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Chapter Contents: Rate of Return One Project

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Chapter 7

Rate of Return
One Project
Lecture 26

Chapter Contents

i. Understand meaning of ROR


ii. Calculate ROR for cash flow series
iii. Special Considerations When Using the
ROR Method
iv. Determine multiple ROR values
v. Calculate External ROR (EROR)
vi. Calculate r and i for bonds (Skip)

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Internal Rate of Return
(IROR)
• We already learnt Present Worth that is equal to the “Sum of
Present Worth of Cash inflows minus Sum of Present worth of
Cash Out flows”

• We calculate PW at certain interest rate ..we get either Positive or


negative value of PW

• IROR…. is rate that equates “Sum of Present Worth of Cash


inflows” to “Present worth of Cash Outflows”

• Can also define…it’s the “interest rate at which PW is Zero”.

PW (or NPV) and IROR


(Important)!!!!!
Internal Rate of Return (IROR)
Present Worth ($)

Interest Rate (or discount rate) r

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Economical viability based on
IROR
• MARR gives firm the idea of the cost of capital for their investment (how
much capital should earn),
• So firms compare IROR with MARR
• Once you’ve calculated IROR
• If IROR > the cost of capital (MARR), then got a GOOD project (go for it!)
• If IROR < the cost of capital, then got a BAD project (don’t undertake it)
• In general, the higher the IROR, the better the project

If i *≥ MARR, accept the project as economically viable


If i *< MARR, the project is not economically viable

These criteria guarantee that the selected alternative will earn at


least its required return

Economical viability based


on IRR

Why compare with MARR ?

MARR is rate of return…that the company want at


least…its also called hurdle rate , benchmark rate or
cutoff rate

• IROR is the breakeven rate of return for the firms


that’s why they compare that with MARR because
IROR equates PW of Inflow to PW of Outflows

• In USA about 75% firms use IROR for evaluating


their financial projects

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IROR is relative measure
• We used MARR to calculate PW, FW etc. (a mathematical
relation determines the PW value in actual monetary units, say,
dollars or euros)….but MARR is established independent of any
particular project’s cash flows

• For the IROR values are calculated from using only the cash
flows themselves of a particular project/alternative

• Therefore, IROR may be considered a relative measure, while


PW and AW are absolute measures

• Since IROR depends only on the cash flows of the


project/alternative itself, the correct term for it is internal rate of
return (IROR); however, the term ROR is used interchangeably

Calculating IROR
• IROR can be obtained from either Present Worth (PW) or
Annual Worth (AW)
• Its calculation is based on its definition “The IROR(i*) is the
interest rate that makes the present worth or annual worth of a
cash flow series exactly equal to 0”
• It can be calculated as follows:

From Present Worth


• Set PW equal to 0, and solve for the interest rate.
• Or, the present worth of cash outflows (costs and disbursements)
PWO may be equated to the present worth of cash inflows
(revenues and savings) PWI . That is, solve for i using either of
the relations
0 = PW or PWO = PWI
From Annual Worth
0 =AW or AWO = AWI

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Calculating IROR
• IROR can be calculated by one of the following two
methods using PW or AW :

1.Calculating i* using spread sheet function


2.Calculating i* using Trial and Error

1. Calculating i* Using Spread Sheet Function


Since, we cannot use this option in exams (so not
required at this level), I am skipping this method (till the
end of this chapter), despite it provide more accurate and
quick results

Calculating IROR
2. Calculating i* Using Trial and Error
The general procedure of using a PW-based equation is
as follows:
i. Draw a cash flow diagram
ii. Set up the Internal rate of return equation (such as
PW =0, or AW=0 etc.)
iii. Select values of i by trial and error until the equation
is balanced

You can get two values for “i*” (by trial and error)
…within which PW is 0 (i.e. i at which PW is negative and
another “i” for which the PW positive) for given cash flows
and then interpolate a value for “i” for which the PW is
zero

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Example 7.3: Calculating IROR using Trial and
Error Method

Engineers with Monarch Paints have recommended


to management an investment of $200,000 now in
novel methods that will reduce the amount of
wastewater, packaging materials, and other solid
waste in their consumer paint manufacturing facility.
Estimated savings are $15,000 per year for each of
the next 10 years and an additional savings of
$300,000 at the end of 10 years in facility and
equipment upgrade costs. Determine the rate of
return using manual solutions.

Example 7.3: Calculating IROR using


Trial and Error Method
$300,000
i* = ?

$15,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

$200,000 Step 1: Draw cash flow diagram


Step 2: Using Present Worth for calculating IROR

0 = PW or PWO = PWI
0 = ―200,000 + 15000( P/A , i *,10) +300,000 Or 200,000 = 15000( P/A , i *,10) +300,000( P/F ,
( P/F , i *,10) i *,10)

To solve this we need “i*” ..need to be calculated on


trial and error basis …for the first try we need a good guess to start with

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Guidelines for good start?
1. Always remember the negative
relationship between discount
rate and PW
2. Start with a low rate 8% or 9%
and check if the value is very
negative or positive
….accordingly decrease or
increase the discount rate for
next try keeping in mind graph
shown
….. Get one +ive PW (close to 3. Or Use guideline
0)…& one –ive PW (close to 0) method for good start
….. Interpolate for getting “i” for given in book (explained
which PW is 0 on next slide)

Example 7.3: Calculating IROR using


Trial and Error Method
Using direct method …. get two values for “i*”
within which PW is 0 (i.e. i at which PW is negative
and another “i” for which the PW positive) for given
cash flows and then interpolate a value for “i” for
which the PW is zero (RECOMMENDED, because
easy to apply).
0 = PW
0 = ―200,000 + 15000( P/A , i *,10) +300,000 ( P/F , i *,10)
Lets try with i=8%
0 = ―200,000 + 15000( P/A , 8%,10) +300,000 ( P/F , 8%,10)
0 = ―200,000 + 15000( 6.7101) +300,000 ( 0.4632)
PW = 39611.5 >0
Lets try with i=12%
0 = ―200,000 + 15000( P/A , 12%,10) +300,000 ( P/F , 12%,10)
i* = 8 + 39611.5/(39611.5 –(-18647)) (4)
0 = ―200,000 + 15000( 5.6502) +300,000 ( 0.3220)
i*= 10.71
PW = ―18647 < 0 ≈ 10.58(book method) ≈10.55(Sp.sheet)

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Method for Good Guess
value (Optional Method)
Next slide shows an optional method
An optional method for a good guess value
start
you can apply it if you want
it is not compulsory to apply
if you do not apply we will not deduct marks
from you

Procedure for getting good start for


Trial and Error method (Optional)
• Convert the given cash flow into P/F, P/A or A/F relation by
ignoring the “time value of money”

• Set the equation for P/F, P/A or A/F factors, and use the
tables to get the value of “i“

• This “i“ will be a good “starting” guess for the Trial and
Error process

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Example 7.3: Calculating IROR
using Trial and Error Method (Optional)

Convert all cash flows to F because F is quite big and


rounding off A will have minimum errors due to 0 = ―200,000 + 15000( P/A , i *,10) +300,000
neglecting the time value of money. ( P/F , i *,10)
• P= $200,000, n = 10, and
0 = ― 200,000 + 15000(P/A, 9%, 10) +
• F = 10(15,000)+300,000= $450,000 300,000(P/F, 9%, 10)
Now we can state that 0 < $22,986
P = F(P/F, i, 10)
200,000 = 450,000(P/F, i, 10) PW is postive, we need to make it equal to zero.
We want to reduce the PW furthur, so increase
or (P/F, i, 10) = 0. 444
the rate of intrest. Lets try 11%.
Checking Table values: 0 = ―200,000 + 15000( P/A , 11%,10) +300,000
For 8% the (P/F, i, 10) = 0.4632 ( P/F , 11%,10)
For 9% the (P/F, i, 10) = 0.4224 0 = ― 6002
So i value is between 8% and 9% Since the interest rate of 11% is too high, linearly
interpolate between 9% and 11%.

So lets try 9% as first try

Procedure for getting good start for


Trial and Error method (Optional)

• The following procedure was used in previous slide:

1. Convert all outflows & inflows into either single amounts ( P or F ) or


uniform amounts ( A ) by neglecting the time value of money.
2. combine inflows and outflows such that it set equations for P/F , P/A , or
A/F
3. use the interest tables to find the approximate interest rate at which the
P/F , P/A , or A/F value is satisfied.
4. The rate obtained is a good estimate for the first trial.

• It is important to recognize that this first-trial rate is only an


estimate of the actual rate of return, because the time value of
money is neglected.

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Thank You

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