Foreign Policy of Pakistan
Foreign Policy of Pakistan
Foreign Policy of Pakistan
1, Summer 2015
Abstract
The evolution of International Relations, since the dawn of the 21st
century coupled with powerful forces such as globalization and
communication technology, has fundamentally changed the world
around us. These changes have brought a number of challenges and
opportunities for Pakistan. The main argument of this paper is that
Pakistan needs review of its national interest, goals, priorities and
ultimately an overall adjustment and readjustment of its foreign
policy in order to cope with the opportunities and challenges that
await us. Hence, this paper, by adopting a futuristic approach and
keeping the national interest of Pakistan at the centre of discussion,
analyzes the impact of a vast array of changes around our borders as
well as in the region. After discussing the changes, the paper then
raises a number of important questions and evaluates a number of
policy responses and alternatives that may be helpful in the
formulation of Pakistan’s foreign policy in the future.
Introduction
F
oreign policy, solely guided by a country’s national interest, is used
as a tool by a particular country for dealing with the outside world in
various areas such as security, economy, trade, commerce, culture
and technology. As International Relations have been evolving since the
treaty of Westphalia, the conduct, methods and scope of foreign policy
have also been changing.
In the age of Globalization, more and more areas of global, regional
and bilateral interactions today fall within the ambit of foreign policy.
Terms like cultural diplomacy, citizen diplomacy, commercial diplomacy,
defence diplomacy, digital diplomacy, economic diplomacy and regional
diplomacy are presently considered part and parcel of foreign policy.
∗
Dr. Raja Muhammad Khan is Head of Department of IR, FCS, NDU.
Foreign Policy of Pakistan 15
2 G. W. Choudhury, "New" Pakistan's Constitution, 1973, Middle East Journal, Vol. 28,
No. 1, Middle East Institute, (Winter, 1974), 10-18.
Foreign Policy of Pakistan 17
7 Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon (at lectern) speaks at the inauguration of the Centre
for International Peace and Stability in Islamabad, <http://www.un.org/apps/
news/story.asp?NewsID=45613#.VlM-dLcrLIU>.
8 “PM tells UN India ‘missed opportunity’ for peace”, Pakistan Today, September 27,
2014.
9 Rasul B. Rais, “War Without Winners: Afghanistan's Uncertain Transition after the
Cold War” (Karachi: Oxford University Press, 1994).
10 “Pakistan calls for peaceful settlement of ME conflict”, The Nation, 14 November
2015.
Foreign Policy of Pakistan 19
Today, we are living in a world that is totally different than the 20th
century. It is a completely technologized world today.
The power of technology in politics is present and visible
everywhere. From satellite television networks, social media, to mass
movements and then to Facebook and Twitter revolutions, these are the
innovations that have created new forces of such magnitude and strength
which have influenced the conduct of International Relations and foreign
policy.
Similarly, the world is changing economically. From the debris of
the Cold War and the socialism of Mao Tse Tung, has emerged a China,
whose economic rise has taken the world by surprise. A China guided by
the ideas of Deng Xiaoping has surpassed Japan and Germany
economically, stands at number two today, and is likely to surpass the
United States in the coming decade or so.
Coming towards Pakistan’s west and east where Afghanistan, India
and Iran stand different with the passage of time, India has made
significant economic progress in the past two decades. Choosing its way
between Socialism and Capitalism, the Indian economy stands 3rd as per
GDP (PPP) in the world and is likely to grow further. This is an important
development for Pakistan. Because India, like any other country in the
world, is translating its economic development into political, military and
diplomatic strength.
Iran also looks freer and more confident after the nuclear deal. So
Iran, too, must be looking for a strategy to translate its huge stock of
natural resources into economic and political strength. Again, Pakistan’s
policymakers should be cognizant of the fact that Iran’s role in the Middle
East and Afghanistan and its relations with India will strongly resonate in
Pakistan as well as across the wider region.
And finally, there is the strategic change that is taking place around
Pakistan. The Middle East stands out as the symbol of this herculean
change that has not only transformed the Middle East but has sent shocks
much beyond the region. Although one would have been expecting or
wishing for a different kind of change, yet no matter how it is, the change
is occurring. Most of the Middle East has fallen into chaos. Syria, Yemen,
Palestine and, Iraq are bleeding, while the soldiers of the (un)Islamic State
(IS) have let the hell loose upon the people. There was a time where one
could immediately think of the United States role in such a situation, but
again things are now different here too. The people know that is not going
to be the case anymore. The US has lost both its credibility and efficacy in
the Middle East and now Russia is emerging to fill the void. As it did in
Ukraine, Syria and might be thinking of reasserting itself over geopolitics
in Central Asia as well.
Coming towards Pakistan’s west, the land with which Pakistan
shares too much in terms of religion, society, culture, language and history;
there was a time when a Pakistani official could go to his home without
20 Journal of Contemporary Studies, Vol. IV, No.1, Summer 2015
being concerned with any threats to Pakistan’s security from the western
border. Yes, it was the Taliban’s era — when Kabul looked much different.
A time when Hamid Karzai and many of his ministers and officials were
residing in Pakistan and the commander of the faithful, Mullah Mohammad
Omar, was ruling Afghanistan from Kandahar.
It was a time when India, the United States and its NATO allies,
were not much concerned about Afghanistan. In those times India did not
maintain any diplomatic presence and so many consulates were right next
to Pakistan’s western border. Call it the best of times for Pakistan, because
back then none of us could have thought of IS, Fazlullah, others of their like
and the Baloch separatists sitting in Afghanistan, waging their war against
Pakistan from there.
It is also important to mention here that Iran does not remain an
outcast anymore, China is vying for power, and Russia is no more heir to
the antiques of the Cold War – it’s reasserting itself in a big way. The
Middle East is also becoming less and less famous for its oil, shopping
malls, skyscrapers and Burj al-Khalifas. Today it is more known for IS, Al-
Qaeda and for the number of conflicts going on in the region.
The world around Pakistan has changed much, in fact, is still
changing. With more players in the game, the environment around us is
much more complex, hostile and competitive. Therefore, it will be a hard
job for foreign policy makers in Pakistan to operate in such an
environment.
set to deal with an India that has grown much economically and enjoying
considerable diplomatic clout in the world. In addition to these changes,
India is also poised to become member of the nuclear club, while at the
same time its relations with the United States are strengthening by the
day. Apart from these developments, India is also sitting right next to
Pakistan’s eastern border.
So, what are the options for Pakistan to deal with India? The
environment that surrounds Pakistan clearly dictates that Pakistan’s
foreign policy towards India will be guided by security – that should be
considered as the rule of the thumb. Henceforth, the general expectation
should be that Pakistan’s foreign policy towards India will remain directed
by the security concerns emanating from across its eastern and western
borders. This means, Pakistan will be taking a good care of its borders,
improving its conventional and deterrent capability against India, while at
the same time allowing diplomacy to try its luck on Kashmir, trade, crisis
management, and people-to-people contact.
Diplomacy, no doubt, plays a significant role in resolving long
standing disputes. The appeasement of India, however, should neither be
the choice nor option. Thus, Pakistan would not like another Ufa taking
place, where India dictated the rules of engagement. It is to be noted here
that by not reciprocating to the goodwill gestures of Pakistan, the
government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi seems to have decided to
walk on the traditional path of keeping Pakistan under diplomatic
pressure.11
The events of the past two years, therefore, lead us to the
conclusion that India will try to use pressure tactics in order to take
concessions from Pakistan on Kashmir and other issues. If history be the
guide, India’s current strategy is that normalization of relations with
Pakistan will depend on Islamabad’s acceptance of Indian regional
hegemony and its stance on Kashmir. Pakistan on the other hand, should
maintain its position by telling India that normalization of relations will
not be coming without discussing and resolving the core issues between
the two countries.
The next important question that concerns Pakistani policymakers
is that, will Pakistan be able to reduce the Indian influence in Afghanistan?
A tough guess! Although the answer to this question is quite difficult, yet
through a mix of logic, thinking, skill and imagination, Pakistan can
develop an approach that can bring about normalization of relations with
Afghanistan that should also aim at a reduced Indian influence as a crucial
component of this process.
11 Praveen Swami, “Why Narendra Modi is smoking the Pakistani peace pipe,” The
Indian Express, July 10, 2015, <http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/web-
edits/why-narendra-modi-is-smoking-the-pakistani-peace-pipe/>, Accessed 5
November 2015.
22 Journal of Contemporary Studies, Vol. IV, No.1, Summer 2015
12 Ajit Doval, who became national security adviser in 2014 to Prime Minister
Narendra Modi, in his speech in SASTRA college stated to exploit Pakistan’s
economic, political and social vulnerabilities.
Foreign Policy of Pakistan 23
13 Safdar Sial, “Pak-Afghan Relations: Emerging Trends and Future Prospects,” IPS, Jan-
Mar 2011.
Foreign Policy of Pakistan 25
16 Asif Ezdi, “The spin-off of the Iran nuclear deal,” The News, December 2, 2013.
17 Dr. Qaisar Rashid, “Challenges of Pakistan’s foreign policy”, Daily Times, 26
November 2015.
Foreign Policy of Pakistan 27
foreign policy viz-a-viz the gulf countries will be to wash away the impact
of Pakistan’s decision on Yemen. It will take some time to undo the effects
of Pakistan’s decision on Yemen, but again Yemen should serve as an
example for Pakistan so in the future it should not opt for indulging in any
regional conflict.
Conclusion
Foreign policy is thought as the facade of a country in the global
community; as systematic, dynamic, effective and successful foreign policy
elevates the stature of a country on the international stage. While a weak
and passive foreign policy causes failure and may lead up to negative
22 Dennis Kux, “The United States and Pakistan, 1947-2000: Disenchanted Allies,”
(Karachi: Oxford University Press, 2002).
Foreign Policy of Pakistan 29