04 Intro To Quantitative Methods
04 Intro To Quantitative Methods
Certificate in
INTRODUCTION TO
QUANTITATIVE
METHODS
Contents
10 Probability 275
Introduction 276
Estimating Probabilities 277
Types of Event 279
The Two Laws of Probability 280
Conditional Probability 286
Tree Diagrams 288
Sample Space 294
Expected Value 295
The Normal Distribution 298
iii
1.1 Apply the four rules to whole numbers, fractions and decimals
1.2 Express numbers in standard form
1.3 Multiply and divide negative numbers
2. Apply calculations
4.1 Draw charts and diagrams derived from tabular data: eg bar
charts, pie charts, scatter diagrams
4.2 Plot graphs, applying general rules and principles of graphical
construction including axes, choice of scale and zero
4.3 Plot and interpret mathematical graphs for simple linear,
quadratic, exponential and logarithmic equations
4.4 Identify points of importance on graphs eg maximum, minimum
and where they cut co-ordinate axes
vi
vii
INTEREST
The formula for calculating compound interest:
n
⎛ r ⎞
A = P ⎜1 +
⎝ 100 ⎟⎠
where: A = Accrued amount
P = Original principal
r = Rate of interest (for a particular time period, usually annual)
n = Number of time periods.
DEPRECIATION
● Straight-line method:
Cost of asset
Annual depreciation = ––––––––––––
Useful life
D = B (1 – i) n
STRAIGHT LINE
A linear function is one for which, when the relationship is plotted on a graph, a straight line is
obtained.
The expression of a linear function, and hence the formula of a straight line, takes the following
form:
y = mx + c
Note that: c = the y intercept (the point where the line crosses the y axis)
m = the gradient (or slope) of the line
viii
QUADRATIC EQUATION
A quadratic equation of the form ax 2 + bx + c = 0 can be solved using the following formula:
– b ± b 2 – 4ac
x=
2a
PROBABILITY
● Probability rules:
Probability limits: 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1
Total probability rule: ΣP = 1 (for all outcomes)
–
For complementary events: P(A) + P(A ) = 1
For two mutually exclusive events: P(A and B) = 0
For independent events: P(A) = P(A|B) and/or P(B) = P(B|A)
● Multiplication rules:
For independent events: P(A and B) = P(A)P(B)
For dependent events: P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A)
● Additional rules:
For mutually exclusive events: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
For non-mutually exclusive events: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)
● Conditional rules:
P(A and B) P(A and B)
P(A|B) = –––––––––– and P(B|A) = –––––––––
P(B) P(A)
STATISTICAL MEASURES
x x
● Mean for ungrouped data: μ = ∑ and x = ∑
N n
–
where N and x are the population and sample means respectively.
–
● Mean for grouped data: μ = Σmf/N and x = Σmf/n
(∑ x ) (∑ x )
2 2
2 2
∑x – ∑x –
σ= N and s = n
N n –1
where σ and s are the population and sample standard deviations respectively.
( ∑ mf ) ( ∑ mf )
2 2
2 2
∑m f – ∑m f –
σ= N and s = n
N n –1
The table of values of the standard normal distribution set out below provides a means of
determining the probability of an observation (x ) lying within specified standard deviations (σ) of
the mean of the distribution (μ ).
μ x
(x – μ)
–––––- .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
σ
0.0 .5000 .4960 .4920 .4880 .4840 .4801 .4761 .4721 .4681 .4641
0.1 .4602 .4562 .4522 .4483 .4443 .4404 .4364 .4325 .4286 .4247
0.2 .4207 .4168 .4129 .4090 .4052 .4013 .3874 .3936 .3897 .3859
0.3 .3821 .3783 .3745 .3707 .3669 .3632 .3594 .3557 .3520 .3483
0.4 .3446 .3409 .3372 .3336 .3300 .3264 .3228 .3192 .3156 .3121
0.5 .3085 .3050 .3015 .2981 .2946 .2912 .2877 .2843 .2810 .2776
0.6 .2743 .2709 .2676 .2643 .2611 .2578 .2546 .2514 .2483 .2451
0.7 .2420 .2389 .2358 .2327 .2296 .2266 .2236 .2206 .2177 .2148
0.8 .2119 .2090 .2061 .2033 .2005 .1977 .1949 .1922 .1894 .1867
0.9 .1841 .1814 .1788 .1762 .1736 .1711 .1685 .1660 .1635 .1611
1.0 .1587 .1562 .1539 .1515 .1492 .1469 .1446 .1423 .1401 .1379
1.1 .1357 .1335 .1314 .1292 .1271 .1251 .1230 .1210 .1190 .1170
1.2 .1151 .1131 .1112 .1093 .1075 .1056 .1038 .1020 .1003 .0985
1.3 .0968 .0951 .0934 .0918 .0901 .0885 .0869 .0853 .0838 .0823
1.4 .0808 .0793 .0778 .0764 .0749 .0735 .0721 .0708 .0694 .0681
1.5 .0668 .0655 .0643 .0630 .0618 .0606 .0594 .0582 .0571 .0559
1.6 .0548 .0537 .0526 .0516 .0505 .0495 .0485 .0475 .0465 .0455
1.7 .0446 .0436 .0427 .0418 .0409 .0401 .0392 .0384 .0375 .0367
1.8 .0359 .0351 .0344 .0336 .0329 .0322 .0314 .0307 .0301 .0294
1.9 .0287 .0281 .0274 .0268 .0262 .0256 .0250 .0244 .0239 .0233
2.0 .02275 .02222 .02169 .02118 .02068 .02018 .01970 .01923 .01876 .01831
2.1 .01786 .01743 .01700 .01659 .01618 .01578 .01539 .01500 .01463 .01426
2.2 .01390 .01355 .01321 .01287 .01255 .01222 .01191 .01160 .01130 .01101
2.3 .01072 .01044 .01017 .00990 .00964 .00939 .00914 .00889 .00866 .00842
2.4 .00820 .00798 .00776 .00755 .00734 .00714 .00695 .00676 .00657 .00639
2.5 .00621 .00604 .00587 .00570 .00554 .00539 .00523 .00508 .00494 .00480
2.6 .00466 .00453 .00440 .00427 .00415 .00402 .00391 .00379 .00368 .00357
2.7 .00347 .00336 .00326 .00317 .00307 .00298 .00289 .00280 .00272 .00264
2.8 .00256 .00248 .00240 .00233 .00226 .00219 .00212 .00205 .00199 .00193
2.9 .00187 .00181 .00175 .00169 .00164 .00159 .00154 .00149 .00144 .00139
3.0 .00135
1
Study Unit 1
Basic Numerical Concepts
Contents Page
Introduction 3
A. Number Systems 4
Denary Number System 4
Roman Number System 4
Binary System 4
C. Arithmetic 7
Addition (symbol ) 7
Subtraction (symbol ) 8
Multiplication (symbol ) 8
Division (symbol ) 9
The Rule of Priority 9
Brackets 10
E. Fractions 13
Basic Rules for Fractions 14
Adding and Subtracting with Fractions 17
Multiplying and Dividing Fractions 20
F. Decimals 22
Arithmetic with Decimals 23
Limiting the Number of Decimal Places 25
(Continued over)
G. Percentages 26
Arithmetic with Percentages 27
Percentages and Fractions 27
Percentages and Decimals 27
Calculating Percentages 28
H. Ratios 29
INTRODUCTION
The skill of being able to handle numbers well is very important in many jobs. You may often
be called upon to handle numbers and express yourself clearly in numerical form – and this
is part of effective communication, as well as being essential to understanding and solving
many business problems.
Sometimes we can express numerical information more clearly in pictures – for example, in
charts and diagrams. We shall consider this later in the course. Firstly though, we need to
examine the basic processes of manipulating numbers themselves. In this study unit, we
shall start by reviewing a number of basic numerical concepts and operations. It is likely that
you will be familiar with at least some of these, but it is essential to ensure that you fully
understand the basics before moving on to some of the more advanced applications in later
units.
Throughout the course, as this is a practical subject, there will be plenty of practice questions
for you to work through. To get the most out of the material, we recommend strongly that you
do attempt all these questions.
One initial word about calculators. It is perfectly acceptable to use calculators to perform
virtually all arithmetic operations – indeed, it is accepted practice in examinations. You should
therefore get to know how to use one quickly and accurately. However, you should also
ensure that you know exactly how to perform all the same operations manually.
Understanding how the principles work is essential if you are to use the calculator correctly.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
identify some different number systems
round-up numbers and correct them to significant figures
carry out calculations involving the processes of addition, subtraction, multiplication
and division
manipulate negative numbers
cancel fractions down to their simplest terms
change improper fractions to mixed numbers or integers, and vice versa
add, subtract, multiply and divide fractions and mixed numbers
carry out calculations using decimals
calculate ratios and percentages, carry out calculations using percentages and divide a
given quantity according to a ratio
explain the terms index, power, root, reciprocal and factorial.
A. NUMBER SYSTEMS
Hundreds
Tens of
Millions of Thousands Hundreds Tens Units
thousands
thousands
The number of columns indicates the actual amounts involved. Consider the number 289.
This means that, in this number, there are:
two hundreds (289)
eight tens (289)
nine units (289).
Before we look at other number systems, we can note that it is possible to have negative
numbers – numbers which are less than zero. Numbers which are more than zero are
positive. We indicate a negative number by a minus sign (). A common example of the use
of negative numbers is in the measurement of temperature – for example, 20°C (i.e. 20°C
below zero).
We could indicate a positive number by a plus sign (), but in practice this is not necessary
and we adopt the convention that, say, 73 means 73.
Binary System
As we have said, our numbering system is a base ten system. By contrast, computers use
base two, or the binary system. This uses just two symbols (figures), 0 and 1.
In this system, counting from 0 to 1 uses up all the symbols, so a new column has to be
started when counting to 2, and similarly the third column at 4.
Denary Binary
0 0
1 1
2 10
3 11
4 100
5 101
6 110
7 111
8 1000
9 1001
This system is necessary because computers can only easily recognise two figures – zero or
one, corresponding to "components" of the computer being either switched off or on. When a
number is transferred to the computer, it is translated into the binary system.
(However, you should note that different rules may apply in certain situations – for
example, in VAT calculations, the Customs and Excise rule is always to round down to
the nearest one pence.)
(b) Significant figures
By significant figures we mean all figures other than zeros at the beginning or end of a
number. Thus:
632,000 has three significant figures as the zeros are not significant
000,632 also has only three significant figures
630,002 has six significant figures – the zeros here are significant as they occur
in the middle of the number.
We can round off a number to a specified number of significant figures. This is likely to
be done to aid the process of communication – i.e. to make the number language
easier to understand – and is particularly important when we consider decimals later in
the unit.
Consider the figure 2,017. This has four significant figures. To write it correct to three
significant figures, we need to drop the fourth figure – i.e. the 7. We do this by using the
rounding off rule – round down from 4 or round up from 5 – so 2,017 correct to three
significant figures becomes 2,020. To write 2,017 correct to one significant figure, we
consider the second significant figure, the zero, and apply the rule for rounding off,
giving 2,000. Do not forget to include the insignificant zeros, so that the digits keep
their correct place values.
Integers
Integers are simply whole numbers. Thus, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, etc, are integers, as are all the
negative whole numbers.
The following are not integers:
¾, 1½, 7¼, 0.45, 1.8, 20.25
By adjusting any number to the nearest whole number, we obtain an integer. Thus, a number
which is not an integer can be approximated to become one by rounding off.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
C. ARITHMETIC
We will now revise some basic arithmetic processes. These may well be familiar to you, and
although in practice it is likely you will perform many arithmetic operations using a calculator,
it is important that you know how to do the calculations manually and understand all the rules
that apply and the terminology used.
When carrying out arithmetic operations, remember that the position of each digit in a
number is important, so layout and neatness matter.
Addition (symbol )
When adding numbers, it is important to add each column correctly. If the numbers are
written underneath each other in the correct position, there is less chance of error.
So, to add 246, 5,322, 16, 3,100 and 43, the first task is to set the figures out in columns:
246
5,322
16
3,100
43
Total 8,727
The figures in the right hand column (the units column) are added first, then those in the next
column to the left and so on. Where the sum of the numbers in a column amount to a figure
greater than nine (for example, in the above calculation, the sum of the units column comes
to 17), only the last number is inserted into the total and the first number is carried forward to
be added into the next column. Here, it is 1 or, more precisely, one ten which is carried
forward into the "tens" column.
Where you have several columns of numbers to add (as may be the case with certain
statistical or financial information), the columns can be cross-checked to produce check
totals which verify the accuracy of the addition:
Columns
A B C D Totals
Note that each row is added up as well as each column, thus providing a full cross-check.
Subtraction (symbol )
Again, it is important to set out the figures underneath each other correctly in columns and to
work through the calculation, column by column, starting with the units column.
So, to subtract 21 from 36, the first task is to set the sum out:
36
21
Total 15
As with addition, you must work column by column, starting from the right – the units column.
Now consider this calculation:
34
18
Total 16
Where it is not possible to subtract one number from another (as in the units column where
you cannot take 8 from 4), the procedure is to "borrow" one from the next column to the left
and add it to the first number (the 4). The one that you borrow is, in fact, one ten – so adding
that to the first number makes 14, and subtracting 8 from that allows you to put 6 into the
total. Moving on to the next column, it is essential to put back the one borrowed and this is
added to the number to be subtracted. Thus, the second column now becomes 3 (1 1), or
3 2, which leaves 1.
Multiplication (symbol )
The multiplication of single numbers is relatively easy – for example, 2 4 8. When larger
numbers are involved, it is again very helpful to set out the calculation in columns:
246
23
In practice, it is likely that you would use a calculator for this type of "long multiplication", but
we shall briefly review the principles of doing it manually.
Before doing so though, we shall note the names given to the various elements involved in a
multiplication operation:
246
23
Subtotal (units) 738
Subtotal (tens) 4,920
Total product 5,658
Division (symbol )
In division, the calculation may be set out in a number of ways:
360
360 24, or 360/24, or most commonly
24
Just as there were three names for the various elements involved in a multiplication
operation, so there are three names or terms used in division:
the dividend is the number to be divided – in this example, it is 360
the divisor is the number by which the dividend is to be divided – here it is 24 and
the answer to a division operation is called the quotient – here the quotient for our
example is 15.
Division involving a single number divisor is relatively easy – for example, 16 2 8. For
larger numbers, the task becomes more complicated and you should use a calculator for all
long division.
Brackets
Brackets are used extensively in arithmetic, and we shall meet them again when we explore
algebra.
Look at the previous calculation again. It is not really clear whether we should:
(a) multiply the eight by six; or
(b) multiply the eight by "six minus three" (i.e. by three); or even
(c) multiply the eight by "six minus three plus four" (i.e. by seven).
We use brackets to separate particular elements in the calculation so that we know exactly
which operations to perform on which numbers. Thus, we could have written the above
calculation as follows:
8
(8 6) 3
2
This makes it perfectly clear what numbers are to be multiplied.
Consider another example:
12 3 3 6 1
Again there are a number of ways in which this calculation may be interpreted, for example:
(12 3) (3 6) 1
12 (3 3) (6 1)
(12 3) 3 (6 1)
(12 [3 3]) 6 1
Note that we can put brackets within brackets to further separate elements within the
calculation and clarify how it is to be performed.
The rule of priority explained above now needs to be slightly modified. It must be strictly
followed except when brackets are included. In that case, the contents of the brackets are
evaluated first. If there are brackets within brackets, then the innermost brackets are
evaluated first.
Example:
2 3 (6 8 2)
2 3 (6 4) (within the brackets, the division first)
232
26 (multiplication before addition)
8
Thus we can see that brackets are important in signifying priority as well as showing how to
treat particular operations.
2. Add each of the four columns in the following table and cross-check your answer.
A B C D Totals
322 418 42 23
219 16 600 46
169 368 191 328
210 191 100 169
Totals
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
We can now visualise the addition and subtraction of negative numbers in the same way as
above. Consider the sum (3) 4. Start at 3 on the scale and count four divisions to the
right:
4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4
Therefore, (3) 4 1.
(Note that, here, we have shown the figure of "minus 3" in brackets to avoid confusion with
the addition and subtraction signs.)
The order of the figures of these calculations does not matter, so we can also write:
(3) 4 4 (3) 1
We can illustrate the second sum as follows:
3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5
This is the same as 4 3. In effect, therefore, a plus and a minus together make a minus.
With subtraction, the process is slightly different. To subtract a minus number, we change the
subtraction sign to a plus and treat the number as positive. For example:
4 (3) 4 3 7
To sum up:
a plus and minus make a minus
two minuses make a plus.
Consider the following examples. (Draw your own number scales to help visualise the sums
if you find it helpful.)
7 (3) 7 3 10
2 (6) 2 6 4
10. 10 (10)
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
E. FRACTIONS
A fraction is a part of a whole number.
When two or more whole numbers are multiplied together, the product is always another
whole number. In contrast, the division of one whole number by another does not always
result in a whole number. Consider the following two examples:
12 5 2, with a remainder of 2
10 3 3, with a remainder of 1
The remainder is not a whole number, but a part of a whole number – so, in each case, the
result of the division is a whole number and a fraction of a whole number. The fraction is
expressed as the remainder divided by the original divisor and the way in which it is shown,
then, is in the same form as a division term:
2
12 5 2, with a remainder of 2 parts of 5, or two divided by five, or
5
1
10 3 3, with a remainder of 1 part of 3, or one divided by three, or
3
Each part of the fraction has a specific terminology:
the top number is the numerator and
the bottom number is the denominator.
Thus, for the above fractions, the numerators are 2 and 1, and the denominators are 5 and 3.
When two numbers are divided, there are three possible outcomes.
(a) The numerator is larger than the denominator
In this case, the fraction is known as an improper fraction. The result of dividing out an
improper fraction is a whole number plus a part of one whole, as in the two examples
above. Taking two more examples:
42 6
4 whole parts and a remainder of 6 parts of 9, or 4
9 9
30 6
1 whole part and a remainder of 6 parts of 24, or 1
24 24
(b) The denominator is larger than the numerator
In this case, the fraction is known as a proper fraction. The result of dividing out a
proper fraction is only a part of one whole and therefore a proper fraction has a value of
less than one.
Examples of proper fractions are:
1 2 4 4
, , , , etc.
5 3 7 5
(c) The numerator is the same as the denominator
In this case, the expression is not a true fraction. The result of dividing out is one whole
part and no remainder. The answer must be 1. For example:
5
551
5
Fractions are often thought of as being quite difficult. However, they are not really hard as
long as you learn the basic rules about how they can be manipulated. We shall start by
looking at these rules before going on to examine their application in performing arithmetic
operations on fractions.
The process of reducing a fraction to its lowest possible terms is called cancelling
down. To do this, we follow another simple rule. Divide both the numerator and
denominator by the largest whole number which will divide into them exactly.
Consider the following fraction from those listed previously:
20
50
Which whole number will divide into both 20 and 50? There are several: 2, 5, and 10.
However the rule states that we use the largest whole number, so we should use 10.
Dividing both parts of the fraction by 10 reduces it to:
2
5
Note that we have not changed the value of the fraction, just the way in which the parts
of the whole are expressed. Thus:
20 2
50 5
A fraction which has not been reduced to its lowest possible terms is called a vulgar
fraction.
Cancelling down can be a tricky process since it is not always clear what the largest
whole number to use might be. For example, consider the following fraction:
165
231
In fact, both terms can be divided by 33, but you are very unlikely to see that straight
away. However, you would probably quickly see that both are divisible by 3, so you
could start the process of cancelling down by dividing by three:
165 3 55
231 3 77
This gives us a new form of the same fraction, and we can now see that both terms can
be further divided – this time by 11:
55 11 5
77 11 7
So, large vulgar fractions can often be reduced in stages to their lowest possible terms.
Changing the denominator to required number
The previous process works in reverse. If we wanted to express a given fraction in a
different way, we can do that by multiplying both the numerator and denominator by the
same number. So, for example,
2 8
could be expressed as by multiplying both terms by 4.
5 20
If we wanted to change the denominator to a specific number – for example, to express
½ in eighths – the rule is to divide the required denominator by the existing
denominator (8 2 4) and then multiply both terms of the original fraction by this
result:
1 4 4
24 8
Note again that we have not changed the value of the fraction, just the way in which the
parts of the whole are expressed.
Changing an improper fraction into a whole or mixed number
Suppose we are given the following improper fraction:
35
8
The rule for converting this is to divide the numerator by the denominator and place
any remainder over the denominator. Thus we find out how many whole parts there are
and how many parts of the whole (in this case, eighths) are left over:
35 3
35 8 4 and a remainder of three 4
8 8
This result is known as a mixed number – one comprising a whole number and a
fraction.
Changing a mixed number into an improper fraction
This is the exact reverse of the above operation. The rule is to multiply the whole
number by the denominator in the fraction, then add the numerator of the fraction to
this product and place the sum over the denominator.
2
For example, to write 3 as an improper fraction:
3
(a) first multiply the whole number (3) by the denominator (3) 3 3 9, changing
the three whole ones into nine thirds
(b) then add the numerator (2) to this 2 9 11, thus adding the two thirds to the
nine thirds from the first operation
11
(c) finally place the sum over the denominator
3
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Not all sums are as simple as this. It is often the case that we have to change the form
of expression of all the fractions in a sum in order to give them all the same
denominator.
Consider the following calculation:
3 1 1
5 4 10
The lowest common denominator for these three fractions is 20. We must then convert
all three to the new denominator by applying the rule explained above for changing a
fraction to a required denominator:
3 1 1 12 5 2 15 3
5 4 10 20 20 20 20 4
The rule is simple:
find the lowest common denominator – and where this is not readily apparent, a
common denominator may be found by multiplying the denominators together
change all the fractions in the calculation to this common denominator
then add (or subtract) the numerators and place the result over the common
denominator.
(b) Mixed numbers
When adding mixed numbers, we deal with the integers and the fractions separately.
The procedure is as follows:
first add all the integers together
then add the fractions together as explained above, and then
add together the sum of the integers and the fractions.
Consider the following calculation:
1 1 3
34 5 2
4 2 4
1 1 3
(3 4 5 2)
4 2 4
1 2 3
14
4 4 4
6
14
4
1
14 1
2
1
15
2
In general, the same principles are applied to subtracting mixed numbers. For example:
5 1 5 1 5 3 2 1
4 1 (4 1) 3 3 3
6 2 6 2 6 6 6 3
However, the procedure is slightly different where the second fraction is larger than the
first. Consider this calculation:
1 5
4 1
2 6
Here, it is not possible to subtract the fractions even after changing them to the
common denominator:
3 5
6 6
To complete the calculation we need to take one whole number from the integer in the
first mixed number, convert it to a fraction with the same common denominator and add
it to the fraction in the mixed number. Thus:
1 1 6 3 9
4 3 1 3 3
2 2 6 6 6
We can now carry out the subtraction as above:
1 5 9 5 9 5 4 2
4 1 3 1 (3 1) 2 2
2 6 6 6 6 6 6 3
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
F. DECIMALS
Decimals are an alternative way of expressing a particular part of a whole. The term
"decimal" means "in relation to ten", and decimals are effectively fractions expressed in
tenths, hundredths, thousandths, etc.
Unlike fractions though, decimals are written completely differently and this makes carrying
out arithmetic operations on them much easier.
Decimals do not have a numerator or a denominator. Rather, the part of the whole is shown
by a number following a decimal point:
the first number following the decimal point represents the number of tenths, so 0.1 is
one-tenth part of a whole and 0.3 is three-tenths of a whole
the next number to the right, if there is one, represents the number of hundredths, so
0.02 is two-hundredths of a whole and 0.67 is six-tenths and seven-hundredths (i.e. 67
hundredths) of a whole
the next number to the right, again if there is one, represents the number of
thousandths, so 0.005 is five-thousandths of a whole and 0.134 is 134 thousandths of a
whole
and so on up to as many figures as are necessary.
We can see the relationship between decimals and fractions as follows:
1 3 6
0.1 , 0.3 , 1.6 1
10 10 10
1 67 81
0.01 , 0.67 , 3.81 3
100 100 100
1 54 382
0.001 , 0.054 , 5.382 5
1000 1000 1000
We can see that any fraction with a denominator of ten, one hundred, one thousand, ten
thousand, etc. can be easily converted into a decimal. However, fractions with a different
denominator are also relatively easy to convert by simple division.
Similarly, subtraction is easy provided that you follow the same rule of ensuring that the
decimal points are aligned vertically. For example, subtract 18.857 from 63.7:
63.7
– 18.857
Total 44.843
The multiplication would be the same, but this time there are 2 figures after decimal
points in the original sum. So, we insert the decimal point two places to the right in the
answer:
0.2
One final point to note about multiplying decimals is that, to multiply a decimal by ten,
you simply move the decimal point one place to the right. For example:
3.62 10 36.2
Likewise, to multiply by 100, you move the decimal point two places to the right:
3.62 100 362
This can be a very useful technique, enabling quick manual calculations to be done
with ease.
(c) Division with decimals
Again, it is far easier to use a calculator when dividing with decimals.
However, when dividing by ten or by one hundred (or even by a thousand or a million),
we can use the technique noted above in respect of multiplication to find the answer
quickly without using a calculator:
to divide by ten, simply move the decimal point one place to the left – for
example, 68.32 10 6.832
to divide by one hundred, simply move the decimal point two places to the left –
for example, 68.32 100 0.6832.
(d) Converting fractions to decimals, and vice versa
Fractions other than tenths, hundredths, thousandths, etc. can also be converted into
decimals. It is simply a process of dividing the numerator by the denominator and
expressing the answer in decimal form. You can do this manually, but in most
instances it is easier to use a calculator.
3
For example, to change into decimal form, you divide 3 by 5 (i.e. 3 5).
5
Using a calculator the answer is easily found: 0.6
However, not all fractions will convert so easily into decimals in this way.
1
Consider the fraction .
3
Dividing this out (or using a calculator) gives the answer 0.3333333 or however many
3s for which there is room on the paper or the calculator screen. This type of decimal,
where one or more numbers repeat infinitely, is known as a recurring decimal.
In most business applications, we do not need such a degree of precision, so we
abbreviate the decimal to a certain size – as we shall discuss in the next section.
To change a decimal into a fraction, we simply place the decimal over ten or one
hundred etc, depending upon the size of the decimal. Thus, the decimal becomes the
numerator and the denominator is 10 or 100 etc. For example:
36 9
0.36
100 25
736 92
3.736 3 3
1000 125
2. Change the following fractions into decimal form, correct to the number of decimal
places (dp) specified:
2 3
(a) to 2 dp (b) to 3 dp
5 8
3 7
(c) to 2 dp (d) to 3 dp
4 8
5 5
(e) to 3 dp (f) to 3 dp
8 6
4 5
(g) to 3 dp (h) to 3 dp
7 16
3. Change the following decimals into fractions and reduce them to their lowest possible
terms:
(a) 0.125 (b) 0.60
(c) 1.75 (d) 0.750
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
G. PERCENTAGES
A percentage is a means of expressing a fraction in parts of a hundred – the words "per cent"
simply mean "per hundred", so when we say "percentage", we mean "out of a hundred". The
expression "20 per cent" means 20 out of 100. The per cent sign is %, so 20 per cent is
written as 20%. Some examples:
4
4% means four-hundredths of a whole, or four parts of a hundred
100
28% means twenty-eight-hundredths of a whole, or twenty-eight parts of a hundred
28
100
100% means one hundred-hundredths of a whole, or a hundred parts of a hundred
100
1
100
Percentages are used extensively in many aspects of business since they are generally
more convenient and straightforward to use than fractions and decimals. It is therefore
important that you are fully conversant with working with them.
Calculating Percentages
To find a particular percentage of a given number, change the percentage rate into a fraction
or a decimal and then multiply the given number by that fraction/decimal.
For example, to find 15% of £260:
15 £3900
£260 £39
100 100
or £260 0.15 £39
To express one number as a percentage of another, we convert the numbers into a fraction
with the first number as the numerator and the second the denominator, and then change the
fraction into a percentage by multiplying by 100.
For example, what percentage of cars have been sold if 27 have gone from a total stock of
300?
27 2700
100 9%
300 300
Do not forget that percentages refer to parts of the same whole and therefore can only be
calculated where the units of measurement of the quantities concerned are the same.
For example, to show 23 pence as a percentage of £2, we need to express both quantities in
the same units before working out the percentage. This could be both as pence or both as
pounds:
23
100 11.5%
200
0.23
or 100 11.5%
2
There are occasions when we deal with percentages greater than 100%.
For example, if a woman sells a car for £1,200 and says that she made 20% profit, how
much did she buy it for?
The cost plus the profit 120% of cost £1,200.
The cost, therefore, is 100%
100
To work out the cost, we need to multiply the selling price by :
120
100
Cost 1,200 £1,000
120
To prove that this is correct, we work the calculation through the other way. The cost was
£1,000 and she sold it at 20% profit, so the selling price is:
£1,000 20% of £1,000 £(1,000 0.2 1,000) £1,200, as given above.
2. Change the following percentages into fractions and reduce them to their lowest
possible terms
(a) 2% (b) 8%
(c) 7½% (d) 18%
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
H. RATIOS
A ratio is a way of expressing the relationship between two quantities. It is essential that the
two quantities are expressed in the same units of measurement – pence, number of people,
etc. – or the comparison will not be valid.
For example, if we wanted to give the ratio of the width of a table to its depth where the width
is 2 m and the depth is 87 cm, we would have to convert the two quantities to the same units
before giving the ratio. Expressing both in centimetres would give the ratio of 200 to 87.
Note that the ratio itself is not in any particular unit – it just shows the relationship between
quantities of the same unit.
We use a special symbol (the colon symbol : ) in expressing ratios, so the correct form of
showing the above ratio would be:
200: 87 (pronounced "200 to 87")
There are two general rules in respect of ratios:
They should always be reduced to their lowest possible terms (as with vulgar fractions).
To do this, express the ratio as a fraction by putting the first figure over the second and
cancel the resulting fraction. Then re-express the ratio in the form of numerator :
denominator.
For example, consider the ratio of girls to boys in a group of 85 girls and 17 boys. The
ratio would be 85 : 17. This can be reduced as follows:
85 1
17 5
The ratio of 85 to 17 is, therefore, 5 : 1.
Ratios should always be expressed in whole numbers. There should not be any
fractions or decimals in them.
Consider the ratio of average miles per gallon for cars with petrol engines to that for
cars with diesel engines, where the respective figures are 33½ mpg and 47 mpg. We
would not express this as 33½ : 47, but convert the figures to whole numbers by, here,
multiplying by 2 to give: 67 : 94
Ratios are used extensively in business to provide information about the way in which one
element relates to another. For example, a common way of analysing business performance
is to compare profits with sales. If we look at the ratio of profits to sales across two years, we
may be able to see if this aspect of business performance is improving, staying the same or
deteriorating. (This will be examined elsewhere in your studies.)
Another application is to work out quantities according to a particular ratio. For example,
ratios are often used to express the relationship between partners in a partnership – sharing
profits on a basis of, say, 50 : 50 or 80 : 20.
Consider the case of three partners – Ansell, Boddington and Devenish – who share the
profits of their partnership in the ratio of 3 : 1 : 5. If the profit for a year is £18,000, how much
does each partner receive?
To divide a quantity according to a given ratio:
first add the terms of the ratio to find the total number of parts
then find what fraction each term of the ratio is to the whole, and
finally divide the total quantity into parts according to the fractions.
For the Ansell, Boddington and Devenish partnership, this would be calculated as follows:
The profit is divided into 3 1 5 9 parts.
Therefore:
3
Ansell receives of the profits
9
1
Boddington receives of the profits and
9
5
Devenish receives of the profits.
9
Therefore:
3
Ansell gets £18,000 £6,000
9
1
Boddington gets £18,000 £2,000
9
5
Devenish gets £18,000 £10,000
9
£ £
A 100,000 25,000
B 63,000 7,000
C 30,000 10,000
D 75,000 15,000
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Indices
Indices are found when we multiply a number by itself one or more times. The number of
times that the multiplication is repeated is indicated by a superscript number to the right of
the number being multiplied. Thus:
2 2 is written as 22 (the little "2" raised up is the superscript number)
2 2 2 is written as 23
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 is written as 27 etc.
The number being multiplied (here, 2) is termed the base and the superscript number is
called the exponent or index of its power. Thus in the case of 26 we refer to the term as "two
raised to the sixth power" or "two to the power of six". (Strictly, 22 should be referred to as
"two to the power of two", but we normally call it "2 squared"; similarly, 23 is referred to as "2
cubed".)
The power of a number is the result of multiplying that number a specified number of times.
Thus, 8 is the third power of 2 (23) and 81 is the fourth power of 3 (34).
It is quite possible to have a negative exponent, as in the case of 23. A negative exponent
indicates a reciprocal. The reciprocal of any number is one divided by that number. For
example:
1
the reciprocal 5 is and
5
1 1
23 represents 3
0.125
2 8
Indices also do not have to be whole numbers – they can be fractional, as in the case of 16¼.
This indicates that the base is raised to the power of a quarter. It is more usual though to
refer to this as the fourth root of the base and to write it as follows:
4
16
The symbol indicates a root. A root is the number that produces a given number when
raised to a specified power. Thus, the fourth root of 16 is 2 (2 2 2 2 16).
A square root of any number is the number which, when multiplied by itself, is equal to the
first number. Thus
2
9 3 (3 3 9)
The root index (the little 4 or little 2 in the above examples) can be any number. It is, though,
customary to omit the 2 from the root sign when referring to the square root. Thus
This is not particularly useful, so an easier way of dealing with a number expressed in
standard form is to remember that the index number after the 10 tells you how many places
the decimal point has to be moved to the right in order to create the full number
(remembering also to put in the 0s). So, the second number from above, written out in full
would be:
8 . 4 3 6 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 843,605,000,000,000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Converting numbers in this way makes arithmetic operations much easier – something which
we shall return to later in your studies – and also allows us to compare numbers at a glance.
Thus, we can see immediately that 8.43605 1014 is larger than 9.3825 1013.
Just as with indices we can also have numbers expressed in standard form using a negative
index – for example, 2.43 102.
Before we consider this in more detail, it would be helpful to recap exactly what the index
number means.
We know that 10 10 100, so we can say that 102 100.
We can go on multiplying 10 by itself to get:
103 1,000
104 10,000, etc.
We also know from the above that, when there is a minus number in the index, it indicates a
reciprocal – i.e. one divided by the number as many times as the index specifies. Thus:
1
101 0.1.
10
We could go on to say that 102 0.01 and 103 0.001, etc. Again, you will note that a
minus index number after the 10 tells you how many places the decimal point has to be
moved to the left in order to create the full number (remembering also to put in the 0s as
well).
Now you should be able to work out that 2.43 102 0.0243.
Factorials
A factorial is the product of all the whole numbers from a given number down to one.
For example, 4 factorial is written as 4! (and is sometimes read as "four bang") and is equal
to 4 3 2 1.
You may encounter factorials in certain types of statistical operations.
2. Write out in full the following numbers which are expressed in standard form.
(a) 4.68 102
(b) 9.35 102
(c) 1.853 106
(d) 6.02 105
(e) 7.653 1012
(f) 8.16 1010
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
3. (a) (6 3) 6 4 9 6 4 54 4 58
(b) (6 3) (6 4) 9 10 90
(c) 10 (5 2) (10 5) 10 7 2 70 2 68
(d) 24 24 (2 2) 24 24 4 24 6 30
(e) 6 (24 [4 2]) 6 (24 8) 6 3 18
(f) (15 [3 2] 6 [4 3] 2) 11
(15 5 6 12 2) 11 (3 6 24) 11 33 11 3
2 19
15. 2 16. 3
9 24
7 11
17. 2 18. 3
24 12
Firm B: 1 : 9
Firm C: 1 : 3
Firm D: 1 : 5
2. (a) X: £15,000
Y: £20,000
Z: £25,000
(b) F: £1,800
G: £2,700
H: £2,700
Study Unit 2
Algebra, Equations and Formulae
Contents Page
Introduction 40
B. Algebraic Notation 43
Addition and Subtraction 43
Multiplication 44
Division 45
Indices, Powers and Roots 45
Brackets in Algebra 48
C. Solving Equations 50
Equality of Treatment to Both Sides of the Equation 50
Transposition 52
Equations with the Unknown Quantity on Both Sides 54
D. Formulae 55
Formulating a Problem 55
Constants and Variables 56
Substitution 56
Rearranging Formulae 57
Answers to Questions 59
INTRODUCTION
In this study unit we continue our review of basic concepts by looking at algebra. Algebra
essentially involves the substitution of letters for numbers in calculations, so that we can
establish rules and procedures for carrying out mathematical operations which can be
applied whatever the actual numbers involved. In this sense then, algebra enables general
expressions to be developed and general results to be obtained.
We shall then go on to introduce the subject of equations. An equation is simply a statement
of equality between two mathematical expressions, and is generally used to enable one or
more unknown quantities to be worked out. There are various rules and procedures which
can be applied to equations to help this process, and these will be examined in full. Here we
shall be concerned with "simple" equations, but later in the course we shall consider more
complex forms. However, the same basic rules are applied, so it is important to understand
these at the outset.
Finally, we look briefly at formulae. A formula is one particular form of generalised
mathematical statement, usually expressed in the form of an equation, that sets out a rule
which may be applied in particular situations. It enables us to work out an unknown quantity
or value provided we know certain specific quantities or values. There are formulae which
describe a great many physical situations or mathematical problems and you will encounter
these throughout your studies, both in this course and many others.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
outline the basic principles of algebra
apply the basic arithmetic operations of addition, subtraction, multiplication and division
to algebraic notation, and simplify algebraic expressions by the process of collecting
like terms
define equations and formulae and outline their uses
find unknown quantities and values from simple equations by using transposition
outline the principles of formulae and how they are constructed
rearrange the terms in a formula to isolate different unknowns.
could be 1. We only know that they are 2 and 3 respectively because we defined them as
such before.
The main consequence of this is that algebra uses general expressions and gives general
results, whereas arithmetic (using numbers) uses definite numbers and gives definite results.
Arithmetic is specific, whereas algebra is general.
Let us consider some examples to illustrate this further.
Example 1:
Suppose you have a piece of wood which is 7 metres long and from it you wish to cut a piece
4 metres long. The length of the remaining piece is 3 m, calculated as follows:
743
This is a specific arithmetic statement relating to cutting a specific amount from this particular
piece of wood.
We could translate this into an algebraic expression by substituting letters for the specific
lengths:
let the original length of the piece of wood x metres
and the length of the piece cut off y metres.
The calculation can now be shown as:
xy3
This is now a general statement for cutting one length of wood from another to leave a piece
3 metres in length.
Example 2:
To find the area of a floor measuring 10 m long and 9 m wide, we multiply one dimension by
the other:
area 10 9 square metres
90 sq metres.
Substituting the letters "l" and "w" to represent the actual length and width, we can
reformulate the expression as:
area l w
Again, this is a general expression which can be made specific by putting in particular values
for "l" and "w".
Example 3:
The distance travelled by a train in 3 hours at a speed of 60 miles per hour is easily
calculated as:
3 30 180 miles.
Here again, letters may be substituted to give us a general expression:
std
where: speed s mph
time t hours
distance travelled d miles.
Thus, using algebra – working with letters instead of numbers – allows us to construct
general mathematical expressions. This is not particularly helpful in itself, but is very
important when we come to consider equations.
Equations
An equation is simply a mathematical statement that one expression is equal to another. So,
for example, the statement that "2 2 4" is an equation.
Note that an equation has two sides. Here, they are "2 2" and "4". The two sides must
always be in equality for the statement to be an equation.
If we now introduce the concept of algebra into this, we have the makings of an extremely
useful mathematical tool.
For example, given that a certain number multiplied by 3 is 6, we can write this as:
3 the required number 6.
To save writing "the required number" (or the " unknown" number), it is more convenient to
call it "x", so that we can then write:
3x6
Here are a few simple statements which you can easily write as equations for practice:
(a) A certain number is added to 4 and the result is 20.
(b) A certain number is multiplied by 4 and the result is 20.
(c) If 4 is taken from a certain number the result is 5.
(d) If a certain number is divided by 3 the result is 1.
The correct equations are:
(a) x 4 20
(b) x 4 20
(c) x45
(d) x31
The point of constructing equations in this way is that it provides a means by which you can
work out the unknown value (here, "x"). These examples are very simple and you can
probably solve them (i.e. work out the unknown) very easily. However, equations can get
very complicated. Don't worry, though – there are a number of simple rules which can be
used to help solve them.
Formulae
A mathematical formula (plural "formulae") is a special type of equation which can be used
for solving a particular problem.
In fact, we have already introduced two formulae in the preceding section on algebra:
area length width
distance travelled speed time.
The essence of these two statements is that they are always true, whatever the actual values
of length, width, speed etc. are. Thus, a formula is an equation which always applies to a
particular mathematical problem, whatever the actual values. It provides a set of rules which
can be used in a particular situation in order to solve the problem.
If we know the actual values, we could put them into the equation, but if not we would have
to treat them as unknown. Thus, we can formulate a general statement using algebra as
follows:
Alw
where: A area
l length
w width.
dst
where: speed s mph
time t hours
distance travelled d miles.
Having a formula for a particular problem set out as a general equation using algebra
enables us to work out the answer by substituting actual values back into it for the unknowns.
For example, if we know we have been driving for 2 hours at an average speed of 60 mph,
we can easily work out the distance travelled by substituting 60 for "s" and 2 for "t" in the
above formula:
d st
60 2
120 miles.
There are many formulae used in mathematics and other physical sciences such as
chemistry or physics. You will meet a good many in your studies – principally in this subject
and in financial subjects. Again, do not worry too much about them. They are usually quite
straightforward and, by using the general rules governing equations, can easily be used to
solve the problem faced.
B. ALGEBRAIC NOTATION
As algebraic letters simply represent numbers, the operations of addition, subtraction,
multiplication and division are still applicable in the same way. However, in algebra it is not
always necessary to write the multiplication sign. So, instead of "a b", we would write
simply "ab" (or sometimes "a.b", using the full stop to represent multiplication).
When unlike terms are to be added, we can simplify an arithmetical statement, but not an
algebraic statement. For example:
3 6 7 16
yxzyxz
The three numbers, when added, can be reduced to a simpler form, i.e. 16. However, there
is not a simpler means of expressing "x y 3".
We can, though, simplify expressions when they involve like terms.
Just as the result of adding two numbers does not depend upon their order, so the result of
addition in algebra is not affected by order. Thus:
27729
and
x y 3 3 y x y 3 x, etc.
In simplifying an algebraic expression, we can collect like terms together whenever possible.
For example:
5x 2y x 3y 2 (5x x) (2y 3y) 2 4x 5y 2
We have collected together all the "x"s (5x x) and all the "y"s (2y 3y), but cannot do
anything with the "2" which is unlike the other terms.
This distinction between like and unlike terms, and the way in which they can be treated, is
an important point.
Multiplication
As we have seen, the product of a number and a letter, for example 3 a, may be written as
3a. Always place the number before the letter, thus 3a, not a3. Since multiplication by 1 does
not alter the multiplicand, the expression 1a is not used; you just write a.
To multiply unlike terms, we simply write them together with no sign. Thus:
a b c d abcd
If numerical factors are involved then they are multiplied together and placed in front of the
simplified term for the letters:
3a 2b 4c d 24abcd
That this is correct can be shown by writing it in full and changing the order of multiplication:
3a2b4cd
324abcd
24abcd
Multiplying like terms (for example, x x) gives a result of the term being raised to the power
of the multiplier (here, x2). We shall consider this in more detail later.
Division
Division should present little difficulty if we follow the rules used in arithmetic. Consequently,
just as we write:
4
for 4 2
2
so we can write:
x
for x y
y
Remember that any number goes into itself once. This will prevent you from saying that 6 6
0 instead of 6 6 1.
In the same way x x 1. It is then easy to cancel algebraic fractions. For example:
2xy 2y
can be cancelled by dividing both the numerator and denominator by x to give
4x 4
2y
can be further cancelled by dividing both the numerator and denominator by 2 to
4
y
give
2
2xy
or we could simply say we can cancel by dividing both parts by 2x.
4x
We can always cancel like terms in the numerator and denominator.
and
x3 x5 (x x x) (x x x x x)
xxxxxxxx
x8
x3 5
There is in fact a general rule that, when we have two expressions with the same base,
multiplication is achieved by adding the indices. Thus:
xm xn xm + n (Rule 1)
(b) Division of indices
When we divide expressions with the same base, we find we can achieve this by
subtracting the indices. For example:
x6 xxxxxx
x 3
xxx
xxx
x3
x6 3
and
x2 xx
x x
x
x1
x2 1
The general rule is:
xm
n
xm n (Rule 2)
x
(c) Showing reciprocals
In Rule 2 above, let us put m 0, so that the expression becomes :
x0
n
x0 n
x
We know that x0 1, so
1
n
x0 n x n
x
Thus, negatives denote reciprocals.
(d) Raising one power by another
To work out an expression such as (x2)3 – i.e. x squared all cubed – we have x2 x2
x2 as it is the cube of x2.
Thus (x2)3 x2 x2 x2
xxxxxx
x6 x2 3
In general, we have (xm)n xmn (Rule 3)
(e) Roots
Indices do not have to be whole numbers. They can be fractional.
Let us consider x½ (i.e. x raised to the power half). We know from Rule (3) that:
(x½)2 x½ 2 x
Thus, x½ when multiplied by itself gives x. However, this is exactly the property that
defines the square root of x. Therefore, x½ is the square root of x which you will
sometimes see denoted as:
2
x or, more commonly, as x.
Brackets in Algebra
The rules for brackets are exactly the same in algebra as in arithmetic. However, if we have
unlike terms inside the brackets, it is not possible to collect them together before removing
the brackets. In such cases, we need to be very careful when removing them and always
obey the following three rules
If the bracket has a term (a number or a letter) in front of it, everything within the
bracket must be multiplied by that term.
If a bracket has a sign before it, or before the term by which the terms inside the
brackets are to be multiplied, the signs or within the brackets remain unchanged.
If a bracket has a sign before it, or before the term by which the terms inside the
brackets are to be multiplied, the signs or within the brackets are changed so that
becomes and vice versa.
These rules need a little explanation, so let us consider some examples.
Example 1:
4x 2(x y)
The terms inside the brackets are unlike and cannot be further collected.
All the terms within the brackets must be multiplied by the term outside before removing the
brackets, so this gives:
4x 2x 2y 6x 2y
Example 2:
x (y 3z)
Again, the terms inside the brackets are unlike and cannot be further collected, so we can
proceed to remove the brackets as the next step.
Since there is a sign before the brackets, we must reverse the signs of the terms inside
when removing them. Thus:
x y 3z
We can clarify this by imagining that there is an unwritten "1" before the bracket, making the
expression effectively:
x 1(y 3z)
So "1" is multiplying the whole bracket:
x 1 (y 3z)
1. aaaa 2. ab ab
3. 3x 2x x 4. 3x 2y y
5. 5x 3x x 6. 7xy 2x y
7. 3a 2a 8. aaba3
9. x y xy 10. xxxyyy
11. a 2b 3a 4b 5 12 3x (x 3)
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
C. SOLVING EQUATIONS
When we talk about solving an equation, we mean finding the value of the unknown or
unknowns using the other numbers in the equation. For example, in:
4x 20
the value of the unknown (x) can be discovered because of the stated relationship between 4
and 20. You can easily see that if 4 times the unknown 20 then the unknown must be 5.
There are a number of rules which can be used to help solve equations and we shall
consider these next in relation to equations which have only one unknown. In a later study
unit we shall examine more complex equations – those with two or more unknowns – and
consider additional rules. However, these are based on the simple rules which we set out
here.
1. x 7 21
2. x 3 26
3. x + 9 21
x
4. 11
5
x
5. 7
8
6. 3x 30
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Transposition
When you understand the rules in the previous subsection you may shorten your working by
using transposition instead.
Transposition is a process of transferring a quantity from one side of an equation to another
by changing its sign of operation. This is done so as to isolate an unknown quantity on one
side.
You must observe the following rules:
An added or subtracted term may be transposed from one side of an equation to the
other if its sign is changed from to , or from to .
Consider the following examples:
(a) x46
Transfer the 4 to the right-hand side of the equation and reverse its sign:
x64
x 10
(b) x 6 18
Transfer the 6 to the right-hand side and reverse its sign:
x 18 6
x 12
(c) 12 x 25
Transpose the 12 and reverse its sign:
x 25 12
x 13
(d) 18 x 14
First transpose the x and reverse its sign:
18 14 x
Then transpose the 14 and reverse its sign:
18 14 x
x4
Note that we can keep transposing terms from one side to the other until we have
isolated the unknown quantity.
A multiplier may be transposed from one side of an equation by changing it to the
divisor on the other.
Similarly, a divisor may be transposed from one side of an equation by changing it to
the multiplier on the other.
Consider the following examples:
x
(a) 12
4
To get x by itself, move 4 across the sign and change it from divisor to
multiplier:
x 12 4
x 48
(b) 2x 20
To get x by itself, transpose the 2 and change it from multiplier to divisor:
20
x
2
x 10
24
(c) 6
x
In this case, we need to transpose x and change it from divisor to multiplier:
24 6x
Then, to get x by itself, we transpose the multiplier (6) and change it to a divisor:
24
x
6
x4
This rule is called cross multiplication.
4. 5x 25
5. 2x 3 15
6. 21 x 15
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
1. x 3 8 2x
2. 2x 24 x
3. 1
2
x 15 x
4. 5x 3 27 2x
5. 18 x 5x 2
2x
6. 24 6x
3
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
D. FORMULAE
A formula is a mathematical model of a real situation.
The easiest way to explain this is to give an example.
Formulating a Problem
When a person borrows money, he or she has to pay interest on the loan (called the
"principal"). The amount of interest payable is determined by the annual rate of interest
charged on the money borrowed, taking into account the time over which the loan is repaid. If
we want to work out the amount of interest repayable on a particular loan, the calculation is
as follows:
Interest the principal multiplied by the percentage rate of interest, multiplied by the
number of time periods the interest is to apply.
We could model this situation by using algebraic notation and then show the whole
calculation as an equation:
let:: I simple interest
P principal
r rate of interest (%)
n number of periods
then:
r
IP n
100
This equation is the formula for calculating simple interest. It can be used for any simple
interest calculation and enables us to find the value of any one of the elements, provided of
course that we know all the others.
Thus, what we have done is express the real situation as a mathematical model using an
algebraic equation.
This particular formula is very important in financial studies and can be applied in many
situations. However, it is possible to develop formulae to model any situation involving
mathematical relationships. Some are just useful for helping to understand how to work out a
particular problem or situation you are faced with, whilst others describe key mathematical
relationships which you will meet time and again throughout the course.
For example, consider the following situation:
A man runs at a certain number of kilometres per hour for a certain number of hours, and
then cycles at a certain number of kph for a certain number of hours. What is his average
speed?
let: x the speed at which he runs (in kph)
y the number of hours he runs
p the speed at which he cycles (in kph)
q the number of hours he cycles.
Therefore, we can say he covers (xy pq) kilometres in (y q) hours.
then:
xy + pq
average speed kph
y+q
Note that when we use a letter such as x to represent an unknown quantity, it only represents
that quantity and the units must be exactly specified. For example, we said "let x the speed
at which he cycles (in kph)"; to have said "let x the speed at which he cycles" would have
been inaccurate.
The steps to take in formulating the problem, then, are as follows:
select a letter to represent each of the quantities required
convert each block of information from the problem into an algebraic term or statement,
using the letters selected
form an equation by combining the symbolic terms, ensuring that all terms are
expressed in the same units.
The last step is to test the formula by going back to the problem and check that it works by
using real number values in the formula through the process of substitution. We shall look at
substitution shortly.
Activity
As practice, see if you can work the following problem out by developing a formula. Note that
the unknown quantities have already been given letters.
A grocer mixes m kg of tea at x pence per kg with n kg of tea at y pence per kg. If she sells
the mixture at v pence per kg, what profit, in pence, does she make? Bring your answer to £.
Now check your answer with that given at the end of the unit.
Substitution
We defined a formula as a mathematical model of a real situation. In order to use that model
in a real situation, we have to give the variables the values which apply in that particular
situation. Doing this is the process of substitution.
Turning back to the formula for simple interest, consider the following example:
What is the simple interest on £1,000 invested at 10% per annum (i.e. per year) for two
years?
First of all we should restate the formula:
r
IP n
100
Now we substitute the values from the problem into the formula:
P £1,000
r 10
n2
So:
10
I £1,000 2
100
£1,000 10 20
100
£200
This explains the principle of substitution. In the next study unit you will get much more
practice in this.
Rearranging Formulae
Finally, we should note that a formula can be rearranged to find a different unknown quantity.
So for example, when considering simple interest, we may wish to know how long it would
take to earn a specified amount of interest from a loan made to someone else, at a particular
rate of interest.
The way in which the formula is expressed at present does not allow us to do that, but by
using the rules we have discussed in relation to simple equations, we can rearrange the
formula so that it does.
Again, we start by restating the original formula:
r
IP n
100
Note that we can also express this as:
P rn
I
100
To find n, we need to rearrange the formula so that n is isolated on one side of the equation.
r Pr
We can do this by dividing both sides by P or, as it may also be expressed, :
100 100
Pr
n
I 100
Pr Pr
100 100
I
n
Pr
100
Pr 100
nI I
100 Pr
100 I
n
Pr
Don't worry too much about the mechanics of this for now – again you will have plenty of
practice at these types of operation as you work through the course. However, see if you can
rearrange the simple interest formula to isolate the other two unknowns.
1. To find P – the principal which would provide a certain amount of interest at a particular
rate of interest over a specified period.
2. To find r – the rate of interest which would have to be charged to earn a particular
amount of interest on a specified principal over a certain period of time.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
25
4. x 5
5
18
5. 2x 15 3, x 9
2
6. 21 15 x, 21 15 x, x 6
4. 5x 2x 27 3, x 10
5. 18 2 5x x, x 5
2x 1 1 3 72 9
6. 24 6x 5 x, x 24 5 24 4½
3 3 3 16 16 2
r
Pn
I 100
Pn Pn
I r
Pn 100
r
r%. which is what we want to find
100
I
so r%
Pn
Activity
The solution would be as follows:
profit selling price cost price
selling price quantity sold price v(m n) pence
cost price mx ny pence
profit v(m n) (mx ny) pence
To convert this to £, we simply divide the result by 100:
v (m + n) (mx + ny)
profit £
100
Study Unit 3
Basic Business Applications
Contents Page
Introduction 64
D. Depreciation 76
Straight-Line Depreciation 76
Reducing Balance Depreciation 77
INTRODUCTION
In this study unit we shall apply some of the numerical concepts introduced in the previous
two units to some of the basic problems encountered regularly in the business world. The
intention here is not to go into detail about the nature of these problems, but to concentrate
on the principles of calculation involved in solving them. Thus, in most cases, we shall use
very simplified situations and limited amounts of information.
At first sight, some of these business applications may seem quite hard to work out, but if
you follow the logical steps to breaking down the problem shown here, applying the correct
formulae and setting out the calculations clearly, you should not find them difficult in practice.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
explain the rate of exchange between different currencies and convert values in one
currency into another
explain discounts and commissions and calculate them from given information
state the formulae for simple interest and compound interest, and use them to calculate
any of the amount of interest payable (or receivable), the principal, the rate of interest
or the time period covered, given information about the other variables
explain depreciation and calculate it according to the straight-line method and the
reducing-balance method
outline the way in which gross pay is made up and the main deductions made from
gross pay in order to leave net or take-home pay
calculate the income tax payable on pay, taking into account non-taxable items and
personal tax allowances.
Rates of Exchange
You are no doubt familiar with various currency systems. They are invariably based on the
decimal number system – for example, America uses the dollar ($) and the cent, which is
equivalent to one-hundredth of a dollar. Europe has the euro (€) and the cent, which is one-
hundredth of a euro, and present British currency comprises the pound sterling (£) and the
penny, which is one-hundredth of a pound.
The relative values of the different currencies used to depend upon the amount of gold which
a country possessed, but now that we are no longer on the gold standard, their values
depend on the political and economic circumstances of the countries concerned. Such value
is measured by how much one unit of currency costs in another currency. For example, one
unit of British currency (£1) might cost 2.11 units of US currency ($2.11). This relationship of
one currency to another is known as the rate of exchange.
These values vary from day-to-day and are quoted in most daily papers. The changes in
value are brought about by such things as changes in government, changes in government
policies, the national budget, the relationship between the value of exports and imports, etc.
To give you some idea of the scale of changes over time, before the Second World War the
value of the dollar was about 21p (i.e. $1 £0.21), whereas at the time of writing (2008) it is
about 50p (i.e. $1 £0.50). However, such large changes usually only occur over a long
period or because of some particular economic problem. In general, the changes are very
small, although they can take place quite rapidly. Even then, although the changes may be
very slight, their effects can be very large when you consider that large amounts of money
could be involved. Companies may have many millions of pounds sterling invested in
overseas currencies, and a small change in the value of those currencies can produce
substantial losses or gains, depending on whether the value of the currency rises or falls
against the pound.
The rate of exchange is expressed as a ratio. It shows the value of one unit of currency in
terms of another currency. Thus, one side of the ratio is always "1". Here are some examples
of typical rates of exchange of the British pound:
£1 2.00 Swiss francs
£1 $1.98 (US dollars)
£1 €1.43 (euros)
£1 237.7 Japanese yen
Note that, although it is a ratio, the rate of exchange is usually shown as "x y", rather than
"x : y".
It is this ratio that determines how much of one currency can be bought with another
currency, or how much a particular amount of one currency is worth in another.
Before we look at the relevant calculations involved in converting one currency to another,
there are two further points to note about the rate of exchange.
For any relationship between two different currencies, the rate of exchange can be
expressed in two ways – how much one unit of one currency is worth in terms of the
other, and vice versa. Thus, the rate of exchange between the British pound and the
Swiss franc could be shown as:
£1 2.00 Swiss francs or
1 Swiss franc £0.50
The rate of exchange is usually quoted in two forms – a selling price and a buying
price. The selling price determines the amount of foreign currency you will be sold for
your pounds, and the buying price determines the amount of pounds you will receive in
return for your foreign currency. (The difference between the two enables the bank or
bureau de change etc. undertaking the exchange to make a profit.) As an example of
the two different prices, the rates quoted might be:
Currency Conversion
To find the value of a sum of money in one currency in terms of another currency, we could
develop a simple formula using the rate of exchange, as follows.
Let: e rate of exchange expressed as the number of units of a second currency (e.g.
dollars) equivalent to one unit of a first currency (e.g. pounds, as in $1.98 £1)
x amount in first currency
y amount in second currency.
To convert a certain amount of the first currency (say, £x) into the second currency (say $y),
we multiply the amount of the first currency by the rate of exchange. Thus the formula would
be:
yxe
So, to convert £100 into $ at the rate of £1 $1.98, we would substitute the following values
into the formula:
x 100
e 1.98
The formula gives us the following calculation:
$y 100 1.98 $198
If we wanted to know how much a particular sum of the second (say $y) currency would be
worth in the first (say £x) currency, we would have to rearrange the above formula to isolate
x. To do this, we simply divide each side of the equation by e – the rate of exchange:
y xe
e e
y
x
e
We can now apply these formulae to any given problem.
Example 1:
What is the cost in £ of an invoice for €1,275 euros if the rate of exchange is £1 1.29?
The rate of exchange is expressed as 1.29 units of one currency is equivalent to 1 unit of the
other. So, euros are the second currency and pounds are the first, and x is the amount in
pounds and y the amount in euros.
Substituting in the second formula (to find x) we get:
1,275
£x £ £988.37
1.29
(Note that the actual result of the calculation is £988.37209, but we round down to express it
correct to two decimal places as required for currency.)
Example 2:
Find the value of £63.40 in Swiss francs if the rate of exchange is £1 SF2.02.
The rate of exchange is expressed as 2.02 units of the second currency (SF) is equivalent to
1 unit of the first (£). So, again x is the amount in pounds and y the amount in Swiss francs.
Substituting in the first formula (to find y) we get:
y SF 63.40 2.02 128.068 128.07 Swiss francs (rounded up).
Example 3:
Convert $3,000 to pounds given that £1 $1.99.
The rate of exchange is expressed as 1.99 units of the second currency ($) is equivalent to
1 unit of the first (£). So, again x is the amount in pounds and y the amount in dollars.
Substituting in the second formula (to find x) we get:
3,000
£x £ £1,507.54 (rounded up).
1.99
Example 4:
Convert 100,000 Japanese yen to pounds given that £1 195.3 yen.
The procedure should be becoming clear to you now.
100,000
£x £ £512.03 (rounded down).
195.3
Example 5:
Find the value of £250 in dollars if the exchange rate is £1 $2.01
$y 250 2.01 £502.50
2. The Smiths spent a holiday touring in France. While travelling they used 200 litres of
petrol which cost €1.35 per litre. The exchange rate was 1.29 euros to the pound.
(a) how much did the petrol cost them in pounds?
(b) what was the price per litre of the petrol in pence?
3. Before going on holiday to Switzerland and Italy, the Jones family changed £800 into
Swiss francs. While in Switzerland they spent 720 Swiss francs and then changed the
remaining francs into euros as they crossed the border into Italy. The exchange rate
was 2.05 Swiss francs to the pound and 0.642 euros to the Swiss franc. Calculate:
(a) the number of Swiss francs they received
(b) the number of euros they bought.
4. A bank buys Swedish kroner (SEK) at 10.05 kroner to the pound and sells at 9.45
kroner to the pound.
(a) Mr Watson changed £100 into Swedish Kroner for a trip to Sweden. How many
Kroner did he receive?
(b) Sadly the excursion was cancelled and so he changed all his Kroner back into
pounds. How much money did he lose because of the cancellation?
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Discounts
A discount is a reduction in the selling price of an item, usually offered as an inducement for
quantity buying or for prompt payment. The discount is expressed as a percentage of the list
price (the list price is the original price) and what the buyer actually pays is the net price – the
list price minus the discount.
To calculate a discount (D), you use the following rule or formula:
multiply the list price (or base, B) by the rate of the discount (R) and divide by 100.
Thus:
R
DB
100
Consider the following examples.
Example 1:
A three-piece suite was listed as £720, but was sold at a discount of 15%. What is the net
price?
15
discount £720 £108
100
net price £720 £108 £612
Example 2:
A car was listed at £3,600 but was sold for cash less a discount of 20%. What was the final
selling price?
20
discount £3,600 £720
100
net price £3,600 £720 £2,800
Commission
A commission is the amount of money paid to an agent, broker or salesman for buying or
selling goods or services. This is expressed as a percentage of the value of the
goods/services traded and is called the rate of commission.
To find the commission, we simply multiply the value of the goods/services traded (known as
the principal) by the rate of commission.
Consider the following example.
Pauline obtained £6,400 of new business for the PR agency for which she works. She is paid
commission of 12½%. Calculate the amount due to her.
commission 12½% of £6,400
12.5 25
£6,400 £6,400 £800
100 200
Commissions are also usually charged by banks, travel agents and bureaux de change to
cover their costs when carrying out a currency exchange. The commission on changing cash
is commonly £3 or 2% whichever is larger.
When going on holiday, most people take a limited amount of cash in the currency of each
country to be visited and take the remainder that they will need in the more secure form of
traveller's cheques. The commission charged on traveller's cheques is commonly £3 or 1%
whichever is larger.
In these cases, the person exchanging the currency or buying traveller's cheques is charged
either:
a fixed cost – £3 per transaction or
a variable cost – the value of 1% or 2% of the amount of the transaction.
We shall consider fixed and variable elements in more detail later, but consider the following
example in relation to currency exchanges.
Using the rates of commission quoted above, and given that £1 $1.47, how many dollars
would you get when converting:
(a) £100 to American dollars in cash?
(b) £200 to American dollars in cash and in traveller's cheques?
In each case, we would need to work out the commission at both the fixed and the variable
rate, and then apply whichever is the larger.
(a) The commission payable on converting £100 into dollars cash is either £3 or £2 (2% of
£100). The fixed rate is the larger so that would be applied:
£100 £3 £97
£97 1.47 $142.50
(b) The commission payable on converting £200 into dollars cash is either £3 or £4 (2% of
£200). The variable rate is the larger so that would be applied:
£200 £4 £196
£196 1.47 $288.12
However, the commission payable on converting £200 into $ traveller's cheques is
either £3 or £2 (1% of £200). The fixed rate is the larger so that would be applied:
£200 £3 £197
£197 1.47 $289.59
2. What is the price paid for a £7,000 car with a discount of 15%?
3. An estate agent charges a commission of 1.5% of the value of each house she sells.
How much commission is earned by selling a house for £104,000?
4. Calculate the commission earned by a shop assistant who sold goods to the value of
£824 if the rate of commission is 3%.
5. A car salesman is paid 2.5% commission on his weekly sales over £6,000. In one
particular week, he sold two cars for £7,520 and £10,640. What was his commission for
that week?
6. On a holiday touring New Zealand, Australia and Hong Kong, a family of four decided
to take the equivalent of £900 abroad. The travel agent charges commission on each
currency exchange at the rate of £3 or 2% (whichever is the larger) for cash and £3 or
1% (whichever is the larger) for travellers cheques.
(a) They changed £110 into New Zealand dollars, £100 into Australian dollars and
£120 into Hong Kong dollars. How much of each currency did they receive after
commission was deducted?
(b) After buying the foreign currencies, they changed as much as possible of the
remaining money into traveller's cheques. The smallest value of traveller's
cheque which can be bought is £10.
(i) How much did they exchange for travellers cheques?
(ii) How much commission did they pay for the cheques?
(c) What was the total cost per person of the foreign currencies and travellers
cheques?
Use the following exchange rates:
£1 .798 New Zealand dollars (NZD)
£1 2.458 Australian dollars (AUD)
£1 19.65 Hong Kong dollars (HKD)
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
loan/savings and also the period of the loan (or the amount of time you guarantee to leave
the savings with them).
There are two ways of looking at interest – simple interest and compound interest.
Simple Interest
Simple interest (SI) is calculated on the basis of having a principal amount, say P, in the bank
for a number of years, T, with a rate of interest, R. As we have seen, there is a simple formula
to work out the amount of interest your money will earn:
PRT
SI
100
This means that the interest is found by multiplying the principal by the rate, then by the time,
and then dividing by 100.
(Note that the way in which this formula is expressed is slightly different from that used in the
previous unit. It works in exactly the same way, but is stated in a rather easier fashion. Note,
too, that the notation is also slightly different. It is often the case that formulae can be
expressed in slightly different ways.)
As we have seen, we can also rearrange this formula to allow us to work out any of the
variables. Thus:
100SI
P
RT
SI
R%
PT
100SI
T
PR
Consider the following examples.
Example 1:
John had £16.40 in an account that paid simple interest at a rate of 9%. Calculate how much
interest would be paid to John if he kept the money in the account for 5 years.
The principal (P) is £16.40, the rate (R) is 9% and the time (T) is 5 years. So, substituting in
the formula, we get:
16.40 9 5
SI £5.90
100
Example 2:
Calculate the length of time taken for £2,000 to earn £270 if invested at 9%.
Here we need to work out T where P £2,000, SI £270 and R 9. Substituting in the
formula, we get:
100 270 27,000
T 1.5 years
2,000 9 18,000
2. If you invest £6,750 at 8.5% per annum, how much interest will you earn and how
much will you have in your account after 4 years?
3. If you invest £5,000 at 9.25% per annum for 6 months, how much interest will you
receive?
4. £10,800 was invested and at the end of each year the interest was withdrawn. After 4
years, a total of £3,240 in interest had been withdrawn. At what annual rate of interest
was the money invested?
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Compound Interest
Let us now look at how compound interest differs from simple interest.
If an amount of money is invested and the interest is added to the investment, then the
principal increases and so the interest earned gets bigger each year.
Suppose you begin with £1,000 and the interest is 8% per year. The interest in the first year
is 8% of £1,000 which is £80. Adding this to the original principal, the amount invested at the
end of the first year is £1,080.
Now, in the second year, the interest is 8% of £1,080 which is £86.40. The amount accrued
at the end of the second year is £1,166.50.
You can continue working out the amounts in this way. However, to find the amount at the
end of any year, you are finding 100% 8% 108% of the amount at the beginning of the
year. So you can multiply by 1.08 each time.
There is a standard formula which can be used to calculate compound interest, as follows:
n
r
A P 1
100
where: A accrued amount
P original principal
r rate of interest (for a particular time period, usually annual)
n number of time periods.
Consider the following examples.
Example 1:
£3,000 is invested in an account paying 12% compound interest per year. Find the value of
the investment after 3 years.
Working this out year by year, we get:
investment at the beginning of year 1 £3,000
interest at 12% (of £3,000) £360
value of the investment after 1 year £3,000 £360 £3,360
interest at 12% (of £3,360) £403.20
value of investment after 2 years £3,360 £403.20 £3,763.20
interest at 12% (of £3,763.20) £451.58
value of the investment after 3 years £3,763.20 £451.58 £4,214.78
Alternatively, we could use the formula:
n
r
A P 1
100
where: P £3,000
r 12%
n3
Substituting these values in the formula gives:
n
r
A P 1
100
3
12 3
£3,000 1 £3,000 1.12 £3,000 1.404928
100
£4,214.78 (to the nearest p).
Example 2:
£2,000 is invested in a high interest account for 1½ years. The interest rate is 10.5% per
annum, and it is paid into the account every six months. Calculate the value of the
investment after this time and the amount of interest earned.
The rate of interest for 1 year 10.5%.
Therefore the rate of interest for 6 months 5.25%.
Working this out by each six month period, we get:
investment at the beginning of year 1 £2,000
interest at 5.25% (of £2,000) £105
value of the investment after 6 months £2,000 £105 £2,105
interest at 5.25% (of £2,105) £110.51
value of investment after one year £2,105 £110.51 £2,215.51
interest at 5.25% (of £2,215.51) £116.31
value of the investment after 1½ years £2,215.51 £116.31 £2,331.82
2. £2,000 is invested at 10% per annum payable every 6 months. How much is in the
account at the end of 1½ years?
3. One building society offers an interest rate of 8.5% per annum payable half-yearly. A
second offers 8.75% payable annually. If you had £2,000 to invest, which savings
account should you choose?
4. An office has to replace some of its machinery in three years' time which it anticipates
will cost £9,000. Find out how much must be invested now, to buy this machinery in
three years' time, if the interest rate which can be earned on investments is 10%.
(Interest earned each year will be reinvested and no money will be withdrawn). Give
your answer to the nearest pound.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
D. DEPRECIATION
Depreciation is a measure of the wearing out, consumption or other loss of value of an asset
arising from use, passage of time, or obsolescence through technology or market changes.
For example, a car loses value over time and is worth less each year.
This is an important concept in business where certain types of asset need to be accurately
valued in order to help determine the overall value of the business. The amount by which an
asset depreciates each year may also have important consequences.
There are several methods for calculating depreciation, but the most commonly used are the
straight-line method (using fixed instalments) and the reducing-balance method (applying a
fixed percentage). It is acceptable to use different methods for different categories of asset,
as long as the method chosen is applied consistently from year to year.
Straight-Line Depreciation
In the straight-line method, depreciation is calculated by dividing the cost of the asset by the
number of years the asset is expected to be used in the business. We can express this as a
formula as follows:
cost of asset
annual depreciation
useful life
Thus, over the period of years selected, the value of the asset will be reduced to zero.
In the case of certain types of asset, such as cars, it may be anticipated that the asset will be
used for say three years and then sold. In this case, the amount of depreciation is the
difference between the cost of the asset and its anticipated value at the end of its useful life,
divided by the number of years over which it will be used. The formula would then be:
annual depreciation
cost of asset - value at end of useful life
useful life
Consider the following examples.
Example 1:
A computer costing £1,500 will have a useful life of 3 years. Show the process of
depreciation.
£1,500
annual depreciation £500
3
end of year 1: value £1,500 £500 £1,000
end of year 2: value £1,000 £500 £500
end of year 3: value £500 £500 £0
Example 2:
A machine cost £4,800. How much will it be worth after 3 years if it depreciates at £600 per
year, and how many years will it be before the machine is valueless?
Depreciation after 3 years will be 3 £600 £1,800
The value of the machine will be £4,800 £1,800 £3,000
If the annual depreciation is £600, the period over which the machine is depreciated to zero
will be:
£4,800 £600 8 years.
2. A factory buys a machine for £7,000. If the machine will be valueless after 4 years,
what should be the amount of depreciation per year?
3. A small business buys a computer costing £4,500. The rate of depreciation is 20% per
annum. What is its value after 3 years?
4. A second-hand motorbike is bought for £795. Its value depreciates by 11% per year.
For how much could it be sold two years later? (Give your answer to the nearest
pound.)
5. Company A bought a fleet of 20 cars for its sales force, each costing £15,250. It
decided to write-off equal instalments of the capital cost over 5 years. Company B
bought an exactly similar fleet, but it decided to write-off 20% of the value each year.
Calculate the value of the cars to Company A and to Company B at the end of the 3rd
year.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Make Up of Pay
All employees receive payment for their labour. At its most basic, this is paid in the form of
either a salary or wages.
Salaries are generally paid monthly and are based on a fixed annual amount. Thus:
annual salary
monthly pay
12
For example, an employee with an annual salary of £18,000 would receive £1,500 every
month (£18,000 12).
Wages are generally paid weekly and are usually based on a fixed rate for working a certain
number of hours. For example, many wage earners are required to work a fixed number of
hours in a week, and they are paid for these hours at a basic hourly rate.
Thus, an office clerk is paid £5.30 per hour for a 40 hour week. What is her weekly wage?
weekly wage rate of pay hours worked
£5.30 40 £212
An employee can often increase a basic wage by working longer than the basic week – i.e.
by doing overtime. A higher hourly rate is usually paid for these additional hours, the most
common rates being time and a half (i.e. 1½ times the basic hourly rate) and double time
(twice the basic hourly rate).
Consider a factory worker who works a basic 36 hour week for which she is paid a basic rate
of £5.84 per hour. In addition, she works 5 hours overtime at time and a half and 3 hours
overtime at double time. Calculate her weekly wage.
People who are employed as salespersons or representatives, and some shop assistants,
are often paid a basic salary or wage plus a percentage of the value of the goods they have
sold. In some cases, their basic salary or wage can be quite small, or even non-existent, and
the commission on their sales forms the largest part of their pay.
For example, a salesman earns a basic salary of £8,280 per year plus a monthly commission
of 5% on all sales over £5,000. What would be his income for a month in which he sold
goods to the value of £9,400?
annual salary £8,280
basic monthly pay £690
12 12
He earns commission on (£9,400 £5,000) worth of sales:
commission 5% of (£9,400 £5,000) 0.05 £4,400 £220
Total monthly pay basic pay commission
£690 £220 £910
2. If an employee's annual salary is £18,750 how much is she paid per month?
3. A basic working week is 36 hours and the weekly wage is £306. What is the basic
hourly rate?
4. A trainee mechanic works a basic 37.5 hour week at an hourly rate of £4.90. He is paid
overtime at time and half. How much does he earn in a week in which he does 9 hours
overtime?
5. An employee's basic wage is £6.20 per hour, and she works a basic 5-day, 40-hour
week. If she works overtime during the week, she is paid at time and a half. Overtime
worked at the weekend is paid at double time. Calculate her wage for a week when she
worked five hours overtime during the week and four hours overtime on Saturday.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Taxation
The total earnings made up in the way just discussed is known as gross pay. Unfortunately,
very few employees actually receive all the money they have earned. Certain amounts of
money are deducted from gross pay and the pay the employee actually ends up with is the
net pay or take-home pay.
The two main deductions are:
income tax and
pension contributions.
There are often other deductions – some being further national or local taxes on pay (such as
the UK system of National Insurance) and others being deductions made by the employer for
work-specific reasons (such as repayments of a loan for a car or for a public transport
season ticket).
Income tax is a major source of finance for the government and is used to fund all types of
public expenditure. The tax is a percentage of gross pay, based on the amount a person
earns in a tax year that begins on 6th April and ends on 5th April the following year. The
percentage rate at which the tax is applied varies according to the level of income. The
amount of gross income on which tax is payable (known as taxable pay) may be affected by
the provision of certain allowances within the tax system and also by certain elements of pay
or deductions being exempted from tax (non-taxable items). The rates of tax applied to
particular bands of income, and the levels of allowances, are decided each year by the
government as part of the Budget.
Most people have income tax deducted from their pay by their employer before they receive
it; the employer then pays the tax to the government. This method of paying income tax is
called PAYE (Pay As You Earn).
From April 2008, the UK system divides taxable pay into two bands of income, with the
following rates of tax applied to each:
0 – £36,000 20%
£36,001 and above 40%
This means that, for a person with a total taxable pay of £20,000 in a year, the total tax
liability would be:
£20,000 20% £4,000
For a person with a total taxable pay of £45,000 in a year, the total tax liability would be:
These annual tax bands can be converted into monthly or weekly amounts for calculating tax
on a PAYE basis and deducting the correct amount from an employees gross pay:
There are many possible allowances and non-taxable items which affect the level of taxable
pay. Here we shall consider just two.
Personal allowances – the amount of money an individual is allowed to earn each year
before he or she starts to pay tax. This amount (sometimes called free-pay) depends
on the individual's circumstances – for example, whether they are single or married,
number of children, etc. If your personal allowances are greater than your actual pay,
then you would pay no income tax at all.
The level of personal allowances are generally set as an annual amount, but this can
be converted into monthly or weekly amounts of "free-pay".
Pension contributions – the amounts paid by an individual into a pension scheme, such
as an employer's occupational pension scheme, are not taxable. Therefore, pension
contributions, where they are deducted from pay by the employer, may also be
deducted from gross pay before calculating tax. (Note that this does not necessarily
apply to any other types of deductions from pay. Where pension contributions are not
paid through the employer, an adjustment may be made to a person's personal
allowances to allow for them.)
Now we can develop a framework for calculating the amount of tax payable annually, using
the tax bands set out here.
gross taxable pay gross pay non-taxable items
net taxable pay gross taxable pay personal allowances
tax liability first £36,000 of net taxable pay 20%
plus remainder of net taxable pay 40%
Consider the following examples, using the bands and tax rates set out here.
Example 1:
How much annual tax will be paid by someone who earns £18,600 per annum and has
personal allowances of £5,800? What is the monthly tax deduction?
There are no non-taxable items specified, so:
gross taxable pay gross pay non-taxable items
£18,600
net taxable pay gross taxable pay personal allowances
£18,600 £5,800 £12,800
tax liability £12,800 20% £2,560
The monthly income tax deducted will be £2,560 divided by 12, i.e. £213 rounded down.
Example 2:
How much annual tax will be paid by someone who earns £43,000 per annum, has personal
allowances of £4,400 and pays pension contributions through his employer at a rate of 5% of
his annual salary.
Here, the pension contributions are non-taxable, so:
gross taxable pay £43,000 (£43,000 5%) £40,850
net taxable pay £40,850 £4,400 £36,450
tax liability £36,000 20% (£36,450 £36,000) 40%
£7,200 £180 £7,380
Note that taxation questions are often set without reference to income bands with different
taxation rates applying, or without reference to deductions from gross pay or personal
allowances. Always answer the question using the information supplied. For example:
How much tax will be paid each month by someone who earns £24,000 per annum if
the tax rate is 25%?
£24,000
Net taxable pay per month, based on the information supplied £2,000
12
Tax liability £2,000 25% £500 per month.
2. If, in the next Budget, the Chancellor changes the rate of income tax from 24% to 23%,
but wages remain the same, how much less tax will be paid by the employee in
Question 1 above.
3. Someone whose personal tax allowance is £4,800 is paid a weekly wage of £80. Would
this person have to pay tax?
4. An employee has a gross income of £23,000 and personal allowances of £5,000. She
pays £3,600 tax. What is the rate of income tax?
5. A weekly paid worker receives a basic wage of £5.50 per hour for a 37.5 hour week.
Overtime is paid at a rate of time and a half for the first five hours, and at double time
for any additional hours worked.
She also belongs to an occupational pension scheme, making contributions at a rate of
6% of basic earnings only. As a single mother, she has a personal taxation allowance of
£5,850.
Calculate her net pay in a week when she works 48 hours if the tax bands and rates
are as set out above (i.e. as per 2008 in the UK).
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS
Questions for Practice 1
1. £45.26
2. (a) £209.30
(b) 105p (rounded).
3. (a) 1640 Swiss francs
(b) 590.64 euros.
4. (a) 945 Swedish kroner
(b) £5.97
3. To compare the effects of the two rates, work out the accrued amount after one year in
each case:
For the first building society, the rate of 8.5% payable six monthly equates to 4.25% as
a six-monthly rate. Thus, using the formula for calculating the accrued amount over two
six month periods is:
n
r
A P 1
100
2
4.25 2
£2,000 1 £2,000 1.0425 £2,000 1.1659134
100
£2,173.61 (to the nearest p)
The calculation for the second building society rate of 8.75% paid annually is:
1
8.75
A £2,000 1 £2,000 1.0875
100
£2,175.00
Therefore, the second building society, with the rate of 8.75% paid annually, is the
better investment.
4. Using the formula:
A
P n
r
1
100
9,000 9,000 9,000
10
3
1.10
3
1.331
1
100
£6,762
Therefore, £6,762 would need to be invested today at an interest rate of 10% per
annum, if the office is to accrue the £9,000 required to replace some of its machinery in
three year's time.
4. The value at the end of each year is 89% of the value at the beginning of the year.
Thus:
value at the end of year 1 £795 89% £707.55
value at the end of year 2 £707.55 89% £629.72 £630 to the nearest
pound.
5. Total cost of the fleets to both companies £15,250 20 £305,000.
Company A:
£305,000
annual amount of depreciation £61,000
5
after 3 years, total depreciation £61,000 3 £183,000
value of the fleet after 3 years £305,000 £183,000 £122,000
Company B:
The value at the end of each year is 80% of the value at the beginning of the
year. Thus:
value at the end of year 1 £305,000 80% £244,000
value at the end of year 2 £244,000 80% £195,200
value at the end of year 3 £195,200 80% £156,160.
Study Unit 4
Simultaneous, Quadratic, Exponential and Logarithmic
Equations
Contents Page
Introduction 90
A. Simultaneous Equations 91
Solution by Elimination 91
C. Quadratic Equations 98
Solving a Quadratic Equation by Factorisation 99
Solving Quadratic Equations with no Terms in x 102
Solving Quadratic Equations by Formula 103
INTRODUCTION
In Study Unit 2 we introduced the concept of equations and looked at the basic principles of
solving them – i.e. finding out the value of the unknown quantity. In that study unit, we
considered simple equations where there was only one unknown quantity. Now we shall take
our study of equations further by examining equations where there is more than one
unknown quantity – simultaneous equations.
We shall also consider the distinction between linear and quadratic equations, a difference
which will be developed in the next study unit when we look at drawing graphs to represent
equations.
Finally, we will examine the principles and rules of logarithms and exponential values, and
learn how to solve equations using them.
Before we start though, we should recap the key principles already examined in relation to
equations. It is essential that you fully understand these before studying this unit, so if you
are unsure of any points, go back to Study Unit 2 and revise the section on equations there.
An equation is a statement of equality between two expressions. It has two sides and
they must always be equal.
Solving an equation means finding the value of the unknown quantity (or quantities) in
the equation – the variable – by using the other numbers, the constants. To do this, the
expressions which form the equation may be manipulated with the objective of isolating
the unknown on one side of the equation.
The golden rule in manipulating equations is equality of treatment to both sides of the
equation. What you do to one side of the equation, you must also do to the other. Thus,
the same number may be added or subtracted from both sides of the equation without
changing its equality, and both sides may be multiplied or divided by the same number
without changing its equality.
Quantities may be transposed – transferred from one side of the equation to the other –
by changing their signs. Thus, an added or subtracted term may be transposed if its
sign is changed from to , or from to . Similarly, a multiplier may be transferred
from one side of an equation by changing it to the divisor on the other, and a divisor
may be transferred from one side by changing it to the multiplier on the other.
Unknowns may also be transposed, using the same rules, in order to collect all the
unknown terms on the same side of the equation.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
use the elimination method to solve simultaneous equations including two unknowns
formulate problems as simultaneous equations
define a quadratic equation and distinguish it from a linear equation
solve quadratic equations by the factorisation method
simplify and solve equations using both base 10 and natural logarithms.
A. SIMULTANEOUS EQUATIONS
As we said in the introduction, up until now, when solving equations, we had only one
unknown quantity to find. However, in practice, many situations will arise when there is more
than one unknown.
If an equation involves two unknown quantities, we may find any number of pairs of values to
satisfy it. Consider the following example:
xy7
This may be satisfied by:
x 3 and y 4
x 2½ and y 4½
x 1.3 and y 8.3, etc.
To determine a particular pair of unknown values then, we need more information. One way
of getting more information is to have another equation – for example:
x y 7 and 2x y 12
Now there is only one solution pair: x 5 and y 2.
Similarly, if x y 7 and x y 2, there is only one solution: x 4½ and y 2½.
Therefore to find two unknowns we need two equations; to find three unknowns we need
three equations, etc. These groups of equations are known as simultaneous equations.
Note though, that for equations to be simultaneous they must satisfy two conditions – they
must be consistent and independent. For example:
the equations x y 7 and 2x 2y 5 are inconsistent – they cannot be true
simultaneously, and no pair of values which satisfies one will satisfy the other
the equations 3x 3y 21 and 2x 2y 14 are not independent – they are really the
same equations, and all pairs of values which satisfy the one will satisfy the other.
Solution by Elimination
If two equations are true simultaneously, any other equation obtained from them will also be
true. The method of solution by elimination depends on this fact.
By adding or subtracting suitable multiples of the given equations, we can eliminate one of
the unknowns and obtain an equation containing only one unknown. Once we have done
that, the resulting equation can be solved using the methods we already know, and then the
other unknown may be discovered by substitution in the original equation.
The following examples explain the method. Study them carefully.
Example 1:
Consider the following pair of equations:
3x y 11 (1)
x y 3 (2)
We can add the two equations together to derive a third equation which will eliminate y:
3x y 11
x y 3
4x 8
Thus, by adding the two equations, we are left with 4x 8. Therefore, x 2.
If we now substitute that value for x in (1), so that 3x becomes 6:
6 y 11
y 5 (the symbol means "therefore").
We can check that the values we have determined for x and y are correct by substituting both
in equation (2):
x y 2 5 3
Note that eliminating one of the unknowns (in this case, y) was possible because both the
"y"s in the original two equations had a coefficient of 1 – i.e. the coefficients were equal. (The
coefficient is simply the factor or number applied to an algebraic term, so the coefficient of
the term 3x is 3, for example.)
If we want to eliminate one of the unknowns by adding or subtracting the two equations, the
coefficients of the unknowns must be equal.
Example 2:
Consider the following pair of equations:
6x 5y 6 (1)
18x 7y 6 (2)
We want one of the unknowns to have equal coefficients, but unlike in Example 1, this is not
the case here. However, we can see that the coefficient of x in (2) is a multiple of the
coefficient of x in (1). To make the coefficients equal, we derive a changed version of the
same equation by multiplying (1) by 3 and then subtract (2) from this equation:
Multiplying (6x 5y 6) by 3 gives:
18x 15y 18
Note that, providing we apply the same proportionate change to each term in the equation
(by multiplying or dividing each by the same number), the equation has not been changed. It
is not a new, independent equation, but simply a different way of expressing the same
equation.
We can now subtract equation (2) from this:
18x 15y 18
18x 7y 6
8y 24
y 3
To find x, we substitute the value of y 3 in (1) so that 5y becomes 15:
6x (15) 6
By transposition, we get:
6x 6 15 9
x 1.5
It is always good practice to check the values by substitution in the other equation, but we will
skip that step from now on.
Example 3:
Consider the following pair of equations:
13x 7y 33 (1)
9x 2y 16 (2)
This time, there are no equal or multiple coefficients, so there is no obvious unknown term
which can be easily eliminated. We can then choose which unknown to eliminate and, to
avoid large numerical terms, we shall decide to eliminate y.
Where there are no equal or multiple coefficients, we need to change the way in which both
equations are expressed so that we can make the coefficients of one of the unknowns equal.
To do this here, we multiply (1) by 2 and (2) by 7, so that the coefficient of y in both equations
is 14. We can then eliminate y by adding the two equations:
26x 14y 66
63x 14y 112
89x 178
x 2
To find y, we substitute the value of x 2 in (2) so that 9x becomes 18:
18 2y 16
By transposition, we get:
2y 16 18 2
y 1
Important note: When working through the processes of transposition and substitution, it is
not necessary to write (7) and (15), etc., but be sure to pay special
attention to all calculations involving negative numbers.
1. 3x 4y 1
9x 5y 10
2. 5x 3y 14
7x 5y 38
3. 3x y 8
x 5y 4
4. 2x 11y 23
7x 8y 50
5. 9x 10y 12
2x 15y 5
2
6. x 3
y 16
1
2
x 2y 14
7. 1 21 x 3
5
y 12
7
x 15
y 21
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
28 21
28 (1)
x y
9 21
6 (2)
x y
19
22
x
1 22
x 19
19
x
22
1
Substituting for in (1) gives:
x
4 22 3
4
19 y
88 3
4
19 y
3 88 76 12
y 19 19
1 4
y 19
19
y 4 34
4
1 1
Alternatively, you may find it easier to put m and n, and rewrite the equations as:
x y
4m 3n 4 (1)
3m 7n 2 (2)
Solve these in the usual way, but remember to write your answer as x ? and y ?,
not as m and n.
(b) Forming simultaneous equations from single equations
Equations are sometimes given in the form:
x 5y 2x 4y 3 3x 2y 4
In order to solve this, we need to reformulate the equation as two simultaneous
equations.
Taking the first pair of expressions, we can rearrange the terms to form one equation in
the usual form:
x 5y 2x 4y 3
x 9y 3
Now take the second pair of expressions and rearrange them:
2x 4y 3 3x 2y 4
2x 3y 4
We now have two simultaneous equations as follows:
x 9y 3 (1)
2x 3y 4 (2)
These can be solved in the usual way. To eliminate y, multiply (2) by 3 and add to (1):
5x 15
x3
y 2
3
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Example 2:
In a bag containing black and white balls, half the number of white is equal to a third the
number of black, and twice the total number of balls exceeds three times the number of black
balls by four. How many balls did the bag contain?
Let: x number of white balls
y number of black balls.
Expressing the information given as equations, we get:
1
2
x 1
3
y
and
2(x y) 3y 4
Example 3:
Pay special attention to the following problem. Note how the equations are built up.
A certain number, of two digits, is such that it is diminished by 9 if the digits are reversed. The
number itself is six times the sum of its digits. Find the number.
Let: x the tens figure
y the units figure
Then the number is 10x y, and the reversed number is 10y x.
Expressing the information given as equations, we get:
10x y 9 10y x (1)
and
10x y 6(x y) (2)
Rearranging these equations to isolate the constant in (1) and simplify both, we get:
for (1):
9x 9y 9
or
xy1 (A)
for (2):
4x 5y (B)
If we now multiply (A) by 4, we get:
4x 4y 4
We can then substitute the value of 4x from (B) to get:
5y 4y 4
y4
Substituting for y in (A), we get:
x5
The required number is 54.
3. The income from advertisements and sales for a college magazine amounted, in a
year, to £670. In the following year the income from advertisements was increased by
12½% and the income from sales decreased by 16 32 %. The total income decreased by
£12.50.
Find the original income from advertisements and sales using a calculation method.
4. A train from London to Birmingham takes 2 hours for the journey. If the average speed
of the train were decreased by 5 miles per hour, the train would take 12 minutes longer.
Find the distance from London to Birmingham and the average speed of the train,
using simultaneous equations.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
C. QUADRATIC EQUATIONS
All the equations we have studied so far have been of a form where all the variables are to
the power of 1 and there is no term where x and y are multiplied together – i.e. xy does not
feature in the equation. (The types of equation studied so far are known as linear equations
since, as we shall see in the next study unit, if we draw a graph of the outcome of the
equation for all the possible values of the unknowns, the result is a straight line.)
By contrast, a quadratic equation is one that contains the square of the unknown number, but
no higher power. For example, the following are quadratic expressions in x:
4x2 7x
2x2 x 1
1
2
x2 2
We can also have quadratic expressions in x2. For example, 3x4 2x2 5 is a quadratic in x2,
since it may be also be written as:
3(x2)2 2(x2) 5, or
3y2 2y 5, where y stands for x2
Note that these are examples of quadratic expressions. A quadratic equation is obtained by
making such an expression equal to a similar expression or to a number.
One of the features of quadratic equations is that, usually, they cannot be solved definitively.
There are generally two possible values for the unknown.
A second feature, reflecting this, is that when we draw a graph of the outcome of a quadratic
equation for all the possible values of the unknown, the result is a curve. Again, we shall
examine this later.
1. x(x 1) 0
2. (x 1)(x 2) 0
3. 3x(x 1) 0
4. 4x2 0
5. (2x 1)(x 3) 0
6. (3x 2)(2x 3) 0
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
You should have found these questions very simple and you may even have been able to
work them out in your head. However, no matter how simple an equation is, always copy it
down first exactly as it is set. Then, if you are sure of the working, you may give the answer
at once, but do not just guess.
On the other hand, you may prefer to omit the "either ... or ..." step. If you do this, remember
to change the sign of the number as you transfer it to the RHS of the equation. For example:
(4x 3)(2x 5) 0
4x 3, or 2x 5
x ¾, or x 2½
One of the reasons that the questions just given were so easy is that the LHS of the
equations were already expressed in factor terms. Commonly, though, equations are not so
simple – the factors may not already have been found, or the terms are not already collected
on one side of the equation. You will, therefore, have to work as follows:
Collect all the terms on the LHS, so that the RHS is zero.
Factorise the LHS expression – the product of the factors is then zero.
Equate each factor in turn to zero, where possible.
Finally, give your answers as alternative values for x.
Work through the following two examples carefully to make sure that you understand the
process thoroughly.
Example 4:
Consider the following equation:
7x2 23x 60
First, collect all the terms on the LHS, so that the RHS is zero:
7x2 23x 60 0
Next factorise the LHS expression:
(7x 12)(x 5) 0
Then equate each factor in turn to zero:
either
(7x 12) 0,
or
(x 5) 0
which may be expressed as:
7x 12, or x 5
Finally, give your answers as alternative values for x:
5
x 1 7 or 5
Example 5:
Solve x(5x 2) 3(2x 1)
Expand the product of the factors:
5x2 2x 6x 3
Collect the terms:
5x2 8x 3 0
Factorise the LHS:
(5x 3)(x 1) 0
5x 3, or x 1
3
x 5
or 1
1. 7 x2 5 x
2. x2 4x 4 0
3. x2 10x 24
4. x(x 2) 2(2 x)
5. x2 11x 30 0
6. 2x2 5 11x
7. 10x2 11x 3 0
8. (x 3)(x 3) 8x
9. (x 1)2 (x 1)2 34
11. 9x2 25
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
To solve this, take the square root of each side, remembering that there are two square roots
numerically equal, but opposite in sign:
36
x2
25
6
x or 1.2
5
1. x2 16
2. 4x2 9
3. 3x2 27 0
4. x2 a2 0
5. 9x2 1
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
b b 2 4ac
x
2a 4a 2
b b 2 4ac
x
2a 2a
b b 2 4ac
x
2a
This is an important formula. When using it, always write it down first, then write the values of
a, b, c in the particular case, paying great attention to the signs. It can be used to solve any
quadratic equation, although you should use the factor method whenever possible.
Example 1:
Consider the following equation:
5x2 15x 11 0
b b 2 4ac
x
2a
where: a 5, b 15, c 11
Therefore:
b b 2 4ac
x
2a
where: a 3, b 4, c 5
Therefore:
4 16 60 4 8.718
x
6 6
4.718 12.718
or
6 6
0.79 or 2.12 (to two decimal places)
Example 3:
Consider the following equation:
3 2x2 4x
First arrange equation with x2 term positive:
2x2 4x 3 0
Then apply the formula as usual.
1. 2x2 13x 4 0
2. 5x2 3x 4 0
3. x2 5x 2 0
4. 4x2 7x 1 0
5. x2 x 1 0
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Remember that the square of a number is always positive, and that no real square root can
be found for a negative number.
Therefore, if the term b2 4ac is negative, no real roots of the equation can be found.
For example:
2x2 4x 5 0
Applying the formula:
b b 2 4ac
x
2a
where: a 2, b 4, c 5
Therefore:
4 16 40
x
4
4 24
4
There are no real roots to this expression.
If b2 4ac is a perfect square, then the square root will be a whole number and you should
have solved the equation by the factor method.
1. e0
2. e3
3. e-2
4. e1/2
5. e-3
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Logarithms
A logarithm (also known simply as a log) is used to write an expression involving powers.
Having mastered the application of powers in Study Unit 2, you should have no problem
handling logarithms! In essence, a logarithm is the power to which a fixed number (base)
must be raised in order to produce a given number.
Let us work through some examples to aid our understanding of the application of logarithms.
It is common to work with logarithms using the number 10 as the base, referred to as
common logarithms.
Let us first consider the expression 102. From our understanding of powers, 102 100 (i.e.
10 10 100). In other words, 10 is the base and 2 is the power or index. Using common
logarithms we can rewrite this expression as:
log10 100 2
This statement can be read as the "log to the base 10 of 100 is 2". In other words, 2 is the
power to which the base number 10 must be raised in order to produce the number 100.
Thus, a logarithm is basically an alternative way of writing an expression involving powers.
Using this logic, then:
log10 1000 3 (i.e. 3 is the power to which the base number 10 must be raised in order
to produce the number 1000).
log10 10 1 (i.e. 1 is the power to which the base number 10 must be raised in order to
produce the number 10).
Using your scientific calculator, have a go at confirming the above results. To do so, simply
locate and press the log button on your calculator and enter the number you want to find the
common logarithm of. (Note – calculators differ, so you may have to experiment with your
own calculator to find out how to obtain the common log of a number. Some calculators may
require you to enter the number you want to find the logarithm of before pressing the log
button.)
1. log10 50
2. log10 45
3. log10 2
4. log10 0.4
5. log10 4.4
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Another base that we frequently use when working with logarithms (in addition to base 10) is
the exponential number e (i.e. the value of 2.7182818). Logarithms to the base e are
commonly referred to as natural logarithms and are denoted by ln or loge. For example:
ln(2) 0.693
This statement can be read as the "log to the base e of 2 is 0.693" or "the natural log of 2 is
0.693". In other words, 0.693 is the power to which the base value of e (i.e. 2.7182818) must
be raised in order to produce the number 2.
Using your scientific calculator, have a go at confirming this result. To do so, simply locate
and press the ln button on your calculator and enter the number you want to find the natural
logarithm of. (Note – calculators differ, so you may have to experiment with your own to find
out how to obtain the natural log of a number. Some calculators may require you to enter the
number you want to find the natural logarithm of before pressing the ln button.)
1. ln(1.76)
2. ln(0.3)
3. ln(2002)
4. ln(10)
5. ln(38)
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Using these laws, we can simplify some expressions involving logarithms to a single log
term.
Example 1:
Simplify the following logarithm expression into a single log term:
log(x) 2 log(y)
Using the rule [log pn n log p] we can rearrange the second part of the expression:
log(x) log(y2)
Using the rule [log(p q) log p log q] we can rearrange the expression:
log(xy2)
Example 2:
Simplify the following logarithm expression into a single log term:
3ln(A) 4ln(B)
Using the rule [log pn n log p] we can rearrange both parts of the expression:
ln(A3) – ln(B4)
p
Using the rule [log log p log q] we can rearrange the expression:
q
ln A4
3
B
1. log(x) log(x 4)
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
1. 4x 100
2. e2x 10
3. log 3x 3
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
The full workings for the next three answers are not given, but the method is indicated.
3. 3x y 8 (i)
x 5y 4 (ii)
To eliminate y, multiply (i) by 5 and add the equations: 16x 44, x 2 34
or
to eliminate x, multiply (ii) by 3 and subtract (i): 6y 4, y 1
4
4. 2x 11y 23 (i)
7x 8y 50 (ii)
To eliminate y, subtract 8 times (i) from 11 times (ii): x 6
or
to eliminate x, subtract 7 times (i) from 2 times (ii): y 1
5. 9x 10y 12 (i)
2x 15y 5 (ii)
To eliminate y, subtract 2 times (ii) from 3 times (i): x 2
or
to eliminate x, subtract 2 times (i) from 9 times (ii): y 35
2
6. x 3 y 16 (i)
1
2
x 2y 14 (ii)
x 13 35
7. 1 21 x 35 y 12 (i)
7
x 15 y 21 (ii)
Notice that (i) has a factor 3, so divide by this to get a simpler equation:
1 1
2
x5y4 (i)
x 14
Therefore:
x 1, and y 2
or
x y 40 (i)
and, if three times their difference is 18:
3(x y) 18
or
xy6 (ii)
Eliminating x by subtraction, we get:
2y 34
y 17
Substituting for y in (i), we get:
x 17 40
x 23
Therefore, the numbers are 17 and 23.
2. As the units must all be the same, change each amount of money to pence.
Let: x cost of tea per kg in pence
y cost of sugar per kg in pence.
Then
6x 11y 1,330 (i)
11x 6y 1,730 (ii)
(x 1
8
x) (y 1
6
y) 657 21
9
8
x 5
6
y 657 21
So at average speed:
y
2 hours
x
and at the slower speed:
y
2 hours 12 minutes 2 51 hours
(x 5)
Rearranging these equations into standard linear form, we get:
y 2x (i)
y 2 51 x 11 (ii)
11 1
5
x
55 x
x 55
Substituting for x in (i), we get:
y 110
Thus: average speed for the journey 55 mph
distance from London to Birmingham 110 miles.
6. x 2
3
or 1 21
7. x 35 or 21
8. x 9 or 1
9. x 4 or 4 (written as x 4)
10. x 0 or 4
11. x 1 32
12. x 1 21 or 1
2
3. x 3
4. x a
5. x 31
3. log 3x 3, 3x 10 3 , x 10 3 ÷3 x 333.33
Study Unit 5
Introduction to Graphs
Contents Page
Introduction 120
D. Gradients 141
Gradient of a Straight Line 142
Equation of a Straight Line and Gradient 145
INTRODUCTION
For many problems and issues which fall within the remit of quantitative methods, it is
possible to analyse and solve them both mathematically and graphically. This study unit
introduces the principles and role of graphs in such problems.
There are many different types of graph, but here we will only be concerned with linear
(straight line), quadratic (curved line), exponential and logarithmic graphs. Line graphs
illustrate the relationships between two variables, showing graphically what happens to one
variable when the other changes. For example, many graphs involve time as one of the
variables, and thus provide a measure of something that changes with time. Whenever one
measurable quantity changes as a result of another quantity changing, it is possible to draw
a graph.
You will immediately realise that since equations are a mathematical expression of the
relationship between two variables, it is possible to represent equations by means of graphs.
We shall spend some time on this in the unit.
The importance of graphs is that they give a visual picture of the behaviour of the two
variables. From this, by knowing how to interpret it, information can very quickly be found.
The picture may, for example, indicate a trend in the data from which we might be able to
make further predictions. The graph might also be used to approximate a solution to a
particular problem.
Graphical approaches to problem solving are often easier to carry out than mathematical
ones. However, they are less accurate, since the answers must be read from the graph and
hence cannot be more accurate than the thickness of the pencil. For this reason, it is
essential that you are very careful when drawing graphs, and we cover some of the key
design aspects here. One element of this is the need to use graph paper. You will find it very
useful to have a supply to hand as you work through this unit.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
explain the construction of graphs
calculate functions of x (that is, f(x))
calculate and tabulate the values of y from an equation in x
draw graphs from linear, quadratic, exponential and logarithmic equations
identify the characteristics of a straight line in terms of its equation, and calculate its
gradient from its graph or its equation
decide, from an equation, which way its graph will slope
identify, from looking at their equations, whether two lines are parallel
describe a shaded region on a graph in terms of the lines bounding it
use graphs to solve a variety of problems.
Framework of a Graph
Figure 5.1: Sample graph framework
6
Height
of
plant 5
(cm) co-ordinate (3,3)
4
3
y-axis co-ordinate (6,2)
2
x-axis
1
origin
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A graph has two axes along which the values of the variables are shown:
The y-axis is the vertical axis and usually displays the dependent variable – i.e. the
variable which changes according to changes in the other variable. Here this is the
height of the plant (which changes in accordance with the time since planting).
The x-axis is the horizontal axis and usually displays the independent variable – i.e. the
variable which causes change in the other variable. Here this is the time since planting
(which causes the height of the plant to increase).
The values of the variables are marked along each axis according to a scale (here, 0–9 on
the x-axis and 0–6 on the y-axis). Not all values need to be marked, but the dividing marks
do need to be equally spaced along the axis and the scale used must be clear to the reader.
The scale need not be the same on both axes.
Each axis should be titled to show clearly both what it represents and the units of
measurement.
The area within the axes (known as the plot area) is divided into a grid by reference to the
scale on the axes. This grid may actually be marked on the paper (as is the case with graph
paper, which is why it is much easier to draw graphs using graph paper) or may be invisible.
We have shown the main gridlines here as grey, dotted lines.
Particular points within the graph are identified by a pair of numbers called co-ordinates
which fix a point by reference to the scales along the axes. The first co-ordinate number
always refers to a value on the scale along the x-axis and the second to the scale on the y-
axis. We have shown two points on the framework in Figure 5.1 – make sure you understand
their referencing.
The point at which the two axes meet is called the origin. This has the co-ordinate reference
(0,0).
Finally, note that the x and y-axes may extend to include negative numbers. In this case, the
framework of the graph will look like that shown in Figure 5.2.
Figure 5.2: Graph framework including negative scales
3
co-ordinate (2,2)
2
1 x-axis
y-axis
3 2 1 0 1 2 3
1
co-ordinate
2 (3,1)
co-ordinate (1,2)
3
Drawing a Graph
When drawing a graph, follow this procedure for constructing the framework.
Determine the range of values which will need to be shown on each of the axes. You
should start by considering the x-axis, since the range of values for the independent
variable will determine the range of values needed for the dependent variable on the y-
axis.
Draw the axes and mark off the scales along them. The aim is usually to draw as large
a graph as possible since this will make it easier to plot the co-ordinates accurately,
and also make it easier to read. Remember that the scales must be consistent along
each axis, but do not need to be the same on both. If you are using graph paper, use
the thick lines as your main divisions. If you are not using graph paper, use a ruler to
mark the scale and select easy-to-identify measurements for the divisions (such as one
cm for each main unit).
Give each axis a title, number the main divisions along each scale and give the whole
graph a title.
Now you are ready to start plotting the graph itself.
Points on the graph are identified by their co-ordinates. These are the values given (or
determined) for firstly, the independent variable and, secondly, for the dependent variable.
Thus, you may be given the following data about the growth of a plant:
Day 1 1
Day 3 2
Day 5 3
Day 7 4
6
Height
of 5
plant
(cm)
4
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Time since planting (days)
Now that we have reviewed the basic principles, we shall move on to consider in detail the
way in which variables and equations are represented on graphs.
x 0 1 2 3 4 5
yx3 3 4 5 6 7 8
Let's look at another example. Suppose you are given the equation y x2 3 and are asked
to find the values of y from x 2 to x 4.
You could start by making the following table:
x 2 1 0 1 2 3 4
x2 4 1 0 1 4 9 16
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
y x2 3 7 4 3 4 7 12 19
Alternatively, as this is a simple problem, you could tabulate just the first and the last lines,
working the rest in your head as you go along.
We can also find a single function of x by substituting that value directly into the given
equation, for example:
f(x) x2 2x
Replace x by 3 and find the value:
f(3) 32 2 3 15
Replace x by 2 and find the value
f(2) (2)2 2(2) 0
y 3x 2
2. Which one of the following functions could be represented by the following table?
yx4 y x2 6x 16
y 2x 1 y x3 1
x 3 5 7 9 11
y 7 11 15 19 23
3. If f(x) 5x 2 find:
(a) f(2)
(b) f(3).
4. If f(x) x2 2 find:
(a) f(2)
(b) f(3)
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Representation
From the tables we see that as the value of x changes, so does the value of y. One way of
showing how these values change is by means of a graph.
The values in the table can be expressed as a pair of co-ordinates which may be plotted on a
graph. The first figure is the value of x along the scale of the x (horizontal) axis, and the
second figure is the value of y along the scale of the y (vertical) axis. For example, in Figure
5.4, A is the point (2,1), B is (4,2), C is (3,1), D is (5, 21 ), E is (1,0) and F is (0,1 21 ).
2
B
1 A
E
6 4 2 0 2 4 6
1 D
C
F
2
Ordered Pairs
Another way of describing the varying values of x and y is by means of a set of ordered pairs.
This is a very useful and helpful way of noting the points we required in the graphical
representation of a function.
The table in Question 2 of Questions for Practice 1 could be written as a set of ordered pairs
as follows:
(3,7) (5,11) (7,15) (9,19) (11,23)
These are then the points which we would plot if we were going to draw the graph of the
function in question.
When dealing with ordered pairs, you will normally be told the values of x with which you are
concerned. Thus, if we had to write down the ordered pairs of the function 2x 1 for integral
(whole number) values of x from 1 to 2 inclusive, we would write (1,1), (0,1), (1,3), (2,5);
and if the function was x2 3 for the same values of x it would be (1,4), (0,3), (1,4), (2,7).
C. GRAPHS OF EQUATIONS
In this section we shall consider graphs of linear, quadratic, exponential, logarithmic and
hyperbolic equations.
Linear equations – equations of the first degree in x and y (i.e. containing no higher
power of x than the first, such as y 2x 3, y 5x 1). As the name implies, the graph
of expressions like these will always be a straight line.
Quadratic equations – those of the second degree in x and y (i.e. containing the square
of the independent variable, but no higher power, such as y 2x2 x 1, y ½x2 3).
Such equations always give a curved graph with a characteristic "U" shape, called a
parabola.
a
Hyperbolic equations – we shall look at graphs from the expression y where a is a
x
constant. Such graphs have a different curved shape – a hyperbola.
Linear Equations
A linear equation is of the form y mx c, where m and c are constants. This will always
give a straight line. (Note that such an equation can be written in different forms, e.g. y b
ax.)
To draw a line we must know two points on it. It is even better if we know three points, using
the third as a check. So, the minimum number of points you ought to plot for a linear graph is
three.
If we choose any three values of x we can find the corresponding values of y and this will
give us the co-ordinates of three points which lie on the line.
Example 1:
Draw the graph of y 2x 3.
Suppose we choose x 0, x 2 and x 2.
Taking the given equation, y 2x 3:
when x 0: y 0 3 3
when x 2: y (4 3) 1
when x 2: y (4 3) 7
This is better tabulated as:
x 0 2 2
y 2x 3 3 1 7
We now have three points which we can plot and, on joining them, we have the graph of y
2x 3.
Figure 5.5: Graph of y 2x – 3
4 y
x
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
-2
-4
-6
-8
Example 2:
Try this one yourself. Draw the graph of y 3x 2, for values of x from 3 to 2.
First choose three values of x, say 3, 0 and 2. Then draw up a table of values – fill in the
spaces for yourself to find the co-ordinates of the points to be plotted.
x 3 0 2
y 3x 2
You should have found the points: (3, 7), (0, 2), (2, 8).
Now draw your two axes to cover the range of values for x specified (although it is good
practice to extend them beyond this – leaving some spare room at each end of each axis),
mark the scale, plot your points and join them up. Then compare your result with Figure 5.6.
Figure 5.6: Graph of y 2x + 2
8 y
6
2
x
0
-4 -2 0 2 4
-2
-4
-6
-8
If you look carefully at Figure 5.6 you will notice that the line y 2x 2 meets the y-axis at
the point where y 2. This is because the constant c in the general equation y mx c is
always the point where the line passes through the y-axis (i.e. where x 0). A further fact
which emerges is that when x goes from 0 to 2 (i.e. increases by two), y rises from 2 to 8 (i.e.
increases by four). The change in the value of y for a change of one in the value of x is given
in the equation y mx c by the constant m.
We have thus found that in the equation y mx c:
the constant c the point where the line crosses the y-axis
the constant m the slope of the line.
The point at which the line crosses an axis is called the intercept. The y intercept is where
the line crosses the y-axis and the x intercept is where the line crosses the x-axis.
We shall return to these points in some detail later.
Example 3:
Suppose we are asked to draw the graph of 3y 2x 1, from x 4 to 2.
Before we can work out the table of values in this case, we must change the equation to the
form y mx c. So we rewrite the equation, having divided both sides of it by 3:
2x 1
y
3
Now choose some values of x – let's say 4, 1, 2. Working these out gives us the following
table of values:
x 4 1 2
y 3 1 1
Now plot these points and join them. Note that, as in the title to Figure 5.7, this is still a graph
of the original equation.
Figure 5.7: Graph of 3y 2x + 1
3
y
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
-1
-3
Example 4:
We are not limited to having just one line plotted on a graph. We can draw two or more
graphs using the same axes – a very useful method of comparing different equations of the
same variables.
For example, we could draw the graphs of y 1
3
x and y 8 x on the same axes.
Taking values of x between 4 and 10, we get the following tables of values:
For y 1
3
x x 3 0 3
y 1 0 1
For y 8 x x 2 4 10
y 10 4 2
10
y
A
2
x
0
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10
-2
You will notice that the lines intersect (i.e. cross) at A (6,2)
4. On the same axes, plot the following pairs of points on squared paper, and draw the
line through them:
(i) (3,0) (0,6)
(ii) (1,0) (0,5)
(iii) (3,2) (2,3)
(iv) (4,3) (1,2)
Write down the co-ordinates of the points where (i) and (ii) each cut the lines (iii) and
(iv).
5. For values of x from 3 to 6, draw on the same axes the graphs of:
(i) y5 (ii) x 5 (iii) y 5x (iv) y 15 x
6. For values of x from 3 to 6, draw on the same axes the graphs of:
(i) y 2x (ii) y 2x 3 (iii) y 2x 4
Describe briefly the resultant lines and their intercepts.
7. For values of x from 3 to 6, draw on the same axes the graphs of:
(i) yx2 (ii) 3y 6 x
Identify the point of intersection.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Quadratic Equations
A quadratic equation is of the form y ax2 bx c, where a, b and c are constants. This will
always give you a curved graph, and the part that is usually asked for is the part that does a
"U" turn.
The general shape of a quadratic equation will be as shown in Figure 5.9.
y y
or
x x
In contrast to linear graphs, in order to draw a quadratic graph accurately, you need as many
points as possible – especially around the dip.
The maximum and minimum values of the quadratic equation can be found by careful
inspection of the graph.
Example 1:
Draw the graph of y x2 taking whole number values of x from x 3 to x 3 inclusive. What
are the co-ordinates at which the function y x2 is minimised?
As ever, the first step is to draw up a table of values for the given range of x.
x 3 2 1 0 1 2 3
y x2 9 4 1 0 1 4 9
Plot these seven points on the graph and then join the points with a smooth curve, as shown
in Figure 5.10. From the graph you will see that function y x2 is minimised where y 0 and
x 0 (i.e. the co-ordinates where y x2 is minimised are (0,0)).
Figure 5.10: Graph of y x2
10
y
6 y x2
x
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
-2
Example 2:
Draw the graph of y 2x2 from x 3 to 3. Then from the graph find:
(a) the values of x when y 10
(b) the value of y when x 1.25
(c) the values of x and y where the function y 2x2 is minimised.
Table of values:
x 3 2 1 0 1 2 3
x2 9 4 1 0 1 4 9
y 2x2 18 8 2 0 2 8 18
18 y
16
y 2x2
14
12
A B
10
y 10
8
y 1.25
6
4
C
2
x
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Example 3:
Draw the graph of y x2 2x 1 from x 2 to 3.
At what value of x does the minimum value of y occur?
Table of values:
x 2 1 0 1 2 3
x2 4 1 0 1 4 9
2x 4 2 0 2 4 6
1 1 1 1 1 1 1
y x2 2x 1 9 4 1 0 1 4
x
0
-2 -1 0 1 2 3
Reading from the graph, we can see that the minimum value of y occurs when x 1.
4. Draw the graph of the profit (£000s) function x2 8x 1 from x 0 to 8, where x ('000)
represents output.
From the graph find:
(a) the output at which profit is maximised
(b) the output range at which profits generated amount to at least £8,000.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
x 1 2 3 4 5 6
1
y 1 0.5 0.33 0.25 0.2 0.17
x
1
Note that we have avoided taking x 0, since the expression is not defined (i.e. it has no
0
meaning).
1
Figure 5.13: Graph of y
x
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 2 4 6
a
This graph illustrates the general shape of graphs representing y . In each case, as x
x
gets bigger, y gets smaller. There is also no point corresponding to x 0.
Example 2:
4
Draw the graph of y for values of x from x 1 to x 8.
x
From the graph, find the value of x when y 2.5.
Table of values:
x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
4
y 4 2 1.33 1 0.8 0.67 0.57 0.5
x
4
Figure 5.14: Graph of y
x
4
0
0 2 4 6 8
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Just as we saw that the shape of the quadratic graphs changed according to whether the
coefficient of x2 is positive or negative, so the shape of graphs developed from equations
where x is the denominator change:
a
(i.e. where both the a and x are positive) gives a graph which slopes down from left
x
to right
a
gives a graph which slopes down from left to right
x
a
gives a graph which slopes up from right to left
x
a
gives a graph which slopes up from right to left.
x
These are illustrated in Figure 5.15.
a
Figure 5.15: Shape of graphs from the equation
x
a a
x x
x
0
a a
x x
x -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
Example 2:
In this example we will plot a graph of the natural logarithmic function. Using a scientific
calculator, calculate the values of y ln(x) for the values of x from x 0.5 to x 4.0. Plot a
graph of this logarithmic function and from the graph find the value of x when y 0.
Table of values:
1.5
0.5
0
0 1 2 3 4
-0.5
-1
2. The sales S (in thousands of units) of a product after it has been on the market for t
months is given by the equation: S 100(1 e0.1625t).
(a) Construct a table of values for S for t 0,5, 10, 15, 20 and 25 (give S values to
the nearest whole number).
(b) Use the table to draw a graph of S against t and from your graph estimate the
value of S when t is very large.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
D. GRADIENTS
The gradient of a line is a measure of how much it slopes.
A horizontal line has a gradient of zero:
or decreases
s 4
s
2
s
1
s
2 2 2 2 2
If a line slopes down from left to right (instead of up), then the gradient is negative.
This is denoted by introducing a negative sign, as illustrated by Figure 5.19.
s
2
2
2
The gradient of the line s is 1.
2
y
9
6
5
5
3
3
2
1 2 3 4 5 x
(b) Make this line the hypotenuse of a right-angled triangle by drawing in a horizontal
"base" and a vertical "height".
(c) Work out the lengths of the base and the height from the graph:
base 3 height 5.
height 5
As we have seen, the gradient is given by the equation 1 32
base 3
Note that the slope is positive.
Therefore, the gradient of the straight line joining (1, 3) and 4, 8) is 1 32
Note that, at step (c), we could have worked out the lengths of the base and the height from
the co-ordinates of the points:
length of the base difference between x co-ordinates 4 1 3
length of the height difference between y co-ordinates 8 3 5
Example 2:
Plot the points (1,4) and (2,3) and find the gradient of the line joining them.
Plot the points, join them and construct a right-angled triangle with the line forming the
hypotenuse:
Figure 5.21: Gradient of the line connecting points (–1, 4) and (2, –3)
1
7
x
2 1 1 2 3
1
2
3
3
This time we shall work out the lengths of the base and the height from the co-ordinates of
the points.
base 2 (1) 3
height 4 (3) 7
We can check that this is correct by reference to the plotted triangle on the graph.
Note that the slope is negative.
height
Therefore the gradient 7 2 31
base 3
General formula
We can now develop a general formula for the gradient of a straight line by reference to its
co-ordinates.
To find the gradient of a line, take any two points A and B on the line. Draw AC parallel to the
x-axis, and CB parallel to the y-axis. The gradient is then given by the ratio CB : AC.
B B
(i) (ii)
A A
C C
O x
Note that these lengths are directed lengths: AC is positive if the movement from A to C is in
the same direction as O to x, and negative if the movement from A to C is in the opposite
direction to O to x. In the same way, CB is positive if the movement from point C to B is in the
same direction as O to y. (The point at O is the origin, i.e. (0,0).)
Taking the lines in Figure 5.22, we find the following:
CB
In line (i), AC and CB are both positive, hence the gradient is positive.
AC
In line (ii), AC is negative, CB is positive, and the gradient is negative.
We can further see that AC is the difference between the co-ordinates along the x-axis and
CB is the difference between the co-ordinates along the y-axis. Therefore, we could calculate
the gradient where the points are, say, (5,1) and (7,2) as follows:
2 1 1
75 2
For points (1,2) and (2,3), the gradient would be:
3 ( 2) 32 1
2 ( 1) 21 3
B P
D G
O A x
6
Therefore, the gradient is 2
3
Finally, consider the graph in Figure 5.24.
10
0
0 2 4 6 8
10 5 5
The gradient of the line, m
6 6
The intercept, c 5.
Therefore, the equation of this line is:
5
y x5
6
or
6y 5x 30
The next three questions bring together aspects of the whole unit so far. They are actual
examination questions.
3. Draw an x-axis from 3 to 5 and a y-axis from 4 to 4. On them draw the graphs of y
x 1 and 2y 4 x. Write down the co-ordinates of the point where the two lines
intersect.
2
3x
4. Draw the graph of y for values of x from 3 to 3.
2
On the same axes draw the line y 5. Write down the co-ordinates of the points where
the line and the curve intersect.
5. Plot the points (6,5) and (3,3). Find (a) the gradient and (b) the equation of the straight
line joining them.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Business Costs
All businesses incur costs in the production and supply of the goods and/or services which
they provide. These are an important consideration in many aspects of business finance, not
least in calculating profit, which at heart is simply:
revenue from sales less costs of production and supply (or cost of sales)
The analysis of costs is a subject of its own and, within that, there are many ways of looking
at costs. One of these is to divide them into fixed and variable costs.
Fixed costs are those which the business must always meet, regardless of the number
of units produced – such as rent on buildings.
Variable costs are those which vary with output – such as the cost of raw materials
used as part of the production process.
Thus, if we take the case of a printing company, its fixed costs would include the rent on its
offices, printing room and warehouse, and the variable costs would include paper and ink.
Whether they print six or six hundred books a week, the fixed costs remain the same, but the
variable costs rise with the number of books produced. (Note that fixed costs are only fixed in
the short term – over a long period, they may change, for example by acquiring different
premises which may be cheaper.)
If we consider variable costs, we can say that they are a function of the level of production.
This means that, as the level of production changes, so do the variable costs.
We can turn this observation into an algebraic expression:
let: x number of units produced (level of production)
b variable costs
Then:
b f(x)
This is where we started the unit!
We know that we can draw a graph of this relationship if we know some of the values for x
and y.
Let us suppose that we do have such values and can produce such a graph (Figure 5.25):
Figure 5.25: Graph of relationship between variable costs and level of production
Costs 6
(£000s)
5
3 Variable costs
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Production (thousands of units)
We can work out the gradient of the line on this graph, based on two co-ordinates. One of
those co-ordinates must be (0, 0), since when there is no production, no variable costs will
be incurred. If we know that one other point on the graph is (9, 3), then the gradient (which is
m) is:
30 3 1
m
90 9 3
We also know that the intercept (c) of the line is 0, so we can express the relationship of
variable costs to units of production by the following equation in the form of y mx c:
1
a 3
x0
or
3a x
Now consider fixed costs. These do not vary with the level of production. So, if we know the
level of fixed costs, we can show this on the same graph as in Figure 5.26.
Costs 6
(£000s)
5
Variable costs
3
Fixed costs
2
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Production (thousands of units)
We can see that this line is parallel to the x-axis, with an intercept at 2. This is represented by
the equation:
b 2 (where b is fixed costs)
Businesses are not only interested in costs as either fixed or variable, but in their total costs.
We can say that:
total costs variable costs fixed costs
If total costs y, and using the notation from above, we get the following equation:
yab
Substituting from the equations established for a and b, we get:
1
y 3
x2
This is a standard linear equation. We could work out a table of values for it (which we shall
skip here) and draw a graph. This has been done, again on the same graph as in Figure
5.26, in Figure 5.27.
Note that the line for total costs is in fact a combination of the lines for variable and fixed
costs. Its intercept is at the level of fixed costs and its gradient is that of variable costs.
Costs 6
(£000s)
5 Total costs
Variable costs
3
2
Fixed costs
1
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Production (thousands of units)
Note that the chart is only a model, which is why we can show the variable and total costs
lines as linear. In real life, variable costs do not necessarily rise at a constant rate with
increases in production. Despite this, it is a useful way of looking at costs.
Consider the following situation.
A business wishes to use a courier company on a regular basis. Company A charge a call out
charge of £5.00 plus £1.00 per mile, whilst company B charge £2.00 per mile but no call out
charge. Which one is more economical?
We can develop equations for these charges and then use a graph to show which company
would be more economical at different journey lengths:
Let: x number of miles
y total cost (£)
Then, for company A, total cost may be defined as :
yx5
For company B, the costs is:
y 2x
The graph is shown in Figure 5.28.
The point at which the two lines intersect means that the values of x and y are the same for
each line. Thus at that point, the cost of using each company is the same. This takes place at
5 miles. For any distance above this, company A is cheaper, whereas for distances less than
five miles, it is cheaper to use company B. For example:
at 7 miles, A charges £12 and B charges £14
at 2 miles, A charges £7 and B charges £4.
Some of these situations are shown by dotted lines on the graph.
15
Company A
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10
Journey length (miles)
Break-even Analysis
We can further develop the costs graph by including revenue on it.
Revenue is the total income from sales of the units produced. If we assume that each unit
sells for £1, we can say that y x where y is the income from sales (in £) and x is the number
of units sold.
Adding the graph of this to the costs graph shown in Figure 5.27, we get Figure 5.29. (Note
that we are assuming that all units produced are sold.)
Figure 5.29: Costs and revenue graph
Costs
(£000s) Revenue
8
Break-even point
4 Total costs
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sales(thousands of units)
The point at which the revenue and cost lines intersect is known as the break-even point. At
that point, revenue exactly equals costs. Here, this takes place at sales of 3,000 units, with
both costs and revenue being £3,000.
Any sales above the break-even point will mean that revenue exceeds costs, and there will
be a profit. At sales levels below the break-even point though, costs exceed revenue and
there will be a loss. For example:
at sales of 2,000 units, costs are £2,667 whilst revenue is only £2,000 – there will a
loss of £667
at sales of 6,000 units, costs are £4,000 whilst revenue is £6,000 – there will be a profit
of £2,000.
The break-even point represents the minimum position for the long term survival of a
business.
2. A company makes bicycles and sells them for £80.00. The fixed cost of producing them
is £80,000 with a variable cost per bicycle of £36.00. Using a fixed and variable costs
chart (break-even chart), find the number of bicycles needed to be sold for the
company to break even. Give your answer to the nearest 100 bicycles.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Stock
level
1,000Q
0 Q 2Q 3Q
Days
The warehousing cost is linear – if the amount purchased in each order is doubled, then the
warehousing costs are doubled as there are, on average, twice as many items in the
warehouse. This shown in Figure 5.31.
Cost
The cost of purchasing is not linear. The cost per annum depends on the number of orders
placed, as it is a fixed amount per order.
For example, assume that there are 250 working days each year:
(a) Sprockets purchased in batches of 1,000, i.e. a batch every day:
cost £100 250 £25,000
(b) Sprockets purchased in batches of 2,000, i.e. a batch every other day:
cost £100 125 £12,500
(c) Sprockets purchased in batches of 4,000, i.e. a batch every fourth day:
cost £100 62.5 £6,250.
Each time the amount purchased is doubled, the cost per annum halves. The graph is shown
in Figure 5.32.
Cost
These costs can be added to the warehouse costs to give a total cost per annum. The graph
of this is shown in Figure 5.33.
Figure 5.33: Total costs of purchasing
Cost
Total cost
Storage or
Minimum
warehousing
cost
cost
Purchasing
cost
Thus, we can identify the economic order quantity from the minimum cost position on the
graph.
2003 1 30
2 20
3 15
4 35
2004 1 40
2 25
3 18
4 45
2005 1 45
2 30
3 22
4 55
2006 1 50
2 32
3 28
4 60
2007 1 60
2 35
3 30
4 70
Table 5.1: Days lost (per quarter) through sickness at a thermometer factory
We can plot this information using a particular type of scattergram, as shown in Figure 5.34.
The scattergram of a time series is often called a historigram. (Do not confuse this with a
histogram, which is a type of bar chart.) Note the following characteristics of a historigram:
It is usual to join the points by straight lines. The only function of these lines is to help
your eyes to see the pattern formed by the points.
Intermediate values of the variables cannot be read from the historigram.
A historigram is simpler than other scattergrams since no time value can have more
than one corresponding value of the dependent variable.
It is possible to change the scale of the y-axis to highlight smaller changes.
Every historigram will look similar to the one in Figure 5.34, depending on the scale of the y-
axis.
Figure 5.34: Historigram (scattergram) of days lost (per quarter) through sickness
(2003–2007)
Lost 70
days
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
There are four factors that influence the changes in a time series over time. These are the
trend, seasonal variations, cyclical fluctuations, and irregular or random fluctuations.
However, you only need to concern yourself with the trend.
The trend is the change in general level over the whole time period and is often referred to as
the secular trend. You can see in Figure 5.34 that the trend is definitely upwards, in spite of
the obvious fluctuations from one quarter to the next. A trend can thus be defined as a clear
tendency for the time series data to travel in a particular direction in spite of inter-period
fluctuations (be they large or small).
If we were to draw a simple linear trend line through the time series data shown in Figure
5.34, then we would get a trend line similar to that shown in Figure 5.35. Based on this trend
line, we can clearly see that lost days from work (per quarter) have increased over the
period, from approximately 25 days lost per quarter in 2003 to approximately 50 days lost per
quarter in 2007.
Figure 5.35: Historigram (scattergram) of days lost (per quarter) through sickness
(2003–2007), with linear trend line
Lost 70
days
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
2004 1 320
2 200
3 150
4 400
2005 1 400
2 210
3 180
4 450
2006 1 800
2 400
3 340
4 900
2007 1 950
2 500
3 400
4 980
2. Using a ruler, draw a linear trend line through the time series plotted in Question 1 and
comment on the trend.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
1.
x 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
y 5x 4 9 4 6
Graph of y 5x – 4
6 y
4
2
x
0
-2 -1 0 1 2 3
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
2. Table of values:
x 4 0 2
y 2x 3 5 3 7
Graph of y 2x + 3
8 y
x
0
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2
-2
-4
-6
3. Table of values:
x 4 1 6
y2x 6 1 4
Graph of y 2 – x
6 y
x
0
-4 -2 0 2 4 6
-2
-4
Note that for the next four questions, we do not show the graphs themselves.
4. (i) cuts (iii) at ( 1 32 , 2 32 ) or (1.7, 2.7) to 1 decimal place.
x 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4
x2 16 9 4 1 0 1 4 9 16
y 1
x2 8 4½ 2 ½ 0 ½ 2 4½ 8
2
The graph is shown on the next page. Reading off from it, we get:
(a) when x 3.2, y 5.1
(b) when y 7, x 3.7 and 3.7
Graph of y 1
2
x2
0
-4 -2 0 2 4
2. Table of values:
x 3 2 1 0 1 2 3
y x2 9 4 1 0 1 4 9
Graph of y –x2
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
3. Table of values:
x 2 1 0 1 2
x2 4 1 0 1 4
4x2 16 4 0 4 16
Graph of y –4x2
-2 -1 0 1 2
0
-4
-8
-12
-16
4. Table of values:
x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
8x 0 8 16 24 32 40 48 56 64
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
y x2 8x 1 1 8 13 16 17 16 13 8 1
The graph is shown on the next page. Reading off from it, we get:
(a) Profit is maximised (£17,000) at 4,000 units of output, i.e. when x 4.
(b) At an output of between 1,000 and 7,000 units (i.e. between x 1and x 7),
profits generated are in excess of £8,000 (i.e. y 8 or above).
Graph of y x2 + 8x + 1
Profit 18
(£000s)
16
14
12
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Output (£000s)
x 1 2 3 4 5 6
2
y 2 1 0.67 0.5 0.4 0.33
x
2
Graph of y
x
2
1.5
0.5
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
x 0 5 10 15 20 25
Graph of y log10(x)
1.4
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 5 10 15 20 25
t 0 5 10 15 20 25
S 0 56 80 91 96 98
100
80
60
40
20
0
0 5 10 15 20 25
7 ( 2) 9
(f) 2 21
40 4
3x 6 3
2. (a) y gradient
2 2
4 4
(b) y x gradient
7 7
2x 1 2
(c) y gradient
7 7
3. Tables of values:
x 3 1 5
yx1 4 0 4
2y 4 x
y2 1
2
x
x 2 0 4
2 2 2 2
1
2
x 1 0 2
y2 1
x 3 2 0
2
Graph of y x – 1 and 2y 4 – x
4
yx1
3
2y 4 x
2
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
-1
-2
-3
-4
4. Table of values:
x 3 2 1 0 1 2 3
3x 2
y 13.5 6 1.5 0 1.5 6 13.5
2
3x 2
Graph of y and y 5
2
14
3x 2
12 y
2
10
6
y5
4
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
From the graph, you will see that the line and curve intersect at (1.8, 5) and (1.8, 5).
5. 5
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
53
(a) Gradient 2
63 3
(b) The line cuts the y-axis at (0,1).
Therefore, the equation is: y 2
3
x 1 or 3y 2x 3
30
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4
Sales (000s)
2. Break-even chart
Revenue/ 250
Costs
(£000s)
200
150
100
50
0
0 1 2 3
Sales (000s)
The break-even point is at sales of 1,800 bicycles (to the nearest 100).
Sales 1000
(£000s)
800
600
400
200
0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
2. Linear trend is shown on the historigram above. The historigram clearly shows that
sales of premium bonds have increased over the period, from approximately £250,000
per quarter in 2003 to approximately £700,000 per quarter in 2007.
Study Unit 6
Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis
Contents Page
Introduction 172
INTRODUCTION
This unit is the first of five concerned specifically with statistics.
"Statistics" is a word which is used in a variety of ways and with a variety of meanings, but, in
whatever way it is used, it is always concerned with numerical information. There are two
particular meanings of the word which concern us, namely:
The numerical facts themselves – for example, we talk of the "statistics" of steel
production.
The methods of analysing the facts – in this sense, "statistics" is the title of a subject
like "arithmetic" or "chemistry" or "physics". Sometimes the subject is called "statistical
method".
Thus, statistics is concerned with numerical facts about a problem or issue – the facts
themselves, and with methods of analysing these facts in order to solve or shed light on the
problem or issue.
The numerical facts with which statistics are concerned are commonly called data. We
therefore talk about the collection and analysis of data in respect of a particular problem.
The methods used for analysing data can be divided into two categories – descriptive and
inferential.
Descriptive methods simply manipulate the available data in order to convey
information about it, often in the form of summaries or graphical displays, and usually
for the purpose of simplifying comprehension or appreciation of the facts. These
methods are concerned only with the available data, even if that data is only a part of a
(possibly much larger) whole.
Inferential methods use the available data in order to make general statements about
the whole from which that data is only a part. In other words, they allow us to infer
something about the whole mass of data from a study of just a part of it. Predictions
and estimates are typical of the general conclusions which may be made by using
inferential methods.
For example, a statistical analysis may be made of the ages of the eleven players in the
England football team. The ages of the individual players form the data. If we determine the
average age of the team from that data, we are applying descriptive methods to tell us
something about the eleven players as a whole. However, the players are also a part of a
much larger group – for example, all professional English football players – and clearly their
average age will not necessarily be an accurate estimate of the average age of this larger
group. If we wanted to draw conclusions about this larger group from the study of the eleven
players in the England team, we would need to use inferential methods.
In this course we shall only be concerned with descriptive statistical methods. In this study
unit we shall review the basis of the statistical method – the collection of facts (data) about a
problem or issue – and then consider initial ways of analysing this data so that it has
meaning in relation to the problem.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
explain the concept of data in statistics
distinguish between primary and secondary data
explain the differences between quantitative and qualitative variables and between
continuous and discrete variables
explain the reasons for classifying and tabulating data, and prepare tables from given
data
explain the concept of a frequency distribution and define the terms class frequency,
class boundary, class limits and class interval
prepare simple, grouped, cumulative and relative frequency distributions from given
data.
Preliminary Considerations
It is important to be aware of these issues as they impact on the data which is to be collected
and analysed.
Exact definition of the problem
This is necessary in order to ensure that nothing important is omitted from the enquiry,
and that effort is not wasted by collecting irrelevant data. The problem as originally put
to the statistician is often of a very general type and it needs to be specified precisely
before work can begin.
Definition of the units
The results must appear in comparable units for any analysis to be valid. If the analysis
is going to involve comparisons, then the data must all be in the same units. It is no use
just asking for "output" from several factories – some may give their answers in
numbers of items, some in weight of items, some in number of inspected batches and
so on.
Scope of the enquiry
No investigation should be commenced without defining the field to be covered. Are we
interested in all departments of our business, or only some? Are we to concern
ourselves with our own business only, or with others of the same kind?
Accuracy of the data
To what degree of accuracy is data to be recorded? For example, are ages of
individuals to be given to the nearest year or to the nearest month or as the number of
completed years? If some of the data is to come from measurements, then the
accuracy of the measuring instrument will determine the accuracy of the results. The
degree of precision required in an estimate might affect the amount of data we need to
collect. In general, the more precisely we wish to estimate a value, the more readings
we need to take.
Types of Data
There are a number of different ways in which data may be categorised.
Primary and secondary data
In its strictest sense, primary data is data which is both original and has been obtained
in order to solve the specific problem in hand. Primary data is therefore raw data, and
has to be classified and processed using appropriate statistical methods in order to
reach a solution to the problem.
Secondary data is any data other than primary data. Thus it includes any data which
has been subject to the processes of classification or tabulation or which has resulted
from the application of statistical methods to primary data; it includes all published
statistics.
Quantitative and qualitative data
Variables may be either quantitative or qualitative. Quantitative variables, to which we
shall restrict discussion here, are those for which observations are numerical in nature
(for example a person's height or the number of children in a school). Qualitative
variables relate to non-numeric observations, such as colour of hair. However each
possible non-numeric value (hair colour say) may be associated with a numeric
frequency of occurrence.
Continuous and discrete data
Quantitative variables may be either continuous or discrete. A continuous variable may
take any value between two stated limits (which may possibly be minus and plus
infinity). Height, for example, is a continuous variable. This is because a person's
height may (with appropriately accurate equipment) be measured to any minute
fraction of a millimetre. A discrete variable however can take only certain values
occurring at intervals between stated limits. For most (but not all) discrete variables,
these interval values are the set of integers (whole numbers).
For example, if the variable is the number of children per family, then the only possible
values are 0, 1, 2, etc. because it is impossible to have other than a whole number of
children. However, in Britain, shoe sizes are stated in half-units, and so here we have
an example of a discrete variable which can take the values 1, 1½, 2, 2½, etc.
Completeness
Great care must be taken to ensure that no important aspect is omitted from the
enquiry.
Accurate definition
Each term used in an investigation must be carefully defined; it is so easy to be slack
about this and to run into trouble. For example, the term "accident" may mean quite
different things to the injured party, the police and the insurance company! Watch out
also, when using other people's statistics, for changes in definition. Acts of Parliament
may, for example, alter the definition of an "indictable offence" or of an "unemployed
person".
Uniformity
The circumstances of the data must remain the same throughout the whole
investigation. It is no use comparing the average age of employees in an industry at
two different times if the age structure has changed markedly. Likewise, it is not much
use comparing a firm's profits at two different times if the working capital has changed.
Published Statistics
Sometimes we may be attempting to solve a problem that does not require us to collect new
information, but only to reassemble and reanalyse data which has already been collected by
someone else for some other purpose.
We can often make good use of the great amount of statistical data published by
governments, the United Nations, nationalised industries, chambers of trade and commerce
and so on. When using this method, it is particularly important to be clear on the definition of
terms and units and on the accuracy of the data. The source must be reliable and the
information up-to-date.
This type of data is sometimes referred to as secondary data (as we have mentioned), in that
the investigator has not been personally responsible for collecting it, and it thus came to the
investigator "second-hand". By contrast, data which has been collected by the investigator for
the particular survey in hand is called primary data.
The information you require may not be found in its entirety in one source, but parts of it may
appear in several different sources. Although the search through these may be time-
consuming, it can lead to data being obtained relatively cheaply; this is one of the
advantages of this type of data collection. Of course, the disadvantage is that you could
spend a considerable amount of time looking for information which may not be available.
Another disadvantage of using data from published sources is that the definitions used for
variables and units may not be the same as those you wish to use. It is sometimes difficult to
establish the definitions from published information, but, before using the data, you must
establish what it represents.
Personal Investigation/Interview
In this method the investigator collects the data personally. This method has the advantage
that the data will be collected in a uniform manner and with the subsequent analysis in mind.
However the field that may be covered by personal investigation may be limited. Additionally,
there is sometimes a danger that the investigator may be tempted to select data that accords
with preconceived notions.
The personal investigation method is also useful if a pilot survey is carried out prior to the
main survey, as personal investigation will reveal the problems that are likely to occur.
Questionnaire
In some enquiries the data consists of information which must be supplied by a large number
of people. The most convenient way to collect such data is to issue questionnaires to the
people concerned, asking them to fill in the answers to a set of printed questions. This
method is usually cheaper than delegated personal investigation and can cover a wider field.
(A carefully thought out questionnaire is also often also used in personal or delegated
interview in order to reduce the effect of personal bias.)
The distribution and collection of questionnaires by post suffers from two main drawbacks:
The forms are completed by people who may be unaware of some of the requirements
and who may place different interpretations on the questions – even the most carefully
worded ones!
There may be a large number of forms not returned, and these may be mainly by
people who are not interested in the subject or who are hostile to the enquiry. The
result is that we end up with completed forms only from a certain kind of person and
thus have a biased sample. For this reason, it is essential to include a reply-paid
envelope to encourage people to respond.
If the forms are distributed and collected by interviewers, a greater response is likely and
queries can be answered. (This is the method used, for example, in the UK Population
Census.) However care must be taken that the interviewers do not lead respondents in any
way.
Archer, L Mr 39
Black, W Mrs 20
Brown, A Mr 22
Brown, W Miss 22
Carter, S Miss 32
Dawson, T Mr 30
Dee, C Mrs 37
Edwards, D. Mr 33
Edwards, R Mr 45
Gray, J Mrs 42
Green, F Miss 24
Gunn, W Mr 27
Jackson, J Miss 28
Johnson, J Mr 44
Jones, L Mr 39
As it stands, this data does not allow us to draw any useful conclusions about the group of
employees. In order to do this, we need to classify the data in some way. One way would be
to classify the individual cases by sex:
Male Female
Archer, L Mr 39 Black, W Mrs 20
Brown, A Mr 22 Brown, W Miss 22
Dawson, T Mr 30 Carter, S Miss 32
Edwards, D Mr 33 Dee, C Mrs 37
Edwards, R Mr 45 Gray, J Mrs 42
Gunn, W Mr 27 Green, F Miss 24
Johnson, J Mr 44 Jackson, J Miss 28
Jones, L Mr 39
An alternative way of classifying the group would be by age, splitting them into three groups
as follows:
Age over 40
Edwards, R Mr 45
Gray, J Mrs 42
Johnson, J Mr 44
Again, although the data has now acquired some of the characteristics of useful information,
it is still a collection of data about individuals. In statistics though, we are concerned with
things in groups rather than with individuals. In comparing the height of Frenchmen with the
height of Englishmen, we are concerned with Frenchmen in general and Englishmen in
general, but not with Marcel and John as individuals. An insurance company, to give another
example, is interested in the proportion of men or women who die at certain ages, but it is not
concerned with the age at which John Smith or Mary Brown, as individuals, will die.
We need to transform the data into information about the group, and we can do this by
tabulation. The number of cards in each group, after classification, is counted and the results
presented in a table.
Sex
Age group Total
Male Female
20 – 29 2 4 6
30 – 39 4 2 6
40 – 49 2 1 3
Total 8 7 15
You should look through this example again to make quite sure that you understand what has
been done. Of particular importance to note is the presentation of the original age data,
which is given to the nearest year (and not broken down further into months, days, etc.). This
has allowed the use of the age groups 20 – 29, 30 – 39 and 40 – 49. As we learnt in section
A of this unit, age is a continuous variable, which means it is possible to measure a person’s
age broken down into months, days, minutes and seconds. If the age of employees had been
presented more precisely in the original data, then it is possible that Mr Archer and Mr Jones,
for example, may be slightly older than 39 years. Let us assume that Mr Archer is 39 years, 4
months and 3 days old and Mr Jones is 39 years, 2 months and 20 days old. In which age
group in Table 6.1 would Mr Archer and Mr Jones now be classified? Clearly they are both
older than (exactly) 39 years, therefore they should not be included in the age group 30 – 39,
but they are not as old as (exactly) 40 years, therefore they should not be included in the age
group 40 – 49!
Thus, when tabulating continuous variables such as a person’s age, we need to ensure that
the data groups chosen are appropriate. In most cases (i.e. where a more precise breakdown
of a person’s age is given), we could use the age groups 20 to < 30 (i.e. 20 to less than 30),
30 to < 40 and 40 to < 50. Mr Archer and Mr Jones would now clearly fall into the 30 to less
than 40 years age group (i.e. 30 to < 40). You should note that we did not use the age groups
20 – 30, 30 – 40 and 40 – 50 years. This is because an employee that is, for example,
exactly 40 years old, could not be classified into a single group, as this person would fall into
both the 30 – 40 and 40 – 50 age groups! So choice of date grouping (often referred to as
"class intervals") is an important aspect of the classification and tabulation of data. We shall
look in more detail at the use of class intervals in section D of this unit when we look
"frequency distribution".
Having understood this, you are now in a position to appreciate the purpose behind
classification and tabulation –- it is to condense an unwieldy mass of raw data to manageable
proportions and then to present the results in a readily understandable form.
Forms of Tabulation
We can classify the process of tabulation into simple tabulation and complex or matrix
tabulation.
(a) Simple tabulation
This covers only one aspect of a set of figures. The idea is best conveyed by an
example.
Consider the card index of 3,000 employees mentioned earlier. Assume that each card
carries the name of the workshop in which the person works. A question as to how the
workforce is distributed can be answered by sorting the cards and preparing a simple
table as in Table 6.2.
A 600
B 360
C 660
D 840
E 540
Total 3,000
Another question might have been "What is the wage distribution of the employees?"
The answer can be given in another simple table, Table 6.3.
Total 3,000
Note that such simple tables do not tell us very much – although it may be enough to
answer the initial question at the moment.
(b) Complex tabulation
This deals with two or more aspects of a problem at the same time. In the problem just
studied, it is very likely that the two questions presented in Tables 6.2 and 6.3 would be
asked at the same time. We could therefore present the answers in a single, although
more complex, table or matrix (as shown in Table 6.4).
* Note: 40 – 59.99 is the same as "40 but less than 60" and similarly for the other columns.
This table is much more informative than are the two previous simple tables, although it
is more complicated. We could have complicated it further by dividing the groups into
male and female employees, or into age groups.
Later in this unit, we will look at a list of the rules you should try to follow in compiling
statistical tables. At the end of that list you will find a table relating to our 3,000
employees, which you should study as you read the rules.
A 600
B 360
C 660
D 840
E 540
Total 3,000
Average number of
employees per workshop: 600
For another example, we may take Table 6.3 and calculate the proportion of employees in
each wage group, as follows:
Table 6.6: Wage distribution
The proportions given here are also secondary statistics. In commercial and business
statistics it is more usual to use percentages than proportions, and so in Table 6.6 these
would be 3.5%, 17%, 30.7%, 33.8%, 10% and 5%.
Of course secondary statistics are not confined to simple tables. They are used in complex
tables too, as in the example presented in Table 6.7.
Table 6.7: Inspection results for a factory product in two successive years
Year 1 Year 2
Machine no. Output No. of % of Output No. of % of
rejects rejects rejects rejects
Average per
machine 550 23 4.2 700 66.2 9.5
The percentage columns and the average row show secondary statistics. All the other figures
are primary statistics.
Note carefully that percentages cannot be added or averaged to get the percentage of a total
or of an average. You must work out such percentages on the totals or averages themselves.
Another danger in the use of percentages has to be watched: you must not forget the size of
the original numbers. Take the case of two doctors treating a particular disease. One doctor
has only one patient and the doctor cures the patient – 100% success! The other doctor has
100 patients of whom 80 are cured – only 80% success! You can see how very unfair it would
be to make a comparison based on the percentages alone.
The totals (470) at the foot of the two columns make sense because they tell us the
total number of seats being contested, but the totals in the final column (550, 390, 940)
are nonsense totals for they tell us nothing of value.
If numbers need to be totalled, try to place them in a column rather than along a row for
easier computation.
If you need to emphasise particular numbers, then underlining, significant spacing or
bold type can be used. If data is lacking in a particular instance, then insert an asterisk
in the empty space and give the reasons for the lack of data in a footnote.
Footnotes can also be used to indicate, for example, the source of secondary data, a
change in the way the data has been recorded, or any special circumstances which
make the data seem odd.
It is not always possible to obey all of these rules on any one occasion, and there may be
times when you have a good reason for disregarding some of them. But only do so if the
reason is really good – not just to save you the bother of thinking!
Now study the layout of the following table (based on our previous example of 3,000
employees) and check through the list of rules to see how they have been applied.
Total no. in
105 510 920 1,015 300 150 3,000 100.0
wage group
%
3.5 17.0 30.7 33.8 10.0 5.0 100.0 –
See note (b)
Note (a): Total number employed in each workshop as a percentage of the total workforce.
Note (b): Total number in each wage group as a percentage of the total workforce.
This table can be called a "twofold" table as the workforce is broken down by wage and
workshop.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
D. FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS
A frequency distribution is a tabulation which shows the number of times (i.e. the frequency)
each different value occurs.
For example, the following figures are the times (in minutes) taken by a shop-floor employee
to perform a given repetitive task on 20 specified occasions during the working day:
3.5 3.8 3.8 3.4 3.6
3.6 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.5
3.4 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.6
3.7 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.9
If we now assemble and tabulate these figures, we can obtain a frequency distribution as
follows:
Length of time
Frequency
(minutes)
3.4 2
3.5 3
3.6 4
3.7 5
3.8 4
3.9 2
Total 20
Length of time
Tally marks Frequency
(minutes)
3.4 || 2
3.5 ||| 3
3.6 |||| 4
3.7 |||| 5
3.8 |||| 4
3.9 || 2
Total 20
Length of time
Tally marks Frequency
(minutes)
Total 20
Grouped frequency distributions are only needed when there is a large number of values
and, in practice, would not have been required for the small amount of data in our example.
Table 6.13 shows a grouped frequency distribution used in a more realistic situation, when an
ungrouped table would not have been of much use.
16 to < 21 10
21 to < 26 17
26 to < 31 28
31 to < 36 42
36 to < 41 38
41 to < 46 30
46 to < 51 25
51 to < 56 20
56 to < 60 10
Total 220
The various groups (for example, "26 to < 31") are called "classes" and the range of values
covered by a class (five years in this example) is called the "class interval". The number of
items in each class (for example, 28 in the 26 to < 31 class) is called the "class frequency"
and the total number of items (in this example, 220) is called the "total frequency".
The term "class boundary" is used to denote the dividing line between adjacent classes, so in
the age group example (see Table 6.13) the class boundaries are 16, 21, 26, ... years. In the
length of time example (see table 6.12), as grouped earlier in this section, the class
boundaries are 3.35, 3.55, 3.75, 3.95 minutes. This needs some explanation. As the original
readings were given correct to one decimal place, we assume that is the precision to which
they were measured. If we had had a more precise stopwatch, the times could have been
measured more precisely. In the first group of 3.4 to 3.5 we put times which could in fact be
anywhere between 3.35 and 3.55 if we had been able to measure them more precisely. A
time such as 3.57 minutes would not have been in this group as it equals 3.6 minutes when
corrected to one decimal place and it goes in the 3.6 to 3.7 group.
The term "class limits" is used to stand for the lowest and highest values that can actually
occur in a class. In the age group example, these would be 16 years and 20 years 364 days
for the first class, 21 years and 25 years 364 days for the second class and so on, assuming
that the ages were measured correct to the nearest day. In the length of time example, the
class limits are 3.4 and 3.5 minutes for the first class and 3.6 and 3.7 minutes for the second
class.
You should make yourself quite familiar with these terms.
Total 192,000 –
3.4 2 2
3.5 3 5
3.6 4 9
3.7 5 14
3.8 4 18
3.9 2 20
The cumulative frequency tells us the number of items equal to or less than the specified
value, and it is formed by the successive addition of the separate frequencies. A cumulative
frequency column may also be formed for a grouped distribution.
The example in Table 6.15 gives us the number of items "less than" a certain amount.
However we may wish to know, for example, the number of persons having more than some
quantity. This can easily be done by doing the cumulative additions from the bottom of the
table instead of the top, and as an exercise you should now compile the "more than"
cumulative frequency column for Table 6.15.
Relative
Annual income Relative Cumulative
Frequency cumulative
to the nearest £ frequency (%) frequency
frequency (%)
This example is in the "less than" form, and you should now compile the "more than" form in
the same way as you did for the non-relative distribution.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
Under 18 7 18 25 3 1 4 10 19 29
18 – 45 22 47 69 12 3 15 34 50 84
Over 45 14 5 19 4 0 4 18 5 23
* Note that we have given the figures as worked out from the information
supplied. Obviously, though, fractional numbers of stoppages cannot occur, and
you should round off each figure to the nearest whole number.
The subtotals of the columns will then be 177; 1,598; 241; and 4,341.
(b) The overall number of stoppages in the later period was more than 2½ times
greater than in the earlier period. In both periods, the number of unofficial
stoppages was the highest category. This was particularly remarkable in the later
period, when they amounted to more than twice the number of all other
stoppages put together. Demarcation disputes rose in number dramatically,
although stoppages over pay and working conditions both declined. About 95% of
stoppages in the later period lasted more than one day, compared with 90% in
the previous period, with those concerning working conditions being less likely to
last more than one day.
0 5 0.05 5 0.05
1 23 0.23 28 0.28
2 20 0.20 48 0.48
3 13 0.13 61 0.61
4 12 0.12 73 0.73
5 10 0.10 83 0.83
6 7 0.07 90 0.90
7 5 0.05 95 0.95
8 2 0.02 97 0.97
9 0 0.00 97 0.97
10 2 0.02 99 0.99
11 1 0.01 100 1.00
Study Unit 7
Graphical Representation of Information
Contents Page
Introduction 194
B. Pictograms 204
Limited Form 204
Accurate Form 205
INTRODUCTION
In this study unit we shall move on and look at further methods of summarising and
presenting data as a means of providing useful information.
Diagrams are particularly effective as a way of conveying quite complex information.
Presenting information visually is easy to understand, and enables broad distributions and
trends to be taken in quickly. However, diagrams are rarely as accurate as the figures
themselves, and details are likely to be lost.
In the first part of this unit we shall examine the specific graphical forms used for presenting
frequency distributions of the type considered in the previous study unit. We then move on to
discuss a number of popular graphical presentations that are used in everyday life,
presentations that are not necessarily used by statisticians (e.g. those used in business
journals and the mass media of newspapers and television).
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
use frequency dot diagrams, frequency bar charts, frequency polygons, histograms,
ogives and stem and leaf diagrams to represent frequency distributions
prepare pictograms, pie charts, bar charts and scatter diagrams from given data, and
discuss the circumstances in which each form of presentation is most effective
describe the general rules and principles for using graphical representations of data.
Length of time
Frequency
(minutes)
3.4 2
3.5 3
3.6 4
3.7 5
3.8 4
3.9 2
Total 20
Frequency
Frequency 6
0
3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9
Length of time (minutes)
Frequency Polygon
Instead of drawing vertical bars as we do for a frequency bar chart, we could merely mark
the position of the top end of each bar and then join up these points with straight lines. When
we do this, the result is a frequency polygon, as in Figure 7.3.
Frequency 6
0
3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4
Length of time (minutes)
Note that we have added two fictitious classes at each end of the distribution, i.e. we have
marked in groups with zero frequency at 3.3 and 4.0. This is done to ensure that the area
enclosed by the polygon and the horizontal axis is the same as the area under the
corresponding histogram which we shall consider in the next section.
These three kinds of diagram are all commonly used as a means of making frequency
distributions more readily comprehensible. They are mostly used in those cases where the
variate is discrete and where the values are not grouped. Sometimes, frequency bar charts
and polygons are used with grouped data, by drawing the vertical line (or marking its top end)
at the centre point of the group.
Histogram
A histogram is the best way of showing a grouped frequency distribution.
To illustrate this, we shall use an example of a grouped frequency distribution similar to one
from Study Unit 6 (Table 6.13), as set out in Table 7.2. The information in the table may be
shown graphically by the histogram in Figure 7.4.
15 to < 20 10
20 to < 25 17
25 to < 30 28
30 to < 35 42
35 to < 40 38
40 to < 45 30
45 to < 50 25
50 to < 55 20
55 to < 60 10
Total 220
Frequency
40
30
20
10
0
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60
Age (years)
In a histogram, the frequency in each group is represented by a rectangle and – this is a very
important point – it is the area of the rectangle, not its height, which represents the
frequency.
When the lengths of the class intervals are all equal, then the heights of the rectangles
represent the frequencies in the same way as do the areas (this is why the vertical scale has
been marked in this diagram). If however the lengths of the class intervals are not all equal,
then you must remember that the heights of the rectangles have to be adjusted to give the
correct areas. (Do not stop at this point if you have not quite grasped the idea, because it will
become clearer as you read on.)
Look once again at the histogram of ages given in Figure 7.4. Note particularly how it
illustrates the fact that the frequency falls off towards the higher age groups – any form of
graph which did not reveal this fact would be misleading. Now let us imagine that the original
table had not used equal class intervals but, for some reason or other, had given the last few
groups as those in Table 7.3.
Table 7.3: Age distribution of employees in an office (amended extract)
40 to < 45 30
45 to < 50 25
50 to < 60 30
The last two groups have been lumped together as one. A wrong form of histogram, using
heights instead of areas, for the amended data would look like Figure 7.5.
Frequency
40
30
This
column
20 is the
wrong
size
10
0
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 60
Age (years)
Now, this clearly gives an entirely wrong impression of the distribution with respect to the
higher age groups. In the correct form of the histogram, the height of the last group (50 to <
60) would be halved because the class interval is double all the other class intervals. The
histogram in Figure 7.6 gives the right impression of the falling off of frequency in the higher
age groups. The vertical axis has been labelled "Frequency density per 5-year interval" as
five years is the "standard" interval on which we have based the heights of our rectangles.
Frequency
density per
5-year
40
interval
30
20
10
0
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 60
Age (years)
Often it happens, in published statistics, that the last group in a frequency table is not
completely specified. For example, the last few groups in our age distribution table may have
been specified as follows:
40 to < 45 30
45 to < 50 25
50 and over 30
the example given, you would probably spread the last 30 people over two or three class
intervals, but it is often simpler to assume that an open-ended class has the same length as
its neighbour.
Whatever procedure is adopted, it is essential to state clearly what you have done and why.
The Ogive
This is the name given to the graph of the cumulative frequency. It can be drawn in either the
"less than" or the "or more" form, but the "less than" form is the usual one. Ogives for two of
the distributions already considered are now given as examples: Figure 7.7 is for ungrouped
data (as per Table 7.5) and Figure 7.8 is for grouped data (as per Table 7.6).
Study these two diagrams so that you are quite sure that you know how to draw them. There
is only one point which you might be tempted to overlook in the case of the grouped
distribution – the points are plotted at the ends of the class intervals and not at the centre
point. Look at the example Table 7.6 and Figure 7.8 and see how the 168,000 point is plotted
against the upper end of the 5,601 – 6,000 group (or class interval) and not against the
midpoint, 5,750. If we had been plotting a "or more" ogive, the plotting would have been
against the lower end of the group (or class interval).
3.4 2 2
3.5 3 5
3.6 4 9
3.7 5 14
3.8 4 18
3.9 2 20
Total 192,000 –
Figure 7.7: Ogive to show length of time taken by operator to complete a given task
Cumulative 20
frequency
(less than or
equal to)
15
10
0
3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4
100
50
0
4.8 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.4 6.8 7.2
Annual income (£000s)
As an example of an "or more" ogive, we can compile the data from our example of annual
income statistics as a "more than" cumulative frequency, shown in Table 7.7.
Cumulative
Annual income
Frequency frequency
to nearest £
(more than)
Total 192,000 –
100
50
0
4.8 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.4 6.8 7.2
Check that you see how the plotting has been made against the lower end of the group and
notice how the ogive has a reversed shape.
In each of Figures 7.8 and 7.9 we have added a fictitious group of zero frequency at one end
of the distribution.
79 80 82 68 65 59
61 57 50 62 61 70
69 64 67 70 62 65
65 73 76 87 80 82
83 79 77 71 80 77
Before you begin, you might want to arrange the data in numerical order, but is not a required
step as ordering can be done later. But what is necessary is that you separate each number
into a stem and a leaf. Since these are two digit numbers, the tens digit is the stem and the
units digit is the leaf (e.g. for the number 79, the stem is "7" and the leaf is "9").
Next, group the numbers with the same stems (e.g. 79 and 77 are in the same group as both
have a stem of 7). Then, list the stems in numerical order (in our example, the stems range
from 5 to 8 as the lowest value is 50 and the highest value is 87) in a column. In a second
column list the leaves to the right of the appropriate stem values. If your leaf values are not in
increasing order, order them now.) Finally, add a title to your diagram. If you have
successfully followed these steps, then you should have finished up with a stem and leaf
diagram identical to the one shown in Figure 7.10. As you will see, for the stem value of 5 we
have leaf values of 0, 7 and 9, which correspond to the original values of 50, 57 and 59.
Figure 7.10: Stem and leaf diagram to show the distribution of exam marks
Stem Leaf
5 0 7 9
6 1 1 2 2 4 5 5 5 7 8 9
7 0 0 1 3 6 7 7 9 9
8 0 0 0 2 2 3 7
B. PICTOGRAMS
Pictograms are the simplest method of presenting information visually. These diagrams are
variously called "pictograms", "ideograms", or "picturegrams" – the words all refer to the
same thing. Their use is confined to the simplified presentation of statistical data for the
general public.
Pictograms consist of simple pictures which represent quantities. There are two types and
these are illustrated in the following examples. The data we will use is shown in Table 7.8.
Table 7.8: Cruises organised by a shipping line between Year 1 and Year 3
1 200 100,000
2 250 140,000
3 300 180,000
Limited Form
We could represent the number of cruises by showing pictures of ships of varying size, as in
Figure 7.11.
Figure 7.11: Number of cruises Years 1-3
(Source: Table 7.8)
Although these diagrams show that the number of cruises has increased each year, they can
give false impressions of the actual increases. The reader can become confused as to
whether the quantity is represented by the length or height of the pictograms, their area on
the paper, or the volume of the object they represent. It is difficult to judge what increase has
taken place. (Sometimes you will even find pictograms in which the sizes shown are actually
wrong in relation to the real increases.)
Accurate Form
If the purpose of the pictogram is to covey anything but the most minimal of information, to
avoid confusion it is better to try and give it a degree of accuracy in representing the
numerical data. This is usually done by representing specific quantities of the variable with
pictures or graphics of some sort – usually related to the subject of the variable.
So, we could represent the numbers of passengers carried by using pictures of people as in
Figure 7.12.
Figure 7.12: Number of passengers carried Years 1-3
(Source: Table 7.8)
Year 1:
Year 2:
Year 3
Each matchstick man is the same height and represents 20,000 passengers, so there can be
no confusion over size.
These diagrams have no purpose other than generally presenting statistics in a simple way.
They are not capable of providing real accurate detail. Consider Figure 7.13 – it is difficult to
represent a quantity of less than 10m barrels – so we are left wondering what "[" means.
Year 1:
Year 2:
C. PIE CHARTS
Pie charts, known also as circular diagrams, are used to show the manner in which various
components add up to a total. Like pictograms, they are only used to display very simple
information to non-expert readers. They are popular in computer graphics.
Suppose that we wish to illustrate the sales of gas in Great Britain in a certain year. The data
is taken from the Annual Abstract of Statistics as shown in Table 7.9.
Domestic 1,383 51
Industrial 843 31
Commercial 437 16
Public* 60 2
Industrial Commercial
843m therms 437m therms
Domestic Public
1,383m therms 60m therms
(d) Label the diagram clearly, using a separate legend or key if necessary. (A key is
illustrated in Figure 7.15 below.) You can insert the exact values of the data for each
segment if more detail is required, since it is not possible to read this exactly from the
diagram itself.
(e) If you have the choice, don't use a diagram of this kind with more than four or five
component parts.
The main use of a pie chart is to show the relationship each component part bears to the
whole. Pie charts are sometimes used side by side to provide comparisons, but this is not
really to be recommended. Unless the whole diagram in each case represents exactly the
same total amount, other diagrams such as bar charts (see next section) are much clearer.
D. BAR CHARTS
We have already met one kind of bar chart in the course of our studies of frequency
distributions, namely the frequency bar chart. The bars there were simply thick lines
representing, by their length, the frequencies of different values of the variate. However the
idea of a bar chart can be extended beyond the field of frequency distributions, and we will
now illustrate a number of the types of bar chart in common use.
We say "illustrate" because there are no rigid and fixed types, but only general ideas which
are best studied by means of examples. You can supplement the examples in this study unit
by looking at the commercial pages of newspapers and magazines.
16
14
12
Key:
10
8
Wages
6 Royalties
4 Materials
0
Year 1 Year 2
Note that the lengths of the components represent the amounts, and that the components
are drawn in the same order so as to facilitate comparison. These bar charts are preferable
to circular diagrams because:
they are easily read, even when there are many components
they are more easily drawn
it is easier to compare several bars side by side than several circles.
Bar charts with vertical bars are sometimes called "column charts", to distinguish them from
those in which the bars are horizontal (see Figure 7.16).
Figure 7.16: Horizontal bar chart of visitors arriving in the UK in one year
Others 4%
European Commonwealth USA
51% 23% 22%
This figure is also an example of a percentage component bar chart, i.e. the information is
expressed in percentages rather than in actual numbers of visitors.
If you compare several percentage component bar charts, you must be careful. Each bar
chart will be the same length, as they each represent 100%, but they will not necessarily
represent the same actual quantities – for example, 50% might have been 1 million, whereas
in another year it may have been nearer to 4 million and in another to 8 million.
London A
London B
Key:
Newcastle Year 1
Year 1
Bristol
5 0 5 10 15 20 25
Loss (£000s) Profit (£000s)
Pie charts and bar charts are especially useful for "categorical" variables as well as for
numerical variables. The example in Figure 7.17 shows a categorical variable – i.e. the
different branches form the different categories, whereas in Figure 7.15 we have a numerical
variable, namely, time. Figure 7.17 is also an example of a multiple or compound bar chart as
there is more than one bar for each category.
E. SCATTER DIAGRAMS
So far we have learnt about various methods used to present data graphically. The final
graphical method that we shall learn about here is called a scatter diagram.
A scatter diagram (also known as a scattergraph, scattergram or scatter plot) differs
fundamentally from the other graphical forms of presenting data that we have considered so
far. Scatter diagrams are used as a visual aid to examine potential relationships between two
sets of (quantitative) variables, rather than simply providing a visual summary of one (or
more) set of variables (as in the case of frequency distribution graphs, pictograms, pie charts
and bar charts). Specifically, scatter diagrams are the appropriate method of presenting data
when you want to examine the relationship between two continuous variables, such as the
relationship that may exist between sales revenue and the level of advertising expenditure.
Scatter diagrams are plotted with one variable (e.g. sales revenue) on the x-axis (the
horizontal axis) and the other variable (e.g. level of advertising expenditure) on the y-axis
(vertical axis). It is convention to plot the independent variable on the x-axis and the
dependent variable on the y-axis. So using our example of sales revenue and the level of
advertising expenditure, we are examining whether sales revenue (the dependent variable) is
dependent on the level of advertising (the independent variable): does an increase in the
level of advertising expenditure lead to an increase in sales revenue?
Let us look at an example. Table 7.10 presents sales data for a manufacturing company
against its expenditure on advertising over a given period. Looking at the data, it is not
immediately obviously whether a relationship exists or not and if so, whether this relationship
is particularly strong.
23 123
25 134
28 150
31 179
31 187
33 191
36 200
37 202
43 203
49 210
20 85
12 62
8 49
19 106
17 91
15 89
However, if we plot this data on a scatter diagram, the relationship between the level of
advertising expenditure and sales revenue for this manufacturing company becomes
immediately clear. The scatter diagram presented in Figure 7.18 confirms that there appears
to be a positive relationship. As the company spends more on advertising, its sales revenue
increases (although sales revenue does seem to flatten out after advertising reaches
£350,000).
Figure 7.18 Scatter diagram of advertising expenditure against sales revenue for a
manufacturing company
Sales 250
revenue
(£000)
200
150
100
50
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Advertising expenditure (£000)
While scatter diagrams are used to study possible relationships between two variables, it is
important to stress that these diagrams cannot prove that one variable causes the other.
However, they may indicate the existence and strength of an association between two
variables. This association is known as correlation.
Thus, the relationship shown in Figure 7.18, where both variables are increasing together, is
described as positive correlation (both variables are positively correlated with each other).
In contrast, if one variable increases while the other decreases, the relationship is described
as negative correlation. For example, we would expect the efficiency of the machines in this
manufacturing company to decline as they get older, suggesting that the efficiency and age
of machinery are negatively correlated.
If the scatter diagram does not show any relationship between the variables then no
correlation exists. For example, we would not expect any correlation between the cost of raw
materials and employee output.
These three types of correlation are shown in Figure 7.19.
Positive correlation
Annual 50
Income
(£000s)
40
30
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4
Years of post school education
Negative correlation
Machinery 250
efficiency
(output per
200
day)
150
100
50
0
0 10 20 30 40
Age of machinery (months)
No correlation
Cost of raw 100
materials
(£ per tonne) 80
60
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80
Employee output (items per day)
Sales
(£000s)
70
60
50
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Months
2 0 2 4 3 2 11 4 0 1
1 4 1 2 1 4 1 7 3 2
4 5 5 6 5 2 4 2 1 2
2 4 0 6 1 0 1 5 1 2
3 1 5 3 2 2 1 3 5 3
1 1 10 1 2 3 4 3 10 6
2 6 5 3 1 2 5 7 2 3
4 4 1 3 7 4 1 7 3 7
1 1 2 6 1 0 8 5 8 1
5 6 1 3 2 2 1 2 6 4
31.01 to 36.00 6
36.01 to 41.00 8
41.01 to 46.00 12
46.01 to 51.00 18
51.01 to 56.00 25
56.01 to 61.00 30
61.01 to 66.00 24
66.01 to 71.00 14
3. Construct a stem and leaf diagram to illustrate the age distribution of customers
purchasing clothing from a retail store over a one-hour period given the following data
on customer ages:
8 13 16 25 26 29 30 32 37
38 40 41 44 47 49 51 54 55
58 61 63 67 75 78 82 86 95
5. Illustrate by means of a bar chart the following data relating to the number of units sold
of a particular kind of machine:
6. The unit price of a commodity and its demand over a period of time are shown in the
following table:
Draw a scatter diagram of the data and comment on the relationship between price and
the amount sold.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
0 5 0.05 5 0.05
1 23 0.23 28 0.28
2 20 0.20 48 0.48
3 13 0.13 61 0.61
4 12 0.12 73 0.73
5 10 0.10 83 0.83
6 7 0.07 90 0.90
7 5 0.05 95 0.95
8 2 0.02 97 0.97
9 0 0.00 97 0.97
10 2 0.02 99 0.99
11 1 0.01 100 1.00
Relative 0.25
frequency
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
No. of 30
employees
20
10
0
31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71
31.01 – 36.00 6 6
36.01 – 41.00 8 14
41.01 – 46.00 12 26
46.01 – 51.00 18 44
51.01 – 56.00 25 69
56.01 – 61.00 30 99
61.01 – 66.00 24 123
66.01 – 71.00 14 137
Cumulative 140
frequency
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71
3. Stem and leaf diagram to show the age distribution of retail customers for a
clothing store over a one-hour period
Stem Leaf
0 8
1 3 6
2 5 6 9
3 0 2 7 8
4 0 1 4 7 9
5 1 4 5 8
6 1 3 7
7 5 8
8 2 6
9 5
Note: The angles do not add up to 360 exactly because of rounding errors.
Income tax
5. The bar chart is shown in below. Shading has been added for clarity. You can, of
course, draw bar charts on a percentage basis.
Bar chart of machine sales
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
Key:
Commonwealth
8,000
sales
6,000 Home sales
4,000
2,000
0
Year 1 Year 2 Year3
6. The scatter diagram showing the relationship between product price and the number of
items sold for a company follows. In general, the scatter diagram shows that as price
increases demand for the product (measured in terms of number of items sold) falls.
This suggests that there is a negative correlation between the price of this particular
item and product demand.
Sales 45
(000s)
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Price (£ per item)
Study Unit 8
Measures of Location
Contents Page
Introduction 222
INTRODUCTION
We have looked at frequency distributions in detail in Study Unit 6 and you should, by means
of a quick revision, make sure that you have understood them well before proceeding.
A frequency distribution may be used to give us concise information about its variate, but
often we wish to compare two or more distributions. Consider for example the distribution of
the weights of eggs from two different breeds of poultry, which is a topic in which you would
be interested if you worked for an egg marketing company. Having weighed a large number
of eggs from each breed, we might have compiled frequency distributions and graphed the
results. The two frequency polygons might well look something like Figure 8.1.
Figure 8.1: Frequency polygon showing weight of eggs from two breeds of hen
Frequency
Breed B
Breed A
Weight of eggs
Examining these distributions you will see that they look much alike except for one thing –
they are located on different parts of the scale. In this case the distributions overlap and,
although some eggs from Breed A are of less weight than some eggs from Breed B, eggs
from Breed A are, in general, heavier than those from Breed B.
Remember that one of the objects of statistical analysis is to condense unwieldy data so as
to make it more readily understood. Drawing the frequency curves has enabled us to make
an important general statement concerning the relative egg weights of the two breeds of
poultry, but we would now like to take the matter further. We would like to calculate some
figure which will serve to indicate the general level of the variate under discussion.
In everyday life, we commonly use such a figure when we talk about the "average" value of
something or other. We might have said, in reference to the two kinds of egg, that those from
Breed A had a higher average weight than those from Breed B. Distributions with different
averages indicate that there is a different general level of the variate in the two groups.
The single value which we use to describe the general level of the variate is called a
"measure of location" or a "measure of central tendency". There are three such measures
with which you need to be familiar:
the arithmetic mean
the mode
the median.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
calculate the arithmetic mean and mode of grouped and ungrouped distributions,
including stem and leaf diagrams
find the median of grouped and ungrouped data (including stem and leaf diagrams) by
calculation and, where appropriate, graphical methods
utilise the assumed mean method and the "class interval" method in calculating the
arithmetic mean
list the relative advantages and disadvantages of the arithmetic mean, median and
mode, and so decide on the appropriate measure of location to use in common
situations.
A 187
B 160
C 163
D 180
E 180
F 168
G 187
Total 1225
The arithmetic mean of these heights is 1225 7 175 cms. Notice that some values occur
more than once, but we still add them all.
At this point we must introduce a little algebra. We don't always want to specify what
particular items we are discussing, whether it is heights, egg weights, wages, etc. For this
reason in general discussion we will use (as you will recall from algebra) some general letter,
usually x. Also, we indicate the sum of a number of values of x by the Greek letter sigma,
written Σ.
Thus, in our example, we may write:
Σx 1225
We shall be using sigma notation extensively in this unit, so make sure you understand the
meaning of the expression.
We indicate the arithmetic mean by the symbol x (called "x bar") and the number of items by
the letter n. The calculation of the arithmetic mean can then be described by formula:
Σx
x
n
or
1
x Σx
n
The latter expression is customary in statistical work. Applying it to the example above, we
have:
1
x (1225 ) 175 cms.
7
You will often find the arithmetic mean simply referred to as "the mean" when there is no
chance of confusion with other means (which we are not concerned with here).
No. of men at
Height in cms Product
this height
(x) (fx)
(f)
160 1 160
163 1 163
168 1 168
180 2 360
187 2 374
Indicating the frequency of each value by the letter f, you can see that Σf n and that, when
the x's are not all the separate values but only the different ones, the formula becomes:
Σ( fx )
x
Σf
which is 1225/7 175 cms as before.
Of course, with only seven items it would not be necessary in practice to use this method.
However if we had a much larger number of items the method would save a lot of additions.
Example 2:
Consider the following table and, as practice, complete the (fx) column and calculate the
value of the arithmetic mean, x . Do this before moving on.
3 1 3
4 4 16
5 7 35
6 15
7 35
8 24
9 8
10 6
Total
Table 8.4: Data for calculation of arithmetic mean of a grouped frequency distribution
0 to < 10 5 3 15
10 to < 20 15 6 90
20 to < 30 25 10 250
30 to < 40 35 16 560
40 to < 50 45 9 405
50 to < 60 55 5 275
60 to < 70 65 1 65
Σfx 1
x 1,660 33.2
Σf 50
Provided that Σf is not less than about 50 and the number of groups is not less than about
12, the arithmetic mean thus calculated is sufficiently accurate for all practical purposes.
There is one pitfall to be avoided when using this method – if all the groups should not have
the same class interval, be sure that you get the correct mid-values! Table 8.5 is part of a
larger table with varying class intervals, to illustrate the point:
Group Mid-value
(x)
0 to < 10 5
10 to < 20 15
20 to< 40 30
40 to < 60 50
60 to < 100 80
You will remember that in discussing the drawing of histograms we had to deal with the case
where the last group was not exactly specified. The same rules for drawing the histogram
apply to the calculation of the arithmetic mean.
Simplified Calculation
It is possible to simplify the arithmetic involved in calculating an arithmetic mean still further
by the following two devices:
working from an assumed mean in the middle of one convenient class
working in class intervals instead of in the original units.
Let us consider the first device.
(a) Working from an assumed mean in the middle of one convenient class
If you go back to our earlier examples, you will discover after some arithmetic that if
you add up the differences in value between each reading and the true mean, then
these differences add up to zero.
Take first the height distribution (Table 8.1) considered at the start of this section:
A 187 12
B 160 15
C 163 12
D 180 5
E 180 5
F 168 7
G 187 12
Σ(x x) 34 34 0
A 187 17
B 160 10
C 163 7
D 180 10
E 180 10
F 168 2
G 187 17
Table 8.9: Differences between x and xo for grouped frequency distribution data
This means we must have overestimated xo, as the total deviation (Σfd) is negative. As
there are 50 readings altogether, the true mean must be 501 th of (90) lower than 35,
i.e.
(90)
x 35 35 1.8 33.2
50
which is as we found previously.
(b) Working in class intervals instead of in the original units
This method of calculation can be used with a grouped frequency distribution to work in
units of the class interval instead of in the original units. In the fourth column of Table
8.9, you can see that all the deviations are multiples of 10, so we could have worked in
units of 10 throughout and then compensated for this at the end of the calculation.
Let us repeat the calculation using this method. The result (with xo 35) is set out in
Table 8.10.
Note that here the symbol used for the length of the class interval is c, although you
may also come across the symbol i used for this purpose.
Table 8.10: Differences between x and xo for grouped data using class intervals
0 to < 10 5 3 –30 3 9
10 to < 20 15 6 –20 2 12
20 to < 30 25 10 10 1 10
30 to < 40 35 16 0 0 0
40 to < 50 45 9 10 1 9
50 to < 60 55 5 20 2 10
60 to < 70 65 1 30 3 3
x xo
Total Σf 50 Σ 22 31 9
c
As we mentioned at an earlier stage, you have to be very careful if the class intervals
are unequal, because you can only use one such interval as your working unit. Table
8.11 shows how to deal with this situation.
0 to < 10 5 3 3 9
10 to < 20 15 2 6 12
20 to < 30 25 1 10 10
30 to < 40 35 0 16 0
40 to < 50 45 1 9 9
50 to < 70 60 2½ 6 15
The assumed mean is 35 as before, and the working unit is a class interval of 10.
Notice how d for the last group is worked out: the midpoint is 60, which is 2½ times 10
above the assumed mean. The required arithmetic mean is, therefore:
7 10 70
x 35 35 35 1.4 33.6
50 50
We have reached a slightly different figure from before because of the error introduced
by the coarser grouping in the "50 to < 70" region.
The method just described is of great importance. By using it correctly, you can often
do the calculations for very complicated-looking distributions by using mental arithmetic
and pencil and paper. With the advent of electronic calculators, the time saving on
calculations of the arithmetic mean is not great, but the method is still preferable
because:
The numbers involved are smaller and thus you are less likely to make slips in
arithmetic.
The method can be extended to enable us to find easily the standard deviation of
a frequency distribution (which we shall examine in Study Unit 9).
Figure 8.2: Stem and leaf diagram to show the marks awarded to a competition skater
Stem Leaf
0 0
1
2
3 5 9
4 0 1 1 3
5 0 5 8
Although the stem and leaf diagram presents grouped data, the individual data is preserved
so that the mean can be calculated using the simple formula:
Σx
x
n
Accordingly:
Σ(0.0 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.3 5.0 5.5 5.8)
x
10
40.2
x 4.0
10
B. THE MODE
The first alternative to the mean which we will discuss is the mode. This is the name given to
the most frequently occurring value.
0 27
1 39
2 30
3 20
4 7
Total 123
In this case the most frequently occurring value is 1 (it occurred 39 times) and so the mode
of this distribution is 1.
Note that the mode, like the mean, is a value of the variate x, not the frequency of that value.
A common error is to say that the mode of the distribution in Table 8.12 is 39. This is wrong.
The mode is 1. Watch out, and do not fall into this trap!
For comparison, calculate the arithmetic mean of the distribution – it works out at 1.52.
The mode is used in those cases where it is essential for the measure of location to be an
actually occurring value. An example is the case of a survey carried out by a clothing store to
determine what size of garment to stock in the greatest quantity. The average size of
garment in demand might turn out to be, let us say, 9.3724. This is not an actually occurring
value and doesn't help us to answer our problem. However, the mode of the distribution
obtained from the survey would be an actual value (perhaps size 8) and it would provide the
answer to the problem.
Table 8.13: Data for determining the mode of a grouped frequency distribution
Group Frequency
0 to < 10 4
10 to < 20 6
20 to < 30 10
30 to < 40 16
40 to < 50 24
50 to < 60 32
60 to < 70 38
70 to < 80 40
80 to < 90 20
90 to < 100 10
100 to < 110 5
110 to < 120 1
All we can really say is that "70 to < 80" is the modal group (the group with the largest
frequency).
You may be tempted to say that the mode is 75, but this is not true, nor even a useful
approximation in most cases. The reason is that the modal group depends on the method of
grouping, which can be chosen quite arbitrarily to suit our convenience. The distribution could
have been set out with class intervals of five instead of 10, and would then have appeared as
follows (only the middle part is shown, to illustrate the point):
Table 8.14: Revised data for determining the mode of a grouped frequency distribution
Group Frequency
60 to < 65 16
65 to < 70 22
70 to < 75 21
75 to < 80 19
80 to < 85 12
85 to < 90 8
The modal group is now "65 to < 70". Likewise, we will get different modal groups if the
grouping is by 15 or by 20 or by any other class interval, and so the midpoint of the modal
group is not a good way of estimating the mode.
In practical work, this determination of the modal group is usually sufficient, but you may
occasionally be asked for the mode to be determined from a grouped distribution.
A number of procedures based on the frequencies in the groups adjacent to the modal group
can be used, and we shall now describe one procedure. You should note, however, that
these procedures are only mathematical devices for finding the most likely position of the
mode – it is not possible to calculate an exact and true value in a grouped distribution.
We saw that the modal group of our original distribution was "70 to < 80". Now examine the
groups on each side of the modal group. The group below ("60 to < 70") has a frequency of
38, and the one above ("80 to < 90") has a frequency of 20. This suggests to us that the
mode may be some way towards the lower end of the modal group rather than at the centre.
A graphical method for estimating the mode is shown in Figure 8.3.
This method can be used when the distribution has equal class intervals. Draw that part of
the histogram which covers the modal class and the adjacent classes on either side.
Draw in the diagonals AB and CD as shown in Figure 8.3. From the point of intersection draw
a vertical line downwards. Where this line crosses the horizontal axis is the mode. In our
example the mode is just less than 71.
Figure 8.3: Using a histogram to determine the most likely value of the mode
Class
frequency
A D
40
30
B
20
Mode
60 70 80 90 Variate
Figure 8.4: Stem and leaf diagram to show the marks awarded to a competition skater
Stem Leaf
0 0
1
2
3 5 9
4 0 1 1 3
5 0 5 8
As the mode is defined as the data value that occurs most often, all we need to do is look for
the leaf (number) that occurs the most often on one stem of the diagram. In our example,
there are two '1' leaves on the '4' stem (i.e. two data points of value 4.1), so the mode is 4.1.
C. THE MEDIAN
The desirable feature of any measure of location is that it should be near the middle of the
distribution to which it refers. Now, if a value is near the middle of the distribution, then we
expect about half of the distribution to have larger values, and the other half to have smaller
values. This suggests to us that a possible measure of location might be that value which is
such that exactly half (50%) of the distribution has larger values and exactly half has lower
values. The value which divides the distribution into equal parts is called the median.
Look at the following set of values:
6, 7, 7, 8, 8, 9, 10, 10, 10, 12, 13
The total of these eleven numbers is 100 and so the arithmetic mean is therefore 100/11
9.091 (three decimal places), while the mode is 10 because that is the number which occurs
most often (three times). The median however is 9, because there are five values above and
five values below 9.
Our first rule for determining the median is, therefore, as follows:
Arrange all the values in order of magnitude and the median is then the middle value.
Note that all the values are to be used – even though some of them may be repeated, they
must all be put separately into the list. In the example just dealt with, it was easy to pick out
the middle value because there was an odd number of values. But what if there is an even
number? Then, by convention, the median is taken to be the arithmetic mean of the two
values in the middle. For example, take the following set of values:
6, 7, 7, 8, 8, 9, 10, 10, 11, 12
The two values in the middle are 8 and 9, so the median is 8½.
0 27 27
1 39 66
2 30 96
3 20 116
4 7 123
Total 123
You can see from the last column that, if we were to list all the separate values in order, the
first 27 would all be 0's and from then up to the 66th would be 1's. It therefore follows that the
62nd item would be a 1 and that the median of this distribution is 1.
Table 8.16: Data for determining the median of a grouped frequency distribution
0 to < 10 4 4
10 to < 20 6 10
20 to < 30 10 20
30 to < 40 16 36
40 to < 50 24 60
50 to < 60 32 92
60 to < 70 38 130
70 to < 80 40 170
80 to < 90 20 190
90 to < 100 10 200
100 to < 110 5 205
110 to < 120 1 206
Total 206
The total frequency is 206 and therefore the median is the 103rd item which, from the
cumulative frequency column, must lie in the "60 to < 70" group. But exactly where in the "60
to < 70" group? Well, there are 92 items before we get to that group and we need the 103 rd
item, so we obviously need to move into that group by 11 items. Altogether in our "60 to < 70"
group there are 38 items, so we need to move 11/38 of the way into that group, that is 11/38
of 10 above 60. Our median is therefore:
110
60 60 2.89 62.89
38
The use of the cumulative frequency distribution will no doubt remind you of its graphical
representation, the ogive. In practice, a convenient way to find the median of a grouped
distribution is to draw the ogive. Then, against a cumulative frequency of half the total
frequency, read off the median. In our example the median would be read against 103 on the
cumulative frequency scale (see Figure 8.5). If the ogive is drawn with relative frequencies,
then the median is always read off against 50%.
Cumulative 220
frequency
200
180
160
140
120
103
100
80
60
Median 63
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Figure 8.6: Stem and leaf diagram to show the marks awarded to a competition skater
Stem Leaf
0 0
1
2
3 5 9
4 0 1 1 3
5 0 5 8
As noted, the stem and leaf diagram presents grouped data, but the individual data is
preserved. This means that the median can be calculated relatively straightforwardly. As the
median is the middle value in the set, we can simply go through the data presented in our
stem and leaf diagram and cross off pairs of high and low leaves. If we start with the
rightmost leaf on the bottom stem and the leftmost leaf on the top stem, we can work our way
towards the middle of the values crossing off the pairs until we have only one (or two)
leave(s) left that have not been crossed out. That value (or the average of the two values) is
the thus median.
In our example, we are left with two middle values, namely the two '1' leaves on the '4' stem.
The average of these values, and hence the median, is thus 4.1.
Characteristic features of the median, which you should compare with those of the mean and
the mode, are as follows:
It is fairly easily obtained in most cases, and is readily understood as being the "half-
way point".
It is less affected by extreme values than the mean. The millionaire in the country
village might alter considerably the mean income of the village but he or she would
have almost no effect at all on the median.
It can be obtained without actually having all the values. For example, if we want to
know the median height of a group of 21 men, we do not have to measure the height of
every single one. It is only necessary to stand the men in order of their heights and
then only the middle one (number 11) need be measured, for his height will be the
median height. Thus median is of value when we have open-ended classes at the
edges of the distribution, as its calculation does not depend on the precise values of
the variate in these classes, whereas the value of the arithmetic mean does.
The median is not very amenable to further algebraic manipulation.
Consumption Number of
(kilowatt hours) householders
0 – under 10 5
10 – under 20 8
20 – under 30 20
30 – under 40 29
40 – under 50 20
50 – under 60 11
60 – under 70 6
70 – under 80 1
80 or over 0
2. As part of a health study the heights of several dozen men in a particular location are
measured as a sample. After this has been done, it is found that the sample contains
two brothers who are dwarfs. What sort of "average" would you calculate from the
sample, and why?
3. The rate of effluent discharge from two plants based on different systems was sampled
at four-hourly intervals and the results are given below:
System A
10 12 10 11 9 12 14 8 9 12 7 13 10 12 11
13 8 10 9 12 13 10 16 12 7 6 5 10 11 14
System B
10 17 18 6 5 10 11 13 6 15 14 10 12 9 8
7 4 18 19 10 12 13 16 9 12 3 4 12 4 9
Calculate the mean rate of discharge for each system.
4. Using the short-cut methods given in this study unit, calculate the arithmetic mean (i.e.
the average) size of shareholding, from the grouped distribution in the following table.
Distribution of shareholding
Less than 50 23
50 – 99 55
100 – 199 122
200 – 299 136
300 – 399 100
400 – 499 95
500 – 599 81
600 – 699 63
700 – 799 17
800 – 1,000 8
5. A garage keeps two cars for daily hire. The number of cars asked for in a day has
varied as follows:
0 0.36
1 0.38
2 0.18
3 0.06
4 0.02
5 or more 0
6. The following distribution gives the weight in kilograms of 100 schoolboys. Find the
median weight.
45 – 49 2
50 – 54 15
55 – 59 37
60 – 64 31
65 – 69 11
70 – 74 4
100
7. The holdings of shares (nominal value £1) in DEF plc are given in the following table.
Calculate (a) the arithmetic mean holding, (b) the median holding and (c) the modal
holding.
No. of shares held No. of persons No. of shares held No. of persons
with these shares with these shares
8. The age distribution of employees working for a manufacturing company is given in the
following stem and leaf diagram.
Stem Leaf
1 8 8 9
2 0 3 5 5 7 9
3 1 3 8
4 2 3 5
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Mid-value Number of fx
Consumption
(x) householders
(kwH)
(f)
0 – under 10 5 5 25
10 – under 20 15 8 120
20 – under 30 25 20 500
30 – under 40 35 29 1,015
40 – under 50 45 20 900
50 – under 60 55 11 605
60 – under 70 65 6 390
70 – under 80 75 1 75
80 or over 0 0
100 3,630
Σfx 3,630
x 36.3
Σf 100
i.e. the arithmetic mean of the householders' consumption is 36.3 kilowatt hours.
2. In order to give the correct impression of the mean in the sample location, it would be
best to use the median. Normally one thinks of the arithmetic mean as the best
measure of average, but in this case it would be too much affected by the two
extremely low values to be representative. The mode would not be so affected, but with
such a small sample (a dozen or so) it would be erratic, or might not exist if all the
heights were different.
3. You can group the data first if you wish, but it is probably quicker just to add the
numbers as they stand.
System A:
total number of readings 30
total of rates of discharge 316
316
mean rate of discharge 10.53
30
System B:
total number of readings 30
total of rates of discharge 316
316
mean rate of discharge 10.53
30
4. Take c 100, the most common class interval, and xo 250, the middle of the modal
group.
Distribution of shareholding
648.7
x 250 100
700
250 92.7 343 to the nearest whole number.
Therefore, the mean shareholding is 343 shares.
5. (a)
Demand Frequency fx1
(x1) (as a proportion)
(f)
0 0.36 0
1 0.38 0.38
2 0.18 0.36
3 0.06 0.18
4 0.02 0.08
5 or more 0 0
1.00 1.00
Σfx1 1.00
Mean demand 1 car per day
Σf 1.00
(b)
Frequency
Supply
(as a proportion) fx2
(x2)
(f)
0 0.36 0
1 0.38 0.38
2 (0.18 0.06 0.02) 0.26 0.52
1.00 0.90
Σfx 2 0.90
Mean supply 0.90 cars per day
Σf 1.00
(c) Demand is turned away whenever three or more cars are requested in one day.
This proportion of days is 0.06 0.02 0.08. Therefore, on eight days in every
100 demand is turned away.
6.
Weight in kg No. of schoolboys Cumulative frequency
45 – 49 2 2
50 – 54 15 17
55 – 59 37 54
60 – 64 31 85
65 – 69 11 96
70 – 74 4 100
100
Half the total frequency is 50 so the median lies in the "55 – 59 kg" group, and in the
(50 17) 33rd item within it.
33
Median weight 55 5
37
55 4.46
59.46
60 kg to the nearest kg.
No. of persons x xo
Number of Cumulative
Mid-value with these d= fd
shares held c frequency
shares
799
799
(a) x 224.5 50
561
224.5 (1.424 50)
224.5 71.2 153.3 153 shares to the nearest whole number.
(N.B. You may have chosen a different xo, but the result will be the same.)
(b) Half of the total frequency is 280.5 and therefore the median lies in the "100 –
149" group and it is the 58.5th (280.5 222) item within it.
58.5 50
Median 99.5 126.1
110
126 shares to the nearest whole number.
(c) The modal group is the "50 – 99" group and the estimated mode is given by
drawing this group, together with the surrounding class groups, on a histogram.
This is shown on the next page.
Reading from this, the estimated mode 83 shares.
Frequency
(no of
persons) 140
120
100 100 – 50
group
80
Under
50 Mode 83
group
Study Unit 9
Measures of Dispersion
Contents Page
Introduction 250
A. Range 251
E. Skewness 263
INTRODUCTION
In order to get an idea of the general level of values in a frequency distribution, we have
studied the various measures of location that are available. However, the figures which go to
make up a distribution may all be very close to the central value, or they may be widely
dispersed about it – for example, the mean of 49 and 51 is 50, but the mean of 0 and 100 is
also 50. You can see that these two distributions may have the same mean, but the individual
values may be spread about the mean in vastly different ways.
When applying statistical methods to practical problems, knowledge of this spread, which we
call "dispersion" or "variation", is of great importance. Examine the figures in the following
table:
Table 9.1: Output from two factories over 10 weeks
Weekly output
Week
Factory A Factory B
1 94 136
2 100 92
3 106 110
4 100 36
5 90 102
6 101 57
7 107 108
8 98 81
9 101 156
10 98 117
Although the two factories have the same mean output, they are very different in their week-
to-week consistency. Factory A achieves its mean production with only very little variation
from week to week, whereas Factory B achieves the same mean by erratic ups and downs
from week to week. This example shows that a mean (or other measure of location) does not
by itself tell the whole story. We therefore need to supplement it with a measure of
dispersion.
As was the case with measures of location, there are several different measures of
dispersion in use by statisticians. Each has its own particular merits and demerits, which will
be discussed later. The measures in common use are:
range
quartile deviation
standard deviation.
We will discuss each of these in this unit.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
calculate the range of a distribution from given data
find, by both calculation and graphical methods, the quartile deviation, deciles and
percentiles of grouped data
calculate the standard deviation and variance of grouped and ungrouped distributions,
using the appropriate formulae
calculate the standard deviation using the "corrected/approximate variance" method
calculate the coefficient of variation and explain its use
calculate Pearson's first and second coefficient of skewness from the appropriate data
explain the nature of skewness and describe the relationship between the mean,
median and mode in a skewed distribution
identify the advantages and disadvantages of the range, quartile deviation and
standard deviation as measures of dispersion.
A. RANGE
The range is the simplest measure of dispersion: it is simply the difference between the
largest and the smallest. In the example just given, we can see that the lowest weekly output
for Factory A was 90 and the highest was 107; the range is therefore 107 90, i.e.17. For
Factory B the range is 156 36 120. The larger range for Factory B shows that it performs
less consistently than Factory A.
The advantage of the range as a measure of the dispersion of a distribution is that it is very
easy to calculate and its meaning is easy to understand. For these reasons it is used a great
deal in industrial quality control work. Its disadvantage is that it is based on only two of the
individual values, and takes no account of all those in between. As a result, one or two
extreme results can make it quite unrepresentative. Consequently, the range is not much
used in statistical analysis except in the case just mentioned.
160
75
140
120
100 50
80
60
25
40
20
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
This is the same ogive that we drew in Study Unit 8 when finding the median of a grouped
frequency distribution.
You will notice that we have added the relative cumulative frequency scale to the right of the
graph. 100% corresponds to 206, i.e. the total frequency. It is then easy to read off the values
of the variate corresponding to 25%, 50% and 75% of the cumulative frequency, giving the
lower quartile (Q1), the median and the upper quartile (Q3) respectively.
Q1 46.5
median 63 (as found previously)
Q3 76
The difference between the two quartiles is the interquartile range and half of the difference
is the semi-interquartile range or quartile deviation:
Q3 Q1
Quartile deviation
2
76 46.5
2
29.5
2
14.75
Table 9.2: Data for finding the quartile deviation of a grouped frequency distribution
0 to < 10 4 4
10 to < 20 6 10
20 to < 30 10 20
30 to < 40 16 36
40 to < 50 24 60
50 to < 60 32 92
60 to < 70 38 130
70 to < 80 40 170
80 to < 90 20 190
90 to < 100 10 200
100 to < 110 5 205
110 to < 120 1 206
Total 206
The lower quartile is the 25% point in the total distribution and the upper quartile the 75%
point.
As the total frequency is 206:
206
the 25% point 51½ and
4
3
the 75% point 206 154½.
4
We can make the calculations in exactly the same manner as we used for calculating the
median.
Looking at Table 9.2, the 51½th item comes in the "40 to < 50" group and will be the (51½
36) 15½th item within it.
15½
So, the lower quartile 40 10
24
40 6.458
46.458
Similarly, the upper quartile will be the 154½th item which is in the "70 to < 80" group and is
the (154½ 130) 24½th item within it.
24½
So, the upper quartile 70 10
40
70 6.125
76.125
Remember that the units of the quartiles and of the median are the same as those of the
variate.
Q3 Q1
The quartile deviation
2
76.125 46.458
2
29.667
2
14.8335
14.8 to 1 decimal place.
The quartile deviation is unaffected by an occasional extreme value. However it is not based
on the values of all the items in the distribution and, to this extent, it is less representative
than the standard deviation (which we discuss later). In general, when a median is the
appropriate measure of location, then the quartile deviation should be used as the measure
of dispersion.
The total frequency is 206 and D3 is the value below which 30% of the data lies:
30
30% of 206 is 206 61.8
100
We are therefore looking for the value of the 61.8th item. A glance at the cumulative
frequency column shows that the 61.8th item lies in the "50 to < 60" group, and is the (61.8
60) 1.8th item within it. So:
1.8
D3 50 10
32
18
50
32
50.6 to one decimal place.
Therefore 30% of our data lies below 50.6.
We could also have found this result graphically – check that you agree with the calculation
by reading D3 from the graph in Figure 9.1. You will see that the calculation method enables
us to give a more precise answer than is obtainable graphically.
C. STANDARD DEVIATION
The most important of the measures of dispersion is the standard deviation. Except for the
use of the range in statistical quality control and the use of the quartile deviation in wages
statistics, the standard deviation is used almost exclusively in statistical practice.
The standard deviation is defined as the square root of the variance, and so we need to know
how to calculate the variance first.
1 94 5.5 30.25
2 100 0.5 0.25
3 106 6.5 42.25
4 100 0.5 0.25
5 90 9.5 90.25
6 101 1.5 2.25
7 107 7.5 56.25
8 98 1.5 2.25
9 101 1.5 2.25
10 98 1.5 2.25
Σ( x x ) 2
SD , again where n is the total frequency.
n
In this example, then:
SD 22.85 4.78.
The symbol usually used to denote standard deviation is "σ" (theta), although you may
sometimes find "s" or "sd" used.
Σ(x x )2
σ Formula (a)
n
where:
x value of the observations
x mean of the observations
n number of observations.
As the standard deviation is defined as the square root of the variance, therefore:
variance σ2
Σ( x x ) 2
n
By expanding the expression Σ(x x )2 we can rewrite the formula for standard deviation in
two alternative and sometimes more useful forms, as follows:
Σx 2
σ x2
n Formula (b)
or
2
Σx 2 Σx
σ
n n Formula (c)
The choice of the formula to use depends on the information that you already have and the
information that you are asked to give. In any calculation, you should aim to keep the
arithmetic as simple as possible and the rounding errors as small as possible.
If you already know x and it is a small integer, there is no reason why you should not
use formula (a).
If you already know x but it is not an integer (as in the previous example), then formula
(b) is the best to use.
If you do not know x , then you should use formula (c) – particularly if you are not
asked to calculate x .
When you are dealing with data in the form of a simple or grouped frequency distribution,
then the formula for calculating the standard deviation needs to be expressed slightly
differently:
Σf ( x x )2
σ
Σf Formula (d)
or
1 (Σfx )2
σ Σfx 2
n n
, where n Σf Formula (e)
Formula (d), like formula (a), is derived directly from the definition of the standard deviation.
Formula (e) is obtained by using the sigma notation as in formula (c) and this is the one to
use in calculations, as shown in the following sections.
Weekly Deviation
Frequency Deviation squared
output fx (x x) f(x – x )2
(f)
(x) ( x x)2
The standard deviation is then worked out in the same way as previously, as follows:
Σf ( x x )2
σ
Σf
228.5
σ 22.85 (22.85 is the variance)
10
σ 4.78
However, we could have applied formula (e) and reduced the calculation as follows:
Weekly
Frequency
output fx x2 fx2
(f)
(x)
90 1 90 8,100 8,100
94 1 94 8,836 8,836
98 2 196 9,604 19,208
100 2 200 10,000 20,000
101 2 202 10,201 20,402
106 1 106 11,236 11,236
107 1 107 11,449 11,449
10 995 99,231
Therefore:
n Σf 10
Σfx 995
Σfx2 99,231
Calculating the standard deviation proceeds as follows:
1 (Σfx )2
σ Σfx 2
n n
1 995 2
99,231
10 10
1 990,025
99,231
10 10
1
99,231 99,002.5
10
1
228.5
10
Mid-value Frequency
Class fx x2 fx2
(x) (f)
Therefore:
n Σf 30
Σfx 1,250
Σfx2 58,950
Calculating the standard deviation proceeds as follows:
1 (Σfx ) 2
σ Σfx 2
n n
1 1,2502
58,950
30 30
1 1,562,500
58,950
30 30
1
58,950 52,083.33
30
1
6,866.67
30
Class
Mid-value Frequency d = x xo fd d2 fd2
(x) (f) c
10 to < 20 15 2 2 4 4 8
20 to < 30 25 5 1 5 1 5
30 to < 40 35 8 0 0 0 0
40 to < 50 45 6 1 6 1 6
50 to < 60 55 5 2 10 4 20
60 to < 70 65 3 3 9 9 27
70 to < 80 75 1 4 4 16 16
Total 30 29 82
9
20
xo 35, c 10
The standard deviation is calculated in four steps from this table, as follows:
1
(a) The approximate variance is obtained from Σfd2 which in our case is equal to:
n
1 82
82 2.7333
30 30
2
1
(b) The correction is Σfd
n
It is always subtracted from the approximate variance to get the corrected variance. In
our case the correction is:
(20/30)2 0.4444.
(c) The corrected variance is thus:
2.7333 0.4444 2.2889
(d) The standard deviation is then the class interval times the square root of the corrected
variance:
The correction factor is the same as that used for the short-cut calculation of the mean,
but for the SD it has to be squared.
The column for d2 may be omitted since fd2 fd multiplied by d. But do not omit it until
you have really grasped the principles involved.
The formula for calculating the standard deviation in this way can be written as:
2
Σfd 2 Σfd
SD c
n n
The assumed mean should be chosen from a group with the most common interval and
c will be that interval. If the intervals vary too much, we revert to the basic formula.
E. SKEWNESS
When the items in a distribution are dispersed equally on each side of the mean, we say that
the distribution is symmetrical. Figure 9.2. shows two symmetrical distributions.
Frequency
Variate
When the items are not symmetrically dispersed on each side of the mean, we say that the
distribution is skewed or asymmetric.
A distribution which has a tail drawn out to the right is said to be positively skewed, while one
with a tail to the left is negatively skewed.
Two distributions may have the same mean and the same standard deviation but they may
be differently skewed. This will be obvious if you look at one of the skew distributions in
Figure 9.3 and then look at the same one through from the other side of the paper!
Frequency
(b)
(a)
Positively Negatively
skewed skewed
Variate
What does skewness tell us? It tells us that we are to expect a few unusually high values in a
positively skewed distribution or a few unusually low values in a negatively skewed
distribution.
If a distribution is symmetrical, the mean, mode and median all occur at the same point, i.e.
right in the middle. But in a skew distribution, the mean and the median lie somewhere along
the side of the "tail", although the mode is still at the point where the curve is highest. The
more skew the distribution, the greater the distance from the mode to the mean and the
median, but these two are always in the same order: working outwards from the mode, the
median comes first and then the mean – see Figure 9.4.
Figure 9.4: Positions of the mean, mode and median in skew distributions
Median
Median
Mean
Mode
Mode
Mean
Variate
For most distributions, except for those with very long tails, the following approximate
relationship holds:
mean mode 3(mean median)
The more skewed the distribution, the more spread out are these three measures of location,
and so we can use the amount of this spread to measure the amount of skewness. The most
usual way of doing this is to calculate Pearson's first coefficient of skewness:
mean mode
Pearson's first coefficient of skewness
SD
However as we have seen the mode is not always easy to find, and so we can use an
equivalent formula for Pearson's second coefficient of skewness:
3(mean median)
Pearson's second coefficient of skewness
SD
You need to be familiar with these formulae as the basis of calculating the skewness of a
distribution (or its "coefficient of skewness", as it is also called). When you do the calculation,
remember to get the correct sign ( or ) when subtracting the mode or median from the
mean. You will get negative answers from negatively skewed distributions, and positive
answers for positively skewed distributions.
The value of the coefficient of skewness is between 3 and 3, although values below 1
and above 1 are rare and indicate very skewed distributions.
Examples of variates with positive skew distributions include size of incomes of a large group
of workers, size of households, length of service in an organisation and age of a workforce.
Negative skew distributions occur less frequently. One such example is the age at death for
the adult population in the UK.
1 535
2 211
3 427
4 1,360
5 1,650
6 1,504
7 1,280
8 1,615
9 1,012
10 406
11 or more 0
10,000
Calculate:
(i) The arithmetic mean of the loan amounts (£).
(ii) The standard deviation of the loan amounts (£).
(iii) The coefficient of variation of the loan amounts.
2. Calculate the arithmetic mean and standard deviation for the following data using the
short-cut method. Explain carefully what is measured by the standard deviation.
Income of borrower
No. of borrowers
£
Under 1,800 1
1,800 – 2,400 6
2,400 – 3,000 9
3,000 – 3,600 14
3,600 – 4,200 17
4,200 – 4,800 23
4,800 – 5,400 28
5,400 – 6,000 35
6,000 – 6,600 39
6,600 – 7,200 48
Accuracy of operators
A 1 6 10 21 36 17 6 2 1
B 0 0 7 25 34 27 6 1 0
C 3 22 49 22 4 0 0 0 0
Required:
(a) State, with brief explanation, which operator is:
(i) The most accurate in keeping to the target.
(ii) The most consistent in his or her results.
(b) Illustrate your answers to part (a) by comparing the results obtained by each
operator as frequency polygons on the same graph.
(c) Why is it that a measure of the mean level of the dimension obtained by each
operator is an inadequate guide to his or her performance?
(d) Calculate the semi-interquartile range of the results obtained by operator A, to 3
decimal places.
5. Calculate the coefficient of skewness for a distribution with a mean of 10, median of 11,
and standard deviation of 5. What does your answer tell you about this frequency
distribution?
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
60,000
(i) x £6,000
10,000
Σf ( x x ) 2
(ii) SD 5.1028 2.259 thousand pounds
Σf
£2,259 to nearest £.
2,259
(iii) coefficient of variation 100% 37.65%
6,000
Income of No. of
borrower
Mid-value
borrowers d = x xo fd fd2
(x) c
£ (f)
220 86 1,170
* Assume the first class covers the range £1,200 – £1,800 so that its mid-value is
£1,500.
86
x £5,100 600
220
£5,100 + 234.55
£5,334.55
£5,335 to the nearest £
2
1,170 86
variance in class interval units squared
220 220
5.3182 – 0.1528
5.1654
Cumulative 100
Year 1
percentage
frequency
90
80
Year 11
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 5 10 15 20 25
Assets (£000s)
4. (a) As this question says "with brief explanation", it implies that no calculations are to
be made. So we could make the following observations:
(i) B is most accurate in keeping to the target of 3.25 cm as his/her items are
spread about 3.25 cm, but with a narrower spread than A.
(ii) C is the most consistent in his/her results as almost 50% of his/her items
are 3.23 cm and his/her maximum spread either way is 0.02 cm.
You could back up your assertions with calculations of the mean and standard
deviation in each case if time permits. It is good practice to work them out, so
details of the calculations are now given.
You need to draw up the following table. Note that f A and dA refer to operator A.
Similarly for operators B and C.
Dimension
(cm) fA fB fC dA = dB dC fAdA fBdB fCdC fAdA2 fBdB2 fCdC2
(x)
3.21 1 - 3 4 2 4 - 6 16 - 12
3.22 6 - 22 3 1 18 - 22 54 - 22
3.23 10 7 49 2 0 20 14 0 40 28 0
3.24 21 25 22 1 1 21 25 22 21 25 22
3.25 36 34 4 0 2 0 0 8 0 0 16
3.26 17 27 - 1 - 17 27 - 17 27 -
3.27 6 6 - 2 - 12 12 - 24 24 -
3.28 2 1 - 3 - 6 3 - 18 9 -
3.29 1 - - 4 - 4 - - 16 - -
x 3.25 x 3.23
dA dB dC
0.01 0.01
(24)
x A 3.25 0.01 3.25 0.0024 3.2476 cm
100
(3)
x B 3.25 0.01 3.25 0.0003 3.2503 cm
100
2
x C 3.23 0.01 3.23 0.0002 3.2302 cm
100
2
206 24
SDA 0.01 0.01 2.06 0.0576
100 100
60
50
40 Operator A
Operator C
30
20 Operator B
10
0
3.2 3.22 3.24 3.26 3.28 3.3
Dimension of item (cm)
(c) The mean on its own gives no indication of the spread of the readings about the
mean. The mean dimension produced by A is close to 3.25 cm, but his/her output
varies from 3.21 cm to 3.29 cm.
(d) Assume that each dimension has been measured to the nearest 0.01 cm – i.e.
we assume that the one item produced by A in the 3.21 cm category is, in fact,
less than 3.215 cm.
1 3.215
7 3.225
17 3.235
38 3.245
74 3.255
91 3.265
97 3.275
99 3.285
100 3.295
The lower quartile Q1 is the value below which 25% of the data lies, i.e. it is the
value of the 25th item.
(25 17) 8 0.01
Q1 3.235 0.01 3.235 3.2388 cm.
21 21
Similarly
(75 74) 1
Q3 3.255 0.01 3.255 0.01 3.2556 cm.
17 17
Q3 Q1 0.0168
The semi-interquartile range 0.008 cm to three decimal
2 2
places.
This tells us something about the spread of the middle 50% of the data. It could
be of use to the manufacturer for predicting the variation in A's production, so that
possible wastage when items are made too far from the target dimension could
be estimated.
Study Unit 10
Probability
Contents Page
Introduction 276
Appendix 311
INTRODUCTION
Probability is one of those ideas about which we all have some notion, but it may not be a
very definite one. Initially, we will not spend our time trying to get an exact definition, but will
confine ourselves to the task of grasping the idea generally and seeing how it can be used.
Other words which convey much the same idea as probability are "chance" and "likelihood".
Just as there is a scale of temperature, because some things are hotter than others, so there
is a scale of probability. Some things are more probable than others – for example, snow is
more likely to fall in winter than in summer, or a healthy person has more chance of surviving
an attack of influenza than an unhealthy person. There is, you will note, some uncertainty in
these matters. Most things in real life are uncertain to some degree or other, and it is for this
reason that the theory of probability is of great practical value. It is the branch of mathematics
which deals specifically with matters of uncertainty.
For the purpose of learning the theory, it is necessary to start with simple things like coin-
tossing and die-throwing. This may seem a bit remote from business and industrial life, but it
will help you understand the more practical applications. We shall then move on to consider
the application of probability to real situations.
This study unit also introduces the concept of the normal distribution. This is a particular
aspect of frequency distributions which we considered previously. The normal distribution has
a number of properties which can be used to work out the probability of particular event
happening.
Objectives
When you have completed this study unit you will be able to:
explain the meaning of a priori, empirical and subjective probability
explain the probability terms mutually exclusive, non-mutually exclusive, independent,
dependent, non-independent, and complementary
explain what is meant by conditional probability
solve probability problems using the addition law for mutually exclusive and non-
mutually exclusive events, and the multiplication law for dependent and independent
events
construct and use tree diagrams, contingency tables and sample spaces to solve
probability problems
calculate, from appropriate data, the expected value of an outcome
describe, in simple terms, the significance of the normal frequency distribution
explain the properties of the normal distribution in terms of the location of observations,
the mean and the standard deviation
use normal distribution tables to find probabilities that observations within specified
limits will occur.
A. ESTIMATING PROBABILITIES
Suppose someone tells you: "there is a 50-50 chance that we will be able to deliver your
order on Friday". This statement means something intuitively, even though when Friday
arrives there are only two outcomes. Either the order will be delivered or it will not.
Statements like this are trying to put probabilities or chances on uncertain events.
Probability is measured on a scale between 0 and 1: the probability limits are thus:
0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1
where P(A) is the probability of an event A occurring.
Any event which is impossible has a probability of 0, and any event which is certain to occur
has a probability of 1. Accordingly, the probability of all outcomes for a particular event does
not exceed 1: the total probability rule is thus:
ΣP 1 (for all outcomes).
For example, the probability that the sun will not rise tomorrow is 0; the probability that a light
bulb will fail sooner or later is 1. For uncertain events, the probability of occurrence is
somewhere between 0 and 1. The 50-50 chance mentioned previously is equivalent to a
probability of 0.5.
Try to estimate probabilities for the following events. Remember that events which are more
likely to occur than not have probabilities which are greater than 0.5, and the more certain
they are the closer the probabilities are to 1. Similarly, events which are more likely not to
occur have probabilities which are less than 0.5. The probabilities get closer to 0 as the
events get more unlikely. The events are:
(a) The probability that a coin will fall heads when tossed.
(b) The probability that it will snow next January.
(c) The probability that sales for your company will reach record levels next year.
(d) The probability that your car will not break down on your next journey.
(e) The probability that the throw of a die will show a six.
The probabilities are as follows:
(a) The probability of heads is one in two or 0.5.
(b) This probability is quite low. It is somewhere between 0 and 0.1.
(c) You can answer this one yourself.
(d) This depends on how frequently your car is serviced. For a reliable car it should be
considerably greater than 0.5.
1
(e) The probability of a six is one in six or 6
or 0.167.
Theoretical Probabilities
Sometimes probabilities can be specified by considering the physical aspects of the situation.
For example, consider the tossing of a coin. What is the probability that it will fall heads?
There are two sides to a coin. There is no reason to favour either side as a coin is
symmetrical. Therefore, the probability of heads, which we call P(H), is:
P(H) 0.5
Another example is throwing a die. A die has six sides. Again, assuming it is not weighted in
favour of any of the sides, there is no reason to favour one side rather than another.
Therefore, the probability of a six showing uppermost, P(6), is:
P(6) 1
6
0.167
As a third and final example, imagine a box containing 100 beads of which 23 are black and
77 white. If we pick one bead out of the box at random (blindfold and with the box well
shaken up), what is the probability that we will draw a black bead? We have 23 chances out
of 100, so the probability is:
P(B) 23
100
0.23
Probabilities of this kind, which can be assessed from our prior knowledge of a situation, are
also called a priori probabilities.
In general terms, we can say that if an event E can happen in h ways out of a total of n
possible ways, then the probability of that event occurring (called a success) is given by:
number of possible ways of E occurring
P(E)
total number of possible outcomes
h
n
In the preceding examples, we introduced the concept that some outcomes are equally likely,
while others are not equally likely. In probability, when there are the same chances for more
than one outcome, we say that the outcomes are equally likely to occur. For example:
If someone tosses a coin, the chances of getting a heads or tails are the same, i.e. all
outcomes are equally likely. The probability of getting a heads is P(H) 0.5 and the
probability of getting a tails is P(T) 0.5.
If someone throws a die, the chances of getting a six are no different to getting any
other number, i.e. all outcomes are equally likely. The probability of getting a one is
P(1) 0.167, the probability of getting a two is P(2) 0.167, etc.
But not all outcomes are equally likely to occur. In the example about the box containing 100
beads, of which 23 are black and 77 white, the probability of getting a black bead is P(B)
0.23, whereas the probability of getting a white bead is P(R) 0.77. Thus, the chances of
getting a red bead or a black bead are not the same, i.e. all outcomes for this particular event
are not equally likely.
Empirical Probabilities
Often it is not possible to give a theoretical probability of an event.
For example, what is the probability that an item on a production line will fail a quality control
test? This question can be answered either by measuring the probability in a test situation or
by relying on previous results (i.e. empirically). If 100 items are taken from the production line
and tested, then:
no. of items which fail
probability of failure, P(F)
total no. of items tested
So, if 5 items actually fail the test
P(F) 5
100
0.05
of examinations to answer this. Previous results must be used. If you have taken 12
examinations in the past, and failed only one, you might estimate:
probability of passing, P(pass) 11
12
0.92
Subjective Probabilities
A subjective probability describes an individual's personal judgement or instinct about how
likely a particular event is to occur. It is not based on any precise theoretical or empirical
foundation, but is often a reasonable assessment by a knowledgeable person. Thus, a
person's subjective probability of an event describes his or her degree of belief in the
outcome of that event. Like all probabilities, a subjective probability is conventionally
expressed on a scale from 0 to 1; a rare event has a subjective probability close to 0, a very
common event has a subjective probability close to 1.
In business, managers will often make strategic decisions based on the subjective probability
of the outcome of an event – i.e. on their instinct, given their knowledge of the business
environment in which they operate. For example, investors on the stock market may base
many of their decisions to buy and sell shares on their instinct. Successful investors are
those who know which stocks to buy at a relatively low price, and similarly they know at what
price to sell them prior to a downturn in the market. If these investment decisions were based
on a precise theoretical or empirical foundation, then we would all be doing it! But they are
not, they are based on instinct: investors attach (subjective) probabilities to the likelihood that
share prices will move in a particular direction and they make their decisions accordingly.
B. TYPES OF EVENT
In probability, we can identify five types of event:
mutually exclusive
non-mutually exclusive
independent
dependent or non-independent
complementary.
(a) Mutually exclusive events
If two events A and B are mutually exclusive then the occurrence of one event
precludes the possibility of the other occurring. Thus:
P(A and B) 0.
For example, the two sides of a coin are mutually exclusive since, on the throw of the
coin, heads automatically rules out the possibility of tails. On the throw of a die, a six
excludes all other possibilities. In fact, all the sides of a die are mutually exclusive; the
occurrence of any one of them as the top face automatically excludes any of the
others.
(b) Non-mutually-exclusive events
These are events which can occur together. For example, in a pack of playing cards
hearts and queens are non-mutually exclusive, since there is one card, the queen of
hearts, which is both a heart and a queen and so satisfies both criteria for success.
Similarly:
P(1) 1
6
P(2) 1
6
P(3) 1
6
P(4) 1
6
P(5) 1
6
Example 2:
At a local shop 50% of customers buy unwrapped bread and 60% buy wrapped bread. What
proportion of customers buy at least one kind of bread if 20% buy both wrapped and
unwrapped.
Let: T represent those customers buying unwrapped bread and
W represent those customers buying wrapped bread.
Then:
P(buy at least one kind of bread) P(buy wrapped or unwrapped or both)
P(T or W)
P(T) P(W) P(T and W)
0.5 0.6 0.2
0.9
So, 9
10
of the customers buy at least one kind of bread.
Example 3:
A die is thrown three times. What is the probability of one or more sixes in these three
throws?
5
Probability of no six in first throw
6
5
Similarly, probability of no six in second or third throw
6
The result of each throw is independent, so:
5 5 5 125
probability of no six in all three throws
6 6 6 216
Since no sixes and one or more sixes are mutually exclusive and cover all possibilities:
125 91
probability of one or more sixes 1
216 216
D. CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY
The probability of an event A occurring where that event is conditional upon event B having
also occurred is expressed as:
P(A|B)
The events A and B must be causally linked in some way for A to be conditional upon B. For
example, we noted earlier the case where a car owner's ability to drive to work in her car
(event A) is dependent on her being able to start the car (event B). There is self evidently a
causal link between the two events. However, if we consider the case of her being able to
drive to work given that she is married, there is no necessary link between the two events –
and there is no conditional probability.
In a case involving equally likely outcomes for both events (i.e. both events A and B may or
may not occur), the conditional probability of event A occurring, given that B also occurs, is
calculated by the following formula:
n(A and B)
P(A|B) where n the number of possible outcomes.
n(B)
Similarly, the conditional probability of event B occurring, given that A also occurs, is
calculated by the following formula:
n(A and B)
P(B|A) where n the number of possible outcomes.
n(A)
One approach to determining probability in such circumstances is to construct a table of the
possible outcomes – sometimes called a contingency table.
Consider the case of 100 candidates attempting their driving test for the first time. Suppose
80 of the candidates pass and 50 of them have had 10 or more lessons. Of those who have
had 10 or more lessons, 45 of them passed. What is the probability of passing at the first
attempt if you have had only 6 lessons?
We can construct a table which identifies the possible outcomes as follows in Table 10.1.
We will call event A "passed" and event B "having had less than 10 lessons".
Make sure you understand the construction of this table:
We have listed the possible outcomes of event A along the top – these outcomes are
either to have passed or failed the test. Thus, the columns will show the number of
outcomes for either possibility.
We have listed the possible outcomes of event B along the side – these are either to
have had 10 or more lessons, or less than 10 lessons. Thus, the rows will show the
number of outcomes for either possibility.
We have entered in the information that we know: that there are a total of 100 possible
outcomes; that the total number of outcomes in which event A was "passed" is 80; that
the total number of outcomes in which event B is "had 10 or more lessons" is 50; and
that the total number of outcomes in which event A was "passed" and event B was "had
10 or more lessons" is 45.
We can complete the rest of the table by subtraction as in Table 10.2.
We can now work out the total outcomes applicable to the question "what is the probability of
passing at the first attempt if you have had only 6 lessons?"
Remember that event A is "passed" and event B is "having had less than 10 lessons".
Therefore:
the total number of outcomes of B 50
the total number of outcomes of both A and B 35.
Thus the probability is:
n(A and B) 35
P(A|B) 0.7
n(B) 50
We could consider the question: "what is the probability of failing at the first attempt if you
have had more than 10 lessons?". Here event A is "failed" and event B is "having had more
than 10 lessons". The calculation is:
n(A and B) 5
P(A|B) 0.1
n(B) 50
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
E. TREE DIAGRAMS
A compound experiment, i.e. one with more than one component part, may be regarded as a
sequence of similar simple experiments. For example, the rolling of two dice can be
considered as the rolling of one followed by the rolling of the other; and the tossing of four
coins can be thought of as tossing one after the other. A tree diagram enables us to construct
an exhaustive list of mutually exclusive outcomes of a compound experiment.
Furthermore, a tree diagram gives us a pictorial representation of probability.
By exhaustive, we mean that every possible outcome is considered.
By mutually exclusive we mean, as before, that if one of the outcomes of the
compound experiment occurs then the others cannot.
In the following examples, we shall consider the implications of conditional probability – the
probability of one event occurring if another event has also occurred.
Example 1:
The concept can be illustrated using the example of a bag containing five red and three white
billiard balls. If two are selected at random without replacement, what is the probability that
one of each colour is drawn?
Let:
R indicate a red ball being selected
W indicate a white ball being selected
When the first ball is selected, the probabilities are:
5
P(R)
8
3
P(W)
8
When the second ball is selected, there are only seven balls left and the mix of red and white
balls will be determined by the selection of the first ball – i.e. the probability of a red or a
white ball being selected is conditional upon the previous event. Thus:
If the first ball selected was red, there will be four red and three white balls left. The
probabilities for the selection of the second ball are then:
4 3
P(R) , and P(W)
7 7
If the first ball selected was white, there will be five red and two white balls left. The
probabilities for the selection of the second ball are then:
5 2
P(R) , and P(W)
7 7
This process of working out the different conditional probabilities can be very complicated
and it is easier to represent the situation by means of a tree diagram as in Figure 10.1. The
probabilities at each stage are shown alongside the branches of the tree.
R
4
7
W
R 3
5 7
8
Start
W
3 R
8 5
7
W
2
7
Outcome Probability
5 4 20
RR
8 7 56
5 3 15
RW
8 7 56
3 5 15
WR
8 7 56
3 2 6
WW
8 7 56
Total 1
Example 2:
A bag contains three red balls, two white balls and one blue ball. Two balls are drawn at
random (without replacement). Find the probability that:
(a) Both white balls are drawn.
(b) The blue ball is not drawn.
(c) A red then a white are drawn.
(d) A red and a white are drawn.
To solve this problem, let us build up a tree diagram.
Stage 1 will be to consider the situation when the first ball is drawn:
R1
3
6
W1
Start
2
6
B1
1
6
We have given the first ball drawn a subscript of 1 – for example, red first R1. We shall give
the second ball drawn a subscript of 2.
The probabilities in the first stage will be:
no. of red balls 3
P(R1)
total no. of balls 6
2
P(W 1)
6
1
(P(B1)
6
The possibilities in stage 2 may now be mapped on the tree diagram. When the second ball
is drawn, the probability of it being red, white or blue is conditional on the outcome of the first
event. Thus, note there was only one blue ball in the bag, so if we picked a blue ball first then
we can have only a red or a white second ball. Also, whatever colour is chosen first, there
are only five balls left as there is no replacement.
Figure 10.3: Example 2 – tree diagram of first and second events
W2
2
5
We can now list all the possible outcomes, with their associated probabilities.
Outcome Probability
3 2 1
R1R2
6 5 5
3 2 1
R1W 2
6 5 5
3 1 1
R1B2
6 5 10
2 3 1
W1R2
6 5 5
2 1 1
W1W 2
6 5 15
2 1 1
W1B2
6 5 15
1 3 1
B1R 2
6 5 10
1 2 1
B1W 2
6 5 15
Total 1
1st Child
B
½ 2nd Child
Start
G B
½ ½ 3rd Child
G B
½ ½ 4th Child
G B
½ ½
G
½
1
1 Boy
2
2
1 1
1 Girl, 1 Boy
2 4
3
1 1
2 Girls, 1 Boy
2 8
4
1 1
3 Girls, 1 Boy
2 16
4
1 1
4 Girls
2
16
Total 1
The probability that the family will have a son before their fourth child is therefore:
1 1 1 1 15
2 4 8 16 16
F. SAMPLE SPACE
You need a clear head to perform probability calculations successfully. It helps, then, to have
some diagrammatic form of representation. We have seen the value of tree diagrams in the
last section, and now we consider another method of drawing the possible outcomes of an
event.
When we toss a coin three times and note the outcome, we are performing a statistical
experiment. If we make a list of all the possible outcomes of our experiment, we call this a
sample space. The sample space in the coin-tossing experiment is:
HHH HTT
THH THT
HTH TTH
HHT TTT
where, for example, T H H means that on the first toss we obtained a tail, on the second a
head, and on the third a head.
Let us consider another example.
Suppose we have five people – A, B, C, D, E – and we wish to select a random sample of
two for interview, i.e. each of A, B, C, D, E must have the same chance of being chosen.
What is the sample space, i.e. the list of all possible different samples?
The sample space is:
AB BC CD DE
AC BD CE
AD BE
AE
In this example the order of the sample, i.e. whether we choose A followed by B or B followed
by A, is not relevant as we would still interview both A and B.
Having written down our sample space, we might be interested in a particular section of it.
For instance, in our first example we might want to see in how many of the outcomes we
obtained only one head: i.e. we are interested in the event of obtaining exactly one head.
Looking back at the sample space, we see that there are three outcomes making up this
event. If we have a fair coin, the probability of obtaining a head or a tail at any toss is ½ and
all the outcomes in the sample space are equally likely. There are eight outcomes in all, so
we can now deduce that:
Probability of obtaining exactly one head in 3 tosses of a fair coin
no. of outcomes in sample space with one head
total no. of outcomes in sample space
3
8
Alternatively, we could write:
no. of outcomes in A
P(event A)
total no. of outcomes
3
8
Now consider the example of an experiment involving the rolling of one fair die. What is the
probability of obtaining:
(a) a score greater than 3
(b) an odd number
(c) both a score greater than 3 and an odd number
The sample space is a listing of all the possible outcomes as follows:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
The total number of possible outcomes is 6, and it is now easy to read off the probabilities
from the sample space:
3 1
(a) a score greater than 3 – three possibilities: P
6 2
3 1
(b) an odd number – three possibilities: P
6 2
1
(c) both a score greater than 3 and an odd number – one possibility: P
6
G. EXPECTED VALUE
Probabilities may also be used to assist the decision-making process in business situations.
Before a new undertaking is started, for example, it may be possible to list or categorise all
the different possible outcomes. On the basis of past experience it may also be possible to
attribute probabilities to each outcome. These figures can then be used to calculate an
expected value for the income from the new undertaking.
Example:
Suppose a company is considering opening a new retail outlet in a town where it currently
has no branches. On the basis of information from its other branches in similar towns, it can
categorise the possible revenue from the new outlet into categories of high, medium or low.
Table 10.6 shows the probabilities that have been estimated for each category. You will note
that the probabilities sum to 1.
High 0.4
Medium 0.5
Low 0.1
Using these figures it is possible to calculate the expected value for the revenue from the
new branch.
The expected value is an average for the revenue, weighted by the probabilities. It is the sum
of each value for the outcome multiplied by its probability. Thus, the expected value E of
variable x with associated probabilities P(x) is calculated by the following formula:
E(x) ΣxP(x)
where x is the value of the outcome.
In our example, if we give values to the outcomes of each category (i.e. figures for the high,
medium and low revenues) and then multiply each by its probability and sum them, we get an
average revenue return for new branches. This expected revenue can then be compared
with the outlay on the new branch in order to assess the level of profitability.
Total: £3,600
The concept of expected value is used to incorporate the consequences of uncertainty into
the decision-making process.
2. (a) (i) What is the probability of getting a total of six points in a simultaneous
throw of two dice?
(ii) What is the probability of getting at least one six from a simultaneous throw
of two dice?
(b) Out of a production batch of 10,000 items, 600 are found to be of the wrong
dimensions. Of the 600 which do not meet the specifications for measurement,
200 are too small. What is the probability that, if one item is taken at random from
the 10,000:
(i) It will be too small?
(ii) It will be too large?
If two items are chosen at random from the 10,000, what is the probability that:
(iii) Both are too large?
(iv) One is too small and one too large?
3. (a) Calculate, when three dice are thrown together, the probability of obtaining:
(i) three sixes;
(ii) one six;
(iii) at least one six.
(b) Calculate the probability of drawing in four successive draws the ace and king of
hearts and diamonds suits from a pack of 52 playing cards.
(c) Calculate the probability that three marbles drawn at random from a bag
containing 24 marbles, six of each of four colours (red, blue, green and white),
will be:
(i) all red;
(ii) all of any one of the four colours.
4. An analysis of 72 firms which had introduced flexitime working showed that 54 had
used some form of clocking in system whilst the rest relied on employees completing
their own time sheets. It was found that for 60 of the firms output per employee rose
and in all other firms it fell. Output fell in only 3 of the firms using employee-completed
forms.
Construct a contingency table and then:
(a) Calculate the probability of output per employee falling if an automatic clocking in
system is introduced.
(b) Determine under which system it is more probable that output per employee will
rise.
5. The probability that machine A will be performing a useful function in five years' time is
0.25, while the probability that machine B will still be operating usefully at the end of the
same period is 0.33.
Find the probability that, in five years' time:
(a) Both machines will be performing a useful function.
(b) Neither will be operating.
(c) Only machine B will be operating.
(d) At least one of the machines will be operating.
6. Three machines, A, B and C, produce respectively 60%, 30% and 10% of the total
production of a factory. The percentages of defective production for each machine are
respectively 2%, 4% and 6%.
(a) If an item is selected at random, find the probability that the item is defective.
(b) If an item is selected at random and found to be defective, what is the probability
that the item was produced by machine A?
7. Using a sample space diagram, calculate the probability of getting, with two throws of a
die:
(a) A total score of less than 9.
(b) A total score of 9.
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
Frequency
40
30
20
10
0
80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150
Value
Consider now a continuous variable in which you have been able to make a very large
number of observations. You could compile a frequency distribution and then draw a
frequency bar chart with a very large number of bars, or a histogram with a very large
number of narrow groups. Your diagrams might look something like those in Figure 10.6.
If you now imagine that these diagrams relate to a relative frequency distribution and that a
smooth curve is drawn through the tops of the bars or rectangles, you will arrive at the idea of
a frequency curve.
We can then abstract the concept of a frequency distribution by illustrating it without any
actual figures as a frequency curve which is just a graph of frequency against the variate
(variable):
Figure 10.7: Frequency curve
Frequency
Variate
The "normal" or "Gaussian" distribution was discovered in the early eighteenth century and is
probably the most important distribution in the whole of statistical theory. This distribution
seems to represent accurately the random variation shown by natural phenomena – for
example:
heights of adult men from one race
weights of a species of animal
distribution of IQ levels in children of a certain age
weights of items packaged by a particular packing machine
life expectancy of light bulbs.
The typical shape of the normal distribution is shown in Figure 10.8. You will see that it has a
central peak (i.e. it is unimodal) and that it is symmetrical about this centre. The mean of this
distribution is shown as "m" on the diagram, and is located at the centre. The standard
deviation, which is usually denoted by "σ", is also shown.
Frequency
m Variate
s.d. s.d.
m 2σ mσ m mσ m 2σ
The area under a section of the curve represents the proportion of observations of that size
in relation to the total number of observations. For example, the shaded area shown in Figure
10.10 represents the chance of an observation being greater than m 2σ. The vertical line
which defines this area is at m 2σ.
Looking up the value 2 in the table gives the proportion of the normal distribution which lies
outside of that value:
P(x > m 2σ) 0.02275
which is just over 2%.
Similarly, P(x > m 1σ) is found by looking up the value 1 in the table. This gives:
P(x > m 1σ) 0.1587
which is nearly 16%.
You can extract any value from P(x m) to P(x > m 3σ) from this table. This means that
you can find the area in the tail of the normal distribution wherever the vertical line is drawn
on the diagram.
Negative distances from the mean are not shown in the tables. However, since the
distribution is symmetrical, it is easy to calculate these.
P(x < m 5σ) P(x > m 5σ)
So P(x > m 5σ) 1 P(x < m 5σ)
This is illustrated in Figure 10.11.
Figure 10.11: Using the symmetry to determine the area under the normal curve
B A
m 2σ mσ m mσ m 2σ
Area C 1 Area B.
This is because Area C and
Area B are mutually exclusive
and cover the whole range.
C
m 2σ mσ m mσ m 2σ
m 0.7σ m 1.5σ
2. A machine produces 1,800 items a day on average. The shape of the distribution of
items produced in one day is very similar to a normal distribution with a standard
deviation of 80 items. On any one day:
(a) If more than 2,000 items are produced, the employees get a bonus. What is the
probability that a bonus will be earned?
(b) When less than 1,700 items are produced, overtime is available. What is the
probability that overtime will be worked?
(c) What is the probability that the workforce neither gets a bonus nor works
overtime?
Now check your answers with those given at the end of the unit.
ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS
Questions for Practice 1
Event A is "failed" and event B is "having less than 10 lessons". The calculation then is:
n( A and B) 15
P(A|B) 0.3
n(B) 50
2. (a) (i) Six points can be obtained from the following combinations:
1st die 2nd die
1 5
2 4
3 3
4 2
5 1
Since each die can fall with any of its faces uppermost, there are a total of
36 possible combinations, i.e. 6 6 36. Therefore:
5
P(six points)
36
5 5 25
(ii) P(no six)
6 6 36
11
P(at least one six) 1 P(no six)
36
200
(b) (i) P(too small) 0.02
10,000
400
(ii) P(too large) 0.04
10,000
(iii) Note that, if the first item is too large, it will be removed from the calculation
of the second item. Therefore:
P(both too large) P(1st too large) P(2nd too large)
399
0.04
9,999
0.001596
(iv) The first item can be either too large or too small. Therefore:
199 399
P(one too large, one too small) 0.04 0.02
9,999 9,999
0.001594
4 3 2 1
(b) Required probability
52 51 50 49
0.000003694 to 4 significant figures.
6
(c) (i) Probability that first is red
24
5
probability that second is red
23
4
probability that third is red
22
6 5 4
probability that all three are red 0.009881 to 4 sig. figs.
24 23 22
(ii) Probability that the three will be all of any one of the four colours
probability that all three are red
probability that all three are blue
probability that all three are green
probability that all three are white
6 5 4
4 0.03953 to 4 sig. figs.
24 23 22
(a) The probability of output per employee falling (event A) given that an automatic
clocking in system is used (event B) is:
n( A and B) 9 1
P(A|B)
n(B) 54 6
(b) The probability of output per employee rising (event A) given that an automatic
clocking in system is used (event B) is:
n( A and B) 45 5
P(A|B)
n(B) 54 6
The probability of output per employee rising (event A) given that an employee
completion system is used (event B) is:
n( A and B) 15 1
P(A|B)
n(B) 18 6
The probabilities are the same.
1 1 x 1 1
3 4 3 12
B
A B 1 x2 3
1 2 4 3 12
4 3
3
4 1 3 x 1 3
A 3 4 3 12
B
B 3 x2 6
2 4 3 12
3
Total 1
1
(b) Probability of neither operating is 6
12
or 2
1
(c) Probability of only B operating is 3
12
or 4
Joint probabilities
D
0.98 0.60 x 0.98 0.588
A 0.60
D
0.96 0.30 x 0.96 0.288
C 0.10
D
0.94 0.10 x 0.94 0.094
Total 1.000
7. The sample space diagram sets out all the possible total scores obtainable when two
dice are thrown. There are 36 equally likely outcomes:
1st die: 1 2 3 4 5 6
2nd die
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Using the tables in reverse, and looking up the value 0.002 in the body of the
tables, the nearest we can get is 0.00199. This is when:
x μ
2.88
σ
Therefore, 1 in 500 batteries will be more than 2.88 standard deviations below
the mean.
Answer: 320 2.88 20 320 57.6 262.4
Therefore 1 in 500 batteries will have a life of less than 262.4 hours.
2. Mean, m 1,800
Standard deviation, σ 80
(a) In a normal distribution, 2,000 items is:
(2,000 1,800)
2.5 standard deviations from the mean
80
Therefore, the probability of 2,000 items being produced is:
P(x > m 2.5σ) 0.00621
(b) In a normal distribution, 1,700 items is:
(1,700 1,800)
1.5 standard deviations from the mean
80
Therefore, the probability of 1,700 items being produced is:
P(x < m 1.25σ) P(x > m 1.25σ) 0.1056
(c) Probability of no bonus and no overtime:
1 0.1056 0.00621 0.88819
(x - μ)
.00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
σ
0.0 .5000 .4960 .4920 .4880 .4840 .4801 .4761 .4721 .4681 .4641
0.1 .4602 .4562 .4522 .4483 .4443 .4404 .4364 .4325 .4286 .4247
0.2 .4207 .4168 .4129 .4090 .4052 .4013 .3874 .3936 .3897 .3859
0.3 .3821 .3783 .3745 .3707 .3669 .3632 .3594 .3557 .3520 .3483
0.4 .3446 .3409 .3372 .3336 .3300 .3264 .3228 .3192 .3156 .3121
0.5 .3085 .3050 .3015 .2981 .2946 .2912 .2877 .2843 .2810 .2776
0.6 .2743 .2709 .2676 .2643 .2611 .2578 .2546 .2514 .2483 .2451
0.7 .2420 .2389 .2358 .2327 .2296 .2266 .2236 .2206 .2177 .2148
0.8 .2119 .2090 .2061 .2033 .2005 .1977 .1949 .1922 .1894 .1867
0.9 .1841 .1814 .1788 .1762 .1736 .1711 .1685 .1660 .1635 .1611
1.0 .1587 .1562 .1539 .1515 .1492 .1469 .1446 .1423 .1401 .1379
1.1 .1357 .1335 .1314 .1292 .1271 .1251 .1230 .1210 .1190 .1170
1.2 .1151 .1131 .1112 .1093 .1075 .1056 .1038 .1020 .1003 .0985
1.3 .0968 .0951 .0934 .0918 .0901 .0885 .0869 .0853 .0838 .0823
1.4 .0808 .0793 .0778 .0764 .0749 .0735 .0721 .0708 .0694 .0681
1.5 .0668 .0655 .0643 .0630 .0618 .0606 .0594 .0582 .0571 .0559
1.6 .0548 .0537 .0526 .0516 .0505 .0495 .0485 .0475 .0465 .0455
1.7 .0446 .0436 .0427 .0418 .0409 .0401 .0392 .0384 .0375 .0367
1.8 .0359 .0351 .0344 .0336 .0329 .0322 .0314 .0307 .0301 .0294
1.9 .0287 .0281 .0274 .0268 .0262 .0256 .0250 .0244 .0239 .0233
2.0 .02275 .02222 .02169 .02118 .02068 .02018 .01970 .01923 .01876 .01831
2.1 .01786 .01743 .01700 .01659 .01618 .01578 .01539 .01500 .01463 .01426
2.2 .01390 .01355 .01321 .01287 .01255 .01222 .01191 .01160 .01130 .01101
2.3 .01072 .01044 .01017 .00990 .00964 .00939 .00914 .00889 .00866 .00842
2.4 .00820 .00798 .00776 .00755 .00734 .00714 .00695 .00676 .00657 .00639
2.5 .00621 .00604 .00587 .00570 .00554 .00539 .00523 .00508 .00494 .00480
2.6 .00466 .00453 .00440 .00427 .00415 .00402 .00391 .00379 .00368 .00357
2.7 .00347 .00336 .00326 .00317 .00307 .00298 .00289 .00280 .00272 .00264
2.8 .00256 .00248 .00240 .00233 .00226 .00219 .00212 .00205 .00199 .00193
2.9 .00187 .00181 .00175 .00169 .00164 .00159 .00154 .00149 .00144 .00139
3.0 .00135