Midterm 1 Notes
Midterm 1 Notes
*the higher the interest rate, the future counts for less (NPV Analysis)
Nominal interest (i) = extra dollars we get at the end of the period
Real interest (r) = extra goods we can buy at the end of the period
Inflation rate = change in prices
Yield to Maturity- the rate of interest (annualized) that equates the price of the bond to the
present value of cash flows (annualized rate of return)
Current Yield – bond’s annual return based on its annual coupon payments and current price
1+𝑖
1+𝑟 =
1+𝜋
𝑛
𝑝 ∗ (1 + 𝑖)365 = 1000 (EAY calculation)
Fisher’s Equation
𝑖 = 𝑟 + 𝜋 𝑒 , where 𝜋 𝑒 =expected inflation
Why would investor choose to invest in stock market rather than money market?
- Historically higher long-term returns
- Participate in the growth of a specific company or industry
- Preferential treatment in taxes
Why would investor choose to invest in money market rather than stock market?
- Short-term liquidity
- Lower risk
- Highly marketable
- Minimal capital gains or losses
- Low transaction costs
Yield Spread – difference in the rate of return between government and corporate bonds
Lower risk = lower returns = government bonds
Retractable bond – lender (holder) has the option of forcing the issuer the redeem the bond
before the maturity date at a pre-specified price, or on or after a prespecified date.
*An investor might exercise the retraction option due to unfavorable economic conditions such
as a rise in interest rates. An increase in interest rates would translate into lower bond price
*increase in interest rates increases incentive to retract the bond as lending at higher rates
is more attractive
Extendible bond- option of holding the bond after the maturity date
*investors benefit from this bond during period of declining interest rates. When interest rates
fall the price of longer-term bonds rise to a greater degree than the price of shorter-term bonds.
*Since issuers continue paying interest on bonds that have been extended, the bonds will sell at a
higher price (and lower yield) than other bonds because there is the possibility for a higher
return.
*all other things equal, straight bonds have a higher price than callable bonds
* if interest rates get higher, there is no incentive to refinance -> callable option is worthless
Rate of return – (1000 – p)/ p
Real Assets- assets used to produce goods and services affects the capital, efficiency and
productivity of the economy (tangible) -> size of the cake
Financial Assets – exchange of money through contracts (securities) between buyers and sellers
Contract Theory
-set up contracts which “align” the agent’s incentive with the principal’s
Derivative
-contracts whose value depends on another asset (e.g. options, futures)
1000 − 𝑝 365
𝑟𝐵𝐸𝑌 = ∗ (𝑛 − 𝑑𝑎𝑦 𝑏𝑜𝑛𝑑)
𝑝 𝑛
1000 − 𝑝 360
𝑑= ∗ (𝐴𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑛 𝑇 − 𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑙 𝑜𝑟 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡)
1000 𝑛
*if a bond is selling at a discount (P<1000), d < rBEY
𝑟𝐵𝐸𝑌 𝑛
(1 + ) = 1 + 𝐸𝐴𝑌
𝑛
*real interest rate depends on the productivity of the country
Under the Fisher Hypothesis, an increase in inflation leads to an increase in nominal interest rate
*assets generating the same cash flow should cost the same
Bond Markets
- Government Bonds
o Federal
Canada Premium Bond – cannot redeem before maturity
Canada Savings bond- redeemable before maturity
o Provincial
o Municipal
- Corporate Bonds
o Callable
o Convertible
o Retractable
o Extendible
An increasing yield spread
- Holding corporate bonds is getting riskier
o Bad future news for the economy
Equities
- Ownership contract unlike loan contracts
- Select the Board of Directors who hires CEOs and management
- Voting rights for common shares
- Equity Markets
o Primary -> How is the IPO determined? (Initial Price Offering)
o Secondary -> Brokerage Markets and types of orders
Direct Search -> seller and buyer get together
Dealer Markets -> have inventory of stocks (buy/sell)
Broker Market-> don’t have inventory but gets buyers and sellers
together
Auction -> buyers and sellers get under one roof and exchange assets
Four Properties
- Residual Claims
o Shareholders come after bondholders, government, taxes, interest payments
- Limited Liability
o The maximum one can lose is the price of the share purchased
- Rights to the Profits
- Voting Rights
Types of Shares
- Common Shares
o Class A (1 share > 1 vote)
o Class B (1 share = 1 vote)
- Preferred Shares
o Specifies the dividends that would be paid in subsequent years
o No voting rights
o In between bond (payments pre-specified) and equity contracts (if dividends are
not honored, no bankruptcy requirements)
o Protection Clauses
Cumulative Clause:
The first time the firm issues dividends, it must pay off all past
dividend claims to the preferred shareholders
First in Line
Preferred shareholders get first in line for dividend payments
Restoration of Voting Rights
After a period with no dividends, preferred shares can get voting
rights
How can we calculate the rate of return of equity?
- HPR (Holding Period Return)
- P0= Price today
- P1= Price in one year
- D = Dividend paid Annually
𝑃1 +𝐷−𝑃0
- 𝐻𝑃𝑅 = 𝑃0
The later the first payment, the smaller the present value
𝑃 1+𝑔 𝑛
𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 = ( ) ∗ [1 − ( ) )
𝑟−𝑔 1+𝑟
Stock Index
Objective:
We want to come up with an index (a number) that would reflect the overall health of
the financial industry
Three Basic Questions:
ETF
- Exchange-traded fund
- Fund that moves the same way as the index itself
Brokered Market
How are stock prices reported?
- Bid price
o Price at which we can sell
- Ask price
o Price at which we can buy
Bid-Ask Spread
- Difference between the bid and ask price
- Limit Order
o Price-contingent order
o We have to specify a price P^
o When the actual transaction is about to happen,
P <= P^, then buy
P > P^, then don’t
o Price is guaranteed, but the execution isn’t
o Investors specifies the price they are willing to purchase at; order can be
good for the day or good till canceled