Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing Models: Answers To End-Of-Chapter Questions
Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing Models: Answers To End-Of-Chapter Questions
Portfolio Theory and Asset Pricing Models: Answers To End-Of-Chapter Questions
The feasible, or attainable, set represents all portfolios that can be constructed from a
given set of stocks. This set is only efficient for part of its combinations.
An efficient portfolio is that portfolio which provides the highest expected return for
any degree of risk. Alternatively, the efficient portfolio is that which provides the
lowest degree of risk for any expected return.
The efficient frontier is the set of efficient portfolios out of the full set of potential
portfolios. On a graph, the efficient frontier constitutes the boundary line of the set of
potential portfolios.
b. An indifference curve is the risk/return trade-off function for a particular investor and
reflects that investor's attitude toward risk. The indifference curve specifies an
investor's required rate of return for a given level of risk. The greater the slope of the
indifference curve, the greater is the investor's risk aversion.
The optimal portfolio for an investor is the point at which the efficient set of
portfolios--the efficient frontier--is just tangent to the investor's indifference curve.
This point marks the highest level of satisfaction an investor can attain given the set
of potential portfolios.
The Capital Market Line (CML) specifies the efficient set of portfolios an investor
can attain by combining a risk-free asset and the risky market portfolio M. The CML
states that the expected return on any efficient portfolio is equal to the riskless rate
plus a risk premium, and thus describes a linear relationship between expected return
and risk.
d. The characteristic line for a particular stock is obtained by regressing the historical
returns on that stock against the historical returns on the general stock market. The
slope of the characteristic line is the stock's beta, which measures the amount by
which the stock's expected return increases for a given increase in the expected return
on the market.
The beta coefficient (b) is a measure of a stock's market risk. It measures the stock's
volatility relative to an average stock, which has a beta of 1.0.
25-2 Security A is less risky if held in a diversified portfolio because of its lower beta and
negative correlation with other stocks. In a single-asset portfolio, Security A would be
more risky because σA > σB and CVA > CVB.
iM i
25-4 a. ri rRF (rM rRF )b i rRF (rM rRF ) .
M
rM rRF
r M rRF riM i .
b. CML: r p rRF . SML: r r
M
p i RF
M
With some arranging, the similarities between the CML and SML are obvious. When
in this form, both have the same market price of risk, or slope, (rM - rRF)/σM.
The measure of risk in the CML is σp. Since the CML applies only to efficient
portfolios, σp not only represents the portfolio's total risk, but also its market risk.
However, the SML applies to all portfolios and individual securities. Thus, the
appropriate risk measure is not σi, the total risk, but the market risk, which in this
form of the SML is riMσi, and is less than for all assets except those which are
perfectly positively correlated with the market, and hence have riM = +1.0.
rX (%)
30
25
20
15
10
5
rY
0
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50
-5
-10
-15
-20
Using Excel, the regression equation estimates are: Beta = 0.56; Intercept = 0.037; R 2
= 0.96.
The arithmetic average rate of return on the market portfolio, determined similarly, is
12.1%.
For Stock X, the estimated standard deviation is 13.1 percent:
The standard deviation of returns for the market portfolio is similarly determined to
be 22.6 percent. The results are summarized below:
Several points should be noted: (1) σM over this particular period is higher than the
historic average σM of about 15 percent, indicating that the stock market was
relatively volatile during this period; (2) Stock X, with X = 13.1%, has much less
total risk than an average stock, with Avg = 22.6%; and (3) this example
demonstrates that it is possible for a very low-risk single stock to have less risk than a
portfolio of average stocks, since σX < σM.
r X rRF (r rRF )b X .
This equation can be solved for the risk-free rate, rRF, which is the only unknown:
r(%)
k(%)
20
rXkX= =10.6%
10.6%
kM = 12.1%
rRF = 8.6%10
kRF = 8.6
e. In theory, you would be indifferent between the two stocks. Since they have the same
beta, their relevant risks are identical, and in equilibrium they should provide the
same returns. The two stocks would be represented by a single point on the SML.
Stock Y, with the higher standard deviation, has more diversifiable risk, but this risk
will be eliminated in a well-diversified portfolio, so the market will compensate the
investor only for bearing market or relevant risk. In practice, it is possible that Stock
Y would have a slightly higher required return, but this premium for diversifiable risk
would be small.
b. Because b = 0.62, Stock Y is about 62 percent as volatile as the market; thus, its
relative risk is about 62 percent of that of an average firm.
c. 1. Total risk ( 2Y ) would be greater because the second term of the firm's risk
equation, 2Y b 2Y 2M eY
2
, would be greater.
3. Because of a relative scarcity of such stocks and the beneficial net effect on
portfolios that include it, its "risk premium" is likely to be very low or even
negative. Theoretically, it should be negative.
25-7 The detailed solution for the spreadsheet problem is available in the file Ch25 P07 Build
a Model Solution.xls on the textbook’s Web site.
Answer:
r̂P w A r̂A (1 w A ) r̂B
0.3(0.1) 0.7(0.16)
0.142 14.2%.
p WA2 2A (1 WA ) 2 2B 2WA (1 WA ) AB A B
b. Plot the attainable portfolios for a correlation of 0.35. Now plot the attainable
portfolios for correlations of +1.0 and -1.0.
Answer:
pAB = +0.35: Attainable Set of
Risk/Return Combinations
20%
Expected return
15%
10%
5%
0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Risk, sigmap
Mini Case: 25 - 11
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website, in whole or in part.
AB = +1.0: Attainable Set of Risk/Return
Combinations
20%
Expected return
15%
10%
5%
0%
0% 20% 40%
Risk, p
20%
Expected return
15%
10%
5%
0%
0% 20% 40%
Risk, p
Mini Case: 25 - 12
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website, in whole or in part.
c. Suppose a risk-free asset has an expected return of 5 percent. By definition, its
standard deviation is zero, and its correlation with any other asset is also zero. Using
only asset A and the risk-free asset, plot the attainable portfolios.
Answer:
10%
5%
0%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
Risk, p
Mini Case: 25 - 13
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website, in whole or in part.
d. Construct a reasonable, but hypothetical, graph which shows risk, as measured
by portfolio standard deviation, on the x axis and expected rate of return on the
y axis. Now add an illustrative feasible (or attainable) set of portfolios, and show
what portion of the feasible set is efficient. What makes a particular portfolio
efficient? Don't worry about specific values when constructing the graph—
merely illustrate how things look with "reasonable" data.
Answer:
Expected Portfolio
Return
Expected Portfolio
^
Return,
^ kp
rP
B
Efficient Set (A,B)
A
D
Feasible, or
Attainable, Set
Risk,
risk, pP
The figure above shows the feasible set of portfolios. The points B, C, D, and E
represent single securities (or portfolios containing only one security). All the other
points in the shaded area, including its boundaries, represent portfolios of two or
more securities. The shaded area is called the feasible, or attainable, set.
The boundary AB defines the efficient set of portfolios, which is also called the
efficient frontier. Portfolios to the left of the efficient set are not possible because
they lie outside the attainable set. Portfolios to the right of the boundary line (interior
portfolios) are inefficient because some other portfolio would provide either a higher
return with the same degree of risk or a lower level of risk for the same rate of return.
Mini Case: 25 - 14
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website, in whole or in part.
e. Now add a set of indifference curves to the graph created for part B. What do
these curves represent? What is the optimal portfolio for this investor? Finally,
add a second set of indifference curves which leads to the selection of a different
optimal portfolio. Why do the two investors choose different portfolios?
Expected Portfolio
Return,
Expected Portfolio
^
Return,
rp k^ p
B
I B2
C
I B1
Optimal
Portfolio
I A3 Investor B
I A2
A
D
I A1
Optimal
Portfolio
Investor A
E
Risk, p
risk, P
Answer:
The figure above shows the indifference curves for two hypothetical investors, A and
B. To determine the optimal portfolio for a particular investor, we must know the
investor's attitude towards risk as reflected in his or her risk/return tradeoff function,
or indifference curve. Curves Ia1, Ia2, and Ia3 represent the indifference curves for
individual A, with the higher curve (Ia3) denoting a greater level of satisfaction (or
utility). Thus, Ia3 is better than Ia2 for any level of risk.
The optimal portfolio is found at the tangency point between the efficient set of
portfolios and one of the investor's indifference curves. This tangency point marks
the highest level of satisfaction the investor can attain. The arrows point toward the
optimal portfolios for both investors A and B.
The investors choose different optimal portfolios because their risk aversion is
different. Investor A chooses the portfolio with the lower expected return, but the
riskiness of that portfolio is also lower than investor's B optimal portfolio, because
investor A is more risk averse.
Mini Case: 25 - 15
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website, in whole or in part.
f. What is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM)? What are the assumptions
that underlie the model?
Answer: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is an equilibrium model which specifies
the relationship between risk and required rates of return on assets when they are held
in well-diversified portfolios. The CAPM requires an extensive set of assumptions:
All investors can borrow or lend an unlimited amount at a given risk-free rate of
interest.
All assets are perfectly divisible and perfectly marketable at the going price, and
there are no transactions costs.
All investors are price takers (that is, all investors assume that their own buying
and selling activity will not affect stock prices).
Mini Case: 25 - 16
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website, in whole or in part.
g. Now add the risk-free asset. What impact does this have on the efficient
frontier?
Expected Portfolio
Return,
Expected Portfolio
Return,
^ k^ Z
p
rp
B
krRF
R
F
Risk, σ
pp
Answer: The risk-free asset by definition has zero risk, and hence σ = 0%, so it is plotted on
the vertical axis. Now, given the possibility of investing in the risk-free asset,
investors can create new portfolios that combine the risk-free asset with a portfolio of
risky assets. This enables them to achieve any combination of risk and return that lies
along any straight line connecting rRF with any portfolio in the feasible set of risky
portfolios. However, the straight line connecting rRF with m, the point of tangency
between the line and the portfolio's efficient set curve, is the one that all investors
would choose. Since all portfolios on the line rRFmz are preferred to the other risky
portfolio opportunities on the efficient frontier AB, the points on the line rRFmz now
represent the best attainable combinations of risk and return. Any combination under
the rRFmz line offers less return for the same amount of risk, or offers more risk for
the same amount of return. Thus, everybody wants to hold portfolios which are
located on the rRFmz line.
Mini Case: 25 - 17
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website, in whole or in part.
h. Write out the equation for the capital market line (CML) and draw it on the
graph. Interpret the CML. Now add a set of indifference curves, and illustrate
how an investor's optimal portfolio is some combination of the risky portfolio
and the risk-free asset. What is the composition of the risky portfolio?
Answer: The line rRFmz in the figure above is called the capital market line (CML). It has an
intercept of rRF and a slope of ( r M rRF ) / M . Therefore the equation for the capital
market line may be expressed as follows:
^
r M rRF
CML: r p rRF p .
M
The CML tells us that the expected rate of return on any efficient portfolio (that is,
any portfolio on the CML) is equal to the risk-free rate plus a risk premium, and the
risk premium is equal to ( r M rRF ) / M multiplied by the portfolio's standard
deviation, p . Thus, the CML specifies a linear relationship between expected return
and risk, with the slope of the CML being equal to the expected return on the market
rate,rPRF, which is called the market
portfolio of risky stocks, r M , minus the risk-freerisk,
risk premium, all divided by the standard deviation of returns on the market portfolio,
σm.
Expected Rate
of Return,
Expected
^
Rate
^
rp
of Return, kp
I I CML
3 2 I1
rRF
k RF
Optimal
Portfolio
Risk, σ
pp
Mini Case: 25 - 18
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website, in whole or in part.
The figure above shows a set of indifference curves (i1, i2, and i3), with i1 touching
the CML. This point of tangency defines the optimal portfolio for this investor, and
he or she will buy a combination of the market portfolio and the risk-free asset.
The risky portfolio, m, must contain every asset in exact proportion to that asset's
fraction of the total market value of all assets; that is, if security g is x percent of the
total market value of all securities, x percent of the market portfolio must consist of
security g.
i. What is a characteristic line? How is this line used to estimate a stock’s beta
coefficient? Write out and explain the formula that relates total risk, market
risk, and diversifiable risk.
Answer: Betas are calculated as the slope of the characteristic line, which is the regression line
formed by plotting returns on a given stock on the y axis against returns on the
general stock market on the x axis. In practice, 5 years of monthly data, with 60
observations, would be used, and a computer would be used to obtain a least squares
regression line.
The relationship between stock J's total risk, market risk, and diversifiable risk
can be expressed as follows:
Here is the variance or total risk of stock j, is the variance of the market, bj is
2
J
2
M
stock J's beta coefficient, and is the variance of stock J's regression error term. If
2
eJ
stock J is held in isolation, then the investor must bear its total risk. However, when
stock J is held as part of a well-diversified portfolio, the regression error term, 2eJ is
driven to zero; hence, only the market risk remains.
Mini Case: 25 - 19
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website, in whole or in part.
j. What are two potential tests that can be conducted to verify the CAPM? What
are the results of such tests? What is roll’s critique of CAPM tests?
Answer: Since the CAPM was developed on the basis of a set of unrealistic assumptions,
empirical tests should be used to verify the CAPM. The first test looks for stability in
historical betas. If betas have been stable in the past for a particular stock, then its
historical beta would probably be a good proxy for its ex-ante, or expected beta.
Empirical work concludes that the betas of individual securities are not good
estimators of their future risk, but that betas of portfolios of ten or more randomly
selected stocks are reasonably stable, hence that past portfolio betas are good
estimators of future portfolio volatility.
The second type of test is based on the slope of the SML. As we have seen, the
CAPM states that a linear relationship exists between a security's required rate of
return and its beta. Further, when the SML is graphed, the vertical axis intercept
should be rRF, and the required rate of return for a stock (or portfolio) with beta = 1.0
should be rm, the required rate of return on the market. Various researchers have
attempted to test the validity of the CAPM model by calculating betas and realized
rates of return, plotting these values in graphs, and then observing whether or not (1)
the intercept is equal to rRF, (2) the regression line is linear, and (3) the SML passes
through the point b = 1.0, rm. Evidence shows a more-or-less linear relationship
between realized returns and market risk, but the slope is less than predicted. Tests
that attempt to assess the relative importance of market and company-specific risk do
not yield definitive results, so the irrelevance of diversifiable risk specified in the
CAPM model can be questioned.
Roll questioned whether it is even conceptually possible to test the CAPM. Roll
showed that the linear relationship which prior researchers had observed in graphs
resulted from the mathematical properties of the models being tested, hence that a
finding of linearity proved nothing about the validity of the CAPM. Roll's work did
not disprove the CAPM theory, but he did show that it is virtually impossible to prove
that investors behave in accordance with the theory.
In general, evidence seems to support the CAPM model when it is applied to
portfolios, but the evidence is less convincing when the CAPM is applied to
individual stocks.
Nevertheless, the CAPM provides a rational way to think about risk and return as
long as one recognizes the limitations of the CAPM when using it in practice.
Mini Case: 25 - 20
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website, in whole or in part.
k. Briefly explain the difference between the CAPM and the arbitrage pricing
theory (APT).
Answer: The CAPM is a single-factor model, while the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) can
include any number of risk factors. It is likely that the required return is dependent
on many fundamental factors such as the GNP growth, expected inflation, and
changes in tax laws, and that different groups of stocks are affected differently by
these factors. Thus, the apt seems to have a stronger theoretical footing than does the
CAPM. However, the apt faces several major hurdles in implementation, the most
severe being that the apt does not identify the relevant factors--a complex
mathematical procedure called factor analysis must be used to identify the factors. To
date, it appears that only three or four factors are required in the apt, but much more
research is required before the apt is fully understood and presents a true challenge to
the CAPM.
Mini Case: 25 - 21
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website, in whole or in part.
Mini Case: 25 - 22
© 2014 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible
website, in whole or in part.