Narrative Review & Meta-Analysis - Lecture
Narrative Review & Meta-Analysis - Lecture
Narrative Review & Meta-Analysis - Lecture
Identifying a topic
7. Write & present
Searching and finding Literature review
1. Identify topic
literature
Evaluating literature 6. Syntesize 2. Search & find
literature literature
Reading literature critically
Analyzing literature
5. Analyze
Synthesizing literature literature 3. Evaluate
literature
Focused - The topic should be narrow. It should only present ideas and
only report on studies that are closely related to topic.
Concise - Ideas should be presented economically. Don’t take any more space
than it needs to present the ideas.
Logical - The flow within and among paragraphs should be a smooth,
logical progression from one idea to the next.
Developed - Don’t leave the story half told.
Integrative - The paper should stress how the ideas in the studies are
related. Focus on the big picture. What commonality do all the studies share?
How are some studies different than others? The paper should stress how all
the studies reviewed contribute to the topic.
Current - The review should focus on work being done on the cutting
edge of the topic.
Meta-Analysis
History
1990s:
Mid-1980s, explosion in
methods popularity,
1977: first develop. Eg. esp. in
modern Hedges, medical
meta- Olkin, research
1904: analysis Hunter &
quant. lit. published by Schmidt
review by Smith &
Pearson Glass (1977)
The Popularity of Meta-Analysis
publications
3000
2500
2000
Number of Publications
1500
1000
500
0
93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 2000-1 2001-2 2002-3 2003-4
Year of Publications
Number of Meta Analysis publications are steadily increasing since 1993. We graphed
the counts of journal articles included “meta analysis” as “publication type” from
Pubmed, from years 1993 through 2004
Definition
Identifies heterogeneity
Increases statistical power and precision of the study
Develop ,refine, and tests hypothesis
Calculates sample size for future studies
Identifies data gaps
Reduces the subjectivity of study comparisons
Advantages of Meta-Analysis
Focuses attention on trials as an evaluation tool to increase the
impact of trials on clinical practice.
Encourages designing of good trial and increases strength of
conclusions.
Make the results fit for generalising to a larger population.
Improves precision and accuracy of estimates through use of
more data sets.
May increase the statistical power to detect an effect.
Inconsistency of results across studies can be quantified,
analyzed and corrected.
Hypothesis testing can be applied on summary estimates.
Moderators can be included to explain variation between studies.
The presence of publication bias can be investigated.
Disadvantages of Meta-Analysis
Meta-Analysis may discourage large definitive trials.
Increases tendency to unwittingly mix different trials
and ignore differences.
Potential for tension between meta-analyst and
conductors of original trials may introduce biasness.
Meta-Analysis of several small studies may not predict
the results of a single large study.
Sources of bias are not controlled by the method.
A good meta-analysis of badly designed studies will still
result in bad statistics.
How a Meta-Analysis Work
Individual studies – collecting similarity studies from previous research
Effect sizes – transform data (analysis results) into effect size reflect
the magnitude of treatment effect or the strength of a relationship
between two variables
Precision – The effect size for each study is bounded by as confidence
interval, reflect the precision of effect size
Study weight – ideal studies (sample size are larger) are assigned
relatively high weight
P-Value – a p-value for a test of the null hypothesis, if p<0.05 reject
null hypothesis
Summary effect – summary the effect size from all studies, including
mean effect size (fix effect), CI, weight, p-value, ES heterogeneity,
random effect, publication bias, etc
When Can We Do Meta-Analysis?
• Meta-analysis is applicable to collections of research:
• Examine same constructs and relationships
• Have findings that can be configured in a comparable statistical form (eg.
effect sizes, correlation coefficients, odds-ratios, etc.)
• “Comparable” given the question at hand
o Objective of study (effect or variability)
o Population of study
o Type of study (RCT, Case-Control, or Case Report)
o Patient characteristics
• Research findings suitable to Meta-Analysis
• Central tendency research: prevalence rates
• Pre-post contrasts: growth rates
• Group contrasts:
o Experimentally created groups
o Naturally occurring groups
• Association between variables
Steps in Meta-analysis
Define the research question
Examine heterogeneity
AND Zone,
covering common
area between
two ellipses
OR Zone, covering
the two ellipses
Example: Research Question