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    University of Eswatini Dlamini Kuhle L. DEM 102: Fertility Assignment 202002378

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    Kuhle
    This document contains a student's assignment on various fertility metrics for a country: 1. It defines fertility, period fertility, and cohort fertility. Period fertility looks at births in a time period across all age groups, while cohort fertility follows women over their lifetime. 2. It calculates the general fertility rate as 99 births per 1,000 women aged 15-49 for the country. 3. It finds the total fertility rate is 3.5 children per woman by summing age-specific fertility rates multiplied by 5. 4. The gross reproduction rate is calculated as 2.1 daughters per woman and the net reproduction rate is 0.4 daughters per woman, taking into account mortality rates.

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    University of Eswatini Dlamini Kuhle L. DEM 102: Fertility Assignment 202002378

    Uploaded by

    Kuhle
    46 views6 pages
    This document contains a student's assignment on various fertility metrics for a country: 1. It defines fertility, period fertility, and cohort fertility. Period fertility looks at births in a time period across all age groups, while cohort fertility follows women over their lifetime. 2. It calculates the general fertility rate as 99 births per 1,000 women aged 15-49 for the country. 3. It finds the total fertility rate is 3.5 children per woman by summing age-specific fertility rates multiplied by 5. 4. The gross reproduction rate is calculated as 2.1 daughters per woman and the net reproduction rate is 0.4 daughters per woman, taking into account mortality rates.

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    This document contains a student's assignment on various fertility metrics for a country: 1. It defines fertility, period fertility, and cohort fertility. Period fertility looks at births in a time period across all age groups, while cohort fertility follows women over their lifetime. 2. It calculates the general fertility rate as 99 births per 1,000 women aged 15-49 for the country. 3. It finds the total fertility rate is 3.5 children per woman by summing age-specific fertility rates multiplied by 5. 4. The gross reproduction rate is calculated as 2.1 daughters per woman and the net reproduction rate is 0.4 daughters per woman, taking into account mortality rates.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    46 views6 pages

    University of Eswatini Dlamini Kuhle L. DEM 102: Fertility Assignment 202002378

    Uploaded by

    Kuhle
    This document contains a student's assignment on various fertility metrics for a country: 1. It defines fertility, period fertility, and cohort fertility. Period fertility looks at births in a time period across all age groups, while cohort fertility follows women over their lifetime. 2. It calculates the general fertility rate as 99 births per 1,000 women aged 15-49 for the country. 3. It finds the total fertility rate is 3.5 children per woman by summing age-specific fertility rates multiplied by 5. 4. The gross reproduction rate is calculated as 2.1 daughters per woman and the net reproduction rate is 0.4 daughters per woman, taking into account mortality rates.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 6

    University of Eswatini

    Dlamini Kuhle L.

    DEM 102 : Fertility assignment

    202002378
    Question 1

    a. Fertility is the reproductive performance of an individual, a couple, a group or a


    population. It is the actual bearing of children. A woman’s reproductive period is roughly
    15 – 49 years of age.

    The main contrasts between period and cohort fertility are outlined as follows:

    Period fertility Cohort fertility

    Relates to short periods of time. Relates to lifetime experience.

    Looks at births of all women in all age Follows real women over their
    groups. reproductive life-times.

    Can produce very current estimates. Estimates typically relate to an earlier


    period.

    Requires either longitudinal data or


    Data can be collected in a single time retrospective questioning by means of a
    period or in a cross-sectional survey.  birth history from women aged 50+.

    Summary measure is Completed Family


    Summary measure is Total Fertility Rate
    Size (CFS).
    (TFR).

    b. General fertility rate

    B
    GFR = 15−49
    ×1000
    W

    B = 18 670 + 75 651 + 69 048 + 46 193 + 23 559 + 6 409 + 456


    = 239 986

    W15-49 = 394 119 + 335 924 + 313 611 + 351 825 + 372 637 + 334 594 + 321 900
    = 2 424 610
    239 986
    Hence; GFR = ×1000
    2 424 610
    = 99 births per 1000 women aged 15 – 49

    c. Total fertility rate

    45−49
    Ba
    TFR = n * ∑ Wa
    ∗1000
    15−19

    Age group Ba
    ∗1000
    Wa

    15 - 19 18670
    ∗1000=47.4
    394119

    20 - 24 75651
    ∗1000=225.2
    335924

    25 - 29 69048
    ∗1000=220.2
    313611

    30 - 34 46193
    ∗1000=131.3
    351825

    35 - 39 23559
    ∗1000=63.2
    372637

    40 - 44 6409
    ∗1000=19.2
    334594

    45 - 49 456
    ∗1000=1.42
    321900
    45−49
    Ba
    ∑ Wa
    ∗1000=707.92
    15−19

    TFR = 5* 707.92 / 1000


    = 3.5 children per woman
    d. Gross reproductive rate

    45−49
    Fa∗B f
    GRR = n * ∑
    15−19 B f +m

    Bf = 9 015 + 36 956 + 33 785 + 22 383 + 11 377 + 226 = 144 873

    Bf + m = 18 670 + 75 651 + 69 048 + 46 193 + 23 559 + 6 409 + 456 = 239 986

    Hence;

    144 873
    GRR = 3.5 *
    239 986

    = 2.1 daughters per woman.

    e. Net reproductive rate

    45−49
    ₅ La
    NRR = ∑ ¿¿ ×
    5 l0
    ¿/¿1000
    15−19

    Age group F af a ₅ La
    Ff ×
    5 l0

    15 - 19 9 015 22.9 × 0.9742 = 22.3


    * 1000 = 22.9
    394 119

    20 - 24 36 956 110.0 × 0.9713 = 106.8


    * 1000 = 110.0
    335 924

    25 - 29 33 785 107.7 × 0.9683 = 104.3


    * 1000 = 107.7
    313611

    30 - 34 22383 63.6 × 0.9644 = 61.3


    * 1000 = 63.6
    351825

    35 – 39 11377 30.5 × 0.9587 = 29.2


    * 1000 = 30.5
    372637
    40 - 44 31 131 93.0 × 0.9500 = 88.4
    * 1000 = 93.0
    334 594

    45 – 49 226 0.70 × 0.9364 = 0.7


    * 1000 = 0.70
    321900
    45−49
    ₅ La
    ∑ ¿¿ × ¿=413
    15−19 5 l0

    Hence;

    NRR = 413/1000 = 0.4 daughters per woman.

    f. Graph of ASFR

    Age specific fertility rate of Country Y


    250
    225.2 220.2
    200
    Births per 1000 women

    150
    131.3

    100

    63.2
    50
    47.4

    19.2
    0 1.42
    15 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 45 - 49

    Series 1

    g. Net reproduction rate is the average number of daughters that would be born to a
    woman if she passed through her life-time from birth to the end of her reproductive years
    conforming to the age-specific fertility and mortality rates of a given year whereas gross
    reproduction rate is the average number of daughters that would be born to a woman
    during her lifetime if she passed through her child-bearing years conforming to the age
    specific fertility rates of a given year. The only difference is that net reproduction rate
    takes into consideration the fact that 'some women will die' before completing the child
    bearing age and years.  

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