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Dissertation: (Special Emphasis On Herding Behaviour) "

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DISSERTATION

On

“THE EFFECT OF BEHAVIOURAL FINANCE ON CAPITAL MARKETS.: BRICS


NATIONS

(SPECIAL EMPHASIS ON HERDING BEHAVIOUR)”

By

Prateek Verma

A001110719042

MBA Class of 2021

Under the Supervision of

Dr. T. V. Raman

In Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Business


Administration

At

AMITY BUSINESS SCHOOL

AMITY UNIVERSITY UTTAR PRADESH

SECTOR 125, NOIDA - 201303, UTTAR PRADESH, INDIA


CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION

Behavioural finance is the endeavour to consider the phycological conduct of speculators and
the business sectors and how are they impacted. Behavioural finance hypotheses examine
enthusiastic attributes to clarify abstract variables and nonsensical peculiarities in budgetary
business sectors. It concedes that mental attributes, (for example, hazard avoidance, lament,
pomposity) assume a significant part in budgetary administration and venture dynamic.
Thusly, budgetary shortcomings could be determined which could prompt enhancements in
money related dynamic and development of riches.

So as to utilize Behavioural finance by and by, it is critical to see how Behavioural finance
varies from a conventional account and a portion of the hypothetical points of view that are
applicable to comprehend the distinctions. Conduct Finance contrasts from the conventional
account, which depends on theories about how financial specialists and markets ought to
carry on. At the end of the day,

Behavioural finance contrasts from conventional money in that it centres around how
speculators and markets act practically speaking as opposed to in principle. By zeroing in on
real conduct, social specialists have seen that people settle on venture choices in manners and
with results that contrast from the methodologies and results of customary account.

Behavioural finance is a unique field in learning how psychological factors affect the
investors investment decisions. Now a day’s investment decisions are made by the influence
of different information available to investors in the market or even forecasting are becoming
illusion in the real financial markets. It is very clearly visible that different changes in the
market such as price volatility, ups and downs in the economic and financial situations effect
the mindset of the investors. Most of the individuals are risk averse and the one thing which
keep rotating in their mind is fear of losing the money.
Herding Behaviour

What is Herd Instinct?

Herd instinct in account is where speculators follow what they see different financial
specialists and investors are doing, instead of their own examination. As it were, a speculator
showing crowd sense will incline toward the equivalent or comparative ventures put together
exclusively with respect to the way that numerous others are purchasing the protections.

This research aims to research the existence of herding behaviour in BRICS countries (Brazil,

Russia, India, China, and South Africa) stocks market and uneven grouping conduct in 1997-
2017 by utilizing every day information of the stock cost. This examination points
additionally to assist the financial specialists with knowing the expected danger in each
BRICS nation as their reference to do the speculation choices. By utilizing the CSAD
strategy (Chang et al, 2000), the outcomes show there is a presence of grouping conduct in all
period and lopsidedly in India, China, and South Africa and blended proof in

Brazil and Russia. Herding behaviour occurs when the level of market return is positive and
negative implies that the investors tend to respond to the gain than facing the loss, that is the
reason the investors have a tendency to mimic others in order to save their value of the
portfolio.

When herding behaviour occurs at a high level of volatility it implies the level of uncertainty
in the countries are really high, therefore the investors tend to follow the market movement
and mimic others. Herding behaviour occurs at a low level of volatility implies that it is
insufficient information provided by the market, therefore the investors neglect their prior
information and tend to follow the market movement as the references to their investment
decisions

Keywords: herding behaviour, BRICS, CSAD


CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW

Literature review is an essential part for every research work, as it assesses and analyse the
relevant literature for identifying the areas which need strengthening in the field of study.
Accordingly, ample literature review was carried out from the famous published literature
available on the most considerable research papers, articles and journal.

Herding in Frontier Markets: Evidence from African Stock Exchanges


Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money
DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2016.11.001

Authors:

 Yilmaz Guney (Coventry university)


 Bill Kallinterakis (university of Liverpool)
 Gabriel Komba (Mzumbe University)

We investigate herding in eight African frontier stock markets between January 2002
and July 2015, given the limited evidence on herding in frontier markets. Herding
appears significant throughout the 2002-2015 period for all markets, with smaller
stocks found to enhance its magnitude. Herding entails no clear asymmetries
conditional on market performance; conversely, it appears notably asymmetric when
conditioned on market volatility, as it is significant (or stronger) mainly during low
volatility days, without this pattern, however, surviving when accounting for the
2007-2009 crisis. The US and South African markets motivate herding on a small
number of occasions only, while the return dynamics of a regional economic
initiative’s member-markets are found to induce herding in each other very rarely,
thus demonstrating that investors’ behaviour in markets with low integration in the
international financial system is not significantly affected by non-domestic factors.1

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Yilmaz_Guney/publication/309494058_Herding_in_Frontier_Markets_E
vidence_from_African_Stock_Exchanges/links/5c3c7255a6fdccd6b5ab5cf6/Herding-in-Frontier-Markets-
Evidence-from-African-Stock-Exchanges.pdf
An empirical analysis of herd behaviour in global stock markets

Journal of Banking & Finance,

DOI: 2010, vol. 34, issue 8, 1911-1921

Authors:

 Thomas Chiang
 Dazhi Zheng

This paper examines herding behaviour in global markets. By applying daily data for
18 countries from May 25, 1988, through April 24, 2009, we find evidence of herding
in advanced stock markets (except the US) and in Asian markets. No evidence of
herding is found in Latin American markets. Evidence suggests that stock return
dispersions in the US play a significant role in explaining the non-US market's
herding activity. With the exceptions of the US and Latin American markets, herding
is present in both up and down markets, although herding asymmetry is more
profound in Asian markets during rising markets. Evidence suggests that crisis
triggers herding activity in the crisis country of origin and then produces a contagion
effect, which spreads the crisis to neighbouring countries. During crisis periods, we
find supportive evidence for herding formation in the US and Latin American
markets.2

Herding behaviour in the Chinese and Indian stock markets


Journal of Asian Economics,
DOI: 2011, vol. 22, issue 6, 495-506

Authors:

 Paulo Lao
 Harminder Singh

2
https://econpapers.repec.org/article/eeejbfina/
The existence of herding behaviour challenges the validity of the “efficient market
hypothesis”. This study examines herding behaviour in the Chinese and Indian stock
markets; our findings

suggest that herding behaviour exists in both. The level of herding depends on market
conditions. In the Chinese market, herding behaviour is greater when the market is falling
and the trading volume is high. On the other hand, in India the study finds that it occurs
during up-swings in market conditions. Herding behaviour is more prevalent during large
market movements in both markets. In relative terms, a lower prevalence of herding
behaviour was detected in the Indian stock market.3

To be added further ...

3
https://econpapers.repec.org/article/eeeasieco/
CHAPTER 3: OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY

The study was conducted taking into consideration the following three main objectives-

1. Analyse the existence of herding behaviour in BRICS countries


2. To identify investors preferred approach to investing.
3. To study the purpose of investment for individual investors
4. To know the potential risk in each BRICS countries as their reference to do the
investment decisions
CHAPTER 4: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

Research methodology is the path through which researchers need to conduct their research
and analyse the need for the research done. It shows the path through which researchers
formulate their problem and objective and present the result from the data obtained during the
study, and some appropriate result may be obtained.

This investigation use test subjects of organizations recorded on the BRICS stock trades, to
be specific BOVESPA (Brazil), MOEX (Russia), BSN (India), Shanghai Composite Index
(China), and FTSE South Africa (South Africa). The period utilized in this investigation all in
all is January 1, 1997 to December 29, 2017, with the accompanying subtleties; Brazil from
31 December 1996 to 29 December 2017, Russia begins from 18 January 2002 to 25
September 2017, India begins from 30 December 1997 to 29 December 2017, China begins
from 3 July 1997 to 25 August 2017, and South Africa begins from 31 December 1996 to 29
November 2016.

To address the key research objectives, the research paper has used both qualitative and
quantitative method.

Data type: Primary Data & Secondary Data

Sampling area: India

Test for research analysis will be CSAD (cross section absolute dispersion) proposed by
Chang et al.

Descriptive and Inferential test will be used.

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