Part 6 - Business Valuations: Chapter 17 Business Valuation I. Shares Valuation
Part 6 - Business Valuations: Chapter 17 Business Valuation I. Shares Valuation
Part 6 - Business Valuations: Chapter 17 Business Valuation I. Shares Valuation
I. Shares Valuation
1. C The replacement value of the business attempts to calculate the cost of setting
up an equivalent venture. This is more than simply tangible assets, it
includes intangibles such as brand value, customer and supply networks,
and intellectual property. It is practically very difficult to calculate.
2. C Net realizable value of total assets = 1m (revalued value) + 3m = $4m
Value per share = $4m / 1m = $4
3. C Using CAPM, the expected return for the ordinary shareholders is:
2% + [1·2 (8% – 2%)] = 9·2%
The predicted market value of a share is:
Po = D1/Ko = 25c / 0·092 = 272 cents
Option D multiplies the beta by the risk premium to obtain the expected
return. 1·2 x (8% – 2%) = 7·2%
The predicted market value of the share is:
= 25c / 0·072 = 347 cents
4. C The geometric average dividend growth rate is (36·0/31·1)1/3 – 1 = 5%
The ex div share price = (36·0 x 1·05)/(0·12 – 0·05) = $5·40
5. D The retention ratio is 60%. Thus, dividend growth = 60% x 10% = 6%.
The dividend payout for the forthcoming year is 40% x 50c = 20c
Predicted market value per share = [d1/(ke – g)]
= [20/(0·1 – 0·06)] = 500c
Option A uses the incorrect formula = d1/ke
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= 20/0·1 = 200c
Option B uses the following incorrect formula:
Predicted market value = [(d1/ke) + g]
= 200 + 6 = 206c
Option C uses the dividend payout ratio in calculating dividend growth (40%
x 10% = 4%)
= [20/(0·1 – 0·04)] = 333c
6. B Using CAPM, the expected return for the equity shareholders is:
= 3% + [1·4 (9% – 3%)] = 11·4 %
The predicted market value of a share is:
Po = D1/Ko
= $0·10 / 0·114 = $0·88
7. D The annual rate of growth in future dividends is 12% x 75% = 9%
Using the dividend growth model, the expected market value of each share is:
Po = Do(1 + g)/(r – g)
Po = 0·30(1 + 0·09)/(0·12 – 0·09)
Po = $10·9
8. C Dividend yield (Tern plc) = (Gross dividend per share/market value per share)
x 100
= [(0·27 x 100/90)/300] x 100
= 10%
Market value per share = (Gross dividend per share/dividend yield) x 100
= [(0·15 x 100/90)/10] x 100
= £1·67
Option A calculates the dividend yield of the public listed company using the
par value of the shares.
Market value per share = (Gross dividend per share/dividend yield) x 100
= [(0·15 x 100/90)/30] x 100
= £0·56
Option B does not ‘gross up’ the dividend of the private limited company to
obtain the market value.
Market value per share = (Gross dividend per share/dividend yield) x 100
= [(0·15/10] x 100
= £1·50
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Option D does not ‘gross up’ the dividend yield of the public listed company
to obtain the dividend yield.
Market value per share = (Gross dividend per share/dividend yield) x 100
= [(0·15 x 100/90)/9] x 100
= £1.85
9. D Expected return = 4% + 1·5(9% – 4%) = 11.5%
Predicted share value = 30/0·115 = 261 cents
Option A uses the wrong CAPM formula and wrong dividend valuation
formula
Expected return = 4% + 1·5 × (9% + 4%) = 23.5%
Predicted share value = 30 × 23·5 = 705 cents
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Option A does not use decimals correctly when using the growth rate and the
rate of return.
Po = 0·20(1 + 0·7)/(1·0 – 0·7)
Po = $1·13
Option B uses calculations based on the payout ratio rather than the retention
ratio in the equation:
Po = 0·20(1 + 0·03)/(0·10 – 0·03)
Po = $2·94
Option C does not apply the growth rate to the numerator in the equation:
Po = 0·20/(0·10 – 0·07)
Po = $6·67
13. A Statement 1 needs to be assumed: If D0 is not typical, a better valuation
would include the dividend that would have been paid if D0 were in line with
historical trends.
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Statement 2 needs to be assumed: Only one rate for growth is included in the
formula.
Statement 3 needs to be assumed: Only one cost of equity is included in the
formula.
Statement 4 does not need to be assumed: Minority shareholders are entitled
to dividends only, hence this valuation technique is in fact best suited to a
minority shareholding.
14. D Market capitalisation refers to the total value of a company’s share capital as
valued by the capital markets / stock exchange.
15. A Should NCW Co purchase CEW Co it will acquire a cash flow of ($10 + 2 =)
$12m per annum assuming it invests the $6m in new machinery. (Note: it
should do this as its net present value = $2m/0.1 – $6m = $14m.)
Therefore the value would be: $12m/0.1 – $6m = $114 million. Note the $12m
is a perpetuity.
16. B The maximum ABC Co should pay is the value that BBC Co would add to the
group.
$m
Value of ABC Co currently ($4m × 21) 84
Value of combined group ($6.5m × 19) 123.5
Difference – value added 39.5
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Answer 1
(a)
Rights issue price = 2·5 x 0·8 = $2·00 per share [1 mark]
Theoretical ex rights price = ((2·50 x 4) + (1 x 2·00)/5=$2·40 per share [2 marks]
(Alternatively, number of rights shares issued = $5m/$2·00 = 2·5m shares
Existing number of shares = 4 x 2·5m = 10m shares
Theoretical ex rights price per share = ((10m x 2·50) + (2·5m x 2·00))/12·5m = $2·40)
(b)
Current price/earnings ratio = 250/32·4 = 7·7 times [1 mark]
0·25
Average growth rate of earnings per share = 100 x ((32·4/27·7) – 1) = 4·0%
Earnings per share following expansion = 32·4 x 1·04 = 33·7 cents per share [1 mark]
Share price predicted by price/earnings ratio method = 33·7 x 7·7 = $2·60 [1 mark]
Since the price/earnings ratio of Dartig Co has remained constant in recent years and the
expansion is of existing business, it seems reasonable to apply the existing price/earnings
ratio to the revised earnings per share value.
(c)
Discussion of share price companies
1. The proposed business expansion will be an acceptable use of the rights issue funds if it
increases the wealth of the shareholders. The share price predicted by the
price/earnings ratio method is $2·60. This is greater than the current share price of
$2·50, but this is not a valid comparison, since it ignores the effect of the rights
issue on the share price.
2. The rights issue has a neutral effect on shareholder wealth, but the cum rights price
is changed by the increase in the number of shares and by the transformation of cash
wealth into security wealth from a shareholder point of view. The correct comparison
is with the theoretical ex rights price, which was found earlier to be $2·40. Dartig Co
shareholders will experience a capital gain due to the business expansion of $2·60 –
2·40 = 20 cents per share. However, these share prices are one year apart and hence
not directly comparable.
[3 – 4 marks]
Calculation of effect on shareholder wealth
If the dividend yield remains at 6% per year (100 x 15·0/250), the dividend per share for
2008 will be 15·6p (other estimates of the 2008 dividend per share are possible). Adding this
to the capital gain of 20p gives a total shareholder return of 35·6p or 14·24% (100 x
35·6/240). This is greater than the cost of equity of 10% and so shareholder wealth has
increased. [1 – 2 marks]
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(d)
In order to use the dividend growth model, the expected future dividend growth rate is
needed. Here, it may be assumed that the historical trend of dividend per share payments will
continue into the future. The geometric average historical dividend growth rate = 100 x
((15·0/12·8)0·25 – 1) = 4% per year. [2 marks]
(Alternatively, the arithmetical average of annual dividend growth rates could be used. This
will be (5·5 + 0·0 + 7·4 + 3·5)/4 = 4·1%. Another possibility is to use the Gordon growth
model. The average payout ratio over the last 4 years has been 47%, so the average retention
ratio has been 53%. Assuming that the cost of equity represents an acceptable return on
shareholders’ funds, the dividend growth rate is approximately 53% x 10% = 5·3% per year.)
Using the formula for the dividend growth model from the formula sheet, the ex dividend
share price = (15·0 x 1·04)/(0·1 – 0·04) = $2·60 [2 marks]
Discussion
This is 10 cents per share more than the current share price of Dartig Co. There are
several reasons why there may be a difference between the two share prices.
The future dividend growth rate for example, may differ from the average historical
dividend growth rate, and the current share price may factor in a more reasonable
estimate of the future dividend growth rate than the 4% used here.
The cost of equity of Dartig Co may not be exactly equal to 10%.
More generally, there may be a degree of inefficiency in the capital market on which
the shares of Dartig Co are traded.
[2 marks]
Answer 2
(a)(i)
Market capitalisation of GWW Co
Value of ordinary shares in statement of financial position = $20·0 million
Nominal (par) value of ordinary shares = 50 cents
Number of ordinary shares of company = 20m/0·5 = 40 million shares
Ordinary share price = $4·00 per share
Market capitalisation = 40m x 4 = $160 million [1]
(a)(ii)
Net asset value (liquidation basis)
Current net asset value (NAV) = 91·0m + 8·3m – 7·1m – 25·0m = $67·2 million
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(a)(iii)
Price/earnings ratio value
Historic earnings of GWW Co = $10·1 million
Average price/earnings ratio of GWW Co business sector = 17 times
Price/earnings ratio value of GWW Co = 17 x 10·1m = $171·7 million [2]
(Tutorial note: Price/earnings ratio calculation using forecast earnings would receive full
credit)
(a)(iv)
(1) Dividend growth model value (using historic dividend growth rate)
Historic dividend growth rate = [(6·0m/5·0m)1/3 – 1] x 100 = 6·27% [1]
An assumption is made that future dividend growth is similar to historic dividend growth.
Value of GWW Co = (6m x 1·0627)/(0·09 – 0·0627) = $234 million [1]
(b)
Net asset value is an asset-based valuation method, while the price/earnings ratio method and
the dividend growth model are both income-based methods. Market capitalisation can be seen
as an objective measure of company value provided by the capital markets.
Market capitalisation
While market capitalisation is often seen as an objective measure of company value, it must
be recognised that market capitalisation is not fixed, but constantly changing as share prices
change with the random arrival of new information on the capital market. In terms of
determining a purchase price for GWW Co, market capitalisation represents a minimum
value that existing shareholders can currently obtain on the capital market. Shareholders will
therefore expect to be offered more than the current market price of their shares if they are to
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Compared with other valuation methods, however, market capitalisation offers a value that
is immediately verifiable for a listed company and existing shareholders will use it as a
benchmark against which to measure any offer that is made to them.
[1 – 2 marks]
Net asset value (liquidation basis)
In terms of determining a purchase price for GWW Co, liquidation NAV is arguably more
useful than book value NAV or replacement cost NAV, provided that information needed to
calculate it can be reliably established, since it values a course of action open to the
shareholders that is a real alternative to accepting an offer from a bidder. That said, it is
usually found to be a value much lower than any possible purchase price because it does not
value a company as a going concern, and few companies are purchased with the sole
objective of liquidation.
[1 – 2 marks]
Price/earnings ratio method
This is a widely-used valuation method and provided that appropriate information is used, it
can be useful in helping to determine a purchase price.
Appropriate information will include expected future earnings rather than historical
earnings, since it is future income from a company that is purchased, not past income. In the
case of GWW Co, the earnings one year forward could be forecast to be $10·7m (10·1m x
1·059), using the historical earnings growth rate of 5·9%. With these earnings rather than the
most recent earnings of $10·1m, the price/earnings ratio value becomes $181·9m (17 x 10·7),
an increase of $10·2m on the previously calculated value of $171·2m. This increase would
need to be considered in determining a purchase price for GWW Co, provided that earnings
growth was expected to continue in the future.
Appropriate information will also include the price/earnings ratio used in the valuation,
and the origin and meaning of the applied price/earnings ratio must be carefully considered if
the calculated company value is to have any significance. Using a sector average
price/earnings ratio implies that GWW Co is an average company, and this may be an
inappropriate assumption to make.
[1 – 2 marks]
Dividend growth model
This valuation method provides a deprival value for target company shareholders, i.e. it
values what they give up (the right to receive future dividends) if they accept an offer for
their shares. Like market capitalisation, it represents a minimum value when considering
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the purchase price of a company, in this case a minimum value for shareholders who do not
control dividend policy. While the dividend growth model has many weaknesses, the value it
provides is useful in determining a purchase price, providing its limitations are kept in mind.
[1 – 2 marks]
(c)(i)
Calculation of market value of bond
The market value of the bond is the present value of the future cash flows from the bond,
discounted at the before-tax cost of debt.
Market value of bond = (8 x 5·582) + (100 x 0·665) = 44·66 + 66·50 = $111·16
[2 marks]
(c)(ii)
Debt/equity ratio (book value basis)
D/E = 100 x 25·0/67·2 = 37·2% [1 mark]
(c)(iii)
Debt/equity ratio (market value basis)
Market value of debt = 25·0 x 111·16/100 = $27·8 million
Market value of equity = 4·00 x 20·0/0·5 = $160·0 million
D/E = 100 x 27·8/160·0 = 17·4% [1 mark]
Since financial risk relates to the variability in shareholder returns in the income
statement, another commonly used way of assessing financial risk is the interest
coverage ratio, sometimes calculated as interest gearing. This can be a more sensitive
measure of financial risk than the debt/equity ratio, in that it can indicate when a
company is experiencing increasing difficulty in meeting its interest payments. It should
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be noted that difficulty in meeting interest payments can be a problem even when
the debt/equity ratio is low.
[3 – 4 marks]
Answer 3
(a)
Price/earnings ratio valuation
1. The value of the company using this valuation method is found by multiplying future
earnings by a price/earnings ratio. Using the earnings of Corhig Co in Year 1 and the
price/earnings ratio of similar listed companies gives a value of 3,000,000 x 5 =
$15,000,000. [2 marks]
2. Using the current average price/earnings ratio of similar listed companies as the basis
for the valuation rests on two questionable assumptions.
(a) First, in terms of similarity, the valuation assumes similar business
operations, similar capital structures, similar earnings growth prospects,
and so on. In reality, no two companies are identical.
(b) Second, in terms of using an average price/earnings ratio, this may derive
from companies that are large and small, successful and failing, low-geared
and high-geared, and domestic or international in terms of markets served. The
calculated company value therefore has a large degree of uncertainty
attached to it.
[2 marks]
3. The earnings figure used in the valuation does not include expected earnings growth.
If average forecast earnings over the next three years are used ($3·63 million), the
price/earning ratio value increases by 21% to $18·15 million (3·63 x 5). Although
earnings growth beyond the third year is still ignored, $18·15 million is likely to be a
better estimate of the value of the company than $15 million because it recognises that
earnings are expected to increase by almost 50% in the next three years.
(b)
Value of company using the dividend valuation model
The current cost of equity using the capital asset pricing model = 4 + (1·6 x 5) = 12%
[1 mark]
Since a dividend will not be paid in Year 1, the dividend growth model cannot be applied
straight away. However, dividends after Year 3 are expected to grow at a constant annual rate
of 3% per year and so the dividend growth model can be applied to these dividends. The
present value of these dividends is a Year 3 present value, which will need discounting back
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to year 0. The market value of the company can then be found by adding this to the present
value of the forecast dividends in Years 2 and 3.
(c)
Current weighted average after-tax cost of capital
Current cost of equity using the capital asset pricing model = 12%
After-tax cost of debt = 5 x (1 – 0·2) = 5 x 0·8 = 4% [1 mark]
Current after-tax WACC = (12 x 0·75) + (4 x 0·25) = 10% per year [1 mark]
Comment
The after-tax WACC has increased slightly from 10% to 10·32%. This change is a result of
the increases in the cost of equity and the after-tax cost of debt, coupled with the change
in gearing. Although the cost of equity has increased, the effect of the increase has been
reduced because the proportion of equity finance has fallen from 75% to 60% of the long-
term capital employed. Although the after-tax cost of debt has increased, the cost of debt
is less than the cost of equity and the proportion of cheaper debt finance has increased from
25% to 40% of the long-term capital employed. [1 mark]
Answer 4
(a)
Net asset valuation
In the absence of any information about realisable values and replacement costs, net asset
value is on a book value basis. It is the sum of non-current assets and net current assets, less
long-term debt, i.e. 595 + 125 – 70 – 160 = $490 million. [1 mark]
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Alternatively, profit after tax (earnings) is expected to grow at an annual rate of 5% per year
and earnings growth can be incorporated into the earnings yield method using the growth
model.
Value of company = (66·6m x 1·05)/(0·11 – 0·05) = $1,166 million
Examiner’s note: full credit would be gained whether or not growth is incorporated in the
earnings yield method.
(b)
The dividend growth model (DGM) is used widely in valuing ordinary shares and hence in
valuing companies, but there are a number of weaknesses associated with its use.
Estimating the future dividend growth rate is very difficult in practice and the
DGM is very sensitive to small changes in this key variable. It is common practice to
estimate the future dividend growth rate by calculating the historical dividend
growth, but the assumption that the future will reflect the past is an easy one to
challenge.
[2 – 3 marks]
The cost of equity
The DGM assumes that the future cost of equity is constant, when in reality it
changes quite frequently.
The cost of equity can be calculated using the capital asset pricing model, but this
model usually employs historical information, which may not reflect accurately
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Cost of equity
This is given as 10% per year.
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The interest rate of the bank loan can be used as its before-tax cost of debt.
After-tax cost of debt of bank loan = 6 x (1 – 0·3) = 6 x 0·7 = 4·2% per year [1 mark]
(d)
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the average return required by current
providers of finance. The WACC therefore reflects the current risk of a company’s
business operations (business risk) and way in which the company is currently financed
(financial risk). When the WACC is used as discount rate to appraise an investment project,
an assumption is being made that the project’s business risk and financial risk are the
same as those currently faced by the investing company. If this is not the case, a
marginal cost of capital or a project-specific discount rate must be used to assess the
acceptability of an investment project.
[1 – 2 marks]
Business risk
The business risk of an investment project will be the same as current business
operations if the project is an extension of existing business operations, and if it is
small in comparison with current business operations.
If this is the case, existing providers of finance will not change their current
required rates of return.
If these conditions are not met, a project-specific discount rate should be calculated,
for example by using the capital asset pricing model.
[2 – 3 marks]
Financial risk
The financial risk of an investment project will be the same as the financial risk
currently faced by a company if debt and equity are raised in the same proportions
as currently used, thus preserving the existing capital structure. If this is the case, the
current WACC can be used to appraise a new investment project.
It may still be appropriate to use the current WACC as a discount rate even when
the incremental finance raised does not preserve the existing capital structure,
providing that the existing capital structure is preserved on an average basis over
time via subsequent finance-raising decisions.
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Where the capital structure is changed by finance raised for an investment project, it
may be appropriate to use the marginal cost of capital rather than the WACC.
[2 – 3 marks]
Answer 5
(a)(i)
Market capitalisation of GWW Co
Value of ordinary shares in statement of financial position = $20·0 million
Nominal (par) value of ordinary shares = 50 cents
Number of ordinary shares of company = 20m/0·5 = 40 million shares
Ordinary share price = $4·00 per share
Market capitalisation = 40m x 4 = $160 million [2]
(a)(ii)
Net asset value (liquidation basis)
Current net asset value (NAV) = 91·0m + 8·3m – 7·1m – 25·0m = $67·2 million
Decrease in value of non-current assets on liquidation = 86·0m – 91·0m = $5 million
Increase in value of inventory on liquidation = 4·2m – 3·8m = $0·4 million
Decrease in value of trade receivables = 4·5m x 0·2 = $0·9 million
NAV (liquidation basis) = 67·2m – 5m + 0·4m – 0·9m = $61·7 million [2]
(a)(iii)
Price/earnings ratio value
Historic earnings of GWW Co = $10·1 million
Average price/earnings ratio of GWW Co business sector = 17 times
Price/earnings ratio value of GWW Co = 17 x 10·1m = $171·7 million [2]
(Tutorial note: Price/earnings ratio calculation using forecast earnings would receive full
credit)
(b)
The dividend growth model values the shares of GWW Co as the present value of the future
dividends expected by its shareholders. The input variables for the valuation model are the
cost of equity, the future dividend growth rate and the current dividend per share (or next
year’s dividend per share).
One advantage of the dividend growth model is that its input variables are well-known and
understandable. Dividend information is published regularly in the financial media and
discussed by financial analysts. Many companies now provide information in their annual
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For shareholders, another advantage of the dividend growth model is that it gives an estimate
of the wealth they would lose if they sold their shares now and hence the model estimates the
minimum price at which they might be persuaded to sell their shares. This can be useful
information for both sellers and buyers. [1]
One disadvantage of the dividend growth model, however, is that the cost of equity and the
dividend growth rate are future values and so cannot be known with any certainty. Forecasts
of future dividend growth rates are often based on historical dividend trends, but there is no
guarantee that the future will repeat the past. [1]
Another disadvantage is that although experience shows that dividends per share do not grow
smoothly, this is assumed by the dividend growth model. The future dividend growth rate is
assumed to be constant in perpetuity, which is an idealized state of affairs. [1]
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1. B Using a conversion value after five years of $106·40 ($1·25 x 1·045 x 70) and
the before-tax cost of debt of 10%, we have (8 x 3·791) + (106·40 x 0·621) =
$96·40 or $96. Conversion is preferred in five years’ time as it offers a higher
value than the redemption value of $100.
2. B The conversion value is (80 x $1·20) = $96·00
Conversion premium ($104 – $96) = $8
Conversion premium per share ($8/80) = $0·10
Option A takes the difference between the conversion value and the nominal
value of the loan stock. [($100 – $96)/80] = $0·05
Option C takes the difference between the conversion value and the nominal
value of the shares [($96 – $80)/80] = $0·20
Option D takes the difference between the issue price of the loan stock value
and the nominal value of the shares [($104 – $80)/80] = $0.30
3. C
Option B ignores the interest that is due for payment and takes the discounted
value of the shares.
Option D ignores the interest that is due and takes the undiscounted value of
the shares as the appropriate figure.
4. C Investors will receive, in present value terms, $8 x 0·91 + $8 x 0·83 + $110 x
0·83. The value of the bonds is, therefore $105·22.
Option A uses the present value of the nominal value of the bonds ($100 x
0·83) = $83·00
Option B uses present value of the redemption value of the bonds ($110 x
0·83) = $91·30
Option D uses the undiscounted values ($8 + $8 + $110) = $126·00
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Answer 6
(i)
Calculation of market value of each convertible bond
Expected share price in five years’ time = 4·45 x 1·0655 = $6·10
Conversion value = 6·10 x 20 = $122 [1 mark]
Compared with redemption at par value of $100, conversion will be preferred
The current market value will be the present value of future interest payments, plus the
present value of the conversion value, discounted at the cost of debt of 7% per year.
Market value of each convertible bond = (9 x 4·100) + (122 x 0·713) = $123·89
[2 marks]
(ii)
Calculation of floor value of each convertible bond
The current floor value will be the present value of future interest payments, plus the present
value of the redemption value, discounted at the cost of debt of 7% per year.
Floor value of each convertible bond = (9 x 4·100) + (100 x 0·713) = $108·20
[2 marks]
(iii)
Calculation of conversion premium of each convertible bond
Current conversion value = 4·45 x 20 = $89·00
Conversion premium = $123·89 – 89·00 = $34·89
This is often expressed on a per share basis, i.e. 34·89/20 = $1·75 per share
[1 mark]
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1. A
2. B Under the weak form of market efficiency, share prices are random and occur
in response to historical information about a business when it becomes
publicly available. Share prices do not anticipate new information being
announced.
3. C
4. B
5. C
6. D
7. D Under the weak form, new information is not anticipated and share prices
change over time in a random manner.
8. D Both statements are incorrect. Statement 1 refers to allocative efficiency and
Statement 2 refers to operational efficiency. EMH is concerned with
information-processing efficiency.
9. B The first statement is correct as share price movements follow a random path.
The second statement is incorrect.
10. B
11. C When a market shows efficiency beyond the weak form (i.e. semi-strong or
strong efficiency) current share prices reflect all information that is publicly
available. Hence there would be no benefit from examining the annual reports
etc in order to achieve abnormal gains.
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