Financial Statements and Ratio Analysis NEW
Financial Statements and Ratio Analysis NEW
Financial Statements and Ratio Analysis NEW
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OVERVIEW OF THE SESSION
A Provide information on how ratios can provide insight
into financial statements
B Give information about key ratios and what the data
can tell you
C Provide insight into what management should focus
on in understanding numbers
D Clarify when ratios are not helpful
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TRADITIONAL F/S MEASURES –
BALANCE SHEET
• Cash • Payables and Accruals
• Accounts Receivable • Current portion of Debt
• Inventory • Current Liabilities
• Investments • Long-Term Debt
• Current Assets • Total Liabilities
• Total Assets • Retained Earnings
• Total Equity
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TRADITIONAL F/S MEASURES –
OTHER STATEMENTS
Income Statement Cash Flows
• Revenue • Cash flows from
• Costs of Goods Sold operations, investing,
and financing
• Gross Margin
• Net change in cash
• Other Expenses
• Activity of PPE,
• Operating Income
Investments, Debt, and
• Net Income Equity
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UNIQUE GOVERNMENTAL MEASURES –
ALL STATEMENTS
• Deferred outflows of • Nonspendable fund
resources balance
• Deferred inflows of • Intergovernmental
resources revenues
• Net investments in capital • Cash flows form noncapital
assets financing activates
• Unrestricted Net Position / • Cash flows from capital
unassigned fund balance and related financing
• Restricted Net Position / activities
assigned fund balance
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WHEN THE NUMBERS DON’T ADD UP
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VALUE OF INFORMATION
Gives reader understanding of:
• the size of organization and its activities
• composition of resources and liabilities
• results of operations and impacts on cash
Generally comparative allowing easy comparison
to prior year
• Generally governmental statements are single year
Footnotes contain detailed information
• MD&A can provide insight into reasons
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STATEMENT USERS
Creditors
Bondholders
Owners
The Market
Competitors
Management
Citizens
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USER FOCUS – THIRD PARTIES
Liquidityof an entity and its ability to make interest
and principal payments
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USER FOCUS – MANAGEMENT
Liquidity
of an entity and its ability to make interest
and principal payments
Asset
Management – Use of assets for efficiency
and best return on investment
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USE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
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USE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Entity Financial Condition
Financial Ratios
2. Analysis of the entities financial
condition and profitability. 1. Individually
2. Over time
3. In combination
4. In comparison
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USE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
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USE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Management should
consider all three analysis
types; funds needs, financial
Determining the financing condition and profitability
needs of the firm.
and business risk, when
determining the financial
needs of an entity.
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USE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Proper evaluation of
financing needs puts the
Proper determination of an entity in the best position
entities financing needs.
to negotiate with potential
capital suppliers
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TYPES OF RATIO COMPARISONS
• Cross-sectional analysis - comparison of different
entities’ financial ratios at the same point in time;
involves comparing the your entity’s ratios to those of
other entities in its industry or to industry averages
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Example of Cross-Sectional Analysis
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USE AVAILABLE BENCHMARK DATA
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SOURCES OF INFORMATION
Financial Statements (* free)
• Public Companies – Various Sources*
• Non-profits – Guidestar.org (Form 990’s)*
• Public Debt (Municipal Bonds) – Dacbond, EMMA*
Benchmarks
• BizStats.com*
• Trade associations Published Statistics
• Dunn & Bradstreet’s Industry Norms and Key Stats
• Risk Management Assoc Annual Statement Studies
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TYPES OF RATIO COMPARISONS
• Vertical Analysis (Common Size) – process of
preparing financials statements as a percentage of
sales or other account category. Allows analysts to
see the composition of different categories of
financial statements.
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EMPHASIS FOR MANAGEMENT –
VERTICAL ANALYSIS
• This is simple to do on your own company
• Works really well for certain industries (e.g.,
manufacturing, retail) to allow comparison
• Allows management to focus on areas that go
against the trend
– In a high growth environment; financial
numbers generally go up. This can factor out
growth to isolate variances
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Example 2014 2013 $ Change
Company X – opens
new plant in 2014
Revenue $ 1,800,000 $ 1,000,000 $ 800,000
Costs of Sales (1,404,000) ( 800,000) 622,000
Gross Marin 396,000 200,000 196,000
Marketing Exp 110,000 40,000 70,000
General Admin Exp 190,000 100,000 90,000
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Using Vertical Anal 2012 2011 $ Change
All Items Divided
By Revenues
Revenue 100% 100% 0%
Costs of Sales ( 78%) 80% (2%)
Gross Marin 22% 20% 2%
Marketing Exp 6.1% 4% 2.1%
General Admin Exp 10.6% 10% 0.6%
Net Income 5.3% 6.0% (0.7%)
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LIMITS OF INFORMATION
• Requires understanding of accounting
policies
• Trending information is limited to
comparative numbers
• Generally, information in footnotes to
understand changes is limited
• Fair value changes can impact
profitability
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RATIO ANALYSIS - DEFINED
A method or process by which the relationship of
items or groups of items in the financial
statements are computed, and presented.
Tool for the financial analysis of an entity.
Method utilized to interpret the financial
statements. Including the identification of an
entities strengths and weaknesses from a current
and historic view point.
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TYPES OF RATIO COMPARISONS
• Time-series (Horizontal) analysis - evaluation of
the entity’s financial performance over time using
financial ratio analysis
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• Be mindful of
company’s
accounting
policies and the
impact on
ratios
• Ratios can
look much
better under
accounting
policies
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RATIO CLASSIFICATIONS
Ratios are generally classified into the follow
groups:
• Short Term Debt Paying and Liquidity ratios
(“STDL”)
• Capital structure/leverage ratios
• Profitability ratios
• Activity ratios
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STDL RATIOS
Analyze the ability of an entity to pay its debt from
existing current assets, collect receivables quickly,
convert inventory into cash. Better performance is
indicated by ratios that result in lower number of days
or higher number of times per year.
Immediate Liquidity
Receivables Liquidity
Inventory Liquidity
Operating Cycle
Other Considerations
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STDL RATIOS
Immediate Liquidity Ratios Include:
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STDL RATIOS
Receivables Liquidity Include:
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STDL RATIOS
Inventory Liquidity Include:
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STDL RATIOS
Operating Cycle Ratio:
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STDL RATIOS
• Other Considerations:
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE/ LEVERAGE RATIOS
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE/ LEVERAGE RATIOS
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE/ LEVERAGE RATIOS
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE/ LEVERAGE RATIOS
Income Related Ratios:
– Times interest earned – EBIT/(Int
Exp+Capitalized Int)
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CAPITAL STRUCTURE/ LEVERAGE RATIOS
• Other Considerations:
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS
These ratios measure the operating efficiency of
the firm and its ability to ensure adequate returns
to its shareholders.
The profitability of a firm can be measured by its
profitability ratios.
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS
Expense ratios are calculated by dividing the various expenses
by sales:
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS
Profitability ratios in relation to investments
• Return on assets (ROA) – (Net Prof. After
Taxes/Total Assets)x100
• Return on capital employed (ROCE) – (Net Prof.
After Taxes+Int/Capital Employed)x100
• Return on shareholder’s equity (ROE) – (Net
Prof. After Taxes-Pref Div/Ordinary SH Equity or
Net Worth)x100
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PROFITABILITY RATIOS
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GAAP (USER VS USER)
• Accounting
Principles continue
to focus more on
fair value
• Considered more
relevant
information to
markets
• May cloud
decision making
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READER FOCUS
Wall Street / Lenders
Investors
Key Metrics Earnings Per Share, Debt Service Coverage
Stock Price, Return on Ratio, Current Ratio,
Equity, Return on Cash Flows from
Assets Operations, Days Cash
on Hand
Fair Value Considered Relevant Disregarded
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LENDER’S FOCUS
• Debt Service Coverage Ratio:
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LENDERS
COMMON DEBT COVENANTS (Goal) FV Consideration
Debt Service Coverage Ratio (Goal: FV impacts adjusted out
cash available to cover debt service) of calculation
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Days Cash On Hand (Goal: measure To degree investments
ability to pay operating expenses with are marked to market
existing cash reserves)
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THE IRONY OF FAIR VALUE IN LENDING
Standard setting Financial
bodies focus on fair institutions provide Auditor uses fair
value measures in fair value to value in financial
financial auditors statements
statements
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ACTIVITY RATIOS
These ratios are also called efficiency ratios /
asset utilization ratios or turnover ratios. These
ratios show the relationship between sales, cost
of goods sold and various assets of a firm.
There are several ratio groups used to analyze
activities including:
– A/R ratios
– Inventory/stock turnover ratio
– Asset turnover ratio
– Creditors turnover ratio and average credit period
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ACTIVITY RATIOS
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A/R Key Questions:
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EMPHASIS FOR MANAGEMENT – A/R
• The days in accounts receivable should
be actively monitored by management
• Measures how long it takes to collect
payment after the delivery of product or
service
• The important thing to monitor is the trend
line (helps to identify early warnings of
collection problems in the future)
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EMPHASIS FOR MANAGEMENT – A/R
• The relationship between how often you pay
and how quickly you collect can have a
major “shift” in your cash position
• Most companies have a net 15 or net 30 for
vendor payments. Payroll also occurs on
regular basis
• Every additional day in accounts receivable
represents an investment
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EXAMPLE Sales of $30.0MM
Cash $2.0 MM COS of $27.0MM
Accts Receivable $2.5MM Margin 10%
Days in A/R 30 Days
Vendor Payments 30 Days
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COLLECTIONS
$2.5 million per
month
Lowers
CASH overall
average cash
balance
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EMPHASIS FOR MANAGEMENT – A/R
• Equally important to compare days in
accounts receivable with and without
the allowance (Gross versus Net)
• The net accounts receivable can mask
that collections have gotten worse or
that more is being reserved
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ALLOWANCE MASKING OF DAYS
Year One Gross Days in A/R Net Days in A/R
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EMPHASIS FOR MANAGEMENT – A/R
• A significant increase in sales is often
accompanied by a permanent increase in
the average balance of A/R
• The one time “build-up” of A/R represents
an investment of sorts in growth and will
have a one-time impact on cash
• Monitoring of days in accounts receivable
is important during growth periods
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EXAMPLE Sales of $30.0MM Sales of $35.0MM
COS of $27.0MM COS $31.5MM
Margin 10% Margin 10%
Days in A/R 30 Days 30 Days
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EMPHASIS OF MANAGEMENT – A/R
• Be wary of cycles in operations
• Some companies pick the slow season
for the year-end when A/R is at the
lowest. This will artificially lower the
number of days in year-end A/R
(hence, important to monitor peak
seasons as well)
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CASE STUDY - HEALTHCARE
• Healthcare is an example of:
– A) An area where benchmarks can be helpful
– B) An area where the metrics differ significantly
between different types of “providers”
• Example for Days in Accounts Receivable
– Hospitals: 45 days
– Nursing Home: 35 days
– Physician Practice: 20 days
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CASE STUDY - HEALTHCARE
• Examples of Operating Margin
– Hospitals: 2.6%
– Nursing Homes: 8.0%
– Physician Practices: 11%
• Labor Costs – 60% to 65%
– Specific stat that should be tracked and
monitored
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SAMPLE – PUBLIC HOSPITALS (MUNIOS)
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ACTIVITY RATIOS
Inventory Ratios
• Inventory Turnover – COGS/Avg Inventory
• Net Sales to Inventory – Net
Sales/Inventory
• Inventory to Net Working Capital –
Inventory/Net Working Capital
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Inventory Key Points:
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EMPHASIS OF MANAGEMENT - INV
• Gross margin and inventory turnover
are key metrics for manufacturers and
retailers
• There is really good data available that
is specific to the industry (and the sub
industry)
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EMPHASIS OF MANAGEMENT - INV
• The trending on these metrics needs
to monitored
• These can also be manipulated as well
– FIFO versus LIFO
– Sale-offs without replenishing inventory
levels equal high turnover but a potential
problem to future
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Example BizStats Reports
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EMPHASIS OF MANAGEMENT - INV
• For management, inventory turns and
margins should be looked at by
product line
• Identify possible obsolete; slow
moving items
• Reprioritize inventory and or location
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ACTIVITY RATIOS
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“We’ve been doing great since we redefined
success as a slowing of failure.” Dilbert
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ACTIVITY RATIOS
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EMPHASIS OF MANAGEMENT - AP
• The opposite impact is true on Days in
Accounts Payable. Permanently
increasing the days in A/P will have a
one-time increase in cash
• Be wary of giving up early payment
discounts
• Be careful with critical vendors
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BE WARY OF STATISTICS ALONE
• “There are lies, damned lies, and statistics”
Mark Twain
• “Statistics Defined – The science of producing
unreliable facts from reliable figures” Evan Esar
• “There are two types of statistics, the kind you
look up and the kind you make up” Rex Stout
• “60% of the time, it works every time” Ron
Burgandy
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CAUTION
• There are no generally accepted rules for
computing ratios.
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CAUTION
• Large deviations or unexpected results merely indicate
a possible problem.
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CAUTION
• Problems Disguised
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WHEN THE NUMBERS AREN’T GOOD
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FINANCIAL FAILURE?
• If some of the basic ratios appear to be
indicating an entity experiencing problems there
is a group of ratios which have been shown as
indicators of this.
• Caution should be used however, as the results
can only say the results are similar to those of
entities that have failed in the past.
• Ratios alone cannot predict financial failure.
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FINANCIAL FAILURE?
Univariate Models – use of one variable for
analysis.
• Cash flow to total debt – insufficient cash flows
indicate possible problems
• ROA – low earnings on committed assets
indicates problems making assets work for the
entity
• Debt Ratio – assets financed with too much debt
put the entity in a position where it may not be
able to make interest and/or principal payments
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FINANCIAL FAILURE?
Other Useful Indicators – these must be
compared to industry standards to determine
the entity results.
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BENCHMARKING AVAILABLE FOR
FLORIDA GOVERNMENTS
• Florida requires auditors to perform a financial
condition assessment
Required reporting if the auditor determines there is
a deterioration in financial condition
Serves as an early warning against Florida’s state
and local governments becoming insolvent
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Unfavorable = Favorable =
Trend Inf ormation Benchmark Comparison Inf ormation
Y1 to Y5 Dif f 95% Y5 Entity -0.05%
Y2 to Y5 Dif f 99% Y5 Bench 0.20%
Y3 to Y5 Dif f -102% Y5 Entity to Bench Dif f -125%
Be nchm ark
Tre nd: Favorable Inconclus ive
Com paris on:
Overall Rating: Favorable
AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 2
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 3
Unassigned and Assigned Fund Balance /
Total Expenditures
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 4
Cash & Investments /
Current Liabilities
Decreasing percentages may indicate that the
government has overextended itself in the long run and
may have difficulty raising the cash needed to meet its
current needs
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 5
Cash & Investments /
Total Expenditures
Denominator is operating expenses for a proprietary fund
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 6
Current Liabilities /
Total Revenues
Denominator is operating revenues for a proprietary fund
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 7
Long-Term Debt /
Population
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 8
Excess of Revenues Over Expenditures /
Total Revenues
Decreasing surpluses or increasing deficits may indicate
that current revenues are insufficient
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 9
Operating Income (Loss) /
Total Operating Revenues
Decreasing income and increasing losses may indicate
that current revenues are not supporting current
expenses
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 10
Intergovernmental Revenues/
Total Revenues
Proprietary funds use Operating Revenues as the
denominator
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 11
Unassigned and Assigned Fund Balances/
Total Revenues
Proprietary funds use unrestricted net assets / total
operating revenues
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 12
Total Revenues/
Population
Decreasing trends indicate that the local government
may be unable to maintain existing service levels with
current resources
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GUIDANCE AVAILABLE TO UNDERSTAND
MEASURES AND RATIOS
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 14
Total Expenditures/
Population
Increasing trends indicate that the cost of providing
services is outpacing the ability to pay for them
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 15
Accumulated Depreciation/
Depreciable Capital Assets
Increasing trends indicate that capital outlay is
inadequate increasing deferred replacement or
maintenance costs
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 16 / 17
Pension Plan Funded Ratio
&
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AUDITOR GENERAL INDICATOR 18
Millage Rate
Millage rates approaching statutory limits may indicate
that the government has a reduced ability to raise
additional funds
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MANAGEMENTS USE OF RATIOS
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QUESTIONS
Jeff Goolsby jgoolsby@mslcpa.com
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