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Juvenel D. Madane 2 Types of Generalization

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JUVENEL D.

MADANE 2 Types of Generalization


2 n d year, BSED in Social Studies
Subject Course: Soc. Stud. 22 1. Statistical Generalization
Scientific Reasoning and Critical
The measure is highly reliable within
Thinking a well-defined margin of error provided
the sample is large and random. It is
readily quantifiable.
Topic: INDUCTIVE ARGUMENT
Example:
Arguments based on experience or Of a sizeable random sample of
observations are best expressed voters surveyed 66% supports Mayor Z.
inductively. Therefore, approximately 66% of voters
support Mayor Z.
An inductive argument gives
probable support to its conclusion. 2. Inductive Generalization

Inductive Arguments are not truth This inference is less reliable than
preserving. An inductive argument the statistical generalization, firstly,
cannot prove if the premises are true , because the sample events are non -
then the conclusion will also be true. It random, and because it is not reducible
is intended to prove only probable to mathematical expression.
support to the conclusion.
Example:
Inductive Strength and Weakness So far, this year his son's little
League team has won 6 of ten games.
An inductive argument that succeeds in By season’s end, they will have
providing such probable support is said won about 60% of the games.
to be strong. A strong argument with
true premises is said to be cogent . Statistically speaking, there is simply
no way to know measure and calculate
Example: as to the circumstances affecting
Most Chinese people have dark hair. performance that will obtain in the
Julie is Chinese. future.
Therefore, Julie has dark hair.
2. Argument by Analogy
An inductive argument that fails to
provide such support is said to be It is a special type of inductive
weak. argument, whereby perceived
similarities are used as a basis to infer
Example: some further similarity that has yet to
Most Chinese people have dark hair. be observed.
Julie has dark hair.
Therefore, Julie is Chinese. Analogical reasoning is one of the
Both of these may well be true, but the most common methods by which human
premise provides no evidence for the beings attempt to understand the world
conclusion. It is weak. and make decisions.

Example:
TYPES OF INDUCTIVE ARGUMENT I have driven several Ford
vehicles and didn’t like any of them.
1. Generalization For my next vehicle, I’m not going to
shop at Ford dealerships because I
It takes a sample of a population won’t like anything they have.
and makes a conclusion regarding the
entire population. Note: One thing about arguments by
analogy is that conclusions drawn from
Example: them are not logically necessary.
The coin I pulled from the bag is
a penny. A false analogy results when
The second coin is a penny. they two things being compared are not
A third coin from the bag is a that similar or have some fundamental
penny. differences.
Therefore, all the coins in the bag
are pennies. Example:
Watch is highly complex and has a
designer
A living thing is highly complex
Therefore, a living thing has a Argument_from_analogy#cite_note-Baronett-
designer 1

In this, there is a false analogy. Alina Bradford (2017), “Deductive Reasoning


Because watches and living things are vs. Inductive Reasoning” Retrieved from
so very different, a comparison between https://www.livescience.com/21569-
the two cannot be valid. deduction-vs-induction.html

3. Casual Arguments David Hume, "Chapter Eight- Causal


A causal argument is an argument Reasoning" Retrieved from
which has a causal statement as a conclusion. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org
/e6fc/8e5debaf6788ed2fd0bb187ee8a2fecc05
Example1: a1.pdf
A government should give more
money to the education sector because,
in the long run, they will train skilled
workforce for society.

Example2:
There is a high correlation
between smoking and lung cancer.
Smoking must cause lung cancer.

Note: The main task of a causal argument is


to establish a causal hypothesis by
distinguishing causally related events from
mere correlations.

Correlation and Cause


When two events (call them x and y) are
significantly correlated, that does not
necessarily mean that they are causally
related. The correlation could be spurious and
coincidental. Even if the correlation is not
coincidental, it is possible that x causes y or y
causes x or that z causes both x and y.

Example:
We may find a significant correlation
between the rise in sex education classes
and the rise in teenage pregnancy. The
classes may be stimulating the teens to
experiment sexually, leading to the increase
in teen pregnancies. Or, the classes may have
been instituted in response to the rise in teen
pregnancy. Or, it may just be a coincidence.

The moral is simple: Correlation does not


prove causality.

REFERENCES

Abir Chaaban (2011), “Inductive and


Deductive Reasoning” Retrieved from
https://www.slideshare.net/AbirChaaban/indu
ctive-and-deductive-reasoning

Smilodon Retreat (2013), “Argument by


Analogy”. Retrieved from
https://www.skepticink.com/
smilodonsretreat/2013/01/29/argument-by-
analogy/

Baronett, Stan (2008). Logic. Upper Saddle


River, NJ: Pearson Prentice Hall. pp. 321–
325. ISBN 9780131933125. Retrieved from
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/

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