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Paints Industry

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Paints

The market size of the Indian paints sector has been pegged at Rs 210 bn in
value terms having grown by 15% in FY10 and is very fragmented. The per capita
consumption of paints in India stands at 0.5 kg per annum as compared to 1.6
kgs in China and 22 kgs in the developed economies. India's share in the world
paint market is just 0.6%.

The unorganised sector controls around 35% of the paint market, with the
organised sector accounting for the balance. In the unorganised segment, there
are about 2,000 units having small and medium sized paints manufacturing
plants. Top organised players include Asian Paints (30% market share), Kansai
Nerolac (20% market share), Berger Paints (19% market share) and ICI (12%
market share).

Demand for paints comes from two broad categories:

Decoratives:Major segments in decoratives include exterior wall paints, interior


wall paints, wood finishes and enamel and ancillary products such as primers,
putties etc. Decorative paints account for over 75% of the overall paint market in
India. Asian Paints is the market leader in this segment. Demand for decorative
paints arises from household painting, architectural and other display purposes.
Demand in the festive season (September-December) is significant, as compared
to other periods. This segment is price sensitive and is a higher margin business
as compared to industrial segment.

Industrial: Three main segments of the industrial sector include automotive


coatings, powder coatings and protective coatings. Kansai Nerolac is the market
leader in this segment. User industries for industrial paints include automobiles
engineering and consumer durables. The industrial paints segment is far more
technology intensive than the decorative segment.

The paints sector is raw material intensive, with over 300 raw materials (30%
petro-based derivatives) involved in the manufacturing process. Since most of the
raw materials are petroleum based, the industry benefits from softening crude
prices.

With the steady decline in excise duties (from 40% to 16% over five years),
viability of small-scale units has eroded considerably. Without the price
advantage, these units have found it difficult to compete with their peers in the
organised sector. The unorganised sector has been consistently losing market
share to the organised sector.
 Key Points
Supply Supply exceeds demand in both the decorative as well as the
industrial paints segments. Industry is fragmented.

Demand Demand for decorative paints depends on the housing sector


and good monsoons. Industrial paint demand is linked to user
industries like auto, engineering and consumer durables.

Barriers to entry Brand, distribution network, working capital efficiency and


technology play a crucial role.

Bargaining Price increase constrained with the presence of the


power of unorganised sector for the decorative segment. Sophisticated
suppliers buyers of industrial paints also limit the bargaining power of
suppliers. It is therefore that margins are better in the decorative
segment.

Bargaining High due to availability of wide choice.


power of
customers
Competition In both categories, companies in the organised sector focus on
brand building. Higher prices through product differentiation are
also followed as a competitive strategy.

 Financial Year '10


FY10 was a strong year for paint companies as compared to a very challenging
FY09. The 3 players viz. Asian Paints, Kansai Nerolac and Berger Paints
reported strong growth in sales as demand significantly improved in both the
decorative and the industrial paints segment. With respect to the latter, the
automotive paints segment did very well on the back of splendid sales
performance reported by auto companies. Further, the GDP growing at a much
faster rate in FY10 than it did in FY09 also helped matters.

Performance was robust on the margins front as well. Operating margins


significantly expanded as raw material costs fell down. This was on the back of
benign commodity prices. An appreciating rupee (which makes imports cheaper)
also helped matters as all paint companies import a large part of its raw material
requirements namely titanium dioxide. However, the end of FY10 saw a gradual
rise in input costs and the robust margins that the companies enjoyed are not
likely to be sustainable going forward.

All the key players are in an expansion phase. Asian Paints' plant in Rohtak,
Haryana has commenced operations and it has acquired land in Maharshtra to
set up another plant. Kansai Nerolac is undertaking brownfield expansions at its
Lote and Bawal plants. Meanwhile operations have commenced at its greenfield
project in Hosur, Tamil Nadu. Berger Paints has acquired land in Andhra
Pradesh for setting up a water based paint plant besides enhancing its current
plant capacities at Goa and Jammu.

 Prospects
The market for paints in India is expected to grow at 1.5 times to 2 times GDP
growth rate in the next five years. With GDP growth expected to be over 7%
levels, the top three players are likely to clock above industry growth rates,
especially given the fact that protection that was available to unorganised
players has come down significantly.

Decorative paints are expected to witness higher growth going forward. The
fiscal incentives given by the government to the housing sector have benefited
the housing sector immensely. This will benefit key players in the long term.

This apart, the status of monsoons would have a significant impact on


agricultural output, which in turn would influence the demand for paint from rural
areas. We expect paint demand to grow by 12% to 15% in the next two to three
years, largely led by post festive season demand.

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