Additional ExcelSpreadsheets
Additional ExcelSpreadsheets
Additional ExcelSpreadsheets
EXCEL SPREADSHEET
PREADSHEETS
ANNA CHANDRA
Exhibit 2.1 Ex
Projected Profit and Loss account
Financial Statements of Matrix for the Preceding Three Years( Years 1-3) through 8- The Ex
(Rs.in million)
Profit and Loss Account
1 2 3
Net sales 180 200 229
Balance Sheet
1 2 3
Equity capital 60 90 90
Reserves and surplus 40 49 61
Debt 100 119 134
Total 200 258 285
Fixed assets 150 175 190
Investments 20 25
Net current assets 50 63 70
Total 200 258 285
Year 2 Year 3
Free cash flow -8 5
Add: After-tax non-operating cash flow 0 4.8
Cash flow available to investors -8 9.8
Exhibit 2.11
Free Cash Flow Forecast for Matrix Limited for Five Years- Years 4 through 8
- The Explicit Forecast Period
( Rs.in million)
4 5 6 7 8
Profit before tax 42 44 50 57 58
Interest expense 18 20 21 23 25
Interest income 3 2 0 0 0
Non-operating income 0 0 0 0 0
EBIT:[(1)+(2)-(3)-(4)] 57 62 71 80 83
Tax provision on income
statement 13 16 18 19 18
Tax shield on interest expense 7.2 8 8.4 9.2 10
Note that the invested capital for year 4 after adjustment is Rs.295 million
Terminal steady growth rate, g 10%
Target capital structure, i.e. D:E 2 : 3
Cost of debt 12.67%
Cost of equity 18.27%
WACC = 14.0%
,
Two Stage Growth Model
Base Year( Year 0) Information Inputs for High Growth rate period
( Amounts in Rs.million) Length of the period(in years) 5
Revenues 4,000 Growth rate in revenues & EBIT 10%
as a
percentage of
EBIT revenues 12.5% Growth rate in capital expenditure 10%
Capital expenditure 300 Growth rate in depreciation 10%
Net working capital as a
Depreciation 200 percentage of revenue 30%
as a
percentage of
Net working capital revenues 30% Cost of debt ( pre-tax) 15%
Coroporate tax rate for all time 40% Debt equity ratio 1
Paid up equity capital Rs.10 par 300 Risk-free rate 13%
Market value of debt 1,250 Market risk premium 6%
Equity beta 1.333
Exhibit 2C.1
Forecasted FCF: Exotica Corporation
1 2 3
1 Revenues 4400 4840 5324
2 EBIT 550 605 665.5
3 EBIT(1-t) 330 363 399.3
Capital
expenditure-
4 depreciation 110 121 133.1
∆ Net working
5 capital 120 132 145.2
6 FCF (3-4-5) 100 110 121
Stable
growth
High growth period period
Cost of equity 21.0% 19.00%
WACC 15.0% 15.00%
Present value of the FCF during the explicit forecast period =NPV(D27,C23:G23)
Present value of terminal value =H23/(E27-H4)/(1+D27)^G17
The value of the firm =H29+H30
=I35/(I35+K35)*E39*(1- =I36/(I36+K36)*F39*(1-B41)+K36/
WACC B41)+K35/(I35+K35)*C45 (I36+K36)*E45
14.00% 13.00%
Exhibit 2C.2
Forecasted FCF: Multiform Limited (amounts in Rupees million)
6%
is equal to
growth rate
in
depreciation
30%
15%
: 1 2 : 3
12%
7%
1.0
n
(Rs.in million)
4 5 Terminal year
5856.40 6442.04 6828.56
732.05 805.26 853.57
439.23 483.15 512.14
146.41 161.05
wth Model
Stable
Transition Growth
period period Debt : Equity
High Growth
5 Period 1.5 : 1
Transition
10% Period 1 : 1
Stable
Growth
3% Period 0 : 1
20% 20%
14% 12%
11% 10%
6% 6%
1.1 1.00
=I37/(I37+K37)*G39*(1-B41)+K37/(I37+K37)*H45
16.00%
Name of the company Equity beta Tax rate Debt equity ratio Asset beta
Apex Chemicals 1.20 30% 1.2 0.65
Modern Chemicals 1.10 30% 1.1 0.62
Sintex Industries 1.05 30% 1.2 0.57
Dowtek Chemicals ? 30% 0.8
Asset beta of Dowtek= 0.61
Equity beta of Dowtek= 0.96
(Amounts in Rs.million)
YTM or
Debt Instrument Face Value Market Value Coupon Rate Current Rate
Non-convertible debentures 100 104 12% 10.7%
Bank loan 200 200 13% 12%
Commercial paper 50 48.25 NA 7.39%
Total = 352.25
Average cost of debt using market value proportions and yields 11.00%
Formula used =E26*(C26/C29)+E27*(C27/C29)+E28*(C28/C29)
Exhibit 3.1
Calculation of the WACC for Bharat Nigam Limited
Tax rate = 30%
Source of Capital Proportion (1) Cost (2) Weighted Cost [(1) x (2)]
Debt 35.00% 8.40% 2.94%
Preference 5.00% 14.00% 0.70%
Equity 60.00% 16.00% 9.60%
WACC = 13.24%
2
Formula
=B4/(1+D4*(1-C4))
=B5/(1+D5*(1-C5))
=B6/(1+D6*(1-C6))
=AVERAGE(E4:E6)
=E8*(1+D7*(1-C7))
age 3.13)
10.7%
)/B15)/(0.4*B13+0.6*B16)
3.63%
/B21-1
7.39%
^(1/B20)-1
Two Stage Growth Model- Illustration ( page 4.6 )
Extraordinarty growth rate g1 20%
Length of extraordinary growth rate ( in years) n 6
Normal growth rate g2 10%
Required return on equity r 15%
Current dividend Rs. D0 2.00
Dividend expected a year hence Rs. D1=D0(1+g1 ) 2.4
Intrinsic value estimate Rs. P0
70.76
Formula used =C7*(1-((1+C2)/(1+C5))^C3)/(C5-C2)+C7*(1+C2)^(C3-1)*(1+C4)/(C5-C4)/(1+C5)^C3
3 4 5
Profit after tax 24 29 28
Preference dividend
Fixed assets (net) 190 220 240
Investments 25 10
Net current assets 70 75 88
Debt 134 140 150
Preference
Years 1 2 3
Free csh flow to the firm 200 250 300
Interest-bearing debt 500 400 300
Interest expense 60 48 36
Constant growth rate per annum in free cash flow beyond year 5 10%
Unlevered cost of equity 14%
Debt-equity ratio maintained after year 5 4 : 7
Present value of the unlevered equity free cash flow Formula used =NPV(B53,B48:F48)
Present value of the interest tax shield during the planning period =NPV(B55,B56*B50,B56*C50,B56*D50,B56*E50,B
Present value of the terminal value at the end of the planning period =F48*(1+B52)/(G55-B52)/(1+B53)^F47
Enterprise value of the firm =F60+F61+F62
) Model ( page 4.10 )
( Rs.in crore)
6 7 8
32 38 40
90 100 109
161 177 192
ue Model
e 4.14
4 5
340 380
200 100
24 12
D A B C
Sales 2,500 1,600 2,000 3,200
EBITDA 400 280 360 480
Book value of assets 1,000 800 1,000 1,400
Enterprise value ? 2,000 3,500 4,200
EV-EBITDA 7.1 9.7 8.8
EV-Book value 2.5 3.5 3.0
EV-sales 1.25 1.75 1.31
Page 5.5: Example of P/E multiple: Page 5.6: Example of P/B multiple: Page 5.8: Example of P/S multiple:
ROE 18% ROE 20% NPM
Cost of equity (r ) 15% Cost of equity (r ) 16% Cost of equity (r )
Dividend payout ratio 0.4 Dividend payout multiple 0.4 Dividend payout ratio
Ploughback ratio 0.6 Growth rate(g) 12% Growth rate(g)
P0 / E 1 9.52 P/B 2.24 P/B
Page 5.10: Example of EV/EBITDA: Page 5.11: Example of EV0/EBIT1: Page 5.11: Example of EV/FCFF:
ROIC 18% Tax rate 30% WACC
Growth rate(g) 12% Reinvestment rate 80% Growth rate(g)
DA 10% WACC 14% EV0 /FCFF1
Tax rate 30% Growth rate(g) 11%
WACC 0.14 EV0/EBIT1 4.67
EV/EBITDA 10.5
8.53
3.00
1.44
( Amounts in Rs.million)
Sales Basis
1.44
2,500
3,592
1: Example of EV/FCFF:
15%
12%
33.3
Binomial Model
Illustration : page 6.24
S =Rs. 200
E = Rs. 220
u = 1.4
d = 0.9
r = 0.1
R = 1.1
Exercise price E
Standard deviation of continuously
compounded annual return σ
Years to maturity t
Interest rate per annum d1 r
d2 =(LN(C1/C2)+(C5+(C3^2)/2)*C4)/(C3*(C4^0.5))
=C6-C3*(C4^0.5)
Equilibrium value of call option now, C0 = C1*NORMSDIST(C6)-(C2/EXP(C5*C4))*NORMSDIST(C7)
Exhibit 6A.3
Year 0
Initial outlay -150
After-tax operating cash flow
Terminal cash flow
Net cash flow -150
Cost of capital 18%
Present value of cash flows -150
Present value of cash inflows 132.5
Net present value -17.5
Investment required
Price of stock now in Electriad-II S 0
Exercise price E
Standard deviation of continuously
compounded annual return σ
Years to maturity t
Interest rate per annum d1 r
d2 =(LN(C1/C2)+(C5+(C3^2)/2)*C4)/(C3*(C4^0.5))
=C6-C3*(C4^0.5)
Equilibrium value of call option now, C0 = C1*NORMSDIST(C6)-(C2/EXP(C5*C4))*NORMSDIST(C7)
Model
age 6.24
Formula
Cu =MAX(B6*B4-B5,0) 60
Cd =MAX(B7*B4-B5,0) 0
∆ =(H4-H5)/((B6-B7)*B4) 0.6
B =(B7*H4-B6*H5)/((B6-B7)*B9) 98.18
C =I6*B4-I7 Rs. 21.82
60
56
0.3
0.5
0.14
0.7613
0.5492
9.61
(Amounts in million)
1 2 3 4 5
20 40 50 50 40
30
20 40 50 50 70
300
129
300
0.4
4
12%
-0.0551
-0.8551
25.23
Illustration in page 7.14
(Rs. In million)
Proposed investment in the equity 1,000
Required return from the investment 30%
Planned holding period(years) 5
Projected EBITDA for year 5 1,500
Reasonable EBITDA multiple for year 5 7
Likely debt at the end of year 5 1,000
Likely cash balance at the end of year 5 300
Required value of PE investments 3,713
Estimated equity value at the end of year 5 9,800
Ownership share 37.9%
Post-money investment value of the firm's equity 2,639
Pre-money investment value 1,639
Exhibit 7.2
1 2 3 4
20x0 20X1 20X2 20X3
Turnover 500,000 560,000 627,200 702,464
Royalty income@5% 25,000 28,000 31,360 35,123
Taxation @ 30% 7,500 8,400 9,408 10,537
Post-tax royalty income 17,500 19,600 21,952 24,586
Discount factor 0.901 0.812 0.731 0.659
Net present value 15,766 15,908 16,051 16,196
Net present value of the royalty stream 274,469
Assumptions:
Growth rate in turnover 12% 12% 12% 12%
Rate of royalty income 5% 5% 5% 5%
Tax rate 30% 30% 30% 30%
Discount factor 11% 11% 11% 11%
.2
5 6 7 8 9 10
20X4 20X5 20X6 20X7 20X8 Residual
786,760 849,700 917,676 991,091 1,070,378 1,070,378
39,338 42,485 45,884 49,555 53,519
11,801 12,746 13,765 14,866 16,056
27,537 29,740 32,119 34,688 37,463 340,575
0.593 0.535 0.482 0.434 0.391 0.391
16,342 15,900 15,470 15,052 14,645 133,139 `
12% 8% 8% 8% 8% 0
5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%
Exhibit 13.1 Financial Particulars of Firms X and Y
X Y
Total Capital Employed 1,000,000 1,000,000
Equity Capital 1,000,000 600,000
Debt 0 400,000
Net Operating Income 100,000 100,000
Debt Interest 0 20,000
Market Value of Debt 0 400,000
Debt Capitalisation rate 5.00%
Equity Earnings 100,000 80,000
Equity Capitalisation Rate 10% 12%
Market Value of Equity 1,000,000 666,667
Total Market Value of the Firm 1,000,000 1,066,667
Average Cost of Capital 10.00% 9.38%
Valuation of the two firms assumed:
Firm X Firm Y
Debt Interest 0 20,000
Market Value of Debt 0 400,000
Debt Capitalisation rate 0 5.00%
Equity Earnings 100,000 80,000
Equity Capitalisation Rate 8% 12%
Market Value of Equity 1,250,000 666,667
Total Market Value 1,250,000 1,066,667
TC 0.3
TPS 0.1
TPD 0.25
The tax advantage of a unit of debt 0.16
Exhibit 13.5 Relationship between ROI and ROE under capital structures A and B
Capital Structure A
Equity 100
Debt 0
Average cost of debt 10%
Tax rate 50%
ROI 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
PBIT 5 10 15 20 25
Interest 0 0 0 0 0
Profit before tax 5 10 15 20 25
Tax 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5
Profit after tax 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5
Return on equity 2.5% 5.0% 7.5% 10.0% 12.5%
Exhibit 13.7
Selling price per unit 1,000
Variable operating cost per unit 400
Fixed operating costs 20,000,000
Fixed interest burden 4,000,000
Income tax applicable to the company 30%
No.of outstanding shares 1,000,000
Income Statement
Level of sales 50,000 60,000
Sales 50000000 60000000
Less:Variable costs 20000000 24000000
Contribution 30000000 36000000
Less: fixed operating costs 20,000,000 20,000,000
Profit before interest and tax(PBIT) 10,000,000 16,000,000
Interest 4,000,000 4,000,000
Profit before tax(PBT) 6,000,000 12,000,000
Tax 1800000 3600000
Profit after tax 4,200,000 8,400,000
Earning per share(EPS) 4.2 8.4
DOL 3
DFL 1.67
DTL 5
Maximum exchange ratio acceptable to the shareholders of firm 1 for some illustrative values of PE 12
PE12 9 10 11 12 15 20
Maximum ER1 0 0.17 0.33 0.50 1.00 1.83
Minimum exchange ratio acceptable to the shareholders of firm 2 for some illustrative values of PE 12
PE12 3 9 10 11 12 15
Minimum ER2 3.00 0.43 0.38 0.33 0.30 0.23
20
0.17
Exhibit 19.4
Determination of Value Created by a New Strategy
------------------------------------------------------- -------------- -------------------------- -----------------
Current Income Statement Projections
Value 1 2
(Year 0)
------------------------------------------------------- -------------- -------------------------- -----------------
Sales 1000 1100 1210
Gross Margin 250 275 303
S & G.a. 100 110 121
Profit Before Tax 150 165 182
Tax 60 66 73
-------------- -------------------------- -----------------
Net Profit 90 99 109
-------------- -------------------------- -----------------
Balance Sheet Projections
Fixed Assets 300 330 363
Current Assets 200 220 242
-------------- -------------------------- -----------------
Total Assets 500 550 605
Equity 500 550 605
-------------- -------------------------- -----------------
Cash Flow Projections
Profit After Tax 99 109
Depreciation 30 33
Capital Expenditure 60 66
Increase in Current Assets 20 22
-------------- - -
Operating Cash Flow 49 54
-------------- - -
Present Value Factor 0.862 0.743
PV of Operating Cash Flow 42 40
------------------------------------------------------- -------------- -------------------------- -----------------
PV of Operating Cash Flow Stream 190
Residual value 905
PV of Residual Value 431
Total Share Holder Value 621
Pre-Strategy VAlue 563
Value of Strategy 59
------------------------------------------------------- -------------- -------------------------- -----------------
ASSUMPTIONS
B67*B61
r Alternative Methods
od
4 5
40,000 20,000
20,000 20,000
6,000 3,000
26,000 23,000
od
48,497 25,940
22,557 25,940
7,275 3,891
29,832 29,832
nd EVA Method
ns
4
200
135
65
25
40
20
45
25
3.75
16.25
25.73
9.29