Benefits of Deflation
Benefits of Deflation
Benefits of Deflation
4. Accessibility of Banks
Deflationary market economics would force banks to encourage spending. With
a very much dwindling supply of money powering the market, interest rates will
be decreased by the banks in a bid to encourage people to have access to cash
they could use for personal purposes. This in turn, would lead ordinary citizens
to have access to banks in a way that was not possible during pre-deflationary
times. Hence, deflationary market economics need to be studied further in order
to leverage its usefulness more to our current system.
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Problems of Deflation
1. Discourages consumer spending. When there are falling prices,
this often encourages people to delay purchases because they will
be cheaper in the future. In particular, it can discourage consumers
from buying luxury goods / non-essential items, e.g. flatscreen TV –
because you could save money by waiting for it to be cheaper.
Therefore, periods of deflation often lead to lower consumer
spending and lower economic growth; (this, in turn, creates more
deflationary pressure in the economy). This fall in consumer
spending was a feature of the Japanese experience of deflation in
the 1990s and 2000s. (Japanese financial crisis).
2. Increase real value of debt. Deflation increases the real value of
money and the real value of debt. Deflation makes it more difficult
for debtors to pay off their debts. Therefore, consumers and firms
have to spend a bigger percentage of disposable income on
meeting debt repayments. (in a period of deflation, firms will also be
getting lower revenue, and consumers will likely to get lower
wages). Therefore, this leaves less money for spending and
investment. This is particularly a problem in a balance sheet
recession where firms and consumers are trying to reduce their
exposure to debt. Europe has a big burden of government debt;
deflation will make it more difficult to reduce debt to GDP ratios.
3. Increased real interest rates. Interest rates can’t fall below zero. If
there is deflation of 2%, this means we have a real interest rate of +
2%. In other words, saving money gives a reasonable return.
Therefore, deflation can contribute to an unwanted tightening of
monetary policy. This is particularly a problem for Eurozone
countries which don’t have recourse to any other monetary policies
like quantitative easing. This is another factor that can lead to lower
growth and higher unemployment.
4. Real wage unemployment. Labour markets often exhibit ‘sticky
wages’. In particular, workers resist nominal wage cuts (no one likes
to see their wages actually cut, especially when you are used to
annual pay increases. Therefore, in periods of deflation, real wages
rise. This could cause real-wage unemployment. Unemployment in
Europe is a major problem – and low inflation is one reason.