QUANTITATIVE METHODS

CASE STUDY- 01

Hamilton County Judges

By

ANKIT AGARWAL 80303190001

VISHAL BOTHRA 80303190020

SPITI GANGULY 80303190040

NIKITA NANDA 80303190092

DISHA SAXENA 80303190114

1. The probability of cases being appealed and reversed in the three
different courts.

courts total cases appealed reversed probability of probability

disposed cases cases cases being of cases
appealed being
reversed

common 43945 1762 199 0.040095574 0.004528388

domestic 30499 106 17 0.003475524 0.000557395

muni 108464 500 104 0.004609824 0.000958843

2. The probability of a case being appealed for each judge.
Judge Disposed Appealed probability of case being appealed

Fred Cartolano 3037 137 0.045110306

Thomas Crush 3372 119 0.035290629

Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 0.034976153

Timothy Hogan 1954 60 0.030706244

Robert Kraft 3138 127 0.040471638

William Mathews 2264 91 0.040194346

William Morrissey 3032 121 0.039907652

Norbert Nadel 2959 131 0.044271713

Arthur Ney Jr. 3219 125 0.038831935

Richard Niehaus 3353 137 0.040858932

Thomas Nurre 3000 121 0.040333333

John O'Connor 2969 129 0.043448973

Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 0.04524181

J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 955 60 0.062827225

Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 0.040432983

Ralph Winkler 3089 88 0.028488184

Penelope Cunningham 2729 7 0.002565042

Patrick Dinkelacker 6001 19 0.003166139

Deborah Gaines 8799 48 0.005455165

Ronald Panioto 12970 32 0.002467232

Mike Allen 6149 43 0.006993007

Nadine Allen 7812 34 0.004352279

Timothy Black 7954 41 0.005154639

David Davis 7736 43 0.005558428

Leslie Isaiah Gaines 5282 35 0.006626278

Karla Grady 5253 6 0.001142204

Deidra Hair 2532 5 0.001974724

Dennis Helmick 7900 29 0.003670886

Timothy Hogan 2308 13 0.005632582

James Patrick Kenney 2798 6 0.002144389

Joseph Luebbers 4698 25 0.005321413

William Mallory 8277 38 0.004591035

Melba Marsh 8219 34 0.004136756

Beth Mattingly 2971 13 0.004375631

Albert Mestemaker 4975 28 0.005628141

Mark Painter 2239 7 0.003126396

Jack Rosen 7790 41 0.005263158

Mark Schweikert 5403 33 0.006107718

David Stockdale 5371 22 0.004096071

John A. West 2797 4 0.001430104

3. The probability of a case being reversed for each judge.

Judge Disposed Appealed Probability of case being reversed

Fred Cartolano 3037 137 0.003951268

Thomas Crush 3372 119 0.002965599

Patrick Dinkelacker 1258 44 0.0063593

Timothy Hogan 1954 60 0.003582395

Robert Kraft 3138 127 0.00223072

William Mathews 2264 91 0.00795053

William Morrissey 3032 121 0.007255937

Norbert Nadel 2959 131 0.00675904

Arthur Ney Jr. 3219 125 0.004349177

Richard Niehaus 3353 137 0.004771846

Thomas Nurre 3000 121 0.002

John O'Connor 2969 129 0.004041765

Robert Ruehlman 3205 145 0.005616225

J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 955 60 0.010471204

Ann Marie Tracey 3141 127 0.004138809

Ralph Winkler 3089 88 0.001942376

Penelope Cunningham 2729 7 0.000366435

Patrick Dinkelacker 6001 19 0.000666556

Deborah Gaines 8799 48 0.001022844

Ronald Panioto 12970 32 0.000231303

Mike Allen 6149 43 0.000650512

Nadine Allen 7812 34 0.000768049

Timothy Black 7954 41 0.000754337

David Davis 7736 43 0.000646329

Leslie Isaiah Gaines 5282 35 0.002461189

Karla Grady 5253 6 0

Deidra Hair 2532 5 0

Dennis Helmick 7900 29 0.000632911

Timothy Hogan 2308 13 0.000866551

James Patrick Kenney 2798 6 0.000357398

Joseph Luebbers 4698 25 0.001702852

William Mallory 8277 38 0.00108735

Melba Marsh 8219 34 0.000851685

Beth Mattingly 2971 13 0.000336587

Albert Mestemaker 4975 28 0.001809045

Mark Painter 2239 7 0.001339884

Jack Rosen 7790 41 0.001668806

Mark Schweikert 5403 33 0.001110494

David Stockdale 5371 22 0.00074474

John A. West 2797 4 0.000715052

4. The probability of reversal given an appeal for each judge.

Judge Probabilit Probabilit Probability of reversal
y of case y of case
being being given an appeal for each judge
appealed reversed

Fred Cartolano 0.0451103 0.0039512 0.087591241

06 68

Thomas Crush 0.0352906 0.0029655 0.084033613

29 99

Patrick Dinkelacker 0.0349761 0.0063593 0.181818182

53

Timothy Hogan 0.0307062 0.0035823 0.116666667

44 95

Robert Kraft 0.0404716 0.0022307 0.05511811

38 2

William Mathews 0.0401943 0.0079505 0.197802198

46 3

William Morrissey 0.0399076 0.0072559 0.181818182

52 37

Norbert Nadel 0.0442717 0.0067590 0.152671756

13 4
Arthur Ney Jr. 0.0388319 0.0043491 0.112
35 77

Richard Niehaus 0.0408589 0.0047718 0.116788321

32 46

Thomas Nurre 0.0403333 0.002 0.049586777

33

John O'Connor 0.0434489 0.0040417 0.093023256

73 65

Robert Ruehlman 0.0452418 0.0056162 0.124137931

1 25

J. Howard 0.0628272 0.0104712 0.166666667

Sundermann Jr. 25 04

Ann Marie Tracey 0.0404329 0.0041388 0.102362205

83 09

Ralph Winkler 0.0284881 0.0019423 0.068181818

84 76

Penelope 0.0025650 0.0003664 0.142857143

Cunningham 42 35

Patrick Dinkelacker 0.0031661 0.0006665 0.210526316

39 56

Deborah Gaines 0.0054551 0.0010228 0.1875

65 44

Ronald Panioto 0.0024672 0.0002313 0.09375

32 03

Mike Allen 0.0069930 0.0006505 0.093023256

07 12

Nadine Allen 0.0043522 0.0007680 0.176470588

79 49

Timothy Black 0.0051546 0.0007543 0.146341463

39 37

David Davis 0.0055584 0.0006463 0.11627907

28 29
Leslie Isaiah Gaines 0.0066262 0.0024611 0.371428571
78 89

Karla Grady 0.0011422 0 0

04

Deidra Hair 0.0019747 0 0

24

Dennis Helmick 0.0036708 0.0006329 0.172413793

86 11

Timothy Hogan 0.0056325 0.0008665 0.153846154

82 51

James Patrick 0.0021443 0.0003573 0.166666667

Kenney 89 98

Joseph Luebbers 0.0053214 0.0017028 0.32

13 52

William Mallory 0.0045910 0.0010873 0.236842105

35 5

Melba Marsh 0.0041367 0.0008516 0.205882353

56 85

Beth Mattingly 0.0043756 0.0003365 0.076923077

31 87

Albert Mestemaker 0.0056281 0.0018090 0.321428571

41 45

Mark Painter 0.0031263 0.0013398 0.428571429

96 84

Jack Rosen 0.0052631 0.0016688 0.317073171

58 06

Mark Schweikert 0.0061077 0.0011104 0.181818182

18 94

David Stockdale 0.0040960 0.0007447 0.181818182

71 4

John A. West 0.0014301 0.0007150 0.5

04 52
5. Rank the judges within each court. State the criteria you used and
provide a rationale for your choice.

Judge Rank for Judges Common Court

Fred Cartolano 6

Thomas Crush 4

Patrick Dinkelacker 12

Timothy Hogan 5

Robert Kraft 3

William Mathews 15

William Morrissey 14

Norbert Nadel 13

Arthur Ney Jr. 9

Richard Niehaus 10

Thomas Nurre 2

John O'Connor 7

Robert Ruehlman 11

J. Howard Sundermann Jr. 16

Ann Marie Tracey 8

Ralph Winkler 1

Judge Rank for Judges for Domestic

Court

Penelope Cunningham 2

Patrick Dinkelacker 3

Deborah Gaines 4

Ronald Panioto 1
 Judge Rank for Judges for Muni Court

Mike Allen 7

Nadine Allen 11

Timothy Black 10

David Davis 6

Leslie Isaiah Gaines 20

Karla Grady 1

Deidra Hair 1

Dennis Helmick 5

Timothy Hogan 13

James Patrick Kenney 4

Joseph Luebbers 18

William Mallory 14

Melba Marsh 12

Beth Mattingly 3

Albert Mestemaker 19

Mark Painter 16

Jack Rosen 17

Mark Schweikert 15

David Stockdale 9

John A. West 8

The rank has been decided using the number of cases reversed. Lesser the number of cases
reserved, greater the efficiency of the Judge.