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Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The Candlestick Summit


Reaching the top levels of Nison
candlesticks- Day 2

Small real body inside an unusually


long white real body.

BASIC CRITERIA
• Two session pattern
• Market in uptrend, but trend not critical
• First candle unusually long white candle
• Second candle is much smaller than 1st
candle (about 25% or less).
• 2nd candle can be the same- or opposite
color- of first candle
• 2nd real body is within 1st candle’s real body

PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
The indications based on the tall white
SUPPORT/MOMENTUM TRADING candle’s vitality is for the rally to continue,
But next session’s gap down and then failure
• Not used as resistance (unless 2nd to resume the advance to beyond the prior
candle is reversal signal (i.e. session shows those who had forecast
shooting star) strength are wrong! The rally could now be
• Not used for momentum trading running out of fuel.
www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 1
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

 For FX, intraday and indexes can have


the same (or within 2 pips for FX) open
as prior close
 If the 2nd candle is a doji, the pattern is
called a harami cross
 The more the 2nd candle gets deeply
into the white candle the better the
signal.
 Because FX, etc, black can’t get deeply
into white candle, it is best to wait for
bear confirmation by a lower open or
close than black candle’s real body.
FX Pattern
 In general the less the 2nd candle gets
more into the white candle the more
confirmation is needed.
 Opposite of bullish harami

www.candlecharts.com

Bear Harami

Because these
are near the
highs of the
Not Bear prior candle
would want
Harami
bear candle
confirmation

www.candlecharts.com

Confirmation important in FX

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 2
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Black candle that opens higher and then


closes more than halfway into prior
white real body.

www.candlecharts.com

BASIC CRITERIA
• Two session pattern
• Market in uptrend
• Open of black candle higher than prior close
• Black candle closes into white candle

STRICT CRITERIA
• Black candle closes more than 50% into white
real body
• Black candle opens above prior high
• Tall white and black candles

PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
SUPPORT/MOMENTUM TRADING White candle and then gap higher keeps bulls
happy. But with black candle finishing well
• Highest high of both candles as
below white candle’s close the “upward
resistance
energy has cooled to the extreme” causing
• Consider buying on breakout over the bulls to become concerned and bears
high of pattern bolder.

 For FX, intraday and indexes can have


the same (or within 2 pips for FX) open
as prior close
 If the black candle doesn’t get more
than ½ way into white it is called an
“incomplete dark cloud cover” and it is
best to wait for bear confirmation.
 The more the open on black candle
gaps away from the prior high/close
the better the pattern (for non FX).
 Opposite of piercing pattern
FX Pattern

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 3
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Is it a valid Nison Candlestick Signal?

Dark Cloud Cover defines Resistance

www.candlecharts.com

Dark Cloud Cover at resistance

Why is this
not a bullish
engulfing
pattern?

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 4
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Dark cloud rains pain for the bulls

“Oh crap!”

Think there
is trouble
near $410?
Happy time for
the bulls- new
high close!

www.candlecharts.com

Dark Cloud Cover

Dark Cloud Cover and momentum

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 5
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Dark Cloud Cover

Is this telling
you that there
is a shift in
psychology?

Not dark cloud cover

Chart courtesy of Genesis FT

www.candlecharts.com

BASIC CRITERIA
• Trend not important
• White candle followed by black candle that
opens within white real body and closes
under prior open.

www.candlecharts.com

BASIC CRITERIA
• Trend not important
• White candle followed by black candle that
opens within white real body and closes
under prior open.

STRICT CRITERIA
• Both long real bodies
• 2nd candle closes under prior low
• Black real body closes at, or near, its lows

PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
The white candle means the bulls are running
SUPPORT/MOMENTUM TRADING the show. And then the next session the
market gaps lower and is not only unable to
• Highest high of both candles as
make it this lost ground, but closes under the
resistance
white candle. This shows the bullish energy
• Consider buying on breakout over has been sapped out of the market resulting
high of pattern in very scared bulls.

www.candlecharts.com 6
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

 Since the market has to gap lower this


pattern not applicable to FX.
 The more the market gaps down on the
open and the lower the close on the
black candle the more meaningful the
pattern
 Keep in mind risk/reward since this
pattern is completed after substantial
move has already occurred.
 Opposite of Bull Sash pattern
 If open of black candle is same (or
lower) as prior open, it is a Bearish
Separating Line.

www.candlecharts.com

Bear Sash

Bear Sash

www.candlecharts.com

Bear Sash

Bear Sash

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 7
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Being a Market Chameleon

Bear Sash

Bull Sash

www.candlecharts.com

White candle followed by black candle


that opens at (or below) prior open. Then
closes under black candle open.

www.candlecharts.com

BASIC CRITERIA
• Trend not important
• White candle followed by black candle that opens at
(or below) prior open. Then closes under white
candle’s open.

STRICT CRITERIA
• Both long real bodies (rare)
• Black real body closes at, or near, its lows

PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
With the gap down on 2nd day the bulls sense
danger. And then to make matters worse for them,
the market can’t even make up for the ground lost
SUPPORT/MOMENTUM TRADING on the opening. The tide of the market momentum
has now turned down.
• Highest high of both candles as
resistance
• Consider buying on move above
high of pattern
www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 8
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

 Easy way to remember this pattern is


the opens are the about the same (or
the 2nd candle open gaps away from 1st
candle’s open.)
 Since the market has to gap lower this
pattern not applicable to FX.
 Major challenge with this pattern is
since it is completed after substantial
move, could mean poor risk/reward.
 Opposite of Bull Separating Pattern
 If open of black candle is within prior
white real body, it is a Bear Sash
Pattern.

www.candlecharts.com

Bear Separating line

www.candlecharts.com

Bear Separating Line

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 9
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Bear Separating line

www.candlecharts.com

TWEEZERS TOP

Two candles that have the same lows.


First candle large white.

www.candlecharts.com

A blended candle is a way of “compressing” combinations


of candle lines into as if they made one candle

Source: KABUSHIKISOUBA NO
TECHNICAL BUNSEKI – G.Ikutaro

www.candlecharts.com 10
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

How do we make a Blended Candle?

close 2 =
open 1

1) Use open of the first session for open of blended candle


2) Use close of the last session of pattern for close of
blended candle.
3) Use highest high and lowest close of all sessions for
upper and lower shadows of blended candle.

think of Blended candle as a “Summary candle” of the pattern analyzed.


How does this help?
2- To compare variations of candle
1- To determine if a pattern
patterns to determine the strength of
is net bullish or bearish
the signal

How is this non classic dark


Classic dark cloud cloud cover different and what
www.candlecharts.com
cover does it mean to outlook?

A falling window is resistance

Most important
resistance level

Resistance
Zone

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 11
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Importance of Windows

www.candlecharts.com

First candle long white, second candle small real body, and third
candle is black that gets deeply into first real body.

white or
black

FX
www.candlecharts.com

Candles in Context

Evening Star

How about
here?
Would you
buy here?

Morning Star

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 12
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Abandoned Baby Top

www.candlecharts.com

Falling Three Methods

A series of small candles inside the


range of a long black candle. The last
candle is another long black.

www.candlecharts.com

Falling Three Methods

www.candlecharts.com 13
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Falling Three Methods

Why about this falling


three gives you extra
bearish confidence?

Three consecutive black candles,


each with a lower close.

www.candlecharts.com

Three Black Crows

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 14
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Nison Case Study

1. What are the reversal signals?


2. Where is potential support?
3. Any signals confirming support
area forecasted in #2?

www.candlecharts.com

A- Chart Challenge

1. What are the reversal signals?


2. Where is potential support?
3. Any signals confirming support
area forecasted in #2?

Nison Case Study

What 4 bear candle


signals can you find in
the box?

www.candlecharts.com 15
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Candlestick Candlesticks +
Charting Western
Strategies Indicators

Candlesticks + Trade Management

East + West Confirmation

Where a candle
signal confirms a
Western technical
signal

www.candlecharts.com

Candles plus Bollinger Bands……

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 16
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Crack and Snap with Volume

The arrow points to a “Snap and Crack”. What


does volume do to increase the likelihood of this
technique working?

www.candlecharts.com

Nison Case Study


At the arrow we see a doji.
1) What is the volume on this doji telling us about the supply/demand situation?
2) What 2 candlestick signals in August give us a clue that there was support at the doji?
3) Although the doji was holding a support area, what happened on the day of the doji that would keep the short
term trend down? Based on this, what would we need to see to give bullish confirmation of that support area?

www.candlecharts.com

Using NCS and candles to confirm resistance

Why wasn’t
this window
my 1st
support ?

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 17
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

With Nison Candle Confirmation – long put at resistance

mkt @22.50
Buy 20 put @.70

5 days later mkt @21, 20 put @ .26

www.candlecharts.com

Candles and the ADX:


The Perfect Fit

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 18
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

 Stands for Average Directional Indicator


 Shows how strongly a market is trending
 Does not show direction of trend

www.candlecharts.com

Strong ADX with


prices in up trend. Strong ADX with
prices in down trend.

www.candlecharts.com

2
www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 19
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

 Some technical indicators, such as moving averages,


momentum trading, work better in strongly
trending markets.
 Some technical indicators, such as oscillators, work
better in non trending markets.
 Traders check ADX to see if the technical indicator
they use is in right trend environment

www.candlecharts.com

 Use only on daily charts –


except for FX
 Use only for entries
 Lagging indicator
 Slow to recognize a new trend

www.candlecharts.com

Steve-
Apple has recently gone from 120 to 150 and the ADX on a daily basis
has not moved up. This is surprising. Comments? - Pete

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 20
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

 Common mistake- looking


at ADX level.

 Slope is the key

 Slope=change in ADX from


yesterday to today.
(today’s ADX level-yesterday’s
ADX level)

 Greater the slope, stronger


the trend

-.31

ADX 22.04 Slope = 24.11-22.04 =+2.07


ADX at 20.96 ADX 24.11
ADX at 20.64.
What do we need to
determine the slope
on this day?

Slope = 20.64-20.96 = -.32

www.candlecharts.com

ADX:22.38

Slope = +2.08 ADX:27.56

14 Period
ADX:20.30
ADX:26.03

ADX slope
increasing What is the slope?
Strong uptrend?
.5 or more

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 21
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

ADX:18.26
-.31
Minimum: ADX:18.57

14 Period
ADX slope
+.25 or
less

Strict: 14
Period
ADX slope
decreasing

www.candlecharts.com

Chuck@smartstops.net

www.candlecharts.com

Candles and ADX - The Perfect Fit

Reversal candles
help pick top and
bottoms.
Increase % by not
going against
strong trends.

www.candlecharts.com 22
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

www.candlecharts.com

Minimum:
14 Period
ADX slope
+.25 or
less

Strict: 14
Period Do we have to measure the
ADX slope on this hammer?
ADX slope
decreasing

www.candlecharts.com

Minimum:
14 Period -.40 -.10

ADX slope
.25 or less

Strict: 14
Period
ADX slope
decreasing

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 23
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

ADX slopes
2.24, 2.53, 2.67
Bull shadows on descent. But
based on ADX which of these is
more likely a turn?

Why didn’t I
put ADX
numbers for
these?

www.candlecharts.com

ADX : 27.98
ADX : 30.38

What candle patterns are at


the dashed arrows?
ADX : 31.80
What is the ADX telling us?

www.candlecharts.com

+.95
ADX:18.26
-.31
Minimum: ADX:18.57

14 Period
ADX slope
+.25 or
less

Strict: 14
Period
ADX slope
decreasing

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 24
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Slope +.97

www.candlecharts.com

FOR BEAR CANDLE


REVERSAL SIGNALS

• Step 1 – get candle


signal

• Step 2 – ADX shows ADX:42.85


uptrend easing or and 41.02
so slope is
no trend: -1.83
ADX slope
increases by
less than .25,
and better if
slope is
negative

www.candlecharts.com

FOR BULL CANDLE ADX:


REVERSAL SIGNALS 1-31.97
2-32.67
3-32.48
• Step 1 – get candle 4-32.45
5-32.53
signal
6-30.23

• Step 2 – ADX shows 6


downtrend easing or no 1
trend: 4
3
ADX slope increases
2
by less than .25, and 5
better if slope is
negative

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 25
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

What patterns were at 1


1 and 2?

What pattern was


completed on last candle?

On the last candle, based


on ADX what is your
2
action/why?

ADX
Yesterday: 27.18
Today: 28.79

www.candlecharts.com

What pattern was


completed today?

Based on ADX what is your


action/why? What else
would you consider?

ADX
Yesterday: 29.75
Today: 30.95

www.candlecharts.com

What pattern was


completed today?

Based on ADX what


is your action/why?
What else would you
consider?
ADX
Yesterday: 31.27
Today:30.94

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 26
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

1- Based on ADX  3- What would you do here


which candle +.80 based on ADX and prevailing
line would you  technical signals (candle and
sell? 1,2 or 3?
+.20 non candle)?
+.59

-.40

2- Based on ADX
would you buy this
piercing pattern?

www.candlecharts.com

What pattern did this complete?


(hint look at the opening of both sessions)

What else happened on this session that


would make you nervous from the long side?

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 27
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Candlesticks do not give price targets

Pivot Highs and Lows


This high is higher than the
session before and after it

This low is lower than the


session before and after it
Resistance Levels
Support Levels

Breakouts- long call on retracement

Stalling at resistance.
Looking for pullback
to breakaway gap

Mkt @ 428
Target 448
Buy 430 call
Stop close under window

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 28
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Candles and Price Targets

This doji takes on extra significance


because it confirms a resistance level

www.candlecharts.com

Box Range

www.candlecharts.com

Trading Box Ranges

New high- let’s buy

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 29
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

www.candlecharts.com

East and West- Measured Moves

www.candlecharts.com

Box Range

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 30
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Head and Shoulders

Head Right
Left Shoulder Shoulder

Neckline
Sell
signal
Head and Shoulders Top

How Candles Put More $$$ in your Pocket

What was candle reversal


here at 150

Extra profit

Reversal with Western


Technique at 141

What signal did we


have here at support?

www.candlecharts.com

TASC Interview - Jan. 24, 2003 S&P at 860


Head and 1) Once the neckline’s
Shoulder top support is broken, it
should become
resistance.

2) To get a target with the


head and shoulders top
we measure from the top
of the head to the
neckline.

neckline Interview

“… the heads and shoulders top on the


S&P gives a target to near 775. A close
over 870 would void this.” Hammer

www.candlecharts.com 31
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Trading on the open

www.candlecharts.com

Trading on the open

www.candlecharts.com

Candlestick Candlesticks +
Charting Western
Strategies Indicators

Candlesticks + Trade Management

www.candlecharts.com 32
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”

Candles in Context

“To know where


you stand is as
important as
candle pattern
recognition.”

www.candlecharts.com 33
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Misinformation can cost you $$$

www.candlecharts.com

Candles in Context

Would you buy


on this
hammer?

www.candlecharts.com

Candles in Context

Not an ideal dark


cloud cover, but??

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 34
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Trading with Discipline

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system

The If…Then Principle:


• If the market does not act as
forecasted then exit the position (Protective
Stops)
• Initiate a position when the market
justifies your potential trade (i.e. If the
market breaks above resistance, then buy.
• If the market does something different
than before then adjust trading strategy

If… then

Head and Shoulders Top?

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 35
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

If… then

Was Head and Shoulders Top Confirmed ?

www.candlecharts.com

I was thinking of buying GM for a longer


term investment and was willing to give up
a few $ to buy on momentum. Where do
you think my buy area was?

When would you pull the buy limit trade?

www.candlecharts.com

Momentum trade

Pulled buy stop

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 36
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them

Protecting
your Assets

www.candlecharts.com 37
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Protective Stops keep you in the game!

Looks
promising at
the white
candles

www.candlecharts.com 1

How Education Saves you $$$$

Hammer

www.candlecharts.com

Nison Case Study


What
would you
do here
and why

You shorted
here

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 38
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Protecting
your Assets

Protective Stops keep you in the game!

Looks
promising at
the white
candles

How Education Saves you $$$$

Hammer

www.candlecharts.com 39
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Nison Case Study


What
would you
do here
and why

You shorted
here

www.candlecharts.com

Exit Strategies

 Protective Stops
 Time Stops
 Trailing Stops

© Steve Nison’s Candlecharts.com

If the market does not act as


expected within about five
sessions then consider
exiting

www.candlecharts.com 40
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Don’t Stay Around

What are you doing hanging


around! You’re wasting
precious resources.

Hammer and Bull Engulf

Chart courtesy of Genesis FT

www.candlecharts.com

Trailing Stops

As the market moves


in your direction –
stop is adjusted to
help ride the trend.

www.candlecharts.com

“Golden” and “Dead” Crosses


Compares two moving averages
GOLDEN CROSS: shorter crosses above longer DEAD CROSS: shorter crosses under longer

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 41
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Answer: 3 and 12 day

www.candlecharts.com

Trailing stops - letting the profits run

“I usually exit, it Shooting

corrects somewhat but


Star

then continues to go in Falling


window

the original direction


after that.”

You sold at shooting star or


falling window. A rally from a
bull harami gets you nervous
and you exit. But you’re still
playing with the market’s
money- so another option:
trailing stop….
www.candlecharts.com

Trailing stops - letting the profits run

Shooting
Star
Falling window

Where you got nervous

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 42
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Letting Profits Run

Could take some


or all profits here

Shooting star

Or use dead cross


as your trailing
stop and would
thus exit here

Buy and set


protective stop

www.candlecharts.com

Trailing Stops to let profits run

Now at target-
Doji warns of
caution. But you
want to let profits
run.
Potential Target

Buy and set


protective stop

www.candlecharts.com

Trailing Stops to let profits run

doji

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 43
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them
4. Consider options

Nison Candlesticks for Portfolio Protection

How can I boost profits even when my core markets are falling?

By using Nison candlesticks for pinpoint timing entering and


exiting covered calls and protective puts
www.nisonoptionsacademy

Nison Candle strategies for portfolio protection

Buy put
for
move
to
31.50

Mkt @ 33.75 buy 32.5 put @ .80


In case of move to 31.50
Reached target but no reversal signals (worth 1.60)
So ride it down to 30.50 at bull engulf put @ 2.25.

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 44
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Time decay

Time decay (or time "erosion") is the decrease, of an


option premium's time value due to the passage of time.
The rate of this decay increases as expiration approaches.
At expiration a call or put is worth only its intrinsic value, if
it has any.

“With long options timing is everything since time


is working against you.”

www.nisonoptionsacademy.com

Using Nison Candle Scanner software for Options:


Method 1- Set up an alert

From the bear side

1. NCS finds a bearish engulfing pattern


2. Set up an alert if market gets to this
resistance level

Buy 7 day 210 put @ 2.58, exit harami @ 7.28 – 182% return

www.nisonoptionsacademy

Using Nison Candle Scanner software for Options:


Method 2- Finding markets at key support or resistance areas

NCS saved you from 8


days time value decay

www.candlecharts.com 45
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them
4. Consider options
5. Is any news expected?

Stay Away
from the
Trade

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them
4. Consider options
5. Is any news expected?
6. Prevailing trend

www.candlecharts.com 46
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

www.candlecharts.com

Prevailing Trend

20 day m.a over


50 day m.a and both
sloping up

1) Connect to data feed


2) Set up and save Western template chart with your favorite
indicators
3) Set up and save NCS market analyzer with row filter
NCS all off
NCS bull
NCS bear
4) Determine trend of overall market
5) Have both market analyzer and western template chart open side
by side
6) Based on trend of overall market using NCS on market analyzer to
scan for bull or bear signals.
7) Based on scan put that market into Western chart template
8) Analyze to determine if good trade or not

www.candlecharts.com 47
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them
4. Consider options
5. Is any news expected?
6. Prevailing trend
7. Let the market tell you what to do

Adapting

The low of the


bullish engulfing
pattern as
support. Once
hammer is formed
(at the arrow) we
then adjust our
support

www.candlecharts.com

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them
4. Consider options
5. Is any news expected?
6. Prevailing trend
7. Let the market tell you what to do
8. Indicators – the more the better

www.candlecharts.com 48
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The Multiplier Effect


Where a Nison candle signal confirms another indicator

Nison Case Study

Two hammers picked up with NCS software at small arrows and


boxes (Note: only “hammer” was turned on in NCS)
1) Why is the line at the big arrow at b not a hammer?
2) Even though the candle detailed above is not a hammer, what
bullish signs are there ala’ shadows and real bodies at a,b and c
d f telling us?
e
3) What warns us of trouble at about d,e and f?
4) Would you buy at either of the two valid hammers? Why or why
not?

a c

www.candlecharts.com

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them
4. Consider options
5. Is any news expected?
6. Prevailing trend
7. Let the market tell you what to do
8. Indicators – the more the better
9. Never trade in the belief the market is wrong

www.candlecharts.com 49
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

The 10 rules of Disciplined Trading and Investing

1. Don’t forget “candles in context”


2. If…then system
3. Stops – always use them
4. Consider options
5. Is any news expected?
6. Prevailing trend
7. Let the market tell you what to do
8. Indicators – the more the better
9. Never trade in the belief the market is wrong
10. Examine risk-reward

Always Check Risk – Reward

1. What is your price risk?


2. What is your target?

Do you have
a good
risk-reward?

www.candlecharts.com

Risk/Reward

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 50
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Which is a better sale? Part 1

Scenario 1 Scenario 2

Which is a better sale?- Part 2

Scenario 1 Scenario 2

Which is a better sale? Part 31

Scenario 1 Scenario 2

www.candlecharts.com 51
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Which is a Better
trading signal?

www.candlecharts.com

Risk/Reward

Dark Cloud Cover

Bearish
Engulfing
Pattern

www.candlecharts.com

Nison Case Study

Tell me about this signal re: candle signal, western


signal (hint- look at recent lows).
Would you go long on this signal? Why or why not?

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 52
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

What would you do and why?

Nison candlesticks for option strategies

Bull engulf at support


- poor risk/reward
but can do this trade
with a special option
strategy

www.nisonoptionsacademy

Trading with Discipline

Don’t forget “candles in context”


If…then system
Stops – always use them
Consider options
Is any news expected?
Prevailing trend
Let the market tell you what to do
Indicators – the more the better
Never trade in the belief the market is wrong
Examine risk-reward

www.candlecharts.com 53
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Trading Journal

 Date, market, $ amount committed


 Why did you do the trade
 Entry Price
 Risk
 Initial Target
 Exit Price
 Analyze Trade
Print out (or cut and paste) chart and make notes
What did you do right/wrong

Goal: Keeping emotions


out of your trading

Trading Journal - Setting up the Trade

 Entry Price

 Risk

 Initial Target

 Why did you do the trade?

www.candlecharts.com

Trading Journal - Analyzing the Trade

 Entry Price

 Risk

 Initial Target

 Why did you do the trade?

 Exit Price

 Analyze the trade

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 54
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Trading Journal - Setting up the Trade

 Entry Price

 Risk

 Initial Target

 Why did you do the trade?

Support from a few months ago

www.candlecharts.com

Trading Journal - Analyzing the Trade

 Entry Price

 Risk

 Initial Target

 Why did you do the trade

 Exit Price?

 Analyze the trade

www.candlecharts.com

Trading Journal - Analyzing the Trade

 Entry Price

 Risk

 Initial Target

 Why did you do the trade

 Exit Price

 Analyze the trade

www.candlecharts.com

www.candlecharts.com 55
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Steve recommends:

What would you do and why? Part 1

What would you do? Part 2

www.candlecharts.com 56
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

What would you do? Part 3

What would you do? Part 4

What would you do? Part 5

www.candlecharts.com 57
Nison Candlestick Summit – Day 2

Putting it all Together


Trading Checklist

 Use NCS to find and confirm a valid Nison candlestick signal


 Does candle confirm Western signal (i.e. ADX,
support/resistance, volume, or any of your favorites)
 Check longer term trend

 Is any news coming out?

 Determine risk/reward (remember many of the candle


signals can be used as a protective stop)
 Monitor trade (i.e. time or trailing stops, change in technical
picture, etc)

www.candlecharts.com 58

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