Spot Speed PDF
Spot Speed PDF
Spot Speed PDF
Chapter 6
6.1 Overview
The main purpose of this chapter is to determine traffic parameter, specially speed. Speed
measurements are most often taken at a point (or a short section) of road way under conditions
of free flow. The intent is to determine the speeds that drivers select, unaffected by the existence
of congestion. This information is used to determine general speed trends, to help determine
reasonable speed limits, and to assess safety.
1. Spot speed This is the instantaneous speed of a vehicle at any specific location.
2. Running speed This is the average speed maintained over a particular course while the
vehicle is in the motion.
3. Journey speed This is the effective speed of the vehicle on a journey between two points
and the distance between two points and the distance between these points divided by
the total time taken for the vehicle to complete the journey, it includes all delay.
1. Speed trends,
3. Accidental analysis,
4. Geometric design,
5. Research studies.
required to collect the data, of which one is stand at the starting point to start and stop the
stop watch and other one is stand at end point to give indication to stop the watch when vehicle
passes the end line. Advantages of this method are that after the initial installation no set-up
time is required, markings are easily renewed, and disadvantage of this is that substantial error
can be introduced, and magnitude of error may change for substitute studies and this method
is only applicable for low traffic conditions.
Vertical Reference
point Vertical Reference
End Timing point
Study length
Approaching Vehicle
Start timing
Observer 2 Observer 1
X
Base length
Weather: Time:
Measurement Technique:
7
8
9
10
Surveyor:
Figure 6:3: Data collection sheet for Enoscope and Pavement Marking Methods
Spot Speed Data Collection Form
Location: Data:
Time:
Weather:
Measurement Technique:
Type of road:
Surveyor:
Spot Speed Data Collection Form
Location: Date:
Weather: Time:
Measurement Technique:
5 10
10 15
15 20
20 25
25 30
30 35
35 40
40 45
45 50
50 55
55 60
60 65
Surveyor:
$\% Frequency
20
15
Pace
10
0
32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 Speed
100 (kph)
$Cum.\%freq$
90
80 $86\%$
70
60 $\% Veh in pace =86−14= 72\%$
50 Median
40
30
20 $14\%$
10
0 Speed
32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 (kph)
Mean Speed
The arithmetic (or harmonic) average speed is the most frequently used speed statistics. It is
the measure of central tendency of the data. Mean calculated gives two kinds of mean speeds.
Σfi vi
vt = (6.1)
n
where, vt is the mean or average speed, vi is the individual speed of the ith vehicle, fi is the
frequency of speed, and n is the total no of vehicle observed (sample size). Time mean Speed
If data collected at a point over a period of time, e.g. by radar meter or stopwatch, produce
speed distribution over time, so the mean of speed is time mean speed. Space mean Speed
If data obtained over a stretch (section) of road almost instantaneously, aerial photography or
enoscope, result in speed distribution in space and mean is space mean speed. Distribution
over space and time are not same. Time mean speed is higher than the space mean speed. The
spot speed sample at one end taken over a finite period of time will tend to include some fast
vehicles which had not yet entered the section at the start of the survey, but will exclude some
of the slower vehicles. The relationship between the two mean speeds is expressed by:
σs2
vt = vs + (6.2)
vs
where, vt and vs are the time mean speed and space mean speed respectively. And σs is the
standard deviation of distribution space.
Median Speed
The median speed is defined as the speed that divides the distribution in to equal parts (i.e.,
there are as many observations of speeds higher than the median as there are lower than
the median). It is a positional value and is not affected by the absolute value of extreme
observations. By definition, the median equally divides the distribution. Therefore, 50% of all
observed speeds should be less than the median. In the cumulative frequency curve, the 50th
percentile speed is the median of the speed distribution. Median Speed = v50
Pace
The pace is a traffic engineering measure not commonly used for other statistical analyses. It is
defined as the 10Km/h increment in speed in which the highest percentage of drivers is observed.
It is also found graphically using the frequency distribution curve. As shown in fig 6.5. The
pace is found as follows: A 10 Km/h template is scaled from the horizontal axis. Keeping this
template horizontal, place an end on the lower left side of the curve and move slowly along the
curve. When the right side of the template intersects the right side of the curve, the pace has
been located. This procedure identifies the 10 Km/h increments that intersect the peak of the
curve; this contains the most area and, therefore, the highest percentage of vehicles.
Modal Speed
The mode is defined as the single value of speed that is most likely to occur. As no discrete values
were recorded, the modal speed is also determined graphically from the frequency distribution
curve. A vertical line is dropped from the peak of the curve, with the result found on the
horizontal axis.
Standard Deviation
The most common statistical measure of dispersion in a distribution is the standard deviation.
It is a measure of how far data spreads around the mean value. In simple terms, the standard
deviation is the average value of the difference between individual observations and the average
value of those observations. The Standard deviation, σs , of the sample can be calculated by
r
Σfi (vi − vv )2
σs = (6.3)
n−1
Percentile Speeds
The 85th and 15th percentile speeds give a general description of the high and low speeds
observed by most reasonable drivers. It is generally thought that the upper and lower 15% of
the distribution represents speeds that are either too fast or too slow for existing conditions.
These values are found graphically from the cumulative frequency distribution curve of Figure
6.4. The curve is entered on the vertical axis at values of 85% and 15%. The respective speeds
are found on the horizontal axis. The 85th and 15th percentile speeds can be used to roughly
estimate the standard deviation of the distribution σest , although this is not recommended when
the data is available for a precise determination.
v85 − v15
σest = (6.4)
2
The 85th and 15th percentile speeds give insight to both the central tendency and dispersion of
the distribution. As these values get closer to the mean, less dispersion exists and the stronger
the central tendency of the distribution becomes.
The 98th percentile speed is also determining from the cumulative frequency curve, this
speed is generally used for geometric design of the road.
µ = vt ± Zσs (6.7)
where, µ is the confidence interval, vt is mean speed, σs is standard deviation and Z is constant
for specified confidence.
Solution For the spot speed study, first draw a frequency distribution table show below.
1. From the table 6.3, we can draw frequency distribution and cumulative frequency distri-
bution curve.(shown in Fig 6.6 and 6.7)
2. From the curves, Median speed, v50 = 43 kmph; Modal speed, = 38 kmph; the Pace =
33 - 43 kmph; Percent vehicles in pace = 54-20= 34%; and the 85th Percentile speed =
58 kmph.
fi × (Vi − Vm )2
P
Speed Range Mid speed Vi Frequency fi % fi % fi fi × Vi
21-25 23 2 2% 2% 46 1036.876
26-30 28 6 5% 6% 168 1894.473
31-35 33 18 14% 20% 594 2934.959
36-40 38 25 19% 39% 950 1509.024
41-45 43 19 15% 54% 817 145.7041
46-50 48 16 12% 66% 768 79.6213
51-55 53 17 13% 79% 901 888.8284
56-60 58 12 9% 88% 696 1795.101
61-65 63 7 5% 94% 441 2078.296
66-70 68 4 3% 97% 272 1976.828
71-75 73 3 2% 99% 219 2224.544
76-80 78 1 1% 100% 78 1038.822
Total 130 100% 5950 17603.08
20\%
Mode
Frequency(\%)
pace
15\%
10\%
5\%
0\%
33 38 43
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Speed (kmph)
90\% $v_85$
85\%
80\%
cumulative frequency(\%)
70\%
60\%
$v_50$
50\%
40\%
30\%
20\%
$v_15$
15\%
10\%
32 43 58
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Speed (kmph)
4. The confidence bounds on the estimate of the true mean speed of the underlying distri-
bution are:
µ = vt ± Zσs
Parameter Value
Median speed 43 kmph
Modal speed 38 kmph
Pace 33-43 kmph
Vehicles in pace 34%
Mean speed 45.77 kmph
Standard Deviation 11.7 kmph
85th percentile speed 58 kmph
15th percentile speed 32 kmph
98th percentile Speed 72 kmph
Confidence interval
For 95%. 45.7722.93 kmph
For 99.7% 45.7725.1 kmph
Required sample Size 234
5. Sample size required for 95% confidence with acceptable error of 1.5 kmph
Z 2 σs2
nr =
Se2
1.962 × 11.72
= = 234.
1.52
So, given sample size is not sufficient and we require minimum 234 samples to achieve
that confidence with given acceptable error. The results are summaries in table 6.8.4
should be taken in advance of the curve, before deceleration begins. It may also be appro-
priate, however, to measure speeds at the point where accidents are occurring for evaluation
with approach speeds. This would allow the traffic engineer to assess whether the problem is
excessive approach speed or that drivers are not decelerating sufficiently through the subject
geometric element, or a combination of both. A study of intersection approach speeds must
also be taken at a point before drivers begin to decelerate. This may be a moving point, given
that queues get shorter and longer at different periods of the day.
6.10 Summary
This chapter has presented the basic concepts of speed studies. Spot speed studies are conducted
to estimate the distribution of speeds of vehicle in the traffic stream at a particular position
on highway. This is done by recording the speeds of vehicle at the specified location. These
data are used to obtain speed characteristics such as mean speed, modal speed, pace, standard
deviation and different percentile of speeds. The important factors which should consider during
plan of studies is the location of study, time and duration of study. The data sample collected
should contain samples size. These gives precision and accuracy of result.
6.11 References
1. F D Hobbs. Traffic Planning and Engineering. Pergamon Press, 1979. 2nd Edition.
2. Nicholas J Garber Lester A Hoe. Traffic and Highway Engineering. Cengage Learning
Product, Fourth Edition, 2009.
3. Theodore M Matson, Wilbure S smith, and Fredric W Hurd. Traffic engineering, 1955.