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Case Study: Airport Express Metro Line: Project Financing Model

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Case Study: Airport Express Metro line: Project Financing model

By

Group Members Roll No.

ABU ASIF HASAN MP13001

AJIT KUMAR SINHA MP13003

AKASH PRIYRANJAN MP13004

ASHUTOSH K TRIPATHY MP13017

GYANESH DUBEY MP13026

SUMANTRA KUMAR KHAN MP13060

XLRI

JAMSHEDPUR
Airport Express Metro line : Project Financing model

New Delhi MRTS was implemented in two phases . Phase I consisting of 65 Km track was commissioned in 2006 . A new company Delhi Metro Rail
Corporation was established in 1995 to execute the project . The company was a 50:50 JV between Government of India and the Government of Delhi NCR .
Financing of Phase I was 38.78% GOI and Airport operator as equity ; 1.22% by Government as land cost ; 60 % as Debt .

In Phase 2 the original scope of work was to install additional 121 Km of track to extend the coverage of the MRTS . The Airport Express Metro line
[AEML] was included in Phase 2 after Delhi was selected as host of XIX Commonwealth Games . AEML linked Indira Gandhi International Airport to the
New Delhi Railway Station through five stations over a route length of 19.2 Km consisting of 5.5 Km underground and 11.6 Km elevated track. The total
project cost inclusive of escalation and taxes was ₹ 38110 million . The available time for the project was only three years . So financial closure had to be
arranged quickly.

Problem: Selecting the financing model

The Capex year to year break up for AMEL is given below:

Expenditure 10 6 ₹
Land Construction Escalation Taxes Total
2006 190 2050 0 320 2560
2007 180 7330 370 1220 9100
2008 8500 870 1490 10860
2009 8500 1340 1560 11400
2010 2050 440 400 2890
2011 880 240 180 1300
Total 38110

Alternatives : Phase 1 Model : D:E = 7/3 PPP 1 Model : D:E = 3/2 + Viability gap funding
PPP2 Model : Execution of Civil works by Public enterprise System cost borne by Concessionaire [D:E = 7/3]

Phase 1 Model

Project_cost Debt Equity Tax_rate


38110 70% 30% 30%
Fare ₹ Rides 2011 Rides 2021 Rides growth_2021
100 42500 86000 6%
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Ridership 0 0 0 0 0
Revenue Mill. ₹ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
O&M Mill. ₹ 0 0 0 0 0
EBITD 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Depreciation 0 0 0 0 0
Interest 2667.7 2667.7 2667.7 2667.7 2667.7
Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Investment -2560.00 -9100.00 -10860.00 -11400.00 -2800.00
Free cash flow -2560.00 -9100.00 -10860.00 -11400.00 -2800.00
Discounted cash flow -2560.00 -8387.10 -9225.08 -8925.15 -2020.41
NPV -23227.33
Fare for which NPV is zero ₹ 227.75
PPP Viability Model

Project_cost Debt Equity Tax_rate


38110 67% 33% 30%
Fare ₹ Rides 2011 Rides 2021 Rides growth_2021 O&M_ growthrate
100 42500 86000 6% 7%
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Ridership 0 0 0 0 0 42500 46850
Revenue Mill. ₹ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1551.25 1710.03
O&M Mill. ₹ 0 0 0 0 0 792.6 848.082
EBITD 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 758.65 861.94
Depreciation 0 0 0 0 0 3811 3811
Interest 2553.37 2553.37 2553.37 2553.37 2553.37 2553.37 2553.37
Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Investment -2560.00 -9100.00 -10860.00 -11400.00 -2800.00 -1300.00 0.00
Free cash flow -2560.00 -9100.00 -10860.00 -11400.00 -2800.00 -541.35 861.94
Discounted cash flow -2560.00 -8375.52 -9199.63 -8888.24 -2009.27 -357.54 523.96
NPV -23292.49
Expected return of
concessionaire 1509.156 1509.156
Government subsidy 7114.88 7011.58
PV subsidy 68937.72307 7114.876 6492.20648

Fare for which PV subsidy is zero ₹ 364.74


Fare for which N PV is zero ₹ 231.00
PPP Civil Model

Project_cost Debt Equity Tax_rate


14862.9 69% 31% 30%
38110 Fare ₹ Rides 2011 Rides 2021 Rides growth_2021 O&M_ growthrate Debt_cost
100 42500 86000 6% 7% 10%
Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Ridership 0 0 0 0 0 42500 46850 51200
Revenue Mill. ₹ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1551.25 1710.03 1868.80
O&M Mill. ₹ 0 0 0 0 0 792.6 848.082 907.44774
EBITD 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 758.65 861.94 961.35
Depreciation 0 0 0 0 0 3811 3811 3811
Interest 1028.97 1028.97 1028.97 1028.97 1028.97 1028.97 1028.97 1028.97
Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Investment -2560.00 -9100.00 -10860.00 -11400.00 -2800.00 -1300.00 0.00 0.00
Free cash flow -2560.00 -9100.00 -10860.00 -11400.00 -2800.00 -541.35 861.94 961.35
Discounted cash flow -2560.00 -8384.12 -9218.55 -8915.67 -2017.55 -359.38 527.20 541.75
NPV -23244.32
Expected return of
concessionaire 548.784 548.784 548.784
Government subsidy 4630.10 4526.81 4427.40
PV subsidy 42590.19668 4630.104 4191.49167 3795.78338

Fare for which PV subsidy is zero ₹ 260.90


Fare for which N PV is zero ₹ 237.26
Conclusion:

 The project is not a commercially viable project at 100 / ticket.


 So assistance from government is essential.
 The three modes of financing are ranked in the table below based on NPV and minimum Government support [calculated /ticket] .

Viability funding Subsidy for 12% ROE


Fare at NPV =0 Minimum subsidy
Rank Financing model NPV ₹ 10 6
over 20 years to investor
₹/ticket ₹/ticket
NPV ₹ 106 ₹/ticket

1 Phase 1 Model -23227 227.75 127.75

PPP : Civil works


2 -23244 237.26 137.26
by Gov.

PPP: Viability
3 -23292 231 131 68937.72 264.74
funding by Gov

It is clear from the above table that PPP method is not feasible if fare is kept at 100 / ticket because it is not desirable that private operators

be supported with government aid . So the AEML should be financed in the same manner as Phase 1.

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