Volume – 4 Simple Trading Strategies Using

Chart Pattterns
Day Trading Indicators |Day Trading Videos |Volume Indicators

Interested in Trading Risk-Free?

183
SHARES
ShareTweetGoogleLinkedinReddit
Table of Contents
 Why is Volume Important?
 What is Volume?
 Chapter 1: Breakouts and Volume
o In Summary
 Chapter 2: Trending Stocks  and Volume
o In Summary
 Chapter 3: Volume Spikes
o In Summary
o Volume Spikes with Long Wicks
o In Summary
 Chapter 4: Trading the Failed Breakout
o In Summary
 In Conclusion
 Chapter 5: Bonus Content - Bitcoin Volume Analysis
 Chapter 6: Volume Analysis for Two Blockchain ETFs
 Chapter 7: Overlay of Volume on Price
o 5-Year Dow Jones Analysis
 In Summary
o Let’s Improve Your Trading Performance

Why is Volume Important?

V olume analysis is the technique of assessing the health of a trend based on volume activity. Volume

is one of the oldest day trading  indicators in the market.  I would dare to say the volume indicator is the
most popular indicator used by market technicians as well.  Trading platforms may lack certain indicators;
however, I have yet to find a platform that does not include volume.
In addition to technicians, fundamental investors also take notice the numbers of shares traded for a given
security.
Bottom line, the volume indicator is one of the simplest methods for observing buying and selling activity
of a stock at key levels.  The tricky part is volume can provide conflicting messages for the same setup.
Your ability to assess what volume is telling you in conjunction with price action can be a key factor in
your ability to turn a profit in the market.

What is Volume?

The volume represents all the recorded trades for a security during a specified period. This specified
period can range from daily charts to 1-minute charts.

Most trading platforms, Tradingsim included, print each volume bar as either green or red. Green bars are
printed if the stock closes up for a period and red bars indicate a stock closed lower for a given period.

This color coding need not mean there was more down or up volume for the period; it just represents how
the stock closed.

Volume Indicator

Volume cuts through all the noise in Level 2, by showing you where traders are actually placing their
money.

In this article, we will cover how to assess the volume indicator to help us determine the market's
intentions across four common day trading setups :

1. Breakouts

2. Trending Stocks

3. Volume Spikes

4. False Breakouts
In addition, we will discuss advanced volume analysis techniques and apply these methods to assess the
strength of the equities and bitcoin markets.

Learn to Trade Stocks, Futures, and ETFs Risk-Free

Chapter 1: Breakouts and Volume

Breakouts and Volume

Traders will look for breaks of support and resistance to enter positions.  For those fans of the Tradingsim
blog, you know that I exclusively trade breakouts in the morning of each session. There are two key
components to confirm a breakout: (1) price and (2) volume. When stocks break critical levels without
volume, you should consider the breakout suspect and prime for a reversal off the highs/lows.

The below chart is of Netflix on a 5-minute time interval.  You will notice that Netflix was up ~15%
throughout the day after a significant gap up.  Can you tell me what happened to Netflix after the breakout
of the early 2015 swing high?
Breakout of Swing High

The interesting thing about the Netflix chart is the stock never made a new high after the first  5-
minute  bar.
NFLX - Flat for the day

This is a prime example where a stock may have broken a high from a few weeks ago but is unable to
break the high for the current day.  As day traders, you want to wait until the high of the day is broken with
volume.

A key point for you is every swing high does not need to exceed the previous swing high with more
volume.  I used to obsess over this and if I didn't see more volume I would walk away from the trade.
Looking at the chart of Netflix above, do you honestly think the stock will exceed the first 5-minute bar
with increased volume?  Of course not!

While this charting example did not include a break of the daily high, when you look for stocks that are
breaking highs, just look for heavy volume.  Please don't beat yourself up because the 9:35 bar had
150,000 shares traded and the break of the high at 10:10 am only had 132,000.

Now if you see a break of a high with 50% or 70% less volume, this is another story.  Again, if we are within
the margins, please do not beat yourself up over a few thousand shares.

In a perfect world, the volume would expand on the breakout and allow you to eat most of the gains on the
impulsive move higher.  Below is an example of this scenario.
Valid Breakout

Let's test to see if you are picking up the concepts of breakouts with volume.  Take a look at the below
chart without scrolling too far and tell me if the stock will continue in the direction of the trend or reverse?
Breakdown or not?

Come on, don't cheat!

The answer to my question - you have no idea if the stock will have a valid breakout.  From the chart, you
could see that the stock had nice down volume and only one green candle before the breakdown took
place.  This is where experience and money management  comes into play because you have to take a
chance on the trade.

You would have known you were in a winner once you saw the volume pick up on the breakdown as
illustrated in the chart and the price action began to break down with ease.

For those that follow the blog, you know that I like to enter the position on a new daily high with increased
volume.  You will need to place your stops slightly below the high to ensure you are not caught in a trap.
This strategy works for both long and short positions.  The key again is looking for the expansion in
volume prior to entering the trade.

In Summary
 1. The stock has volatile price action with most of the candle color mirroring the direction of the
primary trend (i.e. red candles for a breakdown and green candles for a breakout).

2. On the breakout, volume should pick up

3. The price action after the breakout should move swiftly in your favor

Chapter 2: Trending Stocks and Volume

Trending Stocks

When a stock is moving higher in a stair-step approach, you will want to see volume increase on each
successive high and decrease on each pullback. The underlying message is there is more positive volume
as the stock is moving higher, thus confirming the health of the trend.

This sort of confirmation in the volume activity is usually a result of a stock in an impulsive phase of a
trend.
Volume Increase

The volume increase in the direction of the primary trend is something you will generally see as stocks
progress throughout the day.  You will see the strong move into the 10 am time frame, a consolidation
period and then acceleration from noon until the close.

For this strategy, you will want to wait for the trade to develop in the morning  and look to take a position
after 11 am.  For those that follow the blog , you know that I do not trade in the afternoon; however, this
doesn't mean you can't figure it out.

Develop Your Trading 6th Sense

Learn About TradingSim

As the stock moves in your favor, you should continuously monitor the volume activity to see if the move
is in jeopardy of reversing.  The speed of this setup is much slower versus the other strategies discussed
in this article; however, the difficulty reveals itself in the increased number of false  moves, which are
commonplace in the afternoon.
Think I'm kidding about false breakouts, let me show you a couple.

Weak Trend 1
Weak Trend 2

These charts are just a sample of what happens far too often when it comes to afternoon trading.  So,
how do you find the stocks that will trend all day?  After many years of trading, I can tell you I honestly
don't know.

In Summary

1. Look for volume to push the stock in the direction of the primary trend

2. You need to be prepared to hold a stock for multiple hours to reap the real rewards

3. Once you figure out how to identify the stocks that will trend all day prior to 10 am, please shoot me
an email

4. Instead of using volume to predict which stocks will trend, simply use volume as an indicator that
keeps you in a winning position

 
Chapter 3: Volume Spikes

Volume Spike

Volume spikes are often the result of news-driven events. It occurs when there is an increase of 500% or
more in volume over the recent volume average. This volume spike will often lead to sharp reversals since
the moves are unsustainable due to the imbalance of supply and demand. Trading counter to volume
spikes can be profitable, but it requires enormous skill and mastery of volume analysis.

These volume spikes can also be an opportunity for you as a trader to take a counter move position.  You
need to know what you are doing if you are going to trade volume spikes.  The action is swift and you have
to keep your stops tight, but if you time it right, you can capture some nice gains.

Let's walk through a few volume spike examples, which resulted in a reversal off the spike high or low.

In the below example we will cover the stock Zulily.  The stock had a significant gap up from $13.20 to
almost $16.
Volume Spike Reversal

Notice how the stock never made a new high even though the volume and price action was present.  This
is a key sign that the bears are in control.

In Summary

1. The high or low of the first candle is not breached

2. The first candle has significant volume

3. The subsequent heavy volume events further establish the reversal in trend from the initial spike
after the opening range

4. Place your stops directly above the high or low of the first candle

Volume Spikes with Long Wicks

Below is an example from a 5-minute chart of the stock Depomed, ticker DEPO.  You will notice how the
stock had a significant gap down and then recovered nicely.  Once the recovery began to flatline and the
volume dried up, you will want to establish a short position.

Long Wick

Let's take another look at a long wick setup.  The below chart is of Frontier Communications, ticker FTR
with a long wick down.  The stock then recovered and flattened out, which was an excellent time to enter a
short position.
Another Long Wick

Learn to Day Trade 7x Faster Than Everyone Else

In Summary

1. Identify a high volume gap with a long candlestick on the first bar

2. Wait for the stock to eat into the morning gap and volume to drop off

3. Take a position in the direction of the primary trend with a price target of the low or high of the wick

Chapter 4: Trading the Failed Breakout

I would be remiss if I didn't touch on the topic of failed breakouts.  As a day trader that specializes in early
morning breakouts, I have my fair share of trades that just don't work out.  So, how do you know when a
trade is failing?  Simple answer - you can see the warning signs in the volume.

Let's dig into the charts a bit.

Above is the chart of Amazon and you can see the stock attempted to break out in the  first hour of trading .
Notice how the volume on the breakout attempt was less than stellar.   You shouldn't be surprised when
the stock begins to float sideways with no real purpose.  While this would have been a bad trade, because
your money is idle, it's still much better than what I'm getting ready to show you next.
False Breakout 2

The above example of ESPR would drive me crazy 6 years ago.  Notice how the volume dries up as the
stock attempts to make a lower low on the day.  The key is to get out if the price action begins to chop
sideways for many candles.  When you sit in a stock hoping things will go your way, you are better off
making a donation to charity.  At least the money will go to a worthy cause.

In Summary

1. Breakouts often fail

2. If the volume dries up on the breakout, look to get out within a few candles if things don't turn
around

3. If you want to play the reversal, wait for a few candles to see if the peak holds and enter a trade
counter to the morning gap

4. You can use the peak of the first candlestick as a logical point to exit the trade

In Conclusion
Volume

The strategies discussed in this article can be used with any stock and on any time frame.  The most
important point to remember is you want to see volume expand in the direction of your trade.  Keep this in
the back of your mind and you will do just fine.