Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • 73 views

    Crystal Ball Report

    Uploaded by

    kaungwaiphyo89
    The Crystal Ball simulation analyzed the highest amount forecast over 2,000 trials. It found a base case of $949,200 with a mean of $957,334.13. The certainty level was 60.28% between $857,398.85 and infinity. Three assumptions were input as normal distributions defined by their mean and standard deviation.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Crystal Ball Report

    Uploaded by

    kaungwaiphyo89
    73 views3 pages
    The Crystal Ball simulation analyzed the highest amount forecast over 2,000 trials. It found a base case of $949,200 with a mean of $957,334.13. The certainty level was 60.28% between $857,398.85 and infinity. Three assumptions were input as normal distributions defined by their mean and standard deviation.

    Original Title

    Crystal Ball Report.docx

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    The Crystal Ball simulation analyzed the highest amount forecast over 2,000 trials. It found a base case of $949,200 with a mean of $957,334.13. The certainty level was 60.28% between $857,398.85 and infinity. Three assumptions were input as normal distributions defined by their mean and standard deviation.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    73 views3 pages

    Crystal Ball Report

    Uploaded by

    kaungwaiphyo89
    The Crystal Ball simulation analyzed the highest amount forecast over 2,000 trials. It found a base case of $949,200 with a mean of $957,334.13. The certainty level was 60.28% between $857,398.85 and infinity. Three assumptions were input as normal distributions defined by their mean and standard deviation.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 3

    Crystal Ball Report - Full

    Simulation started on 10/27/2017 at 10:54 PM


    Simulation stopped on 10/27/2017 at 10:54 PM

    Run preferences:
    Number of trials run 2,000
    Extreme speed
    Monte Carlo
    Random seed
    Precision control on
    Confidence level 95.00%

    Run statistics:
    Total running time (sec) 0.25
    Trials/second (average) 7,874
    Random numbers per sec 23,621

    Crystal Ball data:


    Assumptions 3
    Correlations 0
    Correlation matrices 0
    Decision variables 0
    Forecasts 1

    Forecasts

    Cell
    Forecast: Highest Amt : I12

    Summary:
    Certainty level is 60.28%
    Certainty range is from 949,200.00 to ∞
    Entire range is from 857,398.85 to 1,066,731.48
    Base case is 949,200.00
    After 2,000 trials, the std. error of the mean is 721.32
    Cell
    Forecast: Highest Amt (cont'd) : I12

    Statistics: Forecast values


    Trials 2,000
    Base Case 949,200.00
    Mean 957,334.13
    Median 957,444.40
    Mode ---
    Standard Deviation 32,258.29
    1,040,597,477.3
    Variance 9
    Skewness -0.0555
    Kurtosis 2.88
    Coeff. of Variation 0.0337
    Minimum 857,398.85
    Maximum 1,066,731.48
    Range Width 209,332.63
    Mean Std. Error 721.32

    Percentiles: Forecast values


    0% 857,398.85
    10% 916,200.59
    20% 929,358.13
    30% 940,658.54
    40% 949,773.25
    50% 957,414.28
    60% 965,137.80
    70% 974,658.43
    80% 984,813.26
    90% 1,000,148.49
    100% 1,066,731.48

    End of Forecasts

    Assumptions

    Cell
    Assumption: G8 : G8

    Normal distribution with parameters:


    Mean 20.00 (=J22)
    Std. Dev. 101.18 (=J23)
    Cell
    : G9
    Assumption: G9

    Normal distribution with parameters:


    Mean 19.00 (=K22)
    Std. Dev. 244.00 (=K23)

    Cell
    Assumption: Price Change One Month Later : G7

    Normal distribution with parameters:


    Mean 28.00 (=I22)
    Std. Dev. 187.00 (=I23)

    End of Assumptions

    You might also like