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ASAHI Spreadsheet - Group 8

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Figures for 1990

Net profit
Sales
Total assets
Shareholders' Equity (or Net assets)

ROE, %
ROS, %
S/A
A/E

Industry Growth Rate, %

Suggested Ratios for 1991


ROE, %
S/A
A/E
ROS, %

Change in cost as percentage of sales, %

Forecasts for Sales, assets, investments and resources

Sales, 1990
Beer sales as percentage of total sales
Beer sales, 1990
Market share
Planned annual rate of growth of market share, %
Target growth rate 1990-1991, %
Beer sales, 1991
Beer assets, 1991
Beer assets, 1990
Investment required, 1991
Profit in 1991
Additional debt capacity; 1991
Total new resources available; 1991
Resources available less investment required

* The 1990 ratios (that is, ROE, ROS, S/A and A/E) are for the whole company and not for the beer business
alone. For lack of information, we assume that these ratios are same for all businesseses of the firms. For Kirin,
Asahi, and Sapporo, the beer business accounts for more than 80% of the revenue, so the assumption, if
incorrect, would result in relatively small error. But, for Suntory, whose beer business accounts for about a
quarter of its sales, this assumption, if wrong, could result in larger error.
! This assumes that the target growth in sales could be achieved by the same percentage growth in assets. In
reality, however, investment could be lumpy. To take that into account we will have to prepare the plan for
several years.
# This assumes that the entire cost saving is implemented within one year. In reality, that could take several
years. The assumption is justified here only for an academic exercise where we do not want to make financial
projections for multiple years.
$ A positive number indicates that the stratregy appears to be financially feasible. The company will have the
resources to meet the investment required.
@ Here, for Suntory, I have suggested ROE equal to the industry rate of growth. But you should try out
different ratios. What happens when suggested ROE is less than industry rate of growth? Do you have enough
resources to implement your strategy?
% For Kirin, I have suggested an ROE that is equal to its current ROE which happens to be higher than the
industry rate of growth. One could suggest a lower ROE, but management and other stakeholders may not
accept. A higher ROE may require reduction in cost.
& Here I have suggested firm's rate of growth equal to that of the industry. This means that firm's market share
should remain constant. A lower rate of growth would mean loss of market share. Such a strategy is easier to
implement financially, but may not be desirable. A higher rate of growth would mean increase in market share,
but would be very expensive.
^ Here I have taken planned annual growth of market share as 0%. But you can try out different numbers. If
market share is planned to grow at a positive non-zero rate, you will see an increase in investment required. If
market share is planned to go down, investment required will also go down. You should also understand that if a
firm plans for an increase in market share, the market share of some competitor(s) must go down.
Kirin Asahi Sapporo Suntory
(Figures in ¥ mil) (Figures in ¥ mil) (Figures in ¥ mil) (Figures in ¥ mil)
35841 6119 4006 4865
1355787 730800 492628 796445
1205260 1167200 562849 1006224
493064 270967 124315 220507

7.27% 2.26% 3.22% 2.21% *


2.64% 0.84% 0.81% 0.61% *
1.125 0.626 0.875 0.792 *
2.44 4.31 4.53 4.56 *

7.15% 7.15% 7.15% 7.15%

7.15% 7.15% 7.15% 7.15% @,%


1.125 0.626 0.875 0.792
2.44 4.31 4.53 4.56
2.60% 2.65% 1.80% 1.98%

0.04% -1.81% -0.99% -1.37%

1355787 730800 492628 796445


89.00% 82.00% 92.00% 26.20%
1206650.43 599256 453217.76 208668.59
48.90% 24.28% 18.37% 8.46%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% ^
7.15% 7.15% 7.15% 7.15% &
1292925.935745 642102.804 485622.82984 223588.394185
1149378.1201 1025536.936 554845.28722 282480.282192
1072681.4 957104 517821.08 263630.688
76696.7201 68432.9359999996 37024.2072199999 18849.594192 !
33619.52076626 17022.701067515 8762.12771005 4426.1068016165 #
48561.01482089 56303.189856485 30909.31032618 15771.233375112
82180.53558715 73325.890924 39671.43803623 20197.340176728
5483.81548714996 4892.95492400034 2647.23081623006 1347.7459847281 $
Kirin Asahi SapporoSuntory
(Figures i (Figures i (Figures i (Figures in ¥ mil)
35841 6119 4006 4865
1355787 730800 492628 796445
1205260 1167200 562849 1006224
493064 270967 124315 220507

7.27% 2.26% 3.22% 2.21%


2.64% 0.84% 0.81% 0.61%
1.125 0.626 0.875 0.792
2.44 4.31 4.53 4.56

7.15% 7.15% 7.15% 7.15%

9.15% 9.15% 9.15% 9.15%


1.125 0.626 0.875 0.792
2.44 4.31 4.53 4.56
27.97202797202800% 3.33% 3.39% 2.31% 2.53% -27.97202797202800%

-0.68% -2.56% -1.50% -1.92%

1355787 730800 492628 796445


89.00% 82.00% 92.00% 26.20%
1206650 599256 453218 208669
48.90% 24.28% 18.37% 8.46%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
7.15% 7.15% 7.15% 7.15%
1292926 642103 485623 223588
1149378 1025537 554845 282480
1072681 957104 517821 263631
76696.72 68432.94 37024.21 18849.59
27.97% 43023.58 21784.3 11213.07 5664.179 -27.97202797202800%
27.97% 62144.52 72052.33 39555.27 20182.77 -27.97202797202800%
27.97% 105168 93836.63 50768.34 25846.95 -27.97202797202800%
28471.38 25403.69 13744.14 6997.352
Kirin Asahi SapporoSuntory
(Figures i (Figures i (Figures i (Figures in ¥ mil)
35841 6119 4006 4865
1355787 730800 492628 796445
1205260 1167200 562849 1006224
493064 270967 124315 220507

7.27% 2.26% 3.22% 2.21%


2.64% 0.84% 0.81% 0.61%
1.125 0.626 0.875 0.792
2.44 4.31 4.53 4.56

7.15% 7.15% 7.15% 7.15%

5.15% 5.15% 5.15% 5.15%


1.125 0.626 0.875 0.792
2.44 4.31 4.53 4.56
1.87% 1.91% 1.30% 1.43%

0.77% -1.07% -0.49% -0.82%

1355787 730800 492628 796445


89.00% 82.00% 92.00% 26.20%
1206650 599256 453218 208669
48.90% 24.28% 18.37% 8.46%
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
7.15% 7.15% 7.15% 7.15%
1292926 642103 485623 223588
1149378 1025537 554845 282480
1072681 957104 517821 263631
76696.72 68432.94 37024.21 18849.59
24215.46 12261.11 6311.183 3188.035
34977.51 40554 22263.35 11359.7
59193 52815.15 28574.53 14547.73
-17503.7 -15617.8 -8449.67 -4301.86

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