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Drew

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1. Calculate the return and st.

deviation over the 60 months for Reynolds, Hasbro, and the


S&P index, based on the data in the case. Discuss the amount of total risk in each of the 3
assets (i.e., which asset had the highest/lowest risk).

The average return and standard deviation of each stock for monthly periods is as
follows: S&P 500: 0.51% and 3.60%, Reynolds: 1.42% and 9.37%, Hasbro: 0.87% and
8.12%.
The S&P 500 had the lowest returns yet also the lowest risk associated with the stock.
This makes sense as it is composed of 500 companies and therefore has increased
diversity. Reynolds turns out to have the highest average returns, but also the highest
risk. This doesn’t come as a surprise.

2. Suppose Sharpe had formed portfolios invested 99% in the S&P 500 and 1% in either
Reynolds or Hasbro over the previous 60 months.
What would the returns and st. deviation of her portfolios have been?
For the S&P 500 and Reynolds portfolio the returns and standard deviation would be
0.52% and 3.59%, respectively. For the S&P 500 and Hasbro portfolio it would have
returns of 0.514% and a standard deviation of 3.62%.
How does adding Reynolds to her existing portfolio affect her portfolio risk (st. deviation)?
By adding Reynolds to the portfolio, the portfolio’s risk is decreased by a small
amount from 3.60% to 3.59%. This is in part due to the weak correlation the two assets
have.
How does adding Hasbro to her existing portfolio affect her portfolio risk (st. deviation)?
However, when adding Hasbro the portfolios risk increases from 3.60% to 3.62%.
Even though Hasbro has a smaller risk than Reynolds, the portfolio has its risk
increase due to the correlation between Hasbro and the S&P 500 is fairly large at 0.68.
Which stock, Reynolds or Hasbro, is more risky based on its effect on her overall portfolio?
Hasbro is riskier due to it increasing the overall risk of the portfolio with its addition.
This is because of the larger correlation compared to Reynolds.

3 Calculate the beta coefficient for each stock by regressing the returns of the stock against
the returns of the S&P index over the 60 month period using linear regression is Excel.
Discuss the amount of beta risk in each stock. How is that related to question 2 above?
The beta of Reynolds is 0.736 while Hasbro is 1.42. Once again, we see how Hasbro is
relatively much riskier than Reynolds when viewed relative to the portfolio. A larger
beta means just this and is part of the reason Hasbro adds risk to the portfolio as
opposed to Reynolds.

4. Overall, do your findings make sense from an economic standpoint? For example, what
products do these two companies make? What are the risks associated with these companies;
which of those are more likely to be systematic and which idiosyncratic? 
Yes, I think they do make sense. Obviously, with Reynolds in the tobacco field they
will have inherent risks dealing with the dangers of smoking and who can and cannot
smoke. These potential advertising costs and lawsuits are idiosyncratic risks unique to
Reynolds. As for Hasbro, they produce children toys and are subject to their own risks
such as movie flops resulting in decreased sales. Overall, with a lower correlation
factor the portfolio is better able to handle the risk of Reynolds and use the
diversification to quell the idiosyncratic risks associated with the stock.

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