Reneta Limited
Reneta Limited
Reneta Limited
Term Project
Course Instructor
Mr. Riyashad Ahmed
Sec: 3
Date of Submission:
1st August, 2012
School of Business
North South University
Fin-440: Term Project
Name ID
Letter of Transmittal
2
1st August, 2012
Mr. Riyashad Ahmed
Lecturer
Department: School of Business
North South University
Bashundhara Residential Area, Dhaka.
In this assignment, we tried our level best to include all the key Ratios, Returns and other terms
of finance. We also tried to implement our learning throughout semester properly. To make this
assignment enriched, we fulfilled the entire outline which was given at the class. As you go
through the contents, you will find our endeavor in the overall assignment clearly.
If you have any questions or comments regarding the interpretation of this assignment, please
feel free to contact us. It was a very enriching and enthralling experience for us to prepare the
whole task.
Sincerely
3
Executive Summary
The term paper contains the comprehensive analysis and discussions about the financial
conditions of Renata Limited. By using the company’s historical financial information from their
annual reports, ratio analysis, graphs and interpretations have been done to see the overall
position. We have also compared the ratios with other companies (GlaxoSmithKline Bangladesh
Limited, Reckitt Benckiser Bangladesh Limited, Beximco Pharmaceuticals Limited, Advanced
Chemicals industry (ACI) Limited) from the same industry. Forecasting of income statement and
balance sheet have been prepared to check whether they need any financing to cover the shortage
of capital in future or they have surplus of it. We also have analyzed the Renata’s risk and
required rate of return which helps to take the investment decision for an investor. We have
calculated the weighted average cost of capital and evaluated their capital structure as well. The
Term Paper also contains the intrinsic or theoretical values of Renata’s Share and their dividend
policy. Finally, we can say that the whole Project is a combination of seven items which was
given in the outline.
4
Table of Contents
Topics Page Number
1.Company Overview 6
2.Common Size statements 7-12
3. Forecasted Income statement and Balance 13-15
sheet
4.Ratio Analysis 16-46
5.Calculation and analysis of Returns 48-55
6.Beta calculation 55-56
7.WACC Calculation 56-58
5
C O M P A N Y O V E R V I E W:
Renata limited is one of the leading pharmaceuticals company in Bangladesh. The company has
two production sites. These sites are Manufacture and Marketing of Human Pharmaceuticals and
Animal Therapeutics. The Company started its operations as Pfizer (Bangladesh) Limited in
1972. For the next two decades it continued as a highly successful subsidiary of Pfizer
Corporation. However, by the late 1990s the focus of Pfizer had shifted from formulations to
research. In accordance with this transformation, Pfizer divested its interests in many countries,
including Bangladesh. Specifically, in 1993 Pfizer transferred the ownership of its Bangladesh
operations to local shareholders, and the name of the company was changed to Renata Limited.
Renata Limited is a public company and it was listed in Dhaka stock exchange in 1979.
Currently it has over 3,485 employees. The company is not only confine it’s self in Bangladesh
but also export human pharmaceuticals in many countries of the world. Currently it has
international presence in: Afghanistan, Cambodia, Guyana, Jordan, Kenya, Malaysia, Myanmar,
Nepal, Philippines, Hong Kong, Sri Lanka, Vietnam, and United Kingdom. From 2000 to 2010,
it shows an increasing turnover and in the mean time the company also acquires the shareholders
trust. From 2003 to 2011 it remains consistent in its dividend policy almost on an average of
50% cash and 25% stock dividend paid to the shareholders. After the changing rule of SEC the
Company split its face value and changed it to tk.100 to tk.10. The company also holds the 100%
share of its two subsidiaries which are Renata Agro and Renata Purnava Limited.
6
PART: 2
a) Vertical Balance sheet: Here all figures of Balance sheet divided by total assets and expressed as Percentage (%)
Vertical Income Statement: Here all figures divided by sales and expressed as a percentage (%) and it also includes Averages
and standard Deviation.
Renata Limited
Vertical Balance Sheet
as at
31st Dec, 31st Dec, 31st Dec, 31st Dec, 31st Dec, Standard
Average
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Deviation
Assets
Non-current assets
Non-current liabilities
Deferred liability-staff
4.13% 3.33% 3.22% 2.70% 1.94% 3.06% 0.0081
gratuity
Deferred tax liability 3.31% 2.58% 2.86% 2.97% 2.57% 2.86% 0.0031
Total non-current
7.44% 5.91% 6.08% 5.67% 4.51% 5.92% 0.0105
liabilities
8
Current liabilities
Bank overdraft 16.77% 26.03% 20.62% 22.00% 31.24% 23.33% 0.0552
Creditors for goods 1.76% 4.02% 0.72% 0.62% 0.65% 1.55% 0.0146
Accrued expenses 4.55% 4.21% 4.64% 4.30% 4.25% 4.39% 0.0019
Other payables 5.72% 2.53% 6.16% 5.79% 4.47% 4.93% 0.0149
Unclaimed dividend 0.11% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.08% 0.10% 0.0001
Provision for taxation 4.36% 4.65% 4.52% 3.61% 3.32% 4.09% 0.0059
Total current liabilities 33.27% 41.54% 36.60% 36.42% 44.02% 38.37% 0.0433
Total liabilities 44.71% 47.45% 42.69% 42.10% 48.53% 45.10% 0.0284
Renata Limited
Vertical Income Statement
for the year ended
31st Dec, 31st Dec, 31st Dec, 31st Dec, 31st Dec, Standard
Average
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Deviation
Operating expenses:
Administrative, selling
-27.49% -27.35% -28.68% -27.08% -26.12% -27.34% 0.0092
and distribution expenses
Operating profit 21.71% 23.74% 24.85% 25.79% 26.67% 24.55% 0.0193
9
Gain on disposal of
property, plant and 0.02% 0.0038% 0.02% 0.01% -0.05% 0.00% 0.0003
equipment
Interest on over draft -2.27% -2.82% -2.55% -2.31% -3.30% -2.65% 0.0042
Other expenses -0.13% -0.19% -0.17% -0.16% -0.14% -0.16% 0.0002
Contribution to WPPF -0.92% -0.99% -1.05% -1.11% -1.10% -1.03% 0.0008
Profit before tax 18.41% 19.74% 21.10% 22.21% 22.07% 20.71% 0.0162
Tax expenses:
Current tax -4.81% -5.39% -4.89% -4.63% -4.61% -4.87% 0.0032
Deferred tax -0.35% -0.33% -0.74% -0.84% -0.77% -0.61% 0.0025
Net Profit after tax for
13.25% 14.02% 15.47% 16.75% 16.69% 15.24% 0.0157
the year
Basic earnings per share
0.000011% 0.0000097% 0.0000086% 0.0000074% 0.0000074% 0.0000088%
(par value of Tk 100)
10
b) Horizontal Balance sheet and income statement:
Here we use the same base year for both. All base year figures will become 100%, and the others
items will be expressed as a percentage of that item’s base year figure.
12
103.15
Basic Earnings per share 100.00% % 114.98% 13.00% 16.58% 69.54%
13
c) Forecasted Income statement and the balance sheet: Here we forecast the upcoming two years income statements and balance sheet
by using percentage of sales method.
Renata Limited
Forecasted Income Statement
for the year ended
31st Dec, 2011 % of sales 31st Dec, 2012 31st Dec 2012
6,51,96,39,234.0 8,25,71,23,090.0 10,45,76,46,393.0
Turnover 0 0 0
-3,09,93,55,955.0 -3,92,54,36,316.9 -4,97,15,65,095.2
Cost of sales 0 47.54% 9 3
3,42,02,83,279.0 4,33,16,86,773.0 5,48,60,81,297.7
Gross profit 0 1 7
Operating expenses:
Administrative, selling and -1,70,29,13,272.0 -2,15,67,60,551.1 -2,73,15,37,237.8
distribution expenses 0 26.12% 1 5
1,71,73,70,007.0 2,17,49,26,221.9 2,75,45,44,059.9
Operating profit 0 1 2
2,14,77,196.0 2,72,48,506.2 3,45,10,233.1
Other income 0 0.33% 0 0
Gain/loss on disposal of -35,18,170.0
property, plant and equipment 0 - -
-21,53,15,416.0 -27,24,85,061.9 -34,51,02,330.9
Interest on over draft 0 3.30% 7 7
-92,34,832.0 -1,15,59,972.3 -1,46,40,704.9
Other expenses 0 0.14% 3 5
-7,19,41,847.0 -9,08,28,353.9 -11,50,34,110.3
Contribution to WPPF 0 1.10% 9 2
1,43,88,36,938.0 1,82,73,01,339.8 2,31,42,77,146.7
Profit before tax 0 2 7
Tax expenses
-30,08,77,218.0 -44,62,26,987.1 -56,51,46,479.2
Current tax 0 8 4
-5,02,40,589.0 -5,02,40,589.0 -5,02,40,589.0
Deferred tax 0 0 0
-35,11,17,807.0 -49,64,67,576.1 -61,53,87,068.2
0 8 4
Net Profit after tax for the 1,08,77,19,131.0 1,33,08,33,763.6 1,69,88,90,078.5
year 0 4 3
15
Forecasted Forecasted
Forecasted Balance Sheet 2011 % of Sales 2012 2013
Taka Taka Taka
Assets:
Current Asset 2,464,125,653 37.8 3121192528 3952990337
Fixed Asset 5,227,476,247 NA 5227476247 5227476247
Total Assets 7,691,601,900 8348668775 9180466584
Liabilities:
Current Liabilities 3,385,850,284 51.93 4287924021 5430655772
Long-term Liabilities 347,143,580 NA 347143580 347143580
Total Liabilities 3,732,993,864 4635067601 5777799352
Shareholders' Equity:
Common Stock 225,935,000 NA 225,935,000 225,935,000
Revaluation surplus 158,434,421 NA 158434421 158434421
Tax holiday reserve 131,443,579 NA 131443579 131443579
Retained Earnings 3,442,795,036 NA 3,442,795,036 3,442,795,036
Total Equity 3,958,608,036 3958608036 3958608036
Total Liabilities and
Equity 7,691,601,900 7691601900 7691601900
3. Ratio Analysis
Liquidity Ratio:
Current
Current 1.38 1.68
Asset/Curren 0.73 1.11 1.17 1.15
Ratio times times
t Liabilities times times times times
Current
Quick Test asset- 0.45 0.93
0.26 0.42 0.40 0.42
or Acid Test Inventories/ times times
times times times times
Ratio Current
Liabilities
Current
Working Asset- TK. - TK.2121 TK.233 TK.1926 TK.27 TK.1,432,
Capital Current 921724631 21218 379831 78136 10241 728,099
Liabilities 70
Days in
Inventory +
Average
Cash
collection 242 203da 103 days
Conversion 216 days 227 days 241 days
period- days ys
Cycle
Average
payment
period
17
Current ratio
1.6
1.4
1.38
1.2
1.15 1.17
1 1.11
Times
0.8
0.6 0.73
0.4
0.2
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2.5
1.5
Tim es
2.7
1 2.51
1.31
0.5 1.14 1.68
0 0.73
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
18
Quick Ratio
0.5
0.45
0.47
0.4 0.42 0.42
0.4
0.35
0.3
Times
0.25
0.26
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1.83
0.8
0.6 0.98
0.4
0.95
0.2 0.63
0.93
0
ACI 0.26
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
Working capital
400000000
200000000
271024170
233379831 212121218
192678136
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
-200000000
Taka
-400000000
-600000000
-800000000
-1000000000 -921724631
19
Working Capital industry(2011)
12,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
8,000,000,000
6,000,000,000 11,638,873,834
Take
4,000,000,000
2,000,000,000 4,500,300,765
0
101,654,657
ACI 1,086,606 1,432,728,099
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
-2,000,000,000 Glaxo Smith -921,724,631
Renata
Industry Average
240
241 242
230
227
220
Days
210 216
200203
190
180
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
20
Cash Conversion on Cycle industry (2011)
250
200
150
100 203
153
216
50
Days
0 103
32
ACI
Beximco Pharma
-50 Reckitt
-91 Glaxo Smith
Renata
-100 Industry Average
Interpretation of Current Ratio: In 2011, the current assets of Renata were 0.73 times higher
than its current liabilities. In 2008 the ratio decreased but in 2009, the ratio increased. Then again
in 2010 and 2011 it dropped.
The ratio is much lower than the industry average and this is not favorable.
The proportionate change in CA from 2010 to 2011 was lower than the proportionate
change in CL from 2010 to 2011.
Interpretation of Quick Ratio:
In 2011 current asset excluding inventories of Renata was 0.26 times its current
liabilities. From 2007 to 2010, the ratio was almost same but in 2011 it decreased.
The quick ratio is less than half the value of industry average (IA) and this is not
favorable.
The proportionate change in CA excluding inventories from 2010 to 2011 was lower than
the proportionate change in CL from 2010 to 2011.
In 2011, the company had TK.-921724631 worth of current asset for operating the
business after paying all the current liabilities.
21
The working capital was almost same through 2007 to 2010. It did not have much
fluctuation during this period. But in 2011 it decreased significantly.
This ratio is much lower than the industry average and this is definitely not favorable for
the company.
On an average in the year 2011 this company took 216 days to recover its cash investments.
Cash Conversion Cycle seems very much unsteady through the last 5 years. It increased
from 2007 to 2009; then continiously descreased through last 2 years.
Though the cash Conversion Cycle of this company has decreased from year 2010 to
2011 which is good for the company we cannot say that the is in a good position because
this is still much higher than the Industry Average which is unfavorable for the company
22
Asset management ratio
23
Inventory Turnover
2.5
2
1.96 1.96
1.85
1.5 1.69
1.59
Times
0.5
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2.5
1.5 3.02
3.23
Times
2.97
1
1.79
2.59
0.5 1.96
0
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
24
Fixed Asset Turnover
2.5
2.17
2
1.87
1.77
1.5 1.67
Times
1.25
1
0.5
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
4
3
2
2.06
1
4.7
0 0.5
ACI 1.25
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
25
Day's Sales Outstanding
45
40
41
35
35 36
30 32
2528
Days
20
15
10
5
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
4
3
2
2.06
1 4.7
0 0.5
ACI 1.25
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
26
Average Payment Period
35
30
30
25
20
Days
15
1011
5 6 6
5
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
200
150
100
Days
206
50
107
15 47
0 76
ACI
Beximco Pharma 6
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
The Inventory Turnover Ratio for 2011 is 1.96 times which indicates that the company
has ‘sold out and restocked’ its inventory 1.96 times.
27
The Inventory Turnover Ratio of this company for last 5 years was fluctuating.
Total sales in 2011 of this company increased from 2010; on the other hand total
inventory also increased in 2011 from 2010. But relative change in sales was higher than
the relative change in inventory. For this Inventory Turnover Ratio increased in 2011.
The Inventory Turnover Ratio of this company has increased from previous years but it
is below the Industry Average. So, though, the Inventory Turnover Ratio has increased
this year it is unfavorable for the company.
The Total Asset Turnover Ratio for 2011 is 1.27 times which indicates that the company
generates 1.27 Tk worth of sales using company’s every 1 Tk worth of Total Assets.
The Total Asset Turnover Ratio of this company for last 5 years shows low fluctuation.
The Total Asset Turnover Ratio increased in 2011 from 2010. Both the sales and total
assets increased in 2011 but the relative change in total sales was higher than relative
change in assets. For this total assets turnover ratio increased in 2011.
The Total Asset Turnover Ratio of this company is almost same as Industry average. So,
it is favorable for the company.
The Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio for 2011 is 1.25 times which indicates that the company
generates 1.25 dollar worth of sales using company’s every 1 dollar worth of Fixed
Assets.
The Fixed Asset Turnover of this company for last 5 years shows a lot of fluctuation.
The ratio decreased from 2007 to 2011; continuously.
Both the sales and fixed assets of this company increased in the year 2011 but the
relative change in fixed assets is higher than relative change in sales. For this The Fixed
Asset Turnover ratio has decreased in the year 2011.
The Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio of this company is significantly below the Industry average. So,
it is unfavorable for the company.
28
Interpretation of Days Sales Outstanding:
Days sales outstanding ratio for 2011 is 36 days which indicates the company took 36
days on an average to collect its accounts receivable.
Days sales outstanding ratio seems stable through the last 5 years.
Days sales outstanding ratio decreased in 2010 from 2009. Both sales and accounts
receivable increased in 2011 but the relative change in accounts receivable is higher
than relative change in sales. For this, days sales outstanding ratio has increased in 2011.
Days sales outstanding ratio has incresed form previous years and higher the Industry
Average.So, it is unfavoralbe for the company.
Average payment period ratio for 2011 is 6 days which indicates the company took 6
days on an average to pay its accounts payable.
Average payment period ratio seems steady through the last 4 years except 2007. It was
almost constant from 2010 to 2011.
Average payment period ratio increased in 2011 from 2010. Both COGS and Accounts
payable of this company increased in 2010 but the relative change in Accounts payable is
higher than relative change in COGS. For this, Average payment period ratio has
increased in 2011.
If we compare this period with the Average collection period we can see that this
company is taking 36 days on an average to collect its accounts receivable while it is
paying its accounts payable in 6 days on an average. This situation is bad for the
company. In this situation we can say that the company’s credit policy and paying policy
both are not that much well. The company should decrease credit sales and emphasize
more on cash sales. If the company goes for credit sales then the maximum collection
period should be 30 days. At the same time it should renegotiate with its suppliers to
extend its payment period.
29
If we compare the Average payment period of this company with the Industry Average
we can see that it is much below the Industry Average. So, we can say the company’s
payment policies are in a good position.
Debt to (Total
48.53
Asset Debt/Total 42.10% 42.68% 47.43% 40.71% 49.70%
%
Ratio Asset)*100
Times
EBIT/Interes 7.98 11.12 9.74 8.40
Interest 9.57 25.41
t Expense times times times times
Earns times times
30
Debt ratio
50
48 48.53
47.43
46
44
Times
42 42.68
42.1
40
40.71
38
36
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
57% 73%
30%
20%
45% 49%
10% 25% 50%
0%
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
31
Times Interest Earned Ratio (TIE)
12
11.12
10
9.57 9.74
8 8.4
7.98
Times
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
100
80
60
Percentage
110.91
40
20
1.8 3.5
0 2.87
ACI 7.98 25.41
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
32
Interpretation of Debt-to-Asset Ratio:
In 2011, 48.53% of the total assets were financed by debt. From 2007 to 2008 the ratio
increased but, from 2008 onwards the ratio declined but in 2011 it again increased.
The ratio was slightly below the IA
From 2010 to 2011 the relative change of Total Debt is higher than that of Total Asset
Profitability Ratio:
Operating profit
(EBIT/Sales)*100 26.34% 25.66% 24.85% 23.74% 21.71 17.21
margin
% %
(Net
Net profit margin 13.08% 16.75% 15.47% 14.02% 13.26 9.71
Income/Sales)*100
% %
(Net Income/Total
Return on asset(ROA) 14.14% 16.61% 15.67% 13.69% 15.59 9.83
asset)*100
% %
Operating return on
(EBIT/equity)*100 43.38% 43.96% 43.92% 44.13% 43.06 38.31
equity
% %
(Net
Return on Income/equity)*10 26.29 23.32
equity(ROE) 0 27.48% 28.69% 27.34% 26.06% % %
33
Gross Profit Margin
54
53 53.33
52.75
52 52.46
51
Percentage
50 50.6
49
48.74
48
47
46
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
50.00%
40.00%
30.00%
Percentage
48%
20.00% 37% 43% 52%
10.00% 42%
29%
0.00%
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
34
Operating profit margin
30
25 26.34
24.85 25.66
23.74
20
21.71
Percentage
15
10
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
Percentage
25.20%
10.00% 26.34%
11.36% 14.36%
5.00%
17.21%
8.80%
0.00%
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
35
Net Profit Margin
18
16 16.75
15.47
14
14.02
13.26
12 13.08
10
Percentage
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
6%
8.00% 13.08%
4%
2% 6.32% 9.71%
5.96%
0%
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
36
Return On Asset (ROA)
18
16 16.61
15.59 15.67
14
13.69 14.14
12
10
Percentage
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0.00%
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
37
Operating Return On Equity (ROE)
44.4
44.2
44 44.13
43.8 43.96 43.92
43.6
Percentage
43.4
43.2
43
43.06 43.06
42.8
42.6
42.4
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
100.00%
80.00%
60.00%
percentage
108%
40.00%
20.00%
20%
12% 29% 43%
0.00% 43%
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
38
Return On Equity (ROE)
29
28.5 28.69
28
27.5
27.48
27 27.34
Percentage
26.5
26.29
26
26.06
25.5
25
24.5
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
48%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00% 14% 27%
5.00% 20%
7% 23%
0.00%
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
39
Interpretation of Gross profit margin:
In the year 2011, for every Tk100 of Sales, the company has a gross profit of
Tk52.46.
When compared to the past four years, it can be concluded that the gross profit
margin has remained fairly stable.
When compared to the industry average, it can be inferred that the company has a
gross profit margin above the industry average.
The relative increase in gross Profit was greater than that of the sales
In the year 2011, for every Tk100 of Sales, the company incurs a operative profit of
Tk 26.34
When compared to the last four year, it can be concluded that the operating profit has
margin has remained fairly stable. When compared to the industry average, it can be
inferred that the company has an operating profit above the industry average.
In the year 2011, for every Tk100 of Sales, the company incurred a Net profit of Tk
13.08.
When compared to the past three years, it can be concluded that the net profit margin has
slightly decreased.
It can be seen that the net profit margin is above the industry average.
In the year 2011, every Tk100 worth of Total asset generated a Net profit of Tk. 14.14.
40
When compared to the past four years it can be seen that the ROA percentage has risen
from over the years till 2010 and then slightly declined in the year 2011. This is because
the relative change in Total asset was greater than relative change in Net profit.
When compared with the company average, it can be concluded that ROA percentage of
2011 is above the company average.
In the year 2011, the shareholders have earned Tk. 27.48 for every Tk. 100 of
investment.
For the last five years, Operating Return on equity was almost same in every year.
When compared to the industry average of 38.31%, it was found that the ROE is
above IA.
In the year 2011, the shareholders have earned Tk. 27.48 for every Tk. 100 of
investment
For the last five years ROE slightly fluctuated.
When compared to the industry average of 23.32%, it was found that the ROE is
above IA.
41
Stock market Performance ratio of Renata:
42
Earning Per Share(EPS)
400
350
300 333.9
290.39 299.55
250
200
Taka
150
100
50
37.74 48.14
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
34.55 48.14
15
28.37
10
23.41
5 27.85
4.76
0
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
43
Market to Book-value Ratio
12
10
9.86 9.87
8
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
50
40
30
Taka
56.8
20
10
0.85 13
0 1.38
ACI 6.88 15.78
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
44
Price to Earning Ratio
40
35
36.09
34.26
30
25
25.8 26 25.03
Times
20
15
10
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
25
20
15
27.3
Taka
28
10 19.66 25.03
21.98
5
6
0
ACI
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
45
Book Value Per Share
1400
1200
1221.2
1149.44
1104.44
1000
800
Taka
600
400
200
175.21
131.52
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
200
150
241.82
100
Taka
50 175.21
68.03
59.61 111.29
0
ACI 11.81
Beximco Pharma
Reckitt
Glaxo Smith
Renata
Industry Average
46
Interpretation of Earnings per Share:
In 2011 the common shareholders have earned Tk48.14 for every share they held.
When compared to the previous years, it can be said that the Earnings per Share has
fluctuated a lot.
The company has its Earnings per Share above the industry average which is
Tk48.14.
Market to Book Value Ratio is 6.88 times times for 2011. Its indicate that the company has a
higher market value of its share.
Market to Book Value Ratio seems unsteady each and every year from 2007 to 2011. It increased
gradually from 2009 to 2010 and decreased in 2011.
Market to Book Value Ratio is lower than the industry average. So it is not favorable for the
company.
Market to Book Value Ratio decreased in 2011 from 2010.Relative decreased of Company’s
Book Value was lower than relative change in market value from 2010.As a result the Market to
Book Value Ratio has deccreased in 2011.
In 2011, the shareholders were willing to pay Tk25.03 for each taka of reported
earnings.
Price to earnings ratio fluctuates from 2007-2011.
The price to earnings ratio of the company is higher than the industry average. We
know that price to earnings ratio is not good when it’s too high or too low. So it
shows that this sector is doing well for the company.
47
4. Calculation and analysis of Risk and return:
4. Calculation and analysis of risk and returns of Renata Ltd and the Stock market
Year -2007
Date Closing price Return Date DSE General Index Return
January January
January 3,2007 3,201.50 9% January 3,2007 1583.08 12%
January 28,2007 3,500.50 January 28,2007 1,780.52
February February
February 1,2007 3,257.00 -2% February 1,2007 1,826.58 -2%
February 27,2007 3,200.00 February 27,2007 1,797.67
March March
March 1,2007 3,225.00 1% March 1,2007 1,794.02 -2%
March 29,2007 3,265.00 March 29,2007 1,760.88
April April
April 2,2007 3,250 10% April 2,2007 1,737.36 0%
April 30,2007 3,561.50 April 30,2007 1,743.33
May May
May 3,2007 3,646.50 -2% May 3,2007 1,762.36 14%
May 31,2007 3,591.25 May 31,2007 2,003.58
June June
June 5,2007 3,652.00 6% June 5,2007 2,006.83 7%
June 28,2007 3,857.00 June 28,2007 2,149.32
July July
July 2,2007 3,875.00 24% July 2,2007 2,190.46 9%
July 31,2007 4,808.75 July 31,2007 2,384.18
August August
August 1,2007 4,800.00 1% August 1,2007 2,394.11 3%
August 29,2007 4,860.50 August 29,2007 2,455.09
September September
September,2,2007 4,884.50 4% September,2,2007 2516.72 1%
September 5,069.00 September 30,2007 2548.49
30,2007
October October
October 1,2007 5,094.50 4% October 1,2007 2,627.02 9%
October 31,2007 5,304.25 October 31,2007 2,850.81
November November
November,1,2007 5,305.50 4% November,1,2007 2,836.32 5%
November , 5,947.00 November , 29,2007 2,971.11
29,2007
December December
December,2,2007 6,237.25 12% December,2,2007 2,878.74 5%
December, 7,491.25 December, 30,2007 3,017.21
30,2007
Year -2008
Date Closing price Date DSE General Index
January January
January,1,2008 7,793.75 -14% January,1,2008 3,008.91 -3%
January,31,2008 6,736.25 January,31,2008 2,907.17
February February
February 3,2008 6,858.50 4% February 3,2008 2,890.25 1%
February ,28,2008 7,143.25 February ,28,2008 2,931.38
March March
March,2,2008 7,677.00 17% March,2,2008 2,916.20 3%
March,31,2008 8,982.25 March,31,2008 3,016.49
April April
April, 1,2008 8,949.75 -1% April, 1,2008 3,025.57 2%
April, 30,2008 8,848.00 April, 30,2008 3,072.85
May May
May, 4,2008 9,342.00 -13% May, 4,2008 3,101.94 2%
May,29,2008 8,133.25 May,29,2008 3,167.99
June June
June,1,2008 8,130.50 -9% June,1,2008 3,207.89 -6%
June,30,2008 7,401.50 June,30,2008 3,000.50
July July
July,2,2008 7,359.75 -3% July,2,2008 3,029.24 -9%
July,31,2008 7,174.50 July,31,2008 2,761.05
August August
August,3,2008 7,181.25 2% August,3,2008 2,689.94 4%
August ,31,2008 7,309.00 August ,31,2008 2,791.21
September September
September ,1,2008 7,321.75 7% September ,1,2008 2,820.79 5%
September, 7,835.25 September, 25,2008 2,966.82
25,2008
October October
October,5,2008 7,847.75 -4% October,5,2008 3,001.37 -8%
October,30,2008 7,544.75 October,30,2008 2,748.60
November November
49
November,2,2008 7,439.50 2% November,2,2008 2,684.69 -8%
November , 7,587.00 November ,30,2008 2,468.92
30,2008
December December
December,1,2008 7,608.75 2% December,1,2008 2,517.05 11%
December,30,2008 7,789.25 December,30,2008 2,795.34
Year -2009
Date Closing price Date DSE General Index
January January
January 1,2009 7,748.25 2% January 1,2009 2,807.61 -6%
January 29,2009 7,865.50 January 29,2009 2,649.49
February February
February 1,2009 8,377.75 -6% February 1,2009 2,661.69 -3%
February 26,2009 7,889 February 26,2009 2,570.96
March March
March 1,2009 7,929.50 1% March 1,2009 2,626.27 -7%
March 31,2009 8,004 March 31,2009 2,446.92
April April
April 1,2009 7,932.50 2% April 1,2009 2,443.25 5%
April 30,2009 8,051.50 April 30,2009 2,554.36
May May
May 3,2009 8,015.00 -18% May 3,2009 2,539.17 1%
May 31,2009 6,602.75 May 31,2009 2,572.18
June June
June 1,2009 6,587.50 5% June 1,2009 2,597.00 16%
June 30,2009 6,944.50 June 30,2009 3,010.26
July July
July 2,2009 6,924.50 -3% July 2,2009 3,069.71 -5%
July 30,2009 6,732.75 July 30,2009 2,914.53
August August
August 2,2009 7,003.75 6% August 2,2009 2,941.02 0%
August 31,2009 7,423.50 August 31,2009 2,941.28
September September
September,1,2009 7,466.75 7% September,1,2009 2,950.12 5%
September 7,998.50 September 30,2009 3,083.89
30,2009
October October
October 1,2007 7,960.75 13% October 1,2007 3,123.24 8%
October 29,2009 8,981.25 October 29,2009 3,364.26
November November
50
November,1,2009 9,266.50 8% November,1,2009 3,392.02 29%
November,26,200 10,016.75 November,26,2009 4,380.95
9
December December
December,1,2009 9,843.50 22% December,1,2009 4,424.02 3%
December, 12,051.50 December, 30,2009 4,535.53
30,2009
Year -2010
Date Closing price Date DSE General index
January January
January 3,2010 12,009.75 10% January 3,2010 4,568.40 17%
January 31,2010 13,222.75 January 31,2010 5,367.11
February February
February 1,2010 13,165.50 -10% February 1,2010 5,451.15 2%
February 28,2010 11,860.50 February 28,2010 5,560.56
March March
March 1,2010 11,310.00 9% March 1,2010 5,567.40 0%
March 31,2010 12,290.00 March 31,2010 5,582.33
April April
April 1,2010 11,822.50 6% April 1,2010 5,594.32 1%
April 29,2010 12,590.00 April 29,2010 5,654.88
May May
May 2,2010 12,713.25 -2% May 2,2010 5,631.30 8%
May 31,2010 12,472.00 May 31,2010 6,107.81
June June
June 1,2010 12,073.25 -13% June 1,2010 6,152.39 0%
June 30,2010 10,468.75 June 30,2010 6,153.68
July July
July 4,2010 10,279.50 10% July 4,2010 6,217.08 2%
July 29,2010 11,257.75 July 29,2010 6,342.76
August August
August 1,2010 11,325.25 -2% August 1,2010 6,436.77 3%
August 31,2010 11,148.50 August 31,2010 6,657.97
September September
September,2,2010 11,149.75 -1% September,2,2010 6,774.87 5%
September 11,012.00 September 30,2010 7,097.38
30,2010
October October
October 3,2010 11,006.00 12% October 3,2010 7,223.49 10%
October 31,2010 12,315.00 October 31,2010 7,957.12
November November
51
November,1,2010 12,905.50 1% November,1,2010 7,947.80 8%
November , 12,997.50 November ,30,2010 8,602.44
30,2010
December December
December,1,2010 13,371.20 -3% December,1,2010 8,723.18 -5%
December, 12,942.80 December, 30,2010 8,290.41
30,2010
Year-2011
Date Closing price Date DSE General index
January January
January 2,2011 13,045.75 -5% January 2,2011 8,304.59 -10%
January 31,2011 12,417.75 January 31,2011 7,484.23
February February
February 1,2011 12,420.25 -16% February 1,2011 7,280.98 -29%
February 28,2011 10,474.50 February 28,2011 5,203.08
March March
March 1,2011 10,716.75 21% March 1,2011 5,601.60 13%
March 31,2011 13,015.75 March 31,2011 6,352.10
April April
April 3,2011 13,311.00 -7% April 3,2011 6,447.01 -6%
April 28,2011 12,427.25 April 28,2011 6,050.85
May May
May 2,2011 12,793.25 -17% May 2,2011 5,991.38 -4%
May 31,2011 10,656.25 May 31,2011 5,758.26
June June
June 1,2011 10,638.75 1% June 1,2011 5,668.68 8%
June 30,2011 10,695.25 June 30,2011 6,117.23
July July
July 3,2011 10,658.00 8% July 3,2011 6,157.52 5%
July 31,2011 11,536.00 July 31,2011 6,459.62
August August
August 1,2011 11,335.50 4% August 1,2011 6,367.60 -2%
August 25,2011 11,782.00 August 25,2011 6,212.00
September September
September,4,2011 11,981.25 10% September,4,2011 6,193.08 -5%
September 13,229.00 September 29,2011 5,910.20
29,2011
October October
October 2,2011 13,321.25 -5% October 2,2011 5,901.74 -15%
October 31,2011 12,662.50 October 31,2011 5,036.50
52
November November
November,1,2011 12,418.25 2% November,1,2011 5,205.17 1%
November , 12,696.00 November ,30,2011 5,268.55
30,2011
December December
December,4,2011 1,294.90 -7% December,4,2011 5,161.23 2%
December, 1,205.00 December, 29,2011 5,257.61
29,2011
Monthly Monthly
Average Return of Renata 2% Average Return of Market 2%
Standard 9% Standard Deviation Of market 9%
Deviation
Annual Return 24% Annual Return of 24%
of Renata Market
53
-9% -6%
-3% -9%
2% 4%
7% 5%
-4% -8%
2% -8%
2% 11%
2% -6%
-6% -3%
1% -7%
2% 5%
-18% 1%
5% 16%
-3% -5%
6% 0%
7% 5%
13% 8%
8% 29%
22% 3%
10% 17%
-10% 2%
9% 0%
6% 1%
-2% 8%
-13% 0%
10% 2%
-2% 3%
-1% 5%
12% 10%
1% 8%
-3% -5%
-5% -10%
-16% -29%
21% 13%
-7% -6%
-17% -4%
1% 8%
8% 5%
4% -2%
10% -5%
-5% -15%
54
2% 1%
7% 2%
Standar 9% Standard 9%
d
Deviation Deviation
Calculation of Beta:
BETA CalCulation
30%
25%
20%
From the Graph, our Beta is= 0.532. Here on the X axis we plotted the return of the market and
Y axis we plotted the return of the Renata Company limited. The slope is the Beta here.
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.5007571
6
R Square 0.2507577
3
55
Adjusted R 0.2378397
Square 6
Standard 0.0790583
Error 3
Observations 60
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significanc
eF
Regression 1 0.1213264 0.121326 19.41 4.60553E-
4 2 05
Residual 58 0.3625127 0.006250
2
Total 59 0.4838391
According to the website of Bangladesh bank, the last issued Treasury bill has a cut off yield of
11.39%. It is a 91 days treasury bill and the no. of accepted bid for the Treasury bills is 6, so
according to the calculation:
56
Risk free rate of return 7.61%
Beta, β 0.532
Risk premium (Rm-Rf) 16.39%
Required rate of return, yearly, Ke=(Rf+ 16.33%
(Rm-Rf)* β
Total Equity=3,958,608,056
Total Debt=3,732,993,864
Percentage of equity=3,958,608,056/7,691,601,900
=51.46%
Percentage of Debt=3,732,993,864/7,691,601,900
=48.54%
= Total=100%
Formula to calculate WACC:
WACC=Wd X Kd X (1-T) + We X Ke
57
The weight of Debt=Wd=48.54%
=351,117,807/1,438,836,938
=24.40%
WACC= Wd X Kd X (1-T) + We X Ke
=5.36% + 8.4%
=13.76%
58
=TK.9, 435.55mn
V2=1,717,370,007 (1-.2440)/.1316
=Tk.9, 865.74mn
V3=1,717,370,007 (1-.2440)/.1422
=Tk.9130.32mn
V4=1,717,370,007 (1-.2440)/.1450
=Tk.8954.01mn
V5=1,717,370,007 (1-.2440)/.1370
=Tk.9, 476.87mn
So, the highest value of the firm came from the 60% of Debt and 40% of Equity Structure
So, the optimum structure should be= 60% Debt +40% equity. Here this value came out form the
lowest assuming WACC which is 13.16%
59
From 2009 to 2010 The EPS and The DPS Changed due to Stock Split.
Method 01:
Method 02:
PV = Tk.34.12
FV = Tk.3.78
N = 4years
g = ?
FV = PV (1+i)n
g = -42.31%
Method 03:
60
For 2011, g= (1 –DPS/EPS) * ROE= (1-3.78/48.14)X.2748=25.32%
Average g=24.46%
From 2013 we, assume that the growth rate will constant and it will be 4% thereafter.
g=4% (assumed)
Ke=16.33%
2 3
Calculation, Po=3.25/ (1+.1633) +2.80/ (1+.1633) + 2.40/ (1+.04)
61
7. Corporate value model of Renata:
If Renata will not pay any kind of dividend in future to shareholders then, investors can use the
corporate value model to find out the intrinsic value of the share of the company
Free cash flow= Net income+ depreciation-change in working capital- change in capital
spending
Then, free cash flow = Net income + depreciation- Change in Working capital
= Tk. 2,286mn
=tk.1, 640mn
=Tk.2074mn
Ke=16.33%, g=5%
g=5%
Po=?? 1 2011 2 2012 3 2013 4 2014
Tk.2, 286mn Tk.1, 640mn Tk.2074mn
tk.1, 965mn
Tk.1, 211.88mn
Discounting with required rate=16.33% P3/Tv3=FCF4/Ke-g
tk. 1,317.45mn P3/Tv3=FCF3 (1+g)/ ke-g
62
Tv3=tk.19, 220mn
Tk. 12,208.95mn
8. DIVIDEND POLICY
Dividend Policy:
A theory that investors are not concerned with a company's dividend policy since they can sell a
portion of their portfolio of equities if they want cash. The dividend irrelevance theory
essentially indicates that an issuance of dividends should have little to no impact on stock price.
The key assumption is here “The Capital market should be perfect”.
The theory that says dividends are more predictable than capital gains
because management can control dividends, but they can’t dictate the price of the stock.
Thus, investors are less certain of receiving income from capital gains than from dividend
income. The incremental risk associated with capital gains relative to dividend income
should therefore cause us to use a higher required rate in discounting a dollar of capital
gains than the rate used for discounting a dollar of dividends. In so doing, we would give
a higher value to the dividend income than we would the capital gains.
3rd view (“Low Dividend Increases the Share Price”):
63
This view is based on the differential tax treatment of dividend income and
capital gains income. Stocks that allow us to defer taxes will possibly sell at a premium
relative to stocks that require us to pay taxes currently. Since high dividends hurt
investors, while low dividends-high retention help the firm's investors, low dividend
stocks should be more valuable.
So, Renata follows the low dividend policy. The theory for them is low dividend increase the
share price. They are basically paid dividend below the industry average.
So, they follow the Percentage (%) procedure in terms of paying dividend.
64
65
66