Learn To Value Real Estate Investment Property
Learn To Value Real Estate Investment Property
Learn To Value Real Estate Investment Property
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BY ARTHUR PINKASOVITCH
For example, if a property that is expected to generate net operating income (NOI) of $1 million
over the next ten years is discounted at a capitalization rate of 14%, the market value of the
property is $1,000,000 / .14 = $7,142,857 (net operating income/ overall capitalization rate =
market value).
The $7,142,857 market value is a good deal if the property sells at $6.5 million. It is a bad deal if
the sale price is $8 million.
Determining the capitalization rate is one of the key metrics in valuing an income-generating
property. Although it is somewhat more complicated than calculating the weighted average
cost of capital (WACC) of a firm, there are several methods that investors can use to find an
appropriate capitalization rate. (For related reading, see "4 Ways to Value a Real Estate Rental
Property")
Given an interest rate of 4%, a non-liquidity rate of 1.5%, a recapture premium of 1.5%. and a
rate of risk of 2.5%, the capitalization rate of an equity property is summed as: 6+1.5+1.5+2.5 =
11.5%. If net operating income is $200,000, the market value of the property is $200,000/.115 =
$1,739,130.
Obviously, performing this calculation is very straightforward. The complexity lies in assessing
accurate estimates for the individual components of the capitalization rate, which can be
challenging. The advantage of the build-up method is that it attempts to define and accurately
measure individual components of a discount rate.
Determining the capitalization rate is relatively simple. Assume an investor considers buying a
parking lot expected to generate $500,000 in net operating income. In the area, there are three
existing comparable income generating parking lot properties.
Parking Lot 1 has a net operating income of $250,000 and a sale price of $3 million. In
this case, the capitalization rate is: $250,000/$3,000,000 = 8.33%.
Parking Lot 2 has a net operating income of $400,000 and a sale price of $3.95 million.
The capitalization rate is: $400,000/$3,950,000 = 10.13%.
Parking Lot 3 has a net operating income of $185,000 and a sale price of $2 million. The
capitalization rate is: $185,000/$2,000,000 = 9.25%.
Based on the calculated rates for these three comparable properties (8.33%, 10.13%, and 9.25%),
an overall capitalization rate of 9.4% would be a reasonable representation of the market. Using
this capitalization rate, an investor can determine the market value of the property. The value of
the parking lot investment opportunity is $500,000/.094 = $5,319,149.
The first step is to calculate a sinking fund factor. This is the percentage that must be set aside
each period to have a certain amount at a future point in time. Assume that a property with net
operating income of $950,000 is 50% financed, using debt at 7% interest to be amortized over 15
years. The rest is paid for with equity at a required rate of return of 10%. The sinking fund factor
would be calculated as:
Plugging in the numbers, we get:
.07/12
{[1 + (.07/12)]15x12} – 1
This computes to .003154 per month. Per annum, this percentage is: .003154 x 12 months =
0.0378. The rate at which a lender must be paid equals this sinking fund factor plus the interest
rate. In this example, this rate is: .07 + .0378 = 10.78%, or .1078.
Thus, the weighted average rate, or the overall capitalization rate, using the 50% weight for debt
and 50% weight for equity is: (.5 x .1078) + (.5 x .10) = 10.39%. As a result, the market value of
the property is: $950,000/.1039 = $9,143,407.
The net operating income reflects the earnings that the property will generate after factoring in
operating expenses but before the deduction of taxes and interest payments. Before deducting
expenses, the total revenues gained from the investment must be determined. Expected rental
revenue can initially be forecasted based on comparable properties nearby. With proper market
research, an investor can determine what prices tenants are being charged in the area and assume
that similar per-square-foot rents can be applied to this property. Forecasted increases in rents are
accounted for in the growth rate within the formula.
Since high vacancy rates are a potential threat to real estate investment returns, either
a sensitivity analysis or realistic conservative estimates should be used to determine the forgone
income if the asset is not utilized at full capacity.
Operating expenses include those that are directly incurred through the day-to-day operations of
the building, such as property insurance, management fees, maintenance fees, and utility costs.
Note that depreciation is not included in the total expense calculation. The net operating income
of a real estate property is similar to the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and
amortization (EBITDA).
Discounting the net operating income from a real estate investment by the market
capitalization rate is analogous to discounting a future dividend stream by the appropriate
required rate of return, adjusted for dividend growth. Equity investors familiar with dividend
growth models should immediately see the resemblance. (The DDM is one of the most
foundational of financial theories, but it's only as good as its assumptions. Check out "Digging
Into the Dividend Discount Model.")
The gross income multiplier approach is a relative valuation method that is based on the
underlying assumption that properties in the same area will be valued proportionally to the gross
income that they help generate. As the name implies, gross income is the total income before the
deduction of any operating expenses. However, vacancy rates must be forecast to obtain an
accurate gross income estimate.
The next step in assessing the value of the real estate property is to determine the gross income
multiplier. This is achieved if one has historical sales data. Looking at the sales prices of
comparable properties and dividing that value by the generated gross annual income produces
the average multiplier for the region.
This type of valuation approach is similar to using comparable transactions or multiples to value
a stock. Many analysts will forecast the earnings of a company and multiply the earnings per
share (EPS) figure by the P/E ratio of the industry. Real estate valuation can be conducted
through similar measures.
Secondly, these valuation models do not properly factor in possible major changes in the real
estate market, such as a credit crisis or real estate boom. As a result, further analysis must be
conducted to forecast and factor in the possible impact of changing economic variables.
Because the property markets are less liquid and transparent than the stock market, sometimes it
is difficult to obtain the necessary information to make a fully informed investment decision.
That said, due to the large capital investment typically required to purchase a large development,
this complicated analysis can produce a large payoff if it leads to the discovery of an
undervalued property (similar to equity investing). Thus, taking the time to research the required
inputs is well worth the time and energy.
Whichever approach used, the most important predictor of a strategy's success is how well it is
researched.
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Related Terms
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1Calculate a Gross Income Multiplier
2Assess Business Property
3Define Real Estate Market Value
4Pay an Appraised Value for Commercial Property
When it comes to buying or selling a property for your business, the starting point is to figure out how much the property is
worth. This seems simple enough – surely, you see what has previously been sold in your locality and use that as a jumping off
point? Sadly, the valuation of property – and especially commercial property – is not quite so straightforward. If it were, there
Market value is a professional opinion of what a property would sell for at arm's length – meaning to an independent buyer,
without any concessions or kickbacks – based on the local real estate market, supply and demand, what other similar properties
are selling for in the area, and the specific features and benefits of the property.
This is not the same as the market price of a property, which can be more or less than the market value. That's because the price
is whatever the seller agrees to sell the property for. This could be the same as the market value, or the seller may accept a lower
price for the property because, for example, he needs a quick sale.
There's also a much longer definition of market value, and that depends on the type of valuation method being used. There are
three primary methods of valuation in the United States: the sales comparison approach, the cost approach and the income
approach. Part of an appraiser's job is to know what method to use for a given property in a given location.
Before we look at the three approaches, bear in mind that a good percentage of a property's value is subjective. Deciding how
much a property is worth is more art than science, and certain parts of the process can be a little difficult to comprehend. You
could ask three different appraisers to value the same property and get three different answers.
This is especially true for a commercial property where scarcity might play a role in the property's valuation. The valuations
The sales comparison approach is the most frequently used method for determining the value of residential real estate, although it
is also suitable for valuing some types of commercial properties. Using this approach, the property's value is based on what
similar properties have sold for recently in the same market. These properties are called "comparables" or "comps" – hence the
Start by listing the features and benefits of the property, for example:
Square footage.
Lot size.
Location.
Age.
Numbers of bedrooms and bathrooms (if residential).
If commercial, the best usage the property could be put to (for example, office, retail, warehouse).
Overall condition (good, average, poor).
anything that makes this property different from other properties in the community.
The next step is to find the sales prices of at least three properties that are comparable to the subject property. This means they
should share some, or ideally all, of the features you've listed. Make a note of any different characteristics, such as a lower
If you have access to the Multiple Listing Service, you can easily pull up a list of comps. You're looking for properties that have
sold in the last three to six months – real estate markets move so quickly that older sale prices will be out of date. Pay attention
to the address of your comparable properties. Location is a key element in real estate appraisal, due to factors like transportation
and school quality, so you're looking for properties in the same neighborhood and ideally within a couple of streets of the subject
property.
If you don't have access to the MLS, you can find much of this information on Zillow; you'll just have to do a little more digging.
Once you've found your comparables, run a quick calculation to get a benchmark valuation for the subject property. For
example, if you find three comparable properties that sold for $450,000, $480,000 and $435,000 respectively, you would take the
Another option is to find a price per square foot (ppsf), which is useful if your comps are bigger or smaller than your subject
property. For example, suppose the $450,000 property was 2,000 square feet (ppsf $225), the $480,000 property was 2,200
square feet (ppsf $218) and the $435,000 property was 1,950 square feet (ppsf $223). The average ppsf is $222. For a 2,300-
As explained earlier, valuing property is more art than science – and this is the point where the valuation gets subjective. Physical
characteristics represent the most obvious differences between two comparable properties – one might be in better repair than the
other, or one may have a garage while the other does not. Therefore, you need to adjust the price up or down to account for
For instance, if a property on the next street sold recently but it had a view, whereas the subject property overlooks a brick wall,
you may have to scale down the baseline value of the subject property. It's rudimentary, but it's the best you can do absent the
The cost approach starts by calculating how much the property would cost to rebuild, either as an exact replica of the current
building or for the construction of a similar building with comparable features and amenities but with modern construction
materials.
The appraiser then deducts an amount for accrued depreciation, which represents the reduction in the value of the property over
time as a result of obsolescence or wear and tear. The theory here is that no one would pay more for an existing property than it
The cost approach is favored in newer construction or for valuing special-use properties where there aren't enough similar
properties for comparison. If you're valuing a commercial property, industrial property or bare land, then this is may be the most
reliable approach.
Direct comparison is the most common method for estimating the value of vacant land – what have other plots recently sold for?
Ideally, you'll sum up the cost of all the separate construction components such as the roof, frame and plumbing. However, this
exercise is quite tedious and best left to cost estimators. Working with a lump-sum estimate per square foot is easier – a phone
For instance, if it costs a construction company $100,000 to put up a 2,000-square-foot warehouse, the rate will be $50 per square
foot. Multiply this rate by the building area of the subject property to obtain the construction cost. For example, suppose your
warehouse is 5,000 square feet. The estimated construction cost will be $250,000 (5,000 x 50).
Deduct an Amount for Depreciation
Depreciation represents the loss in value as a property ages over time, either due to wear and tear or loss of utility – a modern
office will be wired up to handle modern communication methods, for example, whereas a 40-year-old building may not be. The
simplest depreciation method is the age-life method, which estimates how far the property is along its useful life. For instance, if
the property is 10 years old and has a useful economic life of 40 years, the construction value should be depreciated by 25
percent. In this example, that leaves you with a construction cost of $187,500.
Finally, add the land value to the depreciated construction cost of the building. Here, the property value is $50,000 + $187,500 =
$237,500.
If the subject property is leased and income-producing, you have the option of valuing it using the income approach. This method
uses the property's rental income, or potential for income, to substantiate its market value. Apartment buildings and duplexes are
examples of properties that you might value using the income approach.
This method gets a little complicated, and whole books have been written on how to do it.
The net annual income is the lease income from tenants and occupiers. If the building is empty or partially empty, you'll have to
estimate this figure. Be sure to take vacancies into account. With a multi-unit apartment complex, for example, you might
estimate that 20 percent of the units will be vacant for at least one month of the year to allow for tenant turnover. As such, the
actual rental income will be lower than the headline figure, which assumes the building is always fully occupied.
For this example, imagine you're valuing an apartment complex that generates $500,000 in rental income per year.
Net operating income equals revenue from the property minus all reasonably necessary operating expenses, such as maintenance,
utilities, property taxes, collections activity and property manager's fees. In this example, expenses add up to $100,000.
The capitalization or "cap" rate is the rate of return you're expecting to get from the property based on the rental income. The cap
rate formula is NOI divided by the value of the property. Here, you do not know the value of the property – since that's what
you're trying to calculate. You therefore have to work backward and start with the cap rate or yield you want to achieve for your
investment.
As a potential buyer, you might decide that an 8 percent yield is average in this market, and that's what you want to get from this
property purchase. If you can't negotiate a price that achieves that rate, then you'll look for a more profitable investment.
Divide the NOI by the cap rate to arrive at the value of the property. The valuation for this apartment building would be $400,000
The Balance
BY JAMES KIMMONS
It's critical that real estate agents and brokers who work with investor clients understand income
property valuation methods if they're going to do their jobs properly. A commonly used valuation
method combines income and the capitalization rate to determine the current value of a property
being considered for purchase.
In addition to a property's market value, one of the first things you'll want to do as a real estate
investor who's considering buying a purchase is determine is its operating income and costs. This
information will tell you if the property meets your cash flow and profitability goals and expectations.
First determine the net operating income (NOI) of your subject property. The NOI of a rental property
is its rents less its expenses. Determine the net rental income after what it costs to maintain the
building if it's an apartment complex.
This can be a bit of a challenge because you'll need the income and expense statements, and only
the current owner is likely to have this information. But you can also estimate NOI by multiplying the
sales price by the capitalization rate after you've nailed down the cap rate.
A Calculation Example
A six-unit apartment project might yield $30,000 net profit from rentals. Determine the capitalization
rate from a recent, comparable, sold property. Now divide that net operating income by the
capitalization rate to get the current value result.
Let's say your comparable sold for $250,000. You've determined that the property's NOI after
deducting applicable expenses is $50,000. Divide that by the $250,000 sales price. You have
a capitalization rate of .2, or 20%.
Assuming a capitalization rate of 20%, $30,000 divided by that percentage is $150,000. This would
be the current value.
Other Tools
Keep in mind that this isn't the only method for calculating income property values—it's just one tool
in the box. The various valuation and financial performance calculations that investors and real
estate professionals use in their daily routines all have some value.
For example, few properties are purchased with cash and no financing, so another calculation
method used might be a cash-on-cash return.
There are books full of complicated calculations you can use to value real estate and determine the
performance of real estate investments and rental property ownership and operations. Some apply
to wholesaling, some to fix-and-flip projects, while still others apply to rental investing. Some are
more useful to the rental investor in determining the long-term performance of their portfolios.
Most investors only use half a dozen or so of these calculations regularly for
residential property investment.
A whole new level of math is involved in commercial investment. Lenders use some very specialized
calculations to determine whether to finance purchases or projects.
Choosing which valuation and profit calculations to use depends on your goals and the property
type. You probably won't be all that interested in cap rate and other multi-family-oriented calculations
if you're an investor buying single-family rental properties.
The beginning of a successful rental property investment strategy is an accurate estimate of rental
yield for the prospective property. The net rental yield tells you just how well your investment is
doing, not only with market factors and rent included, but also with your costs, including
management and maintenance.
Those who invest in real estate via income-producing properties should have a method to determine
the value of any property they're considering buying. Cap rates are widely used in commercial and
multi-family property valuation and profitability studies. They can be used to determine a good sales
price, or the value of a listed property versus the asking price.