A Case Study On Strategic Positioning of Vistara: Analysis and Forecasting Way Ahead
A Case Study On Strategic Positioning of Vistara: Analysis and Forecasting Way Ahead
A Case Study On Strategic Positioning of Vistara: Analysis and Forecasting Way Ahead
ABSTRACT: With Indian Airline industry vying for rejuvenation in terms of comprehensive inclusion of
passengers, there exists strong need of full-service carrier in Indian aviation scenario in 2014. The poor show of
Public sector air carrier Air India, record multimillion loss of low cost carrier Spice Jet and recent failure of
premium service carrier KingFisher Airlines have demonstrated inefficiencies of operations. This calls for a
better positioning of airline brand with long term strategy. This study focuses on strategic positioning of
Vistara, a joint venture between Tata Sons Ltd and Singapore Airlines in light of aviation industry scenario in
India in 2014 and suggesting optimum strategies for next 5 years. This case study tries to answer following
problem questions
Question 1: Briefly describe the trends in the Indian airline industry.
Question 2: What is the business level strategy adopted by Vistara Airlines?
Question 3: How can Vistara Airlines achieve competitiveness and what is its USP?
Question 4: Identify the ways Vistara Airlines can sustain its competitiveness through the business level strategy
that is adopted and suggest the new strategies for next 5 years
I. INTRODUCTION
The Indian civil aviation industry is on a high growth trajectory. India has a vision of becoming the
third largest aviation market by 2020 and is expected to be the largest by 2030.
The civil aviation industry in India has ushered in a new era of expansion driven by factors such as
low-cost carriers (LCC), modern airports, foreign direct investments (FDI) in domestic airlines, cutting edge
information technology (IT) interventions and a growing emphasis on regional connectivity. Simply going by
the market size, the Indian civil aviation industry is amongst the top 10 in the world with a size of around US$
16 billion [1].
In India, air traffic in terms of aircraft movement and passenger traffic has increased during the last
three years. The total aircraft movements and passengers have registered a compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) of 3.3 per cent and 5.6 per cent respectively during FY11 to FY14. In the April-May period of the
current financial year, aircraft movements and passengers have increased by 5 per cent each over traffic handled
during the corresponding period of FY14. The freight traffic during April-May, FY15, also grew by 9.9 per cent
over traffic handled during the same period of the last fiscal.
The Government of India has played a key role in promoting the Indian aviation sector. The
Government of India has approved the construction of five budget airports to improve regional connectivity and
work on them will start from FY15. With such a promising business environment and large customer base, the
aviation industry in India proposes promising environment to entrepreneurs. ―Aviation has always beckoned
adventurers and entrepreneurs,‖ says G.R. Gopinath, who founded India‘s first low fare airline Air Deccan,
which started off by selling air tickets at Rs. 1. Whereas the industry outlook seems promising, the aviation
industry players have not earned remarkable profits in last decade, not only that a few industry players became
defunct incurred losses and got cash trapped. Yet, the aviation GOLD rush comes at a time when the combined
losses of existing airlines in India are expected to touch $1.4 billion in the current fiscal year, according to a
June report by consultancy firm Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (Capa). Combined losses for Indian airlines
were $1.77 billion in the last fiscal year, while accumulated losses of the last seven years have reached $10.6
billion, as per Capa report [2].
If we look at current aviation industry players in India, they have not performed well except IndiGo.
Kingfisher Airlines was grounded in October 2012 and its operating licence was suspended by the regulator
following a strike by the airline‘s employees who hadn‘t been paid for months. In 2012, Paramount Airways
Pvt. Ltd suspended operations after the aviation regulator cancelled its operating licence when it fell short of the
minimum requirement of five aircraft that airlines need to possess. And at least six private airlines, Damania
Airways, Skyline NEPC, Modiluft, East West, Gujarat Airways and Span Air that started operations after 1992
when the airline business was opened up to private companies, closed shop in the first five years of that brave
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new world [2]. This certainly calls for analysis of positioning of airlines which are about to foray in promising
aviation industry of India.
There is a large untapped potential for growth in the Indian aviation industry due to the fact that access
to aviation is still a dream for nearly 99.5 percent of its large population, nearly 40 percent of which is the
upwardly mobile middle class. It is critical for the industry stakeholders to engage and collaborate with the
policy makers to come up with efficient and rational decisions that will shape the future of Indian civil aviation
industry. With the right policies and a relentless focus on quality, cost and passenger interest, India would be
well placed to achieve its vision of becoming the third largest aviation market by 2020 and the largest by 2030
[3]
.
Answer 1
Canonical Discriminant Function Coefficients
Function
1
D1 .773
D2 1.343
D3 -.624
(Constant) -4.792
Table 1: Canonical Discriminant Function Coefficients
Referring to table no. 1,
Y= 0.773 (D1) + 1.343 (D2) – 0.624 (D3) – 4.792
This is the model equation of Multiple discriminant analysis.
Answer 2
Discrimi
Highest Group Second Highest Group nant
Actu
Case Scores
al
Num Pred P(D>d | Squared Squared
Grou G P(G=
ber icted G=g) P(G=g Mahalanobis Mahalanobis Functio
p ro g|
Gro | D=d) Distance to Distance to n1
p df up D=d)
up Centroid Centroid
1 1 1 .841 1 1.000 .040 2 .000 42.016 3.141
2 1 1 .410 1 1.000 .680 2 .000 34.314 2.517
3 1 1 .841 1 1.000 .040 2 .000 42.016 3.141
4 1 1 .841 1 1.000 .040 2 .000 42.016 3.141
5 1 1 .567 1 1.000 .328 2 .000 52.637 3.914
6 1 1 .672 1 1.000 .179 2 .000 50.497 3.765
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PP 01-11
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7 1 1 .295 1 1.000 1.098 2 .000 59.758 4.389
8 1 1 .295 1 1.000 1.098 2 .000 59.758 4.389
9 1 1 .069 1 1.000 3.316 2 .000 72.309 5.162
10 1 1 .727 1 1.000 .122 2 .000 40.107 2.992
11 1 1 .295 1 1.000 1.098 2 .000 59.758 4.389
12 1 1 .841 1 1.000 .040 2 .000 42.016 3.141
13 1 1 .672 1 1.000 .179 2 .000 50.497 3.765
14 1 1 .069 1 1.000 3.316 2 .000 72.309 5.162
15 1 1 .784 1 1.000 .075 2 .000 48.403 3.616
16 1 1 .295 1 1.000 1.098 2 .000 59.758 4.389
17 1 1 .123 1 1.000 2.381 2 .000 26.414 1.798
18 1 1 .884 1 1.000 .021 2 .000 42.729 3.195
19 1 1 .030 1 1.000 4.697 2 .000 20.387 1.174
20 1 1 .768 1 1.000 .087 2 .000 40.804 3.047
21 1 1 .358 1 1.000 .844 2 .000 33.219 2.422
22 1 1 .441 1 1.000 .593 2 .000 34.958 2.571
23 1 1 .091 1 1.000 2.863 2 .000 24.905 1.649
24 1 1 .286 1 1.000 1.140 2 .000 31.524 2.273
25 1 1 .295 1 1.000 1.098 2 .000 59.758 4.389
26 2 2 .665 1 1.000 .187 1 .000 39.059 -2.908
27 2 2 .891 1 1.000 .019 1 .000 46.501 -3.478
28 2 2 .665 1 1.000 .187 1 .000 39.059 -2.908
29 2 2 .734 1 1.000 .116 1 .000 49.320 -3.682
30 2 2 .363 1 1.000 .828 1 .000 57.642 -4.251
31 2 2 .891 1 1.000 .019 1 .000 46.501 -3.478
32 2 2 .524 1 1.000 .405 1 .000 36.554 -2.705
33 2 2 .734 1 1.000 .116 1 .000 49.320 -3.682
34 2 2 .665 1 1.000 .187 1 .000 39.059 -2.908
35 2 2 .316 1 1.000 1.004 1 .000 32.266 -2.339
36 2 2 .819 1 1.000 .052 1 .000 41.646 -3.112
37 2 2 .014 1 1.000 6.032 1 .000 83.513 -5.797
38 2 2 .734 1 1.000 .116 1 .000 49.320 -3.682
39 2 2 .394 1 1.000 .728 1 .000 33.980 -2.488
40 2 2 .775 1 1.000 .082 1 .000 48.554 -3.627
41 2 2 .777 1 1.000 .081 1 .000 40.943 -3.057
42 2 2 .775 1 1.000 .082 1 .000 48.554 -3.627
43 2 2 .104 1 1.000 2.645 1 .000 25.564 -1.715
44 2 2 .290 1 1.000 1.121 1 .000 59.926 -4.400
45 2 2 .291 1 1.000 1.117 1 .000 31.646 -2.284
46 2 2 .394 1 1.000 .728 1 .000 33.980 -2.488
Answer 3
This discriminant is dividing the model in two groups. Eigen value is used for 2 group analysis.
Eigenvalues
Function Eigenvalue % of Variance Cumulative % Canonical Correlation
1 11.629 100.0 100.0 .960
Table no. 3: Eigen Values
Referring to table no. 3, the Eigen value is 11.629>1, hence the groups are distinct. i.e. sum of squares among
the groups> sum of squares within the groups
Wilk’s Lambda
Wilks' Lambda
Test of Function(s) Wilks' Lambda Chi-square df Sig.
1 .079 117.924 3 .000
Table no. 4: Wilk’s Lambda
Referring to table no. 4, Lambda = 0.079<0.5
Therefore groups are statistically different from Eigen vale and Wilk‘s lambda value.
Answer 4
Standardized Canonical Discriminant Function Coefficients
Function
1
D1 .660
D2 .854
D3 -.503
Table no. 5:Standardized Canonical Discriminant Function Coefficients
Answer 5
Functions at Group Centroids
Function
ID
1
1 3.341
2 -3.341
Table no. 6: Functions at Group Centroids
How can Vistara Airlines achieve competitiveness and what is its USP?
To answer above question, author conducted factor analysis.
INTERPRETATION
Communalities
Communalities
Initial Extraction
var_1 1.000 .998
var_2 1.000 .904
var_3 1.000 .881
var_4 1.000 .998
Table No. 7: Communalities
The Communalities tell us what proportion of each variable‘s variance is shared with the factors which
have been created. In the Initial column these are based on all four factors (one per variable). Accordingly, the
values in this column tell us how much variance each variable shared with all the other variables. The researcher
asked SPSS to create only two factors. The communalities in the Extracted column tell us how much variance
each variable has in common with the two factors that the author has kept. Item 3 has a relatively low value. If a
variable does not share much variance with the other variables or with the retained factors, it is unlikely to be
useful in defining a factor.
The Total Variable Explained table shows us the Eigen values for our factor analysis. SPSS started out
by creating factors, each a weighted linear combination of the items. The initial Eigen values tell us, for each of
those factors, how much of the variance in the 4 items was captured by that factor. A factor with an Eigen value
of 1 has captured as much variance as there is in one variable. The Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings are
interpreted in the same way that Eigen values are. Component 1 and 2 together represent 94.499% of variance.
Component Matrixa
Component Matrixa
Component
1 2
var_1 .976 -.211
var_4 -.964 .260
var_3 .911 .225
var_2 .910 .277
Table no. 9: Component Matrix
This table contains component loadings, which are the correlations between the variable and the
component. Because these are correlations, possible values range from -1 to +1. From table 19 it can be
observed that var 1, var 2 and var 3 have magnitude wise high positive correlation with component 1 compared
to var 4. Same way var 2, var 3 and var 4 have magnitude wise low positive correlation with component 2
compared to var 1.
The Rotated Component Matrix gives the loadings after the rotation. From table no. 20 it can be
observed that component 1 is heavily loaded on var 1, var 2 and var 3. So, Creating different brand positioning
by imposing image of quasi brand i.e. superior than low cost air line and cost effective than luxury air line
become one of the variable in determining how Vistara Airlines can achieve competitiveness. Component 2 is
IV. RESULT
After factor analysis application the final two variables author suggests are:
• Creating different brand positioning by imposing image of quasi brand i.e. superior than low cost air
line and cost effective than luxury air line
• Providing personalized customer service
What are your thoughts on it?
Identify the ways Vistara Airlines can sustain its competitiveness through the business level strategy that
is adopted and suggest the new strategies for next 5 years
To identify the ways for sustainable competitive advantage author has conducted Multiple Regression Analysis.
Need to use Multiple Regression Analysis:
Multiple regression analysis is a powerful technique used for predicting the unknown value of a dependent
variable from the known value of two or more independent variables- also called the predictors. Multiple
regression analysis can be used to predictively measure response to Online Behavioral Advertisements.
Author wishes to estimate the regression line: y = b1 + b2 x2 + b3 x3 + b4 x4
Where responses are derived from last 10 itineraries
y= No of times PEC selection required (also includes self brand proposition)
b1= Intercept
x2= No. of times you changed your travel date
x3= No of times you needed check-in baggage allowance
x4= No of times you desired to have priority ground handling
The first indicator of generalizability is the adjusted R Square value, which is adjusted for the number
of variables included in the regression equation. For the data we are analyzing, R 2= 0.0881 and the Adjusted R2
= -0.0421. These values are very close, anticipating minimal shrinkage based on this indicator. The adjusted R
square is used to estimate the expected shrinkage in R2 that would not generalize to the population because our
solution is over-fitted to the data set by including too many independent variables. If the adjusted R 2 value is
much lower than the R2 value, it is an indication that our regression equation may be over-fitted to the sample,
and of limited generalizability. R2 = 0.0881 means that 8.81% of the variation of yi around Ῡ (its mean) is
explained by the regressors x2i, x3i, and x4i The standard error having value of 1.67 refers to the estimated
standard deviation of the error term u.
Let βj denote the population coefficient of the jth regressor (intercept, x2, x3 and x4).
Then
• Column "Coefficient" gives the least squares estimates of βj.
• Column "Standard error" gives the standard errors (i.e.the estimated standard deviation) of the least
squares estimates bj of βj.
• Column "t Stat" gives the computed t-statistic for H0: βj = 0 against Ha: βj ≠ 0.
This is the coefficient divided by the standard error. It is compared to a t with (n-k) degrees of freedom where
here n = 25 and k = 4.
• Column "P-value" gives the p-value for test of H0: βj = 0 against Ha: βj ≠ 0..
This equals the Pr{|t| > t-Stat}where t is a t-distributed random variable with n-k degrees of freedom and t-Stat
is the computed value of the t-statistic given in the previous column.
Columns "Lower 95%" and "Upper 95%" values define a 95% confidence interval for βj.
A simple summary of the above output is that the fitted line is
y = 4.094 + 0.097*x2 + 0.024*x3 + 0.3172*x4
Author suggests that brand self brand image is the important factor in determining customer‘s view on choosing
the air line as can be seen in above equation as residual value of almost 4. Hence, author suggests that Vistara
Airlines should focus on better positioning as quasi luxury Air line offering full services. What are your
thoughts on it?
REFERENCES:
[1] ibef.org (2014). Indian Aviation Industry. [ONLINE] Available at: http://www.ibef.org/industry/indian-aviation.aspx. [Last
Accessed 22 Dec 2014].
[2] Sanjai P.R. (2014). Mounting losses fail to deter aviation entrepreneurs in India. [ONLINE] Available at:
http://www.livemint.com/Companies/H8jXhTkGu7x4AD3b55vUvJ/Mounting-losses-fail-to-deter-aviation-entrepreneurs.html.
[Last Accessed 1 November 2014].
[3] Ministry of Civil Aviation, Government of India (2014). INDIA AVIATION 2014 Enhancing Air Connectivity.
[4] Report of Working Group on Civil Aviation Sector, National Transport Development Policy Committee (NTDPC), June 2012
[5] Financial Express Bureau (2015). Vistara airlines chants ‗competitive‘ mantra to stay afloat in face of Air India, Jet Airways
rivalry. [ONLINE] Available at: http://www.financialexpress.com/article/industry/companies/vistara-airlines-chants-competitive-
mantra-to-stay-afloat-in-face-of-air-india-jet-airways-rivalry/28525/. [Last Accessed 5 January 2015].