MunichRe IR Handout Q2-2019 en
MunichRe IR Handout Q2-2019 en
MunichRe IR Handout Q2-2019 en
as at 30 June 2019
7 August 2019
Image: AdobeStock/LuckyStep
Agenda
Overview 3
1 9
Munich Re (Group)
2
3 ERGO 14
4 Reinsurance 20
5
Backup 26
Sound reserving position and low level ESP well on track – pleasing Unchanged guidance given the usual
of major losses in P-C profitability across all segments uncertainty concerning developments
in major losses in H2
REINSURANCE ERGO
Focus on profitable organic growth Announced merger HDFC ERGO /
INCREASE (US, cyber, niche business) Apollo Munich in India
EARNINGS Cost savings reinvested into new ~€200m or ~71% of 2020 target cost
business models reduction already achieved
A good number of newly developed SAP platform for B2B2C mobility business
DIGITAL business models and platforms already launched
TRANSFORMATION productive and ready to scale up Proof points for robotics achieved, already
able to process ~350k transactions p.a.
The Group is building the basis to become faster, leaner and increase earnings
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 4
Increasing confidence level to deliver on next year’s targets
as a basis for our mid-term strategy
Leaner, faster,
We take care of our long-term
higher profits TSR development and seek top 3
position in our peer group
Peer 3 23.4%
Sustainability criteria – TSR
Embedded in our value creation vs. peers1
Peer 4 21.9%
Peer 5 19.6%
$
€
Capital management – Peer 6 17.8%
Efficiency with high pay-outs
Peer 7 3.6%
1 Source: Datastream. Period from 1.1.2018 to 31.7.2019. Peers: Allianz, Axa, Generali, Hannover Re, Scor, Swiss Re, Zurich. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 6
Systematically integrating sustainability criteria
when creating value
1 United Nations Environment Programme – Finance Initiative on Principles for Sustainable Insurance. 2 Task force on climate-related financial disclosures. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 7
Outlook 2019
GROUP
Gross premiums written Net result1 Return on investment
~€49bn ~€2.5bn ~ 3%
1 Tax rate 25% or slightly below. 2 Expectation of reserve releases (basic losses) in 2019 of at least 4%-pts. 3 Substantial risk of falling short of this guidance in 2019. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 8
Munich Re (Group)
Return on investment1
Q2 Q2 H1 H1 Q2 Q2 H1 H1 Q2 Q2 H1 H1
3.1% (3.0%) 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019 2018 2019
Solid return supports full-year
guidance – Reinvestment yield
slightly up to 2.2%
Reinsurance ERGO
Life and Health: Technical result incl. fee income: €64m L&H Germany: Strong investment result and
(€169m) – ongoing negative trend in Australia higher shareholder profit participation
Shareholders' equity Property-casualty: Combined ratio (C/R): 87.7% (92.8%) –
Property-casualty Germany:
Major-loss ratio: 4.1% (6.9%); Reserve releases for prior-
€29.5bn (+11.5% vs. 31.12.) C/R: 86.2% (91.9%) – Benign claims
year basic losses: 7.3% (5.7%)
Return on equity1: 13.6% (11.5%) July renewals: Risk-adjusted price change: ~ +0.5%, International:
Solvency II ratio: ~245% premium change: +8.9% C/R: 95.0% (95.2%); disposal loss (Turkey)
1 Strategic debt (senior, subordinated and other debt) divided by total capital (strategic debt + equity).
2 Other debt includes Munich Re bank borrowings and other strategic debt.
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 11
Munich Re (Group) – Investments
Investment portfolio
ERGO 9.2 (8.8) 10.1 (9.2) 124 (112) 141 (120) –16
Munich Re (Group) 8.1 (7.5) 9.1 (8.2) 165 (146) 176 (150) –10
1 Market values as at 30.6.2019 (31.12.2018). 2 Deposits retained on assumed reinsurance, deposits with banks, investment funds (excl. equities), derivatives and investments in renewable
energies and gold. 3 Net of hedges: 5.5% (5.2%). 4 Market value change due to a parallel downward shift in yield curve by one basis point, considering the portfolio size of assets and
liabilities (pre-tax). Negative net DV01 means rising interest rates are beneficial.
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 12
Munich Re (Group) – Investments
Investment result
Q2 2019 2.2% Fixed income –9 313 174 Fixed income –17 682 189
Equities –94 60 –225 Equities –162 248 –545
Q1 2019 2.1%
Commodities/Inflation 33 0 –27 Commodities/Inflation 38 0 21
Q4 2018 2.1% Other –29 64 –19 Other –40 108 7
1 Annualised return on quarterly weighted investments (market values) in %. Impact from dividends in regular income: 0.6%-points in Q2 2019 and 0.4%-points in H1 2019
2 Result from derivatives without regular income and other income/expenses.
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 13
ERGO
90.3
86.2 Personal accident Liability
309 (314) 382 (359)
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 17
ERGO
ERGO International
ERGO International
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Health
2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 731 (707)
Positive FX effects mainly driven by US$ Technical result, incl. fee income of €169m Investment result
Organic growth in Asia and Europe Q2 negatively impacted by Disposal gains due to shortening of
Australia: Negative claims experience in asset duration in Canada exceeding
disability business and DAC write-off reduction in the technical result
related to “protect your super” legislation Q2: Return on investment: 4.9%
Canada: Shortening of asset duration
Overall, claims experience in line with Other
expectations in all major markets except for H1: FX result of €42m vs €5m, thereof
Australia €22m in Q2
Reinsurance Property-casualty
Reinsurance Property-casualty –
Combined ratio
%
160.9 Basic losses Major losses Expenses
1 Basic losses prior years, already adjusted for directly corresponding sliding-scale and profit-commission effects. 2 Based on reserve releases of 4%-pts. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 23
Reinsurance – July renewals 2019
July renewals –
Overview
January 9
April 24
July 17
Business up for July renewal Business up for April renewal
16 8 Total 13
1 Gross premiums written. Management view – not fully comparable with IFRS figures. 2 Total refers to total P-C book, incl. remaining business. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 24
Reinsurance – July renewals 2019
1 Price movement is risk-adjusted, i.e. includes claims inflation/loss trend and is adjusted for portfolio mix effects, including cancelled and new business. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 25
Backup
Premium development
Foreign
exchange
518
Organic
change
497
Reinsurance ERGO
H1 2019 25,175 Life and Health International
5,636 (22%) ( 8.9%) 2,519 (10%) ( –3.8%)
Other non-operating result (€m) H1 2019 Q2 2019 Tax rates (%) H1 2019 Q2 2019
Goodwill impairments –1 0 Group 22.3 25.7
Restructuring expenses –47 –43 Reinsurance 22.5 26.9
Other –278 –162 ERGO 20.7 17.5
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 28
Backup: Munich Re (Group)
1 Simple average of estimates the Munich Re Investor Relations team has gathered from analysts covering Munich Re, not taking into account any external data providers. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 29
Backup: Reinsurance
55.3 51.1 55.1 54.4 54.1 55.6 53.2 55.7 55.3 50.4 54.8 50.1
Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019
Reinsurance Life and Health (€m) Q2 2019 Return1 H1 2019 Return1 H1 2018 Return1
Regular income 199 2.8% 385 2.8% 376 2.9%
Write-ups/write-downs 1 0.0% 0 0.0% –26 –0.2%
Disposal gains/losses 152 2.2% 219 1.6% 198 1.5%
Derivatives2 –3 0.0% –8 –0.1% –8 –0.1%
Other income/expenses –8 –0.1% –16 –0.1% –30 –0.2%
Investment result 340 4.9% 580 4.2% 510 4.0%
Average market value 28,012 27,562 25,698
Life and Health Germany (€m) Q2 2019 Return1 H1 2019 Return1 H1 2018 Return1
Regular income 998 3.2% 1,853 3.0% 1,799 3.0%
Write-ups/write-downs –68 –0.2% –109 –0.2% –100 –0.2%
Disposal gains/losses 180 0.6% 589 1.0% 340 0.6%
Derivatives2 –14 0.0% –180 –0.3% –34 –0.1%
Other income/expenses –88 –0.3% –153 –0.2% –149 –0.2%
Investment result 1,008 3.2% 2,000 3.2% 1,857 3.1%
Average market value 126,064 123,876 120,722
1 Return on quarterly weighted investments (market values) in % p.a. 2 Result from derivatives without regular income and other income/expenses. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 34
Backup: Investments
Investment portfolio
Fixed-interest securities and miscellaneous
Miscellaneous % Loans1 %
Other Deposits on Loans to policyholders/ Governments/
24 (22) reinsurance mortgage loans Semi-government
Derivatives2 40 (41) 12 (12) 41 (41)
7 (9) TOTAL TOTAL
Corporates
Investment funds3 €18bn €67bn
3 (2)
11 (10) Pfandbriefe/
Bank deposits Banks Covered bonds
18 (18) 1 (2) 42 (44 )
1 Approximation – not fully comparable with IFRS figures. Market values as at 30.6.2019 (31.12.2018).
2 Non-fixed derivatives. 3 Non-fixed property funds and non-fixed bond funds
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 35
Backup: Investments
Fixed-income portfolio
Total
Fixed-income portfolio %
Bank bonds Governments/
2 (2) Semi-government
53 (53)
Structured products
2 (2)
Loans to policyholders/
Mortgage loans TOTAL
4 (4) €207bn
Cash/Other
5 (5)
Corporates
12 (12)
Pfandbriefe/
Covered bonds
22 (23)
Approximation – not fully comparable with IFRS figures. Market values as at 30.6.2019 (31.12.2018). Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 36
Backup: Investments
Fixed-income portfolio
Total
Fixed-income portfolio
Governments/semi-government
Fixed-income portfolio
Pfandbriefe/covered bonds
Fixed-income portfolio
Corporate bonds (excluding bank bonds)
Fixed-income portfolio
Bank bonds
Fixed-income portfolio
Structured products
Structured products portfolio (at market values): Breakdown by rating and region €m
Rating Region
AAA AA A BBB <BBB NR USA + RoW Europe Total Market-to-par
ABS Consumer-related ABS1 207 46 14 27 0 0 179 115 294 101%
Corporate-related ABS2 4 3 326 45 0 0 0 378 378 100%
Subprime HEL 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 96%
CDO/ Subprime-related 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0%
CLN
Non-subprime-related 554 1,131 56 18 0 9 515 1,254 1,769 100%
MBS Agency 925 28 0 0 0 0 953 0 953 104%
Non-agency prime 14 27 1 0 0 0 1 41 42 100%
Non-agency other (not subprime) 95 33 2 0 0 0 24 106 130 99%
Commercial MBS 467 21 0 0 3 0 444 46 490 104%
Total 30.6.2019 2,266 1,289 399 90 3 9 2,117 1,940 4,057 101%
In % 56% 32% 10% 2% 0% 0% 52% 48% 100%
Total 31.12.2018 2,217 1,264 378 89 0 0 2,107 1,840 3,947 100%
1 Consumer loans, auto, credit cards, student loans. 2 Asset-backed CPs, business and corporate loans, commercial equipment.
Approximation – not fully comparable with IFRS figures. Market values as at 30.6.2019 (31.12.2018).
Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 42
Backup: Investments
Sensitivity to risk-free interest rates – Basis points –50 –25 +50 +100
Change in gross market value (€bn) +8.7 +4.3 –8.0 –15.4
Change in on-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn)1 +2.2 +1.1 –2.0 –3.9
Change in off-balance-sheet reserves, net (€bn)1 +0.4 +0.2 –0.4 –0.7
P&L impact (€bn)1 +0.1 +0.1 –0.1 –0.2
1 Unrealised gains/losses from unconsolidated affiliated companies, valuation at equity and cash-flow hedging.
3 Excluding insurance-related loans.
2 Excluding reserves from owner-occupied property. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 44
Backup: Investments
1 Excluding reserves for owner-occupied property and insurance-related loans. Half-year financial report as at 30 June 2019 45
Backup: Shareholder information
Shares in
145.8 –1.9 – 143.9 154.1
circulation 148.7 144.7 144.2
Treasury
shares
3.7 1.9 –5.2 0.4
Financial calendar
2019
7 NOVEMBER Quarterly statement as at 30 September 2019
2020
Balance sheet media conference for 2019 financial statements
28 FEBRUARY Analysts' and Investors' call
Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft | Investor & Rating Agency Relations | Königinstraße 107 | 80802 München, Germany
Fax: +49 (89) 3891-9888 | E-mail: IR@munichre.com | Internet: www.munichre.com
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on current assumptions and forecasts of the
management of Munich Re. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences
between the forward-looking statements given here and the actual development, in particular the results, financial situation and
performance of our Company. The Company assumes no liability to update these forward-looking statements or to make them
conform to future events or developments.