SELF-LEARNING

HOME TASK (SLHT)

Trends , Networks, and

Critical Thinking in the 21st
Century

Quarter 3 - Week 2
 SELF-LEARNING HOME TASK (SLHT)

Subject: Trends , Networks, and Critical Thinking in the 21st Century Grade: 12

Level: Senior High School Quarter: Third Week: 2

MELC: Identify parts of a whole.

Identify emerging patterns
See, discover and differentiate relationships between causes and consequences
Competency Code: HUMSS_MCT12- Ia-b-6
HUMSS_MCT12- Ia-b-7
HUMSS_MCT12- Ia-b-8

A. Readings/Discussions

What makes a real trend?

If you come across a design trend you like, beware. It may well be a trap, baited by
seductive advertising. A trend will normally take root only when it has proved its worth in
practicality, style and manufacturing processes over the long term.
A viable trend has an identifiable benefit over that which it seeks to displace. It will
solve a problem in an appealing way. Such a trend will garner the attention of an industry
that will make sure it has marketing legs before investing in it. And it is the manufacturers
that will then get behind the advertising.

What makes a fad?

A fad is little more than a tick in time. A temporary style or fashion. A fad is something
that evokes some perception of “coolness.” And it becomes a fad because the “me too”
herd mentality kicks in. But eventually, the “fad” fizzles and becomes “fade.”
The fad typically fizzles because of its inherent flaws. These are normally related to its
impracticality or an inherent tiresomeness.

There are three ways to distinguish a fad from a trend. It is important to know these
methods when evaluating technology and learning budgets.

TRENDS SPRING FROM REAL NEEDS - The first clue to examine is to look at the origin
of the popularity of a particular technology. Fads and trends can have similar beginnings
so some investigation is in order.
Ask the following types of questions:
Is the technology popular because it solves a specific problem?
Is it easier to use?
Is it faster or more efficient?
Trends have an identifiable benefit over previous instructional methods or approaches,
and are driven by the fact that they are solving instructional needs.

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1. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Fads, on the other hand, are driven by a “coolness” factor or even a “me-too” type
mentality. A fad starts with technology and then tries to find a need for the technology. It
should be the opposite — start with a need and then figure out what technology best
addresses that need. A fad typically doesn’t deliver on its promise while trends tend to get
stronger over time and actually solve more needs than originally anticipated.

SCOPE OF PHENOMENON
The next clue to examine is the scope of phenomenon that might become a trend or fad.
Trends tend to encompass entire areas of technology and not just a single brand or item.
For example, mobile learning became a trend because any kind of mobile device could be
used. But Google Glass was more of a fad partly because it was only one product by one
company and other manufactures really didn’t participate within that market.

While it may seem hard at the beginning to determine the scope of a phenomenon, look
at the vendors providing the technology and carefully determine if it is gaining momentum
because a group of vendors are all launching a similar technology or because one vendor
has developed some buzz and energy around a product and that product is taking off like
hot cakes.

NATURE OF THE GROWTH

The rate of growth of a phenomenon can also provide clues as to fad or trend. Trends
evolve slowly over time with course corrections and new approaches to the same concept
as the idea grows and matures. The phenomenon that launches a trend, like mobile
devices, tend to change over time to meet learning needs and what seems like an overnight
hit actually develops over a considerable timeframe.

Alternatively, fads spike quickly and dramatically and then fade away just as quickly.
Time is a great device for distinguishing between a fad and a true trend in the field of
learning and development. It is not always a bad idea to sit back and wait to see how
quickly technology is adopted and how many companies participate in the growing
phenomenon.

What Are Data Trends and Patterns, and How Do They Impact Business Decisions?

The business can use this information for forecasting and planning, and to test theories
and strategies. Let’s look at the various methods of trend and pattern analysis in more detail
so we can better understand the various techniques.

Linear Trend - A linear pattern is a continuous decrease or increase in numbers over time.
On a graph, this data appears as a straight line angled diagonally up or down (the angle
may be steep or shallow). So the trend either can be upward or downward.

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2. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Exponential Trend - This technique produces non linear curved lines where the data rises
or falls, not at a steady rate, but at a higher rate. Instead of a straight line pointing diagonally
up, the graph will show a curved line where the last point in later years is higher than the
first year, if the trend is upward.

Damped Trend - In this analysis, the line is curved line to show data values rising or falling
initially, and then showing a point where the trend (increase or decrease) stops rising or
falling.

Seasonality - One can identify a seasonality pattern when fluctuations repeat over fixed
periods of time and are therefore predictable and where those patterns do not extend
beyond a one year period. Seasonality may be caused by factors like weather, vacation,
and holidays. It usually consists of periodic, repetitive, and generally regular and predictable
patterns. Seasonality can repeat on a weekly, monthly or quarterly basis.

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3. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Irregular/Random Patterns - This type of analysis reveals fluctuations in a time series.
These fluctuations are short in duration, erratic in nature and follow no regularity in the
occurrence pattern. In prediction, the objective is to “model” all the components to some
trend patterns to the point that the only component that remains unexplained is the random
component.

Stationary/Stationarity - A stationary time series is one with statistical properties such as

mean, where variances are all constant over time. A stationary series varies around a
constant mean level, neither decreasing nor increasing systematically over time, with
constant variance.

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4. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Cyclical Patterns - Cyclical patterns occur when fluctuations do not repeat over fixed
periods of time and are therefore unpredictable and extend beyond a year.

Every dataset is unique, and the identification of trends and patterns in the underlying
the data is important. If a business wishes to produce clear, accurate results, it must choose
the algorithm and technique that is the most appropriate for a particular type of data and
analysis. For example, the decision to the ARIMA or Holt-Winter time series forecasting
method for a particular dataset will depend on the trends and patterns within that dataset.

A basic understanding of the types and uses of trend and pattern analysis is crucial, if an
enterprise wishes to take full advantage of these analytical techniques and produce reports
and findings that will help the business to achieve its goals and to compete in its market of
choice

Causes and Consequences of a Trend

Reasons why our society creates Social Media Accounts:

Why we use it?
allows us to be connected with our friends, peers and celebrities.
school-projects, sharing, communicate with each other
Why business use them?
promote their products and services
easily update their costumers with new information
sales, promotions, new products
Positive Effects from the Social Media Trend
ability to interact with different types of people
to keep updated with events, happening around the world
easily share and spread information across the world

Negative Effects from the Social Media Trend

cyber-bullying is increasing because it can occur easily
it is easier to hide your identity from others

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5. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Reasons why Trends affects the Society
affects everything we do -what we buy, think and our actions
affects us physically, socially and psychologically
Psychological effects Society
changes the way why you buy things
you buy it because it is "in" or because it is popular
buy something because you want them
majority of us will follow it , almost everyone has the same idea, proud etc.
we're afraid to stand alone so we follow trends
Physical effects on Society
dress, look differently to "fit" with the crowd
change of attitudes and behavior
The Effects from Trends Towards Media/ Business Industry
influences the products and advertisements they use and produce
use trends to their advantage
tries to make their product a trend "trend-setter"
to gain revenue and more attention

Other causes that has brought by trend/fad:

Planetary Networks: Climate Change - Change is inevitable. The era of globalization
certainly contributed in changing the landscape of the world and its inhabitants. Amid this
growth and advancement in technology, the environment seems to bear and suffer the
consequences. Every day, we are confronted with issues and problems related to the
environment. The issue on climate change is one concrete manifestation and realization that
the age of globalization and the rapid industrial and technological advancement has taken
its toll on the natural environment.
Climate Change- also called global warming, refers to the rise in average surface
temperatures on Earth.
Greenhouse Effect- the trapping of the sun's warmth in a planet's lower atmosphere due to
the greater transparency of the atmosphere to visible radiation from the sun than to infrared
radiation emitted from the planet's surface.

Solutions:
What to do:
Reduce energy
consumption
Travel Green
Watch your Water
Use
Reduce Waste
Plant a Tree

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6. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
B. Exercise 1: IDENTIFYING PARTS OF A WHOLE

Directions: Give an example of a part of whole / unit, identify whether it is a fad or

trend, then explain. Number one is given as an example. (Each correct answer will be
given one point).

Exercises 2:

Directions: Based from the readings/article on fad/trend you just studied answer the
following questions. (Each correct response will be given two points).

1. If a certain product becomes trend or fad, can we say that Information Communications
and Technology has done a part of it? Support your contention.

2. As a role model how would you guide the kids who are hooked on the futile trend or fad?

3. As a result of modernization, people were already obsessed with the trend and fad. Is it
considered practical or impractical? Support your answer.

4.What happens to a mainstream product or service when there is a recent development or

a reinvention which leads to the fringe state of a trend?

5. How could you distinguish that a fad is a part of a trend or vice versa?

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graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
7.
C. Assessment/Application/Outputs

Directions: Essay. Explain briefly the following questions. See below below the scoring rubrics for
your reference.

1.Why do inventions are parts of a trend and fad. Do they exist together? Why?

2. When fad reaches a certain point of popularity, it declines. Why do you think? What course of
action is best to do?

D. Suggested Enrichment/Reinforcement Activity/ies

Directions. Matching type. Match column A with the correct answer on column B, write
only the letter of answer on the blank provided at the right corner.

A B

1.Trends It is effective, has more than a year existence, has a

high popularity and long term popularity, socially
constructed, recurrent phenomenon sustained over time
and has a high market demand.
2. Fads
This is the part where you make your idea tangible, tests
your idea and revisions if necessary.

3. Set-up It is a part of the 4s model that questions what, when,

where of the trend. It is the process of finding up the
whole trend.

4. Nanotrend It has a short term existence, emerges quickly and fades

quickly, and short lived recurring.

These are the trends that are yet to be expected. It can

5. Scenario be an alternative trends that exists in trends.

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8. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 B. Exercises 1

Directions: Study the given trends below. Choose the letter that corresponds to the correct
answer, then justify your answer. (Five points each correct answer).

1.There was a rapid drop in production in the first quarter, but it bottomed out at about 20.

A. B. C. D.
2.Production grew more and more rapidly over the first three quarters but then reached a
peak. Since then, it has quickly dropped.

A. B. C. D.

3.There has been a slight increase in production over the year.

A. B. C. D.

4.Production has experienced a strong, steady growth over the whole year.

A. B. C. D.

5.Production showed a marginal rise in the first three quarters, but then suffered a sharp drop.

A. B. C. D.

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9.
graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Exercises 2

Directions: Study the given fad/ trend below. Classify whether it falls under Linear,
Exponential, Damped, Seasonal, Irregular/Random ,Stationary/Stationarity, and Cyclical
pattern. Then, justify your answer. Number one is given as an example. (Each correct
answer will be given one point).

C. Assessment/Application/Outputs:

Directions. Essay writing. In not less than 100 words develop a paragraph based from the
given situation. Use the scoring rubrics for your overall score.

Using the patterns, (Linear, Exponential, Damped, Seasonal, Irregular/Random

,Stationary/Stationarity, and Cyclical) describe the countries economy in the fiscal year
2020.

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10. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 D. Suggested Enrichment/Reinforcement Activity/ies

Directions. Modified True or False. Write True if the statement expresses the exact idea
and write the correct word / idea for the underlined word if it is False.

1.On a graph, appears as a straight line angled diagonally up and down is known as linear
trend.

2.Upward trend means increase of production of goods in emerging economies over the
years.

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11.
graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 3. Non-linear curved lines where the data rises or falls not at a steady rate , but at a high
rate is called a damped trend.

4. Exponential trend indicates that sales were very slow in early years, but the product has
been getting increasingly popular in later years.

5. Periods of time and are therefore predictable and where those patterns do not extend
beyond one year period is seasonality pattern.

6. Stationary pattern is a type of analysis reveals fluctuations in a time series

7.Cyclical patterns occur when fluctuations do not repeat over fixed periods of time and are
therefore unpredictable and extend beyond a year.

8. A random pattern time series is one with statistical properties such as mean, where
variances are all constant over time.

9. Exponential trend produces non linear curved lines where the data rises or falls, not at a
steady rate, but at a higher rate.

10.Seasonality may be caused by factors like weather, vacation, and holidays.

B. Exercises 1: Cause and Consequence

Directions: Give and explain at least three concrete instances about the cause and effect
relationship on a fad or a trend. Number 1 is serve as an example. (Correct and specific
example is equivalent five points).

1. Boys tend to drop-out school than girls. According to the survey it is because they
disengaged at school and say that school is a waste of time. They love to be carefree at
any schoolwork. Boys spend more time on the internet and playing video games. That is
why they tend to have sporadic employment and receive low wages. They must engage in a
blue collar job like construction worker or etc., in order to earn a living for themselves or for
their family.

2.

3.

4.

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12. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Exercises 2: Identification.

Directions: Identify the word that corresponds to the given definition. Write the letter of the
correct answer.

1.A pattern of gradual change in a condition, output or A. Innovation

process, or an average or general tendency of a series
of date points to move in a certain direction over time.
B. Trend
2. An online social media famous for its friendly
interface and versatile information.
C. Facebook
3.It is one of the characteristic of trending design.

4. A prominent social media sharing site that has a D. Pattern

number of videos now over 6.1 million.

5. It is a characteristic observed in one item that may E. Youtube

be repeated in similar or identical manner in other
item. F. Birth

6 This is the first stage on the life cycle of a trend. G. Hula Hoop

7. Once a trend gains considerable significance, people H. Selling

will inevitably begin to monetize it.
I. Trendline
8. It is fad which became a craze in the 70's and a song
writer composed a song out of its popularity. J.Myspace

C. Assessment/Application/Outputs:

Directions: Express your reflection on the the following situation . State it in at least (5)
paragraphs. Refer the scoring rubrics for your overall score.

Mixing up fads and trends often leaves executives frustrated, confused, and – worst of all –
fearing innovation. Both fads and trends can play an important role in an organization’s
success- but they must be treated differently.

1. Inventions/ innovations are part of advancements: but did we see its terrifying effect? In
nature there are neither rewards nor punishments; there are consequences. Reflect on
this!

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13.
graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Rubrics for Personal Reflection

D. Suggested Enrichment/Reinforcement Activity/ies

Directions: Propose solutions to the consequences suffered by our environment brought

by fads or trends. See illustrations below. Please refer the scoring rubrics for your output.

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14. graphics used in this module. All rights belong to respective copyright owner.
 Prepared by: Edited by:

ESPEDITA V. MIRAMONTES IMELDA V. CANOY

SSP4
SHS Editor
Reviewed by:

CLAVEL D. SALINAS
Division SHS Coordinator

GUIDE

For the Teacher: You may give other exercises/reinforcement activities other than the ones
provided for in this SLHT.

For the Learners: Please read carefully the key points/readings and follow correctly directions
in accomplishing exercises/tasks.

For the Parents/Home Tutors: Kindly guide the learner/s in accomplishing this home task.
Should you need assistance, you may contact the subject teacher to address questions or
give clarifications/discussions.

15.
REFERENCES:

Trends, Networks, and Critical Thinking in the 21st Century by Gladys P. Mangiduyos
First Edition

https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-2gcROxJRQw4/XWpebO7FK9I/AAAAAAAAHyY/LEvKBbPC30A
SsTJ5Ig7sXynrriPNf781ACLcBGAs/s1600/top-5-smartphone-vendors-based-on-worldwide-
unit-sales-to-end-users.jpg

http://www.iadt.edu/student-life/iadt-buzz/february-2013/5- characteristics-of-trending-
fashion-designs http://darrentnct.blogspot.com/2017/02/understanding-elements-and.html