UT Dallas Syllabus For Pa6326.501.11s Taught by Lowell Kiel (Dkiel)
UT Dallas Syllabus For Pa6326.501.11s Taught by Lowell Kiel (Dkiel)
UT Dallas Syllabus For Pa6326.501.11s Taught by Lowell Kiel (Dkiel)
“The mind of man is more intuitive than logical, and comprehends more than it can coordinate.” Luc
De Clapiers, Marquis de Vauvenargues (1715–1747), French moralist. Réflexions et Maximes, (1746).
“Our civilization is still in a middle stage, scarcely beast, in that it is no longer guided by instinct,
scarcely human in that it is not yet wholly guided by reason.” Theodore Dreiser, Sister Carrie, 1900.
“… the decisions that an individual makes as a member of an organization are quite distinct from his
personal decisions.” Chester Barnard. The Functions of the Executive 1938, p77.
“…most people share a weakness for quick answers and easy remedies that do not
require the painful discipline of thought.” Lyndol Urwick, Elements of Administration
1944, p. 15.
“A great many people think they are thinking when they are merely rearranging their
prejudices.” Attributed to William James
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of
themselves, but wiser people are full of doubts. ... Many people would sooner die than
think; in fact, they do so. " -- Bertrand Russell
Too many managers, analysts and scholars rely on ad hoc and ill-considered
decision-making that results in economic losses to taxpayers, increased costs to consumers
and poor public policy choices. This class examines the cognitive psychology of decision-
making, provides applied knowledge of several quantitative tools for optimizing decisions
and acquaints students with some of the essential literature in the field of decision-making.
COURSE GOALS:
(1) to improve your decision-making skills and help you function at a higher level
of professional competence.
2
(2) to help you apply various decision tools and theories of decision-making to
public/nonprofit organizations, politics and policy-making.
(3) to enhance your awareness of current scholarship in decision-making.
(4) to enhance your awareness of the many methods currently in use to
study/understand human decision-making.
(5) to appreciate the relevance of decision making studies to numerous applied
fields of endeavor.
(6) to help you lead others to enhance the quality of decision-making in
organizational and policy-making environments.
(7) to help you understand that a rational approach to assessing decisions should
focus on process and method instead of outcomes.
(8) to honor humility as the greatest tool any wise decision-maker can possess.
(9) to prepare students for successful completion of the doctoral qualifying
examinations.
First, the class will examine a variety of common cognitive problems in decision-
making. These cognitive biases and errors result in a multitude of challenges and failures
for decision-makers and the parties to these decisions. Knowledge of these cognitive errors
and biases in decision-making can lead to more rational and improved decision-making
and policy-making. The course also examines the challenges of proper problem
identification and problems with group decision-making.
The course acquaints students with several quantitative methods aimed at
rationalizing and optimizing decision-making. These techniques range from the elements
of statistical quality control to tools such as linear programming and queuing theory. All of
the tools noted above have both organizational and policy analytic applications. The course
will focus on issues related to the management of public organizations and public policy,
but the applications are relevant to all organizations.
Student groups will also present research findings from one of five fields relevant
to contemporary decision-making. The nature of these presentations and the topics are
defined in the “course requirements” section of this syllabus.
Required Texts:
Barry Render, Ralph Stair & Michael Hanna (2009). Quantitative Analysis for Management, 10th Eds.
New York: Prentice Hall. ISBN-13: 9780136036258.
Robert A. Burton (2008) On Being Certain: Believing You are Right Even When You’re Not. New
York, NY: St. Martins Press. ISBN-13:978-0-312-35920-1.
Max H. Bazerman and Don A. Moore (2009). Judgment in Managerial Decision Making. 7th ed. New
York, NY: John Wiley and Sons. ISBN 13- 978-0-470-04945-7.
Lee Roy Beach and Terry Connolly (2005). The Psychology of Decision Making: People in
Organizations. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. ISBN 978-1-4129-0440-7.
3
Accessing Required Journal Articles Via Electronic Reserve: The required journals
articles noted in the syllabus are accessible through electronic reserve. You will be
provided with a website URL and a password. This one site allows you to directly access
all of the required journal articles in one location.
Nature of Class Sessions: Night classes are a challenge for all of us. My approach is to
lecture for the first portion of the class and then engage you as individuals or groups in the
latter half of the class. This should allow us to best use our attention spans and energy
levels. I will also use cases and exercises when appropriate.
Course Requirements: Each student will complete 5 graded assignments. All students
will complete (1) a 15-20 page formal research paper - due April 21, (2) a take-home
midterm examination – due March 10, (3) a small portfolio of computer-based class
assignments –due May 5, and (4) a final examination – due May 5. Finally, students will
also present a brief analysis of weekly articles to the class.
Course Grading: The research paper will receive 40% of the weighted grade. The exams
will each constitute 20% each of the total grade. Submission of all 4 correct computer
assignments and weekly presentations are each worth 10% of the total course grade.
Professor Kiel will not award a grade of “A” to any student who performs well in the four
course requirements but who does not contribute in class. Contributing in class means
asking and answering questions in front of the entire class group.
Research paper:
Each student should select a research paper topic within the field of decision-
making that is relevant to his/her intended dissertation topic or areas of
research interest.
The paper should be of 15-20 pages in length.
Papers should include a minimum of 1 bibliographic entry for each written
page. All references in your bibliography should be cited in the text of your
paper.
Limit the use of quotes from other authors. You should have no more than two
quotes (of any length) in a 15-20 page paper.
A broad cross-section of journals is preferred.
The paper should include references to the assigned class readings as these
readings are related to your topic. You want to show that you have read the
assigned readings.
You must use proper academic form throughout the paper and properly cite
authority. Professor Kiel deducts points from papers that do not use proper
4
Weekly Article Presentations: Students will present the synopsis and critique of the
articles on a rotating basis. You will produce a two page synopsis/critique. This will
include the full bibliographic citation, the research question or intent of the article. Also
detail the research design used and the critical findings from the work. Finally, provide
your own assessment of the 3-4 critical lessons for decision or managers/leaders to take
from the article. These analyses will help all of your colleagues prepare for the class exams
and for the doctoral qualifying examinations.
Software Issues: You should load the QM for Windows from the Render, Stair and Hanna
text on your own personal computer/laptop at work and/or home. This software is required
to complete the computer-based assignments between March 24 and April 14.
Professor’s Expectations: This is a graduate class. I expect everyone to have read all
required articles for each class and to participate in each class.
Cell phone Policy in the Classroom: Unless you are a law enforcement officer or some
other emergency personnel I do not allow cell phone use in class – this includes
blackberries and other communication devices. You may have cell phones on stun/vibrate
and respond to calls during class breaks. Cell phones, just as laptops, create issues of
multitasking that inhibit focus and concentration.
Why I have Laptop and Cell Phone Policies: One of my goals as an educator is to model
proper behavior. There is a severe reduction in the likelihood of effective decision-making
in highly interrupted and high multi-tasking environments. One of my tasks then is to
create an environment conducive to effective decision-making and learning. I am not a
5
Preferred Style for Citations and Bibliography: The University now requires that all
PhD dissertations use the Turabian style for citations and bibliographies. The public affairs
faculty now requires that all public affairs students use this style in all of their papers. It is
simply good practice to begin using a style that is required for your dissertation. Please
obtain a copy of Kate L. Turabian. A Manual for Writers of Research Papers, Theses and
Dissertations 7th ed. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2007.
COURSE SCHEDULE
Date Topics/Readings
Bazerman – Chpt. 1
Cohen, Michael, James March and Johan Olsen. 1972. A Garbage Can Model of
Organizational Choice. Administrative Science Quarterly 17(1): 1-25.
Kahneman, Daniel and Amos Tversky. 1979. Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under
Risk. Econometrica 47( 2):263-292.
Lipshitz, R., G. Klein, J. Orasanu and E. Salas. 2001. Focus Article: Taking Stock of
Naturalistic Decision Making. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 14: 331-352.
7
Haidt, Jonathan and Jesse Graham. 2007. When Morality Opposes Justice:
Conservatives Have Moral Intuitions that Liberals may not Recognize. Social
Justice Research 20(1): 98-116.
Fowler, James H., Laura A. Baker and Christopher Dawes. 2008. Genetic Variation
in Political Participation. American Political Science Review 102(2):233-248.
Lau, Richard R., and David P. Redlawsk. 2001. Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive
Heuristics in Political Decision Making. American Journal of Political Science 45(October):951-
971.
Gigerenzer, Gerd and Henry Brighton. 2009. Homo Heuristicus: Why Biased Minds Make Better
Inferences. Topics in Cognitive Science 1(1): 107-143.
Sunstein, Cass. 2005. Moral Heuristics. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 28:531-573.
Kerr, Norbert, L. and R. Scott Tindale. 2004. Group Performance and Decision
Making. Annual Review of Psychology 55: 623-655.
Kray, Laura J. and Adam D. Galinsky. 2003. The debiasing effect of counterfactual
mind-sets: Increasing the search for disconfirmatory information in group decision.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 91:69-81.
Nisbett, R. E., & Masuda, T. (2003). Culture and point of view. Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 100, 11163-11175.
Ang, Soon, Linn Van Dyne, Christione Koh, K. Yee Ng, Klaus J. Templer,
Cheryl Tay and N. Anand Chandrasekar. 2007. Cultural Intelligence: Its
Measurement and Effects on Cultural Judgment and Decision Making, Cultural
Adaptation and Task Performance. Management and Organization Review 3(3):
335-371.
Weber, Elke and Michael W. Morris. 2010. Culture and Judgment and Decision
Making. Perspectives on Psychological Science 5(4):410-419.
Harris. Christine R., Michael Jenkins and Dale Glaser. 2006. Gender Differences in Risk
Assessment: Why do Women Take Fewer Risks than Men? Judgment and Decision Making 1
(1): 48-63.
Croson, Rachel and Uri Gneezy. 2009. Gender Differences in Preferences. Journal of Economic
Literature 47(2): 448-474.
Glover, Saundra H., Minnette A. Bumpus, Glynda F. Sharp, George A. Munchus. 2002. Gender
differences in ethical decision making. Women In Management Review 17(5): 217 - 227
9
Allison, Graham. 1969. Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis
The American Political Science Review 63 (3): 689-719.
Krug, Kersti and Weinberg, Charles B. 2004. Mission, money, and merit: Strategic decision
making by nonprofit managers. NonProfit Management and Leadership 14(3): 325-342.
Bazerman Chpt. 5
Kahneman, Daniel and Jonathan Renshon. 2007. Why Hawks Win. Foreign Policy
158: 34-38.
Green, Linda, Sergei Savin and Ben Wang. 2006. Managing Patient Service in a
Diagnostic Medical Facility. Operations Research 54 (1): 11-25.
Zanakis, Stelios H. and Martin W. Maret. 1981. A Markovian Goal Programming Approach to
Aggregate Manpower Planning. The Journal of the Operational Research Society
32(1): 55-63.
Werner, Natalie, Katharina Jung, Stefan Duschek and Rainer Schandry. 2009.
Enhanced Cardiac Perception is associated with benefits in decision-making.
Psychophysiology 46: 1123-1129.
Barsade, Sigal and Donald Gibson. 2007. Why Does Affect Matter in
11
Gold, Joshua I. and Michael N. Shadlen.. 2007. The Neural Basis of Decision Making
Annual Review of Neuroscience 30: 535-574.
De Martino, Benedetto, Dharshan Kumaran, Ben Seymour and Raymond J. Dolan. 2006.
Frames, Biases, and Rational Decision-Making in the Human Brain. Science
313 (5787): 684-687.
Cyert, Ricahrd and James March. 1963. A Behavioral Theory of the Firm. New Jersey: Prentice
Hall.
Dawes, R. 1988. Rational Choice in an Uncertain World. New York: Harcourt Brace
Jovanovich.
Hammond, K.R., McClelland, G.H. & Mumpower, J. 1980. Human Judgement and Decision
Making. New York: Praeger.
Huber, G.P. 1980. Managerial Decision Making. Glenview, IL: Scott Foresman.
12
Janis, I.L. & Mann, L. 1977. Decision Making. New York: Free Press.
Kahneman, D., Slovic, P. & Tversky, A. 1982. Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and
Biases. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Kaplan, M. & Schwartz, S. 1975. Human Judgement and Decision Processes. New York:
Academic Press.
March, James and Johan P. Olsen. 1985. Ambiguity and Choice in Organizations. Bergen,
Norway: Scandinavian Press.
March, James. 2009. The Ambiguities of Experience. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press,
forthcoming.
Rappoport, L. & Summers, D. 1973. Human Judgement and Social Interaction. New York: Holt,
Rinehart & Winston.
Von Neuman, John and Morgenstern, Oskar. 1944. Theory of Games and Economic Behavior.
Princeton Univ. Press
13
The University of Texas System and The University of Texas at Dallas have rules and
regulations for the orderly and efficient conduct of their business. It is the responsibility
of each student and each student organization to be knowledgeable about the rules and
regulations that govern student conduct and activities. General information on student
conduct and discipline is contained in the UTD publication, A to Z Guide, which is
provided to all registered students each academic year.
The University of Texas at Dallas administers student discipline within the procedures of
recognized and established due process. Procedures are defined and described in the
Rules and Regulations, Board of Regents, The University of Texas System, Part 1,
Chapter VI, Section 3, and in Title V, Rules on Student Services and Activities of the
university’s Handbook of Operating Procedures. Copies of these rules and regulations
are available to students in the Office of the Dean of Students, where staff members are
available to assist students in interpreting the rules and regulations (SU 1.602, 972/883-
6391).
A student at the university neither loses the rights nor escapes the responsibilities of
citizenship. He or she is expected to obey federal, state, and local laws as well as the
Regents’ Rules, university regulations, and administrative rules. Students are subject to
discipline for violating the standards of conduct whether such conduct takes place on or
off campus, or whether civil or criminal penalties are also imposed for such conduct.
Academic Integrity
The faculty expects from its students a high level of responsibility and academic honesty.
Because the value of an academic degree depends upon the absolute integrity of the work
done by the student for that degree, it is imperative that a student demonstrate a high
standard of individual honor in his or her scholastic work.
Scholastic dishonesty includes, but is not limited to, statements, acts or omissions related
to applications for enrollment or the award of a degree, and/or the submission as one’s
own work or material that is not one’s own. As a general rule, scholastic dishonesty
involves one of the following acts: cheating, plagiarism, collusion and/or falsifying
academic records. Students suspected of academic dishonesty are subject to disciplinary
proceedings.
Plagiarism, especially from the web, from portions of papers for other classes, and from
any other source is unacceptable and will be dealt with under the university’s policy on
plagiarism (see general catalog for details). If necessary, your Professor will use the
resources of turnitin.com, which searches the web for possible plagiarism and is over
90% effective.
14
Email Use
The University of Texas at Dallas recognizes the value and efficiency of communication
between faculty/staff and students through electronic mail. At the same time, email raises
some issues concerning security and the identity of each individual in an email exchange.
The university encourages all official student email correspondence be sent only to a
student’s U.T. Dallas email address and that faculty and staff consider email from
students official only if it originates from a UTD student account. This allows the
university to maintain a high degree of confidence in the identity of all individual
corresponding and the security of the transmitted information. UTD furnishes each
student with a free email account that is to be used in all communication with university
personnel. The Department of Information Resources at U.T. Dallas provides a method
for students to have their U.T. Dallas mail forwarded to other accounts.
The administration of this institution has set deadlines for withdrawal of any college-level
courses. These dates and times are published in that semester's course catalog.
Administration procedures must be followed. It is the student's responsibility to handle
withdrawal requirements from any class. In other words, I cannot drop or withdraw any
student. You must do the proper paperwork to ensure that you will not receive a final
grade of "F" in a course if you choose not to attend the class once you are enrolled.
Procedures for student grievances are found in Title V, Rules on Student Services and
Activities, of the university’s Handbook of Operating Procedures.
Copies of these rules and regulations are available to students in the Office of the Dean of
15
Students, where staff members are available to assist students in interpreting the rules and
regulations.
As per university policy, incomplete grades will be granted only for work unavoidably
missed at the semester’s end and only if 70% of the course work has been completed. An
incomplete grade must be resolved within eight (8) weeks from the first day of the
subsequent long semester. If the required work to complete the course and to remove the
incomplete grade is not submitted by the specified deadline, the incomplete grade is
changed automatically to a grade of F.
Disability Services
The University of Texas at Dallas will excuse a student from class or other required
activities for the travel to and observance of a religious holy day for a religion whose
16
places of worship are exempt from property tax under Section 11.20, Tax Code, Texas
Code Annotated.
The student is encouraged to notify the instructor or activity sponsor as soon as possible
regarding the absence, preferably in advance of the assignment. The student, so excused,
will be allowed to take the exam or complete the assignment within a reasonable time
after the absence: a period equal to the length of the absence, up to a maximum of one
week. A student who notifies the instructor and completes any missed exam or
assignment may not be penalized for the absence. A student who fails to complete the
exam or assignment within the prescribed period may receive a failing grade for that
exam or assignment. If a student or an instructor disagrees about the nature of the absence
[i.e., for the purpose of observing a religious holy day] or if there is similar disagreement
about whether the student has been given a reasonable time to complete any missed
assignments or examinations, either the student or the instructor may request a ruling
from the chief executive officer of the institution, or his or her designee. The chief
executive officer or designee must take into account the legislative intent of TEC
51.911(b), and the student and instructor will abide by the decision of the chief executive
officer or designee.
17
General principles:
Research demands that the researcher view the world from an analytical
perspective. Research demands that the researcher be hardheaded and objective.
The goal is to remove you from the situation (as much as one can) and analyze the
topic at hand.
Public Affairs research includes elements of both basic (pure) and applied
(solutions) research. Basic
research attempts to answer the questions, “what exists”? Applied research seeks to
solve problems and asks the question, “what is the proper solution”? This reality
creates particular challenges. Students of public affairs may both produce objective
research that describes the world but, may also, at times, sell/advocate
improvements discovered through research or developed via their own creativity.
Thus, students of public affairs must be able to distinguish between the proper use
and application of both pure and applied research.
Your paper should ask a question. For example such a question might be, “Why are
medical doctors so subject to the self-confirming bias”? Or, another title/question
might be, “Managers and Risk: Are Managers risk-averse”?
Literature Review:
All research must review the existing literature. This ensures that your analysis is
not re-inventing a well-discovered wheel. The literature review also helps to show
how your research may contribute to the body of knowledge. The literature review
also shows that you have adequate understanding of existing knowledge to make
statements about that knowledge. The literature review may also reveal gaps in the
literature that you can discuss or use as a platform for your own research agenda.
1. If you write the phrase “A large body of literature…” you are obligated to cite examples
of that “body of literature”. Your goal is to make verification of your research easy for
the reader. Verification is essential to the scientific process.
2. If you write, “According to Smith….” – you are obligated to provide a parenthetical
citation of the date of the article/book by Smith of which you are referring.
3. Always use the primary resource as your first choice – avoid using secondary resources.
4. When using another author’s ideas – always give them credit.
18
5. When quoting an author always include the page number in the reference.
Grammar:
- avoid colloquialisms – e.g. “that dog won’t hunt”!
- do not end sentences with a preposition – i.e. – at, by, in, from, of, with, to
- avoid the use of self-referential pronouns – i.e. I and We – this is not a “hard” rule but
keeps the writer from falling into an overly informal style and also helps to avoid
story-telling
- avoid short – 3 word or less sentences – that is reserved for journalists
- avoid one sentence paragraphs – at least 3 sentences is best
- do not use contractions e.g. can’t, isn’t
always use language that is more formal – cannot, is not
- the period follows the parenthetical citation at the end of the sentence – (Smith,
2001).
Formatting:
Other Issues:
1. Proofread – no one is perfect, but numerous typos and awkward sentences are
nuisances for the reader and show a lack of care for your work. Good scholarship
requires a great concern for details! We do not want to mislead any one or waste their
time. Pay an editor to read your paper if necessary.
2. Definitions – always define your terms.
3. Beware of unsubstantiated claims – do not make a claim that you cannot support with
authority from the relevant research.
4. Read directions – part of being a good scholar is to be careful in your work – again,
no one is perfect but we can save time this way. For example, all refereed journals
provide, in detail, the proper formatting direction for the journal. If you do not do
this, you are in for considerable additional work.
5. Avoid excessive use of web sites – any one can establish a web site and claim
authority. Use established journals and publishers. On-line databases including
academic journals are increasingly available through on-line services and your
library.
19
6. Do not include titles of articles/books in your text unless the article/book is a classic.
Just use a parenthetical reference to the author(s).
7. Be sure that all references in your bibliography show up in your in-text citations.
8. Be sure that in-text citations show up in your bibliography. Kiel goes through each of
his papers before he sends it in for review and types into a spreadsheet every author
name and date in parentheses in the text. He then sorts this list alphabetically and
compares it with his alphabetized bibliography to ensure that the two lists are
consistent.
20
ADDITIONAL COMMENTS:
Adapted in large part from http://www.siue.edu/~deder/grstand.html [accessed Feb. 6, 2008]