event or long standing business use, practice and marking of
products and corporate houses by one name and representing Logo for it.
Based on above characteristics, brands are considered as an asset. The sole purpose of establishing brand names
is to incur future benefit increased sale to loyal customers increased sale price of the brand itself or the business
that owns the brand. For example, if any healthcare products company wants to purchase Dettol as a product,
from Reckit Benckiser including its manufacturing facilities, the buyer will have to pay huge money for the brand
Dettol in addition to net fair value of assets and liabilities, because of acquiring the Dettol brand which by the
name itself indicates large volume of profit earning abilities
The companies with valuable brand register those names with the Patent Registration authority and are legally
entitled to sole ownership and use of them. International brands held by MNCs like Pepsi or Coca Cola are
registered in every country their operated their business. Brands are created through marketing efforts over time.
They are the result of several past transactions and events.
Objectives of corporate branding
Important objectives of corporate branding are as follows;
Corporate Identity: Brands help corporate houses to create and maintain identity for them in the market. This is
chiefly facilitated by brand popularity and the eventual customer loyalty attached to the brands.
Total Quality Management (TQM): By building brand image, it is possible for a body corporate to adopt and
practice TQM. Brands help in building lasting relationship between the brand owner and the brand user.
Customer Preference: Interaction between a specified group of products and services and a specified group of
loyal customers creates a psychological lasting impression in the mind of those customers. Branding gives them
advantage of status fulfilment.
Market Strength: By building strong brands, firms can enlarge and strengthen their market base. This would also
facilitate programmes, designed to achieve maximum market share.
Market Segmentation: By creating strong brand values, companies classify market into more strategic areas on
a homogeneous pattern of efficient operations. It enables firms to focus on target group of customers to meet
competition.
Quality, Governance and Ethical Values: A corporate house wants to convey through their brand about their
longstanding pursuit for quality, governance and ethical values.

Factors that have influence on brand valuation.


Mode of valuation of brands depends on type of brands; (i) acquired or (ii) self- generated. In general method of
valuation of brands depends on one or more following variables;
Cost of acquisition of brand,
Expenses incurred on nurturing a home grown brand,
Earning power of the brand,
Product life cycle,
Separating one brand from other less important value drivers,
Intrinsic strength of the people and process handling the brand,
Impact of other new brands in the market,
Accuracy in projecting the super or extra earnings offered by a brand and the rate of discounting cash flows
Cost of withdrawing or rejecting the brand.

338 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Value acquired brand
A purchased brand is one, which is acquired from other existing concerns. The acquiring company may acquire
only the brand names. The value of acquired brands is given below:
Brand value = Price paid for acquisition.
On the other hand, a company may acquire an existing business concern along with its brands. It happens in case
of mergers and acquisitions. The sum involved in these transactions provides an indication of the financial value
of brands. In this case;
Brand Value = Purchase consideration(X)- Net assets acquired(Y).
Does excess price always represent brand value? (X-Y) represents the amount of purchased goodwill but acquiring
company might have paid excess price for varied factors also. Those are;
Location of manufacturing facility and possibility to enter into new marker areas;
Long term contracts with suppliers;
Better manufacturing technology;
Possible competitive advantages, benefits of scale and synergic values that can be added to existing and the
new business acquired,
Killing competition or acquiring the brand etc.
Competitive force may make the acquirer to increase the bid price thereby increasing the amount of purchased
goodwill. This inseparability of brand from other intangible assets makes it difficult to value brands. In such a situation
professional valuers are appointed to determine the value of any assets acquired, other than those recognised by
the acquiree in their balance sheet, e. g., intangible assets like Brand(s) acquired, which is an essential necessity
under the new accounting standard of Ind AS. The purchase consideration has to be first allocated, including
intangibles.
Value self- generated brands Different methods of self-generated brands
Important methods for valuation of self-generated brands are discussed below;
(i) Historical Cost Model: Under historical cost model actual expenses incurred in creation, maintenance and
growth of corporate brands are taken into consideration. The value of corporate brands is computed as
follows:
Brand Value = Brand Development Cost + Brand marketing and Distribution Cost + Brand promotion cost
including advertising and other costs.
Historical cost model is applied for home-grown brands in most of the cases for which various costs like
development costs, marketing costs, advertising and general communication costs etc. are incurred. However,
the total advertisement costs cannot be regarded as incurred for brand. Further, several heavily advertised
brands show hardly any value or presence. This is a simple method as it depends on actual cost but it fails to
explain the impact of brand value on the profitability of the firm.
(ii) Replacement Cost Model: Under replacement cost model brands are valued at the costs which would be
required to recreate the existing brands. The method is based on the assumption that the existing brands can
be recreated exactly by new brands. It is the opportunity cost of investment made for the replacement of the
brand.
Brand Value = Replacement Cost of Brand.
(iii) Market Price Model: Probable value that a company would fetch by selling its brand is taken as the value of
the brand. Brand value is given by:
Brand Value = Net realisable value
As there is no readymade market for many brands, the value is only assumed one. Although the method

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 339


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

determines the value from sellers point of view, the actual value is determined on the basis of expected
benefit to be derived by the purchaser by purchasing the brand.
(iv) Present Value Model:
According to present value model, the value of a brand is the sum total of present value of future estimated
flow of brand revenues for the entire economic life of brand plus the residual value attached to the brand.
The model is also called Discounted Cash Flow model which has wisely been used by considering the year
wise revenue attributable to the brand over a period of 5,8 or 10 years. The discounting rate is the weighted
average cost of capital. The residual value is estimated on the basis of a perpetual income, assuming that
such revenue is constant or increased at a constant rate.
Rt Re sidual value
Brand value
= +
(1+ r ) (1+ r )
t N


Where, Rt = Anticipated revenue in year t, attributable to the brand
r = Discounting rate
Residual value beyond year N
Brands supported by strong customer loyalty, may be visualised as a kind of an annuity. Great care must be taken
to estimate as much correctly as possible, the future cash flow likely to be generated from a strongly positioned
specific brand. A realistic present value of a particular brand having strong loyalty of customers can be obtained
from summation of discounted values of the expected future incomes from it.
DCF model for evaluating brand values has got three sources of failure; (i) anticipation of cash flow; (ii) choice of
period and (iii) discounting rate.

Illustration 35.
The following data is given to you regarding a company having a share in branded portion as well as unbranded
portion;

Branded revenue ` 500 per unit


Unbranded revenue ` 120 per unit
Branded cost `350 per unit
Unbranded cost `100 per unit
Research & Development `20 per unit
Branded products 1 lakh unit
Unbranded Products 40,000 units
Tax rate is 39.55%; capitalization factor 18%

Calculate the brand value.


Solution:
The net revenue from the branded product = (revenue-cost) Quantity sold
= (`500`350) 100,000
= `1,50,00,000
Net revenue from the unbranded product
= (`120-`100) 40,000
= `8,00,000.

340 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


PAT for branded product
= (1,50,00,000-28,00,000) (1-0.3955)
= (1,22,00,000)(0.6045)
= `73,74,900
Brand value = Returns / Capitalization rate = `73,74,900/0.18
= `409,71,666
Brand valuation needed Steps in valuation of a brand
Measurement of Brand valuation is needed for:
(i) Accounting purpose
(ii) Business valuation and transactional purposes
(iii) Brand management purposes
Various companies find brand valuation helpful for the followings:
(i) Making decisions on business investments;
(ii) Measuring the return on brand investment based on brand value to arrive at an ROI that can be directly
compared with other investments;
(iii) Allocating marketing expenditures according to the benefit each business unit derives from the brand asset;
(iv) Organizing and optimizing the use of different brands in the business;
(v) Managing a portfolio of brands across a variety of markets;
(vi) Assessing fair transfer prices for the use of brands in subsidiary companies;
(vii) Determining brand royalty rates for optimal exploitation of the brand asset through licensing the brand to third
parties;
(viii)Capitalizing brand assets on the balance sheet according to US GAAP, IAS in compliance with country specific
accounting standards, whenever needed.
Steps in Valuation of Brand:
(i) Market segmentation: Brands influence customer choice, but the influence varies depending on the market in
which brand operates. For valuation we need to split brands market into non-overlapping and homogeneous
groups of consumers according to applicable criteria such as product or service, distribution channels,
consumption patterns, purchase sophistication, geography existing and new customers and so on. The brand
is valued in each segment and the sum of the segments constitutes the total value of the brand.
(ii) Financial analysis: Identify and forecast revenue and earnings from intangibles generated by the brand
for each of the distinct segments determined in step-1. Intangibles earnings are defined as brand revenue
less operating costs, applicable taxes and a charge for the capital employed. The concept is similar to the
economic profit.
(iii) Demand analysis: Assess the role that the brand plays in driving demand for products and services in the
markets in which it operates and determine what proportion of intangible earning is attributable to the brand
measured by an indicator referred to as the role of branding index. The role of branding index represents
the percentage of intangible earnings that are generated by the brand. Brand earnings are calculated by
multiplying the role of branding index by intangible earnings.
(iv) Competitive benchmarking: Determine the competitive strengths and weaknesses of the brand to derive the
specific brand discount rate that reflects the risk profile of its expected future earnings. This comprises extensive
competitive benchmarking and a structured evaluation of the brands market, stability, leadership position,

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 341


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

growth trend, support geographic footprint and legal protect ability.


(v) Brand value measurement: Brand value is the net present value (NPV) of the forecast brand earnings,
discounted by the brand discount rate. The NPV calculation comprises both the forecast period and the
period beyond, reflecting the ability of brands to continue generating future earnings.
This computation is useful for brand value modelling in a wide range of situations, viz.,
Predicting the effect of marketing and investment strategies;
Determining and assessing communication budgets;
Calculating the return on brand investment;
Focus it as an icon of quality and customer loyalty;
Assessing opportunities in new or unexpected markets; and
Tracking brand value management and its consequential effect on business value and overall corporate
image
Ingredient Brand
An ingredient brand, as the name implies is an element of a product with an identifiable brand identity. The host
product includes the ingredient product.
The element or the ingredient brand enhances the value of the product and mostly used as a label or icon on
the main product. The idea is to convey to the customers that they are getting a quality, trustworthy product.
Ingredient branding helps increase awareness and easily connects with wide-ranging consumers.
Difference between In Branding and Co-Branding
Ingredient Branding, also known as In Branding differs from Co Branding. In Branding, a new product can exist
individually from the ingredient brand, while in Co Branding, the two brands unite resulting in a unique product,
which does not exist if either separates.
Examples of ingredient brands
Intel Inside branding of PCs (The Intel Inside program started in 1991)
Microsoft Mediaroom Microsofts IPTV platform
NutraSweet in soft drinks
GEs Ecomagination
Dolby noise reduction in stereos
Honda Civic Sedan with XM Satellite radio
Techron in Chevron gasoline
Teflon in cookware
Gore-Tex in outerwear and ski apparel
Sainsbury with brand ambassador Jamie Oliver
Smart phones with Android OS
Siri-powered iPhone 4S
3M brand used in various products
Swarovski with Play Bling as its authorized retail brand partner in China
Vibram rubber soles in many leading shoe brands

342 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Chiquita banana in Beechnut baby foods
Smuckers Jam Kelloggs pop tarts

Illustration 36.
RS Ltd. furnishes the following information relating to the previous three years, and requests you to compute the
value of the brand of the Company
[` in Lakhs]

Particulars 2014 2015 2016


Profits Before Interest and Tax 75.00 85.25 150.00
Loss on Sale of Assets 3.00 --- 18.00
Non Operating Income 12.00 7.25 8.00

Inflation was 9% for 2015 and 15% for 2016. If the capitalization factor considering internal and external value
drivers to the brand is 14, determine the brand value. Assume an all inclusive future tax rate of 35%.

Solution:
(` in Lakhs)

Particulars 2014 2015 2016


Profits Before Interest and Tax 75.00 85.25 150.00
Add: Loss on Sale of Assets 3.00 --- 18.00
Less: Non Operating Income (12.00) (7.25) (8.00)
Branded Earnings 66.00 78.00 160.00
Inflation Adjustment Factor 1.09 x 1.15 = 1.25 1.15 1.00
Inflation Adjusted Earnings as at 31.03.2016 82.50 89.70 160.00
Weights 1 2 3
Product 82.50 179.40 480.00
Weighted Average Earnings Before Tax [(82.50 + 179.40 +480)/(1+2+3)] 123.65
Less: Taxes at 35% (43.28)
Weighted Average Brand Earnings After Tax 80.37
Capitalization Factor 14
Brand Value `1125.18 Lakhs

Illustration 37.
The following financial share data pertaining to TECHNO LTD an IT company is made available to you:

Year ended March 31st 2016 2015 2014


EBIT (`) 696.03 325.65 155.86
Non-branded Income (`) 53.43 35.23 3.46

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 343


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Inflation compound factor @ 8% 1.000 1.087 1.181


Remuneration of Capital 5% of average capital employed
Average capital Employed (`) 1112.00
Corporate Tax Rate 35%
Capitalization Factor 16%

You are required to calculate the Brand Value for Techno Ltd.
Solution:
TECHNO LTD.
Computation of Brand Value
(Amount in ` Crores)

Year ended March 31st 2016 2015 2014


EBIT 696.03 325.65 155.86
Less : Non-brand income 53.43 35.23 3.46
Adjusted Profits 642.60 290.42 152.40
Inflation Compound Factor @ 8% 1.000 1.087 1.181
Present Value of Profits for the brand 642.60 315.69 179.98
Weight age Factor 3 2 1
Weight age Profits 1927.80 631.38 179.98

1927.80 + 631.38 + 179.98 456.53


Weight Average Profits =
3 + 2 +1
Remuneration of Capital [5% of Average capital employed] (i.e. 11125%) 55.60
Brand Related 400.93
Corporate tax @ 35% 140.33
Brand Earning 260.60
Capitalization Factor 16%
Brand Value: (Return / Capitalization Rate)
260.60 / 0.16 = `1628.75 Crore

Illustration 38.
From the following information determine the Possible Value of Brand as per Potential Earning Model
(` Lakhs)

Particulars CASE A CASE B


(i) Profit Before Tax (PBT) -- 15.00
(ii) Income Tax -- 3.00
(iii) Profit After Tax (PAT) 2,700 --
(iv) Tangible Fixed Assets 10,000 20.00
(v) Identifiable Intangible other than Brand 1,500 10.00
(vi) Weighted Average Cost of Capital (%) 15%
(vii) Expected Normal Return on Tangible Assets Weighted Average Cost (15%) + Normal Spread 5% 20% 6.00
(viii) Appropriate Capitalization Factor for Intangibles 25% 25%

344 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
CASE A ....

Particulars ` Lakhs ` Lakhs


Profit After Tax 2,700 2,700
Less: Normal Return from Tangible Assets (`10,000 Lakhs x 20%) (2,000) (2,000)
Less: Normal Return from Other Intangible Assets (`1,500 Lakhs x 25%) (375) (375)
Brand Earnings 325 325
Capitalization Factor = WACC 25% 15%
Therefore, Value of Brand `1,300 Lakhs `2,166.67 Lakhs

CASE B ---

Particulars ` Lakhs
Profit Before Tax 15.00
Less: Income Tax (3.00)
Profit After Tax 12.00
Less: Normal Return Tangible Assets (6.00)
Less: Normal Return from Other Intangible Assets (`10 Lakhs x 25%) (2.50)
Brand Earnings 3.50
Capitalization factor 25%
Therefore, Value of Brand (`3.50 Lakhs 25%) 14 Lakhs

Illustration 39.
Sanju Ltd. has hired a Marketing Consultancy Firm for doing market research and provide data relating to Tyre
industry for the next 10 years. The following were the observations and projections made by the consultancy firm ---
1. The Tyre Industry in the target area i.e. Whole of India, is expected to grow at 5% p. a. for the next 3 years, and
thereafter at 7% p. a. over the subsequent seven years.
2. The market size in terms of unencumbered basic sales of Tyres was estimated at `8,000 Lakhs in the last year,
dominated by medium and large players. This includes roughly 9.0% of fake brands and locally manufactured
Tyres. Market share of this segment is expected to increase by 0.5%.
3. Cheap Chinese imports accounts for 40% of the business (but 60% of the volume). This is expected to increase
by 0.25% over the next decade.
4. The other large players account for roughly 35% of the business value, which is expected to go down by 0.5%
over the next ten years, due to expansion of Sanju Ltd.s product portfolio.
5. The Company is in the process of business re-engineering, which will start yielding results in 2 years time, and
increase its profitability by 3% from its existing 12%.
If the appropriate discount rate is 15% what is the Brand Value of Sanju Ltd., under Market Oriented Approach?
Solution:
(a) Current Market share = 100 Fake Brands 9% - Chinese Imports 40% - Other Domestic Brands 35% = 16%
(b) Increase or Decrease in Market Share: Chinese Imports 0.25% + Local Brands 0.5% - Other Players 0.5% = 0.25%
increase other products market share. Hence, market share is expected to fall by 0.25% every year over the
decade, from the current levels of 16%. Therefore, next year it will be 15.75%, the year after 15.50% etc.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 345


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

2. Brand Valuation under Market Approach

Year Market Size (` Lakhs) Market Share Market Share Expected Discount Discounted
of Sanju Ltd. ` Lakhs Profit (` Lakhs) Factor at 15% Cash Flow
1 8,000.00 + 5% = 8,400.00 15.75% 1,323.00 @ 12% = 158.76 0.870 138.12
2 8,400.00 + 5% = 8,820.00 15.50% 1,367.10 @ 12% = 164.05 0.756 124.02
3 8,820.00 + 5% = 9,261.00 15.25% 1,412.30 @ 15% = 211.84 0.658 139.39
4 9,261.00 + 7% = 9,909.27 15.00% 1,486.39 @ 15% = 222.96 0.572 127.53
5 9,909.27 +7% = 10,602.92 14.75% 1,563.93 @ 15% = 234.59 0.497 116.59
6 10,602.92 +7% = 11,345.12 14.50% 1,645.04 @ 15% = 246.75 0.432 106.60
7 11,345.12 +7% = 12,139.28 14.25% 1,729.85 @ 15% = 259.48 0.376 97.56
8 12,139.28 +7% = 12,989.03 14.00% 1,818.46 @ 15% = 272.77 0.327 89.20
9 12,989.03 +7% = 13,898.26 13.75% 1,911.01 @ 15% = 286.65 0.284 81.41
10 13,898.26 +7% =14,871.14 13.50% 2,007.60 @ 15% = 301.14 0.247 74.38
Brand Value 1094.80

Brand Value of Sanju Ltd under Market Oriented Approach is `1094.80 Lakhs.

7.4 VALUATION OF HUMAN RESOURCES

Introduction
The past few decades have witnessed a global transition from manufacturing to service based economies.
The fundamental difference between the two lies in the very nature of their assets. In the former, the physical
assets like plant, machinery, material etc. are of utmost importance. In contrast, in the latter, knowledge and
attitudes of the employees assume greater significance. For instance, in the case of an IT firm, the value of its
physical assets is negligible when compared with the value of the knowledge, experience, development and
application skills of its personnel. Similarly, in hospitals, academic institutions, consulting firms, etc., the total worth
of the organisation depends mainly on the skills of its employees and the services they render. Hence, the success
of these organizations is contingent on the quality of their Human Resource its knowledge, skills, competence,
motivation and understanding of the organisational culture.
In knowledge driven economies, therefore, it is imperative that the human resources be recognized as an integral
part of the total worth of an organisation. However, in order to estimate and project the worth of the human capital,
it is necessary that some method of quantifying the worth of the knowledge, motivation, skills, and contribution of
the human element as well as that of the organisational processes, like recruitment, selection, training etc., which
are used to build and support these human aspects, is developed. Human Resource Accounting (HRA) denotes
just this process of quantification/measurement of the Human Resource.
Human resource management activities include attraction, selection, acquisition, utilization retention, development
and utilization for next higher level of value additions. In the past, these activities were evaluated in behavioral
and statistical terms. Behavioral measures were the reactions of various groups of what individuals have learned
or of how their behaviors have changed on the job. Statistical Measures were ratios, percentages, measures of
central tendency and variability, and measures of correlation.
Today, because of rising costs, there is a need to evaluate HR management activities in economic terms. This
requires gathering information from Accounting, Finance, Economics and Behavioral Science.
Definition of Human Resource Accounting (HRA)
There are no generally accepted accounting procedures for employee valuation. The first major attempt at
employee valuation was made by R.G. Barry Corporation of Columbus, Ohio in their 1971 annual report, to enable
the company to report accurate estimates of the worth of the organizations human assets.

346 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


The American Accounting Associations Committee on Human Resource Accounting (1973) has defined
Human Resource Accounting as the process of identifying and measuring data about human resources and
communicating this information to interested parties. HRA, thus, not only involves measurement of all the costs /
investments associated with the talent acquisition, placement, training and development of employees, but also
the quantification of the economic value of the people in an organisation.
Flamholtz (1971) too has offered a similar definition for HRA. They define HRA as the measurement and reporting
of the cost and value of people in organizational resources.
In India, the Companies Act, 1956 does not mandate furnishing of HRA related information in the financial
statements of the companies. The Institute of Chartered Accountants of India too, has not brought out any definitive
standard or measurement in the reporting of human resources costs. Some general qualitative pronouncements
are made by the top management in major forums such as an annual general meeting on the importance of
human resources, which have sounded more like platitudes and prosaic. However, some organizations in India
such as Infosys, BHEL and ACC have furnished the value of their human resources and related information in their
annual reports.
Benefits of HRA
According to Likert (1971), HRA serves the following purposes in an organisation:
(i) It furnishes cost / value information for making management decisions about acquiring, allocating, developing,
and maintaining human resources in order to attain cost-effectiveness;
(ii) It allows management personnel to monitor effectively the use of human resources;
(iii) It provides a sound and effective basis of human asset control, that is, whether the asset is appreciated,
depleted or conserved;
(iv) It helps in the development of management principles by classifying the financial consequences of various
practices.
Basically, HRA is a management resource which is designed to assist senior management in understanding the
long term cost and benefit implications of their HR decisions so that better business decisions can be taken. If
such accounting is not done, then the management runs the risk of taking decisions that may improve profits in
the short run but may also have severe repercussions in future. For example, very often organisations hire young
people from outside on very high salaries because of an immediate business requirement. Later on, however, they
find that the de-motivating impact of this move on the existing experienced staff has caused immense long term
harm by reducing their productivity and by creating salary distortions across the organisational structure.
HRA also provides the HR professionals and management with information for managing the human resources
efficiently and effectively. Such information is essential for performing the critical HR functions of acquiring,
developing, allocating, conserving, utilizing, evaluating and rewarding in a proper way. These functions are the
key transformational processes that convert human resources from raw inputs (in the form of individuals, groups
and the total human organization) to outputs in the form of goods and services. HRA indicates whether these
processes are adding value or enhancing unnecessary costs.
In addition to facilitating internal decision making processes, HRA also enables critical external decision makers,
especially the investors in making realistic investment decisions. Investors make investment decisions based on
the total worth of the organisation. HRA provides the investors with a more complete and accurate account of
the organisations total worth, and therefore, enables better investment decisions. For example, conventional
financial statements treat HR investments as expenditures. Consequently, their income statement projects
expenditures to acquire, place, train and retain human resources as expenses during the current year rather than
capitalizing and amortizing them over their expected service life. The balance sheet, thus, becomes distorted as it
inaccurately presents the total Assets as well as the net income and, thereby, the rate of return which is the
ratio of net income to the total assets. HRA helps in removing this distortion.
Furthermore, in a business environment where corporate social responsibility is rapidly gaining ground, HRA reflects
the extent to which organisation contributes to societys human capital by investing in its development.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 347


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Finally, in an era where performance is closely linked to rewards and, therefore, the performance of all groups,
departments, and functions needs to be quantified to the extent possible, HRA helps in measuring the performance
of the HR function as such.
Cost Based Model
Historical Cost Model: This model was first introduced by R. Likert at R.G. Barry Corporation in Columbus, Ohio (USA)
in 1967. Under this model, The actual cost of recruiting, selecting, hiring, placing and developing the employees
of an organisation are capitalized and amortized over the expected useful life of the asset concerned. The sum
of are the cost as mentioned above for all the employees of the enterprise is taken to represent the total value
of human resources. If the assets are liquidated permanently, losses are recorded and if the asset has longer life
than estimated, are made in the amortized value. If an employees leaves the firm before the expiry of expected
service life of the employees the net asset value to that extent is charged to current revenue.
The model is simple and easy to understand and to be consistent with the matching principle. But it fails to
provide reasonable value to human assets. It only capitalize only recruiting training, development, placement
and inducting cost but ignores the future expected costs to incurred for their maintenance. Secondly estimation
of the number of years over which the capitalized expenditure is to be taken and is likely to be largely subjective.
It is difficult to calculate the rate which total expenditure on human resources is to be amortized. Lastly value of
human resource increase but through this treatment capital cost decrease through amortization.
The Replacement Cost Approach
Value to an organisation of an individuals services is reflected by the amount that the organisation would
have to pay to replace these services. This method consists of estimating the cost of replacing a firms existing
human resources; these costs will include costs of recruiting, selecting, hiring, training, placing and developing
new compliance of the existing employee. Falmhotz has offered two different concepts of replacement cost
individual and replacement cost refers to the cost that would have been incurred to replace an individual by a
substitute who can provide the some kind of services as that of the individual replacement. On the other hand,
positional replacement cost represents cost of replacing the set services of any individual in a defined position in an
organisation. The replacement cost approach incorporates the current value of the companys human resources.
It takes into account fluctuation of the job market and general rise in price level. This method is regarded as a
good surrogate for the economic value of the asset in the sense that market consideration is essential in reaching
a final figure. But it is difficult to find replacement of the excising human resources in actual practice.
Opportunity Cost Approach:
This model proposed by J.S. Hekimian and C.H. Jones in 1967. These methods are used to value employees
processing certain skills and thus are rate in availability. Under this method it is assumed that opportunity cost as
the best means to value HRs. According to this approach, the opportunity cost of on employee is determined by
using comparative bidding method. Under this method the investment centre managers will be for rare (scarce)
employees they need to recruit. In other words, employees who are not consider, are not included in the human
asset base of the organisation. This model provides for more optimal allocation of human resource and sets a
quantitative base for planning, Developing and evaluation human resources of the organisation. However, this
approach adopts discriminating attitude. Since it takes into account only scarce HRs.

Illustration 40.
A company has a capital base of `1 crore and has a earned profits to the tune of `11,00,000. The return on
investment (ROI) of the particular industry to which the company belongs is 12.5%. If acquired by a company, it is
expected that profits will increase by `250,000 over and above the target profit.
Determine the amount of maximum bid price for that particular exceptive and the maximum salary that could be
offered to him.

348 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
Capital base ` 100,00,000
Actual profit ` 11,00,000
Target profit ` 100,00,000 12.5% = ` 1250,000
Expected profit on employing the particular exceptive = ` 12,50,000 + ` 250,000
Additional profit = expected profit Actual profit
= ` 15,00,000 ` 11,00,000
= ` 4,00,000
Maximum bid price = Additional profit / rate of return on
= ` 400,000 / 12.5%
= ` 32,00,000
Maximum salary that can be offered = ` 32,00,000 12.5%
= ` 400,000
Maximum salary can be offered to that particular exceptive up to the amount of additional profit is ` 400,000
Value based model:
Present value of future earnings:
This model was introduced by Baruch Lev and Schwariz. According to the authors, valuations of HRs of homogenous
group can be done by aggregating the present values of wages and salary payable to individual employees
during the stay with the organisation. Comment Measurement of HRs under this method involves (a) division of
employee according to their age, grade of pay and designation (b) determination of average per year (c)
calculating of total earnings based on the remaining tenure of the service life (d) discounted total earning on the
basis of average rate of return.
This HRs can be valued on the basis of following formula:
T I (t)
Vx =
(I + R )
Tx
t= x

Where Vx = The human capital value of a person x years old.
T = Retirement Age
I(t) = The persons annual earning up to retirement.
R = Discount rate
Stochastic Rewards valuation model
This model was proposed by Eric G Flamholtz in 1971 to measure the HR value to the organisation with the help of
stochastic process. This model focuses on the measurement of a persons value to a specified organisation. It is
recognized that a person renders value for on organisation as he occupies and plays different roles and renders
services to the organisations. The movement of people from one organisation role (service state) to another
over some specified period of time may be valued as stochastic process, depended up on the roles previously
occupied and such movement can be estimated probabilistically. The expected service to be derived from an
individual is ascertained by
n
E(R) = R P (R )
i =1
i i

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 349


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Ri = Represent quantity of services expected to be derived in each state.


P(Ri) = The probability that they will be obtained.
The major advantage of this model that it takes into account the probability of an individuals career movement
and of his leaving the organisation prior to the retirement or death. However, it is very difficult to obtain reliable
data pertaining to incomes of employee for various positions during different time periods.
Group basis valuation model:
This model is proposed by Jaggi and Law. This model recognised the fact that proper valuation of human resource
is not possible unless the contributions of individuals as a group are taken into view. A group refers to homogeneous
employees whether in the same investment centre or not. It might be difficult to predict an individuals expected
service tenure in the organisation or at a particular level or position but on a group basis, it is easier to ascertain the
percentage of people in a particular group likely either to leave the firm during each of the fourth-coming period
or to be promoted to higher leaves. The model aims at calculating the present value of all existing employees in
each grade or rank. The following methodology is followed to measure present value.
Ascertain the number of employees in each rank.
Estimate the probability that an employee will be his grade within organisation or terminated/promoted in the
next period.
Ascertain the economic value of an employee in a specified grade during each period of time.
The present value of existing employees in each rank/grade is obtained by multiplying the above three factors.
Limitations:
The existing HR valuation models are not face from drawback. Thus no model can be traded universally as a
suitable model yet.
There is no clear guidance how to differentiate the cost and value of human resources. Like physical assets
human assets cant be owned, retained or utilized at the sweet will and pressure of organisation.
There is no consensus as yet among the Account and Finance professionals regarding in what form and
manner the human assets are to valued and then shown in B-sheet.
There is also a fear that employees and trade unions may not accept the idea valuing HR and this may lead
to division of labours.

Case Study
Human Resources Valuation
Extracted from Infosys Annual Report, 2007
The dichotomy in accounting between human and non-human capital is fundamental. The latter is recognized
as an asset and is, therefore, recorded in the books and reported in the financial statements, whereas the former
is ignored by accountants. The definition of wealth as a source of income inevitably leads to the recognition of
human capital as one of the several forms of wealth such as money, securities and physical capital.
We have used the Lev & Schwartz model to compute the value of human resources. The evaluation is based on
the present value of future earnings of employees and on the following assumptions:
Employee compensation includes all direct and indirect benefits earned both in India and abroad.
The incremental earnings based on group/age have been considered.
The future earnings have been discounted at the cost of capital of 14.97% (previous year 12.96%).

350 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


in ` crore, unless stated otherwise

Employees (No.) 2007 2006


Software professionals 68,156 49,495
Support 4,085 3,220
Total 72,241 52,715
Value of human resources
Software professionals 53,592 43,336
Support 3,860 3,301
Total 57,452 46,637
Total income 13,893 9,521
Total employee cost 7,112 4,801
Value-added 11,879 8,030
Net profits excluding exceptional items 3,861 2,479
Ratios
Value of human resources per employee 0.80 0.88
Total income / human resources value (ratio) 0.24 0.20
Employee cost / human resources value (%) 12.4 10.3
Value-added / human resources value (ratio) 0.21 0.17
Return on human resources value (%) 6.7 5.3

Value-added in ` Crore
2007 % 2006 %
Income 13,893 9,521
Less: Operating expenses excluding personnel costs
Software development expenses 1,187 812
Selling and marketing expenses 371 231
General and administration expenses 834 587
2,392 1,630
Value-added from operations 11,501 7,891
Other income (including exceptional items) 378 139
Total value-added 11,879 8,030
Distribution of value-added
Human resources:
Salaries and bonus 7,112 59.9 4,801 59.8
Providers of capital:
Dividend 654 5.5 1,238 15.4
Minority interest 11 0.1 21 0.3
Interest -- -- -- --
665 5.6 1,259 15.7
Taxes:
Income taxes 386 3.2 313 3.9

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 351


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Tax on dividend 102 0.9 174 2.2


488 4.1 487 6.1
Retained in business:
Depreciation (Yearly cash retention against which money has been 514 4.3 437 5.4
expended at the time of acquiring the asset)
Income retained in business 3,100 26.1 1,046 13.0
3,614 30.4 1,483 18.4
Total 11,879 100.0 8,030 100.0
Note: The figures above are based on the consolidated Indian GAAP financial statements. Dividends for fiscal
2007 include one-time silver jubilee dividend of ` 827 crore. Income taxes for fiscal 2007 include tax reversal of `125
crore.

Illustration 41.
From the following data in respect of an employer kindly calculate the total value of Human Capital under Lev
and Schwarts Model
Distribution of Employees

Age Unskilled SEMI- SKILLED Skilled


Group No Average Annual Earnings No Average Annual Earnings No Average Annual Earnings
30-39 100 `18,000 60 `36,000 40 `84,000
40-49 50 `30,000 30 `48,000 20 `1,20,000
50-54 30 `36,000 20 `60,000 10 `1,80,000

Retirement age is 55 years. Apply discount factor of 15%. In calculation of total value of Human factor the lowest
value of each class should be taken Annuity factor @ 15%.

5 years 10 years 15 years 20 years 25 years


3.352 5.019 5.847 6.259 6.464

Solution:
VALUATION IN RESPECT OF UNSKILLED EMPLOYEES
1. Age Group 30-39: (assuming that all 100 employees are just 30 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`18,000 p.a for next 10 years 18,000 x 5.019 90,342
`30,000 p.a from years 11 to 20 30,000 x (6.259 -5.019) 37,200
`36,000 p.a from years 21 to 25 36,000 x (6.464-6.259) 57,384
Total 1,84,926

2. Age Group 40-49: (assuming that all 50 employees are just 40 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`30,000 p.a for next 10 years 30,000 x 5.019 1,50,570
`36,000 p.a from years 11 to 15 36,000 x (5.847-5.019) 29,808
Total 1,80,378

352 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


3. Age Group 50-54: (assuming that all 30 employees are just 50 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`36,000 p.a for next 5 years 36,000 x 3.352 1,20,672

VALUATION IN RESPECT OF SEMI- SKILLED EMPLOYEES


1. Age Group 30-39: (assuming that all 60 employees are just 30 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`36,000 p.a for next 10 years 36,000 x 5.019 1,80,684
`48,000 p.a from years 11 to 20 48,000 x (6.259 -5.019) 59,520
`60,000 p.a from years 21 to 25 60,000 x (6.464-6.259) 12,300
Total 2,52,504

2. Age Group 40-49: (assuming that all 30 employees are just 40 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`48,000 p.a for next 10 years 48,000 x 5.019 2,40,912
`60,000 p.a from years 11 to 15 60,000 x (5.847-5.019) 49,680
Total 2,90,592

3.Age Group 50-54: (assuming that all 20 employees are just 50 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`60,000 p.a for next 5 years 60,000 x 3.352 2,01,120

VALUATION IN RESPECT OF SKILLED EMPLOYEES


1. Age Group 30-39: (assuming that all 40 employees are just 30 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`84,000 p.a for next 10 years 84,000 x 5.019 4,21,596
`1,20,000 p.a from years 11 to 20 1,20,000 x (6.259 -5.019) 1,48,800
`1,80,000 p.a from years 21 to 25 1,80,000 x (6.464-6.259) 36,900
Total 6,07,296

2.Age Group 40-49: (assuming that all 20 employees are just 40 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`1,20,000 p.a for next 10 years 1,20,000 x 5.019 6,02,280
`1,80,000 p.a from years 11 to 15 1,80,000 x (5.847-5.019) 1,49,040
Total 7,51,320

3. Age Group 50-54 : (assuming that all 10 employees are just 50 years old)

Particulars Computation Present Value


`1,80,000 p.a for next 5 years 1,80,000 x 3.352 6,03,360

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 353


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

TOTAL VALUE OF HUMAN CAPITAL

Unskilled Semi-skilled Skilled Total


Age No. PV of future No. PV of future earning No. PV of future earning No. PV of future earning
earning
30-39 100 1,84,926 x100 = 60 2,52,504 x 60 = 40 6,07,296 x 40= 200 5,79,34,680
1,84,92,600 1,51,50,240 2,42,91,840
40-49 50 1,80,378,x 50 = 30 2,90,592 x 30= 20 7,51,320 x 20 = 100 3,27,63,060
90,18,900 87,17,760 1,50,26,400

50-54 30 1,20,672 x30= 20 2,01,120 x 20 = 10 6,03,360 x 10= 60 1,36,76,160


36,20,160 40,22,400 60,33,600
Total 180 3,11,31,660 110 2,78,90,400 70 4,53,51,840 360 10,43,73,900

Illustration 42.
A company has a capital base of `3 crore and has earned profits of `33 Lakhs. Return on investment of the
particular industry to which the company belongs is 12.5%. If the services of a particular executive are acquired by
the company, it is expected that the profits will increase by `7.5 lakhs over and above the target profit. Determine
the amount of maximum bid price for that particular executive and the maximum salary that could be offered to
him.

Particulars `
Capital Base 3,00,00,000
Actual profit 33,00,000
Target profit (`3Cr 12.5%) 37,50,000

Solution:
1. Maximum Salary Payable:

Particulars ` Lakhs
Capital Base 300.00
Target Profits (= Capital Base x 12.50%) 37.50
Add: Extra Profits due to induction of the Executive 7.50
Total Profits of the Company (anticipated after induction of the Executive) 45.00
Less: Current Profits 33.00
Incremental Profit 12.00

Maximum Salary = Incremental Profit due to introduction = `12.00 Lakhs per annum.
2. Maximum Bid Price:
= Value of Salary Payable in perpetuity
= Maximum Salary Payable Desired Rate of Return on Investment
= `12 Lakh 12.5% = `96 Lakhs.

354 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


7.5 VALUE ADDED, ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED, MARKET VALUE ADDED

VALUE ADDED
Value Added is the wealth created by a Firm, through the combined effort of (1) Capital (2) Management and
(3) Employees. This wealth concept arises due to the input - output exchange between a Firm and components of
its external environment. Value Added = Sale Value of Outputs Less Cost of Bought in goods, utilities and services.
Economic Value Added (EVA) an aid to Valuation
It is a performance metric that calculates the creation of shareholder value. It distinguishes itself from traditional
financial performance metrics such as net profit and EPS. EVA is the calculation of what profits remain after the
cost of companys capital, comprising of both debt and equity, are deducted from operating profit.
The value of a firm is the sum of the capital invested and the present value of the economic value added. The
present value of the economic value added by an asset over its life is the net present value of that asset. The value
of a firm can be written as the sum of three components, the capital invested in assets in place, the present value
of the economic value added by these assets, and the expected present value of the economic value that will
be added by future investments. It can be calculated as:
t=
EVA t=
EVA
Firm Value = Capital Invested Assets in Place + +
t,Assets in place t, Future Pr oject

(1+ WACC) (1+ WACC)


t t
=t 1 =t 1

Where:
Economic Value Added for all years = (Return on Capital Invested WACC) (Capital Invested)
Terminal EVA= EVA / (WACC Net sales growth rate).
WACC = Cost of capital means the fair rate of return to invested capital, which goes to all claimholders. It is
computed by multiplying Capital invested with WACC.
Return on Capital = Operating Income (1 tax rate) / Capital Invested
NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Tax
NOPLAT = Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes.
It means total operating profit for a firm with adjustments made for taxes. It is used in variant of the FCF and used
in mergers of acquisitions.
NOPLAT is very similar to NOPAT, except its (net income + after tax interest expenses + Deferred taxes)
Capital Invested for all years = Total equity + Interest bearing liabilities + Convertibles - Total interest bearing
financial assets.
Capital Invested for terminal year = (NOPLAT Gross capital expenditure Change in working capital + Increase
in non-interest bearing liabilities Total depreciation) / (Net sales growth NOPLAT).

Illustration 43.
Consider a firm that has assets in place in which it has capital invested of `100 crores. Assume the following further
facts about the firm:
1. The after-tax operating income on assets in place is `15 crores. This return on capital of 15% is expected to be
sustained in the future, and the company has a cost of capital of 10%.
2. At the beginning of each of the next 5 years, the firm is expected to make investments of `10 crores each.
These investments are also expected to earn 15% as a return on capital, and the cost of capital is expected
to remain 10%.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 355


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

3. After year 5, the company will continue to make investments and earnings will grow 5% a year, but the new
investments will have a return on capital of only 10%, which is also the cost of capital.
4. All assets and investments are expected to have infinite lives. Thus, the assets in place and the investments
made in the first five years will make 15% a year in perpetuity, with no growth.
This firm can be valued using an economic value added approach as follows:

Capital Invested in Assets in Place ` 100 crores


+ EVA from Assets in Place ` 50 crore
( 0.15 0.10 )(100 )
0.10
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 1 ` 5 crore
( 0.15 0.10 )(10 )
( 0.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 2 ` 4.55 crore
( 0.15 0.10 )(10 )
1
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 3 ` 4.13 crore
( 0.15 0.10 )(10 )
2
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 4 ` 3.76 crore
( 0.15 0.10 )(10 )
3
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
+ PV of EVA from New Investments in Year 5 ` 3.42 crore
( 0.15 0.10 )(10 )
4
( 0.10 )(1.10 )
Value of Firm ` 170.85 crore
t=
EVA t=
EVA
Firm Value = Capital Invested Assets in Place + +
t,Assets in place t, Future Pr oject

(1+ WACC) (1+ WACC)


t t
=t 1 =t 1

Thus, ` 170.85 crores = ` 100 crores + ` 50 corres + ` 20.85 crores

Limitations of EVA Method of Firm Valuation


(1) Needs calculation of invested capital for every year which depends on valuation issues.
(2) Economic profits as excess returns are fairly subjective, depending on the valuation of invested capital.
(3) Economic profit framework may provide date inducing illusionary accuracy of the quantified business plan.

MARKET VALUE ADDED


Market value Added (MVA) is the difference between the current market value of a firm and the capital
contributed by investors. If MVA is positive, the firm has added value. If it is negative the firm has destroyed value.
To find out whether management has created or destroyed value since its inception, the firms MVA can be used:
MVA=Market value of equity capital (No. Shares Quoted Rate) capital employed

356 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Another school of thought about this formula is as under:
No. of outstanding Equity Shares (Common Stock) at the closing day of a financial year multiplied by the market
rate on that day minus No. of those shares on the last date of the previous financial year multiplied by that year
end rate.
If in between the financial year any new share has been issued, then difference between closing market value
of those shares at the yearend less the gross issue value, including premium received, is added to the value
calculated as per the immediately preceding paragraph,
This calculation shows the difference between the market value of a company and the capital contributed by
investors (both bondholders and shareholders). In other words, it is the sum of all capital claims held against the
company plus the market value of debt and equity. Calculated as:
The higher the MVA, the better. A high MVA indicates the company has created substantial wealth for the
shareholders. A negative MVA means that the value of the actions and investments of management is less than
the value of the capital contributed to the company by the capital markets, meaning wealth or value has been
destroyed.
The aim of the company should be to maximize MVA. The aim should not be to maximize the value of the firm,
since this can be easily accomplished by investing ever-increasing amounts of capital.
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EVA AND MARKET VALUE ADDED
The relationship between EVA and Market Value Added is more complicated than the one between EVA and
Firm Value
The market value of a firm reflects not only the Expected EVA of Assets in place but also the Expected EVA
from future projects To the extent that the actual economic value added is smaller than the expected EVA
the market value can decrease even though the EVA is higher.
This does not imply that increasing EVA is bad from a corporate finance stand point. In fact, given a choice
between delivering a below-expectation EVA and no EVA at all, the firm should deliver the below- expectation
EVA. It does suggest that the correlation between increasing year-to-year EVA and market value will be weaker
for firms with high anticipated growth (and excess returns ) than for firms with low or no anticipated growth. It does
suggest also that investment strategies based upon EVA have to be carefully constructed, especially for firms
where there is an expectation built into prices of high surplus returns.
Illustration: 44

Equity Share Capital ` 5,00,000


13% Preference Share Capital ` 2,00,000
Reserves and Surplus ` 6,00,000
Non trade investments (Face value 1,00,000) Rate of Interest 10%
20% Debentures ` 3,00,000
Profits before tax ` 2,00,000
Tax Rate 40%
WACC 13%

Calculate EVA
Solution:
Economic Value Added = (Return on operating capital weighted average cost of capital) Operating capital.
Working Note 1
Calculation of Return on operating capital

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 357


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

NOPAT = `
Profit before tax 2,00,000
+ Interest Expense 60,000
- Non operating income 10,000
Operating EBIT 2,50,000
Less: economic taxes @ 40% 1,00,000
NOPAT 1,50,000

Working Note 2
Calculation of Operating Capital

`
Equity Share capital 5,00,000
Reserve and surplus 6,00,000
13% preference share capital 2,00,000
20% debenture 3,00,000
Total 16,00,000
Less: Non operating assets 1,00,000
Operating Capital 15,00,000

1,50,000
ROOC = 100 =
10%
15,00,000

EVA = (10% - 13%) 15,00,000 = ` (45,000)

Illustration: 45
Following is the Profit and Loss Account and Balance Sheet for M/s Henry Ltd.
(` in lakhs)

2015 2016
Turnover 652 760
Pre-tax accounting profit 134 168
Taxation 46 58
Profit after tax 88 110
Dividends 30 36
Retained earnings 58 74
Balance Sheet extracts are as follows: (` in lakhs)

2015 2016
Fixed Assets 240 312
Net current assets 260 320
Total 500 632
Equity Share holders funds 390 472
Medium and long-term bank loan 110 160

358 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


The Companies performance in regard to turnover had increased by 17% along with increase in pre- tax profit
by 25% but shareholders are not satisfied by the companys preference in the last 2 years. You are required
to calculate economic value added as suggested by M/s. Stern Stewerts & Co., USA, so that reasons of non-
satisfaction can be evaluated. You are also given -

SN. Particulars 2015 2016


1. Pre-tax cost of debt 9% 10%
2. Cost of equity 15% 17%
3. Tax rate 35% 35%
4. Interest expense `8 `12

Solution:
Calculation of ROOC: (` in lakhs)

NOPAT 2015 2016


PBT 134 168
Add: Int. Expenses 8 12
Less: Taxes @ 35% 142 180
49.7 63
NOPAT (A) 92.3 117
Operating Capital
Equity Shareholders Funds 390 472
Long Term Debt 110 160
Operating Capital(B) 500 632
ROOC = A/B100 18.46% 18.52%

Calculation of WACC:

Particulars 2013 2014


Kd 9%(1-0.35) x 110/500 10%(1-0.35) x 160/632
1.287% 1.645%
Ke 15% x 390/500 17% x 472/632
11.7% 12.7%
12.99% 14.34%
EVA
ROOC 18.46% 18.51%
Less: WAAC 12.99% 14.34%
EVA Spread 5.47% 4.17%
EVA = Spread x Op. Cap. 2,735 Lakhs 2635.44 Lakhs

Since EVA has declined in Year 2014 by 99.56 Lakhs this can be attributed as reason for non-satisfaction.

Illustration: 46
(a) Explain the concept of market value added (MVA). How is EVA connected with MVA?
(b) From the following information concerning Nebula Ltd., prepare a statement showing computation of EVA for
the year ended 31st March 2016:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 359


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Summarized Profit and Loss Account


for the year ended 31st March 2016

` `
Sales 20,00,000
Cost of goods sold 12,00,000
Gross Profit 8,00,000
Expenses:
General 2,00,000
Office and administration 2,50,000
Selling and distribution 64,000 5,14,000
Profit before interest and tax (PBIT) 2,86,000
Interest 36,000 36,000
Profit before tax (PBT) 2,50,000
Tax 40% 1,00,000
Profit after tax 1,50,000

Summarized Balance Sheet as on 31st March 2016

Particular 2016 (`)


EQUITY AND LIABILITIES:
SHAREHOLDERS FUNDS
Share capital 2,40,000
Reserves and Surplus 1,60,000
4,00,000
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
Long-term Borrowings 2,40,000
2,40,000
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Trade payables 1,60,000
1,60,000
TOTAL 8,00,000
ASSETS
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
FIXED ASSETS:
Tangible assets 6,00,000
6,00,000
CURRENT ASSETS
Inventories 1,20,000
Trade receivables 60,000
Cash and bank balances 20,000
2,00,000
TOTAL 8,00,000

360 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Other particulars:
(i) Cost of goods includes depreciation expenses of `60,000.
(ii) The expectation return of shareholders is 12%.
Solution:
(a) Market Value Added (MVA) is the value added to the business by management since the business was
established, over and above the money invested by the owners. Thus, MVA = Market capitalization invested
equity capital. According to another version, MVA is the difference between a companys market value.
(debt plus equity) at any point of time minus the total capital invested in the company, since inception. For
all practical purposes, MVA may be considered as the accumulated EVA As generated by the business over
time. If a company goes on by creating EVA year after year, then these will add up to give a high MVA.
(b) Calculation of ROOC

EBIT 2,86,000
Less: Tax (40%) 1,14,400
NOPAT 1,71,600
Calculation of Operating Capital
Equity Share Capital 2,40,000
+ Reserve & Surplus 1,60,000
+ Term Loans 2,40,000
Operating Capital 6,40,000

1,71,600
ROOC = 100 = 26.81%
6, 40, 000
Calculation of WACC

36, 000
Kd = (1 0.40) = 3.38%
6, 40, 000

12%
Ke = 4,00,000 = 7.50%
6, 40, 000

WACC (3.38% + 7.50%) = 10.88%


EVA = (26.81% - 10.88%) 6,40,000 = ` 1,01,95,200

Illustration: 47
Following is the information collected for a company, provided to you:
BALANCE SHEET OF XYZ LTD AS AT 31st MARCH
(` in Crores)

Particular 2016
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES:
SHAREHOLDERS FUNDS
Share capital 36.37

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 361


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

Reserves and Surplus 2,225.66


2,262.03
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
Long-term Borrowings 6,322.76
Deferred tax liabilities (Net) 39.39
Other long-term liabilities 7.09
Long-term provisions 355.03
6,724.27
CURRENT LIABILITIES 1,797.88
Trade payables 12.24
Other current liabilities 19.00
Short-term provisions 1,829.11
TOTAL 10,815.41
ASSETS
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
FIXED ASSETS:
Tangible assets 4,535.68
Capital work-in-progress 898.83
Intangible assets 550.00
5,984.51
Non-current investments 1,664.30
Long-term loans and advances 891.97
Other non-current assets 3.03
2,559.30
CURRENT ASSETS
Current investments 142.50
Inventories 1,389.92
Trade receivables 585.77
Cash and bank balances 38.41
Short-term loans and advances 115.00
2,271.60
TOTAL 10,815.41


STATEMENT OF PROFIT AND LOSS OF XYZ LTD. FOR THE YEAR ENDING ON 31st MARCH . (` in Crores)

Particulars 2016
Revenue from operations 295.00
Less: Excise Duty 26.39
268.61
Other Operating Income 0.30
Other Income 0.13
TOTAL Revenue 269.04

362 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


EXPENSES
Raw materials consumed 132.79
Power & Fuel Cost 21.37
Changes in inventories of finished goods, work-in-progress, and stock-in-trade (1.63)
Employee benefits expense 5.97
Depreciation and amortization expense 20.77
Interest cost 32.19
Other expenses 34.23
TOTAL expenses 245.69
PROFIT/(LOSS) BEFORE TAX AND EXTRA-ORDINARY ITEMS 23.35
Less: Extra-Ordinary items 0.64
PROFIT/(LOSS) BEFORE TAX 22.71
Tax Expenses 7.38
Tax paid @ 32.50% 1.37
Deferred Tax 8.75
PROFIT/(LOSS) AFTER TAX 13.96

If the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is 15% then you are required to calculate EVA for the year 2015-
16.

Solution:
EVA = NOPAT Capital Employed x Cost of Capital

Calculation of NOPAT (` in crores)


Profit /(Loss) Before Tax and Extra ordinary items ` 23.35
Adjustments for ..
Add: Interest Cost `32.19
Less: Non Operating Income (` 0.13)
Operating Profit Before Tax ` 55.41
Less: Income Tax @ 32.50% ` 18.01
Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) ` 37.40

Calculation of Capital Employed: (` in crores)


Share Capital ` 36.37
Reserves and Surplus ` 2,225.66
Long Term Borrowings ` 6,322.76
Other long term liabilities ` 7.09
Long term provisions ` 355.03
Capital Employed ` 8946.91
Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) ` 37.40
Less: The cost of Capital Employed (8,946.91 x 15%) ` 1,342.04
EVA ` (1,304.64)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 363


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

7.6 VALUATION OF LIABILITIES

Liabilities may be defined as currently existing obligation which a business enterprise intends to meet at some
time in future. Such obligations arise from legal or managerial considerations and impose restrictions on the use of
assets by the enterprise for its own purposes. Accounting Board of USA defines liabilities as economic obligations
of an enterprise that are recognised and measured in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles.
Liabilities also include certain deferred credits that are not obligations but that are recognised and measured in
conformity with generally accepted accounting principles.
Actual liabilities valuation can be done on the basis of true and fair financial position of the business entity. Valuation
should be properly disclose, otherwise it can make disturb to show actual financial health of the company. More
clearly under valuation or over valuation of liabilities may not only affect the operating result and financial position
of the current period but will also affect these for the next accounting period.
Determinants of Liabilities Valuation
(a) The obligation must, of course, exist at the present time. That is, it must arise out of some past transaction or
event. It may arise from the acquisition of goods or services, from losses already sustained for which the firm is
liable, or from the expectation of losses for which the firm has obligation itself.
(b) Equitable obligations or duties should be included if they are based on the necessity of making future payment
to maintain good business relationship or if they are in accordance with normal business practice.
(c) There should be little or no discretion to avoid the future sacrifice. It is necessary that the amount of the
obligation be known with certainty so long as a future sacrifice is probable.
(d) There should be a determinable maturity value or the expectation that payment of an amount determined by
reasonable estimation will be required at some specific time in the future, even through the exact thing is not
known at present. The time of payment may be extended by the substitution of new liabilities, or the obligation
may be terminated by their conversion into stockholder equities.
(e) Normally, the payee would be known or be identifiable either specifically or as a group. However, so long the
payee becomes identifiable by the settlement date, it is not necessary that the payer knows the identity of
payee or that the creditor professes the claim or has knowledge of it at the present time.
The valuation of liabilities is part of the process of measuring both capital and income, and is important to such
problems as capital maintenance and the ascertainment of a firms financial position. According to Borton, the
requirements for an accurate measurement of the financial position and financial structure should determine
the basis for liability valuation. Their valuation should be consistent with the valuation of assets and expenses. The
need for consistency arises from the objectives of liability valuation, which are similar to those to asset valuation.
Probably the most important of these objectives is the desire to record expenses and financial losses in the process
of measuring income. However, the valuation of liabilities should also assist investors and creditors in understanding
the financial position.
Liabilities may be values (i) at their discounted net values in accordance with the manner of valuing assets in
economics; (ii) in accordance with accounting conventions, they may be recorded at their historic value, that
is, the valuation attached to the contractual basis by which they were created. There is no difference between
the two methods of valuation as regards liabilities which are payable immediately and it is only as the maturity
date of liabilities, that makes the difference. While accounting conventions dicate that the valuation of liabilities
should be based on the sum which is payable, it is accounting practice to make a distinction between current
and long-term liabilities. As regard current liabilities there is little difference between the discounted net value
and the contractual value of liabilities. In this connection, current liabilities are defined as those which will mature
during the course of accounting period. The gap between the two methods of valuation is significant as regard
long term liabilities. Long term liabilities are valued on the basis of their historical value, that is, by reference to the
contract from which they originated, and hence, during periods of inflation or where the interest payable is less
than the current market rate of interest, the accounting valuation will certainly be overstated by comparison with
the discounted net value.
Different Processes involved in Liabilities Valuation
There is different process of valuation of liabilities which are discussed below:
Historical Cost: The value of liabilities are recorded at the amount of proceeds received in exchange for the

364 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


obligation, or in some situation, at the amount of cash equivalents expected to be paid to satisfy the liabilities in
the normal course of business.
Current Cost: Liabilities are carried at the undiscounted amount of cash equivalents that would be required to
settle the obligation currently.
Settlement Vlaue: The undiscounted amounts of cash equivalents expected to be required to settle the liabilities
in the normal course of business.
Present Value: Liabilities are carried at the present value of the future cash flow that are expected to be required
to settle the liabilities in the normal course of business.
Classification of Liabilities
Liabilities may be classified as follows:

Liabilities

Internal Liabilities External Liabilities

Fixed or long term Current Liabilities

Deferred Liquid Liabilities


Example of the above liabilities are as follows
Internal Liabilities: Capital Reserve
External Liabilities- Debentures: Creditors, Bills Payable, Bank over Draft etc.
Fixed or long term liabilities: Debentures, Loan or Mortgage
Current Liabilities: Creditors, Bills Payable, Bank Over Draft
Differed Liabilities: The liabilities which are payable after one month but within one year are called Deferred
liabilities.
Liquid Liabilities: The liabilities which are payable within one month called liquid liabilities.
Contingent Liability
A Contingent Liabilities is not a actual liability. Instead, it is a potential liability that depends on a future event
arising out of a past transaction. For example, a town Government may sue the company that setup new light,
claiming that the electrical wiring is fault. The past transaction is the street light installation. The future event is the
court case that will decide the suit. The light companies thus face a contingent liability, which may or may not
become a actual obligation.
Sometimes this liability has a definite amount. Discounting a note receivable creates a contingent that is, a
potential liability for the endorser. If the market of the note pays at maturity, the contingent liability ceases to exist.
However if the maker defaults the payee, who sold the note, must pay its maturity value to the purchaser.
Another contingent liability of know amount arise from guaranteeing that another company will pay a note
payable that the other company owes a third party, this practice is called consignment a note.
The line between contingent liabilities and real liabilities is heard to draw. The contingent liabilities appear in the
body of the balance sheet of total liability, but with no amount. Generally an explanatory note accompanies a
short presentation.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 365


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

As a practical guide, the FASB says to record an actual liability if a (a) it is probable that the business has suffered
a loss and (b) it amount can be reasonably estimated. If both of these conditions are met, the FASB reasons that
the obligation has passed from contingent to real, even if its amount is estimated.

Short Question and Answer:


(a) State whether the following statements are true or false:
(i) In condition of rising prices for change from LIFO to FIFO method, earnings should rise.
(ii) Whenever the yield on a bond is more than coupon rate, the bond will be trading at a discount.
(iii) Increasing the companys future Economic Value Added is key to creating shareholder value.
(iv) Zero coupon bonds have no coupon rate, hence no yield.
(v) Systematic risk of a portfolio is diversifiable.
(vi) Deferred Tax Liabilities are the liabilities towards payment of tax at some future point of time and hence,
while calculating the Net Worth of a company.
(vii) A lower discount would be applied to the cash flows of a government bond compared to a corporate
debenture.
(viii) Price to Book Value (P/B) Ratio is a positive function of Price/Earning (P/E) Ratio but a negative function of
Return on Equity.
(ix) Divestitures represent the sale of a part of a total undertaking.
(x) For trading investments, the valuation is at market value.
Answer:
(i) True
(ii) True
(iii) True
(iv) False
(v) False
(vi) False
(vii) True
(viii) False
(ix) True.
(x) True.

(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) Intangible assets are treated as assets. (Fictitious/Fixed)
(ii) is a measure of value of which tells whether a company is able to generate returns that exceed
the costs of capital employed. (Economic Value Added/Market Value Added/ Enterprise Value Added)
(iii) If a bond of a company is trading at a premium in the market then its yield-to-maturity will be ______________
its current yield. (more than / less than / same as)
(iv) Net Operating Profit After Taxes (Capital Employed x the Cost of Capital) is called______________ .(Book
Value Added/Market Value Added/ Economic Value Added)

366 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


(v) Current liabilities are payable____________ (within/beyond) a period of 1 year.
(vi) Super profit is the excess of future maintainable profits over _____________ expected profits. (normally/
abnormally)
(vii) A firm having positive EAT but negative EVA is actually ___________ Value. (creating /destroying)
(viii) The stronger a brand of a company is, -------------its risk, (lower is/higher is/nothing can be said regarding)
(ix) The ---------------(Tangible/ Intangible)Assets monitor is a management tool for organizations that wish to
track and value their-------------assets, (tangible/ intangible)
(x) EVA is ----------------related to shareholders value. (directly / inversely)

Answer:
(i) Fixed
(ii) Economic Value Added
(iii) less than
(iv) Economic Value Added
(v) Within
(vi) normally
(vii) destroying
(viii) lower is
(ix) Intangible, Intangible
(x) Directly
(c) In each of the questions given below one out of the four options is correct. Indicate the correct answer:
(i) Which is not a, human capital related intangible asset?
(A) Trained workforce
(B) Employment agreements
(C) Union contracts
(D) Design patent
(ii) X Ltd. has `100 crores worth of common equity on its balance sheet comprising of 50 lakhs shares. The
companys Market Value Added (MVA) is `24 crores. What is companys stock price?
(A) `230
(B) `238
(C) `248
(D) `264
(iii) A firms current assets and current liabilities are 1600 and 1000 respectively. How much can it borrow on a
short-term basis without reducing the current ratio below 1.25?
(A) `1,000
(B) `1,200
(C) `1,400

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION 367


Valuation of Assets and Liabilities

(D) `1,600
(iv) Identify which of the following is not a financial liability
(A) X Ltd. has 1 lakh `10 ordinary shares issued
(B) X Ltd. has 1 lakh 8% `10 redeemable preference shares issued
(C) X Ltd. has `2,00,000 of 6% bonds issued
(D) Both (A) and (B)
(v) An investment is risk free when actual returns are always--------------the expected returns.
(A) equal to
(B) less than
(C) more than
(D) depends upon circumstances

Answer:
(i) (D) Design Patent
(ii) (C) `248
`(100+24) crores / 50 lakhs shares
= `248
(iii) (B)`1400
Amount of borrowing be x. (Current Asset will increase because borrowing will increase the cash amount)

1600 + X
= 1.25
1000 + X
Or, X = 1400
(iv) (A) X Ltd. has 1 lakh `10 ordinary shares issued
A share is an indivisible unit of capital, expressing the proprietary relationship between the company and the
shareholder.
(v) (A) Equal to

368 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT & BUSINESS VALUATION


Study Note - 8
VALUATION IN MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS

This Study Note includes

8.1 Meaning of Business Mergers and Acquisitions and Types


8.2 Application of Valuation Models for Business Mergers and Acquisitions
8.3 Determination of Exchange Ratio (Swap) or Purchase Consideration
8.4 Synergistic Benefits and Distribution of Synergy Gains
8.5 Recognition of Interest of Various Stakeholders
8.6 Selection of Appropriate Cost of Capital for Valuation
8.7 Forms of Consideration and terms of Acquisitions
8.8 Impact of Merger on Value of Share

8.1 MEANING OF BUSINESS MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS AND TYPES

Business Strategy: A business strategy typically is a document that clearly articulates the direction that a business
will pursue and the steps it will take to achieve its goals. In a standard business plan, the business strategy results
from goals established to support the stated mission of the business. A typical business strategy is developed in
three steps: analyses, integration and implementation. Analyses include PESTEL, SWOT and Risks. The former calls
for analyses of contemporary business ecosystem covering Product, Economy, Society, Technology, Environment
and Legal.
Strategies for entering to a new business
An organization can enter into a new or unrelated business in any of the following three forms:
(a) Acquisition
(b) Internal start-up
(c) Joint Ventures or strategic partnerships
Corporate Restructuring
Restructuring of business is an integral part of the new economic paradigm. As controls and restrictions give
way to competition and free trade, restructuring and reorganization become essential. Restructuring usually
involves major organizational change such as shift and /or medication in corporate strategies to meet increased
competition or changed market conditions. This is also required by way of a measure to prepare for and mitigating
forthcoming threats, risks and challenges as well as make best use of emerging opportunities.
This activity can take place internally in the form of new investments in plant and machinery, research and
development at product and process levels. It can also take place externally through mergers and acquisitions
(M&A) by which a firm may acquire another firm or by which joint venture with other firms. At times there may be
a need to demerge an existing activity, division or desubsidiarising a subsidiary from the group held by a parent
company.
This restructuring process has been mergers, acquisitions, takeovers, collaborations, consolidation, diversification,
demergers etc. Domestic firms have taken steps to consolidate their position to face increasing competitive
pressures and MNCs have taken this opportunity to enter Indian corporate sector.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 369


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

The Different forms of Corporate Restructuring


The different forms of corporate restructuring are summarized as follows:
Corporate Restructuring

A. Expansion B. Contraction C. Corporate Control


Amalgamation Demerger Going Private
Absorption Spin off Equity Buyback
Tender offer Equity carve out Anti Takeover defences
Asset acquisition Split off Leveraged Buyouts
Joint Venture Split up Step up acquisition or stake dilution
Divestitures
Asset sale

A. Expansion
Amalgamation: This involves fusion of one or more companies where the companies lose their individual
identity and a new company comes into existence to take over the business of companies being liquidated.
The merger of Brooke Bond India Ltd. and Lipton India Ltd. resulted in formation of a new company Brooke
Bond Lipton India Ltd.
Absorption: This involves fusion of a small company with a large company where the smaller company ceases
to exist after the merger. The merger of Tata Oil Mills Ltd. (TOMCO) with Hindustan Lever Ltd. (HLL) is an example
of absorption.
Tender offer: This involves making a public offer for acquiring the shares of a target company with a view to
acquire management control in that company. Takeover by Tata Tea of Consolidated Coffee Ltd. (CCL) is
an example of tender offer where more than 50% of shareholders of CCL sold their holding to Tata Tea at the
offered price which was more than the investment price.
Asset acquisition: This involves buying assets of another company. The assets may be tangible assets like
manufacturing units or intangible like brands. Hindustan Lever Limited buying brands of Lakme is an example
of asset acquisition. In this process only working assets are taken over leaving behind all liabilities and human
resources to the selling company.
Joint venture: This involves two companies coming whose ownership is changed. DCM group and DAEWOO
MOTORS entered into a joint venture to form DAEWOO Ltd. for manufacturing automobiles in India.
B. Contraction
There are generally the following types of DEMERGER:
Spinoff: This type of demerger involves division of company into wholly owned subsidiary of parent company
by distribution of all its shares of subsidiary company on Pro-rata basis. By this way, both the companies i.e.
holding as well as subsidiary company exist and carry on business. For example, Kotak, Mahindra Finance
Ltd. formed a subsidiary called Kotak Mahindra Capital Corporation, by spinning off its investment banking
division. At time demerger also takes place by one company selling one of its line of activities and / or group
of assets including brand if required.
Split ups: This type of demerger involves the division of parent company into two or more separate companies
where parent company ceases to exist after the demerger.
Equity carve out: This is similar to spin offs, except that same part of shareholding of this subsidiary company is
offered to public through a public issue and the parent company continues to enjoy control over the subsidiary
company by holding controlling interest in it. This is also called unleashing of values.
Promoters of a company can also dilute their holding in a listed company through Offer for Sale following the

370 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


SEBIs OFS Regulation of, 2012. A non-listed company can also do this, e.g. Private Equity investors are brought
in as equity partners during a distress or expansion phase for eventual exit after valuation of the company
increases manifold.
Divestitures: These are sale of segment of a company for cash or for securities to an outside party. Divestitures,
involve some kind of contraction.
Asset sale: This involves sale of tangible or intangible assets of a company to generate cash. A partial sell
off, also called slump sale. It involves the sale of a business unit or plant of one firm to another. It is the mirror
image of a purchase of a business unit or plant. From the sellers perspective, it is a form of contraction and
from the buyers point of view it is a form of expansion. For example, When Coromandal Fertilizers Limited sold
its cement division to India Cement limited, the size of Coromandal Fertilizers contracted whereas the size of
India Cements Limited expanded.
C. Corporate controls
Going unlisted: This involves converting a listed company into a private company by buying back all the
outstanding shares from the markets. Several companies like Castrol India and Phillips India, Essar Shipping,
Essar Ports have done this in recent years. A well known example from the U.S. is that of Levi Strauss & Company.
Equity buyback: This involves the company buying its own shares back from the market. This results in reduction
in the equity capital of the company. This strengthens the promoters or group of promoters position by
increasing his/ their stake in the equity of the company.
Anti takeover defences: With a high value of hostile takeover activity in recent years, takeover defences both
premature and reactive have been restored to by the companies.
Leveraged Buyouts: This involves raising of borrowed funds from the market or institutions by the management
to acquire a company on the strength of its assets. In such a deal the acquiring company pays-off to the
shareholders of the acquire much less from its own internal source and leverages the process by borrowings.
Merger
Merger refers to a situation when two or more existing firms combine together and form a new entity. Either a new
company may be incorporated for this purpose or one existing company (generally a bigger one) survives and
another existing company (which is smaller) is merged into it. Laws in India use the term amalgamation for merger.
Merger through absorption
Merger through consolidation
Absorption
Absorption is a combination of two or more companies into an existing company. All companies except one lose
their identity in a merger through absorption. An example of this type of merger is the absorption of Tata Fertilizers
Ltd. (TFL), TCL an acquiring company (a buyer), survived after merger while TFL, an acquired company (the seller),
ceased to exist. TFL transferred its assets, liabilities and shares to TCL.
Consolidation
A consolidation is a combination of two or more companies into a new company. In this type of merger, all
companies are legally dissolved and a new entity is created. In a consolidation, the acquired company transfers its
assets, liabilities and shares to the acquiring company for cash or exchange of shares. An example of consolidation
is the merger of Hindustan Computers Ltd., Hindustan Instruments Ltd., and Indian Reprographics Ltd., to an entirely
new company called HCL Ltd.
Types of Mergers
Generally, the following five different types of mergers are possible:
(a) Horizontal merger: The two companies which have merged are in the same industry, normally the market
share of the new consolidated company would be larger and it is possible that it may move closer to being

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 371


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

a monopoly or a near monopoly. In common parlance when a large FMCG company acquires and merges
with it a logistics management company by way of a cost reduction measure, essentially it is considered as a
part of horizontal merger. It may or may not decide to take business from any other third party
(b) Vertical merger: It means the merger of two companies which are in different field altogether, the coming
together of two concerns may give rise to a situation similar to a monopoly. Under this group the examples
could of an upstream company merging with downstream company, e. g., merger of a crude oil exploration
company with an oil refining company.
(c) Reverse merger : Where, in order to avail benefit to carry forward of losses which are available according to
tax law only to the company which had incurred them, the profit making company is merged with companies
having accumulated losses.
(d) Conglomerate merger: Such mergers involved firms engaged in unrelated type of business operations. In other
words, the business activities of acquirer and the target are not related to each other horizontally or vertically,
i.e. producing the same or competitive products nor vertically having relationship of buyer and supplier.
(e) Co-generic merger: In these mergers, the acquirer and the target companies are related through basic
technologies, production processes or market. The acquired company represents an extension of product
line, market participants or technologies of the acquirer. When a smart phone manufacturing company takes
over a company manufacturing Tabs, it will be a considered as a co-generic merger as product groups are
essentially same except the voice part.
Amalgamation
Amalgamation is an arrangement or reconstruction. It is a legal process by which two or more companies are
to be absorbed or blended with another. As a result, the amalgamating company loses its existence and its
shareholders become shareholders of a new company or the amalgamated company. In case of amalgamation
a new company may came into existence or an old company may survive while amalgamating company may
lose its existence. There may be amalgamation by transfer of one or more undertakings to a new company or
transfer of one or more undertaking to an existing company. Amalgamation signifies the transfers of all or some
part of assets and liabilities of one or more than one existing company or two or more companies to a new
company.
Types of Amalgamation
The Accounting Standard, AS-14, issued by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India has defined the term
amalgamation by classifying (i) Amalgamation in the nature of merger, and (ii) Amalgamation in the nature of
purchase.
(a) Amalgamation in the nature of merger: As per AS-14, an amalgamation is called in the nature of merger if it
satisfies all the following condition:
All the assets and liabilities of the transferor company should become, after amalgamation; the assets and
liabilities of the other company.
Shareholders holding not less than 90% of the face value of the equity shares of the transferor company
(other than the equity shares already held therein, immediately before the amalgamation, by the
transferee company or its subsidiaries or their nominees) become equity shareholders of the transferee
company by virtue of the amalgamation.
The consideration for the amalgamation receivable by those equity shareholders of the transferor
company who agree to become equity shareholders of the transferee company is discharged by the
transferee company wholly by the issue of equity share in the transferee company, except that cash may
be paid in respect of any fractional shares.
The business of the transferor company is intended to be carried on, after the amalgamation, by the
transferee company.
No adjustment is intended to be made in the book values of the assets and liabilities of the transferor

372 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


company when they are incorporated in the financial statements of the transferee company except to
ensure uniformity of accounting policies.
Amalgamation in the nature of merger is an organic unification of two or more entities or undertaking or fusion
of one with another. It is defined as an amalgamation which satisfies the above conditions.
(b) Amalgamation in the nature of purchase: Amalgamation in the nature of purchase is where one companys
assets and liabilities are taken over by another and lump sum is paid by the latter to the former. It is defined as
the one which does not satisfy any one or more of the conditions satisfied above.
As per Income Tax Act 1961, merger is defined as amalgamation under Sec. 2(1B) with the following three
conditions to be satisfied.
I. All the properties of amalgamating company(s) should vest with the amalgamated company after
amalgamation.
II. All the liabilities of the amalgamating company(s) should vest with the amalgamated company after
amalgamation.
III. Shareholders holding not less than 75% in value or voting power in amalgamating company(s) should
become shareholders of amalgamated companies after amalgamation.
Amalgamation does not mean acquisition of a company by purchasing its property and resulting in its winding
up. According to Income tax Act, exchange of shares with 90%of shareholders of amalgamating company is
required.
Acquisition
Acquisition refers to the acquiring of ownership right in the properties and assets without any combination of
companies. Thus in acquisition two or more companies may remain independent, separate legal entity, but there
may be change in control of companies. Acquisition results when one company purchase the controlling interest
in the share capital of another existing company in any of the following ways:
(a) By controlling interest in the other company. By entering into an agreement with a person or persons holding
shares of other company.
(b) By subscribing new shares being issued by the other company.
(c) By purchasing shares of the other company at a stock exchange, and
(d) By making an offer to buy the shares of other company, to the existing shareholders of that company.
Demerger
It has been defined as a split or division. As the name suggests, it denotes a situation opposite to that of merger.
Demerger or spin-off, as called in US involves splitting up of conglomerate (multi-division) of company into separate
companies.
This occurs in cases where dissimilar business are carried on within the same company, thus becoming unwieldy
and cyclical almost resulting in a loss situation. Corporate restructuring in such situation in the form of demerger
becomes inevitable. Merger of SG Chemical and Dyes Ltd. with Ambalal Sarabhai Enterprises Ltd. (ASE) has made
ASE big conglomerate which had become unwieldy and cyclic, so demerger of ASE was done.
A part from core competencies being the main reason for demerging companies according to their nature of
business, in some cases, restructuring in the form of demerger was undertaken for splitting up the family owned
large business empires into smaller companies.
The historical demerger of DCM group where it split into four companies viz., DCM Ltd., DCM Shriram Industries
Ltd., Shriram Industrial Enterprise Ltd. and DCM Shriram Consolidated Ltd. is one example of family units splitting
through demergers. Such demergers are accordingly, more in the nature of family settlements and are affected
through the courts order. In 2005 RIL demerged its telecom business to the then Reliance Infocomm Ltd. when two
brothers split their ownership interests from RIL in the form of spinning-off businesses into separate companies.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 373


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Thus, demerger also occur due to reasons almost the same as mergers i.e. the desire to perform better and
strengthen efficiency, maximisation of synergy benefits business interest and longevity and to curb losses, wastage
and competition. Undertakings demerge to delineate businesses and fix responsibility, liability and management
so as to ensure improved results from each of the demerged unit.
Demerged Company, according to Section (19AA) of Income Tax Act, 1961 means the company whose
undertaking is transferred, pursuant to a demerger to a resulting company.
Resulting company, according to Section2(47A) of Income Tax Act,1961 means one or more company, (including a
wholly owned subsidiary thereof) to which the undertaking of the demerged company is transferred in a demerger,
and the resulting company in consideration of such transfer of undertaking issues shares to the shareholders of
the demerged company and include any authority or body or local authority or public sector company or a
company established, constituted or formed as a result of demerger.
Reverse Merger
Normally, a small company merges with large company or a sick company with healthy company. However, in
some cases, reverse merger is done. When a healthy company merges with a sick or a small company is called
reverse merger. This may be for various reasons. Some reasons for a reverse merger are:
The transferee company is a sick company and has carry forward losses and Transferor Company is profit making
company. If Transferor Company merges with the sick transferee company, it gets advantage of setting-off
carry forward losses without any conditions. If sick company merges with healthy company, many restrictions are
applicable for allowing set off, the most important one is change of ownership at entity level.
In such cases, it is provided that on the date of merger, name of Transferee Company will be changed to that of
Transferor Company. Thus, outside people even may not know that the transferor company with which they are
dealing after merger is not the same as earlier one. One such approved in Shiva Texyarn Ltd.
Forces that drive M & A Activities
The major forces which drive M&A activities since the early 1990s have been identified as the following:
(i) Rapid pace of technological change;
(ii) Low costs of communication and transportation;
(iii) Globalization and global markets;
(iv) Nature of competition in terms of forms, sources and intensity;
(v) Emergence of new types of industries;
(vi) Regulation in some industries and sectors;
(vii) Liberalization in some industries and sectors;
(viii)Maximisation of synergy benefits, deriving benefits of scale, larger market share, expansion of complimentary
product basket, extending benefits of corporate brand, etc.
(ix) Growing inequalities in incomes and wealth.
Merger activity generally comes in waves, and is most common when shares are overvalued. The late 1990s saw
fevered activity. Then the pace slowed in most industries, particularly after September 11, 2001. It picked up again
in mid-2003 as companies that weathered the global recession sought bargains among their battered brethren.
By the start of 2006, a mergers and acquisitions boom was in full swing, provoking a nationalist backlash in some
European countries. The future of the merger wave now depends on how deep the downturn in private equity
proves to be.
Possible causes of different types of Merger
An extensive appraisal of each merger scheme is done to patterns the causes of mergers. These hypothesized
causes (motives) as defined in the mergers schemes and explanatory statement framed by the companies at the

374 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


time of mergers can be conveniently categorized based on the type of merger. The possible causes of different
type of merger schemes are as follows:
(i) Horizontal merger: These involve mergers of two business companies operating and competing in the same
kind of activity. They seek to consolidate operations of both companies. These are generally undertaken to :
(a) Achieve optimum size,
(b) Improve profitability,
(c) Carve out greater market share,
(d) Increase profit and profitability by deriving benefits from operating synergies,
(e) Reduce its administrative and overhead costs.
(ii) Vertical merger: These are mergers between firms in different stages of industrial production in which a buyer
and seller relationship exists. Vertical mergers are an integration undertaken either forward to come close to
customers or backward to come close to raw materials suppliers. These mergers are generally endeavoured
to :
(a) Increased profitability,
(b) Economic cost by eliminating avoidable sales tax and excise duty payments,
(c) Increased marketing power without violating Competition Law,
(d) Increased size, etc.
(iii) Conglomerate merger: These are mergers between two or more companies having unrelated business. These
transactions are not aimed at explicitly sharing resources, technologies, synergies or product. They do not
have an impact on the acquisition of monopoly power and hence are favoured throughout the world. They
are undertaken for diversification of business in other products, trade and for advantages in bringing separate
enterprise under single control namely :
(a) Synergy arising in the form of economies of scale.
(b) Cost reduction as a result of integrated operation.
(c) Risk reduction by avoiding sales and profit instability.
(d) Achieve optimum size and carve out optimum share in the market.
(iv) Reverse mergers: Reverse mergers involve mergers of profit making companies with companies having
accumulated losses in order to:
(a) Claim tax savings on account of accumulated losses that increase profits.
(b) Set up merged asset base and shift to accelerate depreciation.
(v) Group company mergers: These mergers are aimed at restructuring the diverse units of group companies to
create a viable unit and making the company more controllable under reduced umbrella span. Such mergers
are initiated with a view to affect consolidation in order to:
(a) Cut costs and achieve focus,
(b) Eliminate intra-group competition,
(c) Correct leverage imbalances and improve borrowing capacity, etc
Diversification
A commonly stated motive for mergers is to achieve risk reduction through product or business diversification. The
extent, to which risk is reduced, depends upon the correlation between the earnings of the merging entities. While
negative correlation brings greater reduction in risk, positive correlation brings lesser reduction in risk. If investors
can diversify on their own by buying stocks of companies which propose to merge, they do not derive any benefits

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 375


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

from the proposed merger. Any investor who wants to reduce risk by diversifying between two companies, say,
ABC Company and PQR Company, may simply buy the stocks of these two companies and merge them into
a portfolio. The merger of these companies is not necessary for him to enjoy the benefits of diversification. As a
matter of fact, his home-made diversification give him far greater flexibility. He can contribute the stocks of ABC
Company and PQR Company in any proportion he likes as he is not confronted with a fixed proportion that result
from the merger.
Thus, Diversification into new areas and new products can also be a motive for a firm to merge another with it.
A firm operating in North India, if merges with another firm operating primarily in South India, can definitely cover
broader economic areas. Individually these firms could serve only a limited area. Moreover, products diversification
resulting from merger can also help the new firm fighting the cyclical/ seasonal fluctuations. For example, firm
A has a product line with a particular cyclical variations and firm B deals in product line with counter cyclical
variations. Individually, the earnings of the two firms may fluctuate in line with the cyclical variations. However, if
they merge, the cyclically prone earnings of firm A would be set off by the counter cyclically prone earnings of
firm B. Smoothing out the earnings of a firm over the different phases of a cycle tends to reduce the risk associated
with the firm.
Through the diversification effects, merger can produce benefits to all firms by reducing the variability of firms
earnings. If firm As income generally rises when Bs income generally falls, and vice-a versa, the fluctuation of one
will tend to set off the fluctuations of the other, thus producing a relatively level pattern of combined earnings.
Indeed, there will be some diversification effect as long as the two firms earnings are not perfectly correlated
(both rising and falling together). This reduction in overall risk is particularly likely if the merged firms are in different
lines of business.
A firm wants to diversify to achieve:
Sales and growth with stability or lesser volatility in long run,
Favourable growth developments,
Favourable competition shifts,
Benefits from technological changes, etc.
(a) External and Internal Growth: A company may expand and/or diversify its markets internally or externally. If the
company cannot grow internally due to lack of physical and managerial resources, it can grow externally by
combining its operations with other companies through mergers and acquisitions. Mergers and acquisitions
may help to accelerate the pace of a companys growth in a convenient and inexpensive manner.
For example, RPG Group had a turnover of only ` 80 crores in 1979. This has increased to about ` 5600 crores
in 1996. This phenomenal growth was due to the acquisitions of several companies by the RPG Group. Some
of the companies acquired are Asian Cables, Ceat, Calcutta Electricity Supply, etc. This kind of strategies to
achieve growth is termed as inorganic growth strategy.
(b) Market Share: A merger can increase the market share of the merged firm. The increased concentration or
market share improves the profitability of the firm due to economies of scale.
The acquisition of Universal Luggage by Blow Plast is an example of limiting competition to increase market
power. Before the merger, the two companies were competing fiercely with each other leading to a severe
price war and increased marketing costs. As a result of the merger, Blow Plast has obtained a strong hold
on the market and now operates under near monopoly situation. Yet another example is the acquisition of
Tomco by Hindustan Lever. Hindustan Lever at the time of merger was expected to control one-third of three
million ton soaps and detergents markets and thus, substantially reduce the threat of competition.
(c) Purchase of assets at bargain price: Mergers may be explained by the opportunity to acquire assets, particularly
land, mined rights, plant and equipment at lower cost than would be incurred if they were purchased or
constructed at current market prices. If market prices of many stocks have been considerably below the
replacement cost of the assets they represent, expanding firm considering constructing plants developing
mines, or buying equipment.

376 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(d) Increased external financial capability: Many mergers, particularly those of relatively small firms into large
ones, occur when the acquired firm simply cannot finance its operations. This situation is typical in a small
growing firm with expanding financial requirements. The firm has exhausted its bank credit and has virtually no
access to long term debt or equity markets. Sometimes the small firms have encountered operating difficulty
and the bank has served notice that its loans will not be renewed. In this type of situation, a large firm with
sufficient cash and credit to finance the requirements of the smaller one probably can obtain a good situation
by making a merger proposal to the small firm. The only alternative the small firm may have is to try to interest
two or more larger firms in proposing merger to introduce completion into their bidding for the acquisition.
(e) Increased managerial skills: Occasionally, a firm will have good potential that it finds itself unable to develop
fully because of deficiencies in certain areas of management or an absence of needed product or production
technology. If the firm cannot hire the management or develop the technology it needs, it might combine with
a compatible firm that has the needed managerial personnel or technical expertise. Any merger, regardless
of the specific motive for it, should contribute to the maximization of owners wealth.
(f) Reduction in tax liability: Under Income Tax Act, there is a provision for set-off and carry forward of losses against
its future earnings for calculating its tax liability. A loss making or sick company may not be in a position to earn
sufficient profits in future to take advantage of the carry forward provision. If it combines with a profitable
company, the combined company can utilize the carry forward loss and save taxes with the approval of
government. In India, a profitable company is allowed to merge with a sick company to set-off against its
profits the accumulated loss and unutilized depreciation of that company. A number of companies in India
have merged to take advantage of this provision.
The following is the list of some companies along with the amount of tax benefits enjoyed:
Orrisa Synthesis merged with Straw product Ltd. (` 16 crores)
Ahmadabad Cotton Mills merged with Arvind Mills (` 3.34 crores)
Sidhpur Mills merged with Reliance Industries Ltd. (` 3.34 crores)
Alwyn Missan merged with Mahinder and Mahindra Ltd. (` 2.47 crores)
Hyderabad Alwyn merged with Voltas Ltd. (` 1600 crores)
(g) Economies of Scale: Economies of scale arise when increase in the volume of production leads to a reduction
in the cost of production per unit. Merger may help to expand volume of production without a corresponding
increase in fixed costs. Thus, fixed costs are either distributed over a large volume of production or some
common costs are rationalised or fully avoided causing the unit cost of production to decline. For example, in
a merged company needs one service function team/ head like Secretarial, Procurement, Human Resource
etc. Economies of scale may also arise from other indivisibilities such as production facilities, management
functions and management resources and systems. This happens because a given function, facility or resource
is utilized for a large scale of operation. For example, a given mix of plant and machinery can produce scale
economies when its capacity utilization is increased. Economies will be maximized when it is optimally utilized.
Similarly, economies in the use of the marketing function can be achieved by covering wider markets and
customers using a given sales force and promotion and advertising efforts. Economies of scale may also be
obtained from the optimum utilization of management resource and systems of planning, budgeting, reporting
and control. A company establishes management systems by employing enough qualified professionals
irrespective of its size. A combined firm with a large size can make the optimum use of the management
resource and systems resulting in economies of scale.
(h) Vertical Integration: Vertical integration is a combination of companies business with the business of a supplier
or customer generally motivated by a pure desire :
(a) To secure a source of supply for key materials or sources,
(b) To secure a distribution outlet or a major customer for the companys products,
(c) To improve profitability by expanding into high margin activities of suppliers and customers, etc.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 377


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Thus, vertical merger may take place to integrate forward or backward. Forward integration is where company
merges to come close to its customers. A holiday tour operator might acquire chain of travel agents and use
them to promote his own holiday rather than those of rival tour operators. So forward or downstream vertical
integration involves takeover of customer business.
Tata Teas acquisition of consolidated coffee which produces coffee beans and Asian Coffee, which
possesses coffee beans, was also backward integration which helped reduce exchange inefficiencies by
eliminating market transactions. The merger of Samtel Electron services (SED) with Samtel Color Ltd. (SCL)
entailed backward integration of SED which manufactures electronic components required to make picture
tubes with SCL, a leading maker of color picture tube.
Mergers & Acquisitions have gained importance in recent time
Merger - Its the most talked about term today creating lot of excitement and speculative activity in the markets.
But before Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) activity speeds up, it has to actually pass through a long chain of
procedures (both legal and financial), which at times delays the deal.
With the liberalization of the Indian economy in 1991, restrictions on Mergers and Acquisitions have been lowered.
The process has further been simplified in the Companies Act, 2013 and also by introducing several business friendly
regulatory provisions by RBI and FEMA, FDI for outbound and inbound M&As involving off-shore companies. The
numbers of Mergers and Acquisitions have increased many times in the last decade compared to the slack period
of 1970-80s when legal hurdles trimmed the M&A growth. To put things in perspective, from 15 mergers in 1998,
the number crossed to over 280 in FY01. With a downturn in the capital markets, valuations have come down to
historic lows. Its high time that the consolidation game speeds up.
In simple terms, a merger means blending of two or more existing undertakings into one, consequent to which each
undertaking would lose their separate identity. The most common reasons for mergers are, operating synergies,
market expansion, diversification, growth, consolidation of production capacities and tax savings. However, these
are just some of the illustrations and not the exhaustive benefits.
Again, before the idea of Merger and Acquisition crystallizes, the firm needs to understand its own capabilities and
industry position. It also needs to know the same about the other firms it seeks to tie up with, to get a real benefit
from a merger.
Globalization has increased the competitive pressure in the markets. In a highly challenging environment a strong
reason for merger and acquisition is a desire to survive. Thus apart from growth, the survival factor has off late,
spurred the merger and acquisition activity worldwide.
The present study gives some insight as to why the companies are going for merger and acquisition and what
are the legal, tax and financial aspects governing them. The study also deals with other aspects such as types of
merger, motives, reasons, and successful consolidation in merger, recent trend in merger and acquisition activity.
Lastly few case studies involving the merger and acquisition have been taken.
Mergers, acquisitions and restructuring have become a major force in the financial and economic environment
all over the world. Essentially an American phenomenon till the middle of 1970s, they have become a dominant
global business theme at present. On Indian scene too corporate are seriously making at mergers, acquisitions
which has become order of the day.
Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and corporate restructuring are a big part of the corporate finance world. Every
day, Wall Street investment bankers arrange M&A transactions, which bring separate companies together to form
larger ones. When theyre not creating big companies from smaller ones, corporate finance deals do the reverse
and break up companies through spin-offs, carve-outs or tracking stocks.
Not surprisingly, these actions often make the news. Deals can be worth hundreds of millions, or even billions, of
dollars. They can dictate the fortunes of the companies involved for years to come. For a CEO, leading an M&A
can represent the highlight of a whole career. And it is no wonder we hear about so many of these transactions;
they happen all the time. Next time you flip open the newspapers business section, odds are good that at least
one headline will announce some kind of M&A transaction.

378 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Sure, M&A deals grab headlines, but what does this all mean to investors, it discusses the forces that drive companies
to buy or merge with others, or to split-off or sell parts of their own businesses. Once you know the different ways
in which these deals are executed, youll have a better idea of whether you should cheer or weep when a
company you own buys another company - or is bought by one. You will also be aware of the tax consequences
for companies and for investors.
Factors that favour external growth and diversification through Mergers and Acquisitions
(i) Some goals and objectives may be achieved more speedily through an external acquisition.
(ii) The cost of building an organization internally may exceed cost of an acquisition.
(iii) There may be fewer risks, lower costs, or shorter time requirements involved in achieving an economically
feasible market share by the external route.
(iv) The firm may not be utilizing their assets or arrangement as effectively as they could be utilized by the acquiring
firm.
(v) The firm may be able to use securities in obtaining other companies, where as it might not be able to finance
the acquisition of equivalent assets and capabilities internally.
(vi) There may be tax advantages.
(vii) There may be opportunities to complement capabilities of other firms.
Merits and demerits of Merger and Acquisitions

Gains Pains
(i) Financial Returns/Profitability (i) Expenses / Drain on Profitability
(ii) Aligned Org Structure. (ii) Time and resource required to manager / transition.
(iii) New approaches to conducting work. (iii) Reduced work productivity and quality.
(iv) Motivated and capable talent. (iv) Unintended consequences for employees attitudes and
behaviour.
(v) Desired culture. (v) Culture clash.
(vi) Cost Savings. (vi) Concerns of stakeholders.

Process of Searching Target Company for Merger & Acquisition


Search for acquisition of Target Company based on objectives of the acquirer company.
(I) Services of Intermediaries
(a) Consultants (a) Finding a Target company and conducting preliminary due diligence.
(b) Merchant bankers (b) Negotiation
(c) Financial Institutions (c) Compliance of legal formalities
(d)
Completion of Financial arrangement
(e)
Closing the deals.
(II) Primary Due diligence about Target Company.
(a) Industry Analysis : Competition
Growth Rate / Future projections
Barriers to entry / Exit
Mergers and acquisitions in industry and results
(b) Financial Analysis : Balance sheet and Profit and loss for past years

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 379


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Budgets and forecasts


Financial ratios - Return on Assets
- Return on Net worth
- GP / NP
- D/ E Ratio
- Expense Ratio
Replacement cost data
Valuation of Assets / Liabilities
(c) Management Analysis : Assessment of Senior Management
Business Experience
Union Contract / Strike History
Labour Relations / Agreements
Personnel Schemes
Profile of permanent employees
(d) Marketing Analysis : Data on Past Sales
Customer profile
Major sales agreements
Trends
Distribution channels
Product Profile
Development / Disclosure
(e) Manufacturing : Location
Technology
Manufacturing process
Quality
R & D
(III) Other Information
- Inventory valuation, obsolescence, over valuation.
- Litigation
- Doubtful debts
- Unrealized / Unrealizable Assets / Investments
- Tax status / Assessments / Outstanding dues
(IV) Economic Analysis
- Business Cycles
- Public Interest
- Government Prices / Incentives

380 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


- Condition of securities market
(V) Comparison of Alternative Target companies and Arrival of decision as regards target company.
(VI) Strategy for takeover - method to be employed.
- Friendly takeover through negotiations
- Hostile
(VII) Valuation of Assets and arriving at Purchase consideration.
(VIII) Mode of Payment
- Cash
- Share Exchange Ratio
(IX) Legal formalities
- Takeover code
- Company law
- Income tax / SICA / IDR / MRTP
(X) Post Merger Integration and monitoring of implementation with a keen eye on ensuring that synergic benefits
are derived in full.
Merger can revive a sick company
An important motive for merger is to turn around a financially sick company through the process of merger.
Amalgamation taking place under the aegis of Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction (BIFR) fall under
this category.
BIFR found revival of ailing companies through the means of their merger with healthy company as the most
successful route for revival of their financial health. Firstly, the purpose is to revive a group of sick companies by
merging it with groups of healthy company by obtaining concessions from financial institution and government
agencies and obtaining benefits of tax concessions u/s 72A of Income Tax Act, 1961. Secondly, it also helps to
preserve group reputation. Some of the group companies which have amalgamated through the BIFR include
Mahindra Missan Allwyn with Mahindra and Mahindra, Hyderabad, Allwyn with Voltas etc.
Major theories of Mergers & Acquisitions
The following theories of mergers and acquisitions are discussed below:
(i) Synergy or Efficiency : In this theory, the total value from the combination is greater than the sum of the values
of the component companies operating independently.
(ii) Hubris: The result of the winners curse, causing bidders to overpay. It is possible that value is unchanged.
(iii) Agency: The total value here is decreased as a result of mistakes or managers who put their own preferences
above the well-being of the company.

8.2 APPLICATION OF VALUATION MODELS FOR BUSINESS MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS

Investors in a company that are aiming to take over another one must determine whether the purchase will be
beneficial to them. In order to do so, they must ask themselves how much the company being acquired is really
worth.
Naturally, both sides of an M&A deal will have different ideas about the worth of a target company: its seller will
tend to value the company at as high of a price as possible, while the buyer will try to get the lowest price that
he can.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 381


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

There are, however, many legitimate ways to value companies. The most common method is to look at comparable
companies in an industry, but deal makers employ a variety of other methods and tools when assessing a target
company. Here are just a few of them:
1. Comparative Ratios - The following are two examples of the many comparative metrics on which acquiring
companies may base their offers:
Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) - With the use of this ratio, an acquiring company makes an offer that is
a multiple of the earnings of the target company. Looking at the P/E for all the stocks within the same
industry group will give the acquiring company good guidance for what the targets P/E multiple should
be.
Enterprise-Value-to-Sales Ratio (EV/Sales) - With this ratio, the acquiring company makes an offer as a
multiple of the revenues, again, while being aware of the price-to-sales ratio of other companies in the
industry.
2. Replacement Cost - In a few cases, acquisitions are based on the cost of replacing the target company. For
simplicitys sake, suppose the value of a company is simply the sum of all its equipment and staffing costs.
The acquiring company can literally order the target to sell at that price, or it will create a competitor for
the same cost. Naturally, it takes a long time to assemble good management, acquire property and get the
right equipment. This method of establishing a price certainly wouldnt make much sense in a service industry
where the key assets - people and ideas - are hard to value and develop.
3. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) - A key valuation tool in M&A, discounted cash flow analysis determines a
companys current value according to its estimated future cash flows. Forecasted free cash flows (net income
+ depreciation/amortization - capital expenditures - change in working capital) are discounted to a present
value using the companys weighted average costs of capital (WACC). Admittedly, DCF is tricky to get right,
but few tools can rival this valuation method.
Synergy: The Premium for Potential Success
For the most part, acquiring companies nearly always pay a substantial premium on the stock market value of
the companies they buy. The justification for doing so nearly always boils down to the notion of synergy; a merger
benefits shareholders when a companys post-merger share price increases by the value of potential synergy.
Lets face it; it would be highly unlikely for rational owners to sell if they would benefit more by not selling. That
means buyers will need to pay a premium if they hope to acquire the company, regardless of what pre-merger
valuation tells them. For sellers, that premium represents their companys future prospects. For buyers, the premium
represents part of the post-merger synergy they expect can be achieved. The following equation offers a good
way to think about synergy and how to determine whether a deal makes sense. The equation solves for the
minimum required synergy:

Pr e Merger Value of Firms + Synergy


= Pr e Merger Stock Pr ice
Post Merger Number of Shares
In other words, the success of a merger is measured by whether the value of the buyer is enhanced by the action.
However, the practical constraints of mergers, which we discuss in part five, often prevent the expected benefits
from being fully achieved. Alas, the synergy promised by deal makers might just fall short.

8.3 DETERMINATION OF EXCHANGE RATIO (SWAP) OR PURCHASE CONSIDERATION

Commonly used bases to compute the Exchange Ratio

Aspect Earnings Per share (EPS) Market Price per share (MPS) Book Value per share (BVS)
Computation MPS of Selling Co. BVS of Selling Co.
MPS of Buying Co. BVS of Buying Co.

382 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Suitability When there are no differential When the shares of the If accounting policies
risks associated with the two acquiring and the target Firm are to be reflected in the
companies entering into are actively traded in the determination of Exchange
Merger. market Ratio.
Demerits 1. Difference in growth rate 1. When the trading is thin, Exchange ratio determined
of earnings of two companies market prices may not be a under this method does not
will not be highlighted. reliable measure. reflect the purchasing power
2. Gains in earnings 2. Market prices may be of money, and are highly
arising out of merger are not manipulated by vested different from true economic
considered to determine interest and the Exchange values.
Exchange Ratio. Ratio determined may not
reflect the true position.

8.4 SYNERGISTIC BENEFITS AND DISTRIBUTION OF SYNERGY GAINS

While the target company always gains, the acquirer gains when synergy accrues from combined operations,
and loses under the other two theories. The total value becomes positive under synergy, becomes zero under the
second, and becomes negative under the third.
Motives of for Mergers and Acquisitions
Mergers and acquisitions are strategic decisions leading to the maximization of a companys growth by enhancing
its production and marketing operations. They have become popular in the recent times because of the enhanced
competition, breaking of trade barriers, free flow of capital across countries and globalization of business as a
number of economies are being deregulated and integrated with other economies. A number of motives are
attributed for the occurrence of mergers and acquisitions.
(i) Synergies through Consolidation: Synergy implies a situation where the combined firm is more valuable than
the sum of the individual combining firms. It is defined as two plus two equal to five (2 + 2 = 5) phenomenon.
Synergy refers to benefits other than those related to economies of scale. Operating economies are one form
of synergy benefits. But apart from operating economies, synergy may also arise from enhanced managerial
capabilities, creativity, innovativeness, R&D and market coverage capacity due to the complementary
nature of resources and skills and a widened horizon of opportunities.
An undervalued firm will be a target for acquisition by other firms. However, the fundamental motive for the
acquiring firm to takeover a target firm may be the desire to increase the wealth of the shareholders of the
acquiring firm. This is possible only if the value of the new firm is expected to be more than the sum of individual
value of the target firm and the acquiring firm. For example, if A Ltd. and B Ltd. decide to merge into AB Ltd. then
the merger is beneficial if
V (AB) > V (A) +V (B)
Where
V (AB) = Value of the merged entity
V (A) = Independent value of company A
V (B) = Independent value of company B
Igor Ansoff (1998) classified four different types of synergies. These are :
(a) Operating synergy: The key to the existence of synergy is that the target firm controls a specialized resource
that becomes more valuable when combined with the bidding firms resources. The sources of synergy of
specialized resources will vary depending upon the merger. In case of horizontal merger, the synergy comes
from some form of economies of scale which reduce the cost or from increase market power which increases
profit margins and sales. There are several ways in which the merger may generate operating economies.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 383


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

The firm might be able to reduce the cost of production by eliminating some fixed costs. The research and
development expenditures will also be substantially reduced in the new set up by eliminating similar research
efforts and repetition of work already done by the target firm. The management expenses may also come
down substantially as a result of corporate reconstruction. Certain major examples are Tata Indica deriving
technology advantage from Jaguar Land Rover acquisition as well as using the same distribution channel in
western countries for selling exported Indica cars and imported JLR cars through its own channel.R&D benefits
getting generated due to SunPharma acquiring Ranbaxy will be for mutual advantage besides cost savings
from convergence.
The selling, marketing and advertisement department can be streamlined. The marketing economies may
be produced through savings in advertising (by reducing the need to attract each others customers), and
also from the advantage of offering a more complete product line (if the merged firms produce different
but complementary goods), since a wider product line may provide larger sales per unit of sales efforts and
per sales person. When a firm having strength in one functional area acquires another firm with strength in a
different functional area, synergy may be gained by exploiting the strength in these areas. A firm with a good
distribution network may acquire a firm with a promising product line, and thereby can gain by combining
these two strength. The argument is that both firms will be better off after the merger. A major saving may arise
from the consolidation of departments involved with financial activities e.g., accounting, credit monitoring,
billing, purchasing etc.
Thus, when two firms combine their resources and efforts, they will be able to produce better results than
they were producing as separate entities because of saving various types of operating costs. These resultant
economies are known as synergistic operating economies.
In a vertical merger, a firm may either combine with its supplier of input (backward integration) and/or with
its customers (forward integration). Such merger facilitates better coordination and administration of
the different stages of business stages of business operations-purchasing, manufacturing and marketing
eliminates the need for bargaining (with suppliers and/or customers), and minimizes uncertainty of supply of
inputs and demand for product and saves costs of communication.
An example of a merger resulting in operating economies is the merger of Sundaram Clayton Ltd. (SCL) with
TVS-Suzuki Ltd. (TSL).By this merger, TSL became the second largest producer of two wheelers after Bajaj. The
main objective motivation for the takeover was TSLs need to tide over its different market situation through
increased volume of production. It needed a large manufacturing base to reduce its production costs. Large
amount of funds would have been required for creating additional production capacity. SCL also needed to
upgrade its technology and increase its production. SCLs and TCLs plants were closely located which added
to their advantages. The combined company has also been enabled to share the common R&D facilities.
(b) Financial synergy: Financial synergy refers to increase in the value of the firm that accrues to the combined
firm from financial factors. There are many ways in which a merger can result into financial synergy and benefit.
A merger may help in:
Eliminating financial constraint
Deployment surplus cash
Enhancing debt capacity
Lowering the financial costs
Better credit worthiness
Financial Constraint: A company may be constrained to grow through internal development due to shortage
of funds. The company can grow externally by acquiring another company by the exchange of shares and
thus, release the financing constraint.
Deployment of Surplus Cash: A different situation may be faced by a cash rich company. It may not have
enough internal opportunities to invest its surplus cash. It may either distribute its surplus cash to its shareholders
or use it to acquire some other company. The shareholders may not really benefit much if surplus cash is

384 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


returned to them since they would have to pay tax at ordinary income tax rate. But if a Company can return
cash to shareholders either by payment of Dividend or through buy back of shares at the current appreciated
value, then the dividend distribution tax will be paid by the company and no capital gains will be paid by the
shareholders if holding is for more than one year. Their wealth may increase through an increase in the market
value of their shares if surplus cash is used to acquire another company. If they sell their shares, they would pay
tax at a lower, capital gains tax rate. The company would also be enabled to keep surplus funds and grow
through acquisition.
Debt Capacity: A merger of two companies, with fluctuating, but negatively correlated, cash flows, can bring
stability of cash flows of the combined company. The stability of cash flows reduces the risk of insolvency and
enhances the capacity of the new entity to service a larger amount of debt. The increased borrowing allows
a higher interest tax shield which adds to the shareholders wealth.
Financing Cost: The enhanced debt capacity of the merged firm reduces its cost of capital. Since the
probability of insolvency is reduced due to financial stability and increased protection to lenders, the merged
firm should be able to borrow at a lower rate of interest. This advantage may, however, be taken off partially
or completely by increase in the shareholders risk on account of providing better protection to lenders.
Another aspect of the financing costs is issue costs. A merged firm is able to realize economies of scale in
flotation and transaction costs related to an issue of capital. Issue costs are saved when the merged firm
makes a larger security issue.
Better credit worthiness: This helps the company to purchase the goods on credit, obtain bank loan and raise
capital in the market easily.
RP Goenkas Ceat Tyres sold off its type cord division to Shriram Fibers Ltd. in 1996 and also transferred its fiber
glass division to FGL Ltd., another group company to achieve financial synergies.
(c) Managerial synergy:
One of the potential gains of merger is an increase in managerial effectiveness. This may occur if the existing
management team, which is performing poorly, is replaced by a more effective management team. Often
a firm, plagued with managerial inadequacies, can gain immensely from the superior management that is
likely to emerge as a sequel to the merger. Another allied benefit of a merger may be in the form of greater
congruence between the interests of the managers and the shareholders. In present day scenario banks
consider the managerial abilities and reliability factor as one of the considerations for adding margin spread
over base rate or marginal rate of lending to fix the rate of interest to be charged to a company. Hence higher
the dependency factor lower the rate of interest on borrowings.
A common argument for creating a favourable environment for mergers is that it imposes a certain discipline
on the management. If lacklustre performance renders a firm more vulnerable to potential acquisition, existing
managers will strive continually to improve their performance.
(d) Sales synergy:
These synergies occurs when merged organization can benefit from common distribution channels, sales
administration, advertising, sales promotion and warehousing.
The Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India Ltd. (ICICI) acquired Tobaco Company, ITC Classic
and Anagram Finance to obtain quick access to a well dispersed distribution network.

8.5 RECOGNITION OF INTEREST OF VARIOUS STAKEHOLDERS

It is evident that numerous parties other than the bidder and biddee will be affected by an acquisition. A variety
of stakeholders in the company will be involved in some way, for example: employees, suppliers, customers,
environmental and health agencies, the government (through taxation and grants) and indeed, any person or
institution whose activities may be directly affected by the entitys operations.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 385


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Failure to discuss takeover plans with some of these stakeholder groups, especially employee representatives and
government, can lead to prolonged and expensive confrontations. The interests of the local community need to
be recognised also as localised protests can commercially sound proposal.

8.6 SELECTION OF APPROPRIATE COST OF CAPITAL FOR VALUATION

Capital Asset Pricing Model:


The most widely used method in calculating the cost of equity is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). In CAPM,
the required return on equity is a risk-free return plus a risk component.
Cost of equity = Risk-free rate + market price of risk x beta

Illustration 1.
The risk-free rate = 5.5%
The market price of risk = 7%
The companys beta = 1.2
Cost of equity = 5.5% + 7% (1.2) = 13.9%
The Dividend Growth Model:
Cost of equity = Expected Dividend yield + expected growth rate.
Bond Yield Plus Equity Risk Adjustment:
Cost of equity = Bond yield + spread over bond yields.
Cost of Debt:
Cost of debt should be on after-tax basis, as interest is tax deductible. Therefore, the cost of debt is given by:
The after-tax cost of DEBT = Kd (1-T) Where T = Tax rate.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital:
The financial proportions of debt and equity are used as guide.

Illustration 2.
Cost of debt 8%
Tax rate = 40%
Capital structure: Debt: 40% and Equity: 60%
Weighted average cost of capital = 13.9%(0.60) + 8%(1-0.40)(0.40) = 10.26%

8.7 FORMS OF CONSIDERATION AND TERMS OF ACQUISITION

The provisions of Accounting Standard (AS-14) on Accounting for Amalgamations need to be referred to in this
context.
Methods of Payment:
The two main methods of financing an acquisition are cash and share exchange.
(1) Cash: This method is generally considered suitable for relatively small acquisitions. It has two advantages: (i)
the buyer retains total control as the shareholders in the selling company are completely bought out, and (ii)
the value of the bid is known and the process is simple.

386 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 3.

Company A Company B
Market price per share ` 75 `15
No. of shares 1,00,000 60,000
Market Value of the company ` 75,00,000 ` 9,00,000

Assume Company A intends to pay `12,00,000/- cash for Company B.


If the share price does not anticipate a merger:
The share price in the market is expected to accurately reflect the true value of the company.
The cost to the bidder Company A = Payment - The market value of Company B
= `12 lakhs `9 lakhs
= `3 lakhs.
Company A is paying `3 lakhs for the identified benefits of the merger.
If the share price includes a speculation element of `2 per share:
The cost to Company A = `3,00,000 + (60,000 `2)
= `3,00,000 + `1,20,000
= `4,20,000/-
Worth of Company B = (`15 `2) 60,000
= `13 60,000
= `7,80,000/-
This can also be expressed as: `12,00,000 `4,20,000 = `7,80,000
(2) Share Exchange
The method of payment in large transactions is predominantly stock for stock. The advantage of this method
is that the acquirer does not part with cash and does not increase the financial risk by raising new debt. The
disadvantage is that the acquirers shareholders will have to share future prosperity with those of the acquired
company and also loses the benefits from tax shield on interest which it would have derived.
Such settlement of an acquisition transaction through equity share of the acquirer is also technically called as
Equity as the Currency of the Deal

Illustration 4.
Suppose Company A wished to offer shares in Company A to the shareholders of Company B instead of cash:
Amount to be paid to shareholders of Company B = `12,00,000
Market price of shares of Company A = `75
No. of shares to be offered = `12,00,000/ ` 75
=
16,000
Now, shareholders of Company B will own part of Company A, and will benefit from any future gains of the
merged enterprise.
Their share in the merged enterprise = 16,000 / (1,00,000 + 16,000)
= 13.8%

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 387


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Further, now suppose that the benefits of the merger has been identified by Company A to have a present value
of `4,00,000
The value of the merged entity = ` 75,00,000 + (` 9,00,000 + ` 4,00,000)
=
` 88,00,000
True cost of merger to the shareholders of Company A:

Company A Company B
Proportion of ownership in merged enterprise 86.2% 13.8%
Market Value: Total = ` 88,00,000 75,85,600 12,14,400
No. of shares currently in issue 100,000 60,000
Market price per share `75.86 `20.24

The above gives the value of shares in the company before the merger is completed, based on estimates of what
the company will be worth after the merger.
The valuation of each company also recognizes the split of the expected benefits which will accrue to the
combined entity once the merger has taken place.
The true cost can be calculated as given below:

60,000 shares in Company B @ `20.24 `12,14,400


Less: Current market value ` 9,00,000
Benefits being paid to shareholders of Company B ` 3,14,400

Participants in the Merger and Acquisition Process


There are many professionals who play an essential role in the successful completion of a deal.
(a) Investment Bankers: Investment bankers are always at the forefront of the acquisition process. They offer
strategic and tactical advice, screen potential buyers and sellers, make initial contact with a seller and buyer
and provide negotiation support, valuation and deal structuring. Investment bankers in addition providing
investment advisory services also provide various types of due diligence services as discussed above.
(b) Lawyers: The legal framework surrounding a typical transaction has become so complicated that no one
individual can have sufficient expertise to address all the issues. So, legal teams consist of more than a dozen
lawyers each of whom represents a specialised aspect of the law.
(c) Accountants : Accountants perform the role of auditors by reviewing the targets financial statements and
operations through a series of interviews with senior and middle level managers. These services are generally
provided by Accounting Advisory Group of professional accounting firms like a Big4.
(d) Valuation Experts: They build models that incorporate various assumptions such as costs or revenues growth
rate.
(e) Institutional Investors: Institutional investors can announce how they intend to vote on a matter and advertise
their position in order to seek support and have more influence.
(f) Arbitrageurs: Arbitrageurs provide market liquidity during transactions. With the number of merger arbitrageurs
increasing, they are becoming more proactive in trying to anticipate takeover situations. Their objective is to
identify the target before the potential acquirer is required by law to announce its intentions.

8.8 IMPACT OF MERGER ON VALUE OF SHARES

Shareholder Value Analysis (SVA) focuses on the creation of economic value for Shareholders, as measured by
share price performance and flow of funds.
Shareholder Value is used to link management strategy and decision to the creating of value for shareholders.

388 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Value Drivers: Factors or value Drivers which influence the Shareholders Value are identified.
Example: Growth in Sales, profit Margin, Capital Investments Decisions, etc.
Management Responsibilities: Management should pay attention to Value drivers, while taking investment
and finance decisions.
Benefit
(a) SVA helps the management to concentrate on activities which create value to the shareholders rather than
on short- term profitability.
(b) SVA and EVA together helps to strengthen the competitive position of the Firm, by focusing on wealth creation.
(c) They provide an objective and consistent framework of evaluation and decision- making across all function,
departments and units of the Company.
Illustration 5.
Assume the current market value of the bidding company is `40 crores, and that of the target company is also `40
crores. Then, the sum of the values as independent companies is ` 80 crores. Suppose, as a combined entity, due
to synergistic effects, the value increases to `100 crores. The amount of value created is `20 crores. How will the
increase in value be shared or divided between the bidder and the target company?
Solution:
Targets usually receive a premium. If the bidder pays the target a premium of less than `20 crores, it will share in
the value increases. If the bidder pays `60 crores to the target, all gains will go the target company. The bidder
achieves no value increase for itself. On the other hand, if the bidder pays `70 crores to the target, the value of
bidder will down to `30 crores.
Illustration 6.
Acquiring company is considering the acquisition of Target Company in a stock- for- stock transaction in which
target Company would receive `90 for each share of its common stock. The Acquiring company does not expect
any change in its price/ earnings ratio multiple after the merger and chooses to value the target company
conservatively by assuming no earnings growth due to synergy.
Calculate:
(i) The purchase price premium
(ii) The exchange ratio
(iii) The number of new shares issued by the acquiring company.
(iv) Post-merger EPS of the combined firms
(v) Pre-merger EPS of the Acquiring company
(vi) Pre-merger P/E ratio
(vii) Post-merger share price
(viii) Post-merger equity ownership distribution.
The following additional information is available.

Particulars Acquiring Target


Earnings `2,50,000 `72,500
Number of shares 1,10,000 20,000
Market Price per Share `50 `60

Also, Comment on your results.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 389


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Solution:
(i) Purchase price premium = Offer price for Target company stock/Target company Market price per share =
90/60 = 1.5
(ii) Exchange ratio = Price per share offered for Target Company/Market Price per share for the acquiring
company = 90/50 = 1.8
Acquiring company issues 1.8 shares of stock for each of Target Companys stock.
(iii) New shares issued by acquiring company = shares of Target Company x Exchange ratio = 20,000 1.8 = 36,000.
(iv) Post-merger EPS of the combined companies = Combined earning/ total number of share.
Combined earnings = (2,50,000 + 72,500) = `3,22,500
Total shares outstanding of the new entity
= 1,10,000 + 36,000 = 1,46,000
= `3,22,500 1,46,000 = `2.209
(v) Pre-merger EPS of the acquiring company
= earnings / Number of shares
= 2,50,000 / 1,10,000 = `2.273
(vi) Pre-merger P/E = Pre-merger market price per share / Pre-merger earnings per share
= 50/2.273 = 22.00
(vii) Post-merger share price = Post-merger EPS x Pre-merger P/E
= 2.209 22.00 = `48.60 (as compared to `50 Pre-merger)
(viii)Post-merger Equity Ownership Distribution
Target Company = Number of new shares / Total number of shares
= 36,000/ 1,46,000 = 0.2466 or 24.66%
Acquiring company = 100 24.66 = 75.34%
Comment The acquisition results in a `1.40 reduction in the market price of the acquiring company due to a
0.064 decline in the EPS of the combined companies. Whether the acquisition is a poor decision depends upon
what happens to the earnings would have in the absence of the acquisition, the acquisition may contribute to the
market value of the acquiring company.
Illustration 7.
R Ltd is intending to acquire S Ltd. (by merger) and the following information are available in respect of both the
companies.

Particulars R Ltd. S Ltd.


Total current Earnings E `2,50,000 `90,000
No. of Outstanding Shares 50,000 30,000
Market price per share `21 `14

(i) What is the present EPS of both the companies?


(ii) If the proposed merger takes place what would be the new earnings per share for R Ltd. (assuming the merger
takes place by exchange of equity shares and the exchange ratio is based on the current market price)?
(iii) What should be the exchange ratio if S Ltd. wants to ensure the same earnings to members as before the
merger took place?

390 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Solution:
(i) EPS = total earnings/ No. of equity shares
EPSRLTD = 2,50,000/50,000 = `5
EPSSLTD = 90,000/30,000 = `3
(ii) No. of shares S Ltd. shareholders will get in R Ltd. based on market prices of shares is as follows:

14 2
Exchange Ratio = = i. e. for every 3 shares of S Ltd. 2 shares of R Ltd.
21 3

14
Total No. of shares of R Ltd. Issued = 30,000 = 20,000 shares
21
Total number of shares of R Ltd. After merger = 50,000 + 20,000 = 70,000
Total earning of R Ltd after merger = 2,50,000 + 90,000 = 3,40,000 [Remember no synergy given]

` 3,40,000
The new EPS of R Ltd. After merger = = `4.86
70,000
(iii) Calculation of exchange ratio to ensure S Ltd to earn the same before the merger took place: Both acquiring
and acquired firm can maintain their EPS only if the merger takes place based on respective EPS.
Exchange Ratio based on EPS = 3/5 = 0.6
Total shares of R Ltd. receivable by S Ltd. shareholders = 0.6 30,000 = 18,000
Total No. of shares of R LTD after merger = 50,000 + 18,000 = 68,000
EPS after merger = Total Earnings / Total no. of shares = [`2,50,000 + `90,000] / 68,000 = `5.00
Total earnings after merger of S Ltd. = `5 18,000 = `90,000

Illustration 8.
A Ltd. is considering the acquisition of B Ltd. with stock. Relevant financial information is given below.

Particulars A Ltd. B Ltd.


Present earnings `7.5 lakhs `2.5 lakhs
Equity (No. of shares) 4.0 lakhs 2.0 lakhs
EPS ` 1.875 ` 1.25
P/E ratio 10 5

Answer the following question:


(i) What is the market price of each company?
(ii) What is the market capitalization of each company?
(iii) If the P/E of A Ltd. changes to 7.5, what is the market price of A Ltd?
(iv) Does market value of A Ltd. change?
(v) What would be the exchange ratio based on Market Price? (Take revised Price of A Ltd.)
Solution:
(i) P/E = Market Price/ EPS. Therefore we have, Market price = P/E EPS
A Ltd.s Market Price = 10 1.875 = `18.75

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 391


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

B Ltd.s Market Price = 5 1.25 = `6.25


(ii) Market Capitalization (same as market value or in short referred as market Cap)
= Number of outstanding shares market Price
A Ltd.s Market cap = 4.0 lakhs `18.75 = `75 Lakhs
B Ltd.s market cap = 2.0 lakhs `6.25 = `12.5 Lakhs
(iii) If the P/E of A ltd. changes to 7.5, then the market price is given by
= 7.5 `1.875 = `14.0625
(iv) Yes. The market value decreases. i.e. = A Ltd.s market Value = 4.0 lakhs `14.0625 = `56.25 Lakhs.

MPS of T arget Firm


(v) General Formula for exchange ratio = = 6.25/14.0625 = 0.44
MPS of acquiring Firm

Illustration 9.
A Ltd. is considering takeover of B Ltd. and C Ltd. The financial data for the three companies are as follows:

Particulars A Ltd. B Ltd. C Ltd.


Equity Share Capital of `10 each (` crores) 450 180 90
Earnings (` crores) 90 18 18
Market price of each share (`) 60 37 46

Calculate:
(i) Price earnings ratios
(ii) Earnings per share of A Ltd. after the acquisition of B Ltd. and C Ltd. separately. Will you recommend the
merger of either/both of the companies? Justify your answer.

Solution :
(i) Calculation of Price Earnings ratios

Particulars A Ltd. B Ltd. C Ltd.


Earnings (` crores) 90 18 18
No. of shares (crores) 45 18 9
EPS (`) 2 1 2
Market price of each share (`) 60 37 46
PE Ratio (MPS EPS) 30 37 23

(ii) Calculation of EPS of A Ltd. after acquisition of B Ltd. and C Ltd.


Buyer 's P / E Ratio
Exchange ratio or rate =
Seller 's P / E Ratio

Particulars A Ltd. B Ltd. C Ltd.


Exchange ratio in A Ltd. -- 0.81 1.30
Value of shares (` crores) (MPS No. of Eq. Share) 2700 666 414

392 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


No. of A Ltd.s share to be given (crores) -- 666/60 414/60
EPS (`) -- 11.10 6.9
Total earings after acquisition (` crores) -- 108 108
Total number of shares (crores) -- 56.1 51.9
EPS after acquisition (`) -- 1.93 2.08

Analysis: After merger of C Ltd. with A Ltds. EPS is higher than A Ltd. (`2.08). Hence merger with only C Ltd. is
suggested to increase the value to the shareholders of A Ltd.

Illustration 10.
XYZ Ltd. is considering merger with ABC Ltd. XYZ Ltd.s shares are currently traded at `25. It has 2,00,000 shares
outstanding and its profits after taxes (PAT) amount to `4,00,000. ABC Ltd. has 1,00,000 shares outstanding. Its
current market price is `12.50 and its PAT are `1,00,000. The merger will be effected by means of a stock swap
(exchange). ABC Ltd. has agreed to a plan under which XYZ Ltd. will offer the current market value of ABC Ltd.s
shares:
(i) What is the pre-merger earnings per share (EPS) and P/E ratios of both the companies?
(ii) If ABC Ltd.s P/E ratio is 8, what is its current market price? What is the exchange ratio? What will XYZ Ltd.s post-
merger EPS be?
(iii) What must the exchange ratio be for XYZ Ltd.s that pre and post-merger EPS to be the same?
Solution :
(i) Pre-merger EPS and P/E ratios of XYZ Ltd. and ABC Ltd.

Particulars XYZ Ltd. ABC Ltd.


Profits after taxes ` 4,00,000 ` 1,00,000
Number of shares outstanding 2,00,000 1,00,000
EPS (Earnings after tax/No. of shares) `2 `1
Market price per share ` 25.00 ` 12.50
P/E Ratio (times) (MPS EPS) 12.50 12.50

(ii) Current market price of ABC Ltd., if P/E ratio is 8 = `18=`8


Exchange ratio = ` 25/8 = 3.125
` 4,00,000 + `1,00,000 ` 5,00,000
Post merger EPS of XYZ Ltd. = = = 2.16
2,00,000 + (1,00,000 / 3.25) 2,32,000

(iii) Desired exchange ratio


Total number of shares in post-merged company
Post merged earnings
= = 5,00,000/2 = 2,50,000
Pr e merger EPSof XYZ Ltd.

Number of shares required to be issued = 2,50,000 200,000 = 50,000
Therefore, the exchange ratio is = 50,000/ 1,00,000 = 0.50

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 393


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Illustration 11.
Company X is contemplating the purchase of Company Y, Company X has 3,00,000 shares having a market price
of `30 per share, while Company Y has 2,00,000 shares selling at `20 per share. The EPS are `4.00 and `2.25 for
Company X and Y respectively. Managements of both companies are discussing two alternative proposals for
exchange of shares as indicated below:
(a) in proportion to the relative earnings per share of two Companies.
(b) 0.5 share of Company X for one share of company Y (0.5 : 1).
You are required:
(i) to calculate the Earnings Per Share (EPS) after merger under two alternatives; and
(ii) to show the impact on EPS for the shareholders of two companies under both alternatives.

Solution:
Working Notes:
Computation of total earnings after merger

Particulars Company X Company Y Total


Outstanding shares 3,00,000 2,00,000
EPS (`) 4 2.25
Total earnings (`) 12,00,000 4,50,000 16,50.000

(i) (a) Calculation of EPS when exchange ratio is in proportion to relative EPS of two companies

Company X 3,00,000
Company Y (2,00,000 2.25/4) 1,12,500
Total number of shares after merger 4,12,500

Company X
EPS before merger = `4
EPS after merger = `16,50,000/4,12,500 shares = `4

Company Y
EPS before merger = `2.25
EPS after merger
2.25 2.25
= EPS before merger / Share Exchange ratio on EPS basis = = = `4
2.25 / 4 0.5625

(i) (b) Calculate of EPS when share exchange ratio is 0.5:1


Total earnings after merger = `16,50,000
Total number of shares after merger = 3,00,000 + (2,00,000 0.5) = 4,00,000 shares
EPS after merger = `16,50,000 / 4,00,000 = `4.125

(ii) Impact of merger on EPS for shareholders of Company X and Company Y

394 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(a) Marger took place on relative EPS of two companies; therefore both companies maintain their EPS and no
impact on EPS of shareholders of both companies.
(b) Impact on Shareholders of Company X

(`)
EPS before merger 4.000
EPS after merger 4.125
Increase in EPS 0.125

Impact on shareholders of Company Y

(`)
Equivalent EPS before merger (2.25/0.5) 4.500
EPS after merger 4.125
Decrease in EPS 0.375

Illustration 12.
The following information is provided in relation to the acquiring firm Mark limited and the target Mask Limited

Particulars Firm Mark Limited Firm Mask Limited


Earnings after tax (`) 200 lacs 40 lacs
Number of shares outstanding 20 lacs 10 lacs
P/E ratio 10 5

Required:
(i) What is the swap ratio in terms of current market prices?
(ii) What is the EPS of Mark Limited after acquisition?
(iii) What is the expected market price per share of Mark Limited after acquisition assuming that P/E ratio of Mark
limited remains unchanged?
(iv) Determine the market value of the merged firm.
(v) Calculate gain/loss for shareholders of the two independent companies after acquisition.
Solution:
(i) Calculation of Swap ratio:

Particulars Firm Mark Limited Firm Mask Limited


Earnings after tax (`) 200 lacs 40 lacs
Number of shares outstanding 20 lacs 10 lacs
P/E ratio 10 5
EPS 200/20 = 10 = 40/10 = 4
Market Price = (P/E x EPS) `100 `20

Therefore swap ratio in terms of market prices


= MPS of target firm/ MPS of acquiring firm = 20/100 = 0.20
(ii) We have general formula given by:

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 395


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

EPSAB =
(
EA + EB )
S + S (ER )
A B A

200 + 40 240
Therefore, EPS of Mark Limited after acquisition = = = `10.91
20 + 10 0.2 22

(iii) Expected market price per share of Mark Limited with the same P/E of 10 will be
= EPS P/E = `10.91 10 = `109.10
(iv) Market Value of the merged firm
= Total number of outstanding shares x market price
= (20 + 2) lacs `109.10 = ` 2400.2 lacs
(v) Gain / Loss accruing to the shareholders of both companies

Particulars Total Mark Mask


Number of shares after acquisition 22 lacs 20 lacs 2 lacs
Market price after acquisition `109.10 `109.10 `109.10
Total Market value after acquisition `2400.2 lacs `2182 lacs `218.2 lacs
Existing Market Value `2200 lacs `2000 lacs `200 lacs
Gain to shareholders `200.2 lacs `182 `18.2 lacs

Illustration 13.
ABC Ltd. run and managed by an efficient team that insists on reinvesting 60% of its earnings in projects that
provide an ROE (return of equity) of 10%, despite the fact that the firms capitalization rate (K) is 15%. The firms
current years earning is `10 per share.
At what price the stock of ABC Ltd. sell? What is the present value of growth opportunities? Why would such a firm
be a takeover target?
Solution:
Dividend growth rate G = ROE b
Where, b = 1 payout ratio G = 10% 0.60 = 6%

10 0.4 4
Stock price of ABC Ltd. = = = `44.44
0.15 0.06 0.09

Present value of growth opportunities (PVGO)


= market price per share No growth value per share
= `44.44 (`10/0.15)
= `44.44 `66.66
= `(22.22) i.e. negative PVGO
Reasons for takeover target Negative PVGO implies that the net present value of the firms projects is negative;
the rate of return on those assets is less than the opportunity cost of capital. Such a firm would be subject to

396 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


takeover target because another firm could buy the firm for the market price of
`44.44 per share and increase the value of the firm by changing its investment policy. For example, if the new
management simply paid out all earning as dividend, the value of the firm would increase up to its no growth
value of `66.66.

Illustration 14.
XY Ltd., a retail florist, is for sale at an asking price of `62,00,000. You have been contacted for a potential buyer
who has asked you to give him opinion as to whether the asking price is reasonable. The potential buyer has only
limited information about XY Ltd. And potential buyer does not know that annual gross sales of XY Ltd. is about
`82,00,000 and that last years tax return reported an annual profit of `8,40,000 before tax. You have collected the
following information from the financial details of several retail florists that were up for sale in the past:
Table 1

Particulars Price-to-sale(P/S) ratio Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio


Number of firms 38.0 33.0
Mean ratio 0.55 3.29
Coefficient of Variation 0.65 1.52
Maximum ratio 2.35 6.29

Table 2 Top 10 players (in descending P/S order)

Firm 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
(P/S) ratio 2.35 1.76 1.32 1.17 1.09 1.01 0.96 0.85 0.72 0.68
(P/E) Multiple 5.65 6.29 5.31 4.60 3.95 3.25 3.10 2.96 2.90 2.75

Offer your opinion on the reasonableness of the asking price.

Solution:
Average P/S ratio of Industry = 0.55 Coefficient of variation of P/S ratio = 0.65
Average P/E ratio of Industry = 3.29 Coefficient of variation of P/E ratio = 1.52
The coefficient of variation of P/S ratio is much lower than the coefficient of variation of P/E ratio.
From this we can infer that there is a wider dispersion in case of P/E ratio than in case of P/S ratio.
Therefore, while defining the market, it is preferable to take P/S as guiding factor.
Asking price of XY Ltd. `62,00,000
Annual sales of XY Ltd. `82,00,000
Asking P/S ratio of XY Ltd. = 62,00,000/82,00,000 = 0.76
P/S ratio of XY Ltd. 0.76 is much higher than industry average 0.55, it is far below than the maximum P/S ratio of
2.35. The ratio of XY Ltd. is lying between 8th and 9th highest of the top ten players of the industry. In other words,
XY Ltd. would need to be among the 22%* (8.5/38 100) most desirable florist business to justify the asking price of
`62,00,000 with annual gross sales of `82,00,000. If the sales are likely to hold in the coming years, the price may be
(0.85 + 0.72)/2 `82 Lakhs = `64.37 Lakhs.
Provided the buyer believes that XY Ltd. is a superior retail florist (among the top quartile), and the future sales are
not likely to fall, the asking price of `62 lakhs appears to be reasonable. However, the buyer should make sure that
the florists accounts reflect a true and fair view of the business before he arrives at a final decision.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 397


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Note: 22% = (Average of 8th and 9th year No. of Firms) 100

8 + 9 8.5
i.e. 38 100 = 100 = 22% Approx.
2 38

Illustration 15.
Following are the financial statement for A Ltd. and B Ltd. for the current financial year. Both the firm operate in
the same industry:
Balance Sheet (`)

Particulars A Ltd. B. Ltd.


Total Current assets 14,00,000 10,00,000
Total Fixed assets (net) 10,00,000 5,00,000
24,00,000 15,00,000
Equity capital (of ` 100 each) 10,00,000 8,00,000
Retained earnings 2,00,000
14% Long-term debt 5,00,000 3,00,000
Total Current liabilities 7,00,000 4,00,000
24,00,000 15,00,000


Income-Statements (`)

Particulars A Ltd. B. Ltd.


Net sales 34,50,000 17,00,000
Cost of goods sold 27,60,000 13,60,000
Gross profit 6,90,000 3,40,000
Operating expenses 2,00,000 1,00,000
Interest 70,000 42,000
Earnings before taxes 4,20,000 1,98,000
Taxes (50%) 2,10,000 99,000
Earnings after taxes (EAT) 2,10,000 99,000

Additional Information
Number of equity shares 10,000, 8,000
Dividend payment ratio (D/P) 40%, 60%
Market price per share (MPS) ` 400, ` 150
Assume that the two firms are in the process of negotiating a merger through an exchange of equity shares. You
have been asked to assist in establishing equitable exchange terms, and are required to
(i) Decompose the share prices of both the companies into EPS and P/E components, and also segregate their
EPS figures into return on equity (ROE) and book value/intrinsic value per share (BVPS) components.
(ii) Estimate future EPS growth rates for each firm.
(iii) Based on expected operating synergies, A Ltd. estimates that the intrinsic value of Bs equity share would be

398 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


` 200 per share on its acquisition. You are required to develop a range of justifiable equity share exchange
ratios that can be offered by A Ltd. to B Ltd.s shareholders. Based on your analysis in parts (i) and (ii) would
you expect the negotiated terms to be closer to the upper, or the lower exchange ratio limits? Why?
(iv) Calculate the post-merger EPS based on an exchange ratio of 0.4:1 being offered by A Ltd. Indicate the
immediate EPS accretion or dilution, if any, that will occur for each group of shareholders.
(v) Based on a 0.4:1 exchange ratio and assuming that As pre-merger P/E ratio will continue after the merger,
estimates the post-merger market price. Show the resulting accretion or dilution in pre-merger market prices.
Worker price per share (MPS) = EPS P/E ratio or P/E Ratio = MPS / EPS.
Solution:
(i) Determination of EPS, P/E ratio, ROE and BVPC of A Ltd. and B Ltd.

Particulars A Ltd. B Ltd.


Profits After Tax (PAT) ` 2,10,000 ` 99,000
No. of Shares (N) 10,000 8,000
EPS (PAT/N) ` 21.00 ` 12.375
Market price share (MPS) ` 400 ` 150
P/E ratio (MPS/EPS) 19.05 12.12
Equity funds (EF) 12,00,000 8,00,000
BVPS (EF/N) `120 `100
ROE (PAT/EF)100 17.5% 12.375%

(ii) Estimates of Growth rates in EPS for each Firm


Retention ratio (1-D/P ratio) 0.6 0.4
Growth rate (ROE Retention ratio) 10.5% 4.95%
(iii) Justifiable equity share exchange ratio

MPSB `150
(a) Market Price based = = 0.375 : 1 (lower limit)
MPSA ` 400

` 200
(b) Intrinsic value based = = 0.5 : 1 (upper limit)
` 400
Since A Ltd. has a higher EPS, ROE, P/E ratio, and even higher EPS growth expectations, the negotiated terms
would be expected to be closer to the lower limit, based on the existing share prices.
(iv) Calculation of Post-merger EPS and other effects

Particulars A Ltd. B Ltd. Combined


PAT (i) (`) 2,10,000 99,000 3,09,000
Shares outstanding (ii) 10,000 8,000 13,200*
EPS (i)/(ii) (`) 21.00 12.375 23.41
EPS Accretion (Dilution) (`) 2.41 3.015** --
Note:
* Shares outstanding (combined) = 10,000 shares + (0.40 8,000) = 13,200 Shares
** EPS claim per old share = `23.41 0.40 = `9.36
EPS dilution of B Ltd. = `12.375 `9.36 = `3.015

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 399


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

(v) Estimate of Post-merger Market Price and other effects

Particulars A Ltd. B Ltd. Combined


EPS (i) (`) 21.00 12.375 23.41
P/E Ratio (ii) 19.05 12.12 19.05
MPS (i) (ii) (`) 400 150 446.00
MPS Accretion (Dilution) (`) 46 28.40*** ---
Note: ***

MPS claim per old share (`446 0.4) 178.40


Less : MPS per old share 150.00
MPS accretion of B Ltd. 28.40

Illustration 16.
Illustrate two main methods of financing an acquisition referred to in Accounting Standard - 14 (AS-14)
Solution:
Accounting for Amalgamations
The provisions of Accounting Standard (AS-14) on Accounting for Amalgamations issued by the Institute of
Chartered accountants of India need to be referred to in this context.
The two main methods of financing an acquisition are cash and share exchange:
Method I - Cash: This method is generally considered suitable for relatively small acquisitions. It has two advantages:
(i) the buyer retains total control as the shareholders in the selling company are completely bought out, and (ii) the
value of the bid is known and the process is simple.
Let us consider 2 Companies A & B whose figures are stated below:

Particulars Company A Company B


Market price per share `75 `15
No. of shares 100,000 60,000
Market Value of the company `75,00,000 `900,000
Assume Company A intends to pay `12,00,000 cash for Company B. If the share price does not anticipate a
merger:
The share price in the market is expected to accurately reflect the true value of the company.
The cost to the bidder Company A = Payment - The market value of Company B
=
`12 lakhs `9 lakhs = `3 lakhs.
Company A is paying `3 lakhs for the identified benefits of the merger.
If the share price includes a speculation element of `2 per share:
The cost to Company A = `3,00,000 + (60,000 `2)
= `3,00,000 + `1,20,000 = `4,20,000
Worth of Company B = (`15 `2) 60,000
= `13 60,000
= `7,80,000
This can also be expressed as: `12,00,000 `4,20,000 = `7,80,000

400 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Method II - Share exchange: The method of payment in large transactions is predominantly stock for stock.
The advantage of this method is that the acquirer does not part with cash and does not increase the financial risk
by raising new debt. The disadvantage is that the acquirers shareholders will have to share future prosperity with
those of the acquired company.
Suppose Company A wished to offer shares in Company A to the shareholders of Company B instead of cas :
Amount to be paid to shareholders of Company B = `12,00,000 Market price of shares of Company A = `75
No. of shares to be offered = `12,00,000 / `75 = 16,000
Now, shareholders of Company B will own part of Company A, and will benefit from any future gains of the
merged enterprise.
Their share in the merged enterprise = 16,000 / (1,00,000 + 16,000) = 13.8%
Further, now suppose that the benefits of the merger has been identified by Company A to have a present value
of ` 4,00,000,
The value of the merged entity = `75,00,000 + (`9,00,000 + `4,00,000) = `88,00,000 True cost of merger to the
shareholders of Company A:

Particulars Company A Company B


Proportion of ownership in merged enterprise 86.2% 13.8%
Market Value: Total = `88,00,000 `75,85,600 `12,14,400
No. of shares currently in issue 100,000 60,000
Market price per share `75.86 `20.24

The above gives the value of shares in the company before the merger is completed, based on estimates of what
the company will be worth after the merger.
The valuation of each company also recognizes the split of the expected benefits which will accrue to the
combined entity once the merger has taken place.
The true cost can be calculated as given below:

Particulars `
60,000 shares in Company B @ `20.24 12,14,400
Less : Current market value 9,00,000
Benefits being paid to shareholders of Company B 3,14,400

Illustration 17.
Fat Ltd. wants to acquire Lean Ltd., the balance sheet of Lean Ltd. as on 31.03.2016 is as follows:

Liabilities ` Assets `
(1) Shareholders Fund: (1) Non-current Assets:
(a) Share Capital (a) Fixed Assets
(i) 60,000 Equity Shares of `10 each 6,00,000 (i) Tangible Assets:
(b) Reserve & Surplus Plant and Equipment 11,00,000
(i) Retained Earnings 2,00,000 (2) Current Assets:
(2) Non-Current Liabilities: (a) Inventories 1,70,000
Long Term Borrowings - 12% Debenture 2,00,000 (b) Trade Receivables

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 401


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

(3) Current Liabilities: Sundry Debtors 30,000


(a) Trade Payables - Sundry Creditors 3,20,000 (c) Cash and Cash Equivalents 20,000
Total 13,20,000 Total 13,20,000

Additional information:
(i) Shareholders of Lean Ltd. will get one share in Fat Ltd. for every two shares. External liabilities are expected
to be settled at `3,00,000. Shares of Fat Ltd. would be issued at its current price of `15 per share. Debenture
holders will get 13% convertible debentures in the purchasing companies for the same amount. Debtors and
inventories are expected to release `1,80,000.
(ii) Fat Ltd. has decided to operate the business of Lean Ltd. as a separate division. The division is likely to give
cash flow (after tax) to the extent of `3,00,000 per year for 6 years. Fat Ltd. has planned that after 6 year this
division would be damaged and disposed off for `1,00,000.
(iii) Companys cost of capital is 14%
Make a report to the managing director advising him about the financial feasibility of the acquisition.
Note: Present value of `1 for six years @ 14% interest : 0.8772, 0.7695, 0.6750, 0.5921 and 0.4556.
Solution :

Cost of Acquisition `
4,50,000
Equity share 60,000 `15
2

13% convertible debenture 2,00,000
Cash (Payment for external liabilities Realisation of Cash from Debtors and inventories
Cash of Lean Ltd.) i.e., (` 3,00,000 1,80,000 20,000) 1,00,000

Total Consideration 7,50,000


Calculation of NPV

Year Cost inflow PV factor @ 14% Prevent value


1 3,00,000 0.8772 2,63,160
2 3,00,000 0.7695 2,30,850
3 3,00,000 0.6750 2,02,500
4 3,00,000 0.5921 1,77,630
5 3,00,000 0.5194 1,55,820
6 3,00,000 + 1,00,000 0.4556 1,82,240
Total PV of cash inflow 12,12,200
Less : Cost of acquisition 7,50,000
NPV 4,62,200

Since the NPV is positive it is suggested to acquire Lean Ltd. to maximize the value of shareholders of both the
companies.

402 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 18.
Firm A is studying the possible acquisition of firm B by way of merger. The following data are available:

Firm After tax earnings No. of Eq. sh. Market price per share
A ` 10,00,000 2,00,000 ` 75
B ` 3,00,000 50,000 ` 60

(i) If the merger goes through by exchange of equity shares and the exchange ratio is set according to the
current market price, what is the new earnings per share of firm A.
(ii) Firm B wants to be sure that their earnings per share is not diminished by the merger. What exchange ratio is
relevant to achieve the objective?
Solution :
(i) Exchange ratio = 75 : 60

60 50,000
No. of shares to be issued by A Ltd. = 40,000 shares.
75
Total number of shares = 2,00,000 + 40,000 = 2,40,000 shares
Total after tax earnings = `(10,00,000 + 3,00,000) = `13,00,000

`13,00,000
Earnings per share = = `5.42
2,40,000

(ii) Calculations of exchange ratio which would not diminish the EPS of B Ltd.:
Current EPS of

10,00,000
A Ltd.
= = `5
2,00,000

` 3,00,000
B Ltd.
= = `6
50,000

6
Exchange ratio = = 1.20 : 1
5
No. of shares to be issued by A Ltd. to B Ltd.

6
= 50,000 shares =
60,000 shares
5
Total number of shares of A Ltd. after acquisition = 2,00,000 + 60,000 = 2,60,000 shares

` (10,00,000 + 3,00,000 )
EPS (after merger) = = `5
2,60,000 shares

Total earnings in A Ltd. available to new shareholders of B Ltd.


= 60,000 5 = ` 3,00,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 403


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Illustration 19.
The following information is provided relating to the acquiring company X Ltd. and the target company Y Ltd.

X Ltd. Y Ltd.
No. of shares (F.V. ` 10 each) 10.00 lakhs 7.5 lakhs
Market capitalization 500.00 lakhs 750.00 lakhs
P/E ratio (times) 10 5
Reserve and surplus 300.00 lakhs 165.00 lakhs
Promoters holding (No. of shares) 4.75 lakhs 5.00 lakhs
Board of directors of both the companies have decided to give a fair deal to the shareholders and accordingly for
swap ratio the weights are decided as 40%, 25% and 35% respectively for Earnings, Book value and Market price
of share of each company:
(i) Calculate the swap ratio and also calculate Promoters holding percentage after acquisition.
(ii) What is the EPS of X Ltd. after acquisition of Y Ltd?
(iii) What is the expected market price per share and market capitalization of X Ltd. after acquisition, assuming P/E
ratio of firm X Ltd. remains unchanged.
(iv) Calculate free float market capitalization of the merged fair.
Solution :
Calculation of swap ratio

X Ltd. Y Ltd.
Market capitalization 500 lakh 750 lakhs
No. of shares 10 lakhs 7.5 lakhs
Market price per share ` 50 ` 100
P/E ratio 10 5
EPS (MPS P/E Ratio) `5 ` 20
Profit (No. of shares x EPS) ` 50 lakhs ` 150 lakhs
Share Capital ` 100 lakhs ` 75 lakhs
Reserve and surplus ` 300 lakhs ` 165 lakhs
Total (Share Capital + Reserve and Surplus) ` 400 lakhs ` 240 lakhs
Book value per share (Total No. of shares) ` 40 ` 32
(i) Calculation of swap ratio
EPS 5 : 20 i.e., 1 : 4 i.e., 4 40% = 1.6
Book value 40 : 30 i.e., 1 : 0.8 i.e., 0.8 25% = 0.2
Market price 50 : 100 i.e., 1 : 2 i.e., 2 35% = 0.7
Total =
2.5
Swap ratio is for every one share of Y Ltd. to issue 2.5 shares of X Ltd. Hence total no. of shares to be issued =
7.5 lakhs 2.5 = 18.75 lakh shares.
Promoters holding = 4.75 lakh shares + (5 2.5) lakh shares = 17.25 lakh shares

17.25
So parameters holding percentage = 100 = 60%
28.75
Total no. of shares = 10 lakhs + 18.75 lakhs = 28.75 lakhs

404 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Total profit 50 lakhs +150 lakh
(ii) EPS = = = `6.956
No. of shares 28.75 lakh

(iii) Expected market price = EPS P/E = 6.956 10 = ` 69.56


Market capitalization = ` 69.56 28.75 lakh shares = ` 1999.85 lakh
(iv) Free float of market capitalization = ` 69.56 (28.75 40%) = ` 799.94 lakh

Illustration 20.
The following information is relating to Fortune India Ltd. having two division Pharma division and FMCG division.
Paid up share capital of Fortune India Ltd. is consisting of 3,000 lakhs equity shares of Re. 1 each. Fortune India Ltd.
decided to de-merge Pharma Division as Fortune Pharma Ltd. w.e.f. 1.4.2016. Details of Fortune India Ltd. as on
31.3.2016 and of Fortune Pharma Ltd. as on 1.4.2016 are given below:

Particulars Fortune Pharma Ltd. (`) in lakh Fortune India Ltd. (`) in lakh
Outside Liabilities
Secured Loans 400 3,000
Unsecured Loan 2,400 800
Current Liabilities & Provision 1,300 21,200
Assets
Fixed Assets 7,740 20,400
Investments 7,600 12,300
Current Assets 8,800 30,200
Loan & Advances 900 7,300
Deferred tax / Misc. exp. 60 (200)

Board of directors of the company have decided to issue necessary equity shares of Fortune Pharma Ltd. of `1
each, without any consideration to the shareholders of Fortune India Ltd. For that purpose following points are to
be considered:
Transfer of Liabilities and Assets at Book value.
Estimated profit for the year 2016-17 is `11,400 lakh for Fortune India Ltd. and `1,470 lakh for Fortune Pharma
Ltd.
Estimated Market price of Fortune Pharma Ltd. is `24.50 per share.
Average P/E ratio of FMCG sector is 42 and Pharma sector is 25, which is to be expected for both the companies.
Calculate :
(i) The Ratio in which shares of Fortune Pharma are to be issued to the shareholders of Fortune India Ltd.
(ii) Expected Market price of Fortune India Ltd.
(iii) Book value per share of both the Cos after demerger.
Solution :
Shareholders fund

Fortune India Ltd. Fortune Pharma Ltd. Fortune India (FMCG) Ltd.
Assets 70,000 25,100 44,900

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 405


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Outside Liabilities 25,000 4,100 20,900


Net worth 45,000 21,000 24,000

(i) Calculation of shares of Fortune Pharma Ltd. to be issued to shareholders of Fortune India Ltd. :

Fortune Pharma Ltd.


Estimated Profit (` in lakhs) 1470
Estimated market price (`) 24.50
Estimated P/E 25
Estimated EPS (`) (24.50 25) 0.98
No. of shares (lakhs) (1470 0.98) 1500

Hence, Ratio is 1 shares of Fortune Pharma Ltd. for 2 shares of Fortune India Ltd.
(ii) Expected market price of Fortune India Ltd.

Fortune India (FMCG) Ltd.


Estimated Profit (` in lakhs) 11,400
No. of equity share (in lakhs) 3,000
Estimated EPS (`) 3.8
Estimated P/E 42
Estimated market price (`) 159.6

(iii) Book value per share

Fortune Pharma Ltd. Fortune India (FMCG) Ltd.


Net worth (` in lakhs) 21,000 24,000
No. of shares (in lakhs) 1,500 3,000
Book value of shares (`) 14 8

Illustration 21.
The chief executive of a Company thinks that shareholders always look for the earnings per share. Therefore, he
considers maximization of the earning per share(EPS) as his Companys objective. His companys current net profit
is `80 lakhs and EPS is `4. The current market price is `42. He wants to buy another firm which has current income of
`15.75 lakhs, EPS of `10.50 and the market price per share of `85. What is the maximum exchange ratio which the
chief executive should offer so that he could keep EPS at the current level? If the chief executive borrows funds
at 15 per cent rate of interest and buys out the other Company by paying cash, how much should he offer to
maintain his EPS? Assume a tax rate of 50%.
Solution:
(Amount in `)

Current data Acquiring company Target company


Net profit 80,00,000 15,75,000
EPS 4 10.50
Market price of share 42 85
Number of equity shares (Net Profit EPS) 20,00,000 1,50,000

406 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Assume X no. of shares issued.
Calculation of share Exchange Ratio

Combined net profit


=4
No. of shares

80,00,000 + 15,75,000
=4
20,00,000 + x

95,75,000 = 80,00,000 + 4x
or, 4x = 95,75,000 80,00,000
or, X = 15,75,000/4 = 3,93,750 shares
Share exchange ratio = 3,93,750 shares / 1,50,000 = 2.625
The acquiring company can offer its 2.625 shares against the companys 1 share.
If funds borrowed @ 15% interest and buys out the target company by paying cash, and maintain the same level
of EPS as before.

80,00,000 + 15,75,000 0.15 Debt(1 0.50)


= `4
20,00,000 shares

95,75,000 0.075 Debt = 80,00,000


0.075 Debt = 95,75,000 80,00,000
Debt = 15,75,000/0.075 = `2,10,00,000
CFO can offer ` 2,10,00,000 to acquire the target company.
Amount payable to each share in target company = `2,10,00,000/1,50,000 = `140.00 per share.

Illustration 22.
Reliable Industries Ltd. (RIL) is considering a takeover of Sunflower Industries Ltd. (SIL). The particulars of 2 companies
are given below:

Particulars RIL SIL


Earnings After Tax (`) 20,00,000 10,00,000
Equity shares (No.) 10,00,000 10,00,000
EPS (`) 2 1
P/E ratio (times) 10 5

Required:
(i) What is the market value of each company before merger?
(ii) Assuming that the management of RIL estimates that the shareholders of SIL will accept an offer of one share
of RIL for four shares of SIL. If there are no synergic effects, what is the market value of the post-merger RIL?
What is the new price for share? Are the shareholders of RIL better or worse off than they were before the
merger?
(iii) Due to synergic effects, the management of RIL estimates that the earnings will increase by 20%.

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 407


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

What is the new post-merger EPS and price per share? Will the shareholders be better off or worse off than before
the merger?
Solution:
(i) Market value of companies before merger

Particulars RIL SIL


EPS (`) 2 1
P/E ratio 10 5
Market price per share (`) (EPS P/E ratio) 20 5
Equity shares (No.) 10,00,000 10,00,000
Total market value (MPS No. of Eq. Shared) 2,00,00,000 50,00,000


(ii) Post merger effect on RIL

Particulars `
Post merger earnings ` (20,00,000 + 10,00,000) 30,00,000
1 12,50,000
Equity shares 10,00,000 + 10,00,000
4

As exchange ratio is 1 : 4
EPS : 2.4
P/E ratio 10.00
Market price per share (`) (EPS P/E ratio) i.e., 10 2.4 24
Total Market Value (MPS No. of Eq. Shares) i.e., (12,50,000 24) 3,00,00,000

Gains from Merger

Particulars `
Post Merger Market value of the firm 3,00,00,000
Less : Pre-Merger market value
RIL 2,00,00,000
SIl 50,00,000 `2,50,00,000
`50,00,000

Apportionment of Gains between shareholders

Particulars RIL SIL


Post merger market value
10,00,000 24 2,40,00,000
2,50,000 24 60,00,000
Less : Pre merged market value 2,00,00,000 50,00,000
40,00,000 10,00,000

Thus the shareholders of both the Co. have gained from merger
(iii) Post Merger Earnings
Increase in earning by 20%

408 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


New earnings: ` 30,00,000 120% = 36,00,000
No. of equity share = 12,50,000
EPS = ` 36,00,000 12,50,000 = ` 2.88
P/E ratio = 10
Market price per share = ` 2.88 10 = ` 28.80
Hence, shareholders will be better off than before the merger situation.

Illustration 23.
The following information is provided related to the acquiring firm Sun Ltd. and the target firm Moon Ltd.:

Particulars Sun Ltd. Moon Ltd.


Profits after tax ` 2,000 lakhs ` 4000 lakhs
Number of shares outstanding 200 lakhs 1000 lakhs
P/E ratio (Times) 10 5

Required:
(i) What is the swap ratio based on current market price?
(ii) What is the EPS of Sun Ltd. after acquisition?
(iii) What is the expected market price per share of Sun Ltd. after acquisition, assuming P/E ratio of Sun Ltd.
adversely affected by 10%?
(iv) Determine the market value of the merged firm.
(v) Calculate gain/loss for shareholders of the two independent companies after acquisition.
Solution :
EPS before acquisition
Sun Ltd. = `2000 lakhs / 200 lakh = `10
Moon Ltd. = `4000 lakhs / 1000 lakh = `4
Market price of shares before acquisition
Sun Ltd. = `10 10 = `100
Moon Ltd. = `4 5 = `20
(i) Swap ratio based on current market price

` 20
= 0.2 i. e., 1 share of Sun Ltd. for 5 shares of Moon Ltd.
`100

Number of shares to be issued = 1000 lakhs 0.20 lakh = 200 lakhs
(ii) EPS after acquisitions

` 2,000lakhs + ` 4,000lakhs
= = `15
` 200lakhs + ` 200 lakhs

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 409


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

(iii) Expected market price per shares of Sun Ltd. after an acquisition assuming P/E ratio of Sun Ltd. is adversely
affected by 10%.
EPS of Sun Ltd. = `15
P/E of Sun Ltd. = 10 10% of 10 = 9 times
Market price per share of Sun Ltd. = EPS P/E ratio
= 15 9
=
`135
(iv) Market value of merged firm
= `135 400 lakhs shares = `54,000 lakhs
(v) Gain from the Merger
Post merger market value of merged firm = ` 54,000 lakhs
Less : Pre merger market value
Sun Ltd. 200 lakhs ` 100 = 20,000 crores Moon Ltd.
1000 lakhs ` 20 = 20,000 crores = ` 40,000 lakhs
Gain from merger = ` 14,000 lakhs
Gain to shareholders of Sun Ltd. and Moon Ltd.

Particulars Sun Ltd. Moon Ltd.


Post merger value (` 135 200) 27,000
(` 135 200) 27,000
Less : Pre merger value 20,000 2,000
Gain to shareholders 7,000 7,000

Illustration 24.
The Shareholders of A Co. have voted in favour of a buyout offer from B Co. Information about each firm is given
here below. Moreover, A Co.s shareholders will receive one share of B Co. Stock for every three shares they hold
in A Co.
(Amount in `)

Particulars B Co. A Co.


Present earnings 6.75 lakhs 3.00 lakhs
EPS 3.97 5.00
Number of Share 1.70 lakhs 0.60 lakhs
P/E ratio 20 5
(i) What will the EPS of B. Co. be after the merger? What will the PE ratio be if the NPV of the acquisition is zero?
(ii) What must B Co. feel is the value of the synergy between these two firms?
Explain how your answer can be reconciled with the decision to go ahead with the takeover.
Solution:
(i) The EPS of the combined company will be the sum of the earnings of both companies divided by the shares in
the combined company. Since the stock offer is one share of the acquiring firm for three shares of the target
firm, new shares in the acquiring firm will increase by one- third [ Exchange ratio = 1/3]. So, the new EPS will be:

410 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


EPS = (`300,000 + 675,000)/[170,000 + (1/3) (60,000)] = `5.132.
The market price of B Co. will remain unchanged if it is a zero NPV acquisition. Using the PE ratio, we find the
current market price of B Co. stock, which is = P/E x EPS = 20 x (6.75 lakhs/ 1.70 lakhs) = `79.41
If the acquisition has a zero NPV, the stock price should remain unchanged. Therefore, the new PE will be: P/E
= `79.41 / `5.132 = 15.48
(ii) If the NPV of the acquisition is zero, it would mean that B Co. would pay just the market value of A Co. i.e.
Number of shares x market price of A Co. i.e. = 60000 x 25 [MPS = P/E x EPS = 5 x 5 = 25]. The market value
received by B co. = `15,00,000.
The cost of the acquisition is the number of shares offered times the share price, so the cost is: Cost = (1/3)
(60,000) (`79.4118) = `15,88,236.
The difference is synergy i.e. ` 88,236.
Illustration 25.
AB Ltd. is planning to acquire and absorb the running business of XY Ltd. The valuation is to be based on the
recommendation of merchant bankers and the consideration is to be discharged in the form of equity shares to
be issued by AB Ltd. As on 31.3.2016, the paid up capital of AB Ltd. consists of 80 lakhs shares of ` 10 each. The
highest and the lowest market quotation during the last 6 months were ` 570 and ` 430. For the purpose of the
exchange, the price per share is to be reckoned as the average of the highest and lowest market price during the
last 6 months ended on 31.3.2016. XY Ltds Balance Sheet as at 31.3.2016 is summarized below:

` lakhs
Sources :
Share capital
20 lakhs equity shares of ` 10 each fully paid 200
10 lakhs equity shares of `10 each, ` 5 paid 50
Loans 100
Total 350
Uses :
Fixed Assets (Net) 150
Net Current Assets 200
Total 350

An independent firm of merchant bankers engaged for the negotiation have produced the following estimates of
cash flows from the business of XY Ltd. :

Year ended By way of ` Lakhs


31.3.17 After tax earnings for equity 105
31.3.18 Do 120
31.3.19 Do 125
31.3.20 Do 120
31.3.21 Do 100
Terminal value estimate 200

It is the recommendation of the merchant banker that the business of XY Ltd. may be valued on the basis of the
average of (a) Aggregate of discounted cash flows at 8% and (b) Net assets value.
Present value factors at 8% for years
1 5 : 0.93 0.86 0.79 0.74 0.68

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 411


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

You are required to:


(i) Calculate the total value of the business of XY Ltd.
(ii) The number of shares to be issued by AB Ltd. and
(iii) The basis of allocation of the shares among the shareholders of XY Ltd.
Solution :
(i) Price per share of AB Ltd. for determination of number of shares to be issued:

`(570 + 430)
`500
2
Value of XY Ltd. based on future cash flow capitalization
(105 0.93) + (120 0.86) + (125 0.79) + (120 0.74) + (300 0.68) ` 592.40 lakhs
Value of XY Ltd. based on net assets (350 100) ` 250 lakhs

592.40 + 250
Average value ` 421.20 lakhs
2

421.2lakhs
(ii) No. Of shares in AB Ltd. To be issued 84,240 (Approx)
500

(iii) Basis of allocation of shares


Fully paid equivalent shares in XY Ltd. 250 lakhs

84,240 20
Distribution to fully paid shareholders 67,392
25

84,240 5
Distribution to partly paid shareholders 16,848
25
Illustration 26.
X Ltd. is considering the proposal to acquire Y Ltd. and their financial information is given below:

Particulars X Ltd. Y Ltd.


No. of equity shares 5,00,000 3,00,000
Market price per share (`) 30 18
Market capitalisation (`) 1,50,00,000 54,00,000

X Ltd. intend to pay `70,00,000 in cash for Y Ltd., if Y Ltds market price reflects only its value as a separate entity.
Calculate the cost of merger:
(i) When merger is financed by cash.
(ii) When merger is financed by stock and X Ltd. agrees to exchange 2,50,000 shares in exchange of shares in Y
Ltd.
Solution :
(i) Cost of merger (when merger is financed by cash)
= Cash True / Intrinsic value of Y Ltd.

412 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


`(70,00,000 54,00,000) = `16,00,000
If cost of merger becomes negative then shareholders of X Ltd. will get benefited by acquiring Y Ltd. in terms
of market value.
(ii) Cost of merger (when merger is financed by exchange of shares in X Ltd. to the shareholders of Y Ltd.)
Cost of merger = PVxy PVy
PVxy = Value of X Ltd. That Y Ltd.s shareholders get.
PVy = True/Intrinsic value of Y Ltd.
PVxy = PVx + PVy
= ` (1,50,00,000 + 54,00,000)
= ` 2,04,00,000
Proportion that Y Ltd.s shareholders get in X Ltds capital structure:

2,50,000 1
= = 0.33 i. e.
(5,00,000 + 2,50,000) 3

True cost of merger = PVx + PVy

1
= (204,00,000 ) 54,00,000 = `14,00,000
3
The cost of merger i.e., (2,50,000 30) ` 54,00,000 `21,00,000 is much higher than the true cost of merger i.e.,
`14,00,000. So with this proposal the shareholders of Y Ltd. will get benefited.
Notes:
(1) When the cost of merger is calculated on the cash consideration, then cost of merger is unaffected by the
merger gains.
(2) When merger is based on the exchange of shares, then the cost of merger depends on the gains, which has
to be shared with the shareholder of Y Ltd.
Illustration 27.
Two firms RAJJAN and REKHA Corporation operate independently and have the following financial statements:

Particulars RAJJAN REKHA


Revenues 8,00,000 4,00,000
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) 6,00,000 2,40,000
EBIT 2,00,000 1,60,000
Expected growth rate 6% 8%
Cost of capital 10% 12%
Both firms are in steady state, with capital spending offset by depreciation. No working capital is required, and
both firms face a tax rate of 40%. Combining the two firms will create economies of scale in the form of shared
distribution and advertising cost, which will reduce the cost of goods sold from 70% of revenues to 65% of revenues.
Assume that the firm has no debt capital.
Estimate
(i) The value of the two firms before the merger
(ii) The value of the combined firm with synergy effect

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 413


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Solution:
(i) Value of the Firms before the Merger
Calculation of Free Cash Flow to each of the Firm
Free cash flow to RAJJAN = EBIT (1 tax rate)
= 2,00,000 (1 0.4) = `1,20,000
Free cash flow to REKHA = EBIT (1 tax rate)
= 1,60,000 (1 0.4) = `96,000
Value of the two firms independently
Value of RAJJAN = [1,20,000 (1.06)] / (0.10 0.06) = `31,80,000
Value of REKHA = [96,000 (1.08)] / (0.12 0.08) = `25,92,000
In the absence of synergy the combined firm value is:
Combined Firm Value with No Synergy = 31,80,000 + 25,92,000 = `57,72,000
(ii) Value of the Firm with Synergy
On combining the two firm the cost of goods sold is reduced firm 70% to 65% of revenues. The revenue of the
combined firm = 8,00,000 + 4,00,000 = `12,00,000
Cost of goods sold = 65% of revenues
= 0.65 12,00,000 = `7,80,000
Weighted average cost of capital for the combined firm
= 10% [31,80,000 / 57,72,000] + 12% [ 25,92,000 / 57,72,000]
= 0.0551 + 0.0539 = 0.109
Or 11% approximately
Weighted average expected growth rate for the combined firm
= 6% [31,80,000 / 57,72,000] + 8% [ 25,92,000 / 57,72,000]
= 0.033 + 0.0359 = 0.0689
Or 7% approximately

Particulars Firm with no synergy Firm with synergy


Revenues 12,00,000 12,00,000
Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) 8,40,000 7,80,000
EBIT 3,60,000 4,20,000
Growth rate 7% 7%
Cost of capital 11% 11%
FCF = EBIT (1 T) 2,16,000 2,52,000

Value of the Firm without Synergy


[2,16,000 (1.07)] / 0.11 0.07 = `57,78,000
Value of the firm with Synergy
= [2,52,000 (1.07)] / 0.11 0.07 = `67,41,000.

414 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


Illustration 28.
Q Ltd. wants to acquire R Ltd. and has offered a swap ratio of 1:2 (0.5 shares for every one share of R Ltd.).
Following information is provided:

Particulars Q Ltd. R Ltd.


Profit after tax `18,00,000 `3,60,000
Equity shares outstanding (Nos.) 6,00,000 1,80,000
EPS ``3 `2
PE Ratio 10 times 7 times
Market price per share `30 `14

Required:
(i) The number of equity shares to be issued by Q Ltd. for acquisition of R Ltd.
(ii) What is the EPS of Q Ltd. after the acquisition?
(iii) Determine the equivalent earnings per share of R Ltd.
(iv) What is the expected market price per share of Q Ltd. after the acquisition, assuming its PE multiple remains
unchanged?
(v) Determine the market value of the merged firm.

Solution:
(i) The number of shares to be issued by Q Ltd.:
The Exchange ratio is 0.5
So, new Shares = 1,80,000 0.5 = 90,000 shares.
(ii) EPS of Q Ltd. after acquisition:

Total Earnings (18,00,000 + 3,60,000) `21,60,000


No. of Shares (6,00,000 + 90,000) 6,90,000
EPS (21,60,000)/6,90,000) `3.13

(iii) Equivalent EPS of R Ltd.:

No. of new Shares 0.5


EPS `3.13
Equivalent EPS (3.13 .5) `1.57

(iv) New Market Price of Q Ltd. (P/E remaining unchanged):

Present P/E Ratio of Q Ltd. 10 times


Expected EPS after merger `3.13
Expected Market Price (3.13 x 10) `31.30

(v) Market Value of merged firm :

Total number of Shares 6,90,000


Expected Market Price `31.30
Total value (6,90,000 x 31.30) `2,15,97,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 415


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

Short Question and Answer:


(a) State whether the following statements are true or false:
(i) Exchange ratio of equity shares of merging firms is determined by their market price alone.
(ii) Value gap is the difference between the synergy value and purchase price.
(iii) In a debt for equity swap, a firm replacing equity with debt decreases its leverage ratio.
(iv) In a reverse merger a smaller company acquires a larger company.
(v) In a synergistic merger, the post-merger value exceeds the sum of the separate companies pre-merger
values.
Answer:
(i) False
(ii) False
(iii) False
(iv) True.
(v) True

(b) Fill in the blanks by using the words / phrases given in the brackets:
(i) involves splitting up of a large company such as a conglomerate comprising of different
divisions, into separate companies. (Amalgamation/Demerger)
(ii) Recent acquisition shows that the price paid for an acquired company is almost invariably higher than
its book value and the difference is incorporated under conventional accounting practice as .
(capital reserve/goodwill)
(iii) A theory of Mergers and Acquisitions that explains the result of the winners curse, causing a bidder to
overpay is called ______________. (Synergy/Hubris/Agency)
(iv) In the Approach, the key relationships are computed for a group of similar companies
or transactions as a basis for valuation of companies involved in a merger or takeover. (Comparable
companies/Industry/Real Option)
(v) Premium paid by target company to buy-back its shares from a potential acquirer is called _____________
(Green Shoe Option/Green Bid/Greenmail)
(vi) A theory that explains why the total value from the combinations resulted from a merger is a greater that
the sum of the values of the component companies operating independently is known as _____________
theory, (synergy/hubris/agency)
(vii) Post merger control and the --------------------are two of the most important issues in agreeing on the terms of
merger. (calculated price/negotiated price)
(viii) A method under which the value of an asset is based on calculating the costs avoided by the acquiring
company when obtaining a pre-existing and fully functional asset is known as -------------------- Method.(Sunk
Cost/ Marginal Cost/Avoided Cost/Incurred Cost)
(ix) A type of merger ......................., takes place when two companies in unrelated lines of business with
nothing in common join hands. (Vertical Integration / Horizontal Integration / Conglomerate)
(x) ................................is the present value of expected future cash flows that will result from the combined
operations and additional benefits expected to accrue. (Discount Cash Flow Value/Synergy Value/Value
Gap/Purchase Price)
Answer:

416 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


(i) Demerger
(ii) Goodwill
(iii) Hubris
(iv) Comparable companies
(v) Greenmail
(vi) Synergy
(vii) Negotiated price
(viii) Avoided Cost
(ix) Conglomerate
(x) Synergy Value

(c) In each of the questions given below one out of the four options is correct. Indicate the correct answer:
(i) If value of A Ltd. is 50, B Ltd. is 20 and on merger their combined value is 90 and A Ltd. receives premium on
merger 12, the synergy for merger is (all amounts are in `Lakhs)
(A) 8
(B) 20
(C) 32
(D) 38
(ii) P intends to acquire R (by merger) based on market price of the shares.
The following information is available of the two companies.

P R
No. of Equity shares 10,00,000 6,00,000
Earnings after tax (`) 50,00,000 18,00,000
Market value per share `30 `25
New EPS of P after merger?

(A) `4.00
(B) `4.05
(C) `4.60
(D) `4.53
(iii) Which one of the following is not a measure taken by a target firm to avoid acquisition?
(A) Poison Puts
(B) Poison Calls
(C) Golden Parachute
(D) Flip Over Pill
(iv) A Ltd. acquires B Ltd. by exchange of shares. EPS of A Ltd. and B Ltd. shares are `50 and `40 respectively. No.
of shares of A Ltd. and B Ltd. are 80,000 and 50,000 respectively. What No. of shares A Ltd. requires to issue
to B Ltd. in order to ensure that EPS of A Ltd. would remain same after merger? (Assume that earnings of the
merged company would be equal to the aggregate of the earnings of the companies before merger)

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 417


Valuation in Mergers and Acquisitions

(A) Cannot be computed


(B) 25,000
(C) 40,000
(D) 1,00,000
(v) In the context of an acquisition of a firm, which one of the following concepts of value is least relevant?
(A) Market Value
(B) Opportunity Cost
(C) Synergy Value
(D) Value Gap
(vi) Shareholders of target companies are typically paid in
(A) Government bonds held by the target company
(B) Government bonds held by the acquiring company
(C) Cash and / or shares of the acquiring company
(D) None of the above
(vii) Which Accounting Standard is issued by the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India on Accounting for
Amalgamation
(A) AS9
(B) AS12
(C) AS14
(D) AS18
(viii)In defending against a hostile takeover, the strategy that involves the target firm creating securities that give
their holders certain right that become effective when a takeover is attempted is called ____________ strategy.
(A) Shark repellent
(B) Green mail
(C) Poison pill
(D) Golden parachute
(ix) A theory that explains why the total value from the combination resulted from a merger is greater than the sum
of the value of the component companies operating independently is known as .................. theory.
(A) hubris
(B) agency
(C) operating
(D) synergy
(x) Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL) is considering a takeover of Sony Industries Ltd. (SIL). The particulars of 2 companies
are given below :

Particulars RIL SIL


Earnings After Tax (`) 20,00,000 10,00,000
Equity shares (No.) 8,00,000 8,00,000

418 STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION


EPS (`) 2 1
P/E ratio (times) 10 5

Calculate the market value of each company before merger?


(A) 1,60,00,000 and 8,00,000
(B) 1,60,00,000 and 40,00,000
(C) 8,00,000 and 8,00,000
(D) None of the above
Answer:
(i) (B) 20 [90-(50 + 20)]. Premium on merger is irrelevant.
(ii) (D) No. of shares R Ltd. will get in P Ltd. based on market price
= 25/30 6,00,000 = 5,00,000 Shares
Total No. of Equity shares of P. Ltd = 10,00,000 + 5,00,000 = 15,00,000 shares
Total earnings = 50,00,000 + 18,00,000 = `68,00,000.
The new EPS of P. Ltd. after merger = 68,00,000/15,00,000= `4.53
(iii) (B)Poison Calls
(iv) (C)40000 (B Ltd. Earnings/EPS of A Ltd. = 40x50000/50 = 40000)
(v) (B)Opportunity Cost
(vi) (C)Cash and/or shares of the acquiring company.
(vii) (C)AS 14
(viii) (C)Poison pill
(ix) (D)synergy
The idea that the value and performance of two companies combined will be greater than the sum of the
separate individual parts is called Synergy. This term is used mostly in the context of mergers and acquisitions.
For example, if Company A has an excellent product but lousy distribution whereas Company B has a great
distribution system but poor products, the companies could create synergy with a merger.
(x) (B) 1,60,00,000 and 40,00,000
Market value of companies before merger

Particulars RIL SIL


EPS (`) 2 1
P/E ratio 10 5
Market price per share (`) (EPS P/E ratio) 20 5
Equity shares (No.) 8,00,000 8,00,000
Total market value (MPS No. of Eq. Shared) 1,60,00,000 40,00,000

STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT AND BUSINESS VALUATION 419

You might also like