Duration of Bonds Appendix A Sheet 1: Excel Yield (For Comparison) 0.644% 0.859% 2.042%
Duration of Bonds Appendix A Sheet 1: Excel Yield (For Comparison) 0.644% 0.859% 2.042%
Duration of Bonds Appendix A Sheet 1: Excel Yield (For Comparison) 0.644% 0.859% 2.042%
Sheet 1
Year-end Information
Description Bond #1 Bond #2 Bond #3
Valuation Date 2015/12/31 2015/12/31 2015/12/31
Maturity Date 2016/12/31 2017/06/30 2018/06/30
Coupon Rate 2.50% 6.60% 4.65%
Coupon # (k) 2 2 2
Par value 1,250.0 1,875.0 1,125.0
Market value 1,265.0 2,010.0 1,140.0
Semi-annual Coupon $ 15.6 61.9 26.2
Yield (y) on a semi-annual basis 0.644% 0.859% 2.042%
Excel Yield (for comparison) 0.644% 0.859% 2.042%
Discounted Discounted
Semi-Annual Present Discounted PV Factor PV Factor Cash Flows Cash Flows
Annual (yrs) Periods Cash Flows Value Factor Cash Flows with -Δy with +Δy with -Δy with +Δy
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (9) (10) (11) (12)
Modified Effective
Market Value Duration Duration
Bond #1 1,265.0 0.98750 0.98750
Bond #2 2,010.0 1.44197 1.44197
Bond #3 1,140.0 2.34198 2.34198
Total 4,415.0 1.54415 1.54415
Liability
Paid in
Accident Year Unpaid 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2011 32.0 16.0 12.8 3.2
2012 86.0 28.7 28.7 22.9 5.7
2013 127.0 31.8 31.8 31.8 25.4 6.4
2014 186.0 69.8 29.1 29.1 29.1 23.3 5.8
2015 258.0 131.0 47.6 19.8 19.8 19.8 15.9 4.0
Total 689.0 277.2 149.9 106.8 80.0 49.4 21.7 4.0
Discounted Discounted
Present Discounted PV Factor PV Factor Cash Flows with Cash Flows with
Year Lag (yrs) Payment Value Factor Payment with -Δy with +Δy -Δy +Δy
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (8) (9) (10) (11)
Property
2016 0.5000 118.8 0.9914 117.7 0.9919 0.9909 117.8 117.7
2017 1.5000 34.3 0.9743 33.4 0.9758 0.9729 33.4 33.3
2018 2.5000 - 0.9576 - 0.9599 0.9552 - -
2019 3.5000 - 0.9411 - 0.9443 0.9379 - -
2020 4.5000 - 0.9249 - 0.9290 0.9208 - -
2021 5.5000 - 0.9090 - 0.9139 0.9041 - -
2022 6.5000 - 0.8934 - 0.8991 0.8877 - -
Total 151.1 151.2 151.0
0.7209 (6) Macaulay duration (12) Effective duration 0.7085
0.7085 (7) Modified duration
Liability
2016 0.5000 277.2 0.9914 274.8 0.9919 0.9909 274.9 274.6
2017 1.5000 149.9 0.9743 146.1 0.9758 0.9729 146.3 145.8
2018 2.5000 106.8 0.9576 102.3 0.9599 0.9552 102.5 102.0
2019 3.5000 80.0 0.9411 75.3 0.9443 0.9379 75.6 75.1
2020 4.5000 49.4 0.9249 45.7 0.9290 0.9208 45.9 45.5
2021 5.5000 21.7 0.9090 19.7 0.9139 0.9041 19.8 19.6
2022 6.5000 4.0 0.8934 3.5 0.8991 0.8877 3.6 3.5
Total 667.4 668.6 666.2
1.8176 (6) Macaulay duration (12) Effective duration 1.7863
1.7863 (7) Modified duration
Lag to Time Zero AY Incremental Present Value Discounted to PV Factor PV Factor Discounted Discounted
Year (yrs) Payment Pattern Factor Time Zero with -Δy with +Δy with -Δy with +Δy
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (13) (14) (15) (16)
Property
2016 0.5000 80.0% 0.9914 79.31% 0.9919 0.9909 79.35% 79.27%
2017 1.5000 15.0% 0.9743 14.61% 0.9758 0.9729 14.64% 14.59%
2018 2.5000 5.0% 0.9576 4.79% 0.9599 0.9552 4.80% 4.78%
2019 3.5000 0.0% 0.9411 0.00% 0.9443 0.9379 0.00% 0.00%
2020 4.5000 0.0% 0.9249 0.00% 0.9290 0.9208 0.00% 0.00%
2021 5.5000 0.0% 0.9090 0.00% 0.9139 0.9041 0.00% 0.00%
2022 6.5000 0.0% 0.8934 0.00% 0.8991 0.8877 0.00% 0.00%
2023 7.5000 0.0% 0.8780 0.00% 0.8845 0.8715 0.00% 0.00%
Total 98.71% 98.78% 98.64%
0.7451 (6) Macaulay Duration
0.7322 (7) Modified Duration
0.5000 (8) Mean Accident Date of an AY 0.5000 0.5000
0.3333 (9) Mean Accident Date of UPR 0.3333 0.3333
0.9900 (10) Discount Factor at Time Zero of Prem Liab 0.9905 0.9894
0.5784 (11) Macaulay Duration (17) Effective Duration: 0.5684
0.5684 (12) Modified Duration
Liability
2016 0.5000 35.0% 0.9914 34.7% 0.9919 0.9909 34.71% 34.68%
2017 1.5000 33.0% 0.9743 32.2% 0.9758 0.9729 32.20% 32.10%
2018 2.5000 12.0% 0.9576 11.5% 0.9599 0.9552 11.52% 11.46%
2019 3.5000 5.0% 0.9411 4.7% 0.9443 0.9379 4.72% 4.69%
2020 4.5000 5.0% 0.9249 4.6% 0.9290 0.9208 4.65% 4.60%
2021 5.5000 5.0% 0.9090 4.5% 0.9139 0.9041 4.57% 4.52%
2022 6.5000 4.0% 0.8934 3.6% 0.8991 0.8877 3.60% 3.55%
2023 7.5000 1.0% 0.8780 0.9% 0.8845 0.8715 0.88% 0.87%
Total 96.67% 96.85% 96.48%
1.9282 (6) Macaulay Duration
1.8950 (7) Modified Duration
0.5000 (8) Mean Accident Date of an AY 0.5000 0.5000
0.3333 (9) Mean Accident Date of UPR 0.3333 0.3333
0.9695 (10) Discount Factor at Time Zero of Prem Liab 0.9712 0.9678
1.7615 (11) Macaulay Duration (17) Effective Duration: 1.7312
1.7312 (12) Modified Duration
Maintenance Expenses
2016 0.5000 100% 0.9914 99.1% 0.9919 0.9909 99.19% 99.09%
2017 1.5000 0% 0.9743 0.0% 0.9758 0.9729 0.00% 0.00%
Total 99.1% 99.19% 99.09%
0.5000 (6) Macaulay Duration
0.4914 (7) Modified Duration
0.5000 (8) Mean Accident Date of an AY 0.5000 0.5000
0.3333 (9) Mean Accident Date of UPR 0.3333 0.3333
0.9942 (10) Discount Factor at Time Zero of Prem Liab 0.9946 0.9939
0.3333 (11) Macaulay Duration (17) Effective Duration: 0.3276
0.3276 (12) Modified Duration
(2) Assume that all policies have 12-month terms with equal earning (10) = (5) total x ( 1 + y )^ [ (8) - (9) ]
(3) From Appendix A, Sheet 2 (11) = (6) - (8) + (9)
(4) [ 1 + y ]^-(2) (12) = (11) / [ 1 + y ]
(5) = (3) x (4) (13) = [ 1 + y - Δy ]^-(2)
(6) = Sumproduct of columns (2) and (5) divided by (5) total (14) = [ 1 + y + Δy ]^-(2)
(7) = (6) / [ 1 + y ] (15) = (3) x (13)
(8) Average accident date of a future accident year (July 1st) (16) = (3) x (14)
(9) Mean average accident date of premium liabilities (May 1st). (17) [Discount Factor with +Δy - Discount Factor with -Δy ] / [2 x Δy ] / (10)
Appendix A
Sheet 5
30.66
2015
Date
Note: Δy = 1.25%
Cash In-flow from Assets Cash Outflow Net Inflow (Excess) Reinvested Funds
(1) (2) (3) (4) (4a) (4b) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) (15)
Cash from (To)/ From Total Payment of Net Payment of Net Payment of Net Cash Total Net inflow Cumulative Net inflow Cumulative Opening Interest Deposit / Closing
Year Investment Reinvestment Inflow Claim Liabilities Prem Liabilities Policy Liabilities Withdrawal Outflow No Reinv/WD Excess With Reinv/WD Excess Balance Earned on Reinv. (Withdrawal) Balance
Sheet 3 See below = (2) + (3) Sheet 3 = (4) - (5) = (5) + (6) = (2) - (5) Based on (8) = (4) - (7) Based on (10) = (15) prior year =(12) * Reinv. Rate = -(3) =(12) + (13)+ (14)
Total ex 2015 372,577 932 373,509 290,000 45,000 335,000 38,509 373,509 37,577 0
Notes
Cells in red are expansions to the educational note Discounting and Cash Flow Considerations for P&C Insurers.
(4a) See Revised Educational Note: Discounting and Cash Flow Considerations for P&C Insurers - Appendix B, Sheet 3, row 17.
(4b) See Revised Educational Note: Discounting and Cash Flow Considerations for P&C Insurers - Appendix B, Sheet 3, row 28.
(5) = (4a) + (4b)
Appendix C
ABC Insurance Company of Canada Sheet 1
Premium Liabilities Analysis
Net Basis
As of December 31, XXXX
(000s)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11)
Selected Selected
Direct Assumed Gross Ceded Net Expected Undisc. Loss Losses + ULAE Ratio Undisc.
Class of Insurance UPR UPR UPR UPR UPR Reinsur. Ratio (% ALAE (% Loss + ULAE Losses +
Premium Prem) ALAE) LAE
Personal Property 10,000 0 10,000 500 9,500 500 86.0% 7,740 -- 383 8,123
Commercial Property 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Aircraft 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Auto - Liability - Regular 50,000 0 50,000 1,000 49,000 3,000 98.0% 45,080 -- 2,250 47,330
Auto - PA - Regular 25,000 0 25,000 3,000 22,000 1,500 115.0% 23,575 -- 1,350 24,925
Auto - Other - Regular 30,000 0 30,000 500 29,500 1,000 67.0% 19,095 -- 918 20,013
Auto - Liability - Facility 1,500 0 1,500 0 1,500 0 93.3% 1,400 -- - 1,400
Auto - PA - Facility 750 0 750 0 750 0 93.3% 700 -- - 700
Auto - Other - Facility 750 0 750 0 750 0 93.3% 700 -- - 700
Boiler & Machinery 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Credit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Credit Protection 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Fidelity 0 0 0 0 (0) 0 0.0% - -- - -
Hail 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Legal Expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Liability - Total 0 5,000 5,000 1,000 4,000 250 73.0% 2,738 -- 169 2,906
Other Approved Products 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Surety - Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Title 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Marine 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Accident & Sickness 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% - -- - -
Total 118,000 5,000 123,000 6,000 117,000 6,250 91.8% 101,028 -- 5,069 106,097
(1) From Prem Liab Ed Note, appendix B, sheet 1, column (1) (9) n/a
(2) From Prem Liab Ed Note, appendix B, sheet 1, column (2) (10) Prem Liab Ed Note, appendix B, sheet 1, column (10)
(3) = (1) + (2) (11) = (8) + (10)
(4) From company accounting department or annual return
(5) = (3) - (4)
(6) From company
(7) Similar calculation as gross analysis (see Prem Liab Ed Note)
(8) = [ (5) - (6) ]x (7)
Appendix C
ABC Insurance Company of Canada Sheet 2
Premium Liabilities Analysis
Net Basis
As of December 31, XXXX
(000s)
(12) (13) (14) (15) (16) (17) (18) (19) (20) (21) (22) (23)
Discount Discounted Ceded
Discount Discounted Factor Losses + LAE Interest Claims Claims Discounted Reinsur. Reinsur. Discounted
Class of Insurance Factor Losses + LAE (with (with Int. Rate PfAD Dev't. Dev't. Losses MfAD PfAD Total PfAD Losses with
MfAD) PfAD) MfAD PfAD +ALAE PfADs
Personal Property 0.983 7,984 0.987 8,015 31 7.0% 559 749 1.0% 7 597 8,581
Commercial Property -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Aircraft -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Auto - Liability - Regular 0.922 43,647 0.943 44,642 994 11.0% 4,801 4,277 1.0% 43 5,838 49,485
Auto - PA - Regular 0.932 23,234 0.953 23,758 524 10.0% 2,323 5,833 1.0% 58 2,906 26,140
Auto - Other - Regular 0.977 19,553 0.988 19,773 220 7.0% 1,369 1,275 1.0% 13 1,601 21,154
Auto - Liability - Facility 0.929 1,300 0.929 1,300 0 15.4% 200 0 1.0% 0 200 1,500
Auto - PA - Facility 0.929 650 0.929 650 0 15.4% 100 0 1.0% 0 100 750
Auto - Other - Facility 0.929 650 0.929 650 0 15.4% 100 0 1.0% 0 100 750
Boiler & Machinery -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Credit -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Credit Protection -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Fidelity -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Hail -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Legal Expense -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Liability - Total 0.937 2,724 0.953 2,771 47 10.0% 272 890 1.0% 9 328 3,052
Other Approved Products -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Surety - Total -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Title -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Marine -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Accident & Sickness -- 0 -- 0 0 0.0% 0 0 1.0% 0 0 0
Total 0.940 99,742 0.957 101,558 1,816 9.7% 9,725 13,024 1.0% 130 11,671 111,413
(12) Similar calculation as gross analysis (see Prem Liab Ed Note) (19) See Prem Liab Ed Note, Appendix C, Sheet 2
(13) = (11) x (12) (20) Reinsurance MfAD used for the valuation of claims liabilities
(14) Similar calculation as gross analysis (see Prem Liab Ed Note) (21) = (19) x (20)
(15) = (11) x (14) (22) = (16) + (18) + (21) [input for P&C annual return Page 30.64, Col (14) ]
(16) = (15) - (13) (23) = (13) + (22)
(17) Claims development MfAD used for the valuation of claims liabilities
(18) = (13) x (17)
Appendix C
ABC Insurance Company of Canada Sheet 3
Premium Liabilities Analysis
Net Basis
As of December 31, XXXX
(000s)
(24) (25) (26) (27) (28) (29) (30) (31) (32) (33) (34)
Maint. Contingent
Expense Maint. Comm. Rate Contingent Premium Unearned Max. Booked Premium
Class of Insurance Ratio (% Expenses (% Gross Comm. Liabilities (Ceded) Equity in UPR Allowable Initial DPAE DPAE Deficiency
Gross Prem.) Prem.) Comm. DPAE
(24) From Prem Liab Ed Note, appendix B, sheet 6, row (10) (31) = max [ (30) , 0 ]
(25) = (3) x (24) (32) From company accounting department
(26) Based on company budget and projected loss ratios (33) = min [ (31) , (32) ] [input for P&C return 20.10, row(43)]
(27) = (3) x (26) (34) = - min [ (30) , 0 ] [input for P&C return 20.20, row (15)]
(28) = (6) + (23) + (25) + (27)
(29) From company accounting department or annual return
(30) = (5) - (28) + (29)
Appendix C
ABC Insurance Company of Canada Sheet 4
Premium Liabilities Analysis
Net Basis
As of December 31, XXXX
(000s)