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Financial Forecast, AFN

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Solution

Chapter: 12
Problem: 10

Start with the partial model in the file Ch12 P10 Build a Model.xls on the textbook’s Web site, which contains the 2013 finan
statements of Zieber Corporation. Forecast Zeiber's 2014 income statement and balance sheets. Use the following assump
(1) Sales grow by 6%. (2) The ratios of expenses to sales, depreciation to fixed assets, cash to sales, accounts receivable t
sales, and inventories to sales will be the same in 2014 as in 2013. (3) Zeiber will not issue any new stock or new long-term
bonds. (4) The interest rate is 11% for long-term debt and the interest expense on long-term debt is based on the average
balance during the year . (5) No interest is earned on cash. (6) Dividends grow at an 8% rate. (6) Calculate the additional fun
needed (AFN). If new financing is required, assume it will be raised by drawing on a line of credit with an interest rate of 12
Assume that any draw on the line of credit will be made on the last day of the year, so there will be no additional interest
expense for the new line of credit. If surplus funds are available, pay a special dividend.

a. What are the forecasted levels of notes payable and special dividends?

Key Input Data: Used in the INPUT


forecast g 6%
interest rate 11%
dividend growth rate 8%
line of credit 12%

December 31 Income Statements:


(in thousands of dollars)
Forecasting 2013 2014
2013 basis Ratios Inputs
Sales $455,150 6%
Expenses (excluding depr. & amort.) $386,878 0.85 85%
Depreciation and Amortization $14,565 $0.08 8%
EBIT $53,708
Interest expense on long-term debt $11,880
Interest expense on line of credit $0
EBT $41,828
Taxes (40%) $16,731
Net Income $25,097
Common dividends (regular dividends) $12,554
Special dividends
Addition to retained earnings (DRE) $12,543

December 31 Balance Sheets


(in thousands of dollars)
Forecasting 2013 2014
2013 basis Ratios Inputs Without adj.
Assets:
Cash $18,206 4% $19,298.36
Accounts Receivable $100,133 22% $106,141
Inventories $45,515 10% $48,246
Total current assets $163,854 $173,685
Fixed assets $182,060 40% $192,984
Total assets $345,914 $366,669

Liabilities and equity


Accounts payable $31,861 7% $33,772
Accruals $27,309 6% $28,948
Line of credit $0 $0
Total current liabilities $59,170 $62,720
Long-term debt $120,000 $120,000
Total liabilities $179,170 $182,720
Common stock $60,000 $60,000
Retained Earnings $106,745 $119,424
Total common equity $166,745 $179,424
Total liabilities and equity $345,914 $362,144

AFN -$4,525
Increase in spontaneous liabilities (accounts payable and accruals)
+ Increase in long-term bonds, preferred stock and common stock
+ Net income minus regular common dividends
Increase in financing
− Increase in total assets
Amount of deficit or surplus financing:
If deficit in financing (negative), draw on line of credit
If surplus in financing (positive), pay special dividend
tains the 2013 financial
e following assumptions:
counts receivable to
ck or new long-term
ed on the average
te the additional funds
n interest rate of 12%.
dditional interest

old(1+g)
2014
Forecast
482459
410090.15
$15,438.69
$56,930.16
$13,200
$0
$43,730.16
$17,492.06
$26,238.10
13558.32
$0
$12,679.78

2014
Adj.

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