2016 12 01 Cluster Panorama 2016
2016 12 01 Cluster Panorama 2016
2016 12 01 Cluster Panorama 2016
REPORT
Prepared by:
November 2016
Internal Market,
Industry,
Entrepreneurship
and SMEs
European Cluster Panorama 2016
This work has been carried out under a service contract for the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Internal
Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs. It is financed under the Competitiveness and Innovation Framework pro-
gramme (CIP) which aims to encourage the competitiveness of European enterprises. The views expressed in this docu-
ment and the information included in it do not necessarily reflect the opinion or position of the European Commission.
Internal Market,
Industry, Entre-
preneurship and
European Cluster Panorama 2016
Table of Contents
Key Facts at a Glance ...........................................................................................................................i
1. Introduction...........................................................................................................................1
2. Concepts and data sources explained ................................................................................3
3. The Role of Clusters in Europe ...........................................................................................9
3.1 Measuring clusters in the European economy ...................................................................9
3.2 Strong clusters and their performance .............................................................................12
3.3 Regional cluster hotspots ................................................................................................16
3.4 Entrepreneurship .............................................................................................................18
3.5 Reindustrialisation ...........................................................................................................19
4. Emerging Industries in Europe ..........................................................................................21
4.1 Overall Observations .......................................................................................................21
4.1.1 Profiling the Performance of Emerging Industries ................................................................................... 21
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
1. Introduction
The European economy has in the recent past made progress in putting one of the deepest economic
crisis in its existence behind it. Exports are up, growth and investment have improved, and labour mar-
kets are slowly moving towards their pre-crisis state. Still, the economic challenges that EU member
countries are facing remain formidable. The heterogeneity across Europe is high, and especially South-
ern European countries continue to struggle with high unemployment, particularly among the young.
The macroeconomic climate still hinges on the support given by historically unprecedented monetary
policies. And it is not only these current economic issues that are a concern: The result of the UK refer-
endum on leaving the EU has been a shock, and has raised broader economic and political questions.
Successful upgrading of European competitiveness is critical for the EU to meet these challenges, and
create new dynamism in the European economy. The European Commission has in the context of Com-
mission President Juncker’s Agenda for Jobs, Growth, Fairness and Democratic Change1 launched a
wide range of initiatives with this goal in mind. Focusing on microeconomic dimensions of this overall
agenda key recent efforts include the Single Market Strategy, the Digital Single Market, the Digitisation
of Industry strategy, the Energy Union, the Circular Economy Package, the Start-up and Scale-up Initi-
ative and the New Skills Agenda with the Investment Plan for Europe and set of up of Thematic Platforms
to facilitate the implementation of smart specialisation strategies that guide innovation-related invest-
ments under the European Structural and Investments Funds being other important contributors.
Clusters are a key dimension of this policy agenda. They have powerful roles in diagnostics, design,
and delivery of effective policies in order to contribute to the number one objective of achieving more
jobs, growth and investments. Clusters offer a fertile ground for fostering industry transformation and
the development of emerging industries. Accordingly, the European Commission has had a long stand-
ing focus on clusters, providing data, policy tools, and support for cross-European linkages among clus-
ter organisations.
The European Cluster Panorama, provided by the European Cluster Observatory, focuses on providing
policy makers and business leaders across the EU with fresh insights into trends of cross-industry link-
ages and the regional footprint of these groups of related activities. The Panorama applies evidence-
based categories for understanding the likely directions of industrial change and industry emergence,
mapping the performance and economic geography of ten specific emerging industries across Europe.
Its first version, the European Cluster Panorama 2014, documented the strong economic performance
of these broader cross-sectoral, emerging industries in terms of productivity and dynamism, outperform-
ing both the average of existing clusters and the broader EU economy. The economic geography of
emerging industries shows opportunities across Europe. But it also revealed a significant role of legacy
effects and underlying competitiveness driving future opportunities: many of the European regions reg-
istering the strongest position in these ten emerging industries are also in the leading group in terms of
current cluster portfolio strengths and prosperity.
1 Jean-Claude Juncker, A New Start for Europe: My Agenda for Jobs, Growth, Fairness and Democratic Change,
Strasbourg, 15 July 2014. https://ec.europa.eu/priorities/sites/beta-political/files/juncker-political-guidelines-
speech_en_0.pdf.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
This European Cluster Panorama 2016 provides an updated perspective on clusters across Europe,
focusing again in more detail on the evolution of the ten emerging industries identified in 2014. The
analysis is based not only on two additional years of data, but can draw on a significantly enhanced and
broadened data set (see the methodological appendix for a more detailed discussion of how the data
set was constructed):
■ One key novelty is the introduction of firm-level data to supplement the statistical data from
national and EU statistical offices. This firm-based data significantly increases the robustness
of the data, especially in countries like Germany that collect regional data through samples
rather than reporting by all firms. It also enables performance of individual firms to be tracked
over time, gaining more granular insights into patterns of entrepreneurship.
■ Another key novelty is the inclusion of new indicators, in particular data on skills. Skills are a
critical dimension of the quality of the business environment, including for its ability to adapt to
industrial transformation processes. It can thus sharpen our understanding of how clusters in-
teract with other factors to influence economic performance. Skills are also a signal for the type
of activities that a cluster within a specific category is engaged in.
Based on this enhanced data set, a deeper analysis is presented compared to the last Panorama in
2014. Updated information is provided on the ten emerging industries, tracking their further evolution in
the post-crisis recovery with data now available up to 2014. The information on the role of existing clus-
ters in Europe is also updated, looking at their overall size, dynamics, and patterns of regional distribu-
tion. The combination of these two views provides comprehensive insights in the current status and
future opportunities inherent in the economic structure of European regions.
Moreover, the enhanced data set also enable a number of new analyses that provide a more granular
perspective on clusters, emerging industries, and their dynamics. A focus is placed on two particular
aspects: the heterogeneity of cluster profiles, and the dynamics of cluster evolution:
■ The profile of individual clusters is measured within a given cluster category or emerging
industry through differences in the mix of occupations most prevalent in different locations. How
clusters with different profiles perform, and what type of regions they are located in can provide
important additional insights for policy.
■ The dynamics of cluster evolution are measured through a closer look at firm entry and exit
data as well as through exploiting the longer time-series of data. This helps to identify where
entrepreneurship in terms of new business formation is most prevalent, both in terms of the
regions and the specific clusters and emerging industries. It also allows to track the dynamics
of cluster evolution, i.e. how much change is observed over time in the economic geography of
clusters and emerging industries and the economic composition of regions.
All underlying data used in this report are available at the cluster mapping tool of the European Cluster
Observatory under the web pages of the EU Cluster Portal set up by the European Commission’s Di-
rectorate General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs.2 The definitions of specific
analytical categories, in particular the definitions of all clusters and emerging industries, as well as the
analytical approaches used to develop them, are also all available on the EU Cluster Portal.
2 https://ec.europa.eu/growth/smes/cluster/observatory/cluster-mapping-services/mapping-tool_en.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
3 The Smart Guide explains what cluster and cluster policies are and what not, what makes them successful and
why they matter. It presents eight Do's and Don'ts and many cluster programme examples and practical instru-
ments. See http://ec.europa.eu/DocsRoom/documents/16903/attachments/1/translations/en/renditions/native.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
Marke‐
Biopharma Agricult. Video tng
Bioph.
Creative Bus
Serv
Wood Economy
Prod Music
Tourism
Experience Perf
Economy Arts
4 This definition developed by Heffernan & Phaal (2009) was used in the policy roadmap of the European Forum
for Clusters in Emerging Industries that is available at http://www.emergingindustries.eu/Up-
load/CMS/Docs/Policy_roadmap.pdf.
5 The detailed process and reasons for choosing such an approach are explained in the “Methodology and
Findings Report for a Cluster Mapping of Related Sectors”, available at http://ec.europa.eu/growth/smes/clus-
ter/observatory/cluster-mapping-services/cluster-panorama_en.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
6 The analysis covers all EU-28 countries (comprising 276 NUTS-2 regions) as well as Albania, Bosnia and Herze-
govina, Iceland, Israel, FYROM, Kosovo (regarding the political status of which no claims are implied), Montene-
gro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland, and Turkey by applying the NUTS (Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statis-
tics) standard for the subdivisions of countries for statistical purposes.
7 For example in Ketels, C. & S. Protsiv (2013). Clusters and the New Growth Path for Europe. WWWforEurope
working paper series, issue 14.
8 See for more detail the material on the European Commission’s Smart Specialisation Platform: http://s3plat-
form.jrc.ec.europa.eu.
9 Employment is usually the only variable available on plant level, the rest are for the firm as a whole.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
Therefore, three Eurostat datasets were used for calibration: Business demography to obtain counts of
businesses in missing legal forms,10 Structural Business Statistics to provide aggregate values to match
to, and Regional Economic Accounts to calibrate the final numbers to be comparable across countries.11
Using this firm-level data allows to get a more consistent picture across European businesses and com-
puting entrepreneurship indicators that would otherwise be unavailable.
While the dataset is completely new, it resembles the one used in the 2014 Panorama and most of the
values remained fairly stable in the countries where data quality was good in both 2014 and 2016. The
main difference is that the employment indicator is now using a uniform definition across countries,
defining a full-time employee as equivalent to 1 800 hours worked per year. This has the advantage that
it makes the labour input more comparable across countries and does not depend on local legislation
specifying a standard work week (although of course the measurement of working hours is imprecise).
The main outcome of this is that the countries where the average work time is significantly lower than 1
800 hours (e.g. Germany and the Netherlands) see their employment numbers lowered while their
productivity is increased, while the opposite occurs in the Eastern countries with longer working hours.
Another major addition to the dataset are the skills indicators obtained from Labour Force Surveys (LFS),
which were used to obtain the relative sophistication of workers in each cluster according to the following
four skill levels12 using broad sections of the ISCO 08 occupational classification:
■ Officials, Managers, Professionals, Technicians (“Managers”): jobs usually employing abstract
cognitive tasks (ISCO sections 0, 1, 2, 3)
■ Clerical Support Workers (“Clerks”): jobs using routine cognitive tasks, usually in offices (ISCO
group 4)
■ Craft, Trade, Operators, Assemblers (“Crafts”): routine manual jobs, usually on the factory floor
(ISCO sections 6, 7, 8)
■ Service, Sales, Elementary (“Services”): basic non-routine manual jobs like sales or cleaning
(ISCO sections 5 and 9).
Finally, the dataset is complemented with new data on fast-growing new firms (so-called “gazelles”) that
was derived using the same data source. Data on company births, their ownership structure (to remove
subsidiaries of the existing firms), as well as the financial indicators computed in the previous step were
used to select the firms that are less than 5 years old and grew by at least 10% a year over 3 years.13
Other differences between the 2014 and 2016 editions of the Panorama include the per-industry dis-
counting of monetary indicators over time (i.e. the inflation adjustment for output is based on the prices
for this industry’s output within a country, and similarly for the inputs a company uses based on input-
output tables). This, together with purchasing parity adjustments, makes the monetary values across
regions more comparable and in general increases the relative stance of poorer regions since they also
generally have lower prices.
10 Usually sole traders, but in some countries also partnerships. More details on this procedure can be found in
methodological appendix.
11 This calibration was necessary due to different definitions of employment and wages used in different countries
and to ensure that the dataset is consistent with regional and national accounts.
12 Acemoglu, D., D. Autor (2011) Skills, Tasks and Technologies: Implications for Employment and Earnings. Hand-
book of Labor Economics, Volume 4b.
13 More details follow in the section dedicated to entrepreneurship.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
All data (other than skills) is now from a uniform source: company accounts (as opposed to, for example,
employee surveys), which further enhances the comparability across regions and industries, though
some inconsistencies remain.
In the analysis of the European Cluster Panorama, a two-stage approach is used. In the first stage,
‘strong clusters’ are identified, i.e. situations in which a region is specialised in a set of related indus-
tries relative to peers. This notion is operationalised by identifying the top 20% of European locations by
location quotient, subject to a cut-off of at least 500 employees. 14
■ Specialisation, measured by the relative size of regional employment in a given (sectoral or
cross-sectoral) cluster category reflected in its location quotient (LQ). This relative measure
indicates how much stronger a region is in a cluster category than would be expected given its
overall size, compared to the average employment size in the specific cluster category across
all regions
In the second stage, up to three additional ‘performance stars’ are awarded to capture how well a
location is leveraging the presence of a cluster. These further stars are awarded if a location falls into
the top 20% of European regions in any of the following three dimensions:
14 The Location Quotient is a measure of a region’s specialisation in an industry and is computed as the ratio of this
industry’s shares of a) this region’s employment and b) of the whole European employment across all regions.
Thus, the values above one imply high regional specialisation, with LQ of 2 corresponding to twice as many
employees in an industry than expected if all employment was distributed evenly.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
■ Absolute size, measured by the number of employees and establishments. This measure is
based on the observation that the number of linkages within a cluster is growing exponentially
with the number of participants. Only when economic activity in a given cluster category moves
beyond a threshold of critical mass do cluster effects become significant.
■ Productivity, measured by the wages paid in a regional cluster (adjusted for local cost levels).
This measure reflects not only what is being done in a region, but how well it is being done,
influenced by the strength of cluster effects. Wages are also influenced by the structure of labour
markets and other factors but are strongly correlated with productivity.
■ Dynamism, measured by a simple average of measures on employment growth and the pres-
ence of fast-growing new firms (gazelles). This measure aims to capture whether a cluster con-
tinues to benefit from strong cluster effects in its development, or not. The cluster may be hin-
dered in its growth because it has already reached a level where costs are greater than the
benefits or other factors such as industry-specific growth trends.
The two first employment-based indicators formed the basis of the initial ‘three-star’ methodology used
by the European Cluster Observatory of the first European cluster mapping in 2007.15 Our current star-
rating is comparable to the one used in the 2014 European Cluster Panorama. The one conceptual
change is the inclusion of data on gazelles, i.e. consistently fast growing new companies, to measure
dynamism. Regions that grow through creating new firms rather than through employment growth in
established firms score higher compared to the method used in 2014. The overall effect of this change
on the report rankings is, however, relatively minor.
The strength of a region’s cluster portfolio is measured by summing up the performance across its
individual clusters. For the analysis of overall regional performance, the total number of stars across all
sectoral clusters or cross-sectoral, emerging industries is used as the core measure. There are other
measures that are reported in some tables, in particular the share of employment in strong clusters for
regions. This measure essentially weights clusters by their employment size, which provides another
useful perspective on the strength of the cluster portfolio. Because it is also more affected by whether
specific large cluster categories are strong, in particular business services, the star methodology is used
as the main indicator of regional cluster or emerging industry strength.
While these indicators enhance the understanding of economic geography across Europe, some cave-
ats should be kept in mind: First, some indicators, particularly the new ones, are measured with error
and depend on changes in how industries are captured in the different statistical systems16. Second, all
indicators have some biases: Absolute employment size can be a sign of low productivity. Large regions
benefit in the size measure, but are less likely to have high location quotient. More established clusters
tend to have higher wages, while they generally grow slower due to their already large size. High wages
measure not only superior productivity but are also reflective of the general cost and wage levels in a
region.17 With these different possible ‘biases’ often working in different directions, the four-star clusters
really stand out with strong performance across all dimensions.
15 See “The concept of clusters and cluster policies and their role for competitiveness and innovation”, Communi-
cation from the European Commission of 17 October 2008 available at http://bookshop.europa.eu/is-
bin/INTERSHOP.enfinity/WFS/EU-Bookshop-Site/en_GB/-/EUR/ViewPublication-
Start?PublicationKey=NBNA23591.
16 For example, while the attempt is to only use the data supplied using NACE 2.0 industry codes, sometimes the
older NACE 1.1 classification needs to be used complicating the growth computations. In other cases, the detailed
regional wage data was missing and had to be imputed using a combination of the detailed national data and less
detailed regional data.
17 This is to some degree controlled for using purchasing power adjusted data.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
The recent job dynamics, in Europe as well as in the US and other countries for which comparable data
is available, has seen employment in traded industries to be decreasing as a share of total employment:
Figure 3 above illustrates this by local employment displaying higher growth than traded employment.
In Europe there has been a net increase of 522 000 traded industry jobs since 2008 (most of it in non-
EU countries, Turkey in particular, covered in our data; employment in traded industries has remained
stable within the EU), compared to the net gain of more than 11 million in the rest of the economy.
Productivity and wage dynamics, however, have pointed in the opposite direction. In terms of wages
paid traded industries generate a stable 51% of the European total. Lower relative employment numbers
have been compensated by higher relative wages. Industries that cluster register an average annual
wage of 34 800 Euro in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP; a measure that accounts for differences in local
price levels) per full time employee.20 This is 17% higher than the wage in other industries, called local
or non-traded.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
These higher wages in traded industries are likely to be driven by higher levels of productivity, based on
higher capital or skill intensity as well as potentially the benefits of clusters. The wage gap between
traded and local industries has been slowly rising over time.
Traded industries can be further organised in 51 cluster categories, i.e. groups of industries that exhibit
strong linkages in terms of co-location, skill use, and so-called input-out relationships.21 These cluster
categories differ significantly (see Table 1), such as in the absolute number of jobs they represent: The
three largest cluster categories Distribution and Electronic Commerce, Business Services, and Hospi-
tality and Tourism, account, with between 15.8 million and 11.2 million employees each, i.e. for about
one third of all traded employment Europe-wide and are present essentially everywhere. The smallest,
Tobacco, registers only about 38 000 employees, with only 60 regions across Europe accounting for at
least 100 employees each.
21 Delgado, Porter, Stern (2016), Defining Clusters of Related Industries, Journal of Economic Geography, Vol. 16,
No. 1. Input-Output relationships measure to what degree the products and services generated by one industry
enter into the production processes of another industry.
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Table 1 shows that cluster categories differ significantly in average wage levels – likely reflecting the
differences in capital and skill intensity. Across Europe, Oil and Gas is with more than 63 000 Euro in
PPP the highest wage cluster category. Its wages are about five times higher than the lowest wages
cluster category, which is Apparel.
Table 1 also shows the differences in skill s, by showing the allocation of skills for the four job categories
of managers/professionals, clerks, crafts/operators, and service workers. Management and craft tend to
be the largest groups but still differ widely in terms of their relative importance for specific cluster cate-
gories: cluster categories comprising creative industries (Design, Music, Performing Arts, Video) have
around 70% of all jobs among management/professionals, while the footwear cluster category has only
21%. Footwear also has the highest crafts share at 60% of all jobs, while several of the knowledge-
intensive services have less than 10%. Environmental services had the highest service share at 38% of
their jobs, insurance and financial services the highest clerk share at more than 20%.
Cluster categories differ in the dispersion of activity across locations, measured by the degree that
strong clusters (i.e. the top 20% specialised clusters) dominate overall activity in the cluster category
across Europe. For the majority of the sectoral categories strong clusters account for between 40% and
60% of economic activity. But in some larger categories the share is lower, for example about one third
for Distribution and Electronic Commerce. Conversely, in categories related to natural resources (coal
and metal mining) but also in aerospace vehicles and defence, the share is instead above 80%.
22 While this benefit of being in a strong cluster might seem relatively small, it is obscured by the impact of cross-
cluster locational effects on wages. If clusters in a specific cluster-category, for example food processing, are
predominantly concentrated in less advanced regions, the average in strong clusters in this cluster category will
be lower than in generally higher wage regions with less food processing activity.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
Looking more narrowly at the ten leading clusters by category, one can find that they tend to account
for about 25% of all economic activity, again with significant variation. On average, the next 50 locations
then account for about the same amount of activity as the leading ten.
Table 3 shows that the profile and performance of strong clusters differs across cluster categories. The
size of the average strong cluster in Business Services (91 700 employees) is much larger than those
in smaller categories like Jewellery. On the other hand, the wages in Oil are among the highest of all
cluster categories at close to 70 000, more than five times those in Apparel (even as all the wage num-
bers are corrected for price differences across regions).
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
Wages in a specific regional cluster are driven by cluster effects and by location effects. The stronger
the cluster and the better the location-specific business environment, the higher the cluster’s productivity
and wages. In some cluster categories, strong clusters tend to be in locations with weak business envi-
ronments; the negative location effect then results in a relatively low wage in strong clusters. Accounting
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
for this effect, however, wages in strong clusters are higher.24 When it comes to growth, strong clusters
outperform weaker ones in about half the industries. In some clusters (e.g. Automotive) the difference
in growth is substantial. Here, the cluster effects are strong enough to compensate for the usual con-
vergence, i.e. the normally faster growth in locations with lower current levels of economic activity,
across locations that economic theory predicts.25
Clusters are constantly evolving: Market conditions and demand are changing, technologies and busi-
ness models are changing, and the local cluster and its business environment is changing too. At the
same time, there are forces that will drive path-dependency, which means that clusters with strong per-
formance yesterday have capabilities that make it more likely that they will also be strong today. The
analysis of the new dataset, which includes comparable time-series data over the 2008-2014 period,
allows to track these two forces. To do so, all regions have been categorised into three different groups
depending on whether they display weak, medium, and strong cluster strength overall. The share of
regions was then calculated that either stayed within the same cluster strength category or changed its
position into a different strength category.
Strong: following the definition of strong clusters used above, i.e. top-20% specialised (i.e. location quotient, LQ in
short); Medium: capturing clusters above the median LQ, but not in top 20%; Weak: the clusters below the median
LQ.
The data in table 4 reveals that there is indeed significant evidence of both churn and path dependency.
Between 78% (medium) and 92% (weak) of all clusters by category remain in the same group over this
six-year period, which covers the crisis and its aftermath. About 20% of all clusters did change the group
they were in. Among strong clusters there was more stability: 89% of the clusters strong in 2014 were
already strong in 2008. This data is consistent with a view that locations with little existing assets find
developing cluster strength very hard, while among those that have some assets and those that already
have strong clusters there is significant mobility in terms of changing market success.
24 A more appropriate comparison is thus to look at the wage in strong clusters taking regional and sectoral effect
into account. Controlling for these effects yields the effect of strong cluster equal to approximately a 3% increase
in average wage. However, this coefficient is driven down by non-EU countries (where our data is also weaker)
and the effect of a strong cluster within EU is close to 8%.
25 Delgado, Porter, Stern (2014), Clusters, Convergence, and Economic Performance, Research Policy, Vol. 43,
Issue 10, pp. 1785 – 1799.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
Region Region Largest Total 1‐star 2‐star 3‐star 4‐star Empl. Top 3 Clusters by LQ
Name City Stars clus‐ clus‐ clus‐ clus‐ Share of
ters ters ters ters Strong
Clusters
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
3.4 Entrepreneurship
For the 2016 Cluster Panorama firm-level data was used to identify so-called ‘gazelles’, i.e. firms that
have grown quickly over an extended period of time.26 Gazelles are defined here as companies less
than 5 years old that have grown their employment at least 10% annually over a period of three years.
This definition is more inclusive than the common 20% growth requirement used for gazelles, enabling
us to capture a larger share of the dynamics of new business formation. At the same time, the focus is
placed on traded industries and thus those parts of the economy where companies are not constrained
in their growth potential by the size of their local market.27
While about half of all gazelles are in local industries, by their nature this activity is more likely to reflect
churn and the displacement of less productive existing firms than net addition of economic activity.
Due to the novelty of this data source and differences in coverage across countries, the results have to
be interpreted with caution. In particular, it seems likely that country-specific rules and regulations, for
example on taxation, have an important influence on the presence of new business formation that is not
directly linked to the overall dynamism of the economy.
There are more than 67 700 gazelles in traded industries in Europe employing 1.9 million workers or
1.6% of all employees. Of these, 25 000 or 38% of gazelles are located in strong clusters. These new
firms are also substantially larger in strong clusters: their share of overall gazelle employment is 46%
and they employ 35 employees on average compared to 24 outside of strong clusters.
Many of the new enterprises are located in Southern and Eastern European regions, particularly in
countries like Spain and Italy that have historically a very high share of small, family-owned enterprises.
26 Similar analysis has recently been presented for regions and broad sectors; see http://ec.europa.eu/euro-
stat/documents/2995521/7706167/4-26102016-AP-EN.pdf. The Cluster Panorama puts this data into the con-
text of regional clusters, and focuses more specifically on fast growing firms that have been newly established.
27 Guzman/Stern (2015), Nowcasting and Placecasting Entrepreneurial Quality and Performance, NBER Working
Paper No. 20954, MBER: Cambridge, MA, find being part of a traded industry to be a core driver of future growth
opportunities for new businesses.
European Cluster Panorama 2016
In some of these regions, the gazelles constitute more than 3% of the overall employment. Since the
thresholds are relatively low, it is not clear whether many of these new businesses have ambitions to
grow beyond a few employees.
3.5 Reindustrialisation
Manufacturing has in the post-crisis period attracted renewed interest from policy makers, both in Eu-
rope and North America. Manufacturing is seen as important for building capabilities over time, helping
regions to create more competitive and resilient economies. Cases of ‘reshoring’ of industrial activity
from Asia offered hope that manufacturing could be a driver of growth in the post-crisis period. The
European Commission’s 2014 Communication 'For a European Industrial Renaissance’ stresses in this
context the need for Europe to focus on the post-crisis modernisation of its economic structure, espe-
cially in industry.28
This message was strengthened with the 2016 Communication on “Digitising European Industry”.29 The
data set compiled for the Panorama tracks the dynamics of economic activity in manufacturing between
2008 and 2014 by following the traditional narrowly defined sectors for manufacturing activity.30 The vast
majority of manufacturing is included in traded industries, and thus captured in our cluster analysis. Most
clusters are fully manufacturing or services driven. This is partly the result of a lack of granularity in the
available data. There are a few, however, that mix both types of industries: Communications Equip. &
Services, Electric Power Gen. & Transmission, as well as most natural resource driven ones (Mining,
Forestry).
Overall, manufacturing accounted for 37.4% of traded industries employment in 2014, down from 39.9%
in 2008 (see figure 5). In absolute terms manufacturing employment has decreased from 46.7 million to
44 million in the same period. Despite decreasing employment shares, the share of gross value added
(GVA) in manufacturing has remained stable at about 33%, and the share of total wages declined from
35% to 34%. There are strong indications of rising productivity in the sector: wages grew 4% from 33
600 to 35 000, and value added per employee grew from 63 400 to 67 900 (a 7% increase).
These trends have been very similar when looking only at strong clusters in manufacturing and in the
economy overall. Manufacturing activity tends to be somewhat more concentrated in strong clusters
than other traded industries but experienced a similar decrease from 42.6% to 40.5% as a share of all
strong cluster employment.
This data is consistent with the view that (advanced) manufacturing is achieving a rate of productivity
growth that is outpacing demand growth for manufacturing goods. Production requires a decreasing
number of employees that are more and more productive, and thus able to secure a growing wage
premium versus the average worker. Clusters in manufacturing are affected by these broader trends but
not differently from manufacturing activities in other locations. The changes in productivity seem to be
fairly broad-based across all locations.
28 European Commission (2014), For a European Industrial Renaissance, COM (2014) 14 final.
29 Digitising European Industry - Reaping the full benefits of a Digital Single Market (COM(2016) 180 final), available
at https://ec.europa.eu/digital-single-market/en/digitising-european-industry.
30 Traded industries part of section C in the NACE 2.0 classification of economic activities are used as the definition
of manufacturing.
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European Cluster Panorama 2016
One much discussed aspect is the distribution of manufacturing activity within Europe. With the acces-
sion of Eastern European countries in 2004 there was a significant relocation of labour-intensive manu-
facturing activity to the East; this was a core driver of their robust catch-up. Our data indicates that this
process of west-east relocation of manufacturing activity has largely been completed. While the overall
level of manufacturing employment remains larger in Eastern Europe,31 much in line with their factor
endowments, the decrease in the share of manufacturing in traded industry employment has been sim-
ilar to the EU overall, dropping from 51.6% to 48.3% between 2008 and 2014.
A look at individual regions within EU confirms these broader trends as the level of cross-region variation
is relatively modest. When regions are ranked by their manufacturing employment share in 2008, the
top 59 regions have all seen this share decreased. Only 9 regions have increased their manufacturing
share by more than one percentage point, while many regions have lost more than 10 percentage points.
Very few regions have grown their manufacturing employment share.
31 Defined as the EU members that joined the EU in 2004 and after, excluding Cyprus and Malta.
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The ten emerging industries (see them listed in table 7) identified in the 2014 edition of the European
Cluster Panorama continue to play an important role in European economic development. The 492 000
companies comprising the sector employ 54 million employees, or 46% of the overall traded industry
employment.32 The average wage at 37 900 Euro (PPP) is 9% larger than traded industries overall and
all but two emerging industries have a higher average wage than traded industries overall.
While the cross-sectoral, emerging industries categories are more similar in size and performance than
the sectoral cluster categories due to being broader and partially overlapping, they do exhibit substantial
heterogeneity in skill compositions. Creative and Digital industries rely on managerial and professional
talent nearly twice as much as traded industries in general. At the same time, Logistical Services and
Mobility Technologies employ much more manual craft labour, while Experience Industries focus on
service workers.
Compared to 2014, figure 6 shows relative wage levels remaining similar while there have unsurprisingly
been more significant changes in terms of employment growth.33 Employment dynamics have improved
in traded sectors as the European economy is emerging from the crisis, and the same is true for most
emerging industries. Overall the ten emerging industries continue to outperform the average of all traded
industries on at least wage level or employment growth. But over the last two years one of them, Logis-
tical Services, has dropped below this benchmark. While the industries captured in this category had
32 Note that since the emerging industry definitions are overlapping, the overall employment across all emerging
industries is lower than the simple sum of employment in each industry separately.
33 Comparisons over time are made within the new data set. The figures cannot be directly compared to the data
reported in the 2014 Cluster Panorama, even though the patterns are generally similar.
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registered below average traded industry wages before, they also had less dynamic employment growth
over the last two years.
Experience industries, a category dominated by tourism including also some business services, per-
forming arts, and other industries, is now the emerging industry with the highest employment growth.
Medical Devices, a category that includes around a small medical device core large segments of infor-
mation technology, production technology and other industries, saw employment growth drop to the
lowest level among all emerging industries, falling further behind also the traded industries average.
Taking the same strength measure as for cluster categories in the previous section, table 8 profiles the
performance in strong emerging industry clusters.34 Strong emerging industry clusters account for about
51% of employment and 53% of wages paid across all emerging industries. In all categories apart from
Blue Growth and Logistical services strong clusters report faster growth than weaker ones, highlighting
the possible presence of positive feedback loops. In 8 out of 10 emerging industries the average strong
cluster has positive growth, compared to 6 out of 10 among weaker locations. Wages tend to be higher
in locations in which the respective emerging industry is strong, but again in some cases these locations
are predominantly in less-advanced lower wage regions, dragging down the average; this is just like for
the traditional clusters as discussed earlier in this report.
34 Emerging industries are broader conceptual categories than the cluster categories defined in the previous section,
and there is no evidence that cluster dynamics extend to the full breadth of cross-sectoral industries they com-
prise. The term cluster is here used to characterise the presence of critical mass in the set of more weakly related
industries captured by emerging industries.
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When it comes to entrepreneurship, emerging industries register 15 100 gazelles in strong clusters (48%
of all gazelles in emerging industries) with employment of 415 000 (51%). This corresponds roughly to
the geographic footprint of the existing activities in these industries. Among the emerging industries
there is a clear pattern that service-dominated sectors, like Creative Industries and Logistical Services,
have relatively more high-growth companies and they constitute a larger share of employment. This is
driven partially by the recent shift towards services, but also by the generally lower capital requirements
and other barriers to entry.
The geographic distribution of gazelles thus follows roughly the same patterns as the geographic foot-
print of existing activity in the respective emerging industry: it is the same 20% of clusters that account
for twice as much current economic activity and entrepreneurship as the average of all locations.
The share of gazelles in strong clusters varies from nearly one half in Logistics and Creative Industries
to one quarter in Environmental Services. These variations likely reflect industry-specific differences in
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barriers to entry but potentially also location-specific conditions relevant for entrepreneurship in the type
of locations an emerging industry is predominantly found.
While the present analysis is generally focused on individual emerging industries, it also identified re-
gions with cluster strengths across all emerging industries. Similar to the hotspots analysis of regional
sectoral cluster portfolios, the total number of stars registered across the four cluster performance di-
mensions for the ten cross-sectoral, emerging industries was also identified for each region.
Table 10 shows strong differences in size and economic performance across groups of regions by their
overall number of stars for emerging industries. Regions with more stars are not only significantly larger
(this gives them a better chance to capture stars for absolute size) but register also much higher wages,
value added, and patenting intensity.
Table 10: Regional competitiveness outcomes and emerging industry cluster portfolio strength
Cluster star rating range
Average
0‐4 5‐9 10‐14 15‐19 20+
As in the 2014 edition of the Panorama, most of the top regions come from Southern Germany with
Stuttgart as the leader in 2016 compared to Darmstadt two years ago. Due to the substantial changes
in the underlying datasets it is hard to compare the relative performance of the regions directly, but the
stability of the top-10 is a sign of the robustness of the main results.
Many of these hotspots are concentrated in large urban areas and traditional manufacturing regions.
This is due to the nature of emerging industries that combine strong service-oriented industries like
Creative and ICT and the industries that build upon the accumulated manufacturing knowledge. The
former are much more likely to be strong in urban centres, and in fact most of the capitals and large
cities in Europe score high on the number of stars. While the latter prosper in historically strong techno-
logical areas stretching from Cologne to Milan, as well as some Eastern European regions.
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Table 11 profiles the European regions with 15 or more stars for emerging industries. These 39 regions
have more than 51% of traded industry employment in emerging industries, compared to 43% in re-
maining 288 regions. The corresponding shares for wages paid are 57% and 45% respectively. These
regions are overall considerably richer and more productive having 37% larger average value added
per employee suggesting the possible impact of favourable business environment.
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The strongest regions exhibit very different patterns of strength. Some, like Oslo, Antwerpen, and Swiss
regions, have high wages in every emerging industry and score high on productivity. Regions in Eastern
Europe, particularly Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania, score high on dynamism due to high entrepre-
neurship indicators. Many regions have reached large sizes in all of the sectors, but it is by definition
hard to specialise in many areas. This makes Lombardia’s eight emerging industries with high speciali-
sation a particularly strong achievement. Top regions usually combine two or three strong dimensions,
but are weaker in the remaining ones. The most balanced regions among the top 25 are Stockholm and
Dublin which score at least three stars along each dimension.
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The core of the Advanced Packaging industry is the Paper and Packaging cluster, complemented with
packaging-related industries from Plastics, Automotive, Metalworking and other clusters that are often
significantly larger in overall employment. Packaging of goods occurs throughout industry value chains,
from early steps in manufacturing, any distribution actions (transport packaging) until the end product
having arrived at the final user (the consumer package).
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36 We sort locations here and in all following sections by the number of stars, followed by LQ.
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4.2.2 Biopharmaceuticals
Basic Facts Level in 2014 Change since 2012 Share of traded Share of overall
clusters economy
The Biopharmaceutical emerging industry is an expansion of the cluster category with the same name
with industries added from upstream (chemical), downstream (wholesale and packaging), as well as the
core activities (research and development). The Biopharmaceuticals industry is producing medical drugs
by biotechnology methods (involving live organisms or bioprocessing). A basic distinction is made be-
tween biopharmaceuticals, manufactured by biotechnology methods and involving complex biological
molecules, and drugs, manufactured by chemical (non-biological) means and involving small molecules
and other chemical substances. 37 The two largest parts of the Biopharmaceuticals category are re-
search and development and manufacture of pharmaceuticals, which together constitute about one half
of the overall wages paid in the industry. This reflects on the strong scientific basis of the sector. The
other half consists of roughly equally upstream activities, such as chemical inputs needed for the man-
ufacturing of pharmaceuticals, and downstream activities like packaging and wholesale.
37 There is no consensus on the use of biopharmaceutical or related terms in the scientific community. Those con-
cerned with biopharmaceuticals are divided among a large number of scientific and industrial disciplines and
professional associations. None have taken a visible position concerning terminology.
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“Blue Growth” is here defined as the development and use of the potential of oceans, seas, and related
infrastructures as well as of any inland fresh-water sources and their exploitation. The “Blue Growth
Industries” therefore include all sectors and industries related to a maritime environment as well as
sectors producing, making use of, and treating fresh-water sources.
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The European Commission’s 2010 Green Paper defines creative industries as “industries which use
culture as an input and have a cultural dimension, although their outputs are mainly functional. They
include architecture and design, which integrate creative elements into wider processes, as well as sub-
sectors such as graphic design, fashion design or advertising.”38 For this report any further activities
driven by intellectual inputs and which are delivering intellectual outputs only (not being complemented
with delivery of any hardware or product), are also be considered as part of this industry. Such activities
include market research, opinion polling, translation, business and management consulting.
38 European Commission (2010) Green paper – Unlocking the potential of cultural and creative industries, Commu-
nication COM (2010) 183.
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Digital industries cover some of the core sectors in the information age. They combine services related
to information technologies with the hardware they use. As an increasingly cross-cutting generic tech-
nology, IT has become an element of most parts of economic activity. Digital Industries capture the
sectors that are at the heart of these trends.
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Environmental Industries are the most crosscutting of the ten selected industries, containing parts of 20
of the 51 cluster categories overall. The area of the ‘green economy’ is defined as encompassing all
economic activities that lead to reducing environmental pressures of human activity. The latter is ex-
pected to result from the more efficient use of natural resources and from reducing harmful emissions
across the lifecycle. Green economy includes a range of products, services, technologies and processes
serving many different economic sectors.
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Experience Industries combine creation and consumption of cultural products and services. According
to earlier analysis of the European Cluster Observatory, “Experience Industries comprise companies
whose activities supply innovative products and services to provide customers with 'experiences' that
stimulate emotions and senses, move, entertain and surprise, thrill, enthuse and involve”. In its separate
2011 priority sector report, experience Industries are defined “as the combination of six sub-sectors:
Accommodation and tours, Food and drink, Gambling, Museums and parks, Sports and leisure, and
Arts”.
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Logistical Services is an industry based on Transportation and Logistics cluster with addition of several
supporting industries. Logistics is the management of the flow of goods or people and the actual process
of transport between a starting point and a specific destination land-, air-based or space-based. Fur-
thermore all auxiliary services making available the smooth operation of the transport and the provision
of carriers or vehicles can be considered as part of the “Logistical Services Industry”. On one hand, this
includes the logistics operation provision (terrestrial or via satellite), on the other hand, the development
and provision of IT-systems for the logistics planning, organisation, and management.
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Re‐
Region Name Largest City Top 3 Occupations
gion
UKI7 Outer London ‐ West London 83 Drivers and Mobile Plant Operators
and North West 93 Labourers in Mining, Construction, Manufacturing and
Transport
51 Personal Services Workers
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The Medical Devices emerging industry extends the cluster category of the same name to include pre-
cision instruments, machinery, and supporting services. The Medical Device industry is an industrial
sector, manufacturing products which are generally based on biomedical engineering, and which are
developed through mechanical, electrical and/or materials engineering, leading to products that perma-
nently or temporarily replace or support a function of the body.
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Mobility Technologies stem from the Automotive cluster as a core and expands it with related technolo-
gies from the Production Technology and Aerospace cluster as well as few related upstream activities
like Metalworking and Plastics. Mobility technologies are developed with the purpose of moving people
and goods and hence for the manufacturing of transport vehicles, construction of transport infrastruc-
tures and the operation of transport services. Topics dealt with by technological innovation in the field
of mobility include road vehicle engineering, internal combustion engines, batteries and motors, electric
and hybrid power-trains, urban and high speed rail transportation, aircraft types and aerodynamics, ra-
dar, navigation, GPS, GIS, etc. (MIT, 2011).
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Re‐
Region Name Largest City Top 3 Occupations
gion
DE11 Stuttgart Stuttgart 72 Metal, Machinery and Related Trades Workers
31 Science and Engineering Associate Professionals
43 Numerical and Material Recording Clerks
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Methodological Appendix
The 2016 European Cluster Panorama is based on a brand-new dataset, derived from firm-level figures.
The data is sourced mostly from Bureau van Dijk’s Orbis Historical database, though it was compli-
mented by a few secondary sources.
The key firm- and plant-level variables of relevance for our analysis are: location, industry, legal form,
ownership and activity history, as well as periodic financial reports. Industry and legal form were availa-
ble nearly universally, while the region for each firm could be computed from the postal code or city
information. While detailed activity history has not always been available, the registration date was very
common and it was assumed that the firm was active from registration date up to its dissolution (or until
current time if no dissolution events were present).
Financial information contains data on turnover, material expenses, fixed assets, labour expenses, and
number of employees. The coverage varies country to country, though turnover and employees have
very high availability, while material expenses have the worst coverage. All of the numbers were deflated
with industry-specific output deflators (turnover), industry-specific input deflators (materials, constructed
from output deflators and input-output shares), and consumer prices (wages and assets). All of the
values have also been adjusted for inflation and converted to 2010 Euro. All of the data for these ad-
justments came from Eurostat.
We then used the Business Demography statistics from Eurostat to obtain the number of firms by legal
form and added synthetic firms where no full coverage was available (this was predominantly done for
sole traders in countries where we had no coverage of them). A statistical model was then used to
impute all of the missing values and convert firm financials to annualised values even where the ac-
counts were not perfectly aligned with calendar years. Finally, the resulting figures were calibrated
against the regional economic accounts statistics from Eurostat to ensure that the numbers are compat-
ible with official statistics and corrected for cross-country differences in definitions and coverage.
The data on gazelles was compiled from the same data source and relied on the ownership links be-
tween firms. This was crucial to differentiate between genuinely new firms and new subsidiaries of the
existing ones. A firm was considered as new if the firm itself, as well as its domestic ultimate owner are
both less than 5 years old. All sole traders and non-profits, all foreign-owned firms, all firms where the
ultimate owner is the government, as well as several specific firms identified by inspection were elimi-
nated from the results. This data was then merged with the dataset obtained in the previous step to
arrive at the final numbers. Note that none of the synthetic firms were counted among gazelles (it had
to be an actual record from the register), which has relatively small impact outside Turkey (since it was
the only country with substantial numbers of synthetic firms that were not sole traders).
Finally, the data on occupations were sources from Eurostat’s Labour Force Survey (LFS) data that
covered the intersection of 3-digit industries and 2-digit occupations per year and region. Due the nature
of LFS as a sample survey and the large number of industry-occupation pairs that were zero, some of
the missing values were imputed, though they should be inconsequential. The share in each occupation
from LFS was then combined with our main data on employment to arrive at the estimates of the number
of employees in each skill class.
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For further information, please consult the European Cluster Observatory Website:
http://ec.europa.eu/growth/smes/cluster/observatory/
This work has been carried out under a service contract for the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Internal
Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs. It is financed under the Competitiveness and Innovation Framework
programme (CIP) which aims to encourage the competitiveness of European enterprises. The views expressed in this
document and the information included in it do not necessarily reflect the opinion or position of the European Commis-
sion.
Internal Market,
Industry, Entre-
preneurship and
SMEs