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The Simulation Model and Methods of Budgeting

Simulation models can estimate costs, revenue, quality, and effectiveness of policies. They have been used to analyze manufacturing processes, supply chains, and other business processes. Budgeting techniques include incremental, zero-based, and alternative methods like priority-based, decision conferencing, and participatory budgeting. Budgets must also account for uncertainty using rolling or contingency budgets, and should be adjustable for factors like activity levels and price changes using flexible, activity-based, or cash-limited budgeting.

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Shinji
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242 views

The Simulation Model and Methods of Budgeting

Simulation models can estimate costs, revenue, quality, and effectiveness of policies. They have been used to analyze manufacturing processes, supply chains, and other business processes. Budgeting techniques include incremental, zero-based, and alternative methods like priority-based, decision conferencing, and participatory budgeting. Budgets must also account for uncertainty using rolling or contingency budgets, and should be adjustable for factors like activity levels and price changes using flexible, activity-based, or cash-limited budgeting.

Uploaded by

Shinji
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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1.

Define Simulation Model


 It estimates serviceability, costs, revenue, profit, quality of service business and
effectiveness of resource management analytics & policies.

2. Methods of Budgeting
1. Incremental Budgeting
- The process is mainly concerned with the incremental (or marginal) adjustments to
the current budgeted allowance. In that respect it is rather similar to the NI block
funding: any changes are up or down from the existing funding for particular
activities.

2. Zero-based Budgeting
- Zero-based budgeting – unlike the incremental approach – starts from the basis that
no budget lines should be carried forward from one period to the next simply
because they occurred previously. Instead, everything that is included in the budget
must be considered and justified.
- The process requires specification of minimum levels of service provision, the current
level, and an ‘incremental’ level – either between the minimum and the current or an
improvement over the current level. Options for delivering at each level can then be
evaluated and a justification put forward along with the request for resources.

3. Alternative Budgeting Techniques


a. Priority-Based Budgeting
o It focuses on corporate priorities and allocates growth and savings in budgets
accordingly. It is based on a thorough on-going review of departmental
services. According to CIPFA, the review requires a statement of:
1. the objectives/purpose of the service;
2. targets/standards the service is trying to achieve, and;
3. various thresholds at which the service could operate.

o Based on analysis of these statements, elements of spending by each


business unit could be classed as essential/highly desirable/beneficial and
this information would be presented to decision makers.
b. Decision Conferencing
o This approach is computer-software aided. It allows participants in decision-
making conferences to identify key service areas and the resources
committed. Costs and benefits of levels of activity are given scores and
plotted on a graph – these can be varied to allow the implications for service
delivery to be evaluated. While it can be an effective tool, CIPFA suggests
that the focus is largely at service level and is more difficult to apply across
services. Also, it is time consuming and expertise with the associated
software is required across organizations.

c. Planning Programming Budgeting


o This system is primarily associated with corporate management and identifies
alternative policies, the implications of their adoption and provides for their
control. The key difference from traditional approaches is that it relates cost
estimates to programs using a cross-cutting method rather than attributing
costs on a traditional departmental basis.

d. Performance-Based Budgeting
o The main aim of this approach is to connect performance information with the
allocation and management of resources. Performance-based budgets need
to contain information on the following elements:
1. inputs (measured in monetary terms);
2. outputs (units of output);
3. efficiency/productivity data (cost per activity);
4. effectiveness information (level of goal achievement).

o Similar to zero-based budgeting, the performance-based approach should


begin at a policy level with the organization developing goals and explicit
policy objectives. Managers then must develop relevant performance
measures which will track the achievement of these objectives.

e. Participatory Budgeting
o Participatory budgeting is based on the following principles:
1. citizens’ groups have as much power as possible in the decision-
making process.
2. representation must be fair and equitable.
3. appropriate training is given to participatory groups. This may
require a dedicated council team.
4. there is some commonality/theme in the type of budget/grant
being allocated e.g.
o regeneration;
o neighborhood development;
o project based;
o so that decision making can be made by reference to some benchmark or
standard.
o the process is linked directly to the council’s budget-making process.
o it is generally targeted at ‘hard to reach’ groups not otherwise involved in
decision-making processes – thus making the biggest gains.

f. Resource-Restricted Budgeting
o Resource-restricted budgets are similar to cash-limited budgets. Limits are
applied to particular resources (i.e. staff or equipment) and works rather like the
incremental approach but in reverse.

o It begins with the supply aspects (for example the number of staff that is
available to meet future needs) and it is assumed fundamentally that these are
fixed. From this point it works backwards to the required incremental change.

4. Budgeting in Uncertain Conditions


a. Rolling Budgets
o A rolling budget can be defined as “a budget constantly updated by adding a
further period, e.g. a month or quarter and removing the earliest period.”

b. Contingency Budgeting
o Contingency budgeting is useful for new organizations where detailed
budgeting is difficult because there is no past experience to draw upon. The
absence of reliable detail is compensated for by a contingency budget to
cover as many areas as required.

5. Adjusting the Budget


a. Fixed/Flexible Budgeting
o A flexible budget, however, is designed to be changed in line with variations
of the level of activity. At the preparation stage, variable and semi-variable
costs are identified, changing the budget as activity levels change. Typically,
this type of budget is used in manufacturing industries where there may be
changes to the planned levels of production; this results in changes to the
necessary budgets for raw materials or components, for instance.

b. Activity-Based Budgeting
o Activity-based budgeting is an approach developed from activity-based
costing used in the private sector. Rather than assuming that overheads are
related to volumes of production or service, the technique attempts to identify
what drives costs by linking overheads to activities. This provides more
robust information for budget preparation as planned changes in production
or service can be connected to changes in costs.

c. November Price-Base Budgeting


o This approach was used by local authorities up to the early 1990s, but has
mostly now been superseded by cash-limited budgets. The November price
base approach takes the current year’s budget and increases it in line with
the known pay awards at 31 October of that year, affecting the following
financial year, along with the organization’s own best estimates of price
changes up to that date including, where appropriate, local price movements.
Known increases in taxation e.g. employers’ national insurance contributions
are also included.

o This budgetary model does not incorporate assumptions about likely inflation
or pay increases which are not known on 31 October in the base service
budgets. Instead, a provision for inflation and unconfirmed pay awards is held
back as a contingency and released to services budgets during the course of
the financial year as and when pay awards or inflationary pressures become
known.

o The detailed steps are illustrated below:


 calculate increase in price levels from last year’s base budget date up to
the current base budget date;
 estimate effects of further price increases to the end of the budget period
in overall terms;
 provide contingency for this amount and retain it centrally.

d. Cash-Limited Budgeting
o Under this approach. Budget holders are required to plan their activities to
ensure that their net expenditure does not exceed a pre-set cash limit. It relies on
assumptions about inflation and pay awards, for instance, which are not known at
the time the base budget estimates are made.

3. Application of Simulation Model


 Simulation Model has been used to:
 Analyze the performance of manufacturing process.
 Supply chain processes and other business processes

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