Xi'an Aleba Mineral Water Company: Business Plan
Xi'an Aleba Mineral Water Company: Business Plan
Xi'an Aleba Mineral Water Company: Business Plan
Company BusinessPlan
Table of Contents
1.3 Background
The JV began operations in March, 1999 based on a business plan completed in November,
1998. That business plan called for establishing a strong market position in the school market. In
March,
Wang Huirecognized that the school market would be more difficult to penetrate, and he devised
a new plan to sell water to the family market through retail water shops.1
Since we did not have the capital to establish our own retail shops, Wang Hui established a net-
work of independently owned shops and a system of water tickets to control sales and cash.
Since we also did not have a marketing budget geared to a consumer market,
Wang Hui used low cost
promotions. Approximately 50% of the production from the factory has been used for promotion
1. The November, 1998 plan called for one prototype water shop to explore the family market.
In June, 1999 we conducted a market test with ten primary schools. The school promotion pro-
vided each school with free water for a week, as well as pens, volley balls and soccer balls. The
school promotions stimulated family sales, as parents and teachers purchased Aleba for home
consumption.
In June, manufacturing quality problems arose from disintegrating paper filters. This problem
was resolved with adjustments to the line pressure and changes in equipment cleaning
procedures.
In July, Wang Hui began a program to take over the family accounts of the retail shops. Eventu-
ally, our plan is to control the customers of all the retail shops. Through the ticket system, Aleba
has all the names, addresses and telephone numbers of the retail shops. As Aleba builds its trans-
portation capacity with more vans, we will take over deliveries to the retail shop accounts.
In August, Aleba confronted an operating cash shortage. Available operating cash declined
to about 10,000 RMB. The shortage is attributable to a variety of factors.
• The family market has a lower productivity than the school market, our initial target. Each
school has an average of fifty classrooms, and water consumption averages one bottle per
day. In contrast, each family has one dispenser and consumes a bottle of water in seven to ten
days.
• The November, 1998 business plan assumed that Aleba would collect deposits on bottles.
Competition from the market has limited our ability to collect deposits. Only about 30% of the
central office accounts have paid deposits. Retail shops have collected deposits on only about
20% of their accounts. Aleba has not yet collected the retail shop deposits.
• Part of the cash shortage is also attributable to the currency hedge loans. These loans reduce
the amount of available investment by as much as 20%, and they further impose a monthly
interest expense. Interest income from Aleba’s dollar deposits is not payable until our deposit
contract matures.
In September, Aleba completed a customer survey to determine the factors that influenced cus-
tomers to buy Aleba water. The survey revealed that 80% based their decision to buy on the
advice of a friend. Only 20% purchased on the basis of newspaper articles or advertising.
1. “Xi’an Mineral Water Industry”, an article appearing in a national China food industry newspaper July 14, 1999
and translated by Ye Liu. From the article: “The well-known local mineral water products are Zhang Ba Long
Quan, Da Li and Aleba.”
Xi’an Aleba Mineral Water Company September 17, 1999 2
• A central office staff that manages logistics of bottle delivery from factory and empty returns.
• A central office staff that manages a system of tickets for retail purchases to control cash.
• A central office sales staff with 3 minivans to schedule and make deliveries to central office
customers, including retail shops.1 Sales staff also provides after sales service of dispensers.
• A network of eight retail shops to sell and distribute water primarily to the family market.
• A central administration staff, including the general manager, to develop and manage collec-
tions, billing, management controls, and financial reporting.
Customer
Delivery Empty
Bottling Marketing Ticket
Outbound Logistics Bottle
Operations and sales system and
Logistics Return
and QC Service Retail Shop Logistics collections
Management
Administration
Marketing
• Sales promotion program needs continued development to convert school prospects to regular
customers.
• Need to develop network marketing programs, including supporting marketing materials, to
replace print and broadcast advertising for family and institution markets.
• Need stronger corporate identity program and customer database to support shift away from
advertising and toward relationship/network marketing strategy.
Manufacturing
• Quality program needs improved equipment and procedures.
• New pre-wash building requires additional plumbing and fixtures.
• Compressor provides inadequate pressure for capping.
• Factory ceiling needs reinforcement.
• Factory requires air conditioning in clean room and laboratory.
Transportation
• Not enough vans to deliver to expanding customer base.
• Need to develop more responsive, rationalized delivery system with central management of
routing.
• Central warehouse has inadequate parking to accommodate expanded minivan fleet.
Administration
• Computer data is not regularly backed-up. Computer equipment may need upgrading.
• Current office space inadequate to conduct meetings.
• Financial reporting to investors needs to be concise, consistent, timely, and easy to administer.
• Need expanded customer database and computer capabilities to support network marketing.
People
• Stronger capability to conduct financial forecasting.
• Management development plan to assist Wang Hui.
• Additional sales and delivery people.
Marketing
• Expand school promotion program to between 20 to 30 schools.
• Launch dispenser program to expand sales into institutional market.
• Launch corporate identity program with logo, uniforms, vans.
• Upgrade promotional materials to support marketing and sales programs.
• Continue public relations program in local media.
• Continue free water promotions.
• Develop marketing office inside city
walls. Manufacturing
• Upgrade quality assurance program.
• Install fixtures in pre-wash building.
• Reinforce factory ceiling.
• Install filtered air moving equipment in clean room and
laboratory. Transportation
• Increase van fleet to make deliveries to expanded customer base.
• Develop central dispatching system using pagers or local service cell phones.
Administration
• Establish regular computer back-up routine.
• Develop detailed customer database.
• Move central office to better location.
• Improve financial reporting to investors.
People
• Execute Memorandum of Agreement among Imagene, ATCO, Aleba Management (Louisiana)
and Aleba Management (Oregon) to develop stronger management team to assist Wang Hui.
• Develop bonus system for workers.
Department and
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
programs
Sales
Convert test market
schools to regular cus-
tomers through On- End
going
extended direct sell-
ing effort.
Marketing
Expand school promo-
tion program to Start On-
between 20 to 30 going
schools.
Launch corporate
identity program with Start
uniforms, vans.
Upgrade promotional
materials to support Start
marketing and sales
programs.
Develop marketing
On-
office inside city walls going
Manufacturing
Upgrade quality assur-
Start
ance program.
Transportation
Increase van fleet to
make deliveries to Start
expanded customer
base.
Administration
Establish routine to
Start
back-up computer data
Improve financial
Start
reporting to investors.
Major purchases
4 mini-vans for deliv-
X
eries.
People
Execute Memorandum
X
of Agreement among
Imagene, ATCO,
Aleba Management
(Louisiana) and Aleba
Management (Oregon)
Special project:
small bottle
Evaluate installation
Start
of small bottle line.
Begin cus- 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,700 3,000 3,300 3,700 4,100 4,500 5,000
tomers
Add net 200 200 200 200 300 300 300 400 400 400 500 --
new cus-
tomers
Bottles per 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
month
Total bot- 4,800 5,400 6,000 6,600 7,200 8,100 9,000 9,900 11,100 12,300 13,500 15,000
tles
Average 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75 7.75
price per
bottle
Revenue 37,200 41,850 46,500 51,150 55,800 62,775 69,750 76,725 86,025 95,325 104,625 116,250
30,000
26,429
25,000
20,000
15,000
12,383
10,000
8,839
5,000
1,698 1,771
0
March April May June July Aug
Aleba marketing
Retail shops department Total
Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number
Family customers (%) 90% 1,152 67%a 240 82% 1,392
Institution customers (%) 10%b 128 33% 119 15% 248
Bottles per
Days per bottle month
Family 7-10 3
Institution office 5-7 5
School classroom 1 20
Total
customers Percent
Retail shop channel 1,276 78%
Direct channel Aleba Marketing Department 360 22%
Total 1,636 100%
Through
retail
Segment Direct shops
Family 10 7.27a
Institution 8-10 7.27
School 10.0 8.0b
a. JV provides one free ticket for every ten purchased. Effective discount off selling
price of 8 RMB per ticket. (80 RMB/11 tickets = 7.27 per ticket.)
b. Sale to first school is arranged through Retail Shop 7. Most future sales to schools
will be direct.
Average
Units sold Revenue price Memo
March 29 4,915 169
April 11 2,986 271
May 192 28,713 150
June 48 9,632 201
July 57 18,219 320
August 61 17,153 281
Total 398 81,617 205
Total customers 1,636
Percent of customers purchasing dispensers from Aleba 24%
2.5.1 Convert test market schools to regular customers through extended direct selling
effort.
• Major leverage available from the school market: high price realization, high consumption,
rel- atively low transportation costs.
• Complex purchase decision with many actors to influence the decision.
• Major obstacle 1: Parents objecting to school fees.
• Major obstacle 2: School administrators’ concerns over food safety.
• Success in first school indicates the market is still viable, but selling effort will take time.
• Focus on personal selling by Wang Hui of school officials.
2.5.2 Take over customers of under-performing retail shops and outlying customers of
other shops.
• Begin to expand direct selling channel by “pruning” accounts from existing retail shops.
• Next candidates for take over: Retail shops 3 and 4.
Average
Number of number of
institutional Number of dispensers
accounts dispensers per account
33 120 3.6
umber of dispensers
25 25
20 20
15 15
10 10
5 5
0 0
27 2 3 17 5 6 15 8 22 10 23 12 13 18 29 21 28 25 7 9 26 20 16 11 32 14 30 1 24 31 33 4
19
Institutional Account
Number of schools
Xi’an 150
Xianyang 30
Total 180
a 15
Average classrooms per school
Total classrooms 2,700
Current sales to schools (classrooms) 50
Current market penetration of school class-
rooms 2%
a. School size varies from ten to sixty classrooms.
In 1999, in the Xi’an market there are over 20 brands of distilled and mineral
water from southern China. Compared to Xi’an local water products, southern
water has much bigger sale networks and aggressive advertising through all
kind of media. For the small bottle water or 5 gallon family size water, south-
ern products own more than 80% of market share in Xi’an. In fact most fami-
lies are buying distilled water from the southern producers. (EFM Note:
analysis of the local market appearing in a Xi’an newspaper estimates that
70% of water sales are distilled.)
Today's situation reminds me that several years ago in Xi’an's juice market,
all of the juice products came from southern manufactures. Today, Ru-Shi,
Xi’an local juice manufacture has earned the biggest market share in the
Xi’an juice market. Local consumers have been educated that Shaanxi apples
are better than southern apple and realized that the quality of local juice is the
best. (from
1. Translated by Ye Liu.
In order to change the Xi’an mineral water market situation, the local consum-
ers must be educated that Xi’an has the best mineral water resources
anywhere. The advertising for local products must be more aggressive and
attractive. The packaging of the products must be improved.
TABLE 16. Preliminary segmentation of competition
1. This survey also polices the retail accounts to make certain they do not submit fake customer names to get their
five free tickets.
1. Only about 2% to 3% of our customers have complained about price, as distilled water companies have dropped
their price to as low as 6 RMB per bottle.
2. Creates quality problem: the job of keeping dispensers with filled bottles usually falls to low level office
employee.
They are less concerned over removing label before installing bottle on dispenser. Pieces of the paper label then
become stuck on the inside of the bottle, creating a cleaning problem.
Used in
Initial June Available Inventory
Item Order promotions on hand Unit price value
Balls 2,000 900 1,100 30 33,000
Pens 50,000 25,000 25,000 0.89 24,475
Notebooks 100,000 32,500 67,500 0.80 54,000
a. Production runs at 130 bottles per hour or 1,066 bottles per 8 hour shift.
b. Bottle costs 35 RMB and is depreciated over 50 trips.
c. Utilities based on monthly production of 20 days and monthly cost of 1,500 RMB.
d. Labor based on manufacturing headcount shown in Section 8.0 People below.
Total
monthly manufacturing wages equal 5,800 RMB.
Value of
Months Unit Price inventory
Units supply RMB RMB
Bottles 6,000 N.A. 35.0 105,000
Caps 30,000 3 0.35 10,500
Plastic bags 180,000 18 0.11 20,000
Labels 480,000 48 0.03 14,000
Total 149,500
Bottles Percent
Total bottles produced 22,104 100%
Total bottles sold 12,012 54%
Bottles used for promotion 10,092 46%
Sales 4,800 5,400 6,000 6,600 7,200 8,100 9,000 9,900 11,100 12,300 13,500 15,000
Promo- 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
a
tion
Total 8,800 9,400 10,000 10,600 11,200 12,100 13,000 13,900 15,100 16,300 17,500 19,000
Promo-
tion as% 45 43 40 38 36 33 31 29 28 25 23 21
of total
One shift 41 44 47 50 53 57 61 65 71 76 82 89
capacity
(%)b
4.3.4 Install filtered air moving equipment in clean room and laboratory.
• Required in laboratory and clean room during summer months.
• Sanitation bureau regulations require filtration and positive pressure in clean room.
3 wheeled bike:
Cost per vehicle RMB 400
Average daily deliveries bottles 20
Daily deliveries (high) bottles 40
Labor cost per day RMB 22
Annual license fee RMB
Useful life of bicycle years 2
Small minivan:
Cost per vehicle RMB 45,000
Useful life for depreciation years 5
Headcount per vehicle people 1
Average daily deliveries bottles 40
Customers per minivan customers 200
Distance traveled per day km 100
Gas consumed per 100 km liters 10
Price of gas per liter RMB 2
Daily cost of gas RMB 20
Daily wage rate for driver RMB 30
Contract trucking:
Bottles per truck bottles 400
Contract rate per truck: direct deliv- RMB 420
ery to Aleba central office and retail
shops
Contract rate per truck: city RMB 450
delivery, multiple stops for
institutional accounts
Additional contract labor per truck people 4
Rate per trip per contract labor head RMB 40
Total contract labor per trip RMB 160
5.4.2 Develop central dispatching system using pagers or local service cell phones.
• Use pagers or local cell phones to dispatch drivers.
• The Company has developed a system of tickets to manage cash. This system centralizes cash
collection in the central office. Periodic changes in the tickets enables the central office to
detect counterfeit tickets.
• The Company uses a manual accounting system set to Chinese accounting standards. No
effort has been made to automate the system or conform the system to U.S. GAAP.
6.3.3 Develop detailed customer database; establish regular computer back-up routine.
• Develop customer database on Access, a relational database program, instead of Excel.
• Purchase equipment required for regular computer back-up and train staff in necessary tasks.
Unit
Item Quantity Price Total Investment
According to the Company’s financial model additional investments will be required, if sales
pro- jections are met. The financial model appears in the Appendix:
• Cap purchases will likely be required in December, March and May.
• Bottle purchases will be required in February, May and July.
• An additional four will be required by May of next year.
These investments are contingent on whether the Company meets its sales projections.
Amount
Payee Reason (RMB)
Construction company Construction of pre- 100,000
wash building
Construction company Rock sign at factory 20,000
Lantian hotel Shinzawa, Ray stay 5,000
Other 75,000
Total 200,000
Responsibilities Paid by
Wang Hui General management ATCO, Imagene
Ed Morrison Business planning ATCO
Financial reporting to ATCO
Imagene
Jim Ray Financial reporting to Imagene
Evaluation Phase 2 Imagene investment JV
Ron Bradley Technical consulting Aleba Oregon
Ye Liu Financial analysis and translation
Marketing and promotional materials Imagene
Shinzawa Marketing and promotion in Xi’an
Evaluation Phase 2 Imagene investment
9.1 Overview
Small bottle line includes:
• injection molding equipment to manufacture preforms from PET;
• blow molding equipment to manufacture bottles;
• filling and capping line to produce 600 ml bottles of water.
Month Year
Feasibility analysis complete November 1999
Investment decision December
Start building constructiona December
End building construction March 2000
Equipment installation March
Test production April
Sanitation bureau approvals May
Begin production June
a. Weather in Xi’an is a factor in building construction. The weather has to be warm
enough to pour a building foundation.
Investment
a Form of Investment
Party (RMB millions) Percent
Xi’an Aleba Soya Land, buildings 1.6 24.62%
Aleba Water Company Cash, equipment 4.9 75.38%
Total 6.5 100.00%
a. In the corporate documents, Xi’an Aleba Soya is Party A and Aleba Water Company is
Party B.
Aleba Aleba
Fu An Eagle Capital Imagene Management Management
Louisiana Oregon
24.62% 75.38%
Xi'an Aleba
Mineral Water
Company
RMB (000)
200 200
163
0 0
-100 -100
-127
-200 -200
RMB %
Sources:
Imagene investment 1,203,500
Uses:
Investments in major purchases 1,042,000 87%
Working capital 161,500 13%
Total uses 1,203,000 100%
Cumulative percent
Major purchases % of Imagene funds of Imagene funds
RMB invested invested
Oct 331,000 28% 28%
Nov 189,000 16% 43%
Dec 52,000 4% 48%
Jan 0 - 48%
Feb 105,000 9% 56%
Mar 0 - 56%
Apr 0 - 56%
May 225,000 19% 75%
Jun 0 - 75%
Jul 140,000 12% 87%
Aug 0 - 87%
Sep 0 - 87%
RMB
Salaries 16,000
Electricity 1,500
Telephone 2,600
Gasoline 3,000
Contract truck transportation 4,200
Office expenses 500
Travel 1,000
Entertainment 1,000
Q.C. Testing 500
Repairs 500
Contingency 1,000
Subtotal 31,800
Loan Interest 17,500
Total monthly operating expenses 49,300
Monthly Annual
Operating expenses 49,300 591,600
Marketing programs 5,000 60,000
Total fixed 59,300 651,600
RMB
Revenue per bottle 8.50
Less:
Manufacturing costs (1.64)
Transport to Xi’an (1.45)
Transport to customer (2.27)
Equals: Contribution per bottle 3.14
RMB
Average bottle consumption per 3.75
customer per month
Average consumption per year 45
Contribution per customer per year 141.34
RMB in millions
3.5
Fixed Costs
Contribution
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
Thousands of customers
800,000 800,000
700,000 700,000
600,000 600,000
500,000 500,000
400,000 400,000
300,000 300,000
200,000 200,000
100,000 100,000
0 0
-100,000 -100,000
January
May
September
March
July
August
June
April
October
November
December
February
Cash Balance
Net Operating Cash
Report Frequency
Production and dellivery Weekly
Marketing Every 2 weeks
Financial Monthly
Report
Data Benchmark Frequency Comment
Production and deliveries to Xi’an Increasing Weekly Deliveries include revenue and
promotional bottles.
Daily deliveries to customers 300 Weekly Deliveries 7 days per week. 300
represents about break-even
volumes.
New customers per month 200-300 Monthly Budget projection.
Bottles per customer 4-6 Monthly Below 4 and deliveries degrade;
above 6 and inefficiencies arise.
Revenue per bottle 8 Monthly Below 8 indicates too deep dis-
counting on price.
Promotional bottles per month 4,000 Monthly Above 4,000 exceeds budget.
Accounts receivable retail shops Monthly Increases in A/R should track
increases in customers. Inidca-
tor of financial condition of
retail shops.
Cash balance 500,000 RMB Monthly Should not go below 500,000
RMB
C R
Capability gaps 4 Revenue summary, 1999 10
Cash balance, projected 43
Cash controls 32 S
Company plan 1 Sales by channel 12
Competition 18 Sales forecast 10
Consumption rates by segment 12 Sales plan 10
Contribution 41 Sales programs 15
Current position 3 Sales strategy 15
Customers by segment 12 Sales, current situation 10
Schedule and milestones 7
D School market 18
Dispenser sales 14 Small bottle line 37
Dispensers in institutional accounts 17 Staffing 35
Summary of Operations, 1999 39
F
Family market 16 T
Financial plan 39 Target markets 16
Ticket revenue, 1999 11
G Transport costs for one bottle 30
Goals and targets 1 Transportation costs 29
Transportation gaps 30
H Transportation initiatives 31
Health concerns over distilled water 21 Transportation plan 28
Transportation system 28
I
Imagene investment, uses 39
Initiatives, overview 5
Initiatives, summary 1
Institutional market 16
J
Joint venture organization 38
L
Logistics 32
M
Major purchases 34
Major purchases, schedule 40
Management team 36
Manufacturing costs 25
Manufacturing inventories 25