AnFrek Hujan
AnFrek Hujan
AnFrek Hujan
10
Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum (mm) DISTRIBUSI NORMAL
Tahun
20 CS = DISTRIBUSI GUMBEL
CK = TR YTR
Cv = 10 2.250
50 3.902
Parameter Statistik :
x 10 th = 96.67
x 50 th = 122.81
mm X tr = Xrata2 + Ktr . Sd
mm
mm 10 YTr Yn
mm 2 K
Sn
T
y ln ln
Yn Sn K T 1
0.4952 0.9496 1.8483228
0.4952 0.9496 3.5875512
mm
mm
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
Jumlah Data N 20
Nilai Rata-rata µ 68.900
Standar Deviasi σ 15.027
1
2
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
Distribusi Normal
P T
1000 75.8
200 70.1
100 67.4
50 64.3
25 59.7
10 55.8
5 50.9
2 41.6
interpolasi Tr
25.000 1.640
21.000 1.544
10.000 1.280
25.000 1.640
10.500 1.292
10.000 1.280
10.000 1.280
7.000 1.016
5.000 0.840
10.000 1.280
5.250 0.862
5.000 0.840
5.000 0.840
4.200 0.704
4.000 0.670
4.000 0.670
3.500 0.558
3.330 0.520
3.330 0.520
3.000 0.413
2.500 0.250
3.330 0.520
2.625 0.291
2.500 0.250
3.330 0.520
2.333 0.196
2.500 0.250
2.500 0.250
2.100 0.050
2.000 0.000
2.500 0.250
1.909 -0.045
2.000 0.000
2.000 0.000
1.750 -0.189
1.670 -0.250
2.000 0.000
1.615 -0.291
1.670 -0.250
1.670 -0.250
1.500 -0.441
1.430 -0.520
1.670 -0.250
1.400 -0.554
1.430 -0.520
1.670 -0.250
1.313 -0.652
1.430 -0.520
1.430 -0.520
1.235 -0.812
1.330 -0.670
1.330 -0.670
1.167 -1.017
1.250 -0.840
1.250 -0.840
1.105 -1.295
1.110 -1.280
1.250 -0.840
1.050 -1.469
1.110 -1.280
Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Normal
d Peluang
1.0000 0.999
1.1638 0.995
1.3497 0.990
1.5340 0.950
1.5853 0.940
1.7634 0.800
1.9249 0.750
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
Jumlah Data N 20
Nilai Rata-rata µ 1.828
Standar Deviasi σ 0.093
Koefisien Kepencengan Cs 0.000
RTr (mm/hr)
67.32
80.64
88.63
95.76
104.58
111.07
117.20
130.78
1 20.000 1.280
21.000 1.280
10.000 1.280
2 10.000 1.280
10.500 1.324
5.000 0.840
3 6.000 0.840
7.000 0.840
5.000 0.840
4 4.500 0.670
5.250 0.766
3.330 0.520
5 3.330 0.520
4.200 0.803
2.500 0.250
6 3.330 0.520
3.500 0.575
2.500 0.250
7 2.500 0.250
3.000 0.500
2.000 0.000
8 3.000 0.250
2.625 -0.123
1.100 -1.640
9 1.800 -0.250
2.333 0.139
1.430 -0.520
10 1.700 -0.250
2.100 0.150
1.430 -0.520
11 1.500 -0.520
#REF! #REF!
1.330 -0.670
12 1.400 -0.670
#REF! #REF!
1.250 -0.840
13 1.250 -0.840
#REF! #REF!
1.110 -1.280
14 1.200 -1.280
#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
15 1.110 -1.280
#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Log Normal
Sampel Yn Sn Sampel Yn
10 0.4952 0.9496 10 0.4952
11 0.4996 0.9676 11 0.4996
12 0.5035 0.9833 12 0.5035
13 0.5070 0.9971 13 0.5070
14 0.5100 1.0095 14 0.5100
15 0.5128 1.0206 15 0.5128
16 0.5157 1.0316 16 0.5157
17 0.5181 1.0411 17 0.5181
18 0.5202 1.0493 18 0.5202
19 0.5220 1.0565 19 0.5220
20 0.5236 1.0628 20 0.5236
21 0.5252 1.0696 21 0.5252
22 0.5268 1.0754 22 0.5268
23 0.5283 1.0811 23 0.5283
24 0.5296 1.0864 24 0.5296
25 0.5309 1.0915 25 0.5309
26 0.5320 1.0861 26 0.5320
27 0.5332 1.1004 27 0.5332
28 0.5343 1.1047 28 0.5343
29 0.5353 1.1086 29 0.5353
30 0.5362 1.1124 30 0.5362
31 0.5371 1.1159 31 0.5371
32 0.5380 1.1193 32 0.5380
33 0.5388 1.1226 33 0.5388
34 0.5396 1.1255 34 0.5396
35 0.5402 1.1287 35 0.5402
36 0.5410 1.1313 36 0.5410
37 0.5418 1.1339 37 0.5418
38 0.5424 1.1363 38 0.5424
39 0.5430 1.1388 39 0.5430
40 0.5436 1.1413 40 0.5436
41 0.5442 1.1436 41 0.5442
42 0.5448 1.1458 42 0.5448
43 0.5453 1.1480 43 0.5453
44 0.5458 1.1499 44 0.5458
45 0.5463 1.1519 45 0.5463
46 0.5468 1.1538 46 0.5468
47 0.5473 1.1557 47 0.5473
48 0.5477 1.1574 48 0.5477
49 0.5481 1.1590 49 0.5481
50 0.5485 1.1607 50 0.5485
51 0.5489 1.1623 51 0.5489
52 0.5493 1.1638 52 0.5493
53 0.5497 1.1658 53 0.5497
54 0.5501 1.1667 54 0.5501
55 0.5504 1.1681 55 0.5504
56 0.5508 1.1696
57 0.5511 1.1708
58 0.5515 1.1721
59 0.5519 1.1734
60 0.5521 1.1747
61 0.5524 1.1759
62 0.5527 1.1770
63 0.5530 1.1782
64 0.5533 1.1793
65 0.5535 1.1803
66 0.5538 1.1814
67 0.5540 1.1824
68 0.5543 1.1834
69 0.5545 1.1844
70 0.5548 1.1854
71 0.5550 1.1854
72 0.5552 1.1873
73 0.5555 1.1881
74 0.5557 1.1890
75 0.5559 1.1898
76 0.5561 1.1906
77 0.5563 1.1915
78 0.5565 1.1923
79 0.5567 1.1930
80 0.5569 1.1938
81 0.5570 1.1945
82 0.5572 1.1953
83 0.5574 1.1959
84 0.5576 1.1967
85 0.5578 1.1973
86 0.5580 1.1987
87 0.5581 1.1987
88 0.5583 1.1994
89 0.5583 1.2001
90 0.5586 1.2007
91 0.5587 1.2013
92 0.5589 1.2020
93 0.5591 1.2026
94 0.5592 1.2032
95 0.5593 1.2038
96 0.5595 1.2044
97 0.5596 1.2049
98 0.5598 1.2055
99 0.5599 1.2060
100 0.5600 1.2065
Harga Yn & Sn Distribusi Gumbel
Sn Sampel Yn Sn
0.9496 56 0.5508 1.1696
0.9676 57 0.5511 1.1708
0.9833 58 0.5515 1.1721
0.9971 59 0.5519 1.1734
1.0095 60 0.5521 1.1747
1.0206 61 0.5524 1.1759
1.0316 62 0.5527 1.1770
1.0411 63 0.5530 1.1782
1.0493 64 0.5533 1.1793
1.0565 65 0.5535 1.1803
1.0628 66 0.5538 1.1814
1.0696 67 0.5540 1.1824
1.0754 68 0.5543 1.1834
1.0811 69 0.5545 1.1844
1.0864 70 0.5548 1.1854
1.0915 71 0.5550 1.1854
1.0861 72 0.5552 1.1873
1.1004 73 0.5555 1.1881
1.1047 74 0.5557 1.1890
1.1086 75 0.5559 1.1898
1.1124 76 0.5561 1.1906
1.1159 77 0.5563 1.1915
1.1193 78 0.5565 1.1923
1.1226 79 0.5567 1.1930
1.1255 80 0.5569 1.1938
1.1287 81 0.5570 1.1945
1.1313 82 0.5572 1.1953
1.1339 83 0.5574 1.1959
1.1363 84 0.5576 1.1967
1.1388 85 0.5578 1.1973
1.1413 86 0.5580 1.1987
1.1436 87 0.5581 1.1987
1.1458 88 0.5583 1.1994
1.1480 89 0.5583 1.2001
1.1499 90 0.5586 1.2007
1.1519 91 0.5587 1.2013
1.1538 92 0.5589 1.2020
1.1557 93 0.5591 1.2026
1.1574 94 0.5592 1.2032
1.1590 95 0.5593 1.2038
1.1607 96 0.5595 1.2044
1.1623 97 0.5596 1.2049
1.1638 98 0.5598 1.2055
1.1658 99 0.5599 1.2060
1.1667 100 0.5600 1.2065
1.1681
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
Jumlah Data N
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax
Nilai Rata-rata µ
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua ∑(Rmax - µ)2
Standar Deviasi S
Koefisien Yn (Reduced Mean) Yn
Koefisien Sn (Seduced Standar Deviasi) Sn
Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
105.12 6.85
94.69 29.51
88.43 0.45
83.85 26.82
80.19 0.16
77.11 2.06
74.40 4.28
71.96 2.76
69.73 4.79
67.63 0.02
65.63 1.31
63.71 1.95
61.82 0.39
59.94 0.17
58.04 0.28
56.06 0.01
53.97 1.37
51.65 0.07
48.90 2.68
45.15 0.12
86.05
20.00
2.13
Harga KTr Metode Pearson III dan Log Pearson III
C Probability (%)
Cs 50 20 10 4 2 1
200 1000
0.5 0.1
0.667 0.668
0.690 0.695
0.714 0.722
0.741 0.748
0.769 0.775
0.800 0.802
0.833 0.838
1.869 0.874
0.907 0.910
0.949 0.955
0.995 1.000
1.044 1.065
1.097 1.130
1.155 1.205
1.216 1.280
1.282 1.373
1.351 1.465
1.424 1.545
1.501 1.625
1.581 1.713
1.664 1.800
1.749 1.910
1.837 2.035
1.926 2.150
2.016 2.275
2.108 2.400
2.201 2.540
2.294 2.675
2.388 2.810
2.482 2.950
2.576 3.090
2.670 3.235
2.763 3.380
2.856 3.525
2.949 3.670
3.041 3.815
3.132 3.960
3.223 4.105
3.312 4.250
3.401 4.395
3.489 4.540
3.575 4.680
3.661 4.820
3.745 4.965
3.828 5.110
3.910 5.250
3.990 5.390
4.069 5.525
4.147 5.660
4.223 5.785
4.298 5.910
4.372 6.055
4.444 6.200
4.515 6.333
4.584 6.467
4.652 6.600
4.718 6.730
4.847 6.860
4.783 6.990
4.909 7.120
4.970 7.250
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr) (Rmax - µ)3
Jumlah Data N 20
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax 1377.996
Nilai Rata-rata µ 68.900
Standar Deviasi S 15.417
Koefisien Kemencengan CS 0.536
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Interpolasi
5.0
Cs 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000 4.5
0.500 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.910 2.311 2.686 3.041 3.815 4.0
3.5
f(x) =
0.536 -0.089 0.805 1.325 1.921 2.328 2.711 3.074 3.868 R² = 0
KTr
3.0
0.600 -0.099 0.800 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755 3.132 3.960 2.5
2.0
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 1
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji
Distribusi Pearson Type III Distr
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Tr
HubunganKTr Dengan Tr
Distribusi PearsonType I
Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Pearson Type III
Jumlah Data
Jumlah Nilai 'logRmax'
Nilai Rata-rata 'logRmax' (mean)
2 -0.026 1.8256
5 0.833 1.9079
10 1.297 1.9523
25 1.803 2.0008
50 2.136 2.0327
100 2.440 2.0618
200 2.722 2.0888
1000 3.316 2.1457
Hujan Rencana
earson Type III
0.03334317 0.00608850
0.01501851 0.00184052
0.01482635 0.00180531
0.01474456 0.00179039
0.00544994 0.00040233
0.00448678 0.00030054
0.00306471 0.00016966
0.00151460 0.00005895
0.00000203 0.00000000
0.00000131 0.00000000
0.00034734 -0.00000647
0.00112634 -0.00003780
0.00171377 -0.00007095
0.00284887 -0.00015206
0.00365631 -0.00022109
0.00639803 -0.00051176
0.00750896 -0.00065068
0.01375898 -0.00161391
0.01550230 -0.00193016
0.02893735 -0.00492253
N 20
∑logRmax 36.562 k 1.606
logRmax 1.828 Rata-rata 1.828
∑(logRmax - logRmax)2 0.174
Slog 0.096
∑(logRmax - logRmax)3 0.002
CS 0.156
Interpolasi
RTr (mm) Cs 2 5 10
0.100 -0.017 0.836 1.292
66.93 0.156 -0.026 0.833 1.297
80.88 0.200 -0.033 0.830 1.301
89.60
100.19 4 5 6
107.81 5.00 0.54647 0
115.29 2.50 -0.026 0
122.68 1.67
139.85 1.25
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
3.0 R² = 0.969155145318212
1.803 2.136 2.440 2.722 3.316 2.5
1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763 3.380
2.0
7 8 9 10 11 1.5
2 1.0
-0.02592 0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 90
Tr
Hubungan KTrDengan Tr
Distribusi Log Pearson Type
Hubungan KTrDengan Tr
Distribusi Log Pearson Type
rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Pearson Type III Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
r Dengan Tr
Pearson Type III
46555314829293
Hubungan KTrDengan Tr
Distribusi Log Pearson Type I
Hubungan KTrDengan Tr
Distribusi Log Pearson Type I
kan - Deviasi
Pearson Type III
Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
84.62 319.81
79.65 92.36
76.88 149.25
74.98 197.48
73.53 39.12
72.37 38.05
71.41 25.61
70.58 9.28
69.86 5.39
69.22 2.98
68.65 17.30
68.13 33.85
67.65 41.71
67.22 59.09
66.82 68.03
66.44 109.15
66.09 119.90
65.76 206.72
65.45 222.44
65.16 386.50
2144.03
20.00
10.62
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
120 117.91
107.70 107.81
104.80
104.58
100 100.19
98.51
95.76
99.71
93.95 93.54
89.60
89.33
88.63
88.13
83.06
81.52
81.31
80.88
80 80.64
68.90
67.53
67.32
66.93
66.62
60
40
20
Normal Gumbel Pearson III L og Pearson III Log No
0
TR02 TR05 TR10 TR25 TR50
Periode Ulang
100
50
Tr2 Tr5 Tr10 Tr25 Tr50 Tr100
150
100
50
0
Normal Log Normal Gumbel Pearson III Log Pearson III
C u r a h H u ja n R e n c a n a ( m m / h r )
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
TR02 TR05 TR10 TR25 TR50 TR100
Periode Ulang
Normal Gumbel Pearson Type III Log Pearson Type III Log Normal
N
ana (mm/hr)
66.93
80.88
89.60
100.19
107.81
115.29
NA
128.04
117.91 115.29
111.07
110.70
107.70 107.81
104.80
104.58 103.91
100.19
98.51 99.71
95.76
93.54
100
100
TR100
Log Normal
Tabel 2.8. Harga X2 kritis untuk Uji Chi - Square
x2
Derajat Kepercayaan (α)
Dk
0.995 0.990 0.975 0.950 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005
1 3.9E-05 0.000157 0.000982 0.00393 3.841 5.024 6.635 7.879
2 0.010 0.020 0.051 0.103 5.991 7.378 9.210 10.597
3 0.072 0.115 0.216 0.352 7.815 9.248 11.345 12.838
4 0.201 0.297 0.484 0.711 9.488 11.143 13.277 14.860
5 0.412 0.540 0.831 1.145 11.010 12.832 15.086 16.750
6 0.676 0.872 1.237 1.635 12.592 14.449 16.812 18.548
7 0.989 1.239 1.690 2.167 14.067 16.013 18.475 20.278
8 1.344 1.646 2.180 2.733 15.507 17.535 20.090 21.955
9 1.735 2.088 2.700 3.325 16.919 19.023 21.666 23.589
10 2.156 2.558 3.247 3.940 18.307 20.483 23.209 25.188
11 2.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 19.675 21.920 24.725 26.757
12 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.226 21.026 23.337 26.217 28.300
13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.892 22.362 24.736 27.688 29.819
14 4.075 4.660 5.629 6.571 23.685 26.119 29.141 31.319
15 4.601 5.229 6.262 7.261 24.996 27.488 30.758 32.801
16 5.124 5.812 6.908 7.962 26.296 28.845 32.000 34.267
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.672 27.587 30.191 33.409 35.718
18 6.265 7.015 8.231 9.360 28.869 31.526 34.805 37.756
19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 30.144 32.852 36.191 38.582
20 7.434 8.260 9.591 10.851 31.410 34.170 37.566 39.997
21 8.034 8.897 10.283 11.591 32.671 35.479 38.932 40.401
22 8.643 9.542 10.982 12.338 33.924 36.781 40.289 42.796
23 9.260 10.196 11.689 13.091 36.172 38.076 41.683 44.181
24 9.886 18.856 12.401 13.949 36.415 39.364 42.980 45.558
25 10.520 11.524 13.120 14.611 37.652 40.646 44.314 46.928
26 11.160 12.198 13.844 15.379 38.885 41.923 45.642 48.290
27 11.808 12.879 14.573 16.151 40.113 43.194 46.963 49.645
28 12.461 13.565 15.308 16.928 41.337 44.461 48.278 50.993
29 13.121 14.256 16.047 17.708 42.557 45.722 49.588 52.336
30 13.787 14.953 16.791 18.493 43.773 46.979 50.892 53.672
a
0.200 0.100 0.050 0.010
n
5 0.45 0.51 0.56 0.67
10 0.32 0.37 0.41 0.49
15 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.40
20 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.36
25 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.32
30 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.29
35 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.27
40 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.25
45 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.24
50 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.23
Periode Ulang
ytr yn Sn Sx
T (tahun)
6.00 1.7020 0.5236 1.0628 15.42
3.00 0.9027 0.5236 1.0628 15.42
2.00 0.3665 0.5236 1.0628 15.42
1.50 -0.0940 0.5236 1.0628 15.42
1.20 -0.5832 0.5236 1.0628 15.42
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)
Tabel 4.14. Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Normal
Periode Ulang
Variabel Gauss k Sx Xa Xt
T (tahun)
6.00 0.84 15.42 68.90 81.85
3.00 0.25 15.42 68.90 72.75
2.00 -0.25 15.42 68.90 65.05
1.5000 -0.84 15.42 68.90 55.95
1.2000 -0.67 15.42 68.90 58.57
TABEL REDUKSI GAUSS
Periode Peluang
k
Ulang, T P=1/T
Return Variabel Gauss,
Period k 1.001 0.999 -3.05
1.005 0.995 -2.58
2 0.00 1.01 0.990 -2.33
5 0.84 1.05 0.952 -1.64
10 1.28 1.11 0.901 -1.28
20 1.64 1.25 0.800 -0.84
25 1.71 1.33 0.752 -0.67
50 2.05 1.43 0.699 -0.52
100 2.33 1.67 0.599 -0.25
200 2.58 2 0.500 0
500 2.88 2.5 0.400 0.25
1000 3.09 3.33 0.300 0.52
4 0.250 0.67
5 0.200 0.84
10 0.100 1.28
20 0.050 1.64
50 0.020 2.05
100 0.010 2.33
200 0.005 2.58
500 0.002 2.88
1000 0.001 3.09
T k
Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV
Tabel 4.22. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
Sumber : Perhitungan
Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
16
Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III
Jenis Distribusi
Hujan Jam-Jaman Curah Hujan Netto Jam-Jaman
T RT Rt
Parameter
(Jam) (R24) Rasio Hujan (%)
1 0.55 55% Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
2 0.35 14%
3 0.26 10%
4 0.22 8% Distribusi
Jam
5 0.19 7% %
6 0.17 6% 1 55%
Total 100% 2 14%
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan 3 10%
4 8%
5 7%
6 6%
Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
Return
Period
2
5
10
25
50
100
Banjir 2016
Jam-Jaman
Hujan
Rencana
(mm)
Distribusi Hujan Jam-Jaman setiap Periode Ulang
66.62
83.06 100
93.95
90
107.70
117.91 80
Hujan Rencna (mm)
128.04 70
217.00 60
50
40
30
20
10
0
R2TH R5TH R10TH R25TH R50TH R100TH R200TH
Ulang
R100TH R200TH
RT = R24/T x (T/t)^(2/3)
RT = intensitas curah hujan rerata dalam T jam
R24 = curah hujan dalam 1 hari (mm)
T = waktu konsentrasi hujan (jam)
t = Jam Ke (jam)