DR Hatem El Bitar Surveillance
DR Hatem El Bitar Surveillance
DR Hatem El Bitar Surveillance
Dr Janvi Chaubey
Feedback Analyze
Feedback Analyze
data
information
information data
4
Establish Goals
A. Time
• Graph over time
B. Place
• Map
C. Person
• Breakdown by age, sex or personal characteristics,
vaccination status
Numerator issues:
• Definition
• Ascertainment
• Severity
Denominator issues:
• Population base
• Which denominator
Types of Surveillance:
(a) A focused location for surveillance (such as health
facility-based surveillance or community based
surveillance).
(b) A designated or representative health facility or
reporting site for early warning of epidemic or
pandemic events (sentinel surveillance).
(c) Surveillance conducted at laboratories for detecting
events or trends not necessarily evident at other sites.
(d) Disease-specific surveillance involving activities
aimed at targeted health data for a specific disease.
(Disease surveillance and notifiable disease reporting
system)
WHO integrated disease surveillance and response in the African region a guide for establishing community based surveillance
Population based
Types of surveillance
Surveillance
Integrated disease surveillance and response in the african region ; A guide for establishing community based surveillance
Advantages:
• To facilitate easy and early reporting, to keep
vigilance at the community level
• To get the community involved so they
understand their health problems.
• To help people to be free from diseases
• To improve the health of the people
• Detecting individuals who do not seek medical
care
• Building health care network within
community
Disadvantages
• Sensitivity and specificity of case detection
• Positive predictive value of the trigger events
• Timeliness of reporting and
• Acceptability of the system, based on
interviews of key informants in a sample of
villages.
• All Health conditions are not suitable for CBS
For eg STDs because of their associated social
pressure and consequences
Hospital based surveillance
• The main reporter in this surveillance system is
physician or any proper system placed in hospital
for regularly reporting and capturing information.
• The hospital may assign any physician or proper
system to take responsibility for such reporting
• This type of surveillance requires an accurate
estimation of the demographic characteristics of
the population under surveillance
• The hospital administration should be fully
informed and understand the importance of
surveillance.
Selection of surveillance population and
participating hospitals
• It should be demographically and
geographically well defined, and data should
be available on e.g. age distribution and
numbers of births and deaths
• The numbers of children in specific age groups
• Surveillance is best initiated in a population
that has been stable and is expected to best
able during the period of surveillance.
• A population that uses a single hospital or a small
number of hospitals and has good access to it or
them would be ideal. A study is easiest to conduct
if a single large hospital serves the population and
if the services it provides are free.
• It is advisable to be aware of the sources of health
care in the population under surveillance and the
numbers of patients they care for.
• Actual size of a surveillance population that
would yield accurate estimates is difficult to
determine, given the paucity of data on
hospitalizations in developing countries and the
unknown sensitivity of each system in detecting
and testing cases of gastroenteritis.
Advantages:
• Hospitalizations are easy to detect and they
have good source of well structured data
• Hospitalizations represent a significant cost in
health resources.
• Hospitals are likely to have a laboratory
capability
Disadvantages:
• Health conditions of mild illness as individual
does not seek health care or require
hospitalizations
• Some conditions which are not tracked well in
hospitals. (eg MI lead hospitalization could give
false estimate of true incidence)
• Lack of Representativeness of Reported Cases
• Lack of Timeliness
• Inconsistency of Case Definitions
• To get the denominator i.e. population at risk for
calculating the incidence
The final design of surveillance ought to differ
based on the context and challenges existing
locally, therefore requiring customizable and
adaptable strategies to ensure the feasibility
of caring out surveillance.
Surveillance
methodology
Active Surveillance
• Active surveillance (“hot pursuit”)identifies cases
through screening of hospital admission records,
emergency department logs, medical wards, and
intensive care units and out-of-hospital facilities,
including nursing homes, radiology centers, and
physicians’ offices.
• Screening is the essential step in active
surveillance
• Appropriate screening terms and rigorous
standardized procedures are necessary to
minimize the number of missing cases.
Source: Comparison of Active and Passive surveillance for CerebrovascularThe Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) Project
• The system does not wait for:
Case-patients to come to health care
facilities
Health care facilities to report cases
• Health care workers actively reach out to
detect cases
• Surveillance comes in addition to routine
health care delivery.
• This method requires more resources than
passive surveillance, but is especially useful
when it is important to identify all cases
When to consider active surveillance?
Informed decision based on vaccine
characteristics, pre-licensure data, safety
profile of similar vaccine/s, safety signal, other
• IS and rotavirus vaccines
• Limited pre-registration data
• Variation in vaccine characteristics –annual
changes to seasonal influenza vaccine
• To address vaccine safety ‘concerns’ that may/have
damaged confidence
• Active surveillance will include cohort and clinical
trails.
Advantages
• Can be very sensitive
• Can collect more detailed information
• May be more representative.
Disadvantages
• High Cost
• Labor intensive
• Difficult to sustain over time.
Active Surveillance for IS in a phase 3 efficacy
trail of a oral monovalent rotavirus vaccines in
India - Jacob John
Methodology:
• It was double blind placebo controlled ,
Randomized clinical trail to evaluate the efficacy
of three doses of Rotavac against severe
gastroenteritis which was conducted at three sites
(Delhi , Pune and Vellore) in India between 2010
& 2013
Subject recruitment and follow up:
Subjects enrolled 6-7 weeks of age
•The phase 3 clinical trail enrolled 6799 children
across three sites ( Delhi -3799, Pune -1500,
Vellore- 1500)
Vaccine(Rotavac) Arm -4419
Placebo Arm-2191
• Randomized in 2:1 ratio to receive 3 doses of
vaccine or a placebo.
• The first 1/3rd of the participants enrolled in
the study at all three sites were followed for
their safety (staff doing daily contacts for 14
days as follow up for vaccine)
• 2/3rd included in the trail were followed
weekly until the age of two years of follow up.
• Caregivers were given mobile phones and
access to the study team whenever the child
suffered from the symptoms of acute
gastroenteritis.
Screening and management of suspected IS:
•Screening criteria for suspected IS were
identified and treated appropriately
•Each children with IS were identified and
examined by the study team and was taken for
pediatric consultation and hospitalization if
required
•All diagnosis was confirmed through
Ultrasound screening
Adjunction of Cases:
•Independent Case adjunction committee blinded
to the children allocation to different groups
reviewed all clinical reports and radiologic
evidence of IS cases and brightons criteria of IS
•This committee constitutes senior pediatric
surgeon , pediatric radiologist and pediatrician.
•Relative risk was calculated for 7 day ,14 day
and 60 day periods after any dose and 365 day
period after first dose.
John et al,2014
Results:
The incidence rate of confirmed IS among
vaccine group was 94/100,000 child years (95%
CI ,41,185) and 71/100,000 child years years
(95% CI ,15,206) in Placebo group.
No temporal association with vaccination
(including 2 year of follow up, the
difference between the treatment arm was
not statistically significant
OR ratio calculated 1.34
Limitations:
• Due to usage of broad criteria for identifying
cases in active surveillance resulted in
screening of children with non specific illness
were also have undergone ultrasound
screening
• This surveillance has also diagnosed large of
transient cases .
Passive Surveillance
• Passive surveillance(or “cold pursuit” )ascertains
cases by searching hospital discharge diagnoses.
• Health care facilities or providers report cases as
they present in health care facilities
• No specific efforts are made to make sure all
cases are reported
• Surveillance is integrated to routine health care
delivery
• Cases are identified as per case definition
Strengths
• Large population cover
• Simple to operate/inexpensive
• Signal detection
• Hypothesis generation
• Triggers further investigation
• Cost
• Easier to design and carry out
• Useful for monitoring trends over time
Weaknesses
• Reporting biases –Under-reporting
• Stimulated reporting
• Inconsistent data quality/completeness
• Can’t determine AEFI incidence
• Not designed to assess causality
• Low sensitivity
• Amount of data available is limited
• May not be representative
Retrospective surveillance for IS in children
aged less than five years at two tertiary care
centers in India
- -J.V. Singh
110 15 Non
Duplicates responders
250 Definite
cases( excludes
readmissions & 4 overseas
cases )
• The base line rate of incidence of
intussusception prior to the introduction of
rotavirus vaccine into UK vaccine schedule
was calculated.
• Baseline rates obtained for UK 24.8/100,000 &
Republic of Ireland 24.2/100,000
Limitations
• Only definite cases of intussusception was
included so may cause underreporting so there
may be underestimation of actual cases of IS
• It rely lot on clinical interest and involvement
so consistency and adherence to the study
protocol and validation is important
Active & Passive surveillance
(Integrated surveillance)
• A combination of active and passive systems using
a single infrastructure that gathers information
about multiple diseases or behaviors of interest to
several intervention programs.
• It require coordination and collaboration among
various programs, first line providers (veterinarians
or clinicians), epidemiologists, information system
specialists and laboratory personnel, design efforts
must consider each of these groups’ needs,
capabilities, limitations, logistical assets, budgetary
realities and legal requirements.
Intussusception in southern India: Comparison of
retrospective analysis and retrospective surveillance
-Susan Jahangir
Time
Time
present
future
time
“Risk”
Period outside the risk window(“Control”)
Window
8
2 3 4 5 6 7
Vaccination
• Potential time fixed confounders are of lesser
concern in contrast to traditional case control
method as only case data is being used.
• The self-controlled case series (SCCS) represents
one particular methodology that may be useful for
active surveillance of drug safety.
• SCCS has strengths and weaknesses.
Modifications of the basic model can address
some but not all of the weaknesses.
Further research is required to establish the
operating characteristics of SCCS-based
active surveillance.
Limitations:
• As SCCS estimates the exposure-outcome
association in cases, it ignores data on
individuals in the study population that did not
experience the outcome event.
• SCCS approach concern the underlying
independence assumptions, in particular, the
assumption that events are conditionally
independent, and the assumption that the
exposure distribution and the observation
period must be independent of event times.
Intussusception and monovalent rotavirus vaccination
in Singapore Self-Controlled Case Series and Risk-
Benefit Study
- Chee-Fu Yung
Methodology:
• Self-controlled case series is used by extracting
intussusception cases in infants <12 month age from
hospital databases (2005-2012) and with vaccination
histories from a national immunization registry.
• Relative incidences were calculated by comparing
incidence during defined risk periods after vaccination
with times outside these periods.
Risk Period: 1-7 days and 8-21 days after vaccination
with day 0 being the day of vaccination.
Non-risk period : time period before vaccination and
>21 days after a dose of rotavirus vaccine, within the 1-
to 12-month age observation period.
Results:
time
Methodology:
Population based Surveillance for IS (Dec
2000-Nov 2002)
Passive surveillance for hospitalized infants(
age< 1years) with IS was conducted in two
phases in south Delhi.
Age and sex specific estimates were used to
calculate the incidence of IS
The result obtained through passive
surveillance were linked with active hospital
based surveillance
Case control study of the association between
Rotavirus infection and Intussusception
Case selection: Infants irrespective of area
their area of residence were included for cases
(age 2-12 months ) who had a confirmed
diagnosis of IS by either Ultrasonography or
surgery
Control selection:
Infants (2-12 months of age) admitted to the
same hospital as the case patients but do not
have the IS
Assessment of case patients and control
subjects through questionaire
Active Surveillance:
•The community in south Delhi was selected of
population ~500,000
•Trained field worker conducted baseline house
to house survey to record the age and sex of
children ,5 years of age
•Total of 11,416 children were identified and
their age and sex specific estimates were used
as denominator for calculating the incidence of
IS
Results:
• Intussusception rates obtained ~ 18 cases per
100,000 infant years of follow up
• Patients with IS were assessed through
ultrasound reported that Rotavirus infection
was associated with increased distal wall
thickness and lymphadenopathy during illness
suggesting a plausible mechanism by which
rotavirus infection could cause IS
Limitations
• All patients in source population were not
covered because they either had died without
seeking medical care at hospital or have not
accessed it
• Less number of patients were included in the
study
Case cross over
• Study of “triggers” within an individual
• ”Case" and "control" component, but information
of both components will come from the same
individual
• ”Case component" = hazard period which is the
time period right before the disease or event onset
• ”Control component" = control period which is a
specified time interval other than the hazard
period
• This design was introduced to avoid control
selection bias.
• Case serves as it own control and it is similar
to retrospective cross over design except that
the investigator does not control when a
patient starts and stops being exposed to the
potential trigger.
Source: should we use a cross over design? M Maclure
Association Between Medication and Intestinal
Intussusception in Children: A Case-Crossover Study
-Vega Garcia, Lourdes