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DS

This document discusses options on stock indices and currencies. It provides examples of using index options for portfolio insurance when the portfolio's beta is 1.0 or not 1.0. It also discusses currency options and range forwards. Key points covered include pricing formulas for European stock index options and an example calculation of a European call option price on an index.

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Delisha
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
58 views

DS

This document discusses options on stock indices and currencies. It provides examples of using index options for portfolio insurance when the portfolio's beta is 1.0 or not 1.0. It also discusses currency options and range forwards. Key points covered include pricing formulas for European stock index options and an example calculation of a European call option price on an index.

Uploaded by

Delisha
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 57

LECTURE TEN

Options on stock indices


and
currencies
Objectives
• Index options
– Portfolio beta
– Options on dividend paying stock
– Pricing index options
• Currency options
– Similarity with options on dividend paying index
– Binomial model adapted for dividends or interest
• Futures options
– Mechanics
– Binomial model
– Black’s model

2
Options on stock indices
– The most popular underlying indices in the US are:
• S&P 100 (OEX and XEO)
• S&P 500 (SPX)
• Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJX) (times 0.01)
• Nasdaq-100 (NDX)

– In Australia, the ASX offers XJO Index Options that


have the S&P/ASX 200 Index as the underlying
asset

3
Options on stock indices
– Index option contracts are on 100 times the index
– On the ASX, one XJO Index Option contract is on 10
times the index
– They are settled in cash
• The holder of a call option contract receives (S – K)x10 in
cash and the writer of the option pays this amount in cash
• The holder of a put option contract receives (K – S )x10 in
cash and the writer of the option pays this amount in cash
where:
S: the value of the index on the morning of the last trading date
K: the strike price


4
Using index options for portfolio
insurance
– Suppose that the value of the index is S0 and the
strike price is K
– If a portfolio’s β is 1.0:
• The portfolio insurance is obtained by buying one put
option contract on the index for each 10S0 dollars in the
portfolio
– If the portfolio’s β is not 1.0:
• β put options must be purchased for each 10S0 dollars
in the portfolio
– In both cases, K is chosen to give the appropriate
insurance level
5
Example 1
When the portfolio’s beta is 1.0
– A portfolio has a beta of 1.0 and is worth
$500,000
– The value of the S&P/ASX 200 index is 5,000

What trade is necessary to provide insurance against


the portfolio value dropping below $450,000?

6
Example 1 Cont.
• The manager buys 10 put option contracts with a
strike price of 4500 on the S&P/ASX 200.
• If the index drops to 4400
• The value of the portfolio drops to $440,000
• So, there is a payoff of $10,000 (10*10*(4500-4400))
from the 10 put option contracts.

7
Example 2
When the portfolio’s beta is not 1.0
– A portfolio has a beta of 2.0 and is worth $500,000
– The value of the S&P/ASX 200 index is 5,000
– The risk-free rate is 12% per annum
– The dividend yield on both the portfolio and the index
is 4%

What trade is necessary to provide insurance against the portfolio


value dropping below $450,000?
•How many put option contracts should be
purchased for portfolio insurance?
8
Example 2 Cont.

• The strategy: buys 20 put option contracts with a strike


price of 4800.

• The outcome:
• If the index drops to 4400.
• The value of the portfolio drops to $370,000.
• There is a payoff of $80,000 from the 20 put option
contracts. This perfectly hedge the manager’s position:

• $370,000 + 80,000=$450,000.

9
When the portfolio’s beta is not 1.0
Calculation of expected value of portfolio when the
index is 5,200 in three months and β = 2.0
Value of index in three months: 5,200
Return from change in index: 200/5,000, or 4% per three months
Dividends from index: 0.25 × 4 = 1% per three months
Total return from index: 4 + 1 = 5% per three months
Risk-free interest rate: 0.25 × 12 = 3% per three months

Excess return from index over risk-free interest rate: 5 – 3 = 2% per three months
Expected excess return from portfolio over risk-free
2 × 2 = 4% per three months
interest rate:
Expected return from portfolio: 3 + 4 = 7% per three months
Dividends from
Table 15.1, pageportfolio:
323 0.25 × 4 = 1% per three months
Expected increase in value of portfolio: 7 – 1 = 6% per three months
Expected value of portfolio: $500,000 × 1.06 = $530,000 10
When the portfolio’s beta is not 1.0
Relationship between value of index and value of portfolio for
β=2.0
Value of portfolio in three months
Value of index in three months ($)
5,400 570,000
5,200 530,000
5,000 490,000
4,800 450,000
4,600 410,000
4,400 370,000
Table 15.2, page 324

An option with a strike price of 4,800 will provide protection


against a 10% decline in the portfolio value ($500,000 -
$450,000).
11
Currency Options
– In the US:
• Currency options are primarily traded in the over-the-
counter market and are also traded on the NASDAQ
OMX
– In Australia:
• Currency options may be available in the over-the-
counter market
• Currency warrants are available on the ASX
– Currency options are used by corporations to
hedge a foreign exchange exposure

12
Range forwards
– A range-forward contract is a variation on a standard
forward contract for hedging foreign exchange risk
– They have the effect of ensuring that the exchange rate
paid or received will lie within a certain range
– When currency is to be paid it involves selling a put with
strike price K1 and buying a call with strike price K2 .This is
known as long range-forward contract.
– When currency is to be received it involves buying a put
with strike price K1 and selling a call with strike price K2.
This is known as short range-forward contract.
– Normally the price of the put equals the price of the call .

13
Range forwards
• Payoffs from: (a) a short and (b) a long range-
forward contract

• Figure 15.1, page 326

14
Options on stocks paying known
dividend yields
– The payment of a dividend yield at rate q will
cause the growth rate in the stock price to be less
than it would otherwise be by an amount q.
– We get the same probability distribution for the
stock price at time T in each of the following
cases:
• The stock starts at price S0 and provides a dividend
yield q
• The stock starts at price S0e-qT and provides no income,
i.e., pays no dividends.

15
Options on stocks paying known
dividend yields – The simple rule
– When valuing European options on a stock paying
known dividends we reduce the stock price from
S0 to S0e-qT and then value the option as though
there is no dividend

16
Lower bounds for option prices
The lower bound for a European call option price, c, is
given by: c ≥ S e-qT − Ke-rT
0

The lower bound for a European put option, p, is given


by:

p ≥ Ke-rT − S0e-qT

17
Put–call parity
•The put–call parity for a European option on a
stock paying a dividend yield of q is:
c + Ke-rT = p + S0e-qT

• For American options, the put–call parity
relationship is:

S0e-qT - K ≤ C - P ≤ S0 - Ke-rT

18
Pricing formulas
• c = S0e-qT N(d1) - Ke-rT N(d2)

p = Ke-rT N(-d2) - S0e-qT N(-d1)
• where:

19
Valuation of European stock index
options
• Index options could be treated as an asset
paying a known yield.
– Set:
• S0: the value of the index
• σ: the volatility of the index
• q: the average annualised dividend yield on the index
during the life of the option

20
Example 15.3
•Consider a European call option on the
S&P/ASX 200 that is two months from maturity.
•S0 = 4,650; K = 4,500; r = 0.08; σ = 0.2; T = 2/12;
dividend yields of 0.2% and 0.3% are expected in
the first month and the second month,
respectively.

•How much would one contract cost?

21
SOLUTION TO EXAMPLE 15.3
ln( 4650 / 4500)  (0.08  0.03  0.22 / 2)  2 / 12
d1   0.5445
0.2 2 / 12
ln( 4650 / 4500)  (0.08  0.03  0.22 / 2)  2 / 12
d2   0.4628
0.2 2 / 12

So that the call price, c, is given by eqn. 15.4 as:

N d1   0.7070, N d 2   0.6782


c  4650  0.7070 e ( 0.03)( 2 /12)  4500  0.6782 e ( 0.08)( 2 /12)  259.675
So, one contract would cost $259.675
Using forward prices
• Define: F0 = S0e(r-q)T
• So that: c = F0e-rT N(d1) - Ke-rT N(d2)

p = Ke-rT N(-d2) - F0e-rT N(-d1)


• where:
ln(F /K) σ 2
T/2
d1  0
σ T
ln(F /K) σ 2
T/2
d2  0
σ T
23
Valuation of European currency
options
– We denote:
• the spot exchange rate by S0
• the foreign interest rate by rf
– The return measured in the domestic currency
from investing in the foreign currency is rf times
the value of the investment
– This shows that the foreign currency provides a
yield at rate rf

24
Valuation of European currency
options
With q replaced by rf, the bounds for the European call
price and the European put price are:
−r f T −rT
𝑐 ≥ 𝑆0 e − 𝐾e

𝑝 ≥ 𝐾e−rT − 𝑆0 e−r f T

The put–call parity for European currency options


is:
𝑐 + 𝐾e−rT = 𝑝 + 𝑆0 e−r f T
25
The pricing formulas for European
currency options
 rf T
cS0e N (d1 )Ke rT N (d 2 )

rT rf T
pKe N (d2 )S0e N (d1 )

ln( S0 / K )( rrf  2 /2)T


• where: d1
 T
ln( S0 / K )( rrf  2 /2)T
d2 
 T
26
Using forward exchange rates
( rrf )T
• Using: F0 S0e

ce  rT [ F0 N ( d1 )KN ( d 2 )]
• Then:
pe rT [ KN ( d 2 )F0 N ( d1 )]

ln( F0 / K ) 2T /2
d1 
 T
• where:
ln( F0 / K ) 2T /2
d2
 T
27
American options
The binomial model
•For a non-dividend-paying stock, the probability of
an up movement is:
𝑎−𝑑
𝑝=
𝑢−𝑑

• Where 𝑎 = 𝑒 𝑟∆𝑇

• For options on index. 𝑎 = 𝑒 (𝑟−𝑞)∆𝑇

• For options on currency. 𝑎 = e(𝑟−𝑟 𝑓 )∆T

28
Nature of futures options
– A futures option is the right, but not the obligation, to
enter into a futures contract at a certain futures price
by a certain date.
– A call (put) futures option is the right to enter into a
long (short) futures contract at a certain price.
– Futures options are generally American; that is, they
can be exercised at any time during the life of the
contract
– The expiration date is usually on, or a few days before,
the earliest delivery date of the underlying futures
contract

29
Mechanics of call futures option
– When a call futures option is exercised the holder
acquires:

• A long position in the futures


• A cash amount equal to the excess futures price at time
of exercise over the strike price

– An investor who sells (or writes) a call futures


option receives the option premium and take the
risk that the contract will be exercised.

30
Mechanics of call futures option-
Example 16.1
• An investor buys a July call futures option contract on
gold. The contract size is 100 ounces. The strike price is
900.
• The exercise decision:
The investor exercises the July gold futures price is 940
and the most recent settlement price is 938.
• Outcome for investor:
– Receives a cash amount = (938-900) * 100 = $3,800.
– Receives a long futures contract.
– Closes out the long futures contract immediately for a gain
of (940-938)*100 = $200.
– Total payoff = $4,000.
Mechanics of put futures option
– When a put futures option is exercised the holder
acquires:
• A short position in the futures
• A cash amount equal to the excess of the strike price
over the futures price at the time of exercise

– The writer of a put futures option obtains a long


futures position and the excess of the strike price
over the most recent settlement price.

32
Mechanics of put futures options
• An investor buys a September put futures options
contract on corn. The contract size is 5,000 bushels.
The strike price is 300 cents.
• Exercise decision:
• The investor exercises when the September corn
futures price is 280 and the most recent settlement
price is 279.
• The outcome:
– Receives (3.00 – 2.79 )*5000=1050.
– Receives a short futures contract.
– Closes out the short futures position immediately for a loss
of (2.80-2.79)*5000 = $50.
– Total payoff = $1,000.
The payoffs
If the futures position is closed out immediately:
• Payoff from call = F – K
• Payoff from put = K – F

where:
F: futures price at time of exercise
K: strike price

34
Reasons for the popularity of futures
options
– Futures contracts are more liquid and easier to
trade
– Futures price is known immediately from trading
on the futures exchange
– Exercise of the futures option does not lead to
delivery of the underlying asset
– Futures options and futures are traded in pits side
by side in the same exchange
– Futures options entail lower transactions costs

35
European spot and futures options
The payoff from a European call option with strike price
K on the spot price of an asset:

Max(ST - K, 0)

•The payoff from a European call option with the
same strike price on the futures price of the
asset:
Max(FT - K, 0)

36
Put–call parity
• Consider the following two portfolios:
– European call futures option plus an amount of cash
equal to Ke-rT
– European put futures option plus a long futures
contract plus an amount of cash equal to F0e-rT to.
•It can be shown the value of both portfolios is equal
to max (FT, K) at time T. Therefore:

c+ Ke-rT =p+F0e-rT

37
Put–call parity for American futures
options
• The relationship is:

F0e-rT – K < C – P < F0 - Ke-rT


38
Bounds for futures options
• European:
• c ≥ (F0 – K)e-rT
• p ≥ (K - F0)e-rT

• American:

C ≥ F0 – K
p ≥ K - F0

39
Valuation of futures options using
binomial trees
• A one-month call option on futures has a
strike price of 29. Futures Price = $33
Option Price = $4

Futures price = $30


Option Price =?

Futures Price = $28


Option Price = $0

40
Setting up a riskless hedge
– Consider a portfolio:
• Short position in one options contract
• Long position in Δ futures contracts

3Δ–4

-2Δ
– Portfolio is riskless when 3 Δ – 4 = -2Δ or Δ = 0.8

•What is the value of the portfolio today assuming r=.06?



41
Valuing the portfolio
– The riskless portfolio consists of:
• One short option
• Δ long futures contracts
– The value of the portfolio in one month = –1.6
– The value of the portfolio today:
–1.6e-0.06*1/12 = –1.592
– Since the value of the futures contract today is
zero, the value of the option today must be 1.592

42
Generalisation example
• Futures price and option price in the
general situation

Figure 16.2, page 345

43
Generalisation example (cont.)
• Consider the portfolio that is long D futures
and short one option
F0u D  F0 D – ƒu

F0d D F0D – ƒd
. The portfolio is riskless when:
ƒ u f d
Δ
F0 u F0 d
44
Generalisation example (cont.)
• Value of the portfolio at time T is always:
(F0u - F0)∆ – ƒu

• Value of the portfolio today:

[(F0u - F0)∆ – ƒu]e-rT

• The present value of the portfolio:


-f = [(F0u - F0)∆ – ƒu]e-rT
45
Generalisation example (cont.)
• Substituting for Δ and simplifying reduces this
equation to:
• f = e-rT [pfu + (1 – p) fd)]

• where:

1 d
p
u d

46
Example in slide 40 - revisited
• U =1.1; d=0.9333; r =0.06; T=1/12; fu=4; fd=0.

1 d 1  0.9333
p    0.4
u  d 1.1  0.9333

f = e-0.06* 1/12 [0.4*4 + (1 – 0.4)*0]= 1.592


A futures price as an asset providing a
yield
– Futures prices behave in the same way as a stock
paying a dividend yield q equal to the domestic
risk-free rate r


48
A futures price as an asset providing a
yield
– A futures contract requires zero investment
– In a risk-neutral world the expected profit must be
zero
– The expected payoff from a futures contract must
therefore be zero
– The expected growth rate of the futures price
must be zero
– The futures price can therefore be treated like a
stock paying a dividend yield of r

49
Black’s model for valuing futures
options
• Formulas for European options on futures are
known as Black’s model.

c e
 rT
F
0 N(d 1 )K N(d 2 )

p  e  rT K N( d2 )  F0 N( d1 )

• where:
ln(F0 /K)  σ 2T/2
d1 
σ T

ln(F0 /K)  σ 2T/2


d2   d1  σ T
σ T
50
Example 16.4
• Consider a European put futures option on crude
oil. The time to the option’s maturity is four
months, the current futures price is $60, the
exercise price is $60, the risk-free interest rate is
9% per annum and the volatility of the futures
price is 25% per annum.

F0= 60, K=60, r=0.09,T=4/12, σ=0.25 and


ln(F0/K)=0.

• What is the put price?


What is the put price? (Example 16.4)

 T
d1   0.07217
2

 T
d2     0.07217
2
N  d1   0.4712, N  d 2   0.5288

p  e 0.094 /12 60  0.5288  60  0.4712  3.35 or $3.35


Using Black’s model instead of
the Black–Scholes–Merton model
– Black’s model provides a way of calculating the
value of European options on the spot price of an
asset
– Example 16.5:
• A 6-month European call option on the spot price of
gold
• K = $900, F0 = $930, r = 0.05, T = 0.5, and σ = 0.2

What is the value of the option?

53
Example 16.5
The value of the option is given by equation 16.7
as:

c  e  rT F0 N d1   KN d 2 

ln 930 / 900   0.2  0.5 / 2


d1   0.3026
0.2  0.5
ln 930 / 900   0.2  0.5 / 2
d2   0.1611
0.2  0.5
Therefore,
c  e  0.050.5 930 N d1   900 N d 2 
American futures options vs. American
spot options
– If futures prices are higher than spot prices:
• an American call futures option is worth more than the
corresponding American spot call option
• an American put on futures is worth less than the
corresponding American spot put option

– When futures prices are lower than spot prices


the reverse is true

55
Futures-style options
– Futures-style options are futures contracts on the
option payoff
– Some exchanges trade futures-style options in
preference to regular futures options
– The futures price in a call futures-style option is:

F0 N ( d1 )KN ( d 2 )
– The futures price in a put futures-style option is:

KN ( d 2 )F0 N ( d1 )
56
Put-call parity results: Summary
• Non-dividend paying stock:
c K e rT p S0
• Indices:
c K e rT p S0 e qT

• Foreign exchange:
c K e rT p S0 e rfT
• Futures:
c K e rT p F0 e rT
57

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