The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt Towards Investment Return
The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt Towards Investment Return
The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt Towards Investment Return
Abstract: This research performed in order to test the influence of fundamental factors toward investment
return which was measured by dividend payout ratio in manufacturing companies that listed in Indonesian Stock
Exchange (BEI/IDX) during the period 2008-2010. The profitability ratio in this research was measured by Return
on Equity, while liquidity ratio in this research used Current Ratio and leverage was measured by Debt to Equity
Ratio. The samples were collected using the purposive sampling method and it has 35 companies for the resulting
samples. The samples were analyzed using multiple linear regression technique. The result shows that the ROE
has negative and significant effects to investment return, while CR and DER have no significant effects towards
investment return.
Key words: return on equity; current ratio; debt to equity ratio; dividend payout ratio
JEL code: G1
1. Introduction
Investors invest their funds in order to get the return or income from their invested funds. The investors who
invest their funds in the stocks of a company will earn returns in the form of dividends or capital gains. For the
investors, fundamental factors are always used as a reference in making investment decisions in the stock market.
The analysis is based on the fundamental factors that the company’s financial statements can be analyzed through
the analysis of financial ratios (Lusiana, 2010).
In this study, the profitability ratio was measured by Return On Equity (ROE) since ROE is one of the
important indicators that are often used by investors to assess the profitability of the company before investing.
According to a research held by Standard and Poor 500 in the U.S., the average rates of Return On Equity in the
American companies are ranged from 10 to 15 percent and the high ROEs affects those companies’ stock prices
(Panggabean, 2005). If ROE increases, the investors will be more interested to invest their funds into the company,
so that the stock prices tend to rise. The empirical evidence that supports the theory is a study conducted by Hanani
(2011) in which ROE positively affected the stock returns. However, a different result obtained from a study
conducted by Susilowati (2011) which indicated that ROE has no significant effects towards the stock returns.
Liquidity refers to the ability of the company to meet its short-term liabilities. Company liquidity describes
Lievia Angela Pinkan Komala, SE., Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana; research areas: financial accounting. E-mail:
lievia.komala90@gmail.com.
Paskah Ika Nugroho, SE., M.Si., CMA, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana; research areas: management accounting. E-mail:
paskah@staff.uksw.edu.
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The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt towards Investment Return
the company’s ability to meet its short-term liabilities (Utomo, 2004). Companies that can meet financial
obligations on time means that the company is in a liquid state. A liquid company has a means of payment or
current asset which is greater than its debt smoothness. The analysis of short-term liquidity is often important
because before assessing the solvency of the company, we are confident in the ability of the short-term success of
the company’s financial (Wild et al., 2005). In this study, liquidity was measured by using the number of CR
Current Ratio owned by the company can show the amount of the company’s ability to meet its operational needs,
especially working capital which is very important to keep the company’s performance that ultimately affects
stock price performance. It can give confidence to the investors to own shares of the company so that it can
increase the stock return. Ulupui’s (2007) empirical evidence shows that CR has positive and significant impacts
towards stock returns, but not in line with the results of the study held by Hernendiastoro (2005) in which the CR
does not have any significant effects towards stock returns.
Solvency ratios are most often associated with stock return, that is Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) (Aziz, 2012).
DER reflects the ability of the company to meet all liabilities represented by what proportion of equity is used to
pay debts. The empirical evidence suggested that DER has positive and significant impacts towards stock returns,
which are shown from the research conducted by Syahib (2000). However, some researchers such as Anastasia
and Wijayanti (2003) and Anwar (2012) actually found an insignificant relationship towards stock return.
Manufacturing industry group has the highest dividend payout ratio target compared to other industry groups. The
data obtained during the period 1986-1993 showed a high diversity of value debt to equity ratio (DER) in the three
industry groups. Manufacturing industry group, financial industry group, and other industries have DER value
respectively 110.84%, 607.29% and 77.36%. The high diversity on the DER value based on the industry group
becomes interesting and challenging to analyze.
Under these conditions, the company in determining the return of investment will consider the costs and
benefits that would be obtained if they increase the amount of debts. Thus, the purpose of the company’s
management to maximize the wealth of shareholders (owners) can be achieved. Dividend policy in emerging
markets in the developing countries is quite different with that in the developed countries (Kurniasih et al., 2011).
Firm in developing countries emphasized more on dividend payout ratio than level of dividend they paid.
Consequently, the dividend payment tends to be more volatile in emerging market than in developed countries,
this being a factor that should be taken care of by investors while they invest in emerging market. Therefore, the
researcher is interested in doing a research about some factors that affect the return on investment in the
manufacturing companies and raised the title: “The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debts towards
Investment Return In Manufacturing Companies in Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) Period 2008 to 2010”.
This study is a replica of the research held by Suharli and Oktorina (2005). But the difference lies in the period
of observation and the objects of the research. The previous study examined the public companies in Jakarta, while
this study examined all Indonesian manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX).
Besides, the previous study used the period 2000 to 2003, while the current study used the period 2008 to 2010. In
addition, the measurements of profitability ratios in this study used ROE (Panggabean, 2005). The results of
previous studies is the higher profitability, the greater the return on investment in the form of dividend income
because they have a positive and significant influences, while liquidity and debt have no signifcant effects towards
the return of investment. The research is expected to help the investors to provide information about the financial
performance of manufacturing companies through financial ratio analysis as a reference to prospective investors in
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The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt towards Investment Return
making investment decisions related to the rate of return in the form of corporate dividends.
2. Literature Review
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The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt towards Investment Return
positions are often disrupted, so investors prefer to buy shares of companies with the high value of current assets
compared to companies that have a low value of current assets (Ang, 1997).
The larger CR owned by the company, the greater its ability to meet its operational needs, especially working
capital which is very important to keep the company’s performance that ultimately affect stock price performance.
It can give confidence to the investors to own shares of the company so that it can increase the stock return.
Ulupui’s empirical evidence (2007) shows that CR has positive and significant impacts towards stock returns.
Based on this theory, it can be proposed that the second hypothesis is:
H2: CR has significant impacts towards the investment return.
2.4 The Effects of Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) with Investment Return
Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) is the solvency ratio which is used to measure the ability of the company’s own
capital as the collateral for all debts of the company. DER is the debt ratio represented by the ratio between the
whole debt, both long-term debt and short-term debt, with the company’s own capital (Van Horne, 1997).
Companies with low DER will have less downside risk when the economy slumped, but when economic
conditions improve, the opportunity to obtain profits is low. On the other hand, companies with high leverage ratio,
have a risk to bear huge losses when the economy slumped, but it has a chance to make a great profit when the
economy improves.
DER will affect the company’s performance and cause share price appreciation and depreciation. When DER
is too high, it has bad effects towards company’s performance, because the higher level of debts means that
company’s interest expense will be greater and its profits is reduced. But in some extent, the amount of debt can
lead to tax savings that can be used to improve cash flow for companies that have an impact on the increasing of
the performance and company performance. When performance and company performance increase, the investors’
interest towards the company will be high and its impacts towards stock returns will increase (Hernendiastoro,
2005). Based on this concept, it is possible that DER positively affects the stock returns. The empirical evidence
suggested that the DER has positive and significant impacts towards the stock returns which are shown from a
research conducted by Syahib (2000). Thus, it can be proposed that the third hypothesis is:
H3: DER has significant influences towards investment return.
3. Research Methods
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The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt towards Investment Return
From 132 listed companies, only 35 samples that met all the requirements for the study to be used as samples.
Some samples were dropped because they did not meet the criteria that have been established and because of the
incompleteness of the data.
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Profitability/ROE (X1) has a minimum value of 0.1800 at PT Tri Polyta Indonesia Tbk and maximum value
of 323.6000 in PT Multi Bintang Indonesia, the average value of 26.774476 (the average of Profitability/ROE of
105 companies engaged in manufacturing industry listed on the Stock Exchange during 2008-2010) and the
standard deviation value of 34.1935104 (data variation of Profitability/ROE of 105 companies engaged in
manufacturing listed on the Stock Exchange during 2008 to 2010).
Liquidity/CR (X2) has a minimum value of -0.2132 at PT Colorpak Indonesia Tbk in 2009 and the maximum
value of 13.5375 in PT Colorpak Indonesia Tbk in 2008, the average value of 2.989073 (the average of
Liquidity/CR of 105 companies engaged in manufacturing listed on the Stock Exchange during 2008-2010) and
the standard deviation value of 2.4031083 (variation data from the Liquidity/CR of 105 companies engaged in
manufacturing listed on the Stock Exchange during 2008 to 2010).
Debt/DER (X3) has a minimum value of -7.6748 at PT Colorpak in 2010 and the maximum value of 17.6567
in PT Malindo Feedmill Tbk, the average value of 1.016409 (the average of DER of 105 companies engaged in
manufacturing listed on the Stock Exchange during 2008-2010) and the standard deviation value of 2.1670689
(variation data from the Debt/DER (X3) of 105 companies engaged in manufacturing listed on the Stock Exchange
during 2008 to 2010).
Return of investment/DPR (Y) has a minimum value of 0.008 at PT MERCK Tbk and maximum value of
150.7535 in PT Citra TubindoTbk, the average value of 2.646348 (the average of DPR of 105 companies engaged
in manufacturing listed on the Stock Exchange during 2008-2010) and the standard deviation value of 16.2517315
(variation data from the DPR of 105 companies engaged in manufacturing listed on the Stock Exchange during
2008 to 2010).
4.2 Regression Results Analysis
The data obtained from the respondents in this study was analyzed by using multiple linear regression model
in order to determine the contribution of the independent variables in this study, namely profitability, liquidity, and
debt to predict the investment return (Y) variable as the dependent variable. Therefore, in this study, the data
which had been obtained then was analyzed by using quantitative methods, that is the statistical methods with
multiple regression models. The results of multiple linear regression calculation can be seen in Tables 3-4.
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The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt towards Investment Return
F-test is used to determine the effects of independent variables towards the dependent variable
simultaneously. According to Table 4, the influence significance test of ROE, CR, and DER simultaneously
towards the return of investment, with the F statistic, it was obtained Fcount 2.775 and the error probability (p) =
0.045. It shows that the p value (0.045) > significance level (0.05), so it can be concluded that the variable ROE,
CR, and DER simultaneously gave significant effects towards the return of investment.
It could also been found that the coeficient of determination (adjusted R2) is 0.049, which means that about
4.9% of the variation in the return of investment variable is explained by the three variables capable ROE, CR,
and DER simultaneously. While the remaining 95.1% is explained by other variables outside the model.
4.3 The Effects of ROE Variable towards the Investment Return
From the results of the calculations in Table 3, the Profitability regression coefficient is -0.420 (negative).
This coefficient significance test with the t statistic is tcount equal to 2.825 with an error probability of (p) = 0.006,
at the significance level of 0.05. It shows that the p value (0.006) < significance level (0.05), so that H1is accepted.
So it can be concluded that partially, ROE variable is negatively and significantly affects the return of investment.
Thus, the results of ROE hypothesis testing is suitable with the residual theory, that is dividend which is a
residual income that is not used for investment activities. The higher the investment opportunities, the higher the
earnings retained by the company. Thus, the ROE is a factor that will negatively affect future return of investment.
It is also stated by Nuringsih (2005) that profitability has a negative impact towards the dividend policy for the
company earned profits are allocated to retained earnings for investment, so that paying dividends is lower.
As happened at PT. Trypolita Indonesia Tbk, which has the lowest ROE, it would have a fairly high return of
investment that is 10.59322034. While PT. Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk with the highest ROE results actually
only has an investment return of 1.701899072. The findings in this study supports the research held by Wibowo
amd Sugiharti Binastuti, in which ROE negatively affects dividend payout ratio.
4.4 The Effect of CR Variable towards the Investment Return
From the results of the calculations in Table 3, the Liquidity regression coefficient is -0.049 (negative).
Coefficient significance test is tcount = -0.794 with error probability (p) = 0.429. It shows that the p value (0.429) >
0.05, so that H2 is rejected. So it can be concluded that partially, the CR variable has negative and unsignificant
impacts towards the return of investment.
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The Effects of Profitability Ratio, Liquidity, and Debt towards Investment Return
It can be seen on PT Colorpak Indonesia Tbk, in 2008 it had the highest CR of 13.5375 and in 2009 it had the
lowest CR value of -0.2132 but during 2008 and 2009, it had relatively stable return of investment value, that is
equal to 0.144728824 and 0.194251 734. It indicates that the Current Ratio is not the only consideration in
assessing the company’s financial performance but people should consider other financial performances.
In manufacturing companies the return of investment in the company does not see the number of short-term
debt which are borne by the company. This result also means that the company is safe enough to carry out its
business, however, with high Current Ratio (CR), if it is not used optimally, the company will not be able to obtain
the maximum results, particularly company profits. These findings support the results of the study held by Widjaja
(2009) which stated that the CR has negative and unsignificant effects towards the stock returns.
4.5 The Effects of DER Variable towards the Investment Return
From the results of the calculations in Table 3, it can be found that the Debt regression coefficient is 0.045
(positive). This coefficient significance test with the t statistic obtained tcount = 0.675 with the probability error of
(p) = 0.501, at the significance level of 0.05. It shows that the p value (0.501) > 0.05, so that H3 is rejected.
Therefore, it can be concluded that partially, DER variable does not significantly affects the return of investment.
It means that if the DER is increased or decreased, it will not have any impacts on the increase or decrease in the
return of investment on the manufacturing industry sector.
This is because in the manufacturing companies, their capital structure will compare the capitals from the
creditors and the shareholders. Higher capital structure is owned by the debt, it will cause the management will
pfocus on repayment of liabilities prior to distributing dividends. The company which has a greater debt ratio
should distribute smaller dividends because the profit earned is used to pay off the liabilities. Thus, investors can
learn the liabilities of the company to estimate the income from the investment in the form of dividends, in the
future. Therefore, the level of debt does not have any significant effects towards the returns of investment.
As happened in PT. Goodyear Indonesia Tbk, which has high DER at 2.4453 (above the average of 105
manufacturing companies) has a relatively high return of investment (also above the average) of 4.442200909.
And what happened to the PT. Colorpak Indonesia Tbk, which has the lowest DER value of -0.4888 in 2009 has a
low return of investment (of 0.194251734). The findings in this study support the research held by Assegaf (2003)
which stated that the DER has positive and unsignificant effects towards the stock returns.
5.1 Conclusion
Based on the results of the research and discussion that has been mentioned previously, the conclusions of
this research are as follows:
(1) ROE variable has negative but significant effects towards the investment return, CR has negative and
unsignificant impacts towards the investment return, and DER has positive and unsignificant impacts towards the
investment return.
(2) The Adjusted R Square value in this study is equal to 0.049. It means that 4.9% of the variation in the
investment return variable is explained by the three variables ROE, CR, and DER simultaneously. While the
remaining 95.1% is explained by other variables outside the model.
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