Chapter-2 Economic Value Added (Eva) - A Theoretical Perspective
Chapter-2 Economic Value Added (Eva) - A Theoretical Perspective
Chapter-2 Economic Value Added (Eva) - A Theoretical Perspective
PART I
ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED (EVA)-
A THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE
CHAPTER -2
PART І
ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED (EVA) -
A THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE
2.1 Introduction
The performance of the Company can be calculated using the financial ratio
analysis. The calculation using financial ratio analysis gives the benefit in making the
financial report, because financial ratio analysis tends to show that the Company is
healthy and the performance is increasing, but actually the performance might be
decreasing (Utomo, 1999).
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managers, wealth creation is fundamental to the economic survival of the firm.
Managers who fail (or refuse) to see the importance of this imperative in an open
economy do so at the peril of the organization and their own careers of finding the
“best” Companies and industries in the marketplace is of primary importance to
investment managers.
With the proper financial tools, portfolio managers may be able to enhance their
active performance over-and-above the returns available on similar risk indexed passive
strategies. A new analytical tool called EVA is now assisting this wealth-discovery and
Company-selection process. The innovative changes that this financial metric have
spawned in the twin areas of corporate finance and investment management is the
driving force behind what can be formerly called the EVA revolution (Grant, 2003). ”
Up to 1970 residual income did not get wide publicity and it did not end up to
be the prime performance measure in Companies. However, EVA has done it in recent
years (Mäkeläinen, 1998).
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In the 1990’s, the creation of shareholder value has become the ultimate
economic purpose of a corporation. Firms focus on building, operating and harvesting
new businesses and/or products that will provide a greater return than the firm’s cost of
capital, thus ensuring maximization of shareholder value. EVA is a strategy formulation
and financial performance management tool that help Companies make a return greater
than the firm’s cost of capital. Firms adopt this concept to track their financial position
and to guide management decisions regarding resource allocation, capital budgeting and
acquisition analysis (Geyser & Liebenberg, 2003).
EVA emphasizes the residual wealth creation in a Company after all costs and
expenses have been charged including the firm's cost of capital invested.
In its simplest terms, EVA measures how much economic value in dollars; the
Company is creating, taking into account the cost of debt and equity capital (Adnan &
Timothy, 2002). The term EVA, a registered trademark of the consulting firm of Stern
Stewart, represents the specific version of residual income used by the firm. It is
defined as: EVA=NOPAT- (Invested Capital × WACC).
The cost of capital is a weighted average that reflects the cost of both debt and
equity capital. Thus, EVA measures the excess of a firm’s operating income over the
cost of the capital employed in generating those earnings. It relates operating income to
capital employed in an additive operation. This is in contrast to return on assets (ROA =
operating income / capital), which compares operating income to capital employed in a
multiplicative operation.
The primary argument advanced in favor of residual income and EVA is that
they may encourage managers to undertake desirable investments and activities that
will increase the value of the firm, whereas ROA may not (Maclntyre, 1999).
The proposed method to calculate Economic Value Added for Companies listed
in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) is in five main steps. These steps are outlined below.
These steps are illustrated in the following pages.
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needed information may also be included in the notes given at the end of financial
statements and also Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) website.
2.5.2 Step 2: Calculate the Company’s Net Operating Profit after Tax (NOPAT)
By reviewing of the balance sheet, its basic structure says that total assets are
equal to the sum of debt, plus stockholders' equity. Shannon P. Pratt (2002) Stated that
the capital structure of many Companies includes two or more components, each of
which has its own cost of capital. Such Companies may be said to have a complex
capital structure. The major components commonly found in the structure are:
• Debt
• Preferred stock
• Common stock or partnership interests
Capital employed is the book value of return on equity together with book value
of liabilities with interest. In other words, capital means all costing financial resources
available to the Company. Biddle, Bowen, and Wallace (1999), Fernandez, (2001),
Rappaport (1998), and Tortella & Brusco (2003) expressed that Invested Capital is
equal to Debt Book Value plus Equity Book Value.
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Prinsloo in his thesis (2007), Friedl and Deuschinger (2008) calculated Invested
Capital using the operating approach, by subtracting short term Non-Interest Bearing
Liabilities (NIBL's) from the total assets.
The WACC is the minimum return that a firm must earn on existing invested
capital. The WACC can be calculated by taking into account the proportionate weights
of various funding sources such as common equity, straight debt, warrants and stock
options, and multiplying them by the cost of each capital component.
(Interest expense / debt) × (debt / capital) × (1-tax %) +equity cost × (equity / capital)
Where:
WACC = Weighted average cost of capital
Ke = Cost of common equity capital
We = Percentage of common equity in the capital structure, at market value
Kp = Cost of preferred equity
Wp = Percentage of preferred equity in the capital structure, at market value
Kd(pt) = Cost of debt (pre-tax)
t = Tax rate
Wd = Percentage of debt in the capital structure, at market value
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2.5.4.1.1 Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
The variables in this model are: P is the current stock price. g is the constant
growth rate in perpetuity expected for the dividends. r is the constant cost of equity for
that Company. D1 is the value of the next year's dividends. There is no reason to use
next year's dividend using the current dividend and the growth rate, when management
commonly disclose the future year's dividend and websites post it.
The Gordon model assumes that the value of a share of stock is equal to the
present value of all future dividends (assumed to grow at the constant rate) over an
infinite time horizon (Gitman, 1998). The formula for the Gordon model is:
Cost of Equity = (Dividends per share / Price per share) + Dividend growth rate
Ke=D1/P0+G
Where:
Ke=required return on common stock;
D1= per-share dividend expected at the end of year 1;
P0=value of common stock; and
G=constant rate of growth in dividends
This formula indicates that if the dividends expected at the end of the year 1 are
divided by the current share price and then the expected growth rate is added. There are
two methods for computing the expected growth rate (g), (Brigham,Gapenski, & Daves,
1999):
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2.5.4.1.1.1 Rate of return on equity method
g = ROE × (1−
− DPS/ EPS)
Where,
g: expected growth rate
ROE: Net income to equity ratio (Return on Equity)
Hence, to compute the expected growth rate based on this approach, information
about earnings per share, cash dividend per share, net income, and equity of the selected
Companies should be collected for the research time period.
In this approach, the expected growth rate is calculated based on the following
relation:
FV = PV (1+ g) n
FV: Future Value after n years
PV: Present Value
n: Number of the years that have compounded interest accrued
g: Expected Growth Rate
a) The presumption of a steady and perpetual growth rate less than the cost of capital
may not be reasonable.
b) If the stock does not currently pay a dividend, like many growth stocks, more
general versions of the Discounted Dividend Model must be used to value the stock.
One common technique is to assume that the Miller-Modigliani hypothesis of
dividend irrelevance is true, and therefore replace the stocks' dividend D with E
earnings per share.
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But this has the effect of double counting the earnings. The model's equation
recognizes the tradeoff between paying dividends and the growth realized by reinvested
earnings. It incorporates both factors. By replacing the (lack of) dividend with earnings,
and multiplying by the growth from those earnings.
c) The stock price resulting from the Gordon model is hyper-sensitive to the growth
rate g chosen (Dividend Discount Model, 2011).
While this opportunity cost does not appear in any financial statements, stern
Stewart approximates it, based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), by adding
an individual Company's adjusted risk premium of 6 % in the United States to the return
on long-term government bonds. Ross et al. (2001) determined the average risk
premium in South Africa for the period from 1925 to 1999 to be 9.8 % (Rm – Rf). The
average return on the r 150 government bond was used as the risk –free rate (Rf).
In order to use the CAPM, the beta needed to be determined. Beta measure the
risk in models of risk in finance. They measure the risk added to a diversified portfolio,
rather than total market risk.
CAPM made some assumptions about the behavior of the investors. The most
important is that investors are risk avoiders, and investors avoid the risks to diversify in
other Companies. CAPM is an expectation model, this model is based on the investors’
expectation, what is going to happen, not based on what has happened (Young and
O’Byrne, 2001). The formula is:
Ke = Rf + β (Rm – Rf)
Where,
Ke = Cost of equity
Rf = Risk-free rate, the amount obtained from investing in securities and considered
free risk, such as government bonds from developed countries.
Rm = Rate of market return, calculated by summing returns in five year period (for this
study)
β = Systematic risk (individual risk), calculated by searching the rate of beta’s stock in
five year period (for this study).
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Beta, it measures how much a Company's stock price reacts against the market
as a (Rm – Rf) = Equity Market Risk Premium, Equity Market Risk Premium (EMRP)
represents the return investors expected to compensate them for taking extra risk by
investing in the stock market over and above the risk-free rate. Table 2.1 displays risk-
free rate (Rf) for five years (2005-2009) of the study:
Based on table 2.1, the average of risk-free rate (Rf) for present study is 15.7 %.
The beta is a measure of a stock’s price volatility in relation to the rest of the
market. In other words, how does the stock’s price move relative to the overall market?
Stock Beta is a calculation or measurement of volatility or risk of a stock trading on the
stock market. It is the fluctuation in stock prices and the market in general.
Beta is a key component for the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which is
used to calculate cost of equity. Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) uses beta as one
of the main co-efficients and measures the expected return on any of security. The beta
of a security can be found relative to the market return in the following way:
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Rm = The market return
Cov (Rs, Rm) = The covariance between the market return and return on security
Var (Rm) = The variance of the market return
Table 2.2 indicates the market return (Rm) of Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) for
five years (2005-2009) of the study:
Most of the times, beta values are calculated using the month-end stock price for
the security but for this study, Due to lack of access to monthly information of stock
market and some Companies and total stock market beta are calculated using year –end
stock price.The return on a stock can be estimated through beta in combination with the
market return.
Stocks that have a beta greater than 1 have greater price volatility than the
overall market and are more risky. Stocks with a beta of 1 fluctuate in price at the same
rate as the market. Stocks with a beta of less than 1 have less price volatility than the
market and are less risky. The table 2.3 shows an Analysis of Common Stock Betas.
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The table 2.3 Analysis of Common Stock Betas
Negative Beta Shows an inverse relation to the stock market and is highly
unlikely. Gold Stocks though fall into this category.
Beta of zero Value of current cash (with no inflation) has a Beta of 0. No
matter how the market performs, idle cash sitting always
remains the same (with no inflation).
Beta 0 - 1 These stocks are less volatile than the stock market in general.
Commonly includes utility Company stocks.
Beta of 1 A Beta of 1 means the stock market is moving in the same
direction as the Market Index.
Beta >1 Stocks with a Beta of >1 are more volatile than the stock
market. This commonly includes high-tech stocks. This is
because as technology becomes rapidly advanced, outdated
technology is useless. Many Companies are thus wiped out due
to out-dated technology.
Beta >100 This is impossible. A stock can never be 100 times more riskier
than the stock market in general. This is because a small change
in the returns of the stock will make the stock price go to $0.
While Beta may seem to be a good measure of risk, there are some problems
with relying on beta scores alone for determining the riskiness of an investment.
• Beta looks backward and history is not always an accurate predictor of the future.
• Beta doesn’t account for changes that are in the works, such as new lines of
business or industry shifts.
• Beta suggests a stock’s price volatility relative to the whole market, but that
volatility can be upward as well as downward movement. In a sustained advancing
market, a stock that is outperforming the whole market would have a beta greater
than 1.
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trading costs) with each asset value-weighted to achieve the above (assuming that any
asset is infinitely divisible). All such optimal portfolios, i.e., one for each level of
return, comprise the efficient frontier. Because the unsystematic risk is diversifiable, the
total risk of a portfolio can be viewed as beta.
The CAPM model assumes that either asset returns are (jointly) normally
distributed random variables; or that active and potential shareholders employ a
quadratic form of utility. It is, however, frequently observed that returns in equity and
other markets are not normally distributed (high peak and fat tail). As a result, large
swings (3 to 6 standard deviations from the mean) occur in the market more frequently
than the normal distribution assumption would expect (Mandelbrot & Hudson, 2004).
CAPM model assumes that all active and potential shareholders have access to
the same information and agree about the risk and expected return of all assets
(homogeneous expectations assumption).
The model assumes that the probability beliefs of active and potential
shareholders match the true distribution of returns. A different possibility is that active
and potential shareholders' expectations are biased, causing market prices to be
informationally inefficient. This possibility is studied in the field of behavioral finance,
which uses psychological assumptions to provide alternatives to the CAPM such as the
overconfidence-based asset pricing model of Kent Daniel, David Hirshleifer, and
Avanidhar Subrahmanyam (2001).
The CAPM model does not appear to adequately explain the variation in stock
returns. Empirical studies show that low beta stocks may offer higher returns than the
model would predict. Some data to this effect was presented as early as a 1969
conference in Buffalo, New York in a paper by Fischer Black, Michael Jensen, and
Myron Scholes (1972). Either that fact is itself rational (which saves the efficient-
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market hypothesis but makes CAPM wrong), or it is irrational (which saves CAPM, but
makes the EMH wrong – indeed, this possibility makes volatility arbitrage a strategy for
reliably beating the market)
The model assumes that given a certain expected return, active and potential
shareholders will prefer lower risk (lower variance) to higher risk and conversely given
a certain level of risk will prefer higher returns to lower ones. It does not allow for
active and potential shareholders who will accept lower returns for higher risk. Casino
gamblers pay to take on more risk, and it is possible that some stock traders will pay for
risk as well.
The model assumes that there are no taxes or transaction costs, although this
assumption may be relaxed with more complicated versions of the model.
The market portfolio consists of all assets in all markets, where each asset is
weighed by its market capitalization. This assumes no preference between markets and
assets for individual active and potential shareholders, and that active and potential
shareholders choose assets solely as a function of their risk-return profile. It also
assumes that all assets are infinitely divisible as to the amount which may be held or
transacted.
The market portfolio should in theory include all types of assets that are held by
anyone as an investment (including works of art, real estate, human capital, etc) in
practice, such a market portfolio is unobservable and people usually substitute a stock
index as a proxy for the true market portfolio. Unfortunately, it has been shown that this
substitution is not innocuous and can lead to false inferences as to the validity of the
CAPM, and it has been said that due to the in observability of the true market portfolio,
the CAPM might not be empirically testable. This was presented in greater depth in a
paper by Richard Roll in 1977, and is generally referred to as Roll's critique (Roll,
1977)
The model assumes just two dates, so that there is no opportunity to consume
and rebalance portfolios repeatedly over time. The basic insights of the model are
extended and generalized in inter temporal CAPM (ICAPM) of Robert Merton (Merton,
1973), and the consumption CAPM (CCAPM) of Douglas Breeden and Mark
Rubinstein (Campbell & Vicera, 2002).
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CAPM assumes that all active and potential shareholders will consider all of
their assets and optimize one portfolio. This is in sharp contradiction with portfolios
that are held by individual shareholders.
The rate on debt is calculated by dividing financial expenses with the interest
bearing debt. The interest bearing debt is comprised of construction contracts in
progress, bank loans, credit institutions, mortgage debt and short-term share of
long-term debt.
Kd (Cost of Debts) are calculated by dividing between interest expense and total
long-term debts of the Company (total debt in this study).
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The EVA model works with three basic components - Capital, NOPAT and
WACC. EVA can be defined as the firm’s Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT),
less the cost of capital (Rappaport, 1986, 1998). EVA proponents assume that any
increment in the firm EVA increases the value of the firm (Chen & Dodd, 1997; Ray&
Owners, 2001). From the operational point of view the studies use (Biddle & et al.,
1997; Fernandez, 2001; Rappaport, 1998):
The ROCE minus the WACC is also called the ‘return spread’. If the return
spread is positive, it means the Company is generating surplus returns above its cost of
capital and this translates into a higher MVA.
Lehn and Makhija (1996) describe EVA as follows: “EVA and related measures
attempt to improve on traditional accounting measures of performance by measuring
the economic profits of an enterprise – after-tax operating profits less the cost of the
capital employed to produce those profits”. In case of the first and second formula,
NOPAT and Invested Capital may have to be adjusted with about 150 reverse journal
entries. However, in practice, about 5-10 adjustments are done for the calculation in
case of a Company.
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2.6 Advantages of EVA
EVA is frequently regarded as a single, simple measure that gives a real picture
of shareholder wealth creation. In addition to motivate managers to create shareholder
value and to be a basis for management compensation, there are further practical
advantages that value based measurement systems can offer.
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values over time will increase Company values, while negative EVA values might
decrease Company values.
The advantages EVA can be stated from three aspects of (i) decision making,
(ii) performance evaluation, and (iii) Incentive compensations.
2.6.1 Decision-Making
According to Damodaran (1998) in his research on value creation the EVA and
cash flow return on investment might be simpler than traditional discounted cash flow
valuation, but the simplicity comes at a cost that is substantial for high growth firms
with shifting risk profiles. He stressed the importance of management’s commitment to
value enhancement and added that if managers truly care about value maximization
then they can make almost any mechanism work in their favour.
According to the Dow Theory (1999) Forecast some managers take a long-term
view of value creation and consider capital and research and development spending of
utmost importance for their firm future stability and its product development prospects.
These managers are perceived by investors as bullish on the growth potential of their
industry and the Company they manage. The recent popularity of EVA stems from the
fact that managers are encouraged to make profitable investments since they are being
evaluated on EVA target rather than the Return on Investment (ROI).
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While using ROI managers will be less enthusiastic about an investment
opportunity or they may entirely reject any new investment that reduces their current or
existing Return on Investment (ROI) despite increasing EVA. One of the distinguishing
features of EVA is applied areas where shareholder value is created. Disaggregation of
data at the lower level of management and even at product line and individual customer
levels can draw management’s attention to where value is created or destroyed.
Activities where EVA is maximized and where earnings can be increased at a faster
pace than the increase in capital may be given more attention and activities where EVA
is being destroyed can be discontinued.
One of the major benefits of using EVA as a decision tool is in the area of asset
management. For example, Coca-Cola made a decision to switch to cardboard soft
drink concentrate shipping containers from stainless steel containers. The reusable
stainless steel containers that sat on the Company's balance sheet were written off
slowly. This helped increase profit and profit margins.
While making the evaluation, actual EVA have to be measured against target
EVA and any deviations have to be investigated and analyzed in order to know the
reason for the deviation and if necessary to make appropriate corrective action.
Whenever actual EVA exceeds target EVA, this indicates that management practices
are creating more wealth than expected and wealth in this case will be shared between
management and shareholders. Whenever actual EVA is less than target EVA, then
management practices are not as good as expected. This process increases management
effectiveness in staying focused on the interest of shareholders and the creation of their
wealth.
This process also provides feedback to executives at all levels, not concerning
the actual measurement, but also concerning the assumptions used in establishing the
target EVA. As a result, a shift or change in course of action may be necessary. On the
other hand, this system may be intimidating to managers who are faced with situations
beyond their control where risk is increased and consequently the firm's earnings are
lowered. Management may consider leveraging their capital needs in order to reduce
their cost of capital recognizing the fact that interest on debt is tax deductable. Such an
EVA driven decision leads to creation of wealth. The use of EVA could be extended to
all levels of employees throughout the organization. When these employees, especially
the sales employees, know that focusing on EVA will provide them with data that
reveals margins on a specific product line or customer, then they will be prone to
abandon measuring their effectiveness by volume alone and become more comfortable
with the economic value approach.
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It has to be made clear to top executives that the success of the EVA system in
performance evaluation depends a great deal on providing management employees with
adequate tools that make the EVA approach successful. According to Kreger (1998)
this means authorizing managers to make decisions leading to new innovative ideas to
create value.
Most Companies that use the EVA approach tie management performance to
executive compensation plans and to the expectations of shareholders. An examination
of the annual reports of the Fortune 500 Companies that use EVA revealed that these
Companies form a Performance-Based Awards Committee from a group of Directors
who are responsible for managing the performance awards plan. The Committee
normally establishes performance targets that may be based on any of the performance
metrics including EVA. As a condition of award payment, these targets should be met
by the top executives of the Company as a whole or by the executives of any of its
subsidiaries, divisions or business units.
The payment of the awards may be in cash (cash awards) or in common stock
(stock performance awards). The Board of Directors establishes a maximum and a
minimum amount of the awards and payments are made upon meeting pre-agreed
targets. According to Brabazon and Sweeney (1998) one of the major selling points of
EVA is that its supporters suggest that a strong correlation exists between it and the
share market value of the related Company.
When the stock value of a firm has gone up, it is viewed as having created value
while one whose stock price has gone down has destroyed value. Even if markets are
efficient, stock prices tend to fluctuate around the true value and markets are often
inefficient. For this reason, firms may see their stock price goes up and their top
management rewarded, even if the Company destroyed value.
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