Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Poll Sunday
Poll Sunday
Prepared by:
Technical Report.......................................................................... 1
Technical Report
The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at
which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual MA adult being selected.
The data have also been weighted by the sex and race of the respondent and the region of the state based on
the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.
1
Tabular Results
2
“What do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem or issue in the race for Senator from Massachusetts?
State
Jobs/ Budget/ Govt. Educa- Health Don't
Taxes EconomySpendingCorruption tion Care Other Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 10% 59% 12% 1% 3% 3% 11% 2% 515
Extremely interested in
election 18% 56% 13% 0% 2% 4% 7% 0% 163
Very interested 6% 57% 13% 1% 3% 3% 13% 3% 211
Somewhat/Not Very interested4% 66% 9% 3% 5% 1% 11% 1% 133
3
“Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
4
“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?”
5
“And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?”
6
“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Governor Deval Patrick.”
7
“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... State Treasurer Tim Cahill.”
8
“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Republican gubernatorial candidate Charlie Baker.”
9
“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Green Party gubernatorial candidate Jill Stein.”
10
“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Senator John Kerry.”
11
“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... Senator Scott Brown.”
12
“Next, I’d like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her ... President Barack Obama.”
13
“Think for a minute about political incumbents, the people in Washington and Massachusetts who are currently in office. Overall, do you
trust current political incumbents to provide leadership in Washington and Massachusetts or do you think political incumbents in Washington
and Massachusetts need to be replaced by a new crop of leaders?”
14
"Overall would you say you support the political movement known as the Tea Party, you oppose the Tea Party, or that you neither support nor
oppose it?"
Support Oppose
Tea Lean Lean Tea Don't
Party Support Neither Oppose Party Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 17% 7% 28% 3% 39% 6% 521
Extremely interested in
election 28% 9% 19% 4% 39% 2% 164
Very interested 12% 6% 33% 3% 42% 5% 212
Somewhat/Not Very interested9% 7% 32% 2% 36% 14% 136
15
“Thinking about all of the elections in November, both in Massachusetts and in other parts of the country, how do you feel about what will
happen in the November elections? Are you very excited … somewhat excited … somewhat depressed … or very depressed?”
16
“Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for Massachusetts governor in 2010 … are you leaning toward someone …
or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
17
“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … Deval
Patrick, the Democrat … Tim Cahill, the Independent … and Jill Stein, the Green-Rainbow candidate, who would you vote for ... Charlie
Baker … Deval Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 34% 35% 11% 4% 2% 14% 468
18
“Who would your second choice be?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERSS 12% 14% 35% 12% 3% 24% 350
19
“If the 2010 election for Massachusetts state Treasurer was being held TODAY and the candidates are Karyn Polito, the Republican and
Steve Grossman, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Karyn Polito … or Steve Grossman?”
Don't
Polito Grossman Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 30% 40% 2% 28% 465
20
“And if the 2010 election for Massachusetts state Auditor was being held TODAY and the candidates are Mary Connaughton, the Republican
and Suzanne Bump, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Mary Connaughton … or Suzanne Bump”
Conn- Don't
aughton Bump Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 29% 33% 2% 36% 462
21
"Please think about the November election for your representative to the U.S. House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the
Democratic or Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for U.S. House of
Representatives this time?"
Don't
GOP DEM Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 34% 45% 3% 19% 449
22
"And turning to the November election for your representative for the Massachusetts House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the
Democratic or Republican candidate for the Massachusetts House of Representatives ... or do you plan to skip the election for Massachusetts
House of Representatives this time?"
Don't
GOP DEM Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 33% 43% 4% 21% 450
23
“Which candidate do you think is the strongest leader?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 33% 38% 7% 1% 3% 18% 453
24
“Which candidate do you think best understands people like me?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 27% 32% 13% 5% 2% 21% 433
25
“Which candidate do you think is most likely to bring change to Massachusetts?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 44% 17% 11% 9% 2% 16% 449
26
“Which candidate do you think is most likable?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 20% 36% 18% 4% 1% 20% 449
27
“Which of the candidates for Governor do you TRUST MORE to handle the state’s budget and fiscal problems … Charlie Baker … Deval
Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 31% 31% 19% 4% 1% 15% 504
28
“How responsible do you think Deval Patrick’s administration is for the state of the Massachusetts economy … very responsible … somewhat
responsible … not very responsible … or not responsible at all?”
Not
Very Somewhat Not Very Responsible Don't
Responsible Responsible Responsible At All Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 15% 53% 19% 9% 4% 519
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“Why do you feel that way?”
Extremely interested in
election 11% 9% 10% 7% 9% 6% 47% 1% 155
Very interested 12% 9% 9% 9% 9% 6% 40% 4% 196
Somewhat/Not Very interested 12% 15% 17% 5% 5% 5% 34% 8% 120
30
“On another topic, we are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you and your family living
there are BETTER OFF or WORSE OFF financially than you were a year ago?”
31
“Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has brought reform to Beacon Hill.”
32