Module 2 - Risk Management Process
Module 2 - Risk Management Process
MODULE 2:
RISK MANAGEMENT
PrE 4: ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT
2ND Semester | SY: 2020-2021
BSA 3
Overview 3
Course Outcome 3
Learning Outcomes 3
Summary of Topics 3
Content
Topic 1: Risk Management Defined 4
Topic 2: Risk Management Process
2.1 Risk Identification 5
2.2 Risk Assessment 7
2.3 Risk Prioritization 8
2.4 Risk Response Formulation 9
2.5 Risk Monitoring and Control 11
Reference 13
Since our business ventures encounter many risks that can affect their survival and growth, this
module will introduce you to the importance of the basic principles of risk management, its
process, and how they can help mitigate the effects of risks on business entities.
Topics:
1. Risk Management Defined
2. Risk Management Process
2.1 Risk Identification
2.2 Risk Assessment
2.3 Risk Prioritization
2.4 Risk Response Formulation
2.5 Risk Monitoring and Control
When an entity makes an investment decision, it exposes itself to several financial risks.
The quantum of such risks depends on the type of financial instrument. These financial risks
might be in the form of high inflation, volatility in capital markets, recession, bankruptcy, etc.
Hence, to minimize and control the exposure of investment to such risks, fund managers and
investors practice risk management. Not giving due importance to risk management while
making investment decisions, but risk arises due to change in an economy. Different levels of
risk come attached with different categories of asset classes.
For example:
A fixed deposit is considered a less risky investment. On the
other hand, equity investment is regarded as a risky venture.
While practicing risk management, equity investors and fund
managers tend to diversify their portfolios to minimize the risk
exposure.
For a business, assessment and management of risks is the best way to prepare for
eventualities that may come in progress and growth. When a company evaluates its plan for
handling potential threats and then develops structures to address them, it improves its odds of
becoming a successful entity.
Given the potential ramifications of mismanaging risk, companies should implement a risk
management process that will enable them to avoid risks, reduce the adverse effects of risks,
prepare to accept some risks, and/or transfer risks to another party (typically by purchasing
insurance). As an example, an organization may purchase hazard insurance to transfer the loss
from major catastrophes. Although the formality and specifics of the process will vary across
different organizations, the general steps of a risk management process are summarized below.
Risk identification will naturally drive the process to include as many individuals from the
organization as possible, especially those with specific detailed information about the particular
risk area being considered. For example, a strategic risk assessment would involve senior
management, senior finance people, and the strategic planning area. An operational risk
assessment would include those from the operating units because they have the insight into
Tools, diagnostics, and processes that may be used to support risk identification include:
Brainstorming
Interview
Checklists
Flowcharts
Scenario analysis
Value chain analysis
Business process analysis
Systems engineering
Process mapping
Computed cash flow at risk
Projected earnings at risk
Projected earnings distributions
Projected EPS distributions
Once risks are identified, they can be prioritized by risk ranking or risk mapping. A risk map
graphically illustrates the impact of risks. It is helpful for management to periodically perform a
hindsight evaluation to identify events that were not identified in the prior risk assessment. This
allows management to refine and improve the risk assessment process.
Risk assessment is a function of the organization's risk appetite and the estimate of
potential risk. Risk appetite is the level of risk the organization is willing to accept, given its
mission and business model. The organization's risk appetite determines how management will
manage risks. For example, the more risk-averse an organization is, the more management will
be willing to spend on mitigating the risk.
Probabilistic or non-probabilistic models may be used to quantify risk. Management uses
qualitative techniques to assess risk when risks do not lend themselves to quantification or when
sufficient reliable data is not available to use a quantitative model. Non-probabilistic models use
subjective assumptions to estimate the impact of events without quantifying an associated
likelihood. Examples of non-probabilistic models include sensitivity measures and stress tests.
Probabilistic models associate a range of events and the resulting impact with the likelihood of
those events based on certain assumptions. Examples of probabilistic models include VaR and
the development of credit and operational loss distributions. Scenario analysis may be applied
on a non-probabilistic or probabilistic basis. As described previously, scenario analysis involves
identifying possible future outcomes, attaching probabilities to the results, and mitigating the
risks that exceed the organization's risk appetite.
Reduction
This response involves taking action to reduce risk likelihood or impact, or both. Risk can
be reduced in 2 ways—through loss prevention and control. Examples of risk reduction
are medical care, fire departments, night security guards, sprinkler systems, burglar
alarms—attempts to deal with risk by preventing the loss or reducing the chance that it
will occur. Some techniques are used to avoid the occurrence of the loss, and other
methods like sprinkler systems are intended to control the severity of the loss if it does
happen. No matter how hard we try, it is impossible to prevent all losses. The loss
prevention technique cannot cost more than the losses.
Acceptance
This step is sometimes called risk retention. It is the most common method of dealing
with risk. Organizations and individuals face an almost unlimited number of risks, and in
most cases, nothing is done about them. When some positive action is not taken to avoid,
reduce, or transfer the risk, the possibility of loss involved in that risk is retained. Risk-
retention can be conscious or unconscious. Conscious risk retention takes place when
the risk is perceived and not transferred or reduced. When the risk is not recognized, it is
unconsciously retained—the person retains the financial risk without realizing that he or
she is doing so.
Risk-retention may be the best way. Everyone decides which risks to retain and which to
avoid or transfer. A person may not be able to bear the loss. What may be a financial
disaster for one may be handled by another. As a general rule, the only risks that should
be retained are those that can lead to relatively small certain losses.
Transfer.
Risk may be transferred to someone more willing to bear the
risk. The transfer may be used to deal with both speculative and
pure risk. One example is hedging; hedging is a method of risk
transfer accomplished by buying and selling for future delivery
so that dealers and processors protect themselves against a
decline or increase in market price between the time they buy
a product and sell it. Pure risks may be transferred through
contracts, like a hold-harmless agreement where one individual
assumes another's possibility of loss. Contractual agreements
are common in the construction industry. They are also used between manufacturers and
retailers about product liability exposure. Insurance is also a means of transferring risk.
In consideration of payment or premium by one party, the second party contracts to
indemnify the first party up to a specific limit for the specified loss.
Sharing
The following chart is useful in determining which
response may be most appropriate given the likelihood
and impact of a certain risk. For example, consider a
manufacturer that contracts with a sole supplier for a
particular product. Management might consider a
scenario in which a natural disaster disrupts the
supplier's processes. Let's assume the magnitude of
such an event would have a very high impact on the
business. If the likelihood is low, management might
decide to transfer some of the risks to a third party by
purchasing business disruption insurance. If the
likelihood is high, management should consider finding
alternate sources for needed supplies.
For the risk management plan to be helpful for a business, the plan needs to clearly establish
and define policies and procedures for staff members to follow and understand easily. This helps
employees understand how their responsibilities and roles tie into the risk management plan.
Having all employees on the same page also will ensure they respond adequately when
necessary.
There is no guarantee which – or if any – risks will occur for a business. Still, the key is to be
prepared for any possibilities and understand the importance of properly managing these
potential risks. With the proper understanding of risk management and an effective risk