Richard M. Bird, Francois Vaillancourt-Fiscal Decentralization in Developing Countries (Trade and Development) (1999) PDF
Richard M. Bird, Francois Vaillancourt-Fiscal Decentralization in Developing Countries (Trade and Development) (1999) PDF
Richard M. Bird, Francois Vaillancourt-Fiscal Decentralization in Developing Countries (Trade and Development) (1999) PDF
Advisory editors
Ross Garnaut, The Australian National University
Reuven Glick, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Enzo R. Grilli, The World Bank
Mario B. Lamberte, Philippine Institute for Development Studies
Executive editor
Maree Tait, National Centre for Development Studies,
The Australian National University
edited by
RICHARD M. BIRD
and
FRANÇOIS VAILLANCOURT
CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS
Cambridge, New York, Melbourne, Madrid, Cape Town, Singapore, São Paulo, Delhi
Published in the United States of America by Cambridge University Press, New York
www.cambridge.org
Information on this title: www.cambridge.org/9780521641432
A catalogue record for this publication is available from the British Library
Index 301
vii
Tables
viii
List of tables ix
xi
Preface
Interest in fiscal decentralization has grown greatly all over the world in
recent years. The public finances of many developed economies have to
varying degrees become more decentralized as one way of attempting to
accommodate the fiscal realities of the “post-welfare state” era.
Throughout eastern and central Europe new systems of local and inter-
governmental finance are being established as part of the evolution away
from the old central planning system. Finally, an increasing number of
developing countries are turning to various forms of fiscal decentraliza-
tion as one possible way of escaping from the traps of ineffective and inef-
ficient governance, macroeconomic instability, and inadequate economic
growth in which so many of them have become mired in more recent
years. Discussion of various aspects and issues of fiscal decentralization
is thus in the air more or less everywhere these days. Economic theorists
are theorizing about fiscal decentralization, applied economists are
attempting to measure its potential effects in various dimensions, and
policy economists are busily flying around the world dispensing advice
about it.
In many developing countries, moreover, fiscal decentralization is not
only in the air but also, to varying degrees, already on the ground. The
studies in this book describe and analyze some of the many varieties of
fiscal decentralization found throughout the developing world. Although
what has happened in the ten very different countries covered here can in
no sense be considered a representative sample, these case studies should
prove of considerable interest to a wide variety of readers both in devel-
oping countries and in the increasingly wide circles of those throughout
the world, whether in the private or public sectors, on whose activities and
interests the manifold and changing dimensions of intergovernmental
fiscal relations described here will impinge, whether they realize it yet or
not.
The contributions to this volume were originally presented at the
xiii
xiv Preface
Richard M. Bird
François Vaillancourt
1
2 Richard M. Bird and François Vaillancourt
draw some general lessons from the very diverse experiences recounted
here with respect to both the substance and the process of fiscal decentrali-
zation in developing countries.
Similarly, in Indonesia, specific grants are provided for provincial and dis-
trict road improvement (Shah and Qureshi, 1994; Shah this volume). The
program is designed to provide minimum standards of road service across
the nation and to facilitate the development of an internal common market.
The grant allocation formula is related positively to indicators of poor
roads and low motor vehicle registrations (proxies for road expenditure
needs). As in the case of other Indonesian transfers, local discretion in the
use of this grant is restricted, which may limit its effectiveness. The use of
the grant is confined to the repair and upgrading of existing roads: new
roads have to be financed from other sources. Projects for the repair of
roads have to be approved by districts and then forwarded to the central
government.
Some have been concerned that local governments subject to less
detailed guidance and control than in this case may not have the capacity
to handle such critical functions. Colombia, for example, has a much less
“guided” system, which nonetheless appears to have been moderately
successful in directing infrastructure investment to the poor (World Bank,
1996c). Under the so-called “coparticipation” system, local communities
provide labor and local materials, and municipal governments contribute
a portion of the cost. This fund not only fosters community involvement
in identifying needs and choosing projects but also promotes community
participation in the execution, operation, and maintenance of the works.
Municipalities have to prepare projects which are then appraised by the
fund against technical and environmental criteria. The other important
requirement is that the beneficiaries should be low-income rural families.
Projects may be carried out by any of a number of types of contractor
(private firms, non-government organizations, state agencies, or uni-
versities), who compete to supply the works and services.
Although partial and preliminary, the evidence so far concerning local
capacity to carry out such functions in Colombia is surprisingly encour-
aging. A recent study of a sample of sixteen municipalities found numer-
ous beneficial results of decentralization in terms of the enhancement of
local capacity in the areas of labor, capital, and technology (World Bank,
1995a). Colombian municipalities are, for example, increasing the skills of
local bureaucracies through such means as competitive hiring, sharing the
services of professionals among municipalities, training municipal
employees, and rotating personnel through different departments in the
same municipality. Capacity in terms of capital has also been increased.
One municipality has totally privatized road maintenance; another has put
private developers in charge of the construction of urban roads.20
Computers have been introduced to monitor water and sanitation services
10 Richard M. Bird and François Vaillancourt
capita income? Natural resource wealth? What are the historical origins of
the move to fiscal decentralization: bottom-up or top-down, peaceful or
violent? What is the geography of the country: compact or dispersed? How
homogeneous is it: in terms of language, in its ethnic groups, and in its uni-
fying cultural myths? To what extent do state boundaries coincide with
heterogeneity in any of these dimensions? Are regional interests explicitly
represented in the central political structure? How?
Moreover, large countries tend to have more complex and formal
systems of intergovernmental finance, often explicitly “federal” in
nature.26 Developing countries tend to face different problems, and
possibilities, than developed countries in this as in other areas, in part
arising from political instability, in part reflecting their economic status,
and in part from lesser technical capacity. And countries in the process of
transition from a central-planning to a more “market-oriented” environ-
ment have still different problems – for example, with respect to privatiza-
tion and the allocation of assets among governments.27
Given this enormous variety, the optimal (not to mention feasible) solu-
tions to intergovernmental fiscal problems will be quite different from
country to country, depending upon where they are starting and what they
are trying to do.28 Nonetheless, although comparative analysis is most
unlikely to yield a clear prescription as to what should be done at one par-
ticular time in one particular country, it may be helpful in understanding
just how and why certain institutional structures work (or do not work) in
particular circumstances.29 While subject to misinterpretation in the
absence of complete knowledge of all relevant aspects of the institutions
and settings being compared, reference to experience abroad is often the
only guide available and, despite its obvious limitations, such experience
may provide useful lessons in assessing the potential strengths and weak-
nesses of decentralization in any country.
In particular, the reasons for success or failure, so far as they can be dis-
cerned, may help focus attention on some key factors in the process and at
best may highlight a feature that appears to require more emphasis if success
is to be achieved. At the very least, a comparative approach may help correct
the belief, sometimes held by otherwise well-informed people, to the effect
that there must be a simple solution in existence somewhere that could
replace the seemingly unending complexity and negotiation characterizing
intergovernmental financial arrangements in their own country.
Bosnia- South
Argentina Herzegovinaa China Colombia India Indonesia Morocco Pakistan Africab Tunisia
Demographic
(1) Population (millions) 34.0 3.1 1191.0 36.0 914.0 190.0 26.0 126.0 40.0 9.0
(2) Density (no./sq.km.) 12.0 n.a..0 124.0 32.0 278.0 10.0 59.0 159.0 33.0 54.0
(3) Population growth (%) 1.2 n.a..0 1.2 1.9 1.8 1.6 2.0 2.9 2.2 1.9
(4) Urban (%) 88.0 n.a..0 29.0 72.0 27.0 34.0 48.0 34.0 50.0 57.0
Economic
(5) GNP per capita (US$) 8 110.0 728.0 530.0 1 670.0 320.0 880.0 1140.0 430.0 3 040.0 1 790.0
(6) GNP per capita growth (%) 2.0 n.a..0 7.8 2.4 2.9 6.0 1.2 1.3 ⫺1.3 2.1
(7) Inflation (%) 317.2 n.a..0 8.4 25.6 9.7 8.9 5.0 8.8 14.3 6.3
(8) Income of the lowest 20% (%) n.a..0 n.a..0 6.2 3.6 8.5 8.7 6.6 8.4 3.3 5.9
Public sector
(9) Number of regions 23.0 10.0 30.0 33.0 25.0 27.0 65.0 4.0 9.0 23.0
(10) Size of government (%) 27.0 n.a..0 23.0 32.0 25.0 19.0 24.0 24.0 40.0 32.0
(11) Subnational as % of total exp. 43.0 57.0 60.0 40.0 58.0 20.0 15.0 33.0 52.0 8.0
(12) Subnational as % of total rev. 40.0 57.0 60.0 21.0 41.0 7.0 9.0 9.0 14.0 5.0
(13) Subnational rev. as % of 82.0 100.0 106.0 55.0 49.0 33.0 61.0 12.0 7.0 63.0
(13) subnational exp.
Demographic
(1) Population (millions) 18.0 159.0 29 82.0 148.0 7.0 261.0 72.0
(2) Density (no./sq.km.) 2.0 19.0 3 228.0 9.0 170.0 28.0 22.0
(3) Population growth (%) 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.1
(4) Urban (%) 85.0 77.0 77 86.0 73.0 61.0 76.0 21.0
Economic
(5) GNP per capita (US$) 18 000.0 2 970.0 19 510 25 580.0 2 650.0 37 930.0 25 880.0 200.0
(6) GNP per capita growth (%) 1.2 ⫺0.4 0.3 n.a..0 ⫺4.1 0.5 1.3 n.a.0
(7) Inflation (%) 4.1 900.3 3.1 n.a..0 124.3 3.7 3.3 102.6
(8) Income of the lowest 20% (%) 4.4 2.1 5.7 7.0 3.7 5.2 4.7 7.8
Public sector
(9) Number of regions 6.0 26.0 10 16.0 89.0 26.0 50.0 53.0
(10) Size of government (%) 40.0 35.0 49 52.0 45.0 32.0 38.0 25.0
(11) Subnational as % of total exp. 43.0 34.0 56 41.0 48.0 52.0 44.0 33.0
(12) Subnational as % of total rev. 28.0 23.0 50 35.0 66.0 51.0 42.0 58.0
(13) Subnational rev as % sub. exp. 55.0 57.0 76 75.0 100.0 41.0 75.0 177.0
entities that were distinct at the foundation of the country and have largely
remained distinct.33
An interesting point that emerges in tables 1.1 and 1.2 is that the transi-
tional countries stand out as those in which the basic flow of resources
is from below to above. Because most revenues are collected at the local
level, in effect transfers appear to flow upward rather than downward
as in every other country. To a considerable extent this is simply an illu-
sion, particularly in China and Vietnam. Since the central government in
these countries in principle controls all revenue, by allowing different
localities to retain different proportions of collections, it is in effect
behaving as central governments in other countries that first collect the
revenues and then distribute some part of them to lower levels of
government.34 Many of the recent intergovernmental fiscal problems in
Russia reflect the inappropriate combination of this sort of “bottom-up”
revenue collection system with a federal structure which has made it
increasingly difficult for the central government to control local govern-
ments. As the chapter on Bosnia-Herzegovina discusses, this problem is
likely to prove even more critical in that country. Moreover, it was at
least in part to avoid similar problems in the face of growing local de facto
economic independence that China’s recent reform centralized the
collection of the major taxes, thus creating the need to establish, for the
first time in that country, a formal system of general intergovernmental
fiscal transfers.
to those regions least satisfied with the central government – and, indeed,
argued that this bias is probably one important reason why Russia has
(with the minor exception of Chechnya) remained united while
Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, and the Soviet Union all collapsed (Treisman,
forthcoming). Students of federal finance in other countries would be sur-
prised to see any other result (Bird, 1986a).45 An important question for
China is whether the political tensions created by the unbalanced nature
of its growth process will require it either to rein back decentralization (and
hence perhaps growth)46 or to mute growth to some extent by redirecting
more of the proceeds to the less favored regions on political grounds – that
is, to move closer to a “federal finance” model by employing regional fiscal
transfers as one means of maintaining political balance among disparate
regions. It is quite unclear, however, whether it would do so in a formal,
transparent grant system47 or, as in the case of Russia (Treisman, forth-
coming), by continuing the discretionary way in which intergovernmental
relations have traditionally been resolved.48 While most dramatically
posed in Bosnia-Herzegovina, this question is also important in countries
as diverse as Pakistan and South Africa.
need may manifest itself in two ways, both of which may reduce the
amount of equalization attainable through a formal transfer system. First,
to keep the richer regions on side, it may be necessary to direct some trans-
fers to them even if they do not “deserve” them in equity terms.49 Second,
not all the equally poor may be considered to be equally deserving in
political terms, so some may do better than others. In Indonesia, for
instance, the frontier province of Irian Jaya receives more than three times
the average provincial per capita transfer. Frontier regions also receive
special attention from central governments in countries such as Argentina
and Chile. Such developments may be deplored by those who view equity
as the only appropriate objective of fiscal policy. This focus is not only
naive but unduly limited in any real-world country. The design of inter-
governmental transfers is always and everywhere an exercise not solely in
normative economics but also in political economy.50
Transfers thus constitute the heart of subnational finance. In themselves,
transfers are neither good nor bad: what matters are their effects on such
policy outcomes as allocative efficiency, distributional equity, and macro-
economic stability. There are only three basic ways to determine how much
is to be distributed through intergovernmental fiscal transfers:
(1) as a fixed proportion of central government revenues;
(2) on an ad hoc basis, that is, in the same way as any other budgetary
expenditure;
(3) on a “formula-driven” basis, that is, as a proportion of specific local
expenditures to be reimbursed by the central government or in relation
to some general characteristics of the recipient jurisdictions.
Variants of all three methods are found around the world.
Examples of transfer systems that determine transfers as a proportion of
national current revenues may be found in the Philippines, where 20
percent of national internal revenue collections are distributed among local
governments (on the basis of population and land area), and in Colombia,
where approximately 25 percent of (non-earmarked) national current rev-
enues are distributed to the departmental (intermediate-level) governments
(in part in equal portions and in part on the basis of population). Similar
systems operate with respect to most major taxes in some developed coun-
tries: for example in Austria, where local governments receive about 12
percent of income and value-added taxes; and in Japan, where local govern-
ments receive 32 percent of income and alcohol taxes. In both these exam-
ples, the resulting total is distributed in accordance with a formula taking
into account such factors as population and community size. Large federal
countries such as India, Brazil, and Nigeria also tend to use such systems.
Fiscal decentralization in developing countries 31
capacities, and to stimulate local fiscal efforts, although severe data prob-
lems often constrain the parameters employed in such formulas.52 Brazil
and India, for example, allocate some proportion of transfers in accordance
with per capita income levels in the different states, but few other devel-
oping countries do so owing to data difficulties. Argentina had some
experience with a transfer formula along these lines with the 1973
coparticipation law, which distributed 65 percent in accordance with
population, 10 percent in accordance with the inverse of population
density, and 25 percent in accordance with an index of the “developmental
gap,” which in turn was based on measures of the quality of housing, the
number of vehicles per inhabitant, and the level of education.
Sometimes, cruder adjustments are made simply by reserving a larger
share of the transfer for parts of the country considered to be especially
poor or needy, for example, mountainous regions (as in Switzerland) or
remote regions (in the systems of municipal transfers of some Canadian
provinces), or those with large concentrations of particularly poor groups
(India). Perhaps the most common formula elements found in developing
countries are population and land area, perhaps with some adjustment for
some of the factors just mentioned (for example, remoteness from central
markets) or for the size of the municipality (as in some proposed systems
in Colombia – Bird, 1984).
Transfers intended to finance particular types of service, for example,
road maintenance or education, are often linked to particular measures of
need – or existing capacity – such as length of roads or number of students.
At one extreme, this approach leads to the sort of “norms” found in
Vietnam and a number of other transitional countries (such as Hungary),
and may give rise to problems, including allocating funds on the basis of
installed capacity, which may reflect past political decisions, rather than
need. More careful determination of expenditure needs may have some
role with respect to conditional grants – for example, for basic education53
– but it is not likely to prove useful with respect to grants intended to
finance general local expenditures. Experience in countries such as
Australia and Canada suggests that a high level of reliable disaggregated
data is required before the detailed “norm” approach makes sense. In the
absence of such data, simpler approaches, based on, for example, popula-
tion and a simple “categorization” of localities (by size, by type, or perhaps
by region), seem more likely as a rule to prove useful in measuring general
expenditure needs.
Despite the strong theoretical reasons for doing so, however, few devel-
oping countries appear to include explicit measures of fiscal capacity in
their formulas. Examples of where this is done are India and Nigeria,
34 Richard M. Bird and François Vaillancourt
own lives, better satisfying local preferences, and, often, lowering the costs
of service provision. Careful planning, carefully monitored and supported
implementation, and, above all, careful and continuous efforts both to
involve local people in the process and to make them face the opportunity
costs of their decisions are essential to success, which even in the best condi-
tions is unlikely to come quickly or easily. As several of the countries dis-
cussed in this volume have demonstrated, however, these obstacles can be
overcome and at least some of the virtues of decentralization realized
without undue sacrifice of either efficiency or equity – indeed, on the con-
trary, with improvements in both dimensions. A good decentralization
policy is not easy to design, and is even harder to implement. But it can be
done, and it is worth doing.
Notes
1 For other recent collections of papers on this topic, see Prud’homme (1991) and
Owens and Panella (1991).
2 See Bahl and Linn (1992), Shah (1994), Ahmad (1997), and CEPAL/GTZ (1996)
for numerous examples.
3 For empirical examples from a number of countries, see Campbell, Peterson,
and Brakarz (1991).
4 As Bahl and Linn (1994: 5) say,
the situation in a developing country that could provide maximum gains
from a more decentralized local government structure would include: (1)
enough skilled labor, access to materials, and capital plant to expand
public service delivery when desired; (2) an efficient tax administration;
(3) a taxing power able to capture significant portions of community
income incrementally; (4) an income-elastic demand for public services;
(5) popularly elected local officials; and (6) some local discretion in
shaping the budget and setting the tax rate.
They might have added: (7) a tradition of local decision-making.
5 Of course, fiscal decentralization is only one aspect, and not necessarily the
most meaningful one, of decentralization, and measuring the degree of even
fiscal decentralization, however defined, is itself a complex and often treacher-
ous exercise (Bird, 1986b), but neither of these points can be further discussed
here.
6 Deconcentration may take the form of “field administration,” under which
local administrative units (or branches of central ministries) have responsibil-
ity for service delivery but the staff remains under the direction and control of
the center, or “local administration,” under which local units have more
responsibility for policy and program implementation but are still under the
technical supervision of central ministries. For further discussion of this and
other forms of decentralization, see World Bank (1996a).
Fiscal decentralization in developing countries 41
7 With delegation, local governments basically have the responsibility for the
function, but remain accountable to the central government with respect to how
well they perform it. With devolution, local governments are fundamentally
accountable to local residents.
8 Wallich (1994) suggests that this motive has been important in Russia, for
example.
9 See also Qiang (1995) who explicitly cites these two rationales for reform.
10 In particular, Prud’homme (1995) at times seems to suggest that all versions of
decentralization are necessarily defective. In reality, viewed from any reason-
able perspective there may be “good” or “bad” decentralization in any country:
it depends upon what is done, and how. See McLure (1995) and Sewell (1996)
for persuasive critiques of Prud’homme’s extreme position. A more balanced,
though still basically negative, approach may be found in Tanzi (1996).
11 See World Bank (1990); for a more skeptical view of the extent to which decen-
tralization per se was the destabilizing villain even in the Argentine case, see
World Bank (1996b).
12 In countries such as China, Russia, and Vietnam in which most central govern-
ment revenues have traditionally been collected at the local level, there is
perhaps more danger of discouraging collection effort by equalizing transfers,
which from the perspective of local governments amount to implicit pro-
gressive taxes (Yu, 1996). Ma (1996), for example, argues that the constantly
changing nature of revenue-sharing arrangements in China – in effect, the lack
of pre-commitment – has discouraged local collection efforts.
13 But see Bird and Fiszbein (this volume) on Colombia and World Bank (1996b)
on Argentina for counter-arguments.
14 As Lewis (1966) said long ago, however, giving more responsibility to local
governments can often utilize previously unused entrepreneurial and mana-
gerial resources and hence strengthen rather than weaken the overall level of
public administration in a country. As noted in the chapters on Colombia (see
also World Bank, 1995a) and South Africa in this volume, there appears to be
some merit in this argument.
15 For a balanced assessment of this issue, see Ter-Minassian (1996). A useful theo-
retical framework for considering the interaction of local accountability and
access to capital markets is presented in Wildasin (1997b).
16 For an argument along these lines, see Brean and Bird (1986).
17 Given the impossibility of bankruptcy proceedings against local governments,
reducing this moral hazard will have to depend upon the institution of a cred-
ible review/control system for debt work-outs. See the chapter on South Africa
(Ahmad, this volume) for further discussion of how to make the “no bail-out”
option credible; also World Bank (1996b) for a similar proposal for Argentina.
18 This is the nub of the analysis in Eichengreen and Von Hagen (1995): there is an
inverse correlation between local taxing powers and central controls over local
borrowing.
19 Some arrangements may have to be made for smoothing out cash flows, but this
should not be a concern in most muncipalities which are, and will remain, trans-
fer-dependent, that is, will largely get their funds in monthly cheques from the
central government.
42 Richard M. Bird and François Vaillancourt
20 Similar innovative local methods of dealing with roads in Indonesia are
described in Bird (1995).
21 For a more precise discussion of these concepts see the chapters in this volume
on India and Argentina.
22 Although this point cannot be further discussed here (but see the chapter on
South Africa), there should also be no “bail-outs” of improvident local author-
ities (World Bank, 1996b).
23 No one has ever argued, for instance, that the province of Prince Edward Island
in Canada, which is 80 percent dependent on federal transfers, is less account-
able to its citizens than the province of Ontario, which is less than 20 percent
transfer-dependent.
24 Two exceptions to this rule are when transfers are explicitly intended either to
ensure the provision of specific services at specific levels (that is, the transfers
are essentially payments to provinces acting as agents) or to induce provinces
to provide more of certain services than they would otherwise do.
25 Note, however, that this approach may not be entirely compatible with the idea
of using capital markets as an independent source of “fiscal discipline” or
accountability.
26 See Bird and Chen (1996) for the argument that in most such countries the
system may more properly be described as one of “federal finance” than “fiscal
federalism.”
27 These problems are discussed extensively with respect to the former socialist
countries of Europe in Bird, Ebel, and Wallich (1995).
28 Compare, for example, the very different intergovernmental systems in neigh-
boring countries that are similar in many respects – for example, Canada and
the United States, Switzerland and Germany, India and Pakistan, or Argentina
and Brazil (all of which countries have formally federal structures).
29 This argument is developed in Bird (1986a, 1994b).
30 These figures exclude the important regional-level governments in some
federal countries.
31 Those who have not looked into the question seldom believe how difficult it is
to obtain such figures in most countries. Take the case of Brazil, for example.
Table 1.2 presents data based largely on the IMF’s Government Finance Statistics.
In contrast, although Afonso and Lobo (1996) indicate that the size of the public
sector in 1995 is roughly comparable (35 percent) to that shown in table 1.2, their
breakdown between the central and subnational sectors is completely different,
with the latter accounting for about 44 percent of the total with respect to both
revenues and expenditures. Without further detailed examination of the under-
lying data used by Afonso and Lobo (1996), it is not possible to reconcile these
figures for Brazil with those in table 1.2. Similar stories could be told about a
number of the other countries included in these tables.
32 Contrast, for example, Zhu (1995) with Litvack (1994).
33 The case of Canada is particularly interesting in the sense that it is both a
“natural” (linguistic) federation in the case of Quebec and a “non-natural”
federation like Australia with respect to most of the rest of the country, which
is perhaps one reason Canadian federation is uneasy these days.
Fiscal decentralization in developing countries 43
34 The mechanism used for the interregional allocation in both (pre-1994) China
and Vietnam is (1) to allow the provinces that collect the revenues a (variable)
share of what they collect and (2) to provide, in addition, a variety of explicit
central government grants for specific purposes (see the chapter on China in
this volume and World Bank, 1996a).
35 This is broadly the normative perspective taken in Bird (1993).
36 Bird (1993) argues that this is the appropriate framework in most developing
countries. It is also that employed by Ma (1996) to analyze the Chinese case.
37 For further discussion of the Indonesian case, see Shah (this volume), Bagchi
(1995), and Qureshi (1997).
38 Such a model is sketched in Bird (1994b) and Bird and Chen (1996).
39 Both models may apply within one country at different levels. In Canada, for
example, Bird and Chen (1996) suggest that the federal finance model charac-
terizes federal–provincial fiscal relations and the fiscal federalism model char-
acterizes provincial–municipal fiscal relations.
40 Contrast Ahmad (1997: 4), which simply assumes that a unified market is a sine
qua non of any federal system, with Bird (1989), which argues that Canada is in
some respects less unified than the European Union – and probably correctly
so.
41 See, for example, the various studies in Ahmad (1997).
42 On this, see the recent debate between Oakland (1994) and Ladd and Yinger
(1994).
43 In most countries of eastern and central Europe, the fall of communist regimes
brought with it the rejection of all central-planning institutions, including the
previously centralized control of local budgets. If such countries were to remain
functioning wholes, they had to develop more autonomous and effective sub-
national governments (Bird, Ebel, and Wallich, 1995). All have found this task
difficult in the face of all the other changes taking place, and some have found
it impossible – the former Yugoslavia, the former Czechoslovakia, and the
former Soviet Union – and perhaps in future also Bosnia-Herzegovina?
44 Consider, for instance, the recent discussion about adopting a more federal
structure in Italy in response to the secessionist movement (“Padania”) in the
north; or, again, the extensive and expanding form of federalism being imple-
mented in Spain, particularly in Catalonia and the Basque Country (Vizcaya);
while both Spanish cases have ethnic components, Catalan separatism has a
clear economic motive as well.
45 For a theoretical rationale along related lines, see Breton (1996: 9).
46 For divergent views on the direction of the relationship between decentraliza-
tion and growth in China, see Zhang and Zou (1996) and Qiang (1995).
47 As has been urged by many authors, for example, Lou (1997).
48 See, for example, Qiang (1995).
49 Bird (1993) calls this the “social security” argument, by analogy with the rela-
tively greater success achieved in many countries in delivering income to the
poor through a general transfer system such as social security as opposed to a
more targeted scheme of poverty assistance.
50 See, for example, the discussion in Bird (1986a) of the constant revision, largely
44 Richard M. Bird and François Vaillancourt
on political grounds, of equalization schemes, even in such strongly federal
countries as Canada and Switzerland.
51 The original formulation of many of these arguments was done by Musgrave
(1961). For a recent full treatment of most of these design issues, see Ahmad
(1997).
52 Most of what follows is based in part on Shah (1994) and Ahmad (1997).
53 A strong case might perhaps be made for tying equalization transfers to the pro-
vision of particularly important public services, for example, education and
perhaps basic health care, as is argued in the chapter on Colombia in this
volume.
54 Note that this does not mean this support must necessarily, or even desirably,
come from the central government.
55 For examples, see Roth (1987) and Jenkins and Sisk (1993).
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2
In China’s fiscal system, the distinction blurs as among tax policy reform,
tax administration reform, and intergovernmental fiscal reform. So linked
are they that changes in any one of the three legs of the public financing
structure will automatically affect the other two:
• all tax rates and bases are centrally determined, so structural changes
have direct impacts on local as well as central government revenues;
• revenues from these centrally determined taxes are shared between the
central and local governments, partly on a derivation basis with the
retention rates varying by tax, and partly in the form of an ad hoc grant;
• the tax administration system is decentralized enough that local govern-
ments have derived some fiscal autonomy from a creative implementa-
tion of the tax assessment and collection system.
The comprehensive fiscal reform in China in 1994 altered the structure
of the major taxes, changed the responsibilities for tax administration, and
modified the revenue-sharing arrangements. It also curtailed the ability of
local governments to use “back-door” approaches to revenue mobiliza-
tion. As a result, the entire intergovernmental system was redefined. This
chapter is an attempt to evaluate the impact of these changes.1
In the next sections, the Chinese intergovernmental fiscal system before
and after the 1994 reform is described and the underlying revenue con-
cerns that drove the reform are considered. Most of the remainder of the
chapter is an evaluation of the impacts of the 1994 reform on the inter-
governmental fiscal system.2 A concluding section presents a summary
comparison of Chinese fiscal decentralization with the world practice.
Revenue structure
The Chinese tax structure is highly centralized, with the rates and bases of
all taxes in the system set by the central government. However, the enter-
prise income tax and sales taxes together account for about 90 percent of
49
50 Roy W. Bahl
1992 1995
total budgetary revenue (table 2.1). The other thirteen taxes in the system
give considerably less than 10 percent of total revenues, with the balance
coming from miscellaneous non-tax revenues.3 With the enterprise income
tax in decline, and the individual income tax very narrowly based, China
has moved to heavier reliance on sales taxes. By 1992, indirect taxes
accounted for more than 70 percent of total collections.
tracting was a step backward to the time when enterprises were not taxed
but paid their profits to the government sector.
Not only did these practices affect the efficiency with which the
economy operated, but also they had built-in biases against some
provinces and in favor of others, depending on the structure of their
economy. Those provinces with profitable enterprises of course did better,
and those with a greater concentration of state-owned enterprises were
favored because the tax system did not fully reach the collective and
private enterprise sectors. Moreover, provinces with more profitable, state-
owned enterprises were in a position to use preferential tax treatment in
effect to transfer enterprise profits from (shared) general taxes to local
extrabudgetary accounts.
The 1994 reform dramatically changed the enterprise income tax and the
intergovernmental fiscal system. The surtaxes were eliminated, all domes-
tic enterprises were brought under the same regime regardless of owner-
ship, and there was a reduction in the top rate from 55 percent to 33
percent. Tax-contracting between enterprises and government was pro-
hibited, and the system of deductions was restructured to move closer to
international practice. Central–local sharing of enterprise income tax rev-
enues was dropped in favor of assignment of all enterprise income tax rev-
enues to provincial governments.5 The new system was meant to be
revenue-neutral in total, but it is not revenue-neutral for every province
individually.
Indirect taxes
Before the 1994 reform, there were three sales taxes in China: product tax,
business tax and value-added tax (VAT).6 The product tax was levied on
the total sales value of specified manufactured and imported goods. The
base of the tax was the price paid by the buyer, with rates ranging from 3
percent to 60 percent. Over the last few years, the VAT has gradually
replaced the product tax as the standard levy on manufactured and
imported goods. The pre-reform VAT had twelve different rates. The base
of the Chinese VAT is similar to international practice in that exports are
zero-rated, and exemptions include agriculture and most services. But it is
different in that exemptions include the construction, transport,
communications, wholesale, and retail sectors. Credit is not allowed for tax
paid on capital inputs. The method of calculating the base is a major depar-
ture from international practice. Taxes paid on intermediate goods were
credited, but, until recently, according to presumptive methods rather than
invoices. The service sector was taxed through a turnover tax referred to
52 Roy W. Bahl
as the business tax. It was levied on gross receipts, with rates ranging from
3 to 10 percent.
The sales tax was overdue for reform. It was terribly complicated and
costly to administer. Earlier the sales tax had been used as a device to
regulate profits and prices, and by the late 1980s, there were over 250
different sales tax rates. But, with most prices decontrolled, this was no
longer necessary and created significant distortions in the economy
(World Bank, 1990). Evasion seemed to be a problem, and the revenue
income elasticity was less than unity. Finally, the structure and
administration of the VAT departed too much from good practice and did
not give China the revenue productivity and self-policing advantages that
it has given other countries.
The structure of the pre-reform indirect tax system also raises issues of
intergovernmental fiscal relations, because some provinces fared better
than others under the taxing and revenue-sharing rules that governed the
indirect taxes. First, the indirect taxes were part of the sharing pool, so a
larger sales tax base meant greater revenues under China’s derivation-
based sharing system. The VAT was a counter-equalizing form of
revenue-sharing. Second, some of the structural features of the indirect
taxes had implications for the relative fiscal capacity of provinces: the
failure to credit capital expenses both raised more revenues from capital-
intensive enterprises and discouraged capital investment; export credits
were paid by the central government thereby advantaging exporting
provinces; state-owned enterprises were taxed more heavily than collec-
tives or private enterprises; and the complicated rate structure made the
revenue yield a function of provincial economic structure rather than total
output.
The 1994 reform program substantially restructured the sales tax
system. The VAT was expanded to absorb most sectors covered under the
product tax, and the latter will eventually be phased out. The wholesale
and retail sectors are taxed under VAT rather than under the business tax.
A two-rate VAT system was adopted (17 percent and 13 percent), and pre-
sumptive crediting was eliminated in favor of an invoice method. Because
of the potential revenue cost, there was no proposal to permit a credit for
taxes paid on capital goods.
From the point of view of intergovernmental relations, the 1994 reform
was a major change. The VAT was made a central government levy, not
subject to sharing, though a transitional sharing arrangement was put in
place. Administrative arrangements were also changed, and beginning in
1994, the VAT was fully administered by the central government without
local involvement.
China 53
Tax administration
The 1994 reform established separate national and local tax administration
services. This was a major national policy change with far-reaching
implications. Economists have long written about the folly of separating
tax structure reform from tax administration considerations (Bird, 1989),
but in China it is also true that intergovernmental reform cannot be
divorced from tax administration reform. Reform of the revenue-sharing
and taxation systems in 1994 could not have achieved its objectives unless
the administrative system was also changed.
The responsibility of the National Tax Service (NTS) is to collect central
and shared taxes. The NTS has about 500,000 employees and operates
down to the county level. Prior to the 1994 reform, two-thirds of these
employees operated at the lowest level of government, with relatively little
central supervision. Consequently, they developed close ties with the local
finance offices, and with the locally owned enterprises (IMF, 1994). This led
to a kind of collusion that was thought to weaken the position of the central
government in revenue-sharing (World Bank, 1990).
Under the reformed system, a separate local tax service operates in each
province with responsibility for collection of “local taxes,” including the
enterprise income tax on locally owned enterprises, collectives, and
private businesses.7 The local tax service is now part of the local finance
departments, and its operations are funded from local resources. The
central tax service is responsible for collecting the VAT and all other central
or shared taxes. The NTS still operates on a regional basis, but is inde-
pendent from the local tax service.
This reform is an attempt to solve a longstanding problem of divided
loyalties among the local officers in the former State Tax Bureau. There no
longer will be a question about the objectives of the tax administration
office as regards the choice between full taxation under the law and
maximization of retained local revenue. The NTS now has every incentive
to collect fully the indirect taxes due, since these are the mainstay of the
central government revenue structure. The local tax service must decide
how it will treat local enterprises under the income tax, but if it chooses to
grant preferential treatment it must absorb whatever revenue costs occur.
Revenue-sharing
China’s revenue-sharing system is primarily a division of national sales
and profit taxes among the central, provincial, and local governments.
Whereas in most countries taxes are collected by the central government
54 Roy W. Bahl
Shared taxes
The revenue-sharing formulas have been regularly adjusted since the fiscal
reform began in 1983. The 1994 reform can be best understood as another
step in this transition. The formula has changed over time and was not
always strictly applied, but the government has held to a basic philosophy:
that local governments should retain enough revenue to cover a “basic”
level of services and should turn the remainder over to the center. The
debate and negotiation usually centered around what should be the
“approved level” of expenditure and by how much the approved level
should grow each year.8
The revenue-sharing formula in operation from 1985–88 provided for
three categories of provinces: those which retain a fixed percentage of what
they collect (fifteen provinces), those which keep all they collect and
receive a subsidy, and those which retain all they collect and pay a fixed
subsidy to the center (Guangdong Province).
There was dissatisfaction with this system of tax-sharing. The subna-
tional governments felt that their shares were too low, and both sides felt
that the system was too arbitrary. The ability of the central government to
use fiscal policy as an instrument of macroeconomic policy and regional
China 55
Earmarked grants
In addition to shared taxes, local governments receive earmarked grants
from the central government. The purposes of this subsidy include
appropriations for capital construction projects, price subsidies for urban
grain consumption, social relief funds, and special subsidies for health and
education of the poor, of ethnic minorities, and in border provinces.11 There
is no set formula to determine the amount of earmarked grants for distri-
bution in any given year, and the distribution among the provinces
56 Roy W. Bahl
Extrabudgetary revenue
The 1980s and early 1990s saw a rapid growth in revenue outside the bud-
getary accounts. Local governments in particular had found a way to
siphon revenues away from the normal budgetary accounts – and the
sharing pool – to special purpose spending. The declining ratio of taxes to
GNP over the past decade reflects this transfer of funds.
There are two types of extrabudgetary revenue in China. The first is the
“fiscal extrabudgetary funds” of the government. These are earmarked for
capital purposes and include a set of taxes and charges that are controlled
by the local government finance department. The most important is the
public utility surcharge – a 10 percent tax on the utility bills of consumers
– and the urban construction and maintenance tax. There are also some
minor taxes and charges in this category, including the surcharge on the
agricultural tax, revenues received from public housing and public prop-
erty, and some institutional income that accrues to the various city enter-
prises. The latter include such items as fees and charges from hospitals,
road maintenance charges, advertisement fees, etc. The World Bank (1994:
31) estimates that fiscal extrabudgetary revenues grew from 2.6 percent of
GDP in 1978 to 4.2 percent in 1993, and now are equivalent to about one-
fourth of total budgetary revenues.
The other type of extrabudgetary revenue is the retained earnings and
depreciation funds of locally owned enterprises. Extrabudgetary funds of
this type expanded very rapidly in the 1980s, and in 1993 were equivalent
in amount to about 12 percent of GDP. In principle, these funds should not
be classified as part of the government budget because they are not
resources over which the local governments have direct control. Nor is
their rapid growth necessarily a cause for alarm. It could reflect increased
China 57
Enterprise income
Total tax revenue Total tax revenue as tax revenues as a
(billions of yuan) a percentage of GNP percentage of GNPa
Chinese tax system was only 0.60, that is, the rate of revenue growth was
a little more than half the rate of growth in GNP.20 Such a slow growth in
revenue will almost certainly create budgetary balance problems and
restrain expenditure growth. Government policy is to increase the income
elasticity of the revenue system, and reduce the size of the deficit (Zhongli,
1996).
The decline in the revenue share of GNP is largely due to the declining
budgetary contributions of the enterprise income tax. On the one hand,
this is neither unexpected nor undesirable. The enterprise reform in
China was meant to reduce payments to the government and to give
enterprises more control over their resources (World Bank, 1994). On the
other hand, this industrial policy alone would not seem to have dictated
so great a reduction in enterprise tax payments. There are several
explanations for the large reduction: the offloading of some enterprises
from the government sector, the granting of tax incentives by local
governments, and enterprise losses. Another reason for the weak
revenue performance of the enterprise income tax is the failure to expand
the tax base adequately to include the private and collective enterprise
sector. In the early 1990s, about 60 percent of GNP was accounted for by
the non-state sector, but almost 80 percent of tax revenues were derived
from the state-owned enterprises (IMF, 1994: 28). Whatever the reason, at
a 1.5 percent share of GNP, the enterprise income tax has become much
less a force in economic policy than it was at over 8 percent of GNP in its
early years (see table 2.2).
China 59
Division of revenues
The revenue–expenditure balance between central and local governments
changed markedly in the 1980s and early 1990s. At the time of the income
tax reform in 1983, the local government sector was spending an amount
equivalent to 74 percent of what it collected and turning a net 26 percent
over to the central government for national purposes. By 1992, the local
government sector was spending all of its collections and receiving an
additional subsidy from the center equivalent in amount to about 2 percent
of expenditures (table 2.3). Historically (through the mid-1980s) central
fixed revenues were considerably less than central government expendi-
tures, and the difference was made up with net transfers from the local
government sector. For example, in 1984, the local governments ran a
“collections surplus” of about 17 billion yuan while the central govern-
ment ran a “collections deficit” of about 23 billion yuan (table 2.3). The net
transfer was from local to center. However, by 1988, the local government
sector was regularly running a collection deficit. In fact, in 1992, there was
a net transfer from the center to the subnational sector (excluding any ear-
marked grants) equivalent to about 19 percent of central collections. It is
this change in the division of revenues that prompted the 1994 reform of
the revenue-sharing system.
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995.
Central government
Collectionb 28.4 31.1 34.7 49.0 66.5 77.0 77.8 73.6 77.5 82.3 99.2 98.8 98.0 95.8 290.7 325.7
Expenditure 66.7 62.6 65.2 76.0 89.3 79.5 83.6 84.6 84.5 88.9 100.4 109.1 117.0 131.2 175.4 199.5
Collection surplus/ ⫺38.2 ⫺31.5 ⫺30.5 ⫺27.0 ⫺22.8 ⫺2.6 ⫺5.8 ⫺10.9 ⫺7.0 ⫺6.6 ⫺1.2 ⫺10.3 ⫺19.1 ⫺35.5 115.2 126.1
deficit
Local government
Collectionb 87.5 86.5 86.5 87.7 97.7 123.5 134.4 146.3 158.2 184.2 194.5 221.1 250.4 339.1 231.2 298.6
Expenditure 56.2 51.3 57.8 65.0 80.8 120.9 136.9 141.7 164.6 193.5 207.9 229.6 257.2 333.0 403.8 482.8
Collection surplus/ 31.3 35.2 28.7 22.7 17.0 2.6 ⫺2.5 4.7 ⫺6.4 ⫺9.3 ⫺13.4 ⫺8.5 ⫺6.8 6.1 ⫺172.7 ⫺184.3
deficit
Notes:
a
The difference between the local government’s surplus and the central government’s deficit is the central government’s foreign borrowing and
domestic budget deficit.
b
Central and local government collections are before transfer from local governments to the central government, and before earmarked grant
distribution to the local governments.
Source: Statistical Yearbook of China, 1996.
China 61
example, the central government might levy an extra tax to cool down an
overheated economy, but local governments could react to this by renego-
tiating their contracts with enterprises to stimulate investment, or they
could give preferential tax treatments to avoid the consequences of the
central tax.
Another problem with the revenue-sharing system was that it compro-
mised the implementation of the government’s industrial policy. Qiang
(1995) makes the point that the sharing of income taxes from local enter-
prises and the sharing of indirect taxes collected in local areas encourages
local governments to favor development of projects that show high profits
and sales. It is a problem in all countries that local officials, facing a rela-
tively short political life, favor investment projects that have a high visibil-
ity and offer a substantial short-term return. It is an especially acute
problem for China because of the substantial amount of resources in the
hands of local governments and locally owned enterprises (Chinese
People’s Bank of Construction, 1993).
This leads to a number of problems. First, it diverts resources away from
the more productive social investments that the central government would
prefer. In effect, it dramatically limits the ability of the central government
to control the direction of investment in the economy. Second, it has
encouraged some governments to erect barriers to trade in order to protect
local investments (and implicitly to protect the local tax base). Third, it is
not clear that decentralization in the budgetary and extrabudgetary
accounts has led to a more rapid economic growth rate (Zhang and Zou,
1996).
The validity of the argument that the center was losing its ability to
control effectively the fiscal sector rests on the argument that an increasing
share of total revenues was accruing to the local government sector.21 This
concern is borne out by the evidence presented in table 2.3. Moreover, the
situation worsened through the early 1990s. The elasticity of central
government revenue collections with respect to GNP during the 1985–93
period was 0.24, which is less than the 0.72 GNP elasticity of subnational
government collections.22 The collections’ disparity in favor of local
governments accelerated with the growth of the contracting system from
1988. During the 1985–87 period, the ratio of local government to total
government budgetary collections averaged 54.2 percent. During the
1988–92 period, the average was 59.5 percent. The nexus of collections had
clearly shifted toward the local governments.
The bigger issue is that the subnational governments’ proportion of rev-
enues, after sharing, was increasing. There was a net transfer of resources
from the center to local governments after 1986 (“net transfer” is measured
62 Roy W. Bahl
Central control
Will the 1994 reform recentralize the fiscal system? The shift of the VAT to
a central revenue source and the elimination of contracting would seem to
guarantee this result. Note from table 2.3 that in 1994 and 1995, the central
government collected 52 and 56 percent of total revenues, and was in a
surplus position.23 The local governments, on the other hand, were in a
deficit position and forced to rely on grant distributions from the center.
China has moved to the top-down revenue-sharing approach which is
used by most countries in the world.
In fact the central government’s gain of control over the aggregate
budget is understated here because of a transitional revenue-sharing
arrangement. In the longer term, fiscal recentralization will be occurring in
three important ways:
• The VAT is the most productive tax in the system, is fully administered
by the central government, and is no longer a shared tax.
• Revenue-sharing in China is now top-down rather than bottom-up, and
the central government can more easily control the allocation of funds.
• There is no longer a contracting mechanism that will allow local govern-
ments and enterprises to negotiate tax liabilities. This means that the tax
measures undertaken for stabilization purposes now have a better
chance to achieve their desired objectives.
The move to an assignment system for local government revenues raises
two issues. First, the assignment of the enterprise income taxes to local
governments may present difficulties in the future. As and when Chinese
enterprises begin to operate in multiple provinces, the problem of allocat-
ing profits will arise and will bring complication and possibly undesirable
competition. The US experience is a case in point (McLure, 1981). It is
unlikely that the provinces can build their long-run fiscal health on an
enterprise income tax. The assignment of the VAT to the central govern-
ment is appropriate, because the VAT is best administered centrally. But
sharing the VAT on a derivation basis, as is still done, encourages protec-
tionist-type activities by provinces to preserve their tax base. A formula-
based system for sharing VAT revenues with the provinces would avoid
this problem.
all income taxes to the local governments. If the long-run elasticity of the
income taxes is less than that of the VAT, and surely it will be, then the rela-
tive growth potential of local government taxes will be less. Moreover, the
enterprise income tax is less stable over the business cycle, hence local
government revenue streams will become less certain.
The longer-run revenue position of local governments would appear to
depend on the central government assigning another significant source of
taxation to the local governments or establishing a buoyant intergovern-
mental grant program. The individual income tax, with an expanded base
and piggybacked on to the central tax, would seem the ideal revenue
source for Chinese provincial governments. As to increased transfers, a
more productive VAT would increase the central pool available for tax-
sharing and for earmarked grants. Whether local governments would
actually benefit from an increased revenue pool depends on the willing-
ness of the central government to allocate more resources to the subna-
tional level.
Fiscal disparities
Evaluation of the equalization features of the revenue-sharing system is
not straightforward, since the government’s objectives are not clear on this
matter. We can, however, address the question of whether the reform will
increase or reduce fiscal disparities. Four questions could be answered on
an a priori basis, and supporting empirical evidence might be provided:
• Has the spread in the revenue collection rate between rich and poor
provinces changed?
• Have expenditure differences between provinces changed?
• Is there evidence of greater equalization than in the pre-reform period?
• Do provinces still exert the same pattern of tax effort as in the pre-reform
period?
Revenue capacity
Revenue collections are determined by income level and tax effort. One
would expect wealthier provinces to have a significant advantage, and the
data seem to bear this out in the pre-reform period. In 1992, the five
wealthiest provinces accounted for 23 percent of GDP and 13 percent of the
national population but about one-fourth of all revenue collections. In
1995, with local revenue collections now primarily income taxes, the
revenue share rose to 30 percent (table 2.4). The five poorest provinces
accounted for about 13 percent of national income but 19 percent of the
population. The provinces collected about 12 percent of total revenue and
the share fell between 1992 and 1995. The disparity in per capita revenue
collections among the provinces in 1995 ranged from 1,551 yuan in
Shanghai to 139 yuan in Anhui.
The relationship between income level and collection rate can be tested
in a more systematic way to determine if it generally explains the pattern
of variation in per capita collections across the twenty-eight provinces.26
We have estimated a linear regression of per capita collections by local
governments in 1990 and 1995 on per capita GDP and population size. Per
capita GDP is included to measure the taxing power of the province, and
population gives the impact of a size effect on local collections.
The results presented in table 2.5 show a strong significant relationship
between per capita revenue collections and per capita income in both
years. The cross-sectional income elasticities are about unity: in 1995, a 10
percent difference in per capita income tended to be associated with about
a 10 percent difference in per capita revenue collections. Population size
did show the expected negative relationship with revenues.27
China 67
1990 1995
Notes:
a
Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Guangdong, and Zhejiang.
b
Guizhou, Gansu, Sha’anxi, Jiangxi, and Henan. Tibet and
Hainan are excluded because of special circumstances and
data availability.
Sources: Computed from data provided in the Statistical
Yearbook of China and data provided by the Chinese Ministry
of Finance.
Notes:
a
All variables expressed in logarithms with t-statistics
shown in parentheses below the regression coefficients.
b
Tibet and Hainan are not included.
68 Roy W. Bahl
Expenditure variations
Disparities are much less pronounced on the expenditure side of local
budgets, because of the equalizing effects of the transfer system. In 1995,
per capita expenditures varied from highs of 1,837 yuan in Shanghai and
1,234 yuan in Beijing to 228 yuan in Henan and 225 yuan in Anhui.28 The
five highest-income provinces, with 13 percent of the population, account
for 25 percent of the expenditures, whereas the five lowest-income ones,
with 19 percent of the population account for 12 percent of expenditures.
We can conclude that per capita expenditure variations in China are very
great indeed, even though less than those for collections.
What are the determinants of the variations? Higher-income provinces
spend significantly more on a per capita basis because of the greater
demand for public services by their citizens and their enterprises, their
ability to raise more “local fixed” revenues, their ability to attract more
grants, and very importantly, their ability to slow the flow of revenues to
the center. More heavily populated provinces spend less on a per capita
basis, because the fixed component of their cost is spread over a larger
population base. The expenditure regression results presented in table 2.5
confirm these expectations. About three-quarters of the interprovince vari-
ations in per capita expenditures can be explained by variations in per
capita income and population size. Both variables are significant and have
the expected sign. The expenditure income elasticity is smaller than the
revenue elasticity in both years, suggesting some degree of equalization in
the system. In 1995, a 10 percent higher level of per capita income was, on
average, associated with about a 1 percent higher level of per capita expen-
ditures and a 1 percent higher level of per capita collection. The equaliza-
tion of the system appeared to lessen between 1990 and 1995.
Tax effort
A criticism of the present intergovernmental fiscal system is that there is
insufficient incentive for revenue mobilization, and therefore tax effort on
the part of the local governments is lower than it should be. This should
have been expected in the pre-reform system. The tax-sharing formula
was based on a retention rate where a percentage of collections was paid
to the central government. This provided a significant incentive to move
funds from the budgetary accounts to the extrabudgetary ones. Moreover,
the local administration still saw itself partly as tax collector from the
state-owned enterprises, and partly as owner. Jun Ma (1996) shows that
the central government’s failure to commit to pre-announced revenue-
sharing formulas tempted local governments to reduce their tax collection
efforts.
Can local governments influence tax effort? In the pre-reform system,
the answer was that they could, in many ways. The local administration
could negotiate “revenue-losing” contracts with local enterprises, could
give tax incentives to them, and could urge the local tax collection service
to be less vigorous in their efforts. As Casanegra (1987: 25) has pointed out,
“. . . tax administration is tax policy.” Even in the reformed system, there
may be inducements to lower levels of tax effort. Though they may no
longer write tax contracts, local governments now control the administra-
tion of all income taxes. Though the giving of tax incentives now imposes
a dollar-for-dollar loss to local budgets, relief from the enterprise income
tax still may be provided for industrial policy purposes. The revenue cost
may be made up with a central grant, which, without conditions, might be
seen locally as a substitute for higher income tax collections.
We have carried out a tax effort analysis, following the approach
described in Bahl and Wallich (1992) and updated in World Bank (1993).
The first step is to estimate an OLS regression of per capita local govern-
ment revenue collections on per capita income and population size. The
70 Roy W. Bahl
Table 2.6. Tax effort indices and rankings: 1990 and 1995
1990 1995
Tax effort Tax effort Per capita Tax effort Tax effort Per capita
Province indices rankings GDP ranking indices rankings GDP ranking
results of this analysis are presented in table 2.5. This equation is then used
to obtain an “estimated” value of per capita collections for each province.
This might be interpreted as a measure of taxable capacity, that is, it is the
amount that a province would raise if it used its tax base to the same extent
as other provinces. For example, in 1995 Hebei is estimated to have a
capacity to raise taxes of 203 yuan per capita (predicted by the equation),
but actually raises only 186 yuan per capita. Hebei, then, has a tax effort
index of 0.92, which is 8 percent below the average and ranks Hebei
twenty-first among the provinces in tax effort in 1995.
The estimated indices of tax effort are presented for each province for
1990 and 1995 in table 2.6. There seems to be no clear pattern to the distri-
bution of tax effort indices. There is no significant correlation with either
per capita income, the ratio of expenditures to collections, or the rate of
China 71
urbanization. The results do not support the hypothesis that the present
revenue-sharing system reduces the rate of revenue mobilization.
countries is on the financing side: local governments in China may not set
tax rates or borrow for capital projects. Again, determination of the size of
local government is largely a matter of central decision. These are the
major structural impediments to an effective system of local government
financing.
There are also capacity problems to be overcome. There is a wide varia-
tion in the ability of local governments to absorb more fiscal responsibility.
74 Roy W. Bahl
Notes
1 Throughout this chapter we use the term “local government” to refer to all sub-
national governments.
2 An evaluation of the tax structure implications of the reform is in Bahl (forth-
coming). In the tax and revenue sections of this chapter, I draw liberally on that
earlier analysis. Baoyun Qioa provided excellent research assistance for both
this chapter and the earlier paper.
3 The Statistical Yearbook of China, which is the data source used for most of this
analysis, does not disaggregate indirect tax revenues by type, nor does it
present detail on the smaller local levies. It does, however, provide official sta-
tistics on Chinese public finance. Other studies, however, have provided more
China 75
detail relying on unpublished data provided by the Ministry of Finance and the
State Tax Bureau. These reports have shown the VAT, product tax, and business
tax to account for about equal shares of indirect tax revenue in 1992 (Bahl, 1994).
4 The tax contracts varied widely, from lump-sum payments to marginal rates
that varied with the level of profits. For a description, see World Bank (1990:
annex 2).
5 All income tax revenues collected from centrally owned enterprises belong to
the central government. All other enterprise income tax revenues, regardless of
ownership, revert to the provincial government.
6 For a good description of sales taxes in China, see World Bank (1990: 28–34).
7 In total, the local tax service collects fifteen different taxes.
8 The evolution of the tax-sharing formulas is discussed in Bahl and Wallich
(1992).
9 This description is elaborated in Qiang (1995).
10 In fact, in the initial years the revenue-sharing may be different from the 75/25
target because local governments were promised their revenues would be kept
at least at 1993 levels in the first years of the reform.
11 World Bank (1993: 80–81) and Bahl (1994).
12 Data are not available for more recent years.
13 The simple correlation between per capita earmarked grants and per capita
income is 0.425, and between per capita earmarked grants and population is
⫺0.662 (Bahl, 1994).
14 For a discussion of the long-term growth of extrabudgetary revenues, and the
composition of this growth, see Wong, Heady, and Woo (1995: appendix I).
15 The ratio of extrabudgetary to budgetary revenue increased with GNP over the
1983–92 period, as indicated by the following regression results:
EXB/B ⫽ 69.8 ⫹ 0.00093 GNP R2 ⫽ 0.43
EXB/B ⫽ 69.8 ⫹ 0.0009(2.45)
where EXB ⫽ extrabudgetary revenue, B ⫽ budgetary revenue, and the figure
in parentheses is the t-statistic.
16 The decline in the revenue share is exaggerated by the Chinese definition of rev-
enues and expenditures, notably the treatment of debt issued as a revenue, debt
repaid as an expenditure, subsidies to cover enterprise losses as a negative
revenue, and the exclusion of government “departmental” revenues from the
budgetary accounts. When adjustments are made to conform these data to stan-
dard international classifications, the results show that the Chinese revenue
share of GNP still declined substantially, but less than is reported in table 2.2
(World Bank, 1994).
17 Various analysts estimate the tax ratio to be higher by 1 to 2 percent of GNP,
depending on the data source used and the definition of revenues (Xu, 1995;
World Bank, 1994; IMF, 1994). Data from the Statistical Yearbook of China, used in
this chapter, give consistently lower estimates. All analyses, however, show
much the same declining trend.
18 Neither is a comparatively low tax ratio an indicator of “bad” fiscal per-
formance. Many of China’s social services, for example, are provided as tax
expenditures rather than through tax financing.
76 Roy W. Bahl
19 The consolidated fiscal deficit in China is not large by international standards
(about 6 percent of GDP) but it has grown significantly since the late 1980s
(World Bank, 1994).
20 Estimated from a linear regression of tax revenues on GNP with both variables
expressed in logarithms. Technically, this is a buoyancy rather than an elastic-
ity coefficient because no adjustments have been made for discretionary
changes.
21 This argument was also made by Xu (1995: 1–25).
22 The elasticities were estimated from linear regression of tax collections on GNP
with both variables expressed in logarithms, but no adjustments were made for
discretionary changes.
23 The data in table 2.3 also indicate a local surplus in 1993, but this is an
“announcement effect.” In anticipation of the 1994 reform, local governments
increased revenues in 1993 to establish a larger base for the new revenue-
sharing system (Xu, 1995: 18).
24 Xu (1995, tables 2 and 3) estimates a reduction in both direct and indirect taxes
as a result of the reform.
25 In fact, a decline in the tax share of GDP may not be inconsistent with revenue-
neutrality, because the pre-reform system was already showing a declining
trend relative to GDP.
26 Tibet and Hainan have been dropped from this analysis as special cases.
27 These relationships also held for the period 1985–90 in work reported by Bahl
and Wallich (1992), Bahl (1994), and a study by Hofman reported in World Bank
(1993). Hofman shows that virtually all of the variation in per capita collections
can be explained by a squared per capita income term.
28 The range in 1991 per capita state and local government expenditures in the
United States (excluding Alaska) was from $6,525 in New York to $2,715 in
Arkansas. The range in China was more than three times that in the United
States.
29 It is not entirely correct to draw conclusions about the new system based on
1995 results, because it was still in a transition period where part of the VAT was
shared with local governments. Moreover, the sharing arrangements were
irregular because of a provision whereby provinces were guaranteed support
for their basic level of expenditures in 1993.
References
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Countries, New York: Oxford University Press.
Bahl, Roy, and Wallich, Christine (1992), “Intergovernmental fiscal relations in
China,” Working Paper No. 863, Country Economics Department, The World
Bank, Washington, DC (February).
China 77
Bird, Richard (1984), Intergovernmental Finance in Colombia, Cambridge, MA:
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(1989), “The administrative dimension of tax reform in developing countries,” in
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University Press.
Casanegra, Milka (1987), “Problems in administering a value-added tax in devel-
oping countries: an overview,” Report No. DRD246, Development Research
Department, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Chinese People’s Bank of Construction (1993), “Investment-related background
materials,” unpublished paper, Planning Department (July 3).
Cullen, Richard, and Fu, H. L. (1996), “China’s ambitious intergovernmental fiscal
reform agenda,” unpublished paper, City University of Hong Kong
IMF (International Monetary Fund) (1994), Economic Reform in China: A New Phase
(Occasional Paper 114), Washington, DC: World Bank.
Ma, Jun (1996), Intergovernmental Relations and Macroeconomic Management in China,
New York: St. Martin’s Press.
McLure, Charles E., Jr. (1981), “The elusive incidence of the corporate income tax:
the state case,” Public Finance Quarterly 9: 395–413.
Qiang, Gao (1995), “Problems in Chinese inter-governmental fiscal relations and
the main difficulties in future reform,” in Ehtishem Ahmad, Gao Qiang, and
Vito Tanzi, eds., Reforming China’s Public Finances, Washington, DC:
International Monetary Fund.
Wong, Christine, Heady, Christopher, and Woo, Wing T. (1995), Fiscal Management
and Economic Reform in the People’s Republic of China, Manila: Asian
Development Bank.
World Bank (1990), China: Revenue Mobilization and Tax Policy, Washington, DC.
(1993), Budgetary Policies and Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations, Washington, DC.
(1994), China: Country Economic Memorandum, Macroeconomic Stability in a
Decentralized Economy, Washington, DC.
Xu, Shanda (1995), “Recent fiscal and tax reform in the People’s Republic of China,”
Fifth Symposium on Tax Policy and Reforms in the Asian and Pacific Region
(October 24–26).
Zhang, Tao, and Zou, Heng-Fu (1996), “Fiscal decentralization, public spending,
and economic growth in China,” Policy Research Department, World Bank.
Zhongli, Liu (1996), “Report on the implementation of the central and local budgets
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3
I am grateful to Richard Bird, K. P. Kalirajan, Rohinton Medhora, Ric Shand, Nirvikar Singh,
and François Vaillancourt for useful discussions and comments on an earlier draft of this
chapter. Thanks are also due to other participants in the conference on “Fiscal decentraliza-
tion in developing countries” and particularly to Ms. France St-Hilaire for extremely useful
comments.
78
India 79
the center and the states and recommend devolution of taxes and grants-
in-aid for the ensuing five years.
Historical factors played an important part in the adoption in India of a
federal constitution with strong unitary features. During British rule,
administrative and fiscal centralization was a colonial necessity. At the
same time, the difficulty of administering a large country with a number
of principalities with divergent languages, cultures, and traditions did call
for some degree of decentralization. Indeed, for a period of about two
decades in British India, prior to the enactment of the Government of India
Act 1935, the system required the provinces to make a contribution to the
center. Although there were strong arguments for decentralization at the
time of independence in 1947 and even though the United Kingdom
Cabinet Mission Plan envisaged limited powers for the center in a three-
tiered federal structure, the constitution that was eventually adopted by
the Indian Republic closely followed the Government of India Act 1935,
with pronounced “quasi-federal” features. The shift probably occurred for
two reasons: first, once the Muslim majority areas opted out of India to
form Pakistan, the major reason for a loose federal structure had vanished;
second, a strong center was found desirable to safeguard against fissipar-
ous tendencies within some of the constituent units (Chelliah, 1991).
The centralization inherent in the constitutional assignment was
accentuated by the adoption of a planned development strategy.
Centralized decision-making in relation to production and distribution
activities and the disposal of resources in the “national interest” implicit in
central planning are the negation of the very principle of federalism.
Although in India economic planning has been implemented in a mixed-
economy framework, the strategy of a public-sector-dominated, heavy-
industry-based, import-substituting industrialization required the
Planning Commission to allocate resources according to the envisaged
priorities. The central government had to issue industrial licenses, allocate
credit by controlling the financial institutions, and ration the scarce foreign
exchange available among the different industries to conform to the envis-
aged priorities. It also had to introduce a host of measures to control and
regulate the private sector to ensure that those who were given the license
to produce and import did not exercise their oligopoly powers. This auto-
matically concentrated economic as well as administrative powers
(Chelliah, 1991).
Recent events, however, have called for a greater degree of decentrali-
zation to make the administrative and fiscal regimes compatible with
political and economic changes. On the political front, the decline in the
influence of the Indian National Congress, the political party which ruled
80 M. Govinda Rao
the country for over four decades, and the emergence of a number of
regional political parties in the ruling coalition at the center have shifted
the balance of political power to the regions from the center. In the eco-
nomic sphere, a compelling reason for a greater degree of fiscal decentrali-
zation has been the reassessment of the role of the state in resource
allocation. The economic crisis of 1991 highlighted the inherent weak-
nesses in the dominant development strategy. The fiscal arrangements and
institutions developed in the context of interventionist strategy need to be
reoriented to provide public services according to the diversified demands
of different regions.
This chapter reviews the federal fiscal arrangements in India with a view
to identifying the areas for reform in the emerging economic environment.
The starting point for such a review is the assignment of fiscal responsibil-
ities. The assignment of taxes and expenditures between the center and
individual states should not only be in accordance with the principle of
comparative advantage but also ensure a clear linkage between revenue-
raising and expenditure decisions at the margin. However, even the most
efficient system of assignments cannot clearly match the revenue and
expenditure powers of individual governmental units. When the fiscal
powers of different governmental units overlap, free-riding behavior
among them causes center–state and interstate fiscal disharmonies. The
discussion on assignments and fiscal overlapping in the Indian federation
leads us to the analysis of vertical and horizontal mismatches between
revenue and expenditure powers, or what are known as fiscal imbalances.
These imbalances can be a source of inequity and inefficiency and, there-
fore, intergovernmental transfer mechanisms must be designed to resolve
them. The analysis of federal fiscal arrangements in India should lead us
to identify critical areas for reform.
Table 3.1. India: revenue receipts of the central and state governments
(percentages)
Notes:
a
Revised estimates.
b
Netted for the interest paid to the central government.
Source: Based on data from Ministry of Finance, India.
is seen that the states on average raise about 35 percent of current revenues
and disburse about 57 percent of expenditures. The revenues derived from
exclusive central taxes constitute about 24 percent of total revenue; those
from exclusive state taxes 31 percent, the sharable sources constitute 27
percent, and the remaining 17 percent is from non-tax revenues. The major
taxes levied exclusively by the center are customs duty (15 percent of total
revenue) and corporation tax (8 percent). Among the state taxes, the
revenue from sales tax constitutes about 16 percent. Other state taxes indi-
vidually contribute less than 6 percent of the total revenue.
On the other hand, the share of the states in spending is about 57 percent,
Table 3.2. Share of state governments in total expenditures (percentages)
Interest payment 34.6 0.0 34.6 35.5 0.0 35.5 37.2 0.0 37.2 20.1
Defense 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
Administrative service 85.2 0.8 78.0 76.4 1.8 73.4 66.2 14.7 65.8 13.7
Social and community services, of which 94.8 67.0 92.7 78.9 74.1 78.7 86.4 71.2 85.4 21.5
Education 84.8 79.5 84.7 84.5 61.7 83.9 86.1 43.4 84.9 11.8
Medical and health 92.5 94.8 92.8 90.3 95.3 90.7 91.4 96.1 92.0 4.3
Family welfare 93.4 90.4 93.1 92.2 100.0 92.7 93.5 100.0 93.8 0.6
Others 98.1 40.7 88.2 61.1 64.0 61.4 81.6 65.2 79.9 4.8
Economic services, of which 78.1 46.3 62.9 50.2 53.1 51.1 56.8 66.0 59.5 27.4
Agriculture and allied servicesb 99.9 82.1 96.7 77.8 94.8 78.6 45.8 72.4 46.7 12.3
Industry and minerals 36.7 9.8 18.1 40.7 44.1 41.9 50.7 47.4 49.7 1.9
Power, irrigation and flood control 94.7 65.4 73.9 86.2 62.9 69.1 91.2 77.9 83.7 7.2
Transport and communication 68.3 68.3 68.3 70.4 32.1 47.3 67.6 52.7 60.1 3.8
Others 24.9 18.0 23.9 16.6 51.3 19.7 66.1 49.2 58.9 2.2
Other 80.0 14.7 33.2 57.2 0.0 57.2 85.9 0.0 85.8 5.1
Loans and advances 0.0 51.7 51.7 0.0 51.1 51.1 0.0 62.9 62.9 3.1
Totalc 55.2 43.0 52.1 55.0 44.5 52.9 58.1 53.7 57.4 100.0
Notes:
a
Revised estimates.
b
Includes food and fertilizer subsidies.
c
Excludes appropriation for reduction and avoidance of debt.
Source: Based on data from Ministry of Finance, India.
India 85
(3) The Constitution allows the levy of certain taxes which create severe
impediments to the interstate movement of goods. The levy of tax on inter-
state sale of goods by the exporting state (subject to a ceiling rate of
86 M. Govinda Rao
sources has led to distortions, tax avoidance, and tax evasion, besides vio-
lating the principle of horizontal equity (Chelliah, 1993). Second, although
in a legal sense, the central excises and state sales taxes and octroi are separ-
ate levies, these fall virtually on the same base causing serious vertical tax
overlapping. The levy of tax on tax and margins on taxes have created a
divergence between producer and consumer prices greater than the tax
element.
The Indian experience brings out three important lessons. First, tax
assignment should not be done merely on legal considerations; economic
consequences of such assignments must be taken into account. Second,
avoidance of concurrency in a de jure sense does not prevent de facto over-
lapping. Third, overlapping by itself cannot be considered undesirable.
What is important is that the tax policies of different levels should be prop-
erly coordinated and harmonized to minimize distortions. In the United
States and Canada, even when the federal and state (provincial) govern-
ments enjoy concurrent tax powers, they have been able to achieve a
greater degree of coordination and harmonization than India (Rao and
Vaillancourt, 1994).
across the country, the interstate sales tax causes significant resource trans-
fers from the poorer to the richer states (Rao and Vaillancourt, 1994).
Thus, interstate tax competition results from attempts to indulge in free-
riding behavior. The competition may take various forms:
• reducing nominal tax rates to maximize revenue by attracting cross-
border purchases;
• levying selectively lower nominal tax rates and giving incentives to new
industries to attract capital into their jurisdictions;
• adopting strategies to export the tax burden to non-residents by choos-
ing appropriate tax systems and tax rates on both factors and products.
The strategy adopted by the states to divert trade into their jurisdictions
and to export the tax burden to non-residents has been one of the causes
of excessive differentiation in tax rates. The prevailing sales tax systems
have a mix of first point (manufacturers), last point (retail), and multi-
point (cumulative) taxes. In addition, to raise more revenue, the states have
resorted to levying surcharges, turnover taxes, and additional sales taxes,
resulting in acute differentiation in effective tax rates and making the tax
system both complex and irrational. The attempt to attract capital through
liberal tax concessions to new industries has further added to the complex-
ity. The taxation of inputs and capital goods, in addition, has resulted in
cascading.
States’ own current States’ current expenditure States’ own current States expenditurea States’ own revenue
revenues as percentage as percentage of total revenues as percentage of as percentage of as percentage of states’
Period of total current revenues current expenditure states’ current expenditure total expenditurea total expenditurea
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Notes:
a
Current and capital expenditure
b
Revised estimates
Source: Based on data from Ministry of Finance, India.
India 91
Coefficient of
vertical imbalance
Own revenue as
Per capita SDP Per capita own Own revenue as Per capita current percentage of current
Major states (rupees)a revenue (rupees) percentage of SDPa expenditure (rupees) expenditure
Notes:
a
SDP=State Domestic Product.
b
Estimated.
Sources: Reserve Bank of India Bulletin (December 1995) based on data from Ministry of Finance, India.
94 M. Govinda Rao
Equalization
The imbalance between revenue capacity and expenditure need varies
across states depending on the size of their tax base, the size and the
composition of their population, and other factors affecting the cost of pro-
viding public services. The richer states, owing to their higher revenue
capacity, can provide better standards of public services. To offset this
fiscal disadvantage, equalizing transfers are required.
The argument for equalizing transfers is based on the horizontal equity
grounds initially advanced by Buchanan (1950) and later developed by
Boadway and Flatters (1982). With comprehensive income as the index of
well-being, it has been argued that the federal income tax as presently
structured cannot ensure horizontal equity as its base does not take into
account the redistributive effect of states’ fiscal operations. The states’
fiscal operations cannot be distributionally neutral except in the unlikely
case of their levying benefit taxes. When the quasi-public services pro-
vided by them are financed by resource rents or source-based taxes as
against residence-based taxes, the net fiscal benefits (NFBs) will systemati-
cally vary. The residents in the resource-rich (high-income) regions will
have higher NFBs and their higher public consumption will not be
included in determining the tax base of the central government.
Boadway and Flatters (1982) define horizontal equity in two alternative
ways. According to the broad view, the fiscal system should be equitable
nationwide vis-à-vis the actions of all governments. Two persons equally
well off before central and state actions must also be so afterwards. To fulfill
this concept of horizontal equity, it is necessary to give transfers so that each
province is enabled to provide the same level of public services at a given
tax rate (as in a unitary state). In contrast, the narrow view of horizontal
equity takes the level of real incomes attained by the individuals after a
state’s budgetary operation as the starting point and the central fiscal action
will be directed to ensuring horizontal equity after the state’s fiscal system
has been established. The central budget need not offset the inequalities
introduced by the operation of the state budgets per se, but takes the
income-distributional effects of the states’ fiscal operations as a given.
96 M. Govinda Rao
High-income states 18.7 14.4 27.7 18.8 23.6 35.4 29.4 42.8 24.1
Goa 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.7 negl.
Gujarat 4.9 3.4 6.2 3.4 5.2 4.9 5.4 13.2 5.0
Haryana 2.0 2.5 2.2 4.2 2.6 1.5 2.8 2.6 0.8
Maharashtra 9.4 5.4 10.3 6.3 8.7 25.3 15.8 23.5 17.6
Punjab 2.4 2.9 8.2 4.6 6.6 3.3 5.1 2.8 0.7
Middle-income states 30.9 34.4 28.9 26.2 29.5 33.4 37.3 29.7 25.3
Andhra Pradesh 7.8 9.3 7.2 4.1 7.1 6.8 8.9 7.5 10.1
Karnataka 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.8 4.7 6.0 6.8 6.1 2.3
Kerala 3.4 5.8 3.2 8.4 4.6 3.4 4.3 2.0 1.5
Tamil Nadu 6.4 7.1 5.6 5.4 5.9 10.3 11.1 9.3 5.2
West Bengal 8.0 7.2 8.3 3.4 7.2 6.9 6.2 4.8 6.3
Low-income states 43.6 43.1 34.5 46.9 38.3 14.4 24.2 21.9 34.1
Bihar 10.3 8.7 7.3 10.5 8.1 2.3 4.1 2.1 8.5
Madhya Pradesh 7.9 4.7 4.6 11.4 5.8 3.2 4.9 5.2 11.1
Orissa 3.7 6.3 3.3 5.8 4.3 1.3 2.2 2.3 5.3
Rajasthan 5.3 6.2 4.7 7.9 5.5 2.1 3.3 4.4 1.5
Uttar Pradesh 16.4 17.3 14.6 11.3 14.5 5.5 9.7 7.9 7.8
Special category states 5.4 8.1 8.2 8.1 8.1 1.9 2.8 2.2 7.5
Union territories 1.4 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.5 14.9 6.4 3.4 9.0b
All states 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Notes:
negl.=negligible.
a
All-India Financial Institutions
b
Unallocated 4.9 percent
Sources: Report on Currency and Finance, 1994–95, Reserve Bank of India; Public Enterprise Survey, Ministry of Industry, Government of India.
Table 3.8. Current transfers from the center to the states (Rs. billion)
Plan periods/years Tax devolution Grants Total State plan schemes Central schemes Total Other grants Total
Fourth Plan (1969–74) 45.6 8.6 54.2 10.8 9.7 20.5 9.3 83.9
(54.2) (10.2) (64.6) (12.8) (11.6) (24.4) (11.0) (100.0)
Fifth Plan (1974–79) 82.7 28.2 110.9 29.1 19.3 48.4 5.4 164.7
(50.2) (17.1) (67.3) (17.7) (11.7) (29.4) (3.3) (100.0)
Sixth Plan (1980–85) 237.3 21.4 258.7 73.8 69.0 142.8 15.1 416.5
(57.0) (5.1) (62.1) (17.7) (16.6) (34.3) (3.6) (100.0)
Seventh Plan (1985–90) 494.6 62.7 557.4 155.2 165.1 320.3 35.2 913.1
(54.2) (6.9) (61.0) (17.1) (18.0) (35.1) (3.9) (100.0)
Eighth Plan
1991–92 172.0 34.5 206.4 57.2 55.4 112.5 10.2 329.4
(52.2) (10.5) (62.7) (14.2) (16.8) (34.4) (3.1) (100.0)
1992–93 205.2 26.4 231.7 78.4 65.2 143.9 7.2 383.4
(53.5) (6.9) (60.4) (20.4) (17.0) (37.5) (1.9) (100.0)
1993–94 223.9 20.7 244.6 107.7 74.1 181.8 9.3 435.7
(51.4) (4.8) (56.1) (24.7) (17.0) (41.7) (2.1) (100.0)
1994–95 248.5 24.3 272.8 99.0 94.5 193.5 5.3 471.6
(52.6) (5.2) (57.8) (21.0) (20.0) (41.0) (1.1) (100.0)
Notes:
a
7.5 percent is given only to the states with post-
tax devolution deficits.
b
subject to each state receiving the minimum of
2 percent and the maximum of 10 percent of the
sharable taxes.
c
Distance formula ⫽(Yh⫺Yi )Pi/⌺(Yh⫺Yi )Pi where
Yi and Yh represent per capita SDP of the ith and
the richest state, Pi is the population of the ith
state, (Yh⫺Yi ) for the state h is taken to be
equivalent to the value of the second highest per
capita SDP state.
Source: India, Report of the Tenth Finance
Commission, 1994.
in the case of tax devolution, until recently, the criteria adopted for the dis-
tribution of personal income tax and excise duties have been different. The
Tenth Finance Commission also assigned 10 percent weight to the tax effort
factor, but the measurement of tax effort itself is based on the assumption
that the SDP is the sole determinant of taxable capacity and taxable capac-
ity increases with increases in the SDP by an exponential of 2.14 Further,
assigning weights to contradictory factors like “contribution” and “back-
wardness” in the same formula for distribution has rendered the achieve-
ment of the overall objective of transfers difficult.
Over the years, attempts have been made by the successive Commissions
to improve the redistributive element in the transfer scheme by assigning
higher weight to per capita SDP, in either the “inverse” or “distance”
forms.15 Yet population has continued to receive the largest implicit and
explicit weight. The redistributive effect has been further blunted by the
terms of reference which require the Commission to use the 1971 popula-
tion figures wherever population is used in the transfer formula. The
purpose of this is to penalize the states with higher population growth
102 M. Govinda Rao
rates. The important questions are, first, whether the federal transfer
mechanism should be employed as an instrument of population policy and,
second, even if it is, why those states with high population growth due to
migration should be penalized.
The “gap-filling” approach outlined above has been subjected to criti-
cisms. First, none of the Finance Commissions assessed the overall
resource position of the center and the amount of resources required to
meet its commitments on any objective basis. Second, the transfers made
by the Finance Commissions were not designed specifically to offset fiscal
disadvantages of the states arising from lower revenue-raising capacity
and the higher unit cost of public services. While the tax devolution is
determined on the basis of general economic indicators, grants are given
on the basis of projected post-devolution budgetary gaps. Third, the
design of the grants has serious disincentive effects on fiscal management
of the states. Nor are the fiscally disadvantaged enabled to provide a given
level of public service at a given tax-price.
The more recent Commissions tried to reduce the post-devolution gaps
by substantially enhancing the share of tax devolution in total transfers.16
At the same time, they tried to target the transfers by including different
elements of backwardness, besides the “inverse” and “distance” variants
of per capita income, thereby complicating the tax devolution formula.
Also, the more recent Commissions introduced selective norms for the
center and the states by targeting the rates of growth of revenues and
expenditures and by assuming certain rates of return on their loans and
investments. The Ninth Finance Commission actually estimated the
revenue capacities and expenditure needs of the states. However, the prac-
tice of having different approaches for making tax devolution and grants
has reduced the relevance of such exercises.
Plan transfers
The Planning Commission gives both grants and loans to the states to
finance their plans. In earlier years, both the volume and the loan and grant
components were project based, but since 1969 the assistance has been allo-
cated on the basis of a formula (the Gadgil formula).17 At present, 30
percent of the funds available for distribution is kept apart for the special
category states and distributed among them on the basis of plan projects
formulated by them, with 90 percent of the assistance given by way of
grants and the remainder as loans. The 70 percent of the funds available to
the major states is distributed with 60 percent weight assigned to popula-
tion, 25 percent to per capita SDP, 7.5 percent to fiscal management, and
India 103
Variable Weight
Note: The formula is applied to general category states. They receive 70 percent of the total
Plan assistance, of which 30 percent is given as grants and the remainder as loans. The
special category states receive 30 percent of total Plan assistance and 90 percent of the
assistance is given as grants and the remaining 10 percent as loans. The distribution among
them is based on the plans approved.
Source: Planning Commission, Government of India.
the remaining 7.5 percent to special problems of these states (table 3.10). In
these states, 30 percent of the resources is given by way of grants and the
remainder as loans. Thus, plan transfers and their grant and loan compo-
nents are determined independently of the required plan investments,
their sectoral composition, the resources available to the states, or their
fiscal performances.
The tenuous relationship between the required plan investments and
plan transfers becomes abundantly clear when we examine per capita plan
outlays during the Seventh Plan (table 3.11). In all the major states except
Maharashtra, the resources available for plan investments from the states’
resources, before any central transfers were given, were negative. It is also
seen that the deficits were higher in the poorer states. As the richer states
had access to larger non-plan loans and as they could get greater central
plan assistance, per capita plan outlays in high-income states were almost
twice as much as in middle- and low-income states.
High-income states 3 340 146.30 ⫺134.24 321.43 534.83 722.02 533.18 1 255.20
Punjab 4 013 169.18 ⫺459.28 280.45 318.05 139.23 1 131.83 1 271.06
Maharashtra 3 384 142.75 ⫺229.72 316.24 509.77 1 055.73 233.52 1 289.25
Haryana 3 043 151.11 ⫺175.07 344.39 570.99 740.31 463.18 1 203.49
Gujarat 2 929 122.16 ⫺132.35 344.62 740.53 952.79 304.20 1 256.99
Middle-income states 2 206 112.82 ⫺271.46 439.65 255.78 423.96 227.88 651.84
Karnataka 2461 117.68 ⫺49.98 389.70 112.04 451.76 213.36 665.12
West Bengal 2 230 76.09 ⫺421.11 483.04 278.40 340.34 140.56 480.90
Kerala 2 144 117.60 ⫺521.60 440.26 380.98 299.65 308.19 607.84
Tamil Nadu 2 142 138.64 ⫺186.56 439.21 316.60 569.25 229.51 798.76
Andhra Pradesh 2 053 114.04 ⫺178.07 446.02 190.87 458.82 247.77 706.59
Low-income states 1 689 50.06 ⫺265.69 472.19 171.11 377.60 287.94 665.55
Madhya Pradesh 1 860 58.14 ⫺139.69 422.13 227.32 509.75 200.00 700.76
Rajasthan 1 820 67.46 ⫺380.23 389.99 291.74 301.50 421.77 723.27
Orissa 1 728 37.72 ⫺250.75 582.07 126.74 458.07 310.56 768.63
Uttar Pradesh 1 713 54.14 ⫺256.19 440.86 143.54 328.21 272.18 600.39
Bihar 1 323 32.85 ⫺301.61 525.89 66.20 290.49 235.21 525.70
Average of 14 states 2 345 99.97 ⫺211.92 428.94 261.35 478.36 276.90 755.27
Sources: Columns 1 and 2: Second Report of the Ninth Finance Commission, Ministry of Finance, Government of India, 1990; other columns:
finance and planning departments of the state governments
India 105
cost programs falling within the states’ ambit with matching ratios which
are uniform across the states, but which vary with the projects. There were
262 such schemes in 1985, and more were added in subsequent years.
These transfers have attracted the sharpest criticism owing to their discre-
tionary nature and the conditions attached to them. They accounted for
about 36 percent of the total plan assistance, and about 20 percent of total
current transfers was given to these schemes in 1994–95 (table 3.7).
In summary, the design and implementation of intergovernmental
transfer schemes in India suffer from a number of shortcomings. First,
multiple agencies with overlapping jurisdictions have blurred the overall
objectives of transfers. Second, accommodating different interests has
unduly complicated the transfer formula. Third, the design of the transfer
system is not well targeted to achieve equalization and to ensure minimum
service levels in the states. Fourth, transfers have disincentive effects on
the fiscal management in the states. While there is certainly a role for
specific-purpose transfers in the Indian federation, the design and imple-
mentation of the centrally sponsored schemes have not served the need.
They have tended to multiply state-level bureaucracy and distort states’
own allocations in unintended ways.
VI F.C. VII F.C. VIII F.C. IX F.C. VI F.C. VII F.C. VIII F.C. IX F.C.
Transfers (1974–79) (1979–84) (1984–89) (1989–94) (1974–79) (1979–84) (1984–89) (1989–94)
Shared taxes ⫺0.167 ⫺0.706** ⫺0.849** ⫺0.809** ⫺0.024 ⫺0.195* ⫺0.507* ⫺0.564*
Non-plan grants ⫺0.240 ⫺0.289 ⫺0.110 ⫺0.286 ⫺0.716 ⫺0.070 ⫺0.302 ⫺0.054
Total finance Commission transfers ⫺0.272 ⫺0.551* ⫺0.664** ⫺0.765* ⫺0.201 ⫺0.280* ⫺0.403* ⫺0.514*
Plan grants: state plan schemes ⫺0.263 ⫺0.524* ⫺0.010 ⫺0.425** ⫺0.243 ⫺0.426** ⫺0.029 ⫺0.557**
Plan grants: central schemes ⫺0.342 ⫺0.101 ⫺0.162 ⫺0.278 ⫺0.460 ⫺0.066 ⫺0.095 ⫺0.070
Total plan grants ⫺0.091 ⫺0.327 ⫺0.092 ⫺0.417 ⫺0.072 ⫺0.236 ⫺0.060 ⫺0.282
Gross current transfers ⫺0.194 ⫺0.519* ⫺0.663** ⫺0.716** ⫺0.115 ⫺0.268** ⫺0.277* ⫺0.408**
Independent variable
Notes:
The regressions have been estimated by employing the log–linear
model; N ⫽14. Figures in parentheses are t-statistics of the regression
coefficients.
* Significant at 1 percent level.
Source: Author’s estimates.
Notes
1 The recent (73rd and 74th) Amendments to the Constitution have sought to
specify the domain of the governmental units below the state level (rural and
urban local bodies) as well. However, they exercise their functions concurrently
with the state governments, with the latter enjoying overriding powers. For an
analysis of the rationale, achievements, and challenges in regard to local
governments, see Singh (1996).
2 There are, however, some disagreements with such a functional allocation.
India 111
Gramlich (1987) and, more recently, Inman and Rubinfeld (1992) have argued
that the subcentral units can make effective contributions to counter-cyclical
policy. Similarly, Pauly (1973) has argued that redistribution should be consid-
ered a local public good and subnational units do have an important role to play
in poverty alleviation; see Rao and Das-Gupta (1995).
3 “Competitive federalism” views governmental systems as competing entities
analogous to firms. It combines the results of electoral competition in a demo-
cratic polity with the federal form of government. The competition analyzed in
this context is not restricted price competition, but Schumpeterian entrepre-
neurial competition; see Breton (1987).
4 Bundling of public services on a “take it or leave it” basis increases welfare
costs; see Breton (1987).
5 A possible exception is that of China and the former socialist countries of
Europe where the local taxes are higher than their expenditures, thus requiring
upward rather than downward transfers. However, the locally collected taxes
are not really local taxes because their base and/or rates are decided at the
central level; see Prud’homme (1995: ch. 2).
6 There are, of course, administrative difficulties in taxing agricultural incomes,
and the expert committee that went into this issue actually recommended a pre-
sumptive method of taxation based on land holdings classified broadly accord-
ing to productivity differentials (India, Ministry of Finance, 1972). However, the
point made here is that in the prevailing situation, even in principle, it is impos-
sible to have a comprehensive concept of income as the tax base, and differen-
tial treatment of income from agricultural and non-agricultural sources has
formally opened up an easy avenue for evasion of the tax through misclassifica-
tion.
7 Recently, increase in the prices of petroleum products led to reduction in the
sales taxes on these products by a number of states.
8 See Breton (1987). Prud’homme (1995), however, asserts that decentralization
could cause a downward shift in the production frontier owing to lower admin-
istrative efficiency. His argument ignores the fact that administrative efficiency
of subnational governments itself is a function of assigning the responsibilities
and resources to them.
9 Of course, the higher than average per capita expenditures in special category
states cannot be entirely attributed to their inherent cost disability. It may also
be due to bad fiscal management.
10 It is also possible to restore the balance through the unbalanced level cutting
expenditures or raising more revenues, or by changing the assignment itself.
However, if the imbalance has occurred even after efficient assignment, these
methods of correcting the balance have an additional welfare cost.
11 In India, the statutory liquidity ratio stipulated for the commercial banks
requires them to keep 35 percent of their resources in the form of government
securities.
12 There is a considerable amount of confusion over the term “transfers.” In
Indian federal finance literature, central loans to states are also characterized
as transfers. Such transactions involve transfers only to the extent of any
interest subsidy or write-off of loans. Sometimes, on the recommendation of
112 M. Govinda Rao
the Finance Commissions, the central loans to the states are rescheduled, the
rate of interest reduced, or even a portion of the loan itself is written off. A
proper estimate of the transfers should include the implicit transfers arising
from interest subsidy and loan write-off, which calls for a separate study.
Here, we have taken only tax devolution and grants as transfers. Transfers
arising from interest subsidy guarantees and loan write-off are not taken into
account.
13 The grants (Gi ) receivable by the ith state are given by:
Gi ⫽ Ei ⫺ (Roi ⫹Rai ⫹ Rsi )
Gi ⱖ 0.
where Ei denotes projected non-plan current expenditures of the ith state,
Roi denotes projected own revenues of the ith state, Rai denotes projected share
of assigned revenues of the ith state, and Rsi denotes shared taxes of the ith state.
14 Tax effort () ⫽ Ti/Yi2, where Ti is the per capita tax revenue collected by the ith
state and Yi is the per capita state domestic product of the ith state.
15 The “inverse” formula is given by:
(Pi/Yi )/⌺iPiYi
and the “distance” formula is given by:
(Yh ⫺Yi )Pi/⌺Yh ⫺Yi )Pi
where Yi and Yh represent per capita SDP of the ith and the highest income state
respectively and Pi is the population of the ith state.
16 The Seventh Finance Commission, for example, increased the states’ share of
Union excise duty from 20 to 40 percent.
17 The formula and its modifications from time to time are evolved on the basis
of consensus within the National Development Council (NDC). The NDC
comprises the cabinet ministers at the center, chief ministers of the states, and
the members of the Planning Commission, and is chaired by the prime minis-
ter.
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4
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116 Anwar Shah
ence through its planning and budget approval process. Thus, overall, the
distribution of responsibilities remains highly centralized.
In Indonesia, Law No. 5 of 1974 provides the overall legal framework
guiding the distribution of responsibilities between levels of government.
Specific regulations to implement this legislation have been slow in
coming. Regulation No. PP45/1992 represented a major attempt to chart a
more clearly defined course for the process of decentralization, and to
accelerate this process. In this regulation, the focus of further devolution
of responsibilities is Level II governments (districts), and the devolution
envisaged is from both central and Level I (provincial) governments. The
following functions are reserved for the center: defense and security
affairs; judicial affairs; foreign affairs; part of general administrative affairs
concerning heads of regions; and other administrative affairs that can be
more effectively and efficiently managed by the central government. All
other functions are to be considered for transfer to lower-level govern-
ments. The same regulation also specifies the following functions for Level
I governments: inter-municipal (Level II) affairs; affairs that are not central
to Level II development; and affairs that are implemented more effectively
and efficiently at Level I. All other affairs of Level I governments are to be
transferred to Level II governments in a gradual and continuous manner.
All transfers are to be accompanied by the transfer of associated budgetary
resources. The transfer of responsibilities will be linked to the capacities of
Level II governments. The assessment of the readiness of these govern-
ments to assume additional responsibilities, and of their capacity-building
needs, will be based on a rating of their existing institutional capacities. It
is envisaged that some functions could in part be transferred initially for a
four-year period, with the transfer completed and made permanent upon
assessment of the Level II government performance during that period.
Indonesia is fast approaching a stage in its economic evolution where
the present degree of centralization in the responsibility for the provision
of public services will become increasingly untenable because of both its
implications for efficiency and the strain imposed on the financial and
institutional capacities of the center. Regulation No. PP45/1992, accord-
ingly, represents a timely initiative. The broad framework it sets out for the
transfer of responsibilities to local governments is consistent with general
economic principles for intergovernmental assignment of expenditures.
Within this framework, the actual allocation of responsibilities for indi-
vidual services will need to be carefully determined. This process is to be
guided by an interministerial body on regional autonomy, and will be sup-
ported by studies, some of which are already underway. For local public
services, the following may serve as general criteria for the assignment of
120 Anwar Shah
subnational taxes and from shared taxes and fees could roughly double
subnational government own revenues. Even then, however, the share of
such revenues in total government revenues will rise to only about 13
percent.
General-purpose transfers
Provincial Development Grant Equal per province (85 percent); area
(15 percent)
District Development Grant Per capita with a floor
Village Development Grant Equal per village
Less-developed Village Grant Per capita
Specific-purpose transfers to provinces
SDO: Subsidy for Autonomous Regions Public sector wages
Provincial Road Improvement Grant Length of road; condition of road; unit cost of
construction and maintenance
Reforestation and regreening Project review
Specific-purpose transfers to local governments
SDO: Subsidy for Autonomous Regions Public sector wages
District/Town Road Improvement Grant Length of road; condition of road; density;
unit cost of construction and maintenance
Primary School Grant School-age children (ages 7–12); need for
facilities
Health Grant Need for medicine, health centers, and
personnel
Reforestation grant Project review
Pakistan are organized as the State of Azad Kashmir and enjoy self-
government. Federally administered northern areas include the adminis-
trative districts of Daiamir, Ghanche, Ghizer, Gilgit, and Skardu. There are
also seven self-governing federally administered tribal areas where the
laws of Pakistan do not apply, a situation which is consistent with the
tradition fostered under the British Empire. For administrative purposes,
the provinces are divided and each division is subdivided into districts.
Again, each district is divided into tehsils. At the district and tehsil levels,
elected councils and provincial civil administrations have overlapping
responsibilities.
Local governments in Pakistan do not have any distinct constitutional
status; they are established by provincial governments and powers are
determined by provincial statutes. At the present time, there are 5,195 local
government units in Pakistan of which only 512 units are in urban areas.
For local government purposes, urban areas are organized according to
population into metropolitan corporations, municipal corporations,
municipal committees, town committees, and cantonment boards.
Metropolitan corporations have some deconcentration of metro functions
by means of zonal offices. Karachi Metropolitan Corporation has in the
past experimented with a zonal lower tier of local government called
municipal committees. Land development and water and sewerage func-
tions in large urban areas are the responsibility of provincial agencies
called Development Authorities (DAs) and Water and Sanitation Agencies
(WASAs) respectively, and for smaller municipalities development expen-
ditures are undertaken directly by provincial line departments. Karachi
Metropolitan Corporation represents the exception in water and sewerage
with its own Karachi Water and Sewerage Board (KWSB). Rural areas are
organized into a two-tier local government structure with the lower-tier
union council representing several villages, and a larger rural area, called
a district, having a district council comprising several union councils.
Provincial statutes regarding local government organization are fairly
uniform and provide for elected local councils to have broad powers over
a wide range of local public services. In practice, however, for reasons to
be discussed later, the existing system of local government has become
dysfunctional.
In terms of program spending, the federal government dominates in
defense, debt servicing, general administration, fuel and power, trans-
portation and communications, industrial development, population plan-
ning, manpower management, water supply and sanitation, and
subsidies. Provincial government spending dominates in law and order,
food and agriculture, rural development, education, and health. Local
128 Anwar Shah
Actual allocation of
Legislative responsibility Service functions
Actual allocation of
Legislative responsibility Service functions
Street lighting
Garbage collection
Fire fighting
Parks and playgrounds
Notes:
a
According to Federal Legislative List.
b
According to Concurrent Legislative List.
c
According to Local Government Ordinances.
d
University education is funded by the federal government through the University Grants
Commission (UGC), but is administratively controlled by the provincial governments.
e
Development of irrigation and SCARP projects is a federal subject.
frequently transferred against their will. There are no channels for local
participation and input in the provision of health care. While no welfare
cost estimates on centralization are available for Pakistan, for industrial-
ized countries such losses on account of simply misjudging preferences are
expected to range over 9–20 percent of expenditures. Once one considers
the lack of local accountability and participation, and the delinking of ben-
efits and costs, welfare losses may be expected to be of a much greater mag-
nitude in Pakistan.
The implication of all these points is that the current degree of centraliza-
tion of expenditure responsibilities has not served the country well and
may not be sustainable in the long run.
Operating transfers 82 84 99 99 87
(as % of gross operating expenditure)
Capital transfers 15 12 9 8 12
(as % of gross capital expenditure)
Total transfers 71 72 75 72 72
(as % of total expenditure)
Development loans 31 26 18 17 25
(as % of gross capital expenditure)
Unconditional transfers
These transfers are advised by an intergovernmental body, the National
Finance Commission, that is appointed every five years to conduct a
review of federal transfers. Federal and provincial finance ministers, the
federal finance secretary, and one additional member from each of the
provinces are represented on the Commission. The NFC has a chequered
history, with many instances of either not meeting, or meeting and not
achieving a consensus view. Over the past two decades, only the 1991 and
1997 NFC recommendations have been made public and implemented. As
a result of the 1997 award, the following federal unconditional transfers
are currently available to the provinces.
The constitutionally mandated revenue-sharing program has three ele-
ments: revenue-sharing by origin, revenue-sharing by population, and
special grants. Table 4.5 shows the details of the first two of these. For the
second element, the NFC defined a divisible pool to be shared on a 62.5: 37.5
basis between federal and provincial governments. The divisible pool con-
sists of the following taxes: taxes on income including corporation tax, but
excluding taxes on income consisting of remuneration paid out of the federal
Consolidated Fund; wealth tax; capital value tax; taxes on the sales and pur-
chases of goods imported, exported, manufactured, or consumed; export
duties on cotton; customs duties; federal excise duties, excluding the excise
duty on gas charged at well-head; any other tax by the federal government.
The 1997 NFC award recommended the following special transfers:
• To Northwest Frontier Province: Rs. 3.3 billion in 1997–98 escalated by
changes in the consumer price index (projected annual rate of 11
percent) for a period of five years.
138 Anwar Shah
Tax %
Conditional transfers
These transfers are relatively smaller. Nevertheless, about a dozen large
grant programs in excess of Rs. 100 million (1994–95) exist.
Matching grants for provincial resource mobilization: this program pro-
vides federal matching assistance at a 50 percent rate, up to a limit, for pro-
vincial revenue effort in excess of the historical average growth rate of 14.2
percent. The limits on these grants are Rs. 500 million each in the cases of
Punjab and Sindh and Rs. 100 million each for Northwest Frontier
Province and Balochistan. The program recognizes only fiscal effort result-
ing from increases in tax rates, withdrawal of exemptions, imposition of
new taxes, and revision in rates of user charges. Development Grants are
based on approval of provincial annual development plans (ADPs) by the
federal government. Federal Contribution for Social Action Program pro-
vides matching transfers on a 75:25 basis to finance provincial develop-
ment expenditures in education, health, water supply, and sanitation
associated with the Social Action Program. Flood and Disaster Relief
grants are by their very nature ad hoc in character, and are usually given to
the provinces for emergency relief and repair and renovations to basic
infrastructure following damage arising from natural disasters. Physical
Planning and Housing Project Assistance transfers finance to federally
approved provincial projects to upgrade urban infrastructure and housing
projects. Federal assistance is given in the form of conditional non-
Indonesia and Pakistan 139
the largest province is now seeking the same treatment for federal royal-
ties/excises on cotton (see The Dawn [Pakistan], Internet edition, January
12, 1997). There seems to be neither an efficiency nor an equity argument
for doing so, unlike the case of population, or needs-based revenue-
sharing. Thus, asymmetric treatment of resource-based revenues is diffi-
cult to justify and could be considered for inclusion in a general
revenue-sharing pool to be distributed on a per capita and/or needs basis.
Better still, such revenues could go to the federal general revenues pool for
financing fiscal equalization transfers to the provinces. Furthermore, the
assignment of hydroelectric profits to the province of location of the facil-
ities could be reassessed as it undermines the financial ability and auton-
omy of the national power enterprise (WAPDA).
About 85 percent of revenue-sharing funds are distributed by popula-
tion. This program is to be commended for its simplicity, objectivity, and
success in transferring a large pool of resources in a predictable fashion
to bridge vertical fiscal imbalances. Moreover, the use of population
implies that the funds are distributed in an equalizing manner. Although
population is the sole criterion used to achieve regional equity, it is a rea-
sonable approximation of the need for funds since many provincial
expenditures increase in proportion to population. Overall, the transfers
are strongly equalizing with respect to own-tax collections (the rank
correlation is ⫺1.0), and mildly redistributive with respect to provincial
GDP (rank correlation is ⫺0.4). The program, nevertheless, is subject to
a number of limitations which are discussed in the following para-
graphs.
ing private sector financing on a par with the public sector (based on the
number of graduating students) and overall targets on access to such
education.
The basic health grant could be linked to standards of access to such ser-
vices. Similarly, federal transfers to universities through the University
Grants Commission could be eliminated and replaced by per capita trans-
fers to provinces for post-secondary education. Provinces in turn may be
encouraged to substitute own-transfer programs to both public and
private universities and colleges, utilizing the number of graduates by
program type as criterion. Various programs could be weighted differently
but financing of public and private education would be on an equal
footing.
Political factors
In Indonesia, the authors of the Constitution contemplated a centralized
unitary country and dictated against the establishment of “states within
the state.” These concerns for political unity have dominated the design of
institutions. Well-entrenched roles of the military and the civil service in
political affairs, with a strong belief in command and control from the
center, have sustained centralization of responsibility. Appointment of
governors and mayors has also strengthened centralization and limited
local autonomy. Social development, economic prosperity, and concern for
improving the delivery of public services continue to bring a degree of
accommodation for decentralized institutions.
In Pakistan, political instability and feudal interests have contributed to
setting aside constitutional dictums and the introduction of a system of
centralized governance. Pakistan has been under military rule for most of
its existence and past military regimes did not accommodate decentralized
Indonesia and Pakistan 145
decision-making. During the periods that political activities have been per-
mitted, feudal influences have dominated the political system and favored
either a centralization or a provincialization of authority. This is because,
while Pakistan has experienced increased urbanization in recent years,
with over 40 percent of the total population urbanized, the electoral system
still operates on the 1981 distribution of population (17 percent urbanized).
In rural areas of Sindh and Balochistan, and to a more limited extent in
Punjab and Northwest Frontier province, feudal lords do not allow effec-
tive political participation. The use of the outdated distribution of popula-
tion allows feudal lords to dominate politics at the federal and provincial
levels. A centralized system allows these lords to have more effective
control than would be possible under a decentralized system, with which
the urban sector would have a more significant voice. To further entrench
feudal powers, local governments are currently disbanded in all metro-
politan areas even though the Supreme Court found this practice to be in
contravention of the law. Grants to members of national and provincial
legislatures for development projects also work against the development
of local governments as these members enjoy a greater degree of auton-
omy in project execution in the absence of a well-functioning system of
local government.
Bureaucratic factors
Both Indonesia and Pakistan have colonial legacies. The Dutch in
Indonesia and the British in Pakistan instituted systems of bureaucratic
control to achieve, with maximum efficiency, the colonial objectives of a
predatory state. These systems created a civil service elite who were
highly educated and dedicated to serving the colonial rulers. Their
loyalty to rulers and detachment from the common man were duly
rewarded by allowing them preferential access to all public services
through elite institutions and by ensuring their financial security
through a system of cash rewards and land grants. Thus, both countries
inherited civil service regimes that were highly centralized, efficient,
accountable, professional, and completely detached from the local
population.
After independence in Indonesia, the civil service over time became
an active political partner with the military in governing the country.
Both partners viewed central control as a key element in holding this
country of 14,000 islands together. A centralized regime was also con-
ducive to capturing rents from private sector development. Over time,
nevertheless, they also discovered that the initial degree of centralization
146 Anwar Shah
Institutional factors
Institutional factors also impede effective decentralization. Traditional
institutions, the mechanism of governance, and accountability over time
have withered away but have not been replaced by newer institutions.
Instead, the all-pervasive role of the state has retarded the critical observa-
tion of public policies and institutions. There is almost a complete
monopoly by the government of institutions of critical thought and the
Indonesia and Pakistan 147
External participants
External participants may also unwittingly impede development of a
decentralized public sector in developing countries. A multitude of
factors contribute to this development. First, a centralized system lowers
transaction costs for external assistance and enlarges the “comfort zone”
for external participants in terms of monitoring the utilization of their
funds for intended purposes. Second, some external participants have
concerned themselves with the revenue performance (“resource
mobilization”) of developing countries. Such concerns may lead to larger
centralized bureaucracies that pay little attention to the efficient delivery
of public services. For example, in Pakistan, the improved revenue per-
formance of governments has been accompanied by the deteriorating
quality and quantity of public services. Third, centralized systems are
more prone to suffer from an absence of an internal policy agenda owing
to a lack of citizen participation and to be more dependent on external
advice on policy reform. Typically this leads to quick policy fixes with
little sustained reform. For example, in Pakistan, the 1956 constitution
stated the achievement of universal literacy as a goal for the ensuing
decade; forty years later, there has been little change in literacy levels. In
population planning, with US assistance, Pakistan established a goal to
reduce the population growth rate to 2 percent by 1975. Twenty years
later, the growth rate has increased to 3.5 percent. Similarly, public deficit
reduction has been an elusive goal for several decades. External assis-
tance, contrary to its intentions, may have helped Pakistan to avoid facing
difficult choices in reducing public sector interventions in the market-
place. The availability of generous external assistance may have played a
part in motivating the federal government to assume some provincial
responsibilities and the provincial governments to take over local govern-
ment mandates.
148 Anwar Shah
To bridge fiscal gap Reassign responsibilities; tax Tax abatement in Canada and tax Deficit grants; tax-by-tax sharing
abatement; tax base sharing base sharing in Canada, Brazil, as in India and Pakistan
and Pakistan
To reduce regional fiscal disparities General non-matching fiscal Fiscal equalization programs of General revenue-sharing with
capacity equalization transfers Australia, Canada, and Germany multiple factors
To compensate for benefit Open-ended matching transfers South Africa grant for teaching —
spillovers with matching rate consistent hospitals
with spillover of benefits
Setting national minimum Conditional non-matching block Indonesia: roads and primary Conditional transfers with
standards transfers with conditions on education grants; Colombia, conditions on spending alone; ad
standards of service and access Chile, and South Africa: hoc grants
education transfers
Influencing local priorities in Open-ended matching transfers Matching transfers for social Ad hoc grants
areas of high national but low (preferably with matching rate assistance, as in Canada
local priority varying inversely with fiscal
capacity)
Stabilization Capital grants provided; Limit use of capital grants and Stabilization grants with no
maintenance possible encourage private sector future upkeep requirements
participation by providing
political and policy risk
guarantee
References
Haque, Nadeem-ul (1996), Appropriate Reform Strategies in Pakistan, Washington,
DC: International Monetary Fund.
Huther, Jeff, and Shah, Anwar (1996), A Simple Measure of Good Governance and its
Application to the Debate on the Appropriate Level of Fiscal Decentralization,
Washington, DC: World Bank.
Indonesia, Government of (1996), Monitoring Indicators of Repelita VI, Jakarta.
Manor, James (1996), “Political economy of decentralization,” unpublished paper.
Shah, Anwar (1994), The Reform of Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations in Developing
and Emerging Market Economies, Washington, DC: World Bank.
(1995), “Fiscal federalism in Pakistan: challenges and opportunities,” World
Bank, Washington, DC.
Shah, Anwar, Zia Qureshi et al. (1994) “Intergovernmental fiscal relations in
Indonesia: issues and reform options,” Discussion Paper No. 239, World Bank,
Washington, DC (October).
Stone, Andrew (1995), “The climate for private sector development in Pakistan:
results of enterprise survey,” Private Sector Development Department, World
Bank, Washington, DC.
5
Sociodemographic characteristics
Table 5.1 summarizes the key sociodemographic characteristics of both
countries. Morocco’s territory encompasses a coastal plain, mainly on the
Atlantic, the Atlas mountain ranges, and a desert region, while Tunisia has
a coastal plain and a desertic region. Both countries depend on seasonal
rain for their agricultural output and substantial parts of their populations
reside on the coast.
I thank participants in the PARADI/ICTS conference and, in particular, Richard Bird and
David Sewell for useful comments on a first draft.
152
Morocco and Tunisia 153
Morocco Tunisia
There are two major ethnic groups in Morocco, the Berbers and the
Arabs, who speak the common official language – Arabic – and practice a
common religion – Islam. French is the most widely used European lan-
guage. Morocco has a monarchy whose ruling family can trace its roots to
the prophet Muhammad thus providing it with both a civil and a religious
role. Since independence, the role of the monarchy has been evolving
slowly from a traditional to a constitutional one.
In Tunisia, there is one ethnic group, the Arabs, whose members speak
Arabic, and practice Islam. French is again the most widely used European
language. Tunisia is a republic with a dominant party.
Some observations
While the Moroccan and Tunisian communal systems are both inspired by
the French model, there are differences that are worth noting. First, Tunisia
is more centralized than Morocco, and both countries are more centralized
than a North American state or province, or than some European countries.
The greater degree of centralization in Tunisia than in Morocco is perhaps
explained by the following factors: a smaller territory (table 5.1), making it
easier to exercise central control; a greater concentration of population that
yields economies of scale from national programs; and a stronger tradition
of central planning that persists today with the Ninth Plan, to be imple-
mented in 1997–2001 – whereas planning has been abandoned in Morocco.
The greater degree of centralization in both countries than in North
America or parts of Europe is explained, in part, by the fact that lower
overall levels of education and fewer amenities in smaller centers make it
difficult to recruit competent municipal staff. Other factors such as the
impact of colonization may also matter. In both countries, primary and sec-
ondary education and local police services are the responsibility of the
national government as in the European (particularly the French) tradition.
A second noteworthy difference is that Tunisia’s territory is not fully
divided into municipalities whereas Morocco’s is so divided. This is both
a plus and a minus in fostering decentralization. A positive aspect is that
the more homogeneous municipalities in Tunisia are implementing
decentralization policies, since the managerial capabilities of the less
156 François Vaillancourt
well-endowed municipalities are still fairly good. This matters since the
formal equality of the urban and rural municipalities in Morocco prevents
the urban ones being treated differently by giving them more power com-
mensurate with the greater sophistication of their staff, elected leadership,
and better-informed electorate.
On the negative side, the absence of rural municipalities or counties as
a result of the legal framework means that, even if the central government
wished to devolve some powers to the rural areas, it could not do so at the
present time. As a result, Tunisians living in similar-sized small
agglomerations (less than 5,000 inhabitants) are faced with different
degrees of control and different tax burdens, depending on whether their
agglomeration is a commune or not. If it is a commune, they elect a com-
munal council that collects local taxes, receives subsidies, borrows, carries
out investments, and provides local services. If it is not a commune, there
is no council; therefore, no local taxes, subsidies, or loans are received, and
the region provides local services and carries out investment.
Intergovernmental finance
In this section, we present first, for the two countries in turn, the local tax
system and the intergovernmental transfer scheme. In the case of Morocco,
we also consider the reform of intergovernmental transfers. We then turn
to the relative importance of these sources of funds and finally comment
on both countries.
Table 5.3. Morocco: parameters of urban tax and supplementary urban tax
Two taxes (taxe urbaine and taxe d’édilité) are assessed on the rental value
(valeur locative) of taxable units. Leases are used to establish rental values
directly or through comparisons between owner-occupied and leased
units.
For housing units, the parameters listed in table 5.3 are used. For non-
housing units, the urban tax rate is 13.5 percent and the supplementary
urban tax rate, 6 or 10 percent. In addition, these commercial or indus-
trial units must pay a business tax set according to the rental value, the
type of business, and the nature and quantity of inputs used. As a result,
several hundred categories are used in assigning one of six business tax
rates. Note that business tax revenues collected in urban communities are
distributed between cities on the basis of their populations.
The three main local taxes and fees are:
(1) market fees (wholesale, fish, souks, and slaughterhouses) that account
for 28 percent of revenues;
(2) forestry income (rural municipalities) (19 percent of revenues);
(3) construction fees (14 percent).
One notes the variety of tax bases used, for example, sales and opening
hours (beverage houses), number of students (private schools), and so
on.
Transfers
Since the 1984 tax reform, Moroccan local governments have been entitled
to at least 30 percent of national value-added tax (VAT) receipts. This
entitlement replaced an entitlement to other indirect taxes which them-
selves replaced gate fees (droits de porte). Since the implementation of VAT
158 François Vaillancourt
in 1986 and of the transfers in 1988, this 30 percent has been both the
minimum and maximum share of VAT receipts transferred.
From 1988 to 1995, VAT transfers were divided into current and capital
transfers. Current transfers were calculated as budget-balancing grants
(subvention d’équilibre). Local governments submitted their forecast
revenues, expenditures, and deficits to a joint Ministry of the Interior/
Ministry of Finance committee that examined them, modified them, and
set the subsidy. Not surprisingly, such a system led to ever-increasing
deficits. In particular, expenses included both principal and interest pay-
ments on loans (annuités) leading to costless borrowing with budgetary
priority (inscription d’office) given to repaying the lending agency (Fonds
d’équipement communal [FEC]).
Capital transfers were granted once current transfers had been set. Since
budgets were often approved only toward mid-year, capital spending
often lagged behind receipts by one year. In addition, the promise of 30
percent of VAT revenues quickly proved a strenuous one for the central
government. As a result, some central government capital expenditures,
such as primary school buildings and rural electrification, were designated
(transferred) as local investment (charges transferées) along with some
national expenditures deemed to benefit local governments (charges com-
munes). As a result of this shifting from central to local government of the
central deficit, investment funds available to local governments have
dwindled in recent years.
The disincentives associated with deficit financing quickly became
apparent to the Moroccan government, which decided in 1992 to replace it
with a formula-based apportionment system. The introduction of the
formula, originally planned for 1994, was delayed by the following factors.
First, the creation in 1992 of several hundred new municipalities meant
that 1992 data could not be used to calculate the various parameters used
in the new formula. Since 1993 data would not be available until mid-1994,
a decision was taken in early 1993 to move implementation from January
1, 1994 to January 1, 1995. Second, it was considered appropriate to update
population figures using the 1994 census rather than rely on data from the
previous census in 1982. This made implementation in 1995 difficult, but
not impossible. Third, there was a debate within the Moroccan administra-
tion as to the advisability of this change. Within the Ministry of the Interior,
some officials resisted this change since it reduced the discretionary power
of the government, while others defended it for precisely that reason as
well as with arguments of predictability and simplicity. Within the govern-
ment, there was some resistance from the Ministry of Finance since this
would have an impact on its ability to relabel central expenditures as local
Morocco and Tunisia 159
ones. The formula was put in place for an eighteen-month budgetary year
(January 1996–June 1997) made up of the 1996 (transitional six-month
period) and 1996–97 budget years. This change in the dates of the bud-
getary year applies to both central and local governments. It was intro-
duced to provide better forecasting of economic conditions since the
budgetary year now starts after the rainy season. This allows the Moroccan
government to make decisions based on good information gathered on
expected crop yield.
The transfer formula in place in 1996 can be summarized in the follow-
ing steps.
(1) Establish the predicted amount of VAT for the fiscal year and multi-
ply it by 0.3. This yields the amount estimated to be available for local
governments.
(2) Reserve 30 percent of this 30 percent local share of VAT (9 percent of
VAT revenues) for transferred charges (15 percent), common charges
(10 percent) and the adjustment fund (5 percent), that is, unexpected
expenditures on items like natural disasters. This 30 percent reserve
and its composition can vary in the future. For example, transferred
charges are expected to drop in 1997–98. However, one may see a
need to fund a new order of local government as regions appear.
Regions were created by a constitutional amendment in 1992, but
their powers were defined only by a second set of amendments in
September 1996. They number sixteen and are entitled to a share of
the VAT revenues and to shares of the PIT and CIT that remain to be
set.
(3) Allocate the remaining 70 percent as follows: urban municipalities
and communities (UMC), 30 percent; rural municipalities (RM) 20
percent; and provinces and prefectures (PP) 20 percent.
(4a) Provinces and prefectures (PP). Each PP receives its 1995 wage bill.
The sum of these wage bills is subtracted from the 20 percent, and the
remainder (of the 20 percent) is allocated using three weighted crite-
ria: identical fixed amounts for each PP (one-sixth); the area of the PP
(one-sixth with minimum and maximum); and the population of the
PP (two-thirds with a minimum).
(4b) UMC and RM funds are allocated according to the weighted sum of
three criteria: lump sum (UMC: 15 percent; RM: 30 percent), equaliza-
tion (UMC: 70 percent; RM: 55 percent), and tax effort (15 percent for
both). Equalization targets are 1.25 times the average tax potential
and payment is capped at a maximum of 2.5 times the average
population. UMC tax potential is measured by the patente, taxe
160 François Vaillancourt
urbaine, and taxe d’édilité, while for RM, incomes from the tax on the
sale of forest products (a half) and market fees are also used. In the
case of UMC, this is reasonable since the assessed taxes are calculated
using national tax rates and tax rolls prepared using national norms
and rules. In the case of RM, the use of taxes on forest product sales
and market fees poses a problem because, in both cases, these are real-
ized rather than assessed amounts that thus depend on forest
resources and on the decision to sell forest products and on the tax
and market fee collection effort. Equalization may reduce these
amounts.
Tax effort is measured using other taxes. Municipalities with a tax
effort greater than 0.65 times the average tax effort receive an amount
depending on their share of these extra tax revenues (half per capita,
half gross amount).
(4c) The actual amount of transfers depends on actual VAT revenues.
(5) In 1996–97, transition rules yielded a subsidy at least equal to that of
1995. A three- or four-year transition is planned for the progressive
replacement of the old subsidy by the new one.
Direct taxes
The two main taxes (about 40 percent each of direct tax revenue) are TL
and TCL.
The TL (now superseded by the TIB, see below) is set nationally at 20
percent of rental value and is collected by the Ministry of Finance on
housing units (industrial, commercial, and professional buildings are
exempt), with the tax roll prepared by the municipality or commune (CU)
through a triennial or quinquennial census. The law prescribes using rent
as the tax base for rental property, while comparable values are set for
owner-occupied housing. Rental information is to be obtained from the
occupant. It is sometimes checked against information in registered leases,
which itself may be inaccurate. New buildings are exempt for five years.
In practice, communes use either the number of rooms or the surface floor
Morocco and Tunisia 161
area of the housing unit along with values per room or per square meter
that vary according to the neighborhood to set the tax base for non-rental
units.
The business tax is payable by individuals who pay income tax on
profits or professional income, partnerships, and corporations. It is usually
collected as one-fifth of 1 percent on local gross business income, subject
to a maximum of 20,000 D per business and to a minimum of the notional
TL that would have been collected if these establishments had been subject
to the TL. Such a minimum requires the establishment of a business TL roll,
something that is done in only a few communes. The main issue with the
TCL is that businesses do not provide a proper breakdown of their activ-
ities by communes. As a result, communes like Tunis, where head offices
are located, benefit unduly from it.
Indirect taxes
Other taxes include the electricity surtax collected centrally with a rate of
2 millièmes (1000 millièmes ⫽ 1 D) per kilowatt-hour and justified as
financing street lighting. It also allows the electricity board to cover some
of the expenses of municipal governments. Other taxes include the
entertainment tax (the rate varies between 3 and 18 percent depending on
the type of entertainment) and the tax on beverage houses with more than
ninety tax rates.
In early 1997, the Tunisian parliament adopted modifications to local
taxes to be implemented from January 1, 1997. The main changes were:
• Introduction of the TIB (taxe sur les immeubles bâtis). It requires com-
munes to use notional values per square meter of floor area to establish
the rental tax roll. The proposed values, to be set by presidential decree,
will vary from 2 to 8 dinars per square meter, depending on the size of
the housing unit and the neighbourhood. The TIB replaced the 20
percent tax rate by four tax rates of 8, 10, 12, and 14 percent. These tax
rates will be applied by the communes on an area basis. Areas will be
classified according to the availability of six services: garbage collection,
street lighting, covered roadway, covered sidewalk, sanitary sewers,
and rainwater sewers. The tax rates will be set as follows: one to two ser-
vices: 8 percent; three to four services: 10 percent; five to six services: 12
percent; five to six services and other or better quality services: 14
percent.
• Raise the maximum TCL payable from 20,000 to 50,000 D and distribute
the TCL (and the TH) more accurately, using square meters if necessary
for multi-establishment enterprises.
162 François Vaillancourt
Transfers
Current transfers are paid out by the Fonds commun des collectivités locales
(FCCL). The budget of the FCCL is set by the central government and is
not linked to any specific tax source. It is reviewed annually and is allo-
cated as follows.
• A central reserve receives 25 percent while the communes (CU) and
regional councils (CR) combined receive 75 percent.
• The 75 percent is allocated by decree between CUs (86 percent) and CRs
(14 percent).
The total amount for communes is allocated according to three criteria:
their population (45 percent), their tax effort measured by a three-year
average of collections of the TL (45 percent), and a flat-rate amount for each
(10 percent). Similarly, the total amount for regional councils is allocated
according to their population (85 percent) and with a flat-rate amount for
each (15 percent).
The central reserve is allocated to Tunis (Ville, District, CR), to regional
capitals (chef lieu), to civil protection, to ONAS (Office National de
l’Assainissement, responsible for sewers), and to the Caisse des préts et sub-
ventions aux collectivités locales (CPSCL), the lending agency for local
governments.
Table 5.4. Morocco: sources of funds, local governments, 1991 and 1993
1991 1993
DH millions % DH millions %
Table 5.6. Tunisia: sources of funds, local governments, 1992 and 1993
1992 1993
DI millions % DI %
taxes with centrally set tax rates, while in Tunisia this share is 65 percent.
As a result, they do not control their own revenue and cannot therefore
increase or decrease their provision of local services freely in accordance
with the wishes of their electorate (they can neglect to collect taxes and to
provide services, but this will create tax arrears and unmet needs).
Second, there are similar taxes levied on a single residential tax roll that
could be amalgamated to simplify collection, but which remain separate
because of tradition or small differences in the tax statutes. One reason for
this lack of reform is that these taxes are relatively unimportant in the
national perspective and thus do not attract the attention of key policy-
makers in the Ministry of Finance, where the rate and base setting author-
ity resides.
Third, the two business taxes have shortcomings. The Moroccan patente
tax roll is constructed by acquiring information on the types of goods sold
and on the nature and amount of input used. Each establishment is then
assigned to one of six classes of businesses with tax rates varying from class
to class. To give an example, a dentist’s office will see its tax rate vary
between 15 and 30 percent of rental value according to the number of chairs
and the availability or not of prosthesis-making facilities. This creates micro-
economic distortions in the choice of input mixes but does not take into
account the environmental impact of industrial and commercial activities.
As for the Tunisian TCL, it is levied on gross business income. It does not
take into account the use of land or public infrastructure. As a result, high-
yield square meters in luxury shops generate more TCL than low-yield
square meters in a trucking/warehousing complex, even if the nuisance
and impact of the latter are higher.
Sources of funds
The funding mechanisms are summarized in table 5.8. In general,
Moroccan municipalities have more freedom in their investment and bor-
rowing decisions than their Tunisian counterparts and bear a greater share
of the cost. However, the fit between national and local priorities is
stronger in Tunisia. This is achieved, in part, by the subsidy scheme
described in table 5.9.
Morocco and Tunisia 167
Morocco Tunisia
Own funds available Yes. Excess of current revenues Yes. Excess of current revenues
over expenditures ⫹ sales of over expenditures ⫹ sales of
assets assets
Alternative use Held by government treasury Held by government treasury
Low-yield deposit Low-yield deposit
Loans agency FEC – monopoly CPSCL – monopoly
Interest rate Market 12–13% Non-market 6.5%
(inflation ⬄ 6%) (inflation ⬄ 5%)
Subsidy Before 1995: yes (VAT share) Yes. By CPSCL or ministry with
Since 1996 : no various rates depending on
project (see table 5.9)
Take up condition None Twinned with loan for a
planned project
Project selection By local government on an By consensual process to
annual basis. prepare a five-year plan (PIC).
Loan-financed projects must Projects not in the plan can be
meet repayment capability test. financed by own resources.
Source: Table ronde sur le financement des investissements municipaux dans les pays du Maghreb
(1995), Washington, DC: World Bank.
Table 5.9. Tunisia: sources of funds for investments by local governments, 1995
CPSCL Funds
Notes:
a
Not by CPSCL but by the relevant ministries.
b
The exact percentage of own resources depends on the commune concerned.
Source: Table ronde sur le financement des investissements municipaux dans les pays du Maghreb
(1995), Washington, DC: World Bank.
168 François Vaillancourt
Morocco Tunisia
(1990–94) (1992–96)
Notes:
a
These VAT investment subsidies (ended January
1, 1996) include some transferred investments.
b
22.4 percent of the funds are from the CPSCL and
16.7 percent from various agencies and
departments (mainly ONAS and Youth Ministry).
Source: “L’équipement local et son financement:
cas du Maroc” and “Financement des communes,”
in Table ronde sur la financement des investissements
municipaux dans les pays du Maghreb (1995),
Washington, DC: World Bank.
Some observations
Insofar as cash balances yield low or even negative real returns, there is an
incentive for local governments to invest in low-yielding projects that pay
a slightly higher rate of return. Cash balances should yield the market rate
of interest, preferably in a competitive market for deposits.
The rate of interest on borrowed funds should also be the market rate of
interest in order to face localities with the real cost of funds. Subsidies
should be paid up front in a lump sum (Pechon, 1995).
The use of a variable subsidy rate to reflect the degree of national prior-
ity, which in turn depends on various factors including externalities, is a
good signaling technique. There is no reason, however, to link the receipt
of a grant to that of a loan for local governments with own funds available.
To do so requires them to borrow at a rate higher than the yield on these
funds.
Morocco and Tunisia 169
Overall assessment
In the first three sections, various aspects of the local government systems
in Morocco and Tunisia are presented and examined. In this section, an
overall assessment is provided. Responsibilities and revenues are exam-
ined first, by putting forward three questions, examining what theory and
best practice indicate are sensible answers, and confronting Moroccan and
Tunisian institutions and practice with these answers. A checklist provided
by Bird (1994) is then used to examine the financing of infrastructure.
are not easily priced, by local taxes, such as a property tax, borne by local
users and not exported to residents of other jurisdictions (as business taxes
can be).
Both Moroccan and Tunisian municipal governments receive about 60
percent of their revenues from taxes and fees and 40 percent from current
transfers. This own-revenue share is low by North American standards,
such as the 90 percent observed in Quebec (Vaillancourt, 1995), but not
unusual when compared with various European countries in 1990 (France
65 percent, United Kingdom 40 percent, Germany 55 percent) (Costa,
1996). The fact that, in both cases, most tax rates and fees are not set
autonomously is of greater concern, since it seriously limits local freedom
in establishing the appropriate prices for services.
Conclusion
This chapter has presented and discussed intergovernmental finance
arrangements in Morocco and Tunisia. While both countries have been
influenced by the French system, there are important differences in their
institutions. First, the local sector is less important in Tunisia than in
Morocco (2.5 versus 3.5 percent of GDP: Vaillancourt, 1995) but is less
dependent on transfers for current revenues. Second, the new Moroccan
transfer system is more redistributive than the Tunisian one which is under
review. Third, Moroccan local authorities have more freedom than the
Tunisian ones in choosing investment projects but face market interest
rates.
In some cases, institutional differences are accounted for by these differ-
ences in finance arrangements, while in others, they are hard to justify.
References
Bird, R. (1994), “Decentralizing infrastructure for good or for ill,” Policy Research
Working Paper 1258, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Costa, A. (1996), “Finances locales, une comparaison européenne,” Problèmes
économiques 2481 (August 7 1996): 20–1.
Pechon, F. (1995), “Le rôle du crédit et ses perspectives d’évolution,” in Table ronde
sur le financement des investissements municipaux dans les pays du Maghreb,
Washington, DC: World Bank.
Vaillancourt, F. (1995), “Les collectivités locales dans l’économie: analyse et
comparaisons internationales,” in Table ronde sur le financement des investisse-
ments municipaux dans les pays du Maghreb, Washington, DC: World Bank.
6
Much of this chapter is based on a recent report prepared for the World Bank by the authors
with the assistance of several colleagues (World Bank, 1996a), but it should be emphasized
that the views expressed here are the personal opinions of the authors and are not to be attrib-
uted to any other person or organization.
172
Colombia 173
its own fiscal needs, or a desire to implement its own policies more effec-
tively, the central government looked to decentralization as one way to
deal with its fiscal difficulties, as indicated by its appointment in 1980 of a
Commission on Intergovernmental Finance to study ways in which to
increase reliance on local resources for local purposes.3
The report of this Commission turned out to be only the first of a series
of important measures of fiscal decentralization which have gone on to this
day, especially as one part of a major constitutional reform in 1991.4
Following the continuing and commendably rational path the process of
decentralization has taken to date in Colombia, the law implementing the
fiscal decentralization mandated by this reform (Law 60) contained a
“sunset” clause requiring formal evaluation and, if necessary, revision in
1996. This chapter reflects our participation in this process of evaluation.
Reforming the decentralization law means very different things to
different people in Colombia. The core economic ministries of the central
government – Finance and Planning – are concerned mainly with the loss
of control as a result of the decentralization of revenues to subnational
governments. In their view, these increased transfers lie at the root of the
fiscal difficulties recently experienced by the central government, so their
inclination is clearly to reduce the size of these transfers as well as to
increase central government control of transferred resources. Sector min-
istries such as those in charge of health and education would like to use the
opportunity to reform the law both to increase the amount of resources
available for their sectors and to pursue their own reform agendas.5
Although municipalities and departments do not appear to have a clear
agenda, they would of course like to increase local control over resources
without any reduction in the size of the transfers. Congress, which is in
charge of the reform, similarly does not appear to have a clear agenda and
would rather avoid changes if possible.
In these circumstances, our evaluation of the situation is that no major
overhaul of the existing system is needed. Instead, what is required is a
judicious combination of (1) fine-tuning to eliminate some problems
arising from the present system of transfers, (2) considerable simplification
of the existing rules governing intergovernmental relations, and (3) more,
not less, decentralization. As we argue in this chapter, however, the central
problems relating to decentralization in Colombia require more, not less,
attention by the central government to improve its own performance in a
variety of ways. Once this is done, preferably along the lines sketched here,
the present system of fiscal decentralization as set out in Law 60 should,
we argue, produce broadly acceptable results.
The next three sections of this chapter briefly outline the current system
174 Richard M. Bird and Ariel Fiszbein
National
Revenue 73.9 75.1 79.2
Expenditure 63.8 56.4 59.8
Departmental
Revenue 13.6 13.1 8.4
Expenditure 19.9 20.5 19.2
Municipal
Revenue 12.4 11.8 12.4
Expenditure 16.3 23.0 20.9
share of total public sector activity. In terms of GDP, however, there has
indeed been a marked growth in the importance of the subnational sector.
In 1994, total expenditure at the departmental and municipal levels came
to about 12.6 percent of GDP, compared to 9.2 percent in 1985.13 Combined
departmental and municipal own-source current revenue in the same
years (based on the data underlying table 6.1) was only 6.7 and 5.5 percent
respectively. The conclusion seems obvious: most of the substantial recent
increase in subnational expenditures must have been financed by national
transfers. National transfers rose significantly over this period, from about
2.5 to 5.0 percent of GDP, so that about 60 percent of the expansion of the
subnational sector was accounted for by additional transfer financing.
Another 10 percent was financed by expanded borrowing, with the
balance being accounted for by increased own-source revenues.
From 1988 to 1994, according to the more detailed data in World Bank
(1996a), total municipal government expenditures approximately
doubled, from 2 to 4 percent of GDP, with most of the increase taking place
in 1993–94. Current expenditures rose significantly, from 1.2 to 2.2 percent
of GDP, but capital expenditures increased even more, from 0.7 to 1.8
percent over the period. In real per capita terms, Colombian municipal
governments were spending over three times more on investment in 1994
than in 1988, compared to a doubling of current expenditures (excluding
debt service) over the period.
Over this period, only 37 percent of the expansion of municipal expen-
diture was accounted for by increased national transfers, with another 21
percent being accounted for by increased borrowing, especially in 1994.
Colombia 177
The single most important source of finance for the expanded municipal
sector was thus increased own-source revenues. Municipal governments
have access to potentially lucrative revenues of their own in the form of
property taxes and (at least in the case of the larger urban areas) a tax on
local business (the “industry and commerce tax,” which is mainly levied
on estimated gross receipts).
An important aspect of the municipal government universe in
Colombia, however, is that the big cities are both very important and very
different from the rest. In 1994, for example, the five largest cities
accounted for 69 percent of total local current revenues, 49 percent of
current expenditures, and 34 percent of local investment. They also
accounted for 58 percent of all local borrowing in that year, but they
received only 17 percent of national transfers. In contrast, the 582
municipalities with less than 20,000 inhabitants accounted for only 5
percent of own revenue and less than 4 percent of debt, but they received
30 percent of national transfers and accounted for 12 percent of local
current expenditures and almost 20 percent of local investment.
Colombia’s smaller municipalities have always been very heavily depen-
dent on transfers to sustain their level of activities. The recent constitu-
tional reform definitely increased this dependence on transfers, but the
dependence itself has long been a feature of Colombian local finance.14
Finally, it should be noted that the numbers set out above may be inter-
preted rather differently. It is true that from 1988 to 1994, subnational
current spending (including transfers) increased by about 2.5 percent of
GDP. However, 60 percent of this apparent increase resulted from account-
ing changes in the education expenditure financed by national transfers
and did not reflect increased subnational control over expenditure alloca-
tion.15 For the subnational sector as a whole, increased own revenues over
the period essentially financed the balance of increased current expendi-
ture. In other words, all the remaining increase in national transfers during
the period, like the additional borrowing, went to finance the very sub-
stantial increase that took place in subnational investment (amounting to
1.4 percent of GDP).16 As noted later, this is precisely the result the national
government appears to have wanted.
Intergovernmental transfers
The key to understanding intergovernmental fiscal relations in Colombia
is the system of intergovernmental transfers. This system has three basic
elements: the situado fiscal (SF), the participaciones municipales (PM), and the
sistema nacional de cofinanciación (SNC). The SF consists of 24.5 percent of
178 Richard M. Bird and Ariel Fiszbein
Instruments
Sistema nacional de
Objectives Situado fiscal Participaciones municipales confinanciación
Finance education X X X
Finance health X X X
Finance infrastructure X X
Increase local capacity to X
finance other services
Interregional redistribution X X X
The reality is thus likely to be that it will be difficult to move from the
present inappropriate distribution of official teachers to one more in accord
with needs without putting additional funding into the system to finance
the slower pace of reducing the excess. In other words, it may be that the
only way to get “there” from “here” is by putting more money into the
system – an ironic outcome, if true, given that one of the principal factors
motivating decentralization has clearly been the desire to “off-load” some
social expenditures from the hard-pressed central budget. Change to a
better decentralized system may save funds in the long run, and should
certainly produce more services for the same money, but the transition
process itself is likely to cause considerable friction and to require that
additional resources flow into the system, at least for some period.26
Financing infrastructure
The national government has two reasons for being interested in what
local governments do in financing infrastructure. First, some local infra-
structure projects may involve significant externalities. Second, some such
projects may constitute essential elements of national development pro-
grams. National support of infrastructure related to the provision of basic
education and health services, for example, may qualify for both reasons,
as may national support of projects improving the level and quality of
water supply and sewerage. Support of local roads and some rural
development projects may be justified as part of the national effort to
improve the economic productivity of poor rural areas.
Whatever the rationale for national interest in local investment in physi-
cal infrastructure, concern for the provision of services and the creation of
new infrastructure is inappropriately mixed in the present transfer system.
The amounts allocated through the existing transfer mechanisms bear no
relation to any rational investment policy in critical areas such as educa-
tion and health. Moreover, many of the investment projects currently sup-
ported (for example, with respect to sports and recreation) should likely
not be eligible for national support in any case.
In a decentralized system, in principle, subnational governments should
identify infrastructure needs and execute projects. Financing large infra-
structure projects from local resources alone may of course not always be
possible, given the scanty current revenues of most local governments.
Moreover, small localities seldom have much access to private capital
markets. If small local governments are to carry out costly public works,
they must as a rule rely heavily on grants from higher-level governments.27
In theory, a matching grant, in which the central government pays part
184 Richard M. Bird and Ariel Fiszbein
General-purpose grant
As noted earlier, it appears at present that every transfer program in
Colombia is intended to achieve every objective. In no area is this problem
more obvious than with regard to the redistributive aspect of transfers.
Although every transfer program seems to be intended primarily to give
more to those who have less, the result can hardly be said to be a pattern
of redistribution that makes much sense in terms of either efficiency or
equity.29 Essentially, the argument to this point has been that the two major
growth-related programs with strong interpersonal redistributive ele-
ments – education and health – should be separated out and funded by a
system of national capitation grants, thus emphasizing that the central
distributional issue relating to these programs relates to redistribution
among persons rather than regions. Similarly, the other main direct national
interest in what subnational governments do (the provision of infra-
structure related to these two programs and other projects with significant
spillovers to broader regions) should be separated out more clearly and
financed on a matching grant basis.
Such a system will not work properly, however, unless a final critical
Colombia 185
will in fact use the funds they receive as the central government might wish
– unless receipt is conditioned on performance, and compliance is moni-
tored in some way.
Although it is difficult to measure either “capacity” or “need” in any
fully satisfactory way, some general-purpose grant along these lines is
clearly needed to replace the confusing use of redistributive measures in
the SF and PM transfers. Such a grant will enable all local governments to
operate at some minimum level and provide other services besides health
and education. At the same time, and more importantly, it will partially
compensate for the large differences in fiscal capacity that exist and hence
place all on a more level playing-field with respect to the (essentially) equal
(per service unit) capitation grants proposed above for basic education and
health. The key aspects of the GPG are that the use of the funds thus pro-
vided are at the discretion of the recipient (no earmarking – see next
section) and, especially, that they are distributed according to need and
fiscal capacity.35
tax, the single most important source of local own-source revenues, in most
of the country the tax base can be increased only by the action of a national
agency (the Instituto Geográfico “Agustín Codazzi” for periodic reassess-
ments and the central government for annual inflation indexing). The pro-
vision for automatic adjustment of cadastral values in Law 14 of 1983, for
instance, has been consistently determined by the central government to
mean that such values should be increased by less than the increase in the
consumer price index (CPI).48 When combined with the fact that regular
reassessments in much of the country occur at much longer intervals than
the recommended three years, the result is that the only way that local
governments which levy the maximum allowed rate can increase property
tax collections is by collecting the taxes assessed more rapidly.49
It is common to note the very low level of property taxes in countries
such as Colombia and to argue that there is obviously much room for
increased local “fiscal effort” in this respect. Again, there is of course some
truth in this, although experience everywhere suggests that it is neither
quick nor easy to obtain additional revenues from property taxes
(Dillinger, 1991). In Colombia most local governments have little possibil-
ity of doing so anyway because they control neither the tax rate nor the tax
base. In the larger cities the most “flexible” local tax is a tax on business –
the (not particularly desirable) industry and commerce tax.50 However,
there is little scope for this tax in the smaller municipalities, many of which
have little of either industry or commerce. Indeed, in the smaller commu-
nities it is hard to see any way in which local governments could increase
revenues quickly other than by borrowing – a fact which may explain at
least some of the increase in recourse to this source that has occurred in
recent years.
On the whole, the evidence to date in Colombia appears to support more
the so-called “flypaper effect” – that is, that transfers tend to increase total
expenditures by about the same amount as the transfers because local
taxes are not reduced – than the “fiscal effort hypothesis” that increased
transfers result in reduced local taxes. If so, this casts doubt on the good
sense of following the frequent advice to place still greater weight on
rewarding fiscal effort by increased transfers – unless, for some reason that
is far from clear in the context of Colombia today, a larger public sector is
in itself assumed to be a major policy objective.
The correct focus of attention with respect to subnational revenues in
Colombia is thus not the arguable and, it appears, so far unimportant
deterrent effect of increased transfers on local revenues but rather the more
important questions of the effects of these transfers on local expenditures
and the inadequate design of both the major transfers and of most local
Colombia 191
other Latin American countries such as Argentina and Brazil, the basic
worry is that increased national transfers will induce subnational govern-
ments to cut their own taxes while expanding expenditures both through
increased transfers and through “leveraging” increased borrowing of their
new (transfer) revenue base. Subnational deficits, and hence total public
sector spending and the overall public sector deficit, will hence expand.
Although little or no evidence of such destabilizing effects in Colombia is
visible to date, even those whose studies produce such reassuring news are
quick to point out that the future may be worse in this respect, as transfers
continue to expand and local governments become more irresponsible.52
When the national government transfers revenues to subnational
governments, it also, as a rule, transfers expenditures. This has certainly
been the case in Colombia over the last few years: the entire increase in the
SF, for example, and (as discussed above) the entire transfer to municipal-
ities has been explicitly earmarked, in effect, for specific expenditures. In
other words, subnational expenditures in principle should, in the absence
of behavioral reactions, increase by exactly the same amount as subna-
tional revenues. That is, revenues available for expenditure at the national
level decline and those available at the subnational level rise by the same
amount as subnational expenditures. In this framework, the overall effect
of this accounting change obviously depends not on the amount of the
transfers but rather on two other factors: what happens to national expen-
ditures and what happens to non-transfer (own) subnational revenues.
Consider the latter first. One of three things may happen to subnational
revenues as a result of increased transfers: they may decline (“fiscal lazi-
ness,” decrease in fiscal effort, or “substitution effect” of transfers); they
may remain the same as in the absence of transfers (“flypaper effect”); or
they may – as some seem to desire – actually increase local own revenues
(“stimulative effect” of grants). As discussed above the evidence, such as
it is, suggests that, at least up to now, there is no evidence of a decrease in
fiscal effort. In other words, the local reaction to transfers suggests that
there has been no change in the size of public spending and deficits (“fly-
paper”) or even an increase in the size of local spending but not in the
deficit (“stimulation”).
Now consider national spending. Unless national spending falls by at
least the amount of the transfer, the result will definitely be an increase in
both the total size of the public sector and the size of the public sector
deficit. Table 6.4 illustrates the various possible outcomes. In this table,
national expenditures and subnational revenues are the critical exogenous
variables, national revenues are assumed to be given, and subnational
expenditures are assumed to increase by the amount of national transfers.
Colombia 193
Gn ⫺ ⫺ ⫺ 0 0 0 ⫹ ⫹ ⫹
Gs ⫹ ⫹ ⫹ ⫹ ⫹ ⫹ ⫹ ⫹ ⫹
Gt ? ? ? ⫹ ⫹ ⫹ ⫹⫹ ⫹⫹ ⫹⫹
Ts ⫺ 0 ⫹ ⫺ 0 ⫹ ⫺ 0 ⫹
Dn ⫺ ⫺ ⫺ 0 0 0 ⫹ ⫹ ⫹
Ds ⫹ 0 ⫺ ⫹ 0 ⫺ ⫹ 0 ⫺
Dt ? ⫺ ⫺⫺ ⫹ 0 ⫺ ⫹⫹ ⫹ ?
Key:
Gn National government expenditure (excluding transfers)
Gs Subnational government expenditure (including transfers)
Gt Total public sector expenditure (Gn⫹Gs )
Ts Subnational own revenues
Ds Subnational deficit including transfers (Gs⫺Ts )
Dn National deficit excluding transfers (Gn⫺Tn ); Tn assumed constant
Dt Total public sector deficit (since Tn constant, varies as Gt⫺Ts )
Under these circumstances, total spending – the size of the public sector –
will increase as a result of increased transfers unless national spending
declines by the same amount (or, most improbably, subnational taxes and
hence own-revenue financed subnational spending fall by more than trans-
fers!). Similarly, the total public sector deficit will increase with increased
transfers unless national spending declines proportionately, unless (again
most improbably) offset by a large enough increase in local taxes. In short,
given that on the whole the evidence suggests that local taxes will remain
steady or increase a little, rather than decline (or increase a lot), the key to
the impact of increased transfers on macro stability lies in the behavior of
national (non-transfer) spending.
How does this analysis work out in Colombia? One view is that most of
the marked adverse swing in public sector current saving in recent years
is attributable to increased transfers, and some have interpreted this to
mean that increased transfers to regions are the villain on the macro scene.
This seems unwarranted. In the first place, the total magnitude of the real
increase in regional transfers is much smaller than the swing in the deficit.
Most of the apparent increase in central government transfers is attribut-
able to (1) the reform of the social security system, which involves a transi-
tional increase in (non-regional) transfers in order to make explicit a deficit
that was always there but not previously accounted for explicitly, and (2)
the redefinition of the SF to encompass a wider range of educational
expenditures. These expenditures were previously shown as national
194 Richard M. Bird and Ariel Fiszbein
they deserve by virtue of the incentives their policies create for local
governments. The central role of central governments in determining the
outcome of fiscal decentralization is clearly evidenced by recent
Colombian experience.
Notes
1 A brief account of this history and the situation at end of the 1970s described in
the rest of this paragraph may be found in Bird (1984). The next two paragraphs
closely follow portions of a previous update in Bird (1990a).
2 For an account of fiscal policy in the early postwar years, see Bird (1970); a
comparative analysis of more recent years may be found in Perry (1992).
3 The Commission report was published as DNP (1981); Bird (1984) is an English
version of this report.
4 For an outline and discussion of the relevant constitutional changes, see
Wiesner (1992).
5 For example, the Ministry of Health wants to adjust the decentralization law to
help implement a reform of the social insurance system.
6 The last of these problems is, for example, at the centre of recent critical papers
on fiscal decentralization by Prud’homme (1995), and Tanzi (1995); our own
views on the pros and cons of decentralization are on the whole closer to those
in two subsequent papers responding to Prud’homme – McLure (1995) and
Sewell (1996).
7 Unfortunately, it sometimes seems that all anyone outside Colombia knows
about the country is its problems with drugs and political violence. Both of
these problems exist, and are important, but since neither of them affects the
issues discussed in this chapter in any fundamental way, they are not further
discussed here.
8 See the discussion of the institutional structure for providing these services in
World Bank (1996a: annexes 1 and 2), as well as the earlier discussion in Bird
(1984).
9 Most of the figures in this paragraph are taken from Ferreira and Valenzuela
(1993). It should perhaps be noted that, as is common in Latin America, a
municipio includes both any urban area (cabecera) and the surrounding rural ter-
ritory, so some counted as “urban” may live in very small communities indeed.
Nonetheless, there is no question that the bulk of the Colombian people now
live in urban areas, rather than in rural areas as was the case only thirty years
ago.
10 See World Bank (1994) for a detailed study of poverty in Colombia.
11 Data from Wiesner (1995). The difference between the revenue and expenditure
figures cited reflects the importance of central government transfers, as dis-
cussed below.
12 A word of caution seems warranted with respect to these (and most other)
public sector figures in Colombia, namely, that it is not difficult to find differ-
ent figures that seem to refer to the same concepts for the same years. To illus-
Colombia 199
trate: the figures in table 6.1 were obtained from the Departamento Nacional de
Planeación in September 1996 as a result of a request to duplicate and update
the similar figures in Wiesner (1995: 128). Nonetheless, the figures in table 6.1
for 1985 (the only year of overlap) are significantly different from those in
Wiesner, and no clear trends are shown in the table. Still, one has to work with
what one has, and these were the latest authoritative data available at the time
of writing this chapter.
13 However, on the basis of data in World Bank (1996a: annex 3), which net out
transfers within the subnational sector, the 1994 figure for the subnational
sector is only 10.6 percent of GDP; again, it is difficult to reconcile figures from
different sources. Unless otherwise indicated, the remaining data in this section
come from the source just cited.
14 This is, for example, one of the major themes in Bird (1984).
15 See the discussion in DNP (1995a).
16 The excess of transfers plus borrowing over investment is accounted for by
various “balancing” items that have not been explicitly discussed here.
17 All these figures are as estimated in World Bank (1996a). For discussion of these
transfers, see also Wiesner (1995).
18 Through the use of quotas (cupos) and differential matching rates, SNC is also
used as a redistributive instrument, but this aspect is not further discussed here.
19 The poverty indicator used – the NBI (necesidades básicas insatisfechas) index –
has been shown to be quite deficient (World Bank, 1994).
20 For example, 30 percent of the PM spent on education was used to pay teach-
ers’ salaries (DNP, 1995a).
21 This estimate is based on unpublished data kindly made available to the
authors by DNP.
22 These guiding principles are widely accepted in the international literature, for
example, Shah (1994) and Bird (1990b). Note that we are not discussing the
arguably quite distinct case of “truly federal” countries; on this, see Bird (1995)
and Bird and Chen (1996).
23 Unfortunately, it is not possible within the limits of this chapter to describe the
complex present arrangements for financing education and health or the
equally complex current proposals for reform in these areas, so readers may
have to take some of the following in faith; for detailed analysis, see World Bank
(1996a): annexes 1 [on education] and 2 [on health].
24 See World Bank (1996a: annexes 1 and 2), for further discussion.
25 Specific ways of implementing such a system are discussed in detail in World
Bank (1996a), which considers such questions as the unit cost of provision, the
number of units provided, the rate of extension of coverage, adjustments to unit
cost over time, the division of transfers between departmental and municipal
levels of government, the rate of transition, and the monitoring and enforce-
ment of the system.
26 More positively, it should be noted that this cost is already being paid since the
current system is not conducive to expenditure rationalization and cost control.
Under the proposed system, this additional cost would have not only a purpose
but also, more importantly, a termination date.
200 Richard M. Bird and Ariel Fiszbein
27 Subsidized loans could be used instead, but this common practice is undesir-
able. Rather than (in effect) mixing grants and loans in this way, it is better to
keep them separate: give a grant where warranted, but otherwise require all
lending to be done on commercial terms, with no explicit or implicit national
subsidies or guarantees.
28 This is the concept of “wealth neutrality” popularized by Feldstein (1975).
29 See, for example, the discussion in Wiesner (1995), Sánchez and Gutiérrez
(1995), and World Bank (1996a: annex 3).
30 The economic case for such equalization transfers is often confused with
questions more properly related to interpersonal redistribution. The basic
argument is that since it has been decided, for whatever reason, to charge
local governments with the delivery of an adequate “minimum bundle” of
local public services to citizens, and all citizens of Colombia should be enti-
tled to some basic level of such services regardless of where they happen to
live, equalizing transfers to localities (not persons) are needed to achieve this
goal.
It should perhaps be noted that this objective of providing similar public ser-
vices regardless of location may conflict with the desirability of migration from
less (privately) productive to more productive locations. Although this subject
has been discussed extensively (if not very conclusively) in the literature, it is
not further considered here on the assumption that in Colombian conditions,
the relatively small differences in location-specific public service bundles
(excluding education and health, which are assumed to be portable) that might
result in different locations from an equalization program are unlikely to be sig-
nificant factors in migration decisions.
31 See the extensive analysis of the surprising degree of local “capacity” to manage
efficiently in World Bank (1995).
32 For a related argument, see Bird (1993).
33 See, for example, Shah (1994) and Ahmad (1997).
34 Caution is necessary in introducing such differentials because it is easy to turn
a simple, transparent formula into an obscure and manipulable one by intro-
ducing too many refinements in the definition of the elements of the formula.
35 Those interested in the details of how the general scheme sketched in this
section would work in Colombia are referred to World Bank (1996a), especially
annex 5.
36 In a clever bit of wordplay “social investment” has been interpreted to cover the
salaries of education and health workers. But one cannot get the streets cleaned
this way.
37 The tendency to “over-regulate” expenditure in advance, in a futile attempt to
make up for the failure to monitor adequately what is actually done is an old
and pervasive problem in Colombia; see, for example, the discussion in Bird
(1992).
38 McCleary and Uribe (1990), for example, estimated that two-thirds of munici-
pal, and four-fifths of departmental, current income were earmarked if net
public enterprise profits were included. This ratio fell to only about 20 percent
of current revenues for municipal governments if net profits of their enterprises
Colombia 201
were excluded; the similar figure for departments was over 75 percent. For a
similar analysis for earlier years, see Bird (1984).
39 A particularly egregious recent example is the requirement in a recent “anti-cor-
ruption” law that all local governments, no matter how small, must establish
and maintain a free “800” number for citizen complaints. The cost of comply-
ing with this provision in some of the more remote localities which do not even
have telephone service could easily exceed the entire PM transfer!
40 For details, see World Bank (1996a: annex 4).
41 Note that this is in addition to any earmarking that may have been imposed by
the local governments themselves; the practice seems as popular at the local
level as elsewhere in Colombia, but of course the implications of local councils
voluntarily choosing to limit their expenditure choices are quite different from
those of having such limits imposed upon them.
42 Although based on data from DNP (1995d), our conclusion differs because the
DNP analysis considers only the amount of the inversión forzosa portion of the
transfer that is so spent rather than the total amount of the transfer that is spent
on education.
43 See Bird (1984), as subsequently updated in part in World Bank (1987) and
World Bank (1989), and Wiesner (1992); see also Wiesner (1995).
44 See, for example, Wiesner (1995), Steiner and Correa (1994), Ferreira and
Valenzuela (1993), Fainboim, Acosta, and Cadena (1994), Vargas et al. (1994),
Junguito, Melo, and Misa (1995), Maldonado (1995), Sánchez and Gutiérrez
(1994, 1995), CGR (1995), and DNP (1995b).
45 The empirical evidence of an adverse effect on effort in studies such as those
cited in note 44 is mixed – some studies find such an effect and some do not.
Moreover, many studies appear to be flawed either in terms of data (few studies
seem to have taken much care in assembling or understanding the data used)
or methodologically. To cite only two examples from the “effort” literature:
Slack and Bird (1983), in an early econometric study, found an adverse effect on
fiscal effort, but this study relates the SF to departmental own revenues even
though the SF is not received by the departmental governments and there was
therefore no reason to expect their fiscal behavior to react to changes in it. More
recently, Steiner and Correa (1994) contended that they found “fiscal apathy” at
the subnational level, but this conclusion rests on regressing local tax revenues
on national transfers, and it is hard to see how one could expect any other result,
given the inelasticity of most local taxes and the rapid increases in national
transfers as a result of the constitutional reform. To interpret such results as
telling us anything meaningful about local fiscal effort seems hardly legitimate.
46 See above and World Bank (1996a: annex 3).
47 See Bird (1976) and Bird and Slack (1990), and sources cited therein, for earlier
discussions of this issue.
48 See the discussion in World Bank (1989); matters have not changed in this
respect since this report was written.
49 To put this point another way, as Linn (1980) shows, the effective rate of
property tax is a function of the collection ratio, the statutory rate, exemp-
tions, and the assessment ratio. Let TC ⫽ taxes collected, TL ⫽ taxes assessed,
202 Richard M. Bird and Ariel Fiszbein
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7
206
Argentina 207
government; both the central and subnational levels share the faculty to
raise indirect taxes whereas the former can levy direct taxes only for
limited time periods and on grounds of defense, common security, and
general welfare.11 Put plainly, however, the implementation of the main
direct tax in Argentina (income tax) amounts in practice to provinces yield-
ing their control of this tax to the national government.12 Local govern-
ments’ fiscal powers, as described by provincial constitutions, normally
apply to user charges for services rendered to residents; municipalities are,
however, empowered to collect taxes on property, business, and consump-
tion,13 and contributions for improvements.
The actual tax assignment in Argentina, as shown in table 7.1, shows that
the assignment of revenue sources to various government levels is broadly
consistent with the widely accepted Musgravian economic criteria.
Fiscal instruments are more efficiently and equitably administered by
the central government in the case of:
• tax bases unevenly distributed among jurisdictions
• taxes on mobile production factors
• taxes aimed at stabilization and redistribution goals
Fiscal instruments fare better at the subnational and local levels in the
case of:
• taxes on totally immobile factors and assets
• residence-based taxes on consumption
Fiscal instruments such as benefit contributions and user charges are
suited to all levels.
Table 7.1 already hints at what will become clear in the quantitative over-
view of the following section; that is, that overlapping tax systems (rather
than separate revenue sources)14 founded on jurisdictions’ fiscal faculties
led to revenue-sharing as the preferred method of tax coordination in
Argentina. Starting in 1935, revenue-sharing has thus become the main
intergovernmental fiscal arrangement, whereby the central government
and the provinces intended to achieve the goal of avoiding tax competition
among jurisdictions. They also aimed to ensure that both levels had direct
access to tax revenues that were sufficient to close the fiscal gap. In other
words, the rationale for the system was that transfers from shared taxes,
plus their own revenues, should in principle permit provinces to finance
their spending functions.15
Table 7.1 shows that the primary distribution16 of shared national taxes
involves not only the central and subnational levels but also national and
provincial17 social security systems and diverse funds accruing to
Table 7.1. Argentina: tax assignment – responsibility for administration, collection and disposition of revenues (percentage
shares in tax revenues)
A. Tax levied by the central (national) government
Provinces and
the city of National social Provincial social Various provincial
Nation Buenos Aires security system security systems fundsa
Note: a Existing funds are mainly conditional transfers to provinces for their use in the following fields: energy, infrastructure, roads, public
works, housing, and education. There also exists a subsidiary fund for regional compensation and another for unconditional Treasury grants to
provinces.
Note: b Notwithstanding marked similarities, there are in Argentina twenty-three provincial tax-sharing systems. Revenue disposition has been
illustrated here by the prevailing scheme in the province of Córdoba, which fairly represents the rest.
Property tax
Contribution on improvements
Business tax
Advertisement and publicity tax
Tax on raffles and other games of chance
Tax on energy sale
Tax on cemetries’ occupancy
Various fees and user chargesd
Notes:
c
This fiscal revenue pattern belongs to the city of Cordoba’s municipal government but, again, most local governments in Argentina share the
same revenue structure.
d
Fees received by municipalities are normally collected for streets, pavements, and public spaces’ occupancy, and for applications or requests to
the local government for an administrative action. User charges are normally linked to sanitary protection and inspections in public places, as
well as to the approval, supervision, and inspection of gas networks, and the construction of houses and buildings within municipal boundaries.
Argentina 213
Equalizing criteria
Spending needs
Total for
Devolution Current Minimum Supply Tax equalizing
criteria spending spending cost capacity criteria
Period (1935–53)
Law 12139 (1935)
Internal taxes on 91 — 9 — — 9
consumption
Internal taxes on 100 — — — — 0
production
Law 12143 (1935) 40 30 30 — — 60
Law 12147 (1935) 40 30 30 — — 60
Decree 14342 (1946) 40 30 30 — — 60
Law 12956 (1947) 36 27 27 10 — 64
Law 14060 (1951) 100 — — — — 0
Period (1954–72)
Law 14390 (1954) 16 — 82 — 2 84
Law 14788 (1959) 25 25 25 25 — 75
Period (1973–84)
Law 20221 (1973) 0 — 65 10 25 100
Period (1985–95)
Law 23548 (1988)a — — — — — —
Note: a Existing laws, for this period, do not specify any method for the calculation of
distribution indices.
Source: Own estimates based on mentioned legal regimes.
Table 7.3. Distribution of tax revenue by source and level of government, 1995
Indirect tax
Income Social security Property Other
tax contributions tax domestic internation. taxes Total
Source: Own estimates based on figures from the Informe Económico 1995, Secretary for
Economic Programming, Argentina, April 1996.
Notes:
a
Includes transfers due to any existing interjurisdictional fiscal arrangement between the
central government and the provinces.
b
It includes revenues of all kinds (excludes borrowing).
c
When the overall fiscal deficit is allowed for (see note 28).
Source: Own estimates based on figures from the “Informe Económico 1995,” Secretary for
Economic Programming, Argentina, April 1996 and on data from the Secretary for the
Assistance to the Provincial Economic Reform.
Non- Non-
Automatic automatic Automatic aut.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Total
1983 27.0 0.0 18.1 45.8 0.0 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.3 19.7 1.3 100
1984 28.9 0.0 18.8 40.4 0.0 4.4 0.0. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 0.4 13.8 1.0 100
1985 65.3 0.0 10.9 11.7 0.0 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.8 19.7 1.5 100
1986 60.9 0.0 11.6 14.6 0.0 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8 0.9 10.7 2.0 100
1987 55.5 1.9 18.9 15.7 0.0 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.7 15.2 1.3 100
1988 57.9 7.5 11.8 11.0 0.0 5.8 0.0 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.6 11.2 0.9 100
1989 60.3 8.8 17.6 11.7 9.4 2.1 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 17.4 0.3 100
1990 65.6 2.0 18.1 10.9 3.8 1.7 0.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.1 11.5 1.7 100
1991 73.8 2.2 14.9 11.2 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.6 0.0 2.9 0.3 1.9 0.2 18.6 1.1 100
1992 66.3 1.5 14.1 11.7 0.0 1.7 8.9 0.9 2.2 2.1 0.9 3.4 0.6 15.6 0.2 100
1993 62.7 3.8 13.8 12.5 0.0 1.9 9.0 1.4 4.2 1.1 1.0 1.6 0.7 15.8 0.6 100
1994 61.7 3.6 13.4 13.5 0.0 1.9 8.7 1.2 5.4 0.8 1.0 1.8 0.5 16.2 0.2 100
1995 63.5 3.8 13.8 12.0 0.3 2.0 9.2 0.8 6.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.6 15.2 0.4 100
Key to columns:
1. Tax-sharing system 19. Income tax (infrastructure)
2. Disequilibria fund 10. Educational fund
3. Royalties 11. Infrastructure transfer
4. National Treasury grants (ATN) 12. Others
5. Anticipated taxes 13. Energy fund (FEDEI)
6. Road construction 14. National housing fund (FONAVI)
7. Decentralized services 15. Regional Disequilibria fund
8. Social security
Source: Own estimates based on figures from the Secretary for the Assistance to the Provincial Economic Reform.
220 Ernesto Rezk
1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995
(millions of 1995 pesos)
To 4 090 5 445 5 637 6 793 6 092 5 308 4 359 5 101 6 081 8 374 9 443 9 959 8 999
Ts 3 352 3 070 6 836 7 652 7 479 6 639 6 693 6 471 8 960 9 871 9 629 9 807 9 082
R 1 067 1 235 1 007 1 583 1 381 1 220 1 256 985 1 070 1 604 4 836 1 989 1 967
Go 6 688 5 227 1 321 2 027 2 226 2 324 3 047 1 463 1 210 1 082 1 553 1 659 1 422
Gc 2 359 2 323 2 315 2 895 3 764 2 495 1 368 1 925 1 975 3 939 4 178 4 421 3 800
B ⫺605 2 318 1 003 1 272 2 718 3 372 1 172 3 080 1 774 639 ⫺217 1 947 3 734
E 16 951 19 617 18 120 22 222 23 660 21 359 17 895 19 025 21 070 25 509 29 422 29 783 29 004
V 0.47 0.62 0.80 0.78 0.75 0.77 0.75 0.82 0.85 0.80 0.81 0.80 0.82
Ve 0.50 0.50 0.74 0.72 0.63 0.62 0.69 0.66 0.76 0.78 0.81 0.73 0.69
Vce 0.30 0.34 0.37 0.38 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.32 0.34 0.39 0.49 0.40 0.38
Key to rows:
ce
V ⫽ 1 ⫺ [(Go ⫹ Gc)/E]
V ⫽ 1 ⫺ [(Go ⫹ Gc ⫹ 〉)/E]
c e
Vce ⫽ 1 ⫺ [(Ts ⫹ Go ⫹ Gc ⫹ 〉)/E]
where:
Go Unconditional national grants to provinces
Gc Conditional grants to provinces
B Net borrowing by provinces
Ts Provinces’ revenue from shared national taxes
To Provinces’ own tax revenue
R Provinces’ other non-fiscal revenue
E Provincial expenditure
Source: Own estimates based on figures from the Secretary for the Assistance to the Provincial Economic Reform.
Argentina 223
national tax revenues, which is in line with the enlargement of the fiscal
gap (table 7.8) and with the trend followed by V in the second half of the
decade.39
Values for the measures V (when shared revenue and net borrowing are
both considered part of subnational governments’ own revenue) also
exhibited a cyclical pattern throughout the period considered, their respec-
tive maximum and minimum figures being 85 percent for 1991 and 47
percent for 1983. The 80 percent floor achieved since 1990 (in spite of
important increases in overall provincial public expenditure) responded to
improvements in the collection of national taxes (mainly VAT and income
tax) and this was immediately reflected in revenue-sharing and in the
other transfers to provinces (including the conditional ones for decentral-
ized services).
In sum, while Vce figures depict in general a poor provincial per-
formance, as regards their own fiscal base40 (excluding shared taxes), the
coefficient’s value approached the level of many federations (except
Brazil) when shared revenues were included among the provinces’ own
fiscal resources, and even reflected a smaller fiscal gap than in Australia or
Canada, where V reaches 70 percent on average. This positive feature
points out that despite possible imperfections, revenue-sharing can still be
regarded as the best available option for the system of federal finances in
Argentina.41
Measures aimed at checking the problem of vertical fiscal imbalances
entailed a mix of instruments on the part of the federal government: condi-
tional and unconditional transfers summarized as follows, as already
shown in table 7.7. Conditional transfers, amounting to 26.7 percent in
1995, included automatic grants for financing services decentralized to
provinces and to the city of Buenos Aires (9.2 percent) and a further set of
other automatic transfers for specific use, accruing from diverse funds, of
which infrastructure (6.1 percent), house-building (5.2 percent), road
construction (2 percent), social security (0.8 percent) and energy (0.6
percent) are particularly worth mentioning. The non-automatic condi-
tional transfer was fed from a Regional Disequilibria Fund whose share
(0.4 percent) was almost nominal and far from being decisive in any policy
sense.
As for unconditional transfers, apart from the already mentioned domi-
nant part taken by existing revenue-sharing arrangements (table 7.7), that
made up 63.5 percent of a total of 73.4 percent in 1995, the remaining auto-
matic grants consisted of royalties to oil-producing provinces (3.8 percent)
and of payments from the Fiscal Disequilibria Fund (3.8 percent) set up in
1993 as a part of the Fiscal Agreement42 between the central government
224 Ernesto Rezk
Conclusions
This chapter has clearly shown that Argentina has not so far taken advantage
of the possibilities arising from its federal institutional setting, despite exist-
ing constitutional provisions whereby subnational and local governments
are given significant independent fiscal and spending functions. In particu-
lar, decentralization has been more marked in spending than in the tax field
thus creating a situation of vertical fiscal imbalance, which in turn has
entailed a resort to diverse conditional and unconditional federal grants.
In several important fields, spending decentralization took place mainly
through delegation49 which, together with the marked tax collection
concentration at the national level, brought about a lesser degree of finan-
cial autonomy on the part of the subnational level and a gradual switch of
Table 7.9. Provincial social and economic indicators
Index of per
capita pro-
Provinces’ vincial GDP Surface Population Unemploy- Activity Poverty
share of (Average ⫽ Population area density for ment rate rate for index for
GDP (%) 100) for 1995 (sq. km.) 1995 for 1995 (%) 1995 (%) 1995 (%)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
High Revenue 1 78.3 114 23 671 686 754 926 31 15.7 44.17 15.8
MCBAa 22.9 265 2 988 006 200 14 940 13.3 49.00 8.1
Santa Fe 9.7 114 2 934 220 133 007 22 18.4 41.00 17.6
Mendoza 4.4 101 1 500 818 148 827 10 6.7 37.30 17.6
Buenos Aires 33.8 88 13 333 670 307 571 43 16.6 45.90 17.1
Cordoba 7.5 89 2 914 972 165 321 18 15.9 38.00 15.1
High Revenue 2 6.5 114 1 971 777 930 423 2 13.2 40.70 20.3
Tierra del Fuego n.a. n.a. 96 917 21 263 5 10.4 40.80 22.4
Santa Cruz 0.7 134 180 115 243 943 1 7.1 38.80 14.7
La Pampa 1.1 135 280 876 143 440 2 10.6 41.90 13.5
Chubut 1.5 131 396 800 224 686 2 14.5 39.00 21.9
Neuquen 1.5 113 460 395 94 078 5 16.5 40.10 21.4
Rio Negro 1.7 106 556 674 203 013 3 13.5 42.40 23.2
Medium Revenue 9.7 72 4 647 860 476 411 10 15.1 36.75 27.5
Tucuman 2.9 83 1 209 716 22 524 54 19.2 37.30 27.7
San Luis 0.7 76 320 109 76 748 4 10.4 38.50 21.5
Salta 1.9 69 952 174 155 488 6 15.7 38.00 37.1
Jujuy 1.1 69 551 804 53 219 10 12.4 33.80 35.5
Entre Rios 2.1 68 1 063 416 78 781 13 13.2 35.10 20.6
San Juan 1.0 63 550 641 89 651 6 14.0 38.50 19.8
Low Revenue 1 4.7 43 3 761 596 426 050 9 10.6 34.26 36.0
Corrientes 1.3 53 852 685 88 199 10 14.7 35.60 31.4
Santiago del Estero 0.9 45 696 092 136 351 5 8.6 32.70 38.2
Chaco 1.1 43 890 548 99 633 9 12.8 33.40 39.5
Misiones 1.0 39 877 904 29 801 29 7.8 35.70 33.6
Formosa 0.4 31 444 367 72 066 6 6.4 33.00 39.1
Low Revenue 2 0.8 52 533 725 192 282 3 11.8 36.37 27.7
Catamarca 0.5 60 287 567 102 602 3 12.2 36.60 28.2
La Rioja 0.3 42 246 158 8 9680 3 11.3 36.10 27.0
All provinces 100.0 100 34 586 644 2 780 092 12 15.0 41.77 19.9
Maximum value 33.8 265 13 333 670 307 571 14 940 19.2 49.00 39.5
Minimum value 0.3 31 96 917 200 1 6.4 32.70 8.1
Average 4.2 84 1 441 110 1 158 837 634 12.6 38.30 24.7
Standard deviation 7.8 51 2 616 918 73 433 2 983 3.5 3.90 8.8
Max./min. value 112.7 9 138 1 538 20 234 3.0 1.50 4.9
High Revenue 1 702 401 360 47 295 188 2 105 726 636 90
MCBA 976 901 837 65 73 55 0 18 969 888 80
Santa Fe 754 334 297 42 415 296 0 119 764 699 64
Mendoza 781 284 257 84 440 270 32 137 832 727 105
Buenos Aires 600 321 287 36 278 160 0 117 616 525 90
Cordoba 791 383 324 65 403 298 0 105 888 772 116
High Revenue 2 1 628 401 248 169 1 210 498 234 478 1 903 1 489 414
Tierra del Fuego 3 626 700 587 147 2 903 734 350 1 819 4 665 3 886 779
Santa Cruz 2 826 513 319 199 2 302 866 479 957 2 917 2 079 843
La Pampa 1 719 556 260 311 1 152 650 22 480 1 607 1 195 408
Chubut 1 106 187 110 92 901 390 144 367 1 376 1 183 195
Neuquen 1 748 489 259 241 1 239 376 527 336 2 152 1 555 597
Rio Negro 1 150 321 252 87 813 441 71 301 1 456 1 227 230
Medium Revenue 912 223 153 83 676 459 5 212 1 033 875 158
Tucuman 704 155 128 28 548 381 0 166 831 675 156
San Luis 1 428 251 248 96 1 084 704 0 379 1 614 1 132 482
Salta 805 201 94 115 596 394 16 186 942 810 132
Jujuy 1 026 253 93 169 766 500 0 266 1 140 982 158
Entre Rios 967 317 247 80 641 444 6 192 957 871 85
San Juan 1 033 181 133 60 838 591 4 243 1 341 1 179 162
Low Revenue 1 870 106 91 39 740 511 3 226 930 783 148
Corrientes 726 91 79 20 627 422 0 205 747 654 93
Santiago del Estero 965 121 96 37 831 569 0 262 1 036 916 121
Chaco 885 112 100 53 732 542 0 190 894 752 141
Misiones 695 106 102 16 578 370 11 197 804 665 139
Formosa 1 312 101 67 95 1 151 805 7 339 1 435 1 112 325
Low Revenue 2 1 769 157 88 75 1 606 885 0 721 1 910 1 738 172
Catamarca 1 499 110 99 14 1 386 933 0 452 1 746 1 647 99
La Rioja 2 087 212 75 146 1 866 829 0 1 037 2 104 1 845 258
All provinces 817 341 292 58 466 288 16 163 874 749 125
Maximum value 3 626 901 837 311 2 903 933 527 1 819 4 665 3 886 843
Minimum value 600 91 67 14 73 55 0 18 616 525 64
Average 1 259 300 223 96 940 501 69 370 1 410 1 166 244
Standard deviation 709 201 175 73 635 222 150 383 866 688 216
Max./min. value 6 10 13 22 40 17 — 101 8 7 13
Source: Own estimates based on figures from the Secretary for the Assistance to the Provincial Economic Reform.
230 Ernesto Rezk
Per capita
Employees Wage spending spending in
per thousand per employee personnel
inhabitants (US$) (US$)
High Revenue 1
MCBA 27 1 631 538
Santa Fe 31 1 080 400
Mendoza 28 1 307 435
Buenos Aires 22 1 003 260
Cordoba 28 1 281 427
High Revenue 2
Tierra del Fuego 53 3 292 2 095
Santa Cruz 76 1 791 1 627
La Pampa 57 1 051 716
Chubut 47 1 317 749
Neuquen 62 1 321 986
Rio Negro 53 1 240 781
Medium Revenue
Tucuman 45 786 427
San Luis 54 1 007 653
Salta 44 1 012 530
Jujuy 51 1 024 625
Entre Rios 41 1 068 529
San Juan 64 816 628
Low Revenue 1
Corrientes 45 842 454
Santiago del Estero 56 826 552
Chaco 41 1 164 569
Misiones 39 897 420
Formosa 72 898 776
Low Revenue 2
Catamarca 81 1 016 984
La Rioja 97 1 031 1 194
All provinces
Maximum value 97 3 292 2 095
Minimum value 22 786 260
Average 51 1 196 723
Standard deviation 18 500 408
Max./min. value 4 4 4
Source: Own estimates based on figures from the Secretary for the Assistance to the
Provincial Economic Reform.
Source: Own estimates based on figures from the Secretary for the Assistance to the
Provincial Economic Reform and from Nuñez Miñana and Porto (1983).
Notes
1 Tanzi (1995: 296) argued that the creation of a central entity transcending the
European member states in some economic functions opened up a debate
which was similar to those analyzed in discussions relating fiscal federalism
and fiscal decentralization.
Argentina 233
2 Argentina is, however, a good example for showing that fiscal decentraliza-
tion is progressing but is subject to important setbacks: the central govern-
ment, on the grounds of achieving macroeconomic stabilization goals, has
enforced since 1992 a Fiscal Agreement whereby provincial governments
have had to limit their total spending and to revise and adapt (following
national guidelines) their tax systems in exchange for a guaranteed shared
revenue floor.
3 Although a more precise concept would be that policies favoring decentralized
decision-making enable governments to perform their assigned tax and spend-
ing activities subject to efficiency and equity objectives.
4 Each depending on the degree of independent decision-making exercised at the
subnational and local level.
5 Bird (1994) argues that outcomes, in this variety of fiscal decentralization, are
presumed to be satisfactory simply because the process itself is intrinsically
desirable, insofar as it institutionalizes the participation of those affected by
local decisions.
6 By assuming a straight application of the approach, with implied symmetric
information and agents’ fair behavior by agents, agency problems (adverse
selection and moral hazard) are here ruled out.
7 Public choice refers to the economic study of non-market decision-making
mechanisms and is also defined as the application of economics to political
science. This theory is embedded in the Wicksellian link between a public good
and the tax used for its financing and in the viewpoint that the collective choice
process amounts to voluntary exchanges among individuals from which every-
body benefits.
8 By the last constitutional reform, in 1994, the city of Buenos Aires changed its
political status. The designated mayor was replaced in 1996 by an elected head
of government, and a Chamber of Representatives replaced the former munici-
pal council. However, the jurisdiction cannot totally be equated to a province
as the national government still retains responsibility for some functions and
services (for instance, the police force) while the Congress keeps some legisla-
tive faculties. Transfer of justice to the city is now favored by the national
government.
9 The Argentine Congress is bicameral: senators represent the provinces and the
city of Buenos Aires while representatives are chosen in proportion to popula-
tion, taking the country as a single district; direct election applies in both cases.
Unicameral and bicameral legislatures coexist at the provincial level; again,
senators represent provincial departments (in provinces having this chamber)
while provinces also stand as single districts for the election of representatives.
10 As an interesting case, provinces can provide post-secondary education.
However, all non-public universities in Argentina are funded by budgetary
transfers from the central government.
11 This in turn implies that no restrictions exist for subnational governments to
raise direct contributions.
12 The income tax was created in Argentina in 1935, practically together with, and
included in, the first revenue-sharing system between the central government
and the provinces. In order to fulfill what the Constitution prescribed, the
234 Ernesto Rezk
income tax law was established for a limited time period and has since been
permanently prorogued.
13 Municipalities have been applying taxes to the consumption of energy (levied
on the basis of electricity and gas sales to households and firms). As from 1993,
provinces signing the Fiscal Agreement agreed to ensure that local govern-
ments will do away with these contributions.
14 Separation of tax sources was actually the prevailing situation until 1935, when
the first revenue-sharing scheme was implemented.
15 This balance seldom occurred in reality mainly because of provincial tax admin-
istrations’ failure to reach even modest tax yield targets and because provinces
partially bore the financial burden of transferred services as accompanying
grants did not fully make up the cost of programs.
16 The terms primary and secondary distribution refer to the apportionment
between the central and the provincial governments and among the provincial
governments, respectively, of tax revenues included within the national
revenue-sharing system.
17 Provincial social security systems only provide services and pay pensions to
provincial and municipal employees.
18 The evolution of the primary distribution since 1935 clearly shows the share
gained by provinces (figures are percentages):
Year National government Provinces Others
1935 82.5 17.5
1947 79.0 21.0
1973 48.5 48.5 3.0
1988 54.7 42.3 3.0
1990 57.0 43.0
19 Changes in percentages occurred not only because of political negotiations
through which governors exerted pressures on the central government but also
because of changes in the rates and in the taxes included in the revenue to be
shared. Nevertheless, as table 7.1 shows, the percentages mentioned can be
deceptive as they apply after the amount of revenue shared has been reduced
by the amount destined to provincial social security systems and other specific
funds which cannot be spent freely by the provinces.
20 As from 1992, the central government guarantees a “floor” revenue to provinces
signing the Fiscal Agreements; that is to say, fixed distribution parameters
apply over actual tax revenues or over an agreed amount, whichever is greater.
The term Fiscal Agreements refers to fiscal instruments whereby provinces
accept a curtailment in their tax and spending powers (elimination of some dis-
torted duties, limits on rates, replacement of turnover tax, and limits on annual
spending) for which they would be granted the above-mentioned “floor”
shared revenue, the elimination of the tax on assets and effective reduction (to
firms) of social security contributions (50 percent on average, but varying
according to the region).
21 In some provinces the inverses of population and fiscal capacity are used as
equalizing criteria, thus favoring low-density and poorer municipalities.
Argentina 235
22 Equalizing criteria are not just included but, rather, emphasized, as the
constitutional mandate literally states that the system “will be fair, solidarity-
framed and will give priority to the achievement of similar degrees of develop-
ment and quality of life, and of equal opportunities throughout the country.”
23 This section is largely based on Rezk (1995) and Rezk, Capello, and Ponce
(1996).
24 This situation of federal finances is taken to occur, in Bird’s sense (1995: 294),
when the relationship between the central and subnational governments (both
having independent fiscal powers) is one of negotiation among equals; that is,
between government levels that are each, within a sphere, coordinate and inde-
pendent.
25 Figures for 1993 indicated that the spending for all government levels
amounted to 26.9 percent of the Argentinian GDP, 18 percent of which belonged
to social expenditure and spending on human resources, 4.7 to administration
and law and order, 2.5 percent to infrastructure for economic affairs and ser-
vices, and 1.7 percent to public debt.
26 One of the principal problems with fiscal decentralization in developing coun-
tries, in contrast to developed ones, arises because of the high degree of depen-
dence of the former on consumption taxes and the apparent difficulty of
working out adequate “two-level” consumption tax systems. This comment is
also applicable to latent problems in the Argentinian national and provincial tax
structure.
27 Despite successive postponements, this replacement is one of the main condi-
tions imposed upon subnational governments signing Fiscal Agreements.
28 Percentages 1.76 and ⫺1.67 come up when revenues and expenditures, respec-
tively are consolidated for all government levels, assuming that no national
deficit exists. Given that this assumption was not realistic for 1995, the last two
columns of table 7.4 include a new vertical fiscal imbalance estimation where
the national fiscal deficit is allowed for.
29 Suffice it here to point out that while provincial spending in elementary educa-
tion went from 92.3 percent (in 1991) to 95 percent (in 1993) of the total consoli-
dated spending for Argentina, total provincial figures for secondary education
rose from 40.8 percent to almost 100 percent of the total in the same period.
30 Oates’ classical argument (1972: 55) is that each public service should be pro-
vided by the jurisdiction which has control over the minimum geographic area
that would internalize benefits and costs of such provision.
31 An example of this could be public hospitals in the city of Buenos Aires and in
the provinces of Buenos Aires, Córdoba, Santa Fé and Mendoza.
32 Nevertheless, Prud’homme, in a recent article (1995), challenges the merits of
decentralization for allocative efficiency on the following two grounds: for
assuming hypotheses not easily defensible in developing countries and for
placing emphasis mainly on demand efficiency instead of supply or productive
efficiency.
33 The politico-institutional situation of Argentinian municipalities is similar to
neither Brazilian local governments (direct central–municipal relations) nor
Canadian ones (only provincial–municipal relations). However, it is closer to
236 Ernesto Rezk
the latter apart from strong revenue-sharing links with provinces and their
dependence on certain provincial transfers. Local governments do not have in
practice constitutionally legal impediments to seek aid at the central govern-
ment level, for instance the financing of determined public works or the
control and management of infrastructure (for example, the municipality of
Córdoba’s overt lobbying and pressure upon the national government as it
sought to improve its own chances as an interested party in the airport
privatization).
34 Despite its widespread use, the conceptual validity of the coefficient (due to
Hunter [1977]) has been challenged by Bird (1986) on the grounds that, mea-
sured by a single number, balance is taken to be an “unequivocal good” (i.e.
success will depend in any federal fiscal system on whether this balance is
achieved). On the other hand, given that the coefficient is expected to measure
subnational governments’ degree of dependency on central governments,
interjurisdictional fiscal arrangements in each country involve differing
degrees of control not reflected in results obtained by the coefficient; this makes
international comparisons difficult.
35 This is a consequence of both the success in checking high inflation and the
pressure exerted from the central government upon provinces urging them to
improve their tax administration systems.
36 The lowest percentage for the period (30 percent) was in 1983; this year was not
included as it was when the military handed over political power to civilians.
Until then, provinces did not have any real autonomy, as governors were
appointed by the central government.
37 The following percentages are the inflation rates, measured by the consumer
price index, experienced by the Argentinian economy from 1989 to 1994.
1989: 3 079
1990: 2 314
1991: 171
1992: 24.9
1993: 10.6
1994: 3.9
38 Including, of course, those taxes with revenue that was shared among the
national government and the provinces.
39 As from 1991 (and coincidentally with the stabilization program initiated by the
Argentina government), the incidence of inflation tax practically died out as
figures for 1991-94 indicate that it reached 2.1 percent, 0.8 percent, 0.8 percent
and 0.7 percent, respectively, of all fiscal revenues.
40 It is widely accepted that tax evasion in Argentina is higher at the provincial
level (or at least in the majority of provinces) because of weaker fiscal
compliance-inducing mechanisms.
41 The overwhelming politico-institutional acceptance of the revenue-sharing
system in Argentina is certainly an important policy datum.
42 See the considerations on the concept of Fiscal Agreements in note 20 above.
43 These Treasury grants are highly criticized and resisted by most provincial
Argentina 237
governments since they are allocated to provinces in a totally discretionary
manner and following, in some cases, party lines.
44 It was pointed out (Rezk 1995: 8) that Fiscal Agreements reflect the tradeoff
between national stabilization goals and provinces’ financial autonomy.
45 To gain a better understanding of the figures and percentages in table 7.9, note
that total GDP, per capita GDP, the unemployment rate and the activity rate for
the period 1992-94 were:
1992 1993 1994
GDP $226.7 bill. $257.6 bill. $281.6 bill.
Per capita GDP $6 786 $7 620 $8 235
Unemployment rate 6.9%/7.0% 9.9%/9.3% 10.7%/12.1%
(May/Oct.)
Activity rate 37.6%/38.8% 37.6%/37.6% 38.0%/37.6%
(May/Oct.)
References
Bird, R. M. (1986), “On measuring fiscal centralization and fiscal balance in federal
states,” Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 4: 389–404.
(1993), “Threading the fiscal labyrinth: some issues in fiscal decentralization,”
National Tax Journal, 46: 207–27.
(1994), “A comparative perspective on federal finance,” in K. Banting, D. Brown,
and T. Courchene, eds., The Future of Fiscal Federalism, Kingston, Ont.: Queen’s
University School of Public Policy.
(1995), “Fiscal federalism and federal finance,” Anales de las 28 Jornadas de
Finanzas Públicas, Córdoba, Argentina.
Hunter, J. S. H. (1977), Federalism and Fiscal Balance, Canberra: Australian National
University Press and Center for Research on Federal Financial Relations.
Nuñez Miñana, A. and Porto, A. (1983), Distribución de la Coparticipación Federal de
impuestos, Análisis y Alternativas, Buenos Aires: Consejo Federal de
Inversiones.
Oates W. (1972), Fiscal Federalism, New York: Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich.
Prud’homme, R. (1995), “On the dangers of decentralization,” Policy Research
Working Paper 1252, The World Bank, Washington, DC.
Rezk, E. (1995), “Federal finance in the Argentine, Germany and Brazil,” Annals of
the Arnoldshain Seminar I, J. W. Goethe University, Frankfurt and Anales de las
Jornadas de Finanzas Públicas, Córdoba, Argentina.
Rezk, E., Capello, M., and Ponce, C. (1996), “Arreglos fiscales interjurisdiccionales
en Argentina,” International Seminar on Fiscal Federalism and Federal
Finances, Córdoba, Argentina.
Tanzi, V. (1995), “Fiscal federalism and decentralization: a review of some effi-
ciency and macroeconomic aspects,” in M. Bruno and B. Pleskovic, eds.,
Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, Washington DC.
Wiesner, E. (1994), “Fiscal decentralization of the public sector,” in Economic and
Social Progress in Latin America 1994 Report, Special Report: Fiscal
Decentralization, ch. 1, Washington DC: Interamerican Development Bank.
World Bank (1996), Argentina. Provincial Finances Study: Selected Issues in Fiscal
Federalism, Report No. 15487 AR, Washington, DC.
8
239
240 Junaid K. Ahmad
Transfers as percentage
Revenue shares Expenditure shares of own revenue
pendent tier of government. The origin of this system can be traced directly
to the spatial policies of apartheid (Bruckner, 1994).
Local governments
Nowhere is the impact of the spatial policies of apartheid more visible than
in the cities of South Africa (Swilling, 1991). At first, influx control laws
attempted to regulate the growth of the white cities by controlling the
migration of blacks from the homelands. But with the need to ensure a
steady stream of workers for the urban economy, and ultimately with the
difficulty of regulating migration, the controls were replaced by residen-
tial laws. These permitted the blacks to remain in the white urban areas as
long as they were restricted to residential settlements at the urban fringe –
often one to two hours from the centers of employment. As a result of these
policies, the shape and pattern of urbanized land in South African cities
showed the following common characteristics:
242 Junaid K. Ahmad
Financing of BLAs
Apartheid policies forced the concentration of lower-income households
in the townships and placed effective barriers to the growth of the formal
manufacturing and commercial sector in the BLAs. These regulations
deprived the black community of ownership of land and housing and
stopped the growth of a property tax system. In the long run, the lack of
property rights also prevented the black community from using land and
housing as a form of collateral to generate both a growing economic and a
taxable income base. User charges and rents from the delivery of services
and housing by the public sector were expected to be the main sources of
revenue for the BLAs. Rent and service charge boycotts were, however,
used as an effective tool to protest at the lack of representative government
structures, thus diminishing the already limited amount of revenue being
collected by the BLAs. Together, these factors ultimately resulted in
growing budget deficits. As in the case of the homelands, these were
financed by fiscal transfers from central government.
The dependence on upper-tier financing is well reflected in the data for
BLAs in the former Central Wits area, which was one of the richest regions
in the country: as table 8.2 shows, own revenues accounted for only a small
portion of total revenues. For central RSCs as a whole, own revenues of
BLAs in 1991–92 were approximately 5 percent of total revenues. The rest
were either central government transfers through provincial administra-
tions, or grants for current expenditures from RSC levies (payroll and turn-
over taxes).
The situation nationwide was similar, with grants from the central
government accounting for over 80 percent of the revenues of the BLAs.
Initially classified as bridging loans and intended for financing capital
expenditure in black communities, the flows were eventually converted by
the central government to explicit grants for financing current expendi-
South Africa 243
Table 8.2. Revenue structure of BLAs in Central Wits: 1991–92 budget (million
rand, percentages in parentheses)
Financing of WLAs
Relative to BLAs, the fiscal story of WLAs was one of sharp contrasts. As
the data on Central Wits RSC in table 8.3 suggest, grants from other tier
governments accounted, on average, for approximately 3 percent of the
total income of WLAs; the corresponding figure for BLAs was close to 95
percent. Property taxes, implicit taxes on the consumption of electricity,
244 Junaid K. Ahmad
water, and other services (or the surpluses on trading services), and inter-
est income provided the main sources of income for WLAs.
Several important features of the WLA finances should be noted. First,
the implicit taxes on consumption of services represented an important
source of income for WLAs. To ensure access to this source of revenue,
local authorities were given the exclusive right to distribute services such
as water and electricity. As a result, each white municipality had its own
distribution network. In a relatively integrated urban setting such as
Central Wits, for example, there were at least five separate local authority
distribution utilities for water and electricity, and nationwide there were
more than 700 at the local level. These distribution utilities purchased
electricity and water in bulk and distributed it to users within their munici-
pal boundaries. Consumers paid not only full user charges for capital,
operating, and maintenance costs but also an implicit excise tax on water
and electricity. Between 1990 and 1992 the tax on electricity in the various
WLAs in Central Wits averaged around 20 percent. The average for water
was 11 percent. There were large variations around these averages, with
Johannesburg, for example, charging 45 percent implicit tax rate on
electricity in 1991 and Randburg charging 22 percent for water.
The revenues from the high level of taxation of electricity and water
were used to cross-subsidize other services and dampen the increases in
property taxes. In fact, in the major WLAs, taxes on properties were set
residually after the municipalities had decided on the level of profits to be
generated from the distribution of services such as electricity and water.
For example, table 8.4 shows for Johannesburg and Roodeport the
required increases in the share of property taxes in total revenue if the com-
bined amount of electricity and water surpluses were to be generated from
taxes on property.
The cross-subsidy from trading accounts to property taxes, however,
South Africa 245
Gauteng Transvaal
Northern Province Transvaal
Venda
Gazankulu
Lebowa
Mpumalanga Transvaal
Bophuthatswana
KaNgwane
KwaNdebele
North West Cape
Transvaal
Bophuthatswana
Free State Orange Free State
Bophuthatswana
QwaQwa
KwaZulu/Natal Natal
KwaZulu
Eastern Cape Cape
Ciskei
Transkei
Northern Cape Cape
Western Cape Cape
Expenditure assignment
In addition to the creation of a new regional tier with new political and
administrative units, the restructuring of the intergovernmental system
has led to a significant decentralization of expenditure assignments. In
the previous system, the provinces were, in effect, administrative arms of
the center and responsible for implementing the mandates of the center.
In 1993–94 provincial governments accounted for approximately 22
percent of total public expenditure. By 1995–96, expenditure responsibil-
ities of the provinces had increased to approximately 40 percent of all
public expenditures and included major items such as health, education,
and housing.
Tax assignment
Under the new constitution, the provinces can impose taxes, other than
income tax, value-added tax (VAT), and other sales taxes, and they can
South Africa 249
Horizontal inequality
No matter which taxes are assigned to provincial governments, there are
going to be substantial differences in the abilities of the various provinces
250 Junaid K. Ahmad
to finance public services from their own tax revenues. This is an inevitable
result of the economic disparities among the provinces and the concentra-
tion of economic activities in a handful of metropolitan areas. Whereas the
estimated GDP per capita for the country in 1991 was R5,042, it was as
much as R10,949 for Gauteng region, but only R2,317 in Eastern Cape and
R1,266 in Northern Province. The national average for personal income per
capita for the same year was R2,566, compared to R4,993 for Gauteng,
R1,358 in Eastern Cape, and R725 in Northern Province. These figures
suggest that in addition to the need for grants to overcome the vertical
imbalance, equalization transfers will be needed to reduce the fiscal dis-
parities that currently exist.
Vertical balance
Reflecting the constitutional allocation of functions of government and
its beliefs that the most pressing service deficits are at the subnational
level and that most activities of the central government do not grow with
population, the FFC in 1996 proposed a freeze in real spending of the
central government for the following three years; thus all public rev-
enues made available by growth (conservatively estimated to increase
from 2.5 percent per year to 3 percent over five years), except those
needed to reduce the budget deficits from 5.8 percent to 4.5 percent of
GDP, should be available to the provinces via grants. Under the FFC’s
proposals, the central government’s share of financial resources would
drop from 56.5 percent in the fiscal year 1995–96 to 53.1 percent in
2000–01.
Horizontal balance
The FFC has proposed a three-part grant formula. The unconditional
“basic grant” is intended to provide for each province “the fiscal resources
necessary to function as an efficient and accountable government for its
people.” This part is based on population figures; in recognition of the
special problems of the rural areas (substantially greater poverty levels,
higher unemployment, and the greater cost of providing services) each
rural person has been counted as equal to 1.25 urban persons.
The second part is intended to allow provision of a “national standard”
level of public services. This part comprises grants for primary and sec-
ondary education (a given amount per student aged 5–17) and primary
health care (a given amount per qualifying member of the population).
The third part of the formula focuses on “fiscal capacity equalization” of
the provinces. FFC has proposed a surcharge rate on the personal income
tax base as a source of own revenues for the provinces. On the basis of this
tax instrument the FFC has proposed an equalization formula. The
formula equalizes around the national average level of tax capacity and
ensures that the equalization component is self-financing without impos-
ing any additional claim by the provincial governments on the private
economy.
252 Junaid K. Ahmad
Funding
The FFC proposes to fund grants from a pool of revenues from the indi-
vidual income tax, the VAT, and the fuel tax, instead of having different
sharing rates for each. Besides being simpler, this avoids the risk of the
central fiscal authorities concentrating resources on the taxes with the
lowest sharing rates. Funding of “national standards” grants would be
given first priority, with the pool of funding available for “basic grants”
determined as a residual.
Phase-in
This grant structure would result in reductions in shares of grant funds (in
real grants in two cases) going to four of the provinces (Western Cape,
Eastern Cape, Northern Cape, and Free State) and increases in shares
going to the other five. To allow for orderly retrenchment and efficient
expansion, the FFC proposes to phase in its formula over a five-year
period, with floors (a fall of 3–4 percent) and ceilings (a rise of 5–6 percent)
on annual changes in real grants.
Political considerations
Abolishing the racial basis of the local government system is a funda-
mental political consideration in the reform of urban governance in South
Africa. As in the case of the provinces, a redrawing of jurisdictional bound-
aries and a merger of BLAs and WLAs either into a metropolitan structure
or as “twins” in a model of jurisdictional fragmentation is, therefore,
inevitable.
Political considerations also include the creation of a system of local
government through which local council members can be held account-
able and responsible for their decisions. The primary instrument to achieve
this objective is the electoral system. However, efficient markets, especially
for land and capital, can complement the influence of the electoral process
in holding in check the behavior of local officials. Similarly, accountability
is enhanced through access to direct fiscal instruments by local authorities.
Officials can be held responsible for their actions if, at the margin, decisions
to alter the level of services are reflected in increases or decreases in tax
rates directly under their control.
In considering the political dimensions of structuring urban gover-
nance, therefore, policy-makers have the difficult task of choosing an
organization for financing and delivering services that is best able to
strengthen the political institutions of democracy while enabling markets
and fiscal instruments to hold local officials accountable. How this inter-
play between political institutions, markets, and fiscal instruments evolves
will certainly influence the choice between jurisdictional and functional
fragmentation and a centralized metropolitan form of government for the
cities of South Africa.
254 Junaid K. Ahmad
Efficiency considerations
Efficiency can be defined along several dimensions. It includes the extent
to which the preferences of the constituencies can be reflected in the local
budgets and also the extent to which technical efficiency can be achieved
by taking advantage of the economies of scale inherent in the delivery of
services.
In the case of South African cities, locational efficiency is an equally
important issue. With the end of apartheid’s zoning policies, the distribu-
tion of population and business activity over the urban areas is in a state
of flux. Already, in several of the major metropolitan areas, there has been
a decentralization of employment from the core cities into the surround-
ing white municipalities. In addition, in some cities, there has been an
outflow of white residents from the city center and an inflow of black resi-
dents from adjacent townships and regions. In this context, it will be
crucial that any strategy for financing urban infrastructure does not distort
the locational choices facing individuals and firms. In the case of South
Africa’s metropolitan areas, drawing of narrow municipal boundaries
may result in unequal fiscal burdens in the financing of urban services. The
potential for distorting locational decisions would therefore be high.
The different models of urban governance involve tradeoffs over the
various dimensions of efficiency. Consumer preferences are best reflected
in homogeneous and small local government structures but could lead to
overall losses in consumer welfare if fragmented local authorities attempt
to deliver and finance services whose benefits and costs are area-wide. On
the other hand, locational distortions are minimized and technical effi-
ciency is realized under a metropolitan structure.
Income redistribution
The mobility of factors at the local level is an important consideration in
limiting the responsibility for income redistribution to upper-tier govern-
ments. Cognizant of this important constraint on implementing redistrib-
utive policies at the local level, South Africa has begun to manage the issue
of income redistribution through the intergovernmental system by coor-
dinating redistributive policies among different levels of government.
Urban governments are therefore expected to play a part in this process.
In particular, to avoid the locational distortions that would be associated
with redistributive measures, a more consolidated urban governmental
structure such as a metropolitan system is being advocated. A metro-wide
structure would not only minimize the locational impacts, but could also
South Africa 255
Fiscal stability
Access to significant long-term finance will be required to improve the
standard of municipal services for the black community. However, bor-
rowing by city governments, indeed by any large local government, raises
the potential problem of moral hazard. The sheer economic size of the met-
ropolitan areas of South Africa suggests that central government would
face considerable political and financial resistance to allowing such cities
to default and face bankruptcy in a situation of financial duress. South
Africa’s cities may be “too big to be allowed to fail.” In this context, capital
markets would perceive the debt of urban governments in South Africa to
be an implicit obligation of central government and, consequently, instead
of acting as a disciplining device may, in fact, be “too generous” in financ-
ing their investments.
Central government in South Africa is debating alternative mechanisms
for addressing this policy problem of enabling access to capital markets by
local governments while avoiding the pitfalls of moral hazard. Two differ-
ent mechanisms are being assessed. First, government is exploring the
possibility of legislating clear rules of “bankruptcy” for local government.
International examples being discussed include the US model of a finan-
cial control board and the New Zealand model of court-appointed receiv-
ership. Under both, a worsening fiscal situation of a local government is
addressed by the imposition of a control process that takes away mana-
gerial autonomy from the elected officials and passes it to an independent
board. A buffer is thus created between different tiers of government. To
be credible the process will need to impose the cost of “bankruptcy” on
both the elected officials (for example, loss of autonomy) and creditors
(uncertainty about payment).
Second, government is looking at the possibility of centralizing the bor-
rowing powers of local government whereby the center would either
borrow directly and on-lend to the local governments or allow a public
financial intermediary (PFI) to perform this on-lending operation. For
several reasons, however, centralization of borrowing powers may fail to
256 Junaid K. Ahmad
Expenditure responsibilities
It was suggested that concerns about fiscal stability and operational effi-
ciency favored the privatization of municipal services. The extent of the
economies of scale in the delivery process will be an important determi-
South Africa 259
Tax assignments
The discussion on tax assignment takes as its starting point the expendi-
ture assignments discussed above and that, in the short to medium run, the
tax instruments originally assigned to the RSCs, WLAs, and BLAs will
become available to the new urban governments.11
Property taxes
Property taxes are a mainstay of finance in urban areas and an efficient tax
instrument for financing local public goods. In addition, autonomy in
South Africa 261
setting property rates can help establish the accountability of local officials.
Residential property taxes should, therefore, remain at the level of the
municipalities to ensure that local officials can respond to the preferences
of their constituencies.
However, there is an important redistributive issue regarding the use of
commercial property taxes. As in the case of payroll and turnover taxes,
the issue arises from the location of residences and businesses. As dis-
cussed earlier, apartheid policies zoned economic activities in WLAs and
provided these jurisdictions with exclusive access to commercial property
taxes. Given that economic activities will remain “locked-in” in the former
WLAs for some time to come, a case can be made on redistributive grounds
for the sharing of revenues from commercial property between the
municipalities and the metro tier.
Inman (1996) also provides an argument based on fiscal efficiency for
transferring the non-residential property tax to the metropolitan tier. Based
on the experience of several metropolitan areas in North America, Inman
suggests the possibility of municipalities using the commercial property tax
base to indulge in a “beggar-thy-neighbor” type of tax competition. To
avoid this outcome, Inman suggests a Minneapolis-St. Paul model of
sharing the commercial tax base at the metropolitan level. The objective
would be to levy a common commercial property tax at the metropolitan
level, pool the revenues, and transfer it back to the municipalities on a
formula basis (e.g. capacity equalization or poverty targeting).
“bail-outs” will test whether the center will fall prey to the pressures of
moral hazard or establish the framework for subnational fiscal discipline.13
South Africa has chosen, for the moment, not to provide provincial
governments with a tax base, relying instead on central grants to fund pro-
vincial expenditures. It remains to be seen if this system will enable the
twin objectives of political accountability and fiscal macro control to be
achieved. It may be hypothesized that without the threat of having to use
own taxes, provincial leadership may not have the incentive to spend effi-
ciently. The potential political game that may be played is one of a pro-
vincial leadership’s ability to shift the responsibility for a lack of delivery
onto central authority in the hope of inducing additional funding ex post.
In other words, the problem of moral hazard also exists on the fiscal side
of funding governments.
Grant funding also raises the problem of explicit and implicit condition-
ality and unfunded mandates. Currently, the public sector wage structure
and sectoral conditionality on spending (percentages for health and educa-
tion, in particular) are set from above, leaving provinces with limited
expenditure flexibility. In addition, with central ministries losing expendi-
ture responsibilities but maintaining the ability to set national standards,
there is a possibility that provinces may be saddled with unfunded man-
dates or the exact opposite may happen as central government policies end
up being ignored. In combination with the lack of fiscal instruments, the
conditionality of the grants may be creating a situation where the new
provinces are, like their predecessors, deconcentrated arms of the center.
Cognizant of the fact that elected political bodies will have difficulty in
accepting administrative roles, there is a move towards a concept of “co-
operative governance.” This concept is not well defined but entails a joint
approach, or cooperation, between provincial and central government in
budgeting and delivery implementation.14 What it entails in practice is still
to be determined.
The issue of fiscal autonomy and accountability is also central to the
mega-city debate. It is slowly being recognized that the issue of redistribu-
tion is not at the heart of the choice between a centralized metropolitan
government and a two-tiered model. Policies of redistribution can be
designed equally well under either model of metropolitan government. In
the two-tiered system, for example, an intra-metropolitan fiscal transfer
system can be designed to achieve intermunicipal fiscal equalization as well
as interpersonal equalization through poverty-targeted grants to house-
holds. Instead, what is at issue is accountability and governance. A two-tier
model, with municipalites having access to own taxes, may provide greater
checks and balances than a centralized system. In sum, therefore, the fiscal
South Africa 265
Notes
1 The chapter draws on McLure (1994) and Ahmad (1997).
2 The process of reform in South Africa is a very dynamic one and one which is
undergoing rapid changes. Therefore, the story outlined in this chapter is of
necessity incomplete.
3 Differences between white and black areas were not the only ones; apartheid
also imposed differences between the Indian and Colored population. For
expositional economy, this chapter focuses on the differences between black
and white.
4 In Province of Natal these were called Joint Service Boards (JSBs).
5 In fact, the urban sector accounts for over 80 percent of GDP and approximately
62 percent of the population. Agriculture and the rural economy accounts for
only 5 percent of GDP. That approximately 40 percent of the population still
resides in rural areas is due in large part to the spatial policies of apartheid.
6 In this sense, the new constitution adopts a regional approach inherent in
constitutions written during a time when cities did not exist, urbanization was
limited, and economies were predominantly rural. As argued later, it is not clear
from a public finance perspective, whether, in the context of an urbanized
society, externalities and spillovers have a regional basis or are defined on
national and local levels only.
7 Albeit without the racial nomenclature.
8 In their international review of the structure of urban governance, Bahl and
Linn (1992) conclude that while the centralized metropolitan model seems to
dominate, the structure of urban governance in most countries is a hybrid.
9 The experience of Minneapolis-St. Paul in metropolitan tax base sharing pro-
vides an interesting case study of how fiscal disparities were reduced across 188
municipalities (Rusk, 1993).
10 It may be more appropriate for the national government to finance a voucher
program but for a metropolitan government to implement it.
11 See Wildasin (1993) and McLure (1994) for an analysis of the efficiency of exist-
ing local taxes, alternate fiscal instruments for local governments, and the effi-
ciency and equity implications of relying on central tax bases for financing local
infrastructure investments.
12 The incidence of the payroll and turnover taxes will, in practice, be spread more
widely than just the metro area, as in the case of Johannesburg. There may be a
case, therefore, for sharing these revenues nationally, not just on a metropolitan
basis. This might, however, reduce the fiscal autonomy of the metropolitan tier
as the metros would, as a result, rely more on transfers from other tiers. This
tradeoff between efficiency of tax instrument and autonomy of metropolitan
governments is better addressed by replacing payroll and turnover taxes with
alternate fiscal instruments. For a discussion of this point, see Wildasin (1993)
and McLure (1994).
13 The management of subnational fiscal crises including addressing the “bank-
ruptcy” of several provinces and local governments has been an important
part of the evolution of the intergovernmental system during this period of
270 Junaid K. Ahmad
transition for South Africa. It is an issue that has not been discussed in this
chapter. However, it should be stressed that the management of these crises
while a regulatory framework is still being developed is one of the success
stories of government in the field of fiscal management.
14 An important aspect of the intergovernmental system and at the heart of the
concept of “cooperative governance” is the design and implementation of the
budgeting system also known as the Medium Term Expenditure Framework.
This chapter has not analyzed the evolution of this very important budgeting
framework, which is also one of the success stories of government.
References
Ahmad, Junaid (1997), “Structure of urban governance in South Africa,” in David
E. Wildasin, ed., Fiscal Aspects of Evolving Federations, Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press.
Bahl, Roy, and Linn, Johannes (1992), Urban Public Finance in Developing Countries,
New York: Oxford University Press.
Baumol, William, and Lee, Kyu Sik (1991), “Contestable markets, trade and
development,” World Bank Economic Observer, 6: 110–23.
Bruckner, Jan K. (1994), “Welfare gains from removing regional land-use distor-
tions,” Working Paper, AF1EI, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Development Bank of South Africa (1995), South Africa’s Nine Provinces: A Human
Development Profile, Pretoria.
Fiszbein, Ariel (1995), Local Government Capacity In Columbia, Washington, DC:
World Bank.
Inman, Robert (1996), “Provincial grants in South Africa,” unpublished draft.
McLure, Charles (1994), “Intergovernmental fiscal relations in South Africa,”
Working Paper, AF1EI, World Bank, Washington, DC.
Rusk, David (1993), Cities Without Suburbs, Princeton, NJ: Woodrow Wilson Center
Press.
Swilling, Mark, Humphries, Richard, and Subhane, Khehla (1991), Apartheid City
in Transition, Cape Town: Oxford University Press.
von Hagen, Jurgen (1991), “A note on empirical effectiveness of formal fiscal
restraints,” Journal of Public Economics, 44: 199–210.
Wildasin, David E. (1993), “Local finance of urban infrastructure in South Africa,”
Working Paper, AF1EI, World Bank, Washington, DC.
(1995), “Financing local government outlays in South Africa,” Working Paper,
AF1EI, World Bank, Washington, DC.
9
The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this chapter are entirely those of
the authors, and do not necessarily represent the views of the World Bank, its executive direc-
tors, or the countries they represent. Very useful comments and assistance were provided by
Wei Ding, Sweder van Wijnbergen, Sebnem Akkaya, Luis Alvaro Sánchez, Jennifer Keller,
Richard Bird, François Vaillancourt, and Stanley Winer.
271
272 William Fox and Christine Wallich
Even prior to the war, there were differentials in public service levels
across the regions in Bosnia. The war, which broke the fiscal structure into
three separate systems, has significantly exacerbated spending differences.
In the Bosniac-majority area, for example, the pension level was 11.4
Deutschmarks (DM) per month in 1995, while the scheme operating in the
Croat-majority area paid pensions of about 65 DM per month. Estimates
put the damage from the war at over US $20 billion (World Bank, 1996).
However, the destruction of infrastructure and public utilities, as well as
of the capital stock in the productive sectors, hit the Bosniac areas the
hardest, since industry and most core infrastructure facilities had been
strategically located in central Bosnia since the early days of Yugoslavia.
The tax bases of the Bosniac-majority area and its ability to generate
income have thus been significantly impaired.2 By contrast, the Croat-
majority area’s strategic location near the coast enabled this region to
control trade into the interior of the country during much of the war, and
despite its limited resource endowment, to generate substantial revenues
from customs and other trade-related levies. The Serb Republic’s economy
has been badly damaged by the embargo, and is expected to recover only
slowly.
world, and the power of the republics was further increased in the 1963
constitution, creating the basis for the emergence of centrifugal forces early
on. Tax reforms in 1971 gave greater revenue-raising powers to the
republics and local authorities, and the 1974 Constitution transferred
many functions to the republics, with “areas of common interest” remain-
ing the responsibility of the state. These included military expenditures,
administration, and economic interventions, including support to enter-
prises.
Yugoslavia’s six republics were highly differentiated in income level and
culture. Slovenia was by far the most prosperous, with a per capita income
in 1990 of US $6,500, with Croatia the next best-off. Bosnia-Herzegovina,
Macedonia, and Montenegro were considered the least-developed
republics. Bosnia’s per capita income in 1990 was only 29 percent of that in
Slovenia (and Macedonia’s only 22 percent). Further, the level of per capita
budget expenditures in these republics reflected these large income differ-
ences. In the social sectors, for example, Slovenia’s per capita social spend-
ing was twice the Yugoslav average, while social spending in Bosnia and
in Macedonia was 70 percent of the average (OECD, 1992). These spend-
ing differentials were the result, inter alia, of different initial endowments
and incomes, but equally importantly, of the strong reliance, peculiar to the
socialist world, on “derivation-based” systems of revenue-sharing. Most
fiscal revenues were nationally “owned” and retained by the areas in
which they were collected, so that the socialist revenue systems typically
benefited those areas with the more robust tax bases.
Structural vulnerabilities
The better-off republics’ dissatisfaction with federal redistributive policies
was compounded by another feature of Yugoslavia’s intergovernmental
fiscal system – the “bottom-up” system of intergovernmental revenue
flows, which Yugoslavia had in common with most other socialist coun-
tries, and which still holds in Bosnia today (Bird, Ebel, and Wallich, 1995).
This system conferred a very special vulnerability on the federal budget,
since all tax revenues were collected at the republic level (or below) and
transferred upwards to the federal budget in agreed shares (the federal
government received all of the federal sales tax and all import duties). In
addition, fiscal “contributions” from the republics, over and above those
they made to the federal Fund for the Development of the Least Developed
Regions, were negotiated annually, to balance the federal government
budget.
Some lessons?
What lessons can be drawn from Yugoslavia’s break-up for the creation of
fiscal federalism in Bosnia? And what lessons might one hope to incorpo-
rate into the new structure that emerged from Dayton? There would seem
to be several.
First, because of the Yugoslav legacy, the designers at Dayton had to take
into account the inherited suspicion of a strong central state and its per-
ceived potential for abusing its power. This limited the role that could be
given to national-level taxing powers or centralized spending. Second, the
designers found that the notion of “ownership rights” over revenue col-
lected on one’s territory was hard to overcome – this was perhaps even
more so in the ethnic regions of Bosnia, recently emerging from war, than
in Yugoslavia, where territorial claims to revenues were very strong
indeed. Third, and related, the designers had to contend with a prima facie
need for, but apparent virtual intolerance of, fiscal transfers along the lines
of the Federal Fund or other cross-subsidies between areas, and sometimes
even within multi-ethnic municipalities.
But, even if no other fiscal lesson was learned from the demise of
Yugoslavia, the vulnerability of the federal fisc to transfers from below was
clear to the designers of the new structure. And yet, the state that emerged
had no revenue powers of its own. The vulnerability of the federal fisc to
a decentralized tax administration was similarly evident. And yet, the
bottom-up system of revenue administration remained. This reflects the
fact that the design of Bosnia’s new system was driven very strongly by
the interests of the entities, whose agreement had to be obtained to the new
structure.
cantons and the municipalities (World Bank, 1996). The state government
has exclusive responsibility for foreign and foreign trade policies, customs
policies, monetary policy, immigration, refugee and asylum policies, air
traffic control, payment of international financial obligations of Bosnia
incurred with the consent of both entities, regulation of inter-entity trans-
port, communications, and international and inter-entity law enforcement
(but not the raising of an army, which is an entity-level responsibility). All
government functions not explicitly assigned by the Constitution to the
state are assigned to the entities (though the entities may agree to relin-
quish some of their responsibilities to the state). The state government has
no independent tax sources under the Constitution (although the
Constitution provides that with the approval of the state parliament, the
state may levy its own taxes in the future), and is expected to finance its
activities almost entirely from transfers from the two entities. Two-thirds
of the state’s revenues are to come from the Federation and one-third from
the Serb Republic to cover the budget approved by the state parliament.
Under the Federation’s constitution (June 1996) the entity governments
have a wide range of expenditure responsibilities, including exclusive
responsibility in their territories for defense (there are currently three
armies: one in the Serb Republic and two in the Federation, one Bosniac
and one Croat), internal affairs, police, environmental policies, economic
and social sector policies, agriculture, industry, refugees and displaced
persons, reconstruction programs, and justice, tax, and customs
administration. This constitution provides that some of these functions
may be exercised jointly with the cantons, or separately, or by the cantons
with coordination by the Federation’s government. Thus, the Federation
and cantons exercise joint responsibility for health, environmental policy,
infrastructure for communication and transport, social welfare, and inter-
ior affairs, among others.
The cantons (in the case of the Federation) are responsible for all other
matters not granted expressly to the Federation. These include education,
culture, housing, public services, local land use, and social transfer expen-
ditures. Each canton is authorized by the Federation’s constitution to del-
egate its responsibilities to the municipalities in its territory.
The municipal governments in the Federation are granted “self-rule on
local matters,” including all responsibilities delegated to them by the
cantons. In the case of municipalities with a majority population that is
different from that of the canton as a whole, the canton must delegate all
responsibilities described in the preceding paragraph to the municipal
government.
Municipal governments in the Serb Republic are responsible for all
Bosnia-Herzegovina 279
matters not explicitly the responsibility of the entity – and largely parallel
the combined responsibility of cantons and municipalities in the
Federation.
It is too early to judge fully the Dayton agreements on the basis of actual
events. Still, some general problems can be seen. First, the tax and expen-
diture assignments are imprecise, leaving the potential for disagreements
and requiring difficult political negotiations to reach accords. Even where
there is greater precision in the rules, some of the assignments are ineffi-
cient and need to be reconsidered. Second, little room is allowed for cross-
subsidies to exist anywhere in the structure. This means large inequities
can be expected to develop since economic conditions differ widely across
the country. Third, most of the government structures appear potentially
sustainable, if not efficient. However, the state’s roles are very limited, and
its funding sources are precarious. As a result, the state’s sustainability is
in question. Finally, government’s share in the economy after the many
transitions is still to be determined. The remainder of this section provides
a detailed examination of specific issues in the Dayton rules.
Expenditure policy
The war arrested the transition to a market economy and the correspond-
ing relative reduction in the size of the public sector. The war years led to
ad hoc and very distorted budgeting and expenditure practices in the
Bosniac, Croat, and Serb areas. Expenditures were heavily focused on mili-
tary purposes, with about 45 percent of each entity’s budgeted expendi-
tures going for military uses. Data are unavailable on the total extent of
military expenditures because large off-budget military purchases and
spending financed by foreign governments occurred as well. Budgets for
non-military purposes were only provided as necessary and depending on
available resources. Expenditures were made essentially on a cash basis.
Governments made payments when resources were available, and
suspended payments when they were not. Pensions and wages – for mili-
tary and non-military workers – often went unpaid. Factor payments bore
little relationship to market value.
Expenditure rationalization is an important area for reform. The size of
the public sector needs to be limited to make room for private sector
development, and the structure of public expenditure programs needs to
be improved to facilitate growth, while maintaining an acceptable level of
social protection. Public expenditures currently represent more than 40
percent of Bosnian GDP, and this is in the context of substantial public
sector arrears in wages, pensions, military, and debt service. Reduction of
overall public sector expenditures to sustainable levels as a percentage of
GDP will require major cuts in many areas of public expense; key areas
for reduction are defense, subsidization of the economy, and entitlement
282 William Fox and Christine Wallich
should arise from Federation (or state) control over most tax rates and
bases, since uniform rates and bases will be more difficult to achieve with
devolved control. However, political incentives can cause Federation offi-
cials to make concessions on tax bases where the revenues are owned by
the cantons. Granting concessions against another level of government’s
tax bases offers all of the same political gains but fewer costs because the
concession-granting government does not have to face the budgetary con-
sequences of its actions. Tuzla canton has already complained that conces-
sions given by the Federation to reduce the electric company’s wage taxes
have significantly reduced Tuzla’s receipts. Again, willingness to give
control to another level of government requires a strong degree of trust,
despite the incentives and history creating a perception that the trust
would be misplaced.
Separate tax administrations, with offices located in each municipality,
are currently operating in the Bosniac and Croat areas. A significant next
step in development of the Federation must be creation of a Federation tax
administration, as called for in the Dayton agreement. Legislation was
passed in 1996 establishing most tax collection at the Federation level, but
the tax administration was not operating even in late 1997.
Structural conditions in Bosnia suggest that grants should be an impor-
tant financing source for cantons and municipalities. One reason is that
any assignment of revenue ownership is likely to lead to both vertical and
horizontal imbalances because data for estimating expected tax collections
are poor and the weak economies in some areas will leave them unable to
provide minimum service levels. Some mechanism, presumably operating
through a grant system, needs to be in place to smooth financing problems
during the interim as assignments are finalized and regional economies
rebound. Also, a system of grants could be used to exploit economies of
scale in tax collection, enhance equity in revenue distribution, and account
for geographic externalities in consumption. However, the very limited
tolerance for cross-subsidies between geographic areas suggests that
grants must play a small role in overall finance during the near term.
Unlike transfers made during the Yugoslavian years, any grants that are
introduced must be transparent and rely on objective indicators. A system
of grants based on negotiated formulas or ad hoc procedures would be par-
ticularly inappropriate for Bosnia, given the lingering distrust still pre-
vailing among different groups in society.
Debt policy
The IMF and World Bank require that their lending be to the internation-
ally recognized government, which is the state, but no agreement has been
Bosnia-Herzegovina 287
Federation, but there has been considerable controversy over how much it
should get. The Serb Republic did not contribute to state finance in 1996.
The Serb Republic government structure was not altered by the agree-
ments, so no transition was necessary. However, the initial budget pro-
posed by the Ministry of Finance was 50 percent above expected revenues.
The parliament sent the budget back for adjustment, and the government
operated under an interim budget. Spending was limited to available
funding during the first three quarters of 1996, and revenues are running
about 15 percent below estimates. The Serb Republic had an explicit deficit
equal to about 1 percent of GDP in 1995, and a payment to cover some of
the 1995 shortfall was included in the 1996 budget. The majority of rev-
enues are collected at the entity level, and shares of the revenue are trans-
ferred to finance municipal functions. The municipality of Banja Luka has
argued strongly that for political reasons, it is receiving less than its legis-
lated share of taxes.
The Federation has not begun to operate as a fully fledged government.
Ministries have been formed and ministers and some staff appointed, but
only the Federation’s customs bureau is fully operative. A combined pay-
ments bureau just began to function at the end of 1996. Most functions are
still being performed by the former governments in the Bosniac and Croat
majority areas, or by cantons and municipalities. Tax revenues continue to
be collected by the former Bosniac and Croat governments, with some of
the revenues being transferred to the cantons and municipalities. The
Federation began receiving customs and excise tax revenues in May 1996.
By the end of September 1996, the Federation had received income of DM
183.9 million and had expended DM 173.4 million. Only DM 13.0 million
has gone toward salaries and materials.
All ten cantons had been formed by the time a law establishing their geo-
graphic boundaries was passed in June 1996. However, most of the cantons
have elected a legislature and president, and are establishing a working
framework that includes constitutions. Only the cantons of Tuzla, Zenica,
and Bihac can be described as functioning. Organization of these three was
well under way before peace, in part because these regions were cut off
from Sarajevo during the war and had, de facto, to set up their own institu-
tions.
includes being part of Yugoslavia and participating in the war, and by the
various agreements that have already been made. Still, a series of
recommendations that would enhance the public sector’s operational effi-
ciency can be made.
tax rates on mobile factors, consumption, and customs which are close to
each other. The coordination could be informal, based simply on observ-
ing the other entity’s tax policies, or more explicit, through negotiations.
More efficient tax policy is likely to result from explicit cooperation, but
there is currently no mechanism in place through which the dialog can
occur.
Size of government
Government must be reduced substantially to a size that is appropriate for
facilitating the private sector’s operation, providing a sustainable, reason-
able safety net, and ensuring delivery of services that are essential to an
acceptable quality of life. The multi-layer government structure raises the
challenge of attaining a smaller size while achieving public sector goals,
but emphasizes the importance of being vigilant in seeking efficiency in
government.
In recent years, budget control has been exercised by limiting spending
to available revenues, with no expectation that planned expenditures will
actually be financed. Budgetary practices need to be rationalized so that
expenditures are set to meet appropriate goals, with the expectation that
all expenditures, including wages and pensions, normally will be met.
Rationalization of spending will require that expenditures for defense, the
safety net, and subsidization of the economy be reduced.
In addition, the budget cannot be expanded to accommodate arrears. A
number of outstanding claims on Bosnia arise from frozen foreign
exchange deposits and unpaid pensions and wages. The total value of
these claims is more than DM 13 billion in the Federation, or about ten
years of current own-source revenues. Recently, foreign exchange bank
books worth nearly DM 5 billion were issued allowing former Republic of
Bosnia-Herzegovina soldiers to make explicit claims against the Republic.
The recognition of explicit claims on a case-by-case basis must be curtailed,
and previous decrees and laws repudiated. It is essential that any settle-
ment of these liabilities should occur using revenues from the sale of assets
(such as could arise from housing and enterprise privatization) and that no
mechanism for settling liabilities should have implications for the budgets
of the state, entities, cantons, or municipalities. Political and equity-based
concerns will be the key factors in deciding the relative compensation paid
for these claims.14
Budgetary savings can be obtained through more efficient operations.
First, better delivery mechanisms must be identified. Diseconomies of
small scale must be overcome through creative means of consolidating
Bosnia-Herzegovina 291
vertical balance. This means that each level of government would have
sufficient revenue capacity to fund the services for which it is responsible.
Furthermore, tax and grant assignments must be made with an eye not
only on the funding of current service levels but also on future service
needs. That is, revenue buoyancy must be carefully considered when
assignments are made. Each level of government – the Federation, cantons,
and municipalities – must have sufficiently buoyant revenue sources to
provide the amounts needed to pay for the delivery of services over time.
As noted above, it is important to differentiate among the separate steps
of the taxation process when making tax assignments. These steps include
tax administration, definition of tax bases, setting of tax rates, and tax own-
ership. The level of government in charge of collecting a tax need not be
the one that defined the tax base, set the tax rate, or owns the tax revenues.
Locally owned taxes (cantonal or municipal taxes) need not be locally
administered, and federally imposed and collected taxes can be – and in
other countries often are – shared with other levels. Alternatively, taxes
could be collected at the canton level and shared with the Federation. In
fact, it is recommended that for the most important taxes, the definition of
the tax base and possibly the setting of the tax rate be done at the
Federation (and ultimately the state) level, while allowing cantons and
municipalities some flexibility over revenue instruments. Economic
integration, tax compliance, and tax administration would be greatly
enhanced by nationally uniform bases and rates for customs, excise, cor-
porate and personal income taxes, and sales or value-added taxes.
However, cantons must be protected from the Federation exempting tax-
payers or narrowing the base for taxes where the Federation has little or
no revenues at stake. A proposed set of assignments for the Federation is
in table 9.3.
Three criteria must be considered in determining the appropriate tax
ownership assignments. First, tax assignment must bear a strong corre-
spondence to the expenditure responsibilities of each government level
to ensure that adequate financing is available to deliver required services.
A perfect relationship between expenditure responsibilities and tax
revenue ownership is not required (and probably is not desirable)
because grants can be made from a government that owns revenues to
assist another government in financing its expenditure responsibilities.
Second, tax assignment must not violate the Constitution, the Dayton
agreements, and other international agreements. Third, tax ownership
must be consistent with the administrative ability to measure where the
taxable activity occurs, if revenues are to be distributed on a sites-of-
collection basis. For example, ownership of customs taxes based on
Table 9.3. Summary of suggested tax assignments
Tax type Tax administration Tax base Tax rate Revenue ownership
Customs Federal or state Federal or state Federal or state Federation and state
Excises Federal Federal legislation Federal legislation; surcharges set by Federation; cantons or
cantonal or municipal assemblies municipalities may impose
retail level taxes
Wage and personal income Federal or canton Federal legislation Basic rate set by the Federal Shared by the Federation,
legislation; surcharges set at the cantons, and municipalities
cantonal level
Corporate income Federal Federal legislation Federal legislation Federation
Sales tax (retail level) Federal; feasible but Federal legislation Rates to be set by Federal legislation; Federation, cantons and
complicated at the surcharges can be set by cantons municipalities
cantonal level
Property tax Municipal Federal legislative Municipal level Municipal level
framework
Real estate transfers Municipal Federal legislative Municipal assemblies Municipal level
background
Motor vehicles Municipal Federal legislative Cantonal level Cantons and municipalities
framework
Social security contributions Federal Federal legislation Federal legislation Funds
User fees, social services Service-providing Cantonal legislation Cantonal or municipal providers Service-providing agencies
agencies
User fees, utilities Service supply Regulatory Service-providing companies subject Service-providing
companies frameworks to regulatory oversight companies
VAT Federal Federal legislation Rates to be set by Federal legislation Shared between the
Federation and the cantons
Note: In this table, tax assignments are suggested between the state and the Federation’s government. Similar tax assignments between the state
and the Serb Republic entity could be suggested.
Bosnia-Herzegovina 295
Table 9.4. Tax revenue assignments for the Federation, 1997 (percentages)
Table 9.5. Tax revenue distribution for Bosnia, 1997 (million DM)
Revenues
Customs duties 25.0 39.7 208.3 0.0 273.0
Excise and special import taxes 0.0 0.0 225.0 0.0 225.0
Wage and income taxes 0.0 60.0 20.0 20.0 100.0
Profits tax 0.0 0.0 70.0 70.0 140.0
Sales tax 0.0 78.0 0.0 500.0 578.0
Other taxes and fees 15.0 21.0 0.0 179.0 215.0
Total revenues 40.0 198.7 523.3 769.0 1 531.0
Expenditures
Expenditures (except army, 40.0 116.7 163.3 769.0 1 089.0
social programs and debt
service)
Expenditures: army, social 0.0 82.0 360.0 0.0 442.0
programs and debt service
Total expenditures 40.0 198.7 523.3 769.0 1 531.0
Note: The Federation and Serb Republic data do not include special funds for healthcare,
unemployment, and pensions. The Serb Republic data do not include municipal revenues.
those implicit in the assignments. The state needs to receive 7.4 percent of
Federation and 17.3 percent of Serb Republic customs tax revenues to
finance its expenditures. The difference in shares illustrates the effect of
having one-third of the state financed by the Serb Republic and the other
two-thirds financed by the Federation. No other detail was estimated for
the Serb Republic.
In the Federation, the remainder of customs taxes, and excise, special
import and enterprise profits taxes are assigned to the Federation. Wage,
income, and profits taxes are assumed to be split evenly between the
Federation and the cantons.16 The cantons and municipalities receive the
range of smaller taxes including the real estate, judicial and advertising
taxes.
The revenue assignments were proposed in order to create vertical
balance in the system, but several important cautions should be noted.
First, the assignments will allow horizontal imbalances at the canton and
municipal levels. Estimates suggest several cantons would have signifi-
cant deficits, arising from both the expenditure and revenue sides.
Revenues are constrained in some areas because of very weak economies
and expenditure needs are larger in some places than others. Second, the
expenditure assignments used here are similar to those in place for 1996,
except most spending for health, education, and police services is passed
to the cantons. Changes in the expenditure assignments will necessitate
changes in revenue assignments. Third, very minimal grants from the
Federation to the cantons are allowed for in the financing scheme. Own-
source revenues should be the major financing source because of account-
ability, concerns about cross-subsidies, and differences in service
demands, and for other reasons. Still, a greater role for grants exists, and
development of a transfer system would require additional tax assignment
to the Federation. Finally, the assignments fail to recognize differences in
revenue buoyancy, and will have to be altered over time if expenditures
grow at different rates from revenues. Subnational governments are often
assigned taxes with low buoyancy. However, more than 60 percent of the
revenues assigned here are from the relatively buoyant sales and wage
taxes.
Most taxes, including the corporate and personal income, excise,
customs, and value-added taxes would be best administered at the entity
level, and in several cases at the state level. A limited number of revenue
sources, such as the property tax and user fees, could be administered at
the subentity level. Taxes are administered at the entity level in the Serb
Republic and legislation has been passed for administration at the
Federation level as well. Advantages in terms of lower operational costs,
Bosnia-Herzegovina 297
Conclusion
Progress in developing the governments in Bosnia has been slower than
was envisioned when the Dayton agreements were penned. This is not sur-
prising since there is little or no world experience of developing govern-
ments in the short period of time assumed in the agreements. There are
positive signals in Bosnia, such as a number of government institutions
becoming operative and revenues being passed to both the state and the
Federation. Still, the challenge of achieving fully operational governments
remains.
Traditional economic models of federalism, like that on which this
chapter’s analysis is based, suggest a government structure assuming
there is an intent to achieve Pareto efficiency for the entire country. Current
attitudes in Bosnia suggest that many people in each ethnic group see
themselves as members of their group, rather than as Bosnians, and are not
broadly concerned about the welfare of the whole country or access to
public services outside their group. The motivation for the fiscal federal-
ism structure proposed in the Dayton agreements is better interpreted as
an effort to manage conflict between the ethnic groups. Federalism in a
conflict management sense does not require that each group be given its
own state, but does lead to the conclusion that institutions of power should
be brought closer to people so that decision-making can be more sensitive
to the different ethnic groups (Tishkov, 1993). Decentralization in this
context is a means to lessen the points where disagreement exists, rather
than a structure to obtain economic efficiency. Common institutions at the
state, entity or canton levels are maintained, but only for functions that
must be broader in scope. The fiscal (and other) interdependencies from
common institutions at the state, entity, and canton levels provide oppor-
tunities to build relationships and trust over time.
The government structure included in Dayton is workable. However,
unless governments negotiate other arrangements, the likely outcome in
the short to medium term is diseconomies of scale in provision of certain
services, as some that can be provided at lower unit costs at the state level
are provided at the entity level, and some with lower unit costs at the entity
level are delivered at the canton or municipal level. Services with geo-
graphic spillovers will be underprovided because governments will fail to
298 William Fox and Christine Wallich
Notes
1 Bosnia’s prewar population was 4.5 million, of which some 3 million have had
to leave their towns and villages, with 1 million estimated to be refugees
abroad, mostly in Western Europe. Another 250,000 people are dead or missing.
2 It could be argued that the concentration of industrial conglomerates, made
non-viable because of transition shocks in Bosniac-majority areas, would have
led to some decline in the tax bases of this area even without the war.
3 In the short term, this is expected to be donor-financed, but as the economy
recovers, a domestic contribution to infrastructure finance is anticipated.
4 McLure (1994) has made these observations about the service provision differ-
entials in the Russian Federation and the issue of whether natural resource rev-
enues “belong” to all Russians, or to the territories (oblasts) in which they are
located. The same observations about preferences and tolerances for redistribu-
tion also apply to Bosnia.
5 There will be a one-time opportunity to issue currency when the currency board
is established, from which the state may accumulate seignorage revenue.
However, the revenue is expected to be limited, and cannot be relied upon as a
continuing revenue source. While the possibility of seignorage revenue is
removed by the establishment of a currency board, the state may earn some
revenue through interest earnings on foreign exchange reserves. In the interim
Bosnia-Herzegovina 299
and until a new currency is in place, the seignorage from the circulation of the
Deutschmark in the country accrues to the Bundesbank in Germany (and of the
kuna to the Croatian Central Bank).
6 Kosovo along with Voivodina, which is largely Hungarian-populated, is now a
dependent province within Serbia-Montenegro.
7 78 percent of Federal Fund resources were mobilized from the three better-off
republics in the 1970s, falling to 75 percent in the 1980s (Federal Statistical Office
of Yugoslavia). Gross Social Product may be thought of, very roughly, as
equivalent to the more familiar GDP or GNP measures.
8 The financial channel was effected in two ways. First, commercial banks in each
republic could supplement their deposit resources by borrowing from their
republic branch of the National Bank of Yugoslavia. Empirical studies suggest
that the central bank did play a role in the regional allocation of credit through
this mechanism, although it is difficult to get a consistent picture of who were
the gainers and who were the losers (World Bank, 1989). Second, the commer-
cial banks in each republic met the financial losses of enterprises which
amounted to 5–6 percent of GSP in the latter part of the 1980s. The inflation this
process gave rise to was felt by all, but the “benefits” of the system (financing
of losses) were concentrated in Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, and Serbia (World
Bank, 1989).
9 The peculiar Yugoslav institution, the SDK, (the Social Accounting Office),
which exists in a somewhat truncated form in Bosnia today, makes it possible to
pinpoint closely where consumption, employment, and production take place
and where taxes should be collected. So far this system has been inadequate for
generating confidence in the governments getting their appropriate shares.
10 Constitution of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Annex 4, Article III, Section 2(b).
11 Coordination between the Serb Republic and Yugoslavia and between the
Federation and Croatia is already well under way.
12 The Dayton agreements can be interpreted as requiring common customs tax
rates, but the entities are free to set the other tax rates.
13 Labor migration in response to tax differentials is not a significant issue in the
current environment, given the lack of freedom of movement between entities.
14 These claims do not include the international debt of Bosnia.
15 Revenues and expenditures were estimated separately. Expenditure require-
ments were based on budgeted and actual 1996 expenditures and assumed
growth rates for the state and Federation. Additional transfers to the state are
necessary if the state is to remit debt amortization payments. Canton and
municipal expenditures were estimated using actual 1995 expenditures for the
various services, and assumed growth rates. Revenue estimates for 1997 are
based on actual collections in 1995, the first nine months of 1996, and assumed
growth rates. No attempt is made to estimate the separate revenues of
municipalities and cantons in the Federation. Defense, social programs, and
debt service are used to balance expenditures and revenues and do not include
off-budget expenditures.
16 The split wage tax could be designed as a piggybacked wage tax, as has been
proposed by the IMF.
300 William Fox and Christine Wallich
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ciency and macroeconomic aspects,” in Michael Bruno and Boris Pleskovic,
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nist Russia,” Working Paper series, Conflict Management Group, Harvard
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Vodopivec, Milan (1991), “Redistribution through the soft budget constraint,”
World Bank (October).
Woodward, Susan (1995), Balkan Tragedy, Washington DC: Brookings Institution.
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ities,” Report No. 7869-YU, World Bank, Washington, DC (November).
(1996), Bosnia and Herzegovina: Toward Economic Recovery, World Bank Country
Study, Washington, DC: World Bank.
Index
301
302 Index
China (cont.) demand-driven (bottom-up) approach 3, 5,
earmarked grants 55–56 10
enterprise income tax 50–51 in Bosnia-Herzegovina 276
Finance Commission 82 in Indonesia 126
fiscal disparities 66 Denmark 31
indirect taxes 51–53 devolution 3, 12, 207
local government 63–65; autonomy of 65 in Argentina 206, 215, 232
macroeconomic policy 59–62 in Morocco 169
National Tax Service 53 in Tunisia 169
redistribution 68–69 see also public choice approach
reform 62–72; objective of 57–62
revenue capacity 66 equalization, horizontal 31
revenue-sharing 53–57 in India 95
revenue structure 49–52 equalizing criteria, in Argentina 232
shared taxes 54–55 European Union 5, 78, 207
tax effort 69–71
Colombia 5, 6, 8, 9, 10, 21, 25, 30, 34, 172–98, federal finance 23–28
265 “federal–provincial diplomacy,” in Canada
Antioquia (Medellin) 174 25
Bogotá 174 fiscal decentralization 1–40, 206–08
Commission on Intergovernmental conditions for success 12–14
Finance 173 definition and assessment 3–5
deficits 191–94 federal finance 23–28
earmarking and expenditure grants fiscal federalism 23–28
186–89, 195 international comparisons 16–22
education 181–83 lessons 34–40
fiscal effort 189–91 local capacity and taxation 8–12
fiscal flexibility 189–91 macroeconomic aspects 5–8
general purpose grant 184–86 patterns 22–28
health 181–83 transfers, 28–34
infrastructure 183–84 fiscal dependency 91
intergovernmental transfers 177–79 fiscal effort 189–91
lessons 195 “fiscal effort hypothesis” 190
participaciones municipales (PM) 177, 178, fiscal federalism 23–28
186 fiscal flexibility 189–91
policy objectives 179–86 fiscal imbalance
sistema nacional de cofinanciación (SNC) horizontal 11; in Argentina 224–25; in
177, 179 India 92–94, 109
situado fiscal (SF) 177, 178, 192 vertical 11, 28; in Argentina 221; in India
subnational governments 175–77 81, 89–92; in Pakistan 140–41
transfers, 191–94; design of 179–86 “fiscal laziness,” see substitution effect
Valle (Cali), 174 Fiszbein, A. 4, 14, 265
competitive equality 87 “flypaper effect” 190, 192
competitive federalism 81 France 23
“coparticipation” system (Colombia) 9 French model 152, 155
cost-benefit appropriability 87 Fox, W. 5, 25
Czechoslovakia 28
“gap-filling” approach 100–02
decentralization theorem (Oates’) 24, 80, Germany 18, 21, 25, 31
218, 220
deconcentration 3, 23, 207 hard budget constraint 13, 14
in Indonesia 126 in Colombia 196
in Pakistan 127 horizontal fiscal balance, see equalization,
delegation 3, 13, 23, 207 horizontal
in Argentina 206, 215, 225 horizontal fiscal imbalance, see under fiscal
in Bosnia-Herzegovina 289 imbalance
see also principal–agent model
Index 303
India 5, 18, 78–110 tax revenues 156–67
assignment question 80–86 transfers 157–60, 162–71
central sector 103–05
economic rationale for transfers 94 “need–revenue” gap 96
equalization 95 Netherlands: Dutch rule in Indonesia 116,
equalizing effects 105–08 145
expenditure assignments 80–86 New Zealand 255
federal fiscal arrangements 108–10
Finance Commission 97–108, 110; Oates’ theorem, see decentralization
transfers 100–02 theorem
fiscal disharmony 89–94 OECD 17
fiscal gap 95 “own-source” revenues 11
fiscal harmony 86–87
fiscal imbalances: horizontal 92–94; Pakistan 10, 18, 79, 115–16, 126–51
vertical 81, 89–92 bureaucratic factors 145–46
Indian National Congress 79 decision-making 131
intergovernmental competition 86–87 economic evaluation of transfers 139–40
intergovernmental transfers, 96–108 external participants 147
interstate competition 87–89 federal–provincial transfers 136–39
plan transfers 102–03 fiscal imbalance, vertical 140–41
Planning Commission 79, 97–108, 110 institutional factors 146–47
spillovers 96 Karachi Metropolitan Corporation 127
tax and expenditure overlapping 86–89 lessons 148–51
transfers 94–108 National Finance Commission 134, 137
Indonesia 9, 21, 23, 24, 115–26, 144–51 political factors 144–45
budgeting 126 private sector 129
bureaucratic factors 145–46 provincial structure 128–29
expenditure assignment 118–20 provincialization 126–44
external participants 147 public sector accountability 132
fiscal system 116–26 public sector strength 132
institutional factors 146–47 public service efficiency 131–32
Instruksi Presiden (INPRES) 123, 125, 126 public service equity 131–32
intergovernmental loan finance 123–25 reform 144–51
Jakarta 18 subnational government 143–44
lessons 148–61 taxing powers 132–36
local borrowing 125 transfers 136–43
local user charges 122–23 “post-welfare state” 1
monitoring 126 principal–agent model 25, 206, 207
planning 126 in Argentina 230
political factors 144–45 see also delegation
reform 144–51 public choice approach 208; see also
regional taxes 121–22 devolution
tax base assignment 120–21
transfers 123–26 Rao, G. 5, 14, 18, 86, 89
International Monetary Fund 53, 286, 287 rent-seeking 115
in Indonesia 115
Linn, J. 2, 16 in Pakistan 115
revenue-sharing system 231, 232
moral hazard problem 264, 266 Rezk, E. 18
Morocco 6, 7, 8, 21, 23, 25, 31, 152–71 Russia (see also Soviet Union) 5, 18, 21, 23,
communal system 155 28, 134, 283
funding mechanism 156–60
institutional setting 152–56 Shah, A. 4, 18, 25, 115, 116
intergovernmental finance 156–66 South Africa 5, 6, 8, 18, 21, 25, 26, 239–68
municipalities 154, 155–56 apartheid 239, 239–46
sociodemographic characteristics 152–53 Black Local Authorities (BLAs) 240,
subnational governments 153–55 242–43, 246, 253, 257, 260
304 Index
South Africa (cont.) Sweden 34
capacity and decentralized responsibility Switzerland 18, 21, 25
265
Cape Town 257–63 Tanzi, V. 207, 274
central fiscal transfers 260 tax
cooperative governance 263–64 principle of concurrence 85
efficiency considerations 254 principle of separation 82, 85
expenditure assignment 248 Tishkov, V. 292, 297
expenditure responsibilities 258–60 top-down approach, see supply-driven
Financial and Fiscal Commission 14, 249, approach
250–51, 263 transfers
fiscal balance: horizontal 251; vertical 251 in Colombia 177–86, 191–94
fiscal imbalance: horizontal 246; vertical in India 94–108
246 in Indonesia 123–26
fiscal stability 255 in Morocco 157–60, 162–71
homelands 241, 246 in Pakistan 136–43
horizontal inequality 249–50 role and design 28–34
income redistribution 254–55 in Tunisia 162–71
Johannesburg 244, 253, 257–63, 268 Tunisia 6, 18, 21, 23, 152–71
local governments 241–42 allocation formulas 165
KwaZulu 247 communal system 155
municipal services surcharges 261–63 direct taxes 160–61
Natal 247 envelope 164
national context 240–41 funding mechanism 160–62
payroll tax 260 institutional setting 152–56
political considerations 253–54 indirect taxes 161–62
provinces, new 246–52; and metropolitan intergovernental finance 156–66
governments 267–68 local governments 162–64, 169–70
property tax 260–61 local investment 166–68
public financial intermediary (PFI) 255 municipalities 154, 155–56
racial jurisdictions 246–48 own revenues 165–66
regional governments 241 sociodemographic characteristics 152–53
Regional Service Councils (RSCs) 240, subnational governments 153–55
245–46, 260 transfers 162–71
Self-Governing Territories (SGTs) 240,
241, 246, 247 United States 18, 249, 255
spatial policies 239, 241–46
TBVC (Transkei, Bophutaswana, Venda, Vaillancourt, F. 2, 87, 89, 170
and Ciskei) 240, 241, 246, 247 vertical fiscal imbalance, see under fiscal
tax assignment 260 imbalance
transfers 241 Vietnam 18, 22, 23, 26
urban governance 252–57
White Local Authorities (WLAs) 240, 242, Wallich, C. 1, 5, 26, 276
243–45, 253, 257, 260, 261 Wiesner, E. 191, 208
Soviet Union (see also Russia) 28, 78 Wildasin, D. 1, 266, 267
Spain 34 World Bank 8, 23, 25, 26, 52, 53, 64, 176, 178,
“stimulative effect” 192 182, 184, 185, 189, 191, 195, 273, 278,
“substitution effect” 192 286, 287
supply-driven (top-down) approach 4, 5,
10, 23 Yugoslavia 28, 272, 274–79, 283, 288
in Indonesia 126