Benefits, Risks and Opportunities of Financial Derivatives in Bangladesh
Benefits, Risks and Opportunities of Financial Derivatives in Bangladesh
Benefits, Risks and Opportunities of Financial Derivatives in Bangladesh
Abstract: The paper explains the essence of derivatives and identifies the different types of that exist. The
article examines the technologies of credit derivatives application in the financial markets, especially the most
common ones, credit default swaps. Both positive and negative aspects of their application to risk management
have been revealed. Moreover, the grounds for their considering to be responsible for the global crisis
aggravation have been identified. The prospects of CDS utilization in the development of a new global financial
order have been illustrated. The paper briefly explains how derivative activity level can be monitored and then
takes a look at the benefits, risks and opportunities of derivative in Bangladesh.
Keywords: hedge funds, credit default swaps (CDS), swaps, new financial order.
I. Introduction
One of the most significant events in the securities markets has been the development and expansion of
derivatives. The world‘s largest financial market today is therefore without doubt the derivative market. Martin
Taylor, former Group Chief Executive of Barclays, compare risk with energy; ―Risk is neither created, nor
destroyed, merely passed around.‖ This is where the speculators play an important role in the derivatives
market. In this research paper furnish the details about – Derivatives and Terminology of Derivatives -
regulatory requirements for derivatives- application of derivatives- risk management- trading futures –
valuation of future - pay off futures –theoretical model for future pricing- trading options– valuation of option-
option strategies- determination of option prices- derivatives trading on exchange- settlement of derivatives -
settlement of futures market to market settlement- final settlement for futures- settlement of options- daily
premium settlement- exercise settlement - accounting and taxation of derivatives, Global equity derivatives-
cause and effect of global financial crisis and how it affect the derivative market- Introduction about
Bangladesh capital market-derivatives in Bangladesh-milestones in the development of Bangladesh derivative
market- benefits, risks and opportunities of derivatives in Bangladesh.
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calling for delivery of, and payment for, a specified quantity and quality of a commodity at a specified future
date.
The price may be agreed upon in advance, or determined by formula at the time of delivery or other
point in time‖ .Just like other instruments, it is used to control and hedge currency exposure risk (e.g. forward
contracts on USD or EUR) or commodity prices (e.g. forward contracts on oil).
Patwari and Bhargava (2006) explain it in simple words and further add that one of the parties to a
forward contract assumes a long position and agrees to buy the underlying asset at a certain future date for a
certain price and the other agrees to short it. The specified price is referred to as the delivery price. The parties
to the contract mutually agree upon the contract terms like delivery price and quantity.―A Futures Contract is a
standardized contract, traded on a futures exchange, to buy or sell a certain underlying instrument at a certain
date in the future, at a pre-set price. The future date is called the delivery date or final settlement date. The pre-
set price is called the futures price. The price of the underlying asset on the delivery date is called the settlement
price. The futures price, naturally, converges towards the settlement price on the delivery date‖.
Sirisha (2001) explain the Types of Futures which are as follows: Foreign Exchange Futures Currency Futures
Stock Index Futures Commodity Futures.
III. Methodology
This report contains information gathered from secondary sources. Most of the information was
collected from different web sites, some economic journals. A series discussion and conversation with the
members and officials of the Dhaka Stock Exchange Ltd., some teaching professionals of Finance Department
of Dhaka University as well as a few expertises in the capital market also provides some information about the
derivatives. Practical work exposures at different departments and relevant file study in the Dhaka Stock
Exchange Ltd. also provided strong base platform for preparing this report. Secondarily, various books and
articles regarding Derivatives have been used in designing the report format.
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Hedging
In finance, a hedge is a position established in one market in an attempt to offset exposure to price
fluctuations in some opposite position in another market with the goal of minimizing one's exposure to
unwanted risk. If you're hedging, you'd buy derivatives as a kind of insurance policy.
Speculation
Some individuals and institutions will enter into a derivative contract to speculate on the value of the
underlying asset, betting that the party seeking insurance will be wrong about the future value of the underlying
assets. Speculation is a different side of dealing in derivatives.
Arbitrage
Individuals and institutions may also look for arbitrage opportunities, as when the current buying price
of an asset falls below the price specified in a futures contract to sell the asset.
Valuation of Derivatives-Pricing
Prices of derivatives are commonly referred to in two different ways: market price and arbitrage-free
price.
Market price, i.e. the price at which traders are willing to buy or sell the contract.
Arbitrage-free price, meaning that no risk-free profits can be made by trading in these contracts; see
rational pricing.
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2. The Over-The-Counter (OTC) derivatives stood in notional or face value at USD 596 trillion
and included:
a. Interest Rate Derivatives at about USD 393+ trillion;
b. Credit Default Swaps at about USD 58+ trillion;
c. Foreign Exchange Derivatives at about USD 56+ trillion;
Let us think about the invisible USD 1,144 quadrillion equations with black swan variables – i.e, 1,144
trillion dollars in terms of outstanding derivatives, global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), real estate, world
stock and bond markets coupled with unknown unknowns or "Black Swans". What would be the relative
positioning of USD 1,144 quadrillion for outstanding derivatives, i.e. what is their scale:
1. The entire GDP of the US is about USD 14 trillion.
2. The entire US money supply is also about USD 15 trillion.
3. The GDP of the entire world is USD 50 trillion. USD 1,144 trillion is 22 times the GDP of the whole
world.
4. The real estate of the entire world is valued at about USD 75 trillion.
5. The world stock and bond markets are valued at about USD 100 trillion.
6. The big banks alone own about USD 140 trillion in derivatives.
7. Bear Stearns had USD 13+ trillion in derivatives and went bankrupt in March. Freddie Mac, Fannie
Mae, Lehman Brothers and AIG have all 'collapsed' because of complex securities and derivatives exposures in
September.
X. Benefit Of Derivatives
Derivatives are a primary aspect of risk management, because they offer financial planners and risk
managers to hedge business risk. The main use of derivatives is to minimize risk for one party while offering
the potential for a high return (at increased risk) to another.
Nevertheless, the use of derivatives also has its benefits:
• Derivatives facilitate the buying and selling of risk and many people consider this to have a
positive impact on the economic system.
• Derivatives offset the risks of changing underlying market prices. Thus it helps in reducing the
risk associated with exposures in an underlying market by taking counter- positions in the futures market.
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• Derivatives are highly leveraged instruments; hence the investor is required to pay a small
fraction of the value of the total contract as margins.
• Incentive to make profits with minimal amount of risk capital.
• Derivatives market is lead economic indicators.
• Former Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan commented in 2003 that he believed
that the use of derivatives has softened the impact of the economic downturn at the beginning of the 21st
century.
Introduction of Future
A future contract is one where there is an agreement between two parties to exchange any assets or
currency or commodity for cash at a certain future date, at an agreed price.
Margins
Initially, investors have to maintain minimum margin requirements with their brokers. These initial
margin requirements are based on 99% value at risk over a one day time horizon. This is also known as SPAN
Margin. The Mark to Market Margins is calculated at the end of the day.
Daily Mark to Market Settlement
Spot Price of MTM MTM
Mr. Raju Buys Mr. Ajay Sells
Underlying is @ Tk. Gain / Loss Gain / Loss
Futures @ Tk. 510 Futures @ Tk. 510
490 (Tk.) (Tk.)
500 512 +2 512 - 2
510 520 + 8 520 - 8
495 510 - 10 510 + 10
505 515 + 5 515 - 5
515 525 + 10 525 - 10
Futures Payoff
A payoff is the likely profit or loss that would accrue to a market participant with change in the price of
the underlying asset.
Futures have a linear payoff, i.e. the losses as well as profits for the trader of futures contract are
unlimited.
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Pricing of Futures
Pricing of futures:
• Futures price = Spot Price + Cost of carry
• Cost of carry = interest rate*
• At expiry : Futures price = Spot price
– F = S(1 + r - q) ^ t
Where F = Futures price, S = Spot index value, r = Cost of Financing, q = Expected dividend yield, t = Holding
period.
Example: If Nifty trades at 1200, cost of financing =15%, dividend yield = 2% annualized, a two month Nifty
futures will trade at:
F = 1200 (1 + 0.15 – 0.02) ^ (60/365)
= 1224.35
Introduction to Options
Options on equities began trading on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) in 1972; custom
options available Over the Counter (OTC) since the 1920s. Options on currencies and bonds traded OTC
among banks in the late 1970s. Exchange-traded options on currencies began on Philadelphia Stock Exchange
in 1982. Interest rate options began trading on the CME in 1985.
Terminology of Options
Terminologies of options are
• Index options: Have index as the underlying
• Stock Options: Have stock as the underlying
• Option buyer: Buys the option by paying premium and gets the right to exercise options on
writer/seller.
• Option seller/writer: Sells/writes the option and receives the premium and is hence under obligation
to buy/sell asset if the buyer exercises option.
• Option premium: Price paid by the buyer to seller to acquire the right. Comprises of Intrinsic Value
and Time Value.
• Strike / Exercise price: Price at which the underlying may be purchased or sold.
• Expiry date: The date when options to be exercised/ traded. Options cease to exist after expiry.
• In the money options
It is an option that will lead to a positive cash flow to buyer when exercised.
Call option is in the money when CMP is higher than strike.
Put option is in the money when CMP is lower than strike.
• At the money options
It is an option that will lead to a zero cash flow to buyer when exercised.
Options are at the money when CMP is equal to strike.
• Out of the money options
It is an option that will lead to a negative cash flow to buyer when exercised, however OTM options
can never be exercised / assigned.
Call option is out of money when CMP is lower than strike.
Put option is out of money when CMP is higher than strike.
Certain Concepts In the money- positive cash flow if exercised immediately.
At the money - zero cash flow if exercised immediately.
Out of the money - negative cash flow if exercised immediately.
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Classifications of Options
Generally options are of two types:
CALL: It gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy.
PUT: It gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation to sell.
– EUROPEAN Option is an option that can be exercised only on its expiration date.
– AMERICAN Option is an option that can be exercised any time up until and including its
expiration date.
Options Payoff
Options Pricing
The price of a put or call option depends upon the market behavior of the equity that underlines the
option. Generally the price at which the stock under option may be put or called is the contract price. The
contract price remains fixed during the life of the contract.
The amount the buyers pay for the option privilege in purchasing an option is called the premium.
Sometimes, it may be called as the option money.
Pricing of options:
Intrinsic Value (IV)
Difference between spot and strike
ITM has IV, ATM and OTM have zero IV
• C = S * N (d1) - X * e- rt * N (d2)
• P = X * e- rt * N (-d2) - S * N (-d1)
where : d1=[ln(S/X)+(r+σ2/2)*t]/σ*sqrt(t)
d2=[ln(S/X)+(r-σ2/2)*t]/σ*sqrt(t)
= d1 - σ * sqrt(t)
C=price of a call option
P=price of a put option
S=price of the underlying asset
X=Strike price of the option
r=rate of interest
t=time to expiration
σ = volatility of the underlying
N represents a standard normal distribution with mean = 0 and standard deviation = 1 in represents the natural
logarithm of a number. Natural logarithms are based on the constant e(2.71828182845904).
As a developing nation we do not have enough investors who are having bulk amount of monetary reserve.
Whereas a Derivatives Market needs a strong number of investors whose investment will run as blood of the
market and keep it alive.
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The capital market is the engine of growth for an economy, and performs a critical role in acting as an
intermediary between savers and companies seeking additional financing for business expansion. Today, with a
$257 billion economy and per capita income of roughly $641 in 2010 if purchasing power parity (PPP) is taken
into account, Bangladesh should really focus on improving governance and developing advanced market
products, such as derivatives.
It is encouraging to see that the capital market of Bangladesh is growing, albeit at a slower pace than
many would like, with market development still at a nascent stage. The market has seen a lot of developments
since the inception of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in 1993. After the bubble burst of 1996,
the capital market has attracted a lot more attention, importance and awareness that have led to the infrastructure
we have in the market today. Now a days it is said that still our capital market is undeveloped. Expertise of the
capital market emphasis on the way to find out the right path to create a stable and matured market for our
country. Some urges that if derivatives were introduced in our country, that might be able to protect the market.
XVI. The Share Scam 2010–The Recent Capital Market Crash Condition In
Bangladesh
The calendar year 2010 was a unique year in the history of Bangladesh stock markets for more than one
reason. While the markets managed to attract billions of FII inflows into Bangladeshi stock markets for the high
rate of returns as the benchmark indices advanced by over 82 per cent in course of within a single year, yet the
volatility noticed in the Bangladeshi stock markets was almost at its peak, due to several regulatory and
monetary changes in the year. The Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) passed through an eventful year amid records
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and ups and downs. However, the last few days of 2010 were quite reverse to its yearly trend when the DSE
witnessed a shortfall of fund.
The country‘s main bourse suffered the worst ever single day fall of 552 points, or 6.72 per cent on
December 19, reminding investors of a major collapse in 1996. Throughout the year, the market regulator‘s
frequent changes in regulations and imposing abrupt directives attracted strong debate and criticism. Finally all
the measures appeared to have failed when they were repealed on the wake of the free falls of DSE indices at the
end of the year. It was a roller-coaster ride in last few weeks of the year, with the indices hitting a record high on
5 December, having climbed 80% since the start of the year. But on 8 December it nosedived, prompting
protests in Dhaka and towns elsewhere. This was followed a strong fall of over 6.7% on December 19, which
prompted many protests on street from investors.
After the Bangladesh stock market debacle in 1996, the market recovered gradually and had been
growing steadily until 2008. In 2010, the share price index started rising and it became abnormally high in late
2010 creating an alarming situation and a concern among the experts. From the first week of December, there
was repeated falls in the stock prices and in the process, many investors incurred huge losses and market is yet
to be stable. Finally I find that derivatives the most dynamic and innovative instruments which is used all over
the modern economy to mitigate the risks of capital market should be introduced in our country against the
recent share scam.
XVIII. Recommendation
Though derivatives are very useful for managing various risks, there are certain inhibiting factors,
which stand in their way. The authorities should keep in mind the following recommendations while
implementing the derivatives contracts which are purely new concept in Bangladesh Capital Market . They are
as follows:
Misconception Of Derivatives:
There is a wrong feeling that derivatives would bring in financial collapse. Derivatives themselves cannot cause
such mishaps. But the improper handling of these instruments is the main cause for this and one cannot simply
blame derivatives for all these miss happenings.
Leveraging:
There is no doubt that derivatives create leverage and leverage creates increased risk or return. At the same time,
one should keep in mind that the very same derivatives, if properly handled, could be used as an efficient tool to
minimize risks. Thus cautions should be taken to properly use of derivatives.
Off Balance Sheet Items:
Invariably, derivatives are off balance sheet items. For instance, swap agreements for substituting fixed interest
rate bonds by floating rate bonds or for substituting fixed rate interest bearing asset by floating rate interest
paying liability. Hence, accountants, regulators and other look down upon derivatives very carefully.
Absence Of Proper Accounting System:
To achieve the desired results, derivative must be strongly supported by proper accounting systems, efficient
internal control and strict supervision. The policy makers might impose strong views in this regard.
Inbuilt Speculative:
In fact all derivative contracts are structured basically on the basis of the future price movements over which the
speculators have on upper hand. Indirectly, derivatives make one accept the fact that speculation is beneficial. It
may not be so always.
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XIX. Conclusion
We are developing nation and our economy is growing day by day in order to compete with the world
emerging economy. As a part of development we are expecting Future and Forward Market to enter in our
economy as well as country. We surely benefited from it, if we can properly manage it. For the wellbeing of the
economy we need to establish our Future and Forward Market in the country. As an observer of markets, I
believe that these financial innovations may have contributed to favorable financial conditions in our country
and thus to strong economic growth for Bangladesh. In turn, that stable macro environment has legitimately
increased risk appetite and willingness to embrace leverage in Bangladesh.
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