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    China

    Uploaded by

    Muhammad Humayun Khan
    This document contains data on COVID-19 cases in China, Italy, and the US from mid-March to early April 2020. It includes actual daily case numbers and averages using different calculation methods like moving averages and exponential smoothing. The data shows rising case numbers in all three countries over this period, with Italy and the US experiencing particularly sharp increases starting in late March.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    China

    Uploaded by

    Muhammad Humayun Khan
    31 views5 pages
    This document contains data on COVID-19 cases in China, Italy, and the US from mid-March to early April 2020. It includes actual daily case numbers and averages using different calculation methods like moving averages and exponential smoothing. The data shows rising case numbers in all three countries over this period, with Italy and the US experiencing particularly sharp increases starting in late March.

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    OM

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    This document contains data on COVID-19 cases in China, Italy, and the US from mid-March to early April 2020. It includes actual daily case numbers and averages using different calculation methods like moving averages and exponential smoothing. The data shows rising case numbers in all three countries over this period, with Italy and the US experiencing particularly sharp increases starting in late March.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    31 views5 pages

    China

    Uploaded by

    Muhammad Humayun Khan
    This document contains data on COVID-19 cases in China, Italy, and the US from mid-March to early April 2020. It includes actual daily case numbers and averages using different calculation methods like moving averages and exponential smoothing. The data shows rising case numbers in all three countries over this period, with Italy and the US experiencing particularly sharp increases starting in late March.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 5

        CHINA    

    DATE ACTUAL MOVING AVG WEIGHTED EXPONENTIAL


    DATA F.C MOVING AVG SMOOTHING

    01/03/2020 80,151      
    02/03/2020 80,270      
    03/03/2020 80,409      
    04/03/2020 80,552 80277 80320  
    05/03/2020 80,651 80410 80457  
    06/03/2020 80,695 80537 80578  
    07/03/2020 80,735 80633 80657  
    08/03/2020 80,754 80694 80708  
    09/03/2020 80,778 80728 80738  
    10/03/2020 80,793 80756 80763  
    11/03/2020 80,813 80775 80782  
    12/03/2020 80,824 80795 80801  
    13/03/2020 80,844 80810 80815  
    14/03/2020 80,860 80827 80832 (ASSUMED =
    80,8500)
    15/03/2020 80,881 80843 80849 80855
    16/03/2020 80,894 80862 80868 80868
    17/03/2020 80,928 80878 80884 80881
    18/03/2020 80,967 80901 80909 80905
    19/03/2020 81,008 80930 80942 80936
    20/03/2020 81,054 80968 80981 80972
    21/03/2020 81093 81010 81024 81013
        ITALY    

    DATE ACTUAL DATA MOVING AVG WEIGHTED EXPONENTIAL


    F.C MOVING AVG SMOOTHING

    14/03/2020 21,157      
    15/03/2020 24,747      
    16/03/2020 27,980      
    17/03/2020 31,506 24628 25765  
    18/03/2020 35,713 28078 29204  
    19/03/2020 41,035 31733 33022  
    20/03/2020 47,021 36085 37673  
    21/03/2020 53,578 41256 43141  
    22/03/2020 59,138 47211 49302  
    23/03/2020 63,927 53246 55265  
    24/03/2020 69176 58881 60606  
    25/03/2020 74,386 64080 65753  
    26/03/2020 80,539 69163 70906  
    27/03/2020 86,498 74700 76594  
    28/03/2020 92,472 80474 82493  
    29/03/2020 97,689 86503 88492 (ASSUMED VALUE =
    93850)
    30/03/2020 101,739 92220 94085 95770
    31/03/2020 105,792 97300 98845 98754
    01/04/2020 110,574 101740 103091 102273
    02/04/2020 115,242 106035 107508 106424
    03/04/2020 119,827 110536 112111 110833
    04/04/2020 124,632 115214 116757 115330
    05/04/2020 128,948 119900 121465 119981
    06/04/2020 132,547 124469 125989 124464
    ITALY

      MOVING AVG W.MOVING AVG EXP SMOOTHING


      9 8 6
      8 7 7
      8 7 8
      8 7 8
      8 6 8
      8 6 7
      7 6 7
      6 5 6
           
    MAPE 8 6 7

    USA

      MOVING AVG WT.MOVING AVG EXPO SMOOTHING


      24 21 17
      24 20 20
      23 19 21
      22 19 21
      21 18 20
      18 14 17
      16 13 16
           
    MAPE 21 18 19
        USA    
    DATE ACTUAL MOVING AVG WEIGHTED EXPONENTIAL
    DATA F.C MOVING AVG SMOOTHING

    17/03/2020 5,664      
    18/03/2020 8,074      
    19/03/2020 12,022      
    20/03/2020 17,439 8587 9646  
    21/03/2020 23,710 12512 14073  
    22/03/2020 32,341 17724 19672  
    23/03/2020 42,751 24497 26980  
    24/03/2020 52,690 32934 36108  
    25/03/2020 64,916 42594 45986  
    26/03/2020 81,966 53452 57147  
    27/03/2020 101,012 66524 71403  
    28/03/2020 121,105 82631 88647  
    29/03/2020 140,223 101361 107884  
    30/03/2020 160,686 120780 127315 (ASSUMED VALUE =
    150000)
    31/03/2020 186,082 140671 147268 155343
    01/04/2020 212,814 162330 169974 170713
    02/04/2020 241,626 186527 195215 191763
    03/04/2020 273,808 213507 222765 216695
    04/04/2020 307,876 242749 252915 245251
    05/04/2020 333,593 274437 285478 276564
    06/04/2020 362955 305092 315057 305078

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